| { | |
| "mode": "pov_structured_oracle_extractor", | |
| "task": "destination_option_value", | |
| "target_col": "target_pov_round_win", | |
| "target_provenance": "privileged_teacher", | |
| "logged_option_col": "target_own_destination_zone_6s", | |
| "logged_option_provenance": "privileged_teacher", | |
| "horizon_s": 6.0, | |
| "num_zones": 8, | |
| "n_train": 17910, | |
| "n_holdout": 11868, | |
| "n_train_round_groups": 69, | |
| "n_holdout_round_groups": 58, | |
| "selected_model": "structured_pov_destination_conditioned_mlp", | |
| "feature_cols": [ | |
| "hud_health", | |
| "hud_armor", | |
| "hud_weapon_id", | |
| "own_alive", | |
| "enemy_alive", | |
| "man_adv", | |
| "own_hp", | |
| "own_armor", | |
| "own_primaries", | |
| "planted", | |
| "post_plant_frac", | |
| "i_am_t", | |
| "progress", | |
| "own_view_sin", | |
| "own_view_cos", | |
| "own_speed", | |
| "visible_enemy_count", | |
| "visible_enemy_frac", | |
| "nearest_visible_enemy_dist", | |
| "audio_enemy_near_count", | |
| "audio_weapon_fire_near_count", | |
| "visible_utility_count", | |
| "own_zone_0", | |
| "own_zone_1", | |
| "own_zone_2", | |
| "own_zone_3", | |
| "own_zone_4", | |
| "own_zone_5", | |
| "own_zone_6", | |
| "own_zone_7", | |
| "visible_enemy_zone_0", | |
| "visible_enemy_zone_1", | |
| "visible_enemy_zone_2", | |
| "visible_enemy_zone_3", | |
| "visible_enemy_zone_4", | |
| "visible_enemy_zone_5", | |
| "visible_enemy_zone_6", | |
| "visible_enemy_zone_7", | |
| "map_dust2", | |
| "map_mirage", | |
| "map_nuke", | |
| "map_inferno", | |
| "map_overpass", | |
| "map_anubis", | |
| "map_ancient", | |
| "map_vertigo", | |
| "map_train" | |
| ], | |
| "option_feature_cols": [ | |
| "candidate_zone_0", | |
| "candidate_zone_1", | |
| "candidate_zone_2", | |
| "candidate_zone_3", | |
| "candidate_zone_4", | |
| "candidate_zone_5", | |
| "candidate_zone_6", | |
| "candidate_zone_7", | |
| "candidate_is_current_zone" | |
| ], | |
| "current_zone_cols": [ | |
| "own_zone_0", | |
| "own_zone_1", | |
| "own_zone_2", | |
| "own_zone_3", | |
| "own_zone_4", | |
| "own_zone_5", | |
| "own_zone_6", | |
| "own_zone_7" | |
| ], | |
| "best_epoch": 1, | |
| "train": { | |
| "n": 17910, | |
| "positive_rate": 0.5324, | |
| "mean_prob": 0.5303, | |
| "brier": 0.1649, | |
| "log_loss": 0.4866, | |
| "ece": 0.0268, | |
| "auc": 0.8332, | |
| "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.7367 | |
| }, | |
| "holdout": { | |
| "n": 11868, | |
| "positive_rate": 0.5111, | |
| "mean_prob": 0.5197, | |
| "brier": 0.2409, | |
| "log_loss": 0.6735, | |
| "ece": 0.0571, | |
| "auc": 0.6215, | |
| "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.5645 | |
| }, | |
| "baselines": { | |
| "global_train_win_rate": { | |
| "n": 11868, | |
| "positive_rate": 0.5111, | |
| "mean_prob": 0.5324, | |
| "brier": 0.2503, | |
| "log_loss": 0.6938, | |
| "ece": 0.0213, | |
| "auc": 0.5431, | |
| "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.5111 | |
| }, | |
| "map_side_time_prior": { | |
| "n": 11868, | |
| "positive_rate": 0.5111, | |
| "mean_prob": 0.5414, | |
| "brier": 0.2582, | |
| "log_loss": 0.7114, | |
| "ece": 0.0986, | |
| "auc": 0.4782, | |
| "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.4621 | |
| }, | |
| "state_only_mlp": { | |
| "feature_cols": [ | |
| "hud_health", | |
| "hud_armor", | |
| "hud_weapon_id", | |
| "own_alive", | |
| "enemy_alive", | |
| "man_adv", | |
| "own_hp", | |
| "own_armor", | |
| "own_primaries", | |
| "planted", | |
| "post_plant_frac", | |
| "i_am_t", | |
| "progress", | |
| "own_view_sin", | |
