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518006 | Will Trump's inaugural address be less than 1,200 words? | 0xc59e9fb081b5c3397ce2d66108d497c787f731768b7f32bbe86b5ff2fdb453ed | will-trumps-inaugural-address-be-less-than-1200-words | 2025-01-20T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-09T20:35:31.600609Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's inaugural address is less than 1,200 words in length. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Donald Trump does not give an inauguration speech by January 21, 6:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
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518005 | Will Kevin O'Connell be traded? | 0x7ecbb5bc16763fe34c96a47d3e98f70460fc36bdf28a63db175846d69cf6721b | will-kevin-oconnell-be-traded | 2025-03-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-09T22:39:00.85296Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin O’Connell, Head Coach of the Minnesota Vikings, is traded to another NFL team by 4:00 PM ET on March 12, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
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518004 | Will the LA Rams game get moved to Phoenix? | 0xdcfaad780ed654cac38e37e208c5f6cc935b6a3705828cc53b675db79522c21e | will-the-la-rams-game-get-moved-to-pheonix | 2025-01-13T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-09T17:17:47.449Z | On Wednesday June 8, the NFL announced a contingency plan in case they need to move the NFL Wildcard Game between Los Angeles Rams and Minnesota Vikings from Los Angeles to Pheonix (see https://x.com/AdamSchefter/status/1877146285049835834).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the NFL announces that the Playoff game between the Los Angeles Rams and the Minnesota Vikings, currently scheduled for Sunday January 13, 2025, 8:00 PM ET at Sofi Stadium in Los Angeles CA, will be played in State Farm Stadium in Glendale Arizona. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game does not take place by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".
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518003 | Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 26? | 0x79038a21cc3d525ad47803486a55f920dd70641b48995e18702c9183956a08a4 | will-the-palisades-fire-be-fully-contained-by-january-26 | 2025-01-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-09T17:18:43.401747Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California is 100% contained by January 26, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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518002 | Sunset wildfire burns 1k or more acres by Sunday? | 0x1c96657bdf186bbb440bbedb8c2ed81072f0781371a8ee047b9ed2e61e40b991 | sunset-wildfire-burns-1k-or-more-acres-by-sunday | 2025-01-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-09T16:52:09.524246Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Sunset fire in California burns 1,000 or more acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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518000 | Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross $22m or more? | 0x1a4a0be397ea4930c2dec267a93da3cf04cb9d8e1f896b19d172e32f64fdf359 | will-den-of-thieves-2-pantera-opening-weekend-gross-22m-or-more | 2025-01-13T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-09T17:17:58.598126Z | This is a market on how much 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Den-of-Thieves-2-Pantera-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (January 10 - 13) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' (2025) grosses between $22,000,000 or more on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
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517999 | Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross $19-22m? | 0xd2b9ddc5422ae26e94adf391d8986c0101774ccb28e3ec25c89a6f4ab0f2a948 | will-den-of-thieves-2-pantera-opening-weekend-gross-19-22m | 2025-01-13T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-09T16:20:19.513522Z | This is a market on how much 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Den-of-Thieves-2-Pantera-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (January 10 - 13) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
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Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
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517998 | Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross $16-19m? | 0x5c495b5c6da108789889a4c708a3fd26d9b7a884ec5411bd7a450cce44f2127c | will-den-of-thieves-2-pantera-opening-weekend-gross-16-19m | 2025-01-13T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-09T16:18:03.747521Z | This is a market on how much 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Den-of-Thieves-2-Pantera-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (January 10 - 13) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
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Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
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517997 | Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross less than $16m? | 0xdeef81ea24ad366927c48caeecf0c2b7449af00086edd9dcf47f900c0cc5d635 | will-den-of-thieves-2-pantera-opening-weekend-gross-less-than-16m | 2025-01-13T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-09T16:17:42.470394Z | This is a market on how much 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Den-of-Thieves-2-Pantera-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (January 10 - 13) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' (2025) grosses less than $16,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
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This market will resolve based on the total number of acres the Palisades fire burnt once it is no longer active (100% contained). If the fire is still active as of December, 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT, this market will resolve based on total number of acres burnt at that point.
