| [ |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.55%\nB) 5.51%\nC) 3.47%\nD) 8.57%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.55%", |
| "B) 5.51%", |
| "C) 3.47%", |
| "D) 8.57%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.51%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.33%\nB) 83.93%\nC) 79.93%\nD) 78.33%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 82.33%", |
| "B) 83.93%", |
| "C) 79.93%", |
| "D) 78.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "79.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 98.48\nB) 104.57\nC) 95.43\nD) 101.52", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 98.48", |
| "B) 104.57", |
| "C) 95.43", |
| "D) 101.52" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "101.52", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.22%\nB) 5.54%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 4.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.22%", |
| "B) 5.54%", |
| "C) 2.07%", |
| "D) 4.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.02\nB) 104.10\nC) 109.31\nD) 107.22", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 102.02", |
| "B) 104.10", |
| "C) 109.31", |
| "D) 107.22" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "104.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 29.92%\nB) 75.59%\nC) 45.14%\nD) 60.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 29.92%", |
| "B) 75.59%", |
| "C) 45.14%", |
| "D) 60.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "45.14%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $3,801M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,200,000M", |
| "B) $4,300,000M", |
| "C) $2,400,000M", |
| "D) $3,801M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$3,801M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.22%\nB) 13.76%\nC) 10.24%\nD) -7.31%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.22%", |
| "B) 13.76%", |
| "C) 10.24%", |
| "D) -7.31%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 114.37\nB) 116.70\nC) 119.03\nD) 110.87", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 114.37", |
| "B) 116.70", |
| "C) 119.03", |
| "D) 110.87" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "116.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 104.54\nB) 97.26\nC) 101.42\nD) 99.34", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 104.54", |
| "B) 97.26", |
| "C) 101.42", |
| "D) 99.34" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "101.42", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.15pp\nB) +0.46pp\nC) -0.15pp\nD) +0.00pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.15pp", |
| "B) +0.46pp", |
| "C) -0.15pp", |
| "D) +0.00pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.42%\nB) 7.20%\nC) 4.53%\nD) 8.09%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.42%", |
| "B) 7.20%", |
| "C) 4.53%", |
| "D) 8.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.00%\nB) 2.79%\nC) 3.11%\nD) 2.46%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.00%", |
| "B) 2.79%", |
| "C) 3.11%", |
| "D) 2.46%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.79%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.00%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 3.99%\nD) 2.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.00%", |
| "B) 5.00%", |
| "C) 3.99%", |
| "D) 2.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 2.64%\nC) 2.85%\nD) 3.05%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.44%", |
| "B) 2.64%", |
| "C) 2.85%", |
| "D) 3.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 218,000\nB) 181,868\nC) 199,934\nD) 163,802", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 218,000", |
| "B) 181,868", |
| "C) 199,934", |
| "D) 163,802" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "218,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $16,458B\nB) $15,606B\nC) $14,753B\nD) $15,179B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $16,458B", |
| "B) $15,606B", |
| "C) $14,753B", |
| "D) $15,179B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$15,606B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) $11,754B\nB) $13,718B\nC) $12,736B\nD) $12,245B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $11,754B", |
| "B) $13,718B", |
| "C) $12,736B", |
| "D) $12,245B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$12,736B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.34%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 2.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.34%", |
| "B) 1.80%", |
| "C) 2.23%", |
| "D) 2.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,314K\nB) 1,430K\nC) 1,140K\nD) 1,198K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,314K", |
| "B) 1,430K", |
| "C) 1,140K", |
| "D) 1,198K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,314K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 145,669K\nB) 149,358K\nC) 154,892K\nD) 140,135K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 145,669K", |
| "B) 149,358K", |
| "C) 154,892K", |
| "D) 140,135K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "149,358K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 4.10%\nC) 3.64%\nD) 3.19%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.55%", |
| "B) 4.10%", |
| "C) 3.64%", |
| "D) 3.19%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 257.06\nB) 242.09\nC) 262.06\nD) 249.58", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 257.06", |
| "B) 242.09", |
| "C) 262.06", |
| "D) 249.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "249.58", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.95%\nC) 1.57%\nD) 3.47%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.33%", |
| "B) 1.95%", |
| "C) 1.57%", |
| "D) 3.47%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 19.72%\nB) -1.44%\nC) -8.50%\nD) 5.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.72%", |
| "B) -1.44%", |
| "C) -8.50%", |
| "D) 5.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.44%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.53pp\nB) +0.09pp\nC) +0.20pp\nD) -0.13pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.53pp", |
| "B) +0.09pp", |
| "C) +0.20pp", |
| "D) -0.13pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 3.50%\nC) 4.86%\nD) 2.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.14%", |
| "B) 3.50%", |
| "C) 4.86%", |
| "D) 2.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.82%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 102.21\nB) 99.14\nC) 105.27\nD) 95.05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 102.21", |
| "B) 99.14", |
| "C) 105.27", |
| "D) 95.05" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "102.21", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.39%\nB) 8.38%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 4.46%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.39%", |
| "B) 8.38%", |
| "C) 0.54%", |
| "D) 4.46%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "8.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 153,916K\nB) 142,644K\nC) 148,280K\nD) 138,887K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 153,916K", |
| "B) 142,644K", |
| "C) 148,280K", |
| "D) 138,887K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "148,280K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.86%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 2.54%\nD) 2.20%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.86%", |
| "B) 2.31%", |
| "C) 2.54%", |
| "D) 2.20%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +3.13pp\nB) +5.51pp\nC) +2.33pp\nD) +0.74pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +3.13pp", |
| "B) +5.51pp", |
| "C) +2.33pp", |
| "D) +0.74pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+3.13pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,651B\nB) $14,018B\nC) $15,120B\nD) $14,385B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $13,651B", |
| "B) $14,018B", |
| "C) $15,120B", |
| "D) $14,385B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$14,018B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 2.81%\nD) 3.20%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.40%", |
| "B) 2.22%", |
| "C) 2.81%", |
| "D) 3.20%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.81%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.85%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 3.34%\nD) 4.48%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.85%", |
