Datasets:

lewisyw
/

footalytics-settled-predictions

kickoff_utc stringlengths 24 24	league stringclasses 6 values	home stringlengths 4 29	away stringlengths 4 25	p_home float64 0.23 0.64	p_draw float64 0.22 0.28	p_away float64 0.14 0.51	pick stringclasses 2 values	home_goals int64 0 6	away_goals int64 0 5	hit_1x2 bool 2 classes	brier float64 0.19 1.01
2026-10-26T20:00:00.000Z	esp.1	Sevilla	Osasuna	0.432	0.273	0.295	home	2	0	true	0.4842
2026-10-26T20:00:00.000Z	esp.1	Sevilla	Osasuna	0.407	0.276	0.317	home	2	0	true	0.5283
2026-10-26T19:30:00.000Z	fra.1	Paris Saint-Germain	Lyon	0.559	0.246	0.196	home	2	0	true	0.2934
2026-10-26T19:30:00.000Z	fra.1	Paris Saint-Germain	Olympique Lyonnais	0.554	0.247	0.199	home	2	0	true	0.2995
2026-10-25T20:00:00.000Z	esp.1	Barcelona	Real Madrid	0.386	0.277	0.337	home	1	2	false	0.6653
2026-10-25T19:45:00.000Z	ita.1	Udinese	AC Milan	0.28	0.271	0.449	away	0	2	true	0.4554
2026-10-25T17:30:00.000Z	esp.1	Real Sociedad	Levante	0.468	0.268	0.264	home	2	1	true	0.4245
2026-10-25T17:00:00.000Z	ita.1	Lecce	Juventus	0.322	0.276	0.402	away	0	2	true	0.5375
2026-10-25T17:00:00.000Z	ita.1	US Lecce	Juventus	0.356	0.278	0.366	away	0	2	true	0.606
2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z	ger.1	SC Freiburg	Bayern Munich	0.264	0.268	0.469	away	1	3	true	0.4235
2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z	eng.1	Sunderland	Leeds United	0.398	0.277	0.326	home	0	0	false	0.7874
2026-10-25T16:15:00.000Z	fra.1	Olympique de Marseille	Le Havre AC	0.421	0.274	0.304	home	4	3	true	0.5027
2026-10-25T16:15:00.000Z	fra.1	Toulouse	ES Troyes AC	0.407	0.276	0.317	home	0	0	false	0.7903
2026-10-25T16:15:00.000Z	fra.1	Angers	Lorient	0.284	0.272	0.445	away	0	0	false	0.8087
2026-10-25T16:15:00.000Z	fra.1	Stade Rennais	Strasbourg	0.453	0.27	0.276	home	3	0	true	0.4483
2026-10-25T16:15:00.000Z	fra.1	AJ Auxerre	Le Mans	0.47	0.267	0.262	home	1	1	false	0.8268
2026-10-25T16:15:00.000Z	fra.1	Toulouse	Troyes	0.496	0.262	0.242	home	0	0	false	0.8492
2026-10-25T16:15:00.000Z	fra.1	Marseille	Le Havre AC	0.524	0.255	0.221	home	4	3	true	0.3404
2026-10-25T15:15:00.000Z	esp.1	Celta Vigo	Real Betis	0.365	0.278	0.357	home	0	0	false	0.782
2026-10-25T15:15:00.000Z	esp.1	Celta de Vigo	Real Betis Balompié	0.39	0.277	0.333	home	0	0	false	0.7857
2026-10-25T14:30:00.000Z	ger.1	TSG Hoffenheim	Bayer Leverkusen	0.27	0.269	0.462	away	3	0	false	0.8187
2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z	eng.1	Manchester United	AFC Bournemouth	0.357	0.278	0.365	away	0	3	true	0.608
2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z	ita.1	Atalanta	Frosinone	0.386	0.277	0.337	home	4	4	false	0.7853
2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z	fra.1	AS Monaco	Lille	0.439	0.272	0.289	home	1	1	false	0.8062
2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z	eng.1	Liverpool	Brighton & Hove Albion	0.496	0.262	0.242	home	2	0	true	0.3812
2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z	fra.1	Monaco	Lille OSC	0.421	0.274	0.304	home	1	1	false	0.7967
2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z	ita.1	Genoa CFC	Venezia	0.413	0.275	0.312	home	1	0	true	0.5175
2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z	ita.1	Genoa	Venezia	0.426	0.274	0.3	home	1	0	true	0.4946
2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z	eng.1	Hull City	Brentford	0.277	0.27	0.453	away	1	1	false	0.8148
2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z	eng.1	Crystal Palace	Newcastle United	0.315	0.276	0.409	away	0	2	true	0.5247
2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z	esp.1	Athletic Club	Getafe	0.447	0.271	0.282	home	4	0	true	0.4588
2026-10-25T11:30:00.000Z	ita.1	Internazionale Milano	ACF Fiorentina	0.539	0.251	0.209	home	2	1	true	0.3192
