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528751 | US forces in Yemen in 2025? | 0x77783da9b3549399a4bc0ba504f03c33f6cafca89f6ef5d96cb1d9492dfd22d5 | us-forces-in-yemen-in-2025 | 2025-12-31T12:00:00Z | 871.1635 | 2025-03-18T00:26:59.196328Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Yemen at any point between March 17, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Yemen to qualify. Entering Yemen's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
High ranking US service members entering Yemen for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.2", "0.8"] | 58.152956 | true | false | 2025-03-18T00:18:53.203232Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:02.777588Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0x503a541bb5143d927931aae80687d9d3a6ed763e4fe1b6933ac49ff98a25778c | true | 0.01 | 5 | 58.152956 | 871.1635 | 2025-12-31 | 2025-03-18 | true | 58.152956 | ["65898882242797018907609031205120535237478795114085909492503349478967286033171", "56925163598175099156116204991749230817683786142368017707312538670043118980737"] | 500 | 5 | 58.152956 | 58.152956 | 871.1635 | true | false | [
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] | 20 | 3.5 | 0.24 | 0.35 | 0.08 | 0.32 | true | true | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |||||
528750 | Houthis successfully attack shipping in March? | 0x80a0129514f4881215c483285f3ff77b4014db7bf5a5e04e0339e226494e520b | houthis-successfully-attack-shipping-in-march | 2025-03-31T12:00:00Z | 287.964 | 2025-03-18T00:27:05.441659Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial or military ship between March 17 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship which are shot down or don't hit a ship will not be considered for this market.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.255", "0.745"] | 77.164222 | true | false | 2025-03-18T00:09:40.357232Z | 2025-03-18T01:22:01.1666Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0x907701978b258a8e85392d512ce41e66f9854e6d0c5ad819ef540f75db3e90a6 | true | 0.01 | 5 | 77.164222 | 287.964 | 2025-03-31 | 2025-03-18 | true | 77.164222 | ["48907161767544481975854515154532447928129574759321981391794887234212034422669", "107590021374730323242667682516056352688270943373801977363335969306915942298263"] | 500 | 5 | 77.164222 | 77.164222 | 287.964 | true | false | [
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] | 20 | 3.5 | 0.23 | 0.37 | 0.14 | 0.37 | true | true | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |||||
528749 | Will Hamas enter Israel by Friday? | 0x9971edbee7f0efd2e99d52e54897cc66658729c124e7edbd2e9eeaf2b57e5094 | will-hamas-enter-israel-by-friday | 2025-03-21T12:00:00Z | 10569.23562 | 2025-03-18T00:27:09.309088Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas personnel enter Israeli territory from Gaza for combat operations between March 17, and March 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Entering Israeli territory" is defined as any instance where Hamas personnel are physically present on the ground in Israeli territory after crossing from Gaza. Incursions which are solely maritime or air-based will not count.
Entering buffer zones within Gaza controlled by Israel will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.048", "0.952"] | 1655.967233 | true | false | 2025-03-17T23:41:05.239818Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:23.521153Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0xf3fd7fa014e34cbcd91dfb847f32d351c8f3fffa0536b5ae53653d93c227e6d7 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 1,655.967233 | 10,569.23562 | 2025-03-21 | 2025-03-18 | true | 1,655.967233 | ["9571175539658130997900458730748536070749381553185803785752117341068531270178", "55643438798664428230402348153552936323199750828729668444846705274517217217813"] | 500 | 5 | 1,655.967233 | 1,655.967233 | 10,569.23562 | true | false | [
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] | 20 | 3.5 | 0.012 | 0.04 | 0.042 | 0.054 | true | true | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |||||
528748 | Will Rippling mole be arrested by Friday? | 0x5882f0b040c40457c21e0098e00a50c120dced286c95901c4b554ee4ed02af84 | will-rippling-mole-be-arrested-by-friday | 2025-03-21T12:00:00Z | 10.25 | 2025-03-17T23:27:38.700132Z | On March 17, 2025, it was reported that a mole known as D.S., Rippling's Ireland-based Global Payroll Operations Lead, allegedly stole trade secrets for rival Deel and fled after locking himself in a bathroom to avoid a court order, prompting a high-profile corporate espionage lawsuit filed that day (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/17/business/dealbook/rippling-deel-corporate-spy.html)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the individual known as D.S. is arrested by March 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Actions such as questioning or detention without a formal arrest will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source will be official information from law enforcement agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.515", "0.485"] | null | true | false | 2025-03-17T22:46:38.448833Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:11.14746Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0x8657c1b75804c72314d4bf2c228fc50c2b35f616d4e01c1a1ef6e95f5d63a237 | true | 0.01 | 5 | null | 10.25 | 2025-03-21 | 2025-03-17 | true | null | ["69349623758151739162682107960119132842560458293089787899693434700260418211148", "35491728969419722357819656766746301223113099832769447933589466781703729645747"] | 500 | 5 | null | null | 10.25 | true | false | [
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] | 20 | 3.5 | 0.85 | null | 0.09 | 0.94 | true | true | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |||||
528732 | St. Mary's vs. American University | 0xb22ce9cb06a7f4e97c6a67f5ddf655ba3fe8bd83de663513970daacee5fc17d3 | cbb-smc-amer-2025-03-19 | https://www.ncaa.com/ | 2025-03-26T22:40:00Z | 1171.6 | 2025-03-17T22:03:43.540963Z | In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 19 at 6:40PM ET:
If the St. Mary's win, the market will resolve to “St. Mary's”.
