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515918 | Will 'Emilia Pérez' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay? | 0x2af2dfa9972db569bce25abdcd1d3dcc3434797fc3c9008087244a5b6275a25a | will-emilia-perez-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-screenplay | 2025-01-05T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T23:45:51.539661Z | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacques Audiard wins the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture for 'Emilia Pérez'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 10228.29803 | true | true | 2024-12-17T21:30:34.56972Z | 2025-01-07T04:45:22.022448Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Emilia Pérez | 0 | 0x9752c4fe5936ceaf6b328637982d843467d84c788737a121841171d285d54d00 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 10,228.29803 | null | 2025-01-05 | 2024-12-17 | true | null | ["97889521306007805437283866293825674013161566664906733430715677124611830021345", "101385526377921899645201366053896259392888051691798309775931995239903334738020"] | 500 | 5 | null | 10,228.29803 | null | false | true | [
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515917 | Will Tottenham and Liverpool combine for 4 or more goals? | 0x61e8df698a1853292c74ae06f65f24f22021191816717db840b443b24ad8234b | will-tottenham-and-liverpool-combine-for-4-or-more-goals | 2024-12-22T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-19T23:25:49.192493Z | This market refers to the EPL match between Tottenham and Liverpool scheduled for December 22, 2024, at 11:30 AM ET.
If the combined total goals scored by Tottenham and Liverpool in this game is 4 or more, this market will resolve to “Over.” If it is less than 4, this market will resolve to “Under.”
If this game is postponed after December 29, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the English Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | ["Over", "Under"] | ["1", "0"] | 835.514034 | true | true | 2024-12-17T21:28:58.280897Z | 2024-12-23T17:15:43.917742Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | TOT-LIV O/U 3.5 | 9 | 0x0084e9fa1496b5cb8b4ab24d53899a01c8f414717c5f88fe9da766fbcb669ade | true | 0.001 | 5 | 835.514034 | null | 2024-12-22 | 2024-12-19 | true | null | ["96426536528543560888312639666767995409792510544107659487412900234641100617671", "82568786372529397575615175992263513373281825776963411645201117090277473911865"] | 500 | 5 | null | 835.514034 | null | false | false | [
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515916 | Will Fulham and Southampton combine for 4 or more goals? | 0xb930a8f21038edd413bd062108576ae351884302b967f57bd00ce3288a3e9575 | will-fulham-and-southampton-combine-for-4-or-more-goals | 2024-12-22T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-19T23:25:43.091532Z | This market refers to the EPL match between Fulham and Southampton scheduled for December 22, 2024, at 9:00 AM ET.
If the combined total goals scored by Fulham and Southampton in this game is 4 or more, this market will resolve to “Over.” If it is less than 4, this market will resolve to “Under.”
If this game is postponed after December 29, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the English Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | ["Over", "Under"] | ["0", "1"] | 3248.555554 | true | true | 2024-12-17T21:27:19.722325Z | 2024-12-23T15:13:34.810119Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | FUL-SOU O/U 3.5 | 8 | 0xe3c8dd157ba045f1bf09653a17ab1beb65acfa13941bd0c8954deae325d349f6 | true | 0.01 | 5 | 3,248.555554 | null | 2024-12-22 | 2024-12-19 | true | null | ["21585980167134857506994457064714447775036211124333523883863514719135224255997", "32845516281524994078322419460804099969900608710186396713884679693161158877332"] | 500 | 5 | null | 3,248.555554 | null | false | false | [
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515915 | Will Leicester City and Wolverhampton combine for 3 or more goals? | 0x493478baee7b9d73fd40f780cef8e9af2110e809a4631a7b78d33028cc224765 | will-leicester-city-and-wolverhampton-combine-for-3-or-more-goals | 2024-12-22T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-19T23:25:33.047118Z | This market refers to the EPL match between Leicester City and Wolverhampton scheduled for December 22, 2024, at 9:00 AM ET.
If the combined total goals scored by Leicester City and Wolverhampton in this game is 3 or more, this market will resolve to “Over.” If it is less than 3, this market will resolve to “Under.”
If this game is postponed after December 29, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the English Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | ["Over", "Under"] | ["1", "0"] | 3733.898304 | true | true | 2024-12-17T21:26:23.724785Z | 2024-12-23T13:23:42.581795Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | LEI-WOL O/U 2.5 | 7 | 0x4f07b2d77f1c0c6ccaf3bfadbccb4f7022b7d834b1277ef78088e90667c978d4 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 3,733.898304 | null | 2024-12-22 | 2024-12-19 | true | null | ["36930993669324639097658019562097054114082779737215114883986477759709129127570", "25475791650755563300028509648066660249407757337754132051197834986773119192804"] | 500 | 5 | null | 3,733.898304 | null | false | false | [
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515914 | Will Manchester United and Bournemouth combine for 3 or more goals? | 0xbfb839ad4c5d94185a1a896f2a1cd9da90b1abc1832e7450646a75164a67bc1d | will-manchester-united-and-bournemouth-combine-for-3-or-more-goals | 2024-12-22T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-19T23:24:44.714995Z | This market refers to the EPL match between Manchester United and Bournemouth scheduled for December 22, 2024, at 9:00 AM ET.
If the combined total goals scored by Manchester United and Bournemouth in this game is 3 or more, this market will resolve to “Over.” If it is less than 3, this market will resolve to “Under.”
If this game is postponed after December 29, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the English Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | ["Over", "Under"] | ["1", "0"] | 122905.809521 | true | true | 2024-12-17T21:25:48.765705Z | 2024-12-23T15:11:40.6867Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | MUN-BOU O/U 2.5 | 6 | 0x973c217109c273b23c2de6808c2d78ec0a521903893c49e3a5523a87ccb6f220 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 122,905.809521 | null | 2024-12-22 | 2024-12-19 | true | null | ["45451487126589068177984714492514982653597427632920279461335990445841227829222", "43398897839808659982423725788651764070405685622535156095175578003970393892931"] | 500 | 5 | null | 122,905.809521 | null | false | false | [
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515913 | Will Everton and Chelsea combine for 3 or more goals? | 0x7823c6b230bc57323562af8c3e1b62642ff22e834ef4754045e60e0ca3b326ca | will-everton-and-chelsea-combine-for-3-or-more-goals | 2024-12-22T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-19T23:24:33.420069Z | This market refers to the EPL match between Everton and Chelsea scheduled for December 22, 2024, at 9:00 AM ET.
If the combined total goals scored by Everton and Chelsea in this game is 3 or more, this market will resolve to “Over.” If it is less than 3, this market will resolve to “Under.”
If this game is postponed after December 29, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
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515912 | Will Crystal Palace and Arsenal combine for 3 or more goals? | 0x6e6aee1cc8e211621b2247330eeed43edfe54ac9701215557ae8abd972b16946 | will-crystal-palace-and-arsenal-combine-for-3-or-more-goals | 2024-12-21T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-19T23:24:14.367347Z | This market refers to the EPL match between Crystal Palace and Arsenal scheduled for December 21, 2024, at 12:30 PM ET.
If the combined total goals scored by Crystal Palace and Arsenal in this game is 3 or more, this market will resolve to “Over.” If it is less than 3, this market will resolve to “Under.”
If this game is postponed after December 28, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
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515911 | Will Brentford and Nottingham Forest combine for 3 or more goals? | 0x5a375b7f9978c0ebea0088630007d9e8367f5b6a290dff72678907eff3cba346 | will-brentford-and-nottingham-forest-combine-for-3-or-more-goals | 2024-12-21T12:00:00Z | 0 | 2024-12-19T23:21:38.438945Z | This market refers to the EPL match between Brentford and Nottingham Forest scheduled for December 21, 2024, at 10:00 AM ET.
