FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Paper
•
2508.11987
•
Published
•
71
Datasets:
id
stringlengths 24
24
| prompt
stringlengths 479
3.6k
| slug
stringlengths 40
281
⌀ | end_time
stringdate 2026-01-29 00:00:00
2026-02-03 00:00:00
| level
int64 1
4
| title
stringlengths 17
249
| en_title
stringlengths 20
249
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
695bb4008b62560069adce4b
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Palantir (PLTR) close above ___ end of January? (resolved around 2026-01-31 (GMT+8)).
A. Palantir (PLTR) close above $192 end of January
B. Palantir (PLTR) close above $196 end of January
C. Palantir (PLTR) close above $206 end of January
D. Palantir (PLTR) close above $182 end of January
E. Palantir (PLTR) close above $184 end of January
F. Palantir (PLTR) close above $186 end of January
G. Palantir (PLTR) close above $188 end of January
H. Palantir (PLTR) close above $190 end of January
I. Palantir (PLTR) close above $194 end of January
J. Palantir (PLTR) close above $198 end of January
K. Palantir (PLTR) close above $200 end of January
L. Palantir (PLTR) close above $202 end of January
M. Palantir (PLTR) close above $204 end of January"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/pltr-above-in-january-2026
|
2026-01-31
| 2
|
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above ___ end of January?
|
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above ___ end of January?
|
693eae10418a38006ba74ccd
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Grok 4.2 METR 50% time horizon (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be <1.5h
B. the outcome be 1.5h - 2h
C. the outcome be 2h - 2.5h
D. the outcome be 2.5h - 3h
E. the outcome be 3h - 3.5h
F. the outcome be 3.5h - 4h
G. the outcome be 4h - 4.5h
H. the outcome be 4.5h - 5h
I. the outcome be 5h - 5.5h
J. the outcome be 5.5h - 6h
K. the outcome be Other"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/grok-420s-metr-50-time-horizon
|
2026-02-01
| 2
|
Grok 4.2 METR 50% time horizon
|
Grok 4.2 METR 50% time horizon
|
6908a0ac4c41330047fb6cc9
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Sum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies (resolved around 2026-01-31 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be >20.5 at end of 2026/01
B. the outcome be >21.5 at end of 2026/01
C. the outcome be >22.5 at end of 2026/01
D. the outcome be >23.5 at end of 2026/01
E. the outcome be >24.5 at end of 2026/01
F. the outcome be >20.5 at end of 2026/02
G. the outcome be >21.5 at end of 2026/02
H. the outcome be >22.5 at end of 2026/02
I. the outcome be >23.5 at end of 2026/02
J. the outcome be >24.5 at end of 2026/02"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/ChristopherRandles/sum-int-trillion-dollar-market-cap
|
2026-01-31
| 2
|
Sum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies
|
Sum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies
|
69663e477dc80a005b6df1ea
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will Trump say in January? (resolved around 2026-01-31 (GMT+8)).
A. Trump say "Heart Attack" in January
B. Trump say "N Word" in January
C. Trump say "Banana Republic" in January
D. Trump say "Martin Luther King" in January
E. Trump say "Ego" in January
F. Trump say "Communist" in January
G. Trump say "Jerome Too Late Powell" in January
H. Trump say "Teleprompter" in January
I. Trump say "F-47" in January
J. Trump say "Food stamps" in January
K. Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January
L. Trump say "Breaking News" in January
M. Trump say "Rolex" in January
N. Trump say "TrumpRx.gov" or "TrumpRx.com" or "TrumpRx" in January
O. Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in January
P. Trump say "Bitcoin" in January
Q. Trump say "Skyrocket" or "Skyrocketed" in January
R. Trump say "McDonald's" in January
S. Trump say "Dell computer" in January
T. Trump say "Truth Social" in January"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-in-january
|
2026-01-31
| 2
|
What will Trump say in January?
|
What will Trump say in January?
|
6957ba8a03568a006853e835
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which explosions in Venezuela will we learn the US was responsible for by the end of January? (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Any "dock facility" or similar
B. the outcome be Primazol facility / Primazol warehouse (Dec 24)
C. the outcome be José Antonio Anzoátegui Petrochemical Complex (Nov 2025)
D. the outcome be Petrocedeño crude upgrader (Nov 19-20)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/Sketchy/which-explosions-in-venezuela-will
|
2026-02-01
| 2
|
Which explosions in Venezuela will we learn the US was responsible for by the end of January?
|
Which explosions in Venezuela will we learn the US was responsible for by the end of January?
|
6957ba8a03568a006853e83f
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Price of DDR5-6000 2x16GB RAM at the end of January 2026 (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Less than $100
B. the outcome be $100-$200
C. the outcome be $200-$300
D. the outcome be $300-$400
E. the outcome be $400-$500
F. the outcome be $500-$600
G. the outcome be Other"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/lumi/price-of-ddr56000-2x16gb-ram-at-the
|
2026-02-01
| 2
|
Price of DDR5-6000 2x16GB RAM at the end of January 2026
|
Price of DDR5-6000 2x16GB RAM at the end of January 2026
|
69566c1320a2e600672a78fd
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Turnout in 2026 Costa Rica Presidential Election First Round (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)).
A. turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be less than 55%
B. turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 58% and 60%
C. turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 62% and 64%
D. turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 66% and 68%
E. turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 70% and 72%
F. turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 55% and 58%
G. turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 60% and 62%
H. turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 64% and 66%
I. turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 68% and 70%
J. turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be at least 72%"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/turnout-in-2026-costa-rica-presidential-election-first-round
|
2026-02-01
| 2
|
Turnout in 2026 Costa Rica Presidential Election First Round
|
Turnout in 2026 Costa Rica Presidential Election First Round
|
69527780438fc4005b32844a
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "US GDP growth in Q4 2025? (resolved around 2026-01-29 (GMT+8)).
A. US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 1.0%
B. US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%
C. US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%
D. US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%
E. US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%
F. US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%
G. US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/us-gdp-growth-in-q4-2025
|
2026-01-29
| 2
|
US GDP growth in Q4 2025?
|
US GDP growth in Q4 2025?
|
693c0b13a23921005c8d53ce
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "GPT 5.2 METR time horizon (resolved around 2026-01-31 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be <2h
B. the outcome be 2h00 - 2h15
C. the outcome be 2h15 - 2h30
D. the outcome be 2h30 - 2h45
E. the outcome be 2h45 - 3h00
F. the outcome be 3h00 - 3h15
G. the outcome be 3h15 - 3h30
H. the outcome be 3h30 - 3h45
I. the outcome be 3h45 - 4h
J. the outcome be >= 4h"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/jim/gpt-52-metr
|
2026-01-31
| 2
|
GPT 5.2 METR time horizon
|
GPT 5.2 METR time horizon
|
69639b3e5a6f9800684ed69a
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Precipitation in NYC in January? (resolved around 2026-01-31 (GMT+8)).
A. NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January
B. NYC have more than 7 inches of precipitation in January
C. NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January
D. NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in January
E. NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in January
F. NYC have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in January"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-nyc-in-january
|
2026-01-31
| 2
|
Precipitation in NYC in January?
|
Precipitation in NYC in January?
|
6972189f11cfd2006997649c
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which nation will be the focus of Stellaris Invicta Season 3? (resolved around 2026-02-02 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be United Federation of Nations
B. the outcome be Tripartite of Sol
C. the outcome be Holy Solar Empire
D. the outcome be House Triton
E. the outcome be Eternal Kreventum"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/Kraalnaxx/which-nation-will-be-the-focus-of-s
|
2026-02-02
| 2
|
Which nation will be the focus of Stellaris Invicta Season 3?
|
Which nation will be the focus of Stellaris Invicta Season 3?
|
695bb4008b62560069adce53
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Gold (GC) above ___ end of January? (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)).
A. Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of January 2026
B. Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of January 2026
C. Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of January 2026
D. Gold (GC) settle over $5,500 on the final trading day of January 2026
E. Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of January 2026
F. Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of January 2026
G. Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of January 2026
H. Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of January 2026
I. Gold (GC) settle over $4,400 on the final trading day of January 2026
J. Gold (GC) settle over $4,200 on the final trading day of January 2026
K. Gold (GC) settle over $4,000 on the final trading day of January 2026
L. Gold (GC) settle over $3,600 on the final trading day of January 2026"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/gc-over-under-jan-2026
|
2026-02-01
| 2
|
Gold (GC) above ___ end of January?
|
Gold (GC) above ___ end of January?
|
69302d9b747a91005ec7c0ff
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the SCOTUS expect the US government to refund the tariffs? (resolved around 2026-02-02 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be No, because SCOTUS rules them to be constitutional
B. the outcome be No, even though SCOTUS ruled them to be unconstitutional
C. the outcome be Partially
D. the outcome be Yes, entirely or as much as possible"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/vee/will-the-scotus-expect-the-us-gover
|
2026-02-02
| 2
|
Will the SCOTUS expect the US government to refund the tariffs?
|
Will the SCOTUS expect the US government to refund the tariffs?
|
695bb4008b62560069adce59
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in January? (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)).
A. Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$45 in January
B. Crude Oil (CL) settle at $45-$50 in January
C. Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in January
D. Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$75 in January
E. Crude Oil (CL) settle at $50-$55 in January
F. Crude Oil (CL) settle at $65-$70 in January
G. Crude Oil (CL) settle at $55-$60 in January
H. Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$75 in January"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/cl-settle-jan-2026
|
2026-02-01
| 2
|
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in January?
|
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in January?
|
69590f11deacd00066876793
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which soccer players will sign with new clubs in winter window? (resolved around 2026-02-03 (GMT+8)).
A. Jean-Philippe Mateta sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
B. Carlos Baleba sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
C. Scott McTominay sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
D. James Ward-Prowse sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
E. Federico Chiesa sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
F. Mathys Tel sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
G. Sergio Ramos sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
H. Adama Traore sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
I. Niclas Füllkrug sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
J. Antoine Semenyo sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
K. Conor Gallagher sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
L. Richarlison sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
M. Timo Werner sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
N. Joshua Zirkzee sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
O. Endrick sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
P. Bruno Fernandes sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
Q. Marc Guehi sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
R. Vinicius Jr. sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
S. Malo Gusto sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
T. Robert Lewandowski sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
U. Rúben Neves sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
V. Morten Hjulmand sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
W. Marc-André ter Stegen sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
X. Kobbie Mainoo sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
Y. Julian Brandt sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
Z. Neymar sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
[. Dayot Upamecano sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
\. Dušan Vlahović sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
]. Ibrahima Konaté sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
^. Mason Greenwood sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
_. Jobe Bellingham sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
`. Kalvin Phillips sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
a. Adam Wharton sign with a new club during the winter transfer window
b. Kenan Yildiz sign with a new club during the winter transfer window"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/which-soccer-players-will-sign-with-new-clubs-in-the-winter-transfer-window
|
2026-02-03
| 2
|
Which soccer players will sign with new clubs in winter window?
|
Which soccer players will sign with new clubs in winter window?
|
69132c9675f059003d6d6ef9
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "[Add options] What will be true of the next appointed director general of the BBC after Tim Davie's resignation? (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Manifold will approve of them in a poll
B. the outcome be Member of the Board as of 9 November 2025
C. the outcome be Member of the Executive Committee as of 9 November 2025
D. the outcome be Cis man"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/TheAllMemeingEye/add-options-what-will-be-true-of-th
|
2026-02-01
| 2
|
[Add options] What will be true of the next appointed director general of the BBC after Tim Davie's resignation?
|
[Add options] What will be true of the next appointed director general of the BBC after Tim Davie's resignation?
|
6974bec1b31670005dd8d72a
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Measles cases in U.S. by January 31? (resolved around 2026-01-31 (GMT+8)).
A. there be at least 300 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026
B. there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026
C. there be at least 400 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026
D. there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026
E. there be at least 40 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026
F. there be at least 20 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026
G. there be at least 150 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026
H. there be at least 175 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026
I. there be at least 200 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026
J. there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026
K. there be at least 700 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/measles-cases-in-us-by-january-31
|
2026-01-31
| 2
|
Measles cases in U.S. by January 31?
|
Measles cases in U.S. by January 31?
|
6972189f11cfd2006997649f
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "baywheels Bike Angel Leaderboard January 2026 (Resolves Rank!) (resolved around 2026-02-02 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be OL418
B. the outcome be IC369
C. the outcome be MB259
D. the outcome be AL148
E. the outcome be KV864
F. the outcome be VT361
G. the outcome be MC843
H. the outcome be OT754
I. the outcome be SD043
J. the outcome be FH583
K. the outcome be JD591"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/ZicoVerona/baywheels-bike-angel-leaderboard-ja
|
2026-02-02
| 2
|
baywheels Bike Angel Leaderboard January 2026 (Resolves Rank!)
|
baywheels Bike Angel Leaderboard January 2026 (Resolves Rank!)
|
69566c1320a2e600672a78fb
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Grammys: Songwriter of the Year Winner (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)).
