pre_test / *.parquet /mcq_2008.json
lfqian's picture
Fix per-year parquet schema (unify 17 cols, string types) for by_year splits
de9f149 verified
[
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) $112.80/bbl\nB) $134.52/bbl\nC) $123.66/bbl\nD) $167.10/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $112.80/bbl",
"B) $134.52/bbl",
"C) $123.66/bbl",
"D) $167.10/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$134.52/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) +1.23pp\nB) +1.06pp\nC) +0.70pp\nD) +0.88pp",
"options": [
"A) +1.23pp",
"B) +1.06pp",
"C) +0.70pp",
"D) +0.88pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+0.70pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 133,878K\nB) 142,640K\nC) 130,958K\nD) 138,259K",
"options": [
"A) 133,878K",
"B) 142,640K",
"C) 130,958K",
"D) 138,259K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "138,259K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.73%\nB) 4.82%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 4.45%",
"options": [
"A) 3.73%",
"B) 4.82%",
"C) 3.01%",
"D) 4.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.73%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 14.33\nB) 20.95\nC) 18.74\nD) 23.16",
"options": [
"A) 14.33",
"B) 20.95",
"C) 18.74",
"D) 23.16"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "20.95",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 186.99\nB) 177.45\nC) 167.90\nD) 139.26",
"options": [
"A) 186.99",
"B) 177.45",
"C) 167.90",
"D) 139.26"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "167.90",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 188.82\nB) 213.07\nC) 172.65\nD) 196.90",
"options": [
"A) 188.82",
"B) 213.07",
"C) 172.65",
"D) 196.90"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "196.90",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) 378,000\nB) 421,763\nC) 334,237\nD) 348,825",
"options": [
"A) 378,000",
"B) 421,763",
"C) 334,237",
"D) 348,825"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "378,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.89%\nB) -8.13%\nC) -5.84%\nD) -9.66%",
"options": [
"A) -8.89%",
"B) -8.13%",
"C) -5.84%",
"D) -9.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-8.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 84.32%\nB) 137.86%\nC) 97.71%\nD) 111.09%",
"options": [
"A) 84.32%",
"B) 137.86%",
"C) 97.71%",
"D) 111.09%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "97.71%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.85%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 4.45%\nD) 4.25%",
"options": [
"A) 4.85%",
"B) 3.65%",
"C) 4.45%",
"D) 4.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $10,035B\nB) $8,932B\nC) $11,139B\nD) $9,300B",
"options": [
"A) $10,035B",
"B) $8,932B",
"C) $11,139B",
"D) $9,300B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$10,035B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 204.66\nB) 213.45\nC) 222.23\nD) 209.06",
"options": [
"A) 204.66",
"B) 213.45",
"C) 222.23",
"D) 209.06"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "213.45",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.31%\nB) -2.28%\nC) -4.96%\nD) 3.08%",
"options": [
"A) -10.31%",
"B) -2.28%",
"C) -4.96%",
"D) 3.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-4.96%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) $122.88/bbl\nB) $166.96/bbl\nC) $100.84/bbl\nD) $133.90/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $122.88/bbl",
"B) $166.96/bbl",
"C) $100.84/bbl",
"D) $133.90/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$133.90/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) $8,696B\nB) $8,214B\nC) $10,140B\nD) $9,659B",
"options": [
"A) $8,696B",
"B) $8,214B",
"C) $10,140B",
"D) $9,659B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$8,696B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.13%\nB) 3.90%\nC) 4.49%\nD) 5.08%",
"options": [
"A) 2.13%",
"B) 3.90%",
"C) 4.49%",
"D) 5.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -23.94%\nB) -31.67%\nC) -39.41%\nD) -16.20%",
"options": [
"A) -23.94%",
"B) -31.67%",
"C) -39.41%",
"D) -16.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-39.41%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,281K\nB) 810K\nC) 496K\nD) 967K",
"options": [
"A) 1,281K",
"B) 810K",
"C) 496K",
"D) 967K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "967K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.72pp\nB) -6.06pp\nC) -4.76pp\nD) -7.37pp",
"options": [
"A) -6.72pp",
"B) -6.06pp",
"C) -4.76pp",
"D) -7.37pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-6.72pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $370,411M\nB) $358,991M\nC) $393,251M\nD) $347,571M",
"options": [
"A) $370,411M",
"B) $358,991M",
"C) $393,251M",
"D) $347,571M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$358,991M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 228.48\nB) 214.08\nC) 218.88\nD) 209.28",
"options": [
"A) 228.48",
"B) 214.08",
"C) 218.88",
"D) 209.28"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "218.88",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 63.12\nB) 66.31\nC) 79.07\nD) 69.50",
"options": [
"A) 63.12",
"B) 66.31",
"C) 79.07",
"D) 69.50"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "69.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 62.70%\nB) 60.82%\nC) 64.58%\nD) 65.84%",
"options": [
"A) 62.70%",
"B) 60.82%",
"C) 64.58%",
"D) 65.84%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "62.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.61%\nB) -0.97%\nC) -0.25%\nD) -1.33%",
"options": [
"A) -0.61%",
"B) -0.97%",
"C) -0.25%",
"D) -1.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.97%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,157K\nB) 1,309K\nC) 1,005K\nD) 549K",
"options": [
"A) 1,157K",
"B) 1,309K",
"C) 1,005K",
"D) 549K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,005K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.36\nB) 92.17\nC) 84.06\nD) 88.12",
"options": [
"A) 81.36",
"B) 92.17",
"C) 84.06",
"D) 88.12"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "88.12",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.77%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 4.45%",
"options": [
"A) 4.77%",
"B) 5.25%",
"C) 4.29%",
"D) 4.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.77%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.18pp\nB) +1.23pp\nC) +2.17pp\nD) +2.64pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.18pp",
"B) +1.23pp",
"C) +2.17pp",
"D) +2.64pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+1.23pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 12.25%\nB) 8.45%\nC) 10.99%\nD) 13.52%",
"options": [
"A) 12.25%",
"B) 8.45%",
"C) 10.99%",
"D) 13.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "10.99%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.46%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 3.19%",
"options": [
"A) 3.46%",
"B) 2.65%",
"C) 2.38%",
"D) 3.19%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.19%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -36.80%\nB) -28.16%\nC) -54.07%\nD) -62.71%",
"options": [
"A) -36.80%",
"B) -28.16%",
"C) -54.07%",
"D) -62.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-36.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $18.62/hr\nB) $18.20/hr\nC) $16.93/hr\nD) $17.78/hr",
"options": [
"A) $18.62/hr",
"B) $18.20/hr",
"C) $16.93/hr",
"D) $17.78/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$18.20/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 68.08%\nB) 64.12%\nC) 66.10%\nD) 69.41%",
"options": [
"A) 68.08%",
"B) 64.12%",
"C) 66.10%",
"D) 69.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "66.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,739.25\nB) 2,210.31\nC) 2,078.07\nD) 2,474.78",
"options": [
"A) 2,739.25",
"B) 2,210.31",
"C) 2,078.07",
"D) 2,474.78"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,474.78",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,057,000\nB) 2,560,109\nC) 3,222,630\nD) 2,725,739",
"options": [
"A) 3,057,000",
"B) 2,560,109",
"C) 3,222,630",
"D) 2,725,739"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3,057,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $18.25/hr\nB) $17.87/hr\nC) $18.64/hr\nD) $19.02/hr",
"options": [
"A) $18.25/hr",
"B) $17.87/hr",
"C) $18.64/hr",
"D) $19.02/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$17.87/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 2.90%\nD) 4.80%",
"options": [
"A) 1.00%",
"B) 1.63%",
"C) 2.90%",
"D) 4.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.81%\nB) 6.49%\nC) 6.66%\nD) 6.32%",
"options": [
"A) 5.81%",
"B) 6.49%",
"C) 6.66%",
"D) 6.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.32%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 88.64\nB) 96.73\nC) 91.87\nD) 83.78",
"options": [
"A) 88.64",
"B) 96.73",
"C) 91.87",
"D) 83.78"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "88.64",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $377,933M\nB) $365,164M\nC) $339,626M\nD) $403,470M",
"options": [
"A) $377,933M",
"B) $365,164M",
"C) $339,626M",
"D) $403,470M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$365,164M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 65.00%\nB) 63.76%\nC) 61.90%\nD) 60.04%",
"options": [
"A) 65.00%",
"B) 63.76%",
"C) 61.90%",
"D) 60.04%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "61.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -40.94%\nB) -24.61%\nC) -57.28%\nD) -32.78%",
"options": [
"A) -40.94%",
"B) -24.61%",
"C) -57.28%",
"D) -32.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-32.78%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 7.24%\nC) -2.59%\nD) 9.70%",