The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 45053.437607 | true | true | 2025-01-09T15:44:56.680086Z | 2025-02-02T02:06:47.342902Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | 60k+ | 5 | 0xc0b8bf651e7ca3d56f5ac99e9b635b74ec2f9f58575346e781e2e13d36d1eb05 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 45,053.437607 | null | 2025-12-31 | 2025-01-09 | true | null | ["20652703282169252316197479021036159081198508452870107462919835114614777616535", "85456547434717991208639980509390927302223400647174373063840744592968289701294"] | 500 | 5 | null | 45,053.437607 | null | false | true | [
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517990 | Will Trump visit LA by Sunday? | 0xba0b82d5c90cba6a710f183ea91f7cb5a374812ae53e115aa0c0cc07d7585fa8 | will-trump-visit-la-by-sunday | 2025-01-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-09T16:17:47.541Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a physical, in-person visit to Los Angeles county at any point between January 8, and January 12, 2025 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
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517988 | Will LA wildfires burn les than 30k acres by Sunday? | 0x3221b45460d346891f0bd7bfba419c764d9f92cb3219656d061ad3bfbe65eda7 | will-la-wildfires-burn-les-than-30k-acres-by-sunday | 2025-01-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-09T16:17:43.529543Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn less than 30,000 acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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517987 | Will LA wildfires burn 80k or more acres by Sunday? | 0x3575c7f7f46936f8d1c48140fdbbb5e2297b2741665d1f09cfcffa2f7e695635 | will-la-wildfires-burn-80k-or-more-acres-by-sunday | 2025-01-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-09T16:49:53.87541Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn 80,000 or more acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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517986 | Will LA wildfires burn 70-80k acres by Sunday? | 0x747de681fb499296917e4011970396304a5b24aa792675460fe3e8517f7173d6 | will-la-wildfires-burn-70-80k-acres-by-sunday | 2025-01-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-09T16:47:54.013169Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn between 70,000 (inclusive) and 80,000 (exclusive) acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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517985 | Will LA wildfires burn 60-70k acres by Sunday? | 0xaf5c8cb35003d61f3c0b3bba707690f93bc10cb9296024112bc89522234bbbe6 | will-la-wildfires-burn-60-70k-acres-by-sunday | 2025-01-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-09T16:47:23.654273Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn between 60,000 (inclusive) and 70,000 (exclusive) acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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517984 | Will LA wildfires burn 50-60k acres by Sunday? | 0x79d78aaa7abc25c8863af1268cb1d6ac627a8bcb2554c8e48b5dabbcad439de1 | will-la-wildfires-burn-50-60k-acres-by-sunday | 2025-01-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-09T16:46:57.954549Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn between 50,000 (inclusive) and 60,000 (exclusive) acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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517983 | Will LA wildfires burn 40-50k acres by Sunday? | 0x0c001e1bd128c714a2a9e33d25c9e68428c2e24db5dcf4c89582d61567927776 | will-la-wildfires-burn-40-50k-acres-by-sunday | 2025-01-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-09T16:20:29.501499Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn between 40,000 (inclusive) and 50,000 (exclusive) acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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517982 | Will LA wildfires burn 30-40k acres by Sunday? | 0x4f2beeb045b6c1a1951ccb132bd8387ff3b21fea812a097068f39c6e6e62fce0 | will-la-wildfires-burn-30-40k-acres-by-sunday | 2025-01-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-09T16:17:52.641384Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn between 30,000 (inclusive) and 40,000 (exclusive) acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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517981 | Arsonists arrested in connection with LA wildfires? | 0x48b89ee1ee4632a1f3e173782e7081121c2c95035be6bcc0f9c3c8a119aae9e6 | arsonists-arrested-in-connection-with-los-angeles-wildfires | 2025-01-31T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-09T15:02:21.478Z | On January 9, videos showing alleged acts of arson in Los Angeles county were reported (see: https://www.timesnownews.com/world/us/us-news/arsonists-caught-setting-fires-in-302-pico-in-santa-monica-video-amid-los-angeles-fire-surfaces-article-117073863).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any person is arrested in connection with starting fires in Los Angeles county between January 7, and January 9, by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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517968 | Will Tee Higgins sign with the Titans? | 0x30966399a6e60e31645df6d48a7f7ef34ed8617cd33a6d238d0dbe6685ea3459 | will-tee-higgins-sign-with-the-titans | 2025-09-03T12:00:00Z | 87.3 | 2025-01-10T22:41:51.501687Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tee Higgins signs a contract with the Tennessee Titans by September 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
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517967 | Will Tee Higgins sign with the Patriots? | 0x76291c41cb3734b9aa5b16c799490389c673e2e7503f80805e31894f006136f3 | will-tee-higgins-sign-with-the-patriots | 2025-09-03T12:00:00Z | 91.1 | 2025-01-10T22:41:25.483279Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tee Higgins signs a contract with the New England Patriots by September 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
