pre_test / *.parquet /mcq_2003.json
lfqian's picture
Fix per-year parquet schema (unify 17 cols, string types) for by_year splits
de9f149 verified
[
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 77.60\nB) 82.42\nC) 63.13\nD) 92.07",
"options": [
"A) 77.60",
"B) 82.42",
"C) 63.13",
"D) 92.07"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "77.60",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.73\nB) 87.70\nC) 72.79\nD) 102.61",
"options": [
"A) 82.73",
"B) 87.70",
"C) 72.79",
"D) 102.61"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "87.70",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.85%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.86%",
"options": [
"A) 0.85%",
"B) 1.46%",
"C) 1.25%",
"D) 1.86%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.68%\nB) 6.95%\nC) 7.37%\nD) 6.10%",
"options": [
"A) 5.68%",
"B) 6.95%",
"C) 7.37%",
"D) 6.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,726K\nB) 1,683K\nC) 1,640K\nD) 1,812K",
"options": [
"A) 1,726K",
"B) 1,683K",
"C) 1,640K",
"D) 1,812K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,726K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 208.30\nB) 193.70\nC) 187.86\nD) 202.46",
"options": [
"A) 208.30",
"B) 193.70",
"C) 187.86",
"D) 202.46"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "193.70",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.13%\nB) 7.92%\nC) 5.08%\nD) 6.98%",
"options": [
"A) 4.13%",
"B) 7.92%",
"C) 5.08%",
"D) 6.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,306B\nB) $6,525B\nC) $6,087B\nD) $5,868B",
"options": [
"A) $6,306B",
"B) $6,525B",
"C) $6,087B",
"D) $5,868B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$5,868B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.19%\nB) 1.17%\nC) -0.87%\nD) -1.56%",
"options": [
"A) -0.19%",
"B) 1.17%",
"C) -0.87%",
"D) -1.56%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.19%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20030615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2003-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2003-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) +3.45pp\nB) +2.00pp\nC) +1.52pp\nD) +0.55pp",
"options": [
"A) +3.45pp",
"B) +2.00pp",
"C) +1.52pp",
"D) +0.55pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+2.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.05%\nB) -2.71%\nC) 2.17%\nD) 0.54%",
"options": [
"A) 7.05%",
"B) -2.71%",
"C) 2.17%",
"D) 0.54%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.17%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $-48,628M\nB) $-38,449M\nC) $-31,663M\nD) $-41,842M",
"options": [
"A) $-48,628M",
"B) $-38,449M",
"C) $-31,663M",
"D) $-41,842M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$-41,842M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.00%\nB) 63.24%\nC) 60.14%\nD) 65.10%",
"options": [
"A) 62.00%",
"B) 63.24%",
"C) 60.14%",
"D) 65.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "62.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $-40,832M\nB) $-43,806M\nC) $-52,729M\nD) $-46,780M",
"options": [
"A) $-40,832M",
"B) $-43,806M",
"C) $-52,729M",
"D) $-46,780M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$-43,806M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20030615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2003-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2003-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 1,193.28\nB) 2,142.26\nC) 1,667.77\nD) 3,091.24",
"options": [
"A) 1,193.28",
"B) 2,142.26",
"C) 1,667.77",
"D) 3,091.24"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,667.77",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.84%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 5.94%\nD) 4.12%",
"options": [
"A) 6.84%",
"B) 2.31%",
"C) 5.94%",
"D) 4.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.12%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.25%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 4.04%\nD) 3.11%",
"options": [
"A) 1.25%",
"B) 2.18%",
"C) 4.04%",
"D) 3.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $721M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M",
"options": [
"A) $4,300,000M",
"B) $721M",
"C) $2,400,000M",
"D) $6,200,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$721M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20030615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2003-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2003-06-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.60%\nB) 4.04%\nC) 5.21%\nD) 6.38%",
"options": [
"A) 5.60%",
"B) 4.04%",
"C) 5.21%",
"D) 6.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.21%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -12.61pp\nB) +11.07pp\nC) -7.87pp\nD) +1.60pp",
"options": [
"A) -12.61pp",
"B) +11.07pp",
"C) -7.87pp",
"D) +1.60pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+1.60pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,939K\nB) 1,842K\nC) 2,036K\nD) 1,987K",
"options": [
"A) 1,939K",
"B) 1,842K",
"C) 2,036K",
