license: apache-2.0
task_categories:
- other
tags:
- model-provenance
- lineage
- ai-bom
- model-merging
Stemma lineage benchmark (NagaYu/stemma-bench)
Labelled ordered pairs over a generated model-lineage DAG. Every edge was produced by really running the operation on real safetensors weights (short fine-tunes, a hand-written LoRA, INT8/INT4 fake-quantisation round trips, magnitude and structured pruning, vocabulary extension, SLERP/TIES/DARE merges with recorded mixing ratios, and distillation), so the labels are recipes, not annotations.
- models: 20
- edges: 21
- pairs: ancestral 28, sibling 80, unrelated 82
- relations: continued_pretrain, distilled, lora_merged, merge_dare, merge_slerp, merge_ties, pruned_magnitude, pruned_structured, quantized_int4, quantized_int8, sft, vocab_extended, vocab_extended_trained
Columns
a, b (model ids), related (bool), direction (a->b | sibling | none),
relation, plus the per-side family/op of each model.
Caveats
- Distillation edges are marked
weak_weight_lineage=true(distilgpt2, smollm2-distil-half). Weight-level lineage across a distillation edge is expected to be weak; it is included so it can be scored honestly rather than quietly excluded. - Direction accuracy must be reported per relation type. Scar-free relations (SFT, LoRA, continued pretraining) are much harder than lossy ones (quantisation, pruning, vocabulary extension).
- Unrelated pairs include same-architecture / different-initialisation models. Those are the pairs a false-positive rate should be measured on.
- Builds made with
--skip-traincarrytraining: syntheticand must not be reported as fine-tuning measurements.
What these labels can and cannot support
Measured on this dataset after it was first published:
- Direction is near-deterministic only for lossy operations. Quantisation, pruning and
vocabulary extension are recovered at 100%; scar-free
sft/lora/continued_pretrainedges abstain (mean |llr| ~0.02). Scoring direction as one aggregate over all relations hides this, which is why the harness reports it per relation. - Outgroup rooting is invalid for the merge rows. Rooting assumes descendants drift
monotonically away from the root. Merging is a contraction toward the centroid:
smollm2-merge-ties2 = 0.6*sft + 0.4*cptpartly cancels two perturbations of the root and lands closer to the root than either parent (root->sft 0.000820, root->cpt 0.001610, root->merge-ties2 0.000678). Every correctly chosen sibling outgroup then pushes the answer the wrong way. Direction for a merged model has to come from the decomposition, not from distance geometry. - Cross-architecture distillation rows are a known-weak case, not a bug. They are included and scored honestly rather than excluded.
Current reference results on this dataset (python benchmarks/run.py): relatedness AUC 0.994 with
0.000 false-positive rate on the 25 same-architecture / different-seed controls; merge
parent-set precision 1.000, recall 0.792, F1 0.867, mixing MAE 0.070 (DARE MAE 0.0004).
Derivations: https://github.com/NagaYu/stemma/blob/main/docs/FINDINGS.md
These labels describe generated derivations, not claims about anyone's published models. Stemma reports statistical evidence with a confidence and never a determination of infringement.