DateTime stringdate 2007-01-01 04:30:00+0330 2025-04-07 21:30:00+0330 | Currency stringclasses 10 values | Impact stringclasses 4 values | Event stringclasses 593 values | Actual stringlengths 1 9 ⌀ | Forecast stringlengths 1 8 ⌀ | Previous stringlengths 1 9 ⌀ | Detail stringlengths 106 1.37k ⌀ |
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2025-02-07T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German Trade Balance | 20.7B | 17.0B | 19.2B | Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 10, 2025 | FF Notes: This is the seasonally adjusted data (as most FF numbers are), not to be confused with the non-seasonally adjusted number reported by some news agencies. A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: Foreign Trade; |
2025-02-07T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Halifax HPI m/m | 0.7% | 0.4% | -0.2% | Source: Halifax Bank of Scotland (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of homes financed by HBOS; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 5 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 7, 2025 | FF Notes: The exact release date is usually not announced by HBOS until shortly before it's released. There are 2 earlier reports on housing inflation, but this data is broad and based on HBOS's internal mortgage approval figures, which can lead sale-completion indicators by more than a month; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity; | Also Called: HBOS HPI; | Acro Expand: House Price Index (HPI), Halifax Bank of Scotland (HBOS); |
2025-02-07T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations | 4.3% | null | 3.3% | Source: University of Michigan (latest release) | Measures: Percentage that consumers expect the price of goods and services to change during the next 12 months; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the middle of the current month; | Next Release: Mar 14, 2025 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this data released 14 days apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earlier and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: Expectations of future inflation can manifest into real inflation, primarily because workers tend to push for higher wages when they believe prices will rise; | Derived Via: Survey of about 420 consumers which asks respondents where they expect prices to be 12 months in the future; | Acro Expand: University of Michigan (UoM); |
2025-02-07T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | French Trade Balance | -3.9B | -5.3B | -6.3B | FF Notice: 'Actual' data initially misstated, then rectified 4 minutes after release. We regret the error; | Source: Ministry for the Economy and Finance (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 7, 2025 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: Foreign Trade; |
2025-02-07T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Unemployment Rate | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the first Friday after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 7, 2025 | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy; | Also Called: Jobless Rate; |
2025-02-07T00:00:00+03:30 | CHF | Low Impact Expected | SECO Consumer Climate | -29 | -31 | -30 | Source: SECO (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed households; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, excluding January, about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 10, 2025 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism. Source changed series calculation formula as of Nov 09. Source changed release frequency from quarterly to monthly as of Feb 2024; | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 2,800 households which asks respondents to rate the relative level of past and future economic conditions; | Acro Expand: State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO); |
2025-02-07T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Non-Farm Employment Change | 143K | 169K | 307K | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the first Friday after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 7, 2025 | FF Notes: This is vital economic data released shortly after the month ends. The combination of importance and earliness makes for hefty market impacts; | Why Traders Care: Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Also Called: Non-Farm Payrolls, NFP, Employment Change; |
2025-02-07T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Average Hourly Earnings m/m | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price businesses pay for labor, excluding the farming industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the first Friday after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 7, 2025 | FF Notes: This is the earliest data related to labor inflation. Source changed series calculation formula as of Feb 2010; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when businesses pay more for labor the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; |
2025-02-07T00:00:00+03:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | Unemployment Rate | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 8 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 7, 2025 | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions; | Also Called: Jobless Rate; |
2025-02-07T00:35:00+03:30 | GBP | High Impact Expected | BOE Gov Bailey Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak at TheCityUK Annual Dinner, in London; | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Speaker: BOE Governor Andrew Bailey; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 11, 2025 | FF Notes: BOE Governor Mar 2020 - Mar 2028. Volatility is often experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Bank of England (BOE); |
2025-02-07T01:40:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Logan Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to participate in a panel discussion titled "Future challenges for monetary policy in the Americas" at the Bank for International Settlements Chapultepec Conference, in Mexico City; | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Lorie Logan; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 14, 2025 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member 2023; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2025-02-07T03:00:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Household Spending y/y | 2.7% | 0.5% | -0.4% | Source: Statistics Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all expenditures by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 11, 2025 | Why Traders Care: Consumer spending accounts for a majority of overall economic activity. It's one of the most important gauges of economic health due to the vast ripple effect consumer buying creates in the economy; |
