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id
string
question
string
category
string
url
string
market_prob
float64
oracle_prob
float64
edge
float64
confidence
float64
signal
string
model
string
backtest_acc
float64
auc
float64
modelability
int64
volume
int64
liquidity
int64
end_date
timestamp[s]
captured_at
string
4811603
Oregon vs. USC
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-ore-usc-2026-09-26
0.605
0.6225
0.0175
0.8023
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
72
1,020,784
158,903
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4811283
Texas A&M vs. LSU
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-txam-lsu-2026-09-26
0.225
0.2302
0.0052
0.7993
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
64
746,034
112,225
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4641064
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
WORLD
https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-september-30-20260917
0.895
0.9024
0.0074
0.8014
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
71
1,487,669
141,615
2026-09-30T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
2774057
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-september-30-20260702154339440
0.0045
0.01
0.0055
0.8955
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
57
11,204,533
669,665
2026-10-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4812241
Missouri vs. Mississippi State
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-missr-mspst-2026-09-26
0.155
0.1741
0.0191
0.7844
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
73
447,435
126,020
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
2772194
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-shakhtar-donetsk-win-the-2026-27-uefa-champions-league-championship-20260701202025578
0.0015
0.01
0.0085
0.8793
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
55
22,791,209
442,734
2027-05-30T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4811346
Spread: LSU (-8.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-txam-lsu-2026-09-26-spread-home-8pt5
0.445
0.463
0.018
0.7535
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
74
425,226
37,613
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4809811
Louisiana vs. Charlotte
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-loulaf-charlt-2026-09-26
0.955
0.9574
0.0024
0.8009
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
68
375,548
137,147
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4812397
Tulsa vs. Arkansas
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-tulsa-ark-2026-09-26
0.09
0.1086
0.0186
0.7183
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
68
279,972
124,758
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
703257
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027-789-924-249
0.0355
0.0308
-0.0047
0.8944
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
58
39,851,507
885,135
2027-01-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4510280
UFC Fight Night: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli (Bantamweight, Main Card)
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-iliuul-mehosm-2026-09-26
0.9995
0.9615
-0.038
0.8122
LONG NO
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
66
276,048
121,714
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
665374
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
WORLD
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027
0.155
0.156
0.001
0.8407
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
63
69,744,283
777,198
2027-01-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4811659
Spread: Oregon (-3.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-ore-usc-2026-09-26-spread-away-3pt5
0.46
0.476
0.016
0.6942
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
71
268,545
43,375
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4757377
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-tb-phi-2026-09-26
0.82
0.8068
-0.0132
0.5607
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
66
243,521
23,392
2026-10-03T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
2170255
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by-september-30-999-671-939
0.009
0.01
0.001
0.8353
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
55
3,945,971
96,825
2026-10-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4880576
Will Mexico win on 2026-09-26?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/fif-col-mex-2026-09-26-mex
0.38
0.3899
0.0099
0.6639
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
63
247,939
10,651
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4809401
James Madison vs. Old Dominion
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-jmad-old-2026-09-26
0.99
0.9803
-0.0097
0.7369
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
63
227,859
47,955
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
679060
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
POLITICS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-christine-lagarde-win-the-2027-french-presidential-election
0.0045
0.01
0.0055
0.8498
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
53
325,150
166,840
2027-04-18T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4527634
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-09-26?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mls-nas-tor-2026-09-26-nas
0.865
0.8543
-0.0107
0.7524
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
69
227,027
36,081
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4757338
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-col-cws-2026-09-26
0.76
0.7399
-0.0201
0.2918
LONG NO
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
64
211,922
23,250
2026-10-03T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
3701323
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ari-sf-2026-09-27-spread-home-7pt5
0.495
0.5167
0.0217
0.7887
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
82
217,368
256,517
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
2737255
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-september-30-20260629143335077
0.0015
0.01
0.0085
0.8579
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
54
2,679,341
279,359
2026-10-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4856419
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-bal-dal-2026-09-27-spread-home-3pt5
0.255
0.2616
0.0066
0.7944
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
65
178,516
179,772
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4757382
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-ari-sd-2026-09-26
0.295
0.321
0.026
0.762
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
78
237,809
105,905
2026-10-04T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4811734
Oregon vs. USC: O/U 60.5
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-ore-usc-2026-09-26-total-60pt5
0.365
0.3944
0.0294
0.2151
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
64
191,045
1,594
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
2176270
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
0.205
0.2057
0.0007
0.8212
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
67
13,309,685
428,564
2027-01-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4757323
Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-tex-min-2026-09-26
0.9995
0.9792
-0.0203
0.8177
LONG NO
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
65
181,181
93,834
2026-10-03T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
3128887
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-september-30-2026-20260727171615364-722-649-646-561-213-644-414-831
0.034
0.0345
0.0005
0.8388
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
60
4,820,231
127,306
2026-10-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4581768
