pre_test / *.parquet /mcq_2002.json
lfqian's picture
Fix per-year parquet schema (unify 17 cols, string types) for by_year splits
de9f149 verified
[
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 123,977K\nB) 133,112K\nC) 126,587K\nD) 130,502K",
"options": [
"A) 123,977K",
"B) 133,112K",
"C) 126,587K",
"D) 130,502K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "130,502K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.94%\nB) 1.52%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 0.66%",
"options": [
"A) 0.94%",
"B) 1.52%",
"C) 1.81%",
"D) 0.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) +2.44pp\nB) +1.40pp\nC) +0.71pp\nD) +0.36pp",
"options": [
"A) +2.44pp",
"B) +1.40pp",
"C) +0.71pp",
"D) +0.36pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+1.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.41pp\nB) -2.11pp\nC) -1.50pp\nD) -1.20pp",
"options": [
"A) -2.41pp",
"B) -2.11pp",
"C) -1.50pp",
"D) -1.20pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-1.50pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 1.14%\nC) 1.66%\nD) 1.45%",
"options": [
"A) 1.76%",
"B) 1.14%",
"C) 1.66%",
"D) 1.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.45%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $659M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M",
"options": [
"A) $659M",
"B) $4,300,000M",
"C) $6,200,000M",
"D) $2,400,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$659M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 73.49\nB) 75.76\nC) 78.04\nD) 71.22",
"options": [
"A) 73.49",
"B) 75.76",
"C) 78.04",
"D) 71.22"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "75.76",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $155,098M\nB) $172,708M\nC) $166,838M\nD) $184,449M",
"options": [
"A) $155,098M",
"B) $172,708M",
"C) $166,838M",
"D) $184,449M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$166,838M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.49%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.34%\nD) -0.96%",
"options": [
"A) -2.49%",
"B) 0.57%",
"C) 1.34%",
"D) -0.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.96%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.27%\nB) 0.28%\nC) 12.24%\nD) -2.71%",
"options": [
"A) 3.27%",
"B) 0.28%",
"C) 12.24%",
"D) -2.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.27%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.49%\nB) 5.74%\nC) 7.24%\nD) 4.98%",
"options": [
"A) 6.49%",
"B) 5.74%",
"C) 7.24%",
"D) 4.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.74%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.35%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 3.06%",
"options": [
"A) 2.35%",
"B) 2.91%",
"C) 2.77%",
"D) 3.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.77%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20020615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2002-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2002-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.4354\nB) 8.6835\nC) 8.1046\nD) 8.2700",
"options": [
"A) 8.4354",
"B) 8.6835",
"C) 8.1046",
"D) 8.2700"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "8.2700",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 90.65\nB) 92.47\nC) 86.12\nD) 88.84",
"options": [
"A) 90.65",
"B) 92.47",
"C) 86.12",
"D) 88.84"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "90.65",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 2.76%\nD) 2.11%",
"options": [
"A) 2.33%",
"B) 2.44%",
"C) 2.76%",
"D) 2.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.44%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.81pp\nB) -0.19pp\nC) -0.50pp\nD) +0.44pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.81pp",
"B) -0.19pp",
"C) -0.50pp",
"D) +0.44pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.50pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $13.71/hr\nB) $14.51/hr\nC) $15.85/hr\nD) $15.05/hr",
"options": [
"A) $13.71/hr",
"B) $14.51/hr",
"C) $15.85/hr",
"D) $15.05/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$15.05/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 132.30\nB) 143.04\nC) 138.74\nD) 128.00",
"options": [
"A) 132.30",
"B) 143.04",
"C) 138.74",
"D) 128.00"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "132.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.62%\nB) 1.65%\nC) -2.44%\nD) 13.93%",
"options": [
"A) -10.62%",
"B) 1.65%",
"C) -2.44%",
"D) 13.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.65%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20020615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2002-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2002-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 133.0180\nB) 115.4820\nC) 124.2500\nD) 111.0980",
"options": [
"A) 133.0180",
"B) 115.4820",
"C) 124.2500",
"D) 111.0980"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "124.2500",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.24%\nB) 0.01%\nC) 2.25%\nD) -4.49%",
"options": [
"A) -2.24%",
"B) 0.01%",
"C) 2.25%",
"D) -4.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-4.49%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 3.68%",
"options": [
"A) 2.94%",
"B) 2.45%",
"C) 2.69%",
"D) 3.68%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 2.52%",
"options": [
"A) 2.61%",
"B) 2.44%",
"C) 2.35%",
"D) 2.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.44%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,577K\nB) 1,777K\nC) 1,691K\nD) 1,634K",
"options": [
"A) 1,577K",
"B) 1,777K",
"C) 1,691K",
