DateTime stringdate 2007-01-01 04:30:00+0330 2025-04-07 21:30:00+0330 | Currency stringclasses 10 values | Impact stringclasses 4 values | Event stringclasses 593 values | Actual stringlengths 1 9 ⌀ | Forecast stringlengths 1 8 ⌀ | Previous stringlengths 1 9 ⌀ | Detail stringlengths 106 1.37k ⌀ |
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2024-12-05T11:15:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | French Industrial Production m/m | -0.1% | 0.2% | -0.8% | Source: INSEE (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 10, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Industrial Output; |
2024-12-05T13:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Medium Impact Expected | Construction PMI | 55.2 | 53.5 | 54.3 | Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the construction industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the third business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 7, 2025 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 150 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI); |
2024-12-05T13:07:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Spanish 10-y Bond Auction | 2.74|2.6 | null | 2.92|1.7 | Source: General Secretariat of the Treasury (latest release) | Measures: Average yield on 10-year bonds the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction; | Usual Effect: No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications; | Frequency: Variable, about 10 times per year; | Next Release: Mar 6, 2025 | FF Notes: This event includes bonds with a maturity that is a few years shorter or longer than 10 years, making the data set appear more volatile than the actual 10-year interest rate. Auction results are reported in an 'X.XX|X.X' format - the first number is the average interest rate of the bonds sold, and the second number is the bid-to-cover ratio (number of bids made per bid accepted). Source does not give an exact release time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Why Traders Care: Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence; | Also Called: Obligaciones Auction; |
2024-12-05T13:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Retail Sales m/m | -0.5% | -0.3% | 0.5% | Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2025 | FF Notes: Tends to have a relatively muted impact because Germany and France, which account for about half of the Eurozone's economy, release earlier consumer spending data; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; |
2024-12-05T16:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Challenger Job Cuts y/y | 26.8% | null | 50.9% | Source: Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc. (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of job cuts announced by employers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the first Thursday after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2025 | FF Notes: It's extremely early data, but historically has limited short-term correlation with overall labor conditions; | Also Called: Job Cut Announcements; |
2024-12-05T17:00:00+03:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | Trade Balance | -0.9B | -1.0B | -1.3B | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 7, 2025 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported. About 75% of Canadian exports are purchased by the US; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: International Merchandise Trade; |
2024-12-05T19:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Natural Gas Storage | -30B | -38B | -2B | Source: Energy Information Administration (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, 5 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Dec 12, 2024 | FF Notes: Inventories are used to maintain price stability during supply shortages and periods of increasing demand; | Also Called: Nat Gas Stocks, Nat Gas Inventories, Working Gas; | Acro Expand: Energy Information Administration (EIA); |
2024-12-05T20:30:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | MPC Member Greene Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to participate in a panel discussion titled "Global Economics: What is the path to sustained growth?" at the Global Boardroom Digital Conference hosted by the Financial Times; | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Speaker: External BOE MPC Member Megan Greene; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 12, 2025 | FF Notes: MPC voting member Jul 2023 - Jun 2026; | Why Traders Care: BOE MPC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Bank of England (BOE), Monetary Policy Committee (MPC); |
2024-12-05T23:59:59+03:30 | All | Medium Impact Expected | OPEC-JMMC Meetings | null | null | null | Source: OPEC (latest release) | Frequency: Bimonthly; | Next Release: Feb 3, 2025 | FF Notes: OPEC-JMMC meetings are attended by representatives from the 12 OPEC members and 11 other oil-rich nations. They discuss a range of issues regarding energy markets and, most importantly, agree on how much oil they will produce. The meetings are closed to the press but officials usually talk with reporters throughout the day, and a formal statement covering policy shifts and meeting objectives is released after the meetings have concluded. Source first met in Jan 2017; | Acro Expand: The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC); |
2024-12-06T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations | 2.9% | null | 2.6% | Source: University of Michigan (latest release) | Measures: Percentage that consumers expect the price of goods and services to change during the next 12 months; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the middle of the current month; | Next Release: Jan 10, 2025 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this data released 14 days apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earlier and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: Expectations of future inflation can manifest into real inflation, primarily because workers tend to push for higher wages when they believe prices will rise; | Derived Via: Survey of about 420 consumers which asks respondents where they expect prices to be 12 months in the future; | Acro Expand: University of Michigan (UoM); |
2024-12-06T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment | 74.0 | 73.3 | 71.8 | Source: University of Michigan (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the middle of the current month; | Next Release: Jan 10, 2025 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this data released 14 days apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earlier and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 420 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current and future economic conditions; | Acro Expand: University of Michigan (UoM); |
2024-12-06T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Unemployment Rate | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the first Friday after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 10, 2025 | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy; | Also Called: Jobless Rate; |
