| [ |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20010615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2001-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) $37.70/bbl\nB) $21.75/bbl\nC) $28.13/bbl\nD) $31.32/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $37.70/bbl", |
| "B) $21.75/bbl", |
| "C) $28.13/bbl", |
| "D) $31.32/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$28.13/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.44%\nB) 1.14%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 1.22%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.44%", |
| "B) 1.14%", |
| "C) 1.07%", |
| "D) 1.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20010615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2001-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 5.06%\nC) 4.10%\nD) 3.78%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.74%", |
| "B) 5.06%", |
| "C) 4.10%", |
| "D) 3.78%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.74%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.88%\nB) 7.71%\nC) 8.23%\nD) 7.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.88%", |
| "B) 7.71%", |
| "C) 8.23%", |
| "D) 7.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "7.71%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 71.45\nB) 78.29\nC) 76.01\nD) 73.73", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 71.45", |
| "B) 78.29", |
| "C) 76.01", |
| "D) 73.73" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "76.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 190.24\nB) 175.46\nC) 179.16\nD) 184.70", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 190.24", |
| "B) 175.46", |
| "C) 179.16", |
| "D) 184.70" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "184.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.80\nB) 92.41\nC) 71.19\nD) 85.34", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 81.80", |
| "B) 92.41", |
| "C) 71.19", |
| "D) 85.34" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "81.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20010615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2001-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,836,648\nB) 2,939,000\nC) 2,734,295\nD) 3,143,705", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,836,648", |
| "B) 2,939,000", |
| "C) 2,734,295", |
| "D) 3,143,705" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,939,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 126,113K\nB) 136,734K\nC) 132,751K\nD) 130,096K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 126,113K", |
| "B) 136,734K", |
| "C) 132,751K", |
| "D) 130,096K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "132,751K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.00pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.30pp\nD) -0.10pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.00pp", |
| "B) -0.40pp", |
| "C) -0.30pp", |
| "D) -0.10pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,562K\nB) 1,628K\nC) 1,595K\nD) 1,661K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,562K", |
| "B) 1,628K", |
| "C) 1,595K", |
| "D) 1,661K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,562K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 72.80\nB) 75.06\nC) 78.81\nD) 77.31", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 72.80", |
| "B) 75.06", |
| "C) 78.81", |
| "D) 77.31" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "75.06", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20010615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2001-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.01%\nB) 5.53%\nC) 5.27%\nD) 4.76%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.01%", |
| "B) 5.53%", |
| "C) 5.27%", |
| "D) 4.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.27%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $62,258M\nB) $54,034M\nC) $59,517M\nD) $58,146M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $62,258M", |
| "B) $54,034M", |
| "C) $59,517M", |
| "D) $58,146M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$58,146M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,355B\nB) $4,978B\nC) $5,104B\nD) $5,732B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $5,355B", |
| "B) $4,978B", |
| "C) $5,104B", |
| "D) $5,732B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,355B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $173,832M\nB) $164,123M\nC) $149,560M\nD) $168,977M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $173,832M", |
| "B) $164,123M", |
| "C) $149,560M", |
| "D) $168,977M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$164,123M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20010615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2001-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 17.86\nB) 27.76\nC) 22.81\nD) 21.16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.86", |
| "B) 27.76", |
| "C) 22.81", |
| "D) 21.16" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "22.81", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.43%\nB) -2.17%\nC) 2.35%\nD) -1.04%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.43%", |
| "B) -2.17%", |
| "C) 2.35%", |
| "D) -1.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.96pp\nB) -5.06pp\nC) -3.40pp\nD) -4.51pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.96pp", |
| "B) -5.06pp", |
| "C) -3.40pp", |
| "D) -4.51pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.96pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $54,413M\nB) $50,735M\nC) $47,057M\nD) $52,574M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $54,413M", |
| "B) $50,735M", |
| "C) $47,057M", |
| "D) $52,574M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$50,735M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20010615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2001-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 4.28%\nC) 3.52%\nD) 3.90%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.38%", |
| "B) 4.28%", |
| "C) 3.52%", |
| "D) 3.90%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 2.70%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 2.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.44%", |
| "B) 2.70%", |
| "C) 2.36%", |
| "D) 2.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.61%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 67.20%\nB) 62.50%\nC) 69.22%\nD) 65.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 67.20%", |
