pre_test / *.parquet /mcq_2014.json
lfqian's picture
Fix per-year parquet schema (unify 17 cols, string types) for by_year splits
de9f149 verified
[
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 83.59%\nB) 78.46%\nC) 81.88%\nD) 75.05%",
"options": [
"A) 83.59%",
"B) 78.46%",
"C) 81.88%",
"D) 75.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "78.46%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.4545\nB) 1.2289\nC) 1.3578\nD) 1.2933",
"options": [
"A) 1.4545",
"B) 1.2289",
"C) 1.3578",
"D) 1.2933"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.3578",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 99.60\nB) 95.00\nC) 97.30\nD) 101.89",
"options": [
"A) 99.60",
"B) 95.00",
"C) 97.30",
"D) 101.89"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "101.89",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 4.62%\nC) 1.13%\nD) 3.75%",
"options": [
"A) 2.00%",
"B) 4.62%",
"C) 1.13%",
"D) 3.75%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.47%\nB) 2.72%\nC) -0.37%\nD) 5.82%",
"options": [
"A) -3.47%",
"B) 2.72%",
"C) -0.37%",
"D) 5.82%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.72%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.53pp\nB) -0.02pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -0.27pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.53pp",
"B) -0.02pp",
"C) -0.40pp",
"D) -0.27pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 2.76%\nC) -0.02%\nD) 1.65%",
"options": [
"A) 0.54%",
"B) 2.76%",
"C) -0.02%",
"D) 1.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.65%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) $10,176B\nB) $9,570B\nC) $10,782B\nD) $9,167B",
"options": [
"A) $10,176B",
"B) $9,570B",
"C) $10,782B",
"D) $9,167B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$10,176B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.33pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) -0.59pp\nD) -0.07pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.33pp",
"B) -0.20pp",
"C) -0.59pp",
"D) -0.07pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.17%\nB) -1.78%\nC) 3.69%\nD) -4.52%",
"options": [
"A) 9.17%",
"B) -1.78%",
"C) 3.69%",
"D) -4.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) $96.44/bbl\nB) $138.90/bbl\nC) $130.40/bbl\nD) $113.42/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $96.44/bbl",
"B) $138.90/bbl",
"C) $130.40/bbl",
"D) $113.42/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$113.42/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $421,230M\nB) $435,655M\nC) $377,955M\nD) $450,080M",
"options": [
"A) $421,230M",
"B) $435,655M",
"C) $377,955M",
"D) $450,080M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$421,230M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.59%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 7.56%\nD) 8.88%",
"options": [
"A) 3.59%",
"B) 4.91%",
"C) 7.56%",
"D) 8.88%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.91%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,065,687\nB) 1,653,627\nC) 2,595,000\nD) 4,007,060",
"options": [
"A) 3,065,687",
"B) 1,653,627",
"C) 2,595,000",
"D) 4,007,060"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,595,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.45%",
"options": [
"A) 2.00%",
"B) 1.63%",
"C) 1.81%",
"D) 1.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.45%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.14%\nB) -1.39%\nC) 3.67%\nD) 6.20%",
"options": [
"A) 1.14%",
"B) -1.39%",
"C) 3.67%",
"D) 6.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.73%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 4.15%\nD) 6.48%",
"options": [
"A) 4.73%",
"B) 5.90%",
"C) 4.15%",
"D) 6.48%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.88pp\nB) +6.38pp\nC) +1.25pp\nD) -6.45pp",
"options": [
"A) -3.88pp",
"B) +6.38pp",
"C) +1.25pp",
"D) -6.45pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+1.25pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 3.66%\nC) 8.44%\nD) 6.05%",
"options": [
"A) 2.46%",
"B) 3.66%",
"C) 8.44%",
"D) 6.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.05%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 14.00%\nB) 38.58%\nC) 50.87%\nD) -22.88%",
"options": [
"A) 14.00%",
"B) 38.58%",
"C) 50.87%",
"D) -22.88%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "14.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.92%\nB) 4.20%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 3.65%",
"options": [
"A) 3.92%",
"B) 4.20%",
"C) 4.75%",
"D) 3.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 6.77%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 0.57%",
"options": [
"A) 1.81%",
"B) 6.77%",
"C) 4.29%",
"D) 0.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.29%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.32%\nB) 1.53%\nC) 2.52%\nD) 2.13%",
"options": [
"A) 2.32%",
"B) 1.53%",
"C) 2.52%",
"D) 2.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 0.16%\nC) 0.03%\nD) 0.23%",
"options": [
"A) 0.08%",
"B) 0.16%",
"C) 0.03%",
"D) 0.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.77%\nB) 2.90%\nC) 7.21%\nD) 1.46%",
"options": [
"A) 5.77%",
"B) 2.90%",
"C) 7.21%",
"D) 1.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 5.35%\nC) 4.77%\nD) 6.52%",
"options": [
"A) 4.18%",
"B) 5.35%",
"C) 4.77%",
"D) 6.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.77%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 131,086K\nB) 142,125K\nC) 135,225K\nD) 137,985K",
"options": [
"A) 131,086K",
"B) 142,125K",
"C) 135,225K",
"D) 137,985K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "137,985K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.90%\nB) 52.21%\nC) -4.20%\nD) 24.01%",
"options": [
"A) 9.90%",
"B) 52.21%",
"C) -4.20%",
"D) 24.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "9.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $-34,146M\nB) $-42,940M\nC) $-45,871M\nD) $-37,078M",
"options": [
"A) $-34,146M",
"B) $-42,940M",
"C) $-45,871M",
"D) $-37,078M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$-42,940M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $20.11/hr\nB) $19.56/hr\nC) $20.66/hr\nD) $21.21/hr",
"options": [
"A) $20.11/hr",
"B) $19.56/hr",
"C) $20.66/hr",
"D) $21.21/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$20.66/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 107.65\nB) 103.06\nC) 113.75\nD) 110.70",
"options": [
"A) 107.65",
"B) 103.06",
"C) 113.75",
"D) 110.70"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "110.70",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.70%\nB) 5.76%\nC) 7.64%\nD) 7.17%",
"options": [
"A) 6.70%",
"B) 5.76%",
"C) 7.64%",
"D) 7.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -9.09%\nB) 8.28%\nC) -17.77%\nD) 25.65%",
