pre_test / *.parquet /mcq_2018.json
lfqian's picture
Fix per-year parquet schema (unify 17 cols, string types) for by_year splits
de9f149 verified
[
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.55%\nB) 5.51%\nC) 3.47%\nD) 8.57%",
"options": [
"A) 7.55%",
"B) 5.51%",
"C) 3.47%",
"D) 8.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.51%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.33%\nB) 83.93%\nC) 79.93%\nD) 78.33%",
"options": [
"A) 82.33%",
"B) 83.93%",
"C) 79.93%",
"D) 78.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "79.93%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 98.48\nB) 104.57\nC) 95.43\nD) 101.52",
"options": [
"A) 98.48",
"B) 104.57",
"C) 95.43",
"D) 101.52"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "101.52",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.22%\nB) 5.54%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 4.38%",
"options": [
"A) 3.22%",
"B) 5.54%",
"C) 2.07%",
"D) 4.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.22%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.02\nB) 104.10\nC) 109.31\nD) 107.22",
"options": [
"A) 102.02",
"B) 104.10",
"C) 109.31",
"D) 107.22"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "104.10",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 29.92%\nB) 75.59%\nC) 45.14%\nD) 60.37%",
"options": [
"A) 29.92%",
"B) 75.59%",
"C) 45.14%",
"D) 60.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "45.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $3,801M",
"options": [
"A) $6,200,000M",
"B) $4,300,000M",
"C) $2,400,000M",
"D) $3,801M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$3,801M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.22%\nB) 13.76%\nC) 10.24%\nD) -7.31%",
"options": [
"A) 3.22%",
"B) 13.76%",
"C) 10.24%",
"D) -7.31%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.22%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 114.37\nB) 116.70\nC) 119.03\nD) 110.87",
"options": [
"A) 114.37",
"B) 116.70",
"C) 119.03",
"D) 110.87"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "116.70",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 104.54\nB) 97.26\nC) 101.42\nD) 99.34",
"options": [
"A) 104.54",
"B) 97.26",
"C) 101.42",
"D) 99.34"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "101.42",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.15pp\nB) +0.46pp\nC) -0.15pp\nD) +0.00pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.15pp",
"B) +0.46pp",
"C) -0.15pp",
"D) +0.00pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.42%\nB) 7.20%\nC) 4.53%\nD) 8.09%",
"options": [
"A) 5.42%",
"B) 7.20%",
"C) 4.53%",
"D) 8.09%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.42%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.00%\nB) 2.79%\nC) 3.11%\nD) 2.46%",
"options": [
"A) 3.00%",
"B) 2.79%",
"C) 3.11%",
"D) 2.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.79%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.00%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 3.99%\nD) 2.99%",
"options": [
"A) 7.00%",
"B) 5.00%",
"C) 3.99%",
"D) 2.99%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.99%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 2.64%\nC) 2.85%\nD) 3.05%",
"options": [
"A) 2.44%",
"B) 2.64%",
"C) 2.85%",
"D) 3.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.05%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 218,000\nB) 181,868\nC) 199,934\nD) 163,802",
"options": [
"A) 218,000",
"B) 181,868",
"C) 199,934",
"D) 163,802"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "218,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $16,458B\nB) $15,606B\nC) $14,753B\nD) $15,179B",
"options": [
"A) $16,458B",
"B) $15,606B",
"C) $14,753B",
"D) $15,179B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$15,606B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) $11,754B\nB) $13,718B\nC) $12,736B\nD) $12,245B",
"options": [
"A) $11,754B",
"B) $13,718B",
"C) $12,736B",
"D) $12,245B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$12,736B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.34%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 2.12%",
"options": [
"A) 2.34%",
"B) 1.80%",
"C) 2.23%",
"D) 2.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.12%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,314K\nB) 1,430K\nC) 1,140K\nD) 1,198K",
"options": [
"A) 1,314K",
"B) 1,430K",
"C) 1,140K",
"D) 1,198K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,314K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 145,669K\nB) 149,358K\nC) 154,892K\nD) 140,135K",
"options": [
"A) 145,669K",
"B) 149,358K",
"C) 154,892K",
"D) 140,135K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "149,358K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 4.10%\nC) 3.64%\nD) 3.19%",
"options": [
"A) 4.55%",
"B) 4.10%",
"C) 3.64%",
"D) 3.19%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.64%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 257.06\nB) 242.09\nC) 262.06\nD) 249.58",
"options": [
"A) 257.06",
"B) 242.09",
"C) 262.06",
"D) 249.58"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "249.58",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.95%\nC) 1.57%\nD) 3.47%",
"options": [
"A) 2.33%",
"B) 1.95%",
"C) 1.57%",
"D) 3.47%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.33%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 19.72%\nB) -1.44%\nC) -8.50%\nD) 5.61%",
