pre_test / *.parquet /mcq_2011.json
lfqian's picture
Fix per-year parquet schema (unify 17 cols, string types) for by_year splits
de9f149 verified
[
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $-60,852M\nB) $-43,477M\nC) $-31,894M\nD) $-37,685M",
"options": [
"A) $-60,852M",
"B) $-43,477M",
"C) $-31,894M",
"D) $-37,685M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$-43,477M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) -2.22%\nB) 4.80%\nC) 0.12%\nD) 2.46%",
"options": [
"A) -2.22%",
"B) 4.80%",
"C) 0.12%",
"D) 2.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.12%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -35.63%\nB) -25.64%\nC) 4.33%\nD) -5.66%",
"options": [
"A) -35.63%",
"B) -25.64%",
"C) 4.33%",
"D) -5.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-5.66%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $19.49/hr\nB) $18.71/hr\nC) $19.10/hr\nD) $19.88/hr",
"options": [
"A) $19.49/hr",
"B) $18.71/hr",
"C) $19.10/hr",
"D) $19.88/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$19.49/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 87.3663\nB) 80.7100\nC) 74.0537\nD) 94.0225",
"options": [
"A) 87.3663",
"B) 80.7100",
"C) 74.0537",
"D) 94.0225"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "80.7100",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 229.38\nB) 213.54\nC) 223.05\nD) 207.21",
"options": [
"A) 229.38",
"B) 213.54",
"C) 223.05",
"D) 207.21"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "223.05",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.17%\nB) 3.04%\nC) 5.79%\nD) 4.42%",
"options": [
"A) 7.17%",
"B) 3.04%",
"C) 5.79%",
"D) 4.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.42%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.00%\nB) 10.14%\nC) 12.43%\nD) 6.71%",
"options": [
"A) 9.00%",
"B) 10.14%",
"C) 12.43%",
"D) 6.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "9.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.95%\nB) 4.59%\nC) 5.71%\nD) 6.83%",
"options": [
"A) 7.95%",
"B) 4.59%",
"C) 5.71%",
"D) 6.83%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.59%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 38.52%\nB) -10.29%\nC) 14.12%\nD) 50.73%",
"options": [
"A) 38.52%",
"B) -10.29%",
"C) 14.12%",
"D) 50.73%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "14.12%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 22.01%\nB) 2.27%\nC) 14.11%\nD) 10.17%",
"options": [
"A) 22.01%",
"B) 2.27%",
"C) 14.11%",
"D) 10.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "10.17%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 21.32\nB) 38.75\nC) 9.70\nD) 27.13",
"options": [
"A) 21.32",
"B) 38.75",
"C) 9.70",
"D) 27.13"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "21.32",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) $8,444B\nB) $8,935B\nC) $9,180B\nD) $8,199B",
"options": [
"A) $8,444B",
"B) $8,935B",
"C) $9,180B",
"D) $8,199B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$8,935B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 9.12%\nC) 5.44%\nD) 6.67%",
"options": [
"A) 4.22%",
"B) 9.12%",
"C) 5.44%",
"D) 6.67%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.44%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.80pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) +0.20pp\nD) -0.40pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.80pp",
"B) -0.20pp",
"C) +0.20pp",
"D) -0.40pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.81%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 6.49%",
"options": [
"A) 3.81%",
"B) 2.92%",
"C) 4.70%",
"D) 6.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.81%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.79%\nB) 2.41%\nC) 9.18%\nD) 12.56%",
"options": [
"A) 5.79%",
"B) 2.41%",
"C) 9.18%",
"D) 12.56%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.41%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 185.56\nB) 221.84\nC) 203.70\nD) 197.65",
"options": [
"A) 185.56",
"B) 221.84",
"C) 203.70",
"D) 197.65"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "203.70",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.10%\nB) 0.93%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 3.02%",
"options": [
"A) 5.10%",
"B) 0.93%",
"C) 1.63%",
"D) 3.02%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.02%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.51%\nB) 3.32%\nC) 5.69%\nD) 5.30%",
"options": [
"A) 4.51%",
"B) 3.32%",
"C) 5.69%",
"D) 5.30%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.51%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) -4.88%\nB) -8.84%\nC) -12.81%\nD) -20.73%",
"options": [
"A) -4.88%",
"B) -8.84%",
"C) -12.81%",
"D) -20.73%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-8.84%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.71%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 2.61%",
"options": [
"A) 4.08%",
"B) 3.71%",
"C) 2.98%",
"D) 2.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.98%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 116.08\nB) 156.21\nC) 132.13\nD) 140.16",
"options": [
"A) 116.08",
"B) 156.21",
"C) 132.13",
"D) 140.16"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "140.16",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 76.40%\nB) 78.76%\nC) 71.68%\nD) 81.12%",
"options": [
"A) 76.40%",
"B) 78.76%",
"C) 71.68%",
"D) 81.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "76.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.03pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -2.03pp\nD) -2.79pp",
"options": [
"A) +1.03pp",
"B) -0.50pp",
"C) -2.03pp",
"D) -2.79pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.50pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.92%\nB) -44.20%\nC) -15.14%\nD) -24.83%",
"options": [
"A) 13.92%",
"B) -44.20%",
"C) -15.14%",
"D) -24.83%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-15.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $384,093M\nB) $350,799M\nC) $337,481M\nD) $370,775M",
"options": [
"A) $384,093M",
"B) $350,799M",
"C) $337,481M",
"D) $370,775M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$370,775M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.10pp\nB) -1.21pp\nC) +0.45pp\nD) -1.76pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.10pp",
"B) -1.21pp",
"C) +0.45pp",
"D) -1.76pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 97.74\nB) 93.33\nC) 95.53\nD) 90.02",
"options": [
"A) 97.74",
"B) 93.33",
"C) 95.53",
"D) 90.02"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "93.33",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.83%\nB) -0.05%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 4.27%",
"options": [
"A) 2.83%",
"B) -0.05%",
"C) 2.11%",
"D) 4.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.11%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.11%\nB) -1.00%\nC) -7.10%\nD) -4.05%",
"options": [
"A) 5.11%",
"B) -1.00%",
"C) -7.10%",
"D) -4.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-4.05%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) 416,000\nB) 515,853\nC) 266,220\nD) 366,073",
"options": [
"A) 416,000",
"B) 515,853",
"C) 266,220",
"D) 366,073"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "416,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.07pp\nB) -0.10pp\nC) +1.66pp\nD) -0.69pp",
"options": [
"A) +1.07pp",
"B) -0.10pp",
"C) +1.66pp",
"D) -0.69pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 103.60\nB) 92.40\nC) 95.20\nD) 98.00",
"options": [
"A) 103.60",
"B) 92.40",
"C) 95.20",
"D) 98.00"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "95.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.43%\nB) 35.54%\nC) -1.94%\nD) 16.80%",
"options": [
"A) 7.43%",
"B) 35.54%",
"C) -1.94%",
"D) 16.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "16.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,395M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M",
"options": [
"A) $2,395M",
"B) $4,300,000M",
"C) $2,400,000M",
"D) $6,200,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$2,395M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -12.48pp\nB) -6.10pp\nC) -18.86pp\nD) +6.66pp",
