pre_test / *.parquet /mcq_2015.json
lfqian's picture
Fix per-year parquet schema (unify 17 cols, string types) for by_year splits
de9f149 verified
[
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.28%\nB) 0.92%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 1.04%",
"options": [
"A) 1.28%",
"B) 0.92%",
"C) 1.16%",
"D) 1.04%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.28%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2087\nB) 1.1266\nC) 1.0445\nD) 1.2908",
"options": [
"A) 1.2087",
"B) 1.1266",
"C) 1.0445",
"D) 1.2908"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.1266",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.42%\nB) -9.51%\nC) -7.49%\nD) -3.45%",
"options": [
"A) -1.42%",
"B) -9.51%",
"C) -7.49%",
"D) -3.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-7.49%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $64,726M\nB) $67,583M\nC) $59,011M\nD) $63,297M",
"options": [
"A) $64,726M",
"B) $67,583M",
"C) $59,011M",
"D) $63,297M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$63,297M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.47\nB) 91.07\nC) 94.31\nD) 99.71",
"options": [
"A) 96.47",
"B) 91.07",
"C) 94.31",
"D) 99.71"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "96.47",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.16pp\nB) -1.94pp\nC) -4.62pp\nD) -1.05pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.16pp",
"B) -1.94pp",
"C) -4.62pp",
"D) -1.05pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-1.94pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.39%\nB) 17.97%\nC) 12.81%\nD) 5.08%",
"options": [
"A) 15.39%",
"B) 17.97%",
"C) 12.81%",
"D) 5.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "12.81%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.20%\nB) 12.49%\nC) 9.75%\nD) 4.27%",
"options": [
"A) -1.20%",
"B) 12.49%",
"C) 9.75%",
"D) 4.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.27%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 23.37%\nC) 15.74%\nD) -14.80%",
"options": [
"A) 0.47%",
"B) 23.37%",
"C) 15.74%",
"D) -14.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.47%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.44%\nB) 3.67%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 5.83%",
"options": [
"A) 0.44%",
"B) 3.67%",
"C) 2.59%",
"D) 5.83%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.67%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.65%\nB) 0.82%\nC) -0.00%\nD) 1.65%",
"options": [
"A) -1.65%",
"B) 0.82%",
"C) -0.00%",
"D) 1.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) $10,698B\nB) $11,862B\nC) $10,116B\nD) $10,989B",
"options": [
"A) $10,698B",
"B) $11,862B",
"C) $10,116B",
"D) $10,989B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$10,989B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.38%\nB) -5.90%\nC) -10.87%\nD) -13.35%",
"options": [
"A) -8.38%",
"B) -5.90%",
"C) -10.87%",
"D) -13.35%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-8.38%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,417K\nB) 1,224K\nC) 935K\nD) 1,128K",
"options": [
"A) 1,417K",
"B) 1,224K",
"C) 935K",
"D) 1,128K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1,224K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 20.58%\nB) -7.54%\nC) -0.51%\nD) -21.60%",
"options": [
"A) 20.58%",
"B) -7.54%",
"C) -0.51%",
"D) -21.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.51%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -12.55%\nB) 6.55%\nC) -17.33%\nD) -7.78%",
"options": [
"A) -12.55%",
"B) 6.55%",
"C) -17.33%",
"D) -7.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-7.78%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 97.20\nB) 95.07\nC) 100.38\nD) 92.94",
"options": [
"A) 97.20",
"B) 95.07",
"C) 100.38",
"D) 92.94"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "97.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 57.42%\nB) 59.20%\nC) 63.34%\nD) 60.98%",
"options": [
"A) 57.42%",
"B) 59.20%",
"C) 63.34%",
"D) 60.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "59.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.78%\nB) 5.56%\nC) 7.99%\nD) 9.20%",
"options": [
"A) 6.78%",
"B) 5.56%",
"C) 7.99%",
"D) 9.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "7.99%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 168.71\nB) 193.95\nC) 156.09\nD) 175.02",
"options": [
"A) 168.71",
"B) 193.95",
"C) 156.09",
"D) 175.02"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "175.02",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.80%\nB) 5.23%\nC) 4.09%\nD) 4.66%",
"options": [
"A) 5.80%",
"B) 5.23%",
"C) 4.09%",
"D) 4.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 2.40%",
"options": [
"A) 2.62%",
"B) 1.94%",
"C) 1.49%",
"D) 2.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.27%\nB) 60.53%\nC) 62.40%\nD) 65.52%",
"options": [
"A) 64.27%",
"B) 60.53%",
"C) 62.40%",
"D) 65.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "62.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 16.94%\nB) -16.09%\nC) -9.49%\nD) 3.72%",
"options": [
"A) 16.94%",
"B) -16.09%",
"C) -9.49%",
"D) 3.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.72%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.60pp\nB) -1.46pp\nC) +14.79pp\nD) +6.66pp",
"options": [
"A) +2.60pp",
"B) -1.46pp",
"C) +14.79pp",
"D) +6.66pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+2.60pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.92%\nB) 3.87%\nC) 4.22%\nD) 3.52%",
"options": [
"A) 4.92%",
"B) 3.87%",
"C) 4.22%",
"D) 3.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.87%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -17.16%\nB) -25.22%\nC) -1.03%\nD) 15.10%",
"options": [
"A) -17.16%",
"B) -25.22%",
"C) -1.03%",
"D) 15.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-1.03%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) -0.60%\nC) 7.29%\nD) 4.66%",
"options": [
"A) 2.03%",
"B) -0.60%",
"C) 7.29%",
"D) 4.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.66%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.90%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 6.47%\nD) 7.61%",
"options": [
"A) 5.90%",
"B) 5.33%",
"C) 6.47%",
"D) 7.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.04pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.53pp\nD) -0.19pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.04pp",
"B) +0.10pp",
"C) +0.53pp",
