pre_test / *.parquet /mcq_2016.json
lfqian's picture
Fix per-year parquet schema (unify 17 cols, string types) for by_year splits
de9f149 verified
[
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 2.63%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 2.46%",
"options": [
"A) 2.30%",
"B) 2.63%",
"C) 1.96%",
"D) 2.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.22pp\nB) -1.66pp\nC) -4.00pp\nD) -0.89pp",
"options": [
"A) -3.22pp",
"B) -1.66pp",
"C) -4.00pp",
"D) -0.89pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-1.66pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 95.82\nB) 76.53\nC) 91.00\nD) 105.47",
"options": [
"A) 95.82",
"B) 76.53",
"C) 91.00",
"D) 105.47"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "91.00",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 91.33\nB) 94.12\nC) 101.10\nD) 98.31",
"options": [
"A) 91.33",
"B) 94.12",
"C) 101.10",
"D) 98.31"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "98.31",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 8.45%\nC) 5.48%\nD) 7.70%",
"options": [
"A) 6.22%",
"B) 8.45%",
"C) 5.48%",
"D) 7.70%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.22%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 113.9208\nB) 105.8700\nC) 89.7684\nD) 81.7176",
"options": [
"A) 113.9208",
"B) 105.8700",
"C) 89.7684",
"D) 81.7176"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "105.8700",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.79%\nB) 0.90%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 0.48%",
"options": [
"A) 0.79%",
"B) 0.90%",
"C) 0.69%",
"D) 0.48%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.24%\nB) -0.75%\nC) -4.48%\nD) -1.99%",
"options": [
"A) -3.24%",
"B) -0.75%",
"C) -4.48%",
"D) -1.99%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-1.99%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.05%\nB) 4.64%\nC) 5.85%\nD) 9.46%",
"options": [
"A) 7.05%",
"B) 4.64%",
"C) 5.85%",
"D) 9.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7.05%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 190.88\nB) 186.90\nC) 174.97\nD) 178.95",
"options": [
"A) 190.88",
"B) 186.90",
"C) 174.97",
"D) 178.95"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "186.90",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $-32,589M\nB) $-34,695M\nC) $-36,801M\nD) $-41,013M",
"options": [
"A) $-32,589M",
"B) $-34,695M",
"C) $-36,801M",
"D) $-41,013M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$-36,801M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) -8.30%\nB) 15.39%\nC) 3.54%\nD) -20.15%",
"options": [
"A) -8.30%",
"B) 15.39%",
"C) 3.54%",
"D) -20.15%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-20.15%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 110.60\nB) 108.39\nC) 106.18\nD) 113.92",
"options": [
"A) 110.60",
"B) 108.39",
"C) 106.18",
"D) 113.92"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "110.60",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 20.46%\nB) 13.90%\nC) 33.59%\nD) 27.02%",
"options": [
"A) 20.46%",
"B) 13.90%",
"C) 33.59%",
"D) 27.02%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "13.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $12,898B\nB) $14,411B\nC) $13,806B\nD) $14,109B",
"options": [
"A) $12,898B",
"B) $14,411B",
"C) $13,806B",
"D) $14,109B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$13,806B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $21.99/hr\nB) $20.79/hr\nC) $20.20/hr\nD) $21.39/hr",
"options": [
"A) $21.99/hr",
"B) $20.79/hr",
"C) $20.20/hr",
"D) $21.39/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$21.39/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.91pp\nB) +0.48pp\nC) +1.34pp\nD) +1.55pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.91pp",
"B) +0.48pp",
"C) +1.34pp",
"D) +1.55pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.91pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.79%\nB) 62.90%\nC) 61.01%\nD) 59.75%",
"options": [
"A) 64.79%",
"B) 62.90%",
"C) 61.01%",
"D) 59.75%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "62.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.98%\nB) -0.21%\nC) 2.93%\nD) 6.08%",
"options": [
"A) 3.98%",
"B) -0.21%",
"C) 2.93%",
"D) 6.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.93%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) $23.93/bbl\nB) $83.90/bbl\nC) $35.93/bbl\nD) $47.92/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $23.93/bbl",
"B) $83.90/bbl",
"C) $35.93/bbl",
"D) $47.92/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$47.92/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.14\nB) 23.10\nC) 29.01\nD) 17.18",
"options": [
"A) 20.14",
"B) 23.10",
"C) 29.01",
"D) 17.18"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "20.14",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 95.83\nB) 97.88\nC) 100.94\nD) 102.99",
"options": [
"A) 95.83",
"B) 97.88",
"C) 100.94",
"D) 102.99"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "97.88",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.49%\nB) -0.89%\nC) -0.09%\nD) -1.69%",
"options": [
"A) -2.49%",
"B) -0.89%",
"C) -0.09%",
"D) -1.69%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) +6.10pp\nB) -14.15pp\nC) -6.05pp\nD) -2.00pp",
"options": [
"A) +6.10pp",
"B) -14.15pp",
"C) -6.05pp",
"D) -2.00pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-2.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 2.15%\nD) 3.06%",
"options": [
"A) 2.51%",
"B) 1.96%",
"C) 2.15%",
"D) 3.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.51%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.70%\nB) 0.64%\nC) -1.36%\nD) 1.30%",
"options": [
"A) -0.70%",
"B) 0.64%",
"C) -1.36%",
"D) 1.30%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.64%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.72%\nB) 8.22%\nC) 15.73%\nD) -6.79%",
"options": [
"A) 0.72%",
"B) 8.22%",
"C) 15.73%",
"D) -6.79%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "15.73%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 919K\nB) 820K\nC) 1,217K\nD) 1,118K",
"options": [
"A) 919K",
"B) 820K",
"C) 1,217K",
"D) 1,118K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,118K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.60pp\nB) +0.87pp\nC) +1.00pp\nD) +0.47pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.60pp",
"B) +0.87pp",
"C) +1.00pp",
"D) +0.47pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.60pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.23%\nB) 5.07%\nC) 12.32%\nD) 2.65%",
"options": [
"A) 0.23%",
"B) 5.07%",
"C) 12.32%",
"D) 2.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.07%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.95%\nB) 0.62%\nC) 1.55%\nD) 2.01%",
"options": [
"A) 2.95%",
"B) 0.62%",
"C) 1.55%",
"D) 2.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.55%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 0.73%\nC) 0.91%\nD) 1.10%",
"options": [
"A) 1.66%",
"B) 0.73%",
"C) 0.91%",
"D) 1.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.82%\nC) 1.21%\nD) 1.09%",
"options": [
"A) 1.46%",
"B) 1.82%",
"C) 1.21%",
"D) 1.09%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.46%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 162.92\nB) 176.58\nC) 190.24\nD) 183.41",
"options": [
"A) 162.92",
"B) 176.58",
"C) 190.24",
"D) 183.41"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "176.58",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.26%\nB) -14.52%\nC) -7.26%\nD) -29.05%",
"options": [
"A) 7.26%",
"B) -14.52%",
"C) -7.26%",
"D) -29.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-7.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0703\nB) 1.1775\nC) 1.0167\nD) 1.1239",
"options": [
"A) 1.0703",
"B) 1.1775",
"C) 1.0167",
"D) 1.1239"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.1239",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 143,662K\nB) 152,648K\nC) 149,054K\nD) 140,068K",
"options": [
"A) 143,662K",
"B) 152,648K",
"C) 149,054K",
"D) 140,068K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "143,662K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.47%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 4.76%\nD) 7.61%",
"options": [
"A) 6.47%",
"B) 5.90%",
"C) 4.76%",
"D) 7.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,053K\nB) 1,553K\nC) 1,303K\nD) 1,220K",
