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Health &
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Beauty,
|
29.1%
|
Essential
|
Health,
|
30.6%
|
2022
|
Source: Company reports.
|
Figure 4: KVUE 2025E Revenue Mix
|
Self
|
Care,
|
41.7%
|
Skin
|
Health &
|
Beauty,
|
29.7%
|
Essential
|
Health,
|
28.7%
|
2025E
|
Source: J.P. Morgan estimates.
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Figure 5: KVUE Category Sales Mix
|
% of FY22 Sales
|
COUGH, COLD AND
|
ALLERGY, 12%
|
PAIN CARE, 11%
|
OTHER SELF CARE
|
(DIGESTIVE HEALTH,
|
SMOKING
|
CESSATION AND
|
OTHER), 15%
|
FACE AND BODY
|
CARE, 22%
|
HAIR, SUN AND
|
OTHER, 8%
|
ORAL CARE, 11%
|
BABY CARE, 10%
|
OTHER ESSENTIAL
|
HEALTH (WOMEN'S
|
HEALTH AND
|
WOUND CARE), 11%
|
Source: Company reports.
|
Figure 6: KVUE Geographic Sales Mix
|
% of FY22 Sales
|
NORTH AMERICA,
|
50%
|
EMEA, 21%
|
ASIA PACIFIC,
|
21%
|
LATIN AMERICA, 8%
|
Source: Company reports.
|
This document is being provided for the exclusive use of DAVID WANG at MARLOWE PARTNERS LP.
|
9
|
Andrea Teixeira, CFA AC
|
(1-212) 622-6735
|
andrea.f.teixeira@jpmorgan.com
|
North America Equity Research
|
29 May 2023 J P M O R G A N
|
Bottom up, the companys $369 billion TAM consists of:
|
• $114 billion in Self Care categories (e.g., analgesics, gastrointestinals,
|
dermatologicals, cough & cold, lifestyle CHC, allergy, eye care, smoking control)
|
• $217 billion in Skin Health & Beauty categories (e.g., conditioners and treatments,
|
hair loss treatment, shampoos, medicated shampoos, skin care, adult sun care)
|
• $38 billion in Essential Health categories (e.g., baby and child products ex-wipes,
|
mouthwash/dental rinses, sanitary protection ex-U.S./Canada/China, wound care)
|
Figure 7: KVUE TAM Build
|
$ bn
|
$369
|
$114
|
$217
|
$38
|
$0
|
$50
|
$100
|
$150
|
$200
|
$250
|
$300
|
$350
|
$400
|
Self Care Skin Health & Beauty Essential Health Total
|
Source: Company reports.
|
Figure 8: TAM Mix by Category vs. KVUE Revenue Mix
|
31%
|
59%
|
10%
|
40%
|
29% 31%
|
0%
|
10%
|
20%
|
30%
|
40%
|
50%
|
60%
|
70%
|
Self Care Skin Health & Beauty Essential Health
|
% of TAM % of KVUE 2022 Sales
|
Source: Company reports.
|
Growth across the categories has been broad based over the past three years with a
|
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