pre_test / *.parquet /mcq_2000.json
lfqian's picture
Fix per-year parquet schema (unify 17 cols, string types) for by_year splits
de9f149 verified
[
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.08%\nB) 0.46%\nC) 5.54%\nD) 3.00%",
"options": [
"A) 8.08%",
"B) 0.46%",
"C) 5.54%",
"D) 3.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.54%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 75.71\nB) 69.83\nC) 71.30\nD) 73.50",
"options": [
"A) 75.71",
"B) 69.83",
"C) 71.30",
"D) 73.50"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "73.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 5.12%",
"options": [
"A) 4.10%",
"B) 4.44%",
"C) 3.08%",
"D) 5.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20000615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 278,005\nB) 294,000\nC) 309,995\nD) 270,008",
"options": [
"A) 278,005",
"B) 294,000",
"C) 309,995",
"D) 270,008"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "294,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.35%\nB) 9.23%\nC) 8.88%\nD) 9.76%",
"options": [
"A) 8.35%",
"B) 9.23%",
"C) 8.88%",
"D) 9.76%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "8.88%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 137.34\nB) 126.88\nC) 133.42\nD) 130.80",
"options": [
"A) 137.34",
"B) 126.88",
"C) 133.42",
"D) 130.80"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "130.80",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.80\nB) 112.72\nC) 110.35\nD) 103.25",
"options": [
"A) 106.80",
"B) 112.72",
"C) 110.35",
"D) 103.25"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "106.80",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 76.48\nB) 74.25\nC) 79.45\nD) 72.02",
"options": [
"A) 76.48",
"B) 74.25",
"C) 79.45",
"D) 72.02"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "74.25",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.34pp\nB) -0.02pp\nC) -0.10pp\nD) -0.18pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.34pp",
"B) -0.02pp",
"C) -0.10pp",
"D) -0.18pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20000615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 11.31%\nB) 10.20%\nC) 10.76%\nD) 9.65%",
"options": [
"A) 11.31%",
"B) 10.20%",
"C) 10.76%",
"D) 9.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "9.65%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20000615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.26%\nB) 7.18%\nC) 5.34%\nD) 6.57%",
"options": [
"A) 6.26%",
"B) 7.18%",
"C) 5.34%",
"D) 6.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.13%\nB) 1.23%\nC) -0.56%\nD) 6.58%",
"options": [
"A) -4.13%",
"B) 1.23%",
"C) -0.56%",
"D) 6.58%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.23%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.60%\nB) 3.40%\nC) 3.80%\nD) 4.20%",
"options": [
"A) 2.60%",
"B) 3.40%",
"C) 3.80%",
"D) 4.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 76.06\nB) 72.33\nC) 78.30\nD) 74.57",
"options": [
"A) 76.06",
"B) 72.33",
"C) 78.30",
"D) 74.57"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "74.57",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 92.15\nB) 96.76\nC) 94.91\nD) 89.39",
"options": [
"A) 92.15",
"B) 96.76",
"C) 94.91",
"D) 89.39"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "92.15",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $212,511M\nB) $199,947M\nC) $187,383M\nD) $195,759M",
"options": [
"A) $212,511M",
"B) $199,947M",
"C) $187,383M",
"D) $195,759M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$199,947M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 104.84\nB) 109.36\nC) 107.10\nD) 101.45",
"options": [
"A) 104.84",
"B) 109.36",
"C) 107.10",
"D) 101.45"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "107.10",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.29pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.19pp\nD) +0.00pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.29pp",
"B) +0.10pp",
"C) +0.19pp",
"D) +0.00pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 16.42%\nC) 12.89%\nD) -1.21%",
"options": [
"A) 5.84%",
"B) 16.42%",
"C) 12.89%",
"D) -1.21%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.84%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20000615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.12%\nB) 6.44%\nC) 6.76%\nD) 7.41%",
"options": [
"A) 6.12%",
"B) 6.44%",
"C) 6.76%",
"D) 7.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.44%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,055B\nB) $4,722B\nC) $4,855B\nD) $5,188B",
"options": [
"A) $5,055B",
"B) $4,722B",
"C) $4,855B",
"D) $5,188B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$4,855B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.41/hr\nB) $13.71/hr\nC) $14.70/hr\nD) $14.13/hr",
"options": [
"A) $14.41/hr",
"B) $13.71/hr",
"C) $14.70/hr",