"D) 1,634K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,691K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20020615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2002-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2002-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) -8.30%\nB) 39.23%\nC) -55.84%\nD) -32.07%",
"options": [
"A) -8.30%",
"B) 39.23%",
"C) -55.84%",
"D) -32.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-32.07%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,154B\nB) $8,823B\nC) $8,600B\nD) $7,930B",
"options": [
"A) $8,154B",
"B) $8,823B",
"C) $8,600B",
"D) $7,930B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$8,154B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20020615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2002-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2002-06-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.8620\nB) 0.9448\nC) 1.1519\nD) 1.0276",
"options": [
"A) 0.8620",
"B) 0.9448",
"C) 1.1519",
"D) 1.0276"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.9448",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20020615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2002-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2002-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) $4,679B\nB) $5,537B\nC) $5,108B\nD) $5,251B",
"options": [
"A) $4,679B",
"B) $5,537B",
"C) $5,108B",
"D) $5,251B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$5,108B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.33%\nB) 4.43%\nC) 5.79%\nD) 3.06%",
"options": [
"A) 0.33%",
"B) 4.43%",
"C) 5.79%",
"D) 3.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.06%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $5,502B\nB) $5,821B\nC) $5,183B\nD) $5,342B",
"options": [
"A) $5,502B",
"B) $5,821B",
"C) $5,183B",
"D) $5,342B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$5,502B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,181B\nB) $7,984B\nC) $7,591B\nD) $8,378B",
"options": [
"A) $8,181B",
"B) $7,984B",
"C) $7,591B",
"D) $8,378B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$7,984B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) 6.47%\nC) 3.53%\nD) 5.49%",
"options": [
"A) 1.56%",
"B) 6.47%",
"C) 3.53%",
"D) 5.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.53%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,708K\nB) 1,866K\nC) 1,930K\nD) 1,803K",
"options": [
"A) 1,708K",
"B) 1,866K",
"C) 1,930K",
"D) 1,803K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,803K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20020615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2002-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2002-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.71%\nB) 3.24%\nC) 2.47%\nD) 0.95%",
"options": [
"A) 1.71%",
"B) 3.24%",
"C) 2.47%",
"D) 0.95%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.71%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 203.49\nB) 191.30\nC) 196.17\nD) 186.43",
"options": [
"A) 203.49",
"B) 191.30",
"C) 196.17",
"D) 186.43"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "191.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.13%\nB) -3.21%\nC) -0.75%\nD) 6.63%",
"options": [
"A) -8.13%",
"B) -3.21%",
"C) -0.75%",
"D) 6.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.75%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $272,346M\nB) $283,812M\nC) $266,614M\nD) $278,079M",
"options": [
"A) $272,346M",
"B) $283,812M",
"C) $266,614M",
"D) $278,079M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$278,079M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.14%\nB) -3.98%\nC) 1.55%\nD) -0.29%",
"options": [
"A) -2.14%",
"B) -3.98%",
"C) 1.55%",
"D) -0.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-2.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.20%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 6.20%\nD) 4.95%",
"options": [
"A) 5.20%",
"B) 5.70%",
"C) 6.20%",
"D) 4.95%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 134,644K\nB) 128,108K\nC) 130,722K\nD) 124,186K",
"options": [
"A) 134,644K",
"B) 128,108K",
"C) 130,722K",
"D) 124,186K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "130,722K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,783B\nB) $6,804B\nC) $7,979B\nD) $7,392B",
"options": [
"A) $7,783B",
"B) $6,804B",
"C) $7,979B",
"D) $7,392B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$7,392B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 189.20\nB) 193.32\nC) 199.51\nD) 183.02",
"options": [
"A) 189.20",
"B) 193.32",
"C) 199.51",
"D) 183.02"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "189.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.07%\nB) 8.42%\nC) 9.24%\nD) 5.94%",
"options": [
"A) 10.07%",
"B) 8.42%",
"C) 9.24%",
"D) 5.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "8.42%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.05pp\nB) +1.07pp\nC) +0.70pp\nD) -0.42pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.05pp",
"B) +1.07pp",
"C) +0.70pp",
"D) -0.42pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+0.70pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 17.70%\nB) 20.20%\nC) 22.69%\nD) 15.21%",
"options": [
"A) 17.70%",
"B) 20.20%",
"C) 22.69%",
"D) 15.21%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "15.21%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.24%\nB) 2.42%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 2.33%",
"options": [
"A) 2.24%",
"B) 2.42%",
"C) 1.98%",
"D) 2.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.24%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 74.80\nB) 77.11\nC) 79.42\nD) 73.25",
"options": [
"A) 74.80",
"B) 77.11",
"C) 79.42",
