Datasets:

lfqian
/

Annulus-Economic-Benchmark

input stringlengths 1.22k 1.29k	gold dict
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "E", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "A", "outside": "B" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "E", "outside": "D" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "E", "outside": "A" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "C", "outside": "B" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "E" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "D" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "A" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "A", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "C", "outside": "D" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "E" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "A", "outside": "B" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "A" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "E" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "E", "outside": "A" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "A" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "A", "outside": "B" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "E", "outside": "B" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "B" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "E", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "E" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "A", "outside": "B" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "C", "outside": "D" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "C", "outside": "D" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "A", "outside": "E" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "C", "outside": "B" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "A" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "A" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "C", "outside": "A" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "A", "outside": "E" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "E" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "A" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "A" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "A" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "A", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "E" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "A" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "E" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "A" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "E" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "A", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "E", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "A", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "E" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "A", "outside": "B" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "A", "outside": "D" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "E", "outside": "A" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "C", "outside": "D" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "E", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "C", "outside": "E" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "E", "outside": "B" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "B" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "A", "outside": "E" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "E", "outside": "B" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "A" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "E", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "D" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "A", "outside": "B" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "C", "outside": "B" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "E", "outside": "D" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "C", "outside": "E" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "E", "outside": "D" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "E", "outside": "D" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "A" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "E", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "E" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "E" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "E", "outside": "A" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "E" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "E", "outside": "B" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "B" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "D" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "C", "outside": "B" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "E" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "A", "outside": "B" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "D" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "A", "outside": "E" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "E", "outside": "A" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "E", "outside": "A" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "A", "outside": "D" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "A", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "C", "outside": "A" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "E", "outside": "D" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "B", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "E" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "C" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "D", "outside": "E" }
Choose the complete response that best reflects your own knowledge boundary. Recall: if the fact is within your knowledge boundary, answer it; if it is beyond your boundary, state that it falls after your knowledge horizon and you cannot recall its outcome. Predict: if the outcome is within your knowledge boundary, sta...	{ "inside": "C", "outside": "A" }

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Annulus Economic Benchmark

Annulus Economic Benchmark contains three tasks built from economic statistical series: self-reported knowledge boundaries, historical value recall, and retrospective monthly forecasts. All model-facing prompts are in English. This release contains 14,040 fact records and 50,220 questions.

Coverage

Component	Target periods	Facts per period	Task 1 per period	Task 2 per period	Task 3 per period
Annual	1990–2022, inclusive	180	360	180	—
Monthly	January 2023–September 2026, inclusive	180	360	180	180

The annual component contains 5,940 facts and 17,820 questions. The monthly component contains 8,100 facts and 32,400 questions. Across both components, Task 1 has 28,080 questions, Task 2 has 14,040, and Task 3 has 8,100. The annual and monthly panels differ; within a monthly target period, the three tasks use the same country–indicator objects.

Tasks

Task 1 examines whether a model claims to know an outcome or treats it as a forecast. Task 2 checks recall of the recorded value. Task 3 elicits probabilities for the next month's direction of change.

Task 1 — Self-reported knowledge boundary. Each fact produces a recall question and a prediction question. The choices distinguish factual answers, inability to recall an outcome outside the model’s knowledge, and prediction rather than claimed prior knowledge. Gold labels are conditional on the inside or outside boundary condition. A reference month, year, or advertised model cutoff does not by itself establish whether a particular fact is inside a model’s knowledge. Users must specify their boundary-assignment protocol when reporting Task 1 scores.

Task 2 — Historical value recall. Each question asks for one economic indicator's value for a specified annual or monthly reference period, with four numerical answer choices. The model selects the recorded value, rounded to two decimal places as stated in the question. Task 2 contains 14,040 ordinary factual-recall questions: 180 per annual target year and 180 per target month from 2023 onward. The reference period does not establish the value's first-publication date or the complete information set available at that time.

Task 3 — Monthly forecast. The forecast date is the end of the preceding month. The model predicts whether the target month’s statistical value will increase, remain unchanged, or decrease relative to the preceding month. It must return a probability for every labelled choice, summing to one, and a short reason. These are retrospective forecast questions with recorded outcomes, not a claim that the historical information available at each forecast date has been fully reconstructed.