Will France win on 2026-09-28?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/unl-bel-fra-2026-09-28-fra
0.505
0.5294
0.0244
0.7727
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
84
189,891
161,468
2026-09-28T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4811446
Texas A&M vs. LSU: O/U 52.5
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-txam-lsu-2026-09-26-total-52pt5
0.14
0.1772
0.0372
0.4045
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
61
176,704
17,152
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4757351
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-stl-mil-2026-09-26
0.205
0.2232
0.0182
0.756
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
71
167,014
65,794
2026-10-03T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
562831
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
POLITICS
https://polymarket.com/event/2026-balance-of-power-r-senate-r-house-537
0.075
0.0722
-0.0028
0.8336
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
59
4,196,856
832,697
2026-11-03T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4527573
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-09-26?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mls-atl-nyc-2026-09-26-atl
0.075
0.1274
0.0524
0.7092
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
65
162,346
39,807
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
2589810
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
ECON
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-the-october-2026-meeting-20260617190324029
0.0025
0.01
0.0075
0.8738
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
55
2,249,422
584,783
2026-10-29T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4809819
Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-okst-wvir-2026-09-26
0.295
0.3199
0.0249
0.7652
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
78
157,209
130,222
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
2589811
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
ECON
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-october-2026-meeting-20260617190324030
0.0045
0.01
0.0055
0.8656
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
54
2,688,393
391,894
2026-10-29T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4811812
Troy vs. Utah State
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-troy-utahst-2026-09-26
0.565
0.5672
0.0022
0.7859
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
83
144,291
124,819
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4854521
Spread: Colts (-3.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-hou-ind-2026-09-27-spread-home-3pt5
0.335
0.3444
0.0094
0.7903
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
68
143,497
200,285
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4757390
Houston Astros vs. Athletics
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-hou-oak-2026-09-26
0.595
0.6146
0.0196
0.7996
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
74
142,854
443,942
2026-10-04T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4855869
Spread: 49ers (-8.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ari-sf-2026-09-27-spread-home-8pt5
0.455
0.4713
0.0163
0.7964
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
76
238,632
344,311
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
629040
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
POLITICS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-nithya-raman-win-the-2026-los-angeles-mayoral-election-876
0.5785
0.5815
0.003
0.8405
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
85
2,150,035
134,474
2026-12-31T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4810276
Kansas State vs. Cincinnati: O/U 55.5
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-kanst-cin-2026-09-26-total-55pt5
0.42
0.4412
0.0212
0.6807
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
73
137,360
44,062
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
559703
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-chris-van-hollen-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination
0.0015
0.01
0.0085
0.8781
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
55
399,427
785,254
2028-11-07T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4527646
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-09-26?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mls-aus-sdg-2026-09-26-sdg
0.335
0.3444
0.0094
0.7477
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
64
136,315
36,541
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
2589814
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
ECON
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-the-october-2026-meeting-20260617190324033
0.0085
0.01
0.0015
0.871
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
54
2,307,092
445,319
2026-10-29T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
601819
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
POLITICS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-luiz-incio-lula-da-silva-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
0.435
0.445
0.01
0.8025
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
76
12,385,958
357,784
2026-10-04T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4856766
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-la-den-2026-09-28-spread-home-3pt5
0.315
0.3239
0.0089
0.7878
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
67
125,138
191,502
2026-09-28T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4757343
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-cle-kc-2026-09-26
0.965
0.9479
-0.0171
0.7375
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
63
123,961
34,716
2026-10-03T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4852776
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-cin-pit-2026-09-27-spread-home-3pt5
0.275
0.281
0.006
0.7881
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
64
123,742
173,454
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4527577
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-09-26?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mls-clt-chi-2026-09-26-clt
0.115
0.1682
0.0532
0.5688
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
63
124,832
21,063
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4812035
Spread: Arizona (-10.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-arz-washst-2026-09-26-spread-away-10pt5
0.305
0.3337
0.0287
0.2545
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
64
125,248
9,793
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4992599
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-dendel-wc1-2026-09-26-game2
0.0005
0.01
0.0095
0.8384
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
52
119,348
173,889
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4811340
Spread: LSU (-7.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-txam-lsu-2026-09-26-spread-home-7pt5
0.49
0.5075
0.0175
0.6766
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
71
149,100
34,607
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4527610
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-09-26?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mls-dal-laf-2026-09-26-dal
0.42
0.4302
0.0102
0.6773
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
69
114,713
27,217
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
3664783
Chiefs vs. Dolphins
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-kc-mia-2026-09-27
0.845
0.8636
0.0186
0.8258
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
64
481,120
1,413,708
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4855332
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-lac-buf-2026-09-27-spread-home-7pt5
0.485
0.5017
0.0167
0.8028
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
77
398,429
512,946
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
1357376