"D) 1,987K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,939K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.66%\nB) 9.23%\nC) 10.53%\nD) 7.93%",
"options": [
"A) 9.66%",
"B) 9.23%",
"C) 10.53%",
"D) 7.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "9.23%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 149.39\nB) 124.77\nC) 137.08\nD) 118.61",
"options": [
"A) 149.39",
"B) 124.77",
"C) 137.08",
"D) 118.61"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "137.08",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.93%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 3.25%\nD) 2.59%",
"options": [
"A) 1.93%",
"B) 2.92%",
"C) 3.25%",
"D) 2.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.59%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 78.47\nB) 74.49\nC) 76.08\nD) 80.07",
"options": [
"A) 78.47",
"B) 74.49",
"C) 76.08",
"D) 80.07"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "78.47",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 151.60\nB) 141.20\nC) 147.44\nD) 137.04",
"options": [
"A) 151.60",
"B) 141.20",
"C) 147.44",
"D) 137.04"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "141.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 73.42\nB) 75.14\nC) 77.72\nD) 80.31",
"options": [
"A) 73.42",
"B) 75.14",
"C) 77.72",
"D) 80.31"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "77.72",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20030615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2003-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2003-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 4,688,135\nB) 3,032,910\nC) 4,026,045\nD) 3,695,000",
"options": [
"A) 4,688,135",
"B) 3,032,910",
"C) 4,026,045",
"D) 3,695,000"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3,695,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,961K\nB) 1,861K\nC) 2,011K\nD) 1,911K",
"options": [
"A) 1,961K",
"B) 1,861K",
"C) 2,011K",
"D) 1,911K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,961K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20030615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2003-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2003-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 450,961\nB) 421,000\nC) 331,116\nD) 361,078",
"options": [
"A) 450,961",
"B) 421,000",
"C) 331,116",
"D) 361,078"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "421,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 3.63%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 1.54%",
"options": [
"A) 3.21%",
"B) 3.63%",
"C) 2.38%",
"D) 1.54%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.38%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.38pp\nB) +3.78pp\nC) -0.41pp\nD) +0.98pp",
"options": [
"A) +2.38pp",
"B) +3.78pp",
"C) -0.41pp",
"D) +0.98pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.98pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 76.03%\nB) 74.39%\nC) 72.74%\nD) 80.95%",
"options": [
"A) 76.03%",
"B) 74.39%",
"C) 72.74%",
"D) 80.95%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "76.03%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 139.72\nB) 129.31\nC) 144.93\nD) 118.90",
"options": [
"A) 139.72",
"B) 129.31",
"C) 144.93",
"D) 118.90"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "129.31",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20030615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2003-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2003-06-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 25.21\nB) 22.72\nC) 20.22\nD) 15.23",
"options": [
"A) 25.21",
"B) 22.72",
"C) 20.22",
"D) 15.23"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "20.22",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20030615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2003-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2003-06-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.3131\nB) 1.0984\nC) 1.3989\nD) 1.1843",
"options": [
"A) 1.3131",
"B) 1.0984",
"C) 1.3989",
"D) 1.1843"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.1843",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 2.71%",
"options": [
"A) 2.46%",
"B) 1.96%",
"C) 3.21%",
"D) 2.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.46%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,312B\nB) $6,080B\nC) $6,336B\nD) $5,568B",
"options": [
"A) $5,312B",
"B) $6,080B",
"C) $6,336B",
"D) $5,568B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$6,080B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.16%\nB) 6.99%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 0.82%",
"options": [
"A) 13.16%",
"B) 6.99%",
"C) 3.90%",
"D) 0.82%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.45\nB) 75.40\nC) 80.27\nD) 78.32",
"options": [
"A) 73.45",
"B) 75.40",
"C) 80.27",
"D) 78.32"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "78.32",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.48%\nB) 3.86%\nC) -3.38%\nD) 11.10%",
"options": [
"A) 7.48%",
"B) 3.86%",
"C) -3.38%",
"D) 11.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7.48%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 6.25%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 8.00%",