| "B) 62.50%", |
| "C) 69.22%", |
| "D) 65.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "67.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,339B\nB) $7,007B\nC) $7,505B\nD) $6,841B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $7,339B", |
| "B) $7,007B", |
| "C) $7,505B", |
| "D) $6,841B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$7,007B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.69%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 3.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.69%", |
| "B) 2.11%", |
| "C) 3.90%", |
| "D) 3.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.88%\nB) 6.22%\nC) 7.24%\nD) 6.90%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.88%", |
| "B) 6.22%", |
| "C) 7.24%", |
| "D) 6.90%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.62/hr\nB) $14.00/hr\nC) $15.24/hr\nD) $13.58/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14.62/hr", |
| "B) $14.00/hr", |
| "C) $15.24/hr", |
| "D) $13.58/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$14.62/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.39%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 1.83%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.39%", |
| "B) 2.11%", |
| "C) 1.92%", |
| "D) 1.83%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.11%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.67pp\nB) +0.72pp\nC) +1.10pp\nD) +1.29pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.67pp", |
| "B) +0.72pp", |
| "C) +1.10pp", |
| "D) +1.29pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.10pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $647M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,200,000M", |
| "B) $4,300,000M", |
| "C) $2,400,000M", |
| "D) $647M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$647M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.70pp\nB) -0.28pp\nC) -0.91pp\nD) -0.07pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.70pp", |
| "B) -0.28pp", |
| "C) -0.91pp", |
| "D) -0.07pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 143.11\nB) 135.90\nC) 123.89\nD) 131.09", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 143.11", |
| "B) 135.90", |
| "C) 123.89", |
| "D) 131.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "135.90", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -12.43pp\nB) -6.09pp\nC) -15.60pp\nD) -9.26pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -12.43pp", |
| "B) -6.09pp", |
| "C) -15.60pp", |
| "D) -9.26pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-15.60pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 120.87\nB) 138.27\nC) 125.84\nD) 133.30", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 120.87", |
| "B) 138.27", |
| "C) 125.84", |
| "D) 133.30" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "133.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 91.12\nB) 92.96\nC) 88.36\nD) 94.80", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 91.12", |
| "B) 92.96", |
| "C) 88.36", |
| "D) 94.80" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "91.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20010615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2001-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.1115\nB) 8.2770\nC) 8.5253\nD) 7.8631", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.1115", |
| "B) 8.2770", |
| "C) 8.5253", |
| "D) 7.8631" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "8.2770", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.39%\nB) 6.93%\nC) 6.16%\nD) 5.77%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.39%", |
| "B) 6.93%", |
| "C) 6.16%", |
| "D) 5.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.16%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.90%\nB) -1.23%\nC) 5.61%\nD) 0.48%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.90%", |
| "B) -1.23%", |
| "C) 5.61%", |
| "D) 0.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.64%\nB) -5.68%\nC) -17.51%\nD) -2.72%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -8.64%", |
| "B) -5.68%", |
| "C) -17.51%", |
| "D) -2.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-8.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.99%\nB) 4.64%\nC) 5.68%\nD) 3.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.99%", |
| "B) 4.64%", |
| "C) 5.68%", |
| "D) 3.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20010615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2001-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) $34.79/bbl\nB) $31.66/bbl\nC) $28.52/bbl\nD) $19.11/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $34.79/bbl", |
| "B) $31.66/bbl", |
| "C) $28.52/bbl", |
| "D) $19.11/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$28.52/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -26.72%\nB) -31.13%\nC) -13.51%\nD) -17.92%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -26.72%", |
| "B) -31.13%", |
| "C) -13.51%", |
| "D) -17.92%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-17.92%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $269,820M\nB) $255,003M\nC) $294,515M\nD) $279,698M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $269,820M", |
| "B) $255,003M", |
| "C) $294,515M", |
| "D) $279,698M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$269,820M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 2.98%\nC) 2.84%\nD) 2.55%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.13%", |
| "B) 2.98%", |
| "C) 2.84%", |
| "D) 2.55%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.98%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,460B\nB) $8,002B\nC) $7,696B\nD) $7,238B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $8,460B", |
| "B) $8,002B", |
| "C) $7,696B", |
| "D) $7,238B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$7,696B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 171.65\nB) 182.40\nC) 186.70\nD) 178.10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 171.65", |
| "B) 182.40", |
| "C) 186.70", |
| "D) 178.10" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "178.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.72%\nB) 0.99%\nC) 3.18%\nD) 0.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.72%", |
| "B) 0.99%", |
| "C) 3.18%", |
| "D) 0.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 69.59%\nB) 74.92%\nC) 77.06%\nD) 72.79%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 69.59%", |
| "B) 74.92%", |
| "C) 77.06%", |