2026-10-25T11:30:00.000Z	ita.1	Internazionale	Fiorentina	0.598	0.233	0.17	home	2	1	true	0.2448
2026-10-24T19:00:00.000Z	esp.1	Atlético Madrid	Deportivo	0.554	0.247	0.199	home	1	0	true	0.2995
2026-10-24T19:00:00.000Z	esp.1	Club Atlético de Madrid	Deportivo La Coruña	0.477	0.266	0.257	home	1	0	true	0.4103
2026-10-24T18:45:00.000Z	fra.1	Racing Club de Lens	Paris	0.362	0.278	0.36	home	2	1	true	0.6139
2026-10-24T18:45:00.000Z	ita.1	Lazio	Parma Calcio 1913	0.459	0.269	0.271	home	2	1	true	0.4385
2026-10-24T18:45:00.000Z	fra.1	Lens	Paris FC	0.411	0.275	0.313	home	2	1	true	0.5205
2026-10-24T18:45:00.000Z	ita.1	Lazio	Parma	0.583	0.238	0.179	home	2	1	true	0.2626
2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z	ger.1	Borussia Dortmund	Eintracht Frankfurt	0.49	0.263	0.246	home	1	0	true	0.3898
2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z	eng.1	Chelsea	Tottenham Hotspur	0.473	0.267	0.261	home	0	2	false	0.8411
2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z	esp.1	Valencia	Villarreal	0.356	0.278	0.366	away	1	2	true	0.606
2026-10-24T16:00:00.000Z	ita.1	Napoli	Roma	0.456	0.27	0.274	home	3	3	false	0.8159
2026-10-24T16:00:00.000Z	ita.1	Napoli	AS Roma	0.364	0.278	0.358	home	3	3	false	0.7819
2026-10-24T14:15:00.000Z	esp.1	Real Racing Club de Santander	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	0.39	0.277	0.333	home	2	1	true	0.5597
2026-10-24T14:15:00.000Z	esp.1	Racing Santander	Espanyol	0.44	0.272	0.288	home	2	1	true	0.4705
2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z	eng.1	Coventry City	Fulham	0.398	0.277	0.326	home	0	1	false	0.6894
2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z	eng.1	Arsenal	Everton	0.578	0.239	0.183	home	2	0	true	0.2687
2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z	ger.1	Mainz	Werder Bremen	0.475	0.266	0.259	home	2	3	false	0.8455
2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z	ger.1	FC Cologne	Schalke 04	0.348	0.278	0.374	away	0	0	false	0.7823
2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z	ger.1	1. FSV Mainz 05	SV Werder Bremen	0.407	0.276	0.317	home	2	3	false	0.7083
2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z	ger.1	SC Paderborn 07	Hamburg SV	0.387	0.277	0.336	home	1	0	true	0.5654
2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z	ger.1	FC Augsburg	1. FC Union Berlin	0.449	0.271	0.28	home	1	1	false	0.8114
2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z	ger.1	RB Leipzig	SV Elversberg	0.429	0.274	0.297	home	4	0	true	0.4893
2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z	ita.1	Como 1907	US Sassuolo Calcio	0.436	0.273	0.291	home	2	0	true	0.4773
2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z	ita.1	Cagliari	Bologna	0.459	0.269	0.272	home	0	2	false	0.813
2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z	ita.1	Como	Sassuolo	0.539	0.251	0.209	home	2	0	true	0.3192
2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z	esp.1	Rayo Vallecano	Elche	0.473	0.267	0.26	home	0	3	false	0.8426
2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z	eng.1	Aston Villa	Manchester City	0.296	0.273	0.43	away	2	1	false	0.755
2026-10-23T19:00:00.000Z	esp.1	Deportivo Alavés	Málaga	0.413	0.275	0.312	home	1	1	false	0.7935
2026-10-23T19:00:00.000Z	esp.1	Alavés	Málaga	0.442	0.272	0.286	home	1	1	false	0.8071
2026-10-23T19:00:00.000Z	eng.1	Ipswich Town	Nottingham Forest	0.383	0.277	0.339	home	1	1	false	0.7843
2026-10-23T18:45:00.000Z	fra.1	Brest	Nice	0.418	0.275	0.307	home	1	2	false	0.7306
2026-10-23T18:45:00.000Z	ita.1	Torino	Monza	0.425	0.274	0.301	home	3	2	true	0.4963
2026-10-23T18:45:00.000Z	fra.1	Stade Brestois 29	OGC Nice	0.407	0.276	0.317	home	1	2	false	0.7083
2026-10-23T18:30:00.000Z	ger.1	VfB Stuttgart	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.555	0.247	0.198	home	2	3	false	1.0122