"D) $14.13/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$14.13/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.90%\nB) 64.89%\nC) 62.89%\nD) 68.91%",
"options": [
"A) 66.90%",
"B) 64.89%",
"C) 62.89%",
"D) 68.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "66.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20000615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) $38.68/bbl\nB) $29.77/bbl\nC) $35.71/bbl\nD) $23.83/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $38.68/bbl",
"B) $29.77/bbl",
"C) $35.71/bbl",
"D) $23.83/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$29.77/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.62pp\nB) +0.23pp\nC) +0.04pp\nD) -0.34pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.62pp",
"B) +0.23pp",
"C) +0.04pp",
"D) -0.34pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+0.04pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.65%\nB) 6.46%\nC) 6.85%\nD) 6.27%",
"options": [
"A) 6.65%",
"B) 6.46%",
"C) 6.85%",
"D) 6.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.27%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 180.00\nB) 174.60\nC) 167.40\nD) 185.40",
"options": [
"A) 180.00",
"B) 174.60",
"C) 167.40",
"D) 185.40"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "180.00",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $7,032B\nB) $7,250B\nC) $7,467B\nD) $7,612B",
"options": [
"A) $7,032B",
"B) $7,250B",
"C) $7,467B",
"D) $7,612B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$7,250B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $293,541M\nB) $256,712M\nC) $270,523M\nD) $279,730M",
"options": [
"A) $293,541M",
"B) $256,712M",
"C) $270,523M",
"D) $279,730M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$270,523M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $183,846M\nB) $200,414M\nC) $205,937M\nD) $192,130M",
"options": [
"A) $183,846M",
"B) $200,414M",
"C) $205,937M",
"D) $192,130M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$192,130M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 64.60%\nB) 66.54%\nC) 63.31%\nD) 61.37%",
"options": [
"A) 64.60%",
"B) 66.54%",
"C) 63.31%",
"D) 61.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "64.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $4,806B\nB) $4,712B\nC) $4,947B\nD) $4,617B",
"options": [
"A) $4,806B",
"B) $4,712B",
"C) $4,947B",
"D) $4,617B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$4,712B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20000615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 116.5666\nB) 109.8689\nC) 106.5200\nD) 113.2177",
"options": [
"A) 116.5666",
"B) 109.8689",
"C) 106.5200",
"D) 113.2177"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "106.5200",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $-35,757M\nB) $-25,357M\nC) $-27,090M\nD) $-30,557M",
"options": [
"A) $-35,757M",
"B) $-25,357M",
"C) $-27,090M",
"D) $-30,557M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$-30,557M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20000615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 6.38%\nC) 5.30%\nD) 6.65%",
"options": [
"A) 5.84%",
"B) 6.38%",
"C) 5.30%",
"D) 6.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.84%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 177.07\nB) 173.60\nC) 168.39\nD) 164.92",
"options": [
"A) 177.07",
"B) 173.60",
"C) 168.39",
"D) 164.92"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "173.60",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $-30,888M\nB) $-25,998M\nC) $-33,333M\nD) $-28,443M",
"options": [
"A) $-30,888M",
"B) $-25,998M",
"C) $-33,333M",
"D) $-28,443M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$-33,333M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.90%\nB) 2.66%\nC) 2.43%\nD) 2.55%",
"options": [
"A) 2.90%",
"B) 2.66%",
"C) 2.43%",
"D) 2.55%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.55%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 92.98\nB) 88.33\nC) 95.77\nD) 90.19",
"options": [
"A) 92.98",
"B) 88.33",
"C) 95.77",
"D) 90.19"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "92.98",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,129B\nB) $6,889B\nC) $6,289B\nD) $6,529B",
"options": [
"A) $7,129B",
"B) $6,889B",
"C) $6,289B",
"D) $6,529B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$6,889B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20000615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 27.25%\nB) 63.11%\nC) 51.16%\nD) 75.07%",
"options": [
"A) 27.25%",
"B) 63.11%",
"C) 51.16%",
"D) 75.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "51.16%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.45%\nB) 6.15%\nC) 2.25%\nD) 4.85%",
"options": [
"A) 7.45%",
"B) 6.15%",
"C) 2.25%",
