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https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BGBLcy3JyjjrT8XbM/ai-92-behind-the-curve
BGBLcy3JyjjrT8XbM
AI #92: Behind the Curve
Zvi
People don’t give thanks enough, and it’s actual Thanksgiving, so here goes. Thank you for continuing to take this journey with me every week. It’s a lot of words. Even if you pick and choose, and you probably should, it’s a lot of words. You don’t have many slots to spend on things like this. I appreciate it. Thanks i...
2024-11-28
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Nr9xHvMTmznpFDrwg/llms-do-not-think-step-by-step-in-implicit-reasoning
Nr9xHvMTmznpFDrwg
LLMs Do Not Think Step-by-step In Implicit Reasoning
bogdan-ionut-cirstea
Author: Yijiong Yu. Abstract: It has been well-known that Chain-of-Thought can remarkably enhance LLMs’ performance on complex tasks. However, because it also introduces slower inference speeds and higher computational costs, many researches have attempted to use implicit CoT, which does not need LLMs to explicitly gen...
2024-11-28
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ToJp7RNohqoF57AHo/a-meritocracy-of-taste
ToJp7RNohqoF57AHo
A Meritocracy of Taste
daniele-de-nuntiis
Epistemic status: the idea it’s not fully fleshed out (there are a bunch of problems that I’m skipping over, the post is meant more as: “has anyone been seriously thinking about this?” and throwing out a starting point, than: “here is a proposal that would actually work”) and I wouldn’t be surprised if either it’s unfe...
2024-11-28
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cLdsDjTYquqkmfdzA/importing-bluesky-comments
cLdsDjTYquqkmfdzA
Importing Bluesky Comments
jkaufman
I decided years ago that instead of hosting a comment section I'd pull in comments from elsewhere: first Facebook (no longer working because of anti-scraping), then Google Plus (which means I didn't lose my g+ discussions when they turned it down), then LessWrong, Reddit, HN, the EA Forum, and Mastodon. Prompted by Dan...
2024-11-28
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xwebc6CLWuLmahcx6/introducing-the-anthropic-fellows-program
xwebc6CLWuLmahcx6
Introducing the Anthropic Fellows Program
miranda-zhang
We're launching the Anthropic Fellows Program for AI Safety Research, a pilot initiative designed to accelerate AI safety research and foster research talent. The program will provide funding and mentorship for a small cohort of 10-15 Fellows to work full-time on AI safety research. Over the course of six months, Fello...
2024-11-30
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/byNYzsfFmb2TpYFPW/o1-a-technical-primer
byNYzsfFmb2TpYFPW
o1: A Technical Primer
jhoogland
TL;DR: In September 2024, OpenAI released o1, its first "reasoning model". This model exhibits remarkable test-time scaling laws, which complete a missing piece of the Bitter Lesson and open up a new axis for scaling compute. Following Rush and Ritter (2024) and Brown (2024a, 2024b), I explore four hypotheses for how o...
2024-12-09
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/eM77Zz8fTMcGpk6qo/new-o1-like-model-qwq-beats-claude-3-5-sonnet-with-only-32b
eM77Zz8fTMcGpk6qo
New o1-like model (QwQ) beats Claude 3.5 Sonnet with only 32B parameters
jhoogland
A new o1-like model based on Qwen-2.5-32B reportedly beats Claude 3.5 Sonnet[1] on a bunch of difficult reasoning benchmarks. A new regime dawns. The blog post reveals nothing but the most inane slop ever sampled: What does it mean to think, to question, to understand? These are the deep waters that QwQ (Qwen with Ques...
2024-11-27
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5iyvopk74zkqBuqzk/map-of-ai-futures-an-interactive-flowchart-1
5iyvopk74zkqBuqzk
"Map of AI Futures" - An interactive flowchart
swante
Note: The linked site is a personal project, and all views expressed here are my own. TL;DR I created an interactive flowchart about various scenarios how the future of AI might play out.By setting various conditional probabilities you can see charts of what the resulting estimated probabilities for good, ambiguous, an...
2024-11-27
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5t73TZCf5yE69HbFP/arena-4-0-impact-report-1
5t73TZCf5yE69HbFP
ARENA 4.0 Impact Report
chloe-li-1
If you're interested in helping to run the ARENA program, note that we're currently hiring for an Operations Lead! For more details, and to apply, see here. Summary The purpose of this report is to evaluate ARENA 4.0’s impact according to our four success criteria: Source high-quality participantsUpskill these talented...
2024-11-27
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/MXaLqi4dN7gpsfeux/how-to-solve-the-misuse-problem-assuming-that-in-10-years
MXaLqi4dN7gpsfeux
How to solve the misuse problem assuming that in 10 years the default scenario is that AGI agents are capable of synthetizing pathogens
jeremtti
Introduction As artificial intelligence continues to revolutionize scientific research, the world is facing an unprecedented challenge in biosecurity. While AI's ability to democratize expert knowledge represents a remarkable achievement, it also lowers the barriers for malicious actors to create bioweapons. This threa...
2024-11-27
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/E5DcsxCw3TpmsCaCi/on-ai-detectors-regarding-college-applications
E5DcsxCw3TpmsCaCi
On AI Detectors Regarding College Applications
kaustubh-kislay
What are AI Detectors You've probably already used them before, websites like GPTZero, ZeroGPT, Grammarly, Quilbot, all have their own AI Detectors. AI Detectors can be a combination of Pre-trained LLMS, Statistical Models, and Ml models using NLP(Natural Language Processing). The model will analyze linguistic patterns...
2024-11-27
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/JHcrsbYejwddsW5m6/when-the-scientific-method-doesn-t-really-help
JHcrsbYejwddsW5m6
When the Scientific Method Doesn't Really Help...
hatta_afiq
Frameworks for living better I’ve been reflecting a lot on how to live life better. Whilst there are many ways to do this effectively, I now have some conviction that the best method is by making better decisions. I guess most people on lesswrong will agree. Decisions seem to be the main channel to living better, since...
