DateTime stringdate 2007-01-01 04:30:00+0330 2025-04-07 21:30:00+0330 | Currency stringclasses 10 values | Impact stringclasses 4 values | Event stringclasses 593 values | Actual stringlengths 1 9 ⌀ | Forecast stringlengths 1 8 ⌀ | Previous stringlengths 1 9 ⌀ | Detail stringlengths 106 1.37k ⌀ |
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2024-10-25T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Core Durable Goods Orders m/m | 0.4% | -0.1% | 0.6% | Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods, excluding transportation items; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 26 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 27, 2024 | FF Notes: This data is usually revised via the Factory Orders report released about a week later. Orders for aircraft are volatile and can severely distort the underlying trend. The Core data is therefore thought to be a better gauge of purchase order trends; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of production - rising purchase orders signal that manufacturers will increase activity as they work to fill the orders; | Also Called: Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation; |
2024-10-25T00:00:00+03:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | NHPI m/m | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the selling price of new homes; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 20 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 22, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity; | Acro Expand: New Housing Price Index (NHPI); |
2024-10-25T00:00:00+03:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | Retail Sales m/m | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 50 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 22, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; |
2024-10-25T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Revised UoM Inflation Expectations | 2.7% | null | 2.9% | Source: University of Michigan (latest release) | Measures: Percentage that consumers expect the price of goods and services to change during the next 12 months; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the last Friday of the current month; | Next Release: Nov 22, 2024 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this data released about 15 days apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have more impact; | Why Traders Care: Expectations of future inflation can manifest into real inflation, primarily because workers tend to push for higher wages when they believe prices will rise; | Derived Via: Survey of about 800 consumers which asks respondents where they expect prices to be 12 months in the future; | Acro Expand: University of Michigan (UoM); |
2024-10-25T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | M3 Money Supply y/y | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total quantity of domestic currency in circulation and deposited in banks; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 28 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 28, 2024 | FF Notes: Source changed series calculation formula as of May 2001; | Why Traders Care: It's positively correlated with interest rates - early in the economic cycle an increasing supply of money leads to additional spending and investment, and later in the cycle expanding money supply leads to inflation; |
2024-10-25T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Private Loans y/y | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new loans issued to consumers and businesses in the private sector; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 28 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 28, 2024 | Why Traders Care: Borrowing and spending are positively correlated - consumers and businesses tend to seek credit when they are confident in their future financial position and feel comfortable spending money; |
2024-10-25T02:31:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | GfK Consumer Confidence | -21 | -20 | -20 | Source: NIQ (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the third Friday of the current month; | Next Release: Nov 22, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism; | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 2,000 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of past and future economic conditions, including personal financial situation, climate for major purchases, and overall economic situation; |
2024-10-25T03:00:00+03:30 | JPY | Medium Impact Expected | Tokyo Core CPI y/y | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | Source: Statistics Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers in Tokyo, excluding fresh food; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the last Friday of the current month; | Next Release: Nov 29, 2024 | FF Notes: Tokyo is Japan's most populated city and releases CPI data a month ahead of National CPI. This early data is thought to be the most important consumer inflation release. The impact tends to be mild but varies from month to month; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to tighten monetary policy out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Also Called: Tokyo CPI Ex Fresh Food; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-10-25T03:20:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | SPPI y/y | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of services purchased by corporations; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 25 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 26, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when corporations pay more for services the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Also Called: CSPI; | Acro Expand: Services Producer Price Index (SPPI), Corporate Services Price Index (CSPI); |
2024-10-25T08:00:00+03:30 | AUD | Low Impact Expected | RBA Annual Report | null | null | null | FF Notice: Initial release time was shifted 24 hours later due to source rescheduling; | Source: Reserve Bank of Australia (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Released annually; | Next Release: Oct 23, 2025 | FF Notes: Source does not have a reliable release schedule - this event will be listed with a date range or as 'Tentative' until the data is released. Report provides a summary of the prior year's operations including the bank's open market transactions, financial statements, currency operations, and internal management; | Acro Expand: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA); |
2024-10-25T10:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Spanish Unemployment Rate | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.3% | Source: National Statistics Institute (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous quarter; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 30 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Jan 28, 2025 | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions; | Also Called: Jobless Rate; |
2024-10-25T11:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Medium Impact Expected | German ifo Business Climate | 86.5 | 85.6 | 85.4 | Source: ifo Institute (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed manufacturers, builders, wholesalers, services, and retailers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Nov 25, 2024 | FF Notes: This survey is highly respected due to its large sample size and historic correlation with German and wider Eurozone economic conditions. It tends to create a hefty market impact upon release. Source changed series from a base year of 2000 to a base year of 2005, as of May 2011, and changed series to include services, as of Apr 2018; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 9,000 businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current business conditions and expectations for the next 6 months; | Acro Expand: Information and Forschung (ifo); |