2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z	uefa.champions	Real Madrid	RB Leipzig	0.579	0.239	0.182	home	4	1	true	0.2675
2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z	uefa.champions	Aston Villa	Viking FK	0.451	0.271	0.279	home	3	1	true	0.4527
2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z	uefa.champions	Sporting CP	LASK Linz	0.484	0.265	0.252	home	2	3	false	0.864
2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z	uefa.champions	Internazionale	Shakhtar Donetsk	0.557	0.246	0.197	home	1	0	true	0.2956
2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z	uefa.champions	Real Betis	Feyenoord Rotterdam	0.402	0.276	0.322	home	1	0	true	0.5375
2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z	uefa.champions	Club Brugge	Lens	0.465	0.268	0.267	home	3	0	true	0.4293
2026-10-21T19:00:00.000Z	uefa.champions	Bayern Munich	Arsenal	0.423	0.274	0.303	home	2	2	false	0.7978
2026-10-21T18:00:00.000Z	esp.1	Levante	Athletic Club	0.341	0.277	0.382	away	3	1	false	0.6569
2026-10-21T16:45:00.000Z	uefa.champions	Lille	Galatasaray	0.412	0.275	0.313	home	2	4	false	0.7173
2026-10-21T16:45:00.000Z	uefa.champions	Como	Manchester United	0.5	0.261	0.239	home	4	1	true	0.3752
2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z	uefa.champions	FC Porto	PSV Eindhoven	0.432	0.273	0.295	home	0	1	false	0.7582
2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z	uefa.champions	AS Roma	Slovan Bratislava	0.525	0.255	0.22	home	4	0	true	0.339
2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z	uefa.champions	Manchester City	AEK Athens	0.576	0.24	0.184	home	5	1	true	0.2712
2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z	uefa.champions	Paris Saint-Germain	Barcelona	0.393	0.277	0.33	home	4	2	true	0.5541
2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z	uefa.champions	Liverpool	Villarreal	0.578	0.239	0.183	home	4	3	true	0.2687
2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z	uefa.champions	Napoli	Bodo/Glimt	0.451	0.271	0.279	home	4	3	true	0.4527
2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z	uefa.champions	VfB Stuttgart	Atlético Madrid	0.343	0.277	0.379	away	1	1	false	0.784
2026-10-20T16:45:00.000Z	uefa.champions	Fenerbahce	Slavia Prague	0.488	0.264	0.248	home	2	2	false	0.8413
2026-10-20T16:45:00.000Z	uefa.champions	Sabah FK	Borussia Dortmund	0.356	0.278	0.366	away	1	2	true	0.606
2026-10-19T19:00:00.000Z	esp.1	Getafe	Rayo Vallecano	0.372	0.278	0.35	home	1	1	false	0.7822
2026-10-19T19:00:00.000Z	eng.1	Tottenham Hotspur	Coventry City	0.432	0.273	0.295	home	3	1	true	0.4842
2026-10-19T18:45:00.000Z	ita.1	Parma	Torino	0.378	0.278	0.345	home	0	3	false	0.6492
2026-10-19T16:30:00.000Z	ita.1	Monza	Cagliari	0.35	0.278	0.372	away	4	0	false	0.6382
2026-10-18T19:00:00.000Z	esp.1	Real Madrid	Sevilla	0.634	0.219	0.147	home	4	1	true	0.2035
2026-10-18T18:45:00.000Z	fra.1	Lyon	Nice	0.519	0.257	0.224	home	2	1	true	0.3476
2026-10-18T18:45:00.000Z	ita.1	Juventus	Lazio	0.422	0.274	0.304	home	0	3	false	0.7376
2026-10-18T16:30:00.000Z	esp.1	Málaga	Real Sociedad	0.347	0.278	0.375	away	2	5	true	0.5883
2026-10-18T16:00:00.000Z	ita.1	AC Milan	Atalanta	0.443	0.272	0.285	home	3	2	true	0.4655
2026-10-18T15:30:00.000Z	ger.1	Borussia Mönchengladbach	TSG Hoffenheim	0.385	0.277	0.338	home	1	2	false	0.6632
2026-10-18T15:30:00.000Z	eng.1	Nottingham Forest	Arsenal	0.241	0.262	0.497	away	0	1	true	0.3797
2026-10-18T15:15:00.000Z	fra.1	Lorient	AS Monaco	0.361	0.278	0.361	home	1	0	true	0.6159
2026-10-18T15:15:00.000Z	fra.1	Paris FC	Stade Rennais	0.408	0.276	0.316	home	4	3	true	0.5265
2026-10-18T15:15:00.000Z	fra.1	Le Havre AC	AJ Auxerre	0.354	0.278	0.368	away	1	3	true	0.602
2026-10-18T14:15:00.000Z	esp.1	Celta Vigo	Alavés	0.417	0.275	0.308	home	2	1	true	0.5104