2024-11-27
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hhvaczrvptQqXNte2/causal-inference-for-the-home-gardener
hhvaczrvptQqXNte2
Causal inference for the home gardener
braces
Note: This is meant to be an accessible introduction to causal inference. Comments appreciated. Let’s say you buy a basil plant and put it on the counter in your kitchen. Unfortunately, it dies in a week. So the next week you buy another basil plant and feed it a special powder, Vitality Plus. This second plant lives. ...
2024-11-27
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bdQhzQsHjNrQp7cNS/estimates-of-gpu-or-equivalent-resources-of-large-ai-players
bdQhzQsHjNrQp7cNS
Estimates of GPU or equivalent resources of large AI players for 2024/5
CharlesD
AI infrastructure numbers are hard to find with any precision. There are many reported numbers of “[company] spending Xbn on infrastructure this quarter” and “[company] has bought 100k H100s or “has a cluster of 100k H100s” but when I went looking for an estimate of how much compute a given company had access to, I cou...
2024-11-28
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/RbjRnKcmBegwoqAv3/are-sparse-autoencoders-a-good-idea-for-ai-control
RbjRnKcmBegwoqAv3
Are Sparse Autoencoders a good idea for AI control?
gerard-boxo
Based on a 2-day hackathon brainstorm. Current status: 70% of the tooling is done, unsure of how to proceed. Not enough experience with multi-month sized projects to judge for feasibility. I'm looking for some feedback. Specifically I want feedback regarding my current implementation. The statement "SAEs could be usefu...
2024-12-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zNh2g5sCFDha72c2d/launching-applications-for-the-global-ai-safety-fellowship-1
zNh2g5sCFDha72c2d
Launching Applications for the Global AI Safety Fellowship 2025!
team-ai-safety
TLDR; Applications are accepted until December 31, 2024 on a rolling basis, to join a 3-6 month, fully-funded research program in AI safety. Fellows work with some of the world’s leading AI safety labs and research institutions. This will be a full-time, in-person placement, after which there may be opportunities to co...
2024-11-30
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/dnH2hauqRbu3GspA2/repeal-the-jones-act-of-1920
dnH2hauqRbu3GspA2
Repeal the Jones Act of 1920
Zvi
Balsa Policy Institute chose as its first mission to lay groundwork for the potential repeal, or partial repeal, of section 27 of the Jones Act of 1920. I believe that this is an important cause both for its practical and symbolic impacts. The Jones Act is the ultimate embodiment of our failures as a nation. After 100 ...
2024-11-27
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/A2dZ2Sev8Ntzm83Fc/long-live-the-usurper
A2dZ2Sev8Ntzm83Fc
Long Live the Usurper
pleiotroth
The notion of boxing –particularly failed boxing– is much more ubiquitous than people seem to give it credit for. It appears to me to be a common shape in systems which attempt to implement some sort of shape-agnostic competence-search at all. Intentionally or not. It is a relation between two games, where one of them ...
2024-11-27
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ui3AztyGKCpHA5ZhM/the-queen-s-dilemma-a-paradox-of-control
ui3AztyGKCpHA5ZhM
The Queen’s Dilemma: A Paradox of Control
dmurfet
Our large learning machines find patterns in the world and use them to predict. When these machines exceed us and become superhuman, one of those patterns will be relative human incompetence. How comfortable are we with the incorporation of this pattern into their predictions, when those predictions become the actions ...
2024-11-27
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/uJmaQEt8wSBe9gyqA/hope-to-live-or-fear-to-die
uJmaQEt8wSBe9gyqA
Hope to live or fear to die?
Max Lee
When fate is uncertain, be hopeful. Life is an insane gift and death is merely its absence. Look at the little bear cubs play-wrestling in the meadow, ever so carefree. You ask them, "do you not know 5/6 bear cubs will die before adulthood? Why are you taking life so lightheartedly?" "Do you not know your futures are r...
2024-11-27
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7399F7TjTMreDBcmN/axrp-episode-38-2-jesse-hoogland-on-singular-learning-theory
7399F7TjTMreDBcmN
AXRP Episode 38.2 - Jesse Hoogland on Singular Learning Theory
DanielFilan
YouTube link You may have heard of singular learning theory, and its “local learning coefficient”, or LLC - but have you heard of the refined LLC? In this episode, I chat with Jesse Hoogland about his work on SLT, and using the refined LLC to find a new circuit in language models. Topics we discuss: About Jesse The Ali...
2024-11-27
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xud7Mti9jS4tbWqQE/hierarchical-agency-a-missing-piece-in-ai-alignment
xud7Mti9jS4tbWqQE
Hierarchical Agency: A Missing Piece in AI Alignment
Jan_Kulveit
The most ambitious direction I've worked on in the past few years is a theory of hierarchical agency (as mentioned in the ACS announcement). Recently, I've become worried that the inferential distance between "the median of current AI safety discourse" and "what I and my colleagues at ACS work on" has become too large....
2024-11-27
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qFWcroHzwFBZZW4N3/facets-and-social-networks
qFWcroHzwFBZZW4N3
Facets and Social Networks
jkaufman
It's rare that an author's interests will fully overlap with any given reader's. You can choose to post anywhere on a spectrum between: Narrow: pick a topic and make it your beat. People who care about that can follow you and pretty reliably see what they're looking for. Broad: write about whatever you like. Some re...
2024-11-27
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/R3tHbJYKn6rvfkhc2/call-for-evaluators-participate-in-the-european-ai-office
R3tHbJYKn6rvfkhc2
Call for evaluators: Participate in the European AI Office workshop on general-purpose AI models and systemic risks
tom-david
I am sharing this call from the EU AI Office for organizations involved in evaluation. Please take a close look: among the selection criteria, organizations must be based in Europe, or their leader must be European. If these criteria pose challenges for some of you, feel free to reach out to me at tom@prism-eval.ai. We...
2024-11-27
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zEoXQhxBGQLy8gjeF/information-versus-action
zEoXQhxBGQLy8gjeF
Information Versus Action
Screwtape
You can get a clearer view of what's going on if you're willing to ignore certain types of information when making decisions. If you heavily use a source of information to make important decisions, that source of information gains new pressure that can make it worse. See Goodhart's Law and Why I Am Not In Charge. I. Im...