"options": [
"A) 2.33%",
"B) 7.24%",
"C) -2.59%",
"D) 9.70%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.33%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -17.74%\nB) -9.61%\nC) -21.80%\nD) -1.48%",
"options": [
"A) -17.74%",
"B) -9.61%",
"C) -21.80%",
"D) -1.48%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-9.61%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.43%\nB) 0.39%\nC) -1.69%\nD) -3.78%",
"options": [
"A) 1.43%",
"B) 0.39%",
"C) -1.69%",
"D) -3.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-1.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 140,863K\nB) 129,922K\nC) 134,025K\nD) 136,760K",
"options": [
"A) 140,863K",
"B) 129,922K",
"C) 134,025K",
"D) 136,760K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "136,760K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 88.11%\nB) 125.53%\nC) 75.64%\nD) 113.06%",
"options": [
"A) 88.11%",
"B) 125.53%",
"C) 75.64%",
"D) 113.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "88.11%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.59pp\nB) -1.00pp\nC) -1.21pp\nD) -0.79pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.59pp",
"B) -1.00pp",
"C) -1.21pp",
"D) -0.79pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-1.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.37pp\nB) -0.12pp\nC) +0.00pp\nD) +0.12pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.37pp",
"B) -0.12pp",
"C) +0.00pp",
"D) +0.12pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+0.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 2.01%\nD) 2.44%",
"options": [
"A) 1.79%",
"B) 2.22%",
"C) 2.01%",
"D) 2.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.44%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.95%\nB) 4.01%\nC) 3.54%\nD) 5.90%",
"options": [
"A) 4.95%",
"B) 4.01%",
"C) 3.54%",
"D) 5.90%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.95%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -28.20pp\nB) -18.90pp\nC) -9.60pp\nD) -14.25pp",
"options": [
"A) -28.20pp",
"B) -18.90pp",
"C) -9.60pp",
"D) -14.25pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-18.90pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.96%\nB) 1.73%\nC) -0.61%\nD) 6.43%",
"options": [
"A) -2.96%",
"B) 1.73%",
"C) -0.61%",
"D) 6.43%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.61%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.29%\nB) 9.88%\nC) 18.90%\nD) 13.49%",
"options": [
"A) 15.29%",
"B) 9.88%",
"C) 18.90%",
"D) 13.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "13.49%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $7,670B\nB) $8,392B\nC) $8,151B\nD) $6,948B",
"options": [
"A) $7,670B",
"B) $8,392B",
"C) $8,151B",
"D) $6,948B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$7,670B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 116.7217\nB) 108.1900\nC) 111.0339\nD) 102.5022",
"options": [
"A) 116.7217",
"B) 108.1900",
"C) 111.0339",
"D) 102.5022"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "108.1900",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,084B\nB) $10,218B\nC) $10,964B\nD) $9,844B",
"options": [
"A) $12,084B",
"B) $10,218B",
"C) $10,964B",
"D) $9,844B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$10,964B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.14%\nB) 3.09%\nC) -0.95%\nD) 1.47%",
"options": [
"A) -0.14%",
"B) 3.09%",
"C) -0.95%",
"D) 1.47%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.47%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $63,854M\nB) $60,996M\nC) $55,279M\nD) $58,137M",
"options": [
"A) $63,854M",
"B) $60,996M",
"C) $55,279M",
"D) $58,137M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$63,854M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 76.04%\nB) 80.54%\nC) 82.34%\nD) 77.84%",
"options": [
"A) 76.04%",
"B) 80.54%",
"C) 82.34%",
"D) 77.84%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "80.54%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.49%\nC) 2.76%\nD) 3.18%",
"options": [
"A) 2.33%",
"B) 1.49%",
"C) 2.76%",
"D) 3.18%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.76%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 69.77%\nB) 71.99%\nC) 76.45%\nD) 74.22%",
"options": [
"A) 69.77%",
"B) 71.99%",
"C) 76.45%",
"D) 74.22%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "74.22%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.70%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 2.47%",
"options": [
"A) 3.70%",
"B) 4.94%",
"C) 2.88%",
"D) 2.47%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 84.71\nB) 87.35\nC) 93.94\nD) 89.99",
"options": [
"A) 84.71",
"B) 87.35",
"C) 93.94",
"D) 89.99"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "87.35",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.16%\nB) 2.62%\nC) 2.39%\nD) 1.93%",
"options": [
"A) 2.16%",
"B) 2.62%",
"C) 2.39%",
"D) 1.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.39%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.16pp\nB) -30.92pp\nC) -19.04pp\nD) -13.10pp",
"options": [
"A) -7.16pp",
"B) -30.92pp",
"C) -19.04pp",
"D) -13.10pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-13.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 87.39\nB) 85.17\nC) 80.71\nD) 82.94",
"options": [
"A) 87.39",
"B) 85.17",
"C) 80.71",
"D) 82.94"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "87.39",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.86pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) -1.67pp\nD) +1.36pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.86pp",
"B) -0.16pp",
"C) -1.67pp",
"D) +1.36pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.16pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 206.39\nB) 227.03\nC) 216.71\nD) 199.51",
"options": [
"A) 206.39",
"B) 227.03",
"C) 216.71",
"D) 199.51"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "216.71",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,038B\nB) $9,397B\nC) $10,835B\nD) $10,116B",
"options": [
"A) $9,038B",
"B) $9,397B",
"C) $10,835B",
"D) $10,116B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$10,116B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $10,765B\nB) $9,687B\nC) $11,844B\nD) $10,406B",
"options": [
"A) $10,765B",
"B) $9,687B",
"C) $11,844B",
"D) $10,406B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$10,765B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.73%\nB) 6.20%\nC) 7.13%\nD) 6.67%",
"options": [
"A) 5.73%",
"B) 6.20%",
"C) 7.13%",
"D) 6.67%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,136B\nB) $8,400B\nC) $7,872B\nD) $7,082B",
"options": [
"A) $8,136B",
"B) $8,400B",
"C) $7,872B",
"D) $7,082B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$7,872B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 59.86\nB) 54.64\nC) 85.96\nD) 70.30",
"options": [
"A) 59.86",
"B) 54.64",
"C) 85.96",
"D) 70.30"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "70.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.40pp\nB) +1.65pp\nC) +2.15pp\nD) +1.90pp",
"options": [
"A) +1.40pp",
"B) +1.65pp",
"C) +2.15pp",
"D) +1.90pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+1.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.71%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 3.38%\nD) -1.08%",
"options": [
"A) 0.71%",
"B) 1.60%",
"C) 3.38%",
"D) -1.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.83%\nB) 8.36%\nC) 7.59%\nD) 6.07%",
"options": [
"A) 6.83%",
"B) 8.36%",
"C) 7.59%",
"D) 6.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "7.59%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -57.59%\nB) -48.62%\nC) -3.78%\nD) -30.68%",
"options": [
"A) -57.59%",
"B) -48.62%",
"C) -3.78%",
"D) -30.68%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-30.68%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 1.00%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 3.42%",
"options": [
"A) 1.81%",
"B) 1.00%",
"C) 2.62%",
"D) 3.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.81%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 219K\nB) 820K\nC) 1,421K\nD) 419K",
"options": [
"A) 219K",
"B) 820K",
"C) 1,421K",
"D) 419K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "820K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $-72,920M\nB) $-64,440M\nC) $-60,200M\nD) $-47,480M",
"options": [
"A) $-72,920M",
"B) $-64,440M",
"C) $-60,200M",
"D) $-47,480M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$-60,200M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 3.96%\nD) 3.67%",
"options": [
"A) 2.78%",
"B) 3.37%",
"C) 3.96%",
"D) 3.67%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.67%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.97%\nB) 4.38%\nC) 5.19%\nD) 3.57%",
"options": [
"A) 3.97%",
"B) 4.38%",
"C) 5.19%",
"D) 3.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.97%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.34%\nB) 6.10%\nC) 5.86%\nD) 6.82%",
"options": [
"A) 6.34%",
"B) 6.10%",
"C) 5.86%",
"D) 6.82%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 375K\nB) 1,219K\nC) 797K\nD) 1,429K",
"options": [
"A) 375K",
"B) 1,219K",
"C) 797K",
"D) 1,429K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "797K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.38%\nB) 67.98%\nC) 64.02%\nD) 66.00%",
"options": [
"A) 61.38%",
"B) 67.98%",
"C) 64.02%",
"D) 66.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "66.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 187.90\nB) 174.88\nC) 200.92\nD) 207.43",
"options": [
"A) 187.90",
"B) 174.88",
"C) 200.92",
"D) 207.43"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "187.90",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 4.71%",
"options": [