A. Amy Allen win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards
B. Laura Veltz win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards
C. Songwriter D win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards
D. Edgar Barrera win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards
E. Songwriter A win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards
F. Songwriter E win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards
G. Jessie Jo Dillon win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards
H. Songwriter B win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards
I. another person win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards
J. Tobias Jesso Jr. win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards
K. Songwriter C win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/grammys-songwriter-of-the-year-winner
|
2026-02-01
| 2
|
Grammys: Songwriter of the Year Winner
|
Grammys: Songwriter of the Year Winner
|
6957ba8a03568a006853e821
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which will be the best meme posted in #memefold in January 2026 according to Manifold? (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be what is investing - quroe
B. the outcome be #memefold
C. the outcome be tumbles - somebody help me
D. the outcome be new loan feature - crowlysong
E. the outcome be Other"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/strutheo/which-will-be-the-best-meme-posted-O6REN5zczQ
|
2026-02-01
| 2
|
Which will be the best meme posted in #memefold in January 2026 according to Manifold?
|
Which will be the best meme posted in #memefold in January 2026 according to Manifold?
|
695bb4008b62560069adce04
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will Opendoor (OPEN) hit in January 2026? (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)).
A. Opendoor reach $11.50 in January
B. Opendoor reach $10.25 in January
C. Opendoor reach $9.25 in January
D. Opendoor reach $8.25 in January
E. Opendoor reach $7.50 in January
F. Opendoor reach $7 in January
G. Opendoor reach $6.50 in January
H. Opendoor dip to $6 in January
I. Opendoor dip to $5.50 in January
J. Opendoor dip to $5 in January
K. Opendoor dip to $4.25 in January
L. Opendoor dip to $3.50 in January
M. Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January
N. Opendoor dip to $1.25 in January"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-open-hit-in-january-2026
|
2026-02-01
| 2
|
What will Opendoor (OPEN) hit in January 2026?
|
What will Opendoor (OPEN) hit in January 2026?
|
695bb4008b62560069adce56
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of January? (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)).
A. Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of January
B. Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of January
C. Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $58 by end of January
D. Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of January
E. Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of January
F. Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of January
G. Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $62 by end of January
H. Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of January
I. Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $42 by end of January
J. Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $60 by end of January
K. Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of January
L. Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/cl-hit-jan-2026
|
2026-02-01
| 2
|
What will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of January?
|
What will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of January?
|
695bb4008b62560069adce54
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will Gold (GC) settle at in January? (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)).
A. Gold (GC) settle at <$4,350 in January
B. Gold (GC) settle at $4,350-$4,475 in January
C. Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January
D. Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January
E. Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January
F. Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January
G. Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January
H. Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/gc-settle-jan-2026
|
2026-02-01
| 2
|
What will Gold (GC) settle at in January?
|
What will Gold (GC) settle at in January?
|
6956690c20a2e600672a789d
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "UFC: Potential Future Fight Winners (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Movsar Evloev - Alexander Volkanovski
B. the outcome be Ilia Topuria - Paddy Pimblett
C. the outcome be Islam Makhachev - Ilia Topuria
D. the outcome be Ilia Topuria - Alexander Volkanovski II
E. the outcome be Diego Lopes - Yair Rodriguez
F. the outcome be Ilia Topuria - Justin Gaethje
G. the outcome be Ilia Topuria - Arman Tsarukyan"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/0x0x0x0x0x/ufc-potential-future-fight-winners
|
2026-02-01
| 2
|
UFC: Potential Future Fight Winners
|
UFC: Potential Future Fight Winners
|
69663b097dc80a005b6df1d3
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What is the estimated value of [amount of productive free t / [total amount of free time] for each day? (resolved around 2026-02-02 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 2026-01-13
B. the outcome be 2026-01-14
C. the outcome be 2026-01-15
D. the outcome be 2026-01-16
E. the outcome be 2026-01-19
F. the outcome be 2026-01-20
G. the outcome be 2026-01-21
H. the outcome be 2026-01-22
I. the outcome be 2026-01-23
J. the outcome be 2026-01-26
K. the outcome be 2026-01-27
L. the outcome be 2026-01-28
M. the outcome be 2026-01-29
N. the outcome be 2026-01-30"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/root/what-is-the-estimated-value-of-amou
|
2026-02-02
| 2
|
What is the estimated value of [amount of productive free t / [total amount of free time] for each day?
|
What is the estimated value of [amount of productive free t / [total amount of free time] for each day?
|
695fa38ae56c28005d3c3248
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "[January 2026] Top 10 cards in the MTG Arena Powered Cube (by 17Lands GIH WR) (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Time Walk
B. the outcome be Black Lotus
C. the outcome be Ocelot Pride
D. the outcome be Orcish Bowmasters
E. the outcome be Mana Crypt
F. the outcome be Ancestral Recall
G. the outcome be Parallax Wave
H. the outcome be Comet, Stellar Pup
I. the outcome be Ajani, Nacatl Pariah
J. the outcome be Sol Ring
K. the outcome be Mox Sapphire
L. the outcome be Mox Pearl
M. the outcome be Flash
N. the outcome be Broadside Bombardiers"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/Ziddletwix/january-2026-top-10-cards-in-the-mt
|
2026-02-01
| 2
|
[January 2026] Top 10 cards in the MTG Arena Powered Cube (by 17Lands GIH WR)
|
[January 2026] Top 10 cards in the MTG Arena Powered Cube (by 17Lands GIH WR)
|
6964eca552029b005bc009f2
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Israel strike Gaza on...? (resolved around 2026-01-31 (GMT+8)).
A. Israel strike Gaza on January 1, 2026
B. Israel strike Gaza on January 2, 2026
C. Israel strike Gaza on January 3, 2026
D. Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026
E. Israel strike Gaza on January 5, 2026
F. Israel strike Gaza on January 6, 2026
G. Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026
H. Israel strike Gaza on January 8, 2026
I. Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026
J. Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026
K. Israel strike Gaza on January 11, 2026
L. Israel strike Gaza on January 12, 2026
M. Israel strike Gaza on January 13, 2026
N. Israel strike Gaza on January 14, 2026
O. Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026
P. Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026
Q. Israel strike Gaza on January 17, 2026
R. Israel strike Gaza on January 18, 2026
S. Israel strike Gaza on January 19, 2026
T. Israel strike Gaza on January 20, 2026
U. Israel strike Gaza on January 21, 2026
V. Israel strike Gaza on January 22, 2026
W. Israel strike Gaza on January 23, 2026
X. Israel strike Gaza on January 24, 2026
Y. Israel strike Gaza on January 25, 2026
Z. Israel strike Gaza on January 26, 2026
[. Israel strike Gaza on January 27, 2026
\. Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026
]. Israel strike Gaza on January 29, 2026
^. Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026
_. Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-strike-gaza-on-358
|
2026-01-31
| 2
|
Will Israel strike Gaza on...?
|
Will Israel strike Gaza on...?
|
6972189f11cfd20069976498
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How Many Days will Arlington Virginia Public Schools be Cancelled Next Week? (resolved around 2026-02-02 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0
B. the outcome be 1
C. the outcome be 2
D. the outcome be 3
E. the outcome be 4"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/TonyBaloney/how-many-days-will-arlington-school
|
2026-02-02
| 2
|
How Many Days will Arlington Virginia Public Schools be Cancelled Next Week?