2024-12-06T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Non-Farm Employment Change | 227K | 218K | 36K | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the first Friday after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 10, 2025 | FF Notes: This is vital economic data released shortly after the month ends. The combination of importance and earliness makes for hefty market impacts; | Why Traders Care: Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Also Called: Non-Farm Payrolls, NFP, Employment Change; |
2024-12-06T00:00:00+03:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | Unemployment Rate | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 8 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 10, 2025 | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions; | Also Called: Jobless Rate; |
2024-12-06T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Revised GDP q/q | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 65 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 7, 2025 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Flash release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 3 versions of GDP released about 20 days apart Preliminary Flash, Flash, and Revised. The Preliminary Flash release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP); |
2024-12-06T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Average Hourly Earnings m/m | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price businesses pay for labor, excluding the farming industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the first Friday after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 10, 2025 | FF Notes: This is the earliest data related to labor inflation. Source changed series calculation formula as of Feb 2010; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when businesses pay more for labor the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; |
2024-12-06T00:00:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Household Spending y/y | -1.3% | -2.6% | -1.1% | Source: Statistics Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all expenditures by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 10, 2025 | Why Traders Care: Consumer spending accounts for a majority of overall economic activity. It's one of the most important gauges of economic health due to the vast ripple effect consumer buying creates in the economy; |
2024-12-06T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Halifax HPI m/m | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | Source: Halifax Bank of Scotland (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of homes financed by HBOS; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 5 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 7, 2025 | FF Notes: The exact release date is usually not announced by HBOS until shortly before it's released. There are 2 earlier reports on housing inflation, but this data is broad and based on HBOS's internal mortgage approval figures, which can lead sale-completion indicators by more than a month; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity; | Also Called: HBOS HPI; | Acro Expand: House Price Index (HPI), Halifax Bank of Scotland (HBOS); |
2024-12-06T03:00:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Average Cash Earnings y/y | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | Source: Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of employment income collected by workers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2025 | Why Traders Care: Income is correlated with spending - the more disposable income consumers have, the more likely they are to increase spending; | Also Called: Labor Cash Earnings, Total Cash Earnings; |
2024-12-06T08:30:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Leading Indicators | 108.6% | 108.9% | 109.1% | Source: Cabinet Office (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on 11 economic indicators; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 10, 2025 | FF Notes: This index is designed to predict the direction of the economy, but it tends to have a muted impact because most of the indicators used in the calculation are released previously. There's a revised version of this indicator released about 20 days later, but it's not included for lack of significance. Source changed series from a diffusion index to a composite index as of Jun 2008 and changed series calculation formula as of Jul 2023; | Derived Via: Combined reading of 11 economic indicators related to employment, production, new orders, consumer confidence, housing, stock prices, money supply, and interest rate spreads; |
2024-12-06T10:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German Industrial Production m/m | -1.0% | 1.0% | -2.0% | Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Industrial Output; |
2024-12-06T11:15:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | French Trade Balance | -7.7B | -8.0B | -8.4B | Source: Ministry for the Economy and Finance (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 8, 2025 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: Foreign Trade; |
2024-12-06T11:30:00+03:30 | CHF | Low Impact Expected | Foreign Currency Reserves | 725B | null | 719B | Source: Swiss National Bank (latest release) | Measures: Total value of foreign currency reserves held by the SNB; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the fifth business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It provides insight into the SNB's currency market operations, such as how actively they are defending the franc's exchange rate against the euro; | Acro Expand: Swiss National Bank (SNB); |
2024-12-06T12:31:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Italian Retail Sales m/m | -0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | FF Notice: Source released data 59 minutes earlier than scheduled; | Source: Istat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 10, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; |
2024-12-06T13:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Final Employment Change q/q | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of employed people; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 65 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 7, 2025 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Flash release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this report released about 20 days apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Nov 2018, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; |
2024-12-06T17:00:00+03:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | Employment Change | 50.5K | 24.7K | 14.5K | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of employed people during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 8 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 10, 2025 | FF Notes: This is vital economic data released shortly after the month ends. The combination of importance and earliness makes for hefty market impacts; | Why Traders Care: Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; |
