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163c886c8d24e035dd2e6cdcdd20eb84f6b0c5127934ea786c591f56da95a212
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Timing Gamma-ray Pulsars using Gibbs Sampling
arXiv:2601.07592v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Timing analyses of gamma-ray pulsars in the Fermi Large Area Telescope data set can provide sensitive probes of many astrophysical processes, including timing noise in young pulsars, orbital period variations in redback binaries, and the stochastic gravitational wave back...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07592
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7eff29e4ab5c9407ffc803ea03ddc716fe09175dbb746a59be1b79d009b3bd13
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Deep Search for Joint Sources of Gravitational Waves and High-Energy Neutrinos with IceCube During the Third Observing Run of LIGO and Virgo
arXiv:2601.07595v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The discovery of joint sources of high-energy neutrinos and gravitational waves has been a primary target for the LIGO, Virgo, KAGRA, and IceCube observatories. The joint detection of high-energy neutrinos and gravitational waves would provide insight into cosmic processe...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07595
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b12cbb1f1b2f031367dfedc64c862035e5b2629ac1fa82fc93118f1898090576
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Galaxy Mergers in UNIONS -- II: Predicting Timescales in the Post-Merger Regime
arXiv:2601.07604v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Galaxy mergers are critical events that influence galaxy evolution by driving processes such as enhanced star formation, quenching, and active galactic nucleus (AGN) activity. However, constraining the timescales over which these processes occur in the post-merger phase h...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07604
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0c53dc68f92b218aee2fd87258f96715fffb4f497ad3373baa393b5fc2388256
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Impact of Nuclear Reaction Rates on Calcium Production in Population III Stars: A Global Analysis
arXiv:2601.07623v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We investigate the sensitivity of calcium production to nuclear reaction rates of a 40 solar-mass Population III star using 1D multi-zone stellar models. A comprehensive nuclear reaction network was constructed, and all $(p,\gamma)$ and $(p,\alpha)$ reaction rates were in...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07623
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6663c503b66728ff8e2b02deb691d68635ad9bca1b354ac836dbde8da58c8ec6
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
CHEX-MATE: Relationship between X-ray and millimetre inferences of galaxy cluster temperature profiles
arXiv:2601.07653v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Thermodynamic profiles from X-ray and millimetre observations of galaxy clusters are often compared under the simplifying assumptions of smooth, spherically symmetric intracluster medium. These approximations lead to expected discrepancies in the inferred profiles, which ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07653
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d29335dab1357609dc9a2392f60d932443308e0e9bb6520cd203c834110ddc0e
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Tachyonic gravitational dark matter production after inflation
arXiv:2601.07670v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We propose a novel gravitational mechanism for the non-thermal production of dark matter driven by curvature-induced tachyonic instabilities after inflation. Departing from the commonly studied non-minimal couplings to gravity, our framework considers a real spectator sca...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07670
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40864e1324d2523dc66d26562e8082e4f5e96fd6abd09c863a0fc9813f13a4ca
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Brightest GRB flare observed in GRB 221009A: bridge the last gap between flare and prompt emission in GRB
arXiv:2601.07688v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Flares are usually observed during the afterglow phase of Gamma-Ray Bursts (GRBs) in soft X-ray, optical and radio bands, but rarely in gamma-ray band. Despite the extraordinary brightness, GECAM-C has accurately measured both the bright prompt emission and flare emission...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07688
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0cd9a3bb020f4e74ed5c3e3e80b5b1ce9562e392ac295d88a1d06e75e2c4304d
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Brightness Characterization and Modeling for Amazon Leo Satellites
arXiv:2601.07708v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The mean apparent magnitude of Amazon Leo satellites is 6.28 based on 1,938 observations. For spacecraft in their operational mode, 92% exceeded the brightness limit recommended by the IAU for interference with research, while 25% distract from aesthetic appreciation of t...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07708
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8847f77ca060c478d3f4e2fdf850b00a843d8cc3a20a4864f74eb8f1541c6e48
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Induced gravitational waves - beyond linear cosmological perturbation theory
arXiv:2601.07716v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This thesis focuses on gravitational waves (GWs) that arise beyond linear order in cosmological perturbation theory. In recent years, scalar-induced GWs have attracted significant attention because they may serve as the observational signature of primordial black holes (P...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07716
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4a804a10ad4d8a6405e2374671ad1f9d54a489757ce5fc3d8eb1824776335b2e
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
A COLIBRI Photometric Study of SN 2025bvm: A Normal, Slowly Declining Type Ia Supernova
arXiv:2601.07745v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We present 121 days of multi-band (\Bband, \gband, \rband, \iband) optical photometry of the Type Ia supernova SN 2025bvm, obtained with the COLIBRI telescope at OAN-SPM. The light curves show a photometric decline of $\Delta m_{15}(B) = 0.867 \pm 0.051$~mag, characterist...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07745
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9a3d375463910b8855b3efce397d7d49ea047b8d3b80ec18ffdec01b5f4b17a2
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Core Scouring Dynamics and Gravitational Wave Consequences: Constraints on Supermassive Black Hole Binary Hardening
arXiv:2601.07762v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this paper we perform a multi-messenger investigation of the efficiency of stellar scattering in tightening supermassive black hole binaries by jointly comparing models to the observed galaxy stellar core population and to results of nanohertz gravitational wave observ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07762
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737d110842709c9b8db4d0e4aa4a74c99a7ad0aff8d7980aae98501151b79aac
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Popcorn in the sky: Identifying primordial black holes in the gravitational-wave background
arXiv:2601.07774v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Primordial black holes (PBHs) are possible sources of a gravitational-wave background (GWB), detectable with the next observing runs of LIGO--Virgo--KAGRA. In case of a detection, it will be crucial to distinguish the possible sources of this GWB. One under-explored possi...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07774
