vessels-source / web /src /components /risk-simulation-panel.tsx
betterwithage's picture
mirror github.com/szl-holdings/vessels@713c433d6805
ea270a7 verified
import {
type DriverTweak,
distributionSupportsSpread,
IDENTITY_TWEAK,
isIdentityTweak,
tweakedInputs,
tweakSummary,
} from '@szl-holdings/monte-carlo';
import { runScenarioInPool } from '@szl-holdings/monte-carlo/scenario-pool';
import {
type MonteCarloResult,
runScenarioSimulation as runScenarioSimulationSync,
} from '@szl-holdings/monte-carlo/scenario-simulation';
import type { InputVariable, ScenarioDefinition } from '@szl-holdings/monte-carlo/schema';
import { DriverTweakPresets } from '@szl-holdings/shared-ui/driver-tweak-presets';
import { LANE_ACCENT_HEX } from '@szl-holdings/shared-ui/lane-colors';
import { type SavedRiskRun, SaveRiskRunButton } from '@szl-holdings/shared-ui/risk-evidence';
import { motion } from 'framer-motion';
import {
Activity,
BarChart3,
BookmarkPlus,
ChevronDown,
ChevronUp,
Layers,
RefreshCw,
RotateCcw,
Sliders,
X,
} from 'lucide-react';
import { useEffect, useMemo, useRef, useState } from 'react';
import RiskSimulationWorker from '@/workers/risk-simulation.worker?worker';
const VESSELS_ACCENT = LANE_ACCENT_HEX.vessels.primaryLight;
export type { MonteCarloResult };
export { runScenarioSimulationSync as runScenarioSimulation };
interface SimulationProgressState {
completed: number;
total: number;
}
function formatValue(value: number, format?: string): string {
if (!Number.isFinite(value)) return '—';
if (format === 'currency') {
const abs = Math.abs(value);
if (abs >= 1000) return `$${(value / 1000).toFixed(1)}K`;
return `$${value.toFixed(2)}`;
}
if (format === 'percentage') return `${value.toFixed(1)}%`;
if (format === 'years') return `${value.toFixed(1)}y`;
return value.toLocaleString(undefined, { maximumFractionDigits: 2 });
}
function formatSignedValue(value: number, format?: string): string {
if (!Number.isFinite(value)) return '—';
const sign = value > 0 ? '+' : value < 0 ? '−' : '';
return `${sign}${formatValue(Math.abs(value), format)}`;
}
function formatPctDelta(curr: number, base: number): string {
if (!Number.isFinite(curr) || !Number.isFinite(base) || base === 0) return '—';
const pct = ((curr - base) / Math.abs(base)) * 100;
const sign = pct > 0 ? '+' : pct < 0 ? '−' : '';
return `${sign}${Math.abs(pct).toFixed(1)}%`;
}
interface BaselineSnapshot {
result: MonteCarloResult;
capturedAt: number;
tweakCount: number;
}
interface RiskSimulationPanelProps {
scenario: ScenarioDefinition;
iterations?: number;
accentColor?: string;
title?: string;
subtitle?: string;
evidenceDomain?: string;
}
export function RiskSimulationPanel({
scenario,
iterations = 5000,
accentColor = VESSELS_ACCENT,
title,
subtitle,
evidenceDomain = 'vessels',
}: RiskSimulationPanelProps) {
const [result, setResult] = useState<MonteCarloResult | null>(null);
const [iterCount, setIterCount] = useState<number>(iterations);
const [running, setRunning] = useState<boolean>(true);
const [progress, setProgress] = useState<SimulationProgressState | null>(null);
const [runKey, setRunKey] = useState<number>(0);
const requestIdRef = useRef<number>(0);
const [tweaks, setTweaks] = useState<Record<string, DriverTweak>>({});
const [showTweaks, setShowTweaks] = useState<boolean>(false);
const [appliedTweaks, setAppliedTweaks] = useState<Record<string, DriverTweak>>({});
const [baseline, setBaseline] = useState<BaselineSnapshot | null>(null);
useEffect(() => {
setTweaks({});
setAppliedTweaks({});
setBaseline(null);
}, [scenario.id]);
const modifiedIds = useMemo(
() => new Set(Object.keys(appliedTweaks).filter((id) => !isIdentityTweak(appliedTweaks[id]))),
[appliedTweaks],
);
const effectiveScenario = useMemo<ScenarioDefinition>(() => {
if (modifiedIds.size === 0) return scenario;
const inputs = tweakedInputs(scenario.inputs, appliedTweaks);
return { ...scenario, inputs };
}, [scenario, appliedTweaks, modifiedIds]);
useEffect(() => {
setRunning(true);
setProgress(null);
const requestId = ++requestIdRef.current;
const tweaksActive = modifiedIds.size > 0;
let cancelled = false;
// Workers only know registered scenarios by id and cannot apply
// user-supplied driver tweaks, so we fall back to a synchronous run
// on the main thread whenever overrides are in effect.