2024-12-06T17:45:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Bowman Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak at the Missouri Bankers Association Executive Management Conference. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2025 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member Nov 2018 - Jan 2034; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-12-06T18:30:00+03:30 | CAD | Medium Impact Expected | Ivey PMI | 52.3 | 53.1 | 52.0 | FF Notice: Initial release time was shifted 24 hours later due to source rescheduling; | Source: Richard Ivey School of Business (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 5 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 7, 2025 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. Source changed series from non-seasonally adjusted to seasonally adjusted as of Mar 2011; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy; | Derived Via: Survey of about 175 purchasing managers, selected geographically and by sector of activity to match the economy as a whole, which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI); |
2024-12-06T19:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to participate in a fireside chat at the Annual Economic Outlook Symposium hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Jan 10, 2025 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member 2023 and 2025; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-12-06T20:30:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Hammack Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak about the economic outlook at the City Club of Cleveland Friday Forum. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 11, 2025 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member 2024; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-12-06T21:30:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Daly Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to participate in a panel discussion at the Hoover Institution, in Stanford. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Dec 20, 2024 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member 2018, 2021, and 2024; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2024-12-06T23:30:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Consumer Credit m/m | 19.2B | 10.4B | 3.2B | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of outstanding consumer credit that requires installment payments; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 8, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's correlated with consumer spending and confidence - rising debt levels are a sign that lenders feel comfortable issuing loans, and that consumers are confident in their financial position and eager to spend money; |
2024-12-09T00:00:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Current Account | 2.41T | 2.28T | 1.27T | Source: Ministry of Finance (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral transfers during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 14, 2025 | FF Notes: The goods portion has no impact because it's a duplicate of the Trade Balance data released about 20 days earlier; | Why Traders Care: It's directly linked to currency demand - a rising surplus indicates that foreigners are buying more of the domestic currency to execute transactions in the country; | Also Called: Adjusted Current Account; |
2024-12-09T00:00:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Final GDP Price Index y/y | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | Source: Cabinet Office (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of all goods and services included in GDP; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 70 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 11, 2025 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. | Also Called: GDP Deflator; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP); |
2024-12-09T00:00:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Final GDP q/q | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | Source: Cabinet Office (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 70 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 11, 2025 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of GDP released about a month apart - Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. Source changed series calculation formula as of Dec 2004, Aug 2002, and Dec 2000; | Why Traders Care: It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP); |
2024-12-09T00:00:00+03:30 | CNY | Medium Impact Expected | PPI y/y | -2.5% | -2.8% | -2.9% | Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods purchased and sold by producers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when producers pay and charge more for goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI); |
2024-12-09T03:20:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Bank Lending y/y | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of outstanding bank loans issued to consumers and businesses; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 9 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 14, 2025 | Why Traders Care: Borrowing and spending are positively correlated - consumers and businesses tend to seek credit when they are confident in their future financial position and feel comfortable spending money; |
2024-12-09T05:00:00+03:30 | CNY | Medium Impact Expected | CPI y/y | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 9, 2025 | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to respond by raising interest rates; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the sampling done a year earlier; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-12-09T08:30:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Economy Watchers Sentiment | 49.4 | 47.3 | 47.5 | Source: Cabinet Office (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed workers who directly observe consumer spending by virtue of their job; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 9 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 14, 2025 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism; | Derived Via: Survey of about 2,050 workers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current economic conditions; | Also Called: Eco Watchers Current Index; |
2024-12-09T11:30:00+03:30 | CHF | Low Impact Expected | SECO Consumer Climate | -37 | -38 | -37 | Source: SECO (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed households; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, excluding January, about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2025 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism. Source changed series calculation formula as of Nov 09. Source changed release frequency from quarterly to monthly as of Feb 2024; | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 2,800 households which asks respondents to rate the relative level of past and future economic conditions; | Acro Expand: State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO); |
2024-12-09T13:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Sentix Investor Confidence | -17.5 | -12.4 | -12.8 | Source: Sentix (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed investors and analysts; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the first or second Monday of the current month; | Next Release: Jan 6, 2025 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - investors and analysts are highly informed by virtue of their job, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 6,600 investors and analysts which asks respondents to rate the relative 6-month economic outlook for the Eurozone; |