| "B) 3.72%", |
| "C) 3.34%", |
| "D) 4.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 2.88%\nC) 2.29%\nD) 1.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.00%", |
| "B) 2.88%", |
| "C) 2.29%", |
| "D) 1.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.93%\nB) 1.51%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 2.09%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.93%", |
| "B) 1.51%", |
| "C) 1.70%", |
| "D) 2.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.51%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.38%\nB) -8.79%\nC) 0.31%\nD) -5.76%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.38%", |
| "B) -8.79%", |
| "C) 0.31%", |
| "D) -5.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.31%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $66,286M\nB) $60,070M\nC) $69,394M\nD) $64,732M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $66,286M", |
| "B) $60,070M", |
| "C) $69,394M", |
| "D) $64,732M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$64,732M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) +3.57pp\nB) +0.74pp\nC) +1.68pp\nD) +6.40pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +3.57pp", |
| "B) +0.74pp", |
| "C) +1.68pp", |
| "D) +6.40pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+3.57pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.98%\nB) 25.64%\nC) 36.75%\nD) 14.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.98%", |
| "B) 25.64%", |
| "C) 36.75%", |
| "D) 14.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "25.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.19%\nB) 3.62%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 1.90%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.19%", |
| "B) 3.62%", |
| "C) 2.33%", |
| "D) 1.90%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) $53.21/bbl\nB) $88.60/bbl\nC) $100.40/bbl\nD) $65.01/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $53.21/bbl", |
| "B) $88.60/bbl", |
| "C) $100.40/bbl", |
| "D) $65.01/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$65.01/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 198.54\nB) 218.44\nC) 178.64\nD) 185.27", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 198.54", |
| "B) 218.44", |
| "C) 178.64", |
| "D) 185.27" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "198.54", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.23%\nB) 17.47%\nC) 19.70%\nD) 24.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 15.23%", |
| "B) 17.47%", |
| "C) 19.70%", |
| "D) 24.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "17.47%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,190K\nB) 1,125K\nC) 1,318K\nD) 1,446K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,190K", |
| "B) 1,125K", |
| "C) 1,318K", |
| "D) 1,446K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,318K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 22.46%\nB) -4.69%\nC) 13.41%\nD) 8.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.46%", |
| "B) -4.69%", |
| "C) 13.41%", |
| "D) 8.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "8.88%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.95%\nB) 2.52%\nC) 1.67%\nD) 2.23%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.95%", |
| "B) 2.52%", |
| "C) 1.67%", |
| "D) 2.23%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.95%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.16%\nB) 5.67%\nC) 7.91%\nD) 12.40%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.16%", |
| "B) 5.67%", |
| "C) 7.91%", |
| "D) 12.40%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.67%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 2.08%\nC) 1.91%\nD) 1.74%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.66%", |
| "B) 2.08%", |
| "C) 1.91%", |
| "D) 1.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.91%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.02%\nB) 5.27%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 3.32%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.02%", |
| "B) 5.27%", |
| "C) 1.37%", |
| "D) 3.32%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.32%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $-43,514M\nB) $-48,425M\nC) $-41,877M\nD) $-45,151M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-43,514M", |
| "B) $-48,425M", |
| "C) $-41,877M", |
| "D) $-45,151M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$-43,514M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,454.30\nB) 2,779.66\nC) 2,671.21\nD) 2,562.75", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,454.30", |
| "B) 2,779.66", |
| "C) 2,671.21", |
| "D) 2,562.75" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,779.66", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 225.82\nB) 184.86\nC) 205.34\nD) 191.69", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 225.82", |
| "B) 184.86", |
| "C) 205.34", |
| "D) 191.69" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "205.34", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.14pp\nB) -0.78pp\nC) -0.24pp\nD) -0.60pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.14pp", |
| "B) -0.78pp", |
| "C) -0.24pp", |
| "D) -0.60pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $3,560M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $3,560M", |
| "B) $2,400,000M", |
| "C) $4,300,000M", |
| "D) $6,200,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$3,560M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.12%\nB) 6.80%\nC) 7.26%\nD) 7.03%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.12%", |
| "B) 6.80%", |
| "C) 7.26%", |
| "D) 7.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.37%\nB) 5.41%\nC) 6.45%\nD) 8.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.37%", |
| "B) 5.41%", |
| "C) 6.45%", |
| "D) 8.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.45%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) $46.29/bbl\nB) $59.15/bbl\nC) $84.89/bbl\nD) $72.02/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $46.29/bbl", |
| "B) $59.15/bbl", |
| "C) $84.89/bbl", |
| "D) $72.02/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$72.02/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +4.50pp\nB) -4.87pp\nC) +7.62pp\nD) +1.38pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +4.50pp", |
| "B) -4.87pp", |
| "C) +7.62pp", |
| "D) +1.38pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+4.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.54%\nB) 62.80%\nC) 64.68%\nD) 59.66%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 61.54%", |
| "B) 62.80%", |
| "C) 64.68%", |
| "D) 59.66%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "62.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $514,946M\nB) $526,665M\nC) $491,507M\nD) $468,068M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $514,946M", |
| "B) $526,665M", |
| "C) $491,507M", |
| "D) $468,068M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$491,507M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.00%\nB) 6.19%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 4.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.00%", |
| "B) 6.19%", |
| "C) 2.62%", |
| "D) 4.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.30pp\nB) +0.16pp\nC) -0.76pp\nD) -0.45pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.30pp", |
| "B) +0.16pp", |
| "C) -0.76pp", |
| "D) -0.45pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 2.55%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 3.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.27%", |
| "B) 2.55%", |
| "C) 1.98%", |
| "D) 3.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.05%\nB) 4.65%\nC) 2.85%\nD) 3.45%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.05%", |
| "B) 4.65%", |
| "C) 2.85%", |
| "D) 3.45%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.85%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,189K\nB) 1,371K\nC) 1,068K\nD) 1,250K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,189K", |
| "B) 1,371K", |
| "C) 1,068K", |
| "D) 1,250K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,250K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.40%\nB) 62.21%\nC) 57.38%\nD) 58.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 60.40%", |
| "B) 62.21%", |
| "C) 57.38%", |