if (!tweaksActive) {
let workerCreationFailed = false;
try {
// Probe the worker constructor; if it throws we'll fall through
// to the synchronous path below.
new RiskSimulationWorker().terminate();
} catch {
workerCreationFailed = true;
}
if (!workerCreationFailed) {
runScenarioInPool({
scenario: effectiveScenario,
iterations: iterCount,
workerFactory: () => new RiskSimulationWorker(),
onProgress: (p) => {
if (cancelled || requestId !== requestIdRef.current) return;
setProgress({ completed: p.completed, total: p.total });
},
})
.then((r) => {
if (cancelled || requestId !== requestIdRef.current) return;
setResult(r);
setProgress(null);
setRunning(false);
})
.catch((_err) => {
if (cancelled || requestId !== requestIdRef.current) return;
try {
const r = runScenarioSimulationSync(effectiveScenario, iterCount);
if (requestId === requestIdRef.current) setResult(r);
} finally {
if (requestId === requestIdRef.current) {
setProgress(null);
setRunning(false);
}
}
});
return () => {
cancelled = true;
};
}
}
// Fallback: synchronous run via setTimeout if workers are unavailable
// or if driver tweaks are active.
const handle = window.setTimeout(() => {
try {
const r = runScenarioSimulationSync(effectiveScenario, iterCount);
if (requestId === requestIdRef.current) setResult(r);
} finally {
if (requestId === requestIdRef.current) {
setProgress(null);
setRunning(false);
}
}
}, 30);
return () => {
cancelled = true;
window.clearTimeout(handle);
};
}, [effectiveScenario, scenario.id, iterCount, runKey, modifiedIds]);
const pendingChanges = useMemo(() => {
const ids = new Set([...Object.keys(tweaks), ...Object.keys(appliedTweaks)]);
for (const id of ids) {
const a = tweaks[id] ?? IDENTITY_TWEAK;
const b = appliedTweaks[id] ?? IDENTITY_TWEAK;
if (Math.abs(a.meanMultiplier - b.meanMultiplier) > 1e-9) return true;
if (Math.abs(a.spreadMultiplier - b.spreadMultiplier) > 1e-9) return true;
}
return false;
}, [tweaks, appliedTweaks]);
const updateTweak = (id: string, patch: Partial<DriverTweak>) => {
setTweaks((prev) => {
const current = prev[id] ?? IDENTITY_TWEAK;
return { ...prev, [id]: { ...current, ...patch } };
});
};
const resetInput = (id: string) => {
setTweaks((prev) => ({ ...prev, [id]: { ...IDENTITY_TWEAK } }));
};
const resetAll = () => {
setTweaks({});
setAppliedTweaks({});
};
const applyAndRun = () => {
setAppliedTweaks({ ...tweaks });
setRunKey((k) => k + 1);
};
const captureBaseline = () => {
if (!result) return;
setBaseline({ result, capturedAt: Date.now(), tweakCount: modifiedIds.size });
};
const clearBaseline = () => setBaseline(null);
const loadPresetTweaks = (preset: Record<string, DriverTweak>) => {
setTweaks(preset);
setAppliedTweaks(preset);
setRunKey((k) => k + 1);
};
const primary = scenario.outputs[0];
const primaryMetric = primary ? result?.metrics[primary.id] : undefined;
const metricRows = useMemo(() => {
if (!result) return [];
return scenario.outputs
.map((o) => ({
id: o.id,
label: o.label,
format: o.format,
stat: result.metrics[o.id],
}))
.filter((r) => r.stat);
}, [result, scenario]);
const maxP95 = useMemo(() => {
const vals = metricRows.map((r) => Math.abs(r.stat?.p95 ?? 0));
if (baseline) {
for (const o of scenario.outputs) {
const m = baseline.result.metrics[o.id];
if (m) vals.push(Math.abs(m.p95));
}
}
return Math.max(...vals, 0.0001);
}, [metricRows, baseline, scenario]);
const baselineCapturedLabel = useMemo(() => {
if (!baseline) return null;
const t = new Date(baseline.capturedAt);
const hh = String(t.getHours()).padStart(2, '0');
const mm = String(t.getMinutes()).padStart(2, '0');
const ss = String(t.getSeconds()).padStart(2, '0');
const tweakDesc =
baseline.tweakCount === 0
? 'no tweaks'
: `${baseline.tweakCount} tweak${baseline.tweakCount === 1 ? '' : 's'}`;
return `Baseline captured ${hh}:${mm}:${ss} · ${tweakDesc}`;
}, [baseline]);
return (
<div className="space-y-5">