2024-10-25T12:31:00+03:30 | CNY | Low Impact Expected | Foreign Direct Investment ytd/y | -30.4% | null | -31.5% | Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total spending on domestic capital investments by foreign companies; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 15, 2024 | FF Notes: Source does not have a reliable release schedule - this event will be listed with a date range or as 'Tentative' until the data is released. Data represents the year-to-date investment compared to the same period a year earlier; | Also Called: Yuan FDI YTD; | Acro Expand: Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Year to Date (YTD); |
2024-10-25T16:00:00+03:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | Core Retail Sales m/m | -0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level, excluding automobiles; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 50 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 22, 2024 | FF Notes: Automobile sales account for about 20% of Retail Sales, but they tend to be very volatile and distort the underlying trend. The Core data is therefore thought to be a better gauge of spending trends; | Also Called: Retail Sales Ex Autos; |
2024-10-25T16:25:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Belgian NBB Business Climate | -12.8 | -12.7 | -13.3 | FF Notice: Source released data 5 minutes earlier than scheduled; | Source: National Bank of Belgium (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed manufacturers, builders, services, and trade-related firms; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Nov 25, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. This survey is highly respected due to its source and large sample size. Source changed series calculation formula as of April 2009; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 3,000 businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current business conditions and expectations for the next 3 months; | Also Called: Business Confidence Gross Synthetic Curve; | Acro Expand: National Bank of Belgium (NBB); |
2024-10-25T17:30:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment | 70.5 | 69.2 | 68.9 | Source: University of Michigan (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the last Friday of the current month; | Next Release: Nov 22, 2024 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this data released about 15 days apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have more impact; | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 800 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current and future economic conditions; | Acro Expand: University of Michigan (UoM); |
2024-10-25T18:30:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Collins Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to participate in a fireside chat at the Mass Black Expo, in Boston; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Nov 15, 2024 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member 2022 and 2025; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-10-25T23:59:59+03:30 | All | Low Impact Expected | IMF Meetings | null | null | null | Description: Due to meet about a range of global economic issues, including the world economic outlook, poverty eradication, economic development, and aid effectiveness, in Washington DC; | Source: IMF (latest release) | Next Release: Oct 26, 2024 | FF Notes: IMF meetings are usually held twice a year and are attended by the representatives of IMF and the World Bank. Meetings are open to the press and officials usually talk with reporters throughout the day. A formal statement covering policy shifts and meeting objectives is released after the meetings have concluded. Both the comments and statement can create market volatility; | Acro Expand: International Monetary Fund (IMF); |
2024-10-26T18:50:00+03:30 | GBP | Medium Impact Expected | BOE Gov Bailey Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to participate in a panel discussion at the G30 Annual International Banking Seminar, in Washington DC; | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Speaker: BOE Governor Andrew Bailey; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Nov 7, 2024 | FF Notes: BOE Governor Mar 2020 - Mar 2028. Volatility is often experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Bank of England (BOE); |
2024-10-26T23:59:59+03:30 | All | Low Impact Expected | IMF Meetings | null | null | null | Description: Due to meet about a range of global economic issues, including the world economic outlook, poverty eradication, economic development, and aid effectiveness, in Washington DC; | Source: IMF (latest release) | Next Release: Apr 21, 2025 | FF Notes: IMF meetings are usually held twice a year and are attended by the representatives of IMF and the World Bank. Meetings are open to the press and officials usually talk with reporters throughout the day. A formal statement covering policy shifts and meeting objectives is released after the meetings have concluded. Both the comments and statement can create market volatility; | Acro Expand: International Monetary Fund (IMF); |
2024-10-27T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Non-Economic | Daylight Saving Time Shift | null | null | null | Description: Most European countries exit DST and clocks are moved backward by 1 hour; | Frequency: Twice per year; | Next Release: Mar 30, 2025 | Acro Expand: Daylight Saving Time (DST); |
2024-10-27T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Non-Economic | Daylight Saving Time Shift | null | null | null | Description: The UK exists DST and clocks are moved backward by 1 hour; | Frequency: Twice per year; | Next Release: Mar 30, 2025 | Acro Expand: Daylight Saving Time (DST); |
2024-10-27T05:30:00+03:30 | CHF | Non-Economic | Daylight Saving Time Shift | null | null | null | Description: Switzerland exits DST and clocks are moved backward by 1 hour; | Frequency: Twice per year; | Next Release: Mar 30, 2025 | Acro Expand: Daylight Saving Time (DST); |
2024-10-27T23:59:59+03:30 | JPY | High Impact Expected | Lower House Elections | null | null | null | Description: Voters will elect 465 members to the Japanese Lower House of Parliament, from which a government will be formed; | Source: Diet | Frequency: Every 4 years, with snap elections possible in between; | FF Notes: The winners will likely be projected before the official vote count is announced, based on early vote counts and exit polling; |
2024-10-27T23:59:59+03:30 | NZD | Non-Economic | Bank Holiday | null | null | null | Description: New Zealand banks will be closed in observance of Labor Day; | Usual Effect: Low liquidity and irregular volatility; | Next Release: Dec 24, 2024 | FF Notes: Most Forex brokers remain open for every holiday except Christmas and New Year's Day. Stock markets and banks have slightly different holiday schedules; | Why Traders Care: Banks facilitate the majority of foreign exchange volume. When they are closed the market is less liquid and speculators become a more dominant market influence. This can lead to both abnormally low and abnormally high volatility; |
