instruction stringclasses 3
values | input stringlengths 179 1.61k | output stringclasses 4
values |
|---|---|---|
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.0950
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.9050
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.0950
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.9050
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.0950
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.9050
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.0950
2024-0... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-07-17 21:00: 0.9655
2024-07-18 04:00: 0.0345
2024-07-18 12:00: 0.9650
2024-07-18 19:00: 0.0350
2024-07-19 03:00: 0.9650
2024-07-19 10:00: 0.0350
2024-07-19 18:00: 0.9650
2024-0... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-08-02 22:00: 0.0480
2024-08-03 06:00: 0.9520
2024-08-03 13:00: 0.0480
2024-08-03 21:00: 0.9515
2024-08-04 04:00: 0.0495
2024-08-04 12:00: 0.9505
2024-08-04 19:00: 0.0495
2024-0... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-08-18 23:00: 0.9715
2024-08-19 06:00: 0.0285
2024-08-19 14:00: 0.9715
2024-08-19 21:00: 0.0280
2024-08-20 05:00: 0.9720
2024-08-20 12:00: 0.0285
2024-08-20 20:00: 0.9715
2024-0... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-09-03 23:00: 0.0220
2024-09-04 07:00: 0.9655
2024-09-04 14:00: 0.0345
2024-09-04 22:00: 0.9655
2024-09-05 05:00: 0.0295
2024-09-05 13:00: 0.9700
2024-09-05 20:00: 0.0300
2024-0... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-09-20 00:00: 0.9710
2024-09-20 07:00: 0.0300
2024-09-20 15:00: 0.9705
2024-09-20 22:00: 0.0295
2024-09-21 06:00: 0.9705
2024-09-21 13:00: 0.0295
2024-09-21 21:00: 0.9705
2024-0... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-10-05 23:00: 0.0275
2024-10-06 07:00: 0.9725
2024-10-06 14:00: 0.0275
2024-10-06 22:00: 0.9715
2024-10-07 05:00: 0.0285
2024-10-07 13:00: 0.9740
2024-10-07 20:00: 0.0250
2024-1... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-10-22 00:00: 0.9750
2024-10-22 07:00: 0.0250
2024-10-22 15:00: 0.9750
2024-10-22 22:00: 0.0250
2024-10-23 06:00: 0.9750
2024-10-23 13:00: 0.0250
2024-10-23 21:00: 0.9750
2024-1... | No |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-04-12 17:00: 0.8850
2024-04-13 05:00: 0.1000
2024-04-13 18:00: 0.9000
2024-04-14 06:00: 0.1000
2024-04-14 19:00: 0.9000
2024-04-15 07:00: 0.1000
2024-04-15 20:00: 0.9000
2024-04-16 08:00: 0.1000
2024-... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-04-28 17:00: 0.0950
2024-04-29 06:00: 0.9050
2024-04-29 18:00: 0.0950
2024-04-30 07:00: 0.9050
2024-04-30 19:00: 0.0950
2024-05-01 08:00: 0.9050
2024-05-01 21:00: 0.0950
2024-05-02 10:00: 0.9050
2024-... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-05-14 19:00: 0.9050
2024-05-15 07:00: 0.0950
2024-05-15 20:00: 0.9050
2024-05-16 08:00: 0.0950
2024-05-16 21:00: 0.9050
2024-05-17 09:00: 0.0950
2024-05-17 22:00: 0.9050
2024-05-18 10:00: 0.0950
2024-... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-05-30 19:00: 0.0950
2024-05-31 08:00: 0.9050
2024-05-31 20:00: 0.0950
2024-06-01 09:00: 0.9050
2024-06-01 21:00: 0.0950
2024-06-02 10:00: 0.9050
2024-06-02 22:00: 0.0950
2024-06-03 11:00: 0.9050
2024-... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-06-15 20:00: 0.9050
2024-06-16 08:00: 0.0950
2024-06-16 21:00: 0.9050
2024-06-17 09:00: 0.0950
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.9050
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.0950
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.9050
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.0950
2024-... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.0950
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.9050
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.0950
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.9050
2024-07-03 22:00: 0.0950
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.9100
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.0900
2024-07-05 12:00: 0.9100
2024-... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-07-17 21:00: 0.9655
2024-07-18 09:00: 0.0345
2024-07-18 22:00: 0.9650
2024-07-19 10:00: 0.0350
2024-07-19 23:00: 0.9650
2024-07-20 11:00: 0.0350
2024-07-21 00:00: 0.9650
2024-07-21 12:00: 0.0350
2024-... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-08-02 22:00: 0.0480
2024-08-03 11:00: 0.9520
2024-08-03 23:00: 0.0495
2024-08-04 12:00: 0.9505
2024-08-05 00:00: 0.0495
2024-08-05 13:00: 0.9400
2024-08-06 01:00: 0.0595
2024-08-06 14:00: 0.9455
2024-... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-08-18 23:00: 0.9715
2024-08-19 11:00: 0.0285
2024-08-20 00:00: 0.9720
2024-08-20 12:00: 0.0285
2024-08-21 01:00: 0.9715
2024-08-21 13:00: 0.0280
2024-08-22 02:00: 0.9720
2024-08-22 14:00: 0.0285
2024-... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-09-03 23:00: 0.0220
2024-09-04 12:00: 0.9655
2024-09-05 00:00: 0.0285
2024-09-05 13:00: 0.9700
2024-09-06 01:00: 0.0300
2024-09-06 14:00: 0.9680
2024-09-07 02:00: 0.0325
2024-09-07 15:00: 0.9675
2024-... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-09-20 00:00: 0.9710
2024-09-20 12:00: 0.0295
2024-09-21 01:00: 0.9705
2024-09-21 13:00: 0.0295
2024-09-22 02:00: 0.9705
2024-09-22 14:00: 0.0295
2024-09-23 03:00: 0.9705
2024-09-23 15:00: 0.0295
2024-... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-10-05 23:00: 0.0275
2024-10-06 12:00: 0.9725
2024-10-07 00:00: 0.0285
2024-10-07 13:00: 0.9740
2024-10-08 01:00: 0.0240
2024-10-08 14:00: 0.9760
2024-10-09 02:00: 0.0230
2024-10-09 15:00: 0.9770
2024-... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 500659
Question: Will a Democrat win California US Senate Election?
Volume: 44715.638877
Price History:
2024-10-22 00:00: 0.9750
2024-10-22 12:00: 0.0250
2024-10-23 01:00: 0.9750
2024-10-23 13:00: 0.0250
2024-10-24 02:00: 0.9750
2024-10-24 14:00: 0.0250
2024-10-25 03:00: 0.9750
2024-10-25 15:00: 0.0245
2024-... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.7500
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.2500
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.7550
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.2450
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.7550
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.1800
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.8350
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.1650