"A) 5.84%",
"B) 4.14%",
"C) 3.01%",
"D) 4.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.17%\nB) 3.64%\nC) 4.41%\nD) 3.26%",
"options": [
"A) 5.17%",
"B) 3.64%",
"C) 4.41%",
"D) 3.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.41%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) -5.95%\nB) -9.90%\nC) -8.58%\nD) -7.27%",
"options": [
"A) -5.95%",
"B) -9.90%",
"C) -8.58%",
"D) -7.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-7.27%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.35%\nB) -8.84%\nC) 1.97%\nD) 4.14%",
"options": [
"A) -2.35%",
"B) -8.84%",
"C) 1.97%",
"D) 4.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-2.35%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.4939\nB) 1.5472\nC) 1.4407\nD) 1.6537",
"options": [
"A) 1.4939",
"B) 1.5472",
"C) 1.4407",
"D) 1.6537"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.5472",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.92%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 1.80%",
"options": [
"A) 1.92%",
"B) 2.29%",
"C) 2.04%",
"D) 1.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.04%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.93%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 5.66%\nD) 5.10%",
"options": [
"A) 5.93%",
"B) 4.27%",
"C) 5.66%",
"D) 5.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) -5.78%\nB) -29.81%\nC) -21.80%\nD) 2.22%",
"options": [
"A) -5.78%",
"B) -29.81%",
"C) -21.80%",
"D) 2.22%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-5.78%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.00pp\nB) -0.60pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -0.80pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.00pp",
"B) -0.60pp",
"C) -0.40pp",
"D) -0.80pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.60pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.5141\nB) 7.2681\nC) 6.8911\nD) 6.3255",
"options": [
"A) 6.5141",
"B) 7.2681",
"C) 6.8911",
"D) 6.3255"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.8911",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.65\nB) 86.81\nC) 93.69\nD) 90.25",
"options": [
"A) 81.65",
"B) 86.81",
"C) 93.69",
"D) 90.25"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "90.25",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $-60,292M\nB) $-63,782M\nC) $-67,272M\nD) $-56,802M",
"options": [
"A) $-60,292M",
"B) $-63,782M",
"C) $-67,272M",
"D) $-56,802M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$-60,292M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.02pp\nB) -0.10pp\nC) -0.47pp\nD) +0.27pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.02pp",
"B) -0.10pp",
"C) -0.47pp",
"D) +0.27pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $225,005M\nB) $195,725M\nC) $215,245M\nD) $205,485M",
"options": [
"A) $225,005M",
"B) $195,725M",
"C) $215,245M",
"D) $205,485M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$215,245M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $213,149M\nB) $224,008M\nC) $202,289M\nD) $234,868M",
"options": [
"A) $213,149M",
"B) $224,008M",
"C) $202,289M",
"D) $234,868M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$234,868M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.02%\nB) 2.41%\nC) 4.84%\nD) 4.23%",
"options": [
"A) 3.02%",
"B) 2.41%",
"C) 4.84%",
"D) 4.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.02%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 3.77%\nC) 2.97%\nD) 3.37%",
"options": [
"A) 4.18%",
"B) 3.77%",
"C) 2.97%",
"D) 3.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.77%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.97%\nB) 5.38%\nC) 4.18%\nD) 3.58%",
"options": [
"A) 5.97%",
"B) 5.38%",
"C) 4.18%",
"D) 3.58%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.18%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.42%\nB) 8.74%\nC) 8.16%\nD) 7.00%",
"options": [
"A) 6.42%",
"B) 8.74%",
"C) 8.16%",
"D) 7.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "7.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 161.91\nB) 154.47\nC) 139.59\nD) 176.79",
"options": [
"A) 161.91",
"B) 154.47",
"C) 139.59",
"D) 176.79"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "161.91",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 0.57%\nC) -0.90%\nD) -0.41%",
"options": [
"A) 1.55%",
"B) 0.57%",
"C) -0.90%",
"D) -0.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.57%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 98.77\nB) 88.80\nC) 93.79\nD) 102.10",
"options": [
"A) 98.77",
"B) 88.80",
"C) 93.79",
"D) 102.10"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "93.79",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.75%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 2.61%",
"options": [
"A) 1.75%",
"B) 5.20%",
"C) 4.33%",
"D) 2.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.61%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $66,526M\nB) $60,422M\nC) $63,474M\nD) $75,682M",
"options": [
"A) $66,526M",
"B) $60,422M",
"C) $63,474M",
"D) $75,682M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$66,526M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -1.54%\nB) -7.84%\nC) -4.69%\nD) -11.00%",
"options": [
"A) -1.54%",
"B) -7.84%",
"C) -4.69%",
"D) -11.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-7.84%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.04%\nB) 1.11%\nC) 0.34%\nD) 1.49%",
"options": [
"A) -0.04%",
"B) 1.11%",
"C) 0.34%",
"D) 1.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.34%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20080615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2008-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.50%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 2.07%",
"options": [
"A) 0.50%",
"B) 2.86%",
"C) 1.28%",
"D) 2.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.07%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $833M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M",
"options": [
"A) $833M",
"B) $2,400,000M",
"C) $4,300,000M",
"D) $6,200,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$833M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.18%\nB) 9.95%\nC) 12.26%\nD) 11.49%",
"options": [
"A) 9.18%",
"B) 9.95%",
"C) 12.26%",
"D) 11.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "9.95%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 2.17%\nD) 2.32%",
"options": [
"A) 2.47%",
"B) 2.02%",
"C) 2.17%",
"D) 2.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.17%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 230.75\nB) 220.95\nC) 204.62\nD) 214.42",
"options": [
"A) 230.75",
"B) 220.95",
"C) 204.62",
"D) 214.42"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "214.42",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20080301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 101.53\nB) 107.22\nC) 111.01\nD) 97.74",
"options": [
"A) 101.53",
"B) 107.22",
"C) 111.01",
"D) 97.74"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "101.53",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20080901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2008",
"info_cutoff": "2008-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $910M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M",
"options": [
"A) $2,400,000M",
"B) $910M",
"C) $4,300,000M",
"D) $6,200,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$910M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 23.77\nB) 37.89\nC) 32.24\nD) 40.71",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 23.77",
"B) 37.89",
"C) 32.24",
"D) 40.71"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "32.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 23.77\nB) 37.89\nC) 32.24\nD) 40.71",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 23.77",
"B) 37.89",
"C) 32.24",
"D) 40.71"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "32.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 35.06\nC) 26.59\nD) 32.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 40.71",
"B) 35.06",
"C) 26.59",
"D) 32.24"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "32.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 35.06\nC) 26.59\nD) 32.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 40.71",
"B) 35.06",
"C) 26.59",
"D) 32.24"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "32.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 32.24\nB) 29.42\nC) 35.06\nD) 23.77",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 32.24",
"B) 29.42",
"C) 35.06",
"D) 23.77"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "32.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 32.24\nB) 29.42\nC) 35.06\nD) 23.77",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 32.24",
"B) 29.42",
"C) 35.06",
"D) 23.77"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "32.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 32.24\nC) 35.06\nD) 26.59",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 40.71",
"B) 32.24",
"C) 35.06",
"D) 26.59"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "32.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 32.24\nC) 35.06\nD) 26.59",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 40.71",
"B) 32.24",
"C) 35.06",
"D) 26.59"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "32.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 23.77\nC) 32.24\nD) 37.89",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 40.71",
"B) 23.77",
"C) 32.24",
"D) 37.89"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "32.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 23.77\nC) 32.24\nD) 37.89",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 40.71",
"B) 23.77",
"C) 32.24",
