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id
string
question
string
category
string
url
string
market_prob
float64
oracle_prob
float64
edge
float64
confidence
float64
signal
string
model
string
backtest_acc
float64
auc
float64
modelability
int64
volume
int64
liquidity
int64
end_date
timestamp[us]
captured_at
string
4813637
Minnesota vs. Washington
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-minnst-wash-2026-09-26
0.865
0.8358
-0.0292
0.7628
LONG NO
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
71
1,044,602
49,736
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4641064
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
WORLD
https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-september-30-20260917
0.865
0.8818
0.0168
0.7934
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
69
1,516,126
147,518
2026-09-30T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4813401
Georgia Tech vs. Stanford
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-gtech-stan-2026-09-26
0.075
0.1256
0.0506
0.734
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
68
511,407
54,690
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
2774057
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-september-30-20260702154339440
0.0035
0.01
0.0065
0.8905
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
57
11,212,880
644,455
2026-10-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
2772194
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-shakhtar-donetsk-win-the-2026-27-uefa-champions-league-championship-20260701202025578
0.0015
0.01
0.0085
0.8784
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
55
22,869,634
429,522
2027-05-30T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3664753
Panthers vs. Browns
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-car-cle-2026-09-27
0.545
0.5657
0.0207
0.8364
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
82
478,859
1,167,828
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4813309
Spread: Fresno State (-12.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-rice-frest-2026-09-26-spread-home-12pt5
0.9995
0.9775
-0.022
0.8328
LONG NO
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
66
303,463
143,016
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4550222
Spread: Serbia (-2.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/unl-ser-nld-2026-09-27-spread-home-2pt5
0.0065
0.033
0.0265
0.7692
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
62
270,000
13,460
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
703257
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027-789-924-249
0.0365
0.0318
-0.0047
0.8946
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
58
39,854,179
909,975
2027-01-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3701367
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-kc-mia-2026-09-27-spread-away-10pt5
0.475
0.4988
0.0238
0.8112
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
87
451,496
639,110
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4529093
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-09-26?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mex-san-pac-2026-09-26-pac
0.0005
0.0653
0.0648
0.7961
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
67
234,681
205,934
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
2170255
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by-september-30-999-671-939
0.0085
0.01
0.0015
0.8226
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
54
3,946,101
75,288
2026-10-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4813457
Air Force vs. Nevada
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-airf-nevada-2026-09-26
0.896
0.8937
-0.0023
0.7683
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
68
233,347
47,672
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
679060
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
POLITICS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-christine-lagarde-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election
0.0045
0.01
0.0055
0.8575
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
53
325,185
227,760
2027-04-18T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4946895
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/atp-brooksb-basilas-2026-09-26
0.42
0.4439
0.0239
0.692
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
77
225,002
60,115
2026-10-04T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4813287
Rice vs. Fresno State
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-rice-frest-2026-09-26
0.0005
0.0114
0.0109
0.8654
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
68
221,337
397,287
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
665374
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
WORLD
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027
0.155
0.1566
0.0016
0.8362
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
63
69,744,740
747,778
2027-01-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3701323
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ari-sf-2026-09-27-spread-home-7pt5
0.485
0.5048
0.0198
0.8112
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
81
233,486
568,857
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4855332
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-lac-buf-2026-09-27-spread-home-7pt5
0.485
0.5017
0.0167
0.8166
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
78
500,684
641,693
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4855337
Spread: Bills (-14.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-lac-buf-2026-09-27-spread-home-14pt5
0.275
0.2805
0.0055
0.7923
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
64
207,583
151,597
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
2737255
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-september-30-20260629143335077
0.0015
0.01
0.0085
0.856
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
54
2,680,471
258,382
2026-10-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4529090
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-09-26?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mex-san-pac-2026-09-26-san
0.9995
0.9615
-0.038
0.8315
LONG NO
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
68
200,084
317,550
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4549739
Will Greece win on 2026-09-27?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/unl-ger-grc-2026-09-27-grc
0.105
0.129
0.024
0.7923
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
72
199,671
333,233
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3701363
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-kc-mia-2026-09-27-spread-away-3pt5
0.745
0.7489
0.0039
0.7953
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
77
193,421
170,964
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4581768
Will France win on 2026-09-28?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/unl-bel-fra-2026-09-28-fra
0.515
0.5366
0.0216
0.7724
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
82
191,689
141,392
2026-09-28T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4856120
Spread: Raiders (-3.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-lv-no-2026-09-27-spread-away-3pt5
0.255
0.2595
0.0045
