genelab-benchmark / RESULTS_SUMMARY.md
jang1563's picture
Publication quality fixes: RESULTS_SUMMARY.md
094ea52 verified

GeneLab_benchmark — Results Summary

Generated: 2026-03-01 (Updated: 2026-03-29 — v5 biological interpretation added)


v4 Phase 1: Multi-Method Evaluation (256 evaluations)

Scope: 8 tissues x 8 classifiers x 4 feature types = 256 evaluations

Classifiers

PCA-LR, ElasticNet-LR, Random Forest, XGBoost, SVM-Linear, SVM-RBF, TabNet, LightGBM

Feature Types

Gene (log2-normalized), Hallmark (ssGSEA), KEGG (ssGSEA), Pathway-combined

Best Results per Tissue

Tissue Best AUROC Method Feature perm_p Significant
Thymus 0.948 PCA-LR KEGG <0.05 Yes*
Colon 0.921 PCA-LR KEGG <0.05 Yes*
Lung 0.901 PCA-LR Gene <0.05 Yes*
Kidney 0.829 ElasticNet-LR Hallmark <0.01 Yes**
Eye 0.823 PCA-LR Hallmark
Skin 0.819 PCA-LR Gene
Gastrocnemius 0.776 PCA-LR Gene
Liver 0.670 PCA-LR Gene

Classifier Rankings (Gene-level mean across 8 tissues)

Rank Classifier Gene Mean AUROC
1 PCA-LR 0.776
2 ElasticNet-LR 0.762
3 LightGBM ~0.72
4 XGBoost ~0.71
5 Random Forest ~0.70
6 SVM-Linear ~0.69
7 TabNet 0.527
8 SVM-RBF 0.510

Key v4 Findings

  • 40/256 evaluations significant at p<0.05; **6/8** tissues have >=1 significant result
  • PCA-LR best overall; deep learning (TabNet) and kernel methods (SVM-RBF) worst
  • Pathway features improve: kidney (0.584->0.829), thymus (0.908->0.948), eye (0.697->0.823)
  • Gene features better for: skin (0.819), lung (0.901)
  • v4 expanded controls: BC/VC included (liver 261 vs v1's 193 samples)
  • v1 PCA-LR liver AUROC reproduced exactly (0.5870 vs 0.5871) using task folds

v4 Label Encoding

  • Flight/FLT -> 1
  • GC/Ground Control/Ground/Basal/BC/VC/Vivarium -> 0
  • AG (Artificial Gravity) -> excluded

v1 Results (6 tissues, original analysis)

Hypothesis Results

Hypothesis Statement Verdict Key Evidence
H1 Liver has the most consistent cross-mission spaceflight transcriptome REFUTED Thymus(0.860) >> Liver(0.577). Thymus and gastrocnemius Tier 1.
H2 Cross-mission transfer failure from biological diversity, not batch SUPPORTED NES conservation correlates with transfer AUROC (r=0.9 for 5 tissues excl. gastrocnemius; original 4-tissue r=1.0). D3 pathway F1=0.06 (batch-invariant).
H3 Pathway-level preserves spaceflight response better than gene-level CONDITIONALLY SUPPORTED Kidney rescue (0.43→0.74), Eye (0.79→0.92). But liver→thymus anti-predicts (AUROC<0.5). Tissue-pair dependent.

Category B: Cross-Mission Transfer (PCA-LR, AUROC)

Tissue Mean AUROC 95% CI N Missions N Pairs Tier
Thymus 0.860 [0.763, 0.953] 4 12 1
Gastrocnemius 0.801 [0.653, 0.944] 3 6 1
Skin 0.772 [0.691, 0.834] 3 6 2
Eye 0.754 [0.688, 0.838] 3 6 2
Liver 0.577 [0.492, 0.666] 6 30 3
Kidney 0.555 [0.397, 0.681] 3 6 3

Thymus vs Liver Δ = 0.283. Permutation tests: Thymus vs Liver p=0.001, Gastro vs Liver p=0.048, Skin vs Liver p=0.032.