"D) 4.85%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.85%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 67.30%\nB) 63.93%\nC) 69.32%\nD) 65.95%",
"options": [
"A) 67.30%",
"B) 63.93%",
"C) 69.32%",
"D) 65.95%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "67.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) 5.85%\nC) 6.28%\nD) 5.71%",
"options": [
"A) 6.14%",
"B) 5.85%",
"C) 6.28%",
"D) 5.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.85%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20000615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.03pp\nB) -0.15pp\nC) -0.39pp\nD) -0.27pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.03pp",
"B) -0.15pp",
"C) -0.39pp",
"D) -0.27pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.39pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.94%\nB) -1.98%\nC) -10.75%\nD) -7.83%",
"options": [
"A) 0.94%",
"B) -1.98%",
"C) -10.75%",
"D) -7.83%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-7.83%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.90%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 4.05%\nD) 4.27%",
"options": [
"A) 3.90%",
"B) 3.75%",
"C) 4.05%",
"D) 4.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.85%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.68%",
"options": [
"A) 1.74%",
"B) 1.85%",
"C) 1.96%",
"D) 1.68%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.85%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20000615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.67%\nB) 8.49%\nC) 8.22%\nD) 7.95%",
"options": [
"A) 7.67%",
"B) 8.49%",
"C) 8.22%",
"D) 7.95%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "8.22%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.42%\nB) 7.40%\nC) 8.20%\nD) 8.61%",
"options": [
"A) 9.42%",
"B) 7.40%",
"C) 8.20%",
"D) 8.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "8.61%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20000615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,041,000\nB) 1,998,576\nC) 2,168,272\nD) 2,125,848",
"options": [
"A) 2,041,000",
"B) 1,998,576",
"C) 2,168,272",
"D) 2,125,848"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,041,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20000615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 19.28\nB) 20.68\nC) 17.89\nD) 24.87",
"options": [
"A) 19.28",
"B) 20.68",
"C) 17.89",
"D) 24.87"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "20.68",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 83.85%\nB) 80.56%\nC) 82.20%\nD) 78.91%",
"options": [
"A) 83.85%",
"B) 80.56%",
"C) 82.20%",
"D) 78.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "82.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $279,542M\nB) $286,558M\nC) $258,496M\nD) $269,019M",
"options": [
"A) $279,542M",
"B) $286,558M",
"C) $258,496M",
"D) $269,019M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$269,019M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 3.51%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 3.94%",
"options": [
"A) 3.82%",
"B) 3.51%",
"C) 3.70%",
"D) 3.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.82%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $71,016M\nB) $66,733M\nC) $68,161M\nD) $63,878M",
"options": [
"A) $71,016M",
"B) $66,733M",
"C) $68,161M",
"D) $63,878M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$66,733M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $60,066M\nB) $67,218M\nC) $63,642M\nD) $69,602M",
"options": [
"A) $60,066M",
"B) $67,218M",
"C) $63,642M",
"D) $69,602M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$63,642M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $584M",
"options": [
"A) $6,200,000M",
"B) $2,400,000M",
"C) $4,300,000M",
"D) $584M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$584M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $577M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M",
"options": [
"A) $577M",
"B) $4,300,000M",
"C) $6,200,000M",
"D) $2,400,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$577M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20000615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.39%\nB) 5.93%\nC) 6.11%\nD) 5.75%",
"options": [
"A) 5.39%",
"B) 5.93%",
"C) 6.11%",
"D) 5.75%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.93%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,471K\nB) 1,435K\nC) 1,507K\nD) 1,615K",
"options": [
"A) 1,471K",
"B) 1,435K",
"C) 1,507K",
"D) 1,615K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,507K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,689K\nB) 1,491K\nC) 1,547K\nD) 1,604K",
"options": [
"A) 1,689K",
"B) 1,491K",
"C) 1,547K",
"D) 1,604K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,604K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 171.00\nB) 179.55\nC) 176.13\nD) 165.87",
"options": [
"A) 171.00",
"B) 179.55",