"D) -0.19pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+0.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.22%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 0.02%",
"options": [
"A) 0.22%",
"B) 0.09%",
"C) 0.14%",
"D) 0.02%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.0128\nB) 6.6959\nC) 6.4032\nD) 6.2080",
"options": [
"A) 6.0128",
"B) 6.6959",
"C) 6.4032",
"D) 6.2080"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.2080",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.90%\nB) 2.09%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 2.29%",
"options": [
"A) 1.90%",
"B) 2.09%",
"C) 1.70%",
"D) 2.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,040K\nB) 1,144K\nC) 1,248K\nD) 832K",
"options": [
"A) 1,040K",
"B) 1,144K",
"C) 1,248K",
"D) 832K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1,144K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 183.85\nB) 210.62\nC) 191.50\nD) 199.15",
"options": [
"A) 183.85",
"B) 210.62",
"C) 191.50",
"D) 199.15"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "191.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.10%\nB) -0.70%\nC) 0.80%\nD) 0.20%",
"options": [
"A) 1.10%",
"B) -0.70%",
"C) 0.80%",
"D) 0.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $12,176B\nB) $11,318B\nC) $12,748B\nD) $12,462B",
"options": [
"A) $12,176B",
"B) $11,318B",
"C) $12,748B",
"D) $12,462B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$12,176B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.75pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -0.37pp\nD) -0.12pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.75pp",
"B) -0.50pp",
"C) -0.37pp",
"D) -0.12pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.50pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) $88.82/bbl\nB) $33.16/bbl\nC) $60.99/bbl\nD) $51.71/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $88.82/bbl",
"B) $33.16/bbl",
"C) $60.99/bbl",
"D) $51.71/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$60.99/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 249.94\nB) 231.57\nC) 256.07\nD) 240.75",
"options": [
"A) 249.94",
"B) 231.57",
"C) 256.07",
"D) 240.75"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "240.75",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 77.78%\nB) 79.57%\nC) 75.10%\nD) 82.24%",
"options": [
"A) 77.78%",
"B) 79.57%",
"C) 75.10%",
"D) 82.24%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "77.78%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 116.08\nB) 109.80\nC) 105.09\nD) 112.94",
"options": [
"A) 116.08",
"B) 109.80",
"C) 105.09",
"D) 112.94"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "109.80",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,094B\nB) $13,263B\nC) $12,386B\nD) $11,509B",
"options": [
"A) $12,094B",
"B) $13,263B",
"C) $12,386B",
"D) $11,509B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$12,386B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.32pp\nB) +2.33pp\nC) -3.69pp\nD) -0.68pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.32pp",
"B) +2.33pp",
"C) -3.69pp",
"D) -0.68pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.68pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,920B\nB) $12,946B\nC) $10,382B\nD) $10,895B",
"options": [
"A) $11,920B",
"B) $12,946B",
"C) $10,382B",
"D) $10,895B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$11,920B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.46pp\nB) -1.30pp\nC) -0.74pp\nD) -1.58pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.46pp",
"B) -1.30pp",
"C) -0.74pp",
"D) -1.58pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-1.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,887,686\nB) 1,958,157\nC) 2,268,000\nD) 3,197,528",
"options": [
"A) 2,887,686",
"B) 1,958,157",
"C) 2,268,000",
"D) 3,197,528"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,268,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.10%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 1.23%",
"options": [
"A) 1.10%",
"B) 1.62%",
"C) 0.85%",
"D) 1.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.23%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $439,867M\nB) $403,225M\nC) $452,081M\nD) $427,653M",
"options": [
"A) $439,867M",
"B) $403,225M",
"C) $452,081M",
"D) $427,653M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$439,867M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 145,752K\nB) 142,275K\nC) 149,230K\nD) 137,059K",
"options": [
"A) 145,752K",
"B) 142,275K",
"C) 149,230K",
"D) 137,059K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "142,275K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.43%\nB) 6.56%\nC) 5.68%\nD) 3.06%",
"options": [
"A) 7.43%",
"B) 6.56%",
"C) 5.68%",
"D) 3.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.68%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.54pp\nB) +0.79pp\nC) +1.03pp\nD) +0.30pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.54pp",
"B) +0.79pp",
"C) +1.03pp",
"D) +0.30pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 960K\nB) 1,142K\nC) 1,233K\nD) 869K",
"options": [
"A) 960K",
"B) 1,142K",
"C) 1,233K",
"D) 869K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "960K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -5.26%\nB) -8.91%\nC) -1.61%\nD) -16.21%",
"options": [
"A) -5.26%",
"B) -8.91%",
"C) -1.61%",
"D) -16.21%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-8.91%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.42%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 1.75%",
"options": [
"A) 2.42%",
"B) 1.58%",
"C) 2.08%",
"D) 1.75%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 60.98%\nB) 63.34%\nC) 57.42%\nD) 59.20%",
"options": [
"A) 60.98%",
"B) 63.34%",
"C) 57.42%",
"D) 59.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "59.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) -46.23%\nB) -84.83%\nC) -7.62%\nD) -33.36%",
"options": [
"A) -46.23%",
"B) -84.83%",
"C) -7.62%",
"D) -33.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-46.23%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) $82.23/bbl\nB) $59.53/bbl\nC) $44.39/bbl\nD) $51.96/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $82.23/bbl",
"B) $59.53/bbl",
"C) $44.39/bbl",
"D) $51.96/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$59.53/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 134,518K\nB) 137,720K\nC) 140,923K\nD) 145,727K",
"options": [
"A) 134,518K",
"B) 137,720K",
"C) 140,923K",
