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use Data\HunanCntyYr.dta,clear
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gen Post=0 if year<1854
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replace Post=1 if year>=1854&year<=1864
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foreach y of varlist Zeng_all0_invdist_pc Zeng_all0_pc Zenghu_all Zenghu_all_invdist Zeng_all0 Zeng_all0_invdist Zeng_exam0_invdist Zeng_BMF_invdist Zeng_Juren_invdist lnarea capital lnurbanpop lnpop dist_nanjing lnjinshi lnquotas mainriv route1 dist2canal lnwheat lnrice {
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gen `y'_Post=`y'*Post
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}
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tab year, gen(year)
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local r=1
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while `r'<16 {
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local s=`r'+1849
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rename year`r' yr`s'
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local r=`r'+1
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}
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foreach y of varlist Zeng_all0_invdist Zeng_all0 Zeng_all0_invdist_pc Zeng_all0_pc{
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foreach x of varlist yr1850-yr1852 yr1854-yr1864 {
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gen `y'_`x'=`y'*`x'
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}
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}
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egen prefidXyear=group(prefid year)
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xi: reghdfe lnmartyr1 Zeng_all0_invdist_yr* capital_Post lnurbanpop_Post lnjinshi_Post lnquotas_Post route1_Post dist_nanjing_Post mainriv_Post dist2canal_Post lnwheat_Post lnrice_Post lnpop_Post lnarea_Post , absorb(year cntyid prefidXyear) cluster( cntyid)
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outreg2 using Results\Placebo_Yearly_ctrl_all0_invdist.doc, keep(Zeng_all0_invdist_yr* ) se bdec(3) rdec(3) nocons replace
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parmest, saving( Results\Placebo_Yearly_ctrl_all0_invdist, replace)
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xi: reghdfe lnmartyr1 Zeng_all0_yr* capital_Post lnurbanpop_Post lnjinshi_Post lnquotas_Post route1_Post dist_nanjing_Post mainriv_Post dist2canal_Post lnwheat_Post lnrice_Post lnpop_Post lnarea_Post , absorb(year cntyid prefidXyear) cluster( cntyid)
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outreg2 using Results\Placebo_Yearly_ctrl_all0_invdist.doc, keep(Zeng_all0_yr* ) se bdec(3) rdec(3) nocons append
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parmest, saving( Results\Placebo_Yearly_ctrl_all0, replace)
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xi: reghdfe lnmartyr1 Zeng_all0_invdist_pc_yr* capital_Post lnurbanpop_Post lnjinshi_Post lnquotas_Post route1_Post dist_nanjing_Post mainriv_Post dist2canal_Post lnwheat_Post lnrice_Post lnpop_Post lnarea_Post , absorb(year cntyid prefidXyear) cluster( cntyid)
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outreg2 using Results\Placebo_Yearly_ctrl_all0_invdist.doc, keep(Zeng_all0_invdist_pc_yr* ) se bdec(3) rdec(3) nocons append
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parmest, saving( Results\Placebo_Yearly_ctrl_all0_invdist_pc, replace)
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xi: reghdfe lnmartyr1 Zeng_all0_pc_yr* capital_Post lnurbanpop_Post lnjinshi_Post lnquotas_Post route1_Post dist_nanjing_Post mainriv_Post dist2canal_Post lnwheat_Post lnrice_Post lnpop_Post lnarea_Post , absorb(year cntyid prefidXyear) cluster(cntyid)
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outreg2 using Results\Placebo_Yearly_ctrl_all0_invdist.doc, keep(Zeng_all0_pc_yr* ) se bdec(3) rdec(3) nocons append
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parmest, saving( Results\Placebo_Yearly_ctrl_all0_pc, replace)
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preserve
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use Results\Placebo_Yearly_ctrl_all0_invdist, clear
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gen i=_n
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keep if i<=15
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gen time=i
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gen zero=0
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label var zero "the effect = 0"
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label var estimate "the coefficent of logged total deaths"
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keep time max95 min95 time estimate zero
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replace time=time+1 if time>3
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replace time=4 if time==16
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foreach x of varlist estimate {
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replace `x'=0 if time==4
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}
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foreach x of varlist max95 min95 {
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replace `x'=0 if time==4
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}
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replace time=1849+time
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sort time
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label var time "Year"
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twoway (rcap max95 min95 time, ylabel(-0.25(0.25)0.5) lstyle(ci) xtitle(" ") )
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(connect estimate time, lp(solid) lc(black) lw(medthick) xline(1853, lpattern(solid) lcolor(blue) lw(medthick)) xsize(6) ysize(6))
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(scatter estimate time, mstyle(p1) yline(0, lpattern(solid) lcolor(red))
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legend(off) xlabel(1850(5)1865) graphregion(color(white) ifcolor(white) ilcolor(white) fcolor(white)) saving(Results\Yearly1_All0_invdist, replace) title(A. Weighted connections, size(medsmall)))
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restore
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preserve
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use Results\Placebo_Yearly_ctrl_all0, clear
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gen i=_n
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keep if i<=15
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gen time=i
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gen zero=0
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label var zero "the effect = 0"