2025-02-07T08:30:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Leading Indicators | 108.9% | 108.2% | 107.5% | Source: Cabinet Office (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on 11 economic indicators; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 10, 2025 | FF Notes: This index is designed to predict the direction of the economy, but it tends to have a muted impact because most of the indicators used in the calculation are released previously. There's a revised version of this indicator released about 20 days later, but it's not included for lack of significance. Source changed series from a diffusion index to a composite index as of Jun 2008 and changed series calculation formula as of Jul 2023; | Derived Via: Combined reading of 11 economic indicators related to employment, production, new orders, consumer confidence, housing, stock prices, money supply, and interest rate spreads; |
2025-02-07T10:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German Industrial Production m/m | -2.4% | -0.7% | 1.3% | Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 10, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Industrial Output; |
2025-02-07T11:15:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | French Prelim Private Payrolls q/q | -0.2% | -0.1% | 0.1% | Source: INSEE (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of employed people, excluding the farming industry and government; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 45 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: May 7, 2025 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this indicator released about a month apart - Preliminary and Final. Both tend to have a muted impact because there are several earlier indicators related to Eurozone labor conditions; | Why Traders Care: Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Also Called: Non-Farm Employment, Provisional Employment; |
2025-02-07T11:30:00+03:30 | CHF | Low Impact Expected | Foreign Currency Reserves | 736B | null | 731B | Source: Swiss National Bank (latest release) | Measures: Total value of foreign currency reserves held by the SNB; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the fifth business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 7, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It provides insight into the SNB's currency market operations, such as how actively they are defending the franc's exchange rate against the euro; | Acro Expand: Swiss National Bank (SNB); |
2025-02-07T15:45:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | MPC Member Pill Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak about the Monetary Policy Report at the virtual National Agency Briefing; | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Speaker: BOE Chief Economist Huw Pill; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 25, 2025 | FF Notes: MPC voting member Sep 2021 - Sep 2027; | Why Traders Care: BOE MPC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Bank of England (BOE), Monetary Policy Committee (MPC); |
2025-02-07T17:00:00+03:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | Employment Change | 76.0K | 25.5K | 90.9K | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of employed people during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 8 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 7, 2025 | FF Notes: This is vital economic data released shortly after the month ends. The combination of importance and earliness makes for hefty market impacts; | Why Traders Care: Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; |
2025-02-07T17:55:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Bowman Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak about the economy and bank regulation at the Wisconsin Bankers Association Bank Executives Conference, in Milwaukee; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 12, 2025 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member Nov 2018 - Jan 2034; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2025-02-07T18:30:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment | 67.8 | 71.9 | 71.1 | Source: University of Michigan (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the middle of the current month; | Next Release: Mar 14, 2025 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this data released 14 days apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earlier and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 420 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current and future economic conditions; | Acro Expand: University of Michigan (UoM); |
2025-02-07T19:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks | null | null | null | FF Notice: Release time comes as a surprise from source. Event added to calendar 68 minutes before release time; | Description: Due to speak in an interview conducted by Yahoo Finance; | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 20, 2025 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member 2023 and 2025; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2025-02-07T19:30:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Fed Monetary Policy Report | null | null | null | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Twice per year; | Next Release: Jun 13, 2025 | FF Notes: Report provides a summary of discussions of the conduct of monetary policy and economic developments and prospects for the future. It is submitted, along with testimony from the Federal Reserve Chair, to the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs and to the House Committee on Financial Services; | Acro Expand: Federal Reserve (Fed); |
2025-02-07T20:30:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Kugler Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak about entrepreneurship and aggregate productivity at the Miami Economic Forum. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 21, 2025 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member Sep 2023 - Jan 2026; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2025-02-07T23:30:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Consumer Credit m/m | 40.8B | 17.7B | -5.4B | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of outstanding consumer credit that requires installment payments; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 7, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's correlated with consumer spending and confidence - rising debt levels are a sign that lenders feel comfortable issuing loans, and that consumers are confident in their financial position and eager to spend money; |
2025-02-09T00:00:00+03:30 | CNY | Medium Impact Expected | PPI y/y | -2.3% | -2.2% | -2.3% | Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods purchased and sold by producers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 9, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when producers pay and charge more for goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI); |
