instruction stringclasses 3
values | input stringlengths 179 1.61k | output stringclasses 4
values |
|---|---|---|
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0035
20... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9940
20... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9945
20... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0140
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0135
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9870
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0130
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9870
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0130
20... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9890
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0110
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9930
20... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9930
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0065
20... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0050
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9965
20... | No |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9550
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0450
2... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0305
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9695
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0295
2... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9755
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0245
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9805
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0195
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9805
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0195
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0200
2... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0190
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9815
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0185
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9815
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0185
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0185
2... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0100
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0100
2... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9895
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9895
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9950
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0050
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9950
2... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9965
2... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0060
2... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0055
2... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0140
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0135
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9870
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0130
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9870
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0130
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9865
2... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9890
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0110
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0070
2... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9930
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9945
2... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623552
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 20508.518921
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0050
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0035
2... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5650
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4350
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4450
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5550
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 17:0... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.5600
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.5250
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.4750
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5200
2025-10-07 00:0... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.4450
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.5550
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.5450
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.4550
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.5200
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.4800
2025-10-07 08:0... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.7650
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.7900
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.2100
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.3100
2025-10-07 15:0... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.4750
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.5250
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-07 23:0... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.6800
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.3450
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.6550
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.4500
2025-10-08 06:0... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.3950
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.4050
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.5950
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.6600
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.3400
2025-10-08 14:0... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0420
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0545
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9455
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9555
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0445
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0480
2025-10-08 21:0... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0710
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9290
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9305
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0695
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0730
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9270
2025-10-09 05:0... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0575
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9670
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0330
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0520
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9480
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0685
2025-10-09 12:0... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0410
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9590
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9580
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0420
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9525
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0475
2025-10-09 20:0... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9555
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0465
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9535
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0475
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9525
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9460
2025-10-10 03:0... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.6890
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.3110
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.2250
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.7750
2025-10-10 11:0... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5650
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4350
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4450
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5550
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 17:... | No |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.5600
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.5250
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.4750
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5200
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.4800
2025-10-07 01:... | No |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.4450
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.5550
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.5450
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.4550
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.5200
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.4800
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 08:... | No |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.7650
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.7900
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.2100
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.3100
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.6900
2025-10-07 16:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.4750
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.5250
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.3150
2025-10-07 23:... | No |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.6800
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.3450
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.6550
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.4500
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.5500
2025-10-08 07:... | No |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.3950
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.4050
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.5950
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.6600
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.3400
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.3050
2025-10-08 14:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0420
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0545
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9455
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9555
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0445
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0480
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9520
2025-10-08 22:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0710
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9290
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9305
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0695
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0730
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9270
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0665
2025-10-09 05:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0575
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9670
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0330
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0520
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9480
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0685
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9315
2025-10-09 13:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0410
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9590
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9580
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0420
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9525
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0475
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9570
2025-10-09 20:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9555
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0465
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9535
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0475
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9525
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9460
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0540
2025-10-10 04:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623554
Question: Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Volume: 95598.128854
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.6890
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.3110
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.2250
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.7750
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.2350
2025-10-10 11:... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.03... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.01... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.99... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.99... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.99... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.99... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0105
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9895
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.01... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.98... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9855
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0145
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0135
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.00... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0155
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9845
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9460
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0540
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9760
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.02... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.00... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0080
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.99... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0185
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9815
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0170
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9830
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9860
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0140
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.00... | No |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0105
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9895
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0135
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9855
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0145
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0135
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0155
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9845
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9460
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0540
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9760
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0240
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0080
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9920
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623556
Question: Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 161776.819451
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0185
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9815
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0170
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9830
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9860
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0140
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.4250
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.4950
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.6350
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.3800
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.6350
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.3300
2025-04-10 06:00: ... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.8600
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.1400
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.8650
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.1350
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.8600
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.1400
2025-04-22 09:00: ... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.1850
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.8150
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.2650
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.7550
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.1950
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.7950
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.2450
2025-05-04 12:00: ... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.1400
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.8600
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.1400
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.8600
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.1400
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.8600
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.1350
2025-05-16 15:00: ... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.1550
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.8350
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.2200
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.8000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.2100
2025-05-28 18:00: ... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.1200
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.8800
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.1200
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.8800
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.1200
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.8850
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.1000
2025-06-09 21:00: ... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0800
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9200
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0800
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9100
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0900
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9100
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0900
2025-06-22 01:00: ... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0750
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9300
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0650
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.9350
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0650
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9350
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0650
2025-07-04 04:00: ... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0530
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9475
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0520
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.9475
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0540
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.9460
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0540
2025-07-16 07:00: ... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0465
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.9540
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.0460
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9440
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.0520
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.9400
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0590
2025-07-28 09:00: ... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.0415
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.0425
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.9605
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.9605
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0400
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9600
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.9610
2025-08-09 12:00: ... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.9650
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.0350
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.9670
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.0350
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.9670
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.9675
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.9680
2025-08-21 15:00: ... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0170
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0115
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0125
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0090
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0090
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9885
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-02 17:00: ... | No |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.4250
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.4950
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.3750
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.6250
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.3250
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.6950
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0550
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.8550
2025-04-11 20:00:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.8600
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.1350
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.8600
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.1400
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.8600
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.1400
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.8650
2025-04-23 23:00:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.1850
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.8150
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2150
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.7950
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.2550
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.7900
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.2100
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 02:00:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.1400
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.8600
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.1400
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.8600
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.1350
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.8650
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.1300
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.8700
2025-05-18 05:00:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.1550
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.7750
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.2100
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.8350
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.1050
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 08:00:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.1200
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.8800
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.1200
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.9000
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.1000
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.9000
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.1000
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9000
2025-06-11 11:00:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0800
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.9200
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0900
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9100
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0900
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9100
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0900
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9150
2025-06-23 15:00:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0750
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9300
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0650
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9350
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0650
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.9350
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0650
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.9350
2025-07-05 18:00:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0530
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.9480
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.0540
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9460
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0335
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9620
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0410
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.9550
2025-07-17 21:00:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0465
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.9560
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.0530
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.9395
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.0590
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.9230
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0595
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.9475
2025-07-29 23:00:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.0415
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.9570
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.0400
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0395
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.0330
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.9655
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9645
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9635
2025-08-11 02:00:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.9650
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.9670
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.9650
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.9680
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.0315
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.9685
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9700
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.0290
2025-08-23 05:00:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 535353
Question: Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
Volume: 1326859.185002
Price History:
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0170
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0120
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0090
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0125
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0105
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0065
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0100
2025-09-04 07:00:... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623558
Question: Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49342.392015
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9... | No |
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