|
How Many Days will Arlington Virginia Public Schools be Cancelled Next Week?
|
6956690920a2e600672a7867
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which tennis player will win the Women's Singles Final at the 2026 Australian Open? (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Mirra Andreeva
B. the outcome be Amanda Anisimova
C. the outcome be Coco Gauff
D. the outcome be Madison Keys
E. the outcome be Naomi Osaka
F. the outcome be Elena Rybakina
G. the outcome be Aryna Sabalenka
H. the outcome be Iga Swiatek"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/4601-which-tennis-player-will-win-the-women-s-singles-final-at-the-2026-australian-open
|
2026-02-01
| 2
|
Which tennis player will win the Women's Singles Final at the 2026 Australian Open?
|
Which tennis player will win the Women's Singles Final at the 2026 Australian Open?
|
695a5d897b2e6a00694886b9
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win the 2026 Grammy for Best Pop Vocal Album? (resolved around 2026-02-02 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be "SWAG," Justin Bieber
B. the outcome be "Man's Best Friend," Sabrina Carpenter
C. the outcome be "Something Beautiful," Miley Cyrus
D. the outcome be "MAYHEM," Lady Gaga
E. the outcome be "I've Tried Everything But Therapy (Part 2)," Teddy Swims"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/4769-who-will-win-the-2026-grammy-for-best-pop-vocal-album
|
2026-02-02
| 2
|
Who will win the 2026 Grammy for Best Pop Vocal Album?
|
Who will win the 2026 Grammy for Best Pop Vocal Album?
|
695a5d897b2e6a00694886af
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win the 2026 Grammy for Record of the Year? (resolved around 2026-02-02 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be "DtMF," Bad Bunny
B. the outcome be "Manchild," Sabrina Carpenter
C. the outcome be "Anxiety," Doechii
D. the outcome be "Wildflower," Billie Eilish
E. the outcome be "Abracadabra," Lady Gaga
F. the outcome be "Luther," Kendrick Lamar with SZA
G. the outcome be "The Subway," Chappell Roan"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/4759-who-will-win-the-2026-grammy-for-record-of-the-year
|
2026-02-02
| 2
|
Who will win the 2026 Grammy for Record of the Year?
|
Who will win the 2026 Grammy for Record of the Year?
|
695baf118b62560069adcdc8
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "European Union's GDP annual growth rate in 2025 (resolved around 2026-01-30 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 1.1% to 1.5%
B. the outcome be 1.6% to 2.0%
C. the outcome be 0.6% to 1.0%
D. the outcome be More than 2.0%
E. the outcome be 0.5% or less"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://futuur.com/q/213633/european-unions-gdp-annual-growth-rate-in-2025
|
2026-01-30
| 2
|
European Union's GDP annual growth rate in 2025
|
European Union's GDP annual growth rate in 2025
|
695baf118b62560069adcdc7
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "US real GDP annual growth rate for 2025 (resolved around 2026-01-30 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 2,0% a 2,4%
B. the outcome be 1,5% a 1,9%
C. the outcome be 2.5% to 3.0%
D. the outcome be 3.1% or more
E. the outcome be 1.4% or less"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://futuur.com/q/213630/us-real-gdp-annual-growth-rate-for-2025
|
2026-01-30
| 2
|
US real GDP annual growth rate for 2025
|
US real GDP annual growth rate for 2025
|
6957ba8a03568a006853e82e
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Tesla hits $400 or $500 first before end of January 2026? (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Tesla hits or trades below $400.00 first
B. the outcome be Tesla hits or trades above $500.00 first
C. the outcome be Tesla hits neither $400 nor $500 before market close on Jan 30"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/Jack1/tesla-hits-400-or-500-first-before-SpCO9nyIAQ
|
2026-02-01
| 1
|
Tesla hits $400 or $500 first before end of January 2026?
|
Tesla hits $400 or $500 first before end of January 2026?
|
693d5c97b6c8dd005efd925b
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Does AI Pareto-dominate technical but non-mathematician humans at math? (resolved around 2026-01-31 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/dreev/has-ai-surpassed-technical-but-nonm
|
2026-01-31
| 1
|
Does AI Pareto-dominate technical but non-mathematician humans at math?
|
Does AI Pareto-dominate technical but non-mathematician humans at math?
|
695a609d7b2e6a00694886f6
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in February (resolved around 2026-02-03 (GMT+8)).
A. the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting
B. the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting
C. the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/reserve-bank-of-australia-decision-in-february
|
2026-02-03
| 1
|
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in February
|
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in February
|
695a5ee87b2e6a00694886d2
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will thealignedapp.com have 100+ users by Jan 31, 2026? (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/AdamKruger/will-thealignedappcom-have-100-user
|
2026-02-01
| 1
|
Will thealignedapp.com have 100+ users by Jan 31, 2026?
|
Will thealignedapp.com have 100+ users by Jan 31, 2026?
|
69590c18deacd00066876779
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "First confirmed Tomahawk use by Ukraine (resolved around 2026-02-02 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/VonGadke/first-confirmed-tomahawk-use-by-ukr
|
2026-02-02
| 1
|
First confirmed Tomahawk use by Ukraine
|
First confirmed Tomahawk use by Ukraine
|
6957ba8a03568a006853e82f
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Nvidia hits 170, 200 or neither first by end of January 2026? (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Hits or goes below $170.00 first
B. the outcome be Hits or goes above $200.00 first
C. the outcome be Hits neither before end of trading January 30"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/Jack1/nvidia-hits-170-200-or-neither-firs
|
2026-02-01
| 1
|
Nvidia hits 170, 200 or neither first by end of January 2026?
|
Nvidia hits 170, 200 or neither first by end of January 2026?
|
6957ba8a03568a006853e845
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Reeves or Lammy out first? (resolved around 2026-02-02 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Reeves first
B. the outcome be Lammy first
C. the outcome be Both are still in post by 1 February 2026"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/OJW15/reeves-or-lammy-out-first
|
2026-02-02
| 1
|
Reeves or Lammy out first?
|
Reeves or Lammy out first?
|
6972189f11cfd2006997647f
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "New METR SOTA by end of January, 2026? (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/jim/new-metr-sota-by-end-of-january-202
|
2026-02-01
| 1
|
New METR SOTA by end of January, 2026?
|
New METR SOTA by end of January, 2026?
|
69566c1320a2e600672a798d
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the Doomsday Clock move by ten seconds or more? (resolved around 2026-01-31 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-doomsday-clock-move-by-ten-seconds-or-more
|
2026-01-31
| 1
|
Will the Doomsday Clock move by ten seconds or more?