2025-02-09T05:00:00+03:30 | CNY | Medium Impact Expected | CPI y/y | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 9, 2025 | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to respond by raising interest rates; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the sampling done a year earlier; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2025-02-10T00:00:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Current Account | 2.73T | 2.73T | 3.03T | Source: Ministry of Finance (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral transfers during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 10, 2025 | FF Notes: The goods portion has no impact because it's a duplicate of the Trade Balance data released about 20 days earlier; | Why Traders Care: It's directly linked to currency demand - a rising surplus indicates that foreigners are buying more of the domestic currency to execute transactions in the country; | Also Called: Adjusted Current Account; |
2025-02-10T03:20:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Bank Lending y/y | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of outstanding bank loans issued to consumers and businesses; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 9 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 10, 2025 | Why Traders Care: Borrowing and spending are positively correlated - consumers and businesses tend to seek credit when they are confident in their future financial position and feel comfortable spending money; |
2025-02-10T08:30:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Economy Watchers Sentiment | 48.6 | 49.7 | 49.9 | Source: Cabinet Office (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed workers who directly observe consumer spending by virtue of their job; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 9 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 10, 2025 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism; | Derived Via: Survey of about 2,050 workers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current economic conditions; | Also Called: Eco Watchers Current Index; |
2025-02-10T13:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Sentix Investor Confidence | -12.7 | -16.4 | -17.7 | Source: Sentix (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed investors and analysts; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the first or second Monday of the current month; | Next Release: Mar 10, 2025 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - investors and analysts are highly informed by virtue of their job, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 6,600 investors and analysts which asks respondents to rate the relative 6-month economic outlook for the Eurozone; |
2025-02-10T18:15:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Cleveland Fed Inflation Expectations | 3.2% | null | 3.8% | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (latest release) | Measures: Percentage that business managers expect the price of goods and services to change during the next 12 months; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released Quarterly; | Next Release: May 12, 2025 | Why Traders Care: Expectations of future inflation can manifest into real inflation, primarily because workers tend to push for higher wages when they believe prices will rise; | Derived Via: Survey of between 300 and 600 business managers which asks respondents where they expect prices to be 12 months in the future; | Also Called: Survey of Firms' Inflation Expectations; |
2025-02-10T19:45:00+03:30 | EUR | Medium Impact Expected | ECB President Lagarde Speaks | null | null | null | FF Notice: Initial release time was shifted 135 minutes later due to source rescheduling; | Description: Due to testify about the ECB Annual Report before the European Parliament, in Strasbourg; | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Speaker: ECB President Christine Lagarde; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Mar 7, 2025 | FF Notes: ECB President Nov 2019 - Nov 2027. Volatility is often experienced during her speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the ECB, which controls short term interest rates, she has more influence over the euro's value than any other person. Traders scrutinize her public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: European Central Bank (ECB); |
2025-02-11T01:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | President Trump Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to hold a press conference about his latest executive orders at the White House, in Washington DC; | Source: White House (latest release) | Speaker: US President Donald Trump; | Next Release: Feb 12, 2025 | FF Notes: US President Jan 2017 - Jan 2021 and Jan 2025 - Jan 2029. He speaks frequently on a broad range of subjects - only speeches that might have direct market impact are listed on the calendar; |
2025-02-11T03:00:00+03:30 | AUD | Low Impact Expected | Westpac Consumer Sentiment | 0.1% | null | -0.7% | Source: Westpac Banking Corporation (latest release) | Measures: Change in the level of a diffusion index based on surveyed consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the second Tuesday of the current month; | Next Release: Mar 11, 2025 | FF Notes: The impact tends to be mild but varies from month to month due to volatility in the data set; | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 1,200 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of past and future economic conditions, employment, and climate for major purchases; | Also Called: Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment; |
2025-02-11T03:31:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y | 2.5% | 1.1% | 3.1% | Source: British Retail Consortium (latest release) | Measures: Change in the value of same-store sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually the first Tuesday after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 11, 2025 | FF Notes: Leads the government-released retail data by about 10 days, but has a narrower focus as it only includes retailers who belong to the BRC. Full reports are only available to BRC subscribers; | Also Called: Like-for-like Retail Sales; | Acro Expand: British Retail Consortium (BRC); |
2025-02-11T04:00:00+03:30 | AUD | Low Impact Expected | NAB Business Confidence | 4 | null | -2 | Source: National Australia Bank Limited (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed businesses, excluding the farming industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 11, 2025 | FF Notes: Above 0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. There's a quarterly and monthly version of this survey - although the monthly survey is more timely and tends to have greater impact, the quarterly version has a larger sample size and additional questions regarding expectations; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 350 businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current business conditions; | Acro Expand: National Australia Bank (NAB); |
