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relative frequency of direct hits that were AT MOST a category 3 storm? a. 0.3480 b. 0.9231 c. 0.2601 d. 0.3370 1.4 Experimental Design and Ethics 87. How does sleep deprivation affect your ability to drive? A recent study measured the effects on 19 professional drivers. Each driver participated in two experimental sessions: one after normal sleep and one after 27 hours of total sleep deprivation. The treatments were assigned in random order. In each session, performance was measured on a variety of tasks including a driving simulation. Use key terms from this module to describe the design of this experiment. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 88. An advertisement for Acme Investments displays the two graphs in Figure 1.14 to show the value of Acme’s product in comparison with the Other Guy’s product. Describe the potentially misleading visual effect of these comparison graphs. How can this be corrected? CHAPTER 1 | SAMPLING AND DATA 59 (a) (b) Figure 1.14 As the graphs show, Acme consistently outperforms the Other Guys! 89. The graph in Figure 1.15 shows the number of complaints for six different airlines as reported to the US Department of Transportation in February 2013. Alaska, Pinnacle, and Airtran Airlines have far fewer complaints reported than American, Delta, and United. Can we conclude that American, Delta, and United are the worst airline carriers since they have the most complaints? Figure 1.15 BRINGING IT TOGETHER: HOMEWORK 90. Seven hundred and seventy-one distance learning students at Long Beach City College responded to surveys in the 2010-11 academic year. Highlights of the summary report are listed in Table 1.39. Have computer at home Unable to come to campus for classes Age 41 or over Would like LBCC to offer more DL courses 96% 65% 24% 95% Table 1.39 LBCC Distance Learning Survey Results 60 CHAPTER 1 | SAMPLING AND DATA Took DL classes due to a disability Live at least 16 miles from campus 17% 13% Took DL courses to fulfill transfer requirements 71% Table 1.39 LBCC Distance Learning Survey Results a. What percent of the students surveyed do not have a computer at home? b. About how many students in the survey |
live at least 16 miles from campus? c. If the same survey were done at Great Basin College in Elko, Nevada, do you think the percentages would be the same? Why? 91. Several online textbook retailers advertise that they have lower prices than on-campus bookstores. However, an important factor is whether the Internet retailers actually have the textbooks that students need in stock. Students need to be able to get textbooks promptly at the beginning of the college term. If the book is not available, then a student would not be able to get the textbook at all, or might get a delayed delivery if the book is back ordered. A college newspaper reporter is investigating textbook availability at online retailers. He decides to investigate one textbook for each of the following seven subjects: calculus, biology, chemistry, physics, statistics, geology, and general engineering. He consults textbook industry sales data and selects the most popular nationally used textbook in each of these subjects. He visits websites for a random sample of major online textbook sellers and looks up each of these seven textbooks to see if they are available in stock for quick delivery through these retailers. Based on his investigation, he writes an article in which he draws conclusions about the overall availability of all college textbooks through online textbook retailers. Write an analysis of his study that addresses the following issues: Is his sample representative of the population of all college textbooks? Explain why or why not. Describe some possible sources of bias in this study, and how it might affect the results of the study. Give some suggestions about what could be done to improve the study. REFERENCES 1.1 Definitions of Statistics, Probability, and Key Terms The Data and Story Library, http://lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL/Stories/CrashTestDummies.html (accessed May 1, 2013). 1.2 Data, Sampling, and Variation in Data and Sampling Gallup-Healthways Well-Being Index. http://www.well-beingindex.com/default.asp (accessed May 1, 2013). Gallup-Healthways Well-Being Index. http://www.well-beingindex.com/methodology.asp (accessed May 1, 2013). Gallup-Healthways Well-Being (accessed May 1, 2013). Index. http://www.gallup.com/poll/146822/gallup-healthways-index-questions.aspx Data from http://www.bookofodds.com/Relations |
hips-Society/Articles/A0374-How-George-Gallup-Picked-the-President Dominic Lusinchi, “’President’ Landon and the 1936 Literary Digest Poll: Were Automobile and Telephone Owners to Blame?” Social Science History 36, no. 1: 23-54 (2012), http://ssh.dukejournals.org/content/36/1/23.abstract (accessed May 1, 2013). “The Literary Digest Poll,” Virtual Laboratories in Probability and Statistics http://www.math.uah.edu/stat/data/ LiteraryDigest.html (accessed May 1, 2013). “Gallup Presidential Election Trial-Heat Trends, 1936–2008,” Gallup Politics http://www.gallup.com/poll/110548/galluppresidential-election-trialheat-trends-19362004.aspx#4 (accessed May 1, 2013). The Data and Story Library, http://lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL/Datafiles/USCrime.html (accessed May 1, 2013). LBCC Distance Learning (DL) program data in 2010-2011, http://de.lbcc.edu/reports/2010-11/future/highlights.html#focus (accessed May 1, 2013). Data from San Jose Mercury News 1.3 Frequency, Frequency Tables, and Levels of Measurement “State & County QuickFacts,” U.S. Census Bureau. http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/download_data.html (accessed May 1, 2013). This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 1 | SAMPLING AND DATA 61 “State & County QuickFacts: Quick, easy access to facts about people, business, and geography,” U.S. Census Bureau. http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/index.html (accessed May 1, 2013). “Table 5: Direct hits by mainland United States Hurricanes http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gifs/table5.gif (accessed May 1, 2013). (1851-2004),” National Hurricane Center |
, “Levels of Measurement,” http://infinity.cos.edu/faculty/woodbury/stats/tutorial/Data_Levels.htm (accessed May 1, 2013). Courtney Taylor, “Levels of Measurement,” about.com, http://statistics.about.com/od/HelpandTutorials/a/Levels-OfMeasurement.htm (accessed May 1, 2013). David Lane. “Levels of Measurement,” Connexions, http://cnx.org/content/m10809/latest/ (accessed May 1, 2013). 1.4 Experimental Design and Ethics “Vitamin E and Health,” Nutrition Source, Harvard School of Public Health, http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/nutritionsource/ vitamin-e/ (accessed May 1, 2013). Stan Reents. “Don’t Underestimate the Power of Suggestion,” athleteinme.com, http://www.athleteinme.com/ ArticleView.aspx?id=1053 (accessed May 1, 2013). Ankita Mehta. “Daily Dose of Aspiring Helps Reduce Heart Attacks: Study,” International Business Times, July 21, 2011. Also available online at http://www.ibtimes.com/daily-dose-aspirin-helps-reduce-heart-attacks-study-300443 (accessed May 1, 2013). The Data and Story Library, http://lib.stat.cmu.edu/DASL/Stories/ScentsandLearning.html (accessed May 1, 2013). M.L. Jacskon et al., “Cognitive Components of Simulated Driving Performance: Sleep Loss effect and Predictors,” Accident Analysis and Prevention Journal, Jan no. 50 (2013), http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22721550 (accessed May 1, 2013). “Earthquake Information by Year,” U.S. Geological Survey. http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eqarchives/year/ (accessed May 1, 2013). “Fatality Analysis Report Systems (FARS) Encyclopedia,” National Highway Traffic and Safety Administration. http://www-fars. |
nhtsa.dot.gov/Main/index.aspx (accessed May 1, 2013). Data from www.businessweek.com (accessed May 1, 2013). Data from www.forbes.com (accessed May 1, 2013). “America’s Best Small Companies,” http://www.forbes.com/best-small-companies/list/ (accessed May 1, 2013). U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Code of Federal Regulations Title 45 Public Welfare Department of Health and Human Services Part 46 Protection of Human Subjects revised January 15, 2009. Section 46.111:Criteria for IRB Approval of Research. “April 2013 Air Travel Consumer Report,” U.S. Department of Transportation, April 11 (2013), http://www.dot.gov/ airconsumer/april-2013-air-travel-consumer-report (accessed May 1, 2013). Lori Alden, “Statistics can be Misleading,” econoclass.com, http://www.econoclass.com/misleadingstats.html (accessed May 1, 2013). Maria de los A. Medina, “Ethics in Statistics,” Based on “Building an Ethics Module for Business, Science, and Engineering Students” by Jose A. Cruz-Cruz and William Frey, Connexions, http://cnx.org/content/m15555/latest/ (accessed May 1, 2013). SOLUTIONS 1 AIDS patients. 3 The average length of time (in months) AIDS patients live after treatment. 5 X = the length of time (in months) AIDS patients live after treatment 7 b 9 a 11 a. 0.5242 62 CHAPTER 1 | SAMPLING AND DATA b. 0.03% c. 6.86% d. 823,088 823,856 e. quantitative discrete f. quantitative continuous g. In both years, underwater earthquakes produced massive tsunamis. 13 systematic 15 simple random 17 values for X, such as 3, 4, 11, and so on 19 No, we do not have enough information to make such a claim. 21 Take a simple random sample from each group. One way is by assigning a number to each patient and using a random number generator to randomly select patients. 23 This would be convenience sampling and is not random. 25 Yes, the sample size of 150 would be large enough |
to reflect a population of one school. 27 Even though the specific data support each researcher’s conclusions, the different results suggest that more data need to be collected before the researchers can reach a conclusion. 29 There is not enough information given to judge if either one is correct or incorrect. 31 The software program seems to work because the second study shows that more patients improve while using the software than not. Even though the difference is not as large as that in the first study, the results from the second study are likely more reliable and still show improvement. 33 Yes, because we cannot tell if the improvement was due to the software or the exercise; the data is confounded, and a reliable conclusion cannot be drawn. New studies should be performed. 35 No, even though the sample is large enough, the fact that the sample consists of volunteers makes it a self-selected sample, which is not reliable. 37 No, even though the sample is a large portion of the population, two responses are not enough to justify any conclusions. Because the population is so small, it would be better to include everyone in the population to get the most accurate data. 39 a. ordinal b. interval c. nominal d. nominal e. ratio f. ordinal g. nominal h. interval i. j. ratio interval k. ratio l. ordinal This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 1 | SAMPLING AND DATA 63 41 a. Inmates may not feel comfortable refusing participation, or may feel obligated to take advantage of the promised benefits. They may not feel truly free to refuse participation. b. Parents can provide consent on behalf of their children, but children are not competent to provide consent for themselves. c. All risks and benefits must be clearly outlined. Study participants must be informed of relevant aspects of the study in order to give appropriate consent. 43 a. all children who take ski or snowboard lessons b. a group of these children c. d. the population mean age of children who take their first snowboard lesson the sample mean age of children who take their first snowboard lesson e. X = the age of one child who takes his or her first ski or snowboard lesson f. values for X, such as 3, 7, and so on 45 a. the clients of the insurance companies b. a group of the clients c. d. |
the mean health costs of the clients the mean health costs of the sample e. X = the health costs of one client f. values for X, such as 34, 9, 82, and so on 47 a. all the clients of this counselor b. a group of clients of this marriage counselor c. d. the proportion of all her clients who stay married the proportion of the sample of the counselor’s clients who stay married e. X = the number of couples who stay married f. yes, no 49 a. all people (maybe in a certain geographic area, such as the United States) b. a group of the people c. d. the proportion of all people who will buy the product the proportion of the sample who will buy the product e. X = the number of people who will buy it f. buy, not buy 51 a 53 quantitative discrete, 150 55 qualitative, Oakland A’s 57 quantitative discrete, 11,234 students 59 qualitative, Crest 61 quantitative continuous, 47.3 years 64 CHAPTER 1 | SAMPLING AND DATA 63 b 65 a. The survey was conducted using six similar flights. The survey would not be a true representation of the entire population of air travelers. Conducting the survey on a holiday weekend will not produce representative results. b. Conduct the survey during different times of the year. Conduct the survey using flights to and from various locations. Conduct the survey on different days of the week. 67 Answers will vary. Sample Answer: You could use a systematic sampling method. Stop the tenth person as they leave one of the buildings on campus at 9:50 in the morning. Then stop the tenth person as they leave a different building on campus at 1:50 in the afternoon. 69 Answers will vary. Sample Answer: Many people will not respond to mail surveys. If they do respond to the surveys, you can’t be sure who is responding. In addition, mailing lists can be incomplete. 71 b 73 convenience; cluster; stratified ; systematic; simple random 75 a. qualitative b. quantitative discrete c. quantitative discrete d. qualitative 77 Causality: The fact that two variables are related does not guarantee that one variable is influencing the other. We cannot assume that crime rate impacts education level or that education level impacts crime rate. Confounding: There are many factors that define a community other than education level and crime rate. Communities with high crime rates and high education levels may have other lurking variables that distinguish them from communities with lower crime rates and lower education |
levels. Because we cannot isolate these variables of interest, we cannot draw valid conclusions about the connection between education and crime. Possible lurking variables include police expenditures, unemployment levels, region, average age, and size. 79 a. Possible reasons: increased use of caller id, decreased use of landlines, increased use of private numbers, voice mail, privacy managers, hectic nature of personal schedules, decreased willingness to be interviewed b. When a large number of people refuse to participate, then the sample may not have the same characteristics of the population. Perhaps the majority of people willing to participate are doing so because they feel strongly about the subject of the survey. 81 a. # Flossing per Week Frequency Relative Frequency Cumulative Relative Frequency 0 1 3 6 7 Table 1.40 27 18 11 3 1 0.4500 0.3000 0.1833 0.0500 0.0167 0.4500 0.7500 0.9333 0.9833 1 This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 1 | SAMPLING AND DATA 65 b. 5.00% c. 93.33% 83 The sum of the travel times is 1,173.1. Divide the sum by 50 to calculate the mean value: 23.462. Because each state’s travel time was measured to the nearest tenth, round this calculation to the nearest hundredth: 23.46. 85 b 87 Explanatory variable: amount of sleep Response variable: performance measured in assigned tasks Treatments: normal sleep and 27 hours of total sleep deprivation Experimental Units: 19 professional drivers Lurking variables: none – all drivers participated in both treatments Random assignment: treatments were assigned in random order; this eliminated the effect of any “learning” that may take place during the first experimental session Control/Placebo: completing the experimental session under normal sleep conditions Blinding: researchers evaluating subjects’ performance must not know which treatment is being applied at the time 89 You cannot assume that the numbers of complaints reflect the quality of the airlines. The airlines shown with the greatest number of complaints are the ones with the most passengers. You must consider the appropriateness of methods for presenting data; in this case displaying totals is misleading. 91 Answers will vary. Sample answer: The sample is not representative of the population of all college textbooks. Two reasons why it is not representative are that |
he only sampled seven subjects and he only investigated one textbook in each subject. There are several possible sources of bias in the study. The seven subjects that he investigated are all in mathematics and the sciences; there are many subjects in the humanities, social sciences, and other subject areas, (for example: literature, art, history, psychology, sociology, business) that he did not investigate at all. It may be that different subject areas exhibit different patterns of textbook availability, but his sample would not detect such results. He also looked only at the most popular textbook in each of the subjects he investigated. The availability of the most popular textbooks may differ from the availability of other textbooks in one of two ways: • • the most popular textbooks may be more readily available online, because more new copies are printed, and more students nationwide are selling back their used copies OR the most popular textbooks may be harder to find available online, because more student demand exhausts the supply more quickly. In reality, many college students do not use the most popular textbook in their subject, and this study gives no useful information about the situation for those less popular textbooks. He could improve this study by: • expanding the selection of subjects he investigates so that it is more representative of all subjects studied by college students, and • expanding the selection of textbooks he investigates within each subject to include a mixed representation of both the most popular and less popular textbooks. 66 CHAPTER 1 | SAMPLING AND DATA This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 67 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Figure 2.1 When you have large amounts of data, you will need to organize it in a way that makes sense. These ballots from an election are rolled together with similar ballots to keep them organized. (credit: William Greeson) Introduction By the end of this chapter, the student should be able to: Chapter Objectives • Display data graphically and interpret graphs: stemplots, histograms, and box plots. • Recognize, describe, and calculate the measures of location of data: quartiles and percentiles. • Recognize, describe, and calculate the measures of the center of data: mean, median, and mode. • Recognize, describe, and calculate the measures of the spread of data: variance, standard deviation, and range. Once |
you have collected data, what will you do with it? Data can be described and presented in many different formats. For example, suppose you are interested in buying a house in a particular area. You may have no clue about the house prices, so you might ask your real estate agent to give you a sample data set of prices. Looking at all the prices in the sample often is overwhelming. A better way might be to look at the median price and the variation of prices. The median and variation are just two ways that you will learn to describe data. Your agent might also provide you with a graph of the data. 68 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS In this chapter, you will study numerical and graphical ways to describe and display your data. This area of statistics is called "Descriptive Statistics." You will learn how to calculate, and even more importantly, how to interpret these measurements and graphs. A statistical graph is a tool that helps you learn about the shape or distribution of a sample or a population. A graph can be a more effective way of presenting data than a mass of numbers because we can see where data clusters and where there are only a few data values. Newspapers and the Internet use graphs to show trends and to enable readers to compare facts and figures quickly. Statisticians often graph data first to get a picture of the data. Then, more formal tools may be applied. Some of the types of graphs that are used to summarize and organize data are the dot plot, the bar graph, the histogram, the stem-and-leaf plot, the frequency polygon (a type of broken line graph), the pie chart, and the box plot. In this chapter, we will briefly look at stem-and-leaf plots, line graphs, and bar graphs, as well as frequency polygons, and time series graphs. Our emphasis will be on histograms and box plots. NOTE This book contains instructions for constructing a histogram and a box plot for the TI-83+ and TI-84 calculators. The Texas Instruments (TI) website (http://education.ti.com/educationportal/sites/US/sectionHome/ support.html) provides additional instructions for using these calculators. 2.1 | Stem-and-Leaf Graphs (Stemplots), Line Graphs, and Bar Graphs One simple graph, the stem-and-leaf graph or stemplot, comes from the field of exploratory data analysis. It is a good |
choice when the data sets are small. To create the plot, divide each observation of data into a stem and a leaf. The leaf consists of a final significant digit. For example, 23 has stem two and leaf three. The number 432 has stem 43 and leaf two. Likewise, the number 5,432 has stem 543 and leaf two. The decimal 9.3 has stem nine and leaf three. Write the stems in a vertical line from smallest to largest. Draw a vertical line to the right of the stems. Then write the leaves in increasing order next to their corresponding stem. Example 2.1 For Susan Dean's spring pre-calculus class, scores for the first exam were as follows (smallest to largest): 33; 42; 49; 49; 53; 55; 55; 61; 63; 67; 68; 68; 69; 69; 72; 73; 74; 78; 80; 83; 88; 88; 88; 90; 92; 94; 94; 94; 94; 96; 100 Stem Leaf 10 0 Table 2.1 Stem-andLeaf Graph The stemplot shows that most scores fell in the 60s, 70s, 80s, and 90s. Eight out of the 31 scores or approximately 26% ⎛ ⎝ were in the 90s or 100, a fairly high number of As. ⎞ ⎠ 8 31 This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 69 2.1 For the Park City basketball team, scores for the last 30 games were as follows (smallest to largest): 32; 32; 33; 34; 38; 40; 42; 42; 43; 44; 46; 47; 47; 48; 48; 48; 49; 50; 50; 51; 52; 52; 52; 53; 54; 56; 57; 57; 60; 61 Construct a stem plot for the data. The stemplot is a quick way to graph data and gives an exact picture of the data. You want to look for an overall pattern and any outliers. An outlier is an observation of data that does not fit the rest of the data. It is sometimes called an extreme value. When you graph an outlier, it will appear not to fit the pattern of the graph. Some outliers are |