"D) 73.25"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "77.11",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $14.11/hr\nB) $15.76/hr\nC) $14.82/hr\nD) $15.29/hr",
"options": [
"A) $14.11/hr",
"B) $15.76/hr",
"C) $14.82/hr",
"D) $15.29/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$14.82/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20020615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2002-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2002-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 1,071.79\nB) 1,937.69\nC) 2,803.59\nD) 1,504.74",
"options": [
"A) 1,071.79",
"B) 1,937.69",
"C) 2,803.59",
"D) 1,504.74"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,504.74",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 180.80\nB) 170.84\nC) 185.78\nD) 175.82",
"options": [
"A) 180.80",
"B) 170.84",
"C) 185.78",
"D) 175.82"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "180.80",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 121.72\nB) 117.93\nC) 106.55\nD) 114.14",
"options": [
"A) 121.72",
"B) 117.93",
"C) 106.55",
"D) 114.14"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "117.93",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.41%\nB) 0.37%\nC) 1.73%\nD) 1.05%",
"options": [
"A) 2.41%",
"B) 0.37%",
"C) 1.73%",
"D) 1.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.73%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 74.31\nB) 72.73\nC) 79.05\nD) 76.68",
"options": [
"A) 74.31",
"B) 72.73",
"C) 79.05",
"D) 76.68"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "76.68",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,642K\nB) 1,739K\nC) 1,577K\nD) 1,512K",
"options": [
"A) 1,642K",
"B) 1,739K",
"C) 1,577K",
"D) 1,512K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,642K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 134.62\nB) 125.50\nC) 116.37\nD) 120.93",
"options": [
"A) 134.62",
"B) 125.50",
"C) 116.37",
"D) 120.93"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "125.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 82.29\nB) 100.17\nC) 95.70\nD) 104.64",
"options": [
"A) 82.29",
"B) 100.17",
"C) 95.70",
"D) 104.64"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "95.70",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 24.83%\nB) 21.72%\nC) 6.16%\nD) 15.49%",
"options": [
"A) 24.83%",
"B) 21.72%",
"C) 6.16%",
"D) 15.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "15.49%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 129.80\nB) 141.48\nC) 125.13\nD) 136.81",
"options": [
"A) 129.80",
"B) 141.48",
"C) 125.13",
"D) 136.81"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "129.80",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20020615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2002-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2002-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,007,436\nB) 3,604,000\nC) 4,200,564\nD) 2,709,154",
"options": [
"A) 3,007,436",
"B) 3,604,000",
"C) 4,200,564",
"D) 2,709,154"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3,604,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 91.85\nB) 87.38\nC) 89.17\nD) 85.59",
"options": [
"A) 91.85",
"B) 87.38",
"C) 89.17",
"D) 85.59"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "89.17",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20020615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2002-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2002-06-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 31.80\nB) 20.12\nC) 27.91\nD) 25.96",
"options": [
"A) 31.80",
"B) 20.12",
"C) 27.91",
"D) 25.96"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "25.96",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 7.20%\nD) 5.91%",
"options": [
"A) 4.62%",
"B) 3.33%",
"C) 7.20%",
"D) 5.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.62%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.21pp\nB) -0.10pp\nC) -0.42pp\nD) +0.22pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.21pp",
"B) -0.10pp",
"C) -0.42pp",
"D) +0.22pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.15%\nB) 61.11%\nC) 63.00%\nD) 64.89%",
"options": [
"A) 66.15%",
"B) 61.11%",
"C) 63.00%",
"D) 64.89%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "63.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20020615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2002-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2002-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 3.70%\nC) 4.90%\nD) 4.10%",
"options": [
"A) 4.50%",
"B) 3.70%",
"C) 4.90%",
"D) 4.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $47,371M\nB) $39,744M\nC) $54,998M\nD) $49,913M",
"options": [
"A) $47,371M",
"B) $39,744M",
"C) $54,998M",
"D) $49,913M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$47,371M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 62.60%\nB) 66.60%\nC) 64.60%\nD) 68.60%",
"options": [
"A) 62.60%",
"B) 66.60%",
"C) 64.60%",
"D) 68.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "66.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20020615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2002-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2002-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.88%\nB) 7.23%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 1.86%",
"options": [
"A) 5.88%",
"B) 7.23%",
"C) 3.20%",
"D) 1.86%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.41%\nB) 4.26%\nC) 6.60%\nD) 1.93%",
"options": [
"A) -0.41%",
"B) 4.26%",
"C) 6.60%",
"D) 1.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.93%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 178.50\nB) 189.93\nC) 183.07\nD) 173.93",