"D) 145,727K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "140,923K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) 321,583\nB) 295,291\nC) 190,126\nD) 269,000",
"options": [
"A) 321,583",
"B) 295,291",
"C) 190,126",
"D) 269,000"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "269,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 2.23%",
"options": [
"A) 3.09%",
"B) 3.38%",
"C) 3.95%",
"D) 2.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.78%\nB) -4.93%\nC) 2.21%\nD) -8.51%",
"options": [
"A) 5.78%",
"B) -4.93%",
"C) 2.21%",
"D) -8.51%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-4.93%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 109.6064\nB) 102.7196\nC) 123.3800\nD) 130.2668",
"options": [
"A) 109.6064",
"B) 102.7196",
"C) 123.3800",
"D) 130.2668"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "123.3800",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.49\nB) 96.62\nC) 73.06\nD) 87.20",
"options": [
"A) 82.49",
"B) 96.62",
"C) 73.06",
"D) 87.20"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "87.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.75%\nB) 1.29%\nC) 2.42%\nD) 1.07%",
"options": [
"A) 1.75%",
"B) 1.29%",
"C) 2.42%",
"D) 1.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.75%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 35.13%\nB) 19.65%\nC) -3.57%\nD) 11.91%",
"options": [
"A) 35.13%",
"B) 19.65%",
"C) -3.57%",
"D) 11.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "19.65%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 7.29%\nC) 5.40%\nD) 4.77%",
"options": [
"A) 4.14%",
"B) 7.29%",
"C) 5.40%",
"D) 4.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 3.79%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 2.95%",
"options": [
"A) 4.62%",
"B) 3.79%",
"C) 0.43%",
"D) 2.95%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.95%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 97.48\nB) 95.48\nC) 93.47\nD) 99.48",
"options": [
"A) 97.48",
"B) 95.48",
"C) 93.47",
"D) 99.48"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "97.48",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 174.58\nB) 189.10\nC) 180.39\nD) 197.81",
"options": [
"A) 174.58",
"B) 189.10",
"C) 180.39",
"D) 197.81"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "189.10",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $-39,482M\nB) $-45,959M\nC) $-41,641M\nD) $-43,800M",
"options": [
"A) $-39,482M",
"B) $-45,959M",
"C) $-41,641M",
"D) $-43,800M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$-41,641M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.89%\nB) -0.39%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 2.25%",
"options": [
"A) 4.89%",
"B) -0.39%",
"C) 0.49%",
"D) 2.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.81%\nB) -1.38%\nC) 0.88%\nD) -1.94%",
"options": [
"A) -0.81%",
"B) -1.38%",
"C) 0.88%",
"D) -1.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.81%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 2.09%\nD) 3.16%",
"options": [
"A) 1.56%",
"B) 2.36%",
"C) 2.09%",
"D) 3.16%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.36%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,031M\nD) $4,300,000M",
"options": [
"A) $2,400,000M",
"B) $6,200,000M",
"C) $4,031M",
"D) $4,300,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$4,031M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $234,295M\nB) $192,918M\nC) $226,019M\nD) $217,744M",
"options": [
"A) $234,295M",
"B) $192,918M",
"C) $226,019M",
"D) $217,744M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$217,744M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 1.45%\nD) 7.91%",
"options": [
"A) 4.68%",
"B) 3.61%",
"C) 1.45%",
"D) 7.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.68%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 233.97\nB) 243.32\nC) 252.67\nD) 258.90",
"options": [
"A) 233.97",
"B) 243.32",
"C) 252.67",
"D) 258.90"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "243.32",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.45%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 0.07%\nD) 0.83%",
"options": [
"A) 0.45%",
"B) 1.21%",
"C) 0.07%",
"D) 0.83%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.07%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,718B\nB) $11,145B\nC) $12,688B\nD) $12,174B",
"options": [
"A) $13,718B",
"B) $11,145B",
"C) $12,688B",
"D) $12,174B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$12,174B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $-48,732M\nB) $-42,514M\nC) $-54,950M\nD) $-44,587M",
"options": [
"A) $-48,732M",
"B) $-42,514M",
"C) $-54,950M",
"D) $-44,587M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$-48,732M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.47%\nB) 62.60%\nC) 63.85%\nD) 61.35%",
"options": [
"A) 59.47%",
"B) 62.60%",
"C) 63.85%",
"D) 61.35%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "62.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.08%\nB) -11.84%\nC) -2.27%\nD) -7.05%",
"options": [
"A) 12.08%",
"B) -11.84%",
"C) -2.27%",
"D) -7.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-2.27%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.19\nB) 92.38\nC) 105.69\nD) 101.89",
"options": [
"A) 96.19",
"B) 92.38",
"C) 105.69",
"D) 101.89"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "101.89",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 1.64%\nC) 2.18%\nD) 2.36%",
"options": [
"A) 2.00%",
"B) 1.64%",
"C) 2.18%",
"D) 2.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.06%\nB) 0.11%\nC) 0.01%\nD) 0.18%",
"options": [
"A) 0.06%",
"B) 0.11%",
"C) 0.01%",
"D) 0.18%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.11%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 0.72%\nD) 0.80%",
"options": [
"A) 0.88%",
"B) 0.64%",
"C) 0.72%",
"D) 0.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.72%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $21.46/hr\nB) $22.02/hr\nC) $20.08/hr\nD) $20.91/hr",
"options": [
"A) $21.46/hr",
"B) $22.02/hr",
"C) $20.08/hr",
"D) $20.91/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$20.91/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 237.50\nB) 245.78\nC) 229.22\nD) 251.30",
"options": [
"A) 237.50",
"B) 245.78",
"C) 229.22",
"D) 251.30"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "237.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 784K\nB) 1,072K\nC) 1,264K\nD) 1,360K",
"options": [
"A) 784K",
"B) 1,072K",
"C) 1,264K",