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517965 | Mahamat Déby out as President of Chad in January? | 0xa04150f69e6b4b0faad54b940a0e4d65744722ea254597c75578ecaa96d1a5ea | mahamat-dbyut-out-as-president-of-chaad-january | 2025-01-31T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T23:14:42.935Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chad's president, Mahamat Débyt is removed from power for any length of time between January 7, 2025, and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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517964 | Congressional term limits in 2025? | 0xbb9c8de57f99436cec9eb3135850f7f2566e68cd42c637068b40d552eb96c49f | congressional-term-limits-in-2025 | 2025-12-31T12:00:00Z | 1718.38446 | 2025-01-08T21:59:18.20916Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if a constitutional amendment establishing term limits for members of the United States Congress is ratified by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.0335", "0.9665"] | 4152.748172 | true | false | 2025-01-08T21:51:44.908607Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:55.352142Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0x20fb57cef2c3d454673a3b1fad4c4ed60702e7accffe5aa6312774e45f97c0c9 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 4,152.748172 | 1,718.38446 | 2025-12-31 | 2025-01-08 | true | null | ["50003157268171657701259834392962015079234796033277376385439257568666266648176", "27390878307998274192953566359293208057683727701618247572804678952854191767439"] | 500 | 5 | null | 4,152.748172 | 1,718.38446 | true | false | [
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517963 | Karen Bass out as Mayor of LA before April? | 0x14e7a202f66c21bb2888a76897513043df18288769773b85997dfea14fd0ddc2 | karen-bass-out-as-mayor-of-la-before-july | 2025-03-31T12:00:00Z | 40666.60433 | 2025-01-08T23:49:52.675447Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Karen Bass is no longer serving as Mayor of Los Angeles for any length of time between January 7 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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517962 | Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025? | 0xf78b84e417dec6b34f6cbea7002cfb4b16df21aa1cecc8eb701e2e58baf3fcdf | trump-takes-panama-canal-in-2025 | 2025-12-31T12:00:00Z | 24329.4731 | 2025-01-08T23:49:43.435Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
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517961 | Will Penn State play Ohio State in the CFP Championship? | 0x607362a2ee4cd2a4e9084b3d0b47091cad29b51592aefc8325923b90bd9dd431 | will-penn-state-play-ohio-state-in-the-cfp-championship | 2025-01-10T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T20:41:29.654727Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Penn State AND Ohio State advance to the 2025 CFP National Championship Game.
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517960 | Palisades fire burns 40,000 or more acres by Friday? | 0xcb42b2116d082dd54e868d861666dd0a2acab980214610aa938185d41d06a121 | palisades-fire-burns-40000-or-more-acres-by-friday | 2025-01-10T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T20:44:08.63076Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns 40,000 or more acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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517959 | Will Notre Dame play Ohio State in the CFP Championship? | 0x34ebc391c0d0091a12b287e9832a4e1e0bdf0e9339971eb61635fc11317e45fb | will-notre-dame-play-ohio-state-in-the-cfp-championship-25 | 2025-01-10T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T20:38:44.717182Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Notre Dame AND Ohio State advance to the 2025 CFP National Championship Game.
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517958 | Palisades fire burns 35,000-40,000 acres by Friday? | 0x3c0ed8cdb134b72108512e93eeb8fc1b963dffbc80935711ade67efd2e06ce92 | palisades-fire-burns-35000-40000-acres-by-friday | 2025-01-10T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T20:41:19.585959Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 35,000 (inclusive) and 40,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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517956 | Palisades fire burns 30,000-35,000 acres by Friday? | 0xe45766fc49cca6522317bde00f191aad8cc13a07c4360fe58d813ac89e875ef1 | palisades-fire-burns-30000-35000-acres-by-friday | 2025-01-10T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T20:38:34.168314Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 30,000 (inclusive) and 35,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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517955 | Palisades fire burns 25,000-30,000 acres by Friday? | 0x7beb98acec87b36e03206d1147d57280e1831ead3894fab4ef2cff854c7fe7a0 | palisades-fire-burns-25000-30000-acres-by-friday | 2025-01-10T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T20:37:19.942155Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 25,000 (inclusive) and 30,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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517954 | Palisades fire burns 20,000-25,000 acres by Friday? | 0x8b9c0ffe72e98a6aab258fdb0a0498c0bce38e0cb8aa04be169c497ab4b7b507 | palisades-fire-burns-20000-25000-acres-by-friday | 2025-01-10T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T20:37:04.152847Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 20,000 (inclusive) and 25,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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517953 | Palisades fire burns 15,000-20,000 acres by Friday? | 0x377e4286c7a303621e4fa8591bc135d6c758a70d527c68b05fef309361c11a83 | palisades-fire-burns-15000-20000-acres-by-friday | 2025-01-10T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T20:36:38.838682Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 15,000 (inclusive) and 20,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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517952 | Will Texas play Penn State in the CFP Championship? | 0x504479ae7a6fbc99995f65f87d45a22088d69d794801da425b1d548ee51f4fca | will-notre-dame-play-ohio-state-in-the-cfp-championship | 2025-01-10T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T20:36:53.248592Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Texas AND Penn State advance to the 2025 CFP National Championship Game.
