| import { |
| type DriverTweak, |
| distributionSupportsSpread, |
| IDENTITY_TWEAK, |
| isIdentityTweak, |
| tweakedInputs, |
| tweakSummary, |
| } from '@szl-holdings/monte-carlo'; |
| import { runScenarioInPool } from '@szl-holdings/monte-carlo/scenario-pool'; |
| import { |
| type MonteCarloResult, |
| runScenarioSimulation as runScenarioSimulationSync, |
| } from '@szl-holdings/monte-carlo/scenario-simulation'; |
| import type { InputVariable, ScenarioDefinition } from '@szl-holdings/monte-carlo/schema'; |
| import { DriverTweakPresets } from '@szl-holdings/shared-ui/driver-tweak-presets'; |
| import { LANE_ACCENT_HEX } from '@szl-holdings/shared-ui/lane-colors'; |
| import { type SavedRiskRun, SaveRiskRunButton } from '@szl-holdings/shared-ui/risk-evidence'; |
| import { motion } from 'framer-motion'; |
| import { |
| Activity, |
| BarChart3, |
| BookmarkPlus, |
| ChevronDown, |
| ChevronUp, |
| Layers, |
| RefreshCw, |
| RotateCcw, |
| Sliders, |
| X, |
| } from 'lucide-react'; |
| import { useEffect, useMemo, useRef, useState } from 'react'; |
| import RiskSimulationWorker from '@/workers/risk-simulation.worker?worker'; |
|
|
| const VESSELS_ACCENT = LANE_ACCENT_HEX.vessels.primaryLight; |
|
|
| export type { MonteCarloResult }; |
| export { runScenarioSimulationSync as runScenarioSimulation }; |
|
|
| interface SimulationProgressState { |
| completed: number; |
| total: number; |
| } |
|
|
| function formatValue(value: number, format?: string): string { |
| if (!Number.isFinite(value)) return '—'; |
| if (format === 'currency') { |
| const abs = Math.abs(value); |
| if (abs >= 1000) return `$${(value / 1000).toFixed(1)}K`; |
| return `$${value.toFixed(2)}`; |
| } |
| if (format === 'percentage') return `${value.toFixed(1)}%`; |
| if (format === 'years') return `${value.toFixed(1)}y`; |
| return value.toLocaleString(undefined, { maximumFractionDigits: 2 }); |
| } |
|
|
| function formatSignedValue(value: number, format?: string): string { |
| if (!Number.isFinite(value)) return '—'; |
| const sign = value > 0 ? '+' : value < 0 ? '−' : ''; |
| return `${sign}${formatValue(Math.abs(value), format)}`; |
| } |
|
|
| function formatPctDelta(curr: number, base: number): string { |
| if (!Number.isFinite(curr) || !Number.isFinite(base) || base === 0) return '—'; |
| const pct = ((curr - base) / Math.abs(base)) * 100; |
| const sign = pct > 0 ? '+' : pct < 0 ? '−' : ''; |
| return `${sign}${Math.abs(pct).toFixed(1)}%`; |
| } |
|
|
| interface BaselineSnapshot { |
| result: MonteCarloResult; |
| capturedAt: number; |
| tweakCount: number; |
| } |
|
|
| interface RiskSimulationPanelProps { |
| scenario: ScenarioDefinition; |
| iterations?: number; |
| accentColor?: string; |
| title?: string; |
| subtitle?: string; |
| evidenceDomain?: string; |
| } |
|
|
| export function RiskSimulationPanel({ |
| scenario, |
| iterations = 5000, |
| accentColor = VESSELS_ACCENT, |
| title, |
| subtitle, |
| evidenceDomain = 'vessels', |
| }: RiskSimulationPanelProps) { |
| const [result, setResult] = useState<MonteCarloResult | null>(null); |
| const [iterCount, setIterCount] = useState<number>(iterations); |
| const [running, setRunning] = useState<boolean>(true); |
| const [progress, setProgress] = useState<SimulationProgressState | null>(null); |
| const [runKey, setRunKey] = useState<number>(0); |
| const requestIdRef = useRef<number>(0); |
| const [tweaks, setTweaks] = useState<Record<string, DriverTweak>>({}); |
| const [showTweaks, setShowTweaks] = useState<boolean>(false); |
| const [appliedTweaks, setAppliedTweaks] = useState<Record<string, DriverTweak>>({}); |
| const [baseline, setBaseline] = useState<BaselineSnapshot | null>(null); |
|
|
| useEffect(() => { |
| setTweaks({}); |
| setAppliedTweaks({}); |
| setBaseline(null); |
| }, [scenario.id]); |
|
|
| const modifiedIds = useMemo( |
| () => new Set(Object.keys(appliedTweaks).filter((id) => !isIdentityTweak(appliedTweaks[id]))), |
| [appliedTweaks], |
| ); |
|
|
| const effectiveScenario = useMemo<ScenarioDefinition>(() => { |
| if (modifiedIds.size === 0) return scenario; |
| const inputs = tweakedInputs(scenario.inputs, appliedTweaks); |
| return { ...scenario, inputs }; |
| }, [scenario, appliedTweaks, modifiedIds]); |
|
|
| useEffect(() => { |
| setRunning(true); |
| setProgress(null); |
| const requestId = ++requestIdRef.current; |
| const tweaksActive = modifiedIds.size > 0; |