| "D) 58.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "60.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.05%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 3.93%\nD) 7.46%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.05%", |
| "B) 5.70%", |
| "C) 3.93%", |
| "D) 7.46%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 275.98\nB) 265.41\nC) 258.37\nD) 251.32", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 275.98", |
| "B) 265.41", |
| "C) 258.37", |
| "D) 251.32" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "258.37", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $267,310M\nB) $260,859M\nC) $241,506M\nD) $247,957M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $267,310M", |
| "B) $260,859M", |
| "C) $241,506M", |
| "D) $247,957M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$247,957M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.77%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.62%", |
| "B) 4.32%", |
| "C) 4.17%", |
| "D) 4.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.62%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 3.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.30%", |
| "B) 2.93%", |
| "C) 3.12%", |
| "D) 3.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 211.37\nB) 203.32\nC) 199.30\nD) 191.25", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 211.37", |
| "B) 203.32", |
| "C) 199.30", |
| "D) 191.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "199.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 73.86%\nB) 80.93%\nC) 76.21%\nD) 78.57%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 73.86%", |
| "B) 80.93%", |
| "C) 76.21%", |
| "D) 78.57%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "78.57%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 110.5800\nB) 121.9804\nC) 99.1796\nD) 118.1803", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 110.5800", |
| "B) 121.9804", |
| "C) 99.1796", |
| "D) 118.1803" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "110.5800", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.53%\nB) 5.84%\nC) 21.78%\nD) 11.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.53%", |
| "B) 5.84%", |
| "C) 21.78%", |
| "D) 11.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.84%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 96.71\nB) 105.50\nC) 102.20\nD) 98.91", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 96.71", |
| "B) 105.50", |
| "C) 102.20", |
| "D) 98.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "102.20", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.26%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.58%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.26%", |
| "B) 1.80%", |
| "C) 1.37%", |
| "D) 1.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.07%\nB) 1.97%\nC) -2.25%\nD) 6.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.07%", |
| "B) 1.97%", |
| "C) -2.25%", |
| "D) 6.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 21.29%\nB) 9.60%\nC) -2.09%\nD) 5.70%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 21.29%", |
| "B) 9.60%", |
| "C) -2.09%", |
| "D) 5.70%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "9.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1083\nB) 1.0550\nC) 1.1616\nD) 1.2149", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.1083", |
| "B) 1.0550", |
| "C) 1.1616", |
| "D) 1.2149" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1616", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.20%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.81%\nD) 3.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.20%", |
| "B) 3.33%", |
| "C) 2.81%", |
| "D) 3.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) +5.00pp\nB) -4.10pp\nC) +14.10pp\nD) +8.03pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +5.00pp", |
| "B) -4.10pp", |
| "C) +14.10pp", |
| "D) +8.03pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+5.00pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -15.07%\nB) -8.12%\nC) -28.95%\nD) 5.76%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -15.07%", |
| "B) -8.12%", |
| "C) -28.95%", |
| "D) 5.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-8.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.64%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.74%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.64%", |
| "B) 2.18%", |
| "C) 1.96%", |
| "D) 1.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.96%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,565K\nB) 1,325K\nC) 1,445K\nD) 1,385K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,565K", |
| "B) 1,325K", |
| "C) 1,445K", |
| "D) 1,385K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,385K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $244,343M\nB) $231,880M\nC) $263,038M\nD) $256,806M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $244,343M", |
| "B) $231,880M", |
| "C) $263,038M", |
| "D) $256,806M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$244,343M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.07%\nB) 3.70%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 2.33%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.07%", |
| "B) 3.70%", |
| "C) 4.16%", |
| "D) 2.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,728B\nB) $15,799B\nC) $14,246B\nD) $15,281B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $13,728B", |
| "B) $15,799B", |
| "C) $14,246B", |
| "D) $15,281B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$14,246B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 122.22\nB) 111.84\nC) 118.76\nD) 115.30", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 122.22", |
| "B) 111.84", |
| "C) 118.76", |
| "D) 115.30" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "115.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.4379\nB) 6.1734\nC) 6.0412\nD) 6.7024", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.4379", |
| "B) 6.1734", |
| "C) 6.0412", |
| "D) 6.7024" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.4379", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 63.42%\nB) 60.40%\nC) 62.21%\nD) 58.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 63.42%", |
| "B) 60.40%", |
| "C) 62.21%", |
| "D) 58.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "60.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,009,514\nB) 2,178,772\nC) 1,671,000\nD) 1,501,743", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,009,514", |
| "B) 2,178,772", |
| "C) 1,671,000", |
| "D) 1,501,743" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,671,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 28,843.89\nB) 21,337.07\nC) 27,592.75\nD) 25,090.48", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28,843.89", |
| "B) 21,337.07", |
| "C) 27,592.75", |
| "D) 25,090.48" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "25,090.48", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 203.60\nB) 195.76\nC) 211.44\nD) 223.19", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 203.60", |
| "B) 195.76", |
| "C) 211.44", |
| "D) 223.19" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "203.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.00%\nB) 10.76%\nC) 23.26%\nD) -1.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -8.00%", |
| "B) 10.76%", |
| "C) 23.26%", |
| "D) -1.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "10.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $72,621M\nB) $66,493M\nC) $68,025M\nD) $63,429M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $72,621M", |
| "B) $66,493M", |
| "C) $68,025M", |
| "D) $63,429M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$68,025M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 97.92\nB) 94.44\nC) 108.36\nD) 101.40", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 97.92", |
| "B) 94.44", |
| "C) 108.36", |
| "D) 101.40" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "101.40", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 100.10\nB) 89.99\nC) 106.84\nD) 110.21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 100.10", |
| "B) 89.99", |
| "C) 106.84", |
| "D) 110.21" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "100.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.87%\nB) 6.71%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 9.57%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.87%", |
| "B) 6.71%", |