"D) 1,360K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1,072K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 108.84\nB) 105.61\nC) 100.75\nD) 97.52",
"options": [
"A) 108.84",
"B) 105.61",
"C) 100.75",
"D) 97.52"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "100.75",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 93.51\nB) 100.50\nC) 102.83\nD) 97.01",
"options": [
"A) 93.51",
"B) 100.50",
"C) 102.83",
"D) 97.01"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "97.01",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.71%\nB) 1.49%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 1.93%",
"options": [
"A) 1.71%",
"B) 1.49%",
"C) 2.38%",
"D) 1.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.71%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 3.29%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 3.97%",
"options": [
"A) 4.31%",
"B) 3.29%",
"C) 3.63%",
"D) 3.97%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.29%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.60%\nB) 1.15%\nC) 2.13%\nD) 0.66%",
"options": [
"A) 3.60%",
"B) 1.15%",
"C) 2.13%",
"D) 0.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.28\nB) 114.72\nC) 112.31\nD) 109.90",
"options": [
"A) 106.28",
"B) 114.72",
"C) 112.31",
"D) 109.90"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "109.90",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 28.67%\nC) 21.18%\nD) 13.70%",
"options": [
"A) 6.22%",
"B) 28.67%",
"C) 21.18%",
"D) 13.70%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.22%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.20%\nB) 0.02%\nC) 0.07%\nD) 0.14%",
"options": [
"A) 0.20%",
"B) 0.02%",
"C) 0.07%",
"D) 0.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.02%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 173.33\nB) 152.29\nC) 168.07\nD) 162.81",
"options": [
"A) 173.33",
"B) 152.29",
"C) 168.07",
"D) 162.81"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "168.07",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.97pp\nB) +2.09pp\nC) +2.31pp\nD) +1.64pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.97pp",
"B) +2.09pp",
"C) +2.31pp",
"D) +1.64pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+1.64pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $21.09/hr\nB) $22.53/hr\nC) $21.66/hr\nD) $20.23/hr",
"options": [
"A) $21.09/hr",
"B) $22.53/hr",
"C) $21.66/hr",
"D) $20.23/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$21.09/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) -65.19%\nB) -44.62%\nC) -54.90%\nD) -34.33%",
"options": [
"A) -65.19%",
"B) -44.62%",
"C) -54.90%",
"D) -34.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-44.62%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,028M\nD) $6,200,000M",
"options": [
"A) $4,300,000M",
"B) $2,400,000M",
"C) $4,028M",
"D) $6,200,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$4,028M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 4.42%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 4.00%",
"options": [
"A) 3.37%",
"B) 4.42%",
"C) 3.79%",
"D) 4.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.24%\nB) -4.80%\nC) -1.39%\nD) -3.09%",
"options": [
"A) -2.24%",
"B) -4.80%",
"C) -1.39%",
"D) -3.09%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-2.24%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $58,688M\nB) $65,042M\nC) $67,160M\nD) $62,924M",
"options": [
"A) $58,688M",
"B) $65,042M",
"C) $67,160M",
"D) $62,924M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$65,042M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,522B\nB) $12,717B\nC) $13,620B\nD) $14,221B",
"options": [
"A) $14,522B",
"B) $12,717B",
"C) $13,620B",
"D) $14,221B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$13,620B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.64pp\nB) -0.04pp\nC) -0.16pp\nD) -0.40pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.64pp",
"B) -0.04pp",
"C) -0.16pp",
"D) -0.40pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $13,398B\nB) $13,100B\nC) $14,291B\nD) $13,695B",
"options": [
"A) $13,398B",
"B) $13,100B",
"C) $14,291B",
"D) $13,695B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$13,398B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 219.61\nB) 235.98\nC) 242.52\nD) 226.16",
"options": [
"A) 219.61",
"B) 235.98",
"C) 242.52",
"D) 226.16"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "235.98",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $240,307M\nB) $209,794M\nC) $230,136M\nD) $199,623M",
"options": [
"A) $240,307M",
"B) $209,794M",
"C) $230,136M",
"D) $199,623M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$230,136M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.28%\nB) 0.82%\nC) -0.86%\nD) -0.02%",
"options": [
"A) -1.28%",
"B) 0.82%",
"C) -0.86%",
"D) -0.02%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.02%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $433,647M\nB) $447,081M\nC) $406,778M\nD) $460,516M",
"options": [
"A) $433,647M",
"B) $447,081M",
"C) $406,778M",
"D) $460,516M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$433,647M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.02%\nB) 0.01%\nC) -1.53%\nD) 1.03%",
"options": [
"A) -1.02%",
"B) 0.01%",
"C) -1.53%",
"D) 1.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.01%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 101.28\nB) 103.64\nC) 106.00\nD) 98.92",
"options": [
"A) 101.28",
"B) 103.64",
"C) 106.00",
"D) 98.92"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "106.00",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.34%\nB) 5.67%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 5.00%",
"options": [
"A) 6.34%",
"B) 5.67%",
"C) 4.33%",
"D) 5.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) +13.00pp\nB) +21.02pp\nC) +4.98pp\nD) +17.01pp",
"options": [
"A) +13.00pp",
"B) +21.02pp",
"C) +4.98pp",
"D) +17.01pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+13.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.13%\nB) 76.98%\nC) 79.29%\nD) 74.67%",
"options": [
"A) 73.13%",
"B) 76.98%",
"C) 79.29%",
"D) 74.67%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "76.98%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 4,614.04\nB) 4,198.12\nC) 5,029.97\nD) 3,782.19",
"options": [
"A) 4,614.04",
"B) 4,198.12",
"C) 5,029.97",
"D) 3,782.19"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5,029.97",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 100.81\nB) 96.91\nC) 81.28\nD) 93.00",
"options": [
"A) 100.81",
"B) 96.91",
