instruction stringclasses 3
values | input stringlengths 179 1.61k | output stringclasses 4
values |
|---|---|---|
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520729
Question: Will Douglas Macgregor be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 19771.4705
Price History:
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.9925
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.0080
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.9920
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0075
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.9925
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0075
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.9925
2025-02-03 14:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520729
Question: Will Douglas Macgregor be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 19771.4705
Price History:
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9970
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0030
2025-02-04 17:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520729
Question: Will Douglas Macgregor be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 19771.4705
Price History:
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 21:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520729
Question: Will Douglas Macgregor be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 19771.4705
Price History:
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0020
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9980
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0020
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9980
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0020
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9980
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0020
2025-02-07 00:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520729
Question: Will Douglas Macgregor be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 19771.4705
Price History:
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 04:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520729
Question: Will Douglas Macgregor be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 19771.4705
Price History:
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0020
2025-02-09 07:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520729
Question: Will Douglas Macgregor be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 19771.4705
Price History:
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9995
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9995
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-10 11:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520729
Question: Will Douglas Macgregor be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 19771.4705
Price History:
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 14:... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.1000
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.965... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0060
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9940
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.006... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.004... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.994... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.005... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9960
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9955
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9960
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0040
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.996... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0040
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9960
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0040
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9960
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0040
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9960
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.995... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.997... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.997... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0100
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.997... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.998... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.002... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.001... | No |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.7550
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0400
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9600
2025-01-28 20:00... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.9665
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0335
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.9665
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0335
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.9665
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.0335
2025-01-29 23:00... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0535
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.9465
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0565
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.9435
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0580
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.9420
2025-01-31 03:00... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.9315
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0685
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.9315
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.0685
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.9315
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0690
2025-02-01 06:00... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0670
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.9330
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0675
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.9325
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0675
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9325
2025-02-02 10:00... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.9395
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.0605
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.9395
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0605
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.9395
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0605
2025-02-03 13:00... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0050
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9950
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0065
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9935
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0055
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9945
2025-02-04 17:00... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 20:00... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0035
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9965
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0035
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9965
2025-02-07 00:00... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9960
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0040
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9960
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0040
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9960
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0040
2025-02-08 03:00... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 07:00... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 10:00... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0020
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9980
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0020
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9980
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0020
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9980
2025-02-11 14:00... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.1000
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.03... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0060
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9940
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.99... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.99... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.00... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.99... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9960
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9955
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9960
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0040
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9960
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.00... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0040
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9960
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0040
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9960
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0040
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9960
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.00... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.99... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.00... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0100
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.99... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.00... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.99... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 623543
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 9121.477018
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.99... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.7550
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0400
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9600
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0400
2025-01-28 20:0... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.9665
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0335
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.9665
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0335
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.9665
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.0335
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.9665
2025-01-30 00:0... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0535
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.9465
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0565
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.9435
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0580
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.9420
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0580
2025-01-31 03:0... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.9315
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0685
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.9315
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.0685
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.9315
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0690
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.9310
2025-02-01 07:0... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0670
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.9330
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0675
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.9325
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0675
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9325
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0680
2025-02-02 10:0... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.9395
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.0605
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.9395
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0605
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.9395
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0605
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.9395
2025-02-03 14:0... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0050
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9950
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0065
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9935
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0055
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9945
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0055
2025-02-04 17:0... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9975
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9970
2025-02-05 21:0... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0035
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9965
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0035
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9965
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0035
2025-02-07 00:0... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9960
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0040
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9960
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0040
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9960
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0040
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9960
2025-02-08 04:0... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0025
2025-02-09 07:0... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 11:0... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520731
Question: Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 208594.80688
Price History:
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0020
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9980
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0020
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9980
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0020
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9980
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0020
2025-02-11 14:0... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.1650
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.8350
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0705
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9295
2025-01-28 20:00:... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.8810
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.1185
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.8815
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.1190
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.8810
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.1190
2025-01-29 23:00:... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.1325
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.8675
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.1315
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.8685
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.1390
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.8610
2025-01-31 03:00:... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.8430
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.1575
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.8425
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.1580
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.8420
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.1585
2025-02-01 06:00:... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.1550
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.8450
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.1565
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.8435
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.1575
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.8425
2025-02-02 10:00:... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.8555
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.1445
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.8555
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.1445
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.8555
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.1445
2025-02-03 13:00:... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0085
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9915
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0085
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9915
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0075
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9925
2025-02-04 17:00:... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.9955
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0045
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9955
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0045
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9955
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0045
2025-02-05 20:00:... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0045
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9955
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0045
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9955
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0045
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9955
2025-02-07 00:00:... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9955
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9955
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9955
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 03:00:... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0040
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9960
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0040
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9960
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0040
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9960
2025-02-09 07:00:... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9960
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0040
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9960
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0040
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9960
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0040
2025-02-10 10:00:... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 14:00:... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.1650
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.8350
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0705
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9295
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0990
2025-01-28 20:00... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.8810
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.1185
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.8815
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.1190
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.8810
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.1190
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.8810
2025-01-30 00:00... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.1325
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.8675
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.1315
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.8685
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.1390
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.8610
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.1420
2025-01-31 03:00... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.8430
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.1575
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.8425
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.1580
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.8420
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.1585
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.8415
2025-02-01 07:00... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.1550
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.8450
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.1565
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.8435
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.1575
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.8425
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.1550
2025-02-02 10:00... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.8555
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.1445
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.8555
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.1445
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.8555
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.1445
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.8555
2025-02-03 14:00... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0085
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9915
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0085
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9915
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0075
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9925
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0085
2025-02-04 17:00... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.9955
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0045
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9955
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0045
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9955
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0045
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9955
2025-02-05 21:00... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0045
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9955
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0045
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9955
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0045
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9955
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 00:00... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9955
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9955
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9955
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9955
2025-02-08 04:00... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0040
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9960
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0040
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9960
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0040
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9960
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0040
2025-02-09 07:00... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9960
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0040
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9960
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0040
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9960
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0040
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9960
2025-02-10 11:00... | Yes |
Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No). | Market ID: 520726
Question: Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 68385.167644
Price History:
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9990
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0010
2025-02-11 14:00... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623545
Question: Will Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37189.806247
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.4200
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5800
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.550... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623545
Question: Will Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37189.806247
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9695
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.970... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623545
Question: Will Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37189.806247
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.995... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623545
Question: Will Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37189.806247
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.994... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623545
Question: Will Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37189.806247
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.995... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623545
Question: Will Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37189.806247
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0050
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.003... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623545
Question: Will Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37189.806247
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0040
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9960
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.003... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623545
Question: Will Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37189.806247
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.996... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623545
Question: Will Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37189.806247
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.008... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623545
Question: Will Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37189.806247
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0090
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9910
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9910
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0090
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0085
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.991... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623545
Question: Will Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37189.806247
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.006... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623545
Question: Will Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37189.806247
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9930
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.993... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 623545
Question: Will Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37189.806247
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.997... | Yes |
Predict the market outcome given the historical data. | Market ID: 520730
Question: Will Ric Grenell be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11854.102084
Price History:
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.7550
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0205
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9795
2025-01-28 20:00: 0... | Yes |
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