due to mistakes (for example, writing down 50 instead of 500) while others may indicate that something unusual is happening. It takes some background information to explain outliers, so we will cover them in more detail later. Example 2.2 The data are the distances (in kilometers) from a home to local supermarkets. Create a stemplot using the data: 1.1; 1.5; 2.3; 2.5; 2.7; 3.2; 3.3; 3.3; 3.5; 3.8; 4.0; 4.2; 4.5; 4.5; 4.7; 4.8; 5.5; 5.6; 6.5; 6.7; 12.3 Do the data seem to have any concentration of values? HINT The leaves are to the right of the decimal. Solution 2.2 The value 12.3 may be an outlier. Values appear to concentrate at three and four kilometers. Stem Leaf 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Table 2.2 70 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 2.2 The following data show the distances (in miles) from the homes of off-campus statistics students to the college. Create a stem plot using the data and identify any outliers: 0.5; 0.7; 1.1; 1.2; 1.2; 1.3; 1.3; 1.5; 1.5; 1.7; 1.7; 1.8; 1.9; 2.0; 2.2; 2.5; 2.6; 2.8; 2.8; 2.8; 3.5; 3.8; 4.4; 4.8; 4.9; 5.2; 5.5; 5.7; 5.8; 8.0 Example 2.3 A side-by-side stem-and-leaf plot allows a comparison of the two data sets in two columns. In a side-by-side stem-and-leaf plot, two sets of leaves share the same stem. The leaves are to the left and the right of the stems. Table 2.4 and Table 2.5 show the ages of presidents at their inauguration and at their death. Construct a sideby-side stem-and-leaf plot using this data. Solution 2.3 Ages at Inauguration Ages at Death Table 2.3 President |
Age President Age President Age Washington J. Adams Jefferson Madison Monroe J. Q. Adams Jackson Van Buren 57 61 57 57 58 57 61 54 Lincoln A. Johnson Grant Hayes Garfield Arthur Cleveland B. Harrison W. H. Harrison 68 Cleveland McKinley 52 56 46 54 49 51 47 55 55 54 Hoover 54 F. Roosevelt 51 Truman Eisenhower Kennedy L. Johnson Nixon Ford Carter Reagan 60 62 43 55 56 61 52 69 Tyler Polk Taylor Fillmore Pierce Buchanan 51 49 64 50 48 65 T. Roosevelt 42 G.H.W. Bush 64 Taft Wilson Harding Coolidge 51 56 55 51 Clinton G. W. Bush Obama 47 54 47 Table 2.4 Presidential Ages at Inauguration This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 President Age President Age President Age CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 71 Washington J. Adams Jefferson Madison Monroe J. Q. Adams Jackson Van Buren 67 90 83 85 73 80 78 79 Lincoln A. Johnson Grant Hayes Garfield Arthur Cleveland B. Harrison W. H. Harrison 68 Cleveland Hoover 90 F. Roosevelt 63 Truman 88 Eisenhower 78 Kennedy L. Johnson Nixon Ford Reagan 46 64 81 93 93 56 66 63 70 49 56 71 67 71 58 Tyler Polk Taylor Fillmore Pierce Buchanan 71 53 65 74 64 77 McKinley T. Roosevelt 60 Taft Wilson Harding Coolidge 72 67 57 60 Table 2.5 Presidential Age at Death 72 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 2.3 The table shows the number of wins and losses the Atlanta Hawks have had in 42 seasons. Create a side-by-side stem-and-leaf plot of these wins and losses. Losses Wins Year Losses Wins Year 48 48 36 36 46 35 31 29 31 41 46 50 31 42 43 40 34 50 57 50 52 1968–1969 41 1969–1970 39 1970–1971 44 1971–1972 39 1972–1973 25 1973–1974 40 1974–1975 36 1975–1976 26 1976–1977 32 1977–1978 19 1978–1979 54 1979–1980 57 1980–1981 49 1981–1982 47 1982–1983 54 1983–1984 69 1984–1985 56 1985–1986 52 1986–1987 45 1987–1988 35 1988–1989 29 34 34 46 46 36 47 51 53 51 41 36 32 51 40 39 42 48 32 25 32 30 Table 2.6 41 43 38 43 57 42 46 56 50 31 28 25 |
33 35 28 13 26 30 37 47 53 1989–1990 1990–1991 1991–1992 1992–1993 1993–1994 1994–1995 1995–1996 1996–1997 1997–1998 1998–1999 1999–2000 2000–2001 2001–2002 2002–2003 2003–2004 2004–2005 2005–2006 2006–2007 2007–2008 2008–2009 2009–2010 Another type of graph that is useful for specific data values is a line graph. In the particular line graph shown in Example 2.4, the x-axis (horizontal axis) consists of data values and the y-axis (vertical axis) consists of frequency points. The frequency points are connected using line segments. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 73 Example 2.4 In a survey, 40 mothers were asked how many times per week a teenager must be reminded to do his or her chores. The results are shown in Table 2.7 and in Figure 2.2. Number of times teenager is reminded Frequency 0 1 2 3 4 5 Table 2.7 2 5 8 14 7 4 Figure 2.2 2.4 In a survey, 40 people were asked how many times per year they had their car in the shop for repairs. The results are shown in Table 2.8. Construct a line graph. Number of times in shop Frequency 0 1 2 3 Table 2.8 7 10 14 9 74 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Bar graphs consist of bars that are separated from each other. The bars can be rectangles or they can be rectangular boxes (used in three-dimensional plots), and they can be vertical or horizontal. The bar graph shown in Example 2.5 has age groups represented on the x-axis and proportions on the y-axis. Example 2.5 By the end of 2011, Facebook had over 146 million users in the United States. Table 2.8 shows three age groups, the number of users in each age group, and the proportion (%) of users in each age group. Construct a bar graph using this data. Age groups Number of Facebook users Proportion (%) of Facebook users 13–25 26–44 45–64 Table 2.9 65,082,280 53,300,200 27,885,100 45% 36% 19% Solution 2.5 Figure 2. |
3 This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 75 2.5 The population in Park City is made up of children, working-age adults, and retirees. Table 2.10 shows the three age groups, the number of people in the town from each age group, and the proportion (%) of people in each age group. Construct a bar graph showing the proportions. Age groups Number of people Proportion of population Children 67,059 Working-age adults 152,198 Retirees 131,662 Table 2.10 19% 43% 38% Example 2.6 The columns in Table 2.10 contain: the race or ethnicity of students in U.S. Public Schools for the class of 2011, percentages for the Advanced Placement examine population for that class, and percentages for the overall student population. Create a bar graph with the student race or ethnicity (qualitative data) on the x-axis, and the Advanced Placement examinee population percentages on the y-axis. AP Examinee Population Overall Student Population 10.3% 9.0% 17.0% 0.6% 57.1% 6.0% 5.7% 14.7% 17.6% 1.1% 59.2% 1.7% Race/Ethnicity 1 = Asian, Asian American or Pacific Islander 2 = Black or African American 3 = Hispanic or Latino 4 = American Indian or Alaska Native 5 = White 6 = Not reported/other Table 2.11 Solution 2.6 76 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Figure 2.4 2.6 Park city is broken down into six voting districts. The table shows the percent of the total registered voter population that lives in each district as well as the percent total of the entire population that lives in each district. Construct a bar graph that shows the registered voter population by district. District Registered voter population Overall city population 1 2 3 4 5 6 15.5% 12.2% 9.8% 17.4% 22.8% 22.3% Table 2.12 19.4% 15.6% 9.0% 18.5% 20.7% 16.8% 2.2 | Histograms, Frequency Polygons, and Time Series Graphs For most of the work you do in this |
book, you will use a histogram to display the data. One advantage of a histogram is that it can readily display large data sets. A rule of thumb is to use a histogram when the data set consists of 100 values or more. A histogram consists of contiguous (adjoining) boxes. It has both a horizontal axis and a vertical axis. The horizontal axis is labeled with what the data represents (for instance, distance from your home to school). The vertical axis is labeled either frequency or relative frequency (or percent frequency or probability). The graph will have the same shape with either label. The histogram (like the stemplot) can give you the shape of the data, the center, and the spread of the data. The relative frequency is equal to the frequency for an observed value of the data divided by the total number of data values in the sample.(Remember, frequency is defined as the number of times an answer occurs.) If: • f = frequency This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 • n = total number of data values (or the sum of the individual frequencies), and • RF = relative frequency, then: RF = f n CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 77 For example, if three students in Mr. Ahab's English class of 40 students received from 90% to 100%, then, f = 3, n = 40, and RF = f = 0.075. 7.5% of the students received 90–100%. 90–100% are quantitative measures. n = 3 40 To construct a histogram, first decide how many bars or intervals, also called classes, represent the data. Many histograms consist of five to 15 bars or classes for clarity. The number of bars needs to be chosen. Choose a starting point for the first interval to be less than the smallest data value. A convenient starting point is a lower value carried out to one more decimal place than the value with the most decimal places. For example, if the value with the most decimal places is 6.1 and this is the smallest value, a convenient starting point is 6.05 (6.1 – 0.05 = 6.05). We say that 6.05 has more precision. If the value with the most decimal places is 2.23 and the lowest value is 1.5, a convenient starting point is |
1.495 (1.5 – 0.005 = 1.495). If the value with the most decimal places is 3.234 and the lowest value is 1.0, a convenient starting point is 0.9995 (1.0 – 0.0005 = 0.9995). If all the data happen to be integers and the smallest value is two, then a convenient starting point is 1.5 (2 – 0.5 = 1.5). Also, when the starting point and other boundaries are carried to one additional decimal place, no data value will fall on a boundary. The next two examples go into detail about how to construct a histogram using continuous data and how to create a histogram using discrete data. Example 2.7 The following data are the heights (in inches to the nearest half inch) of 100 male semiprofessional soccer players. The heights are continuous data, since height is measured. 60; 60.5; 61; 61; 61.5 63.5; 63.5; 63.5 64; 64; 64; 64; 64; 64; 64; 64.5; 64.5; 64.5; 64.5; 64.5; 64.5; 64.5; 64.5 66; 66; 66; 66; 66; 66; 66; 66; 66; 66; 66.5; 66.5; 66.5; 66.5; 66.5; 66.5; 66.5; 66.5; 66.5; 66.5; 66.5; 67; 67; 67; 67; 67; 67; 67; 67; 67; 67; 67; 67; 67.5; 67.5; 67.5; 67.5; 67.5; 67.5; 67.5 68; 68; 69; 69; 69; 69; 69; 69; 69; 69; 69; 69; 69.5; 69.5; 69.5; 69.5; 69.5 70; 70; 70; 70; 70; 70; 70.5; 70.5; 70.5; 71; 71; 71 72; 72; 72; 72.5; 72.5; 73; 73.5 74 The smallest data value is 60. Since the data with the most decimal places has one decimal (for instance, 61.5), we want our starting point to have two decimal places. Since the numbers 0.5, |
0.05, 0.005, etc. are convenient numbers, use 0.05 and subtract it from 60, the smallest value, for the convenient starting point. 60 – 0.05 = 59.95 which is more precise than, say, 61.5 by one decimal place. The starting point is, then, 59.95. The largest value is 74, so 74 + 0.05 = 74.05 is the ending value. Next, calculate the width of each bar or class interval. To calculate this width, subtract the starting point from the ending value and divide by the number of bars (you must choose the number of bars you desire). Suppose you choose eight bars. 74.05 − 59.95 8 = 1.76 NOTE We will round up to two and make each bar or class interval two units wide. Rounding up to two is one way to prevent a value from falling on a boundary. Rounding to the next number is often necessary even if it goes against the standard rules of rounding. For this example, using 1.76 as the width would also work. A guideline that is followed by some for the width of a bar or class interval is to take the square root of the number of data values and then round to the nearest whole number, if necessary. For example, if there are 150 values of data, take the square root of 150 and round to 12 bars or intervals. The boundaries are: 78 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS • 59.95 • 59.95 + 2 = 61.95 • 61.95 + 2 = 63.95 • 63.95 + 2 = 65.95 • 65.95 + 2 = 67.95 • 67.95 + 2 = 69.95 • 69.95 + 2 = 71.95 • 71.95 + 2 = 73.95 • 73.95 + 2 = 75.95 The heights 60 through 61.5 inches are in the interval 59.95–61.95. The heights that are 63.5 are in the interval 61.95–63.95. The heights that are 64 through 64.5 are in the interval 63.95–65.95. The heights 66 through 67.5 are in the interval 65.95–67.95. The heights 68 through 69.5 are in the interval 67.95–69.95. The heights 70 through 71 are in the interval 69.95–71.95. The heights 72 through 73.5 are |
in the interval 71.95–73.95. The height 74 is in the interval 73.95–75.95. The following histogram displays the heights on the x-axis and relative frequency on the y-axis. Figure 2.5 2.7 The following data are the shoe sizes of 50 male students. The sizes are continuous data since shoe size is measured. Construct a histogram and calculate the width of each bar or class interval. Suppose you choose six bars. 9; 9; 9.5; 9.5; 10; 10; 10; 10; 10; 10; 10.5; 10.5; 10.5; 10.5; 10.5; 10.5; 10.5; 10.5 11; 11; 11; 11; 11; 11; 11; 11; 11; 11; 11; 11; 11; 11.5; 11.5; 11.5; 11.5; 11.5; 11.5; 11.5 12; 12; 12; 12; 12; 12; 12; 12.5; 12.5; 12.5; 12.5; 14 Example 2.8 The following data are the number of books bought by 50 part-time college students at ABC College. The number of books is discrete data, since books are counted. 1; 1; 1; 1; 1; 1; 1; 1; 1; 1; 1 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2 3; 3; 3; 3; 3; 3; 3; 3; 3; 3; 3; 3; 3; 3; 3; 3 4; 4; 4; 4; 4; 4 This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 79 5; 5; 5; 5; 5 6; 6 Eleven students buy one book. Ten students buy two books. Sixteen students buy three books. Six students buy four books. Five students buy five books. Two students buy six books. Because the data are integers, subtract 0.5 from 1, the smallest data value and add 0.5 to 6, the largest data value. Then the starting point is 0.5 and the ending value is 6.5. Next, calculate the |
width of each bar or class interval. If the data are discrete and there are not too many different values, a width that places the data values in the middle of the bar or class interval is the most convenient. Since the data consist of the numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, and the starting point is 0.5, a width of one places the 1 in the middle of the interval from 0.5 to 1.5, the 2 in the middle of the interval from 1.5 to 2.5, the 3 in the middle of the interval from 2.5 to 3.5, the 4 in the middle of the interval from _______ to _______, the 5 in the middle of the interval from _______ to _______, and the _______ in the middle of the interval from _______ to _______. Solution 2.8 • 3.5 to 4.5 • 4.5 to 5.5 • 6 • 5.5 to 6.5 Calculate the number of bars as follows: 6.5 − 0.5 number of bars = 1 where 1 is the width of a bar. Therefore, bars = 6. The following histogram displays the number of books on the x-axis and the frequency on the y-axis. Figure 2.6 Go to Appendix G. There are calculator instructions for entering data and for creating a customized histogram. Create the histogram for Example 2.8. • Press Y=. Press CLEAR to delete any equations. • Press STAT 1:EDIT. If L1 has data in it, arrow up into the name L1, press CLEAR and then arrow down. If necessary, do the same for L2. Into L1, enter 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6. Into L2, enter 11, 10, 16, 6, 5, 2. • • 80 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS • Press WINDOW. Set Xmin =.5, Xscl = (6.5 –.5)/6, Ymin = –1, Ymax = 20, Yscl = 1, Xres = 1. • Press 2nd Y=. Start by pressing 4:Plotsoff ENTER. • Press 2nd Y=. Press 1:Plot1. Press ENTER. Arrow down to TYPE. Arrow to the 3rd picture (histogram). Press ENTER. • Arrow down to Xlist: Enter L1 (2nd 1 |
). Arrow down to Freq. Enter L2 (2nd 2). • Press GRAPH. • Use the TRACE key and the arrow keys to examine the histogram. 2.8 The following data are the number of sports played by 50 student athletes. The number of sports is discrete data since sports are counted. 1; 1; 1; 1; 1; 1; 1; 1; 1; 1; 1; 1; 1; 1; 1; 1; 1; 1; 1; 1 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2; 2 3; 3; 3; 3; 3; 3; 3; 3 20 student athletes play one sport. 22 student athletes play two sports. Eight student athletes play three sports. Fill in the blanks for the following sentence. Since the data consist of the numbers 1, 2, 3, and the starting point is 0.5, a width of one places the 1 in the middle of the interval 0.5 to _____, the 2 in the middle of the interval from _____ to _____, and the 3 in the middle of the interval from _____ to _____. Example 2.9 Using this data set, construct a histogram. Number of Hours My Classmates Spent Playing Video Games on Weekends 9.95 19.5 5.5 23 20 Table 2.13 10 22.5 11 21.9 15 2.25 7.5 10 24 22.9 16.75 15 20.75 23.75 18.8 0 12.75 17.5 18 20.5 Solution 2.9 This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 81 Figure 2.7 Some values in this data set fall on boundaries for the class intervals. A value is counted in a class interval if it falls on the left boundary, but not if it falls on the right boundary. Different researchers may set up histograms for the same data in different ways. There is more than one correct way to set up a histogram. 2.9 The following data represent the number of employees at various restaurants in New York City. Using this data, create a histogram. 22 |
; 35; 15; 26; 40; 28; 18; 20; 25; 34; 39; 42; 24; 22; 19; 27; 22; 34; 40; 20; 38; and 28 Use 10–19 as the first interval. Count the money (bills and change) in your pocket or purse. Your instructor will record the amounts. As a class, construct a histogram displaying the data. Discuss how many intervals you think is appropriate. You may want to experiment with the number of intervals. Frequency Polygons Frequency polygons are analogous to line graphs, and just as line graphs make continuous data visually easy to interpret, so too do frequency polygons. To construct a frequency polygon, first examine the data and decide on the number of intervals, or class intervals, to use on the x-axis and y-axis. After choosing the appropriate ranges, begin plotting the data points. After all the points are plotted, draw line segments to connect them. 82 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Example 2.10 A frequency polygon was constructed from the frequency table below. Frequency Distribution for Calculus Final Test Scores Lower Bound Upper Bound Frequency Cumulative Frequency 49.5 59.5 69.5 79.5 89.5 Table 2.14 59.5 69.5 79.5 89.5 99.5 5 10 30 40 15 5 15 45 85 100 Figure 2.8 The first label on the x-axis is 44.5. This represents an interval extending from 39.5 to 49.5. Since the lowest test score is 54.5, this interval is used only to allow the graph to touch the x-axis. The point labeled 54.5 represents the next interval, or the first “real” interval from the table, and contains five scores. This reasoning is followed for each of the remaining intervals with the point 104.5 representing the interval from 99.5 to 109.5. Again, this interval contains no data and is only used so that the graph will touch the x-axis. Looking at the graph, we say that this distribution is skewed because one side of the graph does not mirror the other side. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 83 2.10 Construct a frequency polygon of U |
.S. Presidents’ ages at inauguration shown in Table 2.15. Age at Inauguration Frequency 41.5–46.5 46.5–51.5 51.5–56.5 56.5–61.5 61.5–66.5 66.5–71.5 Table 2.15 4 11 14 9 4 2 Frequency polygons are useful for comparing distributions. This is achieved by overlaying the frequency polygons drawn for different data sets. Example 2.11 We will construct an overlay frequency polygon comparing the scores from Example 2.10 with the students’ final numeric grade. Frequency Distribution for Calculus Final Test Scores Lower Bound Upper Bound Frequency Cumulative Frequency 49.5 59.5 69.5 79.5 89.5 Table 2.16 59.5 69.5 79.5 89.5 99.5 5 10 30 40 15 5 15 45 85 100 Frequency Distribution for Calculus Final Grades Lower Bound Upper Bound Frequency Cumulative Frequency 49.5 59.5 69.5 79.5 89.5 Table 2.17 59.5 69.5 79.5 89.5 99.5 10 10 30 45 5 10 20 50 95 100 84 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Figure 2.9 Suppose that we want to study the temperature range of a region for an entire month. Every day at noon we note the temperature and write this down in a log. A variety of statistical studies could be done with this data. We could find the mean or the median temperature for the month. We could construct a histogram displaying the number of days that temperatures reach a certain range of values. However, all of these methods ignore a portion of the data that we have collected. One feature of the data that we may want to consider is that of time. Since each date is paired with the temperature reading for the day, we don‘t have to think of the data as being random. We can instead use the times given to impose a chronological order on the data. A graph that recognizes this ordering and displays the changing temperature as the month progresses is called a time series graph. Constructing a Time Series Graph To construct a time series graph, we must look at both pieces of our paired data set. We start with a standard Cartesian coordinate system. The horizontal axis is used to plot the date or time increments, and the vertical axis is used to plot the values of the variable that we are measuring. By doing this, |
we make each point on the graph correspond to a date and a measured quantity. The points on the graph are typically connected by straight lines in the order in which they occur. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 Example 2.12 The following data shows the Annual Consumer Price Index, each month, for ten years. Construct a time series graph for the Annual Consumer Price Index data only. CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 85 Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 2003 181.7 183.1 184.2 183.8 183.5 183.7 183.9 2004 185.2 186.2 187.4 188.0 189.1 189.7 189.4 2005 190.7 191.8 193.3 194.6 194.4 194.5 195.4 2006 198.3 198.7 199.8 201.5 202.5 202.9 203.5 2007 202.416 203.499 205.352 206.686 207.949 208.352 208.299 2008 211.080 211.693 213.528 214.823 216.632 218.815 219.964 2009 211.143 212.193 212.709 213.240 213.856 215.693 215.351 2010 216.687 216.741 217.631 218.009 218.178 217.965 218.011 2011 220.223 221.309 223.467 224.906 225.964 225.722 225.922 2012 226.665 227.663 229.392 230.085 229.815 229.478 229.104 Table 2.18 Year Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Annual 2003 184.6 185.2 185.0 184.5 184.3 184.0 2004 189.5 189.9 190.9 191.0 190.3 188.9 2005 196.4 198.8 199.2 197.6 196.8 195.3 2006 203.9 202.9 201.8 201.5 201.8 201.6 2007 207.917 208.490 208.936 210.177 210.036 207.342 2008 219.086 218.783 216.573 212.425 210.228 215.303 2009 215.834 215.969 216.177 216.330 215.949 214.537 2010 |
218.312 218.439 218.711 218.803 219.179 218.056 2011 226.545 226.889 226.421 226.230 225.672 224.939 2012 230.379 231.407 231.317 230.221 229.601 229.594 Table 2.19 Solution 2.12 Figure 2.10 86 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 2.12 The following table is a portion of a data set from www.worldbank.org. Use the table to construct a time series graph for CO2 emissions for the United States. CO2 Emissions Ukraine United Kingdom United States 2003 352,259 2004 343,121 2005 339,029 2006 327,797 2007 328,357 2008 323,657 2009 272,176 Table 2.20 540,640 540,409 541,990 542,045 528,631 522,247 474,579 5,681,664 5,790,761 5,826,394 5,737,615 5,828,697 5,656,839 5,299,563 Uses of a Time Series Graph Time series graphs are important tools in various applications of statistics. When recording values of the same variable over an extended period of time, sometimes it is difficult to discern any trend or pattern. However, once the same data points are displayed graphically, some features jump out. Time series graphs make trends easy to spot. 2.3 | Measures of the Location of the Data The common measures of location are quartiles and percentiles Quartiles are special percentiles. The first quartile, Q1, is the same as the 25th percentile, and the third quartile, Q3, is the same as the 75th percentile. The median, M, is called both the second quartile and the 50th percentile. To calculate quartiles and percentiles, the data must be ordered from smallest to largest. Quartiles divide ordered data into quarters. Percentiles divide ordered data into hundredths. To score in the 90th percentile of an exam does not mean, necessarily, that you received 90% on a test. It means that 90% of test scores are the same or less than your score and 10% of the test scores are the same or greater than your test score. Percentiles are useful for comparing values. For this reason, universities and colleges use percentiles extensively. One instance in which colleges and universities use percentiles is when SAT results are |