2025-02-11T12:15:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | MPC Member Mann Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to deliver a lecture titled "Economic Prospects" at Leeds Beckett University; | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Speaker: External BOE MPC Member Catherine Mann; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Mar 6, 2025 | FF Notes: MPC voting member Sep 2021 - Aug 2027; | Why Traders Care: BOE MPC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Bank of England (BOE), Monetary Policy Committee (MPC); |
2025-02-11T14:30:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | NFIB Small Business Index | 102.8 | 104.6 | 105.1 | Source: NFIB (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed small businesses; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the second Tuesday after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 11, 2025 | FF Notes: Small Businesses are defined as an independent for-profit enterprise that employ between 1 and 250 people, not including the owners; | Derived Via: Survey of small businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative level of economic conditions including labor markets, inventories and sales, capital spending, inflation, earnings and wages, and credit markets; | Acro Expand: National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB); |
2025-02-11T15:45:00+03:30 | GBP | High Impact Expected | BOE Gov Bailey Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to deliver a speech titled "Are we underestimating changes in financial markets?" at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, in London; | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Speaker: BOE Governor Andrew Bailey; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 18, 2025 | FF Notes: BOE Governor Mar 2020 - Mar 2028. Volatility is often experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Bank of England (BOE); |
2025-02-11T17:00:00+03:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | Building Permits m/m | 11.0% | 1.6% | -5.6% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new building permits issued; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 13, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's an excellent gauge of future construction activity because obtaining a permit is among the first steps in constructing a new building; |
2025-02-11T17:20:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Hammack Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak about the economic outlook at the Economic Outlook Conference hosted by the University of Kentucky. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 27, 2025 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member 2024; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2025-02-11T18:30:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Fed Chair Powell Testifies | null | null | null | Description: Due to testify about Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report before the Senate Banking Committee, in Washington DC; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 12, 2025 | FF Notes: Fed Chair Feb 2018 - Feb 2026. Fed Governor May 2012 - Jan 2028. The testimony usually comes in 2 parts: first he reads a prepared statement (a text version is made available on the Fed's website at the start), then the committee will hold a question and answer session. Since the questions are not known beforehand they can make for some unscripted moments that lead to heavy market volatility; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Reserve (Fed); |
2025-02-11T23:59:59+03:30 | JPY | Non-Economic | Bank Holiday | null | null | null | Description: Japanese banks will be closed in observance of National Foundation Day; | Usual Effect: Low liquidity and irregular volatility; | Next Release: Feb 24, 2025 | FF Notes: Most Forex brokers remain open for every holiday except Christmas and New Year's Day. Stock markets and banks have slightly different holiday schedules; | Why Traders Care: Banks facilitate the majority of foreign exchange volume. When they are closed the market is less liquid and speculators become a more dominant market influence. This can lead to both abnormally low and abnormally high volatility; |
2025-02-12T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | CPI y/y | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 12, 2025 | FF Notes: This is among the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2025-02-12T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Bowman Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak about bank regulation at the Iowa Bankers Association Bank Management and Policy Conference, in Des Moines; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 17, 2025 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member Nov 2018 - Jan 2034; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2025-02-12T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Williams Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak at the Pace University Economics Society, in New York. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Mar 4, 2025 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member 2012, 2015, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 and 2025. In Jun 2018 his title changed from Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President to Federal Reserve Bank of New York President; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2025-02-12T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | FOMC Member Bostic Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak about the economic outlook at the National Association of Corporate Directors, in Atlanta. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 26, 2025 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member 2018, 2021, and 2024; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2025-02-12T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | CPI m/m | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 12, 2025 | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2025-02-12T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Fed Chair Powell Testifies | null | null | null | Description: Due to testify about the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report before the House Financial Services Committee, in Washington DC; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | FF Notes: Fed Chair Feb 2018 - Feb 2026. Fed Governor May 2012 - Jan 2028. The testimony usually comes in 2 parts: first he reads a prepared statement (a text version is made available on the Fed's website at the start), then the committee will hold a question and answer session. Since the questions are not known beforehand they can make for some unscripted moments that lead to heavy market volatility; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Reserve (Fed); |