"C) 81.28",
"D) 93.00"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "93.00",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.90pp\nB) -0.75pp\nC) -1.20pp\nD) -1.05pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.90pp",
"B) -0.75pp",
"C) -1.20pp",
"D) -1.05pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.90pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20150901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.23%\nB) -1.08%\nC) -2.51%\nD) 1.07%",
"options": [
"A) -3.23%",
"B) -1.08%",
"C) -2.51%",
"D) 1.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-1.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 12.17%\nB) 25.71%\nC) 16.69%\nD) 3.15%",
"options": [
"A) 12.17%",
"B) 25.71%",
"C) 16.69%",
"D) 3.15%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "16.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20150301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2015",
"info_cutoff": "2015-01-29",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.59%\nB) 4.97%\nC) 3.81%\nD) 6.12%",
"options": [
"A) 9.59%",
"B) 4.97%",
"C) 3.81%",
"D) 6.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.12%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20150615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2015-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2015-06-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.39\nB) 6.48\nC) 12.42\nD) 9.45",
"options": [
"A) 15.39",
"B) 6.48",
"C) 12.42",
"D) 9.45"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "15.39",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.2702\nB) 6.3982\nC) 6.5901\nD) 6.7181",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 6.2702",
"B) 6.3982",
"C) 6.5901",
"D) 6.7181"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.3982",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-5d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.2702\nB) 6.3982\nC) 6.5901\nD) 6.7181",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 6.2702",
"B) 6.3982",
"C) 6.5901",
"D) 6.7181"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.3982",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-5d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.0916\nB) 6.6046\nC) 6.4122\nD) 6.2198",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 6.0916",
"B) 6.6046",
"C) 6.4122",
"D) 6.2198"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.4122",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-10d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.0916\nB) 6.6046\nC) 6.4122\nD) 6.2198",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 6.0916",
"B) 6.6046",
"C) 6.4122",
"D) 6.2198"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.4122",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-10d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.0916\nB) 6.2198\nC) 6.6046\nD) 6.4122",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 6.0916",
"B) 6.2198",
"C) 6.6046",
"D) 6.4122"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.4122",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-20d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.0916\nB) 6.2198\nC) 6.6046\nD) 6.4122",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 6.0916",
"B) 6.2198",
"C) 6.6046",
"D) 6.4122"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.4122",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-20d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.4122\nB) 6.2198\nC) 6.6046\nD) 6.7328",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 6.4122",
"B) 6.2198",
"C) 6.6046",
"D) 6.7328"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.4122",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-40d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.4122\nB) 6.2198\nC) 6.6046\nD) 6.7328",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 6.4122",
"B) 6.2198",
"C) 6.6046",
"D) 6.7328"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.4122",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-40d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.6046\nB) 6.4122\nC) 6.7328\nD) 6.2198",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 6.6046",
"B) 6.4122",
"C) 6.7328",
"D) 6.2198"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.4122",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-60d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.6046\nB) 6.4122\nC) 6.7328\nD) 6.2198",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 6.6046",
"B) 6.4122",
"C) 6.7328",
"D) 6.2198"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.4122",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-60d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.7251\nB) 6.2635\nC) 6.5932\nD) 6.4613",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 6.7251",
"B) 6.2635",
"C) 6.5932",
"D) 6.4613"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.5932",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-120d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.7251\nB) 6.2635\nC) 6.5932\nD) 6.4613",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 6.7251",
"B) 6.2635",
"C) 6.5932",
"D) 6.4613"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.5932",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-120d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,448.50\nB) 4,877.30\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,091.70",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 4,448.50",
"B) 4,877.30",
"C) 4,662.90",
"D) 5,091.70"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5,091.70",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-5d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,448.50\nB) 4,877.30\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,091.70",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 4,448.50",
"B) 4,877.30",
"C) 4,662.90",
"D) 5,091.70"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5,091.70",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-5d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 5,091.70\nB) 5,734.90\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,520.50",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 5,091.70",
"B) 5,734.90",
"C) 4,662.90",
"D) 5,520.50"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5,091.70",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-10d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 5,091.70\nB) 5,734.90\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,520.50",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 5,091.70",