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517951 | Palisades fire burns less than 15,000 acres by Friday? | 0x4907a3af55a900caa7ef981dc95a5e62a2489d6aa712c9ca63f0e33cdce00a6f | palisades-fire-burns-less-than-15000-acres-by-friday | 2025-01-10T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T20:36:04.909564Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns less than 15,000 acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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517950 | Will SCOTUS block Trump's hush money sentencing? | 0x99685fc7ce22050bff2749cd1e90d4a64d2689d9c0242eb4412ca6232309b086 | will-scotus-block-trumps-hush-money-sentencing | 2025-01-20T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-09T15:02:11.364033Z | On January 8, President-elect Donald Trump reportedly requested that the Supreme Court block his sentencing in the hush money case "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump" (see: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/01/08/trump-hush-money-sentencing-supreme-court/)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States issues a ruling, order, or stay or takes any other action which blocks or temporarily halts Donald Trump’s sentencing in the hush money case. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
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If Trump is sentenced in the Hush money case without a qualifying action by the Supreme Court, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying Supreme Court action takes place by January 20, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
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517949 | Will Penn State and Notre Dame combine for 46 or more points? | 0x552ae2dd1df63596247a56eb2fcaac0b258fbfc3eec0441e8bbfe648bbb51544 | will-penn-state-and-notre-dame-combine-for-46-or-more-points | 2025-01-09T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T20:36:47.120168Z | This market refers to the CFP Semifinal Orange Bowl matchup between Penn State and Notre Dame scheduled for January 9, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the combined score of both teams is 46 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under.”
If the game is postponed beyond January 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled, this market will resolve to 50-50.
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If the game is postponed beyond January 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled, this market will resolve to 50-50.
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517944 | Will 20-23 Democratic senators vote in favor of the Laken Riley Act? | 0x81e73bcce62bbbb6afa9f7cfbcd056ad7c192fdc1f8cafe8c0d45e73ff860c2d | will-20-23-democratic-senators-vote-in-favor-of-the-laken-riley-act | 2025-01-31T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T20:44:08.636098Z | This market will resolve to"Yes if between 20 (Inclusive) and 23 (Inclusive) Democratic Senators vote for the passage of the Laken Riley Act - H.R.7511 by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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517943 | Will 16-19 Democratic senators vote in favor of the Laken Riley Act? | 0xab163d7713691c86fdecb1ee0238f0478eef804c89701482d98bcf2123c48463 | will-16-19-democratic-senators-vote-in-favor-of-the-laken-riley-act | 2025-01-31T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T20:41:29.651365Z | This market will resolve to"Yes if between 16 (Inclusive) and 19 (Inclusive) Democratic Senators vote for the passage of the Laken Riley Act - H.R.7511 by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 5280.03 | true | true | 2025-01-08T18:31:12.356144Z | 2025-01-22T14:51:02.680268Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | 16-19 | 3 | 0x25095dfc6fde0dbb50b69f6f02218895679d72aa65dfb25329a040d49e155d03 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 5,280.03 | null | 2025-01-31 | 2025-01-08 | true | null | ["97324718527414624062144686405263174298981834824112019579609620024955729732020", "41168887900770798657938152064795587958782282945495025528512853786874690272984"] | 500 | 5 | null | 5,280.03 | null | false | true | [
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517942 | Will 12-15 Democratic senators vote in favor of the Laken Riley Act? | 0x2e97c83652c9cc4a86b411f5c8ca5ee596f8b36bc27076117005c61b1dab567c | will-12-15-democratic-senators-vote-in-favor-of-the-laken-riley-act | 2025-01-31T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T20:38:40.506435Z | This market will resolve to"Yes if between 12 (Inclusive) and 15 (Inclusive) Democratic Senators vote for the passage of the Laken Riley Act - H.R.7511 by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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517941 | Will 8-11 Democratic senators vote in favor of the Laken Riley Act? | 0x8ae71740247df5cb99ce3221ac3496a285704197676bd493ec0fba8799d2be8a | will-8-11-democratic-senators-vote-in-favor-of-the-laken-riley-act | 2025-01-31T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T20:37:10.011585Z | This market will resolve to"Yes if between 8 (Inclusive) and 11 (Inclusive) Democratic Senators vote for the passage of the Laken Riley Act - H.R.7511 by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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517939 | Gavin Newsom recalled before July? | 0xc05ca69dda9da3a352031518b06326437b3d02107a707ef95d29e461afcba9b2 | gavin-newsom-recalled-before-july | 2025-06-30T12:00:00Z | 2452.59858 | 2025-01-08T18:49:31.070846Z | his market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom is officially recalled from his position as Governor of California by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
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If the Raiders announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL Season, this market will resolve to “No”.
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517933 | Will the Raiders hire Joe Brady as their next head coach? | 0xd674ff43dbf08757d2ff2ab6f51db94b903b91c250991545b397472591acd7b8 | will-the-raiders-hire-joe-brady-as-their-next-head-coach | 2025-03-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-11T03:03:02.209972Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Brady is announced as the next head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
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517932 | Will the Raiders hire Todd Monken as their next head coach? | 0x4606e994cbf6cda0dbc807e0761d7f9a4ad24fc033dd255716d781c78247348a | will-the-raiders-hire-todd-monken-as-their-next-head-coach | 2025-03-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-11T03:02:38.280308Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Monken is announced as the next head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Raiders announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL Season, this market will resolve to “No”.
