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id string | question string | category string | url string | market_prob float64 | oracle_prob float64 | edge float64 | confidence float64 | signal string | model string | backtest_acc float64 | auc float64 | modelability int64 | volume int64 | liquidity int64 | end_date timestamp[us] | captured_at string |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4813637 | Minnesota vs. Washington | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-minnst-wash-2026-09-26 | 0.865 | 0.8358 | -0.0292 | 0.7628 | LONG NO | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 71 | 1,044,602 | 49,736 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4641064 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | WORLD | https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-september-30-20260917 | 0.865 | 0.8818 | 0.0168 | 0.7934 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 69 | 1,516,126 | 147,518 | 2026-09-30T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4813401 | Georgia Tech vs. Stanford | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-gtech-stan-2026-09-26 | 0.075 | 0.1256 | 0.0506 | 0.734 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 68 | 511,407 | 54,690 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
2774057 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-september-30-20260702154339440 | 0.0035 | 0.01 | 0.0065 | 0.8905 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 57 | 11,212,880 | 644,455 | 2026-10-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
2772194 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-shakhtar-donetsk-win-the-2026-27-uefa-champions-league-championship-20260701202025578 | 0.0015 | 0.01 | 0.0085 | 0.8784 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 55 | 22,869,634 | 429,522 | 2027-05-30T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3664753 | Panthers vs. Browns | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-car-cle-2026-09-27 | 0.545 | 0.5657 | 0.0207 | 0.8364 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 82 | 478,859 | 1,167,828 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4813309 | Spread: Fresno State (-12.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-rice-frest-2026-09-26-spread-home-12pt5 | 0.9995 | 0.9775 | -0.022 | 0.8328 | LONG NO | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 66 | 303,463 | 143,016 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4550222 | Spread: Serbia (-2.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/unl-ser-nld-2026-09-27-spread-home-2pt5 | 0.0065 | 0.033 | 0.0265 | 0.7692 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 62 | 270,000 | 13,460 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
703257 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027-789-924-249 | 0.0365 | 0.0318 | -0.0047 | 0.8946 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 58 | 39,854,179 | 909,975 | 2027-01-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3701367 | Spread: Chiefs (-10.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-kc-mia-2026-09-27-spread-away-10pt5 | 0.475 | 0.4988 | 0.0238 | 0.8112 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 87 | 451,496 | 639,110 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4529093 | Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-09-26? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mex-san-pac-2026-09-26-pac | 0.0005 | 0.0653 | 0.0648 | 0.7961 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 67 | 234,681 | 205,934 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
2170255 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by-september-30-999-671-939 | 0.0085 | 0.01 | 0.0015 | 0.8226 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 54 | 3,946,101 | 75,288 | 2026-10-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4813457 | Air Force vs. Nevada | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-airf-nevada-2026-09-26 | 0.896 | 0.8937 | -0.0023 | 0.7683 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 68 | 233,347 | 47,672 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
679060 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-christine-lagarde-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election | 0.0045 | 0.01 | 0.0055 | 0.8575 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 53 | 325,185 | 227,760 | 2027-04-18T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4946895 | Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/atp-brooksb-basilas-2026-09-26 | 0.42 | 0.4439 | 0.0239 | 0.692 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 77 | 225,002 | 60,115 | 2026-10-04T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4813287 | Rice vs. Fresno State | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-rice-frest-2026-09-26 | 0.0005 | 0.0114 | 0.0109 | 0.8654 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 68 | 221,337 | 397,287 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
665374 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | WORLD | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027 | 0.155 | 0.1566 | 0.0016 | 0.8362 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 63 | 69,744,740 | 747,778 | 2027-01-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3701323 | Spread: 49ers (-7.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ari-sf-2026-09-27-spread-home-7pt5 | 0.485 | 0.5048 | 0.0198 | 0.8112 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 81 | 233,486 | 568,857 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4855332 | Spread: Bills (-7.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-lac-buf-2026-09-27-spread-home-7pt5 | 0.485 | 0.5017 | 0.0167 | 0.8166 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 78 | 500,684 | 641,693 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4855337 | Spread: Bills (-14.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-lac-buf-2026-09-27-spread-home-14pt5 | 0.275 | 0.2805 | 0.0055 | 0.7923 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 64 | 207,583 | 151,597 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
