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89d0916 verified

Considering the first term, it is straightforward to verify that

S×Xt=0Et(YE=1,M=m,X=x)fME,X(mE=0,X=x)fX(x)dμ(m,x)=E[UI(E=1)fEX(EX){YE(YE,M=m,X=x)fME,X(ME=0,X)fME,X(ME=1,X)}]. \begin{align*} \iint_{S \times X} \nabla_t = 0 \mathbb{E}_t (Y | E = 1, M = m, X = x) f_{M|E,X}(m|E=0, X=x) f_X(x) d\mu(m,x) \\ &= \mathbb{E} \left[ U \frac{I(E=1)}{f_{E|X}(E|X)} \left\{ Y - \mathbb{E}(Y|E, M=m, X=x) \frac{f_{M|E,X}(M|E=0, X)}{f_{M|E,X}(M|E=1, X)} \right\} \right]. \end{align*}

Similarly, one can easily verify that

S×XE(YE=1,M=m,X=x)t=0fME,X;t(mE=0,X=x)fX(x)dμ(m,x)=E[UI(E=0)fEX(EX){E(YE=1,M=m,X=x)η(1,0,X)}], \begin{align*} \iint_{S \times X} \mathbb{E}(Y | E = 1, M = m, X = x) \nabla_{t=0} f_{M|E,X;t}(m | E = 0, X = x) f_X(x) d\mu(m, x) \\ &= \mathbb{E} \left[ U \frac{I(E=0)}{f_{E|X}(E|X)} \left\{ \mathbb{E}(Y | E = 1, M = m, X = x) - \eta(1, 0, X) \right\} \right], \end{align*}

and finally, one can also verify that

S×XE(YE=1,M=m,X=x)fME,X(mE=0,X=x)t=0fX;t(x)dμ(m,x)=E[U{η(1,0,X)θ0}]. \begin{align*} \iint_{S \times X} \mathbb{E}(Y | E = 1, M = m, X = x) f_{M|E,X}(m | E = 0, X = x) \nabla_{t=0} f_{X;t}(x) d\mu(m,x) \\ &= \mathbb{E}[U\{\eta(1, 0, X) - \theta_0\}]. \end{align*}

Thus we obtain

t=0θt=E{Sθ0eff,nonpar(θ0)U}. \nabla_t = 0 \theta_t = \mathbb{E}\{S_{\theta_0}^{\text{eff,nonpar}}(\theta_0) U\}.

Given $S_{\delta e}^{\text{eff,nonpar}}(\delta_e)$, the results for the direct and indirect effect follow from the fact that the influence function of a difference of two functionals equals the difference of the respective influence functions. Because the model is nonparametric, there is a unique influence function for each functional, and it is efficient in the model, leading to the efficiency bound results. $\square$

PROOF OF THEOREM 2. We begin by showing that

E{Sθ0eff,nonpar(θ0;βm,βe,βy)}=0 \begin{equation} \begin{aligned} & \mathbb{E}\{S_{\theta_0}^{\text{eff,nonpar}}(\theta_0; \beta_m^*, \beta_e^*, \beta_y^*)\} \\ & \quad = 0 \end{aligned} \tag{7} \end{equation}

under model $\mathcal{M}_{\text{union}}$. First note that $(\beta_y^*, \beta_m^*) = (\beta_y, \beta_m)$ under model $\mathcal{M}_a$. Equality (7) now follows because $\mathbb{E}^{\text{par}}(Y|\tilde{X}, M, E=1; \beta_y) = \mathbb{E}(Y|\tilde{X}, M, E=1)$ and $\eta(1,0,X; \beta_y, \beta_m) = \mathbb{E}[{\mathbb{E}^{\text{par}}(Y|\tilde{X}, M, E=1; \beta_y)}|E=0, X] = \eta(1,0,X):$

\begin{align*} & \mathbb{E}\{S_{\theta_0}^{\text{eff,nonpar}}(\theta_0; \beta_m, \beta_e^*, \beta_y)\} \\ & = \mathbb{E}\left[\frac{I\{E=1\} f_{M|E,X}^{\text{par}}(M|E=0, X; \beta_m)}{f_{E|X}^{\text{par}}(1|X; \beta_e^*) f_{M|E,X}^{\text{par}}(M|E=1, X; \beta_m)} \end{align*}