"D) 37.89"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "32.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 26.59\nC) 29.42\nD) 32.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 40.71",
"B) 26.59",
"C) 29.42",
"D) 32.24"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "32.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 26.59\nC) 29.42\nD) 32.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 40.71",
"B) 26.59",
"C) 29.42",
"D) 32.24"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "32.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.18%\nC) 3.77%\nD) 3.35%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 3.56%",
"B) 4.18%",
"C) 3.77%",
"D) 3.35%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.56%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.18%\nC) 3.77%\nD) 3.35%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 3.56%",
"B) 4.18%",
"C) 3.77%",
"D) 3.35%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.56%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 3.14%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 4.18%",
"B) 3.56%",
"C) 2.94%",
"D) 3.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.56%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 3.14%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 4.18%",
"B) 3.56%",
"C) 2.94%",
"D) 3.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.56%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 3.82%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 4.23%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 2.99%",
"B) 3.82%",
"C) 3.61%",
"D) 4.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.61%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 3.82%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 4.23%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 2.99%",
"B) 3.82%",
"C) 3.61%",
"D) 4.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.61%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 3.93%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 4.14%",
"B) 3.72%",
"C) 4.35%",
"D) 3.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.93%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 3.93%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 4.14%",
"B) 3.72%",
"C) 4.35%",
"D) 3.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.93%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 4.32%\nD) 4.73%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 4.11%",
"B) 3.49%",
"C) 4.32%",
"D) 4.73%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.11%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 4.32%\nD) 4.73%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 4.11%",
"B) 3.49%",
"C) 4.32%",
"D) 4.73%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.11%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 3.65%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 4.48%",
"B) 4.27%",
"C) 3.85%",
"D) 3.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.27%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-120d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 3.65%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 4.48%",
"B) 4.27%",
"C) 3.85%",
"D) 3.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.27%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-120d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,464.99\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 1,889.03",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 2,464.99",
"B) 2,081.02",
"C) 2,177.01",
"D) 1,889.03"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,177.01",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,464.99\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 1,889.03",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 2,464.99",
"B) 2,081.02",
"C) 2,177.01",
"D) 1,889.03"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,177.01",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,464.99\nD) 2,177.01",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 2,369.00",
"B) 2,081.02",
"C) 2,464.99",
"D) 2,177.01"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,177.01",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,464.99\nD) 2,177.01",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 2,369.00",
"B) 2,081.02",
"C) 2,464.99",
"D) 2,177.01"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,177.01",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,177.01\nB) 2,273.00\nC) 2,369.00\nD) 1,889.03",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 2,177.01",
"B) 2,273.00",
"C) 2,369.00",
"D) 1,889.03"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,177.01",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,177.01\nB) 2,273.00\nC) 2,369.00\nD) 1,889.03",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 2,177.01",
"B) 2,273.00",
"C) 2,369.00",
"D) 1,889.03"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,177.01",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,177.01\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,081.02",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 2,369.00",
"B) 2,177.01",
"C) 1,985.02",
"D) 2,081.02"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,177.01",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,177.01\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,081.02",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 2,369.00",
"B) 2,177.01",
"C) 1,985.02",
"D) 2,081.02"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,177.01",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,273.00\nB) 1,985.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 1,889.03",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 2,273.00",
"B) 1,985.02",
"C) 2,177.01",
"D) 1,889.03"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,177.01",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,273.00\nB) 1,985.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 1,889.03",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 2,273.00",
"B) 1,985.02",
"C) 2,177.01",
"D) 1,889.03"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,177.01",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 1,889.03\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,177.01",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 2,369.00",
"B) 1,889.03",
"C) 1,985.02",
"D) 2,177.01"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,177.01",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 1,889.03\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,177.01",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 2,369.00",
"B) 1,889.03",
"C) 1,985.02",
"D) 2,177.01"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,177.01",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.81%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 1.35%",
"B) 2.26%",
"C) 0.89%",
"D) 1.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.35%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-5d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.81%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 1.35%",
"B) 2.26%",
"C) 0.89%",
"D) 1.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.35%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-5d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 1.81%",
"B) 1.35%",
"C) 2.26%",
"D) 2.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.35%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-10d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 1.81%",
"B) 1.35%",
"C) 2.26%",
"D) 2.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.35%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-10d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 0.44%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 2.72%",
"B) 2.26%",
"C) 1.35%",
"D) 0.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.35%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-20d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 0.44%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 2.72%",
"B) 2.26%",
"C) 1.35%",
"D) 0.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.35%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-20d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 0.89%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.35%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 2.26%",
"B) 0.89%",
"C) 1.81%",
"D) 1.35%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.35%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-40d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 0.89%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.35%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 2.26%",
"B) 0.89%",
"C) 1.81%",
"D) 1.35%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.35%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-40d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.81%\nC) 0.44%\nD) 0.89%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 1.35%",
"B) 1.81%",
"C) 0.44%",
"D) 0.89%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.35%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-60d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.81%\nC) 0.44%\nD) 0.89%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 1.35%",
"B) 1.81%",
"C) 0.44%",
"D) 0.89%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.35%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-60d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 0.44%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 0.44%",
"B) 1.35%",
"C) 2.26%",
"D) 2.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.35%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-120d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 0.44%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2008-03-14",