| let cancelled = false; |
|
|
| |
| |
| |
| if (!tweaksActive) { |
| let workerCreationFailed = false; |
| try { |
| |
| |
| new RiskSimulationWorker().terminate(); |
| } catch { |
| workerCreationFailed = true; |
| } |
| if (!workerCreationFailed) { |
| runScenarioInPool({ |
| scenario: effectiveScenario, |
| iterations: iterCount, |
| workerFactory: () => new RiskSimulationWorker(), |
| onProgress: (p) => { |
| if (cancelled || requestId !== requestIdRef.current) return; |
| setProgress({ completed: p.completed, total: p.total }); |
| }, |
| }) |
| .then((r) => { |
| if (cancelled || requestId !== requestIdRef.current) return; |
| setResult(r); |
| setProgress(null); |
| setRunning(false); |
| }) |
| .catch((_err) => { |
| if (cancelled || requestId !== requestIdRef.current) return; |
| try { |
| const r = runScenarioSimulationSync(effectiveScenario, iterCount); |
| if (requestId === requestIdRef.current) setResult(r); |
| } finally { |
| if (requestId === requestIdRef.current) { |
| setProgress(null); |
| setRunning(false); |
| } |
| } |
| }); |
| return () => { |
| cancelled = true; |
| }; |
| } |
| } |
|
|
| |
| |
| const handle = window.setTimeout(() => { |
| try { |
| const r = runScenarioSimulationSync(effectiveScenario, iterCount); |
| if (requestId === requestIdRef.current) setResult(r); |
| } finally { |
| if (requestId === requestIdRef.current) { |
| setProgress(null); |
| setRunning(false); |
| } |
| } |
| }, 30); |
| return () => { |
| cancelled = true; |
| window.clearTimeout(handle); |
| }; |
| }, [effectiveScenario, scenario.id, iterCount, runKey, modifiedIds]); |
|
|
| const pendingChanges = useMemo(() => { |
| const ids = new Set([...Object.keys(tweaks), ...Object.keys(appliedTweaks)]); |
| for (const id of ids) { |
| const a = tweaks[id] ?? IDENTITY_TWEAK; |
| const b = appliedTweaks[id] ?? IDENTITY_TWEAK; |
| if (Math.abs(a.meanMultiplier - b.meanMultiplier) > 1e-9) return true; |
| if (Math.abs(a.spreadMultiplier - b.spreadMultiplier) > 1e-9) return true; |
| } |
| return false; |
| }, [tweaks, appliedTweaks]); |
|
|
| const updateTweak = (id: string, patch: Partial<DriverTweak>) => { |
| setTweaks((prev) => { |
| const current = prev[id] ?? IDENTITY_TWEAK; |
| return { ...prev, [id]: { ...current, ...patch } }; |
| }); |
| }; |
| const resetInput = (id: string) => { |
| setTweaks((prev) => ({ ...prev, [id]: { ...IDENTITY_TWEAK } })); |
| }; |
| const resetAll = () => { |
| setTweaks({}); |
| setAppliedTweaks({}); |
| }; |
| const applyAndRun = () => { |
| setAppliedTweaks({ ...tweaks }); |
| setRunKey((k) => k + 1); |
| }; |
| const captureBaseline = () => { |
| if (!result) return; |
| setBaseline({ result, capturedAt: Date.now(), tweakCount: modifiedIds.size }); |
| }; |
| const clearBaseline = () => setBaseline(null); |
| const loadPresetTweaks = (preset: Record<string, DriverTweak>) => { |
| setTweaks(preset); |
| setAppliedTweaks(preset); |
| setRunKey((k) => k + 1); |
| }; |
|
|
| const primary = scenario.outputs[0]; |
| const primaryMetric = primary ? result?.metrics[primary.id] : undefined; |
|
|
| const metricRows = useMemo(() => { |
| if (!result) return []; |
| return scenario.outputs |
| .map((o) => ({ |
| id: o.id, |
| label: o.label, |
| format: o.format, |
| stat: result.metrics[o.id], |
| })) |
| .filter((r) => r.stat); |
| }, [result, scenario]); |
|
|
| const maxP95 = useMemo(() => { |
| const vals = metricRows.map((r) => Math.abs(r.stat?.p95 ?? 0)); |
| if (baseline) { |
| for (const o of scenario.outputs) { |
| const m = baseline.result.metrics[o.id]; |
| if (m) vals.push(Math.abs(m.p95)); |
| } |
| } |
| return Math.max(...vals, 0.0001); |
| }, [metricRows, baseline, scenario]); |
|
|
| const baselineCapturedLabel = useMemo(() => { |
| if (!baseline) return null; |
| const t = new Date(baseline.capturedAt); |
| const hh = String(t.getHours()).padStart(2, '0'); |
| const mm = String(t.getMinutes()).padStart(2, '0'); |
| const ss = String(t.getSeconds()).padStart(2, '0'); |
| const tweakDesc = |
| baseline.tweakCount === 0 |
| ? 'no tweaks' |
| : `${baseline.tweakCount} tweak${baseline.tweakCount === 1 ? '' : 's'}`; |
| return `Baseline captured ${hh}:${mm}:${ss} · ${tweakDesc}`; |
| }, [baseline]); |
|
|
| return ( |
| <div className="space-y-5"> |
| <div className="flex items-start justify-between gap-4 flex-wrap"> |
| <div> |