| "D) 72.79%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "74.92%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 4.02%\nC) 4.12%\nD) 3.92%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.82%", |
| "B) 4.02%", |
| "C) 4.12%", |
| "D) 3.92%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 1.75%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 1.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.99%", |
| "B) 1.75%", |
| "C) 2.05%", |
| "D) 1.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,590K\nB) 1,626K\nC) 1,663K\nD) 1,517K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,590K", |
| "B) 1,626K", |
| "C) 1,663K", |
| "D) 1,517K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,590K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.37%\nB) 10.30%\nC) 11.90%\nD) 9.22%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.37%", |
| "B) 10.30%", |
| "C) 11.90%", |
| "D) 9.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "10.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.53%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.31%\nD) 1.09%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.53%", |
| "B) 1.20%", |
| "C) 1.31%", |
| "D) 1.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.31%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20010615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2001-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.63%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 3.24%\nD) 4.01%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.63%", |
| "B) 2.86%", |
| "C) 3.24%", |
| "D) 4.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.01%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20010615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2001-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.8628\nB) 0.7780\nC) 1.0748\nD) 0.9900", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.8628", |
| "B) 0.7780", |
| "C) 1.0748", |
| "D) 0.9900" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.8628", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20010615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2001-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) +1.65pp\nB) +1.26pp\nC) +1.84pp\nD) +1.07pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.65pp", |
| "B) +1.26pp", |
| "C) +1.84pp", |
| "D) +1.07pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.26pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20010615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2001-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,417.30\nB) 2,806.16\nC) 2,028.43\nD) 1,250.70", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,417.30", |
| "B) 2,806.16", |
| "C) 2,028.43", |
| "D) 1,250.70" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,028.43", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.12%\nB) 68.80%\nC) 64.80%\nD) 66.80%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 62.12%", |
| "B) 68.80%", |
| "C) 64.80%", |
| "D) 66.80%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "66.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20010615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2001-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 122.9700\nB) 129.5892\nC) 116.3508\nD) 119.6604", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 122.9700", |
| "B) 129.5892", |
| "C) 116.3508", |
| "D) 119.6604" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "122.9700", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 112.11\nB) 115.47\nC) 108.75\nD) 122.18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 112.11", |
| "B) 115.47", |
| "C) 108.75", |
| "D) 122.18" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "115.47", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.23%\nB) 5.12%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 4.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.23%", |
| "B) 5.12%", |
| "C) 5.00%", |
| "D) 4.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 61.08%\nB) 62.37%\nC) 66.23%\nD) 64.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 61.08%", |
| "B) 62.37%", |
| "C) 66.23%", |
| "D) 64.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "64.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.87%\nB) -5.92%\nC) 1.65%\nD) 4.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.87%", |
| "B) -5.92%", |
| "C) 1.65%", |
| "D) 4.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.87%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,490B\nB) $7,863B\nC) $8,050B\nD) $8,236B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $7,490B", |
| "B) $7,863B", |
| "C) $8,050B", |
| "D) $8,236B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$7,863B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.08pp\nB) -7.68pp\nC) -6.48pp\nD) -8.88pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -10.08pp", |
| "B) -7.68pp", |
| "C) -6.48pp", |
| "D) -8.88pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-6.48pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $599M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,200,000M", |
| "B) $4,300,000M", |
| "C) $2,400,000M", |
| "D) $599M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$599M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.32%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 4.34%\nD) -4.98%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.32%", |
| "B) 2.01%", |
| "C) 4.34%", |
| "D) -4.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.32%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -14.90pp\nB) -25.00pp\nC) -19.95pp\nD) -9.85pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -14.90pp", |
| "B) -25.00pp", |
| "C) -19.95pp", |
| "D) -9.85pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-25.00pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.17%\nB) 9.22%\nC) 8.80%\nD) 9.01%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.17%", |
| "B) 9.22%", |
| "C) 8.80%", |
| "D) 9.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "8.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.00%\nB) 3.22%\nC) -3.30%\nD) -0.69%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.00%", |
| "B) 3.22%", |
| "C) -3.30%", |
| "D) -0.69%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.69%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.65%\nB) 6.77%\nC) -2.59%\nD) 0.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.65%", |
| "B) 6.77%", |
| "C) -2.59%", |