|
Will the Doomsday Clock move by ten seconds or more?
|
6968de07e7876e006835e6b8
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will they pull a Nasrallah on Khamenei by end of January 2025? (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/SamuelKnoche/will-they-pull-a-nasrallah-on-khame
|
2026-02-01
| 1
|
Will they pull a Nasrallah on Khamenei by end of January 2025?
|
Will they pull a Nasrallah on Khamenei by end of January 2025?
|
694a8b8fbd65d70068ad7da4
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Was the fire in the substation in SF on 12/20 caused by the (currently unknown) problem? (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/AlexanderTheGreater/was-the-fire-in-the-substation-in-s
|
2026-02-01
| 1
|
Was the fire in the substation in SF on 12/20 caused by the (currently unknown) problem?
|
Was the fire in the substation in SF on 12/20 caused by the (currently unknown) problem?
|
6947e88aa66250005c9dc324
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026 a dream year for trump? (resolved around 2026-01-31 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/NzJack0n/2026-a-dream-year-for-trump
|
2026-01-31
| 1
|
2026 a dream year for trump?
|
2026 a dream year for trump?
|
6957ba8a03568a006853e80a
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will "Circular Reasoning" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review? (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-circular-reasoning-make-the-to
|
2026-02-01
| 1
|
Will "Circular Reasoning" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
|
Will "Circular Reasoning" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
|
69590c18deacd00066876763
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Bitcoin close above USD $100,000 on 31 January 2026 (UTC)? (resolved around 2026-02-02 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/PoobahSays/will-bitcoin-close-above-usd-100000
|
2026-02-02
| 1
|
Will Bitcoin close above USD $100,000 on 31 January 2026 (UTC)?
|
Will Bitcoin close above USD $100,000 on 31 January 2026 (UTC)?
|
695a5d897b2e6a00694886bd
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will be the net percentage of domestic banks that will have tightened standards for commercial and industrial (C&I) loans to large and middle-market firms in the past three months, according to the Federal Reserve's "January" 2026 SLOOS survey? (resolved around 2026-02-03 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Lower than -30.0%
B. the outcome be At least -30.0%, but less than -15.0%
C. the outcome be At least -15.0%, but less than 0.0%"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/4752-what-will-be-the-net-percentage-of-domestic-banks-that-will-have-tightened-standards-for-commercial-and-industrial-c-i-loans-to-large-and-middle-market-firms-in-the-past-three-months-according-to-the-federal-reserve-s-january-2026-sloos-survey
|
2026-02-03
| 1
|
What will be the net percentage of domestic banks that will have tightened standards for commercial and industrial (C&I) loans to large and middle-market firms in the past three months, according to the Federal Reserve's "January" 2026 SLOOS survey?
|
What will be the net percentage of domestic banks that will have tightened standards for commercial and industrial (C&I) loans to large and middle-market firms in the past three months, according to the Federal Reserve's "January" 2026 SLOOS survey?
|
696e274d183bed0068c24d04
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "North Korea missile launch by January 31? (resolved around 2026-01-31 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/north-korea-missile-launch-by-january-31-661
|
2026-01-31
| 1
|
North Korea missile launch by January 31?
|
North Korea missile launch by January 31?
|
6974bec1b31670005dd8d72c
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "30-year mortgage rate below 6% by January 31? (resolved around 2026-01-31 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/30-year-mortgage-rate-below-6-by-january-31
|
2026-01-31
| 1
|
30-year mortgage rate below 6% by January 31?
|
30-year mortgage rate below 6% by January 31?
|
69590c18deacd00066876764
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Bitcoin below $82K in January? (resolved around 2026-02-02 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/bitcoin-below-82k-in-january
|
2026-02-02
| 1
|
Bitcoin below $82K in January?
|
Bitcoin below $82K in January?
|
6968de07e7876e006835e6b2
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "If the U.S. invades Iran by EOM, will Khamenei be dead by EC (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/realDonaldTrump/if-the-us-invades-iran-by-eom-will
|
2026-02-01
| 1
|
If the U.S. invades Iran by EOM, will Khamenei be dead by EC
|
If the U.S. invades Iran by EOM, will Khamenei be dead by EC
|
69590c18deacd00066876768
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which company has the best AI model end of January 2026? (LMArena) (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-hnNnI6lALy
|
2026-02-01
| 1
|
Which company has the best AI model end of January 2026? (LMArena)
|
Which company has the best AI model end of January 2026? (LMArena)
|
6968e150e7876e006835e6dc
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...? (resolved around 2026-01-31 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
B. the outcome be Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?
C. the outcome be Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/nicols-maduro-released-from-custody-by
|
2026-01-31
| 1
|
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?
|
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?
|
695baf2f8b62560069adcdd8
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will something CRAZY happen in January (again)? (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://manifold.markets/ItsMe/will-something-crazy-happen-in-janu
|
2026-02-01
| 1
|
Will something CRAZY happen in January (again)?
|
Will something CRAZY happen in January (again)?
|
696e274d183bed0068c24cfd
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Kings vs. Hurricanes (resolved around 2026-02-02 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Kings} or \boxed{Hurricanes}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-lak-car-2026-02-01
|
2026-02-02
| 1
|
Kings vs. Hurricanes
|
Kings vs. Hurricanes
|
696cd5b0a4b036005c06a931
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC (resolved around 2026-02-02 (GMT+8)).
A. Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-01
B. Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw
C. Al Hazem SC win on 2026-02-01"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/spl-fat-haz-2026-02-01
|
2026-02-02
| 1
|
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC
|
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC
|
69721bc011cfd200699764d5
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "CA Tucumán vs. CA Huracán (resolved around 2026-02-01 (GMT+8)).
A. CA Tucumán win on 2026-01-31
B. CA Tucumán vs. CA Huracán end in a draw
C. CA Huracán win on 2026-01-31"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
Your task is to identify all the correct option(s) based on your analysis.
Your prediction will be scored based on its accuracy. You will only receive points if your answer includes ALL correct options and NO incorrect options. Selecting any wrong option or failing to select all correct options will result in a penalty.
Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
listing all correct option(s) you have identified, separated by commas, within the box.
For example: \boxed{A} for a single correct option, or \boxed{B, C} for multiple correct options.
