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Datasets:
alerterra
/
state_fragility

Languages:
English
Size:
1K<n<10K
Tags:
Synthetic
governance
fragility
political-risk
regime
stability
License:
Dataset card Data Studio Files
xet
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State Fragility & Governance Transition Dataset

Regime trajectories, coup risk, and institutional decay indicators for 150+ countries

Publisher: Alerterra Intelligence | Version: 1.0 | Updated: March 2026

Overview

This dataset is part of the Alerterra Synthetic Intelligence Data Suite — 74 records across 26 fields, generated using domain-specific AI models trained on patterns from Alerterra's enterprise intelligence platform.

100% synthetic — zero PII, zero real entity data. Safe for AI/ML model training, system testing, compliance demonstrations, and analyst training.

Use Cases

  • Train state fragility forecasting models
  • Support sovereign risk assessment
  • Validate governance indicator tracking systems
  • Model democratic backsliding trajectories
  • Support conflict early warning

Dataset Structure

Metric Value
Records 74
Fields 26
Formats CSV, JSON, Parquet
Update Frequency Monthly

Fields

Field Type Description
record_id object Record Id
country_iso3 object Country Iso3
country_name object Country Name
date object Date
fragility_score float64 Fragility Score
regime_type object Regime Type
trajectory object Trajectory
political_legitimacy float64 Political Legitimacy
state_capacity float64 State Capacity
security_apparatus float64 Security Apparatus
rule_of_law float64 Rule Of Law
corruption_perception float64 Corruption Perception
press_freedom float64 Press Freedom
civil_liberties float64 Civil Liberties
economic_inequality float64 Economic Inequality
youth_bulge_risk float64 Youth Bulge Risk
ethnic_fractionalization float64 Ethnic Fractionalization
coup_risk_probability float64 Coup Risk Probability
civil_war_risk_probability float64 Civil War Risk Probability
mass_atrocity_risk object Mass Atrocity Risk
external_intervention_likelihood float64 External Intervention Likelihood
diaspora_influence object Diaspora Influence
foreign_dependency float64 Foreign Dependency
neighboring_contagion_risk float64 Neighboring Contagion Risk
forecast_6m float64 Forecast 6M
confidence float64 Confidence

Sample Data

This repository contains a free sample (100 records). The full dataset and monthly refresh subscriptions are available at alerterra.com.

Pricing

Tier Details
Sample Free (100 records)
Standard $8,000
Professional $18,000/year
Enterprise $20,000-$45,000/year

Methodology

Generated using Claude AI with domain-specific context injection encoding Alerterra's intelligence platform expertise (Vigila, Tradana, Gradara, Condura, Scrutera, RegSeal). Every dataset undergoes automated statistical validation, correlation analysis, and domain-specific business rule checks.

Citation 

@dataset{alerterra_state_fragility_2026,
  title = {State Fragility & Governance Transition Dataset},
  author = {Alerterra Intelligence},
  year = {2026},
  publisher = {Hugging Face},
  url = {https://huggingface.co/datasets/alerterra/state_fragility}
}

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