Category A Detection Significance (BH-FDR corrected)

Tissue AUROC Raw p FDR q Significant?
Skin 0.821 0.002 0.012 Yes
Gastrocnemius 0.824 0.026 0.074 No
Thymus 0.923 0.037 0.074 No
Eye 0.789 0.063 0.095 No
Liver 0.670 0.091 0.109 No
Kidney 0.432 0.281 0.281 No

Note: Only skin survives BH-FDR correction at α=0.05. However, all top-4 tissues have AUROC > 0.7 (GO threshold). High AUROC with modest significance reflects small fold counts (3-4 folds per tissue), not weak signal.


Category C: Cross-Tissue Transfer (3 Methods, AUROC)

Pair Method A (Gene) Method B (DEG) Method C (Pathway) Best
C1 liver→kidney 0.730 [0.62, 0.83] 0.441 NS 0.483 NS A
C2 liver→gastro 0.563 NS 0.676* 0.867 [0.72, 0.98] C
C3 liver→thymus 0.350 NS 0.621* 0.184 (anti) B
C4 thymus→kidney 0.585 NS 0.539 NS 0.690 [0.58, 0.79] C

H3 test: Method C wins 2/4 pairs (C2, C4). C vs A mean diff = -0.001 (essentially tied overall).


Category D: Condition/Confounder Prediction (macro-F1)

Task Tissue N Gene F1 Gene p Pathway F1 Pathway p Interpretation
D3 Mission ID (6-class) Liver 264 1.000 [1.00, 1.00] <0.001 0.056 [0.04, 0.07] NS 1.0 Perfect batch separation (gene); batch-invariant (pathway)
D4 Strain (2-class) Thymus 34 0.892 [0.48, 1.00] 0.004 0.817 [0.47, 1.00] 0.015 Strain detectable even from GC-only samples. EXPLORATORY (n_minority=3)
D5 Hardware RR vs MHU Liver 264 1.000 [1.00, 1.00] <0.001 0.386 [0.36, 0.41] NS 1.0 Perfect gene separation; collinear with D3 (hardware derived from mission)
D5 Hardware RR vs MHU Thymus 92 1.000 [1.00, 1.00] <0.001 0.352 [0.31, 0.39] NS 1.0 Perfect gene separation; collinear with D3
D6 Gravity (3-class) Liver 9 0.886 0.002 0.413 NS 0.354 uG separable from gene expression
D6 Gravity (3-class) Thymus 9 0.657 0.037 0.641 (p=0.052) 0.052 Gene ≈ Pathway for gravity detection

Confounder Hierarchy

D3 (mission F1=1.0) >= D5 (hardware F1=1.0, collinear) >= D4 (strain F1=0.89, exploratory n=3)
All pathway F1 ≈ 0.05-0.41 → pathways resist confounder detection (batch-invariant)

Key insight: D5 hardware prediction is perfect but collinear with D3 — hardware type (RR vs MHU) is a deterministic function of mission ID. D5 F1 should be interpreted as an upper bound of D3, not independent evidence. D4 strain effect is detectable but exploratory (minority class n=3).


J5: Gene-level vs Pathway-level Comparison (12 tasks)

Category A — Spaceflight Detection (LOMO, AUROC)

Tissue Gene Pathway Diff (P-G) Winner
Liver 0.670 0.574 -0.096 Gene
Gastrocnemius 0.824 0.688 -0.137 Gene
Kidney 0.432 0.743 +0.311 Pathway
Thymus 0.923 0.879 -0.044 Gene
Eye 0.789 0.915 +0.125 Pathway

Mean diff (Cat A): +0.032 (essentially tied)

Across All Categories

Category N Gene wins Pathway wins Mean diff
A (Detection) 5 3 2 +0.032
C (Cross-tissue) 4 2 2 -0.001
D (Condition, D3+D6 original) 3 3 0 -0.478
D (Condition, full D3-D6) 6 6 0 -0.462
Total (original 12) 12 8 4 -0.106
Total (expanded 15) 15 11 4 -0.174

Note: D4/D5 all show gene >> pathway, consistent with D3/D6 pattern. Pathways systematically resist confounder/batch detection.