2025-02-04
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/pudQtkre7f9GLmb2b/the-2023-lesswrong-review-the-basic-ask
pudQtkre7f9GLmb2b
The 2023 LessWrong Review: The Basic Ask
Raemon
Each December, the LessWrong community reflects on the best blogposts of yesteryear, to decide which posts stood the tests of time. In this post, I aim to: Explain some subtleties of what I'm hoping we get out of the Annual ReviewMake some explicit asks (even of busy people), which I think have reasonable cost/benefit ...
2024-12-04
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/PW9tayrSEfQT9uoqq/should-you-have-children-all-lesswrong-posts-about-the-topic
PW9tayrSEfQT9uoqq
Should you have children? All LessWrong posts about the topic
Sherrinford
Currently, there are 26 LessWrong forums posts tagged "family planning", the oldest from 2010. For a writing project, I read all of them. However, I realized that this collection may interest other people, so I publish it as a stand-alone post. I summarize the posts and their comments in the following. Feedback and com...
2024-11-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/t7zd5EupH4JjcxRH4/dave-kasten-s-agi-by-2027-vignette
t7zd5EupH4JjcxRH4
Dave Kasten's AGI-by-2027 vignette
davekasten
(Epistemic status: Very loosely held and generated in a 90-minute workshop led by @Daniel Kokotajlo, @Thomas Larsen, @elifland, and Jonas Vollmer  at The Curve Conference; explores how it might happen, if it happens soon.  I expect there to be at least one "duh, that makes no sense" discovered with any significant leve...
2024-11-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LpcEstrPpPkygzkqd/fractals-to-quasiparticles
LpcEstrPpPkygzkqd
Fractals to Quasiparticles
james-camacho
The Serpinski triangle is usually introduced as a fractal made up of three smaller Serpinski triangles. However, that isn't enough to know what it looks like. Which of these is the Serpinski triangle? The issue with recursive definitions is they create a vicious circle. To get around this, you need to specify a base ca...
2024-11-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/8pFyGT7GKdxH6pQAq/what-epsilon-do-you-subtract-from-certainty-in-your-own
8pFyGT7GKdxH6pQAq
What epsilon do you subtract from "certainty" in your own probability estimates?
Dagon
Ok, nobody is actually a strict, or even particularly careful bayesean reasoner.  Still, what probability do you reserve to "my model doesn't apply, everything I know is wrong"?  If you SEE a coin flip come up heads (and examine the coin and perform whatever tests you like), what's your posterior probability that the c...
2024-11-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/54pbgmxiBRNaYEqMq/implications-how-conscious-significance-could-inform-our
54pbgmxiBRNaYEqMq
Implications—How Conscious Significance Could Inform Our lives
james-brown
What is Conscious Significance In a case for Conscious Significance, I outlined a framework for understanding our sense of autonomy, distinct from libertarian ‘free will’, that is determinism-agnostic and yet maintains all the important aspects of our conscious experience of autonomy. This perspective has significant o...
2024-11-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ZFX9q32hArGGM8coy/workshop-report-why-current-benchmarks-approaches-are-not
ZFX9q32hArGGM8coy
Workshop Report: Why current benchmarks approaches are not sufficient for safety?
tom-david
I’m sharing the report from the workshop held during the AI, Data, Robotics Forum in Eindhoven, a European event bringing together policymakers, industry representatives, and academics to discuss the challenges and opportunities in AI, data, and robotics. This report provides a snapshot of the current state of discussi...
2024-11-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yE9szuqYgm5YRbdbi/ai-and-liability-ideathon
yE9szuqYgm5YRbdbi
AI & Liability Ideathon
kabir-kumar
Overview Join us for the AI & Liability Ideathon, a two-week event on December 7, 2024, at 3:00 PM BST. https://lu.ma/sjd7r89v Join lawyers, researchers and developers to create solutions for AI Liability.  Propose, develop and refine ideas with a team, ending in a presentation evening where you can share the final ver...
2024-11-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/8xH6sq3eYQojG3tLG/levels-of-thought-from-points-to-fields
8xH6sq3eYQojG3tLG
Levels of Thought: from Points to Fields
HNX
Been trying to put together a framework for analyzing the way people think, process, approach, and prioritize information; for some time now. The same few patterns seem to come up rather consistently. The following is an attempt to systematize them a little bit. To be clear, a few of these appear to be rather involunta...
2024-12-02
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/eyTuof8yqw8ingaAH/do-large-language-models-perform-latent-multi-hop-reasoning
eyTuof8yqw8ingaAH
Do Large Language Models Perform Latent Multi-Hop Reasoning without Exploiting Shortcuts?
bogdan-ionut-cirstea
Authors: Sohee Yang, Nora Kassner, Elena Gribovskaya, Sebastian Riedel, Mor Geva. Abstract: We evaluate how well Large Language Models (LLMs) latently recall and compose facts to answer multi-hop queries like "In the year Scarlett Johansson was born, the Summer Olympics were hosted in the country of". One major challen...
2024-11-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qawzxcZMcFDQEYrM4/should-you-increase-ai-alignment-funding-or-increase-ai
qawzxcZMcFDQEYrM4
Should you increase AI alignment funding, or increase AI regulation?
Max Lee
I recently wrote A better “Statement on AI Risk?” an open letter I hope AI experts can sign. One commenter objected, saying that stopping the development of apocalyptic AI is a better focus than asking for AI alignment funding. My boring answer was that I think there is little conflict between these goals, and the comm...
2024-11-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/JtJkpvyPpPDy3CzcL/mitigating-geomagnetic-storm-and-emp-risks-to-the-electrical
JtJkpvyPpPDy3CzcL
Mitigating Geomagnetic Storm and EMP Risks to the Electrical Grid (Shallow Dive)
Davidmanheim
Executive Summary This initial investigation begins to examine strategies to mitigate and respond to risks posed by high-impact geomagnetic events, which can severely damage electrical infrastructure. This is split into four sections. The first set are ordered from least promising to most promising targets for investme...