2024-10-28T14:30:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | CBI Realized Sales | -6 | -9 | 4 | Source: Confederation of British Industry (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed retailers and wholesalers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the end of the current month; | Next Release: Nov 26, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 0 indicates higher sales volume, below indicates lower. Source changed series calculation formula as of July 2009; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer spending because retailer and wholesaler sales are directly influenced by consumer buying levels; | Derived Via: Survey of about 125 retail and wholesale companies which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current sales volume; | Also Called: Distributive Trades Survey; | Acro Expand: Confederation of British Industry (CBI); |
2024-10-28T16:30:00+03:30 | CNY | Low Impact Expected | CB Leading Index m/m | -0.2% | null | -0.2% | Source: The Conference Board Inc. (latest release) | Measures: Change in the level of a composite index based on 8 economic indicators; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 24 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 25, 2024 | FF Notes: This index is designed to predict the direction of the economy, but it tends to have a muted impact because most of the indicators used in the calculation are released previously. Source first released in May 2010; | Derived Via: Combined reading of 8 economic indicators related to consumer expectations, export orders, industry profitability, logistics index, total loans issued, construction started, labour demand and imports of capital goods; | Also Called: Leading Indicators; | Acro Expand: The Conference Board (CB); |
2024-10-28T21:00:00+03:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | BOC Gov Macklem Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to participate in a fireside chat about state of the Canadian economy at The Logic Summit, in Toronto; | Source: Bank of Canada (latest release) | Speaker: BOC Governor Tiff Macklem; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Oct 29, 2024 | FF Notes: BOC Governor Jun 2020 - Jun 2027. Volatility is sometimes experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Bank of Canada (BOC); |
2024-10-29T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | JOLTS Job Openings | 7.44M | 7.98M | 7.86M | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Number of job openings during the reported month, excluding the farming industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Dec 3, 2024 | FF Notes: It's released late, but can impact the market because job openings are a leading indicator of overall employment; | Why Traders Care: Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Acro Expand: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS); |
2024-10-29T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | HPI m/m | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | Source: FHFA (latest release) | Measures: Change in the purchase price of homes with mortgages backed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 60 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 26, 2024 | FF Notes: Source began m/m frequency in Mar 2008; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity; | Acro Expand: House Price Index (HPI); |
2024-10-29T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Prelim Wholesale Inventories m/m | -0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of goods held in inventory by wholesalers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 27, 2024 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release, which the source first reported in Aug 2016, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. | Why Traders Care: It's a signal of future business spending because companies are more likely to purchase goods once they have depleted inventories; | Also Called: Advance Economic Indicators; |
2024-10-29T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Mortgage Approvals | 66K | 65K | 65K | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Measures: Number of new mortgages approved for home purchases during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 29, 2024 | FF Notes: Tends to have a muted impact because about 60% of all mortgages are covered by the BBA Mortgage Approvals data released a few days earlier; | Also Called: Approvals Secured on Dwellings; | Acro Expand: Bank of England (BOE); |
2024-10-29T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Net Lending to Individuals m/m | 3.8B | 4.1B | 4.2B | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new credit issued to consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 29, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's correlated with consumer spending and confidence - rising debt levels are a sign that lenders feel comfortable issuing loans, and that consumers are confident in their financial position and eager to spend money; |
2024-10-29T03:00:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Unemployment Rate | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | Source: Statistics Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 29, 2024 | FF Notes: Tends to have a muted impact relative to employment data from other countries because the Japanese economy is more reliant on the industrial sector than personal spending; | Also Called: Jobless Rate; |
2024-10-29T03:31:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | BRC Shop Price Index y/y | -0.8% | null | -0.6% | Source: British Retail Consortium (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods purchased at BRC-member retail stores; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually the last Wednesday of the current month; | Next Release: Nov 26, 2024 | FF Notes: Leads the government-released consumer inflation data by about 10 days, but has a narrower scope as it only includes goods purchased from retailers who belong to the BRC. This data is usually released 1 day before the Bank of England interest rate decision. Full reports are only available to BRC subscribers; | Acro Expand: British Retail Consortium (BRC); |
2024-10-29T10:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German GfK Consumer Climate | -18.3 | -20.4 | -21.0 | Source: NIQ (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the end of the current month; | Next Release: Nov 27, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism; | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 2,000 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of past and future economic conditions, including personal financial situation, climate for major purchases, and overall economic situation; | Also Called: Consumer Sentiment; |
2024-10-29T13:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | M4 Money Supply m/m | 0.6% | 0.1% | -0.1% | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total quantity of domestic currency in circulation and deposited in banks; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 29, 2024 | FF Notes: Source changed series from preliminary/final format to a single release, as of Nov 2010; | Why Traders Care: It's positively correlated with interest rates - early in the economic cycle an increasing supply of money leads to additional spending and investment, and later in the cycle expanding money supply leads to inflation; |