2024-12-09T16:30:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | MPC Member Ramsden Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak about UK financial stability at the Economic and Monetary Policy Institute, in London; | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Speaker: BOE Deputy Governor David Ramsden; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 24, 2025 | FF Notes: MPC voting member Sep 2017 - Sep 2027; | Why Traders Care: BOE MPC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Bank of England (BOE), Monetary Policy Committee (MPC); |
2024-12-09T18:30:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Final Wholesale Inventories m/m | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of goods held in inventory by wholesalers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 8, 2025 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this indicator released about a week apart - Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release, which the source first reported in Aug 2016, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a signal of future business spending because companies are more likely to purchase goods once they have depleted inventories; |
2024-12-09T23:59:59+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Eurogroup Meetings | null | null | null | Source: Eurogroup (latest release) | Next Release: Jan 20, 2025 | FF Notes: Eurogroup meetings are usually held in Brussels and attended by the Eurogroup President, Finance Ministers from euro area member states, the Commissioner for economic and monetary affairs, and the President of the European Central Bank. They discuss a range of financial issues, such as euro support mechanisms and government finances. The meetings are closed to the press but officials usually talk with reporters throughout the day, and a formal statement covering meeting objectives may be released after the meetings have concluded; | Why Traders Care: The Eurogroup coordinates economic policies of the 19 euro area member states, and their initiatives and decisions can have a widespread effect on the Eurozone's economic health; |
2024-12-10T00:00:00+03:30 | AUD | High Impact Expected | RBA Rate Statement | null | null | null | Source: Reserve Bank of Australia (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Feb 18, 2025 | FF Notes: Until Dec 2007 the statement was only issued when the cash rate was changed; | Why Traders Care: It's among the primary tools the RBA Reserve Bank Board uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on interest rates and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future decisions; | Also Called: Interest Rate Statement; | Acro Expand: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA); |
2024-12-10T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Revised Unit Labor Costs q/q | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Annualized change in the price businesses pay for labor, excluding the farming industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 65 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 6, 2025 | FF Notes: While this is q/q data, it's reported in an annualized format (quarterly change x4). The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this report released a month apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; |
2024-12-10T03:20:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | M2 Money Stock y/y | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total quantity of domestic currency in circulation and deposited in banks; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2025 | FF Notes: Much of this data is released in the Monetary Base report about a week earlier; | Why Traders Care: It's positively correlated with interest rates - early in the economic cycle an increasing supply of money leads to additional spending and investment, and later in the cycle expanding money supply leads to inflation; |
2024-12-10T04:00:00+03:30 | AUD | Low Impact Expected | NAB Business Confidence | -3 | null | 5 | Source: National Australia Bank Limited (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed businesses, excluding the farming industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 28, 2025 | FF Notes: Above 0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. There's a quarterly and monthly version of this survey - although the monthly survey is more timely and tends to have greater impact, the quarterly version has a larger sample size and additional questions regarding expectations; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 350 businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current business conditions; | Acro Expand: National Australia Bank (NAB); |
2024-12-10T06:36:00+03:30 | CNY | Low Impact Expected | USD-Denominated Trade Balance | 97.4B | 94.0B | 95.7B | Source: CGAC | Measures: Trade Balance in US Dollars terms; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, excluding Feb, about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2025 | FF Notes: Source does not have a reliable release schedule - this event will be listed with a date range or as 'Tentative' until the data is released. Tends to have a muted impact because similar insights are included with the Yuan-denominated Trade Balance, released about an hour earlier; | Acro Expand: Customs General Administration of China (CGAC); |
2024-12-10T06:37:00+03:30 | CNY | Low Impact Expected | Trade Balance | 693B | 682B | 679B | Source: CGAC (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, excluding Feb, about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 13, 2025 | FF Notes: Source does not have a reliable release schedule - this event will be listed with a date range or as 'Tentative' until the data is released. A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported. Source first reported this Yuan-denominated data in Feb 2015; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners usually buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Acro Expand: Customs General Administration of China (CGAC); |
2024-12-10T07:00:00+03:30 | AUD | High Impact Expected | Cash Rate | 4.35% | 4.35% | 4.35% | Source: Reserve Bank of Australia (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Feb 18, 2025 | FF Notes: The rate decision is usually priced into the market, so it tends to be overshadowed by the RBA Rate Statement, which is focused on the future; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: Reserve Bank Board members come to a consensus on where to set the rate; | Also Called: Interest Rates; | Acro Expand: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA); |
