docs: retire backup-pathway reading (post-revision honest update; recovery does not survive revised nothing-removed standard)
Browse files
README.md
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@@ -56,9 +56,14 @@ added by the **additive** patch in `patches/` (the official `id`/`pred` fields a
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logic are untouched; patched reruns reproduce the official aggregates exactly, 12/12 checked).
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This is what makes the chance-null analysis possible: for answers the single-pass model got
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wrong and iteration *changed*, a memoryless re-roll lands on gold ~25% of the time (5 options).
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Recovery at ~25% = re-rolled noise; recovery far above =
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this data — ~25% in the three healthy-write seeds, 37–45% in the
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which
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Recompute it yourself:
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logic are untouched; patched reruns reproduce the official aggregates exactly, 12/12 checked).
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This is what makes the chance-null analysis possible: for answers the single-pass model got
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wrong and iteration *changed*, a memoryless re-roll lands on gold ~25% of the time (5 options).
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Recovery at ~25% = re-rolled noise; recovery far above = signal. Both verdicts occur in
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this data **under the pre-revision item set** — ~25% in the three healthy-write seeds, 37–45% in the
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collapsed-write seed — which was the evidence behind the model card's original "iteration as a backup
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pathway" note.
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**Post-revision update (2026-07-09):** under the leaderboard's revised standard (drop "nothing"-gold
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items) the 37–45% cells fall to 23.4–24.7% ≈ null; the model card note has been updated accordingly and
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the backup-pathway reading retired. The per-item files here let you reproduce both readings.
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Recompute it yourself:
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