2025-02-12T00:10:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | President Trump Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to hold a press conference about his latest executive orders at the White House, in Washington DC; | Source: White House (latest release) | Speaker: US President Donald Trump; | Next Release: Feb 13, 2025 | FF Notes: US President Jan 2017 - Jan 2021 and Jan 2025 - Jan 2029. He speaks frequently on a broad range of subjects - only speeches that might have direct market impact are listed on the calendar; |
2025-02-12T01:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | API Weekly Statistical Bulletin | null | null | null | Source: API (latest release) | Frequency: Released weekly, 3 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Feb 20, 2025 | Acro Expand: American Petroleum Institute (API), Energy Information Administration (EIA); |
2025-02-12T03:20:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | M2 Money Stock y/y | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total quantity of domestic currency in circulation and deposited in banks; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 11, 2025 | FF Notes: Much of this data is released in the Monetary Base report about a week earlier; | Why Traders Care: It's positively correlated with interest rates - early in the economic cycle an increasing supply of money leads to additional spending and investment, and later in the cycle expanding money supply leads to inflation; |
2025-02-12T09:29:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Prelim Machine Tool Orders y/y | 4.7% | null | 12.6% | FF Notice: Source released data 1 minute earlier than scheduled; | Source: JMTBA (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new orders placed with machine tool manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 11, 2025 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart - Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. The Final is not reported for lack of significance; | Acro Expand: Japan Machine Tool Builders Association (JMTBA); |
2025-02-12T12:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Italian Industrial Production m/m | -3.1% | -0.1% | 0.3% | Source: Istat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 14, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Industrial Output; |
2025-02-12T14:07:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German 30-y Bond Auction | 2.70|2.5 | null | 2.84|2.8 | Source: Bundesbank (latest release) | Measures: Average yield on a 30-year bond the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction; | Usual Effect: No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications; | Frequency: Variable, about 11 times per year; | Next Release: Mar 19, 2025 | FF Notes: Auction results are reported in an 'X.XX|X.X' format - the first number is the average interest rate of the bonds sold, and the second number is the bid-to-cover ratio (number of bids made per bid accepted). Source does not give an exact release time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Why Traders Care: Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence; | Also Called: Bund Auction; |
2025-02-12T17:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Core CPI m/m | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 12, 2025 | FF Notes: Food and energy prices account for about a quarter of CPI, but they tend to be very volatile and distort the underlying trend. The Federal Open Market Committee usually pays more attention to the Core data - so do traders; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Also Called: CPI Ex Food and Energy, Underlying CPI; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2025-02-12T18:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | CB Leading Index m/m | -0.1% | null | -0.1% | Source: The Conference Board Inc. (latest release) | Measures: Change in the level of a composite index based on 7 economic indicators; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 11, 2025 | FF Notes: This index is designed to predict the direction of the economy, but it tends to have a muted impact because most of the indicators used in the calculation are released previously; | Derived Via: Combined reading of 7 economic indicators related to production, new orders, consumer confidence, stock prices, and interest rate spreads; | Also Called: Leading Indicators; | Acro Expand: The Conference Board (CB); |
2025-02-12T18:30:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | MPC Member Greene Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak at the Institute of Directors, in London; | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Speaker: External BOE MPC Member Megan Greene; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Apr 1, 2025 | FF Notes: MPC voting member Jul 2023 - Jun 2026; | Why Traders Care: BOE MPC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Bank of England (BOE), Monetary Policy Committee (MPC); |
2025-02-12T19:00:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Crude Oil Inventories | 4.1M | 2.4M | 8.7M | Source: Energy Information Administration (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, 4 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Feb 20, 2025 | FF Notes: While this is a US indicator, it most affects the loonie due to Canada's sizable energy sector; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of supply and demand imbalances in the market, which can lead to changes in production levels and price volatility; | Also Called: Crude Stocks, Crude Levels; | Acro Expand: Energy Information Administration (EIA); |
2025-02-12T20:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German Buba President Nagel Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to deliver a speech titled "r* in the monetary policy universe: navigational star or dark matter?" at the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum, in London; | Source: Bundesbank (latest release) | Speaker: Deutsche Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 13, 2025 | FF Notes: Deutsche Bundesbank President and voting member of the ECB Governing Council from Jan 2022. He's believed to be one of the most influential members of the council; | Why Traders Care: ECB Governing Council members vote on where to set the Eurozone's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Deutsche Bundesbank (Buba), European Central Bank (ECB); |
2025-02-12T21:31:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | 10-y Bond Auction | 4.63|2.5 | null | 4.68|2.5 | Source: Treasury Direct (latest release) | Measures: Highest yield on 10-year bonds the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction; | Usual Effect: No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications; | Frequency: Conducted monthly; | Next Release: Mar 12, 2025 | FF Notes: Auction results are reported in an 'X.XX|X.X' format - the first number is the highest interest rate of the bonds sold, and the second number is the bid-to-cover ratio (number of bids made per bid accepted); | Why Traders Care: Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence; | Also Called: Treasury Auction, Note Auction; |