"options": [
"A) 19.72%",
"B) -1.44%",
"C) -8.50%",
"D) 5.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-1.44%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.53pp\nB) +0.09pp\nC) +0.20pp\nD) -0.13pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.53pp",
"B) +0.09pp",
"C) +0.20pp",
"D) -0.13pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+0.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 3.50%\nC) 4.86%\nD) 2.82%",
"options": [
"A) 2.14%",
"B) 3.50%",
"C) 4.86%",
"D) 2.82%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.82%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 102.21\nB) 99.14\nC) 105.27\nD) 95.05",
"options": [
"A) 102.21",
"B) 99.14",
"C) 105.27",
"D) 95.05"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "102.21",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.39%\nB) 8.38%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 4.46%",
"options": [
"A) -3.39%",
"B) 8.38%",
"C) 0.54%",
"D) 4.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "8.38%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 153,916K\nB) 142,644K\nC) 148,280K\nD) 138,887K",
"options": [
"A) 153,916K",
"B) 142,644K",
"C) 148,280K",
"D) 138,887K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "148,280K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.86%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 2.54%\nD) 2.20%",
"options": [
"A) 1.86%",
"B) 2.31%",
"C) 2.54%",
"D) 2.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +3.13pp\nB) +5.51pp\nC) +2.33pp\nD) +0.74pp",
"options": [
"A) +3.13pp",
"B) +5.51pp",
"C) +2.33pp",
"D) +0.74pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+3.13pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,651B\nB) $14,018B\nC) $15,120B\nD) $14,385B",
"options": [
"A) $13,651B",
"B) $14,018B",
"C) $15,120B",
"D) $14,385B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$14,018B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 2.81%\nD) 3.20%",
"options": [
"A) 3.40%",
"B) 2.22%",
"C) 2.81%",
"D) 3.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.81%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.85%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 3.34%\nD) 4.48%",
"options": [
"A) 4.85%",
"B) 3.72%",
"C) 3.34%",
"D) 4.48%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.48%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 2.88%\nC) 2.29%\nD) 1.12%",
"options": [
"A) 2.00%",
"B) 2.88%",
"C) 2.29%",
"D) 1.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.93%\nB) 1.51%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 2.09%",
"options": [
"A) 0.93%",
"B) 1.51%",
"C) 1.70%",
"D) 2.09%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.51%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.38%\nB) -8.79%\nC) 0.31%\nD) -5.76%",
"options": [
"A) 6.38%",
"B) -8.79%",
"C) 0.31%",
"D) -5.76%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.31%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $66,286M\nB) $60,070M\nC) $69,394M\nD) $64,732M",
"options": [
"A) $66,286M",
"B) $60,070M",
"C) $69,394M",
"D) $64,732M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$64,732M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) +3.57pp\nB) +0.74pp\nC) +1.68pp\nD) +6.40pp",
"options": [
"A) +3.57pp",
"B) +0.74pp",
"C) +1.68pp",
"D) +6.40pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+3.57pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.98%\nB) 25.64%\nC) 36.75%\nD) 14.53%",
"options": [
"A) 8.98%",
"B) 25.64%",
"C) 36.75%",
"D) 14.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "25.64%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.19%\nB) 3.62%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 1.90%",
"options": [
"A) 3.19%",
"B) 3.62%",
"C) 2.33%",
"D) 1.90%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.33%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) $53.21/bbl\nB) $88.60/bbl\nC) $100.40/bbl\nD) $65.01/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $53.21/bbl",
"B) $88.60/bbl",
"C) $100.40/bbl",
"D) $65.01/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$65.01/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 198.54\nB) 218.44\nC) 178.64\nD) 185.27",
"options": [
"A) 198.54",
"B) 218.44",
"C) 178.64",
"D) 185.27"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "198.54",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.23%\nB) 17.47%\nC) 19.70%\nD) 24.17%",
"options": [
"A) 15.23%",
"B) 17.47%",
"C) 19.70%",
"D) 24.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "17.47%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,190K\nB) 1,125K\nC) 1,318K\nD) 1,446K",
"options": [
"A) 1,190K",
"B) 1,125K",
"C) 1,318K",
"D) 1,446K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,318K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 22.46%\nB) -4.69%\nC) 13.41%\nD) 8.88%",
"options": [
"A) 22.46%",
"B) -4.69%",
"C) 13.41%",
"D) 8.88%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "8.88%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.95%\nB) 2.52%\nC) 1.67%\nD) 2.23%",
"options": [
"A) 1.95%",
"B) 2.52%",
"C) 1.67%",
"D) 2.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.95%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.16%\nB) 5.67%\nC) 7.91%\nD) 12.40%",
"options": [
"A) 10.16%",
"B) 5.67%",
"C) 7.91%",
"D) 12.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.67%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 2.08%\nC) 1.91%\nD) 1.74%",