2024-12-10T08:00:00+03:30 | AUD | Medium Impact Expected | RBA Press Conference | null | null | null | Source: Reserve Bank of Australia | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Feb 18, 2025 | FF Notes: The press conference has 2 parts - first a prepared statement is read, then the conference is open to press questions. The questions often lead to unscripted answers that create heavy market volatility; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary method the RBA uses to communicate with investors regarding monetary policy. It covers in detail the factors that affected the most recent interest rate and other policy decisions, such as the overall economic outlook and inflation. Most importantly, it provides clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA); |
2024-12-10T09:28:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Prelim Machine Tool Orders y/y | 3.0% | null | 9.3% | FF Notice: Source released data 2 minutes earlier than scheduled; | Source: JMTBA (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new orders placed with machine tool manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2025 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart - Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. The Final is not reported for lack of significance; | Acro Expand: Japan Machine Tool Builders Association (JMTBA); |
2024-12-10T10:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German Final CPI m/m | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 16, 2025 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of CPI released about 15 days apart - Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-12-10T12:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Italian Industrial Production m/m | 0.0% | -0.1% | -0.3% | Source: Istat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 14, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Industrial Output; |
2024-12-10T14:30:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | NFIB Small Business Index | 101.7 | 94.6 | 93.7 | Source: NFIB (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed small businesses; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the second Tuesday after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 14, 2025 | FF Notes: Small Businesses are defined as an independent for-profit enterprise that employ between 1 and 250 people, not including the owners; | Derived Via: Survey of small businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative level of economic conditions including labor markets, inventories and sales, capital spending, inflation, earnings and wages, and credit markets; | Acro Expand: National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB); |
2024-12-10T17:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Annualized change in labor efficiency when producing goods and services, excluding the farming industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 65 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 6, 2025 | FF Notes: While this is q/q data, it's reported in an annualized format (quarterly change x4). The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this report released a month apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: Productivity and labor-related inflation are directly linked - a drop in a worker's productivity is equivalent to a rise in their wage. When businesses pay more for labor the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; |
2024-12-10T23:59:59+03:30 | All | Medium Impact Expected | OPEC Meetings | null | null | null | Source: OPEC (latest release) | Frequency: Twice per year; | Next Release: May 28, 2025 | FF Notes: OPEC meetings are usually held in Vienna and are attended by representatives from 12 oil-rich nations. They discuss a range of issues regarding energy markets and, most importantly, agree on how much oil they will produce. The meetings are closed to the press but officials usually talk with reporters throughout the day, and a formal statement covering policy shifts and meeting objectives is released after the meetings have concluded; | Why Traders Care: OPEC nations represent around 40% of the world's oil supply and are unified in their oil production levels. With so much control over oil's supply-side, shifts in their production levels can have a significant impact on oil prices; | Acro Expand: The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC); |
2024-12-10T23:59:59+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | ECOFIN Meetings | null | null | null | Source: European Council (latest release) | Next Release: Jan 21, 2025 | FF Notes: ECOFIN meetings are usually held in Brussels and attended by Finance Ministers from EU member states. They discuss a range of financial issues, such as euro support mechanisms and government finances. The meetings are closed to the press but officials usually talk with reporters throughout the day, and a formal statement covering meeting objectives may be released after the meetings have concluded; | Why Traders Care: ECOFIN is the Eurozone's broadest financial decision making body. The council coordinates economic policies of the 28 member states, and their initiatives and decisions can have a widespread effect on the Eurozone's economic health; | Acro Expand: The Economic and Financial Affairs Council (ECOFIN); |
2024-12-11T00:00:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | PPI y/y | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods sold by corporations; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 12 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 16, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when corporations raise the price of their goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Also Called: CGPI; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI), Corporate Goods Price Index (CGPI); |
2024-12-11T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Crude Oil Inventories | -1.4M | -1.0M | -5.1M | Source: Energy Information Administration (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, 4 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Dec 18, 2024 | FF Notes: While this is a US indicator, it most affects the loonie due to Canada's sizable energy sector; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of supply and demand imbalances in the market, which can lead to changes in production levels and price volatility; | Also Called: Crude Stocks, Crude Levels; | Acro Expand: Energy Information Administration (EIA); |
2024-12-11T00:00:00+03:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | Overnight Rate | 3.25% | 3.25% | 3.75% | Source: Bank of Canada (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate at which major financial institutions borrow and lend overnight funds between themselves; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Jan 29, 2025 | FF Notes: The rate decision is usually priced into the market, so it tends to be overshadowed by the BOC Rate Statement, which is focused on the future; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: BOC Governing Council members come to a consensus on where to set the rate; | Also Called: Interest Rates, Key Interest Rate; | Acro Expand: Bank of Canada (BOC); |
