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Now we add groupthink laziness. Just as the Remain campaign were lazy and didn’t challenge the Brexit camp openly enough, so the Democrats really didn’t believe that Trump could win and consequently waged the wrong campaign. Or at least didn’t push their messages across in the right way to connect with the lower educated or lazy groups (quote from Mr Mike Rundle).
Asking for and taking harmless personal data.
Allows you to identify and define the level of manipulation/content required to influence.
An algorithm as old as time because - however long the circumference - life and civilisation goes in circles. The Athenians and the ancient Chinese (specifically the Han dynasty) - knew that playing on people's inertia can create a false sense of dependency and trust allowing messages and influence to be (depending on individual opinion) manipulated.
Putin knows this, Cambridge Analytica know this, Mark Zuckerberg knows this - and today although the delivery method has changed - the algorithm is the same as it ever was.
The Hotel is Located Downtown, within Walking Distance to Commercial Area. The Hotel is 30 minutes from the International Airport. Casino - In House.
Amen and Amen! More than just “enough” – He is ALL! Well said Milt! May His bride be ever increased and His Name be elevated to the Highest!
I was convicted just this morning how radical and revolutionary the early church was because of their devotion to the Lord Jesus. They knew who was central to their gospel, who it was that made them radically countercultural as they confronted their culture with (the one who is) the Truth… I was watching the Olympics pushing us (U.S.) to take pride in our culture. I was reminded that we’ve got to truly live as the aliens and strangers we are within this culture, living as the ambassadors of the King of a different kingdom than the kingdoms of this world. When Christ truly is enough his church is radically countercultural. Thanks Milt… Right on.
Great post by Milt! Thanks for re-posting Donnalee. Some years ago I posted a blog ‘Christ Is Enough,’ and then updated it with ‘Christ, More Than Enough’ – both sprang out of our South African experience/context, and received more visits than most of my other blogs.
Beautiful, powerful post, Milt. I need to be constantly reminded to set my face as a flint and be enraptured by the face of Christ. The ekklesia loves and misses you.
This adorable quilt pattern is the "purrfect" choice for a baby quilt. Do it in pastels or primary colors and the results will be great! Design uses traditional piecing methods, and step-by-step instructions are provided. Design is not paper pieced. Finished size: 36" x 38".
GSES recently gave a presentation at the APVI workshop in Brisbane as part of the International Battery Association conference. The presentation considered the drivers of battery storage, possible future business models, and the impacts on generators.
This article was collectively authored by Jono Pye (who gave the presentation at APVI) and others in the GSES team.
There is no such thing as a ‘natural market’ when it comes to electricity – there is nothing natural about buying and selling electrons.
All electricity markets are designed around the technology available at the time, which up until now has been large centralised generators that are located close to their fossil fuel resource. The business models of generators, transmission/distribution companies and retailers are similarly based on the available technology (and existing market).
Distributed PV has already had a serious impact on presumed business models. It is constantly flagged that soon the price of batteries will fall to the point where distributed storage is common place. Such a dramatic shift in the technology of the electricity market promises to disrupt many of the incumbent players . Much has been written about the utility ‘death spiral’, in which utilities, facing a reduction in the use of their networks, will increase the unit cost of energy to make up their revenue, which in turn will increase the incentive for customers to use less energy.
2) that there is either no need for a back-up power source or that a grid connection is more expensive than a generator.
In suburban areas with houses powered by distributed PV with battery storage, there will still be the need for a grid and a utility to manage it. The question then becomes: how will distributed storage integrate into the current market?
To a large extent this will depend on which stakeholders in the industry retain ownership of the batteries; whether this ownership rests with private individuals, utilities or a new type of gentailer.
Privately owned systems present the greatest threat to utilities and retailers, as customers with these systems are theoretically able to provide all their own energy needs.
Although there will be a market for these systems, they will have a high upfront cost and leave the owner responsible for their maintenance and to pay for equipment failures in the system.