If the American University win, the market will resolve to “American University”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. | ["St. Mary's", "American University"] | ["0.43", "0.57"] | null | true | false | 0xc8A8BBb2980B62f78CA6FcD48deFFFbf30773826 | 2025-03-17T22:01:12.243487Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:19.368204Z | true | null | null | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | St. Mary's vs. American University | null | 0x0af2d57f2855362903bd9729c10632f7e5f02bdc9b7d385604c245a0d9199b4d | true | 0.01 | 5 | null | 1,171.6 | 2025-03-26 | 2025-03-17 | true | null | ["55360210349973763843247505862816166063128751820096375446779735353483630039223", "81861875851486854384841093363720262655857730486497902774970179817367821810318"] | null | null | null | null | 1,171.6 | true | false | [
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"countryName": null... | false | false | 2025-03-17T22:02:33Z | false | 0.995124 | false | true | [
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] | 100 | 2.5 | 0.02 | null | 0.42 | 0.44 | true | true | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | 2025-03-19 22:40:00+00 | null | null | false | null | false | null | null | true | null | null | true | null | null | true | null | null | null | null | 20000000000000000 | null | 3 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | ||
528731 | Duterte released from custody in March? | 0xfcd5b961a55b34ae27440e1ced9c8dc875e1d686301f64f3aa403d9396a9b6c3 | duterte-released-from-custody-in-march | 2025-03-31T12:00:00Z | 811.5 | 2025-03-17T23:27:18.709185Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Duterte is released from custody by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Duterte is released from custody by the resolution date but remains under house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
If Duterte is released on bond, this will count as being released from custody and the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Duterte to another location of custody will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government bodies, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.1", "0.9"] | null | true | false | 2025-03-17T21:59:22.289581Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:11.154203Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0x9dfe17f4ffb219cc48d5852a90fdd8906143f9aa7d726923d90c2fd177a0b547 | true | 0.01 | 5 | null | 811.5 | 2025-03-31 | 2025-03-17 | true | null | ["72005115346774066892530166007433856203115838060880438781276824265228634738876", "88554739727540547981797368527349030061306797528952185889266175774249982699703"] | 500 | 5 | null | null | 811.5 | true | false | [
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"countryName": null... | false | false | 2025-03-17T23:26:08Z | false | 0.862069 | false | true | [
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] | 20 | 3.5 | 0.06 | null | 0.07 | 0.13 | true | true | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |||||
528730 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19? | 0x660c7bed877d0d6fed93ecd5b90ef7b3c858f02d9aed449417810e035c0e5842 | bitcoin-up-or-down-on-march-19 | 2025-03-19T12:00:00Z | 28273.392 | 2025-03-17T21:57:47.7192Z | This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 18 Mar '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 19 Mar '25 12:00 ET candle.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 18 Mar '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 19 Mar '25 12:00 ET candle.
If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. | ["Up", "Down"] | ["0.505", "0.495"] | 89.928216 | true | false | 2025-03-17T21:54:23.567742Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:12.91697Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0xc30930c014327195c8686d6f52f8be4f2629b465b9bee7425755179f1f217d97 | true | 0.01 | 5 | 89.928216 | 28,273.392 | 2025-03-19 | 2025-03-17 | true | 89.928216 | ["86883479840769512993275462088744783238485569472527252522206249890626129216344", "30695862957578027161756225670503064775184914723177609677898923432956922901142"] | 500 | 5 | 89.928216 | 89.928216 | 28,273.392 | true | false | [
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... | false | false | 2025-03-17T21:56:37Z | false | 0.999975 | false | true | [
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] | 100 | 3.5 | 0.01 | 0.51 | 0.5 | 0.51 | true | true | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |||||
528720 | Will Paulo Raimundo be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election? | 0x42b79fc99d476ce82d20373e69da81a8843fb346d102be3a31c00b713635877d | will-paulo-raimundo-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-portugal-after-the-2025-election | 2025-05-18T12:00:00Z | 9198.609 | 2025-03-17T21:51:40.054966Z | A snap legislative election will take place in Portugal on 18 May 2025 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic to the 17th Legislature.