<div className="flex items-start justify-between gap-4 flex-wrap">
<div>
<h2 className="text-base font-semibold text-white tracking-tight">
{title ?? scenario.title}
</h2>
<p className="text-[12px] mt-1 max-w-2xl" style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.5)' }}>
{subtitle ?? scenario.description}
</p>
</div>
<div className="flex items-center gap-2">
<select
value={iterCount}
onChange={(e) => setIterCount(Number(e.target.value))}
className="text-[11px] bg-transparent border rounded-md px-2 py-1.5 font-mono text-white/80"
style={{ borderColor: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.1)' }}
aria-label="Monte Carlo iterations"
>
<option value={1000}>1,000 iter</option>
<option value={5000}>5,000 iter</option>
<option value={10000}>10,000 iter</option>
<option value={25000}>25,000 iter</option>
<option value={50000}>50,000 iter</option>
<option value={100000}>100,000 iter</option>
</select>
<button
onClick={() => setShowTweaks((s) => !s)}
className="flex items-center gap-1.5 text-[11px] font-medium rounded-md px-2.5 py-1.5 transition-colors text-white/80 hover:text-white"
style={{
background: modifiedIds.size > 0 ? `${accentColor}20` : 'rgba(255,255,255,0.04)',
border: `1px solid ${modifiedIds.size > 0 ? `${accentColor}40` : 'rgba(255,255,255,0.1)'}`,
}}
aria-label="Toggle driver tweaks"
aria-expanded={showTweaks}
>
<Sliders className="w-3 h-3" />
Tweak Drivers
{modifiedIds.size > 0 && (
<span
className="ml-1 px-1.5 py-0.5 rounded text-[9px] font-mono"
style={{ background: accentColor, color: '#000' }}
>
{modifiedIds.size}
</span>
)}
{showTweaks ? <ChevronUp className="w-3 h-3" /> : <ChevronDown className="w-3 h-3" />}
</button>
<button
onClick={() => setRunKey((k) => k + 1)}
disabled={running}
className="flex items-center gap-1.5 text-[11px] font-medium rounded-md px-2.5 py-1.5 transition-colors disabled:opacity-50"
style={{
background: `${accentColor}15`,
color: accentColor,
border: `1px solid ${accentColor}30`,
}}
aria-label="Re-run simulation"
>
<RefreshCw className={`w-3 h-3 ${running ? 'animate-spin' : ''}`} />
{running
? progress
? `Running ${Math.round((progress.completed / progress.total) * 100)}%`
: 'Running…'
: 'Re-run'}
</button>
{baseline ? (
<button
onClick={clearBaseline}
className="flex items-center gap-1.5 text-[11px] font-medium rounded-md px-2.5 py-1.5 transition-colors text-white/80 hover:text-white"
style={{
background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.04)',
border: '1px solid rgba(255,255,255,0.15)',
}}
aria-label="Clear saved baseline"
>
<X className="w-3 h-3" />
Clear baseline
</button>
) : (
<button
onClick={captureBaseline}
disabled={running || !result}
className="flex items-center gap-1.5 text-[11px] font-medium rounded-md px-2.5 py-1.5 transition-colors text-white/80 hover:text-white disabled:opacity-40"
style={{
background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.04)',
border: '1px solid rgba(255,255,255,0.15)',
}}
aria-label="Capture current run as baseline"
>
<BookmarkPlus className="w-3 h-3" />
Capture baseline
</button>
)}
<SaveRiskRunButton
domain={evidenceDomain}
accentColor={accentColor}
disabled={running || !result}
build={() => {
if (!result) return null;
const payload: Omit<SavedRiskRun, 'evidenceId' | 'savedAt'> = {
scenarioId: scenario.id,
scenarioVersion: scenario.version,
scenarioTitle: title ?? scenario.title,
domain: scenario.domain,
iterations: result.iterations,
validIterations: result.validIterations,
durationMs: result.durationMs,
metrics: scenario.outputs
.map((o) => {
const m = result.metrics[o.id];
if (!m) return null;
return {
id: o.id,
label: m.label,
format: m.format,
mean: m.mean,
p5: m.p5,
p25: m.p25,
p50: m.p50,
p75: m.p75,
p95: m.p95,
min: m.min,
max: m.max,
stdDev: m.stdDev,
};
})
.filter((x): x is NonNullable<typeof x> => x !== null),
sensitivities: result.inputSensitivity.map((s) => ({
inputId: s.inputId,