"options": [
"A) -12.48pp",
"B) -6.10pp",
"C) -18.86pp",
"D) +6.66pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-6.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.7079\nB) 7.1597\nC) 6.4820\nD) 6.2561",
"options": [
"A) 6.7079",
"B) 7.1597",
"C) 6.4820",
"D) 6.2561"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.4820",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.64%\nB) -1.72%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 1.54%",
"options": [
"A) -0.64%",
"B) -1.72%",
"C) 2.62%",
"D) 1.54%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.54%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.91%\nB) 13.97%\nC) 1.85%\nD) 10.94%",
"options": [
"A) 7.91%",
"B) 13.97%",
"C) 1.85%",
"D) 10.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7.91%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.26%\nB) 4.50%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.36%",
"options": [
"A) 5.26%",
"B) 4.50%",
"C) 3.74%",
"D) 3.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.50%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 3.18%\nC) -3.07%\nD) -0.99%",
"options": [
"A) 1.09%",
"B) 3.18%",
"C) -3.07%",
"D) -0.99%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-3.07%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 29.55%\nB) -4.60%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 9.06%",
"options": [
"A) 29.55%",
"B) -4.60%",
"C) 2.23%",
"D) 9.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "9.06%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,929B\nB) $12,425B\nC) $12,177B\nD) $11,680B",
"options": [
"A) $11,929B",
"B) $12,425B",
"C) $12,177B",
"D) $11,680B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$11,929B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 137,463K\nB) 132,344K\nC) 140,875K\nD) 127,225K",
"options": [
"A) 137,463K",
"B) 132,344K",
"C) 140,875K",
"D) 127,225K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "132,344K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -27.81pp\nB) -2.33pp\nC) -8.70pp\nD) -21.44pp",
"options": [
"A) -27.81pp",
"B) -2.33pp",
"C) -8.70pp",
"D) -21.44pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-8.70pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.50%\nB) 55.30%\nC) 63.57%\nD) 58.40%",
"options": [
"A) 61.50%",
"B) 55.30%",
"C) 63.57%",
"D) 58.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "58.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.64%\nB) 24.13%\nC) -9.60%\nD) 3.89%",
"options": [
"A) 10.64%",
"B) 24.13%",
"C) -9.60%",
"D) 3.89%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "10.64%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 67.41%\nB) 64.20%\nC) 65.48%\nD) 62.27%",
"options": [
"A) 67.41%",
"B) 64.20%",
"C) 65.48%",
"D) 62.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "64.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 30.14%\nB) 19.78%\nC) 9.43%\nD) 40.49%",
"options": [
"A) 30.14%",
"B) 19.78%",
"C) 9.43%",
"D) 40.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "9.43%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.36pp\nB) -0.15pp\nC) +0.60pp\nD) -0.90pp",
"options": [
"A) +1.36pp",
"B) -0.15pp",
"C) +0.60pp",
"D) -0.90pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.90pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $380,042M\nB) $417,883M\nC) $357,338M\nD) $402,746M",
"options": [
"A) $380,042M",
"B) $417,883M",
"C) $357,338M",
"D) $402,746M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$380,042M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.99%\nB) 1.39%\nC) 29.52%\nD) -17.37%",
"options": [
"A) -7.99%",
"B) 1.39%",
"C) 29.52%",
"D) -17.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.39%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $20.14/hr\nB) $19.72/hr\nC) $19.30/hr\nD) $18.46/hr",
"options": [
"A) $20.14/hr",
"B) $19.72/hr",
"C) $19.30/hr",
"D) $18.46/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$19.30/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,638M",
"options": [
"A) $2,400,000M",
"B) $4,300,000M",
"C) $6,200,000M",
"D) $2,638M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$2,638M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $-44,312M\nB) $-50,572M\nC) $-31,791M\nD) $-25,531M",
"options": [
"A) $-44,312M",
"B) $-50,572M",
"C) $-31,791M",
"D) $-25,531M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$-44,312M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 831K\nB) 583K\nC) 1,078K\nD) 1,326K",
"options": [
"A) 831K",
"B) 583K",
"C) 1,078K",
"D) 1,326K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "583K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 28.64%\nB) -22.09%\nC) 8.35%\nD) 18.49%",
"options": [
"A) 28.64%",
"B) -22.09%",
"C) 8.35%",
"D) 18.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "8.35%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.11%\nB) 1.08%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 0.05%",
"options": [
"A) 2.11%",
"B) 1.08%",
"C) 3.13%",
"D) 0.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.05%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 137.78\nB) 129.59\nC) 154.16\nD) 162.34",
"options": [
"A) 137.78",
"B) 129.59",
"C) 154.16",
"D) 162.34"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "137.78",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.25%\nB) 6.40%\nC) 4.69%\nD) 8.96%",
"options": [
"A) 7.25%",
"B) 6.40%",
"C) 4.69%",
"D) 8.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) +1.54pp\nB) +2.07pp\nC) +2.60pp\nD) +4.19pp",
"options": [
"A) +1.54pp",
"B) +2.07pp",
"C) +2.60pp",
"D) +4.19pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+2.60pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,633B\nB) $9,649B\nC) $7,955B\nD) $8,972B",
"options": [
"A) $8,633B",
"B) $9,649B",
"C) $7,955B",
"D) $8,972B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$8,972B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) $94.83/bbl\nB) $126.82/bbl\nC) $84.17/bbl\nD) $116.16/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $94.83/bbl",
"B) $126.82/bbl",
"C) $84.17/bbl",
"D) $116.16/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$94.83/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.54%\nB) 4.19%\nC) 0.84%\nD) -2.51%",
"options": [
"A) 7.54%",
"B) 4.19%",
"C) 0.84%",
"D) -2.51%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.19%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $75,180M\nB) $62,381M\nC) $65,581M\nD) $68,781M",
"options": [
"A) $75,180M",
"B) $62,381M",
"C) $65,581M",
"D) $68,781M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$65,581M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 44.29%\nB) -22.31%\nC) -0.11%\nD) 22.09%",
"options": [
"A) 44.29%",
"B) -22.31%",
"C) -0.11%",
"D) 22.09%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "22.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $62,497M\nB) $56,071M\nC) $52,857M\nD) $72,137M",
"options": [
"A) $62,497M",
"B) $56,071M",
"C) $52,857M",
"D) $72,137M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$62,497M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.76%\nB) 9.55%\nC) 8.45%\nD) 7.34%",
"options": [
"A) 11.76%",
"B) 9.55%",
"C) 8.45%",
"D) 7.34%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "9.55%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,319K\nB) 1,080K\nC) 600K\nD) 360K",
"options": [
"A) 1,319K",
"B) 1,080K",
"C) 600K",
"D) 360K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "600K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 89.75%\nB) 52.91%\nC) -2.34%\nD) 34.49%",
"options": [
"A) 89.75%",
"B) 52.91%",
"C) -2.34%",
"D) 34.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "34.49%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 1.23%",
"options": [
"A) 0.38%",
"B) 2.92%",
"C) 2.08%",
"D) 1.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.38%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.30%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 2.22%\nD) -0.04%",
"options": [
"A) -2.30%",
"B) 1.09%",
"C) 2.22%",