NES Conservation vs Cross-Mission Transfer

Tissue NES Mean r Transfer AUROC N fGSEA missions
Thymus 0.619 0.860 3
Eye 0.335 0.754 3
Skin 0.147 0.772 3
Liver 0.059 0.577 6
Gastrocnemius 0.057 0.801* 2
Kidney 0.048 0.555 3

*Gastrocnemius outlier: only 2/3 missions have fGSEA data (RR-5 no DGE). †Skin: RR-7 DGE absent; fGSEA on RR-6, MHU-2_dorsal (GLDS-238), MHU-2_femoral (GLDS-239) only. Excluding gastrocnemius: rank-order correlation for 5 tissues (thymus/eye/skin/liver/kidney) Spearman r = 0.9 (skin NES rank 3rd vs transfer rank 2nd — partial outlier). Original 4-tissue finding (thymus/eye/liver/kidney, excl gastrocnemius) maintains perfect rank concordance (Spearman r = 1.0).


Biological Validation (fGSEA Hallmark, all tissues PASS)

Tissue Top Differentially Enriched Pathways (FLT vs GC) Consistency
Liver OXIDATIVE_PHOSPHORYLATION, FATTY_ACID_METABOLISM Literature-concordant (direction varies by mission)
Thymus E2F_TARGETS, G2M_CHECKPOINT, IFN-gamma Thymocyte proliferation
Gastrocnemius OXIDATIVE_PHOSPHORYLATION, MYOGENESIS Muscle metabolism (direction varies by mission)
Kidney MTORC1_SIGNALING, CHOLESTEROL_HOMEOSTASIS Renal metabolism
Eye OXIDATIVE_PHOSPHORYLATION (dominant 3/3 missions) Retina metabolic demand
Skin E2F_TARGETS, G2M_CHECKPOINT, EPITHELIAL_MESENCHYMAL_TRANSITION Cell proliferation + ECM remodeling (2/3 missions consistent)

Note: "Top Differentially Enriched" = highest |NES| across missions. Enrichment direction (up/down in spaceflight) may vary by mission for liver and gastrocnemius due to mission-specific biological variability. See individual fGSEA result files in processed/fgsea/ for per-mission NES values and directions.


Tier 2: Geneformer (Mouse-GF) vs Classical Baseline

Mouse-Geneformer (6L BERT, 56K mouse gene vocab, pretrained on 30M scRNA-seq cells) fine-tuned on bulk RNA-seq LOMO folds (10 epochs, batch=16, lr=2e-5, freeze=4/6 layers).

Task Tissue Geneformer AUROC Baseline AUROC Baseline Model Delta Winner
A1 Liver 0.486 ± 0.074 0.588 LR ElasticNet -0.102 Baseline
A2 Gastrocnemius 0.382 ± 0.054 0.907 LR ElasticNet -0.525 Baseline
A3 Kidney 0.452 ± 0.080 0.521 LR ElasticNet -0.069 Baseline
A4 Thymus 0.495 ± 0.233 0.923 PCA-50 + LogReg -0.428 Baseline
A5 Skin 0.557 ± 0.087 0.821 LR ElasticNet -0.265 Baseline
A6 Eye 0.484 ± 0.117 0.789 PCA-50 + LogReg -0.305 Baseline
Mean 6 tissues 0.476 0.758 -0.283 Baseline

Interpretation: Classical ML wins 6/6 tissues (sign test p=0.016). Geneformer performs near chance level (0.5) on small-n bulk RNA-seq (train n=30-100). This is consistent with literature — foundation models pretrained on single-cell data do not automatically transfer to small-sample bulk transcriptomics tasks.

Note: Table shows best baseline per tissue for fair comparison. Publication figures use unified PCA-LR baseline (mean 0.743) for cross-figure consistency with Category A/B results.