If the combined total goals scored by Brentford and Nottingham Forest in this game is 3 or more, this market will resolve to “Over.” If it is less than 3, this market will resolve to “Under.”
If this game is postponed after December 28, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
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515910 | Will Ipswich Town and Newcastle combine for 3 or more goals? | 0x89194bcb770da1773e77594dfb9a8401421c75cb715fc18521feaa382592d373 | will-ipswich-town-and-newcastle-combine-for-3-or-more-goals | 2024-12-21T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-19T23:21:03.659705Z | This market refers to the EPL match between Ipswich Town and Newcastle scheduled for December 21, 2024, at 10:00 AM ET.
If the combined total goals scored by Ipswich Town and Newcastle in this game is 3 or more, this market will resolve to “Over.” If it is less than 3, this market will resolve to “Under.”
If this game is postponed after December 28, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
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515909 | Will West Ham and Brighton combine for 4 or more goals? | 0x0272297e03589149ac873ee49f8f048f8c4325b6bfcbb7ae9b485bb6ce85317d | will-west-ham-and-brighton-combine-for-4-or-more-goals | 2024-12-21T12:00:00Z | 0 | 2024-12-19T23:19:58.788507Z | This market refers to the EPL match between West Ham and Brighton scheduled for December 21, 2024, at 10:00 AM ET.
If the combined total goals scored by West Ham and Brighton in this game is 4 or more, this market will resolve to “Over.” If it is less than 4, this market will resolve to “Under.”
If this game is postponed after December 28, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
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515908 | Will the SPD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? | 0x8958c6464359ba927b09a2f03663a6f450e2f1eeae66edadc697a541d73bd458 | will-the-spd-win-over-30-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | 0 | 2024-12-17T22:20:21.224Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the SPD (Social Democratic Party, Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands) wins over 30% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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515907 | Will the SPD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? | 0x00fe5e24e1834a4bd5d59bae32530eb6c158ed4c0898c4aaf95b488ca94dafca | will-the-spd-win-25-30-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | 0 | 2024-12-17T22:19:35.379Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
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515906 | Will the SPD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election? | 0xe757b6797d77a6fcf69a2f749fd6601bd0456135aaff422af9a2a8b3cd3f1af9 | will-the-spd-win-20-25-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | 0 | 2024-12-17T22:19:11.453Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the SPD (Social Democratic Party, Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands) wins between 20% (inclusive) and 25% (exclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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515905 | Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election? | 0xf8ba3e5e0f4b9900c243b345bdde8b36af746ed856ec284c8960f8127acd443b | will-the-spd-win-15-20-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T22:18:46.669Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the SPD (Social Democratic Party, Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands) wins between 15% (inclusive) and 20% (exclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
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515904 | Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election? | 0x357043edb1b4b1fec761988ab39c52b303ecd1912737162cd2d0987fa30f7f69 | will-the-spd-win-10-15-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T22:18:26.606Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the SPD (Social Democratic Party, Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands) wins between 10% (inclusive) and 15% (exclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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515902 | Will the SPD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election? | 0xedc56fb59317a5c23cbf8277f137bcad8c36defdbb25bf69b0cd2ecd610d3b34 | will-the-spd-win-less-than-10-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T22:17:57.623Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the SPD (Social Democratic Party, Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands) wins less than 10% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
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515901 | Will Sebastian Stan win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy? | 0xd85e7aa2b78dda2d1d106cb5afb8980c158216c039859e4888b5fd417ca22810 | will-sebastian-stan-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actor-in-a-movie-musical-or-comedy | 2025-01-05T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T23:48:05.695059Z | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sebastian Stan wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 6543.183211 | true | true | 2024-12-17T21:03:24.330058Z | 2025-01-07T03:01:18.481889Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Sebastian Stan | 5 | 0xbeaa92f6e7b1a31cc85297c5c1480ca0bd625beac094f805d30472bf7e019605 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 6,543.183211 | null | 2025-01-05 | 2024-12-17 | true | null | ["40884725426618930526664804422983831871087521126455428660512816204505471814349", "10895645842434770897331488847486422776697112580697872846707523455885047143326"] | 500 | 5 | null | 6,543.183211 | null | false | true | [
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515900 | Will Glen Powell win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy? | 0x7cfd7073f36aaa2ee0735df855236d9f7cd884cd8240e25419c5fe297a1fe392 | will-glen-powell-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actor-in-a-movie-musical-or-comedy | 2025-01-05T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T23:47:32.778161Z | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Glen Powell wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
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515899 | Will Jesse Plemons win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy? | 0x09e64f186ef668a4d387dd4ce95937a51e822cc9c62ad88315218dd5260e7c09 | will-jesse-plemons-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actor-in-a-movie-musical-or-comedy | 2025-01-05T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T23:47:06.501152Z | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jesse Plemons wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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515898 | Will Gabriel Labelle win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy? | 0xfc7f74194ea281ec72b225332fac0f32ec522b4ff34961cc6457b1d4ee09c52d | will-gabriel-labelle-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actor-in-a-movie-musical-or-comedy | 2025-01-05T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T23:46:40.844192Z | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gabriel Labelle wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
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515897 | Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election? | 0x5f060d4e55f2bff3b50212beb080beaf6623e440b096aa60301d49b61cf82cfb | will-the-afd-win-15-20-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-18T15:06:47.402371Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Alternative for Germany (AfD, Alternative für Deutschland) wins between 15% (inclusive) and 20% (exclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
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515896 | Will Hugh Grant win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy? | 0x715bf5a90123903c29e53b99583c395f09411c1269a01e33cece14ca885d1c2b | will-hugh-grant-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actor-in-a-movie-musical-or-comedy | 2025-01-05T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T23:46:10.885079Z | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hugh Grant wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
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515895 | Will Jesse Eisenberg win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy? | 0xb86397510b6c712164e9c6a9f1bc73048420ae3398625f1c35e9aebbe6c03d24 | will-jesse-eisenberg-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actor-in-a-movie-musical-or-comedy | 2025-01-05T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T23:45:41.3829Z | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jesse Eisenberg wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
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515893 | Will the CDU/CSU win over 40% of the vote in the German election? | 0x5f355694a819f00737086a77dc017a1c1cfe99aa93ec6c7a98013536817dea09 | will-the-cducsu-win-over-40-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | 0 | 2024-12-17T22:25:36.101Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins over 40% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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515892 | Will Kate Winslet win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama? | 0x8abe5a0cd6ea465fbb94bec604064973f087e1605dbf69cb855212faaafe1d2e | will-kate-winslet-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actress-in-a-movie-drama | 2025-01-05T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-18T15:08:59.115855Z | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kate Winslet wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
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515891 | Will Fernanda Torres win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama? | 0x16b0d5206a4a5c29557e3e68df16e522b66839840f286e164b6c136ca801e6eb | will-fernanda-torres-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actress-in-a-movie-drama | 2025-01-05T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-18T15:08:14.158943Z | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernanda Torres wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
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515890 | Will the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election? | 0xaf7a655001050f0931f2921137980d0e5223b5751814c270b72617ab9a508c53 | will-the-cducsu-win-35-40-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | 0 | 2024-12-17T22:25:16.916Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
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515889 | Will Tilda Swinton win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama? | 0xd0d0f3d377d407c10826f28a107e9cb1f2822ad88bc3825a4605b20af46c9bf9 | will-tilda-swinton-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actress-in-a-movie-drama | 2025-01-05T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-18T15:07:33.938466Z | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tilda Swinton wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