| "own_view_cos", | |
| "own_speed", | |
| "visible_enemy_count", | |
| "visible_enemy_frac", | |
| "nearest_visible_enemy_dist", | |
| "audio_enemy_near_count", | |
| "audio_weapon_fire_near_count", | |
| "visible_utility_count", | |
| "own_zone_0", | |
| "own_zone_1", | |
| "own_zone_2", | |
| "own_zone_3", | |
| "own_zone_4", | |
| "own_zone_5", | |
| "own_zone_6", | |
| "own_zone_7", | |
| "visible_enemy_zone_0", | |
| "visible_enemy_zone_1", | |
| "visible_enemy_zone_2", | |
| "visible_enemy_zone_3", | |
| "visible_enemy_zone_4", | |
| "visible_enemy_zone_5", | |
| "visible_enemy_zone_6", | |
| "visible_enemy_zone_7", | |
| "map_dust2", | |
| "map_mirage", | |
| "map_nuke", | |
| "map_inferno", | |
| "map_overpass", | |
| "map_anubis", | |
| "map_ancient", | |
| "map_vertigo", | |
| "map_train" | |
| ], | |
| "best_epoch": 1, | |
| "train": { | |
| "n": 17910, | |
| "positive_rate": 0.5324, | |
| "mean_prob": 0.5291, | |
| "brier": 0.166, | |
| "log_loss": 0.4902, | |
| "ece": 0.0295, | |
| "auc": 0.8303, | |
| "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.7358 | |
| }, | |
| "holdout": { | |
| "n": 11868, | |
| "positive_rate": 0.5111, | |
| "mean_prob": 0.5798, | |
| "brier": 0.2494, | |
| "log_loss": 0.6933, | |
| "ece": 0.1255, | |
| "auc": 0.6016, | |
| "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.534 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "option_signal": { | |
| "factual_brier_gain_over_state_only": 0.0085, | |
| "factual_auc_gain_over_state_only": 0.0199, | |
| "train_logged_destination_counts": [ | |
| 1781, | |
| 2033, | |
| 929, | |
| 2318, | |
| 2391, | |
| 2687, | |
| 2397, | |
| 3374 | |
| ], | |
| "support_min_count": 50, | |
| "support_min_propensity": 0.02 | |
| }, | |
| "policy_evaluation": { | |
| "logged_observed_mean_win": 0.5111, | |
| "policies": { | |
| "support_greedy_q": { | |
| "dr_value": 0.4353, | |
| "logged_match_rate": 0.2874, | |
| "ess": 1073.82, | |
| "mean_selected_behavior_prob": 0.3195, | |
| "unsupported_selected": 0 | |
| }, | |
| "behavior_context_prior_argmax": { | |
| "dr_value": 0.4538, | |
| "logged_match_rate": 0.436, | |
| "ess": 3395.69, | |
| "mean_selected_behavior_prob": 0.4655, | |
| "unsupported_selected": 0 | |
| }, | |
| "stay_current_zone": { | |
| "dr_value": 0.5049, | |
| "logged_match_rate": 0.726, | |
| "ess": 5508.7, | |
| "mean_selected_behavior_prob": 0.4353, | |
| "unsupported_selected": 0 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "greedy_vs_logged_observed_dr_delta_bootstrap": { | |
| "mean": -0.077, | |
| "std": 0.0395, | |
| "ci95": [ | |
| -0.1544, | |
| -0.0024 | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "greedy_switch_rate_vs_context_imitation": 0.2335, | |
| "greedy_mean_q_gap_vs_context_imitation": 0.0167, | |
| "behavior_propensity_source": "train_split_map_side_time_current_zone_destination_prior" | |
| }, | |
| "promotion_decision": "report_pov_values_only_do_not_override_imitation", | |
| "caveat": "This is an observational destination-conditioned value head. It is POV-valid as an inference model, but its greedy policy is not causal proof and must be treated as advisory unless OPE confidence is clearly positive at larger scale.", | |
| "provenance_gate": { | |
| "checked": true, | |
| "forbidden_input_provenance": [ | |
| "eval_only", | |
| "privileged_teacher" | |
| ], | |
| "input_feature_count": 47, | |
| "candidate_feature_count": 9, | |
| "label_source": "privileged round outcome and future own destination labels", | |
| "planner_eligible": true | |
| } | |
| } | |