This market will resolve according to the next Prime Minister of Portugal following the election.
Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Portugal is instated by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Portugal, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.012", "0.988"] | 40 | true | false | 2025-03-17T21:38:59.303732Z | 2025-03-18T01:22:55.365271Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Paulo Raimundo | 5 | 0x0f585ab8eea589fdb67592e5f4ed778b3b068b4792672bf245694d18686d4a05 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 40 | 9,198.609 | 2025-05-18 | 2025-03-17 | true | 40 | ["77586298524630294854486871665476039327695947706638430345508315597786386458144", "11651169268741794449188692167930802088702753835169604177904101037043646718807"] | 500 | 5 | 40 | 40 | 9,198.609 | true | true | [
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528719 | Will Mariana Mortágua be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election? | 0x1927e2109d38b64952586466cc391734a3dd19054cc0607d3f5ce2dee8472428 | will-mariana-mortgua-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-portugal-after-the-2025-election | 2025-05-18T12:00:00Z | 9113.198 | 2025-03-17T21:51:20.247476Z | A snap legislative election will take place in Portugal on 18 May 2025 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic to the 17th Legislature.
This market will resolve according to the next Prime Minister of Portugal following the election.
Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Portugal is instated by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Portugal, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.012", "0.988"] | 80 | true | false | 2025-03-17T21:38:58.891684Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:22.871863Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Mariana Mortágua | 4 | 0x0f585ab8eea589fdb67592e5f4ed778b3b068b4792672bf245694d18686d4a04 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 80 | 9,113.198 | 2025-05-18 | 2025-03-17 | true | 80 | ["2326473149075055857457446777966366821477057475935375975417464119249250940475", "113464871115042979036360825994064485463001048189030614261520649998068611124242"] | 500 | 5 | 80 | 80 | 9,113.198 | true | true | [
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528718 | Will Rui Rocha be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election? | 0x5083c3f6dd5d61450545f295d957c18c8354f1a0d9e0558de2e2dfb5fe715c44 | will-rui-rocha-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-portugal-after-the-2025-election | 2025-05-18T12:00:00Z | 9232.879 | 2025-03-17T21:50:55.620569Z | A snap legislative election will take place in Portugal on 18 May 2025 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic to the 17th Legislature.
This market will resolve according to the next Prime Minister of Portugal following the election.
Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Portugal is instated by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Portugal, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.012", "0.988"] | 80 | true | false | 2025-03-17T21:38:58.517255Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:19.376708Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Rui Rocha | 3 | 0x0f585ab8eea589fdb67592e5f4ed778b3b068b4792672bf245694d18686d4a03 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 80 | 9,232.879 | 2025-05-18 | 2025-03-17 | true | 80 | ["63592988947842040943581184645936269102377985830244540453528479185719411238191", "68967688840780600266410741190143679996781267983443170589318649659739714187124"] | 500 | 5 | 80 | 80 | 9,232.879 | true | true | [
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528717 | Will André Ventura be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election? | 0x18be3e38f5a3d92d7a556afe7fa59ab3b2e8fb16a349596a516c908b8060f589 | will-andr-ventura-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-portugal-after-the-2025-election | 2025-05-18T12:00:00Z | 2803.53074 | 2025-03-17T21:50:26.017543Z | A snap legislative election will take place in Portugal on 18 May 2025 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic to the 17th Legislature.
This market will resolve according to the next Prime Minister of Portugal following the election.
Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Portugal is instated by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Portugal, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.0425", "0.9575"] | 413 | true | false | 2025-03-17T21:38:58.144056Z | 2025-03-18T01:22:57.229137Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | André Ventura | 2 | 0x0f585ab8eea589fdb67592e5f4ed778b3b068b4792672bf245694d18686d4a02 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 413 | 2,803.53074 | 2025-05-18 | 2025-03-17 | true | 413 | ["15059698865879057866573868430705177078457059821864543457437816646388011115306", "50429484257106625162375599849691641706276149358881477584148194565870869141056"] | 500 | 5 | 413 | 413 | 2,803.53074 | true | true | [
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] | 20 | 3.5 | 0.033 | 0.035 | 0.026 | 0.059 | true | true | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | 0x0f585ab8eea589fdb67592e5f4ed778b3b068b4792672bf245694d18686d4a00 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | null | null | 0x756d429471f7b497f00fbd177f892f4cdef9ea55142de2d28fa05156e3089ba5 | null | null | null | null | |||||
528716 | Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election? | 0xc960789d6eb636756453f1d2cc30718c8a0d0fe90eedec1c2c35fcc3bf34c10a | will-pedro-nuno-santos-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-portugal-after-the-2025-election | 2025-05-18T12:00:00Z | 223.19 | 2025-03-17T21:49:41.833794Z | A snap legislative election will take place in Portugal on 18 May 2025 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic to the 17th Legislature.
This market will resolve according to the next Prime Minister of Portugal following the election.
Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Portugal is instated by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Portugal, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.415", "0.585"] | 80 | true | false | 2025-03-17T21:38:57.769612Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:19.430107Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Pedro Nuno Santos | 1 | 0x0f585ab8eea589fdb67592e5f4ed778b3b068b4792672bf245694d18686d4a01 | true | 0.01 | 5 | 80 | 223.19 | 2025-05-18 | 2025-03-17 | true | 80 | ["103408456543982918741631546926582499559751268006715243899931614375669333329334", "45509033648080949410894513081348383630179132100243739971239206686364821376656"] | 500 | 5 | 80 | 80 | 223.19 | true | true | [
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] | 20 | 3.5 | 0.19 | null | 0.32 | 0.51 | true | true | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | 0x0f585ab8eea589fdb67592e5f4ed778b3b068b4792672bf245694d18686d4a00 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | null | null | 0x82dc088fc3774fdf5c906072607cc0d340523118f0c2ae3a4599b17164066787 | null | null | null | null | |||||
528715 | Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election? | 0x9c9b36943cd88e99e15e54cc6df7dacaa15f1ce4f7578bcb76edb7b0c4c2be3e | will-lus-montenegro-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-portugal-after-the-2025-election | 2025-05-18T12:00:00Z | 111.35 | 2025-03-17T21:49:24.90372Z | A snap legislative election will take place in Portugal on 18 May 2025 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic to the 17th Legislature.
This market will resolve according to the next Prime Minister of Portugal following the election.
Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Portugal is instated by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Portugal, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.285", "0.715"] | 80 | true | false | 2025-03-17T21:38:57.366013Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:14.28058Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Luís Montenegro | 0 | 0x0f585ab8eea589fdb67592e5f4ed778b3b068b4792672bf245694d18686d4a00 | true | 0.01 | 5 | 80 | 111.35 | 2025-05-18 | 2025-03-17 | true | 80 | ["57171538899557312796002422764720102313676121453159553748387604114819026875735", "112117749796427311963513621877248158709552430275832641566072906259041630628454"] | 500 | 5 | 80 | 80 | 111.35 | true | true | [
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] | 20 | 3.5 | 0.45 | null | 0.06 | 0.51 | true | true | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | 0x0f585ab8eea589fdb67592e5f4ed778b3b068b4792672bf245694d18686d4a00 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | null | null | 0x6cf522b11b0350d21b2ec8b9d4577fdedffd2d522a2954fa0f02d80da8e53b35 | null | null | null | null | |||||
528714 | Jan Blachowicz vs. Carlos Ulberg | 0xb80d828e77a361347665ff382c995da59cc641568212588c94619b4b2fc7d389 | jan-blachowicz-vs-carlos-ulberg | null | 1077.58 | 2025-03-17T23:28:02.518301Z | This is a market on whether Jan Blachowicz vs. Carlos Ulberg will win their bout at UFC Fight Night: Leon Edwards vs. Sean Brady, scheduled for March 22, 2025.
If Jan Blachowicz is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to "Blachowicz."
If Carlos Ulberg is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to "Ulberg."