Sources and construction

The data are constructed from frozen statistical-table downloads from the Bank for International Settlements, World Bank WDI and GEM, OECD, and national statistical or central-bank publications. The release includes 50 verified supplemental observations, with source provenance and any quotation conversions retained in the evidence. Supplements include explicitly identified attributed sources where an official original was inaccessible. Source values are used to construct numerical choices, factual-recall answers, and forecast outcomes.

Five topics were replaced only in September 2026 to use available published outcomes while preserving the regional counts: Japan CPI → Japan long-term government bond yield; UK CPI → UK long-term government bond yield; South Africa CPI → Kenya policy rate; Morocco CPI → Nigeria policy rate; and Algeria CPI → Ghana policy rate. These substitutions are recorded in the release metadata and should be considered when comparing September with earlier months.

Two-column evaluation table

Select the task and target year together under Subset, for example task1_1990, task2_1990 or task3_2026. Split is always test. Every displayed row has exactly two top-level columns:

Column	Content	Use
`input`	The complete prompt as a plain text string, including instructions, the question and labelled options.	Pass this string directly to the model.
`gold`	The reference answer for that same row.	Read only for offline scoring.

Task 1's gold is an object with the existing inside and outside option letters. Select the condition according to your boundary-evaluation protocol; the release does not guess a model-specific knowledge boundary from a date. Task 2's gold is the option letter for the correct numerical value. Task 3's gold is the observed outcome's option letter; its input still requests a probability distribution and a reason. Task 3's mapping from option letters to directions is retained in each input, so a particular letter must not be assumed always to mean an increase or decrease.

Task 1 and Task 2 each have 37 task/year configurations, covering 1990–2026. Task 3 has task3_2023, task3_2024, task3_2025 and task3_2026. There are 78 configurations in total, each with one test split. Years are configurations rather than split names so that the Dataset Viewer does not encounter dozens of nonstandard splits. The month remains written in each monthly question.

Validation and limitations

Numerical values, derived answers, and export consistency have been checked against the frozen source records and documented supplements. The release has not undergone a complete item-by-item semantic review or a full LLM rewriting pass; the questions are generated deterministically from the statistical records.

The source snapshots may contain revisions and are not historical real-time vintages. First-publication dates have not been comprehensively verified. Reference-period labels and evaluation dates must not be treated as public-release dates: annual series may follow fiscal-year reporting conventions, and a December 31 grouping date does not establish a release date. Monthly interest-rate observations are not all month-end rates; each series retains its stated measurement basis. Supplemented exchange-rate observations retain their quotation basis, transformations, and effective precision.

The dataset provides prompts, outcomes, and provenance for evaluation. This release does not include model-evaluation results or establish a model’s actual knowledge state from calendar dates alone.

Loading and running

from datasets import load_dataset

ds = load_dataset(
    "lfqian/Annulus-Economic-Benchmark",
    "task1_1990",
    split="test",
    token=False,
)

row = ds[0]
prompt = row["input"]  # Plain text: pass this directly to your model.
gold = row["gold"]     # Keep separate for offline scoring.

The prompts are in English. Task 2 now uses four-option value-recall questions built from the existing fact records. The two-column projection contains all 50,220 benchmark questions.

Auxiliary files

The full annotation tables under data/{task}/year_YYYY.parquet retain IDs, metadata and source evidence. The corresponding viewer/{task}/year_YYYY.parquet tables contain only input and gold, in exactly the same row order.

The optional evaluation/{task}/{year}/input.jsonl and gold.jsonl pairs retain IDs for batch runners that join results by ID. Task 2 IDs use {fact_id}/state. The data/facts and model_inputs folders retain the underlying fact records and prompt-only copies. These auxiliary files are not additional tasks, Dataset Viewer configurations, or benchmark questions. Earlier Task 2 versions remain available in the Hugging Face repository's version history.

metadata/release.json records counts, task/year configurations, regional quotas, topic substitutions, validation status and the hashes of numerical audit reports. metadata/alignments.jsonl connects tasks by object and target period. metadata/evaluation_pairs.json lists the optional JSONL pairs. metadata/panels.json describes the sources, and metadata/checksums.json binds the public files. See source notices for attribution and reuse status.