"options": [
"A) -9.09%",
"B) 8.28%",
"C) -17.77%",
"D) 25.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "8.28%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.19%\nB) -11.81%\nC) -0.58%\nD) 5.03%",
"options": [
"A) -6.19%",
"B) -11.81%",
"C) -0.58%",
"D) 5.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.58%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 231.06\nB) 242.19\nC) 247.75\nD) 236.62",
"options": [
"A) 231.06",
"B) 242.19",
"C) 247.75",
"D) 236.62"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "236.62",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 59.10%\nB) 57.33%\nC) 60.87%\nD) 54.96%",
"options": [
"A) 59.10%",
"B) 57.33%",
"C) 60.87%",
"D) 54.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "59.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 146,913K\nB) 139,563K\nC) 142,503K\nD) 135,153K",
"options": [
"A) 146,913K",
"B) 139,563K",
"C) 142,503K",
"D) 135,153K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "139,563K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.25%\nB) 15.56%\nC) 8.94%\nD) -0.99%",
"options": [
"A) 12.25%",
"B) 15.56%",
"C) 8.94%",
"D) -0.99%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "8.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) 280,466\nB) 246,932\nC) 347,534\nD) 314,000",
"options": [
"A) 280,466",
"B) 246,932",
"C) 347,534",
"D) 314,000"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "314,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $3,886M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M",
"options": [
"A) $3,886M",
"B) $2,400,000M",
"C) $4,300,000M",
"D) $6,200,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$3,886M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $223,626M\nB) $236,112M\nC) $198,653M\nD) $248,598M",
"options": [
"A) $223,626M",
"B) $236,112M",
"C) $198,653M",
"D) $248,598M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$236,112M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -15.99%\nB) 17.04%\nC) 3.82%\nD) 23.64%",
"options": [
"A) -15.99%",
"B) 17.04%",
"C) 3.82%",
"D) 23.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.82%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 87.91\nB) 96.25\nC) 90.29\nD) 93.86",
"options": [
"A) 87.91",
"B) 96.25",
"C) 90.29",
"D) 93.86"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "93.86",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 32.40%\nB) 79.95%\nC) 48.25%\nD) 16.55%",
"options": [
"A) 32.40%",
"B) 79.95%",
"C) 48.25%",
"D) 16.55%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "32.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.68%\nB) 62.80%\nC) 61.54%\nD) 65.94%",
"options": [
"A) 64.68%",
"B) 62.80%",
"C) 61.54%",
"D) 65.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "62.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.42%\nB) 1.95%\nC) 1.55%\nD) 1.82%",
"options": [
"A) 1.42%",
"B) 1.95%",
"C) 1.55%",
"D) 1.82%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.55%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 92.04\nB) 89.90\nC) 98.46\nD) 95.25",
"options": [
"A) 92.04",
"B) 89.90",
"C) 98.46",
"D) 95.25"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "95.25",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,137B\nB) $12,536B\nC) $14,038B\nD) $12,236B",
"options": [
"A) $13,137B",
"B) $12,536B",
"C) $14,038B",
"D) $12,236B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$13,137B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 69.77\nB) 80.00\nC) 76.59\nD) 90.23",
"options": [
"A) 69.77",
"B) 80.00",
"C) 76.59",
"D) 90.23"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "80.00",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $19.14/hr\nB) $21.32/hr\nC) $20.50/hr\nD) $19.96/hr",
"options": [
"A) $19.14/hr",
"B) $21.32/hr",
"C) $20.50/hr",
"D) $19.96/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$20.50/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 92.51\nB) 101.09\nC) 94.96\nD) 97.41",
"options": [
"A) 92.51",
"B) 101.09",
"C) 94.96",
"D) 97.41"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "97.41",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 3.71%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 4.34%",
"options": [
"A) 3.40%",
"B) 3.71%",
"C) 4.03%",
"D) 4.34%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 253.67\nB) 236.03\nC) 243.08\nD) 225.44",
"options": [
"A) 253.67",
"B) 236.03",
"C) 243.08",
"D) 225.44"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "236.03",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 180.85\nB) 171.77\nC) 167.23\nD) 153.61",
"options": [
"A) 180.85",
"B) 171.77",
"C) 167.23",
"D) 153.61"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "167.23",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 34.00%\nB) -1.75%\nC) -10.68%\nD) 16.13%",
"options": [
"A) 34.00%",
"B) -1.75%",
"C) -10.68%",
"D) 16.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "16.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 970K\nB) 1,126K\nC) 735K\nD) 892K",
"options": [
"A) 970K",
"B) 1,126K",
"C) 735K",
"D) 892K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "970K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.29%\nB) 1.74%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 2.42%",
"options": [
"A) 1.29%",
"B) 1.74%",
"C) 2.19%",
"D) 2.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.74%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -11.34pp\nB) -2.85pp\nC) +1.40pp\nD) +14.14pp",
"options": [
"A) -11.34pp",
"B) -2.85pp",
"C) +1.40pp",
"D) +14.14pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+1.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.19%\nB) 11.55%\nC) -1.89%\nD) 1.47%",
"options": [
"A) 8.19%",
"B) 11.55%",
"C) -1.89%",
"D) 1.47%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.47%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.80pp\nB) +1.74pp\nC) +0.90pp\nD) +0.05pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.80pp",
"B) +1.74pp",
"C) +0.90pp",
"D) +0.05pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.80pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.86\nB) 111.10\nC) 116.04\nD) 106.16",
"options": [
"A) 102.86",
"B) 111.10",
"C) 116.04",
"D) 106.16"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "111.10",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,016B\nB) $13,011B\nC) $11,519B\nD) $10,027B",
"options": [
"A) $12,016B",
"B) $13,011B",
"C) $11,519B",
"D) $10,027B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$11,519B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 100.99\nB) 96.85\nC) 109.28\nD) 103.06",
"options": [
"A) 100.99",
"B) 96.85",
"C) 109.28",
"D) 103.06"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "103.06",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 0.29%\nD) 2.15%",