| <h2 className="text-base font-semibold text-white tracking-tight"> |
| {title ?? scenario.title} |
| </h2> |
| <p className="text-[12px] mt-1 max-w-2xl" style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.5)' }}> |
| {subtitle ?? scenario.description} |
| </p> |
| </div> |
| <div className="flex items-center gap-2"> |
| <select |
| value={iterCount} |
| onChange={(e) => setIterCount(Number(e.target.value))} |
| className="text-[11px] bg-transparent border rounded-md px-2 py-1.5 font-mono text-white/80" |
| style={{ borderColor: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.1)' }} |
| aria-label="Monte Carlo iterations" |
| > |
| <option value={1000}>1,000 iter</option> |
| <option value={5000}>5,000 iter</option> |
| <option value={10000}>10,000 iter</option> |
| <option value={25000}>25,000 iter</option> |
| <option value={50000}>50,000 iter</option> |
| <option value={100000}>100,000 iter</option> |
| </select> |
| <button |
| onClick={() => setShowTweaks((s) => !s)} |
| className="flex items-center gap-1.5 text-[11px] font-medium rounded-md px-2.5 py-1.5 transition-colors text-white/80 hover:text-white" |
| style={{ |
| background: modifiedIds.size > 0 ? `${accentColor}20` : 'rgba(255,255,255,0.04)', |
| border: `1px solid ${modifiedIds.size > 0 ? `${accentColor}40` : 'rgba(255,255,255,0.1)'}`, |
| }} |
| aria-label="Toggle driver tweaks" |
| aria-expanded={showTweaks} |
| > |
| <Sliders className="w-3 h-3" /> |
| Tweak Drivers |
| {modifiedIds.size > 0 && ( |
| <span |
| className="ml-1 px-1.5 py-0.5 rounded text-[9px] font-mono" |
| style={{ background: accentColor, color: '#000' }} |
| > |
| {modifiedIds.size} |
| </span> |
| )} |
| {showTweaks ? <ChevronUp className="w-3 h-3" /> : <ChevronDown className="w-3 h-3" />} |
| </button> |
| <button |
| onClick={() => setRunKey((k) => k + 1)} |
| disabled={running} |
| className="flex items-center gap-1.5 text-[11px] font-medium rounded-md px-2.5 py-1.5 transition-colors disabled:opacity-50" |
| style={{ |
| background: `${accentColor}15`, |
| color: accentColor, |
| border: `1px solid ${accentColor}30`, |
| }} |
| aria-label="Re-run simulation" |
| > |
| <RefreshCw className={`w-3 h-3 ${running ? 'animate-spin' : ''}`} /> |
| {running |
| ? progress |
| ? `Running ${Math.round((progress.completed / progress.total) * 100)}%` |
| : 'Running…' |
| : 'Re-run'} |
| </button> |
| {baseline ? ( |
| <button |
| onClick={clearBaseline} |
| className="flex items-center gap-1.5 text-[11px] font-medium rounded-md px-2.5 py-1.5 transition-colors text-white/80 hover:text-white" |
| style={{ |
| background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.04)', |
| border: '1px solid rgba(255,255,255,0.15)', |
| }} |
| aria-label="Clear saved baseline" |
| > |
| <X className="w-3 h-3" /> |
| Clear baseline |
| </button> |
| ) : ( |
| <button |
| onClick={captureBaseline} |
| disabled={running || !result} |
| className="flex items-center gap-1.5 text-[11px] font-medium rounded-md px-2.5 py-1.5 transition-colors text-white/80 hover:text-white disabled:opacity-40" |
| style={{ |
| background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.04)', |
| border: '1px solid rgba(255,255,255,0.15)', |
| }} |
| aria-label="Capture current run as baseline" |
| > |
| <BookmarkPlus className="w-3 h-3" /> |
| Capture baseline |
| </button> |
| )} |
| <SaveRiskRunButton |
| domain={evidenceDomain} |
| accentColor={accentColor} |
| disabled={running || !result} |
| build={() => { |
| if (!result) return null; |
| const payload: Omit<SavedRiskRun, 'evidenceId' | 'savedAt'> = { |
| scenarioId: scenario.id, |
| scenarioVersion: scenario.version, |
| scenarioTitle: title ?? scenario.title, |
| domain: scenario.domain, |
| iterations: result.iterations, |
| validIterations: result.validIterations, |
| durationMs: result.durationMs, |
| metrics: scenario.outputs |
| .map((o) => { |
| const m = result.metrics[o.id]; |
| if (!m) return null; |
| return { |
| id: o.id, |
| label: m.label, |
| format: m.format, |
| mean: m.mean, |
| p5: m.p5, |
| p25: m.p25, |
| p50: m.p50, |
| p75: m.p75, |
| p95: m.p95, |
| min: m.min, |
| max: m.max, |
| stdDev: m.stdDev, |
| }; |
| }) |
| .filter((x): x is NonNullable<typeof x> => x !== null), |
| sensitivities: result.inputSensitivity.map((s) => ({ |
| inputId: s.inputId, |
| label: s.label, |
| impact: s.impact, |
| })), |
| inputs: effectiveScenario.inputs.map((inp) => ({ |