| "C) 3.85%", |
| "D) 9.57%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.71%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.19%\nB) 72.68%\nC) 56.80%\nD) 25.06%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.19%", |
| "B) 72.68%", |
| "C) 56.80%", |
| "D) 25.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "56.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 117.40\nB) 125.53\nC) 109.27\nD) 113.34", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 117.40", |
| "B) 125.53", |
| "C) 109.27", |
| "D) 113.34" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "113.34", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 1.67%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 1.13%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.94%", |
| "B) 1.67%", |
| "C) 2.48%", |
| "D) 1.13%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.01%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 2.68%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.01%", |
| "B) 2.01%", |
| "C) 1.01%", |
| "D) 2.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.01%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $-48,453M\nB) $-53,830M\nC) $-50,245M\nD) $-46,660M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-48,453M", |
| "B) $-53,830M", |
| "C) $-50,245M", |
| "D) $-46,660M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$-50,245M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $21.10/hr\nB) $23.53/hr\nC) $21.79/hr\nD) $22.49/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $21.10/hr", |
| "B) $23.53/hr", |
| "C) $21.79/hr", |
| "D) $22.49/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$22.49/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $14,013B\nB) $12,964B\nC) $13,489B\nD) $15,585B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14,013B", |
| "B) $12,964B", |
| "C) $13,489B", |
| "D) $15,585B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$14,013B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.33%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 6.55%\nD) 6.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.33%", |
| "B) 5.90%", |
| "C) 6.55%", |
| "D) 6.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.03%\nB) 4.62%\nC) 4.97%\nD) 5.32%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.03%", |
| "B) 4.62%", |
| "C) 4.97%", |
| "D) 5.32%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 265.23\nB) 260.01\nC) 244.35\nD) 252.18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 265.23", |
| "B) 260.01", |
| "C) 244.35", |
| "D) 252.18" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "252.18", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 62.90%\nB) 64.16%\nC) 66.05%\nD) 61.01%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 62.90%", |
| "B) 64.16%", |
| "C) 66.05%", |
| "D) 61.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "62.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 7,234.53\nB) 7,746.38\nC) 8,770.07\nD) 6,722.69", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,234.53", |
| "B) 7,746.38", |
| "C) 8,770.07", |
| "D) 6,722.69" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "7,746.38", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $14,139B\nB) $13,103B\nC) $13,793B\nD) $14,484B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14,139B", |
| "B) $13,103B", |
| "C) $13,793B", |
| "D) $14,484B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$13,793B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.07%\nB) 2.24%\nC) -2.32%\nD) 4.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.07%", |
| "B) 2.24%", |
| "C) -2.32%", |
| "D) 4.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 5.60%\nC) 2.93%\nD) 4.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.00%", |
| "B) 5.60%", |
| "C) 2.93%", |
| "D) 4.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.57pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.75pp\nD) -0.92pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.57pp", |
| "B) -0.40pp", |
| "C) -0.75pp", |
| "D) -0.92pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $494,920M\nB) $451,681M\nC) $484,110M\nD) $473,300M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $494,920M", |
| "B) $451,681M", |
| "C) $484,110M", |
| "D) $473,300M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$484,110M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.82%\nB) 1.27%\nC) 1.93%\nD) 1.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.82%", |
| "B) 1.27%", |
| "C) 1.93%", |
| "D) 1.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 256.27\nB) 273.27\nC) 246.07\nD) 266.47", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 256.27", |
| "B) 273.27", |
| "C) 246.07", |
| "D) 266.47" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "256.27", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $21.76/hr\nB) $22.86/hr\nC) $24.69/hr\nD) $23.96/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $21.76/hr", |
| "B) $22.86/hr", |
| "C) $24.69/hr", |
| "D) $23.96/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$22.86/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.07\nB) 6.11\nC) 11.98\nD) 13.94", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.07", |
| "B) 6.11", |
| "C) 11.98", |
| "D) 13.94" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "11.98", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.11pp\nB) +0.21pp\nC) +0.11pp\nD) +0.00pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.11pp", |
| "B) +0.21pp", |
| "C) +0.11pp", |
| "D) +0.00pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.06%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.40%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.08%", |
| "B) 3.06%", |
| "C) 3.74%", |
| "D) 3.40%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 16.02%\nB) 14.27%\nC) 17.77%\nD) 10.78%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 16.02%", |
| "B) 14.27%", |
| "C) 17.77%", |
| "D) 10.78%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "14.27%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20180301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $14,409B\nB) $14,806B\nC) $15,203B\nD) $15,996B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14,409B", |
| "B) $14,806B", |
| "C) $15,203B", |
| "D) $15,996B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$15,203B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20180615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2018-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.53pp\nB) -0.23pp\nC) +0.08pp\nD) +0.38pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.53pp", |
| "B) -0.23pp", |
| "C) +0.08pp", |
| "D) +0.38pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.38pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.42\nB) 100.37\nC) 98.32\nD) 105.49", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 102.42", |
| "B) 100.37", |
| "C) 98.32", |
| "D) 105.49" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "102.42", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20180901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2018", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.63%\nB) 4.31%\nC) 7.99%\nD) 5.54%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.63%", |
| "B) 4.31%", |
| "C) 7.99%", |
| "D) 5.54%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.31%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,734.55\nB) 8,127.21\nC) 6,949.23\nD) 6,163.91", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,734.55", |
| "B) 8,127.21", |
| "C) 6,949.23", |
| "D) 6,163.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6,949.23", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,734.55\nB) 8,127.21\nC) 6,949.23\nD) 6,163.91", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,734.55", |
| "B) 8,127.21", |
| "C) 6,949.23", |
| "D) 6,163.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6,949.23", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,262.78\nB) 8,048.10\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,262.78", |
| "B) 8,048.10", |
| "C) 6,084.80", |
| "D) 6,870.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6,870.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,262.78\nB) 8,048.10\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,262.78", |
| "B) 8,048.10", |
| "C) 6,084.80", |
