is_resolved stringclasses 3
values | date_close stringlengths 4 15 | url stringlengths 29 229 | background stringlengths 0 37.7k | date_resolve_at stringlengths 4 10 | question stringlengths 1 15.2k | date_begin stringlengths 4 10 | community_predictions stringlengths 2 1.03M | extracted_urls stringlengths 2 67.4k | question_type stringclasses 9
values | resolution_criteria stringlengths 4 14.7k | data_source stringclasses 5
values | resolution stringlengths 1 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
True | None | https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-attack-yemen-in-2023 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States of America initiates a military attack on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory between December 14, 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military attack" is any use of force executed by the US on ... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1702584002, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1702587602, "p": 0.305}, {"t": 1702591202, "p": 0.2}, {"t": 1702594802, "p": 0.115}, {"t": 1702598402, "p": 0.165}, {"t": 1702602002, "p": 0.165}, {"t": 1702605602, "p": 0.165}, {"t": 1702609203, "p": 0.16}, {"t": 1702612802, "p": 0.16}, {"t": 1702616402, "p": 0.16}, {"t": 1702620002... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/2024-presidential-election-gop-wins-by-105-154 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 105 and 154 electoral college votes (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electora... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1704852002, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704855603, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704859203, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704862802, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704866403, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704870002, "p": 0.245}, {"t": 1704873603, "p": 0.245}, {"t": 1704877203, "p": 0.245}, {"t": 1704880803, "p": 0.245}, {"t": 1704884403, "p": 0.245}, {"t": 1704888003, "... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
True | None | https://polymarket.com/event/btc-price-50000-1-hour-after-etf-approval | Bulletin Board Update - 2024-01-10 1:12 PM PT:
If it is confirmed the SEC pdf approving the first bitcoin spot ETFs was legitimate, then the close price of the candle at 1:43 PM PT (1 hour after @tier10k posted approval news) will be used to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of $BTC ... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1704841203, "p": 0.495}, {"t": 1704844803, "p": 0.145}, {"t": 1704848402, "p": 0.09}, {"t": 1704852002, "p": 0.09}, {"t": 1704855603, "p": 0.525}, {"t": 1704859203, "p": 0.175}, {"t": 1704862802, "p": 0.15}, {"t": 1704866403, "p": 0.155}, {"t": 1704870002, "p": 0.13}, {"t": 1704873603, "p": 0.13}, {"t": 17048772... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-tampa-bay-buccaneers-win-super-bowl-lviii | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LVIII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediatel... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1704535202, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704538802, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704542402, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704546002, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704549602, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704553203, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704556803, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704560403, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704564003, "p": 0.006}, {"t": 1704567603, "p": 0.006}, {"t": 1704571203, "p": 0.... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/2024-presidential-election-democrats-win-by-5-14 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 5 and 14 electoral college votes (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral col... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1704852002, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704855603, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1704859203, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1704862802, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1704866403, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1704870002, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1704873603, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1704877203, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1704880803, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1704884403, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1704888003, "p... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/blast-airdrop-by-may | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Blast launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary reso... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1700852402, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1700856002, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1700859602, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1700863202, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1700866802, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1700870402, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1700874002, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1700877602, "p": 0.205}, {"t": 1700881202, "p": 0.205}, {"t": 1700884802, "p": 0.205}, {"t": 1700888402, "p": ... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 1 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/will-donald-trump-be-the-next-major-gop-presidential-race-dropout | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump drops out of the 2024 US presidential election before Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Nikki Haley. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from this candidate or their official/legal rep... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1704938403, "p": 0.04}, {"t": 1704942003, "p": 0.035}, {"t": 1704945603, "p": 0.035}, {"t": 1704949203, "p": 0.035}, {"t": 1704952803, "p": 0.035}, {"t": 1704956403, "p": 0.035}, {"t": 1704960003, "p": 0.035}, {"t": 1704963603, "p": 0.03}, {"t": 1704967202, "p": 0.03}, {"t": 1704970803, "p": 0.03}, {"t": 1704974... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/will-kanye-west-win-the-us-2024-republican-presidential-nomination | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West
wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before elec... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1673308825, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1673312402, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1673316035, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1673319619, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1673323240, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1673326822, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1673330440, "p": 0.1}, {"t": 1673337601, "p": 0.1}, {"t": 1673341250, "p": 0.1}, {"t": 1673348424, "p": 0.1}, {"t": 1673352018, "p": 0.1}, ... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/venezuela-oil-production-1-million-barrelsday-by-q1-2024 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the average daily oil production in Venezuela exceeds 1 million barrels per day in either Q4 2023 or Q1 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The values considered will be the barrels/day for both Q4 2023 and Q1 2024. If either of these exceed 1 million barrels per da... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1697821203, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1697824802, "p": 0.495}, {"t": 1697828402, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1697832002, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1697835602, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1697839202, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1697842802, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1697846402, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1697850003, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1697853602, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1697857202, "p": 0.5}... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 1 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/another-ledger-leakexploit-by-mar-31 | This is a market on whether Ledger suffers a new leak or exploit between December 26, 2023, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources. | None | None | None | [{"t": 1703800802, "p": 0.25}, {"t": 1703804402, "p": 0.19}, {"t": 1703808002, "p": 0.145}, {"t": 1703811602, "p": 0.135}, {"t": 1703815202, "p": 0.11}, {"t": 1703818802, "p": 0.1}, {"t": 1703822402, "p": 0.095}, {"t": 1703826002, "p": 0.095}, {"t": 1703829602, "p": 0.095}, {"t": 1703833202, "p": 0.095}, {"t": 17038368... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/will-elizabeth-warren-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elizabeth Warren wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1704574803, "p": 0.0055}, {"t": 1704578402, "p": 0.0055}, {"t": 1704582003, "p": 0.0055}, {"t": 1704585602, "p": 0.004}, {"t": 1704589202, "p": 0.0065}, {"t": 1704592802, "p": 0.0065}, {"t": 1704596403, "p": 0.0065}, {"t": 1704600002, "p": 0.0065}, {"t": 1704603603, "p": 0.0075}, {"t": 1704607202, "p": 0.0075}, ... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/trump-and-biden-both-win-nomination | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joseph Biden wins the Democratic nomination for president of the United States and Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination for president of the United States in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes", ... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1687532403, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1687536002, "p": 0.505}, {"t": 1687539603, "p": 0.515}, {"t": 1687543202, "p": 0.515}, {"t": 1687546802, "p": 0.515}, {"t": 1687550402, "p": 0.515}, {"t": 1687554002, "p": 0.495}, {"t": 1687557603, "p": 0.495}, {"t": 1687561203, "p": 0.495}, {"t": 1687564802, "p": 0.495}, {"t": 16875... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 1 |
True | None | https://polymarket.com/event/btc-price-between-42500-45000-1-hour-after-etf-approval | Bulletin Board Update - 2024-01-10 1:12 PM PT:
If it is confirmed the SEC pdf approving the first bitcoin spot ETFs was legitimate, then the close price of the candle at 1:43 PM PT (1 hour after @tier10k posted approval news) will be used to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of $BTC ... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1704841203, "p": 0.495}, {"t": 1704844803, "p": 0.385}, {"t": 1704848402, "p": 0.22}, {"t": 1704852002, "p": 0.22}, {"t": 1704855603, "p": 0.22}, {"t": 1704859203, "p": 0.165}, {"t": 1704862802, "p": 0.15}, {"t": 1704866403, "p": 0.15}, {"t": 1704870002, "p": 0.13}, {"t": 1704873603, "p": 0.135}, {"t": 170487720... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/will-kamala-harris-win-the-us-2024-democratic-presidential-nomination | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the ... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1673308825, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1673312402, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1673316035, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1673319619, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1673323240, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1673326822, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1673330440, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1673337601, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1673341250, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1673348424, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1673352018, "p": 0.5}, ... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