2024-10-29T16:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Goods Trade Balance | -108.2B | -95.9B | -94.2B | Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 27, 2024 | FF Notes: Trade in goods makes up about 75% of total trade, and therefore provides early insight into the Trade Balance data reported about 5 days later. A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported. Source first released in Jul 2015; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: International Trade in Goods, Advance Trade In Goods; |
2024-10-29T16:30:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | Source: Standard & Poor's (latest release) | Measures: Change in the selling price of single-family homes in 20 metropolitan areas; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 60 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 26, 2024 | FF Notes: This is one of the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar, as it's the primary calculation for this indicator; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity; | Also Called: S&P Corelogic CS Indices; | Acro Expand: Standard & Poor's (S&P), Case-Shiller (CS), House Price Index (HPI); |
2024-10-29T17:30:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | CB Consumer Confidence | 108.7 | 99.5 | 99.2 | Source: The Conference Board Inc. (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed households; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the last Tuesday of the current month; | Next Release: Nov 26, 2024 | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 3,000 households which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current and future economic conditions including labor availability, business conditions, and overall economic situation; | Acro Expand: The Conference Board (CB); |
2024-10-29T21:30:00+03:30 | CHF | High Impact Expected | SNB Chairman Schlegel Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak about the economic outlook and monetary policy at an event hosted by Raiffeisen Bank International, in Germany; | Source: Swiss National Bank (latest release) | Speaker: SNB Governing Board Chairman Martin Schlegel; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Oct 30, 2024 | FF Notes: SNB Chairman from Oct 2024 - July 2027. Volatility is sometimes experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Swiss National Bank (SNB); |
2024-10-29T23:00:00+03:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | BOC Gov Macklem Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to testify, along with Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers, before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance, in Ottawa; | Source: Bank of Canada (latest release) | Speaker: BOC Governor Tiff Macklem; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Oct 30, 2024 | FF Notes: BOC Governor Jun 2020 - Jun 2027. Volatility is sometimes experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Bank of Canada (BOC); |
2024-10-30T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German Prelim GDP q/q | 0.2% | -0.1% | -0.3% | Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 45 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Jan 30, 2025 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of GDP released about 10 days apart - Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health; | Also Called: First Release GDP, Preliminary GDP; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP); |
2024-10-30T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Advance GDP Price Index q/q | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (latest release) | Measures: Annualized change in the price of all goods and services included in GDP; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 30 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Jan 30, 2025 | FF Notes: While this is q/q data, it's reported in an annualized format (quarterly change x4). | Why Traders Care: It's the broadest measure of inflation, encompassing all activities included in GDP, and is a primary instrument that the central bank uses to assess inflation; | Also Called: GDP Deflator; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP); |
2024-10-30T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Italian Prelim GDP q/q | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | Source: Istat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 30 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Jan 30, 2025 | FF Notes: Data is prone to early leaks by news agencies. Leaks will be reported on the calendar but will be retracted if deemed incorrect. There are 2 versions of GDP released about 25 days apart - Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. The Final is not reported for lack of significance; | Why Traders Care: It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health; | Also Called: Preliminary GDP Estimate; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP); |
2024-10-30T00:00:00+03:30 | CHF | Low Impact Expected | UBS Economic Expectations | -7.7 | null | -8.8 | Source: UBS AG (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed institutional investors and analysts; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around about 26 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 27, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - investors and analysts are highly informed by virtue of their job, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 30 institutional investors and analysts which asks respondents to rate the relative 6-month economic outlook for Switzerland; | Also Called: CFA/UBS Economic Expectations; | Acro Expand: Union Bank of Switzerland (UBS), Chartered Financial Analysts (CFA); |
2024-10-30T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Medium Impact Expected | Spanish Flash CPI y/y | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | Source: National Statistics Institute (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the end of the current month; | Next Release: Nov 28, 2024 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this report released about two weeks apart - Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Mar 2011, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. The Final is not reported for lack of significance; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-10-30T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | French Flash GDP q/q | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | Source: INSEE (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 29 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Jan 30, 2025 | FF Notes: There are 3 versions of GDP released about 30 days apart – Flash, Prelim, and Final. The Flash release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. The Final is not reported for lack of significance. Source first released in Jan 2016; | Why Traders Care: It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health; | Also Called: GDP First Estimate; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP); |
2024-10-30T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Spanish Flash GDP q/q | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | Source: National Statistics Institute (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 30 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Jan 29, 2025 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of GDP released about 20 days apart - Flash and Final. The Flash release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. The Final is not reported for lack of significance; | Why Traders Care: It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP); |
