id string | question string | category string | url string | market_prob float64 | oracle_prob float64 | edge float64 | confidence float64 | signal string | model string | backtest_acc float64 | auc float64 | modelability int64 | volume int64 | liquidity int64 | end_date timestamp[s] | captured_at string |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
558970 | Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-cape-verde-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | 0.0015 | 0.01 | 0.0085 | 0.9355 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 62 | 72,722,548 | 2,703,367 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
1897193 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-arg | 0.9995 | 0.9728 | -0.0267 | 0.9173 | LONG NO | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 76 | 20,268,598 | 3,788,815 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558944 | Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-uruguay-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-932 | 0.0015 | 0.01 | 0.0085 | 0.9355 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 63 | 70,934,272 | 9,010,026 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558946 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-belgium-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-358 | 0.0105 | 0.01 | -0.0005 | 0.9435 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 64 | 69,702,916 | 5,789,487 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2324049 | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-spread-home-1pt5 | 0.9945 | 0.9576 | -0.0369 | 0.7763 | LONG NO | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 68 | 6,716,738 | 51,939 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2324062 | Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-total-2pt5 | 0.0155 | 0.0804 | 0.0649 | 0.7383 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 67 | 6,712,629 | 34,574 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
1897194 | Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-draw | 0.0005 | 0.0323 | 0.0318 | 0.9055 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 75 | 5,460,722 | 1,141,802 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
1897197 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-aut | 0.0005 | 0.0176 | 0.0171 | 0.9174 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 75 | 5,329,904 | 1,020,692 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2063134 | Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-adanech-abiebie-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia | 0.002 | 0.01 | 0.008 | 0.8145 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 52 | 14,245,841 | 13,755 | 2026-06-01T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558947 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-colombia-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-734 | 0.0155 | 0.01 | -0.0055 | 0.9385 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 63 | 66,404,088 | 2,027,957 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558951 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-norway-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-893 | 0.0225 | 0.0172 | -0.0053 | 0.9387 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 63 | 62,466,652 | 2,624,861 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558976 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-croatia-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | 0.0055 | 0.01 | 0.0045 | 0.9395 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 62 | 71,953,466 | 5,642,489 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558968 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-egypt-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | 0.0025 | 0.01 | 0.0075 | 0.9365 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 61 | 77,484,632 | 13,382,318 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558966 | Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-ivory-coast-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | 0.0045 | 0.01 | 0.0055 | 0.9385 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 62 | 84,353,498 | 9,541,364 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2063131 | Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-alesa-mengesha-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia | 0.002 | 0.01 | 0.008 | 0.8109 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 51 | 3,150,595 | 11,863 | 2026-06-01T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558975 | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-austria-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | 0.0035 | 0.01 | 0.0065 | 0.9358 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 61 | 65,566,411 | 4,542,647 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558938 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-argentina-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-245 | 0.1365 | 0.1307 | -0.0058 | 0.9329 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 73 | 66,877,014 | 1,306,337 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558949 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-japan-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-112 | 0.0215 | 0.0157 | -0.0058 | 0.9332 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 62 | 71,950,325 | 1,771,236 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558940 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-portugal-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-912 | 0.0675 | 0.0661 | -0.0014 | 0.9372 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 67 | 61,560,178 | 4,700,794 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558941 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-netherlands-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-739 | 0.0545 | 0.0502 | -0.0043 | 0.9342 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 63 | 61,637,894 | 1,718,697 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558943 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-usa-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-467 | 0.0355 | 0.03 | -0.0055 | 0.9329 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 64 | 93,858,162 | 4,802,429 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558934 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-spain-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-963 | 0.1385 | 0.1391 | 0.0006 | 0.9373 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 69 | 60,136,348 | 5,599,572 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2324061 | Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-total-1pt5 | 0.9995 | 0.9819 | -0.0176 | 0.909 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 73 | 1,870,308 | 958,394 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
1897211 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-nor-sen-2026-06-22-nor | 0.425 | 0.4397 | 0.0147 | 0.8688 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 82 | 2,534,670 | 2,631,380 | 2026-06-23T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558961 | Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-south-korea-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-485 | 0.0025 | 0.01 | 0.0075 | 0.9293 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 61 | 91,145,092 | 8,284,165 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558939 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-germany-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-467 | 0.0565 | 0.0524 | -0.0041 | 0.9327 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 64 | 61,975,904 | 2,172,956 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