"options": [
"A) 0.44%",
"B) 1.35%",
"C) 2.26%",
"D) 2.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.35%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue",
"event_date": "2008-03-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-120d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 39.06\nC) 30.30\nD) 36.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 24.46",
"B) 39.06",
"C) 30.30",
"D) 36.14"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "30.30",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 39.06\nC) 30.30\nD) 36.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 24.46",
"B) 39.06",
"C) 30.30",
"D) 36.14"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "30.30",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 27.38\nB) 36.14\nC) 21.54\nD) 30.30",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 27.38",
"B) 36.14",
"C) 21.54",
"D) 30.30"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "30.30",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 27.38\nB) 36.14\nC) 21.54\nD) 30.30",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 27.38",
"B) 36.14",
"C) 21.54",
"D) 30.30"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "30.30",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 30.30\nB) 24.46\nC) 36.14\nD) 21.54",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 30.30",
"B) 24.46",
"C) 36.14",
"D) 21.54"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "30.30",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 30.30\nB) 24.46\nC) 36.14\nD) 21.54",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 30.30",
"B) 24.46",
"C) 36.14",
"D) 21.54"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "30.30",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 39.06\nB) 30.30\nC) 36.14\nD) 27.38",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 39.06",
"B) 30.30",
"C) 36.14",
"D) 27.38"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "30.30",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 39.06\nB) 30.30\nC) 36.14\nD) 27.38",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 39.06",
"B) 30.30",
"C) 36.14",
"D) 27.38"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "30.30",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 27.38\nC) 30.30\nD) 36.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 24.46",
"B) 27.38",
"C) 30.30",
"D) 36.14"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "30.30",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 27.38\nC) 30.30\nD) 36.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 24.46",
"B) 27.38",
"C) 30.30",
"D) 36.14"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "30.30",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 36.14\nB) 33.22\nC) 27.38\nD) 30.30",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 36.14",
"B) 33.22",
"C) 27.38",
"D) 30.30"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "30.30",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 36.14\nB) 33.22\nC) 27.38\nD) 30.30",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 36.14",
"B) 33.22",
"C) 27.38",
"D) 30.30"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "30.30",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 4.53%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 3.60%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 3.83%",
"B) 4.53%",
"C) 4.29%",
"D) 3.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.83%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 4.53%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 3.60%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 3.83%",
"B) 4.53%",
"C) 4.29%",
"D) 3.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.83%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.42%\nD) 4.58%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 4.11%",
"B) 3.88%",
"C) 3.42%",
"D) 4.58%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.88%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.42%\nD) 4.58%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 4.11%",
"B) 3.88%",
"C) 3.42%",
"D) 4.58%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.88%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 4.78%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 4.31%",
"B) 3.38%",
"C) 4.08%",
"D) 4.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.08%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 4.78%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 4.31%",
"B) 3.38%",
"C) 4.08%",
"D) 4.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.08%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.38%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 4.08%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 3.38%",
"B) 4.78%",
"C) 4.31%",
"D) 4.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.08%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.38%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 4.08%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 3.38%",
"B) 4.78%",
"C) 4.31%",
"D) 4.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.08%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.62%\nC) 4.78%\nD) 3.38%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 4.08%",
"B) 3.62%",
"C) 4.78%",
"D) 3.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.08%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.62%\nC) 4.78%\nD) 3.38%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 4.08%",
"B) 3.62%",
"C) 4.78%",
"D) 3.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.08%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 4.78%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 4.31%",
"B) 4.08%",
"C) 3.62%",
"D) 4.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.08%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-120d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 4.78%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 4.31%",
"B) 4.08%",
"C) 3.62%",
"D) 4.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.08%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-120d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,127.68\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,273.90\nD) 2,200.79",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 2,127.68",
"B) 2,054.57",
"C) 2,273.90",
"D) 2,200.79"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,273.90",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,127.68\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,273.90\nD) 2,200.79",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 2,127.68",
"B) 2,054.57",
"C) 2,273.90",
"D) 2,200.79"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,273.90",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,127.68\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,420.12\nD) 2,273.90",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 2,127.68",
"B) 2,054.57",
"C) 2,420.12",
"D) 2,273.90"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,273.90",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,127.68\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,420.12\nD) 2,273.90",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 2,127.68",
"B) 2,054.57",
"C) 2,420.12",
"D) 2,273.90"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,273.90",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,273.90\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,127.68\nD) 2,420.12",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 2,273.90",
"B) 2,054.57",
"C) 2,127.68",
"D) 2,420.12"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,273.90",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,273.90\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,127.68\nD) 2,420.12",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 2,273.90",
"B) 2,054.57",
"C) 2,127.68",
"D) 2,420.12"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,273.90",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,420.12\nB) 2,273.90\nC) 2,493.23\nD) 2,054.57",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 2,420.12",
"B) 2,273.90",
"C) 2,493.23",
"D) 2,054.57"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,273.90",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,420.12\nB) 2,273.90\nC) 2,493.23\nD) 2,054.57",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 2,420.12",
"B) 2,273.90",
"C) 2,493.23",
"D) 2,054.57"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,273.90",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,420.12\nB) 2,493.23\nC) 2,273.90\nD) 2,200.79",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 2,420.12",
"B) 2,493.23",
"C) 2,273.90",
"D) 2,200.79"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,273.90",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,420.12\nB) 2,493.23\nC) 2,273.90\nD) 2,200.79",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 2,420.12",
"B) 2,493.23",
"C) 2,273.90",
"D) 2,200.79"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,273.90",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,347.01\nB) 2,200.79\nC) 2,127.68\nD) 2,273.90",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 2,347.01",
"B) 2,200.79",
"C) 2,127.68",
"D) 2,273.90"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,273.90",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,347.01\nB) 2,200.79\nC) 2,127.68\nD) 2,273.90",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 2,347.01",
"B) 2,200.79",
"C) 2,127.68",
