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π± WhaleDoxer Alpha: Resolved Insider Signals
WhaleDoxer is a high-precision surveillance engine for prediction markets (Polymarket & Kalshi). This dataset contains an audit trail of Anomalous Trades that were flagged by the engine's Z-Score sensors and subsequently resolved by the market outcome.
π¬ Dataset Purpose
This data is intended for researchers and data engineers building Information Asymmetry Models. By analyzing the "footprints" of these anomalous trades against their actual outcomes (Brier Scores), you can identify patterns associated with "Informed Flow" (Insiders) versus "Speculative Noise" (Gamblers).
π‘οΈ Anonymization & Privacy
To protect market participants while preserving behavioral relationships, all wallet addresses have been SHA-256 Hashed with a Private Salt.
- Hash Formula:
sha256(lowercase(wallet_address) + salt) - Researchers can track the same entity across multiple trades but cannot resolve the underlying 0x address without the private salt.
π Schema Description
| Column | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
wallet_hash |
string | SHA-256 anonymized entity identifier. |
market_id |
string | Unique ticker (Kalshi) or ConditionID (Polymarket). |
source |
string | Exchange source (kalshi or polymarket). |
z_score |
float | Statistical deviation from the rolling volume baseline. |
price |
float | Execution price of the trade (0.0 to 1.0). |
amount |
float | Total notional value (USDC or Contracts). |
trade_timestamp |
timestamp | When the trade hit the exchange ledger. |
p_insider |
float | Composite suspicion score calculated by WhaleDoxer. |
brier_score |
float | Accuracy metric: (p_insider - outcome)^2. Lower is better. |
outcome |
float | Final settlement result (1.0 for YES, 0.0 for NO). |
resolved_at |
timestamp | When the market was officially settled. |
π Usage
This dataset is exported weekly via the WhaleDoxer Airflow Pipeline. It is stored in ZSTD-compressed Parquet format for maximum query performance.
from datasets import load_dataset
dataset = load_dataset("dansiegel/whaledoxer-alpha")
df = dataset['train'].to_pandas()
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