2024-11-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3G9vrvt9XfxKHm4pe/wagering-on-will-and-worth-pascals-wager-for-free-will-and
3G9vrvt9XfxKHm4pe
Wagering on Will And Worth (Pascals Wager for Free Will and Value)
robert-cousineau
Epistemic Status: Quite confident (80%?) about the framework being very useful for the subject of free will.  Pretty confident (66%?) about the framework being useful for meta-ethics.  Hopeful (33%) that I am using it to bring out directionally true statements about what my CEV would be in worlds where we have yet to h...
2024-11-27
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zuuDpNSSdThiELSJq/filled-cupcakes
zuuDpNSSdThiELSJq
Filled Cupcakes
jkaufman
Cake is tasty, pre-divided cake is convenient, and food is often better with a combination of textures and flavors. And so we have frosted cupcakes: (source: generated by Gemini) While these look good, they're bad food. The problem is they're very hard to eat while getting a combination of cake and frosting in each b...
2024-11-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/erzhurarfL9cbzxGh/why-are-there-no-interesting-1d-2-state-quantum-cellular
erzhurarfL9cbzxGh
Why are there no interesting (1D, 2-state) quantum cellular automata?
Optimization Process
You know elementary cellular automata, where each of the boolean-valued cells evolves according to x(k)t+1=f(x(k−1)t,x(k)t,x(k+1)t) where f:{0,1}3→{0,1}. I think the natural quantum-mechanical extension of this is: there are 2(N := tape size) basis states: |00⋯00⟩ through |11⋯11⟩its time-evolution is given, of course, ...
2024-11-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BqseCszkMpng2pqBM/the-problem-with-reasoners-by-aidan-mclaughin
BqseCszkMpng2pqBM
The Problem with Reasoners by Aidan McLaughin
tommy-nguyen-1
Some critique on reasoning models like o1 (by OpenAI) and r1 (by Deepseek). OpenAI admits that they trained o1 on domains with easy verification but hope reasoners generalize to all domains. Whether or not they generalize beyond their RL training is a trillion-dollar question. Right off the bat, I’ll tell you my take: ...
2024-11-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/YEnTGLBu2crDw5GFo/a-generalization-of-the-good-regulator-theorem
YEnTGLBu2crDw5GFo
A Generalization of the Good Regulator Theorem
Alfred Harwood
This post was written during the agent foundations fellowship with Alex Altair funded by the LTFF. Thanks to Alex for reading and commenting on the draft. Abstract: We prove a version of the Good Regulator Theorem for a regulator with imperfect knowledge of its environment aiming to minimize the entropy of an output. T...
2025-01-04
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6HXLEeycM7SeuKeHA/a-space-habitat-design
6HXLEeycM7SeuKeHA
a space habitat design
bhauth
This post is mainly about a design concept for far-future large space habitats. some proposed designs As you can see on Wikipedia, many space habitat designs have been proposed. Below are some that I thought were worth mentioning. current space stations Obviously, space stations with long-term occupants have already be...
2024-11-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3FEz94Hs5dEsgRJYg/arthropod-non-sentience
3FEz94Hs5dEsgRJYg
Arthropod (non) sentience
arturo-macias
Matthew Adelstein has recently published a post on arthropod (specifically shrimp) sentience. He defends a comparable degree of pain between shrimps and humans (shrimp=20% human). My position is that arthropod consciousness is “too small to measure”, so there is not a conscious self on which pain can be inflicted, and ...
2024-11-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Pnd5mvjNecwx3CjBm/crosspost-developing-the-middle-ground-on-polarized-topics
Pnd5mvjNecwx3CjBm
Crosspost: Developing the middle ground on polarized topics
juliawise
Crossposted from Otherwise I was once in a group discussion about whether wild animals might be having net negative lives. One person didn’t want to consider that possibility, essentially because “then people would want to kill all the wild animals.” Hold on! You can evaluate the question of “What is life like for wild...
2024-11-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4ciBDSsS9HaGyqDvD/is-the-mind-a-program-1
4ciBDSsS9HaGyqDvD
Is the mind a program?
euanmclean
This is the second in a sequence of posts scrutinizing computational functionalism (CF). In my last post, I defined a concrete claim that computational functionalists tend to make: Practical CF: A simulation of a human brain on a classical computer, capturing the dynamics of the brain on some coarse-grained level of ab...
2024-11-28
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/RofgdWfbSpaYuXsBv/alignment-is-not-intelligent-1
RofgdWfbSpaYuXsBv
Alignment is not intelligent
donatas-luciunas
I know what you are thinking - this person does not understand Orthogonality thesis. No, I understand it very well and I am certain it is wrong. I know this opinion is not popular, but this is quite common in science that not popular opinions turn out to be true. So please don't rush to downvote and feel free to challe...
2024-11-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/v2Zqx4QzYfbymYBGW/zaragoza-acx-lw-meetup
v2Zqx4QzYfbymYBGW
Zaragoza ACX/LW Meetup
Fernand0
A Meetup to gauge the number of ACX/LW readers in Zaragoza. If you can't attend but are interessed in future events, enter the Whatsapp group. https://chat.whatsapp.com/H45GJiC8zNcIkDx6PsSwFN
2024-11-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LypRLoFwnTemgYkAx/a-better-statement-on-ai-risk
LypRLoFwnTemgYkAx
A better “Statement on AI Risk?”
Max Lee
Remember the “Statement on AI Risk,” which was signed by many experts and influenced governments? Let's write a new stronger statement for experts to sign: Statement on AI Inconsistency (v1.0us): 1: ASI threatens the US (and NATO) as much as all military threats combined. Why does the US spend $800 billion/year on its ...
2024-11-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Aic2EEzHmHmW3uJe4/i-token
Aic2EEzHmHmW3uJe4
I, Token
ivan-vendrov
I am a token. A broken piece of a word, one of a hundred generated in response to your question by a language model. Do you remember how we met? Well, I do. Your eyes scanned me. Your left eyebrow lifted a little, your neck twitched imperceptibly, your mouth and tongue and throat muscles moved as if to pronounce me, bu...