"options": [
"A) 1,053K",
"B) 1,553K",
"C) 1,303K",
"D) 1,220K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,303K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -5.07pp\nB) -0.18pp\nC) -1.81pp\nD) -2.62pp",
"options": [
"A) -5.07pp",
"B) -0.18pp",
"C) -1.81pp",
"D) -2.62pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-2.62pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.00pp\nB) -7.76pp\nC) +0.08pp\nD) +7.92pp",
"options": [
"A) +4.00pp",
"B) -7.76pp",
"C) +0.08pp",
"D) +7.92pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+4.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 58.01%\nB) 59.80%\nC) 62.79%\nD) 61.59%",
"options": [
"A) 58.01%",
"B) 59.80%",
"C) 62.79%",
"D) 61.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "59.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.31%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 0.40%\nD) 0.54%",
"options": [
"A) 0.31%",
"B) 0.64%",
"C) 0.40%",
"D) 0.54%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) $11,369B\nB) $10,974B\nC) $12,948B\nD) $11,764B",
"options": [
"A) $11,369B",
"B) $10,974B",
"C) $12,948B",
"D) $11,764B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$11,764B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 245.91\nB) 239.69\nC) 261.47\nD) 252.14",
"options": [
"A) 245.91",
"B) 239.69",
"C) 261.47",
"D) 252.14"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "245.91",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 18,169.38\nB) 17,640.17\nC) 17,110.96\nD) 18,522.18",
"options": [
"A) 18,169.38",
"B) 17,640.17",
"C) 17,110.96",
"D) 18,522.18"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "17,640.17",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,414,175\nB) 1,651,650\nC) 2,160,000\nD) 1,905,825",
"options": [
"A) 2,414,175",
"B) 1,651,650",
"C) 2,160,000",
"D) 1,905,825"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,160,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $22.26/hr\nB) $20.35/hr\nC) $20.98/hr\nD) $21.62/hr",
"options": [
"A) $22.26/hr",
"B) $20.35/hr",
"C) $20.98/hr",
"D) $21.62/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$21.62/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 0.37%\nC) 0.15%\nD) 0.07%",
"options": [
"A) 0.26%",
"B) 0.37%",
"C) 0.15%",
"D) 0.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $197,391M\nB) $217,396M\nC) $224,064M\nD) $230,733M",
"options": [
"A) $197,391M",
"B) $217,396M",
"C) $224,064M",
"D) $230,733M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$217,396M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.49%\nB) 57.91%\nC) 59.70%\nD) 56.72%",
"options": [
"A) 61.49%",
"B) 57.91%",
"C) 59.70%",
"D) 56.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "59.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.31%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 2.96%",
"options": [
"A) 3.31%",
"B) 3.65%",
"C) 2.28%",
"D) 2.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.96%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $59,556M\nB) $58,092M\nC) $62,484M\nD) $55,165M",
"options": [
"A) $59,556M",
"B) $58,092M",
"C) $62,484M",
"D) $55,165M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$59,556M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 4.66%",
"options": [
"A) 4.34%",
"B) 3.72%",
"C) 4.03%",
"D) 4.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.72%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.15%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 1.11%",
"options": [
"A) -0.15%",
"B) 0.27%",
"C) 0.69%",
"D) 1.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.08%\nB) -7.57%\nC) -2.25%\nD) -4.91%",
"options": [
"A) 3.08%",
"B) -7.57%",
"C) -2.25%",
"D) -4.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-4.91%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -6.61%\nB) -13.66%\nC) 3.96%\nD) -17.19%",
"options": [
"A) -6.61%",
"B) -13.66%",
"C) 3.96%",
"D) -17.19%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-6.61%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.81pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.54pp\nD) -0.26pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.81pp",
"B) -0.40pp",
"C) -0.54pp",
"D) -0.26pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 5,700.64\nB) 3,969.22\nC) 4,834.93\nD) 3,536.36",
"options": [
"A) 5,700.64",
"B) 3,969.22",
"C) 4,834.93",
"D) 3,536.36"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4,834.93",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 73.66%\nB) 78.92%\nC) 76.66%\nD) 75.16%",
"options": [
"A) 73.66%",
"B) 78.92%",
"C) 76.66%",
"D) 75.16%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "75.16%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 2.25%\nD) 1.63%",
"options": [
"A) 1.94%",
"B) 2.10%",
"C) 2.25%",
"D) 1.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 119.89\nB) 111.77\nC) 99.58\nD) 123.95",
"options": [
"A) 119.89",
"B) 111.77",
"C) 99.58",
"D) 123.95"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "111.77",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $3,898M\nD) $4,300,000M",
"options": [
"A) $6,200,000M",
"B) $2,400,000M",
"C) $3,898M",
"D) $4,300,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$3,898M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 3.03%\nC) 5.66%\nD) 5.00%",
"options": [
"A) 4.34%",
"B) 3.03%",
"C) 5.66%",
"D) 5.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) -4.36%\nB) -20.46%\nC) 11.74%\nD) 1.00%",
"options": [
"A) -4.36%",
"B) -20.46%",
"C) 11.74%",
"D) 1.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-4.36%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 191.54\nB) 182.10\nC) 166.37\nD) 175.81",
"options": [
"A) 191.54",
"B) 182.10",
"C) 166.37",
"D) 175.81"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "182.10",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.04%\nB) -5.37%\nC) -1.16%\nD) 0.94%",
"options": [
"A) 3.04%",
"B) -5.37%",
"C) -1.16%",
"D) 0.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-1.16%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) $90.60/bbl\nB) $18.72/bbl\nC) $33.09/bbl\nD) $47.47/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $90.60/bbl",
"B) $18.72/bbl",
"C) $33.09/bbl",
"D) $47.47/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$47.47/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 98.83\nB) 95.83\nC) 102.84\nD) 100.84",
"options": [
"A) 98.83",
"B) 95.83",
"C) 102.84",
"D) 100.84"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "98.83",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,558B\nB) $13,055B\nC) $13,554B\nD) $14,552B",
"options": [
"A) $11,558B",
"B) $13,055B",
"C) $13,554B",
"D) $14,552B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$13,055B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,953B\nB) $14,642B\nC) $14,019B\nD) $13,396B",
"options": [
"A) $14,953B",
"B) $14,642B",
"C) $14,019B",
"D) $13,396B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$14,019B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.32%\nB) 7.04%\nC) 6.36%\nD) 5.00%",
"options": [
"A) 4.32%",
"B) 7.04%",
"C) 6.36%",
"D) 5.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.00pp\nB) +0.44pp\nC) -0.44pp\nD) -0.15pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.00pp",
"B) +0.44pp",
"C) -0.44pp",
"D) -0.15pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -9.05%\nB) -5.91%\nC) 0.37%\nD) -15.33%",
"options": [
"A) -9.05%",
"B) -5.91%",
"C) 0.37%",
"D) -15.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-5.91%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 827K\nB) 1,395K\nC) 1,111K\nD) 922K",
"options": [
"A) 827K",
"B) 1,395K",
"C) 1,111K",
"D) 922K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,111K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.28%\nB) 0.43%\nC) 0.51%\nD) 0.36%",
"options": [
"A) 0.28%",
"B) 0.43%",
"C) 0.51%",
"D) 0.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.36%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.24%\nB) 9.30%\nC) 6.55%\nD) 8.61%",
"options": [
"A) 7.24%",
"B) 9.30%",
"C) 6.55%",
"D) 8.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7.24%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $64,588M\nB) $60,742M\nC) $56,896M\nD) $59,460M",
"options": [
"A) $64,588M",