used to determine a minimum testing score that will be used as an acceptance factor. For example, suppose Duke accepts SAT scores at or above the 75th percentile. That translates into a score of at least 1220. Percentiles are mostly used with very large populations. Therefore, if you were to say that 90% of the test scores are less (and not the same or less) than your score, it would be acceptable because removing one particular data value is not significant. The median is a number that measures the "center" of the data. You can think of the median as the "middle value," but it does not actually have to be one of the observed values. It is a number that separates ordered data into halves. Half the values are the same number or smaller than the median, and half the values are the same number or larger. For example, consider the following data. 1; 11.5; 6; 7.2; 4; 8; 9; 10; 6.8; 8.3; 2; 2; 10; 1 Ordered from smallest to largest: 1; 1; 2; 2; 4; 6; 6.8; 7.2; 8; 8.3; 9; 10; 10; 11.5 Since there are 14 observations, the median is between the seventh value, 6.8, and the eighth value, 7.2. To find the median, add the two values together and divide by two. 6.8 + 7.2 2 = 7 This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 87 The median is seven. Half of the values are smaller than seven and half of the values are larger than seven. Quartiles are numbers that separate the data into quarters. Quartiles may or may not be part of the data. To find the quartiles, first find the median or second quartile. The first quartile, Q1, is the middle value of the lower half of the data, and the third quartile, Q3, is the middle value, or median, of the upper half of the data. To get the idea, consider the same data set: 1; 1; 2; 2; 4; 6; 6.8; 7.2; 8; 8.3; 9; 10; 10; 11. |
5 The median or second quartile is seven. The lower half of the data are 1, 1, 2, 2, 4, 6, 6.8. The middle value of the lower half is two. 1; 1; 2; 2; 4; 6; 6.8 The number two, which is part of the data, is the first quartile. One-fourth of the entire sets of values are the same as or less than two and three-fourths of the values are more than two. The upper half of the data is 7.2, 8, 8.3, 9, 10, 10, 11.5. The middle value of the upper half is nine. The third quartile, Q3, is nine. Three-fourths (75%) of the ordered data set are less than nine. One-fourth (25%) of the ordered data set are greater than nine. The third quartile is part of the data set in this example. The interquartile range is a number that indicates the spread of the middle half or the middle 50% of the data. It is the difference between the third quartile (Q3) and the first quartile (Q1). IQR = Q3 – Q1 The IQR can help to determine potential outliers. A value is suspected to be a potential outlier if it is less than (1.5)(IQR) below the first quartile or more than (1.5)(IQR) above the third quartile. Potential outliers always require further investigation. NOTE A potential outlier is a data point that is significantly different from the other data points. These special data points may be errors or some kind of abnormality or they may be a key to understanding the data. Example 2.13 For the following 13 real estate prices, calculate the IQR and determine if any prices are potential outliers. Prices are in dollars. 389,950; 230,500; 158,000; 479,000; 639,000; 114,950; 5,500,000; 387,000; 659,000; 529,000; 575,000; 488,800; 1,095,000 Solution 2.13 Order the data from smallest to largest. 114,950; 158,000; 230,500; 387,000; 389,950; 479,000; 488,800; 529,000; 575,000; 639,000; 6 |
59,000; 1,095,000; 5,500,000 M = 488,800 Q1 = 230,500 + 387,000 2 = 308,750 Q3 = 639,000 + 659,000 2 = 649,250 IQR = 649,000 – 308,750 = 340,250 (1.5)(IQR) = (1.5)(340,250) = 510,375 Q1 – (1.5)(IQR) = 308,750 – 510,375 = –201,625 Q3 + (1.5)(IQR) = 649,000 + 510,375 = 1,159,375 No house price is less than –201,625. However, 5,500,000 is more than 1,159,375. Therefore, 5,500,000 is a potential outlier. 88 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 2.13 For the following 11 salaries, calculate the IQR and determine if any salaries are outliers. The salaries are in dollars. $33,000; $64,500; $28,000; $54,000; $72,000; $68,500; $69,000; $42,000; $54,000; $102,000; $40,500 Example 2.14 For the two data sets in the test scores example, find the following: a. The interquartile range. Compare the two interquartile ranges. b. Any outliers in either set. Solution 2.14 The five number summary for the day and night classes is Minimum Q1 Median Q3 Maximum Day Night 32 25.5 56 78 74.5 82.5 81 89 99 98 Table 2.21 a. The IQR for the day group is Q3 – Q1 = 82.5 – 56 = 26.5 The IQR for the night group is Q3 – Q1 = 89 – 78 = 11 The interquartile range (the spread or variability) for the day class is larger than the night class IQR. This suggests more variation will be found in the day class’s class test scores. b. Day class outliers are found using the IQR times 1.5 rule. So, Q1 - IQR(1.5) = 56 – 26.5(1.5) = 16.25 Q3 + IQR(1.5) = 82.5 + 26 |
.5(1.5) = 122.25 Since the minimum and maximum values for the day class are greater than 16.25 and less than 122.25, there are no outliers. Night class outliers are calculated as: Q1 – IQR (1.5) = 78 – 11(1.5) = 61.5 Q3 + IQR(1.5) = 89 + 11(1.5) = 105.5 For this class, any test score less than 61.5 is an outlier. Therefore, the scores of 45 and 25.5 are outliers. Since no test score is greater than 105.5, there is no upper end outlier. 2.14 Find the interquartile range for the following two data sets and compare them. Test Scores for Class A 69; 96; 81; 79; 65; 76; 83; 99; 89; 67; 90; 77; 85; 98; 66; 91; 77; 69; 80; 94 Test Scores for Class B 90; 72; 80; 92; 90; 97; 92; 75; 79; 68; 70; 80; 99; 95; 78; 73; 71; 68; 95; 100 This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 89 Example 2.15 Fifty statistics students were asked how much sleep they get per school night (rounded to the nearest hour). The results were: AMOUNT OF SLEEP PER SCHOOL NIGHT (HOURS) FREQUENCY RELATIVE FREQUENCY CUMULATIVE RELATIVE FREQUENCY 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Table 2.22 2 5 7 12 14 7 3 0.04 0.10 0.14 0.24 0.28 0.14 0.06 0.04 0.14 0.28 0.52 0.80 0.94 1.00 Find the 28th percentile. Notice the 0.28 in the "cumulative relative frequency" column. Twenty-eight percent of 50 data values is 14 values. There are 14 values less than the 28th percentile. They include the two 4s, the five 5s, and the seven 6s. The 28th percentile is between the last six and the first seven. The 28th percentile is 6.5. Find the median. Look |
n the table (between the 40th and 41st values). Therefore, we need to take the mean of the 40th an 41st values. The 80th percentile = 8 + 9 2 = 8.5 b. The 90th percentile will be the 45th data value (location is 0.90(50) = 45) and the 45th data value is nine. c. Q1 is also the 25th percentile. The 25th percentile location calculation: P25 = 0.25(50) = 12.5 ≈ 13 the 13th data value. Thus, the 25th percentile is six. 2.16 Refer to the Table 2.23. Find the third quartile. What is another name for the third quartile? Your instructor or a member of the class will ask everyone in class how many sweaters they own. Answer the following questions: 1. How many students were surveyed? 2. What kind of sampling did you do? 3. Construct two different histograms. For each, starting value = _____ ending value = ____. 4. Find the median, first quartile, and third quartile. 5. Construct a table of the data to find the following: a. b. the 10th percentile the 70th percentile c. the percent of students who own less than four sweaters A Formula for Finding the kth Percentile If you were to do a little research, you would find several formulas for calculating the kth percentile. Here is one of them. k = the kth percentile. It may or may not be part of the data. i = the index (ranking or position of a data value) n = the total number of data • Order the data from smallest to largest. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 • Calculate i = k 100 (n + 1) • • If i is a positive integer, then the kth percentile is the data value in the ith position in the ordered set of data. If i is not a positive integer, then round i up and round i down to the nearest integers. Average the two data values in these two positions in the ordered data set. This is easier to understand in an example. CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 91 Example 2.17 Listed are 29 ages for Academy Award winning best actors in order from |
smallest to largest. 18; 21; 22; 25; 26; 27; 29; 30; 31; 33; 36; 37; 41; 42; 47; 52; 55; 57; 58; 62; 64; 67; 69; 71; 72; 73; 74; 76; 77 a. Find the 70th percentile. b. Find the 83rd percentile. Solution 2.17 a. b. k = 70 i = the index n = 29 i = k 100 (n + 1) = ( 70 100 )(29 + 1) = 21. Twenty-one is an integer, and the data value in the 21st position in the ordered data set is 64. The 70th percentile is 64 years. k = 83rd percentile i = the index n = 29 i = k 100 (n + 1) = ) 83 100 )(29 + 1) = 24.9, which is NOT an integer. Round it down to 24 and up to 25. The age in the 24th position is 71 and the age in the 25th position is 72. Average 71 and 72. The 83rd percentile is 71.5 years. 2.17 Listed are 29 ages for Academy Award winning best actors in order from smallest to largest. 18; 21; 22; 25; 26; 27; 29; 30; 31; 33; 36; 37; 41; 42; 47; 52; 55; 57; 58; 62; 64; 67; 69; 71; 72; 73; 74; 76; 77 Calculate the 20th percentile and the 55th percentile. NOTE You can calculate percentiles using calculators and computers. There are a variety of online calculators. A Formula for Finding the Percentile of a Value in a Data Set • Order the data from smallest to largest. • x = the number of data values counting from the bottom of the data list up to but not including the data value for which you want to find the percentile. • y = the number of data values equal to the data value for which you want to find the percentile. • n = the total number of data. • Calculate x + 0.5y n (100). Then round to the nearest integer. 92 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Example 2.18 Listed are 29 ages for Academy Award winning best actors in order from smallest to largest. 18; 21; 22; 25; 26; 27; 29; 30; 31; 33; 36; 37 |
; 41; 42; 47; 52; 55; 57; 58; 62; 64; 67; 69; 71; 72; 73; 74; 76; 77 a. Find the percentile for 58. b. Find the percentile for 25. Solution 2.18 a. Counting from the bottom of the list, there are 18 data values less than 58. There is one value of 58. x = 18 and y = 1. x + 0.5y n (100) = 18 + 0.5(1) 29 (100) = 63.80. 58 is the 64th percentile. b. Counting from the bottom of the list, there are three data values less than 25. There is one value of 25. x = 3 and y = 1. x + 0.5y n (100) = 3 + 0.5(1) 29 (100) = 12.07. Twenty-five is the 12th percentile. 2.18 Listed are 30 ages for Academy Award winning best actors in order from smallest to largest. 18; 21; 22; 25; 26; 27; 29; 30; 31, 31; 33; 36; 37; 41; 42; 47; 52; 55; 57; 58; 62; 64; 67; 69; 71; 72; 73; 74; 76; 77 Find the percentiles for 47 and 31. Interpreting Percentiles, Quartiles, and Median A percentile indicates the relative standing of a data value when data are sorted into numerical order from smallest to largest. Percentages of data values are less than or equal to the pth percentile. For example, 15% of data values are less than or equal to the 15th percentile. • Low percentiles always correspond to lower data values. • High percentiles always correspond to higher data values. A percentile may or may not correspond to a value judgment about whether it is "good" or "bad." The interpretation of whether a certain percentile is "good" or "bad" depends on the context of the situation to which the data applies. In some situations, a low percentile would be considered "good;" in other contexts a high percentile might be considered "good". In many situations, there is no value judgment that applies. Understanding how to interpret percentiles properly is important not only when describing data, but also when calculating probabilities in later chapters of this text. GUIDELINE When writing the interpretation of a percentile in the context of the given data, the sentence should |
contain the following information. • • • • information about the context of the situation being considered the data value (value of the variable) that represents the percentile the percent of individuals or items with data values below the percentile the percent of individuals or items with data values above the percentile. Example 2.19 On a timed math test, the first quartile for time it took to finish the exam was 35 minutes. Interpret the first quartile in the context of this situation. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 93 Solution 2.19 • Twenty-five percent of students finished the exam in 35 minutes or less. • Seventy-five percent of students finished the exam in 35 minutes or more. • A low percentile could be considered good, as finishing more quickly on a timed exam is desirable. (If you take too long, you might not be able to finish.) 2.19 For the 100-meter dash, the third quartile for times for finishing the race was 11.5 seconds. Interpret the third quartile in the context of the situation. Example 2.20 On a 20 question math test, the 70th percentile for number of correct answers was 16. Interpret the 70th percentile in the context of this situation. Solution 2.20 • Seventy percent of students answered 16 or fewer questions correctly. • Thirty percent of students answered 16 or more questions correctly. • A higher percentile could be considered good, as answering more questions correctly is desirable. 2.20 On a 60 point written assignment, the 80th percentile for the number of points earned was 49. Interpret the 80th percentile in the context of this situation. Example 2.21 At a community college, it was found that the 30th percentile of credit units that students are enrolled for is seven units. Interpret the 30th percentile in the context of this situation. Solution 2.21 • Thirty percent of students are enrolled in seven or fewer credit units. • Seventy percent of students are enrolled in seven or more credit units. • In this example, there is no "good" or "bad" value judgment associated with a higher or lower percentile. Students attend community college for varied reasons and needs, and their course load varies according to their needs. 2.21 During a season, the 40th percentile for points scored per player in a game is |
eight. Interpret the 40th percentile in the context of this situation. 94 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Example 2.22 Sharpe Middle School is applying for a grant that will be used to add fitness equipment to the gym. The principal surveyed 15 anonymous students to determine how many minutes a day the students spend exercising. The results from the 15 anonymous students are shown. 0 minutes; 40 minutes; 60 minutes; 30 minutes; 60 minutes 10 minutes; 45 minutes; 30 minutes; 300 minutes; 90 minutes; 30 minutes; 120 minutes; 60 minutes; 0 minutes; 20 minutes Determine the following five values. Min = 0 Q1 = 20 Med = 40 Q3 = 60 Max = 300 If you were the principal, would you be justified in purchasing new fitness equipment? Since 75% of the students exercise for 60 minutes or less daily, and since the IQR is 40 minutes (60 – 20 = 40), we know that half of the students surveyed exercise between 20 minutes and 60 minutes daily. This seems a reasonable amount of time spent exercising, so the principal would be justified in purchasing the new equipment. However, the principal needs to be careful. The value 300 appears to be a potential outlier. Q3 + 1.5(IQR) = 60 + (1.5)(40) = 120. The value 300 is greater than 120 so it is a potential outlier. If we delete it and calculate the five values, we get the following values: Min = 0 Q1 = 20 Q3 = 60 Max = 120 We still have 75% of the students exercising for 60 minutes or less daily and half of the students exercising between 20 and 60 minutes a day. However, 15 students is a small sample and the principal should survey more students to be sure of his survey results. 2.4 | Box Plots Box plots (also called box-and-whisker plots or box-whisker plots) give a good graphical image of the concentration of the data. They also show how far the extreme values are from most of the data. A box plot is constructed from five values: the minimum value, the first quartile, the median, the third quartile, and the maximum value. We use these values to compare how close other data values are to them. To construct a box plot, use a horizontal or vertical number line and a rectangular box. The smallest and largest data values label the endpoints of the axis. The first quartile marks one |
end of the box and the third quartile marks the other end of the box. Approximately the middle 50 percent of the data fall inside the box. The "whiskers" extend from the ends of the box to the smallest and largest data values. The median or second quartile can be between the first and third quartiles, or it can be one, or the other, or both. The box plot gives a good, quick picture of the data. NOTE You may encounter box-and-whisker plots that have dots marking outlier values. In those cases, the whiskers are not extending to the minimum and maximum values. Consider, again, this dataset. 1; 1; 2; 2; 4; 6; 6.8; 7.2; 8; 8.3; 9; 10; 10; 11.5 This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 The first quartile is two, the median is seven, and the third quartile is nine. The smallest value is one, and the largest value is 11.5. The following image shows the constructed box plot. CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 95 NOTE See the calculator instructions on the TI web site (http://education.ti.com/educationportal/sites/US/ sectionHome/support.html) or in the appendix. Figure 2.11 The two whiskers extend from the first quartile to the smallest value and from the third quartile to the largest value. The median is shown with a dashed line. NOTE It is important to start a box plot with a scaled number line. Otherwise the box plot may not be useful. Example 2.23 The following data are the heights of 40 students in a statistics class. 59; 60; 61; 62; 62; 63; 63; 64; 64; 64; 65; 65; 65; 65; 65; 65; 65; 65; 65; 66; 66; 67; 67; 68; 68; 69; 70; 70; 70; 70; 70; 71; 71; 72; 72; 73; 74; 74; 75; 77 Construct a box plot with the following properties; the calculator intructions for the minimum and maximum values as well as the quartiles follow the example. • Minimum value = 59 • Maximum value = 77 • Q1: First |
quartile = 64.5 • Q2: Second quartile or median= 66 • Q3: Third quartile = 70 Figure 2.12 a. Each quarter has approximately 25% of the data. b. The spreads of the four quarters are 64.5 – 59 = 5.5 (first quarter), 66 – 64.5 = 1.5 (second quarter), 70 – 66 = 4 (third quarter), and 77 – 70 = 7 (fourth quarter). So, the second quarter has the smallest spread and the fourth quarter has the largest spread. c. Range = maximum value – the minimum value = 77 – 59 = 18 d. Interquartile Range: IQR = Q3 – Q1 = 70 – 64.5 = 5.5. e. The interval 59–65 has more than 25% of the data so it has more data in it than the interval 66 through 70 which has 25% of the data. 96 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS f. The middle 50% (middle half) of the data has a range of 5.5 inches. To find the minimum, maximum, and quartiles: Enter data into the list editor (Pres STAT 1:EDIT). If you need to clear the list, arrow up to the name L1, press CLEAR, and then arrow down. Put the data values into the list L1. Press STAT and arrow to CALC. Press 1:1-VarStats. Enter L1. Press ENTER. Use the down and up arrow keys to scroll. Smallest value = 59. Largest value = 77. Q1: First quartile = 64.5. Q2: Second quartile or median = 66. Q3: Third quartile = 70. To construct the box plot: Press 4:Plotsoff. Press ENTER. Arrow down and then use the right arrow key to go to the fifth picture, which is the box plot. Press ENTER. Arrow down to Xlist: Press 2nd 1 for L1 Arrow down to Freq: Press ALPHA. Press 1. Press Zoom. Press 9: ZoomStat. Press TRACE, and use the arrow keys to examine the box plot. 2.23 The following data are the number of pages in 40 books on a shelf. Construct a box plot using a graphing calculator, and state the interquartile range. 136; 140; 178; 190; 205; 215; 217; 218; 232; 234; 240; |
255; 270; 275; 290; 301; 303; 315; 317; 318; 326; 333; 343; 349; 360; 369; 377; 388; 391; 392; 398; 400; 402; 405; 408; 422; 429; 450; 475; 512 For some sets of data, some of the largest value, smallest value, first quartile, median, and third quartile may be the same. For instance, you might have a data set in which the median and the third quartile are the same. In this case, the diagram would not have a dotted line inside the box displaying the median. The right side of the box would display both the third quartile and the median. For example, if the smallest value and the first quartile were both one, the median and the third quartile were both five, and the largest value was seven, the box plot would look like: Figure 2.13 This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 In this case, at least 25% of the values are equal to one. Twenty-five percent of the values are between one and five, inclusive. At least 25% of the values are equal to five. The top 25% of the values fall between five and seven, inclusive. CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 97 Example 2.24 Test scores for a college statistics class held during the day are: 99; 56; 78; 55.5; 32; 90; 80; 81; 56; 59; 45; 77; 84.5; 84; 70; 72; 68; 32; 79; 90 Test scores for a college statistics class held during the evening are: 98; 78; 68; 83; 81; 89; 88; 76; 65; 45; 98; 90; 80; 84.5; 85; 79; 78; 98; 90; 79; 81; 25.5 a. Find the smallest and largest values, the median, and the first and third quartile for the day class. b. Find the smallest and largest values, the median, and the first and third quartile for the night class. c. For each data set, what percentage of the data is between the smallest value and the first quartile? the first quartile and the median? the median and the third quartile? the third quart |
ile and the largest value? What percentage of the data is between the first quartile and the largest value? d. Create a box plot for each set of data. Use one number line for both box plots. e. Which box plot has the widest spread for the middle 50% of the data (the data between the first and third quartiles)? What does this mean for that set of data in comparison to the other set of data? Solution 2.24 a. Min = 32 Q1 = 56 M = 74.5 Q3 = 82.5 Max = 99 b. Min = 25.5 Q1 = 78 M = 81 Q3 = 89 Max = 98 c. Day class: There are six data values ranging from 32 to 56: 30%. There are six data values ranging from 56 to 74.5: 30%. There are five data values ranging from 74.5 to 82.5: 25%. There are five data values ranging from 82.5 to 99: 25%. There are 16 data values between the first quartile, 56, and the largest value, 99: 75%. Night class: d. Figure 2.14 e. The first data set has the wider spread for the middle 50% of the data. The IQR for the first data set is greater than the IQR for the second set. This means that there is more variability in the middle 50% of the first data set. 98 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 2.24 The following data set shows the heights in inches for the boys in a class of 40 students. 66; 66; 67; 67; 68; 68; 68; 68; 68; 69; 69; 69; 70; 71; 72; 72; 72; 73; 73; 74 The following data set shows the heights in inches for the girls in a class of 40 students. 61; 61; 62; 62; 63; 63; 63; 65; 65; 65; 66; 66; 66; 67; 68; 68; 68; 69; 69; 69 Construct a box plot using a graphing calculator for each data set, and state which box plot has the wider spread for the middle 50% of the data. Example 2.25 Graph a box-and-whisker plot for the data values shown. 10; 10; 10; 15; 35; 75; 90; 95; 100; 175; 420; 490; 515; 515; 790 The five numbers used to create a |