End of preview. Expand in Data Studio

Footalytics Settled Predictions

Public mirror of Footalytics' settled AI football (soccer) 1X2 predictions — the same free CSV served at footalytics.farvor.com/api/public/accuracy/settled.csv, also mirrored on GitHub at footalytics/footalytics-data.

Every prediction was published before kickoff and is graded automatically after the match. Nothing is filtered and nothing is retro-edited: misses stay in the file. The live grading board is at footalytics.farvor.com/accuracy.

File

data/settled-predictions.csv — one row per graded official prediction:

column	meaning
`kickoff_utc`	scheduled kickoff time (ISO 8601, UTC)
`league`	competition code (`eng.1`, `esp.1`, `ita.1`, `ger.1`, `fra.1`, `uefa.champions`, …)
`home`, `away`	team names
`p_home`, `p_draw`, `p_away`	model probabilities for the three 1X2 outcomes
`pick`	the official pick: `home`, `draw` or `away`
`home_goals`, `away_goals`	official final score
`hit_1x2`	`true` if the pick matched the actual outcome
`brier`	Brier score, multiclass sum over the three outcomes (0 = perfect, ≈0.667 = uniform guess)

Notes for analysis

The model currently never picks draws; treat draw probabilities as calibration data, not picks.
Coverage began 2026-10-17 and grows match by match; early sample sizes are small.
If you use the data, cite it — and if you find an error in the grading, open an issue on the GitHub mirror; grading is mechanical (final score → row settled) but we want errors on the record.