"options": [
"A) 4.50%",
"B) 6.25%",
"C) 3.63%",
"D) 8.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 88.76\nB) 94.25\nC) 91.51\nD) 97.00",
"options": [
"A) 88.76",
"B) 94.25",
"C) 91.51",
"D) 97.00"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "91.51",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.01%\nB) 4.01%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 1.01%",
"options": [
"A) 2.01%",
"B) 4.01%",
"C) 3.01%",
"D) 1.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.01%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20030615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2003-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2003-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) $5,686B\nB) $5,494B\nC) $5,109B\nD) $5,878B",
"options": [
"A) $5,686B",
"B) $5,494B",
"C) $5,109B",
"D) $5,878B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$5,686B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $705M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M",
"options": [
"A) $4,300,000M",
"B) $705M",
"C) $6,200,000M",
"D) $2,400,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$705M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 3.04%\nD) 2.29%",
"options": [
"A) 2.79%",
"B) 3.53%",
"C) 3.04%",
"D) 2.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.04%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20030615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2003-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2003-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 15.05%\nB) 9.73%\nC) 12.39%\nD) 11.06%",
"options": [
"A) 15.05%",
"B) 9.73%",
"C) 12.39%",
"D) 11.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "11.06%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20030615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2003-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2003-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.47%\nB) 4.67%\nC) 4.06%\nD) 4.88%",
"options": [
"A) 4.47%",
"B) 4.67%",
"C) 4.06%",
"D) 4.88%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.47%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.05%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 6.28%\nD) 6.66%",
"options": [
"A) 7.05%",
"B) 5.90%",
"C) 6.28%",
"D) 6.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,377B\nB) $8,299B\nC) $8,569B\nD) $8,030B",
"options": [
"A) $9,377B",
"B) $8,299B",
"C) $8,569B",
"D) $8,030B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$8,569B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.90%\nB) 7.58%\nC) 10.03%\nD) 6.35%",
"options": [
"A) 3.90%",
"B) 7.58%",
"C) 10.03%",
"D) 6.35%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.35%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.03%\nB) 3.47%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.14%",
"options": [
"A) 3.03%",
"B) 3.47%",
"C) 2.58%",
"D) 2.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.03%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.78%\nB) 66.10%\nC) 62.79%\nD) 68.08%",
"options": [
"A) 64.78%",
"B) 66.10%",
"C) 62.79%",
"D) 68.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "66.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $307,224M\nB) $300,875M\nC) $288,177M\nD) $275,479M",
"options": [
"A) $307,224M",
"B) $300,875M",
"C) $288,177M",
"D) $275,479M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$288,177M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20030615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2003-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2003-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 80.70%\nB) -37.06%\nC) 33.60%\nD) 10.04%",
"options": [
"A) 80.70%",
"B) -37.06%",
"C) 33.60%",
"D) 10.04%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "10.04%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20030615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2003-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2003-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 3.33%\nD) 0.95%",
"options": [
"A) 2.14%",
"B) 1.55%",
"C) 3.33%",
"D) 0.95%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 78.09%\nB) 76.48%\nC) 73.27%\nD) 71.67%",
"options": [
"A) 78.09%",
"B) 76.48%",
"C) 73.27%",
"D) 71.67%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "76.48%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 14.98%\nB) 11.87%\nC) 8.76%\nD) -0.56%",
"options": [
"A) 14.98%",
"B) 11.87%",
"C) 8.76%",
"D) -0.56%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "8.76%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.19pp\nB) -1.54pp\nC) -1.81pp\nD) -1.00pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.19pp",
"B) -1.54pp",
"C) -1.81pp",
"D) -1.00pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-1.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.63%\nB) 7.60%\nC) -0.34%\nD) 2.31%",
"options": [
"A) 3.63%",
"B) 7.60%",
"C) -0.34%",
"D) 2.31%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.63%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 93.84\nB) 91.10\nC) 95.66\nD) 88.37",