| "D) 6,870.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6,870.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,870.12\nB) 6,477.46\nC) 7,262.78\nD) 6,084.80", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,870.12", |
| "B) 6,477.46", |
| "C) 7,262.78", |
| "D) 6,084.80" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6,870.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,870.12\nB) 6,477.46\nC) 7,262.78\nD) 6,084.80", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,870.12", |
| "B) 6,477.46", |
| "C) 7,262.78", |
| "D) 6,084.80" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6,870.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5,692.14\nB) 6,870.12\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 7,655.44", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5,692.14", |
| "B) 6,870.12", |
| "C) 6,084.80", |
| "D) 7,655.44" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6,870.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5,692.14\nB) 6,870.12\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 7,655.44", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5,692.14", |
| "B) 6,870.12", |
| "C) 6,084.80", |
| "D) 7,655.44" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6,870.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 6,084.80\nC) 6,870.12\nD) 5,692.14", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,477.46", |
| "B) 6,084.80", |
| "C) 6,870.12", |
| "D) 5,692.14" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6,870.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 6,084.80\nC) 6,870.12\nD) 5,692.14", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,477.46", |
| "B) 6,084.80", |
| "C) 6,870.12", |
| "D) 5,692.14" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6,870.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 7,655.44\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,477.46", |
| "B) 7,655.44", |
| "C) 6,084.80", |
| "D) 6,870.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6,870.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 7,655.44\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,477.46", |
| "B) 7,655.44", |
| "C) 6,084.80", |
| "D) 6,870.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6,870.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,588.26\nB) 2,484.44\nC) 2,276.81\nD) 2,692.08", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,588.26", |
| "B) 2,484.44", |
| "C) 2,276.81", |
| "D) 2,692.08" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,588.26", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-5d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,588.26\nB) 2,484.44\nC) 2,276.81\nD) 2,692.08", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,588.26", |
| "B) 2,484.44", |
| "C) 2,276.81", |
| "D) 2,692.08" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,588.26", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-5d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,374.25\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,270.43\nD) 2,893.33", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,374.25", |
| "B) 2,581.88", |
| "C) 2,270.43", |
| "D) 2,893.33" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,581.88", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-10d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,374.25\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,270.43\nD) 2,893.33", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,374.25", |
| "B) 2,581.88", |
| "C) 2,270.43", |
| "D) 2,893.33" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,581.88", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-10d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,893.33\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,581.88\nD) 2,789.51", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,893.33", |
| "B) 2,478.06", |
| "C) 2,581.88", |
| "D) 2,789.51" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,581.88", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-20d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,893.33\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,581.88\nD) 2,789.51", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,893.33", |
| "B) 2,478.06", |
| "C) 2,581.88", |
| "D) 2,789.51" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,581.88", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-20d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,581.88", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,270.43", |
| "B) 2,478.06", |
| "C) 2,789.51", |
| "D) 2,581.88" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,581.88", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-40d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,581.88", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,270.43", |
| "B) 2,478.06", |
| "C) 2,789.51", |
| "D) 2,581.88" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,581.88", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-40d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,581.88\nB) 2,685.70\nC) 2,478.06\nD) 2,893.33", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,581.88", |
| "B) 2,685.70", |
| "C) 2,478.06", |
| "D) 2,893.33" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,581.88", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-60d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,581.88\nB) 2,685.70\nC) 2,478.06\nD) 2,893.33", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,581.88", |
| "B) 2,685.70", |
| "C) 2,478.06", |
| "D) 2,893.33" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,581.88", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-60d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,374.25", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,270.43", |
| "B) 2,581.88", |
| "C) 2,789.51", |
| "D) 2,374.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,581.88", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-120d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,374.25", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,270.43", |
| "B) 2,581.88", |
| "C) 2,789.51", |
| "D) 2,374.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,581.88", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-120d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5.8744\nB) 6.0491\nC) 6.3110\nD) 6.5729", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.8744", |
| "B) 6.0491", |
| "C) 6.3110", |
| "D) 6.5729" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.3110", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5.8744\nB) 6.0491\nC) 6.3110\nD) 6.5729", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.8744", |
| "B) 6.0491", |
| "C) 6.3110", |
| "D) 6.5729" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.3110", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.4856\nB) 5.8744\nC) 6.1364\nD) 6.3110", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.4856", |
| "B) 5.8744", |
| "C) 6.1364", |
| "D) 6.3110" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.3110", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.4856\nB) 5.8744\nC) 6.1364\nD) 6.3110", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.4856", |
| "B) 5.8744", |
| "C) 6.1364", |
| "D) 6.3110" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.3110", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.3110\nB) 6.5729\nC) 6.1364\nD) 5.8744", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.3110", |
| "B) 6.5729", |
| "C) 6.1364", |
| "D) 5.8744" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.3110", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.3110\nB) 6.5729\nC) 6.1364\nD) 5.8744", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.3110", |
| "B) 6.5729", |
| "C) 6.1364", |
| "D) 5.8744" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.3110", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.1141\nB) 6.3760\nC) 6.5506\nD) 5.9394", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.1141", |
| "B) 6.3760", |
| "C) 6.5506", |
| "D) 5.9394" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.3760", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.1141\nB) 6.3760\nC) 6.5506\nD) 5.9394", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.1141", |
| "B) 6.3760", |
| "C) 6.5506", |