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81b0c42b55f766ff33b93a1a044fcf1ae103e6282674cbd38348cecbd2fc7aa7
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Euclid preparation. Testing analytic models of galaxy intrinsic alignments in the Euclid Flagship simulation
arXiv:2601.07784v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We model intrinsic alignments (IA) in Euclid's Flagship simulation to investigate its impact on Euclid's weak lensing signal. Our IA implementation in the Flagship simulation takes into account photometric properties of galaxies as well as their dark matter host halos. We...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07784
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700e71e37f938a6be475ea52ba0ee5a4931d10895b1ef4331a2bbabe6cfe069f
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Euclid preparation. Calibrated intrinsic galaxy alignments in the Euclid Flagship simulation
arXiv:2601.07785v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Intrinsic alignments of galaxies are potentially a major contaminant of cosmological analyses of weak gravitational lensing. We construct a semi-analytic model of galaxy ellipticities and alignments in the \Euclid Flagship simulation to predict this contamination in Eucli...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07785
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a7feda51a383f18ce932b86c3a0b3ea864c62b21cce5ffff4d53026b02c06293
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Testing subhalo abundance matching with galaxy kinematics
arXiv:2601.07799v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The rotation velocities of disc galaxies trace dark matter halo structure, providing direct constraints on the galaxy--halo connection. We construct a Bayesian forward model to connect the dark matter halo population predicted by $\Lambda$CDM with an observed sample of di...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07799
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9827e054a4d63fd2a1a26cb2d48e5b50179e41b6e34db217988fa0dbcd0ed65a
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Cosmoglobe DR2. V. Spatial correlations between thermal dust and ionized carbon emission in Planck HFI and COBE-DIRBE
arXiv:2601.07818v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We fit five tracers of thermal dust emission to ten Planck HFI and COBE-DIRBE frequency maps between 353 GHz and 25 THz, aiming to map the relative importance of each physical host environment as a function of frequency and position on the sky. Four of these correspond to...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07818
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79786448e1c9e3062a02e98fe426505f0d15685bf3bfa4bc48eddb69553ebe28
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Cosmoglobe DR2. VII. Towards a concordance model of large-scale thermal dust emission for microwave and infrared frequencies
arXiv:2601.07822v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We fit a four-component thermal dust model to COBE-DIRBE data between 3.5 and 240 micron within the global Bayesian end-to- end Cosmoglobe DR2 reanalysis. Following a companion analysis of Planck HFI, the four components of this model correspond to "hot dust", "cold dust"...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07822
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b1b7fa31b4c200bd57d63496f4366d914f8dcada9d0dd8304b21beb9ae8d6665
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Cosmoglobe DR2. IV. Modelling starlight in DIRBE with Gaia and WISE
arXiv:2601.07831v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We present a model of starlight emission in the Diffuse Infrared Background Explorer (DIRBE) data between 1.25 and 25$\,\mu$m based on \textit{Gaia} and WISE measurements. We include two classes of compact objects, namely bright stars with individual spectral energy densi...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07831
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9ebf328763c96531f925f2f2e740fb6fae1a57e7ba501d5dbdbe4f32140e398d
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Axion misalignment as a synchronization phenomenon
arXiv:2601.07836v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We propose a dynamical reinterpretation of axion misalignment as an emergent collective phenomenon. Drawing an explicit parallel between axion field dynamics and synchronization in coupled oscillator systems, we show that a macroscopic axion phase can arise dynamically fr...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07836
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31827bc40a589bb0ab250dd1dc0608a6777f59fe0f2836e27ae4e9956e0387ae
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Temperature-Dependent CPT Violation: Constraints from Big Bang Nucleosynthesis
arXiv:2601.06259v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In this study, we explore temperature-dependent CPT violation during Big Bang Nucleosynthesis (BBN) through electron-positron mass asymmetries parametrized by $b_0(T) = \alpha T^2$. The $T^2$ scaling naturally evades stringent laboratory bounds at zero temperature while...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.06259
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f1c74ffb2e870a58daffcfe6a9a8bfe3642e13a3cbd81d1e57db7633eef2639c
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Cosmological Dynamics on a Novel $f(Q)$ Gravity Model with Recent DESI DR2 Observation
arXiv:2601.06438v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In this article, we investigate the cosmological viability of a modified symmetric teleparallel gravity model within the $f(Q)$ framework. We derive observational constraints on the model parameters by performing a Markov Chain Monte Carlo analysis using a combined data...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.06438
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240912f63a5ee03051715d2625a46c547417c2681678c2184b3c095d9caf3f50
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Kerr-Newman-de Sitter black holes in $f(R)$ gravity with constant curvature: horizon structure and extremality
arXiv:2601.06661v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The theory of $f(R)$ gravity with constant curvature (i.e. constant scalar curvature) admits rotating and charged black hole solutions obtained from the Kerr-Newman-(A)dS metrics of general relativity through appropriate rescalings of the metric parameters. In this pape...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.06661
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49087afdbd1e12b027283303fdb20f84bbf35671f23d1c81e02047ad4386ebb0
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Limits of vacuum-template subtraction for LISA massive black hole binary sources in realistic environments
arXiv:2601.06684v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We investigate the impact of gravitational wave (GW) dephasing due to gas accretion on the subtraction of massive black hole (MBH) binary signals over 4 yr of LISA data in the context of the global-fit. Based on state of the art predictions for the population of merging...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.06684
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5e60cd727b5104a58cceb64534acceae014006279b581e9c35c6af2234dc7b3c
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Numerical Study of Polytropes with n=1 and Differential Rotation
arXiv:2601.06905v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The solution space of differentially rotating polytropes with n=1 has been studied numerically. The existence of three different types of configurations: from spheroids to thick tori, hockey puck-like bodies and spheroids surrounded by a torus, separate from or merging ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.06905