"B) $60,742M",
"C) $56,896M",
"D) $59,460M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$60,742M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 100.60\nB) 95.72\nC) 97.67\nD) 92.79",
"options": [
"A) 100.60",
"B) 95.72",
"C) 97.67",
"D) 92.79"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "97.67",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.77%\nB) 0.70%\nC) 5.30%\nD) 3.00%",
"options": [
"A) 3.77%",
"B) 0.70%",
"C) 5.30%",
"D) 3.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 63.00%\nB) 61.11%\nC) 64.89%\nD) 66.15%",
"options": [
"A) 63.00%",
"B) 61.11%",
"C) 64.89%",
"D) 66.15%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "63.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $442,660M\nB) $453,056M\nC) $421,867M\nD) $432,264M",
"options": [
"A) $442,660M",
"B) $453,056M",
"C) $421,867M",
"D) $432,264M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$453,056M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 258.32\nB) 242.52\nC) 248.84\nD) 236.20",
"options": [
"A) 258.32",
"B) 242.52",
"C) 248.84",
"D) 236.20"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "248.84",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $225,760M\nB) $203,645M\nC) $233,131M\nD) $218,388M",
"options": [
"A) $225,760M",
"B) $203,645M",
"C) $233,131M",
"D) $218,388M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$218,388M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) -20.10%\nB) -33.57%\nC) -47.04%\nD) -6.63%",
"options": [
"A) -20.10%",
"B) -33.57%",
"C) -47.04%",
"D) -6.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-20.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 245.22\nB) 238.08\nC) 230.94\nD) 223.80",
"options": [
"A) 245.22",
"B) 238.08",
"C) 230.94",
"D) 223.80"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "238.08",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 161.99\nB) 205.86\nC) 183.93\nD) 198.55",
"options": [
"A) 161.99",
"B) 205.86",
"C) 183.93",
"D) 198.55"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "183.93",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.10pp\nB) +0.90pp\nC) +0.24pp\nD) +0.50pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.10pp",
"B) +0.90pp",
"C) +0.24pp",
"D) +0.50pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.50pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) 261,000\nB) 308,153\nC) 237,424\nD) 213,847",
"options": [
"A) 261,000",
"B) 308,153",
"C) 237,424",
"D) 213,847"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "261,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.57%\nB) 75.31%\nC) 71.55%\nD) 73.06%",
"options": [
"A) 77.57%",
"B) 75.31%",
"C) 71.55%",
"D) 73.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "75.31%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.16%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 2.27%\nD) 2.38%",
"options": [
"A) 2.16%",
"B) 2.05%",
"C) 2.27%",
"D) 2.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.27%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $13,421B\nB) $11,653B\nC) $13,126B\nD) $12,537B",
"options": [
"A) $13,421B",
"B) $11,653B",
"C) $13,126B",
"D) $12,537B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$12,537B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.89%\nB) 0.99%\nC) -0.82%\nD) 4.61%",
"options": [
"A) 1.89%",
"B) 0.99%",
"C) -0.82%",
"D) 4.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.89%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.26%\nB) 3.05%\nC) -0.16%\nD) 4.12%",
"options": [
"A) 6.26%",
"B) 3.05%",
"C) -0.16%",
"D) 4.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.05%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 93.73\nB) 96.69\nC) 98.67\nD) 100.64",
"options": [
"A) 93.73",
"B) 96.69",
"C) 98.67",
"D) 100.64"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "98.67",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 150,533K\nB) 139,401K\nC) 154,243K\nD) 144,967K",
"options": [
"A) 150,533K",
"B) 139,401K",
"C) 154,243K",
"D) 144,967K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "144,967K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.10%\nB) 6.26%\nC) 5.68%\nD) 6.84%",
"options": [
"A) 5.10%",
"B) 6.26%",
"C) 5.68%",
"D) 6.84%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $-38,966M\nB) $-37,004M\nC) $-33,080M\nD) $-35,042M",
"options": [
"A) $-38,966M",
"B) $-37,004M",
"C) $-33,080M",
"D) $-35,042M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$-37,004M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.01%\nB) 3.06%\nC) 2.43%\nD) 2.64%",
"options": [
"A) 2.01%",
"B) 3.06%",
"C) 2.43%",
"D) 2.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.43%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 3.70%\nC) 3.05%\nD) 3.54%",
"options": [
"A) 3.21%",
"B) 3.70%",
"C) 3.05%",
"D) 3.54%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.54%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.60%\nB) 1.99%\nC) 1.41%\nD) 1.21%",
"options": [
"A) 1.60%",
"B) 1.99%",
"C) 1.41%",
"D) 1.21%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.49%\nB) -0.16%\nC) -12.65%\nD) -4.32%",
"options": [
"A) -8.49%",
"B) -0.16%",
"C) -12.65%",
"D) -4.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.16%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.15%\nB) 1.19%\nC) -12.75%\nD) -26.68%",
"options": [
"A) 8.15%",
"B) 1.19%",
"C) -12.75%",
"D) -26.68%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-12.75%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.35%\nB) 2.52%\nC) -0.19%\nD) 0.89%",
"options": [
"A) 0.35%",
"B) 2.52%",
"C) -0.19%",
"D) 0.89%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.89%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 2.39%\nC) 2.52%\nD) 1.77%",
"options": [
"A) 2.14%",
"B) 2.39%",
"C) 2.52%",
"D) 1.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -10.41%\nB) -3.28%\nC) 3.85%\nD) -24.68%",
"options": [
"A) -10.41%",
"B) -3.28%",
"C) 3.85%",
"D) -24.68%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-3.28%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 111.89\nB) 106.41\nC) 109.70\nD) 115.19",
"options": [
"A) 111.89",
"B) 106.41",
"C) 109.70",
"D) 115.19"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "109.70",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.48%\nB) 1.59%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.22%",
"options": [
"A) 0.48%",
"B) 1.59%",
"C) 1.96%",
"D) 1.22%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.22%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,068K\nB) 898K\nC) 1,153K\nD) 1,322K",
"options": [
"A) 1,068K",
"B) 898K",
"C) 1,153K",
"D) 1,322K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,068K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 17.91%\nB) 4.29%\nC) 24.72%\nD) -16.13%",
"options": [
"A) 17.91%",
"B) 4.29%",
"C) 24.72%",
"D) -16.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.29%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.81%\nB) 1.16%\nC) 5.09%\nD) 10.99%",
"options": [
"A) -0.81%",
"B) 1.16%",
"C) 5.09%",
"D) 10.99%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.84pp\nB) +0.16pp\nC) +0.61pp\nD) +0.50pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.84pp",
"B) +0.16pp",
"C) +0.61pp",
"D) +0.50pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.50pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) +0.04pp\nC) +0.76pp\nD) +0.52pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.40pp",
"B) +0.04pp",
"C) +0.76pp",
"D) +0.52pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 1.89%\nC) 1.58%\nD) 2.20%",
"options": [
"A) 2.10%",
"B) 1.89%",
"C) 1.58%",
"D) 2.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.89%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.1838\nB) 6.3811\nC) 6.5785\nD) 6.7759",
"options": [
"A) 6.1838",
"B) 6.3811",
"C) 6.5785",
"D) 6.7759"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.5785",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $3,736M",
"options": [
"A) $6,200,000M",
"B) $4,300,000M",
"C) $2,400,000M",
"D) $3,736M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$3,736M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,847B\nB) $13,762B\nC) $13,457B\nD) $11,931B",
"options": [
"A) $12,847B",
"B) $13,762B",
"C) $13,457B",