label: s.label,
impact: s.impact,
})),
inputs: effectiveScenario.inputs.map((inp) => ({
id: inp.id,
label: inp.label,
unit: inp.unit,
format: inp.format,
distribution: inp.distribution,
})),
};
return payload;
}}
/>
</div>
</div>
{showTweaks && (
<DriverTweaksPanel
inputs={scenario.inputs}
tweaks={tweaks}
accentColor={accentColor}
onChange={updateTweak}
onResetInput={resetInput}
onResetAll={resetAll}
onApply={applyAndRun}
pendingChanges={pendingChanges}
modifiedIds={modifiedIds}
running={running}
presetScopeKey={`${evidenceDomain}:${scenario.id}`}
onLoadPreset={loadPresetTweaks}
/>
)}
<div
className="rounded-xl border p-4 grid grid-cols-2 md:grid-cols-4 gap-4"
style={{ borderColor: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.08)', background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.02)' }}
>
<div>
<div
className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider mb-1"
style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }}
>
Iterations
</div>
<div className="text-sm font-mono text-white">
{running && progress
? `${progress.completed.toLocaleString()} / ${progress.total.toLocaleString()}`
: (result?.iterations.toLocaleString() ?? '—')}
</div>
{running && progress && (
<div
className="mt-1.5 h-1 rounded-full overflow-hidden"
style={{ background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.06)' }}
role="progressbar"
aria-label="Simulation progress"
aria-valuemin={0}
aria-valuemax={progress.total}
aria-valuenow={progress.completed}
>
<div
className="h-full rounded-full transition-[width] duration-200 ease-out"
style={{
width: `${Math.min(100, (progress.completed / progress.total) * 100)}%`,
background: accentColor,
}}
/>
</div>
)}
</div>
<div>
<div
className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider mb-1"
style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }}
>
Valid Runs
</div>
<div className="text-sm font-mono text-white">
{result?.validIterations.toLocaleString() ?? '—'}
</div>
</div>
<div>
<div
className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider mb-1"
style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }}
>
Compute
</div>
<div className="text-sm font-mono text-white">
{result ? `${result.durationMs.toFixed(0)}ms` : '—'}
</div>
</div>
<div>
<div
className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider mb-1"
style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }}
>
Domain
</div>
<div className="text-sm font-mono uppercase" style={{ color: accentColor }}>
{result?.domain ?? scenario.domain}
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div
className="rounded-xl border p-5"
style={{ borderColor: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.08)', background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.02)' }}
>
<div className="flex items-center gap-2 mb-4">
<BarChart3 className="w-3.5 h-3.5" style={{ color: accentColor }} />
<h3
className="text-[10px] font-semibold uppercase tracking-wider"
style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.55)' }}
>
Output Distributions — {result?.scenarioId ?? scenario.id}
</h3>
</div>
{baselineCapturedLabel && (
<div
className="flex items-center justify-between gap-3 mb-3 px-2.5 py-1.5 rounded-md text-[10px] font-mono"
style={{
background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.04)',
border: '1px solid rgba(255,255,255,0.08)',
color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.6)',
}}
>
<span className="flex items-center gap-2">
<span
className="inline-block w-2 h-2 rounded-sm"
style={{ background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.35)' }}
/>
{baselineCapturedLabel}
</span>
<span className="flex items-center gap-2" style={{ color: accentColor }}>
<span
className="inline-block w-2 h-2 rounded-sm"
style={{ background: accentColor }}
/>
current run
</span>
</div>
)}
<div className="space-y-4">
{metricRows.map(({ id, label, format, stat }, rowIdx) => {