"options": [
"A) 178.50",
"B) 189.93",
"C) 183.07",
"D) 173.93"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "178.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.48%\nB) 3.74%\nC) 4.65%\nD) 5.57%",
"options": [
"A) 6.48%",
"B) 3.74%",
"C) 4.65%",
"D) 5.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.74%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.46%\nB) 6.48%\nC) 5.49%\nD) 3.51%",
"options": [
"A) 7.46%",
"B) 6.48%",
"C) 5.49%",
"D) 3.51%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.49%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -16.38%\nB) 5.95%\nC) -21.96%\nD) -5.22%",
"options": [
"A) -16.38%",
"B) 5.95%",
"C) -21.96%",
"D) -5.22%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-5.22%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20020615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2002-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2002-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) -10.16%\nB) 43.58%\nC) 70.45%\nD) -37.03%",
"options": [
"A) -10.16%",
"B) 43.58%",
"C) 70.45%",
"D) -37.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-10.16%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 68.03%\nB) 66.70%\nC) 65.37%\nD) 63.37%",
"options": [
"A) 68.03%",
"B) 66.70%",
"C) 65.37%",
"D) 63.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "66.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20020615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2002-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2002-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.42%\nB) 5.93%\nC) 5.59%\nD) 5.09%",
"options": [
"A) 5.42%",
"B) 5.93%",
"C) 5.59%",
"D) 5.09%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.59%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.71pp\nB) -0.81pp\nC) -0.92pp\nD) -0.60pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.71pp",
"B) -0.81pp",
"C) -0.92pp",
"D) -0.60pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.60pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.30pp\nB) -11.29pp\nC) -6.10pp\nD) -0.90pp",
"options": [
"A) +4.30pp",
"B) -11.29pp",
"C) -6.10pp",
"D) -0.90pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+4.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $53,997M\nB) $48,089M\nC) $42,181M\nD) $45,135M",
"options": [
"A) $53,997M",
"B) $48,089M",
"C) $42,181M",
"D) $45,135M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$48,089M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20020615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2002-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2002-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) 5.11%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 5.67%",
"options": [
"A) 3.99%",
"B) 5.11%",
"C) 4.83%",
"D) 5.67%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.83%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20020615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2002-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2002-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 2.92%",
"options": [
"A) 1.68%",
"B) 2.30%",
"C) 4.16%",
"D) 2.92%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.92%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20020615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2002-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2002-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) -11.09%\nB) 60.98%\nC) -83.16%\nD) -59.13%",
"options": [
"A) -11.09%",
"B) 60.98%",
"C) -83.16%",
"D) -59.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-11.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -16.88%\nB) -7.88%\nC) 1.12%\nD) -21.38%",
"options": [
"A) -16.88%",
"B) -7.88%",
"C) 1.12%",
"D) -21.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-7.88%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20020615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2002-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2002-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) 426,077\nB) 486,232\nC) 396,000\nD) 305,768",
"options": [
"A) 426,077",
"B) 486,232",
"C) 396,000",
"D) 305,768"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "396,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,468B\nB) $5,856B\nC) $6,244B\nD) $5,662B",
"options": [
"A) $5,468B",
"B) $5,856B",
"C) $6,244B",
"D) $5,662B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$5,662B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.53%\nB) -3.52%\nC) -0.20%\nD) 0.47%",
"options": [
"A) -1.53%",
"B) -3.52%",
"C) -0.20%",
"D) 0.47%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-1.53%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 7.17%",
"options": [
"A) 3.82%",
"B) 2.15%",
"C) 0.47%",
"D) 7.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.15%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.11%\nB) 5.36%\nC) 5.80%\nD) 4.93%",
"options": [
"A) 7.11%",
"B) 5.36%",
"C) 5.80%",
"D) 4.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.39pp\nB) +3.12pp\nC) +1.85pp\nD) +0.58pp",
"options": [
"A) +4.39pp",
"B) +3.12pp",
"C) +1.85pp",
"D) +0.58pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.58pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 74.46%\nB) 69.97%\nC) 78.94%\nD) 77.45%",
"options": [
"A) 74.46%",
"B) 69.97%",
"C) 78.94%",
"D) 77.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "74.46%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.54%\nB) 5.13%\nC) 10.51%\nD) 8.72%",
"options": [
"A) 1.54%",
"B) 5.13%",
"C) 10.51%",
"D) 8.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $179,561M\nB) $185,415M\nC) $167,853M\nD) $161,999M",
