id string | question string | category string | url string | market_prob float64 | oracle_prob float64 | edge float64 | confidence float64 | signal string | model string | backtest_acc float64 | auc float64 | modelability int64 | volume int64 | liquidity int64 | end_date timestamp[s] | captured_at string |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4811603 | Oregon vs. USC | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-ore-usc-2026-09-26 | 0.605 | 0.6225 | 0.0175 | 0.8023 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 72 | 1,020,784 | 158,903 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4811283 | Texas A&M vs. LSU | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-txam-lsu-2026-09-26 | 0.225 | 0.2302 | 0.0052 | 0.7993 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 64 | 746,034 | 112,225 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4641064 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | WORLD | https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-september-30-20260917 | 0.895 | 0.9024 | 0.0074 | 0.8014 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 71 | 1,487,669 | 141,615 | 2026-09-30T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
2774057 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-september-30-20260702154339440 | 0.0045 | 0.01 | 0.0055 | 0.8955 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 57 | 11,204,533 | 669,665 | 2026-10-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4812241 | Missouri vs. Mississippi State | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-missr-mspst-2026-09-26 | 0.155 | 0.1741 | 0.0191 | 0.7844 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 73 | 447,435 | 126,020 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
2772194 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-shakhtar-donetsk-win-the-2026-27-uefa-champions-league-championship-20260701202025578 | 0.0015 | 0.01 | 0.0085 | 0.8793 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 55 | 22,791,209 | 442,734 | 2027-05-30T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4811346 | Spread: LSU (-8.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-txam-lsu-2026-09-26-spread-home-8pt5 | 0.445 | 0.463 | 0.018 | 0.7535 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 74 | 425,226 | 37,613 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4809811 | Louisiana vs. Charlotte | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-loulaf-charlt-2026-09-26 | 0.955 | 0.9574 | 0.0024 | 0.8009 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 68 | 375,548 | 137,147 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4812397 | Tulsa vs. Arkansas | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-tulsa-ark-2026-09-26 | 0.09 | 0.1086 | 0.0186 | 0.7183 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 68 | 279,972 | 124,758 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
703257 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027-789-924-249 | 0.0355 | 0.0308 | -0.0047 | 0.8944 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 58 | 39,851,507 | 885,135 | 2027-01-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4510280 | UFC Fight Night: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli (Bantamweight, Main Card) | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-iliuul-mehosm-2026-09-26 | 0.9995 | 0.9615 | -0.038 | 0.8122 | LONG NO | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 66 | 276,048 | 121,714 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
665374 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | WORLD | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027 | 0.155 | 0.156 | 0.001 | 0.8407 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 63 | 69,744,283 | 777,198 | 2027-01-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4811659 | Spread: Oregon (-3.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-ore-usc-2026-09-26-spread-away-3pt5 | 0.46 | 0.476 | 0.016 | 0.6942 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 71 | 268,545 | 43,375 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4757377 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-tb-phi-2026-09-26 | 0.82 | 0.8068 | -0.0132 | 0.5607 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 66 | 243,521 | 23,392 | 2026-10-03T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
2170255 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by-september-30-999-671-939 | 0.009 | 0.01 | 0.001 | 0.8353 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 55 | 3,945,971 | 96,825 | 2026-10-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4880576 | Will Mexico win on 2026-09-26? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fif-col-mex-2026-09-26-mex | 0.38 | 0.3899 | 0.0099 | 0.6639 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 63 | 247,939 | 10,651 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4809401 | James Madison vs. Old Dominion | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-jmad-old-2026-09-26 | 0.99 | 0.9803 | -0.0097 | 0.7369 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 63 | 227,859 | 47,955 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
679060 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-christine-lagarde-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election | 0.0045 | 0.01 | 0.0055 | 0.8498 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 53 | 325,150 | 166,840 | 2027-04-18T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4527634 | Will Nashville SC win on 2026-09-26? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mls-nas-tor-2026-09-26-nas | 0.865 | 0.8543 | -0.0107 | 0.7524 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 69 | 227,027 | 36,081 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4757338 | Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-col-cws-2026-09-26 | 0.76 | 0.7399 | -0.0201 | 0.2918 | LONG NO | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 64 | 211,922 | 23,250 | 2026-10-03T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