"D) -0.04%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 204.48\nB) 183.37\nC) 199.20\nD) 215.03",
"options": [
"A) 204.48",
"B) 183.37",
"C) 199.20",
"D) 215.03"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "199.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 139,673K\nB) 126,249K\nC) 136,317K\nD) 131,283K",
"options": [
"A) 139,673K",
"B) 126,249K",
"C) 136,317K",
"D) 131,283K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "131,283K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 0.96%\nC) 0.37%\nD) 2.14%",
"options": [
"A) 1.55%",
"B) 0.96%",
"C) 0.37%",
"D) 2.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.55%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.54%\nB) 15.18%\nC) 71.36%\nD) -22.27%",
"options": [
"A) -3.54%",
"B) 15.18%",
"C) 71.36%",
"D) -22.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "15.18%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 87.65\nB) 85.64\nC) 90.67\nD) 93.68",
"options": [
"A) 87.65",
"B) 85.64",
"C) 90.67",
"D) 93.68"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "90.67",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.42%\nB) 4.89%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 4.19%",
"options": [
"A) 4.42%",
"B) 4.89%",
"C) 3.72%",
"D) 4.19%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.19%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) +4.08pp\nB) +9.49pp\nC) -4.04pp\nD) +1.37pp",
"options": [
"A) +4.08pp",
"B) +9.49pp",
"C) -4.04pp",
"D) +1.37pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+4.08pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.23%\nB) 9.00%\nC) 12.35%\nD) 10.12%",
"options": [
"A) 11.23%",
"B) 9.00%",
"C) 12.35%",
"D) 10.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "9.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.79%\nB) 12.72%\nC) 6.86%\nD) 15.66%",
"options": [
"A) 9.79%",
"B) 12.72%",
"C) 6.86%",
"D) 15.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.86%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 233.94\nB) 220.91\nC) 213.09\nD) 226.12",
"options": [
"A) 233.94",
"B) 220.91",
"C) 213.09",
"D) 226.12"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "226.12",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) $114.67/bbl\nB) $81.59/bbl\nC) $103.64/bbl\nD) $125.70/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $114.67/bbl",
"B) $81.59/bbl",
"C) $103.64/bbl",
"D) $125.70/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$114.67/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 43.60\nB) 59.50\nC) 54.20\nD) 64.80",
"options": [
"A) 43.60",
"B) 59.50",
"C) 54.20",
"D) 64.80"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "59.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.46%\nB) 7.39%\nC) 5.26%\nD) 3.12%",
"options": [
"A) 8.46%",
"B) 7.39%",
"C) 5.26%",
"D) 3.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) 1,854,252\nB) 5,649,748\nC) 3,119,417\nD) 3,752,000",
"options": [
"A) 1,854,252",
"B) 5,649,748",
"C) 3,119,417",
"D) 3,752,000"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3,752,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.87%\nB) 83.39%\nC) 80.89%\nD) 68.36%",
"options": [
"A) 75.87%",
"B) 83.39%",
"C) 80.89%",
"D) 68.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "75.87%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 3.30%\nD) 2.23%",
"options": [
"A) 1.15%",
"B) 0.08%",
"C) 3.30%",
"D) 2.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.10pp\nB) -6.68pp\nC) +1.69pp\nD) -3.89pp",
"options": [
"A) -1.10pp",
"B) -6.68pp",
"C) +1.69pp",
"D) -3.89pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+1.69pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $182,693M\nB) $227,776M\nC) $197,720M\nD) $212,748M",
"options": [
"A) $182,693M",
"B) $227,776M",
"C) $197,720M",
"D) $212,748M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$212,748M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 0.82%\nC) 1.60%\nD) 3.15%",
"options": [
"A) 1.99%",
"B) 0.82%",
"C) 1.60%",
"D) 3.15%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.99%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,147B\nB) $10,620B\nC) $9,917B\nD) $10,268B",
"options": [
"A) $11,147B",
"B) $10,620B",
"C) $9,917B",
"D) $10,268B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$10,620B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $249,159M\nB) $219,545M\nC) $204,738M\nD) $160,317M",
"options": [
"A) $249,159M",
"B) $219,545M",
"C) $204,738M",
"D) $160,317M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$204,738M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.39%\nB) 3.52%\nC) 1.27%\nD) 0.14%",
"options": [
"A) 2.39%",
"B) 3.52%",
"C) 1.27%",
"D) 0.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,552B\nB) $9,893B\nC) $8,868B\nD) $9,210B",
"options": [
"A) $9,552B",
"B) $9,893B",
"C) $8,868B",
"D) $9,210B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$9,552B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.65%\nB) 6.30%\nC) 8.78%\nD) 5.47%",
"options": [
"A) 4.65%",
"B) 6.30%",
"C) 8.78%",
"D) 5.47%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 94.81%\nB) -10.54%\nC) 52.67%\nD) 115.88%",
"options": [
"A) 94.81%",
"B) -10.54%",
"C) 52.67%",
"D) 115.88%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "52.67%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 53.36%\nB) 61.43%\nC) 55.37%\nD) 58.40%",
"options": [
"A) 53.36%",
"B) 61.43%",
"C) 55.37%",
"D) 58.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "58.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.21%\nB) 0.31%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 0.91%",
"options": [
"A) 1.21%",
"B) 0.31%",
"C) 1.82%",
"D) 0.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.21%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.99%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.33%\nD) 2.35%",
"options": [
"A) 0.99%",
"B) 2.01%",
"C) 1.33%",
"D) 2.35%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.01%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,131B\nB) $10,261B\nC) $10,783B\nD) $11,479B",
"options": [
"A) $11,131B",
"B) $10,261B",
"C) $10,783B",
"D) $11,479B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$10,783B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 214.90\nB) 229.16\nC) 209.20\nD) 223.45",
"options": [
"A) 214.90",
"B) 229.16",
"C) 209.20",
"D) 223.45"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "223.45",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 5.37%\nC) 4.45%\nD) -0.13%",
"options": [
"A) 2.62%",
"B) 5.37%",
"C) 4.45%",
"D) -0.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.62%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 51.08\nB) 67.50\nC) 83.92\nD) 72.97",
"options": [
"A) 51.08",
"B) 67.50",
"C) 83.92",
"D) 72.97"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "67.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 0.26%\nC) 1.21%\nD) 2.16%",
"options": [
"A) 0.89%",
"B) 0.26%",
"C) 1.21%",
"D) 2.16%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.21%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 87.69\nB) 89.93\nC) 95.52\nD) 92.17",
"options": [
"A) 87.69",
"B) 89.93",
"C) 95.52",
"D) 92.17"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "92.17",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 226.60\nB) 220.36\nC) 211.01\nD) 235.95",
"options": [
"A) 226.60",
"B) 220.36",
"C) 211.01",
"D) 235.95"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "226.60",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 991K\nB) 610K\nC) 1,182K\nD) 229K",
"options": [
"A) 991K",
"B) 610K",
"C) 1,182K",
"D) 229K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "610K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.6476\nB) 1.5574\nC) 1.4221\nD) 1.3319",
"options": [
"A) 1.6476",
"B) 1.5574",
"C) 1.4221",
"D) 1.3319"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.4221",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 20.16%\nB) 12.50%\nC) 4.85%\nD) 8.67%",
"options": [
"A) 20.16%",
"B) 12.50%",
"C) 4.85%",
"D) 8.67%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "8.67%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 1.06%\nC) 2.61%\nD) 2.30%",