box-and-whisker plot are: Min: 10 Q1: 15 Med: 95 Q3: 490 Max: 790 The following graph shows the box-and-whisker plot. Figure 2.15 2.25 Follow the steps you used to graph a box-and-whisker plot for the data values shown. 0; 5; 5; 15; 30; 30; 45; 50; 50; 60; 75; 110; 140; 240; 330 2.5 | Measures of the Center of the Data The "center" of a data set is also a way of describing location. The two most widely used measures of the "center" of the data are the mean (average) and the median. To calculate the mean weight of 50 people, add the 50 weights together and divide by 50. To find the median weight of the 50 people, order the data and find the number that splits the data into two equal parts. The median is generally a better measure of the center when there are extreme values or outliers because it is not affected by the precise numerical values of the outliers. The mean is the most common measure of the center. NOTE The words “mean” and “average” are often used interchangeably. The substitution of one word for the other is common practice. The technical term is “arithmetic mean” and “average” is technically a center location. However, in practice among non-statisticians, “average" is commonly accepted for “arithmetic mean.” This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 99 When each value in the data set is not unique, the mean can be calculated by multiplying each distinct value by its frequency and then dividing the sum by the total number of data values. The letter used to represent the sample mean is an x with a bar over it (pronounced “x bar”): x¯. The Greek letter μ (pronounced "mew") represents the population mean. One of the requirements for the sample mean to be a good estimate of the population mean is for the sample taken to be truly random. To see that both ways of calculating the mean are the same, consider the sample: 1; 1; 1; 2; 2; 3 |
; 4; 4; 4; 4; 4 x 11 3(1) + 2(2) + 1(3) + 5(4) 11 x¯ = = 2.7 = 2.7 In the second example, the frequencies are 3(1) + 2(2) + 1(3) + 5(4). You can quickly find the location of the median by using the expression n + 1 2. The letter n is the total number of data values in the sample. If n is an odd number, the median is the middle value of the ordered data (ordered smallest to largest). If n is an even number, the median is equal to the two middle values added together and divided by two after the data has been ordered. For example, if the total number of data values is 97, then n + 1 = 49. The median is the 49th value in the ordered data. If the total number of data values is 100, then 2 n + 1 2 = 50.5. The median occurs midway between the 50th and 51st values. The location of the median and = 97 + 1 2 = 100 + 1 2 the value of the median are not the same. The upper case letter M is often used to represent the median. The next example illustrates the location of the median and the value of the median. Example 2.26 AIDS data indicating the number of months a patient with AIDS lives after taking a new antibody drug are as follows (smallest to largest): 3; 4; 8; 8; 10; 11; 12; 13; 14; 15; 15; 16; 16; 17; 17; 18; 21; 22; 22; 24; 24; 25; 26; 26; 27; 27; 29; 29; 31; 32; 33; 33; 34; 34; 35; 37; 40; 44; 44; 47; Calculate the mean and the median. Solution 2.26 The calculation for the mean is: x¯ = [3 + 4 + (8)(2) + 10 + 11 + 12 + 13 + 14 + (15)(2) + (16)(2) +... + 35 + 37 + 40 + (44)(2) + 47] 40 = 23.6 To find the median, M, first use the formula for the location. The location is: n + 1 2 = 40 + 1 2 = 20.5 Starting at the smallest value, the median is located between the 20th and |
21st values (the two 24s): 3; 4; 8; 8; 10; 11; 12; 13; 14; 15; 15; 16; 16; 17; 17; 18; 21; 22; 22; 24; 24; 25; 26; 26; 27; 27; 29; 29; 31; 32; 33; 33; 34; 34; 35; 37; 40; 44; 44; 47; M = 24 + 24 2 = 24 To find the mean and the median: Clear list L1. Pres STAT 4:ClrList. Enter 2nd 1 for list L1. Press ENTER. Enter data into the list editor. Press STAT 1:EDIT. Put the data values into list L1. 100 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Press STAT and arrow to CALC. Press 1:1-VarStats. Press 2nd 1 for L1 and then ENTER. Press the down and up arrow keys to scroll. x¯ = 23.6, M = 24 2.26 The following data show the number of months patients typically wait on a transplant list before getting surgery. The data are ordered from smallest to largest. Calculate the mean and median. 3; 4; 5; 7; 7; 7; 7; 8; 8; 9; 9; 10; 10; 10; 10; 10; 11; 12; 12; 13; 14; 14; 15; 15; 17; 17; 18; 19; 19; 19; 21; 21; 22; 22; 23; 24; 24; 24; 24 Example 2.27 Suppose that in a small town of 50 people, one person earns $5,000,000 per year and the other 49 each earn $30,000. Which is the better measure of the "center": the mean or the median? Solution 2.27 x¯ = 5, 000, 000 + 49(30, 000) 50 = 129,400 M = 30,000 (There are 49 people who earn $30,000 and one person who earns $5,000,000.) The median is a better measure of the "center" than the mean because 49 of the values are 30,000 and one is 5,000,000. The 5,000,000 is an outlier. The 30,000 gives us a better sense of the middle of the data. 2.27 In a sample of 60 households, one house is worth $2,500,000. Half |
of the rest are worth $280,000, and all the others are worth $315,000. Which is the better measure of the “center”: the mean or the median? Another measure of the center is the mode. The mode is the most frequent value. There can be more than one mode in a data set as long as those values have the same frequency and that frequency is the highest. A data set with two modes is called bimodal. Example 2.28 Statistics exam scores for 20 students are as follows: 50; 53; 59; 59; 63; 63; 72; 72; 72; 72; 72; 76; 78; 81; 83; 84; 84; 84; 90; 93 Find the mode. Solution 2.28 The most frequent score is 72, which occurs five times. Mode = 72. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 101 2.28 The number of books checked out from the library from 25 students are as follows: 0; 0; 0; 1; 2; 3; 3; 4; 4; 5; 5; 7; 7; 7; 7; 8; 8; 8; 9; 10; 10; 11; 11; 12; 12 Find the mode. Example 2.29 Five real estate exam scores are 430, 430, 480, 480, 495. The data set is bimodal because the scores 430 and 480 each occur twice. When is the mode the best measure of the "center"? Consider a weight loss program that advertises a mean weight loss of six pounds the first week of the program. The mode might indicate that most people lose two pounds the first week, making the program less appealing. NOTE The mode can be calculated for qualitative data as well as for quantitative data. For example, if the data set is: red, red, red, green, green, yellow, purple, black, blue, the mode is red. Statistical software will easily calculate the mean, the median, and the mode. Some graphing calculators can also make these calculations. In the real world, people make these calculations using software. 2.29 Five credit scores are 680, 680, 700, 720, 720. The data set is bimodal because the scores 680 and 720 each occur twice |
. Consider the annual earnings of workers at a factory. The mode is $25,000 and occurs 150 times out of 301. The median is $50,000 and the mean is $47,500. What would be the best measure of the “center”? The Law of Large Numbers and the Mean The Law of Large Numbers says that if you take samples of larger and larger size from any population, then the mean x¯ of the sample is very likely to get closer and closer to µ. This is discussed in more detail later in the text. Sampling Distributions and Statistic of a Sampling Distribution You can think of a sampling distribution as a relative frequency distribution with a great many samples. (See Sampling and Data for a review of relative frequency). Suppose thirty randomly selected students were asked the number of movies they watched the previous week. The results are in the relative frequency table shown below. # of movies Relative Frequency 0 1 2 3 Table 2.24 5 30 15 30 6 30 4 30 102 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS # of movies Relative Frequency 4 Table 2.24 1 30 If you let the number of samples get very large (say, 300 million or more), the relative frequency table becomes a relative frequency distribution. A statistic is a number calculated from a sample. Statistic examples include the mean, the median and the mode as well as others. The sample mean x¯ is an example of a statistic which estimates the population mean μ. Calculating the Mean of Grouped Frequency Tables When only grouped data is available, you do not know the individual data values (we only know intervals and interval frequencies); therefore, you cannot compute an exact mean for the data set. What we must do is estimate the actual mean by calculating the mean of a frequency table. A frequency table is a data representation in which grouped data is displayed along with the corresponding frequencies. To calculate the mean from a grouped frequency table we can apply the basic definition of mean: mean = data sum number o f data values of a frequency table. We simply need to modify the definition to fit within the restrictions Since we do not know the individual data values we can instead find the midpoint of each interval. The midpoint is lower boundary + upper boundary 2. We can now modify the mean definition to be Mean o f Frequency Table = ∑ f m ∑ f Example 2.30 where f = the frequency of the interval and m = the midpoint of the interval. A frequency table displaying professor Bl |
ount’s last statistic test is shown. Find the best estimate of the class mean. Grade Interval Number of Students 50–56.5 56.5–62.5 62.5–68.5 68.5–74.5 74.5–80.5 80.5–86.5 86.5–92.5 92.5–98.5 Table 2.25 1 0 4 4 2 3 4 1 Solution 2.30 • Find the midpoints for all intervals This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 103 Grade Interval Midpoint 50–56.5 56.5–62.5 62.5–68.5 68.5–74.5 74.5–80.5 80.5–86.5 86.5–92.5 92.5–98.5 Table 2.26 53.25 59.5 65.5 71.5 77.5 83.5 89.5 95.5 • Calculate the sum of the product of each interval frequency and midpoint. ∑ f m 53.25(1) + 59.5(0) + 65.5(4) + 71.5(4) + 77.5(2) + 83.5(3) + 89.5(4) + 95.5(1) = 1460.25 • µ = ∑ f m ∑ f = 1460.25 19 = 76.86 2.30 Maris conducted a study on the effect that playing video games has on memory recall. As part of her study, she compiled the following data: Hours Teenagers Spend on Video Games Number of Teenagers 0–3.5 3.5–7.5 7.5–11.5 11.5–15.5 15.5–19.5 Table 2.27 3 7 12 7 9 What is the best estimate for the mean number of hours spent playing video games? 2.6 | Skewness and the Mean, Median, and Mode Consider the following data set. 4; 5; 6; 6; 6; 7; 7; 7; 7; 7; 7; 8; 8; 8; 9; 10 This data set can be represented by following histogram. Each interval has width one |
, and each value is located in the middle of an interval. 104 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Figure 2.16 The histogram displays a symmetrical distribution of data. A distribution is symmetrical if a vertical line can be drawn at some point in the histogram such that the shape to the left and the right of the vertical line are mirror images of each other. The mean, the median, and the mode are each seven for these data. In a perfectly symmetrical distribution, the mean and the median are the same. This example has one mode (unimodal), and the mode is the same as the mean and median. In a symmetrical distribution that has two modes (bimodal), the two modes would be different from the mean and median. The histogram for the data: 4; 5; 6; 6; 6; 7; 7; 7; 7; 8 is not symmetrical. The right-hand side seems "chopped off" compared to the left side. A distribution of this type is called skewed to the left because it is pulled out to the left. Figure 2.17 The mean is 6.3, the median is 6.5, and the mode is seven. Notice that the mean is less than the median, and they are both less than the mode. The mean and the median both reflect the skewing, but the mean reflects it more so. The histogram for the data: 6; 7; 7; 7; 7; 8; 8; 8; 9; 10, is also not symmetrical. It is skewed to the right. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 105 Figure 2.18 The mean is 7.7, the median is 7.5, and the mode is seven. Of the three statistics, the mean is the largest, while the mode is the smallest. Again, the mean reflects the skewing the most. To summarize, generally if the distribution of data is skewed to the left, the mean is less than the median, which is often less than the mode. If the distribution of data is skewed to the right, the mode is often less than the median, which is less than the mean. Skewness and symmetry become important when we discuss probability distributions in later chapters. |
Example 2.31 Statistics are used to compare and sometimes identify authors. The following lists shows a simple random sample that compares the letter counts for three authors. Terry: 7; 9; 3; 3; 3; 4; 1; 3; 2; 2 Davis: 3; 3; 3; 4; 1; 4; 3; 2; 3; 1 Maris: 2; 3; 4; 4; 4; 6; 6; 6; 8; 3 a. Make a dot plot for the three authors and compare the shapes. b. Calculate the mean for each. c. Calculate the median for each. d. Describe any pattern you notice between the shape and the measures of center. Solution 2.31 a. Figure 2.19 Terry’s distribution has a right (positive) skew. 106 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Figure 2.20 Davis’ distribution has a left (negative) skew Figure 2.21 Maris’ distribution is symmetrically shaped. b. Terry’s mean is 3.7, Davis’ mean is 2.7, Maris’ mean is 4.6. c. Terry’s median is three, Davis’ median is three. Maris’ median is four. d. It appears that the median is always closest to the high point (the mode), while the mean tends to be farther out on the tail. In a symmetrical distribution, the mean and the median are both centrally located close to the high point of the distribution. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 107 2.31 Discuss the mean, median, and mode for each of the following problems. Is there a pattern between the shape and measure of the center? The Ages Former U.S Presidents Died Key: 8|0 means 80. Table 2.28 a. Figure 2.22 b. c. Figure 2.23 108 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 2.7 | Measures of the Spread of the Data An important characteristic of any set of data is the variation in the data. In some data sets, the data values are concentrated closely near the mean; in other data sets, the data values are more widely spread out from the mean. The most common measure |
of variation, or spread, is the standard deviation. The standard deviation is a number that measures how far data values are from their mean. The standard deviation • provides a numerical measure of the overall amount of variation in a data set, and • can be used to determine whether a particular data value is close to or far from the mean. The standard deviation provides a measure of the overall variation in a data set The standard deviation is always positive or zero. The standard deviation is small when the data are all concentrated close to the mean, exhibiting little variation or spread. The standard deviation is larger when the data values are more spread out from the mean, exhibiting more variation. Suppose that we are studying the amount of time customers wait in line at the checkout at supermarket A and supermarket B. the average wait time at both supermarkets is five minutes. At supermarket A, the standard deviation for the wait time is two minutes; at supermarket B the standard deviation for the wait time is four minutes. Because supermarket B has a higher standard deviation, we know that there is more variation in the wait times at supermarket B. Overall, wait times at supermarket B are more spread out from the average; wait times at supermarket A are more concentrated near the average. The standard deviation can be used to determine whether a data value is close to or far from the mean. Suppose that Rosa and Binh both shop at supermarket A. Rosa waits at the checkout counter for seven minutes and Binh waits for one minute. At supermarket A, the mean waiting time is five minutes and the standard deviation is two minutes. The standard deviation can be used to determine whether a data value is close to or far from the mean. Rosa waits for seven minutes: • Seven is two minutes longer than the average of five; two minutes is equal to one standard deviation. • Rosa's wait time of seven minutes is two minutes longer than the average of five minutes. • Rosa's wait time of seven minutes is one standard deviation above the average of five minutes. Binh waits for one minute. • One is four minutes less than the average of five; four minutes is equal to two standard deviations. • Binh's wait time of one minute is four minutes less than the average of five minutes. • Binh's wait time of one minute is two standard deviations below the average of five minutes. • A data value that is two standard deviations from the average is just on the borderline for what many statisticians would consider to be far from the average. Considering data to be far from the mean if |
it is more than two standard deviations away is more of an approximate "rule of thumb" than a rigid rule. In general, the shape of the distribution of the data affects how much of the data is further away than two standard deviations. (You will learn more about this in later chapters.) The number line may help you understand standard deviation. If we were to put five and seven on a number line, seven is to the right of five. We say, then, that seven is one standard deviation to the right of five because 5 + (1)(2) = 7. If one were also part of the data set, then one is two standard deviations to the left of five because 5 + (–2)(2) = 1. Figure 2.24 • In general, a value = mean + (#ofSTDEV)(standard deviation) • where #ofSTDEVs = the number of standard deviations • #ofSTDEV does not need to be an integer • One is two standard deviations less than the mean of five because: 1 = 5 + (–2)(2). The equation value = mean + (#ofSTDEVs)(standard deviation) can be expressed for a sample and for a population. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 109 • sample: x = x¯ + ( # o f STDEV)(s) • Population: x = µ + ( # o f STDEV)(σ) The lower case letter s represents the sample standard deviation and the Greek letter σ (sigma, lower case) represents the population standard deviation. The symbol x¯ is the sample mean and the Greek symbol µ is the population mean. Calculating the Standard Deviation If x is a number, then the difference "x – mean" is called its deviation. In a data set, there are as many deviations as there are items in the data set. The deviations are used to calculate the standard deviation. If the numbers belong to a population, in symbols a deviation is x – μ. For sample data, in symbols a deviation is x – x¯. The procedure to calculate the standard deviation depends on whether the numbers are the entire population or are data from a sample. The calculations are similar, but not identical. Therefore the symbol used to represent the standard deviation depends on whether it is calculated from |
a population or a sample. The lower case letter s represents the sample standard deviation and the Greek letter σ (sigma, lower case) represents the population standard deviation. If the sample has the same characteristics as the population, then s should be a good estimate of σ. To calculate the standard deviation, we need to calculate the variance first. The variance is the average of the squares of the deviations (the x – x¯ values for a sample, or the x – μ values for a population). The symbol σ2 represents the population variance; the population standard deviation σ is the square root of the population variance. The symbol s2 represents the sample variance; the sample standard deviation s is the square root of the sample variance. You can think of the standard deviation as a special average of the deviations. If the numbers come from a census of the entire population and not a sample, when we calculate the average of the squared deviations to find the variance, we divide by N, the number of items in the population. If the data are from a sample rather than a population, when we calculate the average of the squared deviations, we divide by n – 1, one less than the number of items in the sample. Formulas for the Sample Standard Deviation • s = 2 Σ(x − x¯ ) n − 1 or s = 2 Σ f (x − x¯ ) n − 1 • For the sample standard deviation, the denominator is n - 1, that is the sample size MINUS 1. Formulas for the Population Standard Deviation • σ = Σ(x − µ)2 N or σ = Σ f (x – µ)2 N • For the population standard deviation, the denominator is N, the number of items in the population. In these formulas, f represents the frequency with which a value appears. For example, if a value appears once, f is one. If a value appears three times in the data set or population, f is three. Sampling Variability of a Statistic The statistic of a sampling distribution was discussed in Descriptive Statistics: Measuring the Center of the Data. How much the statistic varies from one sample to another is known as the sampling variability of a statistic. You typically measure the sampling variability of a statistic by its standard error. The standard error of the mean is an example of a standard error. It is a special standard deviation and is known as the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the mean. |
You will cover the standard error of the mean in the chapter The Central Limit Theorem (not now). The notation for the standard error of the mean is σ where σ is the standard deviation of the population and n is the size of the sample. n NOTE In practice, USE A CALCULATOR OR COMPUTER SOFTWARE TO CALCULATE THE STANDARD DEVIATION. If you are using a TI-83, 83+, 84+ calculator, you need to select the appropriate standard deviation σx or sx from the summary statistics. We will concentrate on using and interpreting the information that the standard deviation gives us. However you should study the following step-by-step example to help you understand how 110 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS the standard deviation measures variation from the mean. (The calculator instructions appear at the end of this example.) Example 2.32 In a fifth grade class, the teacher was interested in the average age and the sample standard deviation of the ages of her students. The following data are the ages for a SAMPLE of n = 20 fifth grade students. The ages are rounded to the nearest half year: 9; 9.5; 9.5; 10; 10; 10; 10; 10.5; 10.5; 10.5; 10.5; 11; 11; 11; 11; 11; 11; 11.5; 11.5; 11.5; x¯ = 9 + 9.5(2) + 10(4) + 10.5(4) + 11(6) + 11.5(3) 20 = 10.525 The average age is 10.53 years, rounded to two places. The variance may be calculated by using a table. Then the standard deviation is calculated by taking the square root of the variance. We will explain the parts of the table after calculating s. Data Freq. Deviations Deviations2 (Freq.)(Deviations2) x 9 9.5 10 10.5 11 11.5 f 1 2 4 4 6 3 Table 2.29 (x – x¯ ) (x – x¯ )2 (f)(x – x¯ )2 9 – 10.525 = –1.525 (–1.525)2 = 2.325625 1 × 2.325625 = 2.325625 9.5 – 10.525 = –1.025 (–1.025)2 = 1 |