3701323 | Spread: 49ers (-7.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ari-sf-2026-09-27-spread-home-7pt5 | 0.495 | 0.5167 | 0.0217 | 0.7887 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 82 | 217,368 | 256,517 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
2737255 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-september-30-20260629143335077 | 0.0015 | 0.01 | 0.0085 | 0.8579 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 54 | 2,679,341 | 279,359 | 2026-10-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4856419 | Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-bal-dal-2026-09-27-spread-home-3pt5 | 0.255 | 0.2616 | 0.0066 | 0.7944 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 65 | 178,516 | 179,772 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4757382 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-ari-sd-2026-09-26 | 0.295 | 0.321 | 0.026 | 0.762 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 78 | 237,809 | 105,905 | 2026-10-04T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4811734 | Oregon vs. USC: O/U 60.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-ore-usc-2026-09-26-total-60pt5 | 0.365 | 0.3944 | 0.0294 | 0.2151 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 64 | 191,045 | 1,594 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
2176270 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31 | 0.205 | 0.2057 | 0.0007 | 0.8212 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 67 | 13,309,685 | 428,564 | 2027-01-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4757323 | Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-tex-min-2026-09-26 | 0.9995 | 0.9792 | -0.0203 | 0.8177 | LONG NO | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 65 | 181,181 | 93,834 | 2026-10-03T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
3128887 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-september-30-2026-20260727171615364-722-649-646-561-213-644-414-831 | 0.034 | 0.0345 | 0.0005 | 0.8388 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 60 | 4,820,231 | 127,306 | 2026-10-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4581768 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/unl-bel-fra-2026-09-28-fra | 0.505 | 0.5294 | 0.0244 | 0.7727 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 84 | 189,891 | 161,468 | 2026-09-28T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4811446 | Texas A&M vs. LSU: O/U 52.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-txam-lsu-2026-09-26-total-52pt5 | 0.14 | 0.1772 | 0.0372 | 0.4045 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 61 | 176,704 | 17,152 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4757351 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-stl-mil-2026-09-26 | 0.205 | 0.2232 | 0.0182 | 0.756 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 71 | 167,014 | 65,794 | 2026-10-03T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
562831 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/2026-balance-of-power-r-senate-r-house-537 | 0.075 | 0.0722 | -0.0028 | 0.8336 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 59 | 4,196,856 | 832,697 | 2026-11-03T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4527573 | Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-09-26? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mls-atl-nyc-2026-09-26-atl | 0.075 | 0.1274 | 0.0524 | 0.7092 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 65 | 162,346 | 39,807 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
2589810 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | ECON | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-the-october-2026-meeting-20260617190324029 | 0.0025 | 0.01 | 0.0075 | 0.8738 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 55 | 2,249,422 | 584,783 | 2026-10-29T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4809819 | Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-okst-wvir-2026-09-26 | 0.295 | 0.3199 | 0.0249 | 0.7652 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 78 | 157,209 | 130,222 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
2589811 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | ECON | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-october-2026-meeting-20260617190324030 | 0.0045 | 0.01 | 0.0055 | 0.8656 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 54 | 2,688,393 | 391,894 | 2026-10-29T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4811812 | Troy vs. Utah State | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-troy-utahst-2026-09-26 | 0.565 | 0.5672 | 0.0022 | 0.7859 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 83 | 144,291 | 124,819 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4854521 | Spread: Colts (-3.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-hou-ind-2026-09-27-spread-home-3pt5 | 0.335 | 0.3444 | 0.0094 | 0.7903 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 68 | 143,497 | 200,285 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4757390 | Houston Astros vs. Athletics | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-hou-oak-2026-09-26 | 0.595 | 0.6146 | 0.0196 | 0.7996 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 74 | 142,854 | 443,942 | 2026-10-04T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4855869 | Spread: 49ers (-8.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ari-sf-2026-09-27-spread-home-8pt5 | 0.455 | 0.4713 | 0.0163 | 0.7964 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 76 | 238,632 | 344,311 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