2025-02-12T22:00:00+03:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | BOC Summary of Deliberations | null | null | null | Source: Bank of Canada (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: 8 times per year, 2 weeks after the Overnight Rate is announced; | Next Release: Mar 26, 2025 | FF Notes: Source first released in Jan 2023; | Why Traders Care: It's a detailed record of the BOC's Governing Council's most recent meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic conditions that influenced their decision on where to set interest rates; | Also Called: BOC Minutes; | Acro Expand: Bank of Canada (BOC); |
2025-02-12T22:30:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Federal Budget Balance | -128.6B | -88.1B | -86.7B | Source: US Department of the Treasury (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between the federal government's income and spending during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the eighth business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 12, 2025 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates a budget surplus, a negative number indicates a deficit; | Also Called: Monthly Treasury Statement, Treasury Budget; |
2025-02-12T23:59:59+03:30 | EUR | High Impact Expected | Greek Presidential Elections | null | null | null | FF Notice: For historical accuracy, this event was added to the calendar after its release time; | Source: Greek Presidency | Frequency: Every 5 years; | FF Notes: The winner will likely be projected before the official vote count is announced, based on early vote counts and exit polling; |
2025-02-13T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Index of Services 3m/3m | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total GVA of the private and government services sectors; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 14, 2025 | FF Notes: GVA is the difference between the value of a service provided and the value of the goods and services used to provide the service; | Acro Expand: Gross Value Added (GVA); |
2025-02-13T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Industrial Production m/m | 0.5% | 0.2% | -0.5% | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 14, 2025 | FF Notes: Mines and utilities make up around 20% of total production, so this data tends to be overshadowed by Manufacturing Production which makes up the other 80%; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; |
2025-02-13T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Manufacturing Production m/m | 0.7% | 0.0% | -0.3% | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 14, 2025 | FF Notes: Manufacturing makes up around 80% of total Industrial Production and tends to dominate the market impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Factory production; |
2025-02-13T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Goods Trade Balance | -17.4B | -18.6B | -18.9B | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 28, 2025 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: Visible Trade Balance; |
2025-02-13T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Natural Gas Storage | -100B | -90B | -174B | Source: Energy Information Administration (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, 5 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Feb 20, 2025 | FF Notes: Inventories are used to maintain price stability during supply shortages and periods of increasing demand; | Also Called: Nat Gas Stocks, Nat Gas Inventories, Working Gas; | Acro Expand: Energy Information Administration (EIA); |
2025-02-13T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Unemployment Claims | 213K | 217K | 220K | Source: Department of Labor (latest release) | Measures: The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, usually on the first Thursday after the week ends; | Next Release: Feb 20, 2025 | FF Notes: This is the nation's earliest economic data. The market impact fluctuates from week to week - there tends to be more focus on the release when traders need to diagnose recent developments, or when the reading is at extremes; | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy; | Also Called: Jobless Claims, Initial Claims; |
2025-02-13T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Prelim Business Investment q/q | -3.2% | -0.4% | 1.9% | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of capital investments made by businesses and the government; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 40 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: May 15, 2025 | FF Notes: Source changed series calculation formula as of Nov 2014; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses are quickly affected by market conditions, and changes in their investment levels can be an early signal of future economic activity such as hiring, spending, and earnings; | Also Called: Total Business Investment; |
2025-02-13T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Construction Output m/m | -0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total amount builders spent on construction projects; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 14, 2025 | FF Notes: Source first released in Jul 2013; |
2025-02-13T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | PPI m/m | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 13, 2025 | FF Notes: Source changed series calculation formula as of Feb 2014; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when producers charge more for goods and services the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Also Called: Finished Goods PPI, Wholesale Prices, PPI for Final Demand; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI); |
2025-02-13T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | High Impact Expected | GDP m/m | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of all goods and services produced by the economy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 14, 2025 | FF Notes: Source first released in Jul 2018; | Why Traders Care: It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP); |
2025-02-13T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Medium Impact Expected | Prelim GDP q/q | 0.1% | -0.1% | 0.0% | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 40 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: May 15, 2025 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of quarterly GDP released about 45 days apart – Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health; | Also Called: GDP First Estimate; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP); |