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.8350
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.1650
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.8250
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.1750
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.8300
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.1700
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.8300
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.1700
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.8350
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.1650
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.8350
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.1650
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.8550
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.1450
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.8550
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.1450
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.8550
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.1450
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.8550
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.1450
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.8550
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.1450
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.8550
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.1450
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.8550
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.1450
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.8550
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.1500
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.8500
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.1500
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.8500
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.1500
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.8450
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.1550
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.8450
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.1550
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.8450
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.1500
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.8550
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.1450
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.8850
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.1150
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.8800
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.1200
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.8800
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.1200
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.8800
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0400
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.9600
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.0400
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.9640
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.0360
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 524346
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3131.111312
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.9535
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0465
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.9630
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.0370
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.9580
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.... | No |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 04:00: ... | No |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3900
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3900
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.3900
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.3900
2025-11-02 09:00: ... | No |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.6600
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.3400
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.6600
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.3400
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.6600
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.3300
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.6700
2025-11-04 15:00: ... | No |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.3600
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6650
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 21:00: ... | No |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.3250
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.6800
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.3000
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.2850
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.5450
2025-11-09 03:00: ... | No |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.1400
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-11 09:00: ... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-13 15:00: ... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1300
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-15 21:00: ... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1700
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 03:00: ... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 09:00: ... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9610
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0395
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9700
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0305
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9705
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0295
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9700
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0310
2025-11-22 15:00: ... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9695
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0205
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9820
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0170
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9820
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0185
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9735
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0265
2025-11-24 21:00: ... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 657154
Question: Will Google dip to $260 in November?