"D) $11,931B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$12,847B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 95.56\nB) 98.75\nC) 93.43\nD) 101.94",
"options": [
"A) 95.56",
"B) 98.75",
"C) 93.43",
"D) 101.94"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "98.75",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.85%\nB) -9.36%\nC) -5.10%\nD) -17.88%",
"options": [
"A) -0.85%",
"B) -9.36%",
"C) -5.10%",
"D) -17.88%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-5.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.45%\nB) -5.65%\nC) -4.58%\nD) -3.52%",
"options": [
"A) -2.45%",
"B) -5.65%",
"C) -4.58%",
"D) -3.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-3.52%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 241.18\nB) 236.35\nC) 231.53\nD) 248.41",
"options": [
"A) 241.18",
"B) 236.35",
"C) 231.53",
"D) 248.41"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "241.18",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $453,080M\nB) $441,856M\nC) $475,527M\nD) $464,303M",
"options": [
"A) $453,080M",
"B) $441,856M",
"C) $475,527M",
"D) $464,303M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$441,856M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20160615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 14.36%\nB) 8.54%\nC) 5.64%\nD) -3.09%",
"options": [
"A) 14.36%",
"B) 8.54%",
"C) 5.64%",
"D) -3.09%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.64%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20160301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-30",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $11,655B\nB) $13,165B\nC) $14,173B\nD) $12,662B",
"options": [
"A) $11,655B",
"B) $13,165B",
"C) $14,173B",
"D) $12,662B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$12,662B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 91.20\nB) 77.85\nC) 95.65\nD) 104.55",
"options": [
"A) 91.20",
"B) 77.85",
"C) 95.65",
"D) 104.55"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "91.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20160901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.04%\nB) 1.69%\nC) 1.45%\nD) 1.80%",
"options": [
"A) 2.04%",
"B) 1.69%",
"C) 1.45%",
"D) 1.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2402\nB) 0.8999\nC) 1.1126\nD) 1.0275",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.2402",
"B) 0.8999",
"C) 1.1126",
"D) 1.0275"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.1126",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2402\nB) 0.8999\nC) 1.1126\nD) 1.0275",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.2402",
"B) 0.8999",
"C) 1.1126",
"D) 1.0275"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.1126",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0294\nB) 1.2421\nC) 1.3272\nD) 1.1145",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.0294",
"B) 1.2421",
"C) 1.3272",
"D) 1.1145"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.1145",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0294\nB) 1.2421\nC) 1.3272\nD) 1.1145",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.0294",
"B) 1.2421",
"C) 1.3272",
"D) 1.1145"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.1145",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.1145\nB) 1.0294\nC) 0.9018\nD) 1.2421",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.1145",
"B) 1.0294",
"C) 0.9018",
"D) 1.2421"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.1145",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.1145\nB) 1.0294\nC) 0.9018\nD) 1.2421",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.1145",
"B) 1.0294",
"C) 0.9018",
"D) 1.2421"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.1145",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2185\nB) 1.1334\nC) 1.0483\nD) 0.9633",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.2185",
"B) 1.1334",
"C) 1.0483",
"D) 0.9633"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.1334",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2185\nB) 1.1334\nC) 1.0483\nD) 0.9633",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.2185",
"B) 1.1334",
"C) 1.0483",
"D) 0.9633"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.1334",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0058\nB) 1.2185\nC) 1.1334\nD) 1.3035",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.0058",
"B) 1.2185",
"C) 1.1334",
"D) 1.3035"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.1334",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0058\nB) 1.2185\nC) 1.1334\nD) 1.3035",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.0058",
"B) 1.2185",
"C) 1.1334",
"D) 1.3035"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.1334",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.3461\nB) 1.2185\nC) 1.0058\nD) 1.1334",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.3461",
"B) 1.2185",
"C) 1.0058",
"D) 1.1334"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.1334",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.3461\nB) 1.2185\nC) 1.0058\nD) 1.1334",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.3461",
"B) 1.2185",
"C) 1.0058",
"D) 1.1334"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.1334",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 15.63\nB) 19.84\nC) 17.73\nD) 13.53",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 15.63",
"B) 19.84",
"C) 17.73",
"D) 13.53"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "15.63",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 15.63\nB) 19.84\nC) 17.73\nD) 13.53",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 15.63",
"B) 19.84",
"C) 17.73",
"D) 13.53"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "15.63",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 15.30\nB) 13.20\nC) 19.51\nD) 8.99",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 15.30",
"B) 13.20",
"C) 19.51",
"D) 8.99"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "13.20",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 15.30\nB) 13.20\nC) 19.51\nD) 8.99",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 15.30",
"B) 13.20",
"C) 19.51",
"D) 8.99"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "13.20",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 7.56\nB) 9.67\nC) 11.77\nD) 5.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 7.56",
"B) 9.67",
"C) 11.77",
"D) 5.46"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "11.77",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 7.56\nB) 9.67\nC) 11.77\nD) 5.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 7.56",
"B) 9.67",
"C) 11.77",
"D) 5.46"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "11.77",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 9.24\nB) 5.03\nC) 7.13\nD) 11.34",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 9.24",
"B) 5.03",
"C) 7.13",
"D) 11.34"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "11.34",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 9.24\nB) 5.03\nC) 7.13\nD) 11.34",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 9.24",
"B) 5.03",
"C) 7.13",
"D) 11.34"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "11.34",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 7.13\nC) 15.55\nD) 13.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 11.34",
"B) 7.13",
"C) 15.55",
"D) 13.44"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "11.34",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 7.13\nC) 15.55\nD) 13.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 11.34",
"B) 7.13",
"C) 15.55",
"D) 13.44"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "11.34",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 9.24\nB) 11.34\nC) 13.44\nD) 7.13",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 9.24",
"B) 11.34",
"C) 13.44",
"D) 7.13"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "11.34",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 9.24\nB) 11.34\nC) 13.44\nD) 7.13",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 9.24",
"B) 11.34",
"C) 13.44",
"D) 7.13"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "11.34",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,077.94\nB) 4,489.76\nC) 4,842.67\nD) 5,195.58",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 5,077.94",
"B) 4,489.76",
"C) 4,842.67",