2025-02-13T00:18:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | President Trump Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to hold a press conference about his latest executive orders at the White House, in Washington DC; | Source: White House (latest release) | Speaker: US President Donald Trump; | Next Release: Feb 13, 2025 | FF Notes: US President Jan 2017 - Jan 2021 and Jan 2025 - Jan 2029. He speaks frequently on a broad range of subjects - only speeches that might have direct market impact are listed on the calendar; |
2025-02-13T01:35:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | FOMC Member Waller Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak about stablecoins at A Very Stable Conference, in San Francisco. Audience questions expected; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 18, 2025 | FF Notes: FOMC voting member Dec 2020 - Jan 2030; | Why Traders Care: Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC); |
2025-02-13T03:20:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | PPI y/y | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods sold by corporations; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 12 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 12, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when corporations raise the price of their goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Also Called: CGPI; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI), Corporate Goods Price Index (CGPI); |
2025-02-13T03:30:00+03:30 | AUD | Low Impact Expected | MI Inflation Expectations | 4.6% | null | 4.0% | Source: Melbourne Institute (latest release) | Measures: Percentage that consumers expect the price of goods and services to change during the next 12 months; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually the second Thursday after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 13, 2025 | FF Notes: Full reports are only available to Melbourne Institute subscribers. Source changed series calculation formula as of May 2014; | Why Traders Care: Expectations of future inflation can manifest into real inflation, primarily because workers tend to push for higher wages when they believe prices will rise; | Also Called: Consumer Inflation Expectations; | Acro Expand: Melbourne Institute (MI); |
2025-02-13T03:31:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | RICS House Price Balance | 22% | 27% | 26% | Source: RICS (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed property surveyors; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 13, 2025 | FF Notes: Data represents the percentage of surveyors reporting a price increase in their designated area. Above 0.0% indicates more surveyors reported a rise in prices, below indicates more reported a fall; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of housing inflation because surveyors have access to the most recent price data by virtue of their job; | Acro Expand: Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS); |
2025-02-13T05:30:00+03:30 | NZD | High Impact Expected | Inflation Expectations q/q | 2.06% | null | 2.12% | Source: Reserve Bank of New Zealand (latest release) | Measures: Percentage that business managers expect the price of goods and services to change annually during the next 2 years; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 50 days before the quarter ends; | Next Release: May 16, 2025 | Why Traders Care: Expectations of future inflation can manifest into real inflation, primarily because workers tend to push for higher wages when they believe prices will rise; | Derived Via: Survey of about 50 consumers which asks respondents where they expect prices to be 24 months in the future; |
2025-02-13T10:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German Final CPI m/m | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 14, 2025 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of CPI released about 15 days apart - Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2025-02-13T11:00:00+03:30 | CHF | High Impact Expected | CPI m/m | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | Source: Federal Statistical Office (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 3 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 5, 2025 | FF Notes: This is the earliest major inflation data released by any country, coming just days after the month ends; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2025-02-13T12:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | ECB Economic Bulletin | null | null | null | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: 8 times per year, 2 weeks after the Main Refinancing Rate is announced; | Next Release: Mar 20, 2025 | FF Notes: Tends to have a muted impact because some parts of the bulletin are released early. Source first released in Feb 2015; | Why Traders Care: It reveals the statistical data that the ECB Governing Board evaluated when making the latest interest rate decision, and provides detailed analysis of current and future economic conditions from the bank's viewpoint; | Acro Expand: European Central Bank (ECB); |
2025-02-13T13:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Industrial Production m/m | -1.1% | -0.6% | 0.4% | Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 13, 2025 | FF Notes: Tends to have a relatively mild impact because Germany and France, which account for about half of the Eurozone's economy, release earlier production data; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Industrial Output; |
2025-02-13T16:16:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | NIESR GDP Estimate | 0.3% | null | 0.1% | Source: NIESR (latest release) | Measures: Change in the estimated value of all goods and services produced by the economy during the previous 3 months; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 14, 2025 | FF Notes: NIESR estimates GDP data on a monthly basis in an effort to predict the quarterly government-released data. Source does not give an exact release time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Acro Expand: National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), Gross Domestic Product (GDP); |
2025-02-13T17:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Core PPI m/m | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers, excluding food and energy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 13, 2025 | FF Notes: Source changed series calculation formula as of Feb 2014. Food and energy prices make up about 40% of overall PPI which tends to mute the importance of the Core data; | Also Called: Core Finished Goods PPI, Core PPI for Final Demand; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI); |