"options": [
"A) 93.84",
"B) 91.10",
"C) 95.66",
"D) 88.37"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "91.10",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20030615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2003-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2003-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.71%\nB) 1.79%\nC) 0.87%\nD) 3.63%",
"options": [
"A) 2.71%",
"B) 1.79%",
"C) 0.87%",
"D) 3.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.87%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $16.15/hr\nB) $14.39/hr\nC) $13.80/hr\nD) $15.27/hr",
"options": [
"A) $16.15/hr",
"B) $14.39/hr",
"C) $13.80/hr",
"D) $15.27/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$15.27/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) -1.30%\nC) 10.45%\nD) -5.22%",
"options": [
"A) 2.62%",
"B) -1.30%",
"C) 10.45%",
"D) -5.22%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.62%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $15.09/hr\nB) $15.42/hr\nC) $14.44/hr\nD) $16.40/hr",
"options": [
"A) $15.09/hr",
"B) $15.42/hr",
"C) $14.44/hr",
"D) $16.40/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$15.42/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20030615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2003-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2003-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) $33.90/bbl\nB) $36.66/bbl\nC) $31.14/bbl\nD) $39.42/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $33.90/bbl",
"B) $36.66/bbl",
"C) $31.14/bbl",
"D) $39.42/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$31.14/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 179.18\nB) 191.02\nC) 196.95\nD) 185.10",
"options": [
"A) 179.18",
"B) 191.02",
"C) 196.95",
"D) 185.10"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "185.10",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 6.15%\nC) 4.48%\nD) 3.65%",
"options": [
"A) 4.90%",
"B) 6.15%",
"C) 4.48%",
"D) 3.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $305,994M\nB) $298,921M\nC) $284,775M\nD) $320,140M",
"options": [
"A) $305,994M",
"B) $298,921M",
"C) $284,775M",
"D) $320,140M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$298,921M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.19pp\nB) +0.48pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -1.28pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.19pp",
"B) +0.48pp",
"C) -0.40pp",
"D) -1.28pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20030615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2003-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2003-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.0286\nB) 7.7803\nC) 8.5252\nD) 8.2769",
"options": [
"A) 8.0286",
"B) 7.7803",
"C) 8.5252",
"D) 8.2769"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "8.2769",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20030615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2003-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2003-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 25.62%\nB) 68.86%\nC) 3.99%\nD) -39.25%",
"options": [
"A) 25.62%",
"B) 68.86%",
"C) 3.99%",
"D) -39.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "25.62%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.15pp\nB) +0.20pp\nC) +0.90pp\nD) +1.25pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.15pp",
"B) +0.20pp",
"C) +0.90pp",
"D) +1.25pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+0.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $7,832B\nB) $8,554B\nC) $8,313B\nD) $8,795B",
"options": [
"A) $7,832B",
"B) $8,554B",
"C) $8,313B",
"D) $8,795B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$8,313B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 133.93\nB) 145.35\nC) 149.91\nD) 138.50",
"options": [
"A) 133.93",
"B) 145.35",
"C) 149.91",
"D) 138.50"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "138.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $51,971M\nB) $45,699M\nC) $42,562M\nD) $61,380M",
"options": [
"A) $51,971M",
"B) $45,699M",
"C) $42,562M",
"D) $61,380M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$51,971M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20030615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2003-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2003-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) $19.35/bbl\nB) $27.50/bbl\nC) $32.93/bbl\nD) $35.65/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $19.35/bbl",
"B) $27.50/bbl",
"C) $32.93/bbl",
"D) $35.65/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$27.50/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $61,114M\nB) $42,400M\nC) $51,757M\nD) $45,519M",
"options": [
"A) $61,114M",
"B) $42,400M",
"C) $51,757M",
"D) $45,519M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$51,757M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,033B\nB) $8,244B\nC) $6,979B\nD) $7,612B",
"options": [
"A) $8,033B",
"B) $8,244B",
"C) $6,979B",
"D) $7,612B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$7,612B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.57pp\nB) +0.19pp\nC) -1.19pp\nD) +5.72pp",