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515888 | Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election? | 0xa71e9fe445379ccfc4404edc5c215e4c9ab4175ef439b746fcb50b5910ccdde6 | will-the-cducsu-win-30-35-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | 0 | 2024-12-17T22:25:10.947Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
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515887 | Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? | 0x1abfefcba4018fa013e432fae84277c8add5fc85181c32880331313bd7b3217f | will-the-cducsu-win-25-30-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T22:24:44.89Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins between 25% (inclusive) and 30% (exclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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515886 | Will Nicole Kidman win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama? | 0x7031a7f65a72585b0951f0c8f4d0d18b9f6ff8e95e51df4898b9aed356bc74bd | will-nicole-kidman-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actress-in-a-movie-drama | 2025-01-05T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-18T15:06:44.29367Z | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicole Kidman wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
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515885 | Will the CDU/CSU win 20-25% of the vote in the German election? | 0xe513c27e266f08d04a617053118f20b8311c898791b96beeac4aab6a1da08ded | will-the-cducsu-win-20-25-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T22:23:55.726Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins between 20% (inclusive) and 25% (exclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 487626.693909 | true | true | 2024-12-17T20:32:32.678815Z | 2025-03-15T14:01:09.866946Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | 20-25% | 1 | 0xa7f2c639af84b7c204a1c45883a2b99a40ff20cbd6c9a4dcbf9748301646c101 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 487,626.693909 | null | 2025-02-23 | 2024-12-17 | true | null | ["26120444290964706488160066797443853834468466115231097020731408989237679492087", "50156904511578169833143188999600784558041726347150692614170720263147866792250"] | 500 | 5 | null | 487,626.693909 | null | false | true | [
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515884 | Will Angelina Jolie win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama? | 0xc70df3aba401a9b71c3d8db01a5f58de9e223f14d051bd969de782d799431589 | will-angelina-jolie-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actress-in-a-movie-drama | 2025-01-05T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-18T15:06:09.013086Z | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Angelina Jolie wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
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515883 | Will Pamela Anderson win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama? | 0xf27dcca81e37ea0eb907e350be7048cae41dc52b982c7c87e58ebbf0480a67dd | will-pamela-anderson-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-actress-in-a-movie-drama | 2025-01-05T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-18T15:05:09.629578Z | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pamela Anderson wins the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
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515882 | Will the CDU/CSU win less than 20% of the vote in the German election? | 0xc8472d3fe5ec8928bcb66d15f47ee5bfa6c6893b63d3d16c3db63ae216fb7214 | will-the-cducsu-win-less-than-20-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T22:22:45.918Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins less than 20% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For the purpose of this mark The CDU and CSU (often referred to as Union (Unionsparteien)) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/). | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 875512.281976 | true | true | 2024-12-17T20:28:55.809808Z | 2025-03-15T15:51:14.911882Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | <20% | 0 | 0xa7f2c639af84b7c204a1c45883a2b99a40ff20cbd6c9a4dcbf9748301646c100 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 875,512.281976 | null | 2025-02-23 | 2024-12-17 | true | null | ["51786217610281831572987551310405743607270154687020903790582919843616780378619", "90407962660757728860119553934200985228753324921564668858980337806745858367861"] | 500 | 5 | null | 875,512.281976 | null | false | true | [
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515881 | No Opensea token launch by July? | 0xd3f0be74acc5c8e56ef533e686f6088df52a8cf0659709daf0e61c3334eee367 | no-opensea-token-launch-by-july | 2025-06-30T12:00:00Z | 1139.20332 | 2024-12-20T19:13:56.648Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is no token launched by Opensea before June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.
“1 day after launch” is defined as 24 hours after launch.
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515880 | Opensea token market cap (FDV) $10-15b one day after launch? | 0x381922105840bed2d9a4851f0c1bd0ae6343a3d1addc25f01ec34bef581cf320 | opensea-token-market-cap-fdv-10-15b-one-day-after-launch | 2025-06-30T12:00:00Z | 5169.86103 | 2024-12-20T19:12:02.133399Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea’s token is between $10,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $15,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.
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515879 | Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? | 0xd68f141aff610df79e579ad93c223cd1771d69ab0a42d33ce5013bbbe7a43934 | will-the-afd-win-over-30-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-18T15:09:08.217934Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Alternative for Germany (AfD, Alternative für Deutschland) wins over 30% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
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515878 | Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? | 0xaf1a2b4ccf8b92efc3710b5d3bb263aa28c9ecf4858abb6c73047c1c0d7b9416 | will-the-afd-win-25-30-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-18T15:08:22.320288Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Alternative for Germany (AfD, Alternative für Deutschland) wins between 25% (inclusive) and 30% (inclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
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515877 | Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election? | 0x546ec332d630a9cd6f2d93d132d2f38b860dd54d682213bb84fd45938e56b292 | will-the-afd-win-20-25-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-18T15:07:27.996846Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Alternative for Germany (AfD, Alternative für Deutschland) wins between 20% (inclusive) and 25% (exclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
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515876 | Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election? | 0x8d762b96d3a92f61823a593e64ec6cd2287f4671a25a1a4824961d5ba8bcf5a0 | will-the-afd-win-10-15-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | 0 | 2024-12-18T15:06:03.925373Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Alternative for Germany (AfD, Alternative für Deutschland) wins between 10% (inclusive) and 15% (exclusive) of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
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515875 | Opensea token market cap (FDV) $15b or more one day after launch? | 0x4234768b3ad78225ec4cacf078a98044a880d1f0abf51997f22da9670b4a95e4 | opensea-token-market-cap-fdv-15b-or-more-one-day-after-launch | 2025-06-30T12:00:00Z | 2943.54342 | 2024-12-20T19:12:42.116181Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is $15,000,000,000 or more 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.0225", "0.9775"] | 22501.474209 | true | false | 2024-12-17T20:17:22.686037Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:12.133434Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | $15b or more | 5 | 0x6f05ff4769beff2af195b3fcffe66d866e657764abeddef922fc38e4547e9605 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 22,501.474209 | 2,943.54342 | 2025-06-30 | 2024-12-20 | true | 176.19 | ["72375651682148507045143578263637504001060912329175661527357645790221696571314", "73174005964727253088253639382577689462665540891931226338645962800718025375512"] | 500 | 5 | 176.19 | 22,501.474209 | 2,943.54342 | true | true | [
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515874 | Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election? | 0xd9ce9f9f9b9c193c06b8fbab9284a3b5de28570ba21333df27138c60af1ce24a | will-the-afd-win-less-than-10-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-18T15:05:13.562848Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Alternative for Germany (AfD, Alternative für Deutschland) wins less than 10% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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515873 | Opensea token market cap (FDV) $5-10b one day after launch? | 0x86adafdc23ecb61fd589bb43490a9d4eae3244eef6f439fa44960dc210f7f921 | opensea-token-market-cap-fdv-5-10b-one-day-after-launch | 2025-06-30T12:00:00Z | 2985.7128 | 2024-12-20T19:11:26.517969Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea’s token is between $5,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $10,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.
“1 day after launch” is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn’t launch a token by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.07", "0.93"] | 11867.131368 | true | false | 2024-12-17T20:16:37.035892Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:11.43854Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | $5-10b | 3 | 0x6f05ff4769beff2af195b3fcffe66d866e657764abeddef922fc38e4547e9603 | true | 0.01 | 5 | 11,867.131368 | 2,985.7128 | 2025-06-30 | 2024-12-20 | true | 112 | ["73369782998798116415956476716051875073266449120823992114960740493649500699588", "60564333084270268419068456947710244317350561923121656910180217711393510393538"] | 500 | 5 | 112 | 11,867.131368 | 2,985.7128 | true | true | [
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515872 | Opensea token market cap (FDV) $3-5b one day after launch? | 0xfa8e4f85f259383cae287437168cbaa420dacce32d8add8753f0a8f8d7010db2 | opensea-token-market-cap-fdv-3-5b-one-day-after-launch | 2025-06-30T12:00:00Z | 2842.7119 | 2024-12-20T19:10:51.206665Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea’s token is between $3,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $5,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.