| "D) 5.9394" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.3760", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.0013\nB) 6.6998\nC) 6.4379\nD) 6.1760", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.0013", |
| "B) 6.6998", |
| "C) 6.4379", |
| "D) 6.1760" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.4379", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.0013\nB) 6.6998\nC) 6.4379\nD) 6.1760", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.0013", |
| "B) 6.6998", |
| "C) 6.4379", |
| "D) 6.1760" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.4379", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.7584\nB) 6.5838\nC) 7.1949\nD) 6.9330", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.7584", |
| "B) 6.5838", |
| "C) 7.1949", |
| "D) 6.9330" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.9330", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.7584\nB) 6.5838\nC) 7.1949\nD) 6.9330", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.7584", |
| "B) 6.5838", |
| "C) 7.1949", |
| "D) 6.9330" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.9330", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 29.98\nC) 26.57\nD) 19.76", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.87", |
| "B) 29.98", |
| "C) 26.57", |
| "D) 19.76" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "24.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 29.98\nC) 26.57\nD) 19.76", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.87", |
| "B) 29.98", |
| "C) 26.57", |
| "D) 19.76" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "24.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 19.76\nB) 24.87\nC) 26.57\nD) 28.28", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.76", |
| "B) 24.87", |
| "C) 26.57", |
| "D) 28.28" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "24.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 19.76\nB) 24.87\nC) 26.57\nD) 28.28", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.76", |
| "B) 24.87", |
| "C) 26.57", |
| "D) 28.28" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "24.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 29.98\nB) 28.28\nC) 24.87\nD) 21.46", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 29.98", |
| "B) 28.28", |
| "C) 24.87", |
| "D) 21.46" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "24.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 29.98\nB) 28.28\nC) 24.87\nD) 21.46", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 29.98", |
| "B) 28.28", |
| "C) 24.87", |
| "D) 21.46" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "24.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 28.28\nB) 21.46\nC) 23.17\nD) 24.87", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28.28", |
| "B) 21.46", |
| "C) 23.17", |
| "D) 24.87" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "24.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 28.28\nB) 21.46\nC) 23.17\nD) 24.87", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28.28", |
| "B) 21.46", |
| "C) 23.17", |
| "D) 24.87" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "24.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 19.76\nC) 29.98\nD) 21.46", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.87", |
| "B) 19.76", |
| "C) 29.98", |
| "D) 21.46" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "24.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 19.76\nC) 29.98\nD) 21.46", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.87", |
| "B) 19.76", |
| "C) 29.98", |
| "D) 21.46" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "24.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 26.57\nB) 24.87\nC) 19.76\nD) 23.17", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.57", |
| "B) 24.87", |
| "C) 19.76", |
| "D) 23.17" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "24.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 26.57\nB) 24.87\nC) 19.76\nD) 23.17", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.57", |
| "B) 24.87", |
| "C) 19.76", |
| "D) 23.17" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "24.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", |
| "event_date": "2018-03-22", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,713.32\nB) 5,557.24\nC) 6,635.28\nD) 6,275.93", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,713.32", |
| "B) 5,557.24", |
| "C) 6,635.28", |
| "D) 6,275.93" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6,635.28", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,713.32\nB) 5,557.24\nC) 6,635.28\nD) 6,275.93", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,713.32", |
| "B) 5,557.24", |
| "C) 6,635.28", |
| "D) 6,275.93" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6,635.28", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,597.73\nB) 5,879.04\nC) 7,675.77\nD) 6,957.08", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,597.73", |
| "B) 5,879.04", |
| "C) 7,675.77", |
| "D) 6,957.08" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6,957.08", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,597.73\nB) 5,879.04\nC) 7,675.77\nD) 6,957.08", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,597.73", |
| "B) 5,879.04", |
| "C) 7,675.77", |
| "D) 6,957.08" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6,957.08", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,157.23\nB) 8,235.27\nC) 6,438.54\nD) 7,875.92", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,157.23", |
| "B) 8,235.27", |
| "C) 6,438.54", |
| "D) 7,875.92" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7,157.23", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,157.23\nB) 8,235.27\nC) 6,438.54\nD) 7,875.92", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,157.23", |
| "B) 8,235.27", |
| "C) 6,438.54", |
| "D) 7,875.92" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7,157.23", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,886.89\nB) 7,527.54\nC) 6,808.85\nD) 6,449.50", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,886.89", |
| "B) 7,527.54", |
| "C) 6,808.85", |
| "D) 6,449.50" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "7,527.54", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,886.89\nB) 7,527.54\nC) 6,808.85\nD) 6,449.50", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,886.89", |
| "B) 7,527.54", |
| "C) 6,808.85", |
| "D) 6,449.50" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "7,527.54", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 8,557.65\nB) 7,120.27\nC) 7,838.96\nD) 6,760.92", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8,557.65", |
| "B) 7,120.27", |
| "C) 7,838.96", |
| "D) 6,760.92" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7,838.96", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 8,557.65\nB) 7,120.27\nC) 7,838.96\nD) 6,760.92", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8,557.65", |
| "B) 7,120.27", |
| "C) 7,838.96", |
| "D) 6,760.92" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7,838.96", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,445.31\nB) 8,882.69\nC) 7,085.96\nD) 8,164.00", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,445.31", |
| "B) 8,882.69", |
| "C) 7,085.96", |
| "D) 8,164.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "8,164.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,445.31\nB) 8,882.69\nC) 7,085.96\nD) 8,164.00", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,445.31", |
| "B) 8,882.69", |
| "C) 7,085.96", |
| "D) 8,164.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "8,164.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,467.70\nB) 2,375.61\nC) 2,191.42\nD) 2,559.79", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,467.70", |
| "B) 2,375.61", |
| "C) 2,191.42", |
| "D) 2,559.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,467.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-5d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,467.70\nB) 2,375.61\nC) 2,191.42\nD) 2,559.79", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,467.70", |
| "B) 2,375.61", |
| "C) 2,191.42", |
| "D) 2,559.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,467.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-5d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,724.17\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,724.17", |
| "B) 2,447.89", |
| "C) 2,632.07", |