"B) 5,734.90",
"C) 4,662.90",
"D) 5,520.50"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5,091.70",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-10d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,448.50\nB) 5,091.70\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,306.10",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 4,448.50",
"B) 5,091.70",
"C) 4,662.90",
"D) 5,306.10"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5,091.70",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-20d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,448.50\nB) 5,091.70\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,306.10",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 4,448.50",
"B) 5,091.70",
"C) 4,662.90",
"D) 5,306.10"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5,091.70",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-20d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,877.30\nB) 4,448.50\nC) 5,091.70\nD) 5,306.10",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 4,877.30",
"B) 4,448.50",
"C) 5,091.70",
"D) 5,306.10"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5,091.70",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-40d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,877.30\nB) 4,448.50\nC) 5,091.70\nD) 5,306.10",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 4,877.30",
"B) 4,448.50",
"C) 5,091.70",
"D) 5,306.10"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5,091.70",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-40d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,716.33\nB) 5,573.93\nC) 5,359.53\nD) 5,145.13",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 4,716.33",
"B) 5,573.93",
"C) 5,359.53",
"D) 5,145.13"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5,145.13",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-60d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,716.33\nB) 5,573.93\nC) 5,359.53\nD) 5,145.13",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 4,716.33",
"B) 5,573.93",
"C) 5,359.53",
"D) 5,145.13"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5,145.13",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-60d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 5,156.31\nB) 5,799.51\nC) 4,727.51\nD) 4,513.11",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 5,156.31",
"B) 5,799.51",
"C) 4,727.51",
"D) 4,513.11"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5,156.31",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-120d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 5,156.31\nB) 5,799.51\nC) 4,727.51\nD) 4,513.11",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 5,156.31",
"B) 5,799.51",
"C) 4,727.51",
"D) 4,513.11"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5,156.31",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-120d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 15.00\nB) 13.79\nC) 10.15\nD) 17.43",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 15.00",
"B) 13.79",
"C) 10.15",
"D) 17.43"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "13.79",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-5d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 15.00\nB) 13.79\nC) 10.15\nD) 17.43",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 15.00",
"B) 13.79",
"C) 10.15",
"D) 17.43"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "13.79",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-5d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 39.53\nB) 44.38\nC) 40.74\nD) 41.95",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 39.53",
"B) 44.38",
"C) 40.74",
"D) 41.95"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "40.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-10d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 39.53\nB) 44.38\nC) 40.74\nD) 41.95",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 39.53",
"B) 44.38",
"C) 40.74",
"D) 41.95"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "40.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-10d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 43.17\nC) 37.10\nD) 40.74",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 38.31",
"B) 43.17",
"C) 37.10",
"D) 40.74"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "40.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-20d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 43.17\nC) 37.10\nD) 40.74",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 38.31",
"B) 43.17",
"C) 37.10",
"D) 40.74"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "40.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-20d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 40.74\nB) 39.53\nC) 43.17\nD) 44.38",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 40.74",
"B) 39.53",
"C) 43.17",
"D) 44.38"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "40.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-40d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 40.74\nB) 39.53\nC) 43.17\nD) 44.38",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 40.74",
"B) 39.53",
"C) 43.17",
"D) 44.38"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "40.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-40d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.74\nC) 44.38\nD) 41.95",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 38.31",
"B) 40.74",
"C) 44.38",
"D) 41.95"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "40.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-60d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.74\nC) 44.38\nD) 41.95",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 38.31",
"B) 40.74",
"C) 44.38",
"D) 41.95"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "40.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-60d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 41.95\nC) 40.74\nD) 39.53",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 38.31",
"B) 41.95",
"C) 40.74",
"D) 39.53"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "40.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-120d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 41.95\nC) 40.74\nD) 39.53",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) 38.31",
"B) 41.95",
"C) 40.74",