.050625 2 × 1.050625 = 2.101250 10 – 10.525 = –0.525 (–0.525)2 = 0.275625 4 × 0.275625 = 1.1025 10.5 – 10.525 = –0.025 (–0.025)2 = 0.000625 4 × 0.000625 = 0.0025 11 – 10.525 = 0.475 (0.475)2 = 0.225625 6 × 0.225625 = 1.35375 11.5 – 10.525 = 0.975 (0.975)2 = 0.950625 3 × 0.950625 = 2.851875 The total is 9.7375 The sample variance, s2, is equal to the sum of the last column (9.7375) divided by the total number of data values minus one (20 – 1): s2 = 9.7375 20 − 1 = 0.5125 The sample standard deviation s is equal to the square root of the sample variance: s = 0.5125 = 0.715891, which is rounded to two decimal places, s = 0.72. Typically, you do the calculation for the standard deviation on your calculator or computer. The intermediate results are not rounded. This is done for accuracy. • For the following problems, recall that value = mean + (#ofSTDEVs)(standard deviation). Verify the mean and standard deviation or a calculator or computer. • For a sample: x = x¯ + (#ofSTDEVs)(s) • For a population: x = μ + (#ofSTDEVs)(σ) • For this example, use x = x¯ + (#ofSTDEVs)(s) because the data is from a sample a. Verify the mean and standard deviation on your calculator or computer. b. Find the value that is one standard deviation above the mean. Find ( x¯ + 1s). This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 111 c. Find the value that is two standard deviations below the mean. Find ( x¯ – 2s). d. Find the values that are 1.5 standard deviations from (below and above) the mean. Solution 2. |
32 a. ◦ Clear lists L1 and L2. Press STAT 4:ClrList. Enter 2nd 1 for L1, the comma (,), and 2nd 2 for L2. ◦ Enter data into the list editor. Press STAT 1:EDIT. If necessary, clear the lists by arrowing up into the name. Press CLEAR and arrow down. ◦ Put the data values (9, 9.5, 10, 10.5, 11, 11.5) into list L1 and the frequencies (1, 2, 4, 4, 6, 3) into list L2. Use the arrow keys to move around. ◦ Press STAT and arrow to CALC. Press 1:1-VarStats and enter L1 (2nd 1), L2 (2nd 2). Do not forget the comma. Press ENTER. ◦ x¯ = 10.525 ◦ Use Sx because this is sample data (not a population): Sx=0.715891 b. c. d. ( x¯ + 1s) = 10.53 + (1)(0.72) = 11.25 ( x¯ – 2s) = 10.53 – (2)(0.72) = 9.09 ◦ ◦ ( x¯ – 1.5s) = 10.53 – (1.5)(0.72) = 9.45 ( x¯ + 1.5s) = 10.53 + (1.5)(0.72) = 11.61 2.32 On a baseball team, the ages of each of the players are as follows: 21; 21; 22; 23; 24; 24; 25; 25; 28; 29; 29; 31; 32; 33; 33; 34; 35; 36; 36; 36; 36; 38; 38; 38; 40 Use your calculator or computer to find the mean and standard deviation. Then find the value that is two standard deviations above the mean. Explanation of the standard deviation calculation shown in the table The deviations show how spread out the data are about the mean. The data value 11.5 is farther from the mean than is the data value 11 which is indicated by the deviations 0.97 and 0.47. A positive deviation occurs when the data value is greater than the mean, whereas a negative deviation occurs when the data value is less than the mean. The deviation is –1.525 for the data value nine. |
If you add the deviations, the sum is always zero. (For Example 2.32, there are n = 20 deviations.) So you cannot simply add the deviations to get the spread of the data. By squaring the deviations, you make them positive numbers, and the sum will also be positive. The variance, then, is the average squared deviation. The variance is a squared measure and does not have the same units as the data. Taking the square root solves the problem. The standard deviation measures the spread in the same units as the data. Notice that instead of dividing by n = 20, the calculation divided by n – 1 = 20 – 1 = 19 because the data is a sample. For the sample variance, we divide by the sample size minus one (n – 1). Why not divide by n? The answer has to do with the population variance. The sample variance is an estimate of the population variance. Based on the theoretical mathematics that lies behind these calculations, dividing by (n – 1) gives a better estimate of the population variance. 112 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS NOTE Your concentration should be on what the standard deviation tells us about the data. The standard deviation is a number which measures how far the data are spread from the mean. Let a calculator or computer do the arithmetic. The standard deviation, s or σ, is either zero or larger than zero. When the standard deviation is zero, there is no spread; that is, the all the data values are equal to each other. The standard deviation is small when the data are all concentrated close to the mean, and is larger when the data values show more variation from the mean. When the standard deviation is a lot larger than zero, the data values are very spread out about the mean; outliers can make s or σ very large. The standard deviation, when first presented, can seem unclear. By graphing your data, you can get a better "feel" for the deviations and the standard deviation. You will find that in symmetrical distributions, the standard deviation can be very helpful but in skewed distributions, the standard deviation may not be much help. The reason is that the two sides of a skewed distribution have different spreads. In a skewed distribution, it is better to look at the first quartile, the median, the third quartile, the smallest value, and the largest value. Because numbers can be confusing, always graph your data. Display your data in a histogram or a box plot. Example 2 |
.33 Use the following data (first exam scores) from Susan Dean's spring pre-calculus class: 33; 42; 49; 49; 53; 55; 55; 61; 63; 67; 68; 68; 69; 69; 72; 73; 74; 78; 80; 83; 88; 88; 88; 90; 92; 94; 94; 94; 94; 96; 100 a. Create a chart containing the data, frequencies, relative frequencies, and cumulative relative frequencies to three decimal places. b. Calculate the following to one decimal place using a TI-83+ or TI-84 calculator: i. The sample mean ii. The sample standard deviation iii. The median iv. The first quartile v. The third quartile vi. IQR c. Construct a box plot and a histogram on the same set of axes. Make comments about the box plot, the histogram, and the chart. Solution 2.33 a. See Table 2.30 b. i. The sample mean = 73.5 ii. The sample standard deviation = 17.9 iii. The median = 73 iv. The first quartile = 61 v. The third quartile = 90 vi. IQR = 90 – 61 = 29 c. The x-axis goes from 32.5 to 100.5; y-axis goes from –2.4 to 15 for the histogram. The number of intervals is five, so the width of an interval is (100.5 – 32.5) divided by five, is equal to 13.6. Endpoints of the intervals are as follows: the starting point is 32.5, 32.5 + 13.6 = 46.1, 46.1 + 13.6 = 59.7, 59.7 + 13.6 = 73.3, 73.3 + 13.6 = 86.9, 86.9 + 13.6 = 100.5 = the ending value; No data values fall on an interval boundary. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 113 Figure 2.25 The long left whisker in the box plot is reflected in the left side of the histogram. The spread of the exam scores in the lower 50% is greater (73 – 33 = 40) than the spread in |
the upper 50% (100 – 73 = 27). The histogram, box plot, and chart all reflect this. There are a substantial number of A and B grades (80s, 90s, and 100). The histogram clearly shows this. The box plot shows us that the middle 50% of the exam scores (IQR = 29) are Ds, Cs, and Bs. The box plot also shows us that the lower 25% of the exam scores are Ds and Fs. Data Frequency Relative Frequency Cumulative Relative Frequency 33 42 49 53 55 61 63 67 68 69 72 73 74 78 80 83 88 90 92 94 96 Table 2.30 0.032 0.032 0.065 0.032 0.065 0.032 0.032 0.032 0.065 0.065 0.032 0.032 0.032 0.032 0.032 0.032 0.097 0.032 0.032 0.129 0.032 0.032 0.064 0.129 0.161 0.226 0.258 0.29 0.322 0.387 0.452 0.484 0.516 0.548 0.580 0.612 0.644 0.741 0.773 0.805 0.934 0.966 114 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Data Frequency Relative Frequency Cumulative Relative Frequency 100 1 Table 2.30 0.032 0.998 (Why isn't this value 1?) 2.33 The following data show the different types of pet food stores in the area carry. 6; 6; 6; 6; 7; 7; 7; 7; 7; 8; 9; 9; 9; 9; 10; 10; 10; 10; 10; 11; 11; 11; 11; 12; 12; 12; 12; 12; 12; Calculate the sample mean and the sample standard deviation to one decimal place using a TI-83+ or TI-84 calculator. Standard deviation of Grouped Frequency Tables Recall that for grouped data we do not know individual data values, so we cannot describe the typical value of the data with precision. In other words, we cannot find the exact mean, median, or mode. We can, however, determine the best estimate of ∑ f m ∑ f the measures of center by finding the mean of the grouped data with the formula: Mean o f Frequency Table = where f = interval frequencies and |
m = interval midpoints. Just as we could not find the exact mean, neither can we find the exact standard deviation. Remember that standard deviation describes numerically the expected deviation a data value has from the mean. In simple English, the standard deviation allows us to compare how “unusual” individual data is compared to the mean. Example 2.34 Find the standard deviation for the data in Table 2.31. Class Frequency, f Midpoint, m m2 ¯ 2 x fm2 Standard Deviation 0–2 3–5 6–8 9–11 12–14 15–17 1 6 10 7 0 2 Table 2.31 1 4 7 10 13 16 1 16 49 100 169 256 7.58 7.58 7.58 7.58 7.58 7.58 1 96 490 700 0 512 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 For this data set, we have the mean, x¯ = 7.58 and the standard deviation, sx = 3.5. This means that a randomly selected data value would be expected to be 3.5 units from the mean. If we look at the first class, we see that the class midpoint is equal to one. This is almost two full standard deviations from the mean since 7.58 – 3.5 – 3.5 = 0.58. While the formula for calculating the standard deviation is not complicated, s x = 2 f (m − x¯ ) n − 1 where sx = sample standard deviation, x¯ = sample mean, the calculations are tedious. It is usually best to use technology when performing the calculations. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 115 2.34 Find the standard deviation for the data from the previous example Class Frequency, f 0–2 3–5 6–8 9–11 12–14 15–17 1 6 10 7 0 2 Table 2.32 First, press the STAT key and select 1:Edit Figure 2.26 Input the midpoint values into L1 and the frequencies into L2 Figure 2.27 Select STAT, CALC, and 1: 1-Var Stats 116 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Figure 2.28 Select 2nd then 1 then, 2nd then 2 |
Enter Figure 2.29 You will see displayed both a population standard deviation, σx, and the sample standard deviation, sx. Comparing Values from Different Data Sets The standard deviation is useful when comparing data values that come from different data sets. If the data sets have different means and standard deviations, then comparing the data values directly can be misleading. • For each data value, calculate how many standard deviations away from its mean the value is. • Use the formula: value = mean + (#ofSTDEVs)(standard deviation); solve for #ofSTDEVs. • # o f STDEVs = value – mean standard deviation • Compare the results of this calculation. #ofSTDEVs is often called a "z-score"; we can use the symbol z. In symbols, the formulas become: Sample x = x¯ + zs z = Population x = µ + zσ z = x − x¯ s x − µ σ Table 2.33 Example 2.35 Two students, John and Ali, from different high schools, wanted to find out who had the highest GPA when compared to his school. Which student had the highest GPA when compared to his school? This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 117 Student GPA School Mean GPA School Standard Deviation John Ali 2.85 77 3.0 80 Table 2.34 0.7 10 Solution 2.35 For each student, determine how many standard deviations (#ofSTDEVs) his GPA is away from the average, for his school. Pay careful attention to signs when comparing and interpreting the answer. z = # of STDEVs = value – mean standard deviation x + µ σ = For John, z = # o f STDEVs = 2.85 – 3.0 0.7 = – 0.21 For Ali, z = # o f STDEVs = 77 − 80 10 = − 0.3 John has the better GPA when compared to his school because his GPA is 0.21 standard deviations below his school's mean while Ali's GPA is 0.3 standard deviations below his school's mean. John's z-score of –0.21 is higher than Ali's z-score of –0.3. For GPA, higher values are better, so we conclude that John has the better |
GPA when compared to his school. 2.35 Two swimmers, Angie and Beth, from different teams, wanted to find out who had the fastest time for the 50 meter freestyle when compared to her team. Which swimmer had the fastest time when compared to her team? Swimmer Time (seconds) Team Mean Time Team Standard Deviation Angie Beth 26.2 27.3 Table 2.35 27.2 30.1 0.8 1.4 The following lists give a few facts that provide a little more insight into what the standard deviation tells us about the distribution of the data. For ANY data set, no matter what the distribution of the data is: • At least 75% of the data is within two standard deviations of the mean. • At least 89% of the data is within three standard deviations of the mean. • At least 95% of the data is within 4.5 standard deviations of the mean. • This is known as Chebyshev's Rule. For data having a distribution that is BELL-SHAPED and SYMMETRIC: • Approximately 68% of the data is within one standard deviation of the mean. • Approximately 95% of the data is within two standard deviations of the mean. • More than 99% of the data is within three standard deviations of the mean. • This is known as the Empirical Rule. 118 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS • It is important to note that this rule only applies when the shape of the distribution of the data is bell-shaped and symmetric. We will learn more about this when studying the "Normal" or "Gaussian" probability distribution in later chapters. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 119 2.1 Descriptive Statistics Class Time: Names: Student Learning Outcomes • The student will construct a histogram and a box plot. • The student will calculate univariate statistics. • The student will examine the graphs to interpret what the data implies. Collect the Data Record the number of pairs of shoes you own. 1. Randomly survey 30 classmates about the number of pairs of shoes they own. Record their values. _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ |
_____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ _____ Table 2.36 Survey Results 2. Construct a histogram. Make five to six intervals. Sketch the graph using a ruler and pencil and scale the axes. Figure 2.30 3. Calculate the following values. a. b. x¯ = _____ s = _____ 4. Are the data discrete or continuous? How do you know? 5. In complete sentences, describe the shape of the histogram. 120 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 6. Are there any potential outliers? List the value(s) that could be outliers. Use a formula to check the end values to determine if they are potential outliers. Analyze the Data 1. Determine the following values. a. Min = _____ b. M = _____ c. Max = _____ d. Q1 = _____ e. Q3 = _____ f. IQR = _____ 2. Construct a box plot of data 3. What does the shape of the box plot imply about the concentration of data? Use complete sentences. 4. Using the box plot, how can you determine if there are potential outliers? 5. How does the standard deviation help you to determine concentration of the data and whether or not there are potential outliers? 6. What does the IQR represent in this problem? 7. Show your work to find the value that is 1.5 standard deviations: a. above the mean. b. below the mean. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 121 KEY TERMS Box plot a graph that gives a quick picture of the middle 50% of the data First Quartile the value that is the median of the of the lower half of the ordered data set Frequency Polygon looks like a line graph but uses intervals to display ranges of large amounts of data Frequency Table a data representation in which grouped data is displayed along with the corresponding frequencies Frequency the number of times a value of the data occurs Histogram a graphical representation in x-y form of the distribution of data in a data set; x represents the data and y represents the frequency, or relative frequency. The graph consists of contiguous rectangles. Inter |
quartile Range or IQR, is the range of the middle 50 percent of the data values; the IQR is found by subtracting the first quartile from the third quartile. Interval also called a class interval; an interval represents a range of data and is used when displaying large data sets Mean a number that measures the central tendency of the data; a common name for mean is 'average.' The term'mean' is 'arithmetic mean.' By definition, the mean for a sample (denoted by x¯ ), and the mean for a population (denoted by μ) is is a shortened form of x¯ = Sum of all values in the sample Number of values in the sample µ = Sum of all values in the population Number of values in the population. Median a number that separates ordered data into halves; half the values are the same number or smaller than the median and half the values are the same number or larger than the median. The median may or may not be part of the data. Midpoint the mean of an interval in a frequency table Mode the value that appears most frequently in a set of data Outlier an observation that does not fit the rest of the data Paired Data Set two data sets that have a one to one relationship so that: • both data sets are the same size, and • each data point in one data set is matched with exactly one point from the other set. Percentile a number that divides ordered data into hundredths; percentiles may or may not be part of the data. The median of the data is the second quartile and the 50th percentile. The first and third quartiles are the 25th and the 75th percentiles, respectively. Quartiles the numbers that separate the data into quarters; quartiles may or may not be part of the data. The second quartile is the median of the data. Relative Frequency the ratio of the number of times a value of the data occurs in the set of all outcomes to the number of all outcomes Skewed used to describe data that is not symmetrical; when the right side of a graph looks “chopped off” compared the left side, we say it is “skewed to the left.” When the left side of the graph looks “chopped off” compared to the right side, we say the data is “skewed to the right.” Alternatively: when the lower values of the data are more spread out, we say the |
data are skewed to the left. When the greater values are more spread out, the data are skewed to the right. Standard Deviation a number that is equal to the square root of the variance and measures how far data values are from their mean; notation: s for sample standard deviation and σ for population standard deviation. Variance mean of the squared deviations from the mean, or the square of the standard deviation; for a set of data, a deviation can be represented as x – x¯ where x is a value of the data and x¯ variance is equal to the sum of the squares of the deviations divided by the difference of the sample size and one. is the sample mean. The sample 122 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS CHAPTER REVIEW 2.1 Stem-and-Leaf Graphs (Stemplots), Line Graphs, and Bar Graphs A stem-and-leaf plot is a way to plot data and look at the distribution. In a stem-and-leaf plot, all data values within a class are visible. The advantage in a stem-and-leaf plot is that all values are listed, unlike a histogram, which gives classes of data values. A line graph is often used to represent a set of data values in which a quantity varies with time. These graphs are useful for finding trends. That is, finding a general pattern in data sets including temperature, sales, employment, company profit or cost over a period of time. A bar graph is a chart that uses either horizontal or vertical bars to show comparisons among categories. One axis of the chart shows the specific categories being compared, and the other axis represents a discrete value. Some bar graphs present bars clustered in groups of more than one (grouped bar graphs), and others show the bars divided into subparts to show cumulative effect (stacked bar graphs). Bar graphs are especially useful when categorical data is being used. 2.2 Histograms, Frequency Polygons, and Time Series Graphs A histogram is a graphic version of a frequency distribution. The graph consists of bars of equal width drawn adjacent to each other. The horizontal scale represents classes of quantitative data values and the vertical scale represents frequencies. The heights of the bars correspond to frequency values. Histograms are typically used for large, continuous, quantitative data sets. A frequency polygon can also be used when graphing large data sets with data points that repeat. The data usually goes on y-axis with the frequency being graphed on |
the x-axis. Time series graphs can be helpful when looking at large amounts of data for one variable over a period of time. 2.3 Measures of the Location of the Data The values that divide a rank-ordered set of data into 100 equal parts are called percentiles. Percentiles are used to compare and interpret data. For example, an observation at the 50th percentile would be greater than 50 percent of the other obeservations in the set. Quartiles divide data into quarters. The first quartile (Q1) is the 25th percentile,the second quartile (Q2 or median) is 50th percentile, and the third quartile (Q3) is the the 75th percentile. The interquartile range, or IQR, is the range of the middle 50 percent of the data values. The IQR is found by subtracting Q1 from Q3, and can help determine outliers by using the following two expressions. • Q3 + IQR(1.5) • Q1 – IQR(1.5) 2.4 Box Plots Box plots are a type of graph that can help visually organize data. To graph a box plot the following data points must be calculated: the minimum value, the first quartile, the median, the third quartile, and the maximum value. Once the box plot is graphed, you can display and compare distributions of data. 2.5 Measures of the Center of the Data The mean and the median can be calculated to help you find the "center" of a data set. The mean is the best estimate for the actual data set, but the median is the best measurement when a data set contains several outliers or extreme values. The mode will tell you the most frequently occuring datum (or data) in your data set. The mean, median, and mode are extremely helpful when you need to analyze your data, but if your data set consists of ranges which lack specific values, the mean may seem impossible to calculate. However, the mean can be approximated if you add the lower boundary with the upper boundary and divide by two to find the midpoint of each interval. Multiply each midpoint by the number of values found in the corresponding range. Divide the sum of these values by the total number of data values in the set. 2.6 Skewness and the Mean, Median, and Mode Looking at the distribution of data can reveal a lot about the relationship between the mean, the median, |
and the mode. There are three types of distributions. A right (or positive) skewed distribution has a shape like Figure 2.17. A left (or negative) skewed distribution has a shape like Figure 2.18. A symmetrical distrubtion looks like Figure 2.16. 2.7 Measures of the Spread of the Data This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 123 The standard deviation can help you calculate the spread of data. There are different equations to use if are calculating the standard deviation of a sample or of a population. • The Standard Deviation allows us to compare individual data or classes to the data set mean numerically. • s = ∑ (x − x¯ ) n − 1 2 or s = ∑ f (x − x¯ ) n − 1 2 is the formula for calculating the standard deviation of a sample. To calculate the standard deviation of a population, we would use the population mean, μ, and the formula σ = ∑ (x − µ)2 N or σ = ∑ f (x − µ)2 N. FORMULA REVIEW 2.3 Measures of the Location of the Data i = ⎛ ⎝ k 100 ⎞ ⎠(n + 1) where i = the ranking or position of a data value, k = the kth percentile, n = total number of data. Expression for finding the percentile of a data value: ⎛ ⎝ x + 0.5y n (100) ⎞ ⎠ where x = the number of values counting from the bottom of the data list up to but not including the data value for which you want to find the percentile, y = the number of data values equal to the data value for which you want to find the percentile, PRACTICE n = total number of data 2.5 Measures of the Center of the Data Where f = interval frequencies and m = µ = ∑ f m ∑ f interval midpoints. 2.7 Measures of the Spread of the Data ∑ f m2 n − x¯ 2 s x = s x = sample standard deviation x¯ = sample mean where 2.1 Stem-and-Leaf Graphs (Stemplots), Line Graphs, and Bar Graphs |