| "D) 2,355.80" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,447.89", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-10d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,724.17\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,724.17", |
| "B) 2,447.89", |
| "C) 2,632.07", |
| "D) 2,355.80" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,447.89", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-10d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,539.98\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,447.89\nD) 2,632.07", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,539.98", |
| "B) 2,724.17", |
| "C) 2,447.89", |
| "D) 2,632.07" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,447.89", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-20d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,539.98\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,447.89\nD) 2,632.07", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,539.98", |
| "B) 2,724.17", |
| "C) 2,447.89", |
| "D) 2,632.07" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,447.89", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-20d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,632.07\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,263.71\nD) 2,447.89", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,632.07", |
| "B) 2,724.17", |
| "C) 2,263.71", |
| "D) 2,447.89" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,447.89", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-40d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,632.07\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,263.71\nD) 2,447.89", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,632.07", |
| "B) 2,724.17", |
| "C) 2,263.71", |
| "D) 2,447.89" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,447.89", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-40d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,447.89\nB) 2,171.61\nC) 2,355.80\nD) 2,632.07", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,447.89", |
| "B) 2,171.61", |
| "C) 2,355.80", |
| "D) 2,632.07" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,447.89", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-60d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,447.89\nB) 2,171.61\nC) 2,355.80\nD) 2,632.07", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,447.89", |
| "B) 2,171.61", |
| "C) 2,355.80", |
| "D) 2,632.07" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,447.89", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-60d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,171.61\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,171.61", |
| "B) 2,447.89", |
| "C) 2,632.07", |
| "D) 2,355.80" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,447.89", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-120d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,171.61\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,171.61", |
| "B) 2,447.89", |
| "C) 2,632.07", |
| "D) 2,355.80" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,447.89", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-120d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 23.25\nB) 29.76\nC) 25.42\nD) 18.91", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 23.25", |
| "B) 29.76", |
| "C) 25.42", |
| "D) 18.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "25.42", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 23.25\nB) 29.76\nC) 25.42\nD) 18.91", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 23.25", |
| "B) 29.76", |
| "C) 25.42", |
| "D) 18.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "25.42", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 24.32\nB) 17.81\nC) 26.49\nD) 19.98", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.32", |
| "B) 17.81", |
| "C) 26.49", |
| "D) 19.98" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "19.98", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 24.32\nB) 17.81\nC) 26.49\nD) 19.98", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.32", |
| "B) 17.81", |
| "C) 26.49", |
| "D) 19.98" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "19.98", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 17.80\nB) 15.63\nC) 24.31\nD) 11.29", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.80", |
| "B) 15.63", |
| "C) 24.31", |
| "D) 11.29" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "17.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 17.80\nB) 15.63\nC) 24.31\nD) 11.29", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.80", |
| "B) 15.63", |
| "C) 24.31", |
| "D) 11.29" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "17.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 13.51\nC) 17.85\nD) 20.02", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.34", |
| "B) 13.51", |
| "C) 17.85", |
| "D) 20.02" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "13.51", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 13.51\nC) 17.85\nD) 20.02", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.34", |
| "B) 13.51", |
| "C) 17.85", |
| "D) 20.02" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "13.51", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 19.39\nB) 15.05\nC) 12.88\nD) 6.37", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.39", |
| "B) 15.05", |
| "C) 12.88", |
| "D) 6.37" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "12.88", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 19.39\nB) 15.05\nC) 12.88\nD) 6.37", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.39", |
| "B) 15.05", |
| "C) 12.88", |
| "D) 6.37" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "12.88", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 18.52\nB) 9.84\nC) 7.67\nD) 12.01", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.52", |
| "B) 9.84", |
| "C) 7.67", |
| "D) 12.01" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "12.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 18.52\nB) 9.84\nC) 7.67\nD) 12.01", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.52", |
| "B) 9.84", |
| "C) 7.67", |
| "D) 12.01" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "12.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", |
| "event_date": "2018-12-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 35.01\nC) 38.10\nD) 36.56", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 33.46", |
| "B) 35.01", |
| "C) 38.10", |
| "D) 36.56" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "33.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 35.01\nC) 38.10\nD) 36.56", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 33.46", |
| "B) 35.01", |
| "C) 38.10", |
| "D) 36.56" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "33.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 30.36\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 30.36", |
| "B) 33.46", |
| "C) 28.82", |
| "D) 31.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "33.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 30.36\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 30.36", |
| "B) 33.46", |
| "C) 28.82", |
| "D) 31.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "33.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 31.91\nB) 28.82\nC) 33.46\nD) 38.10", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 31.91", |
| "B) 28.82", |
| "C) 33.46", |
| "D) 38.10" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "33.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 31.91\nB) 28.82\nC) 33.46\nD) 38.10", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 31.91", |
| "B) 28.82", |
| "C) 33.46", |
| "D) 38.10" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "33.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 28.82\nB) 35.01\nC) 36.56\nD) 33.46", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28.82", |
| "B) 35.01", |
| "C) 36.56", |
| "D) 33.46" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "33.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 28.82\nB) 35.01\nC) 36.56\nD) 33.46", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28.82", |
| "B) 35.01", |
| "C) 36.56", |
| "D) 33.46" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "33.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 28.82\nC) 30.36\nD) 36.56", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 33.46", |
| "B) 28.82", |
| "C) 30.36", |