569368 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-ivan-cepeda-castro-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election | 0.008 | 0.028 | 0.02 | 0.8374 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 69 | 6,773,858 | 205,236 | 2026-06-21T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
569366 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-abelardo-de-la-espriella-win-the-2026-colombian-presidential-election | 0.992 | 0.9876 | -0.0044 | 0.8525 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 69 | 6,314,338 | 128,806 | 2026-06-21T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558935 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-england-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-937 | 0.1255 | 0.1229 | -0.0026 | 0.9326 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 68 | 52,260,112 | 6,653,370 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558981 | Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-congo-dr-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | 0.0015 | 0.01 | 0.0085 | 0.9262 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 60 | 80,140,899 | 23,175,852 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
1897206 | Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-fra-irq-2026-06-22-irq | 0.0265 | 0.0216 | -0.0049 | 0.9297 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 62 | 1,736,134 | 1,602,565 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558963 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-morocco-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-464 | 0.0205 | 0.0152 | -0.0053 | 0.9285 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 61 | 66,829,729 | 2,365,739 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2324066 | Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-btts | 0.0045 | 0.0691 | 0.0646 | 0.7398 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 66 | 1,362,621 | 55,994 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558967 | Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-ghana-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | 0.0015 | 0.01 | 0.0085 | 0.924 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 60 | 59,677,647 | 18,124,125 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558936 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-france-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-924 | 0.1975 | 0.1976 | 0.0001 | 0.9315 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 72 | 67,087,159 | 6,944,776 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
1897202 | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-fra-irq-2026-06-22-fra | 0.905 | 0.9247 | 0.0197 | 0.8575 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 65 | 1,454,793 | 2,356,367 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558937 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-brazil-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-183 | 0.0555 | 0.0523 | -0.0032 | 0.9273 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 64 | 49,589,399 | 6,350,106 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2069690 | Will Romelu Lukaku be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-romelu-lukaku-be-the-top-goalscorer-at-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | 0.0015 | 0.01 | 0.0085 | 0.8463 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 54 | 1,377,783 | 70,574 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558959 | Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-788 | 0.0005 | 0.01 | 0.0095 | 0.9197 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 60 | 59,300,159 | 12,101,652 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558974 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-switzerland-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | 0.0065 | 0.01 | 0.0035 | 0.9255 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 60 | 61,986,760 | 5,199,364 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2324040 | Spread: France (-2.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-fra-irq-2026-06-22-spread-home-2pt5 | 0.555 | 0.5661 | 0.0111 | 0.8358 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 84 | 1,053,665 | 485,316 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558952 | Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-canada-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-755 | 0.0035 | 0.01 | 0.0065 | 0.922 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 60 | 66,317,874 | 11,963,026 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558955 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-ecuador-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-986 | 0.0015 | 0.01 | 0.0085 | 0.9197 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 60 | 69,188,194 | 7,005,676 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558965 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-senegal-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | 0.0055 | 0.01 | 0.0045 | 0.9236 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 60 | 56,509,802 | 10,583,938 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558973 | Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-scotland-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | 0.0015 | 0.01 | 0.0085 | 0.9196 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 60 | 64,873,782 | 15,846,369 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558945 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-mexico-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-529 | 0.0125 | 0.01 | -0.0025 | 0.9252 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 60 | 82,003,265 | 9,728,133 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2063135 | Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-gedion-timothewos-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia | 0.002 | 0.01 | 0.008 | 0.7894 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 48 | 11,450,827 | 9,648 | 2026-06-01T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558980 | Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-sweden-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | 0.0025 | 0.01 | 0.0075 | 0.919 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 60 | 55,944,303 | 12,573,054 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2324033 | Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-nor-sen-2026-06-22-total-2pt5 | 0.495 | 0.5111 | 0.0161 | 0.8312 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 81 | 753,222 | 569,346 | 2026-06-23T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558958 | Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-australia-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-816 | 0.0025 | 0.01 | 0.0075 | 0.9175 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 59 | 72,196,923 | 20,605,451 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
558956 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-paraguay-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-967 | 0.0015 | 0.01 | 0.0085 | 0.9162 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 59 | 67,569,140 | 11,822,480 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2324056 | Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-spread-home-2pt5 | 0.0295 | 0.048 | 0.0185 | 0.7716 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 63 | 718,547 | 6,346 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