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517931 | Will the Raiders hire Steve Spagnuolo as their next head coach? | 0xa386af214dead216bd664144f0546ee286a89dd68e580eb4f12883cdab2708ae | will-the-raiders-hire-steve-spagnuolo-as-their-next-head-coach | 2025-03-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-11T03:02:12.74254Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Steve Spagnuolo is announced as the next head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
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517930 | Will the Raiders hire Jesse Minter as their next head coach? | 0x31c35259cc4a42d986ee2150dd031c8de0b1106d63d5bb5b7377494012c7157c | will-the-raiders-hire-jesse-minter-as-their-next-head-coach | 2025-03-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-11T03:01:48.43884Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jesse Minter is announced as the next head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
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517929 | Will the Raiders hire Jon Gruden as their next head coach? | 0x629b8134377c07f07d09a8b842aefd9baa3c1c1a98a7a2d92c43046ecfccb07c | will-the-raiders-hire-jon-gruden-as-their-next-head-coach | 2025-03-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-11T03:01:17.452697Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jon Gruden is announced as the next head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
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517928 | Will the Raiders hire Aaron Glenn as their next head coach? | 0xcb30177e892c07614031a4a5e6e1fdc9bb045597c116b3a17c4ad292f0c76f1e | will-the-raiders-hire-aaron-glenn-as-their-next-head-coach | 2025-03-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-11T03:00:57.49975Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aaron Glenn is announced as the next head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Raiders announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL Season, this market will resolve to “No”.
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517927 | Will the Raiders hire Liam Coen as their next head coach? | 0x0cc6ba527e82fec8d2e0869b83e373b7357355acefa2b8f1a6690f90befc0f48 | will-the-raiders-hire-liam-coen-as-their-next-head-coach | 2025-03-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-11T03:00:26.526125Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Liam Coen is announced as the next head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Raiders announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL Season, this market will resolve to “No”.
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517926 | Will the Raiders hire Brian Flores as their next head coach? | 0xe513b96bc9b36dcffcd51e45b3524afb3eda55d3268c86dbaf342fe3c3e5ee73 | will-the-raiders-hire-brian-flores-as-their-next-head-coach | 2025-03-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-10T22:41:45.367039Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Brian Flores is announced as the next head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Raiders announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL Season, this market will resolve to “No”.
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517925 | Will the Raiders hire Ben Johnson as their next head coach? | 0x467cb8d9bc0faf5f410e22dcabe2fbcfa6621c13eea4e28059ea56d17a6acb51 | will-the-raiders-hire-ben-johnson-as-their-next-head-coach | 2025-03-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-10T22:41:21.422557Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ben Johnson is announced as the next head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Raiders announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL Season, this market will resolve to “No”.
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517924 | Will the Raiders hire Mike Vrabel as their next head coach? | 0xaf503c85b165078115f5379db771a678d885ea62e8f3a22c698c295f2d23a0e2 | will-the-raiders-hire-mike-vrabel-as-their-next-head-coach | 2025-03-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-10T22:40:17.489728Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mike Vrabel is announced as the next head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Raiders announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL Season, this market will resolve to “No”.
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517923 | Supercopa Semfinal: Real Madrid vs. Mallorca | 0xacff969f2c47427e1f34dfa76c4f9bf48222f58e31093d9b664ec5e55e94b101 | supercopa-seminal-real-madrid-vs-mallorca-to-advance | 2025-01-09T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T20:36:12.927221Z | This market refers to the Spanish Supercopa Semifinal match between Real Madrid and Mallorca scheduled for January 9, 2025, 2:00 PM ET.
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If Mallorca advances to the Spanish Supercopa Final, this market will resolve to “Mallorca.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
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517922 | Will Quinn Ewers declare for the Draft? | 0x469c0cbfcd359e4c5526b8d33e40209cf2ea6083d3fa38594c4ab14de6da5a65 | will-quinn-ewers-declare-for-the-draft | 2025-01-24T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T17:52:21.687958Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Quinn Ewers has declared for the 2025 NFL Draft by January 25, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
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517921 | Will Drew Allar declare for the Draft? | 0xd5b37f42016d78eef84116c1963981680cabfe3584f0413fd9867226c7f04991 | will-drew-allar-declare-for-the-draft | 2025-01-24T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T17:52:06.641837Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Drew Allar has declared for the 2025 NFL Draft by January 25, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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517920 | Supercopa Seminal: Barcelona vs. Athletic Bilbao | 0x24eb8898ca0da0a15e09ae877277da54413825475e8a1c8161e3c01279d8e332 | supercopa-seminal-barcelona-vs-athletic-bilbao | 2025-01-08T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T17:52:31.609884Z | This market refers to the Spanish Supercopa Semifinal match between Barcelona and Athletic Bilbao scheduled for January 8, 2025, 2:00 PM ET.