Tier 2: scGPT (whole_human) vs Classical Baseline

scGPT-whole_human (12L Transformer, 512d hidden, 8 heads, pretrained on 33M human CellXGene cells) fine-tuned on mouse bulk RNA-seq LOMO folds via ENSMUSG→human gene symbol ortholog mapping. Training: 10 epochs, batch=8, lr=1e-4, freeze=10/12 layers (flash_attn disabled for PyTorch 2.1 compatibility).

Note on reliability: Folds with n_test ≤ 8 (MHU-1 thymus, RR-9 gastro) produce highly variable AUROC estimates and should be interpreted with caution. Large-n folds (RR-8 liver n=103, RR-7 kidney n=94, RR-7 skin n=30) are most reliable.

Task Tissue scGPT AUROC Geneformer AUROC Baseline AUROC Δ vs GF Δ vs Baseline Winner
A1 Liver 0.628 ± 0.283 0.486 0.588 +0.142 +0.040 scGPT
A2 Gastrocnemius 0.685 ± 0.305 0.432 0.801 +0.253 -0.116 Baseline
A3 Kidney 0.556 ± 0.195 0.432 0.538 +0.124 +0.018 scGPT
A4 Thymus 0.782 ± 0.172 0.476 0.923 +0.306 -0.141 Baseline
A5 Skin 0.691 ± 0.050 0.532 0.821 +0.159 -0.130 Baseline
A6 Eye 0.650 ± 0.141 0.478 0.789 +0.172 -0.139 Baseline
Mean 6 tissues 0.666 0.476 0.758 +0.190 -0.092 Baseline

Interpretation: Classical ML wins 5/6 tissues vs scGPT (sign test p=0.109, ns). scGPT outperforms Geneformer by +0.190 AUROC across all tissues, suggesting human-pretrained 12L transformer captures more transferable features than mouse-specific 6L BERT. However, both FMs remain below classical ML baseline (scGPT: -0.092, Geneformer: -0.283), confirming that pretrained single-cell FMs do not transfer reliably to small-n bulk transcriptomics. The performance gap narrows but does not close: Classical ML 6/6 > both FMs.

Key observation: scGPT shows higher variance (std=0.05–0.31) than Geneformer (std=0.05–0.23), partly reflecting ortholog mapping noise from human pretraining. Large-n reliable folds (liver RR-8 n=103: 0.468; kidney RR-7 n=94: 0.557; skin n=30–39: 0.636–0.737) suggest scGPT hovers near chance (0.5) on the most statistically robust estimates.

Results file: evaluation/scgpt_whole_human_all_tissues_summary.json


Held-Out Evaluation: A4 Thymus (OSD-515 / RR-23)

Reserved held-out test set for external benchmark evaluation. Train on 4 missions (MHU-1, MHU-2, RR-6, RR-9; n=67), test on RR-23 (n=16: 7 Flight, 9 GC). 27,541 common genes.

Model AUROC 95% CI p-value
LR ElasticNet 0.905 [0.672, 1.000] 0.005
Random Forest 0.905 [0.672, 1.000] 0.007
PCA-50 + LogReg 0.873 [0.609, 1.000] 0.011
Geneformer (Mouse-GF) 0.556 [0.265, 0.850]

Interpretation: Classical baselines achieve strong held-out performance (AUROC ~0.90, p<0.01), confirming thymus cross-mission generalization beyond LOMO. Geneformer remains near chance on held-out data, consistent with LOMO results (0.495). The held-out confirms thymus as the most robust tissue for spaceflight detection.


Tier 3: LLM Zero-Shot Classification

Three LLMs tested on zero-shot text-based spaceflight detection (no training, gene expression → text prompt → binary prediction).