“1 day after launch” is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn’t launch a token by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.09", "0.91"] | 9742.729745 | true | false | 2024-12-17T20:15:56.752065Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:13.189363Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | $3-5b | 2 | 0x6f05ff4769beff2af195b3fcffe66d866e657764abeddef922fc38e4547e9602 | true | 0.01 | 5 | 9,742.729745 | 2,842.7119 | 2025-06-30 | 2024-12-20 | true | null | ["101701869555759104048141194901954097889097209361399580619268549404112484654436", "22621155776713466846000909410007444697052493647442110585845326016362384240945"] | 500 | 5 | null | 9,742.729745 | 2,842.7119 | true | true | [
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515871 | Opensea token market cap (FDV) $1-3b one day after launch? | 0x9c9855ddeaeea7ae6ce91b3db6a7a500cab0ae58a1e6100196dc13b4b4ae136d | opensea-token-market-cap-fdv-1-3b-one-day-after-launch | 2025-06-30T12:00:00Z | 7064.2079 | 2024-12-20T19:10:02.470567Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea’s token is between $1,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $3,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.
“1 day after launch” is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn’t launch a token by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.145", "0.855"] | 75327.537361 | true | false | 2024-12-17T20:14:04.266469Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:12.117792Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | $1-3b | 1 | 0x6f05ff4769beff2af195b3fcffe66d866e657764abeddef922fc38e4547e9601 | true | 0.01 | 5 | 75,327.537361 | 7,064.2079 | 2025-06-30 | 2024-12-20 | true | null | ["107354172938536702926120844354747137776515652509202019262948515606397352349877", "57189972743014929246333847777319265565876625474823298526963611344522596196296"] | 500 | 5 | null | 75,327.537361 | 7,064.2079 | true | true | [
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515870 | OpenSea token market cap (FDV) <$1B one day after launch? | 0xa6ab4ae96dbf906234e4f43542e81a6d078cefe6c09175f26f42d49914a638fb | opensea-token-market-cap-fdv-1b-one-day-after-launch | 2025-06-30T12:00:00Z | 11059.8056 | 2024-12-20T19:09:46.500621Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is less than $1,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.12", "0.88"] | 49694.021116 | true | false | 2024-12-17T20:06:24.000448Z | 2025-03-18T01:22:40.87375Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | <$1b | 0 | 0x6f05ff4769beff2af195b3fcffe66d866e657764abeddef922fc38e4547e9600 | true | 0.01 | 5 | 49,694.021116 | 11,059.8056 | 2025-06-30 | 2024-12-20 | true | null | ["5746238275603596060800988729798183835027331528817204339880896927785338933930", "5313693860384247355418977139283465956116716140631538428061566291497090457763"] | 500 | 5 | null | 49,694.021116 | 11,059.8056 | true | true | [
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515868 | Trudeau resigns before February? | 0x2525dfdd231169ed70088da9649041546c44fa1004fcbee1128334bff8f3edfd | trudeau-resigns-before-february | 2025-01-31T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T19:41:25.078332Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning as Prime Minister of Canada or otherwise ceases to be Prime Minister of Canada for any length of time between December 16, 2024 and January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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515867 | Litecoin ETF approved by July 31? | 0xc34088962ec599eac20aa670acffeb7f983e4b42b61f37a68e7586afc90964e6 | litecoin-etf-approved-by-july-31-2025 | 2025-07-31T12:00:00Z | 4168.8643 | 2024-12-17T19:14:08.272Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any spot Litecoin ETF receives approval from the SEC by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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515866 | Will another party win the second most seats in the next German election? | 0xf1add3bfd3810102a76d4bf68ca09ab7a2c82dc299caef3f88ce4818d5668b8e | will-another-party-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-18T15:10:23.242852Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any party other than SPD, CDU/CSU, AfD, Greens, FDP, or BSW wins the second most seats of any party in the Bundestag (Germany's lower house) as a result of the next German parliamentary election.
If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes".
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the second most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won an individual party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the final total number of seats won by each party, including any overhang mandates (Überhangmandate) and balancing mandates (Ausgleichsmandate), as reflected in the official results.
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Note: The CDU and CSU will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 2551038.035913 | true | true | 2024-12-17T19:08:22.67198Z | 2025-02-24T18:26:23.153269Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Other | 6 | 0x307e24aca797acccdb07a313ac08c8e86fe579c160a6e4df8774bcb35f3f3c06 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 2,551,038.035913 | null | 2025-02-23 | 2024-12-18 | true | null | ["29503064913141151274083915712254986901383149844748875039299724297850911661581", "53948401502870868536955657480693386198637714248160193693340753919585655367432"] | 500 | 5 | null | 2,551,038.035913 | null | false | true | [
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515864 | Will BSW win the second most seats in the next German election? | 0x557da4819e732f2d2d4a7fb469bca4bd8be40b2a9782b5e2c8ae2a4c17a0bf72 | will-bsw-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | 0 | 2024-12-18T15:08:32.023893Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance – Reason and Justice (BSW, Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht – Vernunft und Gerechtigkeit) wins the second most seats of any party in the Bundestag (Germany's lower house) as a result of the next German parliamentary election.
If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".
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Note: The CDU and CSU will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 8068149.044278 | true | true | 2024-12-17T19:05:17.80121Z | 2025-02-24T13:34:59.934985Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | BSW | 4 | 0x307e24aca797acccdb07a313ac08c8e86fe579c160a6e4df8774bcb35f3f3c04 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 8,068,149.044278 | 0 | 2025-02-23 | 2024-12-18 | true | null | ["32720830920421547390732920082139358370001908699997213312626268118489112493986", "41994875558898820355656455251265376497233390017494818315583491688943081550812"] | 500 | 5 | null | 8,068,149.044278 | 0 | false | true | [
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515863 | Will the Greens win the second most seats in the next German election? | 0x1eaf199539629acaedafc165a72d556757babf5f896bd1fce1c9b2247e9f94fc | will-the-greens-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-18T15:07:27.993644Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alliance 90/The Greens (Bündnis 90/Die Grünen) wins the second most seats of any party in the Bundestag (Germany's lower house) as a result of the next German parliamentary election.
If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the second most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
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515862 | Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election? | 0xb7faecd2db357e4634fe87ef9bb48b4e1305cd618276d730b73190662fe6bafd | will-afd-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-18T15:06:44.296796Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Alternative for Germany (AfD, Alternative für Deutschland) wins the second most seats of any party in the Bundestag (Germany's lower house) as a result of the next German parliamentary election.
If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".
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515861 | Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election? | 0x4411688b128d9652bbad80a99ad722b63e47b4cabd0982f42510971744587c06 | will-spd-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-18T15:05:54.760737Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SPD (Social Democratic Party, Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands) wins the second most seats of any party in the Bundestag (Germany's lower house) as a result of the next German parliamentary election.
If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".
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515860 | Will Aston Villa and Manchester City combine for 3 or more goals? | 0x707a383889995ee2725bbf6055bef177bc7feed236c6d423aac299804d53fd80 | will-aston-villa-and-manchester-city-combine-for-3-or-more-goals | 2024-12-21T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-19T23:19:07.734751Z | This market refers to the EPL match between the Aston Villa and the Manchester City scheduled for December 21, 2024, at 7:30 AM ET.
If the combined total goals scored by Aston Villa and the Manchester City in this game is 3 or more, this market will resolve to “Over.” If it is less than 3, this market will resolve to “Under.”