"options": [
"A) +1.57pp",
"B) +0.19pp",
"C) -1.19pp",
"D) +5.72pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+1.57pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $190,190M\nB) $178,690M\nC) $161,440M\nD) $184,440M",
"options": [
"A) $190,190M",
"B) $178,690M",
"C) $161,440M",
"D) $184,440M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$178,690M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20030615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2003-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2003-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) -51.27%\nB) -9.87%\nC) 10.83%\nD) 72.94%",
"options": [
"A) -51.27%",
"B) -9.87%",
"C) 10.83%",
"D) 72.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "10.83%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.61%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.04%\nD) 4.90%",
"options": [
"A) 3.61%",
"B) 5.33%",
"C) 4.04%",
"D) 4.90%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 1.54%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 1.65%",
"options": [
"A) 1.77%",
"B) 1.54%",
"C) 2.11%",
"D) 1.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.77%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.10%\nB) 8.78%\nC) 4.14%\nD) 13.43%",
"options": [
"A) 11.10%",
"B) 8.78%",
"C) 4.14%",
"D) 13.43%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "8.78%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.09%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 1.86%",
"options": [
"A) 2.09%",
"B) 1.40%",
"C) 1.74%",
"D) 1.86%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.74%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.72pp\nB) +0.08pp\nC) +1.05pp\nD) +0.40pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.72pp",
"B) +0.08pp",
"C) +1.05pp",
"D) +0.40pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 183.90\nB) 173.18\nC) 178.54\nD) 191.94",
"options": [
"A) 183.90",
"B) 173.18",
"C) 178.54",
"D) 191.94"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "183.90",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.51\nB) 79.11\nC) 81.81\nD) 77.31",
"options": [
"A) 75.51",
"B) 79.11",
"C) 81.81",
"D) 77.31"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "79.11",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.34%\nB) 5.97%\nC) 5.09%\nD) 7.72%",
"options": [
"A) 3.34%",
"B) 5.97%",
"C) 5.09%",
"D) 7.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.70%\nB) 2.00%\nC) 5.35%\nD) 7.03%",
"options": [
"A) 8.70%",
"B) 2.00%",
"C) 5.35%",
"D) 7.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "7.03%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.94%\nB) -2.08%\nC) 5.47%\nD) -0.57%",
"options": [
"A) 0.94%",
"B) -2.08%",
"C) 5.47%",
"D) -0.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.89%\nB) 7.10%\nC) 10.77%\nD) 3.44%",
"options": [
"A) -3.89%",
"B) 7.10%",
"C) 10.77%",
"D) 3.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "7.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,092B\nB) $7,377B\nC) $7,854B\nD) $7,139B",
"options": [
"A) $8,092B",
"B) $7,377B",
"C) $7,854B",
"D) $7,139B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$7,854B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.27%\nB) 65.52%\nC) 60.53%\nD) 62.40%",
"options": [
"A) 64.27%",
"B) 65.52%",
"C) 60.53%",
"D) 62.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "62.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.24%\nC) 1.69%\nD) 1.13%",
"options": [
"A) 1.46%",
"B) 1.24%",
"C) 1.69%",
"D) 1.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.46%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.40pp\nB) -0.30pp\nC) -0.51pp\nD) -0.09pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.40pp",
"B) -0.30pp",
"C) -0.51pp",
"D) -0.09pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.57%\nB) 1.82%\nC) -0.37%\nD) 0.36%",
"options": [
"A) -2.57%",
"B) 1.82%",
"C) -0.37%",
"D) 0.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.37%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.05%\nB) 6.69%\nC) 8.73%\nD) 7.37%",
"options": [
"A) 8.05%",
"B) 6.69%",
"C) 8.73%",
"D) 7.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "7.37%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -18.10pp\nB) -28.02pp\nC) -8.18pp\nD) -13.14pp",
"options": [
"A) -18.10pp",
"B) -28.02pp",
"C) -8.18pp",
"D) -13.14pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-18.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $160,302M\nB) $172,245M\nC) $184,188M\nD) $178,216M",
"options": [
"A) $160,302M",
"B) $172,245M",
"C) $184,188M",
"D) $178,216M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$172,245M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.87%\nB) 12.10%\nC) 5.12%\nD) 1.62%",
"options": [
"A) -1.87%",
"B) 12.10%",
"C) 5.12%",
"D) 1.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.12%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20030615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2003-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2003-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.34%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 2.86%\nD) 1.18%",