"C) 176.13",
"D) 165.87"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "171.00",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.24pp\nB) -0.30pp\nC) -0.13pp\nD) -0.42pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.24pp",
"B) -0.30pp",
"C) -0.13pp",
"D) -0.42pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 4.18%",
"options": [
"A) 3.88%",
"B) 3.76%",
"C) 4.00%",
"D) 4.18%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.27%\nB) 68.05%\nC) 66.13%\nD) 64.20%",
"options": [
"A) 62.27%",
"B) 68.05%",
"C) 66.13%",
"D) 64.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "64.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,570K\nB) 1,474K\nC) 1,538K\nD) 1,602K",
"options": [
"A) 1,570K",
"B) 1,474K",
"C) 1,538K",
"D) 1,602K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,570K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.11%\nB) 3.97%\nC) 4.82%\nD) 3.68%",
"options": [
"A) 3.11%",
"B) 3.97%",
"C) 4.82%",
"D) 3.68%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.97%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,600K\nB) 1,702K\nC) 1,651K\nD) 1,753K",
"options": [
"A) 1,600K",
"B) 1,702K",
"C) 1,651K",
"D) 1,753K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,651K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.91%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 8.59%\nD) 6.08%",
"options": [
"A) 6.91%",
"B) 3.56%",
"C) 8.59%",
"D) 6.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 131,604K\nB) 128,972K\nC) 135,552K\nD) 138,184K",
"options": [
"A) 131,604K",
"B) 128,972K",
"C) 135,552K",
"D) 138,184K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "131,604K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 2.53%\nC) 2.71%\nD) 2.80%",
"options": [
"A) 2.26%",
"B) 2.53%",
"C) 2.71%",
"D) 2.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.53%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20000615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0462\nB) 0.8598\nC) 0.9530\nD) 1.1083",
"options": [
"A) 1.0462",
"B) 0.8598",
"C) 0.9530",
"D) 1.1083"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.9530",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20000615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) $26.96/bbl\nB) $41.32/bbl\nC) $24.08/bbl\nD) $32.70/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $26.96/bbl",
"B) $41.32/bbl",
"C) $24.08/bbl",
"D) $32.70/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$32.70/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 134.70\nB) 140.18\nC) 129.22\nD) 143.83",
"options": [
"A) 134.70",
"B) 140.18",
"C) 129.22",
"D) 143.83"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "134.70",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.63%\nB) 3.46%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 2.93%",
"options": [
"A) 3.63%",
"B) 3.46%",
"C) 3.98%",
"D) 2.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.46%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 97.59\nB) 107.93\nC) 101.47\nD) 105.35",
"options": [
"A) 97.59",
"B) 107.93",
"C) 101.47",
"D) 105.35"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "101.47",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 111.31\nB) 102.96\nC) 117.57\nD) 107.14",
"options": [
"A) 111.31",
"B) 102.96",
"C) 117.57",
"D) 107.14"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "107.14",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.20\nB) 80.47\nC) 72.95\nD) 77.46",
"options": [
"A) 75.20",
"B) 80.47",
"C) 72.95",
"D) 77.46"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "75.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $14.27/hr\nB) $13.85/hr\nC) $13.16/hr\nD) $13.43/hr",
"options": [
"A) $14.27/hr",
"B) $13.85/hr",
"C) $13.16/hr",
"D) $13.43/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$13.85/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,751B\nB) $7,140B\nC) $7,507B\nD) $8,117B",
"options": [
"A) $7,751B",
"B) $7,140B",
"C) $7,507B",
"D) $8,117B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$7,507B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20000615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.5251\nB) 8.0285\nC) 7.8630\nD) 8.2768",
"options": [
"A) 8.5251",
"B) 8.0285",
"C) 7.8630",
"D) 8.2768"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "8.2768",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20000615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) $4,735B\nB) $5,107B\nC) $4,958B\nD) $4,586B",
"options": [
"A) $4,735B",
"B) $5,107B",
"C) $4,958B",
"D) $4,586B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$4,735B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20000615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 16.01%\nB) 85.48%\nC) 108.64%\nD) 62.32%",
"options": [
"A) 16.01%",
"B) 85.48%",
"C) 108.64%",