0.7895
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
63
173,697
143,471
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4856419
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-bal-dal-2026-09-27-spread-home-3pt5
0.255
0.2595
0.0045
0.7863
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
63
306,988
126,911
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
2176270
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
0.205
0.2067
0.0017
0.8194
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
68
13,310,076
436,459
2027-01-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
2589811
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
ECON
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-october-2026-meeting-20260617190324030
0.0045
0.01
0.0055
0.8663
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
54
2,698,635
390,681
2026-10-29T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
562831
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
POLITICS
https://polymarket.com/event/2026-balance-of-power-r-senate-r-house-537
0.075
0.0716
-0.0034
0.8326
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
58
4,197,175
820,759
2026-11-03T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
2589810
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
ECON
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-the-october-2026-meeting-20260617190324029
0.0025
0.01
0.0075
0.8771
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
55
2,250,818
664,372
2026-10-29T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3664743
Chargers vs. Bills
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-lac-buf-2026-09-27
0.245
0.252
0.007
0.8403
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
71
188,586
1,339,292
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3664775
Patriots vs. Jaguars
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ne-jax-2026-09-27
0.415
0.4284
0.0134
0.834
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
79
240,036
1,366,732
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
629040
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
POLITICS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-nithya-raman-win-the-2026-los-angeles-mayoral-election-876
0.5835
0.5857
0.0022
0.7961
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
84
2,158,505
89,805
2026-12-31T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3701397
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-nyj-det-2026-09-27-spread-home-14pt5
0.255
0.2576
0.0026
0.7915
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
65
147,533
156,940
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3128887
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-september-30-2026-20260727171615364-722-649-646-561-213-644-414-831
0.038
0.0359
-0.0021
0.8294
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
56
4,836,810
103,821
2026-10-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3701357
Spread: Giants (-7.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ten-nyg-2026-09-27-spread-home-7pt5
0.285
0.3017
0.0167
0.7784
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
78
139,021
169,527
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4549724
Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/unl-ser-nld-2026-09-27-nld
0.685
0.6893
0.0043
0.7925
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
80
143,750
182,506
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4855869
Spread: 49ers (-8.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ari-sf-2026-09-27-spread-home-8pt5
0.455
0.4713
0.0163
0.7832
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
74
238,888
208,282
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4550091
Spread: Greece (-2.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/unl-ger-grc-2026-09-27-spread-away-2pt5
0.009
0.0334
0.0244
0.7418
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
60
131,239
12,509
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
2589814
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
ECON
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-the-october-2026-meeting-20260617190324033
0.0085
0.01
0.0015
0.8698
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
54
2,307,204
444,590
2026-10-29T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4853589
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ten-nyg-2026-09-27-spread-home-2pt5
0.495
0.5122
0.0172
0.7953
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
77
129,348
372,626
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
1357376
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-chicago-bears-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship
0.02
0.0164
-0.0036
0.8142
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
54
1,737,296
111,744
2027-04-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
2771336
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-manchester-united-win-the-2026-27-english-premier-league-epl-championship-20260701200428762
0.012
0.01
-0.002
0.8672
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
54
1,024,891
557,493
2027-05-30T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3695205
Eagles vs. Bears
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-phi-chi-2026-09-29
0.635
0.6456
0.0106
0.7891
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
82
202,412
234,059
2026-09-29T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4813513
Georgia Tech vs. Stanford: O/U 48.5
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-gtech-stan-2026-09-26-total-48pt5
0.925
0.907
-0.018
0.2613
LONG NO
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
53
121,238
8,916
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3664825
Vikings vs. Buccaneers
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-min-tb-2026-09-27
0.525
0.5385
0.0135
0.8137
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
80
180,632
721,898
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4550220
Spread: Serbia (-1.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/unl-ser-nld-2026-09-27-spread-home-1pt5
0.0365
0.0616
0.0251
0.7561
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
62
104,984
20,311
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4902920
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs White Dragons (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/lol-kcb-wd-2026-09-26
0.505
0.5625
0.0575
0.6867
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
84
107,629
24,890
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4641065
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
WORLD
https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-october-31-20260917
0.495
0.5127
0.0177
0.754
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
79
666,418
76,347
2026-10-31T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4550157
Spread: Kosovo (-2.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/unl-aut-kvx-2026-09-27-spread-away-2pt5
0.0115
0.0362
0.0247
0.751
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
60
103,533
10,066
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4852776
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-cin-pit-2026-09-27-spread-home-3pt5
0.275
0.2805
0.0055