"options": [
"A) 0.34%",
"B) 2.02%",
"C) 2.86%",
"D) 1.18%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.18%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -0.70pp\nD) -0.80pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.60pp",
"B) -0.50pp",
"C) -0.70pp",
"D) -0.80pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.60pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20030615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2003-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2003-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 121.7672\nB) 117.7900\nC) 105.8585\nD) 129.7215",
"options": [
"A) 121.7672",
"B) 117.7900",
"C) 105.8585",
"D) 129.7215"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "117.7900",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.91%\nB) 9.06%\nC) 5.98%\nD) 10.60%",
"options": [
"A) 2.91%",
"B) 9.06%",
"C) 5.98%",
"D) 10.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.98%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.12%\nB) 5.93%\nC) 8.85%\nD) 6.66%",
"options": [
"A) 8.12%",
"B) 5.93%",
"C) 8.85%",
"D) 6.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.66%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 1.21%\nD) 1.52%",
"options": [
"A) 2.14%",
"B) 1.83%",
"C) 1.21%",
"D) 1.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.10%\nB) 8.07%\nC) 23.15%\nD) -7.00%",
"options": [
"A) 13.10%",
"B) 8.07%",
"C) 23.15%",
"D) -7.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "8.07%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,797K\nB) 1,717K\nC) 1,757K\nD) 1,877K",
"options": [
"A) 1,797K",
"B) 1,717K",
"C) 1,757K",
"D) 1,877K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,757K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 25.02%\nC) -6.50%\nD) 9.26%",
"options": [
"A) 4.00%",
"B) 25.02%",
"C) -6.50%",
"D) 9.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "9.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.69%\nB) 0.14%\nC) 6.96%\nD) -2.14%",
"options": [
"A) 4.69%",
"B) 0.14%",
"C) 6.96%",
"D) -2.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20030901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 126,344K\nB) 130,252K\nC) 132,857K\nD) 136,765K",
"options": [
"A) 126,344K",
"B) 130,252K",
"C) 132,857K",
"D) 136,765K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "130,252K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 134,142K\nB) 136,747K\nC) 130,235K\nD) 126,328K",
"options": [
"A) 134,142K",
"B) 136,747K",
"C) 130,235K",
"D) 126,328K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "130,235K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.37%\nB) 10.93%\nC) 10.07%\nD) 9.65%",
"options": [
"A) 8.37%",
"B) 10.93%",
"C) 10.07%",
"D) 9.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "9.65%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 192.50\nB) 181.80\nC) 200.53\nD) 187.15",
"options": [
"A) 192.50",
"B) 181.80",
"C) 200.53",
"D) 187.15"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "192.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20030301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2003",
"info_cutoff": "2003-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 68.29%\nB) 66.30%\nC) 64.31%\nD) 62.32%",
"options": [
"A) 68.29%",
"B) 66.30%",
"C) 64.31%",
"D) 62.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "66.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20030615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2003-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2003-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.38%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 3.18%\nD) 2.38%",
"options": [
"A) 4.38%",
"B) 3.98%",
"C) 3.18%",
"D) 2.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.18%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.15/bbl\nB) $37.69/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $29.15/bbl",
"B) $37.69/bbl",
"C) $31.29/bbl",
"D) $33.42/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.15/bbl\nB) $37.69/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $29.15/bbl",
"B) $37.69/bbl",
"C) $31.29/bbl",
"D) $33.42/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $39.82/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $35.55/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $33.42/bbl",
"B) $39.82/bbl",
"C) $31.29/bbl",
"D) $35.55/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $39.82/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $35.55/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $33.42/bbl",
"B) $39.82/bbl",
"C) $31.29/bbl",
"D) $35.55/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $33.42/bbl\nC) $29.15/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $39.82/bbl",
"B) $33.42/bbl",
"C) $29.15/bbl",
"D) $27.02/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $33.42/bbl\nC) $29.15/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $39.82/bbl",
"B) $33.42/bbl",
"C) $29.15/bbl",