"options": [
"A) 1.99%",
"B) 1.06%",
"C) 2.61%",
"D) 2.30%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.99%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.45%\nB) 4.57%\nC) 1.68%\nD) 0.24%",
"options": [
"A) 7.45%",
"B) 4.57%",
"C) 1.68%",
"D) 0.24%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.57%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 93.46\nB) 86.86\nC) 91.57\nD) 88.74",
"options": [
"A) 93.46",
"B) 86.86",
"C) 91.57",
"D) 88.74"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "91.57",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.27%\nB) 66.13%\nC) 68.69%\nD) 64.20%",
"options": [
"A) 62.27%",
"B) 66.13%",
"C) 68.69%",
"D) 64.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "64.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.85%\nB) 2.70%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 1.01%",
"options": [
"A) 1.85%",
"B) 2.70%",
"C) 2.41%",
"D) 1.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.85%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 103.50\nB) 106.70\nC) 110.97\nD) 108.83",
"options": [
"A) 103.50",
"B) 106.70",
"C) 110.97",
"D) 108.83"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "106.70",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 97.65\nB) 108.15\nC) 105.00\nD) 101.85",
"options": [
"A) 97.65",
"B) 108.15",
"C) 105.00",
"D) 101.85"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "105.00",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 89.56\nB) 85.11\nC) 91.79\nD) 87.33",
"options": [
"A) 89.56",
"B) 85.11",
"C) 91.79",
"D) 87.33"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "87.33",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20110901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 650K\nB) 838K\nC) 1,025K\nD) 462K",
"options": [
"A) 650K",
"B) 838K",
"C) 1,025K",
"D) 462K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "650K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.95\nB) 94.08\nC) 99.81\nD) 91.21",
"options": [
"A) 96.95",
"B) 94.08",
"C) 99.81",
"D) 91.21"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "94.08",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20110615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2011-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2011-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,095.97\nB) 3,166.95\nC) 2,631.46\nD) 2,452.96",
"options": [
"A) 2,095.97",
"B) 3,166.95",
"C) 2,631.46",
"D) 2,452.96"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,631.46",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,005B\nB) $12,484B\nC) $12,237B\nD) $11,744B",
"options": [
"A) $11,005B",
"B) $12,484B",
"C) $12,237B",
"D) $11,744B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$11,744B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20110301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2011",
"info_cutoff": "2011-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.70pp\nB) -0.90pp\nC) -1.30pp\nD) -0.50pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.70pp",
"B) -0.90pp",
"C) -1.30pp",
"D) -0.50pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.70pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,488.81\nB) 2,357.69\nC) 1,964.34\nD) 2,751.04",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 2,488.81",
"B) 2,357.69",
"C) 1,964.34",
"D) 2,751.04"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,357.69",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,488.81\nB) 2,357.69\nC) 1,964.34\nD) 2,751.04",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 2,488.81",
"B) 2,357.69",
"C) 1,964.34",
"D) 2,751.04"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,357.69",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1,948.49\nB) 2,472.96\nC) 2,341.84\nD) 2,079.61",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1,948.49",
"B) 2,472.96",
"C) 2,341.84",
"D) 2,079.61"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,341.84",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1,948.49\nB) 2,472.96\nC) 2,341.84\nD) 2,079.61",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1,948.49",
"B) 2,472.96",
"C) 2,341.84",
"D) 2,079.61"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,341.84",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,735.19\nB) 2,472.96\nC) 2,079.61\nD) 2,341.84",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 2,735.19",
"B) 2,472.96",
"C) 2,079.61",
"D) 2,341.84"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,341.84",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,735.19\nB) 2,472.96\nC) 2,079.61\nD) 2,341.84",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 2,735.19",
"B) 2,472.96",
"C) 2,079.61",
"D) 2,341.84"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,341.84",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,335.83\nB) 2,073.60\nC) 2,729.18\nD) 1,942.48",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 2,335.83",
"B) 2,073.60",
"C) 2,729.18",
"D) 1,942.48"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,335.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,335.83\nB) 2,073.60\nC) 2,729.18\nD) 1,942.48",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 2,335.83",
"B) 2,073.60",
"C) 2,729.18",
"D) 1,942.48"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,335.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,073.60\nB) 2,335.83\nC) 2,729.18\nD) 2,598.06",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 2,073.60",
"B) 2,335.83",
"C) 2,729.18",
"D) 2,598.06"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,335.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,073.60\nB) 2,335.83\nC) 2,729.18\nD) 2,598.06",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 2,073.60",
"B) 2,335.83",
"C) 2,729.18",
"D) 2,598.06"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,335.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,598.06\nB) 2,466.95\nC) 2,335.83\nD) 1,942.48",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 2,598.06",
"B) 2,466.95",
"C) 2,335.83",
"D) 1,942.48"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,335.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,598.06\nB) 2,466.95\nC) 2,335.83\nD) 1,942.48",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 2,598.06",
"B) 2,466.95",
"C) 2,335.83",
"D) 1,942.48"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,335.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 2.17%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.79%",
"B) 1.98%",
"C) 2.36%",
"D) 2.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.17%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 2.17%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.79%",
"B) 1.98%",
"C) 2.36%",
"D) 2.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.17%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.64%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 2.07%",
"B) 2.45%",
"C) 2.26%",
"D) 2.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.07%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.64%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 2.07%",
"B) 2.45%",
"C) 2.26%",
"D) 2.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.07%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.64%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.59%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.64%",
"B) 2.02%",
"C) 2.40%",
"D) 2.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.02%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.64%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.59%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.64%",
"B) 2.02%",
"C) 2.40%",
"D) 2.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.02%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 1.91%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 1.15%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.34%",
"B) 1.91%",
"C) 1.72%",