"D) 39.53"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "40.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-120d-max",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $19.58/bbl\nB) $53.10/bbl\nC) $75.45/bbl\nD) $41.93/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) $19.58/bbl",
"B) $53.10/bbl",
"C) $75.45/bbl",
"D) $41.93/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$41.93/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-5d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $19.58/bbl\nB) $53.10/bbl\nC) $75.45/bbl\nD) $41.93/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) $19.58/bbl",
"B) $53.10/bbl",
"C) $75.45/bbl",
"D) $41.93/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$41.93/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-5d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $38.22/bbl\nB) $27.05/bbl\nC) $4.70/bbl\nD) $49.39/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) $38.22/bbl",
"B) $27.05/bbl",
"C) $4.70/bbl",
"D) $49.39/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-10d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $38.22/bbl\nB) $27.05/bbl\nC) $4.70/bbl\nD) $49.39/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) $38.22/bbl",
"B) $27.05/bbl",
"C) $4.70/bbl",
"D) $49.39/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-10d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $71.74/bbl\nB) $38.22/bbl\nC) $27.05/bbl\nD) $49.39/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) $71.74/bbl",
"B) $38.22/bbl",
"C) $27.05/bbl",
"D) $49.39/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-20d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $71.74/bbl\nB) $38.22/bbl\nC) $27.05/bbl\nD) $49.39/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) $71.74/bbl",
"B) $38.22/bbl",
"C) $27.05/bbl",
"D) $49.39/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-20d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $4.70/bbl\nB) $60.57/bbl\nC) $38.22/bbl\nD) $71.74/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) $4.70/bbl",
"B) $60.57/bbl",
"C) $38.22/bbl",
"D) $71.74/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-40d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $4.70/bbl\nB) $60.57/bbl\nC) $38.22/bbl\nD) $71.74/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) $4.70/bbl",
"B) $60.57/bbl",
"C) $38.22/bbl",
"D) $71.74/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-40d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $4.70/bbl\nC) $71.74/bbl\nD) $38.22/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) $15.87/bbl",
"B) $4.70/bbl",
"C) $71.74/bbl",
"D) $38.22/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-60d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $4.70/bbl\nC) $71.74/bbl\nD) $38.22/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) $15.87/bbl",
"B) $4.70/bbl",
"C) $71.74/bbl",
"D) $38.22/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-60d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $60.20/bbl\nC) $4.33/bbl\nD) $15.51/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) $26.68/bbl",
"B) $60.20/bbl",
"C) $4.33/bbl",
"D) $15.51/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-120d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $60.20/bbl\nC) $4.33/bbl\nD) $15.51/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11",
"info_cutoff": "2015-08-10",
"options": [
"A) $26.68/bbl",
"B) $60.20/bbl",
"C) $4.33/bbl",
"D) $15.51/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China yuan devaluation",
"event_date": "2015-08-11",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-120d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20151216-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.52%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-01",
"options": [
"A) 0.27%",
"B) 0.34%",
"C) 0.42%",
"D) 0.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.34%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-40d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20151216-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.52%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-01",
"options": [
"A) 0.27%",
"B) 0.34%",
"C) 0.42%",
"D) 0.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.34%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-40d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20151216-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.42%\nC) 0.34%\nD) 0.17%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-01",
"options": [
"A) 0.27%",
"B) 0.42%",
"C) 0.34%",
"D) 0.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.34%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-60d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20151216-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.42%\nC) 0.34%\nD) 0.17%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-01",
"options": [
"A) 0.27%",
"B) 0.42%",
"C) 0.34%",
"D) 0.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.34%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-60d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20151216-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.49%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.34%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-01",
"options": [
"A) 0.49%",
"B) 0.27%",
"C) 0.42%",
"D) 0.34%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.34%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-120d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20151216-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.49%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.34%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-01",
"options": [
"A) 0.49%",
"B) 0.27%",
"C) 0.42%",
"D) 0.34%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.34%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-120d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.03%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 0.96%",
"B) 0.81%",
"C) 0.89%",
"D) 1.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.96%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-5d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.03%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 0.96%",
"B) 0.81%",
"C) 0.89%",
"D) 1.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.96%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-5d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.03%\nB) 0.96%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.81%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 1.03%",