If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after April 22, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The Resolution source will be ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. | ["Blachowicz", "Ulberg"] | ["0.33", "0.67"] | null | true | false | 2025-03-17T21:31:34.086468Z | 2025-03-18T01:22:38.374552Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | Blachowicz vs Ulberg | 1 | 0x670ef489eb3bd7d94f83912c15935838f0225edd82e2d5701d724d3afdf995df | true | 0.01 | 5 | null | 1,077.58 | null | 2025-03-17 | true | null | ["71293670822025494579502842828090752311142812294030663729210593700968187363163", "113885451343322574680833212122482304108968947507121096281501189927101939270668"] | 500 | 5 | null | null | 1,077.58 | true | false | [
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"countryName": null... | false | false | 2025-03-17T23:26:54Z | false | 0.971912 | false | true | null | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | null | 0.28 | 0.38 | true | true | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |||||
528711 | Will the Conservatives win more than 210 seats in the next Canadian Election? | 0xf439167803d09f517464c2af6de878028393d53712e87cb524fc7bd7e34bd66b | will-the-conservatives-win-more-than-210-seats-in-the-next-canadian-election | null | 2025-10-20T12:00:00Z | 1132.35 | 2025-03-17T21:53:40.970956Z | The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats the Conservative Party of Canada wins in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.0315", "0.9685"] | null | true | false | 2025-03-17T20:55:35.854166Z | 2025-03-18T01:22:54.723328Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | >210 | 9 | 0x262a0a16f486f5e4ca1e396363907ca0ac6bc4aeb2a1927ec67716437b837509 | true | 0.001 | 5 | null | 1,132.35 | 2025-10-20 | 2025-03-17 | true | null | ["41158012981152993453171185396585304167580490877632652170470172852444624508269", "76923063685845500378385222914541394408171713080480961611290026539049901783051"] | 500 | 5 | null | null | 1,132.35 | true | true | [
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] | 20 | 3.5 | 0.041 | null | 0.011 | 0.052 | true | true | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | 0x262a0a16f486f5e4ca1e396363907ca0ac6bc4aeb2a1927ec67716437b837500 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | null | null | 0xdaeff40a38270cfca3a8bb336e649c5e22da313eb526acb529118d9541f99a9b | null | null | null | null | |||
528710 | Will the Conservatives win between 190-210 seats in the next Canadian Election? | 0x8f03165be56ead480596a8dd1d8dd46c7b3a403fcd9dfd33e4fa91227ce0ed57 | will-the-conservatives-win-between-190-210-seats-in-the-next-canadian-election | null | 2025-10-20T12:00:00Z | 1917.831 | 2025-03-17T21:53:11.141464Z | The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats the Conservative Party of Canada wins in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.0345", "0.9655"] | null | true | false | 2025-03-17T20:55:35.154611Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:14.238172Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | 190-210 | 8 | 0x262a0a16f486f5e4ca1e396363907ca0ac6bc4aeb2a1927ec67716437b837508 | true | 0.001 | 5 | null | 1,917.831 | 2025-10-20 | 2025-03-17 | true | null | ["109821291353463892167181293533118419640785379315467953096759462689734758670656", "37728773265296926531642835621530973688630867598768489152245218212104543324641"] | 500 | 5 | null | null | 1,917.831 | true | true | [
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528709 | Will the Conservatives win between 180-189 seats in the next Canadian Election? | 0x9b76ffc534c877a9e579cb099eb563f64c852abb0384e99255b6eb536138fcc3 | will-the-conservatives-win-between-180-189-seats-in-the-next-canadian-election | null | 2025-10-20T12:00:00Z | 5131.251 | 2025-03-17T21:52:50.768267Z | The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats the Conservative Party of Canada wins in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.125", "0.875"] | 100 | true | false | 2025-03-17T20:55:34.447623Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:14.325357Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | 180-189 | 7 | 0x262a0a16f486f5e4ca1e396363907ca0ac6bc4aeb2a1927ec67716437b837507 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 100 | 5,131.251 | 2025-10-20 | 2025-03-17 | true | 100 | ["16061387596787261090564918437923127824060316740257252756803930901940065704014", "57225485729723681002786763418187146736580731151429042066509957313535724405899"] | 500 | 5 | 100 | 100 | 5,131.251 | true | true | [
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528708 | Will the Conservatives win between 170-179 seats in the next Canadian Election? | 0x51d61e53c016d19e8bfe0b7a5334bab3689ffff880fa08c0d1e278800a96d88b | will-the-conservatives-win-between-170-179-seats-in-the-next-canadian-election | null | 2025-10-20T12:00:00Z | 2527.9 | 2025-03-17T21:52:10.098111Z | The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats the Conservative Party of Canada wins in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.145", "0.855"] | 200 | true | false | 2025-03-17T20:55:33.732224Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:13.074424Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | 170-179 | 6 | 0x262a0a16f486f5e4ca1e396363907ca0ac6bc4aeb2a1927ec67716437b837506 | true | 0.01 | 5 | 200 | 2,527.9 | 2025-10-20 | 2025-03-17 | true | 200 | ["23295338497461227858348485280445421005579367105005598865598723446592802771050", "94615963007860847689073967337377937282564104949938185371749553414334423292096"] | 500 | 5 | 200 | 200 | 2,527.9 | true | true | [