"D) 1.15%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.72%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 1.91%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 1.15%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.34%",
"B) 1.91%",
"C) 1.72%",
"D) 1.15%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.72%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 2.29%\nD) 1.72%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.15%",
"B) 1.34%",
"C) 2.29%",
"D) 1.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.72%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 2.29%\nD) 1.72%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.15%",
"B) 1.34%",
"C) 2.29%",
"D) 1.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.72%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.72%\nB) 1.53%\nC) 2.10%\nD) 2.29%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.72%",
"B) 1.53%",
"C) 2.10%",
"D) 2.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.72%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-120d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.72%\nB) 1.53%\nC) 2.10%\nD) 2.29%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.72%",
"B) 1.53%",
"C) 2.10%",
"D) 2.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.72%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-120d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 32.73\nB) 35.06\nC) 37.39\nD) 28.06",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 32.73",
"B) 35.06",
"C) 37.39",
"D) 28.06"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "35.06",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 32.73\nB) 35.06\nC) 37.39\nD) 28.06",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 32.73",
"B) 35.06",
"C) 37.39",
"D) 28.06"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "35.06",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 33.91\nB) 29.25\nC) 31.58\nD) 26.92",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 33.91",
"B) 29.25",
"C) 31.58",
"D) 26.92"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "31.58",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 33.91\nB) 29.25\nC) 31.58\nD) 26.92",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 33.91",
"B) 29.25",
"C) 31.58",
"D) 26.92"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "31.58",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 29.25\nB) 24.58\nC) 38.58\nD) 31.58",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 29.25",
"B) 24.58",
"C) 38.58",
"D) 31.58"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "31.58",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 29.25\nB) 24.58\nC) 38.58\nD) 31.58",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 29.25",
"B) 24.58",
"C) 38.58",
"D) 31.58"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "31.58",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 30.98\nB) 28.65\nC) 23.98\nD) 35.64",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 30.98",
"B) 28.65",
"C) 23.98",
"D) 35.64"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "30.98",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 30.98\nB) 28.65\nC) 23.98\nD) 35.64",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 30.98",
"B) 28.65",
"C) 23.98",
"D) 35.64"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "30.98",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 22.20\nB) 24.53\nC) 29.19\nD) 31.53",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 22.20",
"B) 24.53",
"C) 29.19",
"D) 31.53"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "24.53",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 22.20\nB) 24.53\nC) 29.19\nD) 31.53",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 22.20",
"B) 24.53",
"C) 29.19",
"D) 31.53"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "24.53",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 11.28\nB) 13.62\nC) 18.28\nD) 20.61",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 11.28",
"B) 13.62",
"C) 18.28",
"D) 20.61"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "18.28",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 11.28\nB) 13.62\nC) 18.28\nD) 20.61",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 11.28",
"B) 13.62",
"C) 18.28",
"D) 20.61"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "18.28",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4935\nB) 1.2337\nC) 1.3080\nD) 1.4193",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.4935",
"B) 1.2337",
"C) 1.3080",
"D) 1.4193"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.4193",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4935\nB) 1.2337\nC) 1.3080\nD) 1.4193",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.4935",
"B) 1.2337",
"C) 1.3080",
"D) 1.4193"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.4193",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4193\nB) 1.5306\nC) 1.2337\nD) 1.3080",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.4193",
"B) 1.5306",
"C) 1.2337",
"D) 1.3080"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.4193",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4193\nB) 1.5306\nC) 1.2337\nD) 1.3080",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.4193",
"B) 1.5306",
"C) 1.2337",
"D) 1.3080"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.4193",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4935\nB) 1.4193\nC) 1.3451\nD) 1.5678",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.4935",
"B) 1.4193",
"C) 1.3451",
"D) 1.5678"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.4193",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4935\nB) 1.4193\nC) 1.3451\nD) 1.5678",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.4935",
"B) 1.4193",
"C) 1.3451",
"D) 1.5678"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.4193",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2168\nB) 1.4394\nC) 1.3281\nD) 1.5137",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.2168",
"B) 1.4394",
"C) 1.3281",
"D) 1.5137"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.3281",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2168\nB) 1.4394\nC) 1.3281\nD) 1.5137",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.2168",
"B) 1.4394",
"C) 1.3281",
"D) 1.5137"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.3281",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4023\nB) 1.2539\nC) 1.1425\nD) 1.3281",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.4023",
"B) 1.2539",
"C) 1.1425",
"D) 1.3281"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.3281",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4023\nB) 1.2539\nC) 1.1425\nD) 1.3281",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.4023",
"B) 1.2539",
"C) 1.1425",
"D) 1.3281"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.3281",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2682\nB) 1.1940\nC) 1.3424\nD) 1.0826",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.2682",
"B) 1.1940",
"C) 1.3424",
"D) 1.0826"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.2682",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2682\nB) 1.1940\nC) 1.3424\nD) 1.0826",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2011-08-04",
"options": [
"A) 1.2682",
"B) 1.1940",
"C) 1.3424",
"D) 1.0826"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.2682",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade",
"event_date": "2011-08-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 70.8931\nB) 78.7400\nC) 83.9713\nD) 73.5087",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 70.8931",
"B) 78.7400",
"C) 83.9713",
"D) 73.5087"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "78.7400",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 70.8931\nB) 78.7400\nC) 83.9713\nD) 73.5087",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 70.8931",
"B) 78.7400",
"C) 83.9713",
"D) 73.5087"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "78.7400",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 76.1244\nB) 86.5869\nC) 78.7400\nD) 83.9713",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 76.1244",
"B) 86.5869",
"C) 78.7400",