| "D) 0.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20010615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2001-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.36%\nB) -47.26%\nC) 28.66%\nD) -21.95%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.36%", |
| "B) -47.26%", |
| "C) 28.66%", |
| "D) -21.95%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-47.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20010615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2001-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.74%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.54%\nD) 6.13%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.74%", |
| "B) 5.33%", |
| "C) 4.54%", |
| "D) 6.13%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.64%\nC) 3.93%\nD) 3.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.21%", |
| "B) 2.64%", |
| "C) 3.93%", |
| "D) 3.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20010615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2001-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.14%\nB) 6.36%\nC) 6.88%\nD) 6.62%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.14%", |
| "B) 6.36%", |
| "C) 6.88%", |
| "D) 6.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7.14%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 192.71\nB) 187.10\nC) 181.49\nD) 200.20", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 192.71", |
| "B) 187.10", |
| "C) 181.49", |
| "D) 200.20" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "187.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20010615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2001-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) -61.41%\nB) 45.20%\nC) -8.10%\nD) -34.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -61.41%", |
| "B) 45.20%", |
| "C) -8.10%", |
| "D) -34.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-8.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.22%\nB) 7.10%\nC) 8.00%\nD) 7.77%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.22%", |
| "B) 7.10%", |
| "C) 8.00%", |
| "D) 7.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "7.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.43%\nB) 0.99%\nC) -1.86%\nD) -0.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.43%", |
| "B) 0.99%", |
| "C) -1.86%", |
| "D) -0.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.43%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.65%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 6.40%\nD) 5.85%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.65%", |
| "B) 4.75%", |
| "C) 6.40%", |
| "D) 5.85%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 170.82\nB) 167.29\nC) 176.10\nD) 181.38", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 170.82", |
| "B) 167.29", |
| "C) 176.10", |
| "D) 181.38" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "176.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.03pp\nB) -0.19pp\nC) -0.52pp\nD) -0.30pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.03pp", |
| "B) -0.19pp", |
| "C) -0.52pp", |
| "D) -0.30pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,659K\nB) 1,723K\nC) 1,562K\nD) 1,820K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,659K", |
| "B) 1,723K", |
| "C) 1,562K", |
| "D) 1,820K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,659K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.33%\nB) 0.87%\nC) 0.18%\nD) 0.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.33%", |
| "B) 0.87%", |
| "C) 0.18%", |
| "D) 0.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.87%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.14pp\nB) +0.38pp\nC) +0.30pp\nD) +0.22pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.14pp", |
| "B) +0.38pp", |
| "C) +0.30pp", |
| "D) +0.22pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,707B\nB) $7,287B\nC) $6,852B\nD) $6,997B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,707B", |
| "B) $7,287B", |
| "C) $6,852B", |
| "D) $6,997B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$6,997B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.47%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.56%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.47%", |
| "B) 3.65%", |
| "C) 3.74%", |
| "D) 3.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.47%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20010615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2001-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) $5,321B\nB) $4,950B\nC) $5,074B\nD) $5,198B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $5,321B", |
| "B) $4,950B", |
| "C) $5,074B", |
| "D) $5,198B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$4,950B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.22%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 3.81%\nD) -2.80%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.22%", |
| "B) 1.61%", |
| "C) 3.81%", |
| "D) -2.80%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.81%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.72\nB) 78.99\nC) 76.73\nD) 75.23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 73.72", |
| "B) 78.99", |
| "C) 76.73", |
| "D) 75.23" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "75.23", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -23.97%\nB) -13.81%\nC) -8.72%\nD) -18.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -23.97%", |
| "B) -13.81%", |
| "C) -8.72%", |
| "D) -18.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-23.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 65.41%\nB) 63.50%\nC) 60.33%\nD) 62.23%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 65.41%", |
| "B) 63.50%", |
| "C) 60.33%", |
| "D) 62.23%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "63.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 91.41\nB) 84.31\nC) 88.75\nD) 86.09", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 91.41", |
| "B) 84.31", |
| "C) 88.75", |
| "D) 86.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "88.75", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.72%\nB) -1.38%\nC) 0.20%\nD) -4.55%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.72%", |
| "B) -1.38%", |
| "C) 0.20%", |
| "D) -4.55%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $-30,217M\nB) $-27,593M\nC) $-32,841M\nD) $-38,089M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-30,217M", |
| "B) $-27,593M", |
| "C) $-32,841M", |
