text
stringlengths 1
711
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|---|
04/08/23
|
05/06/23
|
Sales Volume Pricing
|
Source: NielsenIQ. J.P. Morgan
|
The latest tracked channel data point to Neutrogenas dollar takeaway improving with
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consumption up +5.8% (pricing up +11.2%, volume down -4.9%) in the latest five-week
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period ending May 6 and compares to dollar takeaway down -10.0% (pricing +0.5%,
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volume -10.5%) in the prior period. As mentioned, this is a sequential acceleration from
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the 12-week period ending 4/1/23 where the data shows that dollar takeaway was up
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+4.4% (pricing was up +8.6% while volume was down -3.9%), and this too was a
|
sequential improvement from consumption slightly down (-0.3%, broken out into
|
pricing up +8.2% but volume down -7.8%) in the 12-week period ending 12/31/22.
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Looking at longer term trends, four-year CAGR consumption was down -2.2% in the
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12-week period ending 12/31/22 and decelerated to -3.1% in the 12-week period ending
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4/01 but was less negative (down -1.8%) in the five-week period ending 5/06.
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This document is being provided for the exclusive use of DAVID WANG at MARLOWE PARTNERS LP.
|
48
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Andrea Teixeira, CFA AC
|
(1-212) 622-6735
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andrea.f.teixeira@jpmorgan.com
|
North America Equity Research
|
29 May 2023 J P M O R G A N
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Figure 69: $ Takeaway in Tracked Channels - Neutrogena
|
Rolling 12W Period Ending 5/06
|
-30.0%
|
-20.0%
|
-10.0%
|
0.0%
|
10.0%
|
20.0%
|
30.0%
|
01/16/21
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02/13/21
|
03/13/21
|
04/10/21
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05/08/21
|
06/05/21
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07/03/21
|
07/31/21
|
08/28/21
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09/25/21
|
10/23/21
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11/20/21
|
12/18/21
|
01/15/22
|
02/12/22
|
03/12/22
|
04/09/22
|
05/07/22
|
06/04/22
|
07/02/22
|
07/30/22
|
08/27/22
|
09/24/22
|
10/22/22
|
11/19/22
|
12/17/22
|
01/14/23
|
02/11/23
|
03/11/23
|
04/08/23
|
05/06/23
|
Sales Volume Pricing
|
Source: NielsenIQ. J.P. Morgan
|
The most recent tracked channel data shows that Band Aids dollar takeaway was up
|
+7.2%, with pricing (+16.8%) being the main driver, while volume was down -8.3%,
|
which improved from both consumption up +3.2% (pricing +12.1%, volume -7.9%) for
|
the 12-week period ending 4/1/23 and flat (-0.2%, pricing up +11.4% but volume down
|
-10.4%) in the 12-week period ending 12/31/22. The brands four-year CAGR for
|
consumption was up +4.1% in the 12-week period ending 12/31/22, +3.8% in the 12-
|
week period ending 4/01, and +4.8% in the five-week period ending 5/06.
|
Figure 70: $ Takeaway in Tracked Channels - Band Aid
|
Rolling 12W Period Ending 5/06
|
-15.0%
|
-10.0%
|
-5.0%
|
0.0%
|
5.0%
|
10.0%
|
15.0%
|
20.0%
|
01/16/21
|
02/13/21
|
03/13/21
|
04/10/21
|
05/08/21
|
06/05/21
|
07/03/21
|
07/31/21
|
08/28/21
|
09/25/21
|
10/23/21
|
11/20/21
|
12/18/21
|
01/15/22
|
02/12/22
|
03/12/22
|
04/09/22
|
05/07/22
|
06/04/22
|
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