"D) 62.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "85.48%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20000615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.85%\nB) 5.52%\nC) 6.05%\nD) 5.78%",
"options": [
"A) 6.85%",
"B) 5.52%",
"C) 6.05%",
"D) 5.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.05%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20000615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 114.63%\nB) 56.26%\nC) 134.08%\nD) 75.71%",
"options": [
"A) 114.63%",
"B) 56.26%",
"C) 134.08%",
"D) 75.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "75.71%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.52%\nB) 5.53%\nC) 6.19%\nD) 7.18%",
"options": [
"A) 6.52%",
"B) 5.53%",
"C) 6.19%",
"D) 7.18%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.52%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 79.78%\nB) 81.41%\nC) 77.34%\nD) 83.85%",
"options": [
"A) 79.78%",
"B) 81.41%",
"C) 77.34%",
"D) 83.85%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "81.41%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20000615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2000-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2000-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 5,003.16\nB) 4,231.55\nC) 3,845.74\nD) 3,459.93",
"options": [
"A) 5,003.16",
"B) 4,231.55",
"C) 3,845.74",
"D) 3,459.93"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3,845.74",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 191.42\nB) 176.83\nC) 187.77\nD) 182.30",
"options": [
"A) 191.42",
"B) 176.83",
"C) 187.77",
"D) 182.30"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "182.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.86%\nB) 8.42%\nC) 8.14%\nD) 8.70%",
"options": [
"A) 7.86%",
"B) 8.42%",
"C) 8.14%",
"D) 8.70%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7.86%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.57%\nB) 5.23%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 5.68%",
"options": [
"A) 6.57%",
"B) 5.23%",
"C) 3.90%",
"D) 5.68%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.23%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 2.30%",
"options": [
"A) 2.19%",
"B) 1.76%",
"C) 1.98%",
"D) 2.30%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.98%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 136,307K\nB) 129,690K\nC) 138,954K\nD) 132,337K",
"options": [
"A) 136,307K",
"B) 129,690K",
"C) 138,954K",
"D) 132,337K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "132,337K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20000301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,686B\nB) $6,843B\nC) $7,000B\nD) $6,530B",
"options": [
"A) $6,686B",
"B) $6,843B",
"C) $7,000B",
"D) $6,530B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$6,686B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20000901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2000",
"info_cutoff": "2000-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.70pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) +0.90pp\nD) +3.51pp",
"options": [
"A) -1.70pp",
"B) -0.40pp",
"C) +0.90pp",
"D) +3.51pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,956.03\nB) 5,606.43\nC) 4,907.24\nD) 5,256.84",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 5,956.03",
"B) 5,606.43",
"C) 4,907.24",
"D) 5,256.84"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4,907.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,956.03\nB) 5,606.43\nC) 4,907.24\nD) 5,256.84",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 5,956.03",
"B) 5,606.43",
"C) 4,907.24",
"D) 5,256.84"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4,907.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,914.24\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 5,662.22\nD) 4,963.03",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 3,914.24",
"B) 4,263.84",
"C) 5,662.22",
"D) 4,963.03"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,963.03",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,914.24\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 5,662.22\nD) 4,963.03",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 3,914.24",
"B) 4,263.84",
"C) 5,662.22",
"D) 4,963.03"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,963.03",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,963.03\nB) 4,613.43\nC) 6,011.82\nD) 3,914.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 4,963.03",
"B) 4,613.43",
"C) 6,011.82",
"D) 3,914.24"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4,963.03",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,963.03\nB) 4,613.43\nC) 6,011.82\nD) 3,914.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 4,963.03",
"B) 4,613.43",
"C) 6,011.82",