2024-10-30T00:00:00+03:30 | AUD | High Impact Expected | CPI y/y | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 25 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 27, 2024 | FF Notes: This is among the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar. Source first released in Oct 2022; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling; | Also Called: Monthly Consumer Price Index Indicator; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-10-30T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | API Weekly Statistical Bulletin | null | null | null | Source: API (latest release) | Frequency: Released weekly, 3 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Nov 6, 2024 | Acro Expand: American Petroleum Institute (API), Energy Information Administration (EIA); |
2024-10-30T00:00:00+03:30 | AUD | High Impact Expected | Trimmed Mean CPI q/q | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | Source: Reserve Bank of Australia (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding the most volatile 30% of items; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 25 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Jan 29, 2025 | FF Notes: Data represents the underlying inflation trend through component weighting and anomaly exclusion; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-10-30T04:00:00+03:30 | AUD | High Impact Expected | CPI q/q | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 25 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Jan 29, 2025 | FF Notes: Although this data is extremely late relative to inflation data from other countries, it's the primary gauge of consumer prices and tends to create hefty market impacts; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-10-30T08:30:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Consumer Confidence | 36.2 | 36.7 | 36.9 | Source: Cabinet Office (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed households, excluding single-person homes; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 3 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 29, 2024 | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 8,400 households which asks respondents to rate the relative level of economic conditions including overall livelihood, income growth, employment, and climate for major purchases; | Also Called: Consumer Mood, Household Confidence; |
2024-10-30T10:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | French Consumer Spending m/m | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | Source: INSEE (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods expenditures by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 27 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 29, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; |
2024-10-30T11:30:00+03:30 | CHF | Low Impact Expected | KOF Economic Barometer | 99.5 | 105.1 | 104.5 | Source: KOF Economic Research Agency (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on 219 economic indicators; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the end of the current month; | Next Release: Nov 29, 2024 | FF Notes: This index is designed to predict the direction of the economy over the next 6 months. Source changed series calculation formula as of April 2006 and April 2014; | Derived Via: Combined reading of 219 economic indicators related to banking confidence, production, new orders, consumer confidence, exchange rate, money supply, interest rate spreads, stock market prices, and housing; | Also Called: KOF Leading Indicators, Konjunkturbarometer; |
2024-10-30T12:25:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German Unemployment Change | 27K | 15K | 19K | Source: Federal Employment Agency (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of unemployed people during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 29, 2024 | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions; | Also Called: Unemployment; |
2024-10-30T12:30:00+03:30 | CHF | High Impact Expected | SNB Chairman Schlegel Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak at a news conference hosted by the SNB, in Bern; | Source: Swiss National Bank (latest release) | Speaker: SNB Governing Board Chairman Martin Schlegel; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Nov 22, 2024 | FF Notes: SNB Chairman from Oct 2024 - July 2027. Volatility is sometimes experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Swiss National Bank (SNB); |
2024-10-30T13:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Prelim Flash GDP q/q | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 30 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Jan 30, 2025 | FF Notes: There are 3 versions of GDP released about 20 days apart – Preliminary Flash, Flash, and Revised. The Preliminary Flash release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. Source first released in Apr 2016; | Why Traders Care: It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health; | Also Called: GDP First Estimate; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP); |
2024-10-30T13:52:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Italian 10-y Bond Auction | 3.57|1.6 | null | 3.43|1.6 | Source: Department of Treasury (latest release) | Measures: Average yield on 10-year bonds the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction; | Usual Effect: No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications; | Frequency: Variable, about 14 times per year; | Next Release: Nov 28, 2024 | FF Notes: Auction results are reported in an 'X.XX|X.X' format - the first number is the average interest rate of the bonds sold, and the second number is the bid-to-cover ratio (number of bids made per bid accepted). Source does not give an exact release time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Why Traders Care: Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence; | Also Called: BTP Auction; | Acro Expand: Buoni del Tesoro Poliennali (BTP); |
2024-10-30T15:45:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | ADP Non-Farm Employment Change | 233K | 110K | 159K | Source: Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (latest release) | Measures: Estimated change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry and government; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the first Wednesday after the month ends; | Next Release: Dec 4, 2024 | FF Notes: This data provides an early look at employment growth, usually 2 days ahead of the government-released employment data that it's designed to mimic. Source changed series calculation formula in Feb 2007, Dec 2008, and Nov 2012, to better align with government data; | Why Traders Care: Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: ADP analyzes payroll data from more than 25 million workers to derive employment growth estimations; | Acro Expand: Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP); |
2024-10-30T16:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Advance GDP q/q | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (latest release) | Measures: Annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 30 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Jan 30, 2025 | FF Notes: While this is q/q data, it's reported in an annualized format (quarterly change x4). There are 3 versions of GDP released a month apart – Advance, Preliminary, and Final. The Advance release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health; | Also Called: GDP First Release, Estimated GDP; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP); |