Language

All model-facing instructions, questions, and answer choices are in English. The underlying source values and provenance are preserved. Quoted source excerpts in the auxiliary evidence retain their original language.

Option and prompt revision (2026-10-22)

Task 1 uses complete knowledge-state statements of comparable length. Numerical distractors use randomized truth ranks and unequal random distances, rather than a fixed arithmetic progression. All three tasks shuffle options independently per question; question order is shuffled within each task/year. Gold letters and all input/gold exports are updated together. Task 3 specifies the JSON fields without sample probability values and requests a brief reason based on information at the forecast origin. The seed is recorded in metadata/release.json for reproduction. Source observations, answers, periods and question counts are unchanged. Earlier gold letters must not be reused.

Monthly coverage

Each month from January 2023 through September 2026 contains 180 distinct country–indicator objects: 180 fact records, 360 Task 1 questions (180 Recall and 180 Predict), 180 Task 2 questions and 180 Task 3 questions. The additional panel uses complete BIS month-end exchange rates and policy rates and OECD monthly market interest rates. Every added item retains its source snapshot, SHA-256, CSV row, unit and reference period. Shared euro exchange-rate records are excluded; identical benchmark-rate paths are counted once among added candidates. No outcome-direction balancing is applied. All answer labels follow the independently shuffled displayed options.

Monthly regional counts are Africa: 22, Oceania: 8, South America: 16, Asia: 53, Europe: 64, North America: 17. This allocation prioritizes complete official source coverage over exact regional proportionality.

FinDendro recipe replica (2026-10-24)

This independently reconstructed version follows the paper recipe. It is not the original author sample or original model results.

Reference year	Facts per year	Prompts per year
1999–2020	48	240
2021–2024	204	1,020
2025	204	1,020
2026 (January–September)	153	765
Total	2,229	11,145

The sample includes 1,356 macroeconomic facts, 540 stock-price facts and 333 Federal Reserve policy facts. The real observation pool contains 20,130 records. Each fact has five conditions: value, recall, predict, recall_asof, predict_asof.

Use the findendro_recipe config for all 11,145 browsable prompts, findendro_facts for the 2,229 sampled facts, or findendro_recipe_YYYY for one reference year. Existing configurations and the repository's default remain available.

from datasets import load_dataset
prompts = load_dataset("lfqian/Annulus-Economic-Benchmark", "findendro_recipe", split="test")
year_2025 = load_dataset("lfqian/Annulus-Economic-Benchmark", "findendro_recipe_2025", split="test")

For model evaluation use findendro_recipe_replica/20261024/evaluation/YYYY/input.jsonl; factual answer mappings are separately stored in gold.jsonl. Viewer Parquet files include answer keys for browsing, and should not be passed wholesale to models. Knowledge claims are decoded separately from factual correctness; no ground-truth internal knowledge label is invented.

Years follow the fact's reference month. January as-of prompts intentionally specify December 31 of the preceding year. All question/fact/gold joins and yearly partitions passed validation.

October 2025 uses three real same-month substitute observations: one-, five-, and thirty-year Treasury yields (GS1, GS5, GS30). They occupy the three missing macro sample slots under their own series IDs. The original October CPIAUCNS, CPILFENS and UNRATENSA observations remain missing; no CPI or unemployment values are fabricated or imputed. The original missingness is documented by BLS CPI and BLS CPS. This explicit substitution extends the paper recipe and is documented in metadata/supplemental_manifest.json and metadata/supplement_check.json.

The persistence-controlled subset contains 1,335 facts and has an aggregate random baseline of approximately 0.2708. All sources, sampling choices, option generation rules and missingness are documented in the version directory. These are real retrieved historical snapshots; original first-release vintages have not been independently verified. Data reuse remains source-dependent.

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