"D) 83.9713"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "78.7400",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 76.1244\nB) 86.5869\nC) 78.7400\nD) 83.9713",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 76.1244",
"B) 86.5869",
"C) 78.7400",
"D) 83.9713"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "78.7400",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 83.9713\nB) 76.1244\nC) 70.8931\nD) 78.7400",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 83.9713",
"B) 76.1244",
"C) 70.8931",
"D) 78.7400"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "78.7400",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 83.9713\nB) 76.1244\nC) 70.8931\nD) 78.7400",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 83.9713",
"B) 76.1244",
"C) 70.8931",
"D) 78.7400"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "78.7400",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 78.7400\nB) 76.1244\nC) 86.5869\nD) 83.9713",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 78.7400",
"B) 76.1244",
"C) 86.5869",
"D) 83.9713"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "78.7400",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 78.7400\nB) 76.1244\nC) 86.5869\nD) 83.9713",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 78.7400",
"B) 76.1244",
"C) 86.5869",
"D) 83.9713"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "78.7400",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 73.5087\nB) 78.7400\nC) 86.5869\nD) 70.8931",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 73.5087",
"B) 78.7400",
"C) 86.5869",
"D) 70.8931"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "78.7400",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 73.5087\nB) 78.7400\nC) 86.5869\nD) 70.8931",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 73.5087",
"B) 78.7400",
"C) 86.5869",
"D) 70.8931"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "78.7400",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 79.0256\nB) 73.7944\nC) 76.4100\nD) 84.2569",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 79.0256",
"B) 73.7944",
"C) 76.4100",
"D) 84.2569"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "76.4100",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 79.0256\nB) 73.7944\nC) 76.4100\nD) 84.2569",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 79.0256",
"B) 73.7944",
"C) 76.4100",
"D) 84.2569"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "76.4100",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 24.41\nB) 27.69\nC) 17.85\nD) 21.13",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 24.41",
"B) 27.69",
"C) 17.85",
"D) 21.13"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "21.13",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 24.41\nB) 27.69\nC) 17.85\nD) 21.13",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 24.41",
"B) 27.69",
"C) 17.85",
"D) 21.13"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "21.13",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.91\nB) 14.63\nC) 27.75\nD) 24.47",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 17.91",
"B) 14.63",
"C) 27.75",
"D) 24.47"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "17.91",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.91\nB) 14.63\nC) 27.75\nD) 24.47",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 17.91",
"B) 14.63",
"C) 27.75",
"D) 24.47"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "17.91",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 26.74\nB) 16.90\nC) 20.18\nD) 13.62",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 26.74",
"B) 16.90",
"C) 20.18",
"D) 13.62"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "16.90",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 26.74\nB) 16.90\nC) 20.18\nD) 13.62",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 26.74",
"B) 16.90",
"C) 20.18",
"D) 13.62"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "16.90",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.90\nB) 11.34\nC) 14.62\nD) 24.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 17.90",
"B) 11.34",
"C) 14.62",
"D) 24.46"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "14.62",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.90\nB) 11.34\nC) 14.62\nD) 24.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 17.90",
"B) 11.34",
"C) 14.62",
"D) 24.46"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "14.62",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.90\nB) 24.46\nC) 21.18\nD) 14.62",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 17.90",
"B) 24.46",
"C) 21.18",
"D) 14.62"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "14.62",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.90\nB) 24.46\nC) 21.18\nD) 14.62",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 17.90",
"B) 24.46",
"C) 21.18",
"D) 14.62"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "14.62",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 14.62\nB) 11.34\nC) 17.90\nD) 24.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 14.62",
"B) 11.34",
"C) 17.90",
"D) 24.46"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "14.62",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 14.62\nB) 11.34\nC) 17.90\nD) 24.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 14.62",
"B) 11.34",
"C) 17.90",
"D) 24.46"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "14.62",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,297.82\nB) 2,616.82\nC) 2,457.32\nD) 2,776.32",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 2,297.82",
"B) 2,616.82",
"C) 2,457.32",
"D) 2,776.32"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,616.82",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,297.82\nB) 2,616.82\nC) 2,457.32\nD) 2,776.32",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 2,297.82",
"B) 2,616.82",
"C) 2,457.32",
"D) 2,776.32"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,616.82",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,776.32\nB) 2,138.31\nC) 2,616.82\nD) 2,457.32",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 2,776.32",
"B) 2,138.31",
"C) 2,616.82",
"D) 2,457.32"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,616.82",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,776.32\nB) 2,138.31\nC) 2,616.82\nD) 2,457.32",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 2,776.32",
"B) 2,138.31",
"C) 2,616.82",
"D) 2,457.32"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,616.82",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,138.31\nB) 2,457.32\nC) 3,095.33\nD) 2,616.82",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 2,138.31",
"B) 2,457.32",
"C) 3,095.33",
"D) 2,616.82"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,616.82",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,138.31\nB) 2,457.32\nC) 3,095.33\nD) 2,616.82",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 2,138.31",
"B) 2,457.32",
"C) 3,095.33",
"D) 2,616.82"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,616.82",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,616.82\nB) 3,095.33\nC) 2,297.82\nD) 2,935.82",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 2,616.82",
"B) 3,095.33",
"C) 2,297.82",
"D) 2,935.82"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,616.82",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,616.82\nB) 3,095.33\nC) 2,297.82\nD) 2,935.82",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 2,616.82",
"B) 3,095.33",
"C) 2,297.82",
"D) 2,935.82"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,616.82",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,095.33\nB) 2,616.82\nC) 2,457.32\nD) 2,297.82",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 3,095.33",
"B) 2,616.82",
"C) 2,457.32",
"D) 2,297.82"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,616.82",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,095.33\nB) 2,616.82\nC) 2,457.32\nD) 2,297.82",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 3,095.33",
"B) 2,616.82",
"C) 2,457.32",