"options": [
"A) $179,561M",
"B) $185,415M",
"C) $167,853M",
"D) $161,999M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$167,853M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $274,980M\nB) $299,315M\nC) $268,897M\nD) $281,064M",
"options": [
"A) $274,980M",
"B) $299,315M",
"C) $268,897M",
"D) $281,064M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$281,064M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) +4.20pp\nB) -1.23pp\nC) -12.10pp\nD) -6.67pp",
"options": [
"A) +4.20pp",
"B) -1.23pp",
"C) -12.10pp",
"D) -6.67pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+4.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.87%\nB) 1.93%\nC) 2.64%\nD) 2.29%",
"options": [
"A) 0.87%",
"B) 1.93%",
"C) 2.64%",
"D) 2.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.93%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,877K\nB) 1,731K\nC) 1,804K\nD) 1,767K",
"options": [
"A) 1,877K",
"B) 1,731K",
"C) 1,804K",
"D) 1,767K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,804K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.90%\nB) 9.09%\nC) 7.88%\nD) 8.69%",
"options": [
"A) 9.90%",
"B) 9.09%",
"C) 7.88%",
"D) 8.69%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "8.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.69%\nB) 4.64%\nC) 1.79%\nD) 5.59%",
"options": [
"A) 3.69%",
"B) 4.64%",
"C) 1.79%",
"D) 5.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 80.43%\nB) 75.50%\nC) 72.21%\nD) 77.14%",
"options": [
"A) 80.43%",
"B) 75.50%",
"C) 72.21%",
"D) 77.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "75.50%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.70%\nB) 2.39%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 0.68%",
"options": [
"A) 1.70%",
"B) 2.39%",
"C) 1.36%",
"D) 0.68%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.36%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20020615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2002-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2002-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) $31.53/bbl\nB) $23.09/bbl\nC) $17.46/bbl\nD) $25.90/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $31.53/bbl",
"B) $23.09/bbl",
"C) $17.46/bbl",
"D) $25.90/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$25.90/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.79pp\nB) -7.87pp\nC) -1.07pp\nD) -6.51pp",
"options": [
"A) -3.79pp",
"B) -7.87pp",
"C) -1.07pp",
"D) -6.51pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-3.79pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.63\nB) 77.97\nC) 73.29\nD) 80.31",
"options": [
"A) 75.63",
"B) 77.97",
"C) 73.29",
"D) 80.31"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "77.97",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20020615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2002-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2002-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) +2.71pp\nB) +3.11pp\nC) +1.91pp\nD) +0.71pp",
"options": [
"A) +2.71pp",
"B) +3.11pp",
"C) +1.91pp",
"D) +0.71pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+1.91pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.03%\nB) 3.47%\nC) 2.61%\nD) 1.75%",
"options": [
"A) 0.03%",
"B) 3.47%",
"C) 2.61%",
"D) 1.75%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.75%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $-31,161M\nB) $-23,717M\nC) $-33,642M\nD) $-28,680M",
"options": [
"A) $-31,161M",
"B) $-23,717M",
"C) $-33,642M",
"D) $-28,680M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$-31,161M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.92%\nB) 5.50%\nC) 6.35%\nD) 5.08%",
"options": [
"A) 5.92%",
"B) 5.50%",
"C) 6.35%",
"D) 5.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.50%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.40%\nB) -6.44%\nC) -18.53%\nD) -12.49%",
"options": [
"A) -0.40%",
"B) -6.44%",
"C) -18.53%",
"D) -12.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-18.53%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20020615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2002-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2002-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) $21.14/bbl\nB) $15.48/bbl\nC) $18.31/bbl\nD) $23.97/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $21.14/bbl",
"B) $15.48/bbl",
"C) $18.31/bbl",
"D) $23.97/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$23.97/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $7,243B\nB) $6,713B\nC) $7,597B\nD) $7,066B",
"options": [
"A) $7,243B",
"B) $6,713B",
"C) $7,597B",
"D) $7,066B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$7,243B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $-38,664M\nB) $-36,088M\nC) $-30,936M\nD) $-41,240M",
"options": [
"A) $-38,664M",
"B) $-36,088M",
"C) $-30,936M",
"D) $-41,240M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$-36,088M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.98%\nB) 6.06%\nC) 6.83%\nD) 7.60%",
"options": [
"A) 7.98%",
"B) 6.06%",
"C) 6.83%",
"D) 7.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.83%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.40%\nB) 8.20%\nC) 11.80%\nD) 10.00%",
"options": [
"A) 6.40%",
"B) 8.20%",
"C) 11.80%",
"D) 10.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "10.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 86.10\nB) 94.98\nC) 90.54\nD) 77.22",
"options": [
"A) 86.10",
"B) 94.98",
"C) 90.54",
"D) 77.22"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "86.10",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.40%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 4.65%",