If Barcelona advances to the Spanish Supercopa Final, this market will resolve to “Barcelona.
If Athletic Bilbao advances to the Spanish Supercopa Final, this market will resolve to "Bilbao"
If the match is canceled or postponed beyond January 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Spanish Supercopa. | ["Barcelona", "Bilbao"] | ["1", "0"] | 2624.654143 | true | true | 2025-01-08T17:19:41.714608Z | 2025-01-09T21:13:03.484821Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0x3924c10ec7561d022f1ff9aa774aea749766b464b2917d17ea8ceece9cbd0bae | true | 0.001 | 5 | 2,624.654143 | null | 2025-01-08 | 2025-01-08 | true | null | ["3858600516371581144377975168118052066868864549630273599497693746169319429303", "49629131681909720115393306904721232764740312536887503982467474870513515407770"] | 500 | 5 | null | 2,624.654143 | null | false | false | [
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517919 | Will less than 8 Democratic senators vote in favor of the Laken Riley Act? | 0x0034d03ddb23faa45d668873197385ca86c83406d09c7fe317e8f5c0aacf1e5b | will-less-than-8-democratic-senators-vote-in-favor-of-the-laken-riley-act | 2025-01-31T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T20:37:00.067886Z | This market will resolve to"Yes if less than 8 Democratic Senators vote for the passage of the Laken Riley Act - H.R.7511 by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no vote takes place by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market will resolve based on the results of the initial roll call vote for the passage of the Laken Riley Act - H.R.751. Any subsequent votes will not be considered.
Senators without a formal party affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they caucus with.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 19673.744046 | true | true | 2025-01-08T17:09:12.778143Z | 2025-01-22T11:37:02.051221Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | <8 | 0 | 0x25095dfc6fde0dbb50b69f6f02218895679d72aa65dfb25329a040d49e155d00 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 19,673.744046 | null | 2025-01-31 | 2025-01-08 | true | null | ["25627319868161763382523725577375787568929808957114557239801205819706199537993", "104781616343790654594648061496399901659200445521780013126889904654463570916958"] | 500 | 5 | null | 19,673.744046 | null | false | true | [
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517918 | Palisades wildfire containment >0% by Sunday? | 0x4af7009d069c3b4ce0063243562ddd9f345f3db7e751ea98b98bc1842efd1a4e | palisades-fire-containment-0-by-sunday | 2025-01-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T17:07:36.859Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California more than 0% contained by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/ and https://www.fire.ca.gov/incidents/2025/1/7/palisades-fire/updates. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 35625.89934 | true | true | 2025-01-08T16:56:57.639297Z | 2025-01-11T03:08:53.544244Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0x60f441b3f2a44981afa697c15677bbae638a9a7f75face47dd0233e37940268e | true | 0.001 | 5 | 35,625.89934 | null | 2025-01-12 | 2025-01-08 | true | null | ["21755070220683643767033638172353758934070425594822436873801368805726491182917", "39430291412542037417508401605278684719990879319927812228726580842318514751157"] | 500 | 5 | null | 35,625.89934 | null | false | false | [
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517917 | Will Elon tweet 750 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10? | 0x4d11d74919d96d66af5b6a24b117a139c320876045072b18cf9f8f649d991d10 | will-elon-tweet-750-or-more-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T17:32:45.014181Z | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts 750 or more times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 345630.502272 | true | true | 2025-01-08T15:37:44.055526Z | 2025-01-11T20:22:43.840791Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | 750+ | 9 | 0xaa5ed7d29348ae95c2a6766ae0fd9278f8dfb9f0e4bfb3391e2b648e2bd05609 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 345,630.502272 | null | 2025-01-10 | 2025-01-08 | true | null | ["52667142394526417086537294533214372054859408785502189330024694250884450497113", "91152435432036806313120947158515966687516947319105320915982177996994949920178"] | 500 | 5 | null | 345,630.502272 | null | false | true | [
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517916 | Will Elon tweet 725-749 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | 0x00497566aa28ef1dfa792dc799ced9d9efd5754c313cc7b22dca079568ee2a37 | will-elon-tweet-725-749-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T17:10:09.55656Z | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 725 (inclusive) and 749 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
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The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 246032.165493 | true | true | 2025-01-08T15:36:27.250043Z | 2025-01-11T18:46:46.691649Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | 725-749 | 8 | 0xaa5ed7d29348ae95c2a6766ae0fd9278f8dfb9f0e4bfb3391e2b648e2bd05608 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 246,032.165493 | null | 2025-01-10 | 2025-01-08 | true | null | ["14820043595361505406672516943765249066440826488684501176549807996381795845584", "67488281256543501160077299993775799325534052931786809680950826305358489562002"] | 500 | 5 | null | 246,032.165493 | null | false | true | [