"D) 2,297.82"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,616.82",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 1,863.33\nB) 2,022.84\nC) 2,341.84\nD) 2,660.84",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 1,863.33",
"B) 2,022.84",
"C) 2,341.84",
"D) 2,660.84"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,341.84",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 1,863.33\nB) 2,022.84\nC) 2,341.84\nD) 2,660.84",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) 1,863.33",
"B) 2,022.84",
"C) 2,341.84",
"D) 2,660.84"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,341.84",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $80.81/bbl\nB) $86.28/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $97.23/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) $80.81/bbl",
"B) $86.28/bbl",
"C) $102.70/bbl",
"D) $97.23/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $80.81/bbl\nB) $86.28/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $97.23/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) $80.81/bbl",
"B) $86.28/bbl",
"C) $102.70/bbl",
"D) $97.23/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $97.23/bbl\nB) $108.18/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $113.65/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) $97.23/bbl",
"B) $108.18/bbl",
"C) $102.70/bbl",
"D) $113.65/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $97.23/bbl\nB) $108.18/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $113.65/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) $97.23/bbl",
"B) $108.18/bbl",
"C) $102.70/bbl",
"D) $113.65/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $80.81/bbl\nB) $97.23/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $91.76/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) $80.81/bbl",
"B) $97.23/bbl",
"C) $102.70/bbl",
"D) $91.76/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $80.81/bbl\nB) $97.23/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $91.76/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) $80.81/bbl",
"B) $97.23/bbl",
"C) $102.70/bbl",
"D) $91.76/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $113.29/bbl\nB) $91.40/bbl\nC) $96.87/bbl\nD) $85.92/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) $113.29/bbl",
"B) $91.40/bbl",
"C) $96.87/bbl",
"D) $85.92/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$96.87/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $113.29/bbl\nB) $91.40/bbl\nC) $96.87/bbl\nD) $85.92/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) $113.29/bbl",
"B) $91.40/bbl",
"C) $96.87/bbl",
"D) $85.92/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$96.87/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $101.87/bbl\nB) $107.35/bbl\nC) $79.98/bbl\nD) $96.40/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) $101.87/bbl",
"B) $107.35/bbl",
"C) $79.98/bbl",
"D) $96.40/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$96.40/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $101.87/bbl\nB) $107.35/bbl\nC) $79.98/bbl\nD) $96.40/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) $101.87/bbl",
"B) $107.35/bbl",
"C) $79.98/bbl",
"D) $96.40/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$96.40/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $79.32/bbl\nB) $73.85/bbl\nC) $68.37/bbl\nD) $95.74/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) $79.32/bbl",
"B) $73.85/bbl",
"C) $68.37/bbl",
"D) $95.74/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$79.32/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $79.32/bbl\nB) $73.85/bbl\nC) $68.37/bbl\nD) $95.74/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2011-03-10",
"options": [
"A) $79.32/bbl",
"B) $73.85/bbl",
"C) $68.37/bbl",
"D) $95.74/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$79.32/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima",
"event_date": "2011-03-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,796.69\nB) 2,532.41\nC) 2,664.55\nD) 2,268.13",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2,796.69",
"B) 2,532.41",
"C) 2,664.55",
"D) 2,268.13"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,532.41",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,796.69\nB) 2,532.41\nC) 2,664.55\nD) 2,268.13",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2,796.69",
"B) 2,532.41",
"C) 2,664.55",
"D) 2,268.13"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,532.41",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,225.55\nB) 2,621.97\nC) 2,357.69\nD) 2,093.41",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2,225.55",
"B) 2,621.97",
"C) 2,357.69",
"D) 2,093.41"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,357.69",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,225.55\nB) 2,621.97\nC) 2,357.69\nD) 2,093.41",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2,225.55",
"B) 2,621.97",
"C) 2,357.69",
"D) 2,093.41"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,357.69",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,077.56\nB) 2,209.70\nC) 2,473.98\nD) 2,341.84",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2,077.56",
"B) 2,209.70",
"C) 2,473.98",
"D) 2,341.84"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,341.84",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,077.56\nB) 2,209.70\nC) 2,473.98\nD) 2,341.84",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2,077.56",
"B) 2,209.70",
"C) 2,473.98",
"D) 2,341.84"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,341.84",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,341.84\nB) 2,209.70\nC) 2,473.98\nD) 2,738.26",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2,341.84",
"B) 2,209.70",
"C) 2,473.98",
"D) 2,738.26"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,341.84",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,341.84\nB) 2,209.70\nC) 2,473.98\nD) 2,738.26",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2,341.84",
"B) 2,209.70",
"C) 2,473.98",
"D) 2,738.26"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,341.84",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,467.97\nB) 2,335.83\nC) 2,600.11\nD) 1,939.41",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2,467.97",
"B) 2,335.83",
"C) 2,600.11",
"D) 1,939.41"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,335.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,467.97\nB) 2,335.83\nC) 2,600.11\nD) 1,939.41",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2,467.97",
"B) 2,335.83",
"C) 2,600.11",
"D) 1,939.41"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,335.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,732.25\nB) 2,467.97\nC) 2,335.83\nD) 1,939.41",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2,732.25",
"B) 2,467.97",
"C) 2,335.83",
"D) 1,939.41"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,335.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,732.25\nB) 2,467.97\nC) 2,335.83\nD) 1,939.41",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2,732.25",
"B) 2,467.97",
"C) 2,335.83",
"D) 1,939.41"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,335.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.96%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 2.77%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2.21%",
"B) 2.96%",
"C) 3.14%",
"D) 2.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-5d-max",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.96%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 2.77%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2.21%",
"B) 2.96%",
"C) 3.14%",
"D) 2.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-5d-max",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 3.14%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2.77%",
"B) 3.33%",
"C) 2.96%",
"D) 3.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-10d-max",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 3.14%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2.77%",
"B) 3.33%",
"C) 2.96%",
"D) 3.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-10d-max",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.77%\nC) 3.33%\nD) 2.96%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2.21%",