"D) 5,195.58"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4,842.67",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,077.94\nB) 4,489.76\nC) 4,842.67\nD) 5,195.58",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 5,077.94",
"B) 4,489.76",
"C) 4,842.67",
"D) 5,195.58"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4,842.67",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,839.12\nB) 4,603.85\nC) 5,074.40\nD) 4,956.76",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 4,839.12",
"B) 4,603.85",
"C) 5,074.40",
"D) 4,956.76"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,956.76",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,839.12\nB) 4,603.85\nC) 5,074.40\nD) 4,956.76",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 4,839.12",
"B) 4,603.85",
"C) 5,074.40",
"D) 4,956.76"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,956.76",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,100.16\nB) 5,453.07\nC) 4,864.89\nD) 5,335.43",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 5,100.16",
"B) 5,453.07",
"C) 4,864.89",
"D) 5,335.43"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5,100.16",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,100.16\nB) 5,453.07\nC) 4,864.89\nD) 5,335.43",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 5,100.16",
"B) 5,453.07",
"C) 4,864.89",
"D) 5,335.43"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5,100.16",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,909.11\nB) 5,262.02\nC) 5,144.38\nD) 5,497.29",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 4,909.11",
"B) 5,262.02",
"C) 5,144.38",
"D) 5,497.29"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5,262.02",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,909.11\nB) 5,262.02\nC) 5,144.38\nD) 5,497.29",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 4,909.11",
"B) 5,262.02",
"C) 5,144.38",
"D) 5,497.29"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5,262.02",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,636.84\nB) 4,931.02\nC) 5,283.93\nD) 5,166.29",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 5,636.84",
"B) 4,931.02",
"C) 5,283.93",
"D) 5,166.29"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5,283.93",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,636.84\nB) 4,931.02\nC) 5,283.93\nD) 5,166.29",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 5,636.84",
"B) 4,931.02",
"C) 5,283.93",
"D) 5,166.29"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5,283.93",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,699.10\nB) 5,110.92\nC) 5,816.74\nD) 5,463.83",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 5,699.10",
"B) 5,110.92",
"C) 5,816.74",
"D) 5,463.83"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5,463.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,699.10\nB) 5,110.92\nC) 5,816.74\nD) 5,463.83",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 5,699.10",
"B) 5,110.92",
"C) 5,816.74",
"D) 5,463.83"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5,463.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 1.71%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.46%",
"B) 1.58%",
"C) 1.83%",
"D) 1.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.46%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 1.71%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.46%",
"B) 1.58%",
"C) 1.83%",
"D) 1.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.46%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.12%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.49%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.12%",
"B) 1.37%",
"C) 1.25%",
"D) 1.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.12%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.49%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.12%",
"B) 1.37%",
"C) 1.25%",
"D) 1.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.49%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.00%",
"B) 1.62%",
"C) 1.37%",
"D) 1.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.49%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.00%",
"B) 1.62%",
"C) 1.37%",
"D) 1.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 1.12%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.37%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.62%",
"B) 1.12%",
"C) 1.25%",
"D) 1.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 1.12%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.37%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.62%",
"B) 1.12%",
"C) 1.25%",
"D) 1.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 1.00%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.12%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.37%",
"B) 1.00%",
"C) 1.25%",
"D) 1.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 1.00%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.12%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.37%",
"B) 1.00%",
"C) 1.25%",
"D) 1.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.49%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.74%",
"B) 1.37%",
"C) 1.12%",
"D) 1.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.49%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.74%",
"B) 1.37%",
"C) 1.12%",
"D) 1.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,600.27\nB) 5,383.84\nC) 5,275.62\nD) 4,950.97",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 5,600.27",
"B) 5,383.84",
"C) 5,275.62",
"D) 4,950.97"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5,275.62",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,600.27\nB) 5,383.84\nC) 5,275.62\nD) 4,950.97",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 5,600.27",
"B) 5,383.84",
"C) 5,275.62",
"D) 4,950.97"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5,275.62",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,711.00\nB) 5,494.57\nC) 5,169.91\nD) 5,386.35",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 5,711.00",
"B) 5,494.57",
"C) 5,169.91",
"D) 5,386.35"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5,386.35",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,711.00\nB) 5,494.57\nC) 5,169.91\nD) 5,386.35",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 5,711.00",
"B) 5,494.57",
"C) 5,169.91",
"D) 5,386.35"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5,386.35",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,398.92\nB) 5,507.14\nC) 5,182.48\nD) 5,290.70",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 5,398.92",
"B) 5,507.14",
"C) 5,182.48",
"D) 5,290.70"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5,398.92",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,398.92\nB) 5,507.14\nC) 5,182.48\nD) 5,290.70",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 5,398.92",
"B) 5,507.14",
"C) 5,182.48",
"D) 5,290.70"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5,398.92",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,737.50\nB) 5,521.06\nC) 5,088.19\nD) 5,304.62",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 5,737.50",
"B) 5,521.06",
"C) 5,088.19",
"D) 5,304.62"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5,521.06",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,737.50\nB) 5,521.06\nC) 5,088.19\nD) 5,304.62",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 5,737.50",
"B) 5,521.06",
"C) 5,088.19",
"D) 5,304.62"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5,521.06",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,125.68\nB) 5,342.12\nC) 5,666.77\nD) 5,883.21",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 5,125.68",
"B) 5,342.12",
"C) 5,666.77",
"D) 5,883.21"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5,666.77",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,125.68\nB) 5,342.12\nC) 5,666.77\nD) 5,883.21",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 5,125.68",
"B) 5,342.12",
"C) 5,666.77",
"D) 5,883.21"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5,666.77",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,878.93\nB) 5,554.28\nC) 6,420.02\nD) 6,095.37",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 5,878.93",
"B) 5,554.28",
"C) 6,420.02",