Volume: 162235.265167
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9895
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9915
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0090
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9910
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9905
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 03:00: ... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4750
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5250
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.4050
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.5950
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.055... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.955... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9705
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0295
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9710
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0290
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9720
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0280
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.972... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0260
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9740
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0265
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9735
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0260
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9740
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.026... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0380
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9620
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0380
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9620
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9620
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0380
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.962... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9510
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0490
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0500
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9500
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9500
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0500
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.050... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.8520
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.1480
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.1480
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.8520
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.1485
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.8515
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.146... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.1315
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.8685
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.1325
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.8675
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.1325
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.8675
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.132... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.8720
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.1280
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.1270
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.8730
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.1270
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.8730
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.873... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.1270
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.8730
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.1270
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.8730
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.8785
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.1215
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.878... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.1155
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.8845
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.1155
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.8845
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.1155
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.8845
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.115... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.1115
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.8885
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.8885
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.1115
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.8905
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.1095
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.890... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0170
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0170
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0155
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9845
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.985... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4750
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5250
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.4050
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.5950
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.94... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9550
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.04... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9705
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0295
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9710
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0290
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9720
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0280
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9720
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.02... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0260
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9740
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0265
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9735
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0260
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9740
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0265
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.97... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0380
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9620
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0380
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9620
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9620
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0380
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9620
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.03... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9510
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0490
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0500
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9500
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9500
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0500
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0500
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.95... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.8520
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.1480
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.1480
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.8520
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.1485
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.8515
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.1465
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.85... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.1315
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.8685
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.1325
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.8675
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.1325
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.8675
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.1325
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.86... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.8720
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.1280
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.1270
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.8730
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.1270
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.8730
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.8730
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.12... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.1270
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.8730
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.1270
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.8730
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.8785
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.1215
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.8785
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.12... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.1155
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.8845
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.1155
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.8845
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.1155
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.8845
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.1155
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.88... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.1115
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.8885
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.8885
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.1115
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.8905
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.1095
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.8905
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.10... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 582273