2024-10-30T16:03:00+03:30 | GBP | Medium Impact Expected | Autumn Forecast Statement | null | null | null | Source: HM Treasury (latest release) | Frequency: Released annually; | Next Release: Oct 29, 2025 | FF Notes: This document provides an updated economic outlook and previews the government's budget for the coming year, including expected spending and income levels, borrowing levels, and financial objectives. It also contains comments on the latest independent economic forecasts prepared by the OBR. Source first released in Nov 2010, as a replacement for the 'Annual Pre-Budget Report'; | Why Traders Care: Domestic government spending and borrowing levels can have a significant impact on the economy - increased spending generates work for contractors and creates jobs, while borrowing levels impact the nations credit rating and provide insight into the nation's underlying fiscal position; | Acro Expand: Office of Budget Responsibility (OBR); |
2024-10-30T17:30:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Pending Home Sales m/m | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | Source: National Association of Realtors (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of homes under contract to be sold but still awaiting the closing transaction, excluding new construction; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 28 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 27, 2024 | FF Notes: This data is released about a week later than Existing Home Sales, but it's more forward-looking as a contract is signed several weeks before the home is counted as sold; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health because the sale of a home triggers a wide-reaching ripple effect. For example, renovations are done by the new owners, a mortgage is sold by the financing bank, and brokers are paid to execute the transaction; | Also Called: Pending Resales; |
2024-10-30T18:00:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Crude Oil Inventories | -0.5M | 1.5M | 5.5M | Source: Energy Information Administration (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, 4 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Nov 6, 2024 | FF Notes: While this is a US indicator, it most affects the loonie due to Canada's sizable energy sector; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of supply and demand imbalances in the market, which can lead to changes in production levels and price volatility; | Also Called: Crude Stocks, Crude Levels; | Acro Expand: Energy Information Administration (EIA); |
2024-10-30T21:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German Buba President Nagel Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to deliver a speech titled "A Stable Euro in a Strong Europe" at the Frankfurt Society for Trade, Industry, and Science; | Source: Bundesbank (latest release) | Speaker: Deutsche Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Nov 18, 2024 | FF Notes: Deutsche Bundesbank President and voting member of the ECB Governing Council from Jan 2022. He's believed to be one of the most influential members of the council; | Why Traders Care: ECB Governing Council members vote on where to set the Eurozone's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Deutsche Bundesbank (Buba), European Central Bank (ECB); |
2024-10-30T23:45:00+03:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | BOC Gov Macklem Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to testify, along with Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers, before the Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Commerce and the Economy, in Ottawa; | Source: Bank of Canada (latest release) | Speaker: BOC Governor Tiff Macklem; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Dec 16, 2024 | FF Notes: BOC Governor Jun 2020 - Jun 2027. Volatility is sometimes experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Bank of Canada (BOC); |
2024-10-30T23:59:59+03:30 | EUR | High Impact Expected | German Prelim CPI m/m | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the end of the current month; | Next Release: Nov 28, 2024 | FF Notes: Listed as an 'All Day' event because the 'Actual' is comprised of data from 6 German states which report their CPI throughout the day. There are 2 versions of CPI released about 15 days apart - Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release is the Eurozone's earliest major consumer inflation; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-10-31T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Italian Prelim CPI m/m | 0.0% | -0.1% | -0.2% | Source: Istat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the end of the current month; | Next Release: Nov 29, 2024 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of CPI released about 25 days apart - Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release is extremely early but has a muted impact due to Italy's relatively small impact on the Eurozone. The Final is not included for lack of significance; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-10-31T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Medium Impact Expected | CPI Flash Estimate y/y | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the last business day of the current month; | Next Release: Nov 29, 2024 | FF Notes: Eurostat bases this estimate on energy prices and 13 euro area member states that report early CPI data. There are 2 versions of this report released about two weeks apart – Flash and Final. The report is extremely early and tends to have a significant impact; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-10-31T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | Source: Istat (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Dec 2, 2024 | FF Notes: Source first released monthly format in Dec 2009; | Also Called: Jobless Rate; |
2024-10-31T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Unemployment Rate | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Dec 2, 2024 | FF Notes: Tends to have a muted impact because there are several earlier indicators related to Eurozone labor conditions; | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions; | Also Called: Jobless Rate, Eurozone Unemployment; |
2024-10-31T00:00:00+03:30 | CNY | Medium Impact Expected | Non-Manufacturing PMI | 50.2 | 50.4 | 50.0 | Source: CFLP (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the last day of the current month; | Next Release: Nov 30, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. Chinese data can have a broad impact on the currency markets due to China's influence on the global economy and investor sentiment. Source changed series from non-seasonally adjusted to seasonally adjusted as of Apr 2012; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 1200 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP), Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI); |
2024-10-31T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Employment Cost Index q/q | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price businesses and the government pay for civilian labor; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 30 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Jan 31, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when businesses pay more for labor the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; |
2024-10-31T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Unemployment Claims | 216K | 229K | 228K | Source: Department of Labor (latest release) | Measures: The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, usually on the first Thursday after the week ends; | Next Release: Nov 7, 2024 | FF Notes: This is the nation's earliest economic data. The market impact fluctuates from week to week - there tends to be more focus on the release when traders need to diagnose recent developments, or when the reading is at extremes; | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy; | Also Called: Jobless Claims, Initial Claims; |
