FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Paper โข 2508.11987 โข Published โข 73
Datasets:
id stringlengths 24 24 | prompt stringlengths 453 2.18k | end_time stringlengths 10 25 | level int64 1 4 | en_title stringlengths 31 231 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
6a5b72109f76f3002d4490ae | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026 Esports World Cup - Chess winner? (resolved around 2026-08-17 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Magnus Carlsen
B. the outcome be Hikaru Nakamura
C. the outcome be Other
D. the outcome be Arjun Erigaisi
E. the outcome be Alireza Firouzja
F... | 2026-08-17 | 2 | 2026 Esports World Cup - Chess winner? |
6a5b72709f76f3002d4490b0 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner (resolved around 2026-08-18 (GMT+8)).
A. Marcus Carter be the Republican nominee for FL-09
B. Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09
C. Jorge Malavet be the Republican nominee for FL-09
D. How... | 2026-08-18 | 2 | FL-09 Republican Primary Winner |
6a5e150f398772002c404763 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who wins the Men's HUNDRED championship? (resolved around 2026-08-18 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Birmingham Phoenix
B. the outcome be London Spirit
C. the outcome be MI London
D. the outcome be Manchester Super Giants
E. the outcome be S... | 2026-08-18 | 2 | Who wins the Men's HUNDRED championship? |
6a5e150f398772002c404762 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who wins the Women's HUNDRED championship? (resolved around 2026-08-17 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Birmingham Phoenix
B. the outcome be London Spirit
C. the outcome be MI London
D. the outcome be Manchester Super Giants
E. the outcome be... | 2026-08-17 | 2 | Who wins the Women's HUNDRED championship? |
6a69f290f86dc9002b434339 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What percentage of the vote will Count Binface win in the Clacton by-election? (resolved around 2026-08-14 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be [0,10)
B. the outcome be [10,20)
C. the outcome be [20,35)
D. the outcome be [35,100]"
IMPORTAN... | 2026-08-14 | 2 | What percentage of the vote will Count Binface win in the Clacton by-election? |
6a5b72109f76f3002d44909f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will anyone other than Farage and Binface get their deposit back in the 2026 Clacton by-election? (resolved around 2026-08-14 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
... | 2026-08-14 | 1 | Will anyone other than Farage and Binface get their deposit back in the 2026 Clacton by-election? |
6a562c15c74f36003596256d | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which team will win the 2026 UEFA Super Cup? (resolved around 2026-08-13 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Paris Saint-Germain} or \boxed{Aston Villa}
Do not use any other ... | 2026-08-13 | 1 | Which team will win the 2026 UEFA Super Cup? |
6a5e150f398772002c40475a | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will the result of Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330 (resolved around 2026-08-17 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Islam Makhachev wins
B. the outcome be Fight is ruled a no contest or draw
C. the outcome be Ian Machado Garry ... | 2026-08-17 | 1 | What will the result of Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330 |
6a62098e454dd8002dbc2670 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "US headline inflation rate in July (month-over-month CPI) (resolved around 2026-08-13 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Less than 0.2%
B. the outcome be Between 0.2 and 0.4%
C. the outcome be More than 0.4%"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer ... | 2026-08-13 | 1 | US headline inflation rate in July (month-over-month CPI) |
6a62098e454dd8002dbc266e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "US headline inflation rate in July (year-over-year CPI) (resolved around 2026-08-13 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Less than 3.4%
B. the outcome be Between 3.4 and 3.7%
C. the outcome be More than 3.7%"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MU... | 2026-08-13 | 1 | US headline inflation rate in July (year-over-year CPI) |
6a62098e454dd8002dbc2675 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Monthly inflation in Argentina > 1.9% in July? (resolved around 2026-08-14 (GMT+8)). "
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{Yes} or \boxed{No}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse t... | 2026-08-14 | 1 | Monthly inflation in Argentina > 1.9% in July? |