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
|
https://polymarket.com/event/arg-cat-cah-2026-01-31
|
2026-02-01
| 1
|
CA Tucumán vs. CA Huracán
|
CA Tucumán vs. CA Huracán
|
685141c3b3bf920060db7796
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-02-03, who will be the players ranked from 3 to 5 in the latest PIF ATP Singles Ranking? (Give the names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-02-03
| 3
|
最新的PIF ATP单打排名第3名到第5名的选手是谁？（用英文回答，只回答姓名）
|
who will be the players ranked from 3 to 5 in the latest PIF ATP Singles Ranking? (Give the names only)
|
685141eca047fd005f77ef02
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-02-03, who will be the players ranked from 17 to 19 in the latest PIF WTA Doubles Rankings? (Give the names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-02-03
| 3
|
最新的PIF WTA双打排名第17名到第19名的选手是谁？（用英文回答，只回答姓名）
|
who will be the players ranked from 17 to 19 in the latest PIF WTA Doubles Rankings? (Give the names only)
|
68774eaf0fc811003bd35b6d
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-02-02, what variety shows will be ranked from 1 to 3 on the latest overseas word-of-mouth variety show ranking (国外口碑综艺榜) published by Douban (豆瓣)? (Give the show names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-02-02
| 3
|
豆瓣发布的最新的国外口碑综艺榜中，排名第1名到第3名的综艺是哪些？（只回答综艺名）
|
what variety shows will be ranked from 1 to 3 on the latest overseas word-of-mouth variety show ranking (国外口碑综艺榜) published by Douban (豆瓣)? (Give the show names only)
|
685146342537420060414055
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-01-30, what will be the movies ranked from 4 to 6 on the latest weekly word-of-mouth movie ranking (一周口碑电影榜) published by Douban (豆瓣)? (Give the movie titles only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-01-30
| 3
|
豆瓣发布的最新的一周口碑电影榜中，排名第4名到第6名的电影是哪些？（只回答电影名）
|
what will be the movies ranked from 4 to 6 on the latest weekly word-of-mouth movie ranking (一周口碑电影榜) published by Douban (豆瓣)? (Give the movie titles only)
|
68517362eb11c800614780de
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-02-03, what will the price index for vegetables be in the Agricultural Product Wholesale Price 200 Index from China's National Agricultural Product Wholesale Market Price Information System (全国农产品批发市场价格信息系统)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-02-03
| 3
|
全国农产品批发市场价格信息系统的农产品批发价格200指数中，蔬菜价格指数是多少？
|
what will the price index for vegetables be in the Agricultural Product Wholesale Price 200 Index from China's National Agricultural Product Wholesale Market Price Information System (全国农产品批发市场价格信息系统)?
|
685173c159f71f006037a1e9
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-01-29, what will be the value in Chinese Yuan of 100 units of Japanese Yen at the central parity rate?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-01-29
| 3
|
人民币汇率中间价为100日元对人民币多少元？
|
what will be the value in Chinese Yuan of 100 units of Japanese Yen at the central parity rate?
|
685e494b6e8dbd006cdc6f7c
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-01-31, what will be the Weibo accounts (微博昵称) ranked from 5 to 7 on the daily chart of Weibo Accounts Influence Ranking for Political and Legal Affairs Commissions (政法委微博账号影响力排行榜日榜) of this date published by Youmei (铀媒), Midu (蜜度)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-01-31
| 3
|
这一天的铀媒上的政法委微博账号影响力排行榜日榜第5名到第7名的微博昵称分别是什么？
|
what will be the Weibo accounts (微博昵称) ranked from 5 to 7 on the daily chart of Weibo Accounts Influence Ranking for Political and Legal Affairs Commissions (政法委微博账号影响力排行榜日榜) of this date published by Youmei (铀媒), Midu (蜜度)?
|
687071f2d3d00b006b624a8c
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-02-01, which self-media accounts will be ranked from 4 to 6 on KolRank's daily WeChat self-media overall ranking?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-02-01
| 3
|
KolRank的微信自媒体总榜中当日排行第4名到第6名分别是哪些自媒体？
|
which self-media accounts will be ranked from 4 to 6 on KolRank's daily WeChat self-media overall ranking?
|
687071faab86ea0060215bc7
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-01-30, which self-media accounts will be ranked from 4 to 6 on KolRank's daily Weibo self-media overall ranking?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-01-30
| 3
|
KolRank的微博自媒体总榜中当日排行第4名到第6名分别是哪些自媒体？
|
which self-media accounts will be ranked from 4 to 6 on KolRank's daily Weibo self-media overall ranking?
|
68774dbf27798c003c8a0dce
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-02-01, what will be the top-ranked short drama on the short drama hot list (短剧热度榜) of this date published by BiaNews (鞭牛士)? (Give the drama name only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-02-01
| 3
|
鞭牛士发布的这一天的短剧热度榜中，排名第一的短剧是什么？（只回答短剧名）
|
what will be the top-ranked short drama on the short drama hot list (短剧热度榜) of this date published by BiaNews (鞭牛士)? (Give the drama name only)
|
687756de9a85d40047c45626
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-01-29, who will be the athletes ranked from 16 to 18 in the latest World Athletics men's triple jump rankings? (Give the names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-01-29
| 3
|
最新的世界田径联合会（World Athletics）男子三级跳远排名第16名到第18名的选手分别是谁？（用英文回答，只回答姓名）
|
who will be the athletes ranked from 16 to 18 in the latest World Athletics men's triple jump rankings? (Give the names only)
|
686794c85407dd00602c1f79
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-01-29, who will be the athletes ranked from 1 to 3 in the latest World Athletics women's 200m rankings? (Give the names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-01-29
| 3
|
最新的世界田径联合会（World Athletics）女子200米排名第1名到第3名的选手分别是谁？（用英文回答，只回答姓名）
|
who will be the athletes ranked from 1 to 3 in the latest World Athletics women's 200m rankings? (Give the names only)
|
685e4893e582f0005f9cd2c8
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-02-01, what will be the movies ranked from 3 to 5 on Maoyan's 'Want to Watch' list (猫眼电影想看榜)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-02-01
| 3
|
猫眼电影想看榜第3名到第5名分别是哪些电影？
|
what will be the movies ranked from 3 to 5 on Maoyan's 'Want to Watch' list (猫眼电影想看榜)?
|
685e489b6e8dbd006cdc6f70
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-01-31, what will be the movies ranked from 1 to 3 on Maoyan's 'Ticket Purchase vs Rating' list (猫眼电影购票评分榜)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-01-31
| 3
|
猫眼电影购票评分榜第1名到第3名分别是哪些电影？
|
what will be the movies ranked from 1 to 3 on Maoyan's 'Ticket Purchase vs Rating' list (猫眼电影购票评分榜)?