True | None | https://polymarket.com/event/btc-price-between-40000-42500-1-hour-after-etf-approval | Bulletin Board Update - 2024-01-10 1:12 PM PT:
If it is confirmed the SEC pdf approving the first bitcoin spot ETFs was legitimate, then the close price of the candle at 1:43 PM PT (1 hour after @tier10k posted approval news) will be used to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of $BTC ... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1704841203, "p": 0.495}, {"t": 1704844803, "p": 0.385}, {"t": 1704848402, "p": 0.05}, {"t": 1704852002, "p": 0.055}, {"t": 1704855603, "p": 0.05}, {"t": 1704859203, "p": 0.055}, {"t": 1704862802, "p": 0.045}, {"t": 1704866403, "p": 0.045}, {"t": 1704870002, "p": 0.0305}, {"t": 1704873603, "p": 0.0285}, {"t": 170... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/pudgy-penguins-airdrop-before-march | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pudgy Penguins launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Th... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1702054803, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1702058402, "p": 0.625}, {"t": 1702062003, "p": 0.625}, {"t": 1702065602, "p": 0.625}, {"t": 1702069203, "p": 0.36}, {"t": 1702072802, "p": 0.335}, {"t": 1702076402, "p": 0.335}, {"t": 1702080002, "p": 0.335}, {"t": 1702083602, "p": 0.315}, {"t": 1702087202, "p": 0.315}, {"t": 170209... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 1 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/ceasefire-between-russia-and-ukraine-by-june | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of Ukraine and Russia both officially announce an armistice, ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement between the two countries that will go into effect by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negot... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1702411203, "p": 0.19}, {"t": 1702414802, "p": 0.205}, {"t": 1702418403, "p": 0.185}, {"t": 1702422003, "p": 0.2}, {"t": 1702425602, "p": 0.2}, {"t": 1702429202, "p": 0.2}, {"t": 1702432802, "p": 0.225}, {"t": 1702436403, "p": 0.225}, {"t": 1702440002, "p": 0.225}, {"t": 1702443603, "p": 0.225}, {"t": 1702447203... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/jup-above-1-one-week-after-launch | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jupiter Exchange's token ($JUP) is above $1.000 (i.e. $1.001 or greater) one week after token airdrop occurs. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
"One week after launch" is defined as exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the token airdrop occurs. This market description will be... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1703631603, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1703635203, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1703638803, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1703642403, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1703646003, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1703649603, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1703653203, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1703656803, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1703660403, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1703664003, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1703667603, "p": 0.5}, ... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 1 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/will-chris-christie-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2024-presidential-election | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Christie is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution so... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1704844803, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704848402, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704852002, "p": 0.009}, {"t": 1704855603, "p": 0.0085}, {"t": 1704859203, "p": 0.0055}, {"t": 1704862802, "p": 0.0055}, {"t": 1704866403, "p": 0.0055}, {"t": 1704870002, "p": 0.0055}, {"t": 1704873603, "p": 0.0055}, {"t": 1704877203, "p": 0.0055}, {"t": ... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
True | None | https://polymarket.com/event/will-joe-bidens-538-approval-rating-be-greater-than-395-on-january-7 | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is greater than 39.5% for the day of January 7, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1703210403, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1703214003, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1703217603, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1703221203, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1703224803, "p": 0.52}, {"t": 1703228402, "p": 0.52}, {"t": 1703232002, "p": 0.52}, {"t": 1703235603, "p": 0.52}, {"t": 1703239202, "p": 0.52}, {"t": 1703242803, "p": 0.52}, {"t": 1703246403, "p": ... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-kansas-city-chiefs-win-super-bowl-lviii | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately ... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1704535202, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704538802, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704542402, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704546002, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704549602, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704553203, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704556803, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704560403, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704564003, "p": 0.085}, {"t": 1704567603, "p": 0.085}, {"t": 1704571203, "p": 0.... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/spx6900-all-time-high-by-jan-31 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if $SPX (SPX6900) reaches a new all time high between December 28, 2023 ET and January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/spx6900), specifically the All... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1703804402, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1703808002, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1703811602, "p": 0.255}, {"t": 1703815202, "p": 0.13}, {"t": 1703818802, "p": 0.065}, {"t": 1703822402, "p": 0.065}, {"t": 1703826002, "p": 0.065}, {"t": 1703829602, "p": 0.1}, {"t": 1703833202, "p": 0.1}, {"t": 1703836802, "p": 0.1}, {"t": 1703840402, "p... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 1 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/2024-presidential-election-democrats-win-by-155-214 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 155 and 214 electoral college votes (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral ... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1704852002, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704855603, "p": 0.125}, {"t": 1704859203, "p": 0.125}, {"t": 1704862802, "p": 0.125}, {"t": 1704866403, "p": 0.125}, {"t": 1704870002, "p": 0.125}, {"t": 1704873603, "p": 0.125}, {"t": 1704877203, "p": 0.125}, {"t": 1704880803, "p": 0.125}, {"t": 1704884403, "p": 0.125}, {"t": 17048... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/trump-and-biden-both-lose-nomination | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden loses the Democratic nomination for POTUS and Donald Trump loses the Republican nomination for POTUS in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes", both named candidates must lose the described nomin... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1698249602, "p": 0.055}, {"t": 1698253202, "p": 0.06}, {"t": 1698256802, "p": 0.06}, {"t": 1698260402, "p": 0.06}, {"t": 1698264002, "p": 0.06}, {"t": 1698267602, "p": 0.06}, {"t": 1698271203, "p": 0.055}, {"t": 1698274803, "p": 0.055}, {"t": 1698278402, "p": 0.055}, {"t": 1698282002, "p": 0.055}, {"t": 16982856... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-raise-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-its-january-meeting | The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's January 2024 meeting the upper bound... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1702076402, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1702080002, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1702083602, "p": 0.24}, {"t": 1702087202, "p": 0.24}, {"t": 1702090803, "p": 0.24}, {"t": 1702094402, "p": 0.24}, {"t": 1702098002, "p": 0.24}, {"t": 1702101602, "p": 0.24}, {"t": 1702105202, "p": 0.24}, {"t": 1702108802, "p": 0.24}, {"t": 1702112403, "p... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/2024-presidential-election-gop-wins-by-1-4 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 1 and 4 electoral college votes (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral co... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1704852002, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704855603, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1704859203, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1704862802, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1704866403, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1704870002, "p": 0.245}, {"t": 1704873603, "p": 0.245}, {"t": 1704877203, "p": 0.245}, {"t": 1704880803, "p": 0.245}, {"t": 1704884403, "p": 0.245}, {"t": 170488800... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/will-nikki-haley-win-the-2024-republican-iowa-caucus | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses take place, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate wh... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1704758403, "p": 0.495}, {"t": 1704762003, "p": 0.03}, {"t": 1704765603, "p": 0.024}, {"t": 1704769203, "p": 0.024}, {"t": 1704772802, "p": 0.0265}, {"t": 1704776403, "p": 0.0265}, {"t": 1704780003, "p": 0.0265}, {"t": 1704783602, "p": 0.0265}, {"t": 1704787202, "p": 0.022}, {"t": 1704790803, "p": 0.022}, {"t": ... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/will-blur-season-3-end-by-may | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Blur season 3 ends by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Blur (e.g. https://blur.foundation/, https://twitter.com/blur_io, etc.), however a consensus of credible rep... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1700686802, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1700690402, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1700694002, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1700697602, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1700701202, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1700704802, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1700708402, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1700712002, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1700715602, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1700719202, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1700722802, "p": 0.5}, ... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 1 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-other-democrat-politician-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2024-presidential-election | This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Democratic Politician other than Joe Biden, Gavin Newsom, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton, AOC, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this ma... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1704848402, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704852002, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704855603, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704859203, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704862802, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704866403, "p": 0.045}, {"t": 1704870002, "p": 0.045}, {"t": 1704873603, "p": 0.045}, {"t": 1704877203, "p": 0.045}, {"t": 1704880803, "p": 0.045}, {"t": 1704884403, "... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/will-adam-schiff-advance-from-the-2024-ca-senate-primary | The CA Senate Primary is scheduled for March 5, 2024, in which the two highest-placing candidates advance to the general election, regardless of party affiliation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Adam Schiff moves onto the US general election from the 2024 California primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve t... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1695319202, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1695322803, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1695326402, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1695330002, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1695333602, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1695337202, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1695340802, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1695344402, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1695348002, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1695351602, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1695355202, "p": 0.5}, ... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 1 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-spot-etf-approved-by-mar-31 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any spot Ethereum ETF receives approval from the SEC by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the SEC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | None | None | None | [{"t": 1702922403, "p": 0.495}, {"t": 1702926003, "p": 0.495}, {"t": 1702929602, "p": 0.24}, {"t": 1702933202, "p": 0.225}, {"t": 1702936802, "p": 0.225}, {"t": 1702940403, "p": 0.205}, {"t": 1702944002, "p": 0.205}, {"t": 1702947603, "p": 0.205}, {"t": 1702951202, "p": 0.205}, {"t": 1702954803, "p": 0.205}, {"t": 1702... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/will-young-thug-be-found-guilty-of-racketeering-conspiracy | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeffery Williams (Young Thug) is found guilty of the charge of "Conspiracy to violate the racketeer influenced and corrupt organizations act O.C.G.A. §16-14-4(C)" in his ongoing Fulton Superior Court trial. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Young Thug's ongoing RICO t... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1701291602, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1701295202, "p": 0.355}, {"t": 1701298802, "p": 0.64}, {"t": 1701302402, "p": 0.64}, {"t": 1701306003, "p": 0.64}, {"t": 1701309602, "p": 0.64}, {"t": 1701313202, "p": 0.645}, {"t": 1701316802, "p": 0.655}, {"t": 1701320403, "p": 0.66}, {"t": 1701324002, "p": 0.665}, {"t": 1701327602... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-a-us-government-shutdown-by-jan-20 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if is a US government shutdown occurs between January 9 and January 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary a US government shutdown occurs, whether it is a partial shutdown, or a full shutdown.
If t... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1704934803, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704938403, "p": 0.165}, {"t": 1704942003, "p": 0.165}, {"t": 1704945603, "p": 0.165}, {"t": 1704949203, "p": 0.165}, {"t": 1704952803, "p": 0.165}, {"t": 1704956403, "p": 0.17}, {"t": 1704960003, "p": 0.17}, {"t": 1704963603, "p": 0.17}, {"t": 1704967202, "p": 0.17}, {"t": 170497080... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/2024-presidential-election-gop-wins-by-155-214 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 155 and 214 electoral college votes (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electora... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1704852002, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704855603, "p": 0.125}, {"t": 1704859203, "p": 0.125}, {"t": 1704862802, "p": 0.125}, {"t": 1704866403, "p": 0.125}, {"t": 1704870002, "p": 0.12}, {"t": 1704873603, "p": 0.12}, {"t": 1704877203, "p": 0.12}, {"t": 1704880803, "p": 0.12}, {"t": 1704884403, "p": 0.12}, {"t": 1704888003... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/another-celestia-airdrop-by-march-1 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Celestia announces they have performed an airdrop between December 10, 2023 and March 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note - this airdrop must be different from the airdrop which already occurred in October 2023.