"options": [
"A) 1.66%",
"B) 2.08%",
"C) 1.91%",
"D) 1.74%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.91%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.02%\nB) 5.27%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 3.32%",
"options": [
"A) 2.02%",
"B) 5.27%",
"C) 1.37%",
"D) 3.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.32%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $-43,514M\nB) $-48,425M\nC) $-41,877M\nD) $-45,151M",
"options": [
"A) $-43,514M",
"B) $-48,425M",
"C) $-41,877M",
"D) $-45,151M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$-43,514M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-level-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,454.30\nB) 2,779.66\nC) 2,671.21\nD) 2,562.75",
"options": [
"A) 2,454.30",
"B) 2,779.66",
"C) 2,671.21",
"D) 2,562.75"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,779.66",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 225.82\nB) 184.86\nC) 205.34\nD) 191.69",
"options": [
"A) 225.82",
"B) 184.86",
"C) 205.34",
"D) 191.69"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "205.34",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.14pp\nB) -0.78pp\nC) -0.24pp\nD) -0.60pp",
"options": [
"A) -1.14pp",
"B) -0.78pp",
"C) -0.24pp",
"D) -0.60pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.60pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $3,560M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M",
"options": [
"A) $3,560M",
"B) $2,400,000M",
"C) $4,300,000M",
"D) $6,200,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$3,560M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.12%\nB) 6.80%\nC) 7.26%\nD) 7.03%",
"options": [
"A) 6.12%",
"B) 6.80%",
"C) 7.26%",
"D) 7.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.37%\nB) 5.41%\nC) 6.45%\nD) 8.53%",
"options": [
"A) 4.37%",
"B) 5.41%",
"C) 6.45%",
"D) 8.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.45%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) $46.29/bbl\nB) $59.15/bbl\nC) $84.89/bbl\nD) $72.02/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $46.29/bbl",
"B) $59.15/bbl",
"C) $84.89/bbl",
"D) $72.02/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$72.02/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +4.50pp\nB) -4.87pp\nC) +7.62pp\nD) +1.38pp",
"options": [
"A) +4.50pp",
"B) -4.87pp",
"C) +7.62pp",
"D) +1.38pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+4.50pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.54%\nB) 62.80%\nC) 64.68%\nD) 59.66%",
"options": [
"A) 61.54%",
"B) 62.80%",
"C) 64.68%",
"D) 59.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "62.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $514,946M\nB) $526,665M\nC) $491,507M\nD) $468,068M",
"options": [
"A) $514,946M",
"B) $526,665M",
"C) $491,507M",
"D) $468,068M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$491,507M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.00%\nB) 6.19%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 4.41%",
"options": [
"A) 5.00%",
"B) 6.19%",
"C) 2.62%",
"D) 4.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.41%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.30pp\nB) +0.16pp\nC) -0.76pp\nD) -0.45pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.30pp",
"B) +0.16pp",
"C) -0.76pp",
"D) -0.45pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 2.55%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 3.12%",
"options": [
"A) 2.27%",
"B) 2.55%",
"C) 1.98%",
"D) 3.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.55%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.05%\nB) 4.65%\nC) 2.85%\nD) 3.45%",
"options": [
"A) 4.05%",
"B) 4.65%",
"C) 2.85%",
"D) 3.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.85%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,189K\nB) 1,371K\nC) 1,068K\nD) 1,250K",
"options": [
"A) 1,189K",
"B) 1,371K",
"C) 1,068K",
"D) 1,250K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,250K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.40%\nB) 62.21%\nC) 57.38%\nD) 58.59%",
"options": [
"A) 60.40%",
"B) 62.21%",
"C) 57.38%",
"D) 58.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "60.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.05%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 3.93%\nD) 7.46%",
"options": [
"A) 3.05%",
"B) 5.70%",
"C) 3.93%",
"D) 7.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 275.98\nB) 265.41\nC) 258.37\nD) 251.32",
"options": [
"A) 275.98",
"B) 265.41",
"C) 258.37",
"D) 251.32"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "258.37",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $267,310M\nB) $260,859M\nC) $241,506M\nD) $247,957M",
"options": [
"A) $267,310M",
"B) $260,859M",
"C) $241,506M",
"D) $247,957M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$247,957M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.77%",
"options": [
"A) 4.62%",
"B) 4.32%",
"C) 4.17%",
"D) 4.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.62%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 3.49%",
"options": [
"A) 3.30%",
"B) 2.93%",
"C) 3.12%",
"D) 3.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.93%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 211.37\nB) 203.32\nC) 199.30\nD) 191.25",
"options": [
"A) 211.37",
"B) 203.32",
"C) 199.30",