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267240e23c58d34c9070127a24aad910f6b75de6c2f0086b0640a45356917120
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Strong Einstein-Hilbert Gravity Inflation and ACT Phenomenology
arXiv:2601.06946v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In this work we study rescaled effective single scalar field theories, and we confront these with the ACT constraint on the spectral index of the scalar primordial perturbations and the updated BICEP/Planck constraint on the tensor-to-scalar ratio. Rescaled scalar theor...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.06946
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58a30b06b92d3b2b567f904680a6015b3fda52c21cc9ff5ad9b8237f928c1675
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Viable f(R) Scenarios Unifying Inflation with Realistic Dynamical Dark Energy
arXiv:2601.06949v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Two $F(R)$ gravity models are tested on the basis of their viability during all stages of cosmological evolution. It is shown that these models can describe both the early-time inflationary epoch and the dark energy epoch. The models are confronted with the latest obser...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.06949
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005bb1e0551c183abb83deb0c66288f1d1afb4f9955441b0784d4ba2ef6bd311
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
IndIGO-D: Probing Compact Binary Coalescences in the Decihertz GW Band
arXiv:2601.06956v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study IndIGO-D, a decihertz gravitational-wave mission concept, focusing on a specific configuration in which three spacecraft fly in formation to form an L-shaped interferometer in a heliocentric orbit. The two orthogonal arms share a common vertex, providing a spac...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.06956
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f0e31ff6b7444252232c2fffc425dd77d81edba1ae2c292f58844c4363f40934
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Oscillatory Freeze from Inertial Holographic Dark Energy
arXiv:2601.07007v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study a generalized holographic dark energy model in which the infrared cutoff depends on the Hubble parameter and its first two time derivatives. The inclusion of the $\ddot H$ term introduces a finite relaxation timescale for the horizon degrees of freedom, which c...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07007
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91ba92a131070926164b65f2eacbf39ebb6f45628d4105cc2ac31d30b9e57eff
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Multi-Physics Bayesian Analysis of Neutron Star Crust Using Relativistic Mean-Field Model
arXiv:2601.07722v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study the properties of neutron-star crust within a Bayesian framework based on a unified relativistic mean-field (RMF) description of dense matter. The analysis focuses on the posterior distributions of crust properties, constrained by nuclear experimental data, chi...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07722
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c5303c781a50879e0eac653fc80d9852592be161af83fcfd3461643d23cf5fdb
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Learning the relations between neutron star and nuclear matter properties with symbolic regression
arXiv:2601.07727v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The equation of state (EOS) of dense matter in neutron stars (NSs) remains uncertain, particularly at supra-nuclear densities where complex nuclear interactions and the potential presence of exotic matter, like hyperons, come into play. The complex relationships existin...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07727
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4a24d051a1b950d89bf64244543a6617530a3a2ebc2aa80a5b9c048f6a878e88
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Rotation-dependent $I$-Love-$Q$-$\delta M$ relations in perturbation theory
arXiv:2601.07734v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The so-called $I$-Love-$Q$ relations link some normalized versions of the moment of inertia, the Love number, and the quadrupole moment of a star. These relations, in principle, enable the inference of two of the quantities given the third. However, their use has been l...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07734
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dc60e753a9ca21b53f9d20b53517a0e9bccbdeaa06309f3dfbf57b98fc0cc257
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Systematic Biases in Gravitational-Wave Parameter Estimation from Neglecting Orbital Eccentricity in Space-Based Detectors
arXiv:2601.07739v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate modeling of gravitational-wave signals is essential for reliable inference of compact-binary source parameters, particularly for future space-based detectors operating in the milli- and deci-Hertz bands. In this work, we systematically investigate the parameter...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07739
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ead935e00b64f5593b37bb753075fb95ccbde2413bee3b73ad933abb2aac2b23
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Exploring Lorentz Invariance Violation from Ultra-high-energy Gamma Rays Observed by LHAASO
arXiv:2106.12350v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recently the LHAASO Collaboration published the detection of 12 ultra-high-energy gamma-ray sources above 100 TeV, with the highest energy photon reaching 1.4 PeV. The first detection of PeV gamma rays from astrophysical sources may provide a very sensitive probe of t...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2106.12350
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3dc5c00e4acb768fdb942cc024f2b97acab82b23553ae9e67b49c5e557171b90
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Self-consistent 3D radiative transfer for kilonovae: directional spectra from merger simulations
arXiv:2306.17612v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present three-dimensional radiative transfer calculations for the ejecta from a neutron star merger that include line-by-line opacities for tens of millions of bound-bound transitions, composition from an r-process nuclear network, and time-dependent thermalization...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.17612
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6c578c9a1e3673b70ddb81e77fbd2a2368ee7583ec3d46cc46bb9415447a132f
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Exploring the interplay between star formation efficiency and dust in regulating the UV luminosity of early systems in the JWST and ALMA era
arXiv:2409.10613v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recent observations by the James Webb Telescope (JWST) have unveiled numerous galaxy candidates between $z \sim 9 - 16.5$, hinting at an over-abundance of sources at the bright-end of the UV Luminosity Function (UV LF) at z $\gtrsim$ 11. Complementarily, the Atacama L...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.10613
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e0a768c9c7f6ad71a173c70d3c87fc7649ba20867c1e82237bc1c580c6b1d9f5
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
A model of the heliocentric dust ring on Venus orbit
arXiv:2504.16610v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: A heliocentric dust ring on Venus orbit was discovered following observations by the Helios spacecraft, and then confirmed thanks to observations by STEREO and the Parker Solar Probe. The impact risk it poses needs to be evaluated for any spacecraft crossing the ring....