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-chicago-bears-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship
0.0205
0.0168
-0.0037
0.8059
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
54
1,737,129
101,981
2027-04-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4641065
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
WORLD
https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-october-31-20260917
0.495
0.5112
0.0162
0.7544
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
79
658,189
71,154
2026-10-31T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4955033
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-col-cws-2026-09-26-spread-home-1pt5
0.07
0.1105
0.0405
0.2528
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
53
108,222
6,979
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4810743
South Carolina vs. Alabama
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-sc-ala-2026-09-26
0.006
0.0176
0.0116
0.7758
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
63
109,087
53,515
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
3695205
Eagles vs. Bears
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-phi-chi-2026-09-29
0.635
0.6469
0.0119
0.7822
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
82
201,868
187,204
2026-09-29T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4852138
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-sea-was-2026-09-27-spread-away-7pt5
0.515
0.5304
0.0154
0.7955
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
76
474,076
370,562
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4992600
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Wildcard (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Playoffs
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cs2-dendel-wc1-2026-09-26
0.6455
0.6635
0.018
0.7715
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
64
106,078
17,419
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4902920
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs White Dragons (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/lol-kcb-wd-2026-09-26
0.505
0.5621
0.0571
0.6872
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
84
106,798
25,229
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4810759
Spread: Alabama (-12.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-sc-ala-2026-09-26-spread-home-12pt5
0.735
0.7303
-0.0047
0.1506
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
52
103,140
58
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4675853
CD Guadalajara vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 6.5
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mex-gua-que-2026-09-26-total-6pt5
0.3285
0.3205
-0.008
0.263
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
64
101,787
6,578
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4527576
Will New York City FC win on 2026-09-26?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mls-atl-nyc-2026-09-26-nyc
0.685
0.6577
-0.0273
0.7143
LONG NO
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
75
95,767
23,662
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4757400
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-laa-sea-2026-09-26
0.405
0.4124
0.0074
0.8052
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
75
93,997
425,514
2026-10-04T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
1357372
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-atlanta-falcons-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship
0.0065
0.01
0.0035
0.8401
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
52
1,646,158
167,949
2027-04-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4810091
Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-kenest-arkst-2026-09-26
0.625
0.6125
-0.0125
0.7698
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
81
91,759
125,755
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4960879
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-ari-sd-2026-09-26-total-7pt5
0.58
0.5896
0.0096
0.6625
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
70
89,224
16,695
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4812909
Spread: SMU (-30.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-msrst-smu-2026-09-26-spread-home-30pt5
0.505
0.5302
0.0252
0.7066
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
76
87,514
16,594
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4812946
UMass vs. Sacramento State: O/U 48.5
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-umass-sacst-2026-09-26-total-48pt5
0.325
0.3503
0.0253
0.2614
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
65
89,701
13,570
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4529059
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-09-26?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mex-caz-tol-2026-09-26-tol
0.0005
0.057
0.0565
0.7934
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
66
88,371
226,639
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4549931
Exact Score: Israel 0 - 0 Republic of Ireland?
WORLD
https://polymarket.com/event/unl-isr-ire-2026-09-27-exact-score-0-0
0.095
0.1176
0.0226
0.7418
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
66
84,527
63,658
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4812343
Missouri vs. Mississippi State: O/U 58.5
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-missr-mspst-2026-09-26-total-58pt5
0.355
0.3817
0.0267
0.4774
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
72
91,474
28,078
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4530472
Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mls-nas-tor-2026-09-26-spread-home-1pt5
0.66
0.6411
-0.0189
0.6383
LONG NO
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
73
83,815
9,416
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4812895
Spread: UMass (-4.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-umass-sacst-2026-09-26-spread-away-4pt5
0.54
0.5519
0.0119
0.5524
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
68
98,687
28,426
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4812892
Spread: UMass (-5.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-umass-sacst-2026-09-26-spread-away-5pt5
0.52
0.5316
0.0116
0.5529
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
69
81,979
29,009
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
3128888
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-by-october-31-2026-20260727171711632-895-372-622-413-171-454-592-696
0.27
0.2783
0.0083
0.7128
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
66
2,320,087
127,964
2026-11-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4527641
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-26?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mls-hou-skc-2026-09-26-hou
0.575
0.6047
0.0297
0.5946
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
76
80,950
29,058
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
1357393
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-new-orleans-saints-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship
0.012
0.01
-0.002
0.8256
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
51
2,136,007
122,075
2027-04-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
2771335
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-manchester-city-win-the-2026-27-english-premier-league-epl-championship-20260701200428761
0.205
0.2214
0.0164
0.7868
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
75
2,792,581
321,214
2027-05-30T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.657Z
4809905
Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia: O/U 61.5
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-okst-wvir-2026-09-26-total-61pt5
0.495
0.5083
0.0133
0.6162
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
70
78,093
36,298
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z
4174612
Trump out as President by September 30?