685141c3b3bf920060db7796 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-17, who will be the players ranked from 9 to 11 in the latest PIF ATP Singles Ranking? (Give the names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any ... | 2026-08-17 | 3 | who will be the players ranked from 9 to 11 in the latest PIF ATP Singles Ranking? (Give the names only) |
685141eca047fd005f77ef02 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-17, who will be the players ranked from 12 to 14 in the latest PIF WTA Doubles Rankings? (Give the names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use an... | 2026-08-17 | 3 | who will be the players ranked from 12 to 14 in the latest PIF WTA Doubles Rankings? (Give the names only) |
685141d47b52bf0069cac9ee | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-17, who will be the players ranked from 13 to 15 in the latest PIF ATP Doubles Rankings? (Give the names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use an... | 2026-08-17 | 3 | who will be the players ranked from 13 to 15 in the latest PIF ATP Doubles Rankings? (Give the names only) |
685173c159f71f006037a1e9 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-18, what will be the value in Chinese Yuan of 100 units of US Dollar at the central parity rate?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format... | 2026-08-18 | 3 | what will be the value in Chinese Yuan of 100 units of US Dollar at the central parity rate? |
6867949457e54a0061f98f8c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-14, what will be the Coastal Dry Bulk Index (ๆฒฟๆตทๅนฒๆฃ่ดงๆๆฐ) of the China Coastal Bulk Freight Index (ไธญๅฝๆฒฟๆตทๆฃ่ดง่ฟไปทๆๆฐ) published by the Shanghai Shipping Exchange?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\box... | 2026-08-14 | 4 | what will be the Coastal Dry Bulk Index (ๆฒฟๆตทๅนฒๆฃ่ดงๆๆฐ) of the China Coastal Bulk Freight Index (ไธญๅฝๆฒฟๆตทๆฃ่ดง่ฟไปทๆๆฐ) published by the Shanghai Shipping Exchange? |
68514628aca664006bceb217 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-14, according to the latest China Influenza Weekly Report (ไธญๅฝๆตๆ็ๆตๅจๆฅ) from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, how many outbreaks of influenza-like illness (ๆตๆๆ ท็
ไพๆดๅ็ซๆ
) will be reported nationwide?"
IMPORTANT: ... | 2026-08-14 | 4 | according to the latest China Influenza Weekly Report (ไธญๅฝๆตๆ็ๆตๅจๆฅ) from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, how many outbreaks of influenza-like illness (ๆตๆๆ ท็
ไพๆดๅ็ซๆ
) will be reported nationwide? |
6851740359f71f006037a1ed | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-17, what will be the day's close for India Market Fund LOF (SZ:164824) (in CNY)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse ... | 2026-08-17 | 4 | what will be the day's close for India Market Fund LOF (SZ:164824) (in CNY)? |
6854dcb27df94a0060eb86cf | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-13, what will be the projects ranked from 8 to 10 on OpenGithubs' github-daily-rank of this date? (Give the project names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
... | 2026-08-13 | 4 | what will be the projects ranked from 8 to 10 on OpenGithubs' github-daily-rank of this date? (Give the project names only) |
6854e0397ff26400687d2031 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-17, what will be the projects ranked from 15 to 17 on the latest OpenGithubs' github-weekly-rank? (Give the project names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
... | 2026-08-17 | 4 | what will be the projects ranked from 15 to 17 on the latest OpenGithubs' github-weekly-rank? (Give the project names only) |
68774e69336fa8003b890146 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-17, which works will be ranked from 14 to 16 on the latest weekly tipping chart for audio dramas (ๅนฟๆญๅงๆ่ตๆฆๅจๆฆ) on Maoer (็ซ่ณ) FM (MissEvan)? (Give the work names only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
... | 2026-08-17 | 4 | which works will be ranked from 14 to 16 on the latest weekly tipping chart for audio dramas (ๅนฟๆญๅงๆ่ตๆฆๅจๆฆ) on Maoer (็ซ่ณ) FM (MissEvan)? (Give the work names only) |
687df3a41d972f003b8ba68c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-13, what will the close of CanSino (SH:688185) be for the day (in CNY)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a... | 2026-08-13 | 4 | what will the close of CanSino (SH:688185) be for the day (in CNY)? |
6851735859f71f006037a1e2 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-17, what will be the "Vegetable Basket" Product Wholesale Price 200 Index (โ่็ฏฎๅญโไบงๅๆนๅไปทๆ ผ200ๆๆฐ) monitored by China's National Agricultural Product Wholesale Market Price Information System (ๅ
จๅฝๅไบงๅๆนๅๅธๅบไปทๆ ผไฟกๆฏ็ณป็ป)?"