| "D) 36.56" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "33.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 28.82\nC) 30.36\nD) 36.56", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 33.46", |
| "B) 28.82", |
| "C) 30.36", |
| "D) 36.56" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "33.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 36.56\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 36.56", |
| "B) 33.46", |
| "C) 28.82", |
| "D) 31.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "33.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 36.56\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 36.56", |
| "B) 33.46", |
| "C) 28.82", |
| "D) 31.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "33.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,874.08\nB) 7,494.98\nC) 7,115.88\nD) 8,253.18", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,874.08", |
| "B) 7,494.98", |
| "C) 7,115.88", |
| "D) 8,253.18" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7,115.88", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,874.08\nB) 7,494.98\nC) 7,115.88\nD) 8,253.18", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,874.08", |
| "B) 7,494.98", |
| "C) 7,115.88", |
| "D) 8,253.18" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7,115.88", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,635.53\nB) 6,119.13\nC) 8,014.63\nD) 7,256.43", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,635.53", |
| "B) 6,119.13", |
| "C) 8,014.63", |
| "D) 7,256.43" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "7,256.43", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,635.53\nB) 6,119.13\nC) 8,014.63\nD) 7,256.43", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,635.53", |
| "B) 6,119.13", |
| "C) 8,014.63", |
| "D) 7,256.43" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "7,256.43", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,421.46\nB) 6,284.16\nC) 8,179.66\nD) 6,663.26", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,421.46", |
| "B) 6,284.16", |
| "C) 8,179.66", |
| "D) 6,663.26" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7,421.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,421.46\nB) 6,284.16\nC) 8,179.66\nD) 6,663.26", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,421.46", |
| "B) 6,284.16", |
| "C) 8,179.66", |
| "D) 6,663.26" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7,421.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 6,830.12\nB) 7,588.32\nC) 8,346.52\nD) 7,209.22", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,830.12", |
| "B) 7,588.32", |
| "C) 8,346.52", |
| "D) 7,209.22" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "7,588.32", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 6,830.12\nB) 7,588.32\nC) 8,346.52\nD) 7,209.22", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,830.12", |
| "B) 7,588.32", |
| "C) 8,346.52", |
| "D) 7,209.22" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "7,588.32", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,209.22\nB) 6,451.02\nC) 7,588.32\nD) 8,725.62", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,209.22", |
| "B) 6,451.02", |
| "C) 7,588.32", |
| "D) 8,725.62" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7,588.32", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,209.22\nB) 6,451.02\nC) 7,588.32\nD) 8,725.62", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,209.22", |
| "B) 6,451.02", |
| "C) 7,588.32", |
| "D) 8,725.62" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7,588.32", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,553.14\nB) 6,794.94\nC) 8,690.44\nD) 7,932.24", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,553.14", |
| "B) 6,794.94", |
| "C) 8,690.44", |
| "D) 7,932.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "7,932.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,553.14\nB) 6,794.94\nC) 8,690.44\nD) 7,932.24", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,553.14", |
| "B) 6,794.94", |
| "C) 8,690.44", |
| "D) 7,932.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "7,932.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,695.14\nB) 2,598.19\nC) 2,404.30\nD) 2,501.24", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,695.14", |
| "B) 2,598.19", |
| "C) 2,404.30", |
| "D) 2,501.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,695.14", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-5d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,695.14\nB) 2,598.19\nC) 2,404.30\nD) 2,501.24", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,695.14", |
| "B) 2,598.19", |
| "C) 2,404.30", |
| "D) 2,501.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,695.14", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-5d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,926.12\nB) 2,732.22\nC) 2,829.17\nD) 2,635.27", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,926.12", |
| "B) 2,732.22", |
| "C) 2,829.17", |
| "D) 2,635.27" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,732.22", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-10d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,926.12\nB) 2,732.22\nC) 2,829.17\nD) 2,635.27", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,926.12", |
| "B) 2,732.22", |
| "C) 2,829.17", |
| "D) 2,635.27" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,732.22", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-10d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,488.76\nB) 3,070.44\nC) 2,779.60\nD) 2,876.55", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,488.76", |
| "B) 3,070.44", |
| "C) 2,779.60", |
| "D) 2,876.55" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,779.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-20d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,488.76\nB) 3,070.44\nC) 2,779.60\nD) 2,876.55", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,488.76", |
| "B) 3,070.44", |
| "C) 2,779.60", |
| "D) 2,876.55" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,779.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-20d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,980.47\nB) 2,883.52\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,786.57", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,980.47", |
| "B) 2,883.52", |
| "C) 2,592.67", |
| "D) 2,786.57" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,786.57", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-40d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,980.47\nB) 2,883.52\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,786.57", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,980.47", |
| "B) 2,883.52", |
| "C) 2,592.67", |
| "D) 2,786.57" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,786.57", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-40d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,786.57\nB) 2,980.47\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,883.52", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,786.57", |
| "B) 2,980.47", |
| "C) 2,592.67", |
| "D) 2,883.52" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,786.57", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-60d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,786.57\nB) 2,980.47\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,883.52", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,786.57", |
| "B) 2,980.47", |
| "C) 2,592.67", |
| "D) 2,883.52" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,786.57", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-60d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,943.02\nB) 2,846.07\nC) 2,749.12\nD) 2,652.17", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,943.02", |
| "B) 2,846.07", |
| "C) 2,749.12", |
| "D) 2,652.17" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,846.07", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-120d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,943.02\nB) 2,846.07\nC) 2,749.12\nD) 2,652.17", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,943.02", |
| "B) 2,846.07", |
| "C) 2,749.12", |
| "D) 2,652.17" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,846.07", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", |
| "event_date": "2018-02-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-120d-max", |
| "year": 2018 |
| } |
| ] |