"D) 2,273.90"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,273.90",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.03%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.76%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 0.03%",
"B) 2.23%",
"C) 1.49%",
"D) 0.76%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.03%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.03%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.76%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 0.03%",
"B) 2.23%",
"C) 1.49%",
"D) 0.76%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.03%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) 0.03%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 2.23%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 0.76%",
"B) 0.03%",
"C) 1.49%",
"D) 2.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.03%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) 0.03%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 2.23%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 0.76%",
"B) 0.03%",
"C) 1.49%",
"D) 2.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.03%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 0.03%\nD) 1.49%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 0.76%",
"B) 2.23%",
"C) 0.03%",
"D) 1.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.03%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 0.03%\nD) 1.49%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 0.76%",
"B) 2.23%",
"C) 0.03%",
"D) 1.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.03%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 0.76%\nD) 0.03%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 1.49%",
"B) 2.23%",
"C) 0.76%",
"D) 0.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.03%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 0.76%\nD) 0.03%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 1.49%",
"B) 2.23%",
"C) 0.76%",
"D) 0.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.03%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.00%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 0.73%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 0.00%",
"B) 1.46%",
"C) 2.20%",
"D) 0.73%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.00%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.00%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 0.73%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 0.00%",
"B) 1.46%",
"C) 2.20%",
"D) 0.73%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.00%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 0.73%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 1.46%",
"B) 0.00%",
"C) 2.20%",
"D) 0.73%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.00%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 0.73%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 1.46%",
"B) 0.00%",
"C) 2.20%",
"D) 0.73%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.00%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 0.39%\nD) 2.49%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-01",
"options": [
"A) 1.79%",
"B) 1.09%",
"C) 0.39%",
"D) 2.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.39%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 0.39%\nD) 2.49%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-01",
"options": [
"A) 1.79%",
"B) 1.09%",
"C) 0.39%",
"D) 2.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.39%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 0.16%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-01",
"options": [
"A) 0.86%",
"B) 1.56%",
"C) 2.26%",
"D) 0.16%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.16%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 0.16%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-01",
"options": [
"A) 0.86%",
"B) 1.56%",
"C) 2.26%",
"D) 0.16%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.16%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 2.25%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 1.55%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-01",
"options": [
"A) 0.15%",
"B) 2.25%",
"C) 0.85%",
"D) 1.55%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.15%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 2.25%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 1.55%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-01",
"options": [
"A) 0.15%",
"B) 2.25%",
"C) 0.85%",
"D) 1.55%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.15%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 100.6454\nB) 107.1800\nC) 113.7146\nD) 116.9818",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 100.6454",
"B) 107.1800",
"C) 113.7146",
"D) 116.9818"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "107.1800",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 100.6454\nB) 107.1800\nC) 113.7146\nD) 116.9818",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 100.6454",
"B) 107.1800",
"C) 113.7146",
"D) 116.9818"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "107.1800",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 103.9127\nB) 97.3782\nC) 107.1800\nD) 100.6454",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 103.9127",
"B) 97.3782",
"C) 107.1800",
"D) 100.6454"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "107.1800",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 103.9127\nB) 97.3782\nC) 107.1800\nD) 100.6454",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 103.9127",
"B) 97.3782",
"C) 107.1800",
"D) 100.6454"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "107.1800",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 110.4473\nB) 116.9818\nC) 100.6454\nD) 107.1800",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 110.4473",
"B) 116.9818",
"C) 100.6454",
"D) 107.1800"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "107.1800",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 110.4473\nB) 116.9818\nC) 100.6454\nD) 107.1800",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 110.4473",
"B) 116.9818",
"C) 100.6454",
"D) 107.1800"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "107.1800",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 107.1800\nB) 97.3782\nC) 100.6454\nD) 116.9818",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 107.1800",
"B) 97.3782",
"C) 100.6454",
"D) 116.9818"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "107.1800",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 107.1800\nB) 97.3782\nC) 100.6454\nD) 116.9818",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 107.1800",
"B) 97.3782",
"C) 100.6454",
"D) 116.9818"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "107.1800",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 113.7146\nB) 107.1800\nC) 116.9818\nD) 110.4473",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 113.7146",
"B) 107.1800",
"C) 116.9818",
"D) 110.4473"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "107.1800",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 113.7146\nB) 107.1800\nC) 116.9818\nD) 110.4473",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 113.7146",
"B) 107.1800",
"C) 116.9818",
"D) 110.4473"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "107.1800",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 110.4473\nB) 113.7146\nC) 107.1800\nD) 103.9127",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 110.4473",
"B) 113.7146",
"C) 107.1800",
"D) 103.9127"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "107.1800",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 110.4473\nB) 113.7146\nC) 107.1800\nD) 103.9127",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-12",
"options": [
"A) 110.4473",
"B) 113.7146",
"C) 107.1800",
"D) 103.9127"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "107.1800",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy",
"event_date": "2008-09-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,314.78\nB) 1,943.28\nC) 2,240.48\nD) 2,091.88",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 2,314.78",
"B) 1,943.28",
"C) 2,240.48",
"D) 2,091.88"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,091.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,314.78\nB) 1,943.28\nC) 2,240.48\nD) 2,091.88",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 2,314.78",
"B) 1,943.28",
"C) 2,240.48",
"D) 2,091.88"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,091.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.88\nB) 2,017.58\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 1,943.28",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 2,091.88",
"B) 2,017.58",
"C) 2,314.78",
"D) 1,943.28"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,091.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.88\nB) 2,017.58\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 1,943.28",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 2,091.88",
"B) 2,017.58",
"C) 2,314.78",
"D) 1,943.28"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,091.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,868.98\nB) 2,091.88\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 2,017.58",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 1,868.98",
"B) 2,091.88",
"C) 2,314.78",
"D) 2,017.58"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,091.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,868.98\nB) 2,091.88\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 2,017.58",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 1,868.98",
"B) 2,091.88",
"C) 2,314.78",
"D) 2,017.58"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,091.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,240.48\nB) 2,314.78\nC) 2,091.88\nD) 1,943.28",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 2,240.48",