"D) 6,095.37"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6,095.37",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,878.93\nB) 5,554.28\nC) 6,420.02\nD) 6,095.37",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 5,878.93",
"B) 5,554.28",
"C) 6,420.02",
"D) 6,095.37"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6,095.37",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,163.26\nB) 2,228.16\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,293.06",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,163.26",
"B) 2,228.16",
"C) 2,098.36",
"D) 2,293.06"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,163.26",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,163.26\nB) 2,228.16\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,293.06",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,163.26",
"B) 2,228.16",
"C) 2,098.36",
"D) 2,293.06"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,163.26",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,163.26\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,293.06",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,228.16",
"B) 2,163.26",
"C) 2,098.36",
"D) 2,293.06"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,163.26",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,163.26\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,293.06",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,228.16",
"B) 2,163.26",
"C) 2,098.36",
"D) 2,293.06"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,163.26",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,033.46\nC) 2,163.26\nD) 2,098.36",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,228.16",
"B) 2,033.46",
"C) 2,163.26",
"D) 2,098.36"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,163.26",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,033.46\nC) 2,163.26\nD) 2,098.36",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,228.16",
"B) 2,033.46",
"C) 2,163.26",
"D) 2,098.36"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,163.26",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,011.83\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,163.26",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,228.16",
"B) 2,011.83",
"C) 2,098.36",
"D) 2,163.26"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,163.26",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,011.83\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,163.26",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,228.16",
"B) 2,011.83",
"C) 2,098.36",
"D) 2,163.26"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,163.26",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,163.26\nB) 2,228.16\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,314.69",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,163.26",
"B) 2,228.16",
"C) 2,098.36",
"D) 2,314.69"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,163.26",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,163.26\nB) 2,228.16\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,314.69",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,163.26",
"B) 2,228.16",
"C) 2,098.36",
"D) 2,314.69"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,163.26",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,314.69\nB) 2,163.26\nC) 2,228.16\nD) 2,098.36",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,314.69",
"B) 2,163.26",
"C) 2,228.16",
"D) 2,098.36"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,163.26",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,314.69\nB) 2,163.26\nC) 2,228.16\nD) 2,098.36",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,314.69",
"B) 2,163.26",
"C) 2,228.16",
"D) 2,098.36"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,163.26",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 1.84%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 2.62%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2.10%",
"B) 1.84%",
"C) 2.23%",
"D) 2.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.23%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 1.84%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 2.62%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2.10%",
"B) 1.84%",
"C) 2.23%",
"D) 2.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.23%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 1.97%\nD) 2.36%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2.49%",
"B) 2.10%",
"C) 1.97%",
"D) 2.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.36%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 1.97%\nD) 2.36%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2.49%",
"B) 2.10%",
"C) 1.97%",
"D) 2.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.36%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 2.71%\nC) 2.84%\nD) 2.58%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2.45%",
"B) 2.71%",
"C) 2.84%",
"D) 2.58%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.45%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 2.71%\nC) 2.84%\nD) 2.58%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2.45%",
"B) 2.71%",
"C) 2.84%",
"D) 2.58%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.45%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.60%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 2.21%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2.47%",
"B) 2.60%",
"C) 2.34%",
"D) 2.21%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.60%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.60%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 2.21%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2.47%",
"B) 2.60%",
"C) 2.34%",
"D) 2.21%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.60%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.73%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 2.34%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2.73%",
"B) 2.99%",
"C) 2.60%",
"D) 2.34%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.60%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.73%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 2.34%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2.73%",
"B) 2.99%",
"C) 2.60%",
"D) 2.34%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.60%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.23%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 2.62%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2.23%",
"B) 3.01%",
"C) 2.88%",
"D) 2.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.62%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.23%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 2.62%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2.23%",
"B) 3.01%",
"C) 2.88%",
"D) 2.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.62%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.1452\nD) 1.1952",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.0952",
"B) 1.0202",
"C) 1.1452",
"D) 1.1952"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.0952",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.1452\nD) 1.1952",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.0952",
"B) 1.0202",
"C) 1.1452",
"D) 1.1952"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.0952",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1702\nB) 1.0952\nC) 1.2202\nD) 1.0202",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.1702",
"B) 1.0952",
"C) 1.2202",
"D) 1.0202"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.0952",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1702\nB) 1.0952\nC) 1.2202\nD) 1.0202",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.1702",
"B) 1.0952",
"C) 1.2202",
"D) 1.0202"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.0952",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 0.9702\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.0952\nD) 1.1702",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 0.9702",
"B) 1.0202",
"C) 1.0952",
"D) 1.1702"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.0952",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 0.9702\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.0952\nD) 1.1702",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 0.9702",
"B) 1.0202",
"C) 1.0952",