2024-12-11T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | CPI y/y | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2025 | FF Notes: This is among the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-12-11T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | CPI m/m | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2025 | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-12-11T01:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | API Weekly Statistical Bulletin | null | null | null | Source: API (latest release) | Frequency: Released weekly, 3 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Dec 18, 2024 | Acro Expand: American Petroleum Institute (API), Energy Information Administration (EIA); |
2024-12-11T01:15:00+03:30 | NZD | Low Impact Expected | Manufacturing Sales q/q | -0.1% | null | 0.9% | Source: Statistics New Zealand (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the manufacturing level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 70 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 11, 2025 | Also Called: Economic Survey of Manufacturing, Manufacturing Activity; |
2024-12-11T03:20:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | BSI Manufacturing Index | 6.3 | 1.8 | 4.5 | Source: Ministry of Finance (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed large manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 70 days into the current quarter; | Next Release: Mar 12, 2025 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism. This survey is used to predict the BOJ's Tankan survey released about a week later; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 14,400 large manufacturers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of general business conditions; | Acro Expand: Business Survey Index (BSI), Bank of Japan (BOJ); |
2024-12-11T10:30:00+03:30 | AUD | Low Impact Expected | RBA Deputy Gov Hauser Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak at the Australian Annual Dinner, in Sydney. Audience questions expected; | Source: Reserve Bank of Australia (latest release) | Speaker: RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Mar 5, 2025 | FF Notes: Deputy Governor from Feb 2024; | Why Traders Care: He's responsible for advising Reserve Bank Board members - who decide where to set the nation's key interest rates - on matters relating to economics, and his public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future policy shifts; |
2024-12-11T13:35:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | 10-y Bond Auction | 4.33|2.9 | null | 4.48|2.8 | Source: Debt Management Office (latest release) | Measures: Average yield on 10-year bonds the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction; | Usual Effect: No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications; | Frequency: Variable, about 11 times per year; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2025 | FF Notes: Auction results are reported in an 'X.XX|X.X' format - the first number is the average interest rate of the bonds sold, and the second number is the bid-to-cover ratio (number of bids made per bid accepted). Source does not give an exact release time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Why Traders Care: Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence; | Also Called: Gilt Auction, Treasury Auction; |
2024-12-11T17:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Core CPI m/m | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2025 | FF Notes: Food and energy prices account for about a quarter of CPI, but they tend to be very volatile and distort the underlying trend. The Federal Open Market Committee usually pays more attention to the Core data - so do traders; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Also Called: CPI Ex Food and Energy, Underlying CPI; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2024-12-11T18:15:00+03:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | BOC Rate Statement | null | null | null | Source: Bank of Canada (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Jan 29, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's the primary tool the BOC uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on interest rates and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future decisions; | Also Called: Interest Rate Statement; | Acro Expand: Bank of Canada (BOC); |
2024-12-11T19:00:00+03:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | BOC Press Conference | null | null | null | FF Notice: Source released speech text 45 minutes earlier than scheduled; | Source: Bank of Canada (latest release) | Speaker: BOC Governor and Senior Deputy Governor; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Jan 29, 2025 | FF Notes: The press conference has 2 parts - first a prepared statement is read, then the conference is open to press questions. The questions often lead to unscripted answers that create heavy market volatility. The press conference is webcasted on the BOC website; | Why Traders Care: It's among the primary method the BOC uses to communicate with investors regarding monetary policy. It covers in detail the factors that affected the most recent interest rate decision, such as the overall economic outlook and inflation. Most importantly, it provides clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Bank of Canada (BOC); |
2024-12-11T21:31:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | 10-y Bond Auction | 4.24|2.7 | null | 4.35|2.6 | Source: Treasury Direct (latest release) | Measures: Highest yield on 10-year bonds the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction; | Usual Effect: No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications; | Frequency: Conducted monthly; | Next Release: Jan 7, 2025 | FF Notes: Auction results are reported in an 'X.XX|X.X' format - the first number is the highest interest rate of the bonds sold, and the second number is the bid-to-cover ratio (number of bids made per bid accepted); | Why Traders Care: Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence; | Also Called: Treasury Auction, Note Auction; |
2024-12-11T22:30:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Federal Budget Balance | -366.8B | -349.0B | -257.5B | Source: US Department of the Treasury (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between the federal government's income and spending during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the eighth business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 14, 2025 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates a budget surplus, a negative number indicates a deficit; | Also Called: Monthly Treasury Statement, Treasury Budget; |
2024-12-12T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Unemployment Claims | 242K | 221K | 225K | Source: Department of Labor (latest release) | Measures: The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, usually on the first Thursday after the week ends; | Next Release: Dec 19, 2024 | FF Notes: This is the nation's earliest economic data. The market impact fluctuates from week to week - there tends to be more focus on the release when traders need to diagnose recent developments, or when the reading is at extremes; | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy; | Also Called: Jobless Claims, Initial Claims; |