| id: inp.id, |
| label: inp.label, |
| unit: inp.unit, |
| format: inp.format, |
| distribution: inp.distribution, |
| })), |
| }; |
| return payload; |
| }} |
| /> |
| </div> |
| </div> |
|
|
| {showTweaks && ( |
| <DriverTweaksPanel |
| inputs={scenario.inputs} |
| tweaks={tweaks} |
| accentColor={accentColor} |
| onChange={updateTweak} |
| onResetInput={resetInput} |
| onResetAll={resetAll} |
| onApply={applyAndRun} |
| pendingChanges={pendingChanges} |
| modifiedIds={modifiedIds} |
| running={running} |
| presetScopeKey={`${evidenceDomain}:${scenario.id}`} |
| onLoadPreset={loadPresetTweaks} |
| /> |
| )} |
|
|
| <div |
| className="rounded-xl border p-4 grid grid-cols-2 md:grid-cols-4 gap-4" |
| style={{ borderColor: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.08)', background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.02)' }} |
| > |
| <div> |
| <div |
| className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider mb-1" |
| style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }} |
| > |
| Iterations |
| </div> |
| <div className="text-sm font-mono text-white"> |
| {running && progress |
| ? `${progress.completed.toLocaleString()} / ${progress.total.toLocaleString()}` |
| : (result?.iterations.toLocaleString() ?? '—')} |
| </div> |
| {running && progress && ( |
| <div |
| className="mt-1.5 h-1 rounded-full overflow-hidden" |
| style={{ background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.06)' }} |
| role="progressbar" |
| aria-label="Simulation progress" |
| aria-valuemin={0} |
| aria-valuemax={progress.total} |
| aria-valuenow={progress.completed} |
| > |
| <div |
| className="h-full rounded-full transition-[width] duration-200 ease-out" |
| style={{ |
| width: `${Math.min(100, (progress.completed / progress.total) * 100)}%`, |
| background: accentColor, |
| }} |
| /> |
| </div> |
| )} |
| </div> |
| <div> |
| <div |
| className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider mb-1" |
| style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }} |
| > |
| Valid Runs |
| </div> |
| <div className="text-sm font-mono text-white"> |
| {result?.validIterations.toLocaleString() ?? '—'} |
| </div> |
| </div> |
| <div> |
| <div |
| className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider mb-1" |
| style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }} |
| > |
| Compute |
| </div> |
| <div className="text-sm font-mono text-white"> |
| {result ? `${result.durationMs.toFixed(0)}ms` : '—'} |
| </div> |
| </div> |
| <div> |
| <div |
| className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider mb-1" |
| style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }} |
| > |
| Domain |
| </div> |
| <div className="text-sm font-mono uppercase" style={{ color: accentColor }}> |
| {result?.domain ?? scenario.domain} |
| </div> |
| </div> |
| </div> |
|
|
| <div |
| className="rounded-xl border p-5" |
| style={{ borderColor: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.08)', background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.02)' }} |
| > |
| <div className="flex items-center gap-2 mb-4"> |
| <BarChart3 className="w-3.5 h-3.5" style={{ color: accentColor }} /> |
| <h3 |
| className="text-[10px] font-semibold uppercase tracking-wider" |
| style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.55)' }} |
| > |
| Output Distributions — {result?.scenarioId ?? scenario.id} |
| </h3> |
| </div> |
| {baselineCapturedLabel && ( |
| <div |
| className="flex items-center justify-between gap-3 mb-3 px-2.5 py-1.5 rounded-md text-[10px] font-mono" |
| style={{ |
| background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.04)', |
| border: '1px solid rgba(255,255,255,0.08)', |
| color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.6)', |
| }} |
| > |
| <span className="flex items-center gap-2"> |
| <span |
| className="inline-block w-2 h-2 rounded-sm" |
| style={{ background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.35)' }} |
| /> |
| {baselineCapturedLabel} |
| </span> |
| <span className="flex items-center gap-2" style={{ color: accentColor }}> |
| <span |
| className="inline-block w-2 h-2 rounded-sm" |
| style={{ background: accentColor }} |
| /> |
| current run |
| </span> |
| </div> |
| )} |
| <div className="space-y-4"> |
| {metricRows.map(({ id, label, format, stat }, rowIdx) => { |