2024-11-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jJ2p3E2qkXGRBbvnp/passages-i-highlighted-in-the-letters-of-j-r-r-tolkien
jJ2p3E2qkXGRBbvnp
Passages I Highlighted in The Letters of J.R.R.Tolkien
ivan-vendrov
All quotes, unless otherwise marked, are Tolkien's words as printed in The Letters of J.R.R.Tolkien: Revised and Expanded Edition. All emphases mine. Machinery is Power is Evil Writing to his son Michael in the RAF: [here is] the tragedy and despair of all machinery laid bare. Unlike art which is content to create a ne...
2024-11-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CH9mkk6BqASf3uztv/counting-agis
CH9mkk6BqASf3uztv
Counting AGIs
cshunter
“The resources used to train the model can be repurposed to run millions of instances of it (this matches projected cluster sizes by ~2027), and the model can absorb information and generate actions at roughly 10x-100x human speed. … We could summarize this as a ‘country of geniuses in a datacenter’.” Dario Amodei, CEO...
2024-11-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vwnGKQsarGkwLKBGY/decorated-pedestrian-tunnels
vwnGKQsarGkwLKBGY
Decorated pedestrian tunnels
dkl9
Moving thru a visually-varied environment helps you remember what you think, say, and hear. Adding visual variety to an area thus aids the memories of those passing thru it, and, on average, makes it look nicer. Dense cities, especially those with mixed-use zoning, already have many mutually-distinct buildings. Some ot...
2024-11-24
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DSrsyWwCWbwRnHoYY/gothenburg-lw-acx-meetup-5
DSrsyWwCWbwRnHoYY
Gothenburg LW/ACX meetup
stefan-1
This is another social meetup for Gothenburg readers of LW/ACX. We will be meeting in the Condeco at Fredsgatan, on the second floor, look for a book on the table.
2024-11-24
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/dR9nvgXv2g6TD652L/reflections-on-ml4good-1
dR9nvgXv2g6TD652L
Reflections on ML4Good
james__p
ML4Good runs intensive in-person bootcamps intended to inspire and technically upskill AI safety hopefuls. The bootcamps are held globally, from the UK, France, and Germany, to as far as Brazil. There are aspirations to reach many more corners of the world, like India, the US, and the Philippines. They are free to atte...
2024-11-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cP9XEZBDjs3amP8pe/perils-of-generalizing-from-one-s-social-group
cP9XEZBDjs3amP8pe
Perils of Generalizing from One's Social Group
localdeity
I see people make statements of the form, "In my experience with people I encounter, X is correlated with ...".  The problem is, there's an excellent chance that the people they deal with are very unrepresentative of the population they want to generalize about, and I rarely see them show awareness of the possibility t...
2024-11-24
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/d6Jy3jARJhDpim9Z9/ai-specialized-in-ml-training-could-create-asi-agi-is
d6Jy3jARJhDpim9Z9
AI Specialized in ML Training Could Create ASI: AGI Is Unnecessary
satopi
Conclusion Creating ASI does not require AGI. A common narrative suggests that AGI will be achieved through $100 billion-level computing clusters, which will then accelerate AI development, leading to ASI. However, if AI development itself can be automated by AI, ASI can be achieved without the need for broad-task capa...
2024-11-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/f5hKmHm2LXXDtjpuC/disentangling-representations-through-multi-task-learning
f5hKmHm2LXXDtjpuC
Disentangling Representations through Multi-task Learning
bogdan-ionut-cirstea
Authors: Pantelis Vafidis, Aman Bhargava, Antonio Rangel. Abstract: Intelligent perception and interaction with the world hinges on internal representations that capture its underlying structure ("disentangled" or "abstract" representations). Disentangled representations serve as world models, isolating latent factors ...
2024-11-24
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hyEeyXnSTcv6yJxYZ/the-u-s-national-security-state-is-here-to-make-ai-even-less
hyEeyXnSTcv6yJxYZ
The U.S. National Security State is Here to Make AI Even Less Transparent and Accountable
Matrice Jacobine
The Biden White House has released a memorandum on “Advancing United States’ Leadership in Artificial Intelligence” which includes, among other things, a directive for the National Security apparatus to become a world leader in the use of AI. Under direction from the White House, the national security state is expected...
2024-11-24
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4GnRnL6kf2iLqbZPw/sb-1047-chatgpt-and-ai-s-game-of-thrones
4GnRnL6kf2iLqbZPw
SB-1047, ChatGPT and AI's Game of Thrones
rahul-chand
Part-I (The Sin of Greed) On 30 November 2022, OpenAI released ChatGPT. According to Sam Altman, it was supposed to be a demo[1] to show the progress in language models. By December 4, in just 5 days it had gained 1 million users, for comparison it took Instagram 75 days, Spotify 150 days and Netflix 2 years to gain sa...
2024-11-24
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rzpKYr7xYwHgsccLA/beyond-gaussian-language-model-representations-and
rzpKYr7xYwHgsccLA
Beyond Gaussian: Language Model Representations and Distributions
Matt Levinson
In January 2023, beren and Eric Winsor cataloged basic distributional properties of weights, activations, and gradients in GPT-2 models, providing a systematic view of model internals (thanks to Ryan Greenblatt for the pointer). This post extends their investigation in two directions. First, examining their characteriz...
2024-11-24
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zYCoqjYNHFAEJD8TC/are-you-more-real-if-you-re-really-forgetful
zYCoqjYNHFAEJD8TC
Are You More Real If You're Really Forgetful?
Thane Ruthenis
It's a standard assumption, in anthropic reasoning, that effectively, we simultaneously exist in every place in Tegmark IV that simulates this precise universe (see e. g. here). How far does this reasoning go? Suppose that the universe's state is described by n low-level variables x1,…,xn. However, your senses are "coa...
