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Goods prices have tended to fall over time, but they fell particularly sharply during 2012 after a significant strengthening of the krona. | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | negative |
However, the rate of price increase on goods became gradually less negative in 2013 and has been close to an historical average so far in 2014. | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | neutral |
This development is also to some extent linked to the weakening of the exchange rate recently. | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | neutral |
In September, the annual rate fell to −1.0 per cent (see Figure 3:24). | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | negative |
The rate of increase in services prices amounted on average to around 2 per cent a year between the years 2008 and 2012, but slowed down considerably during 2013. | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | neutral |
The downturn was clear in most services price groups. | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | negative |
In September, the annual rate of increase was 0.9 per cent. | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | neutral |
(see Figure 3:24). | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | neutral |
Several factors have contributed to the low rate of inflation Demand and resource utilisation have been lower than normal after the global financial crisis and have thus contributed to low price mark-ups being low, both in Sweden and abroad. | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | neutral |
The slower global demand has also contributed to energy prices developing weakly in recent years, which has affected the development of inflation in Sweden. | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | negative |
Moreover, food commodity prices fell in 2013, which has contributed to food prices in the consumer sector increasing slowly for some time. | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | neutral |
It is assessed that the surprisingly low inflation outcome is only to a limited extent due to temporary effects. | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | neutral |
The assessment is thus that inflation will remain low during the final quarter of 2014. | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | neutral |
The krona has weakened over the past year and import prices in the producer channel have increased in recent months. | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | negative |
At the same time, however, fuel prices have fallen, food prices are increasing only slightly in the CPI and underlying measures do not show any upturn in inflation (see Figure 3.25). | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | neutral |
Well-anchored inflation expectations in the long term | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_title | null | null | null | neutral |
According to surveys from the National Institute of Economic Research and TNS Sifo Prospera, inflation expectations have fallen in recent years. | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | neutral |
The TNS Sifo Prospera quarterly survey of money market agents, social partners and purchasing managers in trade and industry from September showed that inflation expectations for one year ahead were at 0.8 per cent, two years ahead were 1.4 per cent and five years ahead were at 1.8 per cent (see Figure 3:26). | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | neutral |
All in all, this means in principle that inflation expectations are unchanged in relation to those published in June. | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | neutral |
In the monthly survey, in which only money market agents are interviewed, inflation one and two years ahead were marginally higher. | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | neutral |
Expectations five years ahead were marginally higher for the second consecutive month and amounted to 1.8 per cent. | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | positive |
According to the Economic Tendency Survey of the National Institute of Economic Research for September, the households' inflation expectations one year ahead were at 0.0 per cent in August (see Figure 3:27). | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | neutral |
In the most recent quarterly Economic Tendency Survey for July, corporate sector expectations regarding inflation one year ahead were 0.7 per cent. | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | neutral |
The historical expectations covary with actual inflation and the prevailing expectations are not lower than is justified by the actual rate of inflation. | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | neutral |
Inflation expectations five years ahead also covary with actual inflation, although to a lesser extent than expectations in the shorter term. | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | neutral |
Expectations five years' ahead, which are 1.8 per cent according to TNS Sifo Prospera's quarterly survey, are in line with what is compatible with the actual level of inflation. | 28/10/2014 | Oct-14 | par_body | null | null | null | neutral |
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