| "D) $-38,089M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$-30,217M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20010615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2001-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.01%\nB) 5.68%\nC) 5.51%\nD) 5.85%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.01%", |
| "B) 5.68%", |
| "C) 5.51%", |
| "D) 5.85%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.68%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20010615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2001-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.35%\nB) -35.02%\nC) -12.84%\nD) -79.39%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.35%", |
| "B) -35.02%", |
| "C) -12.84%", |
| "D) -79.39%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-12.84%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $284,534M\nB) $252,770M\nC) $295,122M\nD) $268,652M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $284,534M", |
| "B) $252,770M", |
| "C) $295,122M", |
| "D) $268,652M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$268,652M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.12%\nB) 0.41%\nC) -0.36%\nD) -1.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.12%", |
| "B) 0.41%", |
| "C) -0.36%", |
| "D) -1.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $5,329B\nB) $5,075B\nC) $4,820B\nD) $5,499B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $5,329B", |
| "B) $5,075B", |
| "C) $4,820B", |
| "D) $5,499B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,075B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.42%\nB) -1.94%\nC) 0.30%\nD) 3.65%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.42%", |
| "B) -1.94%", |
| "C) 0.30%", |
| "D) 3.65%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.06%\nB) 5.45%\nC) 14.47%\nD) 10.86%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.06%", |
| "B) 5.45%", |
| "C) 14.47%", |
| "D) 10.86%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "10.86%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) 2.76%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 2.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.59%", |
| "B) 2.76%", |
| "C) 3.08%", |
| "D) 2.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.59%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $-29,961M\nB) $-32,812M\nC) $-38,514M\nD) $-24,259M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-29,961M", |
| "B) $-32,812M", |
| "C) $-38,514M", |
| "D) $-24,259M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$-32,812M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.90%\nB) 82.16%\nC) 78.25%\nD) 80.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 75.90%", |
| "B) 82.16%", |
| "C) 78.25%", |
| "D) 80.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "78.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 86.03\nB) 95.14\nC) 82.39\nD) 91.50", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 86.03", |
| "B) 95.14", |
| "C) 82.39", |
| "D) 91.50" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "91.50", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 5.21%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 3.97%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.90%", |
| "B) 5.21%", |
| "C) 5.52%", |
| "D) 3.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,507K\nB) 1,565K\nC) 1,652K\nD) 1,449K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,507K", |
| "B) 1,565K", |
| "C) 1,652K", |
| "D) 1,449K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,565K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20010615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2001-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) 338,345\nB) 412,552\nC) 394,000\nD) 431,103", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 338,345", |
| "B) 412,552", |
| "C) 394,000", |
| "D) 431,103" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "394,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.37%\nB) 2.81%\nC) 2.46%\nD) 2.63%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.37%", |
| "B) 2.81%", |
| "C) 2.46%", |
| "D) 2.63%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.63%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.31%\nB) 4.24%\nC) 4.60%\nD) 4.95%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.31%", |
| "B) 4.24%", |
| "C) 4.60%", |
| "D) 4.95%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.31%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $14.74/hr\nB) $14.42/hr\nC) $13.61/hr\nD) $14.10/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14.74/hr", |
| "B) $14.42/hr", |
| "C) $13.61/hr", |
| "D) $14.10/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$14.42/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 135,716K\nB) 127,810K\nC) 131,763K\nD) 122,540K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 135,716K", |
| "B) 127,810K", |
| "C) 131,763K", |
| "D) 122,540K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "131,763K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 4.54%\nD) 4.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.14%", |
| "B) 3.98%", |
| "C) 4.54%", |
| "D) 4.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 110.39\nB) 113.03\nC) 107.76\nD) 115.67", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 110.39", |
| "B) 113.03", |
| "C) 107.76", |
| "D) 115.67" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "110.39", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $194,545M\nB) $182,209M\nC) $169,873M\nD) $186,321M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $194,545M", |
| "B) $182,209M", |
| "C) $169,873M", |
| "D) $186,321M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$182,209M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20010901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.64\nB) 79.92\nC) 76.12\nD) 73.83", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 77.64", |
| "B) 79.92", |
| "C) 76.12", |
| "D) 73.83" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "76.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.18pp\nB) -0.26pp\nC) +0.06pp\nD) -0.10pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.18pp", |
| "B) -0.26pp", |
| "C) +0.06pp", |
| "D) -0.10pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20010301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2001", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.16%\nB) 6.32%\nC) -1.34%\nD) 2.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -5.16%", |
| "B) 6.32%", |
| "C) -1.34%", |