If this game is postponed after December 28, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the English Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | ["Over", "Under"] | ["1", "0"] | 211.768366 | true | true | 2024-12-17T19:01:10.168662Z | 2024-12-22T13:43:40.569603Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | AVL-MCI O/U 2.5 | 0 | 0x28ae38728cdbba0159e9f3cb67e707508ac7649a2061ee974fbabb37cbabe326 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 211.768366 | null | 2024-12-21 | 2024-12-19 | true | null | ["69010153398899247245171128957680550325353235751846515060409337985534594216488", "112993922966030754542756209280548168533049136839125513118222859948293532247306"] | 500 | 5 | null | 211.768366 | null | false | false | [
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515859 | Will CDU/CSU win the second most seats in the next German election? | 0x59de7d7484f77cefa3f1ad25c1638222db44b927e85c3e324ea0c45594695600 | will-cducsu-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-german-election | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-18T15:05:17.322Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Union (Unionsparteien) or CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) wins the second most seats of any party in the Bundestag (Germany's lower house) as a result of the next German parliamentary election.
If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the second most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the final total number of seats won by each party, including any overhang mandates (Überhangmandate) and balancing mandates (Ausgleichsmandate), as reflected in the official results.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
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515858 | Will Trump privatize USPS in first 100 days? | 0x003cbafa0f05f6b5aae1b50144107d8f3478cef8f28488c78746d5dda182489f | will-trump-privatize-usps-in-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T12:00:00Z | 10364.53977 | 2024-12-17T18:31:43.560152Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that has the effect of privatizing the United States Postal Service (USPS) by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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515857 | Another Trudeau cabinet resignation by Friday? | 0xe82935ec77a6bb034a6c80459bd6cdb9998b8332d159a8947ed5eda35a832da5 | another-trudeau-cabinet-resignation-by-friday | 2024-12-20T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T17:54:12.292Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member of Justin Trudeau's cabinet announces they are resigning from their position or otherwise resigns from their position between December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and December 20, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Justin Trudeau or the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 36853.162597 | true | true | 2024-12-17T17:46:47.795269Z | 2024-12-22T07:21:41.787175Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0xe89847f48c092f6a0814678f46351fd93e3b54368c8b40916295ce2c4b177234 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 36,853.162597 | null | 2024-12-20 | 2024-12-17 | true | null | ["61406347024007648415503720901718438423343597765789669375566038930919688270403", "55381850906343597923004621494446704018808988459287928738698792864435547687270"] | 500 | 5 | null | 36,853.162597 | null | false | false | [
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515856 | Will Bobby Portis win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year? | 0x9b063963d2ae120f91dff588f763050c4eef52d5892370da38da7f22d524ecbb | will-bobby-portis-win-2024-25-nba-6th-man-of-the-year | 2025-05-31T12:00:00Z | 9743.07021 | 2024-12-17T18:58:24.053809Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bobby Portis is awarded the 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
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The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.0015", "0.9985"] | 1140627.837009 | true | false | 2024-12-17T17:40:51.034403Z | 2025-03-18T01:24:05.01147Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Bobby Portis | 4 | 0x2030b239e21c3db5799a0da7392e94c263a7d2a6abe4b95fe720acb6ac03ff04 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 1,140,627.837009 | 9,743.07021 | 2025-05-31 | 2024-12-17 | true | 24.26 | ["55253022759650646550913092515714154301790240836300546154081511988107873001501", "102295422123605400274299490411373752128360976206607010197956210735626661720125"] | 500 | 5 | 24.26 | 1,140,627.837009 | 9,743.07021 | true | true | [
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515855 | Will Malik Beasley win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year? | 0xe99cff3cb3b148eae70e2ae5cbc2bb22b94282fbb7e15199ce831c3f1fa1dc16 | will-malik-beasley-win-2024-25-nba-6th-man-of-the-year | 2025-05-31T12:00:00Z | 1912.89771 | 2024-12-17T18:57:55.037199Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Malik Beasley is awarded the 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
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515854 | Will Moritz Wagner win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year? | 0xccb748a19e82f728d9b64d79f2739c4d1c1a0e403c24bd85eeb7a54dee7d3d40 | will-moritz-wagner-win-2024-25-nba-6th-man-of-the-year | 2025-05-31T12:00:00Z | 8283.86764 | 2024-12-17T18:59:20.246503Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moritz Wagner is awarded the 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
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515853 | Honda and Nissan merger announced before February? | 0x125098fe46aa9aea63a49a4428b960129f9246f97e8b013d1bdc65072f0c65d2 | will-honda-and-nissan-merge | 2025-01-31T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T17:35:32.644Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Nissan Motor will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Honda Motor, or vice versa, by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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515852 | Will another model be the top AI model on December 31? | 0x3e3d61f477848499d6f5d61b3573cabe2ad8547c5957454e4052f8266003fb9d | will-another-model-be-the-top-ai-model-on-december-31 | 2024-12-31T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T18:15:55.725501Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model other than Gemini, ChatGPT, Grok, or Claude model has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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515851 | Will Claude have the top AI model on December 31? | 0xe9adc4dc5fe6a7c2f952918809b10c56076272ff0fd030d0b347cbfc4f2dd27e | will-claude-have-the-top-ai-model-on-december-31 | 2024-12-31T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T18:15:24.268544Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Claude model has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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515850 | Will Grok have the top AI model on December 31? | 0x5d28003556995083ad8f5a09eb6461e8b41c0f6af8d1c2269374e2cc83d8bb80 | will-grok-have-the-top-ai-model-on-december-31 | 2024-12-31T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T18:15:03.419915Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Grok model has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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515849 | Will the Left be part of the next German government? | 0x1497390efc40c84f6cada58ca637b6bd0e501e7f2cfffb97d5ff5371b2e56f11 | will-the-left-be-part-of-the-next-german-government | 2025-06-30T12:00:00Z | 15236.15272 | 2024-12-18T15:13:37.368203Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Left (Die Linke) is a part of the first federal government formed after the 2025 German Parliamentary election scheduled to take place February 23. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no government is formed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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515848 | Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31? | 0xf153eefd52dad93c1675f76c17b3c6b59e67cd5ae2a452a6b9a2d028f5833fc9 | will-chatgpt-have-the-top-ai-model-on-december-31 | 2024-12-31T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T18:14:40.176155Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ChatGPT model has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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515847 | Will the Chargers and Broncos combine for 42 or more points? | 0x465a791a87dc78bda018dc4cc0b3775103ca6bf9870a19790d97bddde88bfa08 | will-the-chargers-and-broncos-combine-for-42-or-more-points | 2024-12-19T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-18T20:26:44.461163Z | This market refers to the NFL matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Denver Broncos scheduled for December 19, 2024, at 8:15 PM ET.
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If this game is postponed after December 26, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
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515846 | Will the Chargers beat the Broncos by 3 or more points? | 0x38d056a2e7fe20a9cb5a378fdda8b5935ec136b72047ea4c64687bd07272b842 | will-the-chargers-beat-the-broncos-by-3-or-more-points-dec-19 | 2024-12-19T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-18T20:26:34.333997Z | This market refers to the NFL matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Denver Broncos scheduled for December 19, 2024, at 8:15 PM ET.