1897213 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-nor-sen-2026-06-22-sen | 0.295 | 0.3007 | 0.0057 | 0.8637 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 73 | 890,286 | 1,690,543 | 2026-06-23T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
1971905 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june | 0.065 | 0.0705 | 0.0055 | 0.8491 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 72 | 31,500,920 | 820,386 | 2026-06-30T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2324063 | Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-total-3pt5 | 0.0005 | 0.0403 | 0.0398 | 0.8203 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 67 | 670,521 | 115,015 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2323061 | Argentina leading at halftime? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-halftime-result-home | 0.9995 | 0.9645 | -0.035 | 0.8607 | LONG NO | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 70 | 641,373 | 489,144 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2069660 | Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-ousmane-dembele-be-the-top-goalscorer-at-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | 0.0045 | 0.01 | 0.0055 | 0.8478 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 54 | 957,021 | 87,495 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2324060 | Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 0.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-total-0pt5 | 0.9995 | 0.99 | -0.0095 | 0.8875 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 67 | 612,483 | 528,756 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2323069 | Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-exact-score-2-0 | 0.994 | 0.955 | -0.039 | 0.7369 | LONG NO | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 63 | 554,675 | 22,528 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2037666 | Will Jeremy Peña have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-jeremy-pea-have-the-highest-batting-average-in-the-2026-mlb-regular-season | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0 | 0.6148 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 40 | 515,633 | 382 | 2026-09-28T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
1897218 | Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-jor-alg-2026-06-22-jor | 0.155 | 0.1532 | -0.0018 | 0.8635 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 67 | 518,380 | 1,932,225 | 2026-06-23T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2481960 | Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-team-total-home-1pt5 | 0.9995 | 0.9681 | -0.0314 | 0.8534 | LONG NO | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 69 | 445,518 | 384,426 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2099580 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/will-keir-starmer-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-565 | 0.775 | 0.7447 | -0.0303 | 0.742 | LONG NO | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 74 | 676,656 | 35,839 | 2026-12-31T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
1654957 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | ECON | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-july-2026-meeting | 0.0145 | 0.01 | -0.0045 | 0.8671 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 55 | 2,284,503 | 226,657 | 2026-07-29T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2535468 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-15 | 0.315 | 0.3228 | 0.0078 | 0.8047 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 82 | 2,191,804 | 185,689 | 2026-07-15T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2481376 | Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-first-half-total-0pt5 | 0.9995 | 0.9777 | -0.0218 | 0.8749 | LONG NO | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 70 | 422,184 | 639,589 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2323072 | Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-exact-score-2-1 | 0.005 | 0.0149 | 0.0099 | 0.7724 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 63 | 414,873 | 34,107 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2176262 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 | 0.495 | 0.5109 | 0.0159 | 0.8359 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 93 | 7,689,663 | 947,754 | 2026-07-31T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2069676 | Will Federico Valverde be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-federico-valverde-be-the-top-goalscorer-at-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | 0.0015 | 0.01 | 0.0085 | 0.8222 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 51 | 1,427,155 | 45,694 | 2026-07-20T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2037688 | Will Oneil Cruz have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-oneil-cruz-have-the-highest-batting-average-in-the-2026-mlb-regular-season | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0 | 0.6134 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 39 | 381,461 | 425 | 2026-09-28T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2547684 | Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/dota2-pr1-l1ga-2026-06-22 | 0.9995 | 0.9649 | -0.0346 | 0.8417 | LONG NO | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 68 | 377,068 | 297,472 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2323064 | Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Austria? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-exact-score-0-0 | 0.0005 | 0.01 | 0.0095 | 0.8628 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 66 | 357,766 | 260,348 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2324045 | France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-fra-irq-2026-06-22-total-3pt5 | 0.525 | 0.5323 | 0.0073 | 0.8297 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 88 | 490,770 | 565,180 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
1897356 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-tur-usa-2026-06-25-usa | 0.505 | 0.5148 | 0.0098 | 0.8195 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 85 | 1,088,531 | 416,187 | 2026-06-26T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2323076 | Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-exact-score-3-1 | 0.0005 | 0.01 | 0.0095 | 0.8397 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 63 | 352,519 | 104,367 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2481377 | Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-first-half-total-1pt5 | 0.0005 | 0.0482 | 0.0477 | 0.8332 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 69 | 340,435 | 378,221 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
1897204 | Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-fra-irq-2026-06-22-draw | 0.075 | 0.0725 | -0.0025 | 0.8581 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 62 | 571,871 | 2,695,975 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2324038 | Spread: France (-1.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-fra-irq-2026-06-22-spread-home-1pt5 | 0.765 | 0.7781 | 0.0131 | 0.7967 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 70 | 391,335 | 191,792 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