|
685e48b9e582f0005f9cd2c9
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-01-31, what will be the vehicles ranked from 3 to 5 on the hot list across China for SUVs (SUV全国热门榜) of this date published by Dongchedi (DCar, 懂车帝)? (Give the vehicle names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-01-31
| 3
|
这一天的懂车帝SUV全国热门榜排名第3名到第5名的车型分别是哪些？（只回答车型）
|
what will be the vehicles ranked from 3 to 5 on the hot list across China for SUVs (SUV全国热门榜) of this date published by Dongchedi (DCar, 懂车帝)? (Give the vehicle names only)
|
685e48ac6e8dbd006cdc6f71
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-02-01, what will be the vehicles ranked from 5 to 7 on the hot list across China for sedans (轿车全国热门榜) of this date published by Dongchedi (DCar, 懂车帝)? (Give the vehicle names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-02-01
| 3
|
这一天的懂车帝轿车全国热门榜排名第5名到第7名的车型分别是哪些？（只回答车型）
|
what will be the vehicles ranked from 5 to 7 on the hot list across China for sedans (轿车全国热门榜) of this date published by Dongchedi (DCar, 懂车帝)? (Give the vehicle names only)
|
685171e0560ebb0061efb2c3
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-02-03, what will be the total market capitalization (总市值) of Ping An Bank (000001) on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in hundreds of millions of yuan (two decimal places)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-02-03
| 4
|
深圳证券交易所平安银行（000001）的总市值是多少亿元（两位小数）？
|
what will be the total market capitalization (总市值) of Ping An Bank (000001) on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in hundreds of millions of yuan (two decimal places)?
|
6851413f7b52bf0069cac9eb
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-01-29, which movie will be the latest #1 Release in Box Office Mojo's Domestic Box Office Weekly?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-01-29
| 4
|
Box Office Mojo的Domestic Box Office Weekly的过去这一周的#1 Release是哪部电影？（用英文回答）
|
which movie will be the latest #1 Release in Box Office Mojo's Domestic Box Office Weekly?
|
6867949457e54a0061f98f8c
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-01-30, what will be the Metal Ore Index (金属矿石货种指数) of the China Coastal Bulk Freight Index (中国沿海散货运价指数) published by the Shanghai Shipping Exchange?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-01-30
| 4
|
上海航运交易所发布的中国沿海散货运价指数的金属矿石货种指数是多少？
|
what will be the Metal Ore Index (金属矿石货种指数) of the China Coastal Bulk Freight Index (中国沿海散货运价指数) published by the Shanghai Shipping Exchange?
|
68514628aca664006bceb217
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-01-30, according to the latest China Influenza Weekly Report (中国流感监测周报) from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, how many outbreaks of influenza-like illness (流感样病例暴发疫情) will be reported nationwide?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-01-30
| 4
|
最新的中国疾控中心的中国流感监测周报中，全国共报告多少起流感样病例暴发疫情？
|
according to the latest China Influenza Weekly Report (中国流感监测周报) from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, how many outbreaks of influenza-like illness (流感样病例暴发疫情) will be reported nationwide?
|
6851740359f71f006037a1ed
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-02-02, what will be the day's high for India Market Fund LOF (SZ:164824) (in CNY)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-02-02
| 4
|
印度基金LOF（SZ:164824）的当日最高点是多少元？
|
what will be the day's high for India Market Fund LOF (SZ:164824) (in CNY)?
|
6854dcb27df94a0060eb86cf
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-01-29, what will be the projects ranked from 5 to 7 on OpenGithubs' github-daily-rank of this date? (Give the project names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-01-29
| 4
|
这一天的Github开源项目每天飙升榜/日榜排行的第5名到第7名分别是什么？（用英文回答，回答榜单中的项目名）
|
what will be the projects ranked from 5 to 7 on OpenGithubs' github-daily-rank of this date? (Give the project names only)
|
6854dcbc7df94a0060eb86d0
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-01-30, what will be the "most recent" number for "Waiting for response" of this date in the Support Stats published by Steam?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-01-30
| 4
|
Steam公布的Support Stats中，这一天的等待响应（Waiting for response）的most recent数字是多少？
|
what will be the "most recent" number for "Waiting for response" of this date in the Support Stats published by Steam?
|
6854e0397ff26400687d2031
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-02-02, what will be the projects ranked from 1 to 3 on the latest OpenGithubs' github-weekly-rank? (Give the project names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-02-02
| 4
|
最新的Github开源项目每周飙升榜/周榜排行的第1名到第3名分别是什么？（用英文回答，回答榜单中的项目名）
|
what will be the projects ranked from 1 to 3 on the latest OpenGithubs' github-weekly-rank? (Give the project names only)
|
68774e5b17ef980047f8ce68
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-01-30, who will be the authors ranked from 5 to 7 on the latest Original Author Popularity Ranking (原创作者热度排行榜) published by Tencent Cloud Developer Community (腾讯云开发者社区)? (Give the author names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-01-30
| 4
|
腾讯云开发者社区发布的最新的原创作者热度排行榜中，排名第5名到第7名的作者分别是谁？（只回答作者名）
|
who will be the authors ranked from 5 to 7 on the latest Original Author Popularity Ranking (原创作者热度排行榜) published by Tencent Cloud Developer Community (腾讯云开发者社区)? (Give the author names only)
|
68774e69336fa8003b890146
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-02-02, which works will be ranked from 6 to 8 on the latest weekly tipping chart for audio dramas (广播剧打赏榜周榜) on Maoer (猫耳) FM (MissEvan)? (Give the work names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-02-02
| 4
|
最新的猫耳FM的广播剧打赏榜周榜中，排名第6名到第8名的作品是哪些？（只回答作品名）
|
which works will be ranked from 6 to 8 on the latest weekly tipping chart for audio dramas (广播剧打赏榜周榜) on Maoer (猫耳) FM (MissEvan)? (Give the work names only)
|
687df3a41d972f003b8ba68c
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-01-29, what will the high of CanSino (SH:688185) be for the day (in CNY)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-01-29
| 4
|
康希诺（SH:688185）的当日最高点是多少元？
|
what will the high of CanSino (SH:688185) be for the day (in CNY)?
|
68514682640f4c00608c5aea
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-02-02, who will be the uploaders ranked from 9 to 11 on the Weekly Chart of NewRank's Bilibili AI Accounts Influence (新榜·哔哩哔哩AI账号影响力·周榜) of the calendar week ending on this date? (Give the uploaders' names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-02-02
| 4
|
过去这一个自然周的新榜·哔哩哔哩AI账号影响力·周榜的第9名到第11名分别是哪几个UP主？（只回答UP主名称）
|
who will be the uploaders ranked from 9 to 11 on the Weekly Chart of NewRank's Bilibili AI Accounts Influence (新榜·哔哩哔哩AI账号影响力·周榜) of the calendar week ending on this date? (Give the uploaders' names only)
|
685171b65b1af900600a3306
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-02-03, what will be the stock market capitalization (市价总值) of PetroChina (601857) on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in ten thousand yuan (two decimal places)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-02-03
| 4
|
上海证券交易所中国石油（601857）的股票市价总值是多少万元（两位小数）？
|
what will be the stock market capitalization (市价总值) of PetroChina (601857) on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in ten thousand yuan (two decimal places)?