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If this game is postponed after December 26, 2024 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
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515845 | Will FDP be part of the next German government? | 0xdea03876fddd85fb11aa43273da7bb7a0bd71101b55eed734e35d60174fd1bf2 | will-fdp-be-part-of-the-next-german-government | 2025-06-30T12:00:00Z | 28200.08631 | 2024-12-18T15:13:21.232583Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Free Democratic Party (FDP, Freie Demokratische Partei) is a part of the first federal government formed after the 2025 German Parliamentary election scheduled to take place February 23. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no government is formed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcements from the governing coalition, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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515844 | Will BSW be part of the next German government? | 0xa617522831505d1072fec355a8397c857e5570d6eb9156e11226eff9acd3c259 | will-bsw-be-part-of-the-next-german-government | 2025-06-30T12:00:00Z | 37643.34563 | 2024-12-18T15:12:35.735675Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance – Reason and Justice (BSW, Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht – Vernunft und Gerechtigkeit) is a part of the first federal government formed after the 2025 German Parliamentary election scheduled to take place February 23. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no government is formed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcements from the governing coalition, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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515843 | Will the Greens be part of the next German government? | 0xd5140324695c2491442b03c6e7a17910f988b6de5ca55e355f0334c8ec0ef789 | will-the-greens-be-part-of-the-next-german-government | 2025-06-30T12:00:00Z | 11419.75598 | 2024-12-18T15:12:01.591Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alliance 90/The Greens (Bündnis 90/Die Grünen) is a part of the first federal government formed after the 2025 German Parliamentary election scheduled to take place February 23. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no government is formed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcements from the governing coalition, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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515842 | Will the SPD be part of the next German government? | 0xf379802b7062e7054167a393f1bcb7c3eb01b9db56cbe04c63044c54bced14ea | will-the-spd-be-part-of-the-next-german-government | 2025-06-30T12:00:00Z | 26452.47288 | 2024-12-18T15:11:47.493227Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the SPD (Social Democratic Party, Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands) is a part of the first federal government formed after the 2025 German Parliamentary election scheduled to take place February 23. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no government is formed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcements from the governing coalition, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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515841 | Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government? | 0xcda43b8984c7569551729a71eb35d204988dbd1f3a09641db33c2ef529968f72 | will-the-cducsu-be-part-of-the-next-german-government | 2025-06-30T12:00:00Z | 106995.85377 | 2024-12-18T15:11:10.806606Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Union (Unionsparteien) or CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) is a part of the first federal government formed after the 2025 German Parliamentary election scheduled to take place February 23. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no government is formed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcements from the governing coalition, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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515840 | Will the AFD be part of the next German government? | 0xe8545ea6fed1e7cfa2547777ff038fe800002e04d046a03241ac2950558fdf09 | will-the-afd-be-part-of-the-next-german-government | 2025-06-30T12:00:00Z | 224515.01041 | 2024-12-18T15:10:50.983639Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Alternative for Germany (AfD, Alternative für Deutschland) is a part of the first federal government formed after the 2025 German Parliamentary election scheduled to take place February 23. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no government is formed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcements from the governing coalition, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.0185", "0.9815"] | 2406537.609634 | true | false | 2024-12-17T17:15:09.827214Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:22.910713Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | AfD | 0 | 0xb409a471686c8fae52efe9842d9783733c1c16d0779d0b64c61994cff2bf00dd | true | 0.001 | 5 | 2,406,537.609634 | 224,515.01041 | 2025-06-30 | 2024-12-18 | true | 62,652.950197 | ["61576897940572977553980875477583019562526477182886435044689321102389424526990", "110674816854814900005434263947125894325887903830839166309501445357858850215019"] | 500 | 5 | 62,652.950197 | 2,406,537.609634 | 224,515.01041 | true | false | [
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515839 | Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31? | 0xcebed92d00e70d9283100b73927b74ea46a4a0161959e104e80fb0acbec3876c | will-gemini-have-the-top-ai-model-on-december-31 | 2024-12-31T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T18:13:24.368962Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Gemini model has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever model's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, Claude would resolve to "Yes", and "Gemini would resolve to "No")
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515833 | Canada election called before 2025? | 0x1e11820cafc332ec78b258434c568b2ef0be0a91eb0f2d31516ab0d9e69a66ca | canada-election-called-before-2025 | 2024-12-31T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T18:34:43.245395Z | The 45th Canadian federal election is scheduled to take place on October 20, 2025, however federal elections have been called early numerous times in Canada's history, most recently in 2021. Members of the Canadian opposition are calling for a new election as early as December 2024. For more information, see: https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/poilievre-demands-election-before-trump-inauguration
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 20, 2025, by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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515832 | Pudgy Penguin floor price above 25 eth on Friday? | 0x1f34eb8d3807aab07178e5ef11c32b9b6a5889924b86c61559e959d0cfe4e94a | pudgy-penguin-floor-price-above-25-eth-on-friday | https://blur.io/collection/pudgypenguins | 2024-12-20T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T00:18:30.441872Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if on December 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET the PudgyPenguins floor price is greater than 25.0000 ETH. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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515831 | $PENGU market cap (FDV) >$10b one day after launch? | 0x034e00691eb26f6023c35d196e4da700d440e39263957b54ee613b42bac0b9cc | pengu-market-cap-fdv-10b-one-day-after-launch | 2024-12-18T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T01:22:00.911356Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pudgy Penguin’s token ($PENGU) token is greater than $10,000,000,000 one day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pudgy Penguins doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 37843.977049 | true | true | 2024-12-16T23:56:28.794521Z | 2024-12-19T10:23:16.917827Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | >$10b | 6 | 0x95b685ecd504c86f75938e4df013b4d604075a6ef35cef8aadcf488c561b9c06 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 37,843.977049 | null | 2024-12-18 | 2024-12-17 | true | null | ["18339512646452261434884166324269813378889037675218398618252803207699512685316", "34484855202650650768011167495084901674642423668844563852591336491126276979996"] | 500 | 5 | null | 37,843.977049 | null | false | true | [
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515830 | $PENGU market cap (FDV) $8-10b one day after launch? | 0x1120930b3e33361cabc4bc1a39c4506be6c7d25d04cf0c4e14d8573f2a5fe3fb | pengu-market-cap-fdv-8-10b-one-day-after-launch | 2024-12-18T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T01:21:30.73928Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pudgy Penguin’s token ($PENGU) is between $8,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $10,000,000,000 (inclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.
“1 day after launch” is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pudgy Penguins doesn’t launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 24856.148083 | true | true | 2024-12-16T23:55:44.069787Z | 2024-12-19T15:37:13.417428Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | $8-10b | 5 | 0x95b685ecd504c86f75938e4df013b4d604075a6ef35cef8aadcf488c561b9c05 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 24,856.148083 | null | 2024-12-18 | 2024-12-17 | true | null | ["57530261333357601032317509115337495614529437553308400568514233988458358562320", "59892727502407405077500341049228690424286840213060345414772278416939666486506"] | 500 | 5 | null | 24,856.148083 | null | false | true | [
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515829 | $PENGU market cap (FDV) $6-8b one day after launch? | 0x441da32d35e77fa66f3edb6e3c03f13dd1d5e33b8359d25a0c7fc4219c331839 | pengu-market-cap-fdv-6-8b-one-day-after-launch | 2024-12-18T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T01:21:06.766676Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pudgy Penguin’s token ($PENGU) is between $6,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $8,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.
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515828 | $PENGU market cap (FDV) $4-6b one day after launch? | 0x39689d8b174ad92e8cda845b51453a303d7e1f0d74aa02a680a4a92fb93ad7be | pengu-market-cap-fdv-4-6b-one-day-after-launch | 2024-12-18T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T01:20:36.77071Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pudgy Penguin’s token ($PENGU) is between $4,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $6,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.