| if (!stat) return null; |
| const baseStat = baseline?.result.metrics[id]; |
| const p95 = Math.abs(stat.p95); |
| const p5 = Math.abs(stat.p5); |
| const mean = Math.abs(stat.mean); |
| const p95Pct = maxP95 > 0 ? Math.min(100, (p95 / maxP95) * 100) : 0; |
| const p5Pct = maxP95 > 0 ? Math.min(100, (p5 / maxP95) * 100) : 0; |
| const iqrPct = Math.max(0, p95Pct - p5Pct); |
| const meanPct = maxP95 > 0 ? Math.min(100, (mean / maxP95) * 100) : 0; |
| const delay = rowIdx * 0.1; |
| const meanDelta = baseStat ? stat.mean - baseStat.mean : 0; |
| return ( |
| <div key={id}> |
| <div className="flex items-center justify-between mb-1.5"> |
| <span className="text-[12px] font-semibold text-white">{label}</span> |
| <span className="text-sm font-bold text-white flex items-baseline gap-2"> |
| {formatValue(stat.mean, format)}{' '} |
| <span |
| className="text-[10px] font-normal" |
| style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }} |
| > |
| (mean) |
| </span> |
| {baseStat && ( |
| <span |
| className="text-[10px] font-mono px-1.5 py-0.5 rounded" |
| style={{ |
| color: accentColor, |
| background: `${accentColor}15`, |
| border: `1px solid ${accentColor}30`, |
| }} |
| title={`Baseline mean ${formatValue(baseStat.mean, format)}`} |
| > |
| Δ {formatSignedValue(meanDelta, format)} ( |
| {formatPctDelta(stat.mean, baseStat.mean)}) |
| </span> |
| )} |
| </span> |
| </div> |
| <div |
| className="relative h-6 rounded-md overflow-hidden" |
| style={{ background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.05)' }} |
| > |
| <motion.div |
| className="absolute top-0 left-0 h-full rounded-md" |
| style={{ background: `${accentColor}33` }} |
| initial={{ width: 0 }} |
| animate={{ width: `${p95Pct}%` }} |
| transition={{ duration: 0.7, delay, ease: 'easeOut' }} |
| /> |
| <motion.div |
| className="absolute top-1 bottom-1 rounded-sm" |
| style={{ background: `${accentColor}66`, left: `${p5Pct}%` }} |
| initial={{ width: 0 }} |
| animate={{ width: `${iqrPct}%` }} |
| transition={{ duration: 0.7, delay: delay + 0.1, ease: 'easeOut' }} |
| /> |
| <motion.div |
| className="absolute top-0 bottom-0 w-0.5 bg-white" |
| initial={{ left: 0, opacity: 0 }} |
| animate={{ left: `${meanPct}%`, opacity: 1 }} |
| transition={{ duration: 0.7, delay: delay + 0.2, ease: 'easeOut' }} |
| /> |
| </div> |
| {baseStat && |
| (() => { |
| const bP95 = Math.abs(baseStat.p95); |
| const bP5 = Math.abs(baseStat.p5); |
| const bMean = Math.abs(baseStat.mean); |
| const bP95Pct = maxP95 > 0 ? Math.min(100, (bP95 / maxP95) * 100) : 0; |
| const bP5Pct = maxP95 > 0 ? Math.min(100, (bP5 / maxP95) * 100) : 0; |
| const bIqrPct = Math.max(0, bP95Pct - bP5Pct); |
| const bMeanPct = maxP95 > 0 ? Math.min(100, (bMean / maxP95) * 100) : 0; |
| return ( |
| <div |
| className="relative h-3 rounded-md overflow-hidden mt-1" |
| style={{ background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.03)' }} |
| > |
| <div |
| className="absolute top-0 left-0 h-full rounded-md" |
| style={{ background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.10)', width: `${bP95Pct}%` }} |
| /> |
| <div |
| className="absolute top-0.5 bottom-0.5 rounded-sm" |
| style={{ |
| background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.25)', |
| left: `${bP5Pct}%`, |
| width: `${bIqrPct}%`, |
| }} |
| /> |
| <div |
| className="absolute top-0 bottom-0 w-0.5" |
| style={{ background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.6)', left: `${bMeanPct}%` }} |
| /> |
| </div> |
| ); |
| })()} |
| <div |
| className="flex justify-between text-[9px] mt-1 font-mono" |
| style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }} |
| > |
| <span>P5: {formatValue(stat.p5, format)}</span> |
| <span>P25: {formatValue(stat.p25, format)}</span> |
| <span>P50: {formatValue(stat.p50, format)}</span> |
| <span>P75: {formatValue(stat.p75, format)}</span> |
| <span>P95: {formatValue(stat.p95, format)}</span> |
| </div> |
| {baseStat && ( |
| <div |
| className="flex justify-between text-[9px] mt-0.5 font-mono" |
| style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.3)' }} |
| > |
| <span>base P5: {formatValue(baseStat.p5, format)}</span> |
| <span>P25: {formatValue(baseStat.p25, format)}</span> |
| <span>P50: {formatValue(baseStat.p50, format)}</span> |
| <span>P75: {formatValue(baseStat.p75, format)}</span> |
| <span>P95: {formatValue(baseStat.p95, format)}</span> |