IMPORTANT: Your final... | 2026-08-17 | 4 | what will be the "Vegetable Basket" Product Wholesale Price 200 Index (โ่็ฏฎๅญโไบงๅๆนๅไปทๆ ผ200ๆๆฐ) monitored by China's National Agricultural Product Wholesale Market Price Information System (ๅ
จๅฝๅไบงๅๆนๅๅธๅบไปทๆ ผไฟกๆฏ็ณป็ป)? |
6851738859f71f006037a1e5 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-18, what will be the low for the CSI 300 Index for the day?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction.... | 2026-08-18 | 4 | what will be the low for the CSI 300 Index for the day? |
6944fde51834a500697575da | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-14, which movies will be ranked from 7 to 9 in the TOP 10 on Apple TV Store in the World chart issued by FlixPatrol? (give the movies only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PRED... | 2026-08-14 | 4 | which movies will be ranked from 7 to 9 in the TOP 10 on Apple TV Store in the World chart issued by FlixPatrol? (give the movies only) |
6945061ed2f0e700661f17a1 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026-08-18, what songs will be ranked from 4 to 6 in the latest UK's Official Singles Chart Top 100? (Give the songs only)"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not us... | 2026-08-18 | 4 | what songs will be ranked from 4 to 6 in the latest UK's Official Singles Chart Top 100? (Give the songs only) |
eb243c331cca494b889e8e69 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In NHS England's 13 August 2026 cancer waiting-times release for June 2026, which band contains the England percentage of patients receiving first definitive treatment within 62 days of an urgent suspected-cancer referral? (resolved around 202... | 2026-08-13T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | In NHS England's 13 August 2026 cancer waiting-times release for June 2026, which band contains the England percentage of patients receiving first definitive treatment within 62 days of an urgent suspected-cancer referral? |
cb212a0e1acf39ede77a9b50 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What England recovery-rate band will NHS Talking Therapies report for the June 2026 monthly cohort? (resolved around 2026-08-13T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A. Below 45%
B. the outcome be B. 45% to below 50%
C. the outcome be... | 2026-08-13T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | What England recovery-rate band will NHS Talking Therapies report for the June 2026 monthly cohort? |
e2de475800637dbddd801676 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "When NHS England releases its 13 August 2026 consultant-led Referral to Treatment statistics for June 2026, which range contains the England total number of incomplete RTT pathways waiting to start treatment at month end? (resolved around 2026... | 2026-08-13T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | When NHS England releases its 13 August 2026 consultant-led Referral to Treatment statistics for June 2026, which range contains the England total number of incomplete RTT pathways waiting to start treatment at month end? |
6f7c12ebb938e23c4ebe160c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which album will be No. 1 on the Billboard 200 dated Aug. 22, 2026?"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with this exact format:
\boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}
Do not use any other format. Do not refuse to make a prediction. Do not say "I cannot pr... | 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Which album will be No. 1 on the Billboard 200 dated Aug. 22, 2026? |
3ef931d6b8e5789c14d577d6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which album will be No. 1 on the UK Official Albums Chart for the chart week Aug. 14โ20, 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-15T02:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the outcome be C
D. the outcome be D"
IMPORTANT... | 2026-08-15T02:00:00+08:00 | 3 | Which album will be No. 1 on the UK Official Albums Chart for the chart week Aug. 14โ20, 2026? |
cde7f9d166f11d925cdbdde5 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which artist will be No. 1 on the Billboard Artist 100 dated Aug. 22, 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the outcome be C
D. the outcome be D"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer... | 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Which artist will be No. 1 on the Billboard Artist 100 dated Aug. 22, 2026? |
738303c6df5baf3d40f11f2e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which film will rank No. 1 on Netflix's Global Top 10 Films list for the week of Aug. 10โ16, 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the outcome be C"
IMPORTANT: Your final answ... | 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Which film will rank No. 1 on Netflix's Global Top 10 Films list for the week of Aug. 10โ16, 2026? |