https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.16610
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59c66e7ce4cb94403c07d531e52de6c3a6d1fe799f89ab3db425f3522342755c
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Time-evolving coronal modelling of the solar maximum around the solar storms in May 2024 by COCONUT
arXiv:2505.11990v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time-evolving MHD coronal models deliver more realistic results than traditional quasi-steady-state models. The fully implicit time-evolving coronal model COCONUT performs efficiently enough for real-time coronal simulations during solar minimum. However, during solar...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.11990
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d835685ed5b141c15b27f6fdbaac35af99f1e170503a52ac70af6fd10b0231c6
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
The PAU Survey: Measuring intrinsic galaxy alignments in deep wide fields as a function of colour, luminosity, stellar mass and redshift
arXiv:2505.15470v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present the measurements and constraints of intrinsic alignments (IA) in the Physics of the Accelerating Universe Survey (PAUS) deep wide fields, which include the W1 and W3 fields from the Canada-France-Hawaii Telescope Legacy Survey (CFHTLS) and the G09 field fro...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.15470
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6b4a13fdc4269437646b1605a0b9e57bfd5248282ac3414c15909bff61d569cb
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
PEARLS: 21 Transients Found in the Three-Epoch NIRCam Observations in the Continuous Viewing Zone of the James Webb Space Telescope
arXiv:2506.12175v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present 21 transients from our three-epoch, four-band NIRCam observations covering 14.16 arcmin^2 in the Spitzer IRAC Dark Field (IDF), taken by the JWST Prime Extragalactic Areas for Reionization and Lensing Science program with a time cadence of ~6 months. A sepa...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.12175
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dcd39445125ac8b9524ea129a524e51fa9d8a1fc8f10af521e01c786a137d087
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
JWST Reveals a Candidate Jellyfish Galaxy at z=1.156
arXiv:2506.14117v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We report the discovery of COSMOS2020-635829 as a candidate jellyfish galaxy undergoing ram pressure stripping in a (proto)cluster at $z > 1$. High-resolution imaging from the James Webb Space Telescope reveals a symmetric stellar disk coupled to a unilateral tail of ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.14117
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6930c9d42bfb8aa8c78abd35ec260d985606b9d0f39f1c447f4ecc5c16535a02
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Bayesian constraints on quark stars from multi-messenger observations
arXiv:2506.22781v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We perform a systematic Bayesian analysis of quark star equations of state under current multimessenger constraints, investigating the impact of prior assumptions and extreme-mass observations. Quark matter is modeled within an interacting MIT bag framework that consi...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.22781
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929a92f9ef1a0221d69c70746215b7097876a929ad172de9f281548ecb7f77bc
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Angular correlation functions of bright Lyman-break galaxies at $\mathbf{3 \lesssim z \lesssim 5}$
arXiv:2507.02515v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We investigate the clustering of Lyman-break galaxies at redshifts of 3 $\lesssim z \lesssim$ 5 within the COSMOS field by measuring the angular two-point correlation function. Our robust sample of $\sim$60,000 bright ($m_{\rm UV}\lesssim 27$) Lyman-break galaxies was...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.02515
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41968668c63a3a0232ae517c631237a1fee8da36760a2649240af6045881b7a6
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Confronting Mukhanov Parametrization of Inflationary Equation-of-State with ACT-DR6
arXiv:2507.05648v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We provide a simple yet effective semi-analytical approach to confront Mukhanov Parametrization of inflationary equation-of-state, $1+\omega =\frac{\beta}{({N}+1)^\alpha}$, with the latest ACT-DR6 data employing Hamilton-Jacobi formulation. We find that equation-of-st...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.05648
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aec71c8a752313c376e1d907d05518c2c6b3e114484f2483771c06abc3c8d978
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
MrMARTIAN: A Multi-resolution Mass Reconstruction Algorithm Combining Free-form and Analytic Components
arXiv:2508.13262v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present ${\tt MrMARTIAN}$ (Multi-resolution MAximum-entropy Reconstruction Technique Integrating Analytic Node), a new hybrid strong lensing (SL) modeling algorithm. By incorporating physically motivated analytic nodes into the free-form method ${\tt MARS}$, ${\tt ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.13262
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242ebeb514074cea7106627fdac624fc4fca006bf6380ce74229a3e3a6ae8361
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Little Red Dots and their Progenitors from Direct Collapse Black Holes
arXiv:2508.14155v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) has discovered a new population of objects, the Little Red Dots (LRDs), characterized by V-shaped spectra indicative of strong breaks around the Balmer limit and compact morphology that gave them their name. A popular explanation ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.14155
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5e944644769d09531fb5c85a628cb791a2bd8b3fbf5fbd3785c608e2a6b618f1
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
What determines the $\gamma$-ray luminosities of classical novae?
arXiv:2508.15900v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Classical novae in the Milky Way have now been well-established as high-energy GeV $\gamma$-ray sources. In novae with main-sequence companions, this emission is believed to result from shocks internal to the nova ejecta, as a later fast wind collides with an earlier ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.15900
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bbf3c7b49f2b11042123ecb41c3a2c326341ccfe5c1a1b6ca975c30c22a56904
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
COCONUT: A coronal model with an energy decomposition strategy
arXiv:2508.20423v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In this paper, we propose an energy decomposition method combined with an HLL Riemann solver that includes an additional dissipation term in the energy equation to improve the numerical stability of the fully implicit, time-evolving coronal model COCONUT and extend it...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.20423
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9231c538873c1bd4ddf7bd672121546c071c1570815ac57126d3e3b6f92972bb
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Accelerated calibration of semi-analytic galaxy formation models
arXiv:2509.00143v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present an accelerated calibration framework for semi-analytic galaxy formation models, demonstrated with Galacticus. Rather than fitting directly to properties such as the low-redshift stellar mass function (SMF) - which requires evolving thousands of halos per li...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.00143
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197aad598cc3f7be76459f96ca7ac4056bdf5298c6d91ff4863baa848413c766
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Needlets and foreground removal for SKAO hydrogen intensity maps
arXiv:2509.02644v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Intensity Mapping (IM) of the 21-cm line of the neutral hydrogen (\textsc{Hi}) has become a compelling new technique to map the large-scale structure of the Universe. One of the main challenges is the presence of strong foreground emissions of several orders of magnit...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.02644