Model A1 Liver A2 Gastro A3 Kidney A4 Thymus A5 Skin A6 Eye Mean
PCA-LR (ref) 0.670 0.824 0.432 0.923 0.821 0.789 0.743
DeepSeek-V3 0.435 0.514 0.495 0.421 0.467 0.492 0.471
Gemini-2.5-Flash 0.523 0.438 0.494 0.602 0.580 0.393 0.505
Llama-3.3-70B 0.527 0.544 0.440 0.533 0.451 0.407 0.484

Interpretation: All 3 LLMs perform at chance level (mean 0.47–0.51). Text-based reasoning cannot replace numerical ML for transcriptomics classification. Protein-coding gene filter was applied to reduce prompt noise.


Multi-DB Pathway Comparison (LOMO, PCA-LR)

Tissue Hallmark KEGG Reactome MitoCarta Best DB Range
Thymus 0.879 0.899 0.922 0.846 Reactome 0.076
Gastro 0.688 0.713 0.755 0.627 Reactome 0.128
Skin 0.690 0.754 0.693 0.542 KEGG 0.212
Eye 0.915 0.625 0.658 0.478 Hallmark 0.437
Liver 0.574 0.639 0.614 0.555 KEGG 0.084
Kidney 0.743 0.665 0.779 0.641 Reactome 0.138

Key findings:

  • DB choice > model choice (AUROC range up to 0.437 for Eye)
  • No single DB dominates: Reactome best for 3 tissues, KEGG for 2, Hallmark for 1
  • MitoCarta consistently worst (specialized → low coverage)

Temporal & Biological Covariates

T1: ISS-T vs LAR Sacrifice Timing

Question: Can sacrifice timing (ISS-Terminal vs Live Animal Return) be detected from transcriptomics?

Confound warning (DD-18): ISS-T = RNAlater on-orbit, LAR = standard necropsy. Preservation method confounds biological timing.

Sub-task Condition Gene AUROC Pathway AUROC n
T1a RR-6 liver FLT 1.000 0.960 20
GC (baseline) 0.922 0.778 19
T1b RR-8 liver FLT 0.930 0.920 35
GC (baseline) 0.973 0.993 35
T1c RR-6 thymus FLT 0.857 0.714 NS 17
GC (baseline) 0.925 1.000 18

Verdict: GC AUROC ≥ FLT AUROC in most cases → ISS-T vs LAR difference dominated by preservation artifact, not biological timing. Cross-mission transfer (T1d) confirms: artifact is consistent across RR-6↔RR-8 (FLT gene AUROC 0.97–0.99, GC gene 0.84–0.96).

T2: LAR Recovery Signature

Mission PCA Recovery R Pathways Recovering FLT_LAR flight_prob
RR-6 0.842 (partial) 12/26 0.185 (strong)
RR-8 0.652 (stronger) 25/27 (overshoot) 0.404 (moderate)

RR-8 shows strong recovery with overshoot past baseline (MYC targets V1 +2.49, Protein secretion +2.14). RR-6 shows immune rebound (IFN-α -2.36, Inflammatory -2.54).

T3: Age × Spaceflight Interaction (RR-8 Liver)

Comparison Gene AUROC Pathway AUROC n
T3a: Overall OLD vs YNG 0.985 0.851 141
T3d: Spaceflight in OLD 0.945 [0.846, 1.00] 0.879 34
T3d: Spaceflight in YNG 0.679 [0.479, 0.86] 0.716 36
Delta (OLD - YNG) +0.266 +0.163

Verdict: "Spaceflight amplifies aging" SUPPORTED (Δ=+0.266). T3c ANOVA: 0/50 significant Age×Spaceflight interactions at FDR<0.05 (underpowered, n=10/cell).


J2: DGE Pipeline Comparison

Question: Does the choice of DGE pipeline (DESeq2 vs edgeR vs limma-voom) affect downstream results?

Scope: 9 missions (6 liver + 3 thymus) × 3 pipelines = 27 DGE runs. Skin excluded (RR-7 has no raw counts).