"options": [
"A) 6.40%",
"B) 5.70%",
"C) 5.00%",
"D) 4.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20020301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 65.94%\nB) 61.54%\nC) 62.80%\nD) 64.06%",
"options": [
"A) 65.94%",
"B) 61.54%",
"C) 62.80%",
"D) 64.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "62.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $680M",
"options": [
"A) $6,200,000M",
"B) $4,300,000M",
"C) $2,400,000M",
"D) $680M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$680M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20020901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2002",
"info_cutoff": "2002-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.52%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 2.90%",
"options": [
"A) 1.52%",
"B) 2.44%",
"C) 0.14%",
"D) 2.90%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.52%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20020615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2002-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2002-06-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.99%\nB) 6.71%\nC) 7.26%\nD) 6.43%",
"options": [
"A) 6.99%",
"B) 6.71%",
"C) 7.26%",
"D) 6.43%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.71%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,511.78\nB) 1,006.23\nC) 1,382.62\nD) 1,759.01",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,511.78",
"B) 1,006.23",
"C) 1,382.62",
"D) 1,759.01"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,382.62",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,511.78\nB) 1,006.23\nC) 1,382.62\nD) 1,759.01",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,511.78",
"B) 1,006.23",
"C) 1,382.62",
"D) 1,759.01"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,382.62",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,150.02\nB) 1,020.86\nC) 2,526.41\nD) 1,397.25",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,150.02",
"B) 1,020.86",
"C) 2,526.41",
"D) 1,397.25"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,397.25",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,150.02\nB) 1,020.86\nC) 2,526.41\nD) 1,397.25",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,150.02",
"B) 1,020.86",
"C) 2,526.41",
"D) 1,397.25"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,397.25",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 1,397.25\nB) 1,020.86\nC) 1,773.64\nD) 2,150.02",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 1,397.25",
"B) 1,020.86",
"C) 1,773.64",
"D) 2,150.02"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,397.25",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 1,397.25\nB) 1,020.86\nC) 1,773.64\nD) 2,150.02",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 1,397.25",
"B) 1,020.86",
"C) 1,773.64",
"D) 2,150.02"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,397.25",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,175.72\nB) 1,422.95\nC) 1,799.34\nD) 2,552.11",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,175.72",
"B) 1,422.95",
"C) 1,799.34",
"D) 2,552.11"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1,422.95",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,175.72\nB) 1,422.95\nC) 1,799.34\nD) 2,552.11",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,175.72",
"B) 1,422.95",
"C) 1,799.34",
"D) 2,552.11"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1,422.95",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,552.11\nB) 1,799.34\nC) 1,422.95\nD) 1,046.56",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,552.11",
"B) 1,799.34",
"C) 1,422.95",
"D) 1,046.56"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,422.95",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,552.11\nB) 1,799.34\nC) 1,422.95\nD) 1,046.56",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,552.11",
"B) 1,799.34",
"C) 1,422.95",
"D) 1,046.56"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,422.95",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,617.10\nB) 2,240.71\nC) 1,864.33\nD) 1,487.94",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,617.10",
"B) 2,240.71",
"C) 1,864.33",
"D) 1,487.94"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,487.94",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,617.10\nB) 2,240.71\nC) 1,864.33\nD) 1,487.94",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 2,617.10",
"B) 2,240.71",
"C) 1,864.33",
"D) 1,487.94"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,487.94",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 36.65\nB) 32.14\nC) 34.39\nD) 29.88",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 36.65",
"B) 32.14",
"C) 34.39",
"D) 29.88"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "36.65",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 36.65\nB) 32.14\nC) 34.39\nD) 29.88",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 36.65",
"B) 32.14",
"C) 34.39",
"D) 29.88"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "36.65",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 40.41\nB) 44.92\nC) 38.15\nD) 47.18",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 40.41",
"B) 44.92",
"C) 38.15",
"D) 47.18"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "44.92",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 40.41\nB) 44.92\nC) 38.15\nD) 47.18",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 40.41",
"B) 44.92",
"C) 38.15",
"D) 47.18"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "44.92",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 51.85\nB) 42.82\nC) 45.08\nD) 49.59",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 51.85",