629040 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-nithya-raman-win-the-2026-los-angeles-mayoral-election-876 | 0.5785 | 0.5815 | 0.003 | 0.8405 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 85 | 2,150,035 | 134,474 | 2026-12-31T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4810276 | Kansas State vs. Cincinnati: O/U 55.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-kanst-cin-2026-09-26-total-55pt5 | 0.42 | 0.4412 | 0.0212 | 0.6807 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 73 | 137,360 | 44,062 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
559703 | Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-chris-van-hollen-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination | 0.0015 | 0.01 | 0.0085 | 0.8781 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 55 | 399,427 | 785,254 | 2028-11-07T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4527646 | Will San Diego FC win on 2026-09-26? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mls-aus-sdg-2026-09-26-sdg | 0.335 | 0.3444 | 0.0094 | 0.7477 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 64 | 136,315 | 36,541 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
2589814 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | ECON | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-the-october-2026-meeting-20260617190324033 | 0.0085 | 0.01 | 0.0015 | 0.871 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 54 | 2,307,092 | 445,319 | 2026-10-29T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
601819 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-luiz-incio-lula-da-silva-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election | 0.435 | 0.445 | 0.01 | 0.8025 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 76 | 12,385,958 | 357,784 | 2026-10-04T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4856766 | Spread: Broncos (-3.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-la-den-2026-09-28-spread-home-3pt5 | 0.315 | 0.3239 | 0.0089 | 0.7878 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 67 | 125,138 | 191,502 | 2026-09-28T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4757343 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-cle-kc-2026-09-26 | 0.965 | 0.9479 | -0.0171 | 0.7375 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 63 | 123,961 | 34,716 | 2026-10-03T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4852776 | Spread: Steelers (-3.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-cin-pit-2026-09-27-spread-home-3pt5 | 0.275 | 0.281 | 0.006 | 0.7881 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 64 | 123,742 | 173,454 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4527577 | Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-09-26? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mls-clt-chi-2026-09-26-clt | 0.115 | 0.1682 | 0.0532 | 0.5688 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 63 | 124,832 | 21,063 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4812035 | Spread: Arizona (-10.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-arz-washst-2026-09-26-spread-away-10pt5 | 0.305 | 0.3337 | 0.0287 | 0.2545 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 64 | 125,248 | 9,793 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4992599 | Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-dendel-wc1-2026-09-26-game2 | 0.0005 | 0.01 | 0.0095 | 0.8384 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 52 | 119,348 | 173,889 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4811340 | Spread: LSU (-7.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-txam-lsu-2026-09-26-spread-home-7pt5 | 0.49 | 0.5075 | 0.0175 | 0.6766 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 71 | 149,100 | 34,607 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4527610 | Will FC Dallas win on 2026-09-26? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mls-dal-laf-2026-09-26-dal | 0.42 | 0.4302 | 0.0102 | 0.6773 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 69 | 114,713 | 27,217 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
3664783 | Chiefs vs. Dolphins | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-kc-mia-2026-09-27 | 0.845 | 0.8636 | 0.0186 | 0.8258 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 64 | 481,120 | 1,413,708 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4855332 | Spread: Bills (-7.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-lac-buf-2026-09-27-spread-home-7pt5 | 0.485 | 0.5017 | 0.0167 | 0.8028 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 77 | 398,429 | 512,946 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
1357376 | Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-chicago-bears-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | 0.0205 | 0.0168 | -0.0037 | 0.8059 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 54 | 1,737,129 | 101,981 | 2027-04-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4641065 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | WORLD | https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-october-31-20260917 | 0.495 | 0.5112 | 0.0162 | 0.7544 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 79 | 658,189 | 71,154 | 2026-10-31T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4955033 | Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-col-cws-2026-09-26-spread-home-1pt5 | 0.07 | 0.1105 | 0.0405 | 0.2528 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 53 | 108,222 | 6,979 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4810743 | South Carolina vs. Alabama | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-sc-ala-2026-09-26 | 0.006 | 0.0176 | 0.0116 | 0.7758 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 63 | 109,087 | 53,515 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