| "D) 2.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-5.16%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 1,087.74\nB) 1,527.80\nC) 2,847.97\nD) 2,407.91", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,087.74", |
| "B) 1,527.80", |
| "C) 2,847.97", |
| "D) 2,407.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,527.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-5d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 1,087.74\nB) 1,527.80\nC) 2,847.97\nD) 2,407.91", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,087.74", |
| "B) 1,527.80", |
| "C) 2,847.97", |
| "D) 2,407.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,527.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-5d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 1,423.19\nD) 1,863.25", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,303.30", |
| "B) 2,743.36", |
| "C) 1,423.19", |
| "D) 1,863.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,423.19", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-10d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 1,423.19\nD) 1,863.25", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,303.30", |
| "B) 2,743.36", |
| "C) 1,423.19", |
| "D) 1,863.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,423.19", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-10d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 1,863.25\nD) 1,423.19", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,303.30", |
| "B) 2,743.36", |
| "C) 1,863.25", |
| "D) 1,423.19" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,423.19", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-20d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 1,863.25\nD) 1,423.19", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,303.30", |
| "B) 2,743.36", |
| "C) 1,863.25", |
| "D) 1,423.19" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,423.19", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-20d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 1,423.19\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 2,303.30\nD) 1,863.25", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,423.19", |
| "B) 2,743.36", |
| "C) 2,303.30", |
| "D) 1,863.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,423.19", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-40d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 1,423.19\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 2,303.30\nD) 1,863.25", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,423.19", |
| "B) 2,743.36", |
| "C) 2,303.30", |
| "D) 1,863.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,423.19", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-40d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 1,423.19\nC) 1,863.25\nD) 2,743.36", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,303.30", |
| "B) 1,423.19", |
| "C) 1,863.25", |
| "D) 2,743.36" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,423.19", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-60d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 1,423.19\nC) 1,863.25\nD) 2,743.36", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,303.30", |
| "B) 1,423.19", |
| "C) 1,863.25", |
| "D) 2,743.36" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,423.19", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-60d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,743.36\nB) 2,303.30\nC) 1,423.19\nD) 1,863.25", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,743.36", |
| "B) 2,303.30", |
| "C) 1,423.19", |
| "D) 1,863.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,423.19", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-120d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,743.36\nB) 2,303.30\nC) 1,423.19\nD) 1,863.25", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,743.36", |
| "B) 2,303.30", |
| "C) 1,423.19", |
| "D) 1,863.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,423.19", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-120d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 42.16\nB) 33.93\nC) 35.58\nD) 38.87", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 42.16", |
| "B) 33.93", |
| "C) 35.58", |
| "D) 38.87" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "38.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-5d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 42.16\nB) 33.93\nC) 35.58\nD) 38.87", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 42.16", |
| "B) 33.93", |
| "C) 35.58", |
| "D) 38.87" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "38.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-5d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 31.93\nB) 36.87\nC) 28.64\nD) 33.58", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 31.93", |
| "B) 36.87", |
| "C) 28.64", |
| "D) 33.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "31.93", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-10d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 31.93\nB) 36.87\nC) 28.64\nD) 33.58", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 31.93", |
| "B) 36.87", |
| "C) 28.64", |
| "D) 33.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "31.93", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-10d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 29.53\nB) 31.18\nC) 36.12\nD) 34.47", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 29.53", |
| "B) 31.18", |
| "C) 36.12", |
| "D) 34.47" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "31.18", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-20d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 29.53\nB) 31.18\nC) 36.12\nD) 34.47", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 29.53", |
| "B) 31.18", |
| "C) 36.12", |
| "D) 34.47" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "31.18", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-20d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 32.38\nB) 22.50\nC) 27.44\nD) 25.79", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 32.38", |
| "B) 22.50", |
| "C) 27.44", |
| "D) 25.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "27.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-40d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 32.38\nB) 22.50\nC) 27.44\nD) 25.79", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 32.38", |
| "B) 22.50", |
| "C) 27.44", |