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57a7e710f8148fa5a0bf8f3a3de31032cb84f8cb79d05e0078010072c299e131
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
$\texttt{Jipole}$: A Differentiable $\texttt{ipole}$-based Code for Radiative Transfer in Curved Spacetimes
arXiv:2509.07065v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recent imaging of supermassive black holes by the Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) has relied on exhaustive parameter-space searches, matching observations to large, precomputed libraries of theoretical models. As observational data become increasingly precise, the limit...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.07065
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3848e90cc38ace5948eda01c1bf9035888bc6660f1091eb687857f727a5300f5
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
A Pristine Star-Forming Complex at z=4.19
arXiv:2509.07073v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We report the discovery of a faint (M_1700 ~ -12.2), oxygen-deficient strongly-lensed ionizing source -- dubbed LAP2 (Lensed And Pristine 2) -- at a spectroscopic redshift of z=4.19. LAP2 appears to be isolated and lies very close to the caustic produced by the lensin...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.07073
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1335fc419a50df53fcd2dac8e948e10e56a0a7f5417f9042093bab1f5dbadc1c
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Gaia Barium Dwarfs and Their Ostensibly Ordinary Counterparts
arXiv:2509.13413v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The recently identified Gaia population of main-sequence--white dwarf (MS+WD) binaries at separations of ${\sim}\,1~{\rm AU}$, often with moderate eccentricities, is not readily reproduced by binary population synthesis models. Barium stars represent a closely related...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.13413
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e74d179c9bbb62ecd1e1b209bff9737ec31b93318a922fa9036ce82c9eeae2a7
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Measuring the Central Dark Mass in NGC 4258 with JWST/NIRSpec Stellar Kinematics
arXiv:2509.20519v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present a new stellar dynamical measurement of the supermassive black hole (SMBH) mass in the nearby spiral galaxy NGC 4258, a critical benchmark for extragalactic mass measurements. We use archival JWST/NIRSpec IFU data (G235H/F170LP grating) to extract high-resol...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.20519
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7685e381e1c3dd789f265ec2f23d20438b22f7b90951d2138869afa5593e12f6
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Modeling gravitational wave sources in the MillenniumTNG simulations
arXiv:2510.06311v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: (Edited) We introduce a flexible framework for building gravitational wave (GW) event catalogs in hydrodynamic simulations of galaxy formation. Our framework couples the state-of-the-art binary population synthesis code SEVN with Arepo-GW -- a module fully integrated ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.06311
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6f32844014cdbc8963be4900ccead6995bb0733fdc2b525838572ac1848dc710
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
New ultralight scalar particles and the mass-radius relation of white dwarfs -- the important role of Sirius B
arXiv:2510.06312v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present the equation of state for two classes of new ultralight particles, a scalar field coupling to electrons and a light $\mathbb{Z}_\mathcal{N}$ QCD axion field coupling to nucleons. Both are potential candidates for dark matter. Using the scalar modified equat...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.06312
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d4b45afbf77c99e292978cb4fcaf61384b2693f3a560bd82cf97e01ca086dfd8
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
MESA-QUEST: Tracing the formation of direct collapse black hole seeds via quasi-stars
arXiv:2510.11772v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The origin of the first supermassive black holes (SMBHs) observed at redshifts $z\geq 9$ remains one of the most challenging open questions in astrophysics. Their rapid emergence suggests that massive ``heavy seeds'' must have formed early, possibly through the direct...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.11772
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3a0005fda0f7b7c3e78b06db53091823b84024a9531dac2014f6bcb1fc54d209
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Born to be recycled: a comprehensive population synthesis of the Galactic millisecond pulsars
arXiv:2510.15661v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Millisecond pulsars (MSPs) are the oldest but fastest pulsars known to date. In the 1980s, to explain how these pulsars could be formed, a new hypothesis was formulated: the recycling of pulsars, i.e the fact that a pulsar could accrete matter from a companion and bee...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.15661
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9eb24b2f3f63d68646b8eea16582dc1f5a3f0f08ef581b6680ad21c0e374c733
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Implications of Joint Spectral Analysis of Gamma-Ray Bursts detected by Fermi Large Area Telescope and Gamma-ray Burst Monitor on Phenomenological Correlations
arXiv:2510.16475v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) have emerged as powerful cosmological probes for exploring the distant Universe, owing to their immense luminosities and detectability at high redshifts. Several empirical correlations have been established, particularly involving their energy ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.16475
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5ff02a9977eed67a0704f9714a5407fa9550b0eb4bc5b8cac0b312a6014ef77c
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Evolutionary Tracks and Spectral Properties of Quasi-stars and Their Correlation with Little Red Dots
arXiv:2510.17952v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: JWST has revealed a population of red, compact, high-redshift (${z\sim3-10}$) objects referred to as ``Little Red Dots'' (LRDs). These objects exhibit unusual spectral features reminiscent of stellar spectra with blackbody-like SEDs, large hydrogen Balmer breaks, Balm...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.17952
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d89997386f0f25d858f7ffb70ba762ef07ac8ab988c326b4b22052f977e31d6c
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Stellar Wind-Blown Bubbles as Environments for Late-Time Rebrightening of Gamma-Ray Burst Afterglows
arXiv:2510.22891v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We presented the multi-wavelength afterglow fitting results for three events that exhibit late afterglow rebrightening behavior: EP240414a ($z=0.401$), GRB 240529A ($z=2.695$), and GRB 240218A ($z=6.782$), which span a broad range of redshifts, from the local to the h...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.22891
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60ca942d557091ef471475984eaf6425030a5d07a2a1f69106f7e73d76094769
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Cosmic Vine: High abundance of massive galaxies and dark matter halos in a forming cluster at z=3.44
arXiv:2510.23549v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The Cosmic Vine is a massive protocluster at z=3.44 in the JWST CEERS field, offering an ideal laboratory for studying the early phases of cluster formation. Using the data from the DAWN JWST Archive, we conduct a comprehensive study on the large-scale structure, stel...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.23549
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0399a82e88388e17a7b9ad64a7d8032f012b3e6ecd322e1d2e6cb1ee226de3bd
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
First Cosmological Constraints from the Joint Analysis of Galaxy Clustering and the Kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich Effect
