Datasets:
repo string | pr_number int64 | pr_url string | agent string | split string | tier string | ci_state_at_merge string | t3_reasons string | missing_evidence string | reverted_14d int64 | fix_followup_14d int64 | event_14d int64 | audit_verdict string |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
techa03/goodsKill | 258 | https://github.com/techa03/goodsKill/pull/258 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T3 | failure | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
OpenSourceAGI/qwksearch-research-agent | 45 | https://github.com/OpenSourceAGI/qwksearch-research-agent/pull/45 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T3 | success | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
OpenSourceAGI/qwksearch-research-agent | 41 | https://github.com/OpenSourceAGI/qwksearch-research-agent/pull/41 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T3 | failure | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
OpenSourceAGI/qwksearch-research-agent | 43 | https://github.com/OpenSourceAGI/qwksearch-research-agent/pull/43 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T3 | failure | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
ESPresense/ESPresense-companion | 1,617 | https://github.com/ESPresense/ESPresense-companion/pull/1617 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | success | null | Source changes without test changes;Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
GhostManager/Ghostwriter | 930 | https://github.com/GhostManager/Ghostwriter/pull/930 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | success | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
rustledger/rustledger | 1,724 | https://github.com/rustledger/rustledger/pull/1724 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | failure | null | CI is failing;Source changes without test changes | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
rustledger/rustledger | 1,725 | https://github.com/rustledger/rustledger/pull/1725 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | success | null | Source changes without test changes;Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Azure-Samples/openai-chat-vision-quickstart | 97 | https://github.com/Azure-Samples/openai-chat-vision-quickstart/pull/97 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | success | null | Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Azure-Samples/openai-chat-vision-quickstart | 95 | https://github.com/Azure-Samples/openai-chat-vision-quickstart/pull/95 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | success | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Azure-Samples/openai-chat-app-quickstart | 368 | https://github.com/Azure-Samples/openai-chat-app-quickstart/pull/368 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | success | null | Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Azure-Samples/openai-chat-app-entra-auth-builtin | 161 | https://github.com/Azure-Samples/openai-chat-app-entra-auth-builtin/pull/161 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T2 | success | null | Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Azure-Samples/openai-chat-app-entra-auth-builtin | 159 | https://github.com/Azure-Samples/openai-chat-app-entra-auth-builtin/pull/159 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T3 | success | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Azure-Samples/python-agentframework-demos | 69 | https://github.com/Azure-Samples/python-agentframework-demos/pull/69 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | success | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Azure-Samples/python-ai-agent-frameworks-demos | 81 | https://github.com/Azure-Samples/python-ai-agent-frameworks-demos/pull/81 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T3 | success | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Azure-Samples/get-started-with-ai-chat | 143 | https://github.com/Azure-Samples/get-started-with-ai-chat/pull/143 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T3 | pending | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Azure-Samples/azure-openai-entity-extraction | 37 | https://github.com/Azure-Samples/azure-openai-entity-extraction/pull/37 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T3 | success | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Azure-Samples/ai-rag-chat-evaluator | 164 | https://github.com/Azure-Samples/ai-rag-chat-evaluator/pull/164 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | success | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Azure-Samples/rag-postgres-openai-python | 297 | https://github.com/Azure-Samples/rag-postgres-openai-python/pull/297 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T3 | success | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
eBay/evo-web | 746 | https://github.com/eBay/evo-web/pull/746 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T2 | success | null | Source changes without test changes;Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 11,166 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/11166 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T1 | success | null | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 11,159 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/11159 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T1 | success | null | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 11,182 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/11182 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T2 | success | null | Source changes without test changes | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 10,713 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/10713 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T2 | success | null | Source changes without test changes | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 10,066 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/10066 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T2 | failure | null | CI is failing;Source changes without test changes;Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 10,970 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/10970 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T1 | success | null | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 11,162 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/11162 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T2 | failure | null | CI is failing | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 10,714 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/10714 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T1 | success | null | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 10,965 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/10965 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T1 | success | null | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 11,161 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/11161 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T2 | success | null | Source changes without test changes | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 11,080 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/11080 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T1 | success | null | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 11,164 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/11164 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T1 | success | null | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 10,279 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/10279 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T2 | success | null | Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 11,160 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/11160 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T1 | success | null | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 