if (!stat) return null;
const baseStat = baseline?.result.metrics[id];
const p95 = Math.abs(stat.p95);
const p5 = Math.abs(stat.p5);
const mean = Math.abs(stat.mean);
const p95Pct = maxP95 > 0 ? Math.min(100, (p95 / maxP95) * 100) : 0;
const p5Pct = maxP95 > 0 ? Math.min(100, (p5 / maxP95) * 100) : 0;
const iqrPct = Math.max(0, p95Pct - p5Pct);
const meanPct = maxP95 > 0 ? Math.min(100, (mean / maxP95) * 100) : 0;
const delay = rowIdx * 0.1;
const meanDelta = baseStat ? stat.mean - baseStat.mean : 0;
return (
<div key={id}>
<div className="flex items-center justify-between mb-1.5">
<span className="text-[12px] font-semibold text-white">{label}</span>
<span className="text-sm font-bold text-white flex items-baseline gap-2">
{formatValue(stat.mean, format)}{' '}
<span
className="text-[10px] font-normal"
style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }}
>
(mean)
</span>
{baseStat && (
<span
className="text-[10px] font-mono px-1.5 py-0.5 rounded"
style={{
color: accentColor,
background: `${accentColor}15`,
border: `1px solid ${accentColor}30`,
}}
title={`Baseline mean ${formatValue(baseStat.mean, format)}`}
>
Δ {formatSignedValue(meanDelta, format)} (
{formatPctDelta(stat.mean, baseStat.mean)})
</span>
)}
</span>
</div>
<div
className="relative h-6 rounded-md overflow-hidden"
style={{ background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.05)' }}
>
<motion.div
className="absolute top-0 left-0 h-full rounded-md"
style={{ background: `${accentColor}33` }}
initial={{ width: 0 }}
animate={{ width: `${p95Pct}%` }}
transition={{ duration: 0.7, delay, ease: 'easeOut' }}
/>
<motion.div
className="absolute top-1 bottom-1 rounded-sm"
style={{ background: `${accentColor}66`, left: `${p5Pct}%` }}
initial={{ width: 0 }}
animate={{ width: `${iqrPct}%` }}
transition={{ duration: 0.7, delay: delay + 0.1, ease: 'easeOut' }}
/>
<motion.div
className="absolute top-0 bottom-0 w-0.5 bg-white"
initial={{ left: 0, opacity: 0 }}
animate={{ left: `${meanPct}%`, opacity: 1 }}
transition={{ duration: 0.7, delay: delay + 0.2, ease: 'easeOut' }}
/>
</div>
{baseStat &&
(() => {
const bP95 = Math.abs(baseStat.p95);
const bP5 = Math.abs(baseStat.p5);
const bMean = Math.abs(baseStat.mean);
const bP95Pct = maxP95 > 0 ? Math.min(100, (bP95 / maxP95) * 100) : 0;
const bP5Pct = maxP95 > 0 ? Math.min(100, (bP5 / maxP95) * 100) : 0;
const bIqrPct = Math.max(0, bP95Pct - bP5Pct);
const bMeanPct = maxP95 > 0 ? Math.min(100, (bMean / maxP95) * 100) : 0;
return (
<div
className="relative h-3 rounded-md overflow-hidden mt-1"
style={{ background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.03)' }}
>
<div
className="absolute top-0 left-0 h-full rounded-md"
style={{ background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.10)', width: `${bP95Pct}%` }}
/>
<div
className="absolute top-0.5 bottom-0.5 rounded-sm"
style={{
background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.25)',
left: `${bP5Pct}%`,
width: `${bIqrPct}%`,
}}
/>
<div
className="absolute top-0 bottom-0 w-0.5"
style={{ background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.6)', left: `${bMeanPct}%` }}
/>
</div>
);
})()}
<div
className="flex justify-between text-[9px] mt-1 font-mono"
style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }}
>
<span>P5: {formatValue(stat.p5, format)}</span>
<span>P25: {formatValue(stat.p25, format)}</span>
<span>P50: {formatValue(stat.p50, format)}</span>
<span>P75: {formatValue(stat.p75, format)}</span>
<span>P95: {formatValue(stat.p95, format)}</span>
</div>
{baseStat && (
<div
className="flex justify-between text-[9px] mt-0.5 font-mono"
style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.3)' }}
>
<span>base P5: {formatValue(baseStat.p5, format)}</span>
<span>P25: {formatValue(baseStat.p25, format)}</span>
<span>P50: {formatValue(baseStat.p50, format)}</span>