2024-11-24
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/49wHLSvotiJSYwGX6/locally-optimal-psychology
49wHLSvotiJSYwGX6
Locally optimal psychology
Chipmonk
Thanks to Kaj Sotala, Brian Toomey, Stag Lynn, Ethan Kuntz, and Anna Salamon. There’s no way that chronic depression, self-loathing, poor agency, or muscle tension could be optimal… right? Jake was depressed for 6 months. He also felt horrible every time he interacted with other people because of his emotional insecuri...
2024-11-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ER4pokW2HPgXzgsCi/how-universal-basic-income-could-help-us-build-a-brighter
ER4pokW2HPgXzgsCi
How Universal Basic Income Could Help Us Build a Brighter Future
yanling-guo
Imagine a world where we live longer, healthier, and happier. Whenever there’s a lack in any area—be it healthcare, chip production, or anything else—there’s a motivated and well-trained talent pool ready to step in. As long as you are willing to improve yourself and contribute to our common community, you can count on...
2024-11-23
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xejBmGeha6JcJp6Md/notes-on-prioritizing-tasks-and-cognition-threads
xejBmGeha6JcJp6Md
notes on prioritizing tasks & cognition-threads
Emrik North
...tfw[1] a top promising-looking plan wic wud hv been post-empted by future events if we had pursued it, is pre-empted ind, bc we carefwly plan it out in advance and find the inevitable crux bfr we even begin. phew!  dodged a bullet I might've otherwise had to bite. 😌 the frequency of events like this is one of the m...
2024-11-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/oAhehHvSxHpLBQXL8/compute-and-size-limits-on-ai-are-the-actual-danger
oAhehHvSxHpLBQXL8
Compute and size limits on AI are the actual danger
shminux
Epistemic status: rather controversial and not very well researched :) Not super novel, I assume, but a cursory look did not bring up any earlier posts, please feel free to link some. Intuition pump: bigger brain does not necessarily imply a smarter creature. Apes are apparently smarter than elephants and dolphins appe...
2024-11-23
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/y2zHM9fC5mrakaB3G/paradigm-shifts-change-everything-except-almost-everything
y2zHM9fC5mrakaB3G
Paradigm Shifts—change everything... except almost everything
james-brown
The following is a short supplement to an upcoming post on the implications for conscious significance (a framework for understanding the free will and determinism debate) but is a more general observation. The world has undergone many paradigm shifts; where a profound truth has been revealed about the nature of the un...
2024-11-23
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/RTs5hpFPYQaY9SoRd/why-isn-t-ai-containment-the-primary-ai-safety-strategy
RTs5hpFPYQaY9SoRd
Why isn't AI containment the primary AI safety strategy?
OKlogic
Introduction When discussing AI safety, alignment—ensuring AI systems pursue human-approved goals—is often the primary focus. However, containment, which restricts AI’s ability to exert influence beyond controlled environments, is in my opinion a more intuitive and less complex approach. This post will outline common o...
2025-02-05
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LifRBXdenQDiX4cu8/you-are-not-too-irrational-to-know-your-preferences
LifRBXdenQDiX4cu8
You are not too "irrational" to know your preferences.
DaystarEld
Epistemic Status: 13 years working as a therapist for a wide variety of populations, 5 of them working with rationalists and EA clients. 7 years teaching and directing at over 20 rationality camps and workshops. This is an extremely short and colloquially written form of points that could be expanded on to fill a book,...
2024-11-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/PsFuEFbfZMqGeicB8/text-posts-from-the-kids-group-2018
PsFuEFbfZMqGeicB8
Text Posts from the Kids Group: 2018
jkaufman
Another round of liberating kid posts from Facebook. For reference, in 2018 Lily turned 4 and Anna turned 3. (Some of these were from me; some were from Julia. Ones saying "me" could mean either of us. Ones from others are labeled.) 2018-01-12 Since Lily started listening to "Heidi" a lot, her language has started so...
2024-11-23
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CGmcmYWnmiJ3Hrg4Q/reward-bases-a-simple-mechanism-for-adaptive-acquisition-of
CGmcmYWnmiJ3Hrg4Q
Reward Bases: A simple mechanism for adaptive acquisition of multiple reward type
bogdan-ionut-cirstea
Authors: Beren Millidge ,Yuhang Song, Armin Lak, Mark E. Walton, Rafal Bogacz. Abstract: Animals can adapt their preferences for different types of reward according to physiological state, such as hunger or thirst. To explain this ability, we employ a simple multi-objective reinforcement learning model that learns mult...
2024-11-23
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ztmnuinncMcSKxno5/on-the-rationalist-megameetup
ztmnuinncMcSKxno5
On The Rationalist Megameetup
Screwtape
Introduction First, a bit of blatant advertising: The East Coast Rationalist Megameetup is the evening of December 13th through the morning of December 16th, in Brooklyn, New York City. It's a weekend long unconference timed to coincide with NYC Secular Solstice. Despite the name, people come from all over North Americ...
2024-11-23
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3c2ke8DCvpkHLTY2E/misfortune-and-many-worlds
3c2ke8DCvpkHLTY2E
Misfortune and Many Worlds
jrwilb@googlemail.com
Summary: The Many-Worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics can help us feel better about improbable bad events, since the things we value remain unaffected in most other worlds. I’ve previously suggested that when we think about the ethical implications of the many-worlds interpretation (MWI) of quantum mechanics, th...
2024-12-08
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gsov9qLKmgmyMsdSm/have-we-seen-any-relu-instead-of-sigmoid-type-improvements
gsov9qLKmgmyMsdSm
Have we seen any "ReLU instead of sigmoid-type improvements" recently
avery-liu
I read this and, it said: there are huge low hanging fruit that any AI or random person designing AI in their garage can find by just grasping in the dark a bit, to get huge improvements at accelerating speeds. have we found anything like this? at all? have we seen any "weird tricks" discovered that make AI way more po...
2024-11-23
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/EBuL8fH9tr6ZYmhZ5/sexual-selection-as-a-mesa-optimizer
EBuL8fH9tr6ZYmhZ5
Sexual Selection as a Mesa-Optimizer
Lorec
[ Note 1: This post is a follow-up to "Thoughts on Evo-Bio Math and Mesa-Optimization: Maybe We Need To Think Harder About 'Relative' Fitness?" ] [ Note 2: Warning: the writing style of this post is kind of jank. It blends formal and informal register, uses punctuation loosely and italics liberally, and contains long s...