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528707 | Will the Conservatives win between 160-169 seats in the next Canadian Election? | 0x55d9667231171e8ecd6b52606fa8d1d95efc5de865df99da8d05b4b14f2a2fb0 | will-the-conservatives-win-between-160-169-seats-in-the-next-canadian-election | null | 2025-10-20T12:00:00Z | 2476.81 | 2025-03-17T21:51:46.976467Z | The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats the Conservative Party of Canada wins in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.17", "0.83"] | 716.5 | true | false | 2025-03-17T20:55:33.005161Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:19.413121Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | 160-169 | 5 | 0x262a0a16f486f5e4ca1e396363907ca0ac6bc4aeb2a1927ec67716437b837505 | true | 0.01 | 5 | 716.5 | 2,476.81 | 2025-10-20 | 2025-03-17 | true | 716.5 | ["31113241328593601488193921915299749016532304129616015987293970595736096180761", "31270286690041528066085792992116517016208554776340281028750308017428397207333"] | 500 | 5 | 716.5 | 716.5 | 2,476.81 | true | true | [
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] | 20 | 3.5 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.05 | 0.29 | true | true | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | 0x262a0a16f486f5e4ca1e396363907ca0ac6bc4aeb2a1927ec67716437b837500 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | null | null | 0xf75d3049b276d0fea42149a07cbaadf83a96ddab1910340e2043771ecf8b9a93 | null | null | null | null | |||
528706 | Will the Conservatives win between 150-159 seats in the next Canadian Election? | 0x7cc4c850066f540ad0dd37e62290079639959d9cccce7db6d024f6d608742f2a | will-the-conservatives-win-between-150-159-seats-in-the-next-canadian-election | null | 2025-10-20T12:00:00Z | 2776.661 | 2025-03-17T21:51:16.060538Z | The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats the Conservative Party of Canada wins in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.19", "0.81"] | 1433.404759 | true | false | 2025-03-17T20:55:32.295312Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:22.79554Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | 150-159 | 4 | 0x262a0a16f486f5e4ca1e396363907ca0ac6bc4aeb2a1927ec67716437b837504 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 1,433.404759 | 2,776.661 | 2025-10-20 | 2025-03-17 | true | 1,433.404759 | ["115402324564384835861003165825273915856695851580103449829093823306954678131046", "35888665881180490025286229281178320510463345812140249211644651401065109210911"] | 500 | 5 | 1,433.404759 | 1,433.404759 | 2,776.661 | true | true | [
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] | 20 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.09 | 0.29 | true | true | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | 0x262a0a16f486f5e4ca1e396363907ca0ac6bc4aeb2a1927ec67716437b837500 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | null | null | 0xc81845552f12ab856eb25e1d40736c87a6ad6368e58eaaa48e32c40b0ab84928 | null | null | null | null | |||
528705 | Will the Conservatives win between 140-149 seats in the next Canadian Election? | 0x429e8a18f7d735891d10b4c3d5fb69a9b8b4df21e28005ce0b57518637bb042c | will-the-conservatives-win-between-140-149-seats-in-the-next-canadian-election | null | 2025-10-20T12:00:00Z | 3882.6292 | 2025-03-17T21:50:46.363479Z | The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats the Conservative Party of Canada wins in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.235", "0.765"] | 924.738187 | true | false | 2025-03-17T20:55:31.609289Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:22.80381Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | 140-149 | 3 | 0x262a0a16f486f5e4ca1e396363907ca0ac6bc4aeb2a1927ec67716437b837503 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 924.738187 | 3,882.6292 | 2025-10-20 | 2025-03-17 | true | 924.738187 | ["65092846443796905254345813955684242504064495068310519554632471467633081276379", "3047420281389452646026469422092786952361657986151734682997161672775231420882"] | 500 | 5 | 924.738187 | 924.738187 | 3,882.6292 | true | true | [
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] | 20 | 3.5 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.13 | 0.34 | true | true | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | 0x262a0a16f486f5e4ca1e396363907ca0ac6bc4aeb2a1927ec67716437b837500 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | null | null | 0x689153756abb6b7d92dadfb3cce6996258074e12937b25fc08335be52916967b | null | null | null | null | |||