"B) 2,314.78",
"C) 2,091.88",
"D) 1,943.28"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,091.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,240.48\nB) 2,314.78\nC) 2,091.88\nD) 1,943.28",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 2,240.48",
"B) 2,314.78",
"C) 2,091.88",
"D) 1,943.28"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,091.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,868.98\nB) 2,017.58\nC) 2,240.48\nD) 2,091.88",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 1,868.98",
"B) 2,017.58",
"C) 2,240.48",
"D) 2,091.88"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,091.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,868.98\nB) 2,017.58\nC) 2,240.48\nD) 2,091.88",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 1,868.98",
"B) 2,017.58",
"C) 2,240.48",
"D) 2,091.88"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,091.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.88\nB) 1,868.98\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 2,017.58",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 2,091.88",
"B) 1,868.98",
"C) 2,314.78",
"D) 2,017.58"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,091.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.88\nB) 1,868.98\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 2,017.58",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 2,091.88",
"B) 1,868.98",
"C) 2,314.78",
"D) 2,017.58"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,091.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 55.12\nB) 52.05\nC) 61.25\nD) 45.92",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 55.12",
"B) 52.05",
"C) 61.25",
"D) 45.92"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "52.05",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 55.12\nB) 52.05\nC) 61.25\nD) 45.92",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 55.12",
"B) 52.05",
"C) 61.25",
"D) 45.92"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "52.05",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 66.88\nB) 76.08\nC) 69.95\nD) 73.02",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 66.88",
"B) 76.08",
"C) 69.95",
"D) 73.02"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "69.95",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 66.88\nB) 76.08\nC) 69.95\nD) 73.02",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 66.88",
"B) 76.08",
"C) 69.95",
"D) 73.02"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "69.95",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 70.86\nB) 83.13\nC) 89.26\nD) 80.06",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 70.86",
"B) 83.13",
"C) 89.26",
"D) 80.06"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "80.06",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 70.86\nB) 83.13\nC) 89.26\nD) 80.06",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 70.86",
"B) 83.13",
"C) 89.26",
"D) 80.06"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "80.06",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 80.86\nB) 74.73\nC) 77.79\nD) 86.99",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 80.86",
"B) 74.73",
"C) 77.79",
"D) 86.99"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "80.86",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 80.86\nB) 74.73\nC) 77.79\nD) 86.99",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 80.86",
"B) 74.73",
"C) 77.79",
"D) 86.99"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "80.86",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 83.93\nB) 80.86\nC) 86.99\nD) 71.66",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 83.93",
"B) 80.86",
"C) 86.99",
"D) 71.66"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "80.86",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 83.93\nB) 80.86\nC) 86.99\nD) 71.66",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 83.93",
"B) 80.86",
"C) 86.99",
"D) 71.66"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "80.86",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 86.99\nB) 71.66\nC) 80.86\nD) 77.79",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 86.99",
"B) 71.66",
"C) 80.86",
"D) 77.79"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "80.86",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 86.99\nB) 71.66\nC) 80.86\nD) 77.79",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 86.99",
"B) 71.66",
"C) 80.86",
"D) 77.79"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "80.86",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.09%\nD) 3.85%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 3.14%",
"B) 4.32%",
"C) 4.09%",
"D) 3.85%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.85%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.09%\nD) 3.85%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 3.14%",
"B) 4.32%",
"C) 4.09%",
"D) 3.85%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.85%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 4.55%\nD) 3.37%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 4.08%",
"B) 3.61%",
"C) 4.55%",
"D) 3.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.08%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 4.55%\nD) 3.37%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 4.08%",
"B) 3.61%",
"C) 4.55%",
"D) 3.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.08%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 3.61%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 3.84%",
"B) 4.08%",
"C) 3.37%",
"D) 3.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.08%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 3.61%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 3.84%",
"B) 4.08%",
"C) 3.37%",
"D) 3.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.08%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.32%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 3.61%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 4.32%",
"B) 3.37%",
"C) 4.08%",
"D) 3.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.08%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.32%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 3.61%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 4.32%",
"B) 3.37%",
"C) 4.08%",
"D) 3.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.08%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 4.79%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 4.08%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 4.55%",
"B) 4.79%",
"C) 3.37%",
"D) 4.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.08%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 4.79%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 4.08%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 4.55%",
"B) 4.79%",
"C) 3.37%",
"D) 4.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.08%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.79%\nD) 3.61%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 4.08%",
"B) 4.32%",
"C) 4.79%",
"D) 3.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.08%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-120d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.79%\nD) 3.61%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29",
"info_cutoff": "2008-09-26",
"options": [
"A) 4.08%",
"B) 4.32%",
"C) 4.79%",
"D) 3.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.08%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "TARP rejected by House",
"event_date": "2008-09-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-120d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 3.23%\nD) 2.75%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 3.48%",
"B) 2.99%",
"C) 3.23%",
"D) 2.75%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.99%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 3.23%\nD) 2.75%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 3.48%",
"B) 2.99%",
"C) 3.23%",
"D) 2.75%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.99%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 3.72%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 3.23%",
"B) 3.48%",
"C) 2.99%",
"D) 3.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.99%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 3.72%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 3.23%",
"B) 3.48%",
"C) 2.99%",
"D) 3.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.99%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 2.75%\nD) 2.99%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 3.23%",
"B) 2.26%",
"C) 2.75%",
"D) 2.99%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.99%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 2.75%\nD) 2.99%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 3.23%",
"B) 2.26%",
"C) 2.75%",
"D) 2.99%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.99%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 2.50%\nD) 3.72%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 2.99%",
"B) 2.75%",
"C) 2.50%",
"D) 3.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.99%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 2.50%\nD) 3.72%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 2.99%",
"B) 2.75%",
"C) 2.50%",
"D) 3.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.99%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 3.07%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 3.31%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 3.56%",
"B) 3.07%",
"C) 2.58%",
"D) 3.31%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.07%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 3.07%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 3.31%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 3.56%",