2024-10-31T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Personal Income m/m | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of income received from all sources by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 27, 2024 | Why Traders Care: Income is correlated with spending - the more disposable income consumers have, the more likely they are to increase spending; | Also Called: Disposable Personal Income; |
2024-10-31T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Personal Spending m/m | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all expenditures by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 27, 2024 | FF Notes: This is significant data, though it tends to have a relatively mild impact because Retail Sales, which also covers consumer spending, is released about 2 weeks earlier; | Why Traders Care: Consumer spending accounts for a majority of overall economic activity. It's one of the most important gauges of economic health due to the vast ripple effect consumer buying creates in the economy; | Also Called: Consumer Spending, Personal Consumption Expenditures; |
2024-10-31T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German Retail Sales m/m | 1.2% | -0.7% | 1.6% | Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level, excluding automobiles and gas stations; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 29, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; | Also Called: Real Retail Sales; |
2024-10-31T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Core PCE Price Index m/m | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 27, 2024 | FF Notes: Differs from Core CPI in that it only measures goods and services targeted towards and consumed by individuals. Prices are weighted according to total expenditure per item which gives important insights into consumer spending behavior. CPI is released about 10 days earlier and tends to garner most of the attention; | Why Traders Care: It's the Federal Reserve's primary inflation measure. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Acro Expand: Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-10-31T00:00:00+03:30 | JPY | High Impact Expected | Monetary Policy Statement | null | null | null | Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Dec 19, 2024 | FF Notes: Source does not give an exact release time - the event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the statement is issued. Source first released in Jul 2008. Source changed release frequency from about 14 times per year to eight times per year as of Jan 2016; | Why Traders Care: It's among the primary tools the BOJ uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on asset purchases and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it projects the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future votes; | Also Called: Interest Rate Statement; | Acro Expand: Bank of Japan (BOJ); |
2024-10-31T00:00:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Retail Sales y/y | 0.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | Source: METI (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 27 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 29, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; | Also Called: Retail Trade; |
2024-10-31T00:00:00+03:30 | AUD | Low Impact Expected | Building Approvals m/m | 4.4% | 2.2% | -3.9% | Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of new building approvals issued; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Dec 2, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's an excellent gauge of future construction activity because obtaining government approval is among the first steps in constructing a new building. Construction is important because it produces a wide-reaching ripple effect - for example, jobs are created for the construction workers, subcontractors and inspectors are hired, and various services are purchased by the builder; |
2024-10-31T00:00:00+03:30 | JPY | High Impact Expected | BOJ Policy Rate | <0.25% | <0.25% | <0.25% | Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate levied on excess current account balances held at the BOJ; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Dec 19, 2024 | FF Notes: Source does not give an exact release time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the rate is announced. This rate is currently the BOJ's main operating target. Source first released in Jan 2016; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: BOJ Policy Board members come to a consensus on where to set the rate; | Also Called: Interest Rates, Uncollateralized Overnight Call Rate; | Acro Expand: Bank of Japan (BOJ); |
2024-10-31T00:00:00+03:30 | AUD | Low Impact Expected | Import Prices q/q | -1.4% | -0.2% | 1.0% | Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods purchased by importers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 30 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Jan 30, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It contributes to inflation for businesses and consumers, especially those who rely heavily on imported goods; | Also Called: Import Price Index; |
2024-10-31T00:00:00+03:30 | AUD | Low Impact Expected | Private Sector Credit m/m | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | Source: Reserve Bank of Australia (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new credit issued to consumers and businesses; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the last business day of the following month; | Next Release: Nov 29, 2024 | Why Traders Care: Borrowing and spending are positively correlated - consumers and businesses tend to seek credit when they are confident in their future financial position and feel comfortable spending money; |
2024-10-31T03:20:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Prelim Industrial Production m/m | 1.4% | 0.9% | -3.3% | Source: METI (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 29, 2024 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this indicator released about 15 days apart - Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; |
2024-10-31T03:30:00+03:30 | NZD | Low Impact Expected | ANZ Business Confidence | 65.7 | null | 60.9 | Source: ANZ (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed manufacturers, builders, retailers, agricultural firms, and service providers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly around the end of the current month; | Next Release: Nov 28, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism. There were 2 versions of this report between Apr 2020 - Jun 2021 and Sep 2021 - Nov 2021, Prelim and Final. The 'Previous' listed between that period is the 'Actual' from the Prelim release and therefore the 'History' data appears unconnected; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 2,000 businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative 12-month economic outlook; |
2024-10-31T04:00:00+03:30 | AUD | Medium Impact Expected | Retail Sales m/m | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Dec 2, 2024 | FF Notes: This is the earliest look at vital consumer spending data. There are 2 versions of this report released about two weeks apart - Prelim and Final. The Final is not reported for lack of significance; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; |