| </div> |
| )} |
| </div> |
| ); |
| })} |
| </div> |
| </div> |
|
|
| <div className="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-3 gap-3"> |
| <div |
| className="md:col-span-2 rounded-xl border p-4" |
| style={{ borderColor: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.08)', background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.02)' }} |
| > |
| <div className="flex items-center gap-2 mb-3"> |
| <Layers className="w-3.5 h-3.5" style={{ color: accentColor }} /> |
| <h4 |
| className="text-[10px] font-semibold uppercase tracking-wider" |
| style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.55)' }} |
| > |
| Input Sensitivity{primary ? ` (Correlation to ${primary.label})` : ''} |
| </h4> |
| </div> |
| <div className="space-y-2"> |
| {result?.inputSensitivity.slice(0, 8).map((item, i) => ( |
| <div key={item.inputId} className="flex items-center gap-2"> |
| <span |
| className="text-[11px] w-44 truncate flex-shrink-0 flex items-center gap-1.5" |
| style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.6)' }} |
| > |
| {item.label} |
| {modifiedIds.has(item.inputId) && ( |
| <span |
| className="px-1 py-0.5 rounded text-[8px] font-mono uppercase tracking-wider" |
| style={{ background: `${accentColor}30`, color: accentColor }} |
| > |
| tweaked |
| </span> |
| )} |
| </span> |
| <div |
| className="flex-1 h-3 rounded-full overflow-hidden" |
| style={{ background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.05)' }} |
| > |
| <motion.div |
| className="h-full rounded-full" |
| style={{ background: accentColor, opacity: 0.7 }} |
| initial={{ width: 0 }} |
| animate={{ width: `${Math.min(100, item.impact * 100)}%` }} |
| transition={{ duration: 0.6, delay: i * 0.05, ease: 'easeOut' }} |
| /> |
| </div> |
| <span className="text-[10px] font-mono w-10 text-right text-white"> |
| {(item.impact * 100).toFixed(0)}% |
| </span> |
| </div> |
| )) ?? null} |
| {!result && ( |
| <p className="text-[11px]" style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.3)' }}> |
| Sampling driver impact… |
| </p> |
| )} |
| </div> |
| </div> |
| <div |
| className="rounded-xl border p-4 flex flex-col gap-3" |
| style={{ borderColor: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.08)', background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.02)' }} |
| > |
| <div className="flex items-center gap-2 mb-1"> |
| <Activity className="w-3.5 h-3.5" style={{ color: accentColor }} /> |
| <h4 |
| className="text-[10px] font-semibold uppercase tracking-wider" |
| style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.55)' }} |
| > |
| Risk Bands |
| </h4> |
| </div> |
| {primary && |
| primaryMetric && |
| (() => { |
| const basePrimary = baseline?.result.metrics[primary.id]; |
| const renderDelta = (curr: number, base: number | undefined) => { |
| if (base === undefined || !Number.isFinite(base)) return null; |
| return ( |
| <span |
| className="ml-2 text-[9px] font-mono px-1 py-0.5 rounded" |
| style={{ |
| color: accentColor, |
| background: `${accentColor}15`, |
| border: `1px solid ${accentColor}30`, |
| }} |
| > |
| Δ {formatSignedValue(curr - base, primary.format)} ({formatPctDelta(curr, base)} |
| ) |
| </span> |
| ); |
| }; |
| const baseLine = (text: string) => ( |
| <div |
| className="text-[10px] font-mono mt-0.5" |
| style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }} |
| > |
| base · {text} |
| </div> |
| ); |
| return ( |
| <> |
| <div> |
| <div |
| className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider mb-1" |
| style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }} |
| > |
| Standard Deviation |
| </div> |
| <div className="text-sm font-bold text-white flex items-center flex-wrap"> |
| {formatValue(primaryMetric.stdDev, primary.format)} |
| {renderDelta(primaryMetric.stdDev, basePrimary?.stdDev)} |
| </div> |
| {basePrimary && baseLine(formatValue(basePrimary.stdDev, primary.format))} |
| </div> |
| <div> |
| <div |
| className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider mb-1" |
| style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }} |
| > |
| 90% Confidence Band |
| </div> |
| <div className="text-sm font-semibold text-white flex items-center flex-wrap"> |
| {formatValue(primaryMetric.p5, primary.format)} –{' '} |
| {formatValue(primaryMetric.p95, primary.format)} |
| {renderDelta( |