“1 day after launch” is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pudgy Penguins doesn’t launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 96842.776675 | true | true | 2024-12-16T23:54:55.127136Z | 2024-12-19T17:35:13.479032Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | $4-6b | 3 | 0x95b685ecd504c86f75938e4df013b4d604075a6ef35cef8aadcf488c561b9c03 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 96,842.776675 | null | 2024-12-18 | 2024-12-17 | true | null | ["42380870751227466792977276866667169215348072516857915747169938266549111570308", "6808428220231848820109633937255126923764603763026245184286805649904943735162"] | 500 | 5 | null | 96,842.776675 | null | false | true | [
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515827 | $PENGU market cap (FDV) $2-4b one day after launch? | 0x3a88ec82865be0ccab8839d61774b60790972a551c1ac187949f7bbac693b42e | pengu-market-cap-fdv-2-4b-one-day-after-launch | 2024-12-18T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T01:20:07.46711Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pudgy Penguin’s token ($PENGU) is between $2,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $4,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.
“1 day after launch” is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pudgy Penguins doesn’t launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 92444.586016 | true | true | 2024-12-16T23:54:36.131095Z | 2024-12-19T16:47:18.700893Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | $2-4b | 2 | 0x95b685ecd504c86f75938e4df013b4d604075a6ef35cef8aadcf488c561b9c02 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 92,444.586016 | null | 2024-12-18 | 2024-12-17 | true | null | ["67015949807334172565172225510266621235397432464182194188749151014835646485232", "20131520188489713075915622504258880040592245073807341487327226694550955139319"] | 500 | 5 | null | 92,444.586016 | null | false | true | [
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515826 | $PENGU market cap (FDV) $1-2b one day after launch? | 0x673bd5044033f3cdb77ed823ce2af1a69fb9f6b665919fa79969033600ba8ddc | pengu-market-cap-fdv-1-2b-one-day-after-launch | 2024-12-18T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T01:19:47.869213Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pudgy Penguin’s token ($PENGU) is between $1,000,000,000 (inclusive) and $2,000,000,000 (exclusive) 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pudgy Penguins doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
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515825 | OpenSea airdrop before April? | 0x6a2aded358445dc568f338b5ce74372eb77ae20b44b05200ee3bc4694223090d | opensea-airdrop-before-april | 2025-03-31T12:00:00Z | 19546.05544 | 2024-12-16T23:56:09.872531Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenSea launches a token and performs an airdrop by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the OpenSea team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.012", "0.988"] | 497635.767644 | true | false | 2024-12-16T23:48:36.495097Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:04.028672Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0xa7161fcc3fa926e780fe162fc7c0b67f271a7ca79ab05aeb0d01e0fe755266a4 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 497,635.767644 | 19,546.05544 | 2025-03-31 | 2024-12-16 | true | 1,712.663315 | ["33873379332888426832762046360394166568058584970301753375167296451661416913749", "80699446148535931125368776125708033079088810394704162296218025094498882140777"] | 500 | 5 | 1,712.663315 | 497,635.767644 | 19,546.05544 | true | false | [
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515824 | $PENGU market cap (FDV) <$1b one day after launch? | 0x6dab006adcf28d0f7ba4cbac4fbe95b8a139761453ec12cca698eecb8dd12ba1 | pengu-market-cap-fdv-1b-one-day-after-launch | 2024-12-18T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T01:19:11.049591Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pudgy Penguin’s token ($PENGU) token is less than $1,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
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515823 | Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr? | 0x30e19926d2527737d65fc2f63de20f2c1e37d63c00f801ac5ce527f043c47cca | bernie-sanders-votes-to-confirm-rfk | 2025-06-30T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-16T23:55:41.895Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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515822 | Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard? | 0xb8652114aba10ac01aa093e4135a070072a80908f0a0a7f0d6587fbfe55ad6c1 | bernie-sanders-votes-to-confirm-tulsi-gabbard | 2025-06-30T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T00:00:56.399Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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Announcements from Bernie Sanders that he will vote for Gabbard will not qualify. Only an affirmative vote will count.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the U.S. senate, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 2218317.120281 | true | true | 2024-12-16T23:38:41.213065Z | 2025-02-13T19:22:17.310132Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | Bernie Sanders | 1 | 0xa4216eff607460b7a6c8c7fe4644999cd5b33eb601092a0983f09e35e3656c36 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 2,218,317.120281 | null | 2025-06-30 | 2024-12-17 | true | null | ["37134952249086393410356832132828950471013698592502736226079489967102517769515", "72289382839101675931860584898352087343736989682081648385734537949068276283242"] | 500 | 5 | null | 2,218,317.120281 | null | false | false | [
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515821 | Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20? | 0xa9f2fb30f552eb33e0c9a078c26013a23955b33d3e64dc553d385328eadcab3e | total-crypto-market-cap-4-trillion-on-jan-20 | 2025-01-20T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T00:01:35.933Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total crypto market cap is $4 trillion or greater on January 20, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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515820 | Trump positive favorability on inauguration day? | 0x410d3f61c9fce0416820230d07a9d2242282e18906b3564ffec917e7621c0d1b | donald-trump-positive-favorability-on-inauguration-day | 2025-01-20T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-17T00:04:26.919Z | This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s favorable rating by FiveThirtyEight is higher than his unfavorable rating on January 20, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Trump’s favorable rating must be higher than his unfavorable rating, ties will not qualify.
The favorability rating for Jan 20 will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for Jan 20 remains unavailable, the nearest previous favorability will be used.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/, specifically the favorability rating indicated by the purple "favorable", and the orange “unfavorable” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between favorable and unfavorable ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered.
Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after January 20, 2025 is published. If no such data point is available by January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recent data point prior to January 20, 2025.
Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
| ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 327610.198338 | true | true | 2024-12-16T23:32:07.813847Z | 2025-02-01T01:14:32.493375Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0xf05fd4b181c6171887af71edf85fab03237e6c85c25bf1953aee61d224344f13 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 327,610.198338 | null | 2025-01-20 | 2024-12-17 | true | null | ["80569437326045922051708705334680743213654657184467121223927418932659272262265", "107763618103628775052882259855597016232572071377247019694050421324392662778918"] | 500 | 5 | null | 327,610.198338 | null | false | false | [
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515819 | States call a Constitutional Convention before July? | 0xfc7fae1933fbb4a701d47b0edaeedb1e2f5a7c9c4d1e06fe6b24b37c4af194ad | states-call-constitutional-convention-called-before-july | 2025-06-30T12:00:00Z | 6542.3652 | 2024-12-16T23:39:55.055Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if 2/3 of state legislatures pass resolutions calling for an Article V constitutional convention by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on information from the State and Federal governments of the United States of America, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.055", "0.945"] | 7654.834555 | true | false | 2024-12-16T22:36:25.821811Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:55.959619Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0x981f7860a442b93f5d116a32f114d993554d69e353f64af59b9dd1aac42d949e | true | 0.01 | 5 | 7,654.834555 | 6,542.3652 | 2025-06-30 | 2024-12-16 | true | 400 | ["109054887192127194112152991822048267290598357362890669893524077252579804790734", "23808748814376718950165320664568963871597006289546928580464003150687571519888"] | 500 | 5 | 400 | 7,654.834555 | 6,542.3652 | true | false | [
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515818 | Travis Hunter and GF break up before Draft? | 0x9af6c8be6c4fba2eb4d01c2989ddadcdb99be2fa23f65d34b7a4dc047ef65590 | travis-hunter-and-gf-break-up-before-nfl-draft | 2025-04-24T12:00:00Z | 3972.44463 | 2024-12-17T16:55:32.414405Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Travis Hunter and Leanna Lenee end their romantic relationship by April 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Confirmation can come in various forms, including, but not limited to, social media posts, interviews, press releases, official statements, or a consensus of credible reporting. This market will resolve to "No" otherwise.