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517915 | Will Elon tweet 700-724 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | 0xffeffb1b73817073370edf99b51f7ccb44aca549eb18de151193624ba1588399 | will-elon-tweet-700-724-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T17:07:38.877554Z | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 700 (inclusive) and 724 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 419392.321549 | true | true | 2025-01-08T15:35:57.408025Z | 2025-01-11T18:20:40.908652Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | 700-724 | 7 | 0xaa5ed7d29348ae95c2a6766ae0fd9278f8dfb9f0e4bfb3391e2b648e2bd05607 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 419,392.321549 | null | 2025-01-10 | 2025-01-08 | true | null | ["108501631256874571710396143627709607936679238244874714319826380927939506727710", "10347189136600209701319970340026492761773171188842663581243282995455213781131"] | 500 | 5 | null | 419,392.321549 | null | false | true | [
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517914 | Will Elon tweet 675-699 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | 0x257444e22c041ff227168f39ed152faf2da67711fb2f6ce5504266511506f553 | will-elon-tweet-675-699-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T16:48:08.262921Z | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 675 (inclusive) and 699 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 424370.337462 | true | true | 2025-01-08T15:35:32.683076Z | 2025-01-11T19:28:46.701139Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | 675-699 | 6 | 0xaa5ed7d29348ae95c2a6766ae0fd9278f8dfb9f0e4bfb3391e2b648e2bd05606 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 424,370.337462 | null | 2025-01-10 | 2025-01-08 | true | null | ["99058620979920592625256219370954335936132881248709865089863345025594611728124", "55672427798476985276871503498133931659269720713233403841680402864528664966908"] | 500 | 5 | null | 424,370.337462 | null | false | true | [
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517913 | Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | 0x99027e405731cec721127a7d96da3c28bc9a6d83638596193d91b561a718cbf3 | will-elon-tweet-650-674-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T16:47:33.264492Z | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 650 (inclusive) and 674 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 616086.925715 | true | true | 2025-01-08T15:35:06.055722Z | 2025-01-11T20:34:46.699811Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | 650-674 | 5 | 0xaa5ed7d29348ae95c2a6766ae0fd9278f8dfb9f0e4bfb3391e2b648e2bd05605 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 616,086.925715 | null | 2025-01-10 | 2025-01-08 | true | null | ["27171009098696874195136140273771892953755016058888316142544976061833534436796", "36837870382271154778824874108700252033692151119016713081107544608356874400407"] | 500 | 5 | null | 616,086.925715 | null | false | true | [
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517912 | Will Elon tweet 625-649 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | 0x4f10ba569f9b3589a1bca4b719d73b28ce5f05555decf7f0845b6450a538d386 | will-elon-tweet-625-649-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T16:45:39.963336Z | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 625 (inclusive) and 649 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 321572.110254 | true | true | 2025-01-08T15:33:11.018035Z | 2025-01-11T11:54:41.147819Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | 625-649 | 4 | 0xaa5ed7d29348ae95c2a6766ae0fd9278f8dfb9f0e4bfb3391e2b648e2bd05604 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 321,572.110254 | null | 2025-01-10 | 2025-01-08 | true | null | ["11570182282846346341131138360639717965012585944102451879225181509414471266433", "113660384917766474105983534798908281703666218971757066881051395367479863152292"] | 500 | 5 | null | 321,572.110254 | null | false | true | [
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517911 | Will Elon tweet 600-624 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | 0xb66abcfb57eb86effef8a728011c837f305216804183b050e8b705745434c042 | will-elon-tweet-600-624-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T16:45:03.805732Z | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 600 (inclusive) and 624 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
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517910 | Will Elon tweet 575-599 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | 0x65571bd37891863c2b56fbf01fb22b0afa7446c2406faa7405cb4146ad59b0ce | will-elon-tweet-575-599-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T16:43:58.248208Z | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 575 (inclusive) and 599 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
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517909 | Will Elon tweet 550-574 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | 0xd20a2c9afec4d3b215c75d337be318d9fcdd95603cd8e4f5b13cd91c35c9e12d | will-elon-tweet-550-574-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T16:35:09.59931Z | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 550 (inclusive) and 574 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
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517908 | Will Elon tweet less than 550 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | 0xf78c31c6ea7fabeed89ef8411af11f94ed69f66c6ddbd32c88ecdab2634927ec | will-elon-tweet-less-than-550-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T16:07:03.615Z | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts less than 550 times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
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517907 | Palisades wildfire burns 10,000 acres by Friday? | 0xd09cef3c1c65e90327a93b8f8f65f43df957025a849467be178019069618d17f | palisades-fire-burns-10000-acres-by-friday | 2025-01-10T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T15:45:24.538Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns 10,000 or more acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 66391.855309 | true | true | 2025-01-08T15:12:59.812803Z | 2025-01-09T21:53:03.200127Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0x5d1bea6c66f30814e09ca5053a4078b8cc78adaeb6699d3c61bc6fe18529318f | true | 0.001 | 5 | 66,391.855309 | null | 2025-01-10 | 2025-01-08 | true | null | ["66741239314793213338548861412845346299427865212722217977023837912635155496254", "8678741102564794562781193061667746788562067588801449952790015895738356224978"] | 500 | 5 | null | 66,391.855309 | null | false | false | [