<span>P75: {formatValue(baseStat.p75, format)}</span>
<span>P95: {formatValue(baseStat.p95, format)}</span>
</div>
)}
</div>
);
})}
</div>
</div>
<div className="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-3 gap-3">
<div
className="md:col-span-2 rounded-xl border p-4"
style={{ borderColor: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.08)', background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.02)' }}
>
<div className="flex items-center gap-2 mb-3">
<Layers className="w-3.5 h-3.5" style={{ color: accentColor }} />
<h4
className="text-[10px] font-semibold uppercase tracking-wider"
style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.55)' }}
>
Input Sensitivity{primary ? ` (Correlation to ${primary.label})` : ''}
</h4>
</div>
<div className="space-y-2">
{result?.inputSensitivity.slice(0, 8).map((item, i) => (
<div key={item.inputId} className="flex items-center gap-2">
<span
className="text-[11px] w-44 truncate flex-shrink-0 flex items-center gap-1.5"
style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.6)' }}
>
{item.label}
{modifiedIds.has(item.inputId) && (
<span
className="px-1 py-0.5 rounded text-[8px] font-mono uppercase tracking-wider"
style={{ background: `${accentColor}30`, color: accentColor }}
>
tweaked
</span>
)}
</span>
<div
className="flex-1 h-3 rounded-full overflow-hidden"
style={{ background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.05)' }}
>
<motion.div
className="h-full rounded-full"
style={{ background: accentColor, opacity: 0.7 }}
initial={{ width: 0 }}
animate={{ width: `${Math.min(100, item.impact * 100)}%` }}
transition={{ duration: 0.6, delay: i * 0.05, ease: 'easeOut' }}
/>
</div>
<span className="text-[10px] font-mono w-10 text-right text-white">
{(item.impact * 100).toFixed(0)}%
</span>
</div>
)) ?? null}
{!result && (
<p className="text-[11px]" style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.3)' }}>
Sampling driver impact…
</p>
)}
</div>
</div>
<div
className="rounded-xl border p-4 flex flex-col gap-3"
style={{ borderColor: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.08)', background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.02)' }}
>
<div className="flex items-center gap-2 mb-1">
<Activity className="w-3.5 h-3.5" style={{ color: accentColor }} />
<h4
className="text-[10px] font-semibold uppercase tracking-wider"
style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.55)' }}
>
Risk Bands
</h4>
</div>
{primary &&
primaryMetric &&
(() => {
const basePrimary = baseline?.result.metrics[primary.id];
const renderDelta = (curr: number, base: number | undefined) => {
if (base === undefined || !Number.isFinite(base)) return null;
return (
<span
className="ml-2 text-[9px] font-mono px-1 py-0.5 rounded"
style={{
color: accentColor,
background: `${accentColor}15`,
border: `1px solid ${accentColor}30`,
}}
>
Δ {formatSignedValue(curr - base, primary.format)} ({formatPctDelta(curr, base)}
)
</span>
);
};
const baseLine = (text: string) => (
<div
className="text-[10px] font-mono mt-0.5"
style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }}
>
base · {text}
</div>
);
return (
<>
<div>
<div
className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider mb-1"
style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }}
>
Standard Deviation
</div>
<div className="text-sm font-bold text-white flex items-center flex-wrap">
{formatValue(primaryMetric.stdDev, primary.format)}
{renderDelta(primaryMetric.stdDev, basePrimary?.stdDev)}
</div>
{basePrimary && baseLine(formatValue(basePrimary.stdDev, primary.format))}
</div>
<div>
<div
className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider mb-1"
style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }}
>
90% Confidence Band
</div>
<div className="text-sm font-semibold text-white flex items-center flex-wrap">
{formatValue(primaryMetric.p5, primary.format)} –{' '}