"D) 3,914.24"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4,963.03",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,613.43\nB) 4,963.03\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 6,011.82",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 4,613.43",
"B) 4,963.03",
"C) 3,914.24",
"D) 6,011.82"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4,963.03",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,613.43\nB) 4,963.03\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 6,011.82",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 4,613.43",
"B) 4,963.03",
"C) 3,914.24",
"D) 6,011.82"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4,963.03",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 3,914.24\nC) 4,963.03\nD) 4,613.43",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 5,662.22",
"B) 3,914.24",
"C) 4,963.03",
"D) 4,613.43"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4,963.03",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 3,914.24\nC) 4,963.03\nD) 4,613.43",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 5,662.22",
"B) 3,914.24",
"C) 4,963.03",
"D) 4,613.43"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4,963.03",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 4,963.03",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 5,662.22",
"B) 4,263.84",
"C) 3,914.24",
"D) 4,963.03"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,963.03",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 4,963.03",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 5,662.22",
"B) 4,263.84",
"C) 3,914.24",
"D) 4,963.03"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,963.03",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 16.62\nC) 24.92\nD) 23.54",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 20.77",
"B) 16.62",
"C) 24.92",
"D) 23.54"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "20.77",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 16.62\nC) 24.92\nD) 23.54",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 20.77",
"B) 16.62",
"C) 24.92",
"D) 23.54"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "20.77",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 20.77\nC) 24.92\nD) 16.62",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 23.54",
"B) 20.77",
"C) 24.92",
"D) 16.62"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "20.77",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 20.77\nC) 24.92\nD) 16.62",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 23.54",
"B) 20.77",
"C) 24.92",
"D) 16.62"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "20.77",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 18.00\nC) 20.77\nD) 16.62",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 23.54",
"B) 18.00",
"C) 20.77",
"D) 16.62"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "20.77",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 18.00\nC) 20.77\nD) 16.62",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 23.54",
"B) 18.00",
"C) 20.77",
"D) 16.62"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "20.77",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 16.62\nB) 22.15\nC) 23.54\nD) 20.77",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 16.62",
"B) 22.15",
"C) 23.54",
"D) 20.77"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "20.77",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 16.62\nB) 22.15\nC) 23.54\nD) 20.77",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 16.62",
"B) 22.15",
"C) 23.54",
"D) 20.77"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "20.77",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 23.54\nC) 24.92\nD) 19.39",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 20.77",
"B) 23.54",
"C) 24.92",
"D) 19.39"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "20.77",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 23.54\nC) 24.92\nD) 19.39",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 20.77",
"B) 23.54",
"C) 24.92",
"D) 19.39"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "20.77",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 13.76\nB) 16.53\nC) 15.15\nD) 12.38",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 13.76",
"B) 16.53",
"C) 15.15",
"D) 12.38"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "16.53",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min",
"year": 2000
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 13.76\nB) 16.53\nC) 15.15\nD) 12.38",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10",
"info_cutoff": "2000-03-09",
"options": [
"A) 13.76",
"B) 16.53",
"C) 15.15",
"D) 12.38"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "16.53",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak",
"event_date": "2000-03-10",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min",
"year": 2000
}
]