"B) 0.96%",
"C) 0.89%",
"D) 0.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.96%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-10d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.03%\nB) 0.96%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.81%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 1.03%",
"B) 0.96%",
"C) 0.89%",
"D) 0.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.96%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-10d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.78%\nB) 0.63%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 0.92%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 0.78%",
"B) 0.63%",
"C) 0.85%",
"D) 0.92%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.85%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-20d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.78%\nB) 0.63%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 0.92%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 0.78%",
"B) 0.63%",
"C) 0.85%",
"D) 0.92%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.85%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-20d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.79%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.64%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 0.79%",
"B) 0.57%",
"C) 0.42%",
"D) 0.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.64%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-40d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.79%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.64%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 0.79%",
"B) 0.57%",
"C) 0.42%",
"D) 0.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.64%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-40d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.64%\nB) 0.42%\nC) 0.79%\nD) 0.49%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 0.64%",
"B) 0.42%",
"C) 0.79%",
"D) 0.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.64%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-60d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.64%\nB) 0.42%\nC) 0.79%\nD) 0.49%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 0.64%",
"B) 0.42%",
"C) 0.79%",
"D) 0.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.64%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-60d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.71%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 0.86%",
"B) 0.64%",
"C) 0.49%",
"D) 0.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.64%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-120d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.71%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 0.86%",
"B) 0.64%",
"C) 0.49%",
"D) 0.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.64%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-120d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 2.62%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 2.48%",
"B) 1.90%",
"C) 2.19%",
"D) 2.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.19%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-5d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 2.62%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 2.48%",
"B) 1.90%",
"C) 2.19%",
"D) 2.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.19%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-5d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 2.19%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 2.48%",
"B) 2.33%",
"C) 2.62%",
"D) 2.19%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.19%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-10d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 2.19%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 2.48%",
"B) 2.33%",
"C) 2.62%",
"D) 2.19%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.19%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-10d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) 2.17%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 2.32%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 2.03%",
"B) 2.17%",
"C) 1.74%",
"D) 2.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.03%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-20d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) 2.17%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 2.32%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 2.03%",
"B) 2.17%",
"C) 1.74%",
"D) 2.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.03%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-20d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 1.77%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 1.20%",
"B) 1.63%",
"C) 1.92%",
"D) 1.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.63%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-40d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 1.77%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 1.20%",
"B) 1.63%",
"C) 1.92%",
"D) 1.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.63%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-40d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 1.20%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 2.06%",
"B) 1.77%",
"C) 1.63%",
"D) 1.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.63%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-60d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 1.20%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 2.06%",
"B) 1.77%",
"C) 1.63%",
"D) 1.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.63%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-60d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 1.63%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 1.77%",
"B) 1.20%",
"C) 1.49%",
"D) 1.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.63%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-120d-min",
"year": 2015
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 1.63%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-15",
"options": [
"A) 1.77%",
"B) 1.20%",
"C) 1.49%",
"D) 1.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.63%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006",
"event_date": "2015-12-16",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-120d-min",
"year": 2015
}
]