{formatValue(primaryMetric.p95, primary.format)}
{renderDelta(
primaryMetric.p95 - primaryMetric.p5,
basePrimary ? basePrimary.p95 - basePrimary.p5 : undefined,
)}
</div>
{basePrimary &&
baseLine(
`${formatValue(basePrimary.p5, primary.format)} – ${formatValue(basePrimary.p95, primary.format)}`,
)}
</div>
<div>
<div
className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider mb-1"
style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }}
>
50% Interquartile
</div>
<div className="text-sm font-semibold text-white flex items-center flex-wrap">
{formatValue(primaryMetric.p25, primary.format)} –{' '}
{formatValue(primaryMetric.p75, primary.format)}
{renderDelta(
primaryMetric.p75 - primaryMetric.p25,
basePrimary ? basePrimary.p75 - basePrimary.p25 : undefined,
)}
</div>
{basePrimary &&
baseLine(
`${formatValue(basePrimary.p25, primary.format)} – ${formatValue(basePrimary.p75, primary.format)}`,
)}
</div>
<div>
<div
className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider mb-1"
style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }}
>
Range
</div>
<div className="text-sm font-mono text-white">
{formatValue(primaryMetric.min, primary.format)} →{' '}
{formatValue(primaryMetric.max, primary.format)}
</div>
{basePrimary &&
baseLine(
`${formatValue(basePrimary.min, primary.format)} → ${formatValue(basePrimary.max, primary.format)}`,
)}
</div>
<div>
<div
className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider mb-1"
style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }}
>
Mean
</div>
<div className="text-sm font-bold text-white flex items-center flex-wrap">
{formatValue(primaryMetric.mean, primary.format)}
{renderDelta(primaryMetric.mean, basePrimary?.mean)}
</div>
{basePrimary && baseLine(formatValue(basePrimary.mean, primary.format))}
</div>
</>
);
})()}
</div>
</div>
</div>
);
}
interface DriverTweaksPanelProps {
inputs: InputVariable[];
tweaks: Record<string, DriverTweak>;
accentColor: string;
onChange: (id: string, patch: Partial<DriverTweak>) => void;
onResetInput: (id: string) => void;
onResetAll: () => void;
onApply: () => void;
pendingChanges: boolean;
modifiedIds: Set<string>;
running: boolean;
presetScopeKey: string;
onLoadPreset: (tweaks: Record<string, DriverTweak>) => void;
}
function formatDriverValue(value: number, format?: string): string {
if (!Number.isFinite(value)) return '—';
if (format === 'currency') {
const abs = Math.abs(value);
if (abs >= 1_000_000) return `$${(value / 1_000_000).toFixed(2)}M`;
if (abs >= 1000) return `$${(value / 1000).toFixed(1)}K`;
return `$${value.toFixed(2)}`;
}
if (format === 'percentage') return `${(value * 100).toFixed(1)}%`;
if (format === 'years') return `${value.toFixed(1)}y`;
return value.toLocaleString(undefined, { maximumFractionDigits: 3 });
}
function DriverTweaksPanel({
inputs,
tweaks,
accentColor,
onChange,
onResetInput,
onResetAll,
onApply,
pendingChanges,
modifiedIds,
running,
presetScopeKey,
onLoadPreset,
}: DriverTweaksPanelProps) {
return (
<div
className="rounded-xl border p-4"
style={{ borderColor: `${accentColor}30`, background: `${accentColor}08` }}
>
<div className="flex items-center justify-between gap-2 mb-3 flex-wrap">
<div className="flex items-center gap-2">
<Sliders className="w-3.5 h-3.5" style={{ color: accentColor }} />
<h4
className="text-[10px] font-semibold uppercase tracking-wider"
style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.7)' }}
>
Driver Assumptions — override before re-running
</h4>
</div>
<div className="flex items-center gap-2 flex-wrap">
<DriverTweakPresets
scopeKey={presetScopeKey}
accentColor={accentColor}
currentTweaks={tweaks}
onLoad={onLoadPreset}
/>
<button
onClick={onResetAll}
className="flex items-center gap-1 text-[10px] font-medium rounded-md px-2 py-1 transition-colors text-white/70 hover:text-white"
style={{
background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.05)',