| primaryMetric.p95 - primaryMetric.p5, |
| basePrimary ? basePrimary.p95 - basePrimary.p5 : undefined, |
| )} |
| </div> |
| {basePrimary && |
| baseLine( |
| `${formatValue(basePrimary.p5, primary.format)} – ${formatValue(basePrimary.p95, primary.format)}`, |
| )} |
| </div> |
| <div> |
| <div |
| className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider mb-1" |
| style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }} |
| > |
| 50% Interquartile |
| </div> |
| <div className="text-sm font-semibold text-white flex items-center flex-wrap"> |
| {formatValue(primaryMetric.p25, primary.format)} –{' '} |
| {formatValue(primaryMetric.p75, primary.format)} |
| {renderDelta( |
| primaryMetric.p75 - primaryMetric.p25, |
| basePrimary ? basePrimary.p75 - basePrimary.p25 : undefined, |
| )} |
| </div> |
| {basePrimary && |
| baseLine( |
| `${formatValue(basePrimary.p25, primary.format)} – ${formatValue(basePrimary.p75, primary.format)}`, |
| )} |
| </div> |
| <div> |
| <div |
| className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider mb-1" |
| style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }} |
| > |
| Range |
| </div> |
| <div className="text-sm font-mono text-white"> |
| {formatValue(primaryMetric.min, primary.format)} →{' '} |
| {formatValue(primaryMetric.max, primary.format)} |
| </div> |
| {basePrimary && |
| baseLine( |
| `${formatValue(basePrimary.min, primary.format)} → ${formatValue(basePrimary.max, primary.format)}`, |
| )} |
| </div> |
| <div> |
| <div |
| className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider mb-1" |
| style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.4)' }} |
| > |
| Mean |
| </div> |
| <div className="text-sm font-bold text-white flex items-center flex-wrap"> |
| {formatValue(primaryMetric.mean, primary.format)} |
| {renderDelta(primaryMetric.mean, basePrimary?.mean)} |
| </div> |
| {basePrimary && baseLine(formatValue(basePrimary.mean, primary.format))} |
| </div> |
| </> |
| ); |
| })()} |
| </div> |
| </div> |
| </div> |
| ); |
| } |
|
|
| interface DriverTweaksPanelProps { |
| inputs: InputVariable[]; |
| tweaks: Record<string, DriverTweak>; |
| accentColor: string; |
| onChange: (id: string, patch: Partial<DriverTweak>) => void; |
| onResetInput: (id: string) => void; |
| onResetAll: () => void; |
| onApply: () => void; |
| pendingChanges: boolean; |
| modifiedIds: Set<string>; |
| running: boolean; |
| presetScopeKey: string; |
| onLoadPreset: (tweaks: Record<string, DriverTweak>) => void; |
| } |
|
|
| function formatDriverValue(value: number, format?: string): string { |
| if (!Number.isFinite(value)) return '—'; |
| if (format === 'currency') { |
| const abs = Math.abs(value); |
| if (abs >= 1_000_000) return `$${(value / 1_000_000).toFixed(2)}M`; |
| if (abs >= 1000) return `$${(value / 1000).toFixed(1)}K`; |
| return `$${value.toFixed(2)}`; |
| } |
| if (format === 'percentage') return `${(value * 100).toFixed(1)}%`; |
| if (format === 'years') return `${value.toFixed(1)}y`; |
| return value.toLocaleString(undefined, { maximumFractionDigits: 3 }); |
| } |
|
|
| function DriverTweaksPanel({ |
| inputs, |
| tweaks, |
| accentColor, |
| onChange, |
| onResetInput, |
| onResetAll, |
| onApply, |
| pendingChanges, |
| modifiedIds, |
| running, |
| presetScopeKey, |
| onLoadPreset, |
| }: DriverTweaksPanelProps) { |
| return ( |
| <div |
| className="rounded-xl border p-4" |
| style={{ borderColor: `${accentColor}30`, background: `${accentColor}08` }} |
| > |
| <div className="flex items-center justify-between gap-2 mb-3 flex-wrap"> |
| <div className="flex items-center gap-2"> |
| <Sliders className="w-3.5 h-3.5" style={{ color: accentColor }} /> |
| <h4 |
| className="text-[10px] font-semibold uppercase tracking-wider" |
| style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.7)' }} |
| > |
| Driver Assumptions — override before re-running |
| </h4> |
| </div> |
| <div className="flex items-center gap-2 flex-wrap"> |
| <DriverTweakPresets |
| scopeKey={presetScopeKey} |
| accentColor={accentColor} |
| currentTweaks={tweaks} |
| onLoad={onLoadPreset} |
| /> |
| <button |
| onClick={onResetAll} |
| className="flex items-center gap-1 text-[10px] font-medium rounded-md px-2 py-1 transition-colors text-white/70 hover:text-white" |
| style={{ |
| background: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.05)', |