2737255 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-september-30-20260629143335077 | 0.0015 | 0.01 | 0.0085 | 0.856 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 54 | 2,680,471 | 258,382 | 2026-10-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4529090 | Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-09-26? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mex-san-pac-2026-09-26-san | 0.9995 | 0.9615 | -0.038 | 0.8315 | LONG NO | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 68 | 200,084 | 317,550 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4549739 | Will Greece win on 2026-09-27? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/unl-ger-grc-2026-09-27-grc | 0.105 | 0.129 | 0.024 | 0.7923 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 72 | 199,671 | 333,233 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3701363 | Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-kc-mia-2026-09-27-spread-away-3pt5 | 0.745 | 0.7489 | 0.0039 | 0.7953 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 77 | 193,421 | 170,964 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4581768 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/unl-bel-fra-2026-09-28-fra | 0.515 | 0.5366 | 0.0216 | 0.7724 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 82 | 191,689 | 141,392 | 2026-09-28T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4856120 | Spread: Raiders (-3.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-lv-no-2026-09-27-spread-away-3pt5 | 0.255 | 0.2595 | 0.0045 | 0.7895 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 63 | 173,697 | 143,471 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4856419 | Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-bal-dal-2026-09-27-spread-home-3pt5 | 0.255 | 0.2595 | 0.0045 | 0.7863 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 63 | 306,988 | 126,911 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
2176270 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31 | 0.205 | 0.2067 | 0.0017 | 0.8194 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 68 | 13,310,076 | 436,459 | 2027-01-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
2589811 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | ECON | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-october-2026-meeting-20260617190324030 | 0.0045 | 0.01 | 0.0055 | 0.8663 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 54 | 2,698,635 | 390,681 | 2026-10-29T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
562831 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/2026-balance-of-power-r-senate-r-house-537 | 0.075 | 0.0716 | -0.0034 | 0.8326 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 58 | 4,197,175 | 820,759 | 2026-11-03T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
2589810 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | ECON | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-the-october-2026-meeting-20260617190324029 | 0.0025 | 0.01 | 0.0075 | 0.8771 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 55 | 2,250,818 | 664,372 | 2026-10-29T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3664743 | Chargers vs. Bills | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-lac-buf-2026-09-27 | 0.245 | 0.252 | 0.007 | 0.8403 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 71 | 188,586 | 1,339,292 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3664775 | Patriots vs. Jaguars | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ne-jax-2026-09-27 | 0.415 | 0.4284 | 0.0134 | 0.834 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 79 | 240,036 | 1,366,732 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
629040 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-nithya-raman-win-the-2026-los-angeles-mayoral-election-876 | 0.5835 | 0.5857 | 0.0022 | 0.7961 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 84 | 2,158,505 | 89,805 | 2026-12-31T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3701397 | Spread: Lions (-14.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-nyj-det-2026-09-27-spread-home-14pt5 | 0.255 | 0.2576 | 0.0026 | 0.7915 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 65 | 147,533 | 156,940 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3128887 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-september-30-2026-20260727171615364-722-649-646-561-213-644-414-831 | 0.038 | 0.0359 | -0.0021 | 0.8294 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 56 | 4,836,810 | 103,821 | 2026-10-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3701357 | Spread: Giants (-7.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ten-nyg-2026-09-27-spread-home-7pt5 | 0.285 | 0.3017 | 0.0167 | 0.7784 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 78 | 139,021 | 169,527 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4549724 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/unl-ser-nld-2026-09-27-nld | 0.685 | 0.6893 | 0.0043 | 0.7925 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 80 | 143,750 | 182,506 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4855869 | Spread: 49ers (-8.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ari-sf-2026-09-27-spread-home-8pt5 | 0.455 | 0.4713 | 0.0163 | 0.7832 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 74 | 238,888 | 208,282 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4550091 | Spread: Greece (-2.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/unl-ger-grc-2026-09-27-spread-away-2pt5 | 0.009 | 0.0334 | 0.0244 | 0.7418 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 60 | 131,239 | 12,509 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