Metric Mean Min Max
Log2FC Spearman 0.926 0.790 1.000
Log2FC Pearson 0.895 0.706 1.000
DEG Jaccard (FDR<0.05) 0.600 0.000 1.000
GeneLab Replication 0.707 9 missions

Key findings:

  • Fold-change rankings are highly conserved across all three pipelines (Spearman 0.926)
  • DEG list overlap varies by pipeline stringency: limma-voom most liberal, edgeR most conservative
  • RR-3 liver: 0 DEGs across all pipelines (n=6+6, true biological null — GeneLab also found only 1 DEG)
  • RR-1 edgeR: 0 DEGs due to conservative multiple testing correction, but log2FC correlation >0.95 with DESeq2
  • GeneLab replication (our binary FLT-vs-GC vs GeneLab's multi-level contrasts): moderate agreement (Spearman 0.707) reflects different design matrices, not pipeline error

Verdict: Rankings consistent, DEG lists vary by stringency threshold. Pipeline choice has moderate impact on DEG calls but minimal impact on gene-level effect size rankings — consistent with J1 (pipeline version comparison).


Held-Out Evaluation: A5 Skin (OSD-254 / RR-7)

Second held-out test set. Train on 2 missions (RR-6, MHU-2; n=72), test on RR-7 (n=30: 10 Flight, 20 GC). 20,110 common genes. RR-7 is a 75-day mission (longest in skin dataset).

Model AUROC 95% CI p-value
LR ElasticNet 0.885 [0.745, 0.986] <0.001
PCA-50 + LogReg 0.840 [0.679, 0.963] 0.001
Random Forest 0.777 [0.583, 0.929] 0.007

Cross-Tissue Held-Out Comparison:

Tissue Mission Duration Best AUROC n_test
Thymus RR-23 30 days 0.905 (LR) 16
Skin RR-7 75 days 0.885 (LR) 30

Interpretation: Skin held-out confirms strong generalization (AUROC 0.885, p<0.001), exceeding the LOMO mean (0.821). Both held-out tissues achieve AUROC > 0.85, validating cross-mission spaceflight detection beyond leave-one-out evaluation.


Pipeline Status

Component Files Status
fGSEA 80 (6 tissues × missions × 4 DBs incl. MitoCarta) Complete
GSVA 88 (6 tissues × missions × 4 DBs, skin+thymus MHU-1) Complete
Category A 6 tissues, PCA-LR LOMO Complete
Category B 6 tissues, bootstrap CI + permutation Complete
Category C 4 pairs × 3 methods Complete
Category D D3 + D4 + D5×2 + D6×2 (6 tasks) Complete
J5 15 comparisons Complete
NES Conservation 6 tissues × 4 DBs Complete
Multi-DB LOMO 24 runs (6 tissues × 4 DBs) Complete
NC1/NC2 Permutation + housekeeping controls Complete
Cell 2020 5 tissues pathway validation Complete
Geneformer 6 tissues, 22 LOMO folds (Mouse-GF) Complete
scGPT 6 tissues, 21 LOMO folds (whole_human), mean AUROC=0.666 Complete
LLM Zero-Shot 3 providers × 6 tasks (18 evals) Complete
Held-Out A4 Thymus (RR-23) + A5 Skin (RR-7) Complete
T1-T3 Temporal ISS-T/LAR, Recovery, Age×Spaceflight Complete
J2 DGE Pipeline 9 missions × 3 pipelines (DESeq2/edgeR/limma-voom) Complete
v1 Figures 4 main + 4 supplementary (HTML/SVG) Complete
v2 E1-E3 Cross-species NES, duration effect, cfRNA origin Complete
v2 F1 I4 PBMC cell-type fGSEA (10 types × 50 pathways) Complete
v2 Figures 3 integrated main figures (D3.js v7) Complete
RRRM-1 scRNA 4 tissues (blood/eye/muscle/skin), 38K cells, annotated Complete

v3 Results Summary

Foundation Model Comparison (7 tissues)

Model Liver Gastro Kidney Thymus Eye Lung Colon Mean
PCA-LR 0.670 0.824 0.432 0.923 0.789 0.758
scGPT 0.628 0.685 0.556 0.782 0.650 0.667
scFoundation 0.635** 0.691* 0.541 0.487 0.563 0.389 0.755 ~0.58
UCE (seeded) 0.459 0.578 0.489 0.632* 0.550 0.555 0.449 ~0.53
Geneformer 0.486 0.382 0.452 0.495 0.484 0.476

*p<0.05, **p<0.01. All FMs underperform PCA-LR baseline.