"D) $27.02/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $31.29/bbl\nC) $33.42/bbl\nD) $29.15/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $39.82/bbl",
"B) $31.29/bbl",
"C) $33.42/bbl",
"D) $29.15/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $31.29/bbl\nC) $33.42/bbl\nD) $29.15/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $39.82/bbl",
"B) $31.29/bbl",
"C) $33.42/bbl",
"D) $29.15/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $31.29/bbl\nB) $35.55/bbl\nC) $29.15/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $31.29/bbl",
"B) $35.55/bbl",
"C) $29.15/bbl",
"D) $33.42/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $31.29/bbl\nB) $35.55/bbl\nC) $29.15/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $31.29/bbl",
"B) $35.55/bbl",
"C) $29.15/bbl",
"D) $33.42/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $35.55/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $33.42/bbl",
"B) $35.55/bbl",
"C) $31.29/bbl",
"D) $27.02/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $35.55/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $33.42/bbl",
"B) $35.55/bbl",
"C) $31.29/bbl",
"D) $27.02/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.52/bbl\nB) $25.59/bbl\nC) $19.70/bbl\nD) $21.66/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $29.52/bbl",
"B) $25.59/bbl",
"C) $19.70/bbl",
"D) $21.66/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.52/bbl\nB) $25.59/bbl\nC) $19.70/bbl\nD) $21.66/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $29.52/bbl",
"B) $25.59/bbl",
"C) $19.70/bbl",
"D) $21.66/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $19.70/bbl\nB) $21.66/bbl\nC) $25.59/bbl\nD) $23.63/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $19.70/bbl",
"B) $21.66/bbl",
"C) $25.59/bbl",
"D) $23.63/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $19.70/bbl\nB) $21.66/bbl\nC) $25.59/bbl\nD) $23.63/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $19.70/bbl",
"B) $21.66/bbl",
"C) $25.59/bbl",
"D) $23.63/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $26.35/bbl\nB) $18.50/bbl\nC) $20.46/bbl\nD) $24.39/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $26.35/bbl",
"B) $18.50/bbl",
"C) $20.46/bbl",
"D) $24.39/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$24.39/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $26.35/bbl\nB) $18.50/bbl\nC) $20.46/bbl\nD) $24.39/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $26.35/bbl",
"B) $18.50/bbl",
"C) $20.46/bbl",
"D) $24.39/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$24.39/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $23.23/bbl\nB) $27.16/bbl\nC) $29.12/bbl\nD) $25.19/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $23.23/bbl",
"B) $27.16/bbl",
"C) $29.12/bbl",
"D) $25.19/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $23.23/bbl\nB) $27.16/bbl\nC) $29.12/bbl\nD) $25.19/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $23.23/bbl",
"B) $27.16/bbl",
"C) $29.12/bbl",
"D) $25.19/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.16/bbl\nB) $23.23/bbl\nC) $25.19/bbl\nD) $29.12/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $27.16/bbl",
"B) $23.23/bbl",
"C) $25.19/bbl",
"D) $29.12/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.16/bbl\nB) $23.23/bbl\nC) $25.19/bbl\nD) $29.12/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $27.16/bbl",
"B) $23.23/bbl",
"C) $25.19/bbl",
"D) $29.12/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.16/bbl\nB) $29.12/bbl\nC) $23.23/bbl\nD) $21.27/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $27.16/bbl",
"B) $29.12/bbl",
"C) $23.23/bbl",
"D) $21.27/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.16/bbl\nB) $29.12/bbl\nC) $23.23/bbl\nD) $21.27/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) $27.16/bbl",
"B) $29.12/bbl",
"C) $23.23/bbl",
"D) $21.27/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 19.11\nB) 31.27\nC) 22.15\nD) 28.23",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 19.11",
"B) 31.27",
"C) 22.15",
"D) 28.23"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "28.23",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 19.11\nB) 31.27\nC) 22.15\nD) 28.23",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 19.11",
"B) 31.27",
"C) 22.15",
"D) 28.23"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "28.23",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 27.75\nB) 18.63\nC) 36.87\nD) 33.83",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 27.75",
"B) 18.63",
"C) 36.87",
"D) 33.83"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "27.75",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 27.75\nB) 18.63\nC) 36.87\nD) 33.83",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 27.75",
"B) 18.63",
"C) 36.87",
"D) 33.83"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "27.75",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 28.60\nB) 22.52\nC) 31.64\nD) 16.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 28.60",
"B) 22.52",
"C) 31.64",
"D) 16.44"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "22.52",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 28.60\nB) 22.52\nC) 31.64\nD) 16.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 28.60",