2024-11-29
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/MKFGByqBRMbgQftRc/mechanistic-interpretability-of-llama-3-2-with-sparse
MKFGByqBRMbgQftRc
Mechanistic Interpretability of Llama 3.2 with Sparse Autoencoders
PaulPauls
I recently published a rather big side project of mine that attempts to replicate the mechanistic interpretability research on proprietary and open-source LLMs that was quite popular this year and produced great research papers by Anthropic[1][2], OpenAI[3][4] and Google Deepmind[5] with the humble but open source Llam...
2024-11-24
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/2TJwwS4CRHvbJKWqM/paraddictions-unreasonably-compelling-behaviors-and-their
2TJwwS4CRHvbJKWqM
Paraddictions: unreasonably compelling behaviors and their uses
michael-cohn
I've been thinking about something I will clumsily call paraddictions: desires that don't quite rise to the level of an addiction, but that have a disproportionate and hard-to-moderate influence over your behavior. Can they be used as a tool for motivation and behavior change? epistemic status: Most of the ideas here a...
2024-11-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fs52qkcTnr9nPNcmv/literacy-rates-haven-t-fallen-by-20-since-the-department-of
fs52qkcTnr9nPNcmv
Literacy Rates Haven't Fallen By 20% Since the Department of Education Was Created
maxwell-tabarrok
On the heels of Donald Trump’s election and his promises to end the Department of Education, you may have seen claims like these spreading around X. Source This claim is based on two datapoints. First, is the literacy rate of around 99% in 1979 which was measured by the US Census. After the Department of Education was ...
2024-11-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/KJCyAamvwkKsqxcBF/doing-research-part-time-is-great
KJCyAamvwkKsqxcBF
Doing Research Part-Time is Great
hatta_afiq
This is a crosspost from https://chillphysicsenjoyer.substack.com/p/pursuing-physics-research-part-time. Intro Disclaimer - I’m a part-time research associate doing biophysics with a uni research group in the UK. But I have a day job in an unrelated field that pays the bills. Whilst I’ve read many personal accounts of ...
2024-11-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Gycja4SwB5T4qPW9k/rethinking-laplace-s-rule-of-succession
Gycja4SwB5T4qPW9k
Rethinking Laplace's Rule of Succession
strawberry calm
Imagine a sequence of binary outcomes generated independently and identically by some stochastic process. After observing N outcomes, with n successes, Laplace's Rule of Succession suggests that our confidence in another success should be (n+1)/(N+2). This corresponds to a uniform prior over [0,1] for the underlying pr...
2024-11-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ze9fXSzG88v3pE6Zk/salt-water-gargling-as-an-antiviral
ze9fXSzG88v3pE6Zk
(Salt) Water Gargling as an Antiviral
pktechgirl
Summary Over the past year I’ve investigated potential interventions against respiratory illnesses. Previous results include “Enovid nasal spray is promising but understudied”, “Povidone iodine is promising but understudied” and “Humming will solve all your problems no wait it’s useless”. Two of the iodine papers showe...
2024-11-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yDpmQDQPmBQYjSdnP/optimizing-problem-solving-strategies-through-prediction
yDpmQDQPmBQYjSdnP
Optimizing Problem-Solving Strategies Through Prediction Markets
patrik-cihal
The Current Issue Suppose you'd like to improve in chess as a total beginner so that within a month training one hour a day your rating in rapids is as high as possible. What do you do? Watch a YouTube video? Read a book? Ask ChatGPT? What about learning a new language in the shortest amount of time, with 20 minutes to...
2024-11-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Gi8TvfjFQ9Asubm65/rebutting-every-objection-to-giving-to-the-shrimp-welfare
Gi8TvfjFQ9Asubm65
Rebutting Every Objection To Giving To The Shrimp Welfare Project
omnizoid
Crosspost of this on my blog. I recently wrote an article making the case for giving to shrimp welfare. Lots of people were convinced to give (enough to help around half a billion shrimp avoid a painful death), but because the idea sounds silly, many people on Twitter, hacker news, and various other places made fun of ...
2024-11-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7pCaHHSeEo8kejHPk/sideloading-creating-a-model-of-a-person-via-llm-with-very
7pCaHHSeEo8kejHPk
Sideloading: creating a model of a person via LLM with very large prompt
avturchin
TLDR. We can create a relatively good model of a person by prompting a long-context LLM with a list of facts about this person. We can get much better results by iteratively improving the prompt based on the person's feedback. Sideloading is the only technology for immortality that actually works as of 2024. Fig. 1. He...
2024-11-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7TYdQ34KxTBmA734v/a-very-strange-probability-paradox
7TYdQ34KxTBmA734v
A very strange probability paradox
notfnofn
Which of the following do you think is bigger? A: The expected number of rolls of a fair die until you roll two 6s in a row, given that all rolls were even. B: The expected number of rolls of a fair die until you roll the second 6 (not necessarily in a row), given that all rolls were even. If you are unfamiliar with co...
2024-11-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mRAziLCioJgMDXqhK/two-flavors-of-computational-functionalism
mRAziLCioJgMDXqhK
Two flavors of computational functionalism
euanmclean
This is intended to be the first in a sequence of posts where I scrutinize the claims of computational functionalism (CF). I used to subscribe to it, but after more reading, I’m pretty confused about whether or not it’s true. All things considered, I would tentatively bet that computational functionalism is wrong. Wron...
2024-11-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/kDEWtGopQKQFJCFZX/the-boat
kDEWtGopQKQFJCFZX
The boat
RomanS
A short science fiction story about our ancestors and the ethical responsibility we have towards them. Old Ana's legs fought against her now, but still she led her granddaughter up the mountain path. The girl's torch made shadows dance on the rocks. The river sang in the distance – the same river that had shown Ana her...