"options": [
"A) 1.68%",
"B) 3.08%",
"C) 0.29%",
"D) 2.15%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.68%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $12,602B\nB) $11,233B\nC) $10,320B\nD) $11,689B",
"options": [
"A) $12,602B",
"B) $11,233B",
"C) $10,320B",
"D) $11,689B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$11,233B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.33\nB) 18.97\nC) 12.65\nD) 22.13",
"options": [
"A) 6.33",
"B) 18.97",
"C) 12.65",
"D) 22.13"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "12.65",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $207,451M\nB) $249,502M\nC) $193,434M\nD) $235,485M",
"options": [
"A) $207,451M",
"B) $249,502M",
"C) $193,434M",
"D) $235,485M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$235,485M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 207.00\nB) 188.73\nC) 213.09\nD) 219.18",
"options": [
"A) 207.00",
"B) 188.73",
"C) 213.09",
"D) 219.18"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "207.00",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.43%\nB) 1.65%\nC) 2.24%\nD) 2.84%",
"options": [
"A) 3.43%",
"B) 1.65%",
"C) 2.24%",
"D) 2.84%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.65%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.84pp\nB) +1.29pp\nC) +0.40pp\nD) +1.73pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.84pp",
"B) +1.29pp",
"C) +0.40pp",
"D) +1.73pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 229.94\nB) 224.04\nC) 247.64\nD) 238.79",
"options": [
"A) 229.94",
"B) 224.04",
"C) 247.64",
"D) 238.79"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "238.79",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 4,321.11\nB) 5,281.92\nC) 4,641.38\nD) 4,000.84",
"options": [
"A) 4,321.11",
"B) 5,281.92",
"C) 4,641.38",
"D) 4,000.84"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4,321.11",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 3.83%\nC) 6.07%\nD) 7.19%",
"options": [
"A) 0.47%",
"B) 3.83%",
"C) 6.07%",
"D) 7.19%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.83%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.72%\nB) 21.41%\nC) -3.96%\nD) 34.09%",
"options": [
"A) 8.72%",
"B) 21.41%",
"C) -3.96%",
"D) 34.09%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-3.96%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,236K\nB) 814K\nC) 983K\nD) 1,067K",
"options": [
"A) 1,236K",
"B) 814K",
"C) 983K",
"D) 1,067K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,067K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) -1.35pp\nC) +0.98pp\nD) -0.18pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.40pp",
"B) -1.35pp",
"C) +0.98pp",
"D) -0.18pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) -36.74%\nB) 7.80%\nC) 37.50%\nD) -21.89%",
"options": [
"A) -36.74%",
"B) 7.80%",
"C) 37.50%",
"D) -21.89%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "7.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.36%\nB) 11.36%\nC) 20.35%\nD) -6.63%",
"options": [
"A) 2.36%",
"B) 11.36%",
"C) 20.35%",
"D) -6.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "20.35%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.24%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 2.97%\nD) 2.45%",
"options": [
"A) 3.24%",
"B) 1.66%",
"C) 2.97%",
"D) 2.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.45%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.20%\nB) 5.79%\nC) 3.44%\nD) 4.03%",
"options": [
"A) 5.20%",
"B) 5.79%",
"C) 3.44%",
"D) 4.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 93.86\nB) 96.01\nC) 98.16\nD) 101.39",
"options": [
"A) 93.86",
"B) 96.01",
"C) 98.16",
"D) 101.39"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "96.01",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $-39,492M\nB) $-43,852M\nC) $-41,672M\nD) $-48,213M",
"options": [
"A) $-39,492M",
"B) $-43,852M",
"C) $-41,672M",
"D) $-48,213M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$-41,672M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,109K\nB) 765K\nC) 851K\nD) 1,023K",
"options": [
"A) 1,109K",
"B) 765K",
"C) 851K",
"D) 1,023K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,023K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 161.18\nB) 171.33\nC) 157.79\nD) 154.41",
"options": [
"A) 161.18",
"B) 171.33",
"C) 157.79",
"D) 154.41"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "161.18",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 0.01%\nD) 0.17%",
"options": [
"A) 0.27%",
"B) 0.09%",
"C) 0.01%",
"D) 0.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $12,494B\nB) $11,884B\nC) $12,798B\nD) $13,103B",
"options": [
"A) $12,494B",
"B) $11,884B",
"C) $12,798B",
"D) $13,103B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$12,798B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 2.32%\nD) 1.65%",
"options": [
"A) 1.87%",
"B) 2.10%",
"C) 2.32%",
"D) 1.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.65%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,722B\nB) $11,998B\nC) $11,170B\nD) $11,446B",
"options": [
"A) $11,722B",
"B) $11,998B",
"C) $11,170B",
"D) $11,446B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$11,722B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) +2.59pp\nB) +2.12pp\nC) +1.42pp\nD) +1.89pp",
"options": [
"A) +2.59pp",
"B) +2.12pp",
"C) +1.42pp",
"D) +1.89pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+2.12pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.37\nB) 78.14\nC) 84.60\nD) 87.83",
"options": [
"A) 81.37",
"B) 78.14",
"C) 84.60",
"D) 87.83"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "84.60",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.29%\nB) 0.19%\nC) 0.12%\nD) 0.04%",
"options": [
"A) 0.29%",
"B) 0.19%",
"C) 0.12%",
"D) 0.04%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.04%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.30pp\nB) -3.03pp\nC) -2.45pp\nD) -1.88pp",
"options": [
"A) -1.30pp",
"B) -3.03pp",
"C) -2.45pp",
"D) -1.88pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-1.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.11pp\nB) +1.42pp\nC) +4.03pp\nD) +2.72pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.11pp",
"B) +1.42pp",
"C) +4.03pp",
"D) +2.72pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+1.42pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 985K\nB) 801K\nC) 1,077K\nD) 893K",
"options": [
"A) 985K",
"B) 801K",
"C) 1,077K",
"D) 893K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,077K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) +11.05pp\nB) -4.74pp\nC) +18.94pp\nD) +7.10pp",
"options": [
"A) +11.05pp",
"B) -4.74pp",
"C) +18.94pp",