The group of customers that go down this path of self-ownership will be the early adopters; those that have been waiting eagerly for the price of batteries to drop to a point they can exploit their PV systems to their full potential, and be completely self-reliant.
Distributed storage will allow customers to leave the grid entirely.
The role of a utility is to provide the infrastructure required for consumers to have access to electricity – batteries could be viewed as a simple extension of this infrastructure.
Utilities could provide batteries at street level that were owned and operated by the utility, dispatching during peak times to reduce the demand and strain on their network.
How this would function with the wholesale electricity market (and the market rules) would be challenging, with the utilities themselves buying electricity during low periods to charge batteries, and using it to suppress demand during peaks.
Utilities could operate batteries either at a street or residential level.
Utilities could also provide batteries in the home. In this situation, the utility would retain ownership of the battery and lease its use to the customer. Customers could then choose how they utilise the system; either storing energy from their PV array, or from the grid during low demand.
Whatever the ownership model, in this new market there will still be a need for a back-up power source: to provide power for PV customers during periods of low irradiance, and to charge the batteries of those customers who do not have PV.
The purpose of an energy retailer is to buy energy from the wholesale market on a customer’s behalf and deliver it to their door, paying the network providers for their services along the way.
In order to ensure they can supply the required energy throughout the day, retailers either hold Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs), or physically hedge themselves with their own fleet of generators. Coal traditionally supplies the baseline, with open and combined cycle gas turbines supplying the peaks.
In many ways, distributed storage can be thought of in the same way as a peaking generator. When a retailer acquires a new customer, instead of ensuring they have enough generation or futures contracts to cover the new demand, they will also have the option to install a storage system (either with or without PV).
Retailers will be able to provide customers with the energy they need through a mixture of battery storage, PV, and the wholesale market. This mixture can be optimised to suit either their generation assets or existing power purchase agreements.
The benefit to customers in this situation is that all risk and responsibility are carried by the retailer. Very little changes in the way the consumer must think of their energy consumption: being able to pay either a fixed monthly lease payment, or a tariff rate for their energy.
This model also provides Gentailers with an incentive to maintain the system and process equipment at its end of life, hopefully leading to responsible recycling and reclamation of these products.
This article was collectively authored by Jono Pye, and others in the team at GSES (Global Sustainable Energy Solutions).
GSES is a renewable energy engineering, training and consultancy company specialising in photovoltaic solar design, online and face-to-face solar training, publishing solar books and PV system audits.
Further background to Jono can be found on Jono’s LinkedIn profile.
Fast Frequency Service – Treating the symptom not the cause?
The National Electricity Market (NEM) is designed to operate at 50 Hz. Frequency deviation occurs when generation and load are mismatched. It is important in a lightly meshed and long network such as the NEM to maintain tight frequency control and that frequency response is available throughout the network.
After spending a day looking into the future (at prospective generation developments) I noted this reverse correlation between wind and volatility that’s been occurring over the week.
7 Comments on "Three Possible Business Models for Distributed Storage"
I think you are missing the other option that will be relevant in many locations. Community ownership can be considered a mix of private and utility ownership where the term “distributed” really comes into its own – and local smart-grids can implement the integration of all relevant options in the most economical way.
Local smart-grids (community or utility owned) will need to operate like the internet, where various levels of operation will occur to meet current conditions. As far as end-users are concerned, their power supplies should be seamlessly selected from the available supplies – via the transmission system or from local sources depending on availability, security and cost considerations.
There could be others evolve, as well – in the NEM there are a couple of Demand Response Aggregators operating in a variety of forms. It may be them that take the step of owning and dispatching the resources.
I think you raise a good point, local mini grids have many advantages and I think there is definite potential for these, particularly in rural areas. The business model will be much more of a complete energy provider, supplying both generation and distribution (gentility?). There is the potential for a large cost saving with this model, and I think it will become more common as the price of storage drops below distribution infrastructure costs.
just had to say that a co-op and that is what you are getting at will not work (sorry) no co-op works that good.