2024-12-12T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Italian Quarterly Unemployment Rate | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | Source: Istat (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous quarter; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 60 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Mar 13, 2025 | FF Notes: This is the seasonally adjusted data (as most FF numbers are), not to be confused with the non-seasonally adjusted number reported by some news agencies. Tends to have a muted impact because there are several earlier indicators related to Eurozone labor conditions; | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions; | Also Called: Jobless Rate; |
2024-12-12T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | PPI m/m | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 14, 2025 | FF Notes: Source changed series calculation formula as of Feb 2014; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when producers charge more for goods and services the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Also Called: Finished Goods PPI, Wholesale Prices, PPI for Final Demand; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI); |
2024-12-12T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Core PPI m/m | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers, excluding food and energy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 14, 2025 | FF Notes: Source changed series calculation formula as of Feb 2014. Food and energy prices make up about 40% of overall PPI which tends to mute the importance of the Core data; | Also Called: Core Finished Goods PPI, Core PPI for Final Demand; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI); |
2024-12-12T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | High Impact Expected | Monetary Policy Statement | null | null | null | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Jan 30, 2025 | FF Notes: The ECB usually changes the statement slightly at each release. It's these changes that traders focus on. Source first released in Mar 2016; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary tool the ECB uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on interest rates and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future decisions; | Also Called: Interest Rate Statement; | Acro Expand: European Central Bank (ECB); |
2024-12-12T00:00:00+03:30 | CHF | High Impact Expected | SNB Policy Rate | 0.50% | 0.75% | 1.00% | Source: Swiss National Bank (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate the SNB seeks to maintain in the short-term money market; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled quarterly; | Next Release: Mar 20, 2025 | FF Notes: This rate is the SNB's main operating target. The decision is usually priced into the market, so it tends to be overshadowed by the Monetary Policy Assessment, which is focused on the future. Source first released in Jun 2019; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: SNB Governing Board members come to a consensus on where to set the policy rate; | Also Called: Interest Rates; | Acro Expand: Swiss National Bank (SNB); |
2024-12-12T00:00:00+03:30 | AUD | High Impact Expected | Unemployment Rate | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 16, 2025 | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions; | Also Called: Jobless Rate; |
2024-12-12T03:31:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | RICS House Price Balance | 25% | 19% | 16% | Source: RICS (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed property surveyors; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 16, 2025 | FF Notes: Data represents the percentage of surveyors reporting a price increase in their designated area. Above 0.0% indicates more surveyors reported a rise in prices, below indicates more reported a fall; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of housing inflation because surveyors have access to the most recent price data by virtue of their job; | Acro Expand: Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS); |
2024-12-12T04:00:00+03:30 | AUD | High Impact Expected | Employment Change | 35.6K | 26.0K | 12.1K | Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of employed people during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 16, 2025 | FF Notes: This is vital economic data released shortly after the month ends. The combination of importance and earliness makes for hefty market impacts; | Why Traders Care: Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; |
2024-12-12T12:00:00+03:30 | CHF | High Impact Expected | SNB Monetary Policy Assessment | null | null | null | Source: Swiss National Bank (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled quarterly; | Next Release: Mar 20, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's the primary tool the SNB Governing Board uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on interest rates and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it projects the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future rate decisions; | Also Called: Interest Rate Statement, SNB Statement; | Acro Expand: Swiss National Bank (SNB); |
2024-12-12T12:30:00+03:30 | CHF | High Impact Expected | SNB Press Conference | null | null | null | Source: Swiss National Bank (latest release) | Speaker: SNB Chairman and Governing Board Members; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled quarterly; | Next Release: Mar 20, 2025 | FF Notes: The conference is held when rates are announced in June and December. It's about an hour long and has 2 parts - first the prepared statements are read, then the conference is open to press questions. The questions often lead to unscripted answers that create market volatility; | Why Traders Care: It's among the primary tools the SNB Governing Board uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy and the economic outlook; | Also Called: Interest Rate Media Conference; | Acro Expand: Swiss National Bank (SNB); |
2024-12-12T13:45:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Italian 10-y Bond Auction | 3.19|2.1 | null | 3.39|1.6 | FF Notice: Release time comes as a surprise from source. For historical accuracy, this event was added to the calendar at its release time; | Source: Department of Treasury (latest release) | Measures: Average yield on 10-year bonds the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction; | Usual Effect: No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications; | Frequency: Variable, about 14 times per year; | Next Release: Jan 30, 2025 | FF Notes: Auction results are reported in an 'X.XX|X.X' format - the first number is the average interest rate of the bonds sold, and the second number is the bid-to-cover ratio (number of bids made per bid accepted). Source does not give an exact release time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Why Traders Care: Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence; | Also Called: BTP Auction; | Acro Expand: Buoni del Tesoro Poliennali (BTP); |