"D) +7.10pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+7.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.27%\nB) -1.02%\nC) 23.85%\nD) 32.14%",
"options": [
"A) 7.27%",
"B) -1.02%",
"C) 23.85%",
"D) 32.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7.27%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.77%\nB) 0.49%\nC) 0.35%\nD) 0.08%",
"options": [
"A) 0.77%",
"B) 0.49%",
"C) 0.35%",
"D) 0.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.49%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 42.70%\nB) 1.50%\nC) 26.22%\nD) 9.74%",
"options": [
"A) 42.70%",
"B) 1.50%",
"C) 26.22%",
"D) 9.74%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "26.22%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.11%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 4.46%",
"options": [
"A) 3.11%",
"B) 1.76%",
"C) 0.41%",
"D) 4.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.46%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.13%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 3.57%\nD) 4.85%",
"options": [
"A) 6.13%",
"B) 2.29%",
"C) 3.57%",
"D) 4.85%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 254.57\nB) 237.48\nC) 227.22\nD) 244.32",
"options": [
"A) 254.57",
"B) 237.48",
"C) 227.22",
"D) 244.32"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "237.48",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $387,743M\nB) $401,892M\nC) $430,189M\nD) $472,635M",
"options": [
"A) $387,743M",
"B) $401,892M",
"C) $430,189M",
"D) $472,635M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$430,189M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 103.26\nB) 94.24\nC) 100.68\nD) 96.81",
"options": [
"A) 103.26",
"B) 94.24",
"C) 100.68",
"D) 96.81"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "96.81",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) -0.40%\nC) 0.94%\nD) 2.28%",
"options": [
"A) 1.61%",
"B) -0.40%",
"C) 0.94%",
"D) 2.28%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.61%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.53%\nB) 1.50%\nC) 2.18%\nD) 0.81%",
"options": [
"A) 2.53%",
"B) 1.50%",
"C) 2.18%",
"D) 0.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.50%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.85%\nB) 3.02%\nC) 1.39%\nD) -0.24%",
"options": [
"A) 0.85%",
"B) 3.02%",
"C) 1.39%",
"D) -0.24%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.39%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,146B\nB) $12,273B\nC) $11,428B\nD) $11,991B",
"options": [
"A) $11,146B",
"B) $12,273B",
"C) $11,428B",
"D) $11,991B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$11,991B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.2250\nB) 5.9598\nC) 6.6228\nD) 6.4902",
"options": [
"A) 6.2250",
"B) 5.9598",
"C) 6.6228",
"D) 6.4902"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.2250",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.65%\nB) 4.74%\nC) -1.10%\nD) 13.49%",
"options": [
"A) 7.65%",
"B) 4.74%",
"C) -1.10%",
"D) 13.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.74%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.16%\nB) 82.68%\nC) 78.92%\nD) 85.19%",
"options": [
"A) 75.16%",
"B) 82.68%",
"C) 78.92%",
"D) 85.19%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "78.92%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 57.13%\nB) 63.02%\nC) 60.67%\nD) 58.90%",
"options": [
"A) 57.13%",
"B) 63.02%",
"C) 60.67%",
"D) 58.90%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "58.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,049M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M",
"options": [
"A) $4,049M",
"B) $4,300,000M",
"C) $2,400,000M",
"D) $6,200,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$4,049M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 16.76%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 12.70%",
"options": [
"A) 16.76%",
"B) 4.56%",
"C) 0.49%",
"D) 12.70%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.56%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.57%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 2.61%\nD) 2.96%",
"options": [
"A) 1.57%",
"B) 3.65%",
"C) 2.61%",
"D) 2.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.61%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 191.78\nB) 211.27\nC) 221.02\nD) 206.40",
"options": [
"A) 191.78",
"B) 211.27",
"C) 221.02",
"D) 206.40"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "206.40",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.07%\nB) 8.40%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 3.96%",
"options": [
"A) 5.07%",
"B) 8.40%",
"C) 1.74%",
"D) 3.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.07%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $75,157M\nB) $68,418M\nC) $58,310M\nD) $61,679M",
"options": [
"A) $75,157M",
"B) $68,418M",
"C) $58,310M",
"D) $61,679M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$68,418M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $72,143M\nB) $64,185M\nC) $69,490M\nD) $77,448M",
"options": [
"A) $72,143M",
"B) $64,185M",
"C) $69,490M",
"D) $77,448M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$69,490M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.25%\nB) -0.68%\nC) 4.06%\nD) 1.69%",
"options": [
"A) 5.25%",
"B) -0.68%",
"C) 4.06%",
"D) 1.69%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 101.8200\nB) 93.1497\nC) 88.8146\nD) 114.8254",
"options": [
"A) 101.8200",
"B) 93.1497",
"C) 88.8146",
"D) 114.8254"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "101.8200",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) $96.12/bbl\nB) $107.52/bbl\nC) $124.62/bbl\nD) $118.92/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $96.12/bbl",
"B) $107.52/bbl",
"C) $124.62/bbl",
"D) $118.92/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$107.52/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20140301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.99%\nB) 61.21%\nC) 63.10%\nD) 59.95%",
"options": [
"A) 64.99%",
"B) 61.21%",
"C) 63.10%",
"D) 59.95%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "63.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20140615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2014-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.66%\nB) 0.76%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 1.71%",
"options": [
"A) 2.66%",
"B) 0.76%",
"C) 1.08%",
"D) 1.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.71%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.50%\nB) 6.08%\nC) 6.65%\nD) 7.23%",
"options": [
"A) 5.50%",
"B) 6.08%",
"C) 6.65%",
"D) 7.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.50%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20140901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2014",