Stand alone is the only way to go. Generate your own power,store it in battery’s and use it when you need it.
Now generating power and have it on hand is the hard part so it seems I must admit that it could not be done however I have seen a genorator that works off a 12 volt system and genorates it’s own power running an inverter that runs this persons home. He made it in his shed.
It was something I had never seen before and I have been round for 1/2 a century. It really did work how I do not know! Will he make another one not sure! Will he sell it I can give the answer to that NO I tried to buy it but no way and I had to make sure I did not tell anyone his name or where he lives.
No co-op works that well?
I would have thought coops for electrons would suffer seriously with small scale operation due to the problem of peak demand and all electrons not being of the same value at varying times. The coop would clearly need to engage itself with demand management- ie smart meters and peak pricing and the investment and admin of that on a small scale may well prove the greatest hurdle, absent the economies of scale of Big Gen now.
As well we live in a mobile world and attaching a lien to my home via a street, block or whole suburb power coop would be one I’d have to carefully consider buying into. After all if I sell up and move, there’s no guarantee the next buyer wants to be shackled with my home’s power coop obligation. That would leave most to consider stand alone system economics only and their risk return should there be a change of plans and any forced move in future. Again Big Gen has the edge over any small scale coop there.
3. Retailing in India  Retailing in India is one of the pillars of its economy and accounts for 14 to 15 per cent of its GDP.  The Indian retail market is estimated to be US$ 450 billion and one of the top five retail markets in the world by economic value.  India is one of the fastest growing retail markets in the world, with 1.2 billion people.  Indian Retail is broadly divided into 2 categories viz. Unorganized Retail and Organized retail  In the year 2004, ratio of organized-Unorganized retail was 3:97 which is expected to be 9:91 by 2013.
4. Unorganized Retail includes the local kirana shops, owner manned general stores, paan/beedi shops, convenience stores, hand cart, etc On the other hand, organized retail comprises of hypermarkets and retail chains, Shopping malls etc.
5. Deloitte Says! Organized retail, which constitutes 8 per cent of the total retail market, will grow much faster than traditional retail. It is expected to gain a higher share in the growing pie of the retail market in India. Various estimates put the share of organized retail as 20 per cent by 2020.
6. Retail Market India The Indian retail industry has experienced growth of 10.6% between 2010 and 2012 and is expected to increase to USD 750-850 billion by 2015. Food and Grocery is the largest category within the retail sector with 60 per cent share followed by Apparel and Mobile segment.
7. Retail Market India (contd…) Within the organized retail sector, Apparel is the largest segment. “Food and Grocery” and “Mobile and telecom” are the other major contributors to this segment.
11. The trading environment  Most consumers take as little as 3 seconds to pass the entrance to your business.  The frontage and fascia, the windows and the displays all need to arrest the customers attention.  This is why so much investment is made into new shop fronts because if the business looks exciting, then there is a likelihood that the customer will come in and seek more information about your products and services.
13. Factors affecting consumer behavior  Greed: Drives a customer to purchase more than what he or she need. A wide range of options, better products, and lower prices generate the increased desire to purchase.  Fear to loose opportunity: Higher purchase is driven by the fear that current price offer may not be available for long-time and thus the product has to be purchased at once.  Envy or Demonstration Effect: Envy sets in when a customer sees others buying and making the best out of deal.  Price-value Equation: It is believed that Average Indian customer is highly PriceSensitive and looks for savings in terms of money in their grocery purchase.  Private-Label Brands: In India the concept of Private-Label Brand is in its nascent stage and customers still rely on branded product.
14. Some key observations  Lower income Indians feel alienated in the shiny environment of modern retail stores.  Lower income Indians move and find lot of comfort in crowds, so they normally hesitate in visiting the stores having broader area coverage.  It is observed during the research that given the right environment and a correct emotional connect with customers, anything is possible , as Big Bazaar did by celebrating “Sabse Sasta Din” , on 26th January and attracted the unexpected crowd.  Customers feel conservative to buy fruits & Vegetable from air-conditioned supermarkets.  Customers looked into Price-Value equation. Most of the retailers report that customers were very much conscious for the value, and they usually compared the value sacrificed & received.