2024-10-31T05:00:00+03:30 | CNY | High Impact Expected | Manufacturing PMI | 50.1 | 49.8 | 49.8 | Source: CFLP (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the last day of the current month; | Next Release: Nov 30, 2024 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. Tends to have more impact when it's released ahead of the Caixin Manufacturing PMI because the reports are tightly correlated. Chinese data can have a broad impact on the currency markets due to China's influence on the global economy and investor sentiment; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of 3,000 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP), Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI); |
2024-10-31T05:05:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | MPC Member Breeden Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak at the Hong Kong Monetary Authority and Bank for International Settlements joint conference, in Hong Kong; | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Speaker: BOE Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2025 | FF Notes: MPC voting member Nov 2023 - Oct 2028; | Why Traders Care: BOE MPC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Bank of England (BOE), Monetary Policy Committee (MPC); |
2024-10-31T06:18:00+03:30 | JPY | High Impact Expected | BOJ Outlook Report | null | null | null | Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly; | Next Release: Jan 24, 2025 | FF Notes: Source does not give an exact release time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the rate is announced. Source changed release frequency from semiannually to quarterly as of Jan 2016; | Why Traders Care: It provides valuable insight into the bank's view of economic conditions and inflation - the key factors that will shape the future of monetary policy; | Also Called: Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices, The Bank's View; | Acro Expand: Bank of Japan (BOJ); |
2024-10-31T08:30:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Housing Starts y/y | -0.6% | -4.2% | -5.1% | Source: MLIT (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of new residential buildings that began construction; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 29, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health because building construction produces a wide-reaching ripple effect. For example, jobs are created for the construction workers, subcontractors and inspectors are hired, and various construction services are purchased by the builder; | Acro Expand: Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport, and Tourism (MILT); |
2024-10-31T10:00:00+03:30 | JPY | High Impact Expected | BOJ Press Conference | null | null | null | Source: Bank of Japan | Speaker: BOJ Governor; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Dec 19, 2024 | FF Notes: Source does not give an exact start time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the press conference starts. Source changed release frequency from about 14 times per year to eight times per year as of Jan 2016; | Why Traders Care: It's among the primary methods the BOJ uses to communicate with investors regarding monetary policy. It covers the factors that affected the most recent interest rate decision, the overall economic outlook, inflation, and clues regarding future monetary policy; | Also Called: Interest Rate Press Conference; | Acro Expand: Bank of Japan (BOJ); |
2024-10-31T10:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German Import Prices m/m | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of imported goods purchased domestically; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 26 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 29, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It contributes to inflation for businesses and consumers, especially those who rely heavily on imported goods; | Also Called: Import Price Index; |
2024-10-31T11:15:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | French Prelim CPI m/m | 0.2% | 0.2% | -1.2% | Source: INSEE (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the end of the current month; | Next Release: Nov 29, 2024 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this report released about a two weeks apart – Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release, which the source first reported in Jan 2016, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. This is one of the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar, as it's the primary calculation for this indicator; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-10-31T12:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | ECB Economic Bulletin | null | null | null | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: 8 times per year, 2 weeks after the Main Refinancing Rate is announced; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2025 | FF Notes: Tends to have a muted impact because some parts of the bulletin are released early. Source first released in Feb 2015; | Why Traders Care: It reveals the statistical data that the ECB Governing Board evaluated when making the latest interest rate decision, and provides detailed analysis of current and future economic conditions from the bank's viewpoint; | Acro Expand: European Central Bank (ECB); |
2024-10-31T13:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Medium Impact Expected | Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the last business day of the current month; | Next Release: Nov 29, 2024 | FF Notes: Eurostat bases this estimate on 13 euro area member states that report early CPI data. There are 2 versions of this report released about two weeks apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Apr 2013, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-10-31T13:33:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | 30-y Bond Auction | 4.83|3.1 | null | 4.33|2.9 | Source: Debt Management Office (latest release) | Measures: Average yield on a 30-year bond the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction; | Usual Effect: No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications; | Frequency: Variable; | Next Release: Jan 7, 2025 | FF Notes: Auction results are reported in an 'X.XX|X.X' format - the first number is the average interest rate of the bonds sold, and the second number is the bid-to-cover ratio (number of bids made per bid accepted). Source does not give an exact release time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Why Traders Care: Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence; | Also Called: Gilt Auction, Treasury Auction; |
2024-10-31T15:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Challenger Job Cuts y/y | 50.9% | null | 53.4% | Source: Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc. (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of job cuts announced by employers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the first Thursday after the month ends; | Next Release: Dec 5, 2024 | FF Notes: It's extremely early data, but historically has limited short-term correlation with overall labor conditions; | Also Called: Job Cut Announcements; |
2024-10-31T16:00:00+03:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | GDP m/m | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 60 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Nov 29, 2024 | Why Traders Care: It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP); |
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