"B) 3.07%",
"C) 2.58%",
"D) 3.31%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.07%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.05%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 3.29%\nD) 4.02%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 3.05%",
"B) 3.53%",
"C) 3.29%",
"D) 4.02%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.29%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-120d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.05%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 3.29%\nD) 4.02%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 3.05%",
"B) 3.53%",
"C) 3.29%",
"D) 4.02%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.29%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-120d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 1.09%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 2.33%",
"B) 1.71%",
"C) 0.47%",
"D) 1.09%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.09%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 1.09%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 2.33%",
"B) 1.71%",
"C) 0.47%",
"D) 1.09%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.09%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 2.33%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 1.09%",
"B) 1.71%",
"C) 2.95%",
"D) 2.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.09%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 2.33%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 1.09%",
"B) 1.71%",
"C) 2.95%",
"D) 2.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.09%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 1.71%\nD) 2.95%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 2.33%",
"B) 1.09%",
"C) 1.71%",
"D) 2.95%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.09%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 1.71%\nD) 2.95%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 2.33%",
"B) 1.09%",
"C) 1.71%",
"D) 2.95%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.09%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.09%\nD) 1.71%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 0.47%",
"B) 2.33%",
"C) 1.09%",
"D) 1.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.09%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.09%\nD) 1.71%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 0.47%",
"B) 2.33%",
"C) 1.09%",
"D) 1.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.09%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 1.09%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 2.33%",
"B) 1.71%",
"C) 2.95%",
"D) 1.09%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.09%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 1.09%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 2.33%",
"B) 1.71%",
"C) 2.95%",
"D) 1.09%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.09%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 2.95%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 1.09%",
"B) 1.71%",
"C) 2.33%",
"D) 2.95%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.09%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-120d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 2.95%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 1.09%",
"B) 1.71%",
"C) 2.33%",
"D) 2.95%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.09%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-120d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.34%\nB) 5.47%\nC) 5.08%\nD) 5.86%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-20",
"options": [
"A) 5.34%",
"B) 5.47%",
"C) 5.08%",
"D) 5.86%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.47%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.34%\nB) 5.47%\nC) 5.08%\nD) 5.86%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-20",
"options": [
"A) 5.34%",
"B) 5.47%",
"C) 5.08%",
"D) 5.86%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.47%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.27%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 5.53%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-20",
"options": [
"A) 5.27%",
"B) 5.40%",
"C) 5.14%",
"D) 5.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.14%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.27%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 5.53%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-20",
"options": [
"A) 5.27%",
"B) 5.40%",
"C) 5.14%",
"D) 5.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.14%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) 5.09%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 4.96%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-20",
"options": [
"A) 4.57%",
"B) 5.09%",
"C) 4.83%",
"D) 4.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.96%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) 5.09%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 4.96%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-20",
"options": [
"A) 4.57%",
"B) 5.09%",
"C) 4.83%",
"D) 4.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.96%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.96%\nB) 4.83%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 4.57%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-20",
"options": [
"A) 4.96%",
"B) 4.83%",
"C) 4.70%",
"D) 4.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.96%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.96%\nB) 4.83%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 4.57%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-20",
"options": [
"A) 4.96%",
"B) 4.83%",
"C) 4.70%",
"D) 4.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.96%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.04%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 5.17%\nD) 4.52%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-20",
"options": [
"A) 5.04%",
"B) 4.78%",
"C) 5.17%",
"D) 4.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.78%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.04%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 5.17%\nD) 4.52%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-20",
"options": [
"A) 5.04%",
"B) 4.78%",
"C) 5.17%",
"D) 4.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.78%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.0429\nB) 1.4268\nC) 1.2828\nD) 1.1388",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 1.0429",
"B) 1.4268",
"C) 1.2828",
"D) 1.1388"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.2828",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.0429\nB) 1.4268\nC) 1.2828\nD) 1.1388",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 1.0429",
"B) 1.4268",
"C) 1.2828",
"D) 1.1388"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.2828",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.3984\nB) 1.0625\nC) 1.1584\nD) 1.3024",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 1.3984",
"B) 1.0625",
"C) 1.1584",
"D) 1.3024"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.3024",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.3984\nB) 1.0625\nC) 1.1584\nD) 1.3024",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 1.3984",
"B) 1.0625",
"C) 1.1584",
"D) 1.3024"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.3024",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.4358\nB) 1.5798\nC) 1.1959\nD) 1.2918",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 1.4358",
"B) 1.5798",
"C) 1.1959",
"D) 1.2918"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.4358",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.4358\nB) 1.5798\nC) 1.1959\nD) 1.2918",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 1.4358",
"B) 1.5798",
"C) 1.1959",
"D) 1.2918"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.4358",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5798\nB) 1.4358\nC) 1.6757\nD) 1.2918",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 1.5798",
"B) 1.4358",
"C) 1.6757",
"D) 1.2918"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.4358",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5798\nB) 1.4358\nC) 1.6757\nD) 1.2918",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 1.5798",
"B) 1.4358",
"C) 1.6757",
"D) 1.2918"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.4358",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5318\nB) 1.2918\nC) 1.4358\nD) 1.6277",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 1.5318",
"B) 1.2918",
"C) 1.4358",
"D) 1.6277"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.4358",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5318\nB) 1.2918\nC) 1.4358\nD) 1.6277",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 1.5318",
"B) 1.2918",
"C) 1.4358",
"D) 1.6277"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.4358",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.2918\nB) 1.6757\nC) 1.5318\nD) 1.4358",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 1.2918",
"B) 1.6757",
"C) 1.5318",
"D) 1.4358"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.4358",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max",
"year": 2008
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.2918\nB) 1.6757\nC) 1.5318\nD) 1.4358",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25",
"info_cutoff": "2008-11-24",
"options": [
"A) 1.2918",
"B) 1.6757",
"C) 1.5318",
"D) 1.4358"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.4358",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Fed announces QE1",
"event_date": "2008-11-25",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max",
"year": 2008
}
]