3695205 | Eagles vs. Bears | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-phi-chi-2026-09-29 | 0.635 | 0.6469 | 0.0119 | 0.7822 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 82 | 201,868 | 187,204 | 2026-09-29T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4852138 | Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-sea-was-2026-09-27-spread-away-7pt5 | 0.515 | 0.5304 | 0.0154 | 0.7955 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 76 | 474,076 | 370,562 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4992600 | Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Wildcard (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Playoffs | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-dendel-wc1-2026-09-26 | 0.6455 | 0.6635 | 0.018 | 0.7715 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 64 | 106,078 | 17,419 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4902920 | LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs White Dragons (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/lol-kcb-wd-2026-09-26 | 0.505 | 0.5621 | 0.0571 | 0.6872 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 84 | 106,798 | 25,229 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4810759 | Spread: Alabama (-12.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-sc-ala-2026-09-26-spread-home-12pt5 | 0.735 | 0.7303 | -0.0047 | 0.1506 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 52 | 103,140 | 58 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4675853 | CD Guadalajara vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 6.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mex-gua-que-2026-09-26-total-6pt5 | 0.3285 | 0.3205 | -0.008 | 0.263 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 64 | 101,787 | 6,578 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4527576 | Will New York City FC win on 2026-09-26? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mls-atl-nyc-2026-09-26-nyc | 0.685 | 0.6577 | -0.0273 | 0.7143 | LONG NO | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 75 | 95,767 | 23,662 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4757400 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-laa-sea-2026-09-26 | 0.405 | 0.4124 | 0.0074 | 0.8052 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 75 | 93,997 | 425,514 | 2026-10-04T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
1357372 | Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-atlanta-falcons-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | 0.0065 | 0.01 | 0.0035 | 0.8401 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 52 | 1,646,158 | 167,949 | 2027-04-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4810091 | Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-kenest-arkst-2026-09-26 | 0.625 | 0.6125 | -0.0125 | 0.7698 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 81 | 91,759 | 125,755 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4960879 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-ari-sd-2026-09-26-total-7pt5 | 0.58 | 0.5896 | 0.0096 | 0.6625 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 70 | 89,224 | 16,695 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4812909 | Spread: SMU (-30.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-msrst-smu-2026-09-26-spread-home-30pt5 | 0.505 | 0.5302 | 0.0252 | 0.7066 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 76 | 87,514 | 16,594 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4812946 | UMass vs. Sacramento State: O/U 48.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-umass-sacst-2026-09-26-total-48pt5 | 0.325 | 0.3503 | 0.0253 | 0.2614 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 65 | 89,701 | 13,570 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4529059 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-09-26? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mex-caz-tol-2026-09-26-tol | 0.0005 | 0.057 | 0.0565 | 0.7934 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 66 | 88,371 | 226,639 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4549931 | Exact Score: Israel 0 - 0 Republic of Ireland? | WORLD | https://polymarket.com/event/unl-isr-ire-2026-09-27-exact-score-0-0 | 0.095 | 0.1176 | 0.0226 | 0.7418 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 66 | 84,527 | 63,658 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4812343 | Missouri vs. Mississippi State: O/U 58.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-missr-mspst-2026-09-26-total-58pt5 | 0.355 | 0.3817 | 0.0267 | 0.4774 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 72 | 91,474 | 28,078 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4530472 | Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mls-nas-tor-2026-09-26-spread-home-1pt5 | 0.66 | 0.6411 | -0.0189 | 0.6383 | LONG NO | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 73 | 83,815 | 9,416 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4812895 | Spread: UMass (-4.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-umass-sacst-2026-09-26-spread-away-4pt5 | 0.54 | 0.5519 | 0.0119 | 0.5524 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 68 | 98,687 | 28,426 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4812892 | Spread: UMass (-5.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-umass-sacst-2026-09-26-spread-away-5pt5 | 0.52 | 0.5316 | 0.0116 | 0.5529 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 69 | 81,979 | 29,009 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
3128888 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-october-31-2026-20260727171711632-895-372-622-413-171-454-592-696 | 0.27 | 0.2783 | 0.0083 | 0.7128 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 66 | 2,320,087 | 127,964 | 2026-11-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4527641 | Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-26? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mls-hou-skc-2026-09-26-hou | 0.575 | 0.6047 | 0.0297 | 0.5946 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 76 | 80,950 | 29,058 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
1357393 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-new-orleans-saints-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | 0.012 | 0.01 | -0.002 | 0.8256 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 51 | 2,136,007 | 122,075 | 2027-04-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