528704 | Will the Conservatives win between 120-139 seats in the next Canadian Election? | 0xe503d2ca11ec7c46b5cfbf29a91d5eed17eef79cb866432633d163b285ebc0f5 | will-the-conservatives-win-between-120-139-seats-in-the-next-canadian-election | null | 2025-10-20T12:00:00Z | 2623.9729 | 2025-03-17T21:50:26.015693Z | The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats the Conservative Party of Canada wins in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.26", "0.74"] | 195.827933 | true | false | 2025-03-17T20:55:30.885507Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:13.144265Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | 120-139 | 2 | 0x262a0a16f486f5e4ca1e396363907ca0ac6bc4aeb2a1927ec67716437b837502 | true | 0.01 | 5 | 195.827933 | 2,623.9729 | 2025-10-20 | 2025-03-17 | true | 195.827933 | ["38865314631882627191317648460217950298285316214826773515462159031834495044091", "112203138675681890754771457527560591185234509502053249822560952154991282638875"] | 500 | 5 | 195.827933 | 195.827933 | 2,623.9729 | true | true | [
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] | 20 | 3.5 | 0.04 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.28 | true | true | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | 0x262a0a16f486f5e4ca1e396363907ca0ac6bc4aeb2a1927ec67716437b837500 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | null | null | 0x73508d0bce0d30fde088d9be036be8fae86ec0e0b9ef827cc8915e137941ffe3 | null | null | null | null | |||
528703 | Will the Conservatives win between 100-119 seats in the next Canadian Election? | 0x5a1e95716ced25cf3fb868606fc17ae5e258011a166a9cc39682ac8c3062b347 | will-the-conservatives-win-between-100-119-seats-in-the-next-canadian-election | null | 2025-10-20T12:00:00Z | 4168.1014 | 2025-03-17T21:49:31.172653Z | The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats the Conservative Party of Canada wins in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.125", "0.875"] | 2.24719 | true | false | 2025-03-17T20:55:30.162267Z | 2025-03-18T01:22:49.633451Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | 100-119 | 1 | 0x262a0a16f486f5e4ca1e396363907ca0ac6bc4aeb2a1927ec67716437b837501 | true | 0.01 | 5 | 2.24719 | 4,168.1014 | 2025-10-20 | 2025-03-17 | true | 2.24719 | ["48995198075466550054795175269748284880870960037932264341567934840650763244932", "37322634581413183877674720881905611020641137191236971926729085516509214208920"] | 500 | 5 | 2.24719 | 2.24719 | 4,168.1014 | true | true | [
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528702 | Will the Conservatives win less than 100 seats in the next Canadian Election? | 0xf886120c8bf1e9fcc75ce7de84312c17c4d185423de8d2d1987b1c96f797e595 | will-the-conservatives-win-less-than-100-seats-in-the-next-canadian-election | null | 2025-10-20T12:00:00Z | 4717.69413 | 2025-03-17T21:49:31.169981Z | The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats the Conservative Party of Canada wins in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx). | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.0305", "0.9695"] | 2.02425 | true | false | 2025-03-17T20:55:29.455884Z | 2025-03-18T01:23:43.295778Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | <100 | 0 | 0x262a0a16f486f5e4ca1e396363907ca0ac6bc4aeb2a1927ec67716437b837500 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 2.02425 | 4,717.69413 | 2025-10-20 | 2025-03-17 | true | 2.02425 | ["31343823675233651449190634574488067047810918257544168591628772017266786629436", "49331073322947326290930416126535025569157694602819222738404120012917224386747"] | 500 | 5 | 2.02425 | 2.02425 | 4,717.69413 | true | true | [
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528696 | Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday? | 0xcda84f0602e41eca6e97748d93108ca768ab9b13e827d49837cd2185c83af887 | trump-releases-jfk-files-by-tuesday | 2025-03-18T12:00:00Z | 6685.9601 | 2025-03-17T20:58:32.62255Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any previously classified files pertaining to the assassination of John Fitzgerald Kennedy by March 18, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.8915", "0.1085"] | 22820.518057 | true | false | 2025-03-17T20:49:20.500742Z | 2025-03-18T01:22:35.15488Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0x6262aea248d4c902f8f8f123cc2dd13a5f7e80e4a4723590a6246d3a046496d6 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 22,820.518057 | 6,685.9601 | 2025-03-18 | 2025-03-17 | true | 22,820.518057 | ["104711616226594617000050459266485284220655716819115776392589138314392466755107", "72005459535046661721458652828287774281891509335275903997032326675599832576720"] | 500 | 5 | 22,820.518057 | 22,820.518057 | 6,685.9601 | true | false | [
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] | 100 | 3.5 | 0.019 | 0.902 | 0.882 | 0.901 | true | true | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | |||||
528689 | Will the Unitary Democratic Coalition (PCP+PEV) win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election? | 0xa1f4a817108d237940e59051fcae75e35ae7dc1e137c35e6243c1bb77ec44487 | will-the-unitary-democratic-coalition-pcppev-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2025-portuguese-legislative-election | 2025-05-18T12:00:00Z | 11753.98595 | 2025-03-17T21:30:05.988588Z | A snap legislative election will take place in Portugal on 18 May 2025 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic to the 17th Legislature.