For each of the following data sets, create a stem plot and identify any outliers. 1. The miles per gallon rating for 30 cars are shown below (lowest to highest). 19, 19, 19, 20, 21, 21, 25, 25, 25, 26, 26, 28, 29, 31, 31, 32, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 37, 38, 38, 38, 38, 41, 43, 43 2. The height in feet of 25 trees is shown below (lowest to highest). 25, 27, 33, 34, 34, 34, 35, 37, 37, 38, 39, 39, 39, 40, 41, 45, 46, 47, 49, 50, 50, 53, 53, 54, 54 3. The data are the prices of different laptops at an electronics store. Round each value to the nearest ten. 249, 249, 260, 265, 265, 280, 299, 299, 309, 319, 325, 326, 350, 350, 350, 365, 369, 389, 409, 459, 489, 559, 569, 570, 610 4. The data are daily high temperatures in a town for one month. 61, 61, 62, 64, 66, 67, 67, 67, 68, 69, 70, 70, 70, 71, 71, 72, 74, 74, 74, 75, 75, 75, 76, 76, 77, 78, 78, 79, 79, 95 For the next three exercises, use the data to construct a line graph. 5. In a survey, 40 people were asked how many times they visited a store before making a major purchase. The results are shown in Table 2.37. Number of times in store Frequency 1 2 Table 2.37 4 10 124 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Number of times in store Frequency 3 4 5 Table 2.37 16 6 4 6. In a survey, several people were asked how many years it has been since they purchased a mattress. The results are shown in Table 2.38. Years since last purchase Frequency 0 1 2 3 4 5 Table 2.38 2 8 13 22 16 9 7. Several children were asked how many TV shows they watch each day. The results of the survey are shown in Table 2.39. Number of TV Shows Frequency 0 1 2 3 4 Table 2.39 12 18 36 7 2 8. The students in Ms. Ramirez |
’s math class have birthdays in each of the four seasons. Table 2.40 shows the four seasons, the number of students who have birthdays in each season, and the percentage (%) of students in each group. Construct a bar graph showing the number of students. Seasons Number of students Proportion of population Spring Summer Autumn Winter 8 9 11 6 Table 2.40 24% 26% 32% 18% 9. Using the data from Mrs. Ramirez’s math class supplied in Exercise 2.8, construct a bar graph showing the percentages. 10. David County has six high schools. Each school sent students to participate in a county-wide science competition. Table 2.41 shows the percentage breakdown of competitors from each school, and the percentage of the entire student This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 population of the county that goes to each school. Construct a bar graph that shows the population percentage of competitors from each school. CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 125 High School Science competition population Overall student population Alabaster 28.9% Concordia 7.6% Genoa 12.1% Mocksville 18.5% Tynneson 24.2% West End 8.7% Table 2.41 8.6% 23.2% 15.0% 14.3% 10.1% 28.8% 11. Use the data from the David County science competition supplied in Exercise 2.10. Construct a bar graph that shows the county-wide population percentage of students at each school. 2.2 Histograms, Frequency Polygons, and Time Series Graphs 12. Sixty-five randomly selected car salespersons were asked the number of cars they generally sell in one week. Fourteen people answered that they generally sell three cars; nineteen generally sell four cars; twelve generally sell five cars; nine generally sell six cars; eleven generally sell seven cars. Complete the table. Data Value (# cars) Frequency Relative Frequency Cumulative Relative Frequency Table 2.42 13. What does the frequency column in Table 2.42 sum to? Why? 14. What does the relative frequency column in Table 2.42 sum to? Why? 15. What is the difference between relative frequency and frequency for each data value in Table 2.42? 16. What is the difference between cumulative relative frequency and relative |
frequency for each data value? 17. To construct the histogram for the data in Table 2.42, determine appropriate minimum and maximum x and y values and the scaling. Sketch the histogram. Label the horizontal and vertical axes with words. Include numerical scaling. Figure 2.31 18. Construct a frequency polygon for the following: 126 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS a. b. c. Pulse Rates for Women Frequency 60–69 70–79 80–89 90–99 100–109 110–119 120–129 Table 2.43 12 14 11 1 1 0 1 Actual Speed in a 30 MPH Zone Frequency 42–45 46–49 50–53 54–57 58–61 Table 2.44 25 14 7 3 1 Tar (mg) in Nonfiltered Cigarettes Frequency 10–13 14–17 18–21 22–25 26–29 Table 2.45 1 0 15 7 2 19. Construct a frequency polygon from the frequency distribution for the 50 highest ranked countries for depth of hunger. Depth of Hunger Frequency 230–259 260–289 290–319 320–349 350–379 380–409 410–439 Table 2.46 21 13 5 7 1 1 1 20. Use the two frequency tables to compare the life expectancy of men and women from 20 randomly selected countries. Include an overlayed frequency polygon and discuss the shapes of the distributions, the center, the spread, and any outliers. What can we conclude about the life expectancy of women compared to men? This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 Life Expectancy at Birth – Women Frequency CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 127 49–55 56–62 63–69 70–76 77–83 84–90 3 3 1 3 8 2 Table 2.47 Life Expectancy at Birth – Men Frequency 49–55 56–62 63–69 70–76 77–83 84–90 Table 2.48 3 3 1 1 7 5 21. Construct a times series graph for (a) the number of male births, (b) the number of female births, and (c) the total number of births. Sex/Year 1855 1856 1857 1858 1859 1860 1861 Female 45,545 49,582 50,257 50,324 51,915 51,220 52,403 47,804 52 |
,239 53,158 53,694 54,628 54,409 54,606 93,349 101,821 103,415 104,018 106,543 105,629 107,009 Male Total Table 2.49 Sex/Year 1862 1863 1864 1865 1866 1867 1868 1869 Female 51,812 53,115 54,959 54,850 55,307 55,527 56,292 55,033 55,257 56,226 57,374 58,220 58,360 58,517 59,222 58,321 107,069 109,341 112,333 113,070 113,667 114,044 115,514 113,354 Male Total Table 2.50 Sex/Year 1871 1870 1872 1871 1872 1827 1874 1875 Female 56,099 56,431 57,472 56,099 57,472 58,233 60,109 60,146 60,029 58,959 61,293 60,029 61,293 61,467 63,602 63,432 116,128 115,390 118,765 116,128 118,765 119,700 123,711 123,578 Male Total Table 2.51 128 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 22. The following data sets list full time police per 100,000 citizens along with homicides per 100,000 citizens for the city of Detroit, Michigan during the period from 1961 to 1973. Year Police 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 260.35 269.8 272.04 272.96 272.51 261.34 268.89 Homicides 8.6 8.9 8.52 8.89 13.07 14.57 21.36 Table 2.52 Year Police 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 295.99 319.87 341.43 356.59 376.69 390.19 Homicides 28.03 31.49 37.39 46.26 47.24 52.33 Table 2.53 a. Construct a double time series graph using a common x-axis for both sets of data. b. Which variable increased the fastest? Explain. c. Did Detroit’s increase in police officers have an impact on the murder rate? Explain. 2.3 Measures of the Location of the Data 23. Listed are 29 ages for Academy Award winning best actors in order from smallest to largest. 18; 21; 22; 25; 26; 27; 29; 30; 31; 33; 36; 37; 41; 42 |
; 47; 52; 55; 57; 58; 62; 64; 67; 69; 71; 72; 73; 74; 76; 77 a. Find the 40th percentile. b. Find the 78th percentile. 24. Listed are 32 ages for Academy Award winning best actors in order from smallest to largest. 18; 18; 21; 22; 25; 26; 27; 29; 30; 31; 31; 33; 36; 37; 37; 41; 42; 47; 52; 55; 57; 58; 62; 64; 67; 69; 71; 72; 73; 74; 76; 77 a. Find the percentile of 37. b. Find the percentile of 72. 25. Jesse was ranked 37th in his graduating class of 180 students. At what percentile is Jesse’s ranking? 26. 27. a. For runners in a race, a low time means a faster run. The winners in a race have the shortest running times. Is it more desirable to have a finish time with a high or a low percentile when running a race? b. The 20th percentile of run times in a particular race is 5.2 minutes. Write a sentence interpreting the 20th percentile in the context of the situation. c. A bicyclist in the 90th percentile of a bicycle race completed the race in 1 hour and 12 minutes. Is he among the fastest or slowest cyclists in the race? Write a sentence interpreting the 90th percentile in the context of the situation. a. For runners in a race, a higher speed means a faster run. Is it more desirable to have a speed with a high or a low percentile when running a race? b. The 40th percentile of speeds in a particular race is 7.5 miles per hour. Write a sentence interpreting the 40th percentile in the context of the situation. 28. On an exam, would it be more desirable to earn a grade with a high or low percentile? Explain. 29. Mina is waiting in line at the Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV). Her wait time of 32 minutes is the 85th percentile of wait times. Is that good or bad? Write a sentence interpreting the 85th percentile in the context of this situation. 30. In a survey collecting data about the salaries earned by recent college graduates, Li found that her salary was in the 78th percentile. Should Li be pleased or upset by this result? Explain. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity |
.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 129 31. In a study collecting data about the repair costs of damage to automobiles in a certain type of crash tests, a certain model of car had $1,700 in damage and was in the 90th percentile. Should the manufacturer and the consumer be pleased or upset by this result? Explain and write a sentence that interprets the 90th percentile in the context of this problem. 32. The University of California has two criteria used to set admission standards for freshman to be admitted to a college in the UC system: a. Students' GPAs and scores on standardized tests (SATs and ACTs) are entered into a formula that calculates an "admissions index" score. The admissions index score is used to set eligibility standards intended to meet the goal of admitting the top 12% of high school students in the state. In this context, what percentile does the top 12% represent? b. Students whose GPAs are at or above the 96th percentile of all students at their high school are eligible (called eligible in the local context), even if they are not in the top 12% of all students in the state. What percentage of students from each high school are "eligible in the local context"? 33. Suppose that you are buying a house. You and your realtor have determined that the most expensive house you can afford is the 34th percentile. The 34th percentile of housing prices is $240,000 in the town you want to move to. In this town, can you afford 34% of the houses or 66% of the houses? Use Exercise 2.25 to calculate the following values: 34. First quartile = _______ 35. Second quartile = median = 50th percentile = _______ 36. Third quartile = _______ 37. Interquartile range (IQR) = _____ – _____ = _____ 38. 10th percentile = _______ 39. 70th percentile = _______ 2.4 Box Plots Sixty-five randomly selected car salespersons were asked the number of cars they generally sell in one week. Fourteen people answered that they generally sell three cars; nineteen generally sell four cars; twelve generally sell five cars; nine generally sell six cars; eleven generally sell seven cars. 40. Construct a box plot below. Use a ruler to measure and scale accurately. 41. |
Looking at your box plot, does it appear that the data are concentrated together, spread out evenly, or concentrated in some areas, but not in others? How can you tell? 2.5 Measures of the Center of the Data 42. Find the mean for the following frequency tables. a. b. Grade Frequency 49.5–59.5 2 59.5–69.5 3 69.5–79.5 8 79.5–89.5 12 89.5–99.5 5 Table 2.54 Daily Low Temperature Frequency 49.5–59.5 59.5–69.5 Table 2.55 53 32 130 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Daily Low Temperature Frequency 69.5–79.5 79.5–89.5 89.5–99.5 Table 2.55 15 1 0 c. Points per Game Frequency 49.5–59.5 59.5–69.5 69.5–79.5 79.5–89.5 89.5–99.5 Table 2.56 14 32 15 23 2 Use the following information to answer the next three exercises: The following data show the lengths of boats moored in a marina. The data are ordered from smallest to largest: 16; 17; 19; 20; 20; 21; 23; 24; 25; 25; 25; 26; 26; 27; 27; 27; 28; 29; 30; 32; 33; 33; 34; 35; 37; 39; 40 43. Calculate the mean. 44. Identify the median. 45. Identify the mode. Use the following information to answer the next three exercises: Sixty-five randomly selected car salespersons were asked the number of cars they generally sell in one week. Fourteen people answered that they generally sell three cars; nineteen generally sell four cars; twelve generally sell five cars; nine generally sell six cars; eleven generally sell seven cars. Calculate the following: 46. sample mean = x¯ = _______ 47. median = _______ 48. mode = _______ 2.6 Skewness and the Mean, Median, and Mode Use the following information to answer the next three exercises: State whether the data are symmetrical, skewed to the left, or skewed to the right. 49. 1; 1; 1; 2; 2; 2; 2; 3; 3; 3; 3; 3; 3; 3; 3; 4; 4 |
; 4; 5; 5 50. 16; 17; 19; 22; 22; 22; 22; 22; 23 51. 87; 87; 87; 87; 87; 88; 89; 89; 90; 91 52. When the data are skewed left, what is the typical relationship between the mean and median? 53. When the data are symmetrical, what is the typical relationship between the mean and median? 54. What word describes a distribution that has two modes? 55. Describe the shape of this distribution. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 131 Figure 2.32 56. Describe the relationship between the mode and the median of this distribution. Figure 2.33 57. Describe the relationship between the mean and the median of this distribution. Figure 2.34 58. Describe the shape of this distribution. 132 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Figure 2.35 59. Describe the relationship between the mode and the median of this distribution. Figure 2.36 60. Are the mean and the median the exact same in this distribution? Why or why not? Figure 2.37 61. Describe the shape of this distribution. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 133 Figure 2.38 62. Describe the relationship between the mode and the median of this distribution. Figure 2.39 63. Describe the relationship between the mean and the median of this distribution. Figure 2.40 64. The mean and median for the data are the same. 3; 4; 5; 5; 6; 6; 6; 6; 7; 7; 7; 7; 7; 7; 7 Is the data perfectly symmetrical? Why or why not? 65. Which is the greatest, the mean, the mode, or the median of the data set? 134 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 11; 11; 12; 12; 12; 12; 13; 15; 17; 22; 22; 22 66. Which is the least, the mean, the mode, and the median of the data set? |
56; 56; 56; 58; 59; 60; 62; 64; 64; 65; 67 67. Of the three measures, which tends to reflect skewing the most, the mean, the mode, or the median? Why? 68. In a perfectly symmetrical distribution, when would the mode be different from the mean and median? 2.7 Measures of the Spread of the Data Use the following information to answer the next two exercises: The following data are the distances between 20 retail stores and a large distribution center. The distances are in miles. 29; 37; 38; 40; 58; 67; 68; 69; 76; 86; 87; 95; 96; 96; 99; 106; 112; 127; 145; 150 69. Use a graphing calculator or computer to find the standard deviation and round to the nearest tenth. 70. Find the value that is one standard deviation below the mean. 71. Two baseball players, Fredo and Karl, on different teams wanted to find out who had the higher batting average when compared to his team. Which baseball player had the higher batting average when compared to his team? Baseball Player Batting Average Team Batting Average Team Standard Deviation Fredo Karl Table 2.57 0.158 0.177 0.166 0.189 0.012 0.015 72. Use Table 2.57 to find the value that is three standard deviations: a. above the mean b. below the mean Find the standard deviation for the following frequency tables using the formula. Check the calculations with the TI 83/84. 73. Find the standard deviation for the following frequency tables using the formula. Check the calculations with the TI 83/ 84. a. b. Grade Frequency 49.5–59.5 2 59.5–69.5 3 69.5–79.5 8 79.5–89.5 12 89.5–99.5 5 Table 2.58 Daily Low Temperature Frequency 49.5–59.5 59.5–69.5 69.5–79.5 79.5–89.5 89.5–99.5 Table 2.59 53 32 15 1 0 This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 c. Points per Game Frequency CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 135 49.5–59.5 59.5– |
69.5 69.5–79.5 79.5–89.5 89.5–99.5 Table 2.60 14 32 15 23 2 HOMEWORK 2.1 Stem-and-Leaf Graphs (Stemplots), Line Graphs, and Bar Graphs 74. Student grades on a chemistry exam were: 77, 78, 76, 81, 86, 51, 79, 82, 84, 99 a. Construct a stem-and-leaf plot of the data. b. Are there any potential outliers? If so, which scores are they? Why do you consider them outliers? 75. Table 2.61 contains the 2010 obesity rates in U.S. states and Washington, DC. Percent (%) State Percent (%) State Percent (%) State Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware 32.2 24.5 24.3 30.1 24.0 21.0 22.5 28.0 Washington, DC 22.2 Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Table 2.61 26.6 29.6 22.7 26.5 28.2 29.6 28.4 29.4 Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland 31.3 31.0 26.8 27.1 North Dakota 27.2 Ohio Oklahoma Oregon 29.2 30.4 26.8 Massachusetts 23.0 Pennsylvania 28.6 Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada 30.9 24.8 34.0 30.5 23.0 26.9 22.4 New Hampshire 25.0 New Jersey New Mexico New York 23.8 25.1 23.9 North Carolina 27.8 Rhode Island 25.5 South Carolina 31.5 South Dakota 27.3 Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington 30.8 31.0 22.5 23.2 26.0 25.5 West Virginia 32.5 Wisconsin Wyoming 26.3 25.1 a. Use a random number generator to randomly pick eight states. Construct a bar graph of the obesity rates of those eight states. b. Construct a bar graph for all the states beginning with the letter "A." c. Construct a bar graph for all the states beginning with the letter "M." 2.2 Histograms, Frequency Polygons, and Time Series Graphs 136 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 76. Suppose that three book publishers were interested in the number of fiction paperbacks adult consumers purchase per month. Each publisher conducted a survey. In the survey, adult consumers were asked the number of fiction paperbacks |
they had purchased the previous month. The results are as follows: # of books Freq. Rel. Freq. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 10 12 16 12 8 6 2 2 Table 2.62 Publisher A # of books Freq. Rel. Freq. 0 1 2 3 4 5 7 9 18 24 24 22 15 10 5 1 Table 2.63 Publisher B # of books Freq. Rel. Freq. 0–1 2–3 4–5 6–7 8–9 20 35 12 2 1 Table 2.64 Publisher C a. Find the relative frequencies for each survey. Write them in the charts. b. Using either a graphing calculator, computer, or by hand, use the frequency column to construct a histogram for each publisher's survey. For Publishers A and B, make bar widths of one. For Publisher C, make bar widths of two. In complete sentences, give two reasons why the graphs for Publishers A and B are not identical. c. d. Would you have expected the graph for Publisher C to look like the other two graphs? Why or why not? e. Make new histograms for Publisher A and Publisher B. This time, make bar widths of two. f. Now, compare the graph for Publisher C to the new graphs for Publishers A and B. Are the graphs more similar or more different? Explain your answer. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 77. Often, cruise ships conduct all on-board transactions, with the exception of gambling, on a cashless basis. At the end of the cruise, guests pay one bill that covers all onboard transactions. Suppose that 60 single travelers and 70 couples were surveyed as to their on-board bills for a seven-day cruise from Los Angeles to the Mexican Riviera. Following is a summary of the bills for each group. CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 137 Amount($) Frequency Rel. Frequency 51–100 101–150 151–200 201–250 251–300 301–350 5 10 15 15 10 5 Table 2.65 Singles Amount($) Frequency Rel. Frequency 100–150 201–250 251–300 301–350 351–400 401–450 451–500 501–550 551–600 601–650 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 5 5 Table 2 |
.66 Couples a. Fill in the relative frequency for each group. b. Construct a histogram for the singles group. Scale the x-axis by $50 widths. Use relative frequency on the y-axis. c. Construct a histogram for the couples group. Scale the x-axis by $50 widths. Use relative frequency on the y-axis. d. Compare the two graphs: i. List two similarities between the graphs. ii. List two differences between the graphs. iii. Overall, are the graphs more similar or different? e. Construct a new graph for the couples by hand. Since each couple is paying for two individuals, instead of scaling the x-axis by $50, scale it by $100. Use relative frequency on the y-axis. f. Compare the graph for the singles with the new graph for the couples: i. List two similarities between the graphs. ii. Overall, are the graphs more similar or different? g. How did scaling the couples graph differently change the way you compared it to the singles graph? h. Based on the graphs, do you think that individuals spend the same amount, more or less, as singles as they do person by person as a couple? Explain why in one or two complete sentences. 78. Twenty-five randomly selected students were asked the number of movies they watched the previous week. The results are as follows. 138 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS # of movies Frequency Relative Frequency Cumulative Relative Frequency 0 1 2 3 4 Table 2.67 5 9 6 4 1 a. Construct a histogram of the data. b. Complete the columns of the chart. Use the following information to answer the next two exercises: Suppose one hundred eleven people who shopped in a special t-shirt store were asked the number of t-shirts they own costing more than $19 each. 79. The percentage of people who own at most three t-shirts costing more than $19 each is approximately: a. 21 b. 59 c. 41 d. Cannot be determined 80. If the data were collected by asking the first 111 people who entered the store, then the type of sampling is: a. cluster b. simple random c. stratified d. convenience 81. Following are the 2010 obesity rates by U.S. states and Washington, DC. State Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Table 2.68 Percent (%) State Percent (%) State Percent (%) 32.2 24.5 24.3 30 |