"D) 1.1702"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.0952",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0452\nB) 1.1702\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0952",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.0452",
"B) 1.1702",
"C) 0.9702",
"D) 1.0952"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.0952",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0452\nB) 1.1702\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0952",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.0452",
"B) 1.1702",
"C) 0.9702",
"D) 1.0952"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.0952",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.1452\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0202",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.0952",
"B) 1.1452",
"C) 0.9702",
"D) 1.0202"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.0952",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.1452\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0202",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.0952",
"B) 1.1452",
"C) 0.9702",
"D) 1.0202"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.0952",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1467\nB) 1.0967\nC) 1.2217\nD) 1.0217",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.1467",
"B) 1.0967",
"C) 1.2217",
"D) 1.0217"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.0967",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1467\nB) 1.0967\nC) 1.2217\nD) 1.0217",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.1467",
"B) 1.0967",
"C) 1.2217",
"D) 1.0217"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.0967",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 20.97\nC) 14.74\nD) 18.89",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 16.82",
"B) 20.97",
"C) 14.74",
"D) 18.89"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "14.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 20.97\nC) 14.74\nD) 18.89",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 16.82",
"B) 20.97",
"C) 14.74",
"D) 18.89"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "14.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 20.97\nC) 12.66\nD) 14.74",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 16.82",
"B) 20.97",
"C) 12.66",
"D) 14.74"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "14.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 20.97\nC) 12.66\nD) 14.74",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 16.82",
"B) 20.97",
"C) 12.66",
"D) 14.74"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "14.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 14.74\nB) 8.51\nC) 18.89\nD) 10.59",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 14.74",
"B) 8.51",
"C) 18.89",
"D) 10.59"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "14.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 14.74\nB) 8.51\nC) 18.89\nD) 10.59",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 14.74",
"B) 8.51",
"C) 18.89",
"D) 10.59"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "14.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 14.74\nC) 18.89\nD) 10.59",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 16.82",
"B) 14.74",
"C) 18.89",
"D) 10.59"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "14.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 14.74\nC) 18.89\nD) 10.59",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 16.82",
"B) 14.74",
"C) 18.89",
"D) 10.59"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "14.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.97\nB) 8.51\nC) 14.74\nD) 10.59",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 20.97",
"B) 8.51",
"C) 14.74",
"D) 10.59"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "14.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.97\nB) 8.51\nC) 14.74\nD) 10.59",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 20.97",
"B) 8.51",
"C) 14.74",
"D) 10.59"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "14.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 13.88\nB) 22.19\nC) 18.04\nD) 15.96",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 13.88",
"B) 22.19",
"C) 18.04",
"D) 15.96"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "15.96",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 13.88\nB) 22.19\nC) 18.04\nD) 15.96",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 13.88",
"B) 22.19",
"C) 18.04",
"D) 15.96"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "15.96",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,637.99\nB) 4,978.13\nC) 5,148.19\nD) 4,127.79",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 4,637.99",
"B) 4,978.13",
"C) 5,148.19",
"D) 4,127.79"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4,637.99",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,637.99\nB) 4,978.13\nC) 5,148.19\nD) 4,127.79",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 4,637.99",
"B) 4,978.13",
"C) 5,148.19",
"D) 4,127.79"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4,637.99",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,647.02\nB) 4,476.95\nC) 4,987.15\nD) 4,817.09",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 4,647.02",
"B) 4,476.95",
"C) 4,987.15",
"D) 4,817.09"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4,476.95",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,647.02\nB) 4,476.95\nC) 4,987.15\nD) 4,817.09",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 4,647.02",
"B) 4,476.95",
"C) 4,987.15",
"D) 4,817.09"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4,476.95",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,978.37\nB) 4,808.31\nC) 4,468.17\nD) 4,638.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 4,978.37",
"B) 4,808.31",
"C) 4,468.17",
"D) 4,638.24"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4,468.17",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,978.37\nB) 4,808.31\nC) 4,468.17\nD) 4,638.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 4,978.37",
"B) 4,808.31",
"C) 4,468.17",
"D) 4,638.24"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4,468.17",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,096.77\nB) 3,756.64\nC) 4,777.04\nD) 4,266.84",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 4,096.77",
"B) 3,756.64",
"C) 4,777.04",
"D) 4,266.84"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,266.84",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,096.77\nB) 3,756.64\nC) 4,777.04\nD) 4,266.84",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 4,096.77",
"B) 3,756.64",
"C) 4,777.04",
"D) 4,266.84"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,266.84",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,266.84\nB) 4,436.91\nC) 3,926.70\nD) 4,606.98",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 4,266.84",
"B) 4,436.91",
"C) 3,926.70",
"D) 4,606.98"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4,266.84",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,266.84\nB) 4,436.91\nC) 3,926.70\nD) 4,606.98",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 4,266.84",
"B) 4,436.91",
"C) 3,926.70",
"D) 4,606.98"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4,266.84",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,096.77\nB) 4,266.84\nC) 3,756.64\nD) 4,777.04",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 4,096.77",
"B) 4,266.84",
"C) 3,756.64",
"D) 4,777.04"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4,266.84",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,096.77\nB) 4,266.84\nC) 3,756.64\nD) 4,777.04",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 4,096.77",
"B) 4,266.84",
"C) 3,756.64",
"D) 4,777.04"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4,266.84",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3262\nB) 6.0654\nC) 6.5219\nD) 6.7176",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.3262",
"B) 6.0654",
"C) 6.5219",
"D) 6.7176"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.5219",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3262\nB) 6.0654\nC) 6.5219\nD) 6.7176",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.3262",
"B) 6.0654",
"C) 6.5219",
