| | --- |
| | language: |
| | - en |
| | pretty_name: "ClimX: extreme-aware climate model emulation" |
| | tags: |
| | - climate |
| | - earth-system-model |
| | - machine-learning |
| | - emulation |
| | - extremes |
| | - netcdf |
| | license: mit |
| | task_categories: |
| | - time-series-forecasting |
| | - other |
| | --- |
| | |
| | <!-- NOTE: Math formatting convention: inline math uses \\( ... \\) and math blocks use $$ ... $$. --> |
| |
|
| | # ClimX: a challenge for extreme-aware climate model emulation |
| |
|
| | ClimX is a challenge about building **fast and accurate machine learning emulators** for the NorESM2-MM Earth System Model, with evaluation focused on **climate extremes** rather than mean climate alone. |
| |
|
| | ## Dataset summary |
| |
|
| | This dataset contains the **full-resolution** ClimX data in **NetCDF-4** format (targets + forcings, depending on split) with a native grid of \\(192 \times 288\\) (about \\(1^\circ\\)) resolution. It also contains the **lite-resolution** version, with a native grid of \\(12 \times 18\\) (about \\(16^\circ\\)) resolution: |
| |
|
| | - **Lite-resolution**: <1GB, \\(16\times\\) spatially coarsened, meant for rapid prototyping. |
| | - **Full-resolution**: ~200GB, full-resolution data for large-scale training. |
| |
|
| | ## What you will do (high level) |
| |
|
| | You train an emulator that predicts **daily** 2D fields for 7 surface variables: |
| |
|
| | - `tas`, `tasmax`, `tasmin` |
| | - `pr`, `huss`, `psl`, `sfcWind` |
| |
|
| | However, the **benchmark targets are 15 extreme indices** derived from daily temperature and precipitation (ETCCDI-style indices). The daily fields are an **intermediate output** your emulator produces (useful for diagnostics and for computing the indices). |
| |
|
| | Conceptually: |
| |
|
| | $$ |
| | x_t = g(f_t, f_{t-1}, \dots, f_{t-\alpha}, x_{t-1}, x_{t-2}, \dots, x_{t-\beta}) |
| | $$ |
| | |
| | where \\(f_t\\) are forcings (greenhouse gases + aerosols) and \\(x_t\\) is the climate state. |
| | |
| | ## Dataset structure |
| | |
| | ### Spatial and temporal shape |
| | |
| | Full-resolution daily fields: |
| | |
| | - **Historical**: `lat: 192, lon: 288, time: 60224` |
| | - **Projections**: `lat: 192, lon: 288, time: 31389` |
| | |
| | ### Splits and scenarios (official challenge setup) |
| | |
| | Training uses historical + several SSP scenarios; testing is on the held-out **SSP2-4.5** scenario: |
| | |
| | - **Train**: historical (1850–2014) + `ssp126`, `ssp370`, `ssp585` (2015–2100) |
| | - **Test (held-out)**: `ssp245` (2015–2100) |
| | |
| | To avoid leakage, **targets for `ssp245` are withheld** in the official evaluation; only the **forcings** are provided for that scenario. The full outputs will be released after the competition. |
| | |
| | ## Evaluation metric |
| | |
| | The primary leaderboard metric is the region-wise **normalized Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (nNSE)**, averaged over 15 climate extreme indices. |
| | |
| | For each index \\(v\\), grid cell \\((i,j)\\), a validity mask \\(\mathcal{V}\\) excludes cells with negligible temporal variability. Cell-level \\(R^2\\) and nNSE are: |
| | |
| | $$ |
| | R^2_{ij} = 1 - \frac{\mathrm{MSE}_{ij}}{\mathrm{Var}_t(gt_{ij})}, \qquad \mathrm{nNSE}_{ij} = \frac{R^2_{ij}}{2 - R^2_{ij}} |
| | $$ |
| |
|
| | For each AR6 land region \\(k\\), the area-weighted regional score is: |
| |
|
| | $$ |
| | \mathrm{nNSE}_{kv} = \frac{\sum_{(i,j)\in k \cap \mathcal{V}} \cos\phi_i \, \mathrm{nNSE}_{ij}}{\sum_{(i,j)\in k \cap \mathcal{V}} \cos\phi_i} |
| | $$ |
| |
|
| | The final score averages uniformly over valid regions and indices: |
| |
|
| | $$ |
| | S = \frac{1}{|V|} \sum_{v \in V} \frac{1}{|K_v|} \sum_{k \in K_v} \mathrm{nNSE}_{kv} |
| | $$ |
| | |
| | \\(S=1\\) is perfect agreement, \\(S=0\\) corresponds to a mean predictor, and \\(S \to -1\\) is pathological. |
| | |
| | ## How to load the data |
| | |
| | This dataset is distributed as **NetCDF-4** files. There are two common ways to load it. |
| | |
| | ### Option 1 (recommended): clone the ClimX code and use the helper loader |
| | |
| | The ClimX repository already includes a helper module (`src/data/climx_hf.py`) that allows you to download the dataset from Hugging Face and open it as three lazily-loaded “virtual” xarray datasets: |
| |
|
| | ```bash |
| | git clone https://github.com/IPL-UV/ClimX.git |
| | cd ClimX |
| | pip install -U "huggingface-hub" xarray netcdf4 dask |
| | ``` |
| |
|
| | ```python |
| | from src.data.climx_hf import download_climx_from_hf, open_climx_virtual_datasets |
| | |
| | # Download NetCDF artifacts from HF into a local cache directory. |
| | root = download_climx_from_hf("/path/to/hf_cache", variant="full") |
| | |
| | # Open as three virtual datasets (lazy / dask-friendly). |
| | ds = open_climx_virtual_datasets(root, variant="full") # or "lite" |
| | |
| | ds.hist # historical (targets + forcings) |
| | ds.train # projections training scenarios (targets + forcings; excludes `ssp245` scenario) |
| | ds.test_forcings # `ssp245` scenario forcings only (no targets) |
| | ``` |
| |
|
| | ### Option 2: download NetCDFs and open with xarray directly |
| |
|
| | You can also download files from Hugging Face and open them with **xarray**. |
| |
|
| | Example: |
| |
|
| | ```python |
| | from huggingface_hub import hf_hub_download |
| | import xarray as xr |
| | |
| | path = hf_hub_download( |
| | repo_id="isp-uv-es/ClimX", |
| | repo_type="dataset", |
| | filename="PATH/TO/A/FILE.nc", # replace with an actual file in this dataset repo |
| | ) |
| | ds = xr.open_dataset(path) |
| | print(ds) |
| | ``` |
| |
|
| | ## Links |
| |
|
| | - [Kaggle competition](https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/climx) |
| | - [Full dataset (this page)](https://huggingface.co/datasets/isp-uv-es/ClimX) |
| | - [Public code repository (challenge materials)](https://github.com/IPL-UV/ClimX) |
| | - [Website](https://ipl-uv.github.io/ClimX/) |
| |
|
| | ## License and usage |
| |
|
| | The dataset is released under **MIT**. In addition, if you are participating in the ClimX competition, please follow the competition rules (notably: restrictions on external climate training data and redistribution of competition data). |