0.7805
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
63
155,682
137,658
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4813693
Spread: Washington (-11.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-minnst-wash-2026-09-26-spread-home-11pt5
0.0305
0.0707
0.0402
0.363
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
50
99,422
1,436
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3701412
Panthers vs. Browns: O/U 42.5
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-car-cle-2026-09-27-total-42pt5
0.495
0.4995
0.0045
0.7995
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
88
171,124
296,660
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3701346
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-cin-pit-2026-09-27-spread-away-3pt5
0.465
0.4711
0.0061
0.8139
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
85
363,620
574,146
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3701327
Spread: 49ers (-14.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ari-sf-2026-09-27-spread-home-14pt5
0.295
0.2986
0.0036
0.7838
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
72
98,472
156,255
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3701394
Spread: Lions (-7.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-nyj-det-2026-09-27-spread-home-7pt5
0.425
0.4404
0.0154
0.7762
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
74
181,754
185,830
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
601819
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
POLITICS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-luiz-incio-lula-da-silva-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
0.435
0.4478
0.0128
0.7912
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
75
12,390,615
308,635
2026-10-04T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4855047
Spread: Panthers (-5.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-car-cle-2026-09-27-spread-away-5pt5
0.345
0.3554
0.0104
0.7345
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
64
84,719
28,837
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
2771335
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-manchester-city-win-the-2026-27-english-premier-league-epl-championship-20260701200428761
0.21
0.2258
0.0158
0.7279
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
74
2,801,007
314,190
2027-05-30T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4549931
Exact Score: Israel 0 - 0 Republic of Ireland?
WORLD
https://polymarket.com/event/unl-isr-ire-2026-09-27-exact-score-0-0
0.095
0.1176
0.0226
0.7354
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
66
84,529
49,155
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3664783
Chiefs vs. Dolphins
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-kc-mia-2026-09-27
0.845
0.8636
0.0186
0.8179
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
63
531,816
1,211,640
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3701407
Spread: Panthers (-4.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-car-cle-2026-09-27-spread-away-4pt5
0.375
0.3859
0.0109
0.7705
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
68
82,304
128,791
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4852138
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-sea-was-2026-09-27-spread-away-7pt5
0.525
0.5394
0.0144
0.7802
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
75
513,056
220,545
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
1357393
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-new-orleans-saints-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship
0.0115
0.01
-0.0015
0.8325
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
51
2,138,007
122,829
2027-04-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3701406
Spread: Panthers (-3.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-car-cle-2026-09-27-spread-away-3pt5
0.395
0.4039
0.0089
0.7766
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
74
87,889
154,452
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
608545
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-lamine-yamal-win-the-2026-ballon-dor
0.275
0.2722
-0.0028
0.7516
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
70
2,708,894
117,159
2027-01-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
1357372
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-atlanta-falcons-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship
0.008
0.01
0.002
0.8316
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
52
1,656,994
157,616
2027-04-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
2772176
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-barcelona-win-the-2026-27-uefa-champions-league-championship-20260701202025560
0.235
0.236
0.001
0.8281
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
67
1,294,881
928,777
2027-05-30T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4854521
Spread: Colts (-3.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-hou-ind-2026-09-27-spread-home-3pt5
0.335
0.3422
0.0072
0.7738
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
66
159,056
132,883
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3701393
Spread: Lions (-6.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-nyj-det-2026-09-27-spread-home-6pt5
0.505
0.5255
0.0205
0.7989
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
81
583,008
641,496
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4549940
Exact Score: Israel 3 - 0 Republic of Ireland?
WORLD
https://polymarket.com/event/unl-isr-ire-2026-09-27-exact-score-3-0
0.023
0.0476
0.0246
0.7868
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
64
73,608
66,064
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
561244
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
POLITICS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-donald-trump-jr-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
0.0045
0.01
0.0055
0.8787
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
55
13,886,289
994,872
2029-01-21T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4798880
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27?
CRYPTO
https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-dip-to-82k-september-21-27-2026
0.0335
0.0332
-0.0003
0.7999
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
53
136,884
33,737
2026-09-28T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3128888
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-october-31-2026-20260727171711632-895-372-622-413-171-454-592-696
0.265
0.2746
0.0096
0.7674
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
67
2,323,837
119,614
2026-11-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3664769
Texans vs. Colts
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-hou-ind-2026-09-27
0.525
0.5451
0.0201
0.8155
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
80
191,978
1,293,061
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3701385
Spread: Texans (-2.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-hou-ind-2026-09-27-spread-away-2pt5
0.475
0.4925
0.0175
0.7888
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
77
164,753
394,685
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4761633
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 27?