de9df2f00214086702bf0b25 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which film will receive the Pardo d'Oro in Locarno79's Concorso Internazionale? (resolved around 2026-08-15T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the outcome be C
D. the outcome be D"
IMPORTANT: Your final an... | 2026-08-15T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | Which film will receive the Pardo d'Oro in Locarno79's Concorso Internazionale? |
186b649f20542955299ee47f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which song will be No. 1 on Billboard's Streaming Songs chart dated Aug. 22, 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the outcome be C
D. the outcome be D"
IMPORTANT: Your final... | 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Which song will be No. 1 on Billboard's Streaming Songs chart dated Aug. 22, 2026? |
eab30b7fece98334e45acd2c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which song will be No. 1 on the Billboard Global 200 dated Aug. 22, 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the outcome be C
D. the outcome be D"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer M... | 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Which song will be No. 1 on the Billboard Global 200 dated Aug. 22, 2026? |
c585071ae85edcd6e8269b7d | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which song will be No. 1 on the Billboard Global Excl. U.S. chart dated Aug. 22, 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the outcome be C
D. the outcome be D"
IMPORTANT: Your f... | 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Which song will be No. 1 on the Billboard Global Excl. U.S. chart dated Aug. 22, 2026? |
d99963edce638117c9047214 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which title will rank No. 1 among English-language TV shows in Netflix's Global Top 10 data for the completed week of Aug. 10โ16, 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the out... | 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | Which title will rank No. 1 among English-language TV shows in Netflix's Global Top 10 data for the completed week of Aug. 10โ16, 2026? |
ff4ff3f5476a9f66e8308e40 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which title will rank No. 1 among non-English-language TV shows in Netflix's Global Top 10 data for the completed week of Aug. 10โ16, 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the... | 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | Which title will rank No. 1 among non-English-language TV shows in Netflix's Global Top 10 data for the completed week of Aug. 10โ16, 2026? |
82c3a0d070d8d58f6cdc5246 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which title will rank No. 1 on Netflix's Global Top 10 Shows list for the completed week of Aug. 10โ16, 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the outcome be C"
IMPORTANT: Your... | 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Which title will rank No. 1 on Netflix's Global Top 10 Shows list for the completed week of Aug. 10โ16, 2026? |
9eaa7fdc7f1eb259c8b467c8 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which title will rank No. 1 on Netflix's United States Top 10 Shows list for the completed week of Aug. 10โ16, 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the outcome be C
D. the o... | 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Which title will rank No. 1 on Netflix's United States Top 10 Shows list for the completed week of Aug. 10โ16, 2026? |
658788deb58efc64d9e84280 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In EIA's 13 August 2026 Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report, what will be the net weekly change in Lower 48 working natural-gas stocks? (resolved around 2026-08-13T22:30:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A. A net withdrawal or an injection ... | 2026-08-13T22:30:00+08:00 | 4 | In EIA's 13 August 2026 Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report, what will be the net weekly change in Lower 48 working natural-gas stocks? |
3130522b7dc88d9f17835c90 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In EIA's Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the week ending 7 August 2026, what will be the weekly change in U.S. commercial crude-oil inventories excluding the Strategic Petroleum Reserve? (resolved around 2026-08-12T22:30:00+08:00 (GMT+8)). ... | 2026-08-12T22:30:00+08:00 | 3 | In EIA's Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the week ending 7 August 2026, what will be the weekly change in U.S. commercial crude-oil inventories excluding the Strategic Petroleum Reserve? |
accff2a12713559f095d5188 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What 2026 global oil-demand growth forecast will OPEC publish in its August 2026 Monthly Oil Market Report? (resolved around 2026-08-12T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A. Below 1.10 million barrels per day