border: '1px solid rgba(255,255,255,0.1)',
}}
aria-label="Reset all drivers to baseline"
>
<RotateCcw className="w-3 h-3" />
Reset to baseline
</button>
<button
onClick={onApply}
disabled={running || !pendingChanges}
className="flex items-center gap-1 text-[10px] font-semibold rounded-md px-2.5 py-1 transition-colors disabled:opacity-40"
style={{ background: accentColor, color: '#000' }}
aria-label="Apply tweaks and re-run simulation"
>
<RefreshCw className={`w-3 h-3 ${running ? 'animate-spin' : ''}`} />
{pendingChanges ? 'Apply & re-run' : 'No changes'}
</button>
</div>
</div>
<div className="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-2 gap-x-5 gap-y-3">
{inputs.map((inp) => {
const t = tweaks[inp.id] ?? IDENTITY_TWEAK;
const baseline = tweakSummary(inp.distribution);
const projectedCenter = baseline.center * t.meanMultiplier;
const projectedSpread = baseline.spread * t.spreadMultiplier;
const supportsSpread = distributionSupportsSpread(inp.distribution);
const isModified = modifiedIds.has(inp.id) || !isIdentityTweak(t);
return (
<div
key={inp.id}
className="rounded-md p-2.5"
style={{
background: 'rgba(0,0,0,0.25)',
border: `1px solid ${isModified ? `${accentColor}40` : 'rgba(255,255,255,0.06)'}`,
}}
>
<div className="flex items-center justify-between gap-2 mb-1.5">
<div className="flex items-center gap-1.5 min-w-0">
<span className="text-[11px] font-medium text-white truncate">{inp.label}</span>
{isModified && (
<span
className="px-1 py-0.5 rounded text-[8px] font-mono uppercase"
style={{ background: `${accentColor}30`, color: accentColor }}
>
modified
</span>
)}
</div>
<button
onClick={() => onResetInput(inp.id)}
className="text-[9px] text-white/40 hover:text-white/80 transition-colors flex-shrink-0"
aria-label={`Reset ${inp.label}`}
>
reset
</button>
</div>
<div
className="flex items-center justify-between text-[9px] font-mono mb-2"
style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.5)' }}
>
<span>
baseline {formatDriverValue(baseline.center, inp.format)}
{supportsSpread && baseline.spread > 0
? ` ± ${formatDriverValue(baseline.spread, inp.format)}`
: ''}
</span>
<span style={{ color: isModified ? accentColor : 'rgba(255,255,255,0.5)' }}>
→ {formatDriverValue(projectedCenter, inp.format)}
{supportsSpread && projectedSpread > 0
? ` ± ${formatDriverValue(projectedSpread, inp.format)}`
: ''}
</span>
</div>
<div className="space-y-1.5">
<div className="flex items-center gap-2">
<span
className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider w-12 flex-shrink-0"
style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.45)' }}
>
Mean
</span>
<input
type="range"
min={0.5}
max={1.5}
step={0.01}
value={t.meanMultiplier}
onChange={(e) => onChange(inp.id, { meanMultiplier: Number(e.target.value) })}
className="flex-1 accent-current"
style={{ accentColor }}
aria-label={`${inp.label} mean multiplier`}
/>
<span
className="text-[10px] font-mono w-12 text-right"
style={{
color:
Math.abs(t.meanMultiplier - 1) > 1e-9
? accentColor
: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.6)',
}}
>
{(t.meanMultiplier * 100).toFixed(0)}%
</span>
</div>
{supportsSpread && (
<div className="flex items-center gap-2">
<span
className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider w-12 flex-shrink-0"
style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.45)' }}
>
Spread
</span>
<input
type="range"
min={0}
max={3}
step={0.05}
value={t.spreadMultiplier}
onChange={(e) =>
onChange(inp.id, { spreadMultiplier: Number(e.target.value) })
}
className="flex-1"
style={{ accentColor }}
aria-label={`${inp.label} spread multiplier`}
/>
<span
className="text-[10px] font-mono w-12 text-right"
style={{
color:
Math.abs(t.spreadMultiplier - 1) > 1e-9
? accentColor
: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.6)',
}}
>
{t.spreadMultiplier.toFixed(2)}×
</span>
</div>
)}
</div>
</div>
);
})}
</div>
</div>
);
}