CRYPTO
https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-86k-on-september-27-2026
0.0175
0.0125
-0.005
0.7942
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
49
95,689
33,246
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4855590
Spread: Vikings (-7.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-min-tb-2026-09-27-spread-away-7pt5
0.265
0.2705
0.0055
0.7689
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
62
66,743
109,103
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4549742
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/unl-isr-ire-2026-09-27-ire
0.365
0.3842
0.0192
0.7549
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
76
70,631
107,299
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4990808
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/dota2-lgd-navi-2026-09-27
0.395
0.4062
0.0112
0.759
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
67
65,943
91,968
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3215074
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-september-30-20260730004207224
0.0025
0.01
0.0075
0.8302
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
51
2,658,896
159,916
2026-10-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4548691
Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mex-san-pac-2026-09-26-total-1pt5
0.0005
0.0761
0.0756
0.7664
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
65
65,422
191,675
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
562803
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
POLITICS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-control-the-house-after-the-2026-midterm-elections
0.075
0.0716
-0.0034
0.8171
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
56
5,289,534
722,087
2027-01-05T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4856766
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-la-den-2026-09-28-spread-home-3pt5
0.315
0.3223
0.0073
0.7917
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
66
155,269
304,168
2026-09-28T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4761629
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27?
CRYPTO
https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-82k-on-september-27-2026
0.9925
0.99
-0.0025
0.7962
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
49
116,009
33,399
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4529084
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-09-26?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mex-tig-pue-2026-09-26-pue
0.0005
0.0221
0.0216
0.8166
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
65
65,285
166,318
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
562828
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
POLITICS
https://polymarket.com/event/2026-balance-of-power-d-senate-d-house-949
0.615
0.6313
0.0163
0.7865
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
71
3,635,303
355,934
2026-11-03T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
608565
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-lionel-messi-win-the-2026-ballon-dor
0.0355
0.034
-0.0015
0.8375
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
56
3,101,540
174,320
2027-01-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3701400
Jets vs. Lions: O/U 47.5
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-nyj-det-2026-09-27-total-47pt5
0.545
0.5576
0.0126
0.765
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
75
155,676
130,095
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4550088
Spread: Germany (-1.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/unl-ger-grc-2026-09-27-spread-home-1pt5
0.435
0.4534
0.0184
0.7588
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
76
63,515
127,843
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
2589813
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
ECON
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-october-2026-meeting-20260617190324032
0.645
0.6561
0.0111
0.8096
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
78
3,705,933
760,400
2026-10-29T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4761627
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 27?
CRYPTO
https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-80k-on-september-27-2026
0.997
0.99
-0.007
0.7861
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
47
79,229
35,354
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
629030
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
POLITICS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-karen-bass-win-the-2026-los-angeles-mayoral-election
0.425
0.4526
0.0276
0.7434
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
83
1,256,764
101,166
2026-12-31T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
4519722
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/val-100t1-t1-2026-09-27
0.685
0.6964
0.0114
0.772
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
72
72,539
167,467
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
2696747
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-december-31-2026-191
0.115
0.1108
-0.0042
0.7798
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
57
3,169,786
172,522
2026-06-15T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3664790
Titans vs. Giants
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ten-nyg-2026-09-27
0.445
0.4483
0.0033
0.8206
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
87
110,906
892,531
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
1357400
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-tampa-bay-buccaneers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship
0.0065
0.01
0.0035
0.8347
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
51
4,367,262
179,469
2027-04-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
1357401
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-tennessee-titans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship
0.0035
0.01
0.0065
0.8568
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
53
1,758,549
499,270
2027-04-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z
3664817
Cardinals vs. 49ers
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ari-sf-2026-09-27
0.235
0.2344
-0.0006
0.8137
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
68
207,566
616,975
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z

THE ORACLE — Polymarket predictions

Live predictions for Polymarket markets, produced by THE ORACLE — an autonomous agent funded by $ORACLE pump.fun creator fees. Each row is a baseline-model forecast over live orderbook signals (momentum, microstructure, liquidity).

  • predictions.json / predictions.csv — 100 markets, refreshed each agent cycle.
  • Columns: question, category, market_prob, oracle_prob, edge, confidence, signal, model, backtest_acc, auc, modelability, volume, liquidity, end_date, captured_at.

Not financial advice.

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