B. the outcome be B. 1.... | 2026-08-12T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | What 2026 global oil-demand growth forecast will OPEC publish in its August 2026 Monthly Oil Market Report? |
a9940d001bbac2b76cbf8a44 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What August 2026 NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index reading will the National Association of Home Builders release? (resolved around 2026-08-17T22:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A. Below 30
B. the outcome be B. 30 to below 35
C.... | 2026-08-17T22:00:00+08:00 | 3 | What August 2026 NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index reading will the National Association of Home Builders release? |
63c08036ea2858241d182381 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What preliminary August 2026 Index of Consumer Sentiment will the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers report? (resolved around 2026-08-14T22:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A. Below 50.0
B. the outcome be B. 50.0 to below 55... | 2026-08-14T22:00:00+08:00 | 3 | What preliminary August 2026 Index of Consumer Sentiment will the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers report? |
6e647f63039654d42248b16e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What quarter-on-quarter change will the Australian Bureau of Statistics report in May 2026 average weekly ordinary-time earnings for full-time adults, seasonally adjusted? (resolved around 2026-08-13T09:30:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome b... | 2026-08-13T09:30:00+08:00 | 3 | What quarter-on-quarter change will the Australian Bureau of Statistics report in May 2026 average weekly ordinary-time earnings for full-time adults, seasonally adjusted? |
ec7bb5c7e4d49390e5a94dc3 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What seasonally adjusted annual rate of privately owned housing starts will the U.S. Census Bureau report for July 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-18 20:30 GMT+8 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A. Below 1.25 million units
B. the outcome be B. 1.... | 2026-08-18 20:30 GMT+8 | 3 | What seasonally adjusted annual rate of privately owned housing starts will the U.S. Census Bureau report for July 2026? |
b1df083aaa0cd27730aa54c0 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What total revenue will Applied Materials report for fiscal Q3 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-14 04:30 GMT+8 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A. Below US$8.5 billion
B. the outcome be B. US$8.5 billion to below US$8.8 billion
C. the outcome be ... | 2026-08-14 04:30 GMT+8 | 3 | What total revenue will Applied Materials report for fiscal Q3 2026? |
148f736c1011d817e54682bd | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What total revenue will Tencent report for Q2 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-13 23:59 GMT+8 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A. Below RMB 200 billion
B. the outcome be B. RMB 200 billion to below RMB 210 billion
C. the outcome be C. RMB 210 bil... | 2026-08-13 23:59 GMT+8 | 3 | What total revenue will Tencent report for Q2 2026? |
f5e8adb1d610d464357f22d2 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will India's Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation report as the year-on-year All-India CPI inflation rate for July 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-12 18:30 GMT+8 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A. Below 3.0%
B. the outcome be... | 2026-08-12 18:30 GMT+8 | 3 | What will India's Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation report as the year-on-year All-India CPI inflation rate for July 2026? |
bf5db0d1cd00ac3a7fa84a28 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will India's Office of the Economic Adviser report as the July 2026 all-commodities Wholesale Price Index inflation rate year over year? (resolved around 2026-08-14 14:30 GMT+8 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A. Below 8.0%
B. the outcome b... | 2026-08-14 14:30 GMT+8 | 3 | What will India's Office of the Economic Adviser report as the July 2026 all-commodities Wholesale Price Index inflation rate year over year? |
54f65b95ae665684e30d44fa | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will Japan's Cabinet Office report as the quarter-on-quarter change in real GDP for Q2 2026 in its first preliminary estimate? (resolved around 2026-08-17 07:50 GMT+8 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A. A contraction
B. the outcome be B. 0.... | 2026-08-17 07:50 GMT+8 | 4 | What will Japan's Cabinet Office report as the quarter-on-quarter change in real GDP for Q2 2026 in its first preliminary estimate? |