arXiv:2510.27227v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We perform the first joint analysis of galaxy clustering (GC) and the kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (kSZ) effect to simultaneously constrain cosmological and astrophysical parameters in this work, utilizing a combination of the Atacama Cosmology Telescope (ACT) Data Rele...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.27227
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ef6c77ca6a98ad8857ecde06180e7cb4b01263072c52e1fe156b277cc912d34c
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Machine-Learning Estimation of Energy Fractions in MHD Turbulence Modes
arXiv:2511.04119v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) turbulence plays a central role in many astrophysical processes in the interstellar medium (ISM), including star formation and cosmic-ray transport and acceleration. MHD turbulence can be decomposed into three fundamental modes-fast, slow, an...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.04119
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dcb8dc3920aa45348198e1ae34eb422702366f9e0c3f19e61c0f6a81104dd142
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
The HITRAN2024 methane update
arXiv:2511.21840v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Spectroscopic parameters of methane from many different studies were gathered to improve the HITRAN database towards its 2024 version. After a validation process using high-resolution FTS and CRDS spectra, about 80,000 lines of the four most abundant isotopologues wer...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.21840
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3b8478f472cf60d7dce20bf68a8ee4963c9c7f5b4490435462b6e2f94e4392e8
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Large Language Models for Limited Noisy Data: A Gravitational Wave Identification Study
arXiv:2512.04031v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: This work investigates whether large language models (LLMs) offer advantages over traditional neural networks for astronomical data processing, in regimes with non-Gaussian, non-stationary noise and limited labeled samples. Gravitational wave observations provide an s...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.04031
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c6ff2cd00871852e9180594cd8f29e5a4f644697d2309527f098714f0057df8e
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
ExoMol line lists -- LXIII: ExoMol line lists for 12 isotopologues of CO$_2$
arXiv:2512.13889v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Extensive rovibrational line lists are constructed for 12 isotopologues of carbon dioxide: $^{12}$C$^{16}$O$_2$, $^{13}$C$^{16}$O$_2$, $^{12}$C$^{17}$O$_2$, $^{13}$C$^{17}$O$_2$, $^{12}$C$^{18}$O$_2$, $^{13}$C$^{18}$O$_2$, $^{16}$O$^{12}$C$^{17}$O, $^{16}$O$^{12}$C$^{...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.13889
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102c79c8b3f6c728104b944da591624bbb15335850f74ddf3b34d45cb85e5a26
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
First reverberation mapping of a Bowen fluorescence line
arXiv:2512.15497v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Reverberation mapping (RM) is a powerful tool to determine the extent, structure, and kinematics of the broad-line region (BLR) of active galactic nuclei (AGN). So far, RM of the BLR has only been performed for recombination lines responding to the varying ionizing co...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.15497
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ea99972b05487a65fbc9d7ec0f01af87b15babf0a040bb5091c589b246ed540e
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Multiband Gravitational Wave Detection Prospects for M31 UCXB-1 System in Low and Middle Frequency Band
arXiv:2512.21520v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The recent discovery of M31 UCXB-1, the first extragalactic ultracompact X-ray binary (UCXB) with an orbital period of $T_{\rm orb} \sim 465$ s, presents a unique laboratory for studying close binary evolution and an unprecedented target for continuous gravitational w...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.21520
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90cda64f85a4bad18fda7b6ad8a56703c546ef277aca73b208d335baeaad25f9
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Particle production and Higgs reheating
arXiv:2512.21658v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Reheating is essential for transforming the cold, vacuum dominated Universe at the end of inflation into the hot thermal bath required by the Standard Model. In many well motivated inflationary models, however, the inflaton has no direct couplings to other fields, rai...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.21658
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915423822da6019bd737405bf9b8c95208d37f0fb2ca14bf85c79047795bffe0
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
A global view of post-interaction white dwarf-main sequence binaries
arXiv:2601.00439v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Common-envelope evolution (CEE) is among the most uncertain phases in binary evolution. To empirically constrain CEE, we construct a uniformly selected sample of eclipsing post--common-envelope binaries (PCEBs). Starting from an unresolved white dwarf-main-sequence (W...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.00439
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b8aadf295702cf646d895fe56b81fab4ae759d7928fa23665676b861a732c593
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Vetting and False Positive Analysis of TOI 864.01: Evidence for a Likely Hierarchical Eclipsing Binary Masked by Dilution
arXiv:2601.02171v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present a detailed vetting analysis of the TESS candidate TOI 864.01, initially identified as a potential ultra-short-period ($P \approx 0.52$ d) Earth-sized planet orbiting an M-dwarf. Using 12 sectors of TESS photometry spanning a multi-year baseline, we recover ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.02171
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c67e198e0cd5a987ba00517df056757778b235567d4f97643851a790286c1ff0
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Energetic particles accelerated via turbulent magnetic reconnection in protoplanetary discs - I. Ionisation rates
arXiv:2601.05060v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Context. Ionisation controls the chemistry, thermal balance, and magnetic coupling in protoplanetary discs. However, standard ionisation vectors such as stellar UV, X-rays, Galactic cosmic rays (GCRs) might not be efficient enough, as UV/X-rays are attenuated rapidly ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.05060
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a21a2f1b63ce8e40db3ab9b72cf74ec7b8e4263ec73c0b4fe1332fccbd27a6ae
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Hidden pattern of self-invariant cosmic expansion: Empirical evidence from Hubble diagram of supernovae
arXiv:2601.05512v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present empirical evidence extracted from the Pantheon Catalog of SNeIa demonstrating that the speed of light varies as the universe expands. Moreover, the speed of light must vary in a specific quantifiable manner. Departing from the standard $\Lambda$CDM model, w...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.05512
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8a5d94d361aca5bd63fa0682ce65aeed0524545d0689d785862ee90b7ed51c3d
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Corrections to the Black hole entropy from a Bose Einstein condensate: a semi-classical phenomenological approach
arXiv:2501.04358v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In this paper we obtain logarithmic corrections to the black hole entropy. Motivated by our recent proposal concerning the nature of the degrees of freedom leading to the black hole entropy in terms of a Bose Einstein (BEC) condensate of gravitons, we study how ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.04358
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2c3b01e8698b09bbb557fd76ba3c6aba96a2cbb557088f73b7bada002e92baff