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 8977.065183
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0170
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0170
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0155
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9845
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9850
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.01... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 500660
Question: Will a Republican win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56802.930338
Price History:
2024-04-12 17:00: 0.0900
2024-04-13 00:00: 0.9150
2024-04-13 08:00: 0.0850
2024-04-13 15:00: 0.9150
2024-04-13 23:00: 0.0750
2024-04-14 06:00: 0.9250
2024-04-14 14:00: 0.0750
2024... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 500660
Question: Will a Republican win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56802.930338
Price History:
2024-04-28 17:00: 0.9250
2024-04-29 01:00: 0.0750
2024-04-29 08:00: 0.9250
2024-04-29 16:00: 0.0750
2024-04-29 23:00: 0.9250
2024-04-30 07:00: 0.0750
2024-04-30 14:00: 0.9250
2024... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 500660
Question: Will a Republican win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56802.930338
Price History:
2024-05-14 19:00: 0.0750
2024-05-15 02:00: 0.9250
2024-05-15 10:00: 0.0750
2024-05-15 17:00: 0.9250
2024-05-16 01:00: 0.0750
2024-05-16 08:00: 0.9250
2024-05-16 16:00: 0.0750
2024... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 500660
Question: Will a Republican win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56802.930338
Price History:
2024-05-30 19:00: 0.9250
2024-05-31 03:00: 0.0750
2024-05-31 10:00: 0.9250
2024-05-31 18:00: 0.0750
2024-06-01 01:00: 0.9250
2024-06-01 09:00: 0.0750
2024-06-01 16:00: 0.9250
2024... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 500660
Question: Will a Republican win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56802.930338
Price History:
2024-06-15 20:00: 0.0750
2024-06-16 03:00: 0.9250
2024-06-16 11:00: 0.0750
2024-06-16 18:00: 0.9250
2024-06-17 02:00: 0.0750
2024-06-17 09:00: 0.9250
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.0750
2024... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 500660
Question: Will a Republican win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56802.930338
Price History:
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.9250
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.0750
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.9250
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.0750
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.9250
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.0750
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.9250
2024... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 500660
Question: Will a Republican win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56802.930338
Price History:
2024-07-17 21:00: 0.0295
2024-07-18 04:00: 0.9705
2024-07-18 12:00: 0.0295
2024-07-18 19:00: 0.9705
2024-07-19 03:00: 0.0295
2024-07-19 10:00: 0.9705
2024-07-19 18:00: 0.0295
2024... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 500660
Question: Will a Republican win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56802.930338
Price History:
2024-08-02 22:00: 0.9630
2024-08-03 06:00: 0.0375
2024-08-03 13:00: 0.9620
2024-08-03 21:00: 0.0380
2024-08-04 04:00: 0.9610
2024-08-04 12:00: 0.0395
2024-08-04 19:00: 0.9605
2024... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 500660
Question: Will a Republican win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56802.930338
Price History:
2024-08-18 23:00: 0.0140
2024-08-19 06:00: 0.9860
2024-08-19 14:00: 0.0180
2024-08-19 21:00: 0.9840
2024-08-20 05:00: 0.0170
2024-08-20 12:00: 0.9805
2024-08-20 20:00: 0.0195
2024... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 500660
Question: Will a Republican win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56802.930338
Price History:
2024-09-03 23:00: 0.9810
2024-09-04 07:00: 0.0185
2024-09-04 14:00: 0.9810
2024-09-04 22:00: 0.0190
2024-09-05 05:00: 0.9810
2024-09-05 13:00: 0.0195
2024-09-05 20:00: 0.9815
2024... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 500660
Question: Will a Republican win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56802.930338
Price History:
2024-09-20 00:00: 0.0190
2024-09-20 07:00: 0.9810
2024-09-20 15:00: 0.0190
2024-09-20 22:00: 0.9810
2024-09-21 06:00: 0.0190
2024-09-21 13:00: 0.9810
2024-09-21 21:00: 0.0185
2024... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 500660
Question: Will a Republican win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56802.930338
Price History:
2024-10-05 23:00: 0.9835
2024-10-06 07:00: 0.0165
2024-10-06 14:00: 0.9835
2024-10-06 22:00: 0.0165
2024-10-07 05:00: 0.9835
2024-10-07 13:00: 0.0160
2024-10-07 20:00: 0.9860
2024... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 500660
Question: Will a Republican win California US Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56802.930338
Price History:
2024-10-22 00:00: 0.0135
2024-10-22 07:00: 0.9865
2024-10-22 15:00: 0.0125
2024-10-22 22:00: 0.9875
2024-10-23 06:00: 0.0125
2024-10-23 13:00: 0.9875
2024-10-23 21:00: 0.0160
2024... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 657155
Question: Will Google dip to $250 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78630.421042
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 657155
Question: Will Google dip to $250 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78630.421042
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 657155
Question: Will Google dip to $250 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78630.421042
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.1950
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.1950
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.1950
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1950
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.1950
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.1950
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1950
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 657155
Question: Will Google dip to $250 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78630.421042
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1750
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 657155
Question: Will Google dip to $250 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78630.421042
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 657155
Question: Will Google dip to $250 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78630.421042
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0600
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0600
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0600
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0600
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 657155
Question: Will Google dip to $250 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78630.421042
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 657155
Question: Will Google dip to $250 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78630.421042
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 657155
Question: Will Google dip to $250 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78630.421042
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0580
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0615
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0600
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0625
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0620
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0645
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0660
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 657155
Question: Will Google dip to $250 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78630.421042
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0280
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0280
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0280
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0280
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0280
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0280
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0280
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 657155
Question: Will Google dip to $250 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78630.421042
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0245
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0245
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0245
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0245
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0245
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0245
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0245
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 657155
Question: Will Google dip to $250 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78630.421042
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0190
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0155
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0155
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0160
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0160
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0145
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 657155
Question: Will Google dip to $250 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78630.421042
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0140
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0135
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0155
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0145
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0090
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0080
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 657155
Question: Will Google dip to $250 in November?
Volume: 78630.421042
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 04:00: 0... | Yes |
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