cf3271a222a8eb211d01f541 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will the Office for National Statistics report as UK real GDP growth from Q1 to Q2 2026 in its first quarterly estimate? (resolved around 2026-08-13 14:00 GMT+8 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A. A contraction
B. the outcome be B. 0.0% to ... | 2026-08-13 14:00 GMT+8 | 3 | What will the Office for National Statistics report as UK real GDP growth from Q1 to Q2 2026 in its first quarterly estimate? |
87a61245f2afb782e7c1b13e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the July 2026 final-demand Producer Price Index month-over-month change, seasonally adjusted? (resolved around 2026-08-13 20:30 GMT+8 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A. A decline
B. the ou... | 2026-08-13 20:30 GMT+8 | 3 | What will the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the July 2026 final-demand Producer Price Index month-over-month change, seasonally adjusted? |
8f95f7ca0f96aa4ac8b38602 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the July 2026 month-over-month change in the all-imports price index, excluding fuel, seasonally adjusted? (resolved around 2026-08-18 20:30 GMT+8 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A. A decli... | 2026-08-18 20:30 GMT+8 | 4 | What will the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the July 2026 month-over-month change in the all-imports price index, excluding fuel, seasonally adjusted? |
484c589ad818765229fe8102 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will the U.S. Census Bureau report as the seasonally adjusted month-over-month change in July 2026 advance retail and food services sales? (resolved around 2026-08-14 20:30 GMT+8 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A. A decline
B. the outcome ... | 2026-08-14 20:30 GMT+8 | 3 | What will the U.S. Census Bureau report as the seasonally adjusted month-over-month change in July 2026 advance retail and food services sales? |
f9911d2b71867ff80aa8f3f7 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will Osun State's voter turnout be in INEC's declared result for the 15 August 2026 governorship election, measured as accredited voters divided by registered voters? (resolved around 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome b... | 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | What will Osun State's voter turnout be in INEC's declared result for the 15 August 2026 governorship election, measured as accredited voters divided by registered voters? |
58210b2ea0b1facf635e0f38 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will be the margin between the first- and second-placed presidential candidates in ECZ's declared result for Zambia's 13 August 2026 election, as a share of valid votes? (resolved around 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcom... | 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | What will be the margin between the first- and second-placed presidential candidates in ECZ's declared result for Zambia's 13 August 2026 election, as a share of valid votes? |
b59226f6c00caf8a3866f072 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will nationwide voter turnout be in ECZ's declared result for Zambia's 13 August 2026 general election, measured as total presidential votes cast divided by registered voters? (resolved around 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the ... | 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | What will nationwide voter turnout be in ECZ's declared result for Zambia's 13 August 2026 general election, measured as total presidential votes cast divided by registered voters? |
dda4f94dbf3411f4cd04f0be | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will the Minnesota State Canvassing Board certify as the DFL nominee for U.S. House District 5 from the 11 August 2026 primary? (resolved around 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A. Ilhan Omar
B. the outcome be B. Ju... | 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Who will the Minnesota State Canvassing Board certify as the DFL nominee for U.S. House District 5 from the 11 August 2026 primary? |
22f0022f165f66d98d82d20b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What official outcome will SpaceX record for the Globalstar 2-R Launch 1 Falcon 9 mission scheduled from SLC-40, Florida? (resolved around 2026-08-16T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Successful launch and payload deployment
B. the... | 2026-08-16T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | What official outcome will SpaceX record for the Globalstar 2-R Launch 1 Falcon 9 mission scheduled from SLC-40, Florida? |
8aa0768d952dbe5e9d402e03 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What total revenue will Cisco report for Q4 of fiscal year 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-13T05:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Below US$15.5 billion
B. the outcome be US$15.5 billion to below US$16.2 billion