2025-02-13T19:00:00+03:30 | AUD | Low Impact Expected | CB Leading Index m/m | 0.2% | null | 0.6% | Source: The Conference Board Inc. (latest release) | Measures: Change in the level of a composite index based on 7 economic indicators; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 50 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 18, 2025 | FF Notes: This index is designed to predict the direction of the economy, but it tends to have a muted impact because most of the indicators used in the calculation are released previously; | Derived Via: Combined reading of 7 economic indicators related to money supply, building approvals, profits, exports, inventories, and interest rate spreads; | Also Called: Leading Indicators; | Acro Expand: The Conference Board (CB); |
2025-02-13T20:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German Buba President Nagel Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to deliver a speech titled "Financing the Transition to Greenhouse Gas Neutrality: How Much and Through Which Instruments?" at the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum Lecture hosted by the University of Glasgow; | Source: Bundesbank (latest release) | Speaker: Deutsche Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 17, 2025 | FF Notes: Deutsche Bundesbank President and voting member of the ECB Governing Council from Jan 2022. He's believed to be one of the most influential members of the council; | Why Traders Care: ECB Governing Council members vote on where to set the Eurozone's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Deutsche Bundesbank (Buba), European Central Bank (ECB); |
2025-02-13T21:31:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | 30-y Bond Auction | 4.75|2.3 | null | 4.91|2.5 | Source: Treasury Direct (latest release) | Measures: Highest yield on a 30-year bond the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction; | Usual Effect: No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications; | Frequency: Conducted monthly; | Next Release: Mar 13, 2025 | FF Notes: Auction results are reported in an 'X.XX|X.X' format - the first number is the highest interest rate of the bonds sold, and the second number is the bid-to-cover ratio (number of bids made per bid accepted); | Why Traders Care: Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence; | Also Called: Treasury Auction; |
2025-02-13T22:06:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | President Trump Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to hold a press conference about his latest executive orders at the White House, in Washington DC; | Source: White House (latest release) | Speaker: US President Donald Trump; | Next Release: Feb 14, 2025 | FF Notes: US President Jan 2017 - Jan 2021 and Jan 2025 - Jan 2029. He speaks frequently on a broad range of subjects - only speeches that might have direct market impact are listed on the calendar; |
2025-02-14T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Import Prices m/m | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of imported goods and services purchased domestically; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 18, 2025 | FF Notes: This is the earliest government-released inflation data; | Why Traders Care: It contributes to inflation for businesses and consumers, especially those who rely heavily on imported goods and services; | Also Called: Import Price Index; |
2025-02-14T00:00:00+03:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | Wholesale Sales m/m | -0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the wholesale level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 14, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer spending - retailers generally order more goods from wholesalers when they expect consumer sales to increase; | Also Called: Wholesale Trade; |
2025-02-14T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Retail Sales m/m | -0.9% | -0.2% | 0.7% | Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 17, 2025 | FF Notes: This is the earliest and broadest look at vital consumer spending data; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; | Also Called: Advance Retail Sales; |
2025-02-14T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Core Retail Sales m/m | -0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level, excluding automobiles; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 17, 2025 | FF Notes: Automobile sales account for about 20% of Retail Sales, but they tend to be very volatile and distort the underlying trend. The Core data is therefore thought to be a better gauge of spending trends; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; | Also Called: Retail Sales Ex Autos; |
2025-02-14T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Industrial Production m/m | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 18, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; | Also Called: Factory Output; |
2025-02-14T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Flash GDP q/q | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 45 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: May 15, 2025 | FF Notes: The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary Flash release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 3 versions of GDP released about 20 days apart Preliminary Flash, Flash, and Revised. The Preliminary Flash release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. | Why Traders Care: It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health; | Also Called: GDP Second Estimate; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP); |
2025-02-14T01:00:00+03:30 | NZD | Low Impact Expected | BusinessNZ Manufacturing Index | 51.4 | null | 46.2 | Source: BusinessNZ (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 14, 2025 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates expansion, below indicates contraction; | Derived Via: Survey of manufacturers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Also Called: Performance of Manufacturing Index; |
2025-02-14T01:15:00+03:30 | NZD | Low Impact Expected | FPI m/m | 1.9% | null | 0.1% | Source: Statistics New Zealand (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of food and food services purchased by households; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 14, 2025 | Why Traders Care: Although food is among the most volatile consumer price components, this indicator garners some attention because New Zealand's major inflation data is released on a quarterly basis; | Acro Expand: Food Price Index (FPI); |
2025-02-14T10:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German WPI m/m | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods sold by wholesalers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 12 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 14, 2025 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when wholesalers charge more for goods and services the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Acro Expand: Wholesale Price Index (WPI); |
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