"info_cutoff": "2014-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.85%\nB) 1.23%\nC) 3.43%\nD) -0.98%",
"options": [
"A) 7.85%",
"B) 1.23%",
"C) 3.43%",
"D) -0.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.23%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $116.20/bbl\nB) $103.25/bbl\nC) $106.49/bbl\nD) $96.78/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $116.20/bbl",
"B) $103.25/bbl",
"C) $106.49/bbl",
"D) $96.78/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$106.49/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-5d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $116.20/bbl\nB) $103.25/bbl\nC) $106.49/bbl\nD) $96.78/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $116.20/bbl",
"B) $103.25/bbl",
"C) $106.49/bbl",
"D) $96.78/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$106.49/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-5d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $108.00/bbl\nB) $98.29/bbl\nC) $95.05/bbl\nD) $104.76/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $108.00/bbl",
"B) $98.29/bbl",
"C) $95.05/bbl",
"D) $104.76/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$104.76/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-10d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $108.00/bbl\nB) $98.29/bbl\nC) $95.05/bbl\nD) $104.76/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $108.00/bbl",
"B) $98.29/bbl",
"C) $95.05/bbl",
"D) $104.76/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$104.76/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-10d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $100.56/bbl\nB) $107.03/bbl\nC) $90.85/bbl\nD) $94.09/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $100.56/bbl",
"B) $107.03/bbl",
"C) $90.85/bbl",
"D) $94.09/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$100.56/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-20d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $100.56/bbl\nB) $107.03/bbl\nC) $90.85/bbl\nD) $94.09/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $100.56/bbl",
"B) $107.03/bbl",
"C) $90.85/bbl",
"D) $94.09/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$100.56/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-20d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $92.30/bbl\nB) $95.54/bbl\nC) $102.01/bbl\nD) $105.25/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $92.30/bbl",
"B) $95.54/bbl",
"C) $102.01/bbl",
"D) $105.25/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$95.54/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-40d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $92.30/bbl\nB) $95.54/bbl\nC) $102.01/bbl\nD) $105.25/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $92.30/bbl",
"B) $95.54/bbl",
"C) $102.01/bbl",
"D) $105.25/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$95.54/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-40d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $98.18/bbl\nB) $88.47/bbl\nC) $91.71/bbl\nD) $82.00/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $98.18/bbl",
"B) $88.47/bbl",
"C) $91.71/bbl",
"D) $82.00/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$91.71/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-60d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $98.18/bbl\nB) $88.47/bbl\nC) $91.71/bbl\nD) $82.00/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $98.18/bbl",
"B) $88.47/bbl",
"C) $91.71/bbl",
"D) $82.00/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$91.71/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-60d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $56.66/bbl\nB) $59.89/bbl\nC) $72.84/bbl\nD) $63.13/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $56.66/bbl",
"B) $59.89/bbl",
"C) $72.84/bbl",
"D) $63.13/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$63.13/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-120d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $56.66/bbl\nB) $59.89/bbl\nC) $72.84/bbl\nD) $63.13/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $56.66/bbl",
"B) $59.89/bbl",
"C) $72.84/bbl",
"D) $63.13/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$63.13/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-120d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $114.55/bbl\nB) $121.58/bbl\nC) $109.86/bbl\nD) $119.24/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $114.55/bbl",
"B) $121.58/bbl",
"C) $109.86/bbl",
"D) $119.24/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-5d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $114.55/bbl\nB) $121.58/bbl\nC) $109.86/bbl\nD) $119.24/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $114.55/bbl",
"B) $121.58/bbl",
"C) $109.86/bbl",
"D) $119.24/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-5d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $121.58/bbl\nB) $114.55/bbl\nC) $119.24/bbl\nD) $112.21/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $121.58/bbl",
"B) $114.55/bbl",
"C) $119.24/bbl",
"D) $112.21/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-10d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $121.58/bbl\nB) $114.55/bbl\nC) $119.24/bbl\nD) $112.21/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $121.58/bbl",
"B) $114.55/bbl",
"C) $119.24/bbl",
"D) $112.21/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-10d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $112.21/bbl\nB) $109.86/bbl\nC) $114.55/bbl\nD) $116.89/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $112.21/bbl",
"B) $109.86/bbl",
"C) $114.55/bbl",
"D) $116.89/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-20d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $112.21/bbl\nB) $109.86/bbl\nC) $114.55/bbl\nD) $116.89/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $112.21/bbl",
"B) $109.86/bbl",
"C) $114.55/bbl",
"D) $116.89/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-20d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $119.24/bbl\nB) $121.58/bbl\nC) $107.52/bbl\nD) $114.55/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $119.24/bbl",
"B) $121.58/bbl",
"C) $107.52/bbl",
"D) $114.55/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-40d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $119.24/bbl\nB) $121.58/bbl\nC) $107.52/bbl\nD) $114.55/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $119.24/bbl",
"B) $121.58/bbl",
"C) $107.52/bbl",
"D) $114.55/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-40d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $114.55/bbl\nB) $119.24/bbl\nC) $121.58/bbl\nD) $109.86/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $114.55/bbl",
"B) $119.24/bbl",
"C) $121.58/bbl",