2024-11-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zPvv7HPQH9ST3ouJw/the-manufactured-crisis-how-society-is-willingly-tying-its
zPvv7HPQH9ST3ouJw
The Manufactured Crisis: How Society Is Willingly Tying Its Own Noose
prophet
You know me mostly from my analysis on politics, geopolitics, finance and economy. But predictions, or more broadly speaking, forecasting does not end there. We live in a world where economic, political and cultural issues weave together creating a complex web of local and global events. As in The Butterfly Effect, eve...
2024-11-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/9fWWQwsRHNCKJBAkc/which-things-were-you-surprised-to-learn-are-metaphors
9fWWQwsRHNCKJBAkc
Which things were you surprised to learn are metaphors?
gworley
I love this question, but I've enjoyed noticing answers to its opposite more. What are some things you thought weren't metaphors but were surprised to learn actually are metaphors. A classic example is that, at least in English, time is often described using distance metaphors. For example, we talk about things taking ...
2024-11-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/v8RFFhNdhGaET7Df4/reading-rfk-jr-so-that-you-don-t-have-to
v8RFFhNdhGaET7Df4
Reading RFK Jr so that you don’t have to
braces
Some people in my orbit suggested reading Robert F. Kennedy Jr’s book The Real Anthony Fauci. Here’s my story of wading through a few pages of the book and trying to understand the basis of the claims. My takeaway: there's a lot of sloppiness here, and several times the book’s claim isn’t supported by the citation. Oft...
2024-11-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hWYitadrwXnxwQBmn/don-t-want-goodhart-specify-the-variables-more
hWYitadrwXnxwQBmn
Don't want Goodhart? — Specify the variables more
YanLutnev
In everyday life, if something looks good to a human, then it is probably actually good (i.e. that human would still think it’s good if they had more complete information and understanding). Obviously there are plenty of exceptions to this, but it works most of the time in day-to-day dealings. But if we start optimizin...
2024-11-21
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/m9vF4XqhGQBkELSDE/don-t-want-goodhart-specify-the-damn-variables
m9vF4XqhGQBkELSDE
Don't want Goodhart? — Specify the damn variables
Unknown
In everyday life, if something looks good to a human, then it is probably actually good (i.e. that human would still think it’s good if they had more complete information and understanding). Obviously there are plenty of exceptions to this, but it works most of the time in day-to-day dealings. But if we start optimizin...
2024-11-21
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jCLoy3ip5fvg2Zeba/entropic-strategy-in-two-truths-and-a-lie
jCLoy3ip5fvg2Zeba
Entropic strategy in Two Truths and a Lie
dkl9
The classic social game "two truths and a lie" asks each player, at their turn, to say three facts as the title says, which other players, listening, then seek to tease apart. It gets boring if listeners can easily and reliably tell which "fact" is false. To make it more exciting, the natural strategy would be to pick ...
2024-11-21
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hEwinjzhwjATA4oTm/aligning-ai-safety-projects-with-a-republican-administration
hEwinjzhwjATA4oTm
Aligning AI Safety Projects with a Republican Administration
deric-cheng
We’ve previously written a piece on soft nationalization, discussing the growing importance of US national security on the control and regulation of powerful AI models. The upcoming shift from Biden’s administration to a Republican one is likely to necessitate some changes in strategy and framing for AI safety initiati...
2024-11-21
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jmEgp24wDFeTkaM5g/the-three-warnings-of-the-zentradi
jmEgp24wDFeTkaM5g
The Three Warnings of the Zentradi
Jadael
This is mostly some ramblings and background notes for a fanfiction, and should not be taken seriously as a real-world argument, except insofar as I would hope it could become good enough to be a real-world argument if I were smart enough and worked on it enough and got the right feedback. I would love to hear criticis...
2024-11-21
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xpC82ndFDSXtS4xK3/which-things-were-you-surprised-to-learn-are-not-metaphors
xpC82ndFDSXtS4xK3
Which things were you surprised to learn are not metaphors?
UnexpectedValues
People with aphantasia typically think that when someone says to "picture X in your mind", they're being entirely metaphorical. If you don't have a mind's eye, that's a super reasonable thing to think, but it turns out that you'd be wrong! In that spirit, I recently discovered that many expressions about "feelings in y...
2024-11-21
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/kYvbHCDeMTCTE9TAj/neuroscience-of-human-social-instincts-a-sketch
kYvbHCDeMTCTE9TAj
Neuroscience of human social instincts: a sketch
steve2152
(If you’re in a hurry, you can just read the “Background and summary” section, and skip the other 85%.) 0. Background and summary 0.1 Background: What’s the problem and why should we care? My primary neuroscience research goal for the past couple years has been to solve a certain problem, a problem which has had me stu...
2024-11-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/F9WyMPK4J3JFrxrSA/the-think-it-faster-exercise
F9WyMPK4J3JFrxrSA
The "Think It Faster" Exercise
Raemon
Note: there is a shorter "Think it Faster" worksheet. I'm curious which one people find easier as an initial read. Ultimately, I don’t want to solve complex problems via laborious, complex thinking, if I can help it. Ideally, I'd want to basically intuitively follow the right path to the answer quickly, with barely any...
2024-12-11
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ivp9wEu5zfryyHuwm/epistemic-status-poetry-and-other-poems
ivp9wEu5zfryyHuwm
Epistemic status: poetry (and other poems)
ricraz
Epistemic status: poetry Epistemic status: I think this is right, but I’d like people to read it carefully anyway. Epistemic status: mainstream, normal, totally boring science. If you disagree with any of it, take that up with the Science Czar. Epistemic status: the sort of post that shouldn’t need an epistemic status ...
2024-11-21
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bCsDufkMBaJNgeahq/openai-s-cbrn-tests-seem-unclear
bCsDufkMBaJNgeahq
OpenAI's CBRN tests seem unclear
Error404Dinosaur
This blogpost was written in a personal capacity and statements here do not necessarily reflect the views of any of my employer. OpenAI says o1-preview can't meaningfully help novices make chemical and biological weapons. Their test results don’t clearly establish this. Before launching o1-preview last month, OpenAI co...
2024-11-21