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label var estimate "the coefficent of logged total deaths"
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keep time max95 min95 time estimate zero
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replace time=time+1 if time>3
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replace time=4 if time==16
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foreach x of varlist estimate {
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replace `x'=0 if time==4
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}
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foreach x of varlist max95 min95 {
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replace `x'=0 if time==4
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}
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replace time=1849+time
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sort time
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label var time "Year"
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twoway (rcap max95 min95 time, ylabel(-0.25(0.25)0.5) lstyle(ci) xtitle(" ") )
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(connect estimate time, lp(solid) lc(black) lw(medthick) xline(1853, lpattern(solid) lcolor(blue) lw(medthick)) xsize(6) ysize(6))
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(scatter estimate time, mstyle(p1) yline(0, lpattern(solid) lcolor(red))
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legend(off) xlabel(1850(5)1865) graphregion(color(white) ifcolor(white) ilcolor(white) fcolor(white)) saving(Results\Yearly1_All0, replace) title(B. Unweighted connections, size(medsmall)))
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restore
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preserve
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use Results\Placebo_Yearly_ctrl_all0_invdist_pc, clear
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gen i=_n
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keep if i<=15
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gen time=i
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gen zero=0
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label var zero "the effect = 0"
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label var estimate "the coefficent of logged total deaths"
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keep time max95 min95 time estimate zero
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replace time=time+1 if time>3
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replace time=4 if time==16
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foreach x of varlist estimate {
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replace `x'=0 if time==4
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}
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foreach x of varlist max95 min95 {
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replace `x'=0 if time==4
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}
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replace time=1849+time
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sort time
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label var time "Year"
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twoway (rcap max95 min95 time, ylabel(-0.08(0.08)0.16) lstyle(ci) xtitle(" ") )
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(connect estimate time, lp(solid) lc(black) lw(medthick) xline(1853, lpattern(solid) lcolor(blue) lw(medthick)) xsize(6) ysize(6))
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(scatter estimate time, mstyle(p1) yline(0, lpattern(solid) lcolor(red))
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legend(order(2 "Effects of elite connections") size(small) row(1) region(color(none))) xlabel(1850(5)1865) graphregion(color(white) ifcolor(white) ilcolor(white) fcolor(white)) saving(Results\Yearly1_All0_invdist_pc, replace) title(C. Weighted connections per capita, size(medsmall)))
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restore
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preserve
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use Results\Placebo_Yearly_ctrl_all0_pc, clear
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gen i=_n
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keep if i<=15
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gen time=i
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gen zero=0
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label var zero "the effect = 0"
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label var estimate "the coefficent of logged total deaths"
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keep time max95 min95 time estimate zero
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replace time=time+1 if time>3
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replace time=4 if time==16
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foreach x of varlist estimate {
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replace `x'=0 if time==4
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}
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foreach x of varlist max95 min95 {
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replace `x'=0 if time==4
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}
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replace time=1849+time
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sort time
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label var time "Year"
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twoway (rcap max95 min95 time, ylabel(-0.08(0.08)0.16) lstyle(ci) xtitle(" ") )
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(connect estimate time, lp(solid) lc(black) lw(medthick) xline(1853, lpattern(solid) lcolor(blue) lw(medthick)) xsize(6) ysize(6))
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(scatter estimate time, mstyle(p1) yline(0, lpattern(solid) lcolor(red))
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legend(order(1 "95% CI") size(small) row(1) region(color(none))) xlabel(1850(5)1865) graphregion(color(white) ifcolor(white) ilcolor(white) fcolor(white)) saving(Results\Yearly1_All0_pc, replace) title(D. Unweighted connections per capita, size(medsmall)))
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restore
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gr combine Results\Yearly1_All0_invdist.gph Results\Yearly1_All0.gph Results\Yearly1_All0_invdist_pc.gph Results\Yearly1_All0_pc.gph , row(2) ysize(18) xsize(15) graphregion(color(white) ifcolor(white) ilcolor(white) fcolor(white))
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graph export Results\Figure_4.png, replace
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