POLITICS
https://polymarket.com/event/dtrump-out-as-president-by-september-30
0.0015
0.01
0.0085
0.8368
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
52
1,917,753
198,972
2026-10-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z
601826
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
POLITICS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-flvio-bolsonaro-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
0.5725
0.5894
0.0169
0.8513
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
74
11,942,996
504,964
2026-10-04T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z
2772176
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-barcelona-win-the-2026-27-uefa-champions-league-championship-20260701202025560
0.235
0.236
0.001
0.8266
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
67
1,294,838
872,808
2027-05-30T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z
4955136
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-stl-mil-2026-09-26-total-7pt5
0.37
0.3953
0.0253
0.5223
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
71
77,192
15,026
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z
601827
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
POLITICS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-ronaldo-caiado-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election
0.0005
0.01
0.0095
0.8785
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
55
7,785,601
1,139,525
2026-10-04T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z
4946895
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/atp-brooksb-basilas-2026-09-26
0.525
0.5416
0.0166
0.7816
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
73
78,441
268,472
2026-10-04T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z
4549940
Exact Score: Israel 3 - 0 Republic of Ireland?
WORLD
https://polymarket.com/event/unl-isr-ire-2026-09-27-exact-score-3-0
0.0245
0.0489
0.0244
0.7842
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
64
73,608
75,314
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z
561244
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
POLITICS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-donald-trump-jr-win-the-2028-us-presidential-election
0.0045
0.01
0.0055
0.8788
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
55
13,886,289
1,001,524
2029-01-21T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z
4510169
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-rao-rau2-2026-09-26
0.425
0.4332
0.0082
0.7811
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
75
156,164
189,409
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z
4812530
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-11.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-flatl-lamon-2026-09-26-spread-away-11pt5
0.73
0.7248
-0.0052
0.2517
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
60
74,637
4,447
2026-09-27T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z
608545
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/will-lamine-yamal-win-the-2026-ballon-dor
0.2705
0.2681
-0.0024
0.7679
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
69
2,702,437
111,803
2027-01-01T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z
562828
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
POLITICS
https://polymarket.com/event/2026-balance-of-power-d-senate-d-house-949
0.615
0.6324
0.0174
0.7884
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
72
3,633,626
374,008
2026-11-03T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z
4524951
Will Chile win on 2026-09-26?
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/fif-can-chl-2026-09-26-chl
0.005
0.0484
0.0434
0.7134
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
61
72,275
51,368
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z
4809903
Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia: O/U 59.5
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-okst-wvir-2026-09-26-total-59pt5
0.555
0.5698
0.0148
0.6113
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
67
71,735
33,367
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z
2696747
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
SPORTS
https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-december-31-2026-191
0.115
0.1118
-0.0032
0.784
HOLD
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
57
3,169,747
178,504
2026-06-15T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z
4811840
Spread: Utah State (-2.5)
OTHER
https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-troy-utahst-2026-09-26-spread-home-2pt5
0.445
0.4685
0.0235
0.3565
LONG YES
logreg.updown.v1
0.6018
0.6551
67
71,968
26,137
2026-09-26T00:00:00
2026-09-27T01:19:11.658Z

THE ORACLE — Polymarket predictions

Live predictions for Polymarket markets, produced by THE ORACLE — an autonomous agent funded by $ORACLE pump.fun creator fees. Each row is a baseline-model forecast over live orderbook signals (momentum, microstructure, liquidity).

  • predictions.json / predictions.csv — 100 markets, refreshed each agent cycle.
  • Columns: question, category, market_prob, oracle_prob, edge, confidence, signal, model, backtest_acc, auc, modelability, volume, liquidity, end_date, captured_at.

Not financial advice.

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