1654958 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | ECON | https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-july-2026-meeting | 0.745 | 0.7814 | 0.0364 | 0.7928 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 80 | 3,348,072 | 425,956 | 2026-07-29T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
678420 | Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | CULTURE | https://polymarket.com/event/will-jumanji-3-be-the-top-grossing-movie-of-2026 | 0.0055 | 0.01 | 0.0045 | 0.8429 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 52 | 904,848 | 99,822 | 2026-12-31T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
1654959 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | ECON | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-july-2026-meeting | 0.2455 | 0.2326 | -0.0129 | 0.864 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 80 | 5,390,474 | 333,797 | 2026-07-29T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2323079 | Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Austria? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-exact-score-3-3 | 0.0005 | 0.01 | 0.0095 | 0.8299 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 55 | 318,689 | 72,645 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2611159 | Bad Homburg Open: Alexandra Eala vs Elise Mertens | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/wta-eala-mertens-2026-06-21 | 0.065 | 0.1043 | 0.0393 | 0.7545 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 68 | 293,281 | 109,395 | 2026-06-28T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2070736 | Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-switzerland-advance-to-the-knockout-stages-at-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | 0.9985 | 0.99 | -0.0085 | 0.8194 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 60 | 1,952,613 | 49,104 | 2026-06-28T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
947289 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-roberto-snchez-palomino-win-the-2026-peruvian-presidential-election | 0.0035 | 0.01 | 0.0065 | 0.8552 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 54 | 35,349,763 | 321,160 | 2026-06-07T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2099592 | Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/will-gustavo-petro-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-576 | 0.15 | 0.2114 | 0.0614 | 0.6457 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 68 | 545,471 | 38,619 | 2026-12-31T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
1370652 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | WORLD | https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-june-30 | 0.038 | 0.0486 | 0.0106 | 0.8615 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 70 | 11,470,203 | 392,211 | 2026-06-30T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2481961 | Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 2.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-team-total-home-2pt5 | 0.04 | 0.0767 | 0.0367 | 0.6003 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 57 | 247,701 | 2,292 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2323078 | Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Austria? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-exact-score-3-2 | 0.0005 | 0.01 | 0.0095 | 0.8341 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 57 | 245,261 | 99,998 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2324012 | Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5 | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-prt-uzb-2026-06-23-total-3pt5 | 0.365 | 0.3757 | 0.0107 | 0.7972 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 71 | 246,734 | 210,607 | 2026-06-23T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2585347 | Spread: France (-3.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-fra-irq-2026-06-22-spread-home-3pt5 | 0.345 | 0.3527 | 0.0077 | 0.8038 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 70 | 247,894 | 248,485 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2323066 | Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Austria? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-exact-score-1-0 | 0.005 | 0.0209 | 0.0159 | 0.7586 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 63 | 226,328 | 56,345 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
1321567 | Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/will-shein-have-the-highest-ipo-market-cap-2026-348 | 0.0005 | 0.01 | 0.0095 | 0.8173 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 50 | 318,767 | 53,207 | 2026-12-31T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
1897223 | Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-jor-alg-2026-06-22-alg | 0.635 | 0.6532 | 0.0182 | 0.8362 | LONG YES | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 76 | 465,075 | 1,634,404 | 2026-06-23T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
682709 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | POLITICS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-benny-gantz-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel | 0.0035 | 0.01 | 0.0065 | 0.8347 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 51 | 968,723 | 98,004 | 2026-12-31T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2323073 | Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Austria? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-exact-score-3-0 | 0.065 | 0.0637 | -0.0013 | 0.7041 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 49 | 246,621 | 3,594 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2324052 | Spread: Austria (-1.5) | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22-spread-away-1pt5 | 0.0005 | 0.01 | 0.0095 | 0.8411 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 59 | 201,933 | 147,238 | 2026-06-22T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
839969 | Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SPORTS | https://polymarket.com/event/will-argentina-win-group-j-in-the-2026-fifa-world-cup | 0.9935 | 0.9844 | -0.0091 | 0.8076 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 66 | 658,486 | 160,595 | 2026-06-27T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
1321566 | Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/will-databricks-have-the-highest-ipo-market-cap-2026-418 | 0.0005 | 0.01 | 0.0095 | 0.8075 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 49 | 340,466 | 37,789 | 2026-12-31T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
2303199 | Will Filipe Luis be the next manager of SSC Napoli? | OTHER | https://polymarket.com/event/will-filipe-luis-be-the-next-manager-of-ssc-napoli | 0.0035 | 0.01 | 0.0065 | 0.683 | HOLD | logreg.updown.v1 | 0.6018 | 0.6551 | 42 | 369,128 | 566 | 2026-09-01T00:00:00 | 2026-06-22T21:35:29.957Z |
THE ORACLE — Polymarket predictions
Live predictions for Polymarket markets, produced by THE ORACLE — an autonomous agent funded by $ORACLE pump.fun creator fees. Each row is a baseline-model forecast over live orderbook signals (momentum, microstructure, liquidity).
predictions.json/predictions.csv— 100 markets, refreshed each agent cycle.- Columns: question, category, market_prob, oracle_prob, edge, confidence, signal, model, backtest_acc, auc, modelability, volume, liquidity, end_date, captured_at.
Not financial advice.
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