.1 24.0 21.0 22.5 28.0 Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland 31.3 31.0 26.8 27.1 North Dakota 27.2 Ohio Oklahoma Oregon 29.2 30.4 26.8 Massachusetts 23.0 Pennsylvania 28.6 Michigan Minnesota Mississippi 30.9 24.8 34.0 Rhode Island 25.5 South Carolina 31.5 South Dakota 27.3 This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 State Percent (%) State Percent (%) State Percent (%) CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 139 Washington, DC 22.2 Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Table 2.68 26.6 29.6 22.7 26.5 28.2 29.6 28.4 29.4 Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada 30.5 23.0 26.9 22.4 New Hampshire 25.0 New Jersey New Mexico New York 23.8 25.1 23.9 North Carolina 27.8 Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington 30.8 31.0 22.5 23.2 26.0 25.5 West Virginia 32.5 Wisconsin Wyoming 26.3 25.1 Construct a bar graph of obesity rates of your state and the four states closest to your state. Hint: Label the x-axis with the states. 2.3 Measures of the Location of the Data 82. The median age for U.S. blacks currently is 30.9 years; for U.S. whites it is 42.3 years. a. Based upon this information, give two reasons why the black median age could be lower than the white median age. b. Does the lower median age for blacks necessarily mean that blacks die younger than whites? Why or why not? c. How might it be possible for blacks and whites to die at approximately the same age, but for the median age for whites to be higher? 83. Six hundred adult Americans were asked by telephone poll, "What do you think constitutes a middle-class income?" The results are in Table 2.69. Also, include left endpoint, but not the right endpoint. Salary ($) Relative Frequency < 20,000 0.02 20,000–25,000 0.09 25,000–30,000 0.19 30,000–40,000 0.26 40,000–50,000 0.18 50,000 |
–75,000 0.17 75,000–99,999 0.02 100,000+ 0.01 Table 2.69 a. What percentage of the survey answered "not sure"? b. What percentage think that middle-class is from $25,000 to $50,000? c. Construct a histogram of the data. i. Should all bars have the same width, based on the data? Why or why not? ii. How should the <20,000 and the 100,000+ intervals be handled? Why? d. Find the 40th and 80th percentiles e. Construct a bar graph of the data 84. Given the following box plot: 140 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Figure 2.41 a. which quarter has the smallest spread of data? What is that spread? b. which quarter has the largest spread of data? What is that spread? c. d. are there more data in the interval 5–10 or in the interval 10–13? How do you know this? e. which interval has the fewest data in it? How do you know this? find the interquartile range (IQR). i. 0–2 ii. 2–4 iii. 10–12 iv. 12–13 v. need more information 85. The following box plot shows the U.S. population for 1990, the latest available year. Figure 2.42 a. Are there fewer or more children (age 17 and under) than senior citizens (age 65 and over)? How do you know? b. 12.6% are age 65 and over. Approximately what percentage of the population are working age adults (above age 17 to age 65)? 2.4 Box Plots 86. In a survey of 20-year-olds in China, Germany, and the United States, people were asked the number of foreign countries they had visited in their lifetime. The following box plots display the results. Figure 2.43 a. In complete sentences, describe what the shape of each box plot implies about the distribution of the data collected. b. Have more Americans or more Germans surveyed been to over eight foreign countries? c. Compare the three box plots. What do they imply about the foreign travel of 20-year-old residents of the three countries when compared to each other? 87. Given the following box plot, answer the questions. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-stat |
istics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 141 Figure 2.44 a. Think of an example (in words) where the data might fit into the above box plot. In 2–5 sentences, write down the example. b. What does it mean to have the first and second quartiles so close together, while the second to third quartiles are far apart? 88. Given the following box plots, answer the questions. Figure 2.45 a. In complete sentences, explain why each statement is false. i. Data 1 has more data values above two than Data 2 has above two. ii. The data sets cannot have the same mode. iii. For Data 1, there are more data values below four than there are above four. b. For which group, Data 1 or Data 2, is the value of “7” more likely to be an outlier? Explain why in complete sentences. 89. A survey was conducted of 130 purchasers of new BMW 3 series cars, 130 purchasers of new BMW 5 series cars, and 130 purchasers of new BMW 7 series cars. In it, people were asked the age they were when they purchased their car. The following box plots display the results. Figure 2.46 a. In complete sentences, describe what the shape of each box plot implies about the distribution of the data collected for that car series. b. Which group is most likely to have an outlier? Explain how you determined that. 142 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS c. Compare the three box plots. What do they imply about the age of purchasing a BMW from the series when compared to each other? d. Look at the BMW 5 series. Which quarter has the smallest spread of data? What is the spread? e. Look at the BMW 5 series. Which quarter has the largest spread of data? What is the spread? f. Look at the BMW 5 series. Estimate the interquartile range (IQR). g. Look at the BMW 5 series. Are there more data in the interval 31 to 38 or in the interval 45 to 55? How do you know this? h. Look at the BMW 5 series. Which interval has the fewest data in it? How do you know this? i. 31–35 ii. 38–41 iii. 41–64 90. Twenty-five randomly selected students were asked the number of |
movies they watched the previous week. The results are as follows: # of movies Frequency 0 1 2 3 4 Table 2.70 5 9 6 4 1 Construct a box plot of the data. 2.5 Measures of the Center of the Data 91. The most obese countries in the world have obesity rates that range from 11.4% to 74.6%. This data is summarized in the following table. Percent of Population Obese Number of Countries 11.4–20.45 20.45–29.45 29.45–38.45 38.45–47.45 47.45–56.45 56.45–65.45 65.45–74.45 74.45–83.45 Table 2.71 29 13 4 0 2 1 0 1 a. What is the best estimate of the average obesity percentage for these countries? b. The United States has an average obesity rate of 33.9%. Is this rate above average or below? c. How does the United States compare to other countries? 92. Table 2.72 gives the percent of children under five considered to be underweight. What is the best estimate for the mean percentage of underweight children? This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 Percent of Underweight Children Number of Countries CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 143 16–21.45 21.45–26.9 26.9–32.35 32.35–37.8 37.8–43.25 43.25–48.7 Table 2.72 23 4 9 7 6 1 2.6 Skewness and the Mean, Median, and Mode 93. The median age of the U.S. population in 1980 was 30.0 years. In 1991, the median age was 33.1 years. a. What does it mean for the median age to rise? b. Give two reasons why the median age could rise. c. For the median age to rise, is the actual number of children less in 1991 than it was in 1980? Why or why not? 2.7 Measures of the Spread of the Data Use the following information to answer the next nine exercises: The population parameters below describe the full-time equivalent number of students (FTES) each year at Lake Tahoe Community College from 1976–1977 through 2004–2005. • μ = 1000 |
FTES • median = 1,014 FTES • σ = 474 FTES • • first quartile = 528.5 FTES third quartile = 1,447.5 FTES • n = 29 years 94. A sample of 11 years is taken. About how many are expected to have a FTES of 1014 or above? Explain how you determined your answer. 95. 75% of all years have an FTES: a. at or below: _____ b. at or above: _____ 96. The population standard deviation = _____ 97. What percent of the FTES were from 528.5 to 1447.5? How do you know? 98. What is the IQR? What does the IQR represent? 99. How many standard deviations away from the mean is the median? Additional Information: The population FTES for 2005–2006 through 2010–2011 was given in an updated report. The data are reported here. Year 2005–06 2006–07 2007–08 2008–09 2009–10 2010–11 Total FTES 1,585 1,690 1,735 1,935 2,021 1,890 Table 2.73 100. Calculate the mean, median, standard deviation, the first quartile, the third quartile and the IQR. Round to one decimal place. 101. Construct a box plot for the FTES for 2005–2006 through 2010–2011 and a box plot for the FTES for 1976–1977 through 2004–2005. 102. Compare the IQR for the FTES for 1976–77 through 2004–2005 with the IQR for the FTES for 2005-2006 through 2010–2011. Why do you suppose the IQRs are so different? 144 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 103. Three students were applying to the same graduate school. They came from schools with different grading systems. Which student had the best GPA when compared to other students at his school? Explain how you determined your answer. Student GPA School Average GPA School Standard Deviation Thuy Vichet Kamala 2.7 87 8.6 3.2 75 8 Table 2.74 0.8 20 0.4 104. A music school has budgeted to purchase three musical instruments. They plan to purchase a piano costing $3,000, a guitar costing $550, and a drum set costing $600. The mean cost for a piano is $4,000 with a standard deviation of $2,500 |
. The mean cost for a guitar is $500 with a standard deviation of $200. The mean cost for drums is $700 with a standard deviation of $100. Which cost is the lowest, when compared to other instruments of the same type? Which cost is the highest when compared to other instruments of the same type. Justify your answer. 105. An elementary school class ran one mile with a mean of 11 minutes and a standard deviation of three minutes. Rachel, a student in the class, ran one mile in eight minutes. A junior high school class ran one mile with a mean of nine minutes and a standard deviation of two minutes. Kenji, a student in the class, ran 1 mile in 8.5 minutes. A high school class ran one mile with a mean of seven minutes and a standard deviation of four minutes. Nedda, a student in the class, ran one mile in eight minutes. a. Why is Kenji considered a better runner than Nedda, even though Nedda ran faster than he? b. Who is the fastest runner with respect to his or her class? Explain why. 106. The most obese countries in the world have obesity rates that range from 11.4% to 74.6%. This data is summarized in Table 14. Percent of Population Obese Number of Countries 11.4–20.45 20.45–29.45 29.45–38.45 38.45–47.45 47.45–56.45 56.45–65.45 65.45–74.45 74.45–83.45 Table 2.75 29 13 4 0 2 1 0 1 What is the best estimate of the average obesity percentage for these countries? What is the standard deviation for the listed obesity rates? The United States has an average obesity rate of 33.9%. Is this rate above average or below? How “unusual” is the United States’ obesity rate compared to the average rate? Explain. 107. Table 2.76 gives the percent of children under five considered to be underweight. Percent of Underweight Children Number of Countries 16–21.45 21.45–26.9 26.9–32.35 32.35–37.8 Table 2.76 23 4 9 7 This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CH |
APTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 145 Percent of Underweight Children Number of Countries 37.8–43.25 43.25–48.7 Table 2.76 6 1 What is the best estimate for the mean percentage of underweight children? What is the standard deviation? Which interval(s) could be considered unusual? Explain. BRINGING IT TOGETHER: HOMEWORK 108. Santa Clara County, CA, has approximately 27,873 Japanese-Americans. Their ages are as follows: Age Group Percent of Community 0–17 18–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65+ Table 2.77 18.9 8.0 22.8 15.0 13.1 11.9 10.3 a. Construct a histogram of the Japanese-American community in Santa Clara County, CA. The bars will not be the same width for this example. Why not? What impact does this have on the reliability of the graph? b. What percentage of the community is under age 35? c. Which box plot most resembles the information above? Figure 2.47 146 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 109. Javier and Ercilia are supervisors at a shopping mall. Each was given the task of estimating the mean distance that shoppers live from the mall. They each randomly surveyed 100 shoppers. The samples yielded the following information. Javier Ercilia x¯ 6.0 miles 6.0 miles s 4.0 miles 7.0 miles Table 2.78 a. How can you determine which survey was correct? b. Explain what the difference in the results of the surveys implies about the data. c. If the two histograms depict the distribution of values for each supervisor, which one depicts Ercilia's sample? How do you know? d. Figure 2.48 If the two box plots depict the distribution of values for each supervisor, which one depicts Ercilia’s sample? How do you know? Figure 2.49 Use the following information to answer the next three exercises: We are interested in the number of years students in a particular elementary statistics class have lived in California. The information in the following table is from the entire section. Number of years Frequency Number of years Frequency 1 3 1 1 4 3 22 23 26 40 42 7 14 15 18 19 20 Table 2.79 1 1 1 2 2 Total = 20 This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory |
-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 147 110. What is the IQR? a. 8 b. 11 c. 15 d. 35 111. What is the mode? a. 19 b. 19.5 c. 14 and 20 d. 22.65 112. Is this a sample or the entire population? sample a. b. entire population c. neither 113. Twenty-five randomly selected students were asked the number of movies they watched the previous week. The results are as follows: # of movies Frequency 0 1 2 3 4 Table 2.80 5 9 6 4 1 a. Find the sample mean x¯. b. Find the approximate sample standard deviation, s. 114. Forty randomly selected students were asked the number of pairs of sneakers they owned. Let X = the number of pairs of sneakers owned. The results are as follows: X Frequency 12 12 0 1 Table 2.81 a. Find the sample mean x¯ b. Find the sample standard deviation, s c. Construct a histogram of the data. d. Complete the columns of the chart. e. Find the first quartile. f. Find the median. g. Find the third quartile. 148 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS h. Construct a box plot of the data. i. What percent of the students owned at least five pairs? j. Find the 40th percentile. k. Find the 90th percentile. l. Construct a line graph of the data m. Construct a stemplot of the data 115. Following are the published weights (in pounds) of all of the team members of the San Francisco 49ers from a previous year. 177; 205; 210; 210; 232; 205; 185; 185; 178; 210; 206; 212; 184; 174; 185; 242; 188; 212; 215; 247; 241; 223; 220; 260; 245; 259; 278; 270; 280; 295; 275; 285; 290; 272; 273; 280; 285; 286; 200; 215; 185; 230; 250; 241; 190; 260; 250; 302; 265; 290; 276; 228; 265 a. Organize the data from smallest to largest value. b. Find the median. c. Find the first quartile. d. Find the third quartile. e. Construct a box plot of the data. |
f. The middle 50% of the weights are from _______ to _______. g. h. If our population were all professional football players, would the above data be a sample of weights or the population of weights? Why? If our population included every team member who ever played for the San Francisco 49ers, would the above data be a sample of weights or the population of weights? Why? i. Assume the population was the San Francisco 49ers. Find: the population mean, μ. the population standard deviation, σ. the weight that is two standard deviations below the mean. i. ii. iii. iv. When Steve Young, quarterback, played football, he weighed 205 pounds. How many standard deviations above or below the mean was he? j. That same year, the mean weight for the Dallas Cowboys was 240.08 pounds with a standard deviation of 44.38 pounds. Emmit Smith weighed in at 209 pounds. With respect to his team, who was lighter, Smith or Young? How did you determine your answer? 116. One hundred teachers attended a seminar on mathematical problem solving. The attitudes of a representative sample of 12 of the teachers were measured before and after the seminar. A positive number for change in attitude indicates that a teacher's attitude toward math became more positive. The 12 change scores are as follows: 3; 8; –1; 2; 0; 5; –3; 1; –1; 6; 5; –2 a. What is the mean change score? b. What is the standard deviation for this population? c. What is the median change score? d. Find the change score that is 2.2 standard deviations below the mean. 117. Refer to Figure 2.50 determine which of the following are true and which are false. Explain your solution to each part in complete sentences. Figure 2.50 a. The medians for all three graphs are the same. b. We cannot determine if any of the means for the three graphs is different. c. The standard deviation for graph b is larger than the standard deviation for graph a. d. We cannot determine if any of the third quartiles for the three graphs is different. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 118. In a recent issue of the IEEE Spectrum, 84 engineering conferences were announced. Four conferences lasted two days. Thirty- |
six lasted three days. Eighteen lasted four days. Nineteen lasted five days. Four lasted six days. One lasted seven days. One lasted eight days. One lasted nine days. Let X = the length (in days) of an engineering conference. CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 149 a. Organize the data in a chart. b. Find the median, the first quartile, and the third quartile. c. Find the 65th percentile. d. Find the 10th percentile. e. Construct a box plot of the data. f. The middle 50% of the conferences last from _______ days to _______ days. g. Calculate the sample mean of days of engineering conferences. h. Calculate the sample standard deviation of days of engineering conferences. i. Find the mode. j. If you were planning an engineering conference, which would you choose as the length of the conference: mean; median; or mode? Explain why you made that choice. k. Give two reasons why you think that three to five days seem to be popular lengths of engineering conferences. 119. A survey of enrollment at 35 community colleges across the United States yielded the following figures: 6414; 1550; 2109; 9350; 21828; 4300; 5944; 5722; 2825; 2044; 5481; 5200; 5853; 2750; 10012; 6357; 27000; 9414; 7681; 3200; 17500; 9200; 7380; 18314; 6557; 13713; 17768; 7493; 2771; 2861; 1263; 7285; 28165; 5080; 11622 a. Organize the data into a chart with five intervals of equal width. Label the two columns "Enrollment" and "Frequency." b. Construct a histogram of the data. c. If you were to build a new community college, which piece of information would be more valuable: the mode or the mean? d. Calculate the sample mean. e. Calculate the sample standard deviation. f. A school with an enrollment of 8000 would be how many standard deviations away from the mean? Use the following information to answer the next two exercises. X = the number of days per week that 100 clients use a particular exercise facility. x 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Frequency 3 12 33 28 11 9 4 Table 2.82 120. The 80th percentile is _____ a. 5 |
b. 80 c. 3 d. 4 121. The number that is 1.5 standard deviations BELOW the mean is approximately _____ a. 0.7 b. 4.8 c. –2.8 d. Cannot be determined 150 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 122. Suppose that a publisher conducted a survey asking adult consumers the number of fiction paperback books they had purchased in the previous month. The results are summarized in the Table 2.83. # of books Freq. Rel. Freq. 0 1 2 3 4 5 7 9 Table 2.83 18 24 24 22 15 10 5 1 a. Are there any outliers in the data? Use an appropriate numerical test involving the IQR to identify outliers, if any, and clearly state your conclusion. If a data value is identified as an outlier, what should be done about it? b. c. Are any data values further than two standard deviations away from the mean? In some situations, statisticians may use this criteria to identify data values that are unusual, compared to the other data values. (Note that this criteria is most appropriate to use for data that is mound-shaped and symmetric, rather than for skewed data.) d. Do parts a and c of this problem give the same answer? e. Examine the shape of the data. Which part, a or c, of this question gives a more appropriate result for this data? f. Based on the shape of the data which is the most appropriate measure of center for this data: mean, median or mode? REFERENCES 2.1 Stem-and-Leaf Graphs (Stemplots), Line Graphs, and Bar Graphs Burbary, Ken. Facebook Demographics Revisited – 2001 Statistics, 2011. Available online at http://www.kenburbary.com/ 2011/03/facebook-demographics-revisited-2011-statistics-2/ (accessed August 21, 2013). “9th Annual AP Report to the Nation.” CollegeBoard, 2013. Available online at http://apreport.collegeboard.org/goals-andfindings/promoting-equity (accessed September 13, 2013). “Overweight and Obesity: Adult Obesity Facts.” Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Available online at http://www.cdc.gov/obesity/data/adult.html (accessed September 13, 2013). 2.2 |
Histograms, Frequency Polygons, and Time Series Graphs Data on annual homicides in Detroit, 1961–73, from Gunst & Mason’s book ‘Regression Analysis and its Application’, Marcel Dekker “Timeline: Guide to the U.S. Presidents: Information on every president’s birthplace, political party, term of office, and more.” Scholastic, 2013. Available online at http://www.scholastic.com/teachers/article/timeline-guide-us-presidents (accessed April 3, 2013). “Presidents.” Fact Monster. Pearson Education, 2007. Available online at http://www.factmonster.com/ipka/A0194030.html (accessed April 3, 2013). “Food Security Statistics.” Food and Agriculture Organization of http://www.fao.org/economic/ess/ess-fs/en/ (accessed April 3, 2013). the United Nations. Available online at “Consumer Price Index.” United States Department of Labor: Bureau of Labor Statistics. Available online at http://data.bls.gov/pdq/SurveyOutputServlet (accessed April 3, 2013). “CO2 emissions (kt).” The World Bank, 2013. Available online at http://databank.worldbank.org/data/home.aspx (accessed April 3, 2013). This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 “Births Time Series Data.” General Register Office For Scotland, 2013. Available online at http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/ statistics/theme/vital-events/births/time-series.html (accessed April 3, 2013). CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 151 “Demographics: Children http://www.indexmundi.com/g/r.aspx?t=50&v=2224&aml=en (accessed April 3, 2013). underweight.” under years age the of 5 Indexmundi. Available online at Gunst, Richard, Robert Mason. Regression Analysis and Its Application: A Data-Oriented Approach. CRC Press: 1980. “Overweight and Obesity: |
Adult Obesity Facts.” Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Available online at http://www.cdc.gov/obesity/data/adult.html (accessed September 13, 2013). 2.3 Measures of the Location of the Data Cauchon, Dennis, Paul Overberg. “Census data shows minorities now a majority of U.S. births.” USA Today, 2012. http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/news/nation/story/2012-05-17/minority-birthscensus/55029100/1 Available (accessed April 3, 2013). online at Data from the United States Department of Commerce: United States Census Bureau. Available online at http://www.census.gov/ (accessed April 3, 2013). “1990 Census.” United States Department of Commerce: United States Census Bureau. Available online at http://www.census.gov/main/www/cen1990.html (accessed April 3, 2013). Data from San Jose Mercury News. Data from Time Magazine; survey by Yankelovich Partners, Inc. 2.4 Box Plots Data from West Magazine. 2.5 Measures of the Center of the Data Data from The World Bank, available online at http://www.worldbank.org (accessed April 3, 2013). “Demographics: Obesity – adult prevalence rate.” Indexmundi. Available online at http://www.indexmundi.com/g/ r.aspx?t=50&v=2228&l=en (accessed April 3, 2013). 2.7 Measures of the Spread of the Data Data from Microsoft Bookshelf. King, Bill.“Graphically Speaking.” Institutional Research, Lake Tahoe Community College. Available online at http://www.ltcc.edu/web/about/institutional-research (accessed April 3, 2013). SOLUTIONS 1 3 Stem Leaf Table 2.84 152 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Stem Leaf Table 2.85 5 Figure 2.51 7 Figure 2.52 9 This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 153 Figure 2.53 11 Figure 2.54 13 65 15 The relative |