2589814 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | ECON | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-the-october-2026-meeting-20260617190324033 | 0.0085 | 0.01 | 0.0015 | 0.8698 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 54 | 2,307,204 | 444,590 | 2026-10-29T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4853589 | Spread: Giants (-2.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ten-nyg-2026-09-27-spread-home-2pt5 | 0.495 | 0.5122 | 0.0172 | 0.7953 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 77 | 129,348 | 372,626 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
1357376 | Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-chicago-bears-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | 0.02 | 0.0164 | -0.0036 | 0.8142 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 54 | 1,737,296 | 111,744 | 2027-04-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
2771336 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-manchester-united-win-the-2026-27-english-premier-league-epl-championship-20260701200428762 | 0.012 | 0.01 | -0.002 | 0.8672 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 54 | 1,024,891 | 557,493 | 2027-05-30T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3695205 | Eagles vs. Bears | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-phi-chi-2026-09-29 | 0.635 | 0.6456 | 0.0106 | 0.7891 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 82 | 202,412 | 234,059 | 2026-09-29T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4813513 | Georgia Tech vs. Stanford: O/U 48.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-gtech-stan-2026-09-26-total-48pt5 | 0.925 | 0.907 | -0.018 | 0.2613 | LONG NO | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 53 | 121,238 | 8,916 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3664825 | Vikings vs. Buccaneers | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-min-tb-2026-09-27 | 0.525 | 0.5385 | 0.0135 | 0.8137 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 80 | 180,632 | 721,898 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4550220 | Spread: Serbia (-1.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/unl-ser-nld-2026-09-27-spread-home-1pt5 | 0.0365 | 0.0616 | 0.0251 | 0.7561 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 62 | 104,984 | 20,311 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4902920 | LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs White Dragons (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/lol-kcb-wd-2026-09-26 | 0.505 | 0.5625 | 0.0575 | 0.6867 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 84 | 107,629 | 24,890 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4641065 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | WORLD | https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-october-31-20260917 | 0.495 | 0.5127 | 0.0177 | 0.754 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 79 | 666,418 | 76,347 | 2026-10-31T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4550157 | Spread: Kosovo (-2.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/unl-aut-kvx-2026-09-27-spread-away-2pt5 | 0.0115 | 0.0362 | 0.0247 | 0.751 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 60 | 103,533 | 10,066 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4852776 | Spread: Steelers (-3.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-cin-pit-2026-09-27-spread-home-3pt5 | 0.275 | 0.2805 | 0.0055 | 0.7805 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 63 | 155,682 | 137,658 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4813693 | Spread: Washington (-11.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-minnst-wash-2026-09-26-spread-home-11pt5 | 0.0305 | 0.0707 | 0.0402 | 0.363 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 50 | 99,422 | 1,436 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3701412 | Panthers vs. Browns: O/U 42.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-car-cle-2026-09-27-total-42pt5 | 0.495 | 0.4995 | 0.0045 | 0.7995 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 88 | 171,124 | 296,660 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3701346 | Spread: Bengals (-3.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-cin-pit-2026-09-27-spread-away-3pt5 | 0.465 | 0.4711 | 0.0061 | 0.8139 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 85 | 363,620 | 574,146 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3701327 | Spread: 49ers (-14.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ari-sf-2026-09-27-spread-home-14pt5 | 0.295 | 0.2986 | 0.0036 | 0.7838 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 72 | 98,472 | 156,255 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3701394 | Spread: Lions (-7.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-nyj-det-2026-09-27-spread-home-7pt5 | 0.425 | 0.4404 | 0.0154 | 0.7762 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 74 | 181,754 | 185,830 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
601819 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-luiz-incio-lula-da-silva-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election | 0.435 | 0.4478 | 0.0128 | 0.7912 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 75 | 12,390,615 | 308,635 | 2026-10-04T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4855047 | Spread: Panthers (-5.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-car-cle-2026-09-27-spread-away-5pt5 | 0.345 | 0.3554 | 0.0104 | 0.7345 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 64 | 84,719 | 28,837 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