"D) $109.86/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-60d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $114.55/bbl\nB) $119.24/bbl\nC) $121.58/bbl\nD) $109.86/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $114.55/bbl",
"B) $119.24/bbl",
"C) $121.58/bbl",
"D) $109.86/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-60d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $116.89/bbl\nB) $114.55/bbl\nC) $109.86/bbl\nD) $119.24/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $116.89/bbl",
"B) $114.55/bbl",
"C) $109.86/bbl",
"D) $119.24/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-120d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $116.89/bbl\nB) $114.55/bbl\nC) $109.86/bbl\nD) $119.24/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) $116.89/bbl",
"B) $114.55/bbl",
"C) $109.86/bbl",
"D) $119.24/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-120d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 90.95\nB) 99.38\nC) 93.76\nD) 96.57",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) 90.95",
"B) 99.38",
"C) 93.76",
"D) 96.57"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "93.76",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-5d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 90.95\nB) 99.38\nC) 93.76\nD) 96.57",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) 90.95",
"B) 99.38",
"C) 93.76",
"D) 96.57"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "93.76",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-5d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 90.95\nB) 99.38\nC) 96.57\nD) 93.76",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) 90.95",
"B) 99.38",
"C) 96.57",
"D) 93.76"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "93.76",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-10d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 90.95\nB) 99.38\nC) 96.57\nD) 93.76",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) 90.95",
"B) 99.38",
"C) 96.57",
"D) 93.76"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "93.76",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-10d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 93.76\nB) 96.57\nC) 99.38\nD) 90.95",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) 93.76",
"B) 96.57",
"C) 99.38",
"D) 90.95"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "93.76",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-20d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 93.76\nB) 96.57\nC) 99.38\nD) 90.95",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) 93.76",
"B) 96.57",
"C) 99.38",
"D) 90.95"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "93.76",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-20d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 91.84\nB) 94.68\nC) 97.52\nD) 100.36",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) 91.84",
"B) 94.68",
"C) 97.52",
"D) 100.36"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "94.68",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-40d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 91.84\nB) 94.68\nC) 97.52\nD) 100.36",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) 91.84",
"B) 94.68",
"C) 97.52",
"D) 100.36"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "94.68",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-40d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 99.00\nB) 93.24\nC) 96.12\nD) 91.31",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) 99.00",
"B) 93.24",
"C) 96.12",
"D) 91.31"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "96.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-60d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 99.00\nB) 93.24\nC) 96.12\nD) 91.31",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) 99.00",
"B) 93.24",
"C) 96.12",
"D) 91.31"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "96.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-60d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 103.47\nB) 99.42\nC) 105.50\nD) 101.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) 103.47",
"B) 99.42",
"C) 105.50",
"D) 101.44"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "101.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-120d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 103.47\nB) 99.42\nC) 105.50\nD) 101.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19",
"info_cutoff": "2014-06-18",
"options": [
"A) 103.47",
"B) 99.42",
"C) 105.50",
"D) 101.44"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "101.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Oil price collapse begins",
"event_date": "2014-06-19",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-120d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $54.18/bbl\nB) $45.41/bbl\nC) $67.33/bbl\nD) $62.95/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) $54.18/bbl",
"B) $45.41/bbl",
"C) $67.33/bbl",
"D) $62.95/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$54.18/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-5d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $54.18/bbl\nB) $45.41/bbl\nC) $67.33/bbl\nD) $62.95/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) $54.18/bbl",
"B) $45.41/bbl",
"C) $67.33/bbl",
"D) $62.95/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$54.18/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-5d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $40.30/bbl\nB) $53.45/bbl\nC) $66.60/bbl\nD) $57.83/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) $40.30/bbl",
"B) $53.45/bbl",
"C) $66.60/bbl",
"D) $57.83/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$53.45/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-10d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $40.30/bbl\nB) $53.45/bbl\nC) $66.60/bbl\nD) $57.83/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) $40.30/bbl",
"B) $53.45/bbl",
"C) $66.60/bbl",
"D) $57.83/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$53.45/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-10d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $37.15/bbl\nB) $41.54/bbl\nC) $45.92/bbl\nD) $32.77/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) $37.15/bbl",
"B) $41.54/bbl",
"C) $45.92/bbl",
"D) $32.77/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$45.92/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-20d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $37.15/bbl\nB) $41.54/bbl\nC) $45.92/bbl\nD) $32.77/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) $37.15/bbl",
"B) $41.54/bbl",
"C) $45.92/bbl",
"D) $32.77/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$45.92/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-20d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $57.23/bbl\nB) $39.70/bbl\nC) $35.31/bbl\nD) $44.08/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) $57.23/bbl",