frequency shows the proportion of data points that have each value. The frequency tells the number of data points that have each value. 17 Answers will vary. One possible histogram is shown: 154 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Figure 2.55 19 Find the midpoint for each class. These will be graphed on the x-axis. The frequency values will be graphed on the y-axis values. Figure 2.56 21 This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 155 Figure 2.57 23 a. The 40th percentile is 37 years. b. The 78th percentile is 70 years. 25 Jesse graduated 37th out of a class of 180 students. There are 180 – 37 = 143 students ranked below Jesse. There is one rank of 37. x = 143 and y = 1. x + 0.5y (100) = 79.72. Jesse’s rank of 37 puts him at the 80th (100) = 143 + 0.5(1) n 180 percentile. 27 a. For runners in a race it is more desirable to have a high percentile for speed. A high percentile means a higher speed which is faster. b. 40% of runners ran at speeds of 7.5 miles per hour or less (slower). 60% of runners ran at speeds of 7.5 miles per hour or more (faster). 29 When waiting in line at the DMV, the 85th percentile would be a long wait time compared to the other people waiting. 85% of people had shorter wait times than Mina. In this context, Mina would prefer a wait time corresponding to a lower percentile. 85% of people at the DMV waited 32 minutes or less. 15% of people at the DMV waited 32 minutes or longer. 31 The manufacturer and the consumer would be upset. This is a large repair cost for the damages, compared to the other cars in the sample. INTERPRETATION: 90% of the crash tested cars had damage repair costs of $1700 or less; only 10% had damage repair costs of $1700 or more. 33 You can afford 34% of houses. 66% of the houses are too expensive for your budget. INTERPRETATION: 34% of houses cost $240,000 or less. 66 |
% of houses cost $240,000 or more. 35 4 37 6 – 4 = 2 39 6 41 More than 25% of salespersons sell four cars in a typical week. You can see this concentration in the box plot because the first quartile is equal to the median. The top 25% and the bottom 25% are spread out evenly; the whiskers have the same length. 156 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 43 Mean: 16 + 17 + 19 + 20 + 20 + 21 + 23 + 24 + 25 + 25 + 25 + 26 + 26 + 27 + 27 + 27 + 28 + 29 + 30 + 32 + 33 + 33 + 34 + 35 + 37 + 39 + 40 = 738; 738 27 = 27.33 45 The most frequent lengths are 25 and 27, which occur three times. Mode = 25, 27 47 4 49 The data are symmetrical. The median is 3 and the mean is 2.85. They are close, and the mode lies close to the middle of the data, so the data are symmetrical. 51 The data are skewed right. The median is 87.5 and the mean is 88.2. Even though they are close, the mode lies to the left of the middle of the data, and there are many more instances of 87 than any other number, so the data are skewed right. 53 When the data are symmetrical, the mean and median are close or the same. 55 The distribution is skewed right because it looks pulled out to the right. 57 The mean is 4.1 and is slightly greater than the median, which is four. 59 The mode and the median are the same. In this case, they are both five. 61 The distribution is skewed left because it looks pulled out to the left. 63 The mean and the median are both six. 65 The mode is 12, the median is 13.5, and the mean is 15.1. The mean is the largest. 67 The mean tends to reflect skewing the most because it is affected the most by outliers. 69 s = 34.5 71 For Fredo: z = 0.158 – 0.166 0.012 = –0.67 For Karl: z = 0.177 – 0.189 0.015 = –0.8 Fredo’s z-score of –0.67 is higher than Karl’s z-score of –0.8. For batting average, higher values are better |
, so Fredo has a better batting average compared to his team. 73 a. s x = b. s x = c. s x = ∑ f m2 n ∑ f m2 n ∑ f m2 n 75 − x¯ 2 = 193157.45 30 − 79.52 = 10.88 − x¯ 2 = 380945.3 101 − 60.942 = 7.62 − x¯ 2 = 440051.5 86 − 70.662 = 11.14 a. Example solution for using the random number generator for the TI-84+ to generate a simple random sample of 8 states. Instructions are as follows. Number the entries in the table 1–51 (Includes Washington, DC; Numbered vertically) Press MATH Arrow over to PRB Press 5:randInt( Enter 51,1,8) Eight numbers are generated (use the right arrow key to scroll through the numbers). The numbers correspond to the numbered states (for this example: {47 21 9 23 51 13 25 4}. If any numbers are repeated, generate a different number by using 5:randInt(51,1)). Here, the states (and Washington DC) are {Arkansas, Washington DC, Idaho, Maryland, Michigan, Mississippi, Virginia, Wyoming}. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 Corresponding percents are {30.1, 22.2, 26.5, 27.1, 30.9, 34.0, 26.0, 25.1}. CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 157 Figure 2.58 b. Figure 2.59 158 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Figure 2.60 c. 77 Amount($) Frequency Relative Frequency 51–100 101–150 151–200 201–250 251–300 301–350 5 10 15 15 10 5 Table 2.86 Singles 0.08 0.17 0.25 0.25 0.17 0.08 Amount($) Frequency Relative Frequency 100–150 201–250 251–300 301–350 351–400 401–450 451–500 501–550 551–600 601–650 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 5 5 Table 2.87 Couples 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.14 0.14 |
0.14 0.14 0.07 0.07 a. See Table 2.86 and Table 2.87. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 159 b. In the following histogram data values that fall on the right boundary are counted in the class interval, while values that fall on the left boundary are not counted (with the exception of the first interval where both boundary values are included). Figure 2.61 c. In the following histogram, the data values that fall on the right boundary are counted in the class interval, while values that fall on the left boundary are not counted (with the exception of the first interval where values on both boundaries are included). Figure 2.62 d. Compare the two graphs: i. Answers may vary. Possible answers include: ▪ Both graphs have a single peak. ▪ Both graphs use class intervals with width equal to $50. ii. Answers may vary. Possible answers include: ▪ The couples graph has a class interval with no values. ▪ It takes almost twice as many class intervals to display the data for couples. iii. Answers may vary. Possible answers include: The graphs are more similar than different because the overall patterns for the graphs are the same. e. Check student's solution. f. Compare the graph for the Singles with the new graph for the Couples: 160 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS i. ▪ Both graphs have a single peak. ▪ Both graphs display 6 class intervals. ▪ Both graphs show the same general pattern. ii. Answers may vary. Possible answers include: Although the width of the class intervals for couples is double that of the class intervals for singles, the graphs are more similar than they are different. g. Answers may vary. Possible answers include: You are able to compare the graphs interval by interval. It is easier to compare the overall patterns with the new scale on the Couples graph. Because a couple represents two individuals, the new scale leads to a more accurate comparison. h. Answers may vary. Possible answers include: Based on the histograms, it seems that spending does not vary much from singles to individuals who are part of a couple. The overall patterns are the same. The range of spending for couples is approximately double the range for individuals. 79 |
c 81 Answers will vary. 83 a. 1 – (0.02+0.09+0.19+0.26+0.18+0.17+0.02+0.01) = 0.06 b. 0.19+0.26+0.18 = 0.63 c. Check student’s solution. d. 40th percentile will fall between 30,000 and 40,000 80th percentile will fall between 50,000 and 75,000 e. Check student’s solution. 85 a. more children; the left whisker shows that 25% of the population are children 17 and younger. The right whisker shows that 25% of the population are adults 50 and older, so adults 65 and over represent less than 25%. b. 62.4% 87 a. Answers will vary. Possible answer: State University conducted a survey to see how involved its students are in community service. The box plot shows the number of community service hours logged by participants over the past year. b. Because the first and second quartiles are close, the data in this quarter is very similar. There is not much variation in the values. The data in the third quarter is much more variable, or spread out. This is clear because the second quartile is so far away from the third quartile. 89 a. Each box plot is spread out more in the greater values. Each plot is skewed to the right, so the ages of the top 50% of buyers are more variable than the ages of the lower 50%. b. The BMW 3 series is most likely to have an outlier. It has the longest whisker. c. Comparing the median ages, younger people tend to buy the BMW 3 series, while older people tend to buy the BMW 7 series. However, this is not a rule, because there is so much variability in each data set. d. The second quarter has the smallest spread. There seems to be only a three-year difference between the first quartile and the median. e. The third quarter has the largest spread. There seems to be approximately a 14-year difference between the median and the third quartile. f. IQR ~ 17 years g. There is not enough information to tell. Each interval lies within a quarter, so we cannot tell exactly where the data in that quarter is concentrated. This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cn |
x.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 161 h. The interval from 31 to 35 years has the fewest data values. Twenty-five percent of the values fall in the interval 38 to 41, and 25% fall between 41 and 64. Since 25% of values fall between 31 and 38, we know that fewer than 25% fall between 31 and 35. 92 The mean percentage, x¯ = 1328.65 50 = 26.75 94 The median value is the middle value in the ordered list of data values. The median value of a set of 11 will be the 6th number in order. Six years will have totals at or below the median. 96 474 FTES 98 919 100 • mean = 1,809.3 • median = 1,812.5 • • • • standard deviation = 151.2 first quartile = 1,690 third quartile = 1,935 IQR = 245 102 Hint: Think about the number of years covered by each time period and what happened to higher education during those periods. 104 For pianos, the cost of the piano is 0.4 standard deviations BELOW the mean. For guitars, the cost of the guitar is 0.25 standard deviations ABOVE the mean. For drums, the cost of the drum set is 1.0 standard deviations BELOW the mean. Of the three, the drums cost the lowest in comparison to the cost of other instruments of the same type. The guitar costs the most in comparison to the cost of other instruments of the same type. 106 • x¯ = 23.32 • Using the TI 83/84, we obtain a standard deviation of: s x = 12.95. • The obesity rate of the United States is 10.58% higher than the average obesity rate. • Since the standard deviation is 12.95, we see that 23.32 + 12.95 = 36.27 is the obesity percentage that is one standard deviation from the mean. The United States obesity rate is slightly less than one standard deviation from the mean. Therefore, we can assume that the United States, while 34% obese, does not hav e an unusually high percentage of obese people. 108 a. For graph, check student's solution. b. 49.7% of the community is under the age of 35. c. Based on the information in the table, graph (a) most closely represents the data. 110 a 112 b |
113 a. 1.48 b. 1.12 115 162 CHAPTER 2 | DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS a. 174; 177; 178; 184; 185; 185; 185; 185; 188; 190; 200; 205; 205; 206; 210; 210; 210; 212; 212; 215; 215; 220; 223; 228; 230; 232; 241; 241; 242; 245; 247; 250; 250; 259; 260; 260; 265; 265; 270; 272; 273; 275; 276; 278; 280; 280; 285; 285; 286; 290; 290; 295; 302 b. 241 c. 205.5 d. 272.5 e. f. 205.5, 272.5 g. sample h. population i. i. 236.34 ii. 37.50 iii. 161.34 iv. 0.84 std. dev. below the mean j. Young 117 a. True b. True c. True d. False 119 a. b. Check student’s solution. c. mode d. 8628.74 e. 6943.88 f. –0.09 121 a Enrollment Frequency 1000-5000 5000-10000 10000-15000 15000-20000 20000-25000 25000-30000 Table 2.88 10 16 3 3 1 2 This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 3 | PROBABILITY TOPICS 163 3 | PROBABILITY TOPICS Figure 3.1 Meteor showers are rare, but the probability of them occurring can be calculated. (credit: Navicore/flickr) Introduction By the end of this chapter, the student should be able to: Chapter Objectives • Understand and use the terminology of probability. • Determine whether two events are mutually exclusive and whether two events are independent. • Calculate probabilities using the Addition Rules and Multiplication Rules. • Construct and interpret Contingency Tables. • Construct and interpret Venn Diagrams. • Construct and interpret Tree Diagrams. It is often necessary to "guess" about the outcome of an event in order to make a decision. Politicians study polls to guess their likelihood of winning an election. Teachers choose a particular course of study based on what they think students can comprehend. Doctors choose the treatments needed for various diseases based |
on their assessment of likely results. You may have visited a casino where people play games chosen because of the belief that the likelihood of winning is good. You may have chosen your course of study based on the probable availability of jobs. You have, more than likely, used probability. In fact, you probably have an intuitive sense of probability. Probability deals with the chance of an event occurring. Whenever you weigh the odds of whether or not to do your homework or to study for an exam, you are using probability. In this chapter, you will learn how to solve probability problems using a systematic approach. Your instructor will survey your class. Count the number of students in the class today. • Raise your hand if you have any change in your pocket or purse. Record the number of raised hands. 164 CHAPTER 3 | PROBABILITY TOPICS • Raise your hand if you rode a bus within the past month. Record the number of raised hands. • Raise your hand if you answered "yes" to BOTH of the first two questions. Record the number of raised hands. Use the class data as estimates of the following probabilities. P(change) means the probability that a randomly chosen person in your class has change in his/her pocket or purse. P(bus) means the probability that a randomly chosen person in your class rode a bus within the last month and so on. Discuss your answers. • Find P(change). • Find P(bus). • Find P(change AND bus). Find the probability that a randomly chosen student in your class has change in his/her pocket or purse and rode a bus within the last month. • Find P(change|bus). Find the probability that a randomly chosen student has change given that he or she rode a bus within the last month. Count all the students that rode a bus. From the group of students who rode a bus, count those who have change. The probability is equal to those who have change and rode a bus divided by those who rode a bus. 3.1 | Terminology Probability is a measure that is associated with how certain we are of outcomes of a particular experiment or activity. An experiment is a planned operation carried out under controlled conditions. If the result is not predetermined, then the experiment is said to be a chance experiment. Flipping one fair coin twice is an example of an experiment. A result of an experiment is called an outcome. The sample space of an experiment is the set of all possible outcomes. Three ways to represent a sample space |
are: to list the possible outcomes, to create a tree diagram, or to create a Venn diagram. The uppercase letter S is used to denote the sample space. For example, if you flip one fair coin, S = {H, T} where H = heads and T = tails are the outcomes. An event is any combination of outcomes. Upper case letters like A and B represent events. For example, if the experiment is to flip one fair coin, event A might be getting at most one head. The probability of an event A is written P(A). The probability of any outcome is the long-term relative frequency of that outcome. Probabilities are between zero and one, inclusive (that is, zero and one and all numbers between these values). P(A) = 0 means the event A can never happen. P(A) = 1 means the event A always happens. P(A) = 0.5 means the event A is equally likely to occur or not to occur. For example, if you flip one fair coin repeatedly (from 20 to 2,000 to 20,000 times) the relative frequency of heads approaches 0.5 (the probability of heads). Equally likely means that each outcome of an experiment occurs with equal probability. For example, if you toss a fair, six-sided die, each face (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6) is as likely to occur as any other face. If you toss a fair coin, a Head (H) and a Tail (T) are equally likely to occur. If you randomly guess the answer to a true/false question on an exam, you are equally likely to select a correct answer or an incorrect answer. To calculate the probability of an event A when all outcomes in the sample space are equally likely, count the number of outcomes for event A and divide by the total number of outcomes in the sample space. For example, if you toss a fair dime and a fair nickel, the sample space is {HH, TH, HT, TT} where T = tails and H = heads. The sample space has four outcomes. A = getting one head. There are two outcomes that meet this condition {HT, TH}, so P(A) = 2 4 = 0.5. Suppose you roll one fair six-sided die, with the numbers {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} on its faces. Let event E = rolling a number that is at least five. |
There are two outcomes {5, 6}. P(E) = 2 6. If you were to roll the die only a few times, you would not be surprised if your observed results did not match the probability. If you were to roll the die a very large number of times, you of the rolls would result in an outcome of "at least five". You would not expect exactly 2 would expect that, overall, 2 6 6. The long-term relative frequency of obtaining this result would approach the theoretical probability of 2 6 as the number of repetitions grows larger and larger. This important characteristic of probability experiments is known as the law of large numbers which states that as the number of repetitions of an experiment is increased, the relative frequency obtained in the experiment tends to become closer and closer to the theoretical probability. Even though the outcomes do not happen according to any set pattern or This content is available for free at http://textbookequity.org/introductory-statistics or at http://cnx.org/content/col11562/1.16 CHAPTER 3 | PROBABILITY TOPICS 165 order, overall, the long-term observed relative frequency will approach the theoretical probability. (The word empirical is often used instead of the word observed.) It is important to realize that in many situations, the outcomes are not equally likely. A coin or die may be unfair, or biased. Two math professors in Europe had their statistics students test the Belgian one Euro coin and discovered that in 250 trials, a head was obtained 56% of the time and a tail was obtained 44% of the time. The data seem to show that the coin is not a fair coin; more repetitions would be helpful to draw a more accurate conclusion about such bias. Some dice may be biased. Look at the dice in a game you have at home; the spots on each face are usually small holes carved out and then painted to make the spots visible. Your dice may or may not be biased; it is possible that the outcomes may be affected by the slight weight differences due to the different numbers of holes in the faces. Gambling casinos make a lot of money depending on outcomes from rolling dice, so casino dice are made differently to eliminate bias. Casino dice have flat faces; the holes are completely filled with paint having the same density as the material that the dice are made out of so that each face is equally likely to occur. Later we will learn techniques to use to work with probabilities for events that are not equally likely. |
"OR" Event: An outcome is in the event A OR B if the outcome is in A or is in B or is in both A and B. For example, let A = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5} and B = {4, 5, 6, 7, 8}. A OR B = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8}. Notice that 4 and 5 are NOT listed twice. "AND" Event: An outcome is in the event A AND B if the outcome is in both A and B at the same time. For example, let A and B be {1, 2, 3, 4, 5} and {4, 5, 6, 7, 8}, respectively. Then A AND B = {4, 5}. The complement of event A is denoted A′ (read "A prime"). A′ consists of all outcomes that are NOT in A. Notice that P(A) + P(A′) = 1. For example, let S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} and let A = {1, 2, 3, 4}. Then, A′ = {5, 6}. P(A) = 4 6, P(A′) = 2 6, and P(A) + P(A′) = 4 6 + 2 6 = 1 The conditional probability of A given B is written P(A|B). P(A|B) is the probability that event A will occur given that the event B has already occurred. A conditional reduces the sample space. We calculate the probability of A from the reduced sample space B. The formula to calculate P(A|B) is P(A|B) = P(AANDB) where P(B) is greater than zero. P(B) For example, suppose we toss one fair, six-sided die. The sample space S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}. Let A = face is 2 or 3 and B = face is even (2, 4, 6). To calculate P(A|B), we count the number of outcomes 2 or 3 in the sample space B = {2, 4, 6}. Then we divide that by the number of outcomes B (rather than S). We get the same result by using the formula. Remember that S has six outcomes. P(A|B) = P(AANDB) P |
(B) = (the number of outcomes that are 2 or 3 and even inS) 6 (the number of outcomes that are even inS Understanding Terminology and Symbols It is important to read each problem carefully to think about and understand what the events are. Understanding the wording is the first very important step in solving probability problems. Reread the problem several times if necessary. Clearly identify the event of interest. Determine whether there is a condition stated in the wording that would indicate that the probability is conditional; carefully identify the condition, if any. Example 3.1 The sample space S is the whole numbers starting at one and less than 20. a. S = _____________________________ Let event A = the even numbers and event B = numbers greater than 13. b. A = _____________________, B = _____________________ c. P(A) = _____________, P(B) = ________________ d. A AND B = ____________________, A OR B = ________________ e. P(A AND B) = _________, P(A OR B) = _____________ f. A′ = _____________, P(A′) = _____________ 166 CHAPTER 3 | PROBABILITY TOPICS g. P(A) + P(A′) = ____________ h. P(A|B) = ___________, P(B|A) = _____________; are the probabilities equal? Solution 3.1 a. S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19} b. A = {2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12, 14, 16, 18}, B = {14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19} c. P(A) = 9 19, P(B) = 6 19 d. A AND B = {14,16,18}, A OR B = 2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19} e. P(A AND B) = 3 19, P(A OR B) = 12 19 f. A′ = 1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 13, 15, 17, 19; P(A′) = 10 19 g. P(A) + P(A′) = 1 ( |
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