2024-12-12T16:45:00+03:30 | EUR | High Impact Expected | Main Refinancing Rate | 3.15% | 3.15% | 3.40% | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate on the main refinancing operations that provide the bulk of liquidity to the banking system; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Jan 30, 2025 | FF Notes: The rate decision is usually priced into the market, so it tends to be overshadowed by the ECB Press Conference, held 45 minutes later. Source changed release frequency from monthly to eight times per year as of Jan 2015; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: The 6 members of the ECB Executive Board and 15 of the 20 governors of the Euro area central banks vote on where to set the rate, via rotation. The split of votes is not publicly revealed; | Also Called: Interest Rates, Refi Rate, Repo Rate, Minimum Bid Rate; | Acro Expand: European Central Bank (ECB); |
2024-12-12T17:00:00+03:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | Building Permits m/m | -3.1% | -4.8% | 11.5% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new building permits issued; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 10, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's an excellent gauge of future construction activity because obtaining a permit is among the first steps in constructing a new building; |
2024-12-12T17:15:00+03:30 | EUR | High Impact Expected | ECB Press Conference | null | null | null | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Speaker: ECB President and Vice President; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year, about 45 minutes after the Minimum Bid Rate is announced; | Next Release: Jan 30, 2025 | FF Notes: The press conference is about an hour long and has 2 parts - first a prepared statement is read, then the conference is open to press questions. The questions often lead to unscripted answers that create heavy market volatility. The press conference is webcasted on the ECB website with a slight delay from real-time. Source changed release frequency from monthly to eight times per year as of Jan 2015; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary method the ECB uses to communicate with investors regarding monetary policy. It covers in detail the factors that affected the most recent interest rate and other policy decisions, such as the overall economic outlook and inflation. Most importantly, it provides clues regarding future monetary policy; | Also Called: Interest Rate Statement, ECB News Conference; | Acro Expand: European Central Bank (ECB); |
2024-12-12T18:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | CB Leading Index m/m | 0.0% | null | 0.0% | Source: The Conference Board Inc. (latest release) | Measures: Change in the level of a composite index based on 7 economic indicators; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 17, 2025 | FF Notes: This index is designed to predict the direction of the economy, but it tends to have a muted impact because most of the indicators used in the calculation are released previously; | Derived Via: Combined reading of 7 economic indicators related to production, new orders, consumer confidence, stock prices, and interest rate spreads; | Also Called: Leading Indicators; | Acro Expand: The Conference Board (CB); |
2024-12-12T19:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Natural Gas Storage | -190B | -172B | -30B | Source: Energy Information Administration (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, 5 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Dec 19, 2024 | FF Notes: Inventories are used to maintain price stability during supply shortages and periods of increasing demand; | Also Called: Nat Gas Stocks, Nat Gas Inventories, Working Gas; | Acro Expand: Energy Information Administration (EIA); |
2024-12-12T21:31:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | 30-y Bond Auction | 4.54|2.4 | null | 4.61|2.6 | Source: Treasury Direct (latest release) | Measures: Highest yield on a 30-year bond the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction; | Usual Effect: No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications; | Frequency: Conducted monthly; | Next Release: Jan 8, 2025 | FF Notes: Auction results are reported in an 'X.XX|X.X' format - the first number is the highest interest rate of the bonds sold, and the second number is the bid-to-cover ratio (number of bids made per bid accepted); | Why Traders Care: Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence; | Also Called: Treasury Auction; |
2024-12-13T00:00:00+03:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | Manufacturing Sales m/m | 2.1% | 1.2% | -0.6% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales made by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - manufacturers are quickly affected by market conditions, and changes in their sales can be an early signal of future activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Also Called: Manufacturing Shipments, Factory Sales; |
2024-12-13T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Industrial Production m/m | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.5% | Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2025 | FF Notes: Tends to have a relatively mild impact because Germany and France, which account for about half of the Eurozone's economy, release earlier production data; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Industrial Output; |
2024-12-13T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Manufacturing Production m/m | -0.6% | 0.2% | -1.0% | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 16, 2025 | FF Notes: Manufacturing makes up around 80% of total Industrial Production and tends to dominate the market impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Factory production; |
2024-12-13T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Industrial Production m/m | -0.6% | 0.3% | -0.5% | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 16, 2025 | FF Notes: Mines and utilities make up around 20% of total production, so this data tends to be overshadowed by Manufacturing Production which makes up the other 80%; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; |
2024-12-13T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Index of Services 3m/3m | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total GVA of the private and government services sectors; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 16, 2025 | FF Notes: GVA is the difference between the value of a service provided and the value of the goods and services used to provide the service; | Acro Expand: Gross Value Added (GVA); |
2024-12-13T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Goods Trade Balance | -19.0B | -16.1B | -16.3B | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 16, 2025 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: Visible Trade Balance; |
2024-12-13T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Construction Output m/m | -0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total amount builders spent on construction projects; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 16, 2025 | FF Notes: Source first released in Jul 2013; |
2024-12-13T00:00:00+03:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | Wholesale Sales m/m | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the wholesale level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Jan 15, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer spending - retailers generally order more goods from wholesalers when they expect consumer sales to increase; | Also Called: Wholesale Trade; |
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