| border: '1px solid rgba(255,255,255,0.1)', |
| }} |
| aria-label="Reset all drivers to baseline" |
| > |
| <RotateCcw className="w-3 h-3" /> |
| Reset to baseline |
| </button> |
| <button |
| onClick={onApply} |
| disabled={running || !pendingChanges} |
| className="flex items-center gap-1 text-[10px] font-semibold rounded-md px-2.5 py-1 transition-colors disabled:opacity-40" |
| style={{ background: accentColor, color: '#000' }} |
| aria-label="Apply tweaks and re-run simulation" |
| > |
| <RefreshCw className={`w-3 h-3 ${running ? 'animate-spin' : ''}`} /> |
| {pendingChanges ? 'Apply & re-run' : 'No changes'} |
| </button> |
| </div> |
| </div> |
|
|
| <div className="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-2 gap-x-5 gap-y-3"> |
| {inputs.map((inp) => { |
| const t = tweaks[inp.id] ?? IDENTITY_TWEAK; |
| const baseline = tweakSummary(inp.distribution); |
| const projectedCenter = baseline.center * t.meanMultiplier; |
| const projectedSpread = baseline.spread * t.spreadMultiplier; |
| const supportsSpread = distributionSupportsSpread(inp.distribution); |
| const isModified = modifiedIds.has(inp.id) || !isIdentityTweak(t); |
| return ( |
| <div |
| key={inp.id} |
| className="rounded-md p-2.5" |
| style={{ |
| background: 'rgba(0,0,0,0.25)', |
| border: `1px solid ${isModified ? `${accentColor}40` : 'rgba(255,255,255,0.06)'}`, |
| }} |
| > |
| <div className="flex items-center justify-between gap-2 mb-1.5"> |
| <div className="flex items-center gap-1.5 min-w-0"> |
| <span className="text-[11px] font-medium text-white truncate">{inp.label}</span> |
| {isModified && ( |
| <span |
| className="px-1 py-0.5 rounded text-[8px] font-mono uppercase" |
| style={{ background: `${accentColor}30`, color: accentColor }} |
| > |
| modified |
| </span> |
| )} |
| </div> |
| <button |
| onClick={() => onResetInput(inp.id)} |
| className="text-[9px] text-white/40 hover:text-white/80 transition-colors flex-shrink-0" |
| aria-label={`Reset ${inp.label}`} |
| > |
| reset |
| </button> |
| </div> |
| <div |
| className="flex items-center justify-between text-[9px] font-mono mb-2" |
| style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.5)' }} |
| > |
| <span> |
| baseline {formatDriverValue(baseline.center, inp.format)} |
| {supportsSpread && baseline.spread > 0 |
| ? ` ± ${formatDriverValue(baseline.spread, inp.format)}` |
| : ''} |
| </span> |
| <span style={{ color: isModified ? accentColor : 'rgba(255,255,255,0.5)' }}> |
| → {formatDriverValue(projectedCenter, inp.format)} |
| {supportsSpread && projectedSpread > 0 |
| ? ` ± ${formatDriverValue(projectedSpread, inp.format)}` |
| : ''} |
| </span> |
| </div> |
| <div className="space-y-1.5"> |
| <div className="flex items-center gap-2"> |
| <span |
| className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider w-12 flex-shrink-0" |
| style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.45)' }} |
| > |
| Mean |
| </span> |
| <input |
| type="range" |
| min={0.5} |
| max={1.5} |
| step={0.01} |
| value={t.meanMultiplier} |
| onChange={(e) => onChange(inp.id, { meanMultiplier: Number(e.target.value) })} |
| className="flex-1 accent-current" |
| style={{ accentColor }} |
| aria-label={`${inp.label} mean multiplier`} |
| /> |
| <span |
| className="text-[10px] font-mono w-12 text-right" |
| style={{ |
| color: |
| Math.abs(t.meanMultiplier - 1) > 1e-9 |
| ? accentColor |
| : 'rgba(255,255,255,0.6)', |
| }} |
| > |
| {(t.meanMultiplier * 100).toFixed(0)}% |
| </span> |
| </div> |
| {supportsSpread && ( |
| <div className="flex items-center gap-2"> |
| <span |
| className="text-[9px] uppercase tracking-wider w-12 flex-shrink-0" |
| style={{ color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.45)' }} |
| > |
| Spread |
| </span> |
| <input |
| type="range" |
| min={0} |
| max={3} |
| step={0.05} |
| value={t.spreadMultiplier} |
| onChange={(e) => |
| onChange(inp.id, { spreadMultiplier: Number(e.target.value) }) |
| } |
| className="flex-1" |
| style={{ accentColor }} |
| aria-label={`${inp.label} spread multiplier`} |
| /> |
| <span |
| className="text-[10px] font-mono w-12 text-right" |
| style={{ |
| color: |
| Math.abs(t.spreadMultiplier - 1) > 1e-9 |
| ? accentColor |
| : 'rgba(255,255,255,0.6)', |
| }} |
| > |
| {t.spreadMultiplier.toFixed(2)}× |
| </span> |
| </div> |
| )} |
| </div> |
| </div> |
| ); |
| })} |
| </div> |
| </div> |
| ); |
| } |
|
|