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Supernova constraints on lepton flavor violating ALPs
arXiv:2501.12075v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Supernovae offer a unique hot and dense environment to probe new physics beyond the Standard Model. We investigate supernova cooling constraints on lepton-flavor-violating (LFV) axions and axion-like particles (ALPs) that couple to electrons and muons. For LFV-A...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.12075
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8af56bfaa92241f334e426e8ad5744ef8fbf26f7367c30e4bd3577f3e7f7b410
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Enhancing gravitational-wave detection: a machine learning pipeline combination approach with robust uncertainty quantification
arXiv:2504.17587v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Gravitational-wave data from advanced-era interferometric detectors consists of background Gaussian noise, frequent transient artefacts, and rare astrophysical signals. Multiple search algorithms exist to detect the signals from compact binary coalescences, but ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.17587
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2198e6e31a73dd55571a930fde27112433c943d1abd26dab01b866fc3e3c93a7
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Dark Matter in X-rays: Revised XMM-Newton Limits and New Constraints from eROSITA
arXiv:2506.02310v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We investigate two classes of dark matter (DM) candidates, sub-GeV particles and primordial black holes (PBHs), that can inject low-energy electrons and positrons into the Milky Way and leave observable signatures in the X-ray sky. In the case of sub-GeV DM, ann...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.02310
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2952ba4e7346bc51a4e7125aecd6769dec6ba58ae1bbf1b5f441f0926c4501af
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Diffuse astrophysical neutrinos from dark matter around blazars
arXiv:2506.06416v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Neutrinos from blazars can originate from inelastic scatterings between protons within their jets and sub-GeV dark matter (DM) around them, explaining IceCube detections of neutrinos from TXS 0506+056 that are otherwise challenging for models of its jet. In this...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.06416
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24967a7adc06c9665b3d0a4e749f2c036fc8180ee5e148550c9cdffeefc73bb1
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Stability of Thin Shell and Wormhole Configurations: Schwarzschild, Schwarzschild -- (Anti-) de Sitter, and FLRW Spacetimes
arXiv:2507.00315v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The stability of thin shell wormholes and black holes to linearized spherically symmetric perturbations about a static equilibrium is analyzed. Thin shell formalism is explored and junctions formed from combinations of Schwarzschild, Schwarzschild - de Sitter, a...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.00315
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d36e92ec7b1e10da0412572962f5cf256eaeaad1b37bc9be9ae199f8a31bbd6b
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Quasi-Normal Modes and Nonlinear Electrodynamics in Black Hole Phase Transitions
arXiv:2508.00404v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We investigate the connection between thermodynamic phase transitions and quasi-normal modes (QNMs) in charged black holes with a positive curvature constant, within the framework of $F(R)$-Euler-Heisenberg gravity. Nonlinear electromagnetic fields lead to rich ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.00404
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3b3529fcde06d2b213faeb835ad5064a15ef08ab91684f23edcce33a9bcfab35
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Color-superconducting quarkyonic matter
arXiv:2509.03517v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We explore the role of color superconductivity in quarkyonic matter under the conditions of color and electric neutrality at $\beta$- and strong equilibrium, as relevant for neutron stars. By explicitly incorporating the color-superconducting pairing gap into th...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.03517
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1bbb7122ece2762983b1abfa744bf0eb0a5cad2678ede5053643a1bc048363ab
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Uncertainty in predicting the stochastic gravitational wave background from compact binary coalescences
arXiv:2510.02163v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The stochastic gravitational-wave background from compact binary coalescences is expected to be the first detectable stochastic signal via cross-correlation searches with terrestrial detectors. It encodes the cumulative merger history of stellar-mass binaries ac...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.02163
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66cb383e1e57b95b49512796e31c68c1595951e2841145f01b172ec2dc4de7a0
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Cavity Multimodes as an Array for High-Frequency Gravitational Waves
arXiv:2601.03341v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Microwave cavities operated in the presence of a background magnetic field provide a promising avenue for detecting high-frequency gravitational waves (HFGWs). We demonstrate for the first time that the distinct antenna patterns of multiple electromagnetic modes...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.03341
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e0de43bc63b5385d587795d8bf8a2c100be1abce90863158f4e1b3075ccf1c0a
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Resolving the automation paradox: falling labor share, rising wages
arXiv:2601.06343v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A central socioeconomic concern about Artificial Intelligence is that it will lower wages by depressing the labor share - the fraction of economic output paid to labor. We show that declining labor share is more likely to raise wages. In a competitive economy with constan...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.06343
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3a10023b68d7cef6fbc072a6533f5c95391e3884cde8519909381a5385585d78
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Long-Term Causal Inference with Many Noisy Proxies
arXiv:2601.06359v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We propose a method for estimating long-term treatment effects with many short-term proxy outcomes: a central challenge when experimenting on digital platforms. We formalize this challenge as a latent variable problem where observed proxies are noisy measures of a low-dim...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.06359
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7e3173974c2d9452d3152a70e40b191748ad2b082b6f6098841a42e3dca0208d
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
The Promise of Time-Series Foundation Models for Agricultural Forecasting: Evidence from Marketing Year Average Prices
arXiv:2601.06371v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Forecasting agricultural markets remains a core challenge in business analytics, where nonlinear dynamics, structural breaks, and sparse data have historically limited the gains from increasingly complex econometric and machine learning models. As a result, a long-standin...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.06371
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feafa60ecf4cf76f3a348f5c97fe63b23af86b0be84bef9c466b36e8823f94cf
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Bounded Rationality with Subjective Evaluations in Enlivened but Truncated Decision Trees
arXiv:2601.06405v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In normative models a decision-maker is usually assumed to be Bayesian rational, and so to maximize subjective expected utility, within a complete and correctly specified decision model. Following the discussion in Hammond (2007) of Schumpeter's (1911, 1934) concept of en...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.06405
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b3530a940b1943a0912b0b1c63d324b31c8875527deb743038e38b4fd4c33d2d