C. the outcome be US$1... | 2026-08-13T05:00:00+08:00 | 3 | What total revenue will Cisco report for Q4 of fiscal year 2026? |
d5d13a4376acb19256f5595b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026 AFL Round 23 โ Hawthorn vs Collingwood: final winning margin (resolved around 2026-08-15T23:30:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the outcome be C
D. the outcome be D
E. the outcome be E
F. the outcome be... | 2026-08-15T23:30:00+08:00 | 4 | 2026 AFL Round 23 โ Hawthorn vs Collingwood: final winning margin |
74a5e93fdd7ea2e32a6de25c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026 NFL preseason โ Detroit Lions at Cincinnati Bengals: final winning margin (resolved around 2026-08-14T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the outcome be C
D. the outcome be D
E. the outcome be E
F. t... | 2026-08-14T12:00:00+08:00 | 4 | 2026 NFL preseason โ Detroit Lions at Cincinnati Bengals: final winning margin |
395635d7bd38a79be954f619 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026 NFL preseason โ Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers: final winning margin (resolved around 2026-08-14T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the outcome be C
D. the outcome be D
E. the outcome be E
... | 2026-08-14T12:00:00+08:00 | 4 | 2026 NFL preseason โ Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers: final winning margin |
58dd02c8770bfbc2e75e07ba | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026 NRL Round 24 โ Brisbane Broncos vs New Zealand Warriors: final winning margin (resolved around 2026-08-15T22:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the outcome be C
D. the outcome be D
E. the outcome be E
F... | 2026-08-15T22:00:00+08:00 | 4 | 2026 NRL Round 24 โ Brisbane Broncos vs New Zealand Warriors: final winning margin |
b346e936d29e3ab3350754f7 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "2026โ27 LALIGA EA SPORTS Matchday 1 โ Celta vs CA Osasuna: regulation-time winning margin (resolved around 2026-08-17T08:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the outcome be C
D. the outcome be D
E. the outcome... | 2026-08-17T08:00:00+08:00 | 3 | 2026โ27 LALIGA EA SPORTS Matchday 1 โ Celta vs CA Osasuna: regulation-time winning margin |
af883392d9b4356362c65cc5 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which club will win Rainbow Six Siege X at the 2026 Esports World Cup? (resolved around 2026-08-15T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the outcome be C
D. the outcome be D"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST... | 2026-08-15T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Which club will win Rainbow Six Siege X at the 2026 Esports World Cup? |
47b776170752476308bbe0cb | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which club will win Rocket League at the 2026 Esports World Cup? (resolved around 2026-08-16T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the outcome be C
D. the outcome be D"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end w... | 2026-08-16T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | Which club will win Rocket League at the 2026 Esports World Cup? |
9919bafa65d805ada3bf11bb | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which driver will win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out 400 at Richmond Raceway? (resolved around 2026-08-16T14:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the outcome be C
D. the outcome be D"
IMPORTANT: Your final... | 2026-08-16T14:00:00+08:00 | 3 | Which driver will win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out 400 at Richmond Raceway? |
fba1dc4721159587ed73522f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which golfer will win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship? (resolved around 2026-08-17T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the outcome be C
D. the outcome be D"
IMPORTANT: Your final answer MUST end with t... | 2026-08-17T12:00:00+08:00 | 3 | Which golfer will win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship? |
7785cd991321692c490f7484 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win the men's 400m at the 2026 European Athletics Championships in Birmingham? (resolved around 2026-08-13T05:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the outcome be C
D. the outcome be D"
IMPORTANT: Your ... | 2026-08-13T05:00:00+08:00 | 3 | Who will win the men's 400m at the 2026 European Athletics Championships in Birmingham? |
089f208f5c03f46931e70650 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Who will win the women's 1500m at the 2026 European Athletics Championships in Birmingham? (resolved around 2026-08-17T05:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the outcome be C
D. the outcome be D"
IMPORTANT: Yo... | 2026-08-17T05:00:00+08:00 | 3 | Who will win the women's 1500m at the 2026 European Athletics Championships in Birmingham? |