10,893 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/10893 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T2 | success | null | Source changes without test changes | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 11,079 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/11079 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T1 | success | null | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 10,657 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/10657 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T1 | success | null | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 10,067 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/10067 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T2 | success | null | Source changes without test changes;Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 10,277 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/10277 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T2 | success | null | Source changes without test changes | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 10,383 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/10383 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T3 | success | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 11,163 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/11163 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T1 | success | null | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 10,656 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/10656 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T2 | success | null | Source changes without test changes | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 11,165 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/11165 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T1 | success | null | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Z3Prover/z3 | 10,655 | https://github.com/Z3Prover/z3/pull/10655 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T1 | success | null | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
microsoft/BCApps | 11,210 | https://github.com/microsoft/BCApps/pull/11210 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T2 | success | null | Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
microsoft/BCApps | 9,198 | https://github.com/microsoft/BCApps/pull/9198 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T2 | failure | null | CI is failing;Source changes without test changes;Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
microsoft/BCApps | 9,186 | https://github.com/microsoft/BCApps/pull/9186 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T2 | failure | null | CI is failing;Source changes without test changes;Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
gee-community/geemap | 2,821 | https://github.com/gee-community/geemap/pull/2821 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T3 | success | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Azure/azure-sdk-tools | 16,286 | https://github.com/Azure/azure-sdk-tools/pull/16286 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | success | null | Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Azure/azure-sdk-tools | 16,291 | https://github.com/Azure/azure-sdk-tools/pull/16291 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | success | null | Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Azure/azure-sdk-tools | 16,757 | https://github.com/Azure/azure-sdk-tools/pull/16757 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | success | null | Source changes without test changes;Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Azure/azure-sdk-tools | 16,871 | https://github.com/Azure/azure-sdk-tools/pull/16871 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | success | control_files | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Azure/azure-sdk-tools | 16,702 | https://github.com/Azure/azure-sdk-tools/pull/16702 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | success | null | Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
modelcontextprotocol/ext-apps | 698 | https://github.com/modelcontextprotocol/ext-apps/pull/698 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | success | null | Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 69,081 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/69081 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | success | large_change | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 57,746 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/57746 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | success | too_many_files;critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 61,222 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/61222 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | none | null | No CI result found;Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 45,430 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/45430 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | none | null | No CI result found;Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 48,561 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/48561 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | none | critical_paths;large_change | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 53,643 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/53643 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | none | null | No CI result found | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 52,108 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/52108 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | none | critical_paths;large_change | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 48,619 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/48619 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | none | critical_paths | null | 0 | 1 | 1 | probable |
github/gh-aw | 52,119 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/52119 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | none | null | No CI result found | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 64,267 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/64267 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | success | null | Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 55,703 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/55703 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | none | null | No CI result found;Source changes without test changes | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 52,060 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/52060 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | success | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 50,414 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/50414 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | none | null | No CI result found;Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 55,837 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/55837 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | none | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 64,339 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/64339 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | success | too_many_files;critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 61,201 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/61201 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | none | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 47,048 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/47048 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T1 | success | null | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 69,109 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/69109 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | success | too_many_files;critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 