15. Some key observations (contd…)  Retailers often overlook the schemes & offerings expected by the customers and tried to impose their own offerings upon customers which ultimately cause the dissatisfaction.  Shopkeepers dealing in apparels, accessories, & other items reported that they were able to attract the Customers but conversion rate is not more than 30-40% which is again very alarming and a matter of high concern.  Shopkeepers dealing in food items & Vegetables report that:  Customers for food items always expect hyper discounts & offers.  Where as customers for vegetables still believe in the past notion that vegetables sold in the open market are fresh.  Shopkeepers dealing in jewelry items reported that in case of unbranded jewelry items Indian customers still rely on their traditional jewelry merchant only.
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Our Advanced Ruby training course will take delegates on a journey into more advanced usage and Best Practices of coding in Ruby. The course is rich in hands-on practical exercises to bring the techniques and theory alive.
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U.S. Army chose Delphix to accelerate migration to a new data center in support of this mission.
In recent years, the U.S. Federal Government has launched multiple initiatives with the goal of optimizing the efficiency of its agencies' IT landscapes. U.S. Army chose Delphix to accelerate migration to a new data center in support of this mission.
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Beginning Jan 1, 2001 any person who is born on or after 1/1/85 and who has reached the age of 12, must have completed and received a snowmobile safety certificate in order to operate a snowmobile in Wisconsin. The certificate must be carried while operating the snowmobile, and displayed to a law enforcement officer upon demand.
This does not apply to the operation of snowmobiles upon lands owned or leased by the operator’s parent or guardian. As used in this section, “leased lands” does not include lands leased by an organization of which said operator or the operator’s parent or guardian is a member.
The Twin Runners hold a snowmobile safety course every year in November, check our calendar for dates and times or you can email the info@twinrunners.com for more information.
Leaders fall victim to biting satire which has become a hilarious German carnival tradition with people also singing songs that send up the rich and powerful.
A GIANT model of Donald Trump being assaulted by a enormous Russian bear has been paraded through a German city.
But the US President was not the only the leader to be lampooned at the world’s most cheeky carnival.
The mind boggles... quite what the thin-skinned Donald Trump will think of this?
The Rose Monday carnival, which takes place every year across southern and western Germany, feature satirical floats that mock the political power brokers of the day.
But the floats in Düsseldorf are considered particularly provocative compared to those in other German cities.
Here Britain’s leader did not escape a satirical savaging with a float that pulled no punches on her political career.
An ecstatic looking Theresa May was portrayed giving birth to what appears to be a hideously deformed Brexit baby.
Meanwhile German leader Angela Merkel is not spared.
The politician, who is struggling to form a coalition after a poor election result, is depicted as a Black Widow with the caption “Next Please”.
Bones of her political rivals surround her.
Rose Monday - or Rosenmontag - is marked before Ash Wednesday, the first day of Lent for many Christians.
But the history of carnival can be traced back to Germanic tribes who were celebrating the return of daylight as the end of winter nears.
Urban Boho Earrings Collection…. This is our most popular artisan crafted original earring collection. Hand-forged hoops with glass dangle. These earrings are lightweight and have great sparkle and light!
Urban Boho Earrings Collection…. This is our most popular artisan crafted original earring collection. Hand-forged hoops with glass dangle with wire wrapped beads. These earrings are lightweight and have great sparkle and light!
Hand crafted textured copper hoops with beautiful champagne and amber fire polish, wire wrapped to the hoop with a beautiful dangle. Argentium silver ear wires are great for ladies with sensitive ears and super comfortable.
Measures 1 3/4″ from the top of ear wire to bottom and 3/4″ across on the hoops.
These handcrafted earrings were designed by Michael in our home studio. They are ready to send in a pretty gift box.
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