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517904 | Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 31? | 0xe6807313e41750dafa46d8c59cb358605cffbea02f38d3475c61db93f73672e1 | will-the-palisades-fire-be-50-contained-by-january-31 | 2025-01-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T15:04:36.081976Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California is 50% or more contained by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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517902 | Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 12? | 0xf5db233cc164093fb94df29df54e9a19b7884a88b7ad550e42e0acf96c211e21 | will-the-palisades-fire-be-50-contained-by-january-12 | 2025-01-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T14:43:05.339793Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California is 50% or more contained by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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517901 | Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31? | 0x94561e69ecdc2e548ae0ce3087fdc99082f0b6616d2d1d5f2d3ab67f6527fd1c | will-the-palisades-fire-be-fully-contained-by-january-31 | 2025-01-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T14:59:41.273Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California is 100% contained by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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517900 | Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 19? | 0xf4a8626017d428c3543aa9c15e8fa6011774ae614a41427f82d55df6051a177d | will-the-palisades-fire-be-fully-contained-by-january-19 | 2025-01-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T14:58:59.625352Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California is 100% contained by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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517899 | Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by Sunday? | 0xfc33b0ee5cf7a6241772b9e591fc88889310d2999611b0b8318ddf0fadf7bf0a | will-the-palisades-fire-be-fully-contained-by-sunday | 2025-01-12T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T14:43:05.345559Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California is 100% contained by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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517898 | Will Sam Altman settle with his sister before April? | 0xd60630231f38d18852939535807d1964d574dde99a7d2f21e2d598856bae5ae4 | will-sam-altman-settle-with-his-sister-before-april | 2025-03-31T12:00:00Z | 736.15905 | 2025-01-08T01:33:34.974535Z | On January 7, Sam Altman tweeted a letter responding to a lawsuit filed against him by his sister Annie Altman (see: https://x.com/sama/status/1876780763653263770).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Sam Altman has reached a settlement with his sister, Annie Altman by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
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517897 | Sam Altman arrested before July? | 0xaa44af214a2117def6e8987dbf564c21ac48682f3197635658ae4e79fe176a01 | sam-altman-arrested-before-july | 2025-06-30T12:00:00Z | 5420.5086 | 2025-01-08T01:33:44.932637Z | is market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is arrested between January 7 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. However, official information from the government involved in any action against Altman and information from Altman's legal representatives will also be used. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.05", "0.95"] | 27562.223687 | true | false | 2025-01-08T00:54:43.217005Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:20.84939Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0xa9386749b0ac7d7092bc6a79bd2a0800e74c51f07ac4fb565cf1741529de8f1d | true | 0.01 | 5 | 27,562.223687 | 5,420.5086 | 2025-06-30 | 2025-01-08 | true | 123.19 | ["92783521195111170888935510713430179941990112480000258628180880024327044124604", "74183226918623942020106525109873078163851774537921868201823100123374894357461"] | 500 | 5 | 123.19 | 27,562.223687 | 5,420.5086 | true | false | [
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517896 | Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before April? | 0x8467f9ceaba110c6bf9ea607463f6dbcd6a1aa10e8351ede9a6abe9fa511d09e | sam-altman-out-as-openai-ceo-before-april | 2025-03-31T12:00:00Z | 13420.9246 | 2025-01-08T01:33:30.930943Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is no longer serving as CEO of OpenAI for any length of time from the date of this market's inception, December 29, 2024 through March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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517895 | Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1? | 0x4b87cba72865218e48cbe7c0ebf4f878132a2014e4507693aef2a84304562679 | will-trump-issue-40-or-more-executive-orders-on-day-1 | 2025-01-30T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T17:08:18.74587Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs 40 or more executive orders on January 20, 2025.
Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
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517894 | Will Trump issue 35-39 executive orders on Day 1? | 0xa846734c7c36a8b6b74dc5dedd42e521f06d19b4893c79876e7bde0763cdce48 | will-trump-issue-35-39-executive-orders-on-day-1 | 2025-01-30T12:00:00Z | null | 2025-01-08T17:07:45.062856Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between 35 (inclusive) and 39 (inclusive) executive orders on January 20, 2025.
Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market.
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