55,839 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/55839 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | success | large_change | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 68,416 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/68416 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T1 | success | null | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 66,234 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/66234 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | success | null | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 62,706 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/62706 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | success | too_many_files;critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 48,597 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/48597 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | none | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 68,410 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/68410 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T1 | success | null | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 64,336 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/64336 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T1 | success | null | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 45,460 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/45460 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | success | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 52,032 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/52032 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T1 | success | null | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 47,043 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/47043 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | none | null | No CI result found | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 53,798 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/53798 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | none | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
github/gh-aw | 66,223 | https://github.com/github/gh-aw/pull/66223 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T1 | success | null | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Azure/awesome-azd | 985 | https://github.com/Azure/awesome-azd/pull/985 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | success | null | Source changes without test changes | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Azure/awesome-azd | 922 | https://github.com/Azure/awesome-azd/pull/922 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | success | null | Source changes without test changes;Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Azure/awesome-azd | 1,020 | https://github.com/Azure/awesome-azd/pull/1020 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | success | null | Source changes without test changes | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Pirate-Weather/pirate-weather-code | 709 | https://github.com/Pirate-Weather/pirate-weather-code/pull/709 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T2 | failure | null | CI is failing;Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Pirate-Weather/pirate-weather-code | 682 | https://github.com/Pirate-Weather/pirate-weather-code/pull/682 | copilot-swe-agent | holdout | T3 | success | large_change | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
Roskus/prospero-flow-crm | 251 | https://github.com/Roskus/prospero-flow-crm/pull/251 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | failure | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
tig/mcec | 313 | https://github.com/tig/mcec/pull/313 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | success | null | Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
tig/mcec | 316 | https://github.com/tig/mcec/pull/316 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | success | null | Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
tig/mcec | 314 | https://github.com/tig/mcec/pull/314 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | success | null | Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
nicklockwood/SwiftFormat | 2,597 | https://github.com/nicklockwood/SwiftFormat/pull/2597 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | success | null | Source changes without test changes;Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
nicklockwood/SwiftFormat | 2,687 | https://github.com/nicklockwood/SwiftFormat/pull/2687 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | success | null | Source changes without test changes | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
flannel-io/flannel | 2,483 | https://github.com/flannel-io/flannel/pull/2483 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | failure | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
socfortress/CoPilot | 972 | https://github.com/socfortress/CoPilot/pull/972 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | success | null | Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
fluentmigrator/fluentmigrator | 2,301 | https://github.com/fluentmigrator/fluentmigrator/pull/2301 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T2 | success | null | Agent PR without a linked issue/ticket | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
fluentmigrator/fluentmigrator | 2,407 | https://github.com/fluentmigrator/fluentmigrator/pull/2407 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T1 | success | null | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
kairos-io/hadron | 501 | https://github.com/kairos-io/hadron/pull/501 | copilot-swe-agent | tuning | T3 | success | critical_paths | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | null |
End of preview. Expand in Data Studio
Agent PR Outcomes
This dataset has 2,211 merged pull requests opened by four coding agents: GitHub Copilot coding agent, Devin, Cursor and Jules. They come from 571 active open-source repositories (≥50 stars, ≥3 human contributors) and were merged between 2026-07-01 and 2026-10-15. Each PR has a deterministic, metadata-only risk tier, its CI state at merge, and 14-day post-merge outcome labels.
It accompanies the exploratory technical report Merged While Red (Sitemkar, 2026), https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24112055. The code, the pre-registration and the full methodology are at https://github.com/bugrasitemkar/agent-pr-outcomes.
Columns
| Column | Description |
|---|---|
repo, pr_number, pr_url |
Public PR identifier |
agent |
Authoring GitHub App: copilot-swe-agent, devin-ai-integration, cursor or google-labs-jules |
split |
tuning / holdout, assigned by repository hash before outcomes were fetched |
tier |
T1 = fast path, T2 = single reviewer, T3 = owner/senior review (rules in the report, §4) |
ci_state_at_merge |
Head-commit status rollup: success, failure, pending or none |
t3_reasons |
Why the PR was T3, for example critical_paths or large_change |
missing_evidence |
What kept the PR out of T1 |
reverted_14d, fix_followup_14d, event_14d |
Outcome labels (0/1). Lower bounds; precision 62–76% by manual audit |
audit_verdict |
For labelled events: true, probable, ambiguous or false |
Limitations
- Labels are approximate lower bounds. Silent fixes and incidents that happen outside git are not captured.
- Public open-source repositories are not representative of private codebases.
- Per-agent differences are confounded by repository and task mix. Do not use this dataset to rank vendors.
- The dataset contains no code, PR text or author identities beyond the agent app.
Citation
Sitemkar, B. (2026). Merged While Red: Post-Merge Outcomes of 2,211 Agent-Authored Pull Requests in Open Source. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24112055
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