"B) 42.82",
"C) 45.08",
"D) 49.59"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "45.08",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 51.85\nB) 42.82\nC) 45.08\nD) 49.59",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 51.85",
"B) 42.82",
"C) 45.08",
"D) 49.59"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "45.08",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 47.34\nB) 51.85\nC) 42.82\nD) 45.08",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 47.34",
"B) 51.85",
"C) 42.82",
"D) 45.08"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "45.08",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 47.34\nB) 51.85\nC) 42.82\nD) 45.08",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 47.34",
"B) 51.85",
"C) 42.82",
"D) 45.08"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "45.08",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 45.08\nB) 40.57\nC) 47.34\nD) 42.82",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 45.08",
"B) 40.57",
"C) 47.34",
"D) 42.82"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "45.08",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 45.08\nB) 40.57\nC) 47.34\nD) 42.82",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 45.08",
"B) 40.57",
"C) 47.34",
"D) 42.82"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "45.08",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 49.59\nB) 45.08\nC) 51.85\nD) 40.57",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 49.59",
"B) 45.08",
"C) 51.85",
"D) 40.57"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "45.08",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 49.59\nB) 45.08\nC) 51.85\nD) 40.57",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 49.59",
"B) 45.08",
"C) 51.85",
"D) 40.57"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "45.08",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 5.33%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.14%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 5.33%",
"B) 4.56%",
"C) 4.75%",
"D) 5.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.75%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-5d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 5.33%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.14%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 5.33%",
"B) 4.56%",
"C) 4.75%",
"D) 5.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.75%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-5d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.36%\nD) 4.75%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.17%",
"B) 4.56%",
"C) 4.36%",
"D) 4.75%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.75%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-10d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.36%\nD) 4.75%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.17%",
"B) 4.56%",
"C) 4.36%",
"D) 4.75%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.75%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-10d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.36%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.75%",
"B) 5.33%",
"C) 4.17%",
"D) 4.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.75%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-20d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.36%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.75%",
"B) 5.33%",
"C) 4.17%",
"D) 4.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.75%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-20d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.56%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 5.33%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.56%",
"B) 4.75%",
"C) 4.17%",
"D) 5.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.75%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-40d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.56%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 5.33%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.56%",
"B) 4.75%",
"C) 4.17%",
"D) 5.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.75%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-40d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.94%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.17%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.94%",
"B) 4.56%",
"C) 4.75%",
"D) 4.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.75%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-60d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.94%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.17%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.94%",
"B) 4.56%",
"C) 4.75%",
"D) 4.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.75%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-60d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.36%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 4.75%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.36%",
"B) 4.94%",
"C) 5.14%",
"D) 4.75%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.75%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-120d-max",
"year": 2002
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.36%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 4.75%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2002-07-08",
"options": [
"A) 4.36%",
"B) 4.94%",
"C) 5.14%",
"D) 4.75%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.75%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal",
"event_date": "2002-07-09",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-120d-max",
"year": 2002
}
]