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πŸ”± WhaleDoxer Alpha: Resolved Insider Signals

WhaleDoxer is a high-precision surveillance engine for prediction markets (Polymarket & Kalshi). This dataset contains an audit trail of Anomalous Trades that were flagged by the engine's Z-Score sensors and subsequently resolved by the market outcome.

πŸ”¬ Dataset Purpose

This data is intended for researchers and data engineers building Information Asymmetry Models. By analyzing the "footprints" of these anomalous trades against their actual outcomes (Brier Scores), you can identify patterns associated with "Informed Flow" (Insiders) versus "Speculative Noise" (Gamblers).

πŸ›‘οΈ Anonymization & Privacy

To protect market participants while preserving behavioral relationships, all wallet addresses have been SHA-256 Hashed with a Private Salt.

  • Hash Formula: sha256(lowercase(wallet_address) + salt)
  • Researchers can track the same entity across multiple trades but cannot resolve the underlying 0x address without the private salt.

πŸ“Š Schema Description

Column Type Description
wallet_hash string SHA-256 anonymized entity identifier.
market_id string Unique ticker (Kalshi) or ConditionID (Polymarket).
source string Exchange source (kalshi or polymarket).
z_score float Statistical deviation from the rolling volume baseline.
price float Execution price of the trade (0.0 to 1.0).
amount float Total notional value (USDC or Contracts).
trade_timestamp timestamp When the trade hit the exchange ledger.
p_insider float Composite suspicion score calculated by WhaleDoxer.
brier_score float Accuracy metric: (p_insider - outcome)^2. Lower is better.
outcome float Final settlement result (1.0 for YES, 0.0 for NO).
resolved_at timestamp When the market was officially settled.

πŸš€ Usage

This dataset is exported weekly via the WhaleDoxer Airflow Pipeline. It is stored in ZSTD-compressed Parquet format for maximum query performance.

from datasets import load_dataset

dataset = load_dataset("dansiegel/whaledoxer-alpha")
df = dataset['train'].to_pandas()
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