2771335 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-manchester-city-win-the-2026-27-english-premier-league-epl-championship-20260701200428761 | 0.205 | 0.2214 | 0.0164 | 0.7868 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 75 | 2,792,581 | 321,214 | 2027-05-30T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z |
4809905 | Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia: O/U 61.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-okst-wvir-2026-09-26-total-61pt5 | 0.495 | 0.5083 | 0.0133 | 0.6162 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 70 | 78,093 | 36,298 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z |
4174612 | Trump out as President by September 30? | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/dtrump-out-as-president-by-september-30 | 0.0015 | 0.01 | 0.0085 | 0.8368 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 52 | 1,917,753 | 198,972 | 2026-10-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z |
601826 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-flvio-bolsonaro-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election | 0.5725 | 0.5894 | 0.0169 | 0.8513 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 74 | 11,942,996 | 504,964 | 2026-10-04T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z |
2772176 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-barcelona-win-the-2026-27-uefa-champions-league-championship-20260701202025560 | 0.235 | 0.236 | 0.001 | 0.8266 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 67 | 1,294,838 | 872,808 | 2027-05-30T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z |
4955136 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-stl-mil-2026-09-26-total-7pt5 | 0.37 | 0.3953 | 0.0253 | 0.5223 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 71 | 77,192 | 15,026 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z |
601827 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-ronaldo-caiado-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election | 0.0005 | 0.01 | 0.0095 | 0.8785 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 55 | 7,785,601 | 1,139,525 | 2026-10-04T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z |
4946895 | Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/atp-brooksb-basilas-2026-09-26 | 0.525 | 0.5416 | 0.0166 | 0.7816 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 73 | 78,441 | 268,472 | 2026-10-04T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z |
4549940 | Exact Score: Israel 3 - 0 Republic of Ireland? | WORLD | https://polymarket.com/event/unl-isr-ire-2026-09-27-exact-score-3-0 | 0.0245 | 0.0489 | 0.0244 | 0.7842 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 64 | 73,608 | 75,314 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z |
561244 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-donald-trump-jr-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election | 0.0045 | 0.01 | 0.0055 | 0.8788 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 55 | 13,886,289 | 1,001,524 | 2029-01-21T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z |
4510169 | UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-rao-rau2-2026-09-26 | 0.425 | 0.4332 | 0.0082 | 0.7811 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 75 | 156,164 | 189,409 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z |
4812530 | Spread: Florida Atlantic (-11.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-flatl-lamon-2026-09-26-spread-away-11pt5 | 0.73 | 0.7248 | -0.0052 | 0.2517 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 60 | 74,637 | 4,447 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z |
608545 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-lamine-yamal-win-the-2026-ballon-dor | 0.2705 | 0.2681 | -0.0024 | 0.7679 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 69 | 2,702,437 | 111,803 | 2027-01-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z |
562828 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/2026-balance-of-power-d-senate-d-house-949 | 0.615 | 0.6324 | 0.0174 | 0.7884 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 72 | 3,633,626 | 374,008 | 2026-11-03T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z |
4524951 | Will Chile win on 2026-09-26? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fif-can-chl-2026-09-26-chl | 0.005 | 0.0484 | 0.0434 | 0.7134 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 61 | 72,275 | 51,368 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z |
4809903 | Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia: O/U 59.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-okst-wvir-2026-09-26-total-59pt5 | 0.555 | 0.5698 | 0.0148 | 0.6113 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 67 | 71,735 | 33,367 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z |
2696747 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-december-31-2026-191 | 0.115 | 0.1118 | -0.0032 | 0.784 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 57 | 3,169,747 | 178,504 | 2026-06-15T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z |
4811840 | Spread: Utah State (-2.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-troy-utahst-2026-09-26-spread-home-2pt5 | 0.445 | 0.4685 | 0.0235 | 0.3565 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 67 | 71,968 | 26,137 | 2026-09-26T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z |
THE ORACLE — Polymarket predictions
Live predictions for Polymarket markets, produced by THE ORACLE — an autonomous agent funded by $ORACLE pump.fun creator fees. Each row is a baseline-model forecast over live orderbook signals (momentum, microstructure, liquidity).
predictions.json/predictions.csv— 100 markets, refreshed each agent cycle.- Columns: question, category, market_prob, oracle_prob, edge, confidence, signal, model, backtest_acc, auc, modelability, volume, liquidity, end_date, captured_at.
Not financial advice.
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