For the purposes of this market "l... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1702324803, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1702328402, "p": 0.24}, {"t": 1702332002, "p": 0.24}, {"t": 1702335602, "p": 0.18}, {"t": 1702339202, "p": 0.175}, {"t": 1702342802, "p": 0.175}, {"t": 1702346402, "p": 0.17}, {"t": 1702350002, "p": 0.17}, {"t": 1702353602, "p": 0.17}, {"t": 1702357202, "p": 0.17}, {"t": 1702360802, ... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 1 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/ai-on-amazon-speaker-by-june | This market will resolve to "Yes" if users can use a large language model through any Amazon-manufactured smart speaker product by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Amazon, however a consensus of credible repo... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1704240002, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704243603, "p": 0.675}, {"t": 1704247203, "p": 0.675}, {"t": 1704250802, "p": 0.675}, {"t": 1704254403, "p": 0.675}, {"t": 1704258003, "p": 0.675}, {"t": 1704261603, "p": 0.675}, {"t": 1704265202, "p": 0.675}, {"t": 1704268803, "p": 0.675}, {"t": 1704272403, "p": 0.675}, {"t": 17042... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 1 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/2024-presidential-election-democrats-win-by-0-4 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 0 and 4 electoral college votes (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral coll... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1704852002, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704855603, "p": 0.525}, {"t": 1704859203, "p": 0.525}, {"t": 1704862802, "p": 0.525}, {"t": 1704866403, "p": 0.525}, {"t": 1704870002, "p": 0.26}, {"t": 1704873603, "p": 0.26}, {"t": 1704877203, "p": 0.26}, {"t": 1704880803, "p": 0.26}, {"t": 1704884403, "p": 0.26}, {"t": 1704888003... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-win-the-2024-iowa-caucus | This market will resolve to "Yes" if former president Donald J. Trump wins the greatest share of apportioned delegates in the 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Trump ties for the greatest share of apportioned delegates, the popular vote will be used as a tiebreaker. Namel... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1678910453, "p": 0.34}, {"t": 1678914010, "p": 0.34}, {"t": 1678917635, "p": 0.34}, {"t": 1678921208, "p": 0.34}, {"t": 1678924806, "p": 0.39}, {"t": 1678928418, "p": 0.39}, {"t": 1678932037, "p": 0.39}, {"t": 1678935618, "p": 0.39}, {"t": 1678939236, "p": 0.39}, {"t": 1678942810, "p": 0.39}, {"t": 1678946434, "... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 1 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/will-chris-christie-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Christie wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three s... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1704574803, "p": 0.005}, {"t": 1704578402, "p": 0.005}, {"t": 1704582003, "p": 0.005}, {"t": 1704585602, "p": 0.0055}, {"t": 1704589202, "p": 0.0055}, {"t": 1704592802, "p": 0.0055}, {"t": 1704596403, "p": 0.0055}, {"t": 1704600002, "p": 0.0055}, {"t": 1704603603, "p": 0.0055}, {"t": 1704607202, "p": 0.0055}, {"... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/2024-presidential-election-democrats-win-by-215 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by 215 or more electoral college votes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based ... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1704852002, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1704855603, "p": 0.475}, {"t": 1704859203, "p": 0.475}, {"t": 1704862802, "p": 0.475}, {"t": 1704866403, "p": 0.475}, {"t": 1704870002, "p": 0.475}, {"t": 1704873603, "p": 0.475}, {"t": 1704877203, "p": 0.475}, {"t": 1704880803, "p": 0.475}, {"t": 1704884403, "p": 0.475}, {"t": 17048... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/will-2024-be-better-than-2023 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ipsos Consumer Tracker's "Me Personally" measure on the "It was a (comparatively) really good year" chart for 2024 (ex: https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/americans-say-2023-was-good-year-and-think-2024-will-be-even-better) indicates that 2024 was a better year than 2023. Otherwise, th... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1703872802, "p": 0.505}, {"t": 1703876402, "p": 0.505}, {"t": 1703880002, "p": 0.505}, {"t": 1703883602, "p": 0.475}, {"t": 1703887202, "p": 0.475}, {"t": 1703890802, "p": 0.48}, {"t": 1703894402, "p": 0.475}, {"t": 1703898002, "p": 0.475}, {"t": 1703901602, "p": 0.475}, {"t": 1703905202, "p": 0.475}, {"t": 1703... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 1 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/will-dean-phillips-win-the-us-democratic-presidential-nomination | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dean Phillips wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the ... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1698426003, "p": 0.1}, {"t": 1698429603, "p": 0.105}, {"t": 1698433203, "p": 0.105}, {"t": 1698436802, "p": 0.105}, {"t": 1698440403, "p": 0.105}, {"t": 1698444003, "p": 0.105}, {"t": 1698447602, "p": 0.105}, {"t": 1698451202, "p": 0.5095}, {"t": 1698454803, "p": 0.5095}, {"t": 1698458402, "p": 0.5095}, {"t": 16... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
False | None | https://polymarket.com/event/north-korea-nuke-by-march-31 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic People's Public of Korea (North Korea) detonates a nuclear device in any capacity by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations. Use/launch of a nuclear weapon th... | None | None | None | [{"t": 1703804402, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1703808002, "p": 0.5}, {"t": 1703811602, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1703815202, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1703818802, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1703822402, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1703826002, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1703829602, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1703833202, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1703836802, "p": 0.51}, {"t": 1703840402, "p"... | None | multiple_choice | None | polymarket | 0 |
Subsets and Splits
Filtered and Sorted Resolved Cases
This query filters and displays detailed information about unresolved issues that were resolved after December 31, 2023, with various fields being non-null, and sorts them by their resolution date in descending order.