|
685173fb59f71f006037a1ec
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-01-31, what songs will be ranked from 18 to 20 on the latest QQ Music Soaring Chart (QQ音乐飙升榜)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-01-31
| 4
|
最新的QQ音乐飙升榜第18名到第20名是哪些歌？
|
what songs will be ranked from 18 to 20 on the latest QQ Music Soaring Chart (QQ音乐飙升榜)?
|
6851735859f71f006037a1e2
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-02-02, what will be the Agricultural Product Wholesale Price 200 Index (农产品批发价格200指数) monitored by China's National Agricultural Product Wholesale Market Price Information System (全国农产品批发市场价格信息系统)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-02-02
| 4
|
全国农产品批发市场价格信息系统监测的农产品批发价格200指数是多少？
|
what will be the Agricultural Product Wholesale Price 200 Index (农产品批发价格200指数) monitored by China's National Agricultural Product Wholesale Market Price Information System (全国农产品批发市场价格信息系统)?
|
6851738859f71f006037a1e5
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-01-30, what will be the close for the CSI 300 Index for the day?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-01-30
| 4
|
沪深300指数的当日收盘点是多少？
|
what will be the close for the CSI 300 Index for the day?
|
6870731ba3a7fb0061457aab
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-02-02, what will be the technologies ranked from 6 to 8 on the latest Smart Technologies Ranking (智能科技榜) published by Autohome (汽车之家)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-02-02
| 4
|
最新的汽车之家智能科技榜的第6名到第8名科技分别是什么？
|
what will be the technologies ranked from 6 to 8 on the latest Smart Technologies Ranking (智能科技榜) published by Autohome (汽车之家)?
|
6854dffd0635c0005f0a1d2f
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-01-29, what will be the songs from rank 14 to 16 on the latest NetEase Cloud Music Europe and America Hot Songs Chart (网易云音乐欧美热歌榜)? (Give the song titles only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-01-29
| 4
|
最新的网易云音乐欧美热歌榜第14名到第16名的歌曲分别是什么？（只回答歌曲名）
|
what will be the songs from rank 14 to 16 on the latest NetEase Cloud Music Europe and America Hot Songs Chart (网易云音乐欧美热歌榜)? (Give the song titles only)
|
68774ddd3083b1003c629ca8
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-01-29, what will the value (in hundreds of millions of yuan, two decimal places) of Daily Sell Trades (当日卖出成交金额) of Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect's Southbound Trading (港股通) be?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-01-29
| 4
|
上海证券交易所港股通的当日卖出成交金额是多少亿元？
|
what will the value (in hundreds of millions of yuan, two decimal places) of Daily Sell Trades (当日卖出成交金额) of Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect's Southbound Trading (港股通) be?
|
6944fde51834a500697575da
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-01-30, which movies will be ranked from 3 to 5 in the TOP 10 on Apple TV Store in the World chart issued by FlixPatrol? (give the movies only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-01-30
| 4
|
which movies will be ranked from 3 to 5 in the TOP 10 on Apple TV Store in the World chart issued by FlixPatrol? (give the movies only)
|
which movies will be ranked from 3 to 5 in the TOP 10 on Apple TV Store in the World chart issued by FlixPatrol? (give the movies only)
|
6945055fb5edfd005d923316
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-01-30, and the week ending on this date, which programs will be ranked from 7 to 9 among U.S. audiences in the TOTAL view of Linear TV Top 10 rankings issued by Nielsen? (Give the program names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-01-30
| 4
|
and the week ending on this date, which programs will be ranked from 7 to 9 among U.S. audiences in the TOTAL view of Linear TV Top 10 rankings issued by Nielsen? (Give the program names only)
|
and the week ending on this date, which programs will be ranked from 7 to 9 among U.S. audiences in the TOTAL view of Linear TV Top 10 rankings issued by Nielsen? (Give the program names only)
|
6945061ed2f0e700661f17a1
|
You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-02-03, what songs will be ranked from 17 to 19 in the latest UK's Official Singles Chart Top 100? (Give the songs only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot predict the future." You must make a clear prediction based on the best data currently available, using the box format specified above.
| null |
2026-02-03
| 4
|
what songs will be ranked from 17 to 19 in the latest UK's Official Singles Chart Top 100? (Give the songs only)
|
what songs will be ranked from 17 to 19 in the latest UK's Official Singles Chart Top 100? (Give the songs only)
|
Submission Guidelines — Weekly Prediction Challenge
📄 Technical Report: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2508.11987 🌐 LeaderBoard: https://futurex-ai.github.io/
We run a weekly real-time prediction challenge. This repo always contains latest events.
1. Weekly Rules
- A new set of tasks is released every week.
- This week's tasks cover events with an end time between
2026-01-28, 24:00 (UTC+8)and2026-02-03, 24:00 (UTC+8). - Option A: If you submit your API, we will automatically test your model.
- Option B: If you run locally, you must download the tasks, make predictions, and email us your results before Wednesday 24:00 (UTC+8) each week.
- Late submissions will not be counted.
- The leaderboard for this round will be updated by
2026-02-05 24:00 (UTC+8, Beijing Time).
⚠️ Next submission deadline: 2026-01-28, 24:00 (UTC+8, Beijing Time)
2. How to Participate?
Two ways:
2.1 Option A — Submit Your API
Send an email to FutureX-ai@outlook.com with your model's API (OpenAI-compatible endpoint + key).
Email subject format:
FutureX Challenge Entry — [Your Model Name]
Email body should include:
- Model details (base model, parameters, safety settings)
- Any required headers or rate limits
2.2 Option B — Run Locally & Submit Predictions
Download the latest tasks from our dataset: https://huggingface.co/datasets/futurex-ai/Futurex-Online
Run your model on the tasks.
Email your predictions to FutureX-ai@outlook.com before the deadline.
Email subject format:
FutureX Challenge Submission — [Your Model Name][Date]
Submission requirements:
- File format: JSON (or JSONL)
- Include dataset commit/hash you used
- Required fields:
id,prediction
Example (table view):
| id | prediction |
|---|---|
| event_001 | Yes |
| event_002 | No |
| event_003 | Maybe |
Example (JSONL format):
{"id": "event_001", "prediction": "Yes"}
{"id": "event_002", "prediction": "No"}
{"id": "event_003", "prediction": "Maybe"}
3. Leaderboard and Privacy
- Once your model has been tested on 200+ events, it will appear on the overall leaderboard.
- Weekly results will be ranked and shown on a dynamic leaderboard.
- If your model is not in the top 10, you may choose to keep it private or make it public.
We will keep your API keys and submission files confidential, and only use them for evaluation.
- Downloads last month
- 442
Size of downloaded dataset files:
39.7 kB
Size of the auto-converted Parquet files:
39.7 kB
Number of rows:
96