RRRM-2 scRNA-seq (F5)

Tissue Best Cell Type AUROC Significance
PBMC NK cell 0.845* p<0.001
PBMC T cell 0.752* p<0.001
Spleen B cell 0.562*** p<0.001
Bone marrow All 14 types 0.27-0.54 No signal

Spatial Visium (F3, Brain OSD-352)

  • Negative result: Section AUROC=0.139, Animal AUROC=0.444
  • PC1 (42.5%) = slide batch effect, not spaceflight condition
  • Brain = genuine negative for spaceflight classification

Cross-Tissue Transfer (B_ext, 7x7 = 42 pairs)

  • Method A (gene) range: 0.35-0.80, liver->kidney best (0.73)
  • Method C (pathway) range: 0.43-0.87, liver->gastro best (0.87)

v4 Pipeline Status

Component Status
Phase 1: 256 evaluations (8 tissues × 8 methods × 4 features) Complete
Phase 2: Ablation studies (569 evals: feature count, PCA dims, sample size, bootstrap) Complete
Phase 3: Friedman LOMO-6 meta-analysis (chi2=17.333, p=0.015) Complete
Phase 4: SHAP multi-method interpretability Complete
Phase 5: Python WGCNA (6 tissues), module preservation, STRING PPI enrichment Complete
Phase 7: Publication figures (6 main + 5 supplementary HTML) Complete
Phase 8: Manuscript preparation In Progress

v5 Biological Interpretation

Immune Deconvolution (mMCP-counter, 8 tissues)

Tissue Significant Cell Types (FDR<0.05) Strongest Signal
Skin 6/14 Fibroblasts↑FLT, NK cells↑FLT
Kidney 2/14
Thymus 2/14
Liver, Gastro, Eye, Lung, Colon 0/14 No signal

Direction convention: positive Cliff's delta = higher in Flight vs. Ground.

Cross-Organ Signaling (OmniPath)

  • 111 intercell-filtered ligand–receptor pairs (9 strict, 102 broad)
  • 1 SHAP-active L–R pair identified
  • TF activity (CollecTRI + decoupler ULM): thymus 240 sig, skin 241, kidney 177, liver 105

Metabolic Flux (iMM1865 E-Flux + pFBA)

Tissue FLT objective GC objective Difference
Thymus 15,695 14,696 999 (largest)
Liver 16,510 16,110 400
Gastrocnemius varies
Kidney, Eye, Skin varies

E-Flux normalized to [0,1] range; pFBA used to resolve LP degeneracy.

Drug Target Mapping (DGIdb v5 + ChEMBL)

  • 834 WGCNA/SHAP consensus spaceflight genes → mouse→human ortholog mapping
  • 271/834 (32.5%) human orthologs have known drug interactions (DGIdb)
  • 1,284 FDA-approved drug–gene interactions (Tier 1)
  • 200 investigational drug–gene interactions (Tier 3)
  • Thymus most druggable tissue (24.8%); 45 WGCNA modules enriched

Consensus Biomarker Panel (20 genes)

Scoring: SHAP rank (0–4) + WGCNA module membership (0–3) + multi-tissue (0–2) + druggability (0–1) + statistical significance (0–2)

Top Genes Score Notes
MUP22 5 Liver/skin WGCNA hub, SHAP top
Thrsp / THRSP 5 Metabolic hub
Apoa1 5 Liver SHAP + WGCNA
NPAS2 4 Circadian clock, gastro+skin modules
PER2 4 Circadian clock

Panel validation AUROC: gastro 0.806, liver 0.754, eye 0.728, colon 0.75, skin 0.70