| "D) 25.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "27.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-40d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 24.67\nB) 21.37\nC) 27.96\nD) 23.02", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.67", |
| "B) 21.37", |
| "C) 27.96", |
| "D) 23.02" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "23.02", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-60d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 24.67\nB) 21.37\nC) 27.96\nD) 23.02", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.67", |
| "B) 21.37", |
| "C) 27.96", |
| "D) 23.02" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "23.02", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-60d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 19.27\nB) 17.62\nC) 15.98\nD) 14.33", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.27", |
| "B) 17.62", |
| "C) 15.98", |
| "D) 14.33" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "19.27", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-120d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 19.27\nB) 17.62\nC) 15.98\nD) 14.33", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.27", |
| "B) 17.62", |
| "C) 15.98", |
| "D) 14.33" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "19.27", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-120d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.19%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 4.45%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.19%", |
| "B) 4.72%", |
| "C) 5.52%", |
| "D) 4.45%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-5d-max", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.19%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 4.45%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.19%", |
| "B) 4.72%", |
| "C) 5.52%", |
| "D) 4.45%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-5d-max", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 5.55%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.28%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.48%", |
| "B) 5.55%", |
| "C) 4.75%", |
| "D) 5.28%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-10d-max", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 5.55%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.28%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.48%", |
| "B) 5.55%", |
| "C) 4.75%", |
| "D) 5.28%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-10d-max", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 5.28%\nB) 5.02%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 4.75%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.28%", |
| "B) 5.02%", |
| "C) 3.95%", |
| "D) 4.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-20d-max", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 5.28%\nB) 5.02%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 4.75%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.28%", |
| "B) 5.02%", |
| "C) 3.95%", |
| "D) 4.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-20d-max", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 5.02%\nD) 4.22%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.75%", |
| "B) 3.95%", |
| "C) 5.02%", |
| "D) 4.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-40d-max", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 5.02%\nD) 4.22%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.75%", |
| "B) 3.95%", |
| "C) 5.02%", |
| "D) 4.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-40d-max", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 6.00%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.93%\nD) 5.47%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.00%", |
| "B) 5.20%", |
| "C) 4.93%", |
| "D) 5.47%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-60d-max", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 6.00%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.93%\nD) 5.47%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.00%", |
| "B) 5.20%", |
| "C) 4.93%", |
| "D) 5.47%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-60d-max", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.80%\nB) 5.06%\nC) 5.33%\nD) 5.86%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.80%", |
| "B) 5.06%", |
| "C) 5.33%", |
| "D) 5.86%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-120d-max", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.80%\nB) 5.06%\nC) 5.33%\nD) 5.86%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.80%", |
| "B) 5.06%", |
| "C) 5.33%", |
| "D) 5.86%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-120d-max", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $32.33/bbl\nB) $24.52/bbl\nC) $29.20/bbl\nD) $27.64/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $32.33/bbl", |
| "B) $24.52/bbl", |
| "C) $29.20/bbl", |
| "D) $27.64/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$27.64/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-5d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $32.33/bbl\nB) $24.52/bbl\nC) $29.20/bbl\nD) $27.64/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $32.33/bbl", |
| "B) $24.52/bbl", |
| "C) $29.20/bbl", |
| "D) $27.64/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$27.64/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-5d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $21.46/bbl\nB) $24.58/bbl\nC) $23.02/bbl\nD) $18.34/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $21.46/bbl", |
| "B) $24.58/bbl", |
| "C) $23.02/bbl", |
| "D) $18.34/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$21.46/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-10d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $21.46/bbl\nB) $24.58/bbl\nC) $23.02/bbl\nD) $18.34/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $21.46/bbl", |
| "B) $24.58/bbl", |
| "C) $23.02/bbl", |
| "D) $18.34/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$21.46/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-10d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $24.58/bbl\nB) $21.46/bbl\nC) $19.90/bbl\nD) $18.34/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $24.58/bbl", |
| "B) $21.46/bbl", |
| "C) $19.90/bbl", |
| "D) $18.34/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$21.46/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-20d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $24.58/bbl\nB) $21.46/bbl\nC) $19.90/bbl\nD) $18.34/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $24.58/bbl", |