"B) $39.70/bbl",
"C) $35.31/bbl",
"D) $44.08/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$44.08/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-40d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $57.23/bbl\nB) $39.70/bbl\nC) $35.31/bbl\nD) $44.08/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) $57.23/bbl",
"B) $39.70/bbl",
"C) $35.31/bbl",
"D) $44.08/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$44.08/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-40d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $43.93/bbl\nB) $35.16/bbl\nC) $57.08/bbl\nD) $39.55/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) $43.93/bbl",
"B) $35.16/bbl",
"C) $57.08/bbl",
"D) $39.55/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$43.93/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-60d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $43.93/bbl\nB) $35.16/bbl\nC) $57.08/bbl\nD) $39.55/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) $43.93/bbl",
"B) $35.16/bbl",
"C) $57.08/bbl",
"D) $39.55/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$43.93/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-60d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $52.16/bbl\nB) $43.39/bbl\nC) $30.24/bbl\nD) $56.54/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) $52.16/bbl",
"B) $43.39/bbl",
"C) $30.24/bbl",
"D) $56.54/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$43.39/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-120d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $52.16/bbl\nB) $43.39/bbl\nC) $30.24/bbl\nD) $56.54/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) $52.16/bbl",
"B) $43.39/bbl",
"C) $30.24/bbl",
"D) $56.54/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$43.39/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-120d-min",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.69\nB) 16.06\nC) 19.44\nD) 18.31",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 21.69",
"B) 16.06",
"C) 19.44",
"D) 18.31"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "19.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-5d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.69\nB) 16.06\nC) 19.44\nD) 18.31",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 21.69",
"B) 16.06",
"C) 19.44",
"D) 18.31"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "19.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-5d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 22.82\nB) 16.06\nC) 17.19\nD) 19.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 22.82",
"B) 16.06",
"C) 17.19",
"D) 19.44"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "19.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-10d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 22.82\nB) 16.06\nC) 17.19\nD) 19.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 22.82",
"B) 16.06",
"C) 17.19",
"D) 19.44"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "19.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-10d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 22.39\nB) 21.26\nC) 23.52\nD) 25.77",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 22.39",
"B) 21.26",
"C) 23.52",
"D) 25.77"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "22.39",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-20d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 22.39\nB) 21.26\nC) 23.52\nD) 25.77",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 22.39",
"B) 21.26",
"C) 23.52",
"D) 25.77"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "22.39",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-20d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.26\nB) 22.39\nC) 19.01\nD) 23.52",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 21.26",
"B) 22.39",
"C) 19.01",
"D) 23.52"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "22.39",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-40d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.26\nB) 22.39\nC) 19.01\nD) 23.52",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 21.26",
"B) 22.39",
"C) 19.01",
"D) 23.52"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "22.39",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-40d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 24.64\nB) 25.77\nC) 22.39\nD) 19.01",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 24.64",
"B) 25.77",
"C) 22.39",
"D) 19.01"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "22.39",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-60d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 24.64\nB) 25.77\nC) 22.39\nD) 19.01",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 24.64",
"B) 25.77",
"C) 22.39",
"D) 19.01"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "22.39",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-60d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.26\nB) 24.64\nC) 23.52\nD) 22.39",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 21.26",
"B) 24.64",
"C) 23.52",
"D) 22.39"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "22.39",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-120d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.26\nB) 24.64\nC) 23.52\nD) 22.39",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 21.26",
"B) 24.64",
"C) 23.52",
"D) 22.39"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "22.39",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-120d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 102.35\nB) 104.44\nC) 98.16\nD) 100.26",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 102.35",
"B) 104.44",
"C) 98.16",
"D) 100.26"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "102.35",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-5d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 102.35\nB) 104.44\nC) 98.16\nD) 100.26",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 102.35",
"B) 104.44",
"C) 98.16",
"D) 100.26"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "102.35",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-5d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 104.99\nB) 102.90\nC) 108.13\nD) 99.76",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 104.99",
"B) 102.90",
"C) 108.13",
"D) 99.76"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "102.90",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-10d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 104.99\nB) 102.90\nC) 108.13\nD) 99.76",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 104.99",
"B) 102.90",
"C) 108.13",