2771335 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-manchester-city-win-the-2026-27-english-premier-league-epl-championship-20260701200428761 | 0.21 | 0.2258 | 0.0158 | 0.7279 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 74 | 2,801,007 | 314,190 | 2027-05-30T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4549931 | Exact Score: Israel 0 - 0 Republic of Ireland? | WORLD | https://polymarket.com/event/unl-isr-ire-2026-09-27-exact-score-0-0 | 0.095 | 0.1176 | 0.0226 | 0.7354 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 66 | 84,529 | 49,155 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3664783 | Chiefs vs. Dolphins | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-kc-mia-2026-09-27 | 0.845 | 0.8636 | 0.0186 | 0.8179 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 63 | 531,816 | 1,211,640 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3701407 | Spread: Panthers (-4.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-car-cle-2026-09-27-spread-away-4pt5 | 0.375 | 0.3859 | 0.0109 | 0.7705 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 68 | 82,304 | 128,791 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4852138 | Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-sea-was-2026-09-27-spread-away-7pt5 | 0.525 | 0.5394 | 0.0144 | 0.7802 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 75 | 513,056 | 220,545 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
1357393 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-new-orleans-saints-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | 0.0115 | 0.01 | -0.0015 | 0.8325 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 51 | 2,138,007 | 122,829 | 2027-04-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3701406 | Spread: Panthers (-3.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-car-cle-2026-09-27-spread-away-3pt5 | 0.395 | 0.4039 | 0.0089 | 0.7766 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 74 | 87,889 | 154,452 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
608545 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-lamine-yamal-win-the-2026-ballon-dor | 0.275 | 0.2722 | -0.0028 | 0.7516 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 70 | 2,708,894 | 117,159 | 2027-01-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
1357372 | Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-atlanta-falcons-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | 0.008 | 0.01 | 0.002 | 0.8316 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 52 | 1,656,994 | 157,616 | 2027-04-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
2772176 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-barcelona-win-the-2026-27-uefa-champions-league-championship-20260701202025560 | 0.235 | 0.236 | 0.001 | 0.8281 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 67 | 1,294,881 | 928,777 | 2027-05-30T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4854521 | Spread: Colts (-3.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-hou-ind-2026-09-27-spread-home-3pt5 | 0.335 | 0.3422 | 0.0072 | 0.7738 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 66 | 159,056 | 132,883 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3701393 | Spread: Lions (-6.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-nyj-det-2026-09-27-spread-home-6pt5 | 0.505 | 0.5255 | 0.0205 | 0.7989 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 81 | 583,008 | 641,496 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4549940 | Exact Score: Israel 3 - 0 Republic of Ireland? | WORLD | https://polymarket.com/event/unl-isr-ire-2026-09-27-exact-score-3-0 | 0.023 | 0.0476 | 0.0246 | 0.7868 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 64 | 73,608 | 66,064 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
561244 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-donald-trump-jr-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election | 0.0045 | 0.01 | 0.0055 | 0.8787 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 55 | 13,886,289 | 994,872 | 2029-01-21T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4798880 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | CRYPTO | https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-dip-to-82k-september-21-27-2026 | 0.0335 | 0.0332 | -0.0003 | 0.7999 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 53 | 136,884 | 33,737 | 2026-09-28T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3128888 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-october-31-2026-20260727171711632-895-372-622-413-171-454-592-696 | 0.265 | 0.2746 | 0.0096 | 0.7674 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 67 | 2,323,837 | 119,614 | 2026-11-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3664769 | Texans vs. Colts | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-hou-ind-2026-09-27 | 0.525 | 0.5451 | 0.0201 | 0.8155 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 80 | 191,978 | 1,293,061 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3701385 | Spread: Texans (-2.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-hou-ind-2026-09-27-spread-away-2pt5 | 0.475 | 0.4925 | 0.0175 | 0.7888 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 77 | 164,753 | 394,685 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4761633 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 27? | CRYPTO | https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-86k-on-september-27-2026 | 0.0175 | 0.0125 | -0.005 | 0.7942 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 49 | 95,689 | 33,246 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4855590 | Spread: Vikings (-7.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-min-tb-2026-09-27-spread-away-7pt5 | 0.265 | 0.2705 | 0.0055 | 0.7689 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 62 | 66,743 | 109,103 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4549742 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/unl-isr-ire-2026-09-27-ire | 0.365 | 0.3842 | 0.0192 | 0.7549 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 76 | 70,631 | 107,299 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4990808 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/dota2-lgd-navi-2026-09-27 | 0.395 | 0.4062 | 0.0112 | 0.759 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 67 | 65,943 | 91,968 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3215074 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-september-30-20260730004207224 | 0.0025 | 0.01 | 0.0075 | 0.8302 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 51 | 2,658,896 | 159,916 | 2026-10-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4548691 | Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mex-san-pac-2026-09-26-total-1pt5 | 0.0005 | 0.0761 | 0.0756 | 0.7664 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 65 | 65,422 | 191,675 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