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Sign Accuracy, Mean-Squared Error and the Rate of Zero Crossings: a Generalized Forecast Approach
arXiv:2601.06547v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Forecasting entails a complex estimation challenge, as it requires balancing multiple, often conflicting, priorities and objectives. Traditional forecast optimization criteria typically focus on a single metric -such as minimizing the mean squared error (MSE)- which may o...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.06547
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16addfa2d460e275fea90a3f223804acee7d85dd4507cfd0ac56147e3178eacc
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Empirical Bayes Estimation in Heterogeneous Coefficient Panel Models
arXiv:2601.07059v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We develop an empirical Bayes (EB) G-modeling framework for short-panel linear models with multidimensional heterogeneity and nonparametric prior. Specifically, we allow heterogeneous intercepts, slopes, dynamics, and a non-spherical error covariance structure. We establi...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07059
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6997270a0d2cd9e8f37981ec206f32362752d21b02da9b78ee9e54ec117c33f9
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
A Note on 'The Limits of Price Discrimination' by Bergemann, Brooks, and Morris
arXiv:2601.07452v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This note revisits the analysis of third-degree price discrimination developed by Bergemann et al. (2015), which characterizes the set of consumer-producer surplus pairs that can be achieved through market segmentation. This was proved by means of market segmentation with...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07452
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668f622d3e9cce7dc2766c25b7503724b45089d57a7a239ca689611720b81c01
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Modelling Distributional Impacts of Carbon Taxation: a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
arXiv:2601.07713v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Carbon taxes are increasingly popular among policymakers but remain politically contentious. A key challenge relates to their distributional impacts; the extent to which tax burdens differ across population groups. As a response, a growing number of studies analyse their ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07713
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2f67474cb63a02dc22b376b59ac0850ae58f0b08eda0a427ba084c0a15bf3ee4
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Who sets the range? Funding mechanics and 4h context in crypto markets
arXiv:2601.06084v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Financial markets often appear chaotic, yet ranges are rarely accidental. They emerge from structured interactions between market context and capital conditions. The four-hour timeframe provides a critical lens for observing this equilibrium zone where institutional pos...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.06084
Academic Papers
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2133c5c7ce4d5125321ec880e62ad310ca29f28cf4d81f82b7caa16657267ba9
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Crypto Pricing with Hidden Factors
arXiv:2601.07664v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We estimate risk premia in the cross-section of cryptocurrency returns using the Giglio-Xiu (2021) three-pass approach, allowing for omitted latent factors alongside observed stock-market and crypto-market factors. Using weekly data on a broad universe of large cryptocu...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.07664
Academic Papers
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cfb17773ade5cbee88897d490f3f316c31e6723b5b17f842e3fdc42715ac5908
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Recursive Score and Hessian Computation in Regime-Switching Models
arXiv:2205.01565v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: This study proposes a recursive and easy-to-implement algorithm to compute the score and Hessian matrix in general regime-switching models. We use simulation to compare the asymptotic variance estimates constructed from the Hessian matrix and the outer product of the ...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2205.01565
Academic Papers
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8ebb856fb39e6f77b26a77df0112030cffdd03bef665dfc2ebd508ca114c9979
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Regulation and Frontier Housing Supply
arXiv:2208.01969v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Regulation is a major driver of housing supply, yet often difficult to observe directly. This paper estimates frontier cost, the non-land cost of producing housing absent regulation, and regulatory tax, which quantifies regulation in money terms. Working within an urb...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2208.01969
Academic Papers
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b7e918bee3b8e1959ec0866bce96cc48ae7966b4dc0a365bd0ea77f45308b608
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Forecasted Treatment Effects
arXiv:2309.05639v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We consider estimation and inference of the effects of a policy in the absence of an untreated or control group. We obtain unbiased estimators of individual (heterogeneous) treatment effects and a consistent and asymptotically normal estimator of the average treatment...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.05639
Academic Papers
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b39ece6e4089bf46422e212b00aeceb60270a4477ef5798a485c9246cda963f3
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Identifying Causal Effects in Information Provision Experiments
arXiv:2309.11387v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Standard estimators in information provision experiments place more weight on individuals who update their beliefs more in response to new information. This paper shows that, in practice, these individuals who update the most have the weakest causal effects of beliefs...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.11387
Academic Papers
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38ee63e655541fc41b1c913131841b64cdce332142a7d635166e74ea144c9267
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
New Compensating and Equivalent Variation Closed-form Solutions for Non-Separable Public Goods
arXiv:2401.15493v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: This study finds exact closed-form solutions for compensating variation (CV) and equivalent variation (EV) for both marginal and non-marginal changes in public goods given homothetic, but non-separable, utility where a single sufficient statistic summarizes consumer p...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.15493
Academic Papers
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0a66b8583ca7a58b3496d16b789907daa4fdd6903097ac25858268c15f303401
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
On Causal Inference with Model-Based Outcomes
arXiv:2403.19563v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We study the estimation of causal effects on group-level parameters identified from microdata (e.g., child penalties). We demonstrate that standard one-step methods (such as pooled OLS and IV regressions) are generally inconsistent due to an endogenous weighting bias,...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.19563
Academic Papers
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41a31e0362f7ee3c060fe65bb761a96fd8f747712b67bc1eedb6f2bb07904ae5
2026-01-13T00:00:00-05:00
Simulation in discrete choice models evaluation: SDCM, a simulation tool for performance evaluation of DCMs
arXiv:2407.17014v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Discrete choice models (DCMs) have been widely utilized in various scientific fields, especially economics, for many years. These models consider a stochastic environment influencing each decision maker's choices. Extensive research has shown that the agents' socioeco...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.17014
Academic Papers
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