| "B) $21.46/bbl", |
| "C) $19.90/bbl", |
| "D) $18.34/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$21.46/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-20d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $16.81/bbl\nB) $24.62/bbl\nC) $19.93/bbl\nD) $18.37/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $16.81/bbl", |
| "B) $24.62/bbl", |
| "C) $19.93/bbl", |
| "D) $18.37/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$19.93/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-40d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $16.81/bbl\nB) $24.62/bbl\nC) $19.93/bbl\nD) $18.37/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $16.81/bbl", |
| "B) $24.62/bbl", |
| "C) $19.93/bbl", |
| "D) $18.37/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$19.93/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-40d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $14.38/bbl\nB) $12.81/bbl\nC) $19.06/bbl\nD) $17.50/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14.38/bbl", |
| "B) $12.81/bbl", |
| "C) $19.06/bbl", |
| "D) $17.50/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$17.50/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-60d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $14.38/bbl\nB) $12.81/bbl\nC) $19.06/bbl\nD) $17.50/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14.38/bbl", |
| "B) $12.81/bbl", |
| "C) $19.06/bbl", |
| "D) $17.50/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$17.50/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-60d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $17.50/bbl\nB) $22.19/bbl\nC) $15.94/bbl\nD) $19.06/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $17.50/bbl", |
| "B) $22.19/bbl", |
| "C) $15.94/bbl", |
| "D) $19.06/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$17.50/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-120d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $17.50/bbl\nB) $22.19/bbl\nC) $15.94/bbl\nD) $19.06/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $17.50/bbl", |
| "B) $22.19/bbl", |
| "C) $15.94/bbl", |
| "D) $19.06/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$17.50/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-120d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 113.7169\nB) 117.3200\nC) 110.1137\nD) 106.5106", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 113.7169", |
| "B) 117.3200", |
| "C) 110.1137", |
| "D) 106.5106" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "117.3200", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-5d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 113.7169\nB) 117.3200\nC) 110.1137\nD) 106.5106", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 113.7169", |
| "B) 117.3200", |
| "C) 110.1137", |
| "D) 106.5106" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "117.3200", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-5d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 108.6837\nB) 126.6994\nC) 115.8900\nD) 112.2869", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 108.6837", |
| "B) 126.6994", |
| "C) 115.8900", |
| "D) 112.2869" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "115.8900", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-10d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 108.6837\nB) 126.6994\nC) 115.8900\nD) 112.2869", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 108.6837", |
| "B) 126.6994", |
| "C) 115.8900", |
| "D) 112.2869" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "115.8900", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-10d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 112.2869\nB) 126.6994\nC) 108.6837\nD) 115.8900", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 112.2869", |
| "B) 126.6994", |
| "C) 108.6837", |
| "D) 115.8900" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "115.8900", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-20d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 112.2869\nB) 126.6994\nC) 108.6837\nD) 115.8900", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 112.2869", |
| "B) 126.6994", |
| "C) 108.6837", |
| "D) 115.8900" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "115.8900", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-20d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 115.8900\nB) 123.0963\nC) 108.6837\nD) 119.4931", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 115.8900", |
| "B) 123.0963", |
| "C) 108.6837", |
| "D) 119.4931" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "115.8900", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-40d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 115.8900\nB) 123.0963\nC) 108.6837\nD) 119.4931", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 115.8900", |
| "B) 123.0963", |
| "C) 108.6837", |
| "D) 119.4931" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "115.8900", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-40d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 123.0963\nB) 115.8900\nC) 126.6994\nD) 105.0806", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 123.0963", |
| "B) 115.8900", |
| "C) 126.6994", |
| "D) 105.0806" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "115.8900", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-60d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 123.0963\nB) 115.8900\nC) 126.6994\nD) 105.0806", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 123.0963", |
| "B) 115.8900", |
| "C) 126.6994", |
| "D) 105.0806" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "115.8900", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-60d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 105.0806\nB) 112.2869\nC) 115.8900\nD) 108.6837", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 105.0806", |
| "B) 112.2869", |
| "C) 115.8900", |
| "D) 108.6837" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "115.8900", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-120d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 105.0806\nB) 112.2869\nC) 115.8900\nD) 108.6837", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 105.0806", |
| "B) 112.2869", |
| "C) 115.8900", |
| "D) 108.6837" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "115.8900", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "9/11 attacks", |
| "event_date": "2001-09-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-120d-min", |
| "year": 2001 |
| } |
| ] |