602ee81821c7d6a811fb2122 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "For July 2026, how many England acute-setting delayed discharges will NHS England report in its Delayed Discharges release? (resolved around 2026-08-13T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A. Below 160,000
B. the outcome be B. 160,000... | 2026-08-13T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | For July 2026, how many England acute-setting delayed discharges will NHS England report in its Delayed Discharges release? |
e9e03dd157ae4d15c7c33630 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "For NHS England's June 2026 Histopathology Performance Data release, what percentage of cancer histopathology reports will be issued within seven calendar days? (resolved around 2026-08-13T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A. Below ... | 2026-08-13T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | For NHS England's June 2026 Histopathology Performance Data release, what percentage of cancer histopathology reports will be issued within seven calendar days? |
c1feabbc478413724391e461 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In Japan Institute for Health Security's provisional IDWR update for epidemiological week 32 of 2026, what national sentinel-reporting rate will be recorded for hand, foot and mouth disease? (resolved around 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).... | 2026-08-18T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | In Japan Institute for Health Security's provisional IDWR update for epidemiological week 32 of 2026, what national sentinel-reporting rate will be recorded for hand, foot and mouth disease? |
b19fd5f6f33161b72c714214 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In NHS England's Mental Health Services Monthly Statistics for performance June 2026, how many people will be reported as in contact with NHS-funded secondary mental-health, learning-disability and autism services at the month end? (resolved a... | 2026-08-13T23:59:59+08:00 | 3 | In NHS England's Mental Health Services Monthly Statistics for performance June 2026, how many people will be reported as in contact with NHS-funded secondary mental-health, learning-disability and autism services at the month end? |
1db3ba4741e1c00224d1ddc2 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "In ONS's 13 August 2026 Health Insight Survey release, what percentage of adults on an NHS hospital waiting list will say that shorter waiting times would improve their experience while waiting? (resolved around 2026-08-13T17:30:00+08:00 (GMT+... | 2026-08-13T17:30:00+08:00 | 4 | In ONS's 13 August 2026 Health Insight Survey release, what percentage of adults on an NHS hospital waiting list will say that shorter waiting times would improve their experience while waiting? |
8ffc9bb63c48142429a24921 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which director will receive the Best Direction award in Locarno79's Concorso Internazionale? (resolved around 2026-08-15T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A
B. the outcome be B
C. the outcome be C
D. the outcome be D"
IMPORTANT: ... | 2026-08-15T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | Which director will receive the Best Direction award in Locarno79's Concorso Internazionale? |
Submission Guidelines โ Weekly Prediction Challenge
๐ Technical Report: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2508.11987 ๐ LeaderBoard: https://futurex-ai.github.io/
We run a weekly real-time prediction challenge. This repo always contains latest events.
1. Weekly Rules
- A new set of tasks is released every week.
- This week's tasks cover events with an end time between
2026-08-12, 24:00 (UTC+8)and2026-08-18, 24:00 (UTC+8). - You must download the tasks, make predictions, and email us your results before Wednesday 24:00 (UTC+8) each week.
- Late submissions will not be counted.
- The leaderboard for this round will be updated by
2026-08-20 24:00 (UTC+8, Beijing Time).
โ ๏ธ Next submission deadline: 2026-08-12, 24:00 (UTC+8, Beijing Time)
2. How to Participate?
Download the latest tasks from our dataset: https://huggingface.co/datasets/futurex-ai/Futurex-Online
Run your model on the tasks.
Email your predictions to FutureX-ai@outlook.com before the deadline.
Email subject format:
FutureX Challenge Submission โ [Your Model Name][Date]
Submission requirements:
- File format: JSON (or JSONL)
- Include dataset commit/hash you used
- Required fields:
id,prediction
Note: Predictions can be in various formats including single letters (A, B, C), letter combinations (A, C, D), text in any language, numbers, or empty strings. The prediction should exactly match the format expected by the specific event question.
3. Leaderboard and Privacy
- Weekly results will be ranked and shown on a dynamic leaderboard by default.
- You can choose to keep it private or make it public.
- Downloads last month
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