This market will resolve to the political party that controls the most seats in Portugal's Assembly of the Republic as a result of the upcoming election.
If voting in the next Portugal election for the Assembly of the Republic does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Portugal’s government (e.g. via https://www.portaldoeleitor.pt/en/Pages/default.aspx).
Note:
The AD (Democratic Alliance), composed of PSD (Social Democratic Party), CDS–PP (People's Party) and PPM (People's Monarchist Party) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for AD (Democratic Alliance) will be assigned to the PSD (Social Democratic Party).
The CDU (Unitary Democratic Coalition), composed of the Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and the Ecologist Party "The Greens" (PEV) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for CDU (Unitary Democratic Coalition) will be assigned to PCP (Portuguese Communist Party) . | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.01", "0.99"] | 1162.43 | true | false | 2025-03-17T20:41:09.041102Z | 2025-03-18T01:22:50.34536Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | CDU (Unitary Democratic Coalition) | 7 | 0x7be5767c0bd0804d16d8c5140526561a797d75160a8b4ad29a0d07ac23e0f707 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 1,162.43 | 11,753.98595 | 2025-05-18 | 2025-03-17 | true | 1,162.43 | ["32261934690090048420439636965843246358100195598843642062689683333229928825122", "51118747153479708403298199116591542163703825156824059557126016788367882257591"] | 500 | 5 | 1,162.43 | 1,162.43 | 11,753.98595 | true | true | [
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"countryName": "Portug... | false | false | 2025-03-17T21:28:55Z | false | 0.806387 | false | true | [
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] | 20 | 3.5 | 0.012 | null | 0.004 | 0.016 | true | true | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | 0x7be5767c0bd0804d16d8c5140526561a797d75160a8b4ad29a0d07ac23e0f700 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | null | null | 0xece336d864d3160c319105c1184edea57e21488193b7edfcdd8eab1cfccb7dd2 | null | null | null | null | |||||
528688 | Will Livre win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election? | 0x88e1379369e64f6a3fff8e0da42a136862e227eb516977832e04511bd778e8b8 | will-livre-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2025-portuguese-legislative-election | 2025-05-18T12:00:00Z | 9014.04538 | 2025-03-17T21:29:11.7582Z | A snap legislative election will take place in Portugal on 18 May 2025 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic to the 17th Legislature.
This market will resolve to the political party that controls the most seats in Portugal's Assembly of the Republic as a result of the upcoming election.
If voting in the next Portugal election for the Assembly of the Republic does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Portugal’s government (e.g. via https://www.portaldoeleitor.pt/en/Pages/default.aspx).
Note:
The AD (Democratic Alliance), composed of PSD (Social Democratic Party), CDS–PP (People's Party) and PPM (People's Monarchist Party) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for AD (Democratic Alliance) will be assigned to the PSD (Social Democratic Party).
The CDU (Unitary Democratic Coalition), composed of the Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and the Ecologist Party "The Greens" (PEV) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for CDU (Unitary Democratic Coalition) will be assigned to PCP (Portuguese Communist Party) . | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0.016", "0.984"] | 237.43 | true | false | 2025-03-17T20:41:08.599485Z | 2025-03-18T01:21:55.588177Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | L (Livre) | 6 | 0x7be5767c0bd0804d16d8c5140526561a797d75160a8b4ad29a0d07ac23e0f706 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 237.43 | 9,014.04538 | 2025-05-18 | 2025-03-17 | true | 237.43 | ["52751046452229649713496016650084639987245509474072726014183432115433475908011", "95174565159042318873938266630269361068998077091138311992660438365824280379525"] | 500 | 5 | 237.43 | 237.43 | 9,014.04538 | true | true | [
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"countryName": "Portug... | false | false | 2025-03-17T21:28:05Z | false | 0.810205 | false | true | [
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] | 20 | 3.5 | 0.028 | null | 0.002 | 0.03 | true | true | false | false | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | 0x7be5767c0bd0804d16d8c5140526561a797d75160a8b4ad29a0d07ac23e0f700 | null | null | null | null | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | false | null | null | null | null | null | 0xa44dc4ed8ff85ad18d8899fb26526718bbf3cf7711a8fa628b160c4ea8edbfbb | null | null | null | null |
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