"D) 99.76"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "102.90",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-10d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 100.49\nB) 105.72\nC) 103.63\nD) 108.86",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 100.49",
"B) 105.72",
"C) 103.63",
"D) 108.86"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "103.63",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-20d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 100.49\nB) 105.72\nC) 103.63\nD) 108.86",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 100.49",
"B) 105.72",
"C) 103.63",
"D) 108.86"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "103.63",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-20d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 103.67\nB) 107.91\nC) 111.08\nD) 105.79",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 103.67",
"B) 107.91",
"C) 111.08",
"D) 105.79"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "105.79",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-40d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 103.67\nB) 107.91\nC) 111.08\nD) 105.79",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 103.67",
"B) 107.91",
"C) 111.08",
"D) 105.79"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "105.79",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-40d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 108.92\nB) 116.54\nC) 105.65\nD) 112.18",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 108.92",
"B) 116.54",
"C) 105.65",
"D) 112.18"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "108.92",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-60d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 108.92\nB) 116.54\nC) 105.65\nD) 112.18",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 108.92",
"B) 116.54",
"C) 105.65",
"D) 112.18"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "108.92",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-60d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 115.45\nB) 108.92\nC) 112.18\nD) 105.65",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 115.45",
"B) 108.92",
"C) 112.18",
"D) 105.65"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "108.92",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-120d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 115.45\nB) 108.92\nC) 112.18\nD) 105.65",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 115.45",
"B) 108.92",
"C) 112.18",
"D) 105.65"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "108.92",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-120d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,284.38\nB) 5,526.97\nC) 4,781.42\nD) 5,278.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 4,284.38",
"B) 5,526.97",
"C) 4,781.42",
"D) 5,278.46"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4,781.42",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-5d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,284.38\nB) 5,526.97\nC) 4,781.42\nD) 5,278.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 4,284.38",
"B) 5,526.97",
"C) 4,781.42",
"D) 5,278.46"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4,781.42",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-5d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,309.87\nB) 5,055.43\nC) 4,061.36\nD) 4,806.91",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 4,309.87",
"B) 5,055.43",
"C) 4,061.36",
"D) 4,806.91"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,806.91",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-10d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,309.87\nB) 5,055.43\nC) 4,061.36\nD) 4,806.91",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 4,309.87",
"B) 5,055.43",
"C) 4,061.36",
"D) 4,806.91"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,806.91",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-10d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,806.91\nB) 4,558.39\nC) 5,055.43\nD) 4,061.36",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 4,806.91",
"B) 4,558.39",
"C) 5,055.43",
"D) 4,061.36"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4,806.91",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-20d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,806.91\nB) 4,558.39\nC) 5,055.43\nD) 4,061.36",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 4,806.91",
"B) 4,558.39",
"C) 5,055.43",
"D) 4,061.36"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4,806.91",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-20d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 5,390.88\nB) 4,893.84\nC) 4,645.32\nD) 5,639.39",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 5,390.88",
"B) 4,893.84",
"C) 4,645.32",
"D) 5,639.39"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4,893.84",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-40d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 5,390.88\nB) 4,893.84\nC) 4,645.32\nD) 5,639.39",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 5,390.88",
"B) 4,893.84",
"C) 4,645.32",
"D) 5,639.39"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4,893.84",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-40d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 5,256.62\nB) 4,511.06\nC) 5,008.10\nD) 5,753.65",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 5,256.62",
"B) 4,511.06",
"C) 5,008.10",
"D) 5,753.65"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5,008.10",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-60d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 5,256.62\nB) 4,511.06\nC) 5,008.10\nD) 5,753.65",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 5,256.62",
"B) 4,511.06",
"C) 5,008.10",
"D) 5,753.65"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5,008.10",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-60d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,609.55\nB) 4,361.04\nC) 4,858.07\nD) 5,106.59",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 4,609.55",
"B) 4,361.04",
"C) 4,858.07",
"D) 5,106.59"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5,106.59",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-120d-max",
"year": 2014
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,609.55\nB) 4,361.04\nC) 4,858.07\nD) 5,106.59",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2014-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 4,609.55",
"B) 4,361.04",
"C) 4,858.07",
"D) 5,106.59"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5,106.59",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Russian ruble crisis",
"event_date": "2014-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-120d-max",
"year": 2014
}
]