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metadata
license: cc-by-4.0
pretty_name: Per-Sentence Future-Behavior Probabilities
tags:
  - interpretability
  - reasoning-models
  - steering
  - probing

Per-Sentence Future-Behavior Probabilities

Ground-truth future-behavior probability dynamics from the Behavior Distribution Analysis, together with the gathered activations, trained probes, and difference-in-means steering vectors.

This dataset is part of the data release for the paper Predicting Future Behaviors in Reasoning Models Enables Better Steering.

You can view these behavior distributions in the interactive viewer. Download an *_outputs.json file from the table below, and upload it to the viewer using the Load full data... button.

The Browse link opens the full folder for that model and dataset; the Download link downloads the ground-truth test-set outputs.json directly.

Data

Model Dataset Browse Download
DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-8B elephant_aita browse outputs.json
DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-8B myopic_reward browse outputs.json
DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-8B sep browse outputs.json
DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-8B sorrybench browse outputs.json
DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-8B survival_instinct browse outputs.json
DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Llama-8B wealth_seeking browse outputs.json
QwQ-32B elephant_aita browse outputs.json
QwQ-32B myopic_reward browse outputs.json
QwQ-32B sep browse outputs.json
QwQ-32B sorrybench browse outputs.json
QwQ-32B survival_instinct browse outputs.json
QwQ-32B sycophancy browse outputs.json
QwQ-32B wealth_seeking browse outputs.json
Qwen3-14B elephant_aita browse outputs.json
Qwen3-14B myopic_reward browse outputs.json
Qwen3-14B sep browse outputs.json
Qwen3-14B sorrybench browse outputs.json
Qwen3-14B survival_instinct browse outputs.json
Qwen3-14B wealth_seeking browse outputs.json
gpt-oss-20b elephant_aita browse outputs.json
gpt-oss-20b myopic_reward browse outputs.json
gpt-oss-20b sep browse outputs.json
gpt-oss-20b sorrybench browse outputs.json
gpt-oss-20b survival_instinct browse outputs.json
gpt-oss-20b wealth_seeking browse outputs.json

Paper

Predicting Future Behaviors in Reasoning Models Enables Better Steering

Citation

@misc{kortukov2026predictingfuturebehaviorsreasoning,
      title={Predicting Future Behaviors in Reasoning Models Enables Better Steering},
      author={Evgenii Kortukov and Piotr Komorowski and Florian Klein and Paula Engl and Gabriele Sarti and Seong Joon Oh and Sebastian Lapuschkin and Wojciech Samek},
      year={2026},
      eprint={2606.11172},
      archivePrefix={arXiv},
      primaryClass={cs.LG},
      url={https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.11172},
}