562803 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-republican-party-control-the-house-after-the-2026-midterm-elections | 0.075 | 0.0716 | -0.0034 | 0.8171 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 56 | 5,289,534 | 722,087 | 2027-01-05T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4856766 | Spread: Broncos (-3.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-la-den-2026-09-28-spread-home-3pt5 | 0.315 | 0.3223 | 0.0073 | 0.7917 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 66 | 155,269 | 304,168 | 2026-09-28T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4761629 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27? | CRYPTO | https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-82k-on-september-27-2026 | 0.9925 | 0.99 | -0.0025 | 0.7962 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 49 | 116,009 | 33,399 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4529084 | Will Club Puebla win on 2026-09-26? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/mex-tig-pue-2026-09-26-pue | 0.0005 | 0.0221 | 0.0216 | 0.8166 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 65 | 65,285 | 166,318 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
562828 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/2026-balance-of-power-d-senate-d-house-949 | 0.615 | 0.6313 | 0.0163 | 0.7865 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 71 | 3,635,303 | 355,934 | 2026-11-03T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
608565 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-lionel-messi-win-the-2026-ballon-dor | 0.0355 | 0.034 | -0.0015 | 0.8375 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 56 | 3,101,540 | 174,320 | 2027-01-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3701400 | Jets vs. Lions: O/U 47.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-nyj-det-2026-09-27-total-47pt5 | 0.545 | 0.5576 | 0.0126 | 0.765 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 75 | 155,676 | 130,095 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4550088 | Spread: Germany (-1.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/unl-ger-grc-2026-09-27-spread-home-1pt5 | 0.435 | 0.4534 | 0.0184 | 0.7588 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 76 | 63,515 | 127,843 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
2589813 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | ECON | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-october-2026-meeting-20260617190324032 | 0.645 | 0.6561 | 0.0111 | 0.8096 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 78 | 3,705,933 | 760,400 | 2026-10-29T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4761627 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 27? | CRYPTO | https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-80k-on-september-27-2026 | 0.997 | 0.99 | -0.007 | 0.7861 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 47 | 79,229 | 35,354 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
629030 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-karen-bass-win-the-2026-los-angeles-mayoral-election | 0.425 | 0.4526 | 0.0276 | 0.7434 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 83 | 1,256,764 | 101,166 | 2026-12-31T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
4519722 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/val-100t1-t1-2026-09-27 | 0.685 | 0.6964 | 0.0114 | 0.772 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 72 | 72,539 | 167,467 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
2696747 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-december-31-2026-191 | 0.115 | 0.1108 | -0.0042 | 0.7798 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 57 | 3,169,786 | 172,522 | 2026-06-15T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3664790 | Titans vs. Giants | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ten-nyg-2026-09-27 | 0.445 | 0.4483 | 0.0033 | 0.8206 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 87 | 110,906 | 892,531 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
1357400 | Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-tampa-bay-buccaneers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | 0.0065 | 0.01 | 0.0035 | 0.8347 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 51 | 4,367,262 | 179,469 | 2027-04-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
1357401 | Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-tennessee-titans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | 0.0035 | 0.01 | 0.0065 | 0.8568 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 53 | 1,758,549 | 499,270 | 2027-04-01T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
3664817 | Cardinals vs. 49ers | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ari-sf-2026-09-27 | 0.235 | 0.2344 | -0.0006 | 0.8137 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 68 | 207,566 | 616,975 | 2026-09-27T00:00:00 | 2026-09-27T05:49:21.571Z |
THE ORACLE — Polymarket predictions
Live predictions for Polymarket markets, produced by THE ORACLE — an autonomous agent funded by $ORACLE pump.fun creator fees. Each row is a baseline-model forecast over live orderbook signals (momentum, microstructure, liquidity).
predictions.json/predictions.csv— 100 markets, refreshed each agent cycle.- Columns: question, category, market_prob, oracle_prob, edge, confidence, signal, model, backtest_acc, auc, modelability, volume, liquidity, end_date, captured_at.
Not financial advice.
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