"B) 22.52",
"C) 31.64",
"D) 16.44"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "22.52",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 16.20\nB) 28.36\nC) 19.24\nD) 10.12",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 16.20",
"B) 28.36",
"C) 19.24",
"D) 10.12"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "19.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 16.20\nB) 28.36\nC) 19.24\nD) 10.12",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 16.20",
"B) 28.36",
"C) 19.24",
"D) 10.12"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "19.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 12.32\nB) 9.28\nC) 21.44\nD) 18.40",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 12.32",
"B) 9.28",
"C) 21.44",
"D) 18.40"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "18.40",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 12.32\nB) 9.28\nC) 21.44\nD) 18.40",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 12.32",
"B) 9.28",
"C) 21.44",
"D) 18.40"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "18.40",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 17.75\nB) 23.83\nC) 8.63\nD) 20.79",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 17.75",
"B) 23.83",
"C) 8.63",
"D) 20.79"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "17.75",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 17.75\nB) 23.83\nC) 8.63\nD) 20.79",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 17.75",
"B) 23.83",
"C) 8.63",
"D) 20.79"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "17.75",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,520.26\nB) 1,368.37\nC) 1,216.48\nD) 1,672.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 1,520.26",
"B) 1,368.37",
"C) 1,216.48",
"D) 1,672.14"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1,368.37",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,520.26\nB) 1,368.37\nC) 1,216.48\nD) 1,672.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 1,520.26",
"B) 1,368.37",
"C) 1,216.48",
"D) 1,672.14"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1,368.37",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,812.03\nB) 1,508.26\nC) 1,356.37\nD) 1,052.60",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 1,812.03",
"B) 1,508.26",
"C) 1,356.37",
"D) 1,052.60"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,356.37",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,812.03\nB) 1,508.26\nC) 1,356.37\nD) 1,052.60",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 1,812.03",
"B) 1,508.26",
"C) 1,356.37",
"D) 1,052.60"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,356.37",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,809.40\nB) 1,049.97\nC) 1,201.85\nD) 1,353.74",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 1,809.40",
"B) 1,049.97",
"C) 1,201.85",
"D) 1,353.74"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,353.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,809.40\nB) 1,049.97\nC) 1,201.85\nD) 1,353.74",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 1,809.40",
"B) 1,049.97",
"C) 1,201.85",
"D) 1,353.74"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,353.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,353.74\nB) 1,201.85\nC) 1,809.40\nD) 1,657.51",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 1,353.74",
"B) 1,201.85",
"C) 1,809.40",
"D) 1,657.51"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,353.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,353.74\nB) 1,201.85\nC) 1,809.40\nD) 1,657.51",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 1,353.74",
"B) 1,201.85",
"C) 1,809.40",
"D) 1,657.51"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,353.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,809.40\nB) 1,353.74\nC) 1,505.63\nD) 1,049.97",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 1,809.40",
"B) 1,353.74",
"C) 1,505.63",
"D) 1,049.97"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1,353.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,809.40\nB) 1,353.74\nC) 1,505.63\nD) 1,049.97",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 1,809.40",
"B) 1,353.74",
"C) 1,505.63",
"D) 1,049.97"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1,353.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,505.63\nB) 1,049.97\nC) 1,353.74\nD) 1,201.85",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 1,505.63",
"B) 1,049.97",
"C) 1,353.74",
"D) 1,201.85"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,353.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min",
"year": 2003
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,505.63\nB) 1,049.97\nC) 1,353.74\nD) 1,201.85",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2003-03-18",
"options": [
"A) 1,505.63",
"B) 1,049.97",
"C) 1,353.74",
"D) 1,201.85"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,353.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Iraq War begins",
"event_date": "2003-03-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min",
"year": 2003
}
]