"D) 6.7176"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.5219",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.0654\nB) 6.7176\nC) 6.3262\nD) 6.5219",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.0654",
"B) 6.7176",
"C) 6.3262",
"D) 6.5219"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.5219",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.0654\nB) 6.7176\nC) 6.3262\nD) 6.5219",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.0654",
"B) 6.7176",
"C) 6.3262",
"D) 6.5219"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.5219",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.5219\nB) 6.7176\nC) 6.1306\nD) 6.3262",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.5219",
"B) 6.7176",
"C) 6.1306",
"D) 6.3262"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.5219",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.5219\nB) 6.7176\nC) 6.1306\nD) 6.3262",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.5219",
"B) 6.7176",
"C) 6.1306",
"D) 6.3262"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.5219",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.6457\nB) 6.5154\nC) 6.1896\nD) 6.3851",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.6457",
"B) 6.5154",
"C) 6.1896",
"D) 6.3851"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.5154",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.6457\nB) 6.5154\nC) 6.1896\nD) 6.3851",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.6457",
"B) 6.5154",
"C) 6.1896",
"D) 6.3851"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.5154",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3355\nB) 6.2062\nC) 6.4648\nD) 6.6587",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.3355",
"B) 6.2062",
"C) 6.4648",
"D) 6.6587"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.4648",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3355\nB) 6.2062\nC) 6.4648\nD) 6.6587",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.3355",
"B) 6.2062",
"C) 6.4648",
"D) 6.6587"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.4648",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.7059\nB) 6.5770\nC) 6.3190\nD) 6.4480",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.7059",
"B) 6.5770",
"C) 6.3190",
"D) 6.4480"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.4480",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.7059\nB) 6.5770\nC) 6.3190\nD) 6.4480",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.7059",
"B) 6.5770",
"C) 6.3190",
"D) 6.4480"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.4480",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 19.34\nB) 13.64\nC) 15.54\nD) 21.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 19.34",
"B) 13.64",
"C) 15.54",
"D) 21.24"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "19.34",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 19.34\nB) 13.64\nC) 15.54\nD) 21.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 19.34",
"B) 13.64",
"C) 15.54",
"D) 21.24"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "19.34",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 25.04\nB) 19.34\nC) 17.44\nD) 13.64",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 25.04",
"B) 19.34",
"C) 17.44",
"D) 13.64"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "19.34",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 25.04\nB) 19.34\nC) 17.44\nD) 13.64",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 25.04",
"B) 19.34",
"C) 17.44",
"D) 13.64"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "19.34",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 21.24\nB) 17.44\nC) 19.34\nD) 15.54",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 21.24",
"B) 17.44",
"C) 19.34",
"D) 15.54"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "19.34",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 21.24\nB) 17.44\nC) 19.34\nD) 15.54",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 21.24",
"B) 17.44",
"C) 19.34",
"D) 15.54"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "19.34",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 22.79\nC) 13.29\nD) 17.09",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 18.99",
"B) 22.79",
"C) 13.29",
"D) 17.09"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "17.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 22.79\nC) 13.29\nD) 17.09",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 18.99",
"B) 22.79",
"C) 13.29",
"D) 17.09"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "17.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 13.56\nB) 9.76\nC) 11.66\nD) 19.26",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 13.56",
"B) 9.76",
"C) 11.66",
"D) 19.26"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "13.56",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 13.56\nB) 9.76\nC) 11.66\nD) 19.26",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 13.56",
"B) 9.76",
"C) 11.66",
"D) 19.26"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "13.56",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 7.40\nB) 13.10\nC) 9.30\nD) 16.90",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 7.40",
"B) 13.10",
"C) 9.30",
"D) 16.90"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "13.10",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 7.40\nB) 13.10\nC) 9.30\nD) 16.90",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 7.40",
"B) 13.10",
"C) 9.30",
"D) 16.90"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "13.10",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $6.69/bbl\nB) $68.51/bbl\nC) $31.42/bbl\nD) $43.78/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $6.69/bbl",
"B) $68.51/bbl",
"C) $31.42/bbl",
"D) $43.78/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$31.42/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $6.69/bbl\nB) $68.51/bbl\nC) $31.42/bbl\nD) $43.78/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $6.69/bbl",
"B) $68.51/bbl",
"C) $31.42/bbl",
"D) $43.78/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$31.42/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $65.56/bbl\nB) $40.83/bbl\nC) $3.74/bbl\nD) $28.47/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $65.56/bbl",
"B) $40.83/bbl",
"C) $3.74/bbl",
"D) $28.47/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$28.47/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $65.56/bbl\nB) $40.83/bbl\nC) $3.74/bbl\nD) $28.47/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $65.56/bbl",
"B) $40.83/bbl",
"C) $3.74/bbl",
"D) $28.47/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$28.47/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $51.41/bbl\nC) $39.04/bbl\nD) $14.32/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $26.68/bbl",
"B) $51.41/bbl",
"C) $39.04/bbl",
"D) $14.32/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $51.41/bbl\nC) $39.04/bbl\nD) $14.32/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $26.68/bbl",
"B) $51.41/bbl",
"C) $39.04/bbl",
"D) $14.32/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $13.83/bbl\nB) $26.19/bbl\nC) $-10.90/bbl\nD) $38.55/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $13.83/bbl",
"B) $26.19/bbl",
"C) $-10.90/bbl",
"D) $38.55/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $13.83/bbl\nB) $26.19/bbl\nC) $-10.90/bbl\nD) $38.55/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $13.83/bbl",
"B) $26.19/bbl",
"C) $-10.90/bbl",
"D) $38.55/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $38.55/bbl\nB) $1.46/bbl\nC) $26.19/bbl\nD) $13.83/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $38.55/bbl",
"B) $1.46/bbl",
"C) $26.19/bbl",
"D) $13.83/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $38.55/bbl\nB) $1.46/bbl\nC) $26.19/bbl\nD) $13.83/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $38.55/bbl",
"B) $1.46/bbl",
"C) $26.19/bbl",
"D) $13.83/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $-10.90/bbl\nB) $38.55/bbl\nC) $63.28/bbl\nD) $26.19/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $-10.90/bbl",
"B) $38.55/bbl",
"C) $63.28/bbl",
"D) $26.19/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $-10.90/bbl\nB) $38.55/bbl\nC) $63.28/bbl\nD) $26.19/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $-10.90/bbl",
"B) $38.55/bbl",
"C) $63.28/bbl",
"D) $26.19/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min",
"year": 2016
}
]