If it is unclear whether or not they are in a romantic relationship, this market will resolve to the side with the stronger argument based on credible reporting. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.0825", "0.9175"] | 12478.460709 | true | false | 2024-12-16T21:23:21.929096Z | 2025-03-18T01:22:42.816655Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0xc44bbe6fbb52d53dcbdcaf465b6568cbc863c326a8729a655a9006ed9f42d242 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 12,478.460709 | 3,972.44463 | 2025-04-24 | 2024-12-17 | true | null | ["47179345865614210185569210655452073179775433195995583512237198007491463213767", "115053498959512163816538800632584201511819118017355612474297378146415654477968"] | 500 | 5 | null | 12,478.460709 | 3,972.44463 | true | false | [
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515817 | The Showdown: Scheffler/McIlroy vs. DeChambeau/Koepka | 0x53b54d7b4c7ebd2c45ba759a5282da738e2146fbe424c20f0c7387ca305d93c9 | cryptocom-showdown-who-will-win | 2024-12-17T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-16T21:00:03.744Z | This market refers to the Crypto.com Showdown, the Men's Golf event scheduled for December 17, 2024, 6:00 PM ET at the Shadow Creek Golf Course in Las Vegas, Nevada, United States.
This market will resolve to “PGA” if Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy win the event.
This market will resolve to "LIV" if Bryson DeChambeau and Brooks Koepka win the event.
If the event ends in a draw, is canceled, or delayed past 11:59 pm ET, December 31, 2024, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the Crypto.com Showdown, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | ["PGA", "LIV"] | ["1", "0"] | 155921.380794 | true | true | 2024-12-16T20:43:23.827941Z | 2024-12-19T04:03:59.454037Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0x99229f7bc9f6ccedc8cc6e80603c85988522f673bd3ea40d0b9afc82cb45ce17 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 155,921.380794 | null | 2024-12-17 | 2024-12-16 | true | null | ["108291433072934374778704675786888645840625599077720899744675561587150616535119", "58773723111314934415316251906879529903971423717736724998764771992746768873212"] | 500 | 5 | null | 155,921.380794 | null | false | false | [
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515813 | Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April? | 0x56188fa55d37270dcda91fe9136316026dca52aa0352e16114ba5899162536a1 | justin-trudeau-out-as-leader-of-liberals-before-april | 2025-03-31T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-16T23:36:35.635191Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning as head of the Liberal Party of Canada or otherwise ceases to be head of the Liberal Party of Canada for any length of time between December 15, 2024 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning but remains on in this position to a point outside this market's timeframe, the announcement will still qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Justin Trudeau or the Liberal Party of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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515806 | Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany? | 0x6edda3512ecf43002ea175e0af667868979a83994111a6103d845b4df5f88ba6 | will-heidi-reichinnek-be-the-next-chancellor-of-germany | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | 100484.72426 | 2024-12-16T20:58:40.698Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Heidi Reichinnek is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.0005", "0.9995"] | 8270135.127885 | true | false | 2024-12-16T20:25:45.210951Z | 2025-03-18T01:22:45.926668Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Heidi Reichinnek (The Left) | 6 | 0x7be8225485148affd09d6fbfa39bcbd649657ecc0d7d72c389a6d4e5f842ca06 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 8,270,135.127885 | 100,484.72426 | 2025-02-23 | 2024-12-16 | true | 166,991.8 | ["35642503802735933915045576042419548804249738156295557686102882598512360913740", "94643624077293860429048186462075138769542231971184512493356958938815230313267"] | 500 | 5 | 166,991.8 | 8,270,135.127885 | 100,484.72426 | true | true | [
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515805 | Will Jan van Aken be the next Chancellor of Germany? | 0x452ed4a3bc0e84654e05e485bdb28058237f1185d3f6103e9fb548789eb2ce46 | will-jan-van-aken-be-the-next-chancellor-of-germany | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | 93195.48637 | 2024-12-16T20:52:30.69Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
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515804 | Carabao Cup: Tottenham vs. Manchester United | 0x0f357521cabc802e98d8869c72646eb1ec9ca11105dc6ac8d041a77554059182 | carabao-cup-tottenham-vs-manchester-united | 2024-12-19T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-16T23:36:15.362Z | This market refers to the Carabao Cup match between Tottenham and Manchester United scheduled for December 19, 2024, 3:00 PM ET.
If Tottenham wins the match, this market will resolve to “Tottenham”.
If Manchester United wins the match, this market will resolve to “Man U”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond December 26, 2024, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based off the entirety of the match including any extra time and penalties.
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515803 | Carabao Cup: Southampton vs. Liverpool | 0xd19ccf5c9e477f1c8da54dce00b6637b1680c181929a028b9c20d1cb834b5b5e | carabao-cup-southampton-vs-liverpool | 2024-12-18T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-16T23:35:55.635Z | This market refers to the Carabao Cup match between Southampton and Liverpool scheduled for December 18, 2024, 3:00 PM ET.
If Southampton wins the match, this market will resolve to “Southampton”.
If Liverpool wins the match, this market will resolve to “Liverpool”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond December 25, 2024, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based off the entirety of the match including any extra time and penalties.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Carabao Cup. | ["Southampton", "Liverpool"] | ["0", "1"] | 101960.454983 | true | true | 2024-12-16T20:23:28.414396Z | 2024-12-19T23:49:16.697778Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0x2b32834effd3633cd6ba6f35ba16af85b677fde38e17ac1f9570f1de69a36fa2 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 101,960.454983 | null | 2024-12-18 | 2024-12-16 | true | null | ["35569888861505122217587679619554819504130467772046091076950827048024762141939", "62376402117012971775216666476563235107257263503473190138758728405328760193639"] | 500 | 5 | null | 101,960.454983 | null | false | false | [
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515802 | Carabao Cup: Newcastle vs. Brentford | 0x0975e45db118df5e6e7d699c2840a533e6fcc465d23ce71a1839d5139dd22eaa | carabao-cup-newcastle-vs-brentford | 2024-12-18T12:00:00Z | null | 2024-12-16T23:35:29.853Z | This market refers to the Carabao Cup match between Newcastle and Brentford scheduled for December 18, 2024, 2:45 PM ET.
If Newcastle wins the match, this market will resolve to “Newcastle”.
If Brentford wins the match, this market will resolve to “Brentford”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond December 25, 2024, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based off the entirety of the match including any extra time and penalties.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Carabao Cup. | ["Newcastle", "Brentford"] | ["1", "0"] | 40587.073085 | true | true | 2024-12-16T20:22:22.660755Z | 2024-12-19T22:33:20.344193Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0xff011b46863c2427cb2829f5b6d01bfab1e32d29709e41d11730a66b54a2b3d2 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 40,587.073085 | null | 2024-12-18 | 2024-12-16 | true | null | ["11978231258395121869860515221901732793625078374091772893280897743369612185231", "87464184927098315082274727903151408129148454967636253912106261708796257853328"] | 500 | 5 | null | 40,587.073085 | null | false | false | [
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515801 | Will Christian Lindner be the next Chancellor of Germany? | 0x51110ae62047b920af6e69c02d916564e6930a5a3b20753d3d1532087ad7b958 | will-christian-lindner-be-the-next-chancellor-of-germany | 2025-02-23T12:00:00Z | 151485.25036 | 2024-12-16T20:51:44.594Z | German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Christian Lindner is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.0005", "0.9995"] | 3806178.108587 | true | false | 2024-12-16T20:21:02.419473Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:19.45304Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Christian Lindner (FDP) | 4 | 0x7be8225485148affd09d6fbfa39bcbd649657ecc0d7d72c389a6d4e5f842ca04 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 3,806,178.108587 | 151,485.25036 | 2025-02-23 | 2024-12-16 | true | 7,500 | ["38901460251443760654855340035207241299550379467074787290468652812120799437950", "28852471790540315689265782815603897680094280633857932128823973356293141640055"] | 500 | 5 | 7,500 | 3,806,178.108587 | 151,485.25036 | true | true | [
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