"B) 2.77%",
"C) 3.33%",
"D) 2.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-20d-max",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.77%\nC) 3.33%\nD) 2.96%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2.21%",
"B) 2.77%",
"C) 3.33%",
"D) 2.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-20d-max",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 2.40%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2.96%",
"B) 3.33%",
"C) 2.77%",
"D) 2.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-40d-max",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 2.40%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2.96%",
"B) 3.33%",
"C) 2.77%",
"D) 2.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-40d-max",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.77%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 3.14%",
"B) 3.33%",
"C) 2.58%",
"D) 2.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-60d-max",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.77%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 3.14%",
"B) 3.33%",
"C) 2.58%",
"D) 2.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-60d-max",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 2.40%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2.77%",
"B) 3.33%",
"C) 3.14%",
"D) 2.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-120d-max",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 2.40%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 2.77%",
"B) 3.33%",
"C) 3.14%",
"D) 2.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-120d-max",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 25.71\nB) 23.38\nC) 28.03\nD) 30.36",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 25.71",
"B) 23.38",
"C) 28.03",
"D) 30.36"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "23.38",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 25.71\nB) 23.38\nC) 28.03\nD) 30.36",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 25.71",
"B) 23.38",
"C) 28.03",
"D) 30.36"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "23.38",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 18.73\nB) 16.40\nC) 23.38\nD) 25.71",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 18.73",
"B) 16.40",
"C) 23.38",
"D) 25.71"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "23.38",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 18.73\nB) 16.40\nC) 23.38\nD) 25.71",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 18.73",
"B) 16.40",
"C) 23.38",
"D) 25.71"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "23.38",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 25.71\nB) 30.36\nC) 28.03\nD) 23.38",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 25.71",
"B) 30.36",
"C) 28.03",
"D) 23.38"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "23.38",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 25.71\nB) 30.36\nC) 28.03\nD) 23.38",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 25.71",
"B) 30.36",
"C) 28.03",
"D) 23.38"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "23.38",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 23.38\nB) 21.05\nC) 18.73\nD) 25.71",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 23.38",
"B) 21.05",
"C) 18.73",
"D) 25.71"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "23.38",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 23.38\nB) 21.05\nC) 18.73\nD) 25.71",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 23.38",
"B) 21.05",
"C) 18.73",
"D) 25.71"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "23.38",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 28.03\nB) 23.38\nC) 16.40\nD) 25.71",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 28.03",
"B) 23.38",
"C) 16.40",
"D) 25.71"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "23.38",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 28.03\nB) 23.38\nC) 16.40\nD) 25.71",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 28.03",
"B) 23.38",
"C) 16.40",
"D) 25.71"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "23.38",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 13.63\nB) 25.26\nC) 18.28\nD) 20.61",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 13.63",
"B) 25.26",
"C) 18.28",
"D) 20.61"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "18.28",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 13.63\nB) 25.26\nC) 18.28\nD) 20.61",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 13.63",
"B) 25.26",
"C) 18.28",
"D) 20.61"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "18.28",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 0.61%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.27%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 0.38%",
"B) 0.61%",
"C) 0.49%",
"D) 0.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.27%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 0.61%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.27%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 0.38%",
"B) 0.61%",
"C) 0.49%",
"D) 0.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.27%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-5d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.19%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 0.53%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 0.19%",
"B) 0.08%",
"C) 0.41%",
"D) 0.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.19%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.19%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 0.53%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 0.19%",
"B) 0.08%",
"C) 0.41%",
"D) 0.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.19%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-10d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.30%\nB) 0.19%\nC) 0.08%\nD) 0.41%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 0.30%",
"B) 0.19%",
"C) 0.08%",
"D) 0.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.19%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.30%\nB) 0.19%\nC) 0.08%\nD) 0.41%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 0.30%",
"B) 0.19%",
"C) 0.08%",
"D) 0.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.19%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-20d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.50%\nC) 0.16%\nD) 0.05%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 0.27%",
"B) 0.50%",
"C) 0.16%",
"D) 0.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.16%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.50%\nC) 0.16%\nD) 0.05%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 0.27%",
"B) 0.50%",
"C) 0.16%",
"D) 0.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.16%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-40d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.38%\nC) 0.50%\nD) 0.16%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 0.05%",
"B) 0.38%",
"C) 0.50%",
"D) 0.16%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.16%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.38%\nC) 0.50%\nD) 0.16%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 0.05%",
"B) 0.38%",
"C) 0.50%",
"D) 0.16%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.16%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-60d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.27%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 0.16%",
"B) 0.05%",
"C) 0.38%",
"D) 0.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.16%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-120d-min",
"year": 2011
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.27%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29",
"info_cutoff": "2011-07-28",
"options": [
"A) 0.16%",
"B) 0.05%",
"C) 0.38%",
"D) 0.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.16%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak",
"event_date": "2011-07-29",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-120d-min",
"year": 2011
}
]