"D) 191.25"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "199.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 73.86%\nB) 80.93%\nC) 76.21%\nD) 78.57%",
"options": [
"A) 73.86%",
"B) 80.93%",
"C) 76.21%",
"D) 78.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "78.57%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 110.5800\nB) 121.9804\nC) 99.1796\nD) 118.1803",
"options": [
"A) 110.5800",
"B) 121.9804",
"C) 99.1796",
"D) 118.1803"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "110.5800",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.53%\nB) 5.84%\nC) 21.78%\nD) 11.15%",
"options": [
"A) 0.53%",
"B) 5.84%",
"C) 21.78%",
"D) 11.15%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.84%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 96.71\nB) 105.50\nC) 102.20\nD) 98.91",
"options": [
"A) 96.71",
"B) 105.50",
"C) 102.20",
"D) 98.91"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "102.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.26%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.58%",
"options": [
"A) 1.26%",
"B) 1.80%",
"C) 1.37%",
"D) 1.58%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.58%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.07%\nB) 1.97%\nC) -2.25%\nD) 6.18%",
"options": [
"A) 4.07%",
"B) 1.97%",
"C) -2.25%",
"D) 6.18%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.07%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 21.29%\nB) 9.60%\nC) -2.09%\nD) 5.70%",
"options": [
"A) 21.29%",
"B) 9.60%",
"C) -2.09%",
"D) 5.70%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "9.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1083\nB) 1.0550\nC) 1.1616\nD) 1.2149",
"options": [
"A) 1.1083",
"B) 1.0550",
"C) 1.1616",
"D) 1.2149"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.1616",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.20%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.81%\nD) 3.07%",
"options": [
"A) 3.20%",
"B) 3.33%",
"C) 2.81%",
"D) 3.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.07%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) +5.00pp\nB) -4.10pp\nC) +14.10pp\nD) +8.03pp",
"options": [
"A) +5.00pp",
"B) -4.10pp",
"C) +14.10pp",
"D) +8.03pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+5.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -15.07%\nB) -8.12%\nC) -28.95%\nD) 5.76%",
"options": [
"A) -15.07%",
"B) -8.12%",
"C) -28.95%",
"D) 5.76%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-8.12%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.64%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.74%",
"options": [
"A) 1.64%",
"B) 2.18%",
"C) 1.96%",
"D) 1.74%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.96%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,565K\nB) 1,325K\nC) 1,445K\nD) 1,385K",
"options": [
"A) 1,565K",
"B) 1,325K",
"C) 1,445K",
"D) 1,385K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,385K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $244,343M\nB) $231,880M\nC) $263,038M\nD) $256,806M",
"options": [
"A) $244,343M",
"B) $231,880M",
"C) $263,038M",
"D) $256,806M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$244,343M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.07%\nB) 3.70%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 2.33%",
"options": [
"A) 5.07%",
"B) 3.70%",
"C) 4.16%",
"D) 2.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,728B\nB) $15,799B\nC) $14,246B\nD) $15,281B",
"options": [
"A) $13,728B",
"B) $15,799B",
"C) $14,246B",
"D) $15,281B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$14,246B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 122.22\nB) 111.84\nC) 118.76\nD) 115.30",
"options": [
"A) 122.22",
"B) 111.84",
"C) 118.76",
"D) 115.30"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "115.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.4379\nB) 6.1734\nC) 6.0412\nD) 6.7024",
"options": [
"A) 6.4379",
"B) 6.1734",
"C) 6.0412",
"D) 6.7024"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.4379",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 63.42%\nB) 60.40%\nC) 62.21%\nD) 58.59%",
"options": [
"A) 63.42%",
"B) 60.40%",
"C) 62.21%",
"D) 58.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "60.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,009,514\nB) 2,178,772\nC) 1,671,000\nD) 1,501,743",
"options": [
"A) 2,009,514",
"B) 2,178,772",
"C) 1,671,000",
"D) 1,501,743"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,671,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 28,843.89\nB) 21,337.07\nC) 27,592.75\nD) 25,090.48",
"options": [
"A) 28,843.89",
"B) 21,337.07",
"C) 27,592.75",
"D) 25,090.48"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "25,090.48",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 203.60\nB) 195.76\nC) 211.44\nD) 223.19",
"options": [
"A) 203.60",
"B) 195.76",
"C) 211.44",
"D) 223.19"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "203.60",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.00%\nB) 10.76%\nC) 23.26%\nD) -1.75%",
"options": [
"A) -8.00%",
"B) 10.76%",
"C) 23.26%",
"D) -1.75%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "10.76%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $72,621M\nB) $66,493M\nC) $68,025M\nD) $63,429M",
"options": [
"A) $72,621M",
"B) $66,493M",
"C) $68,025M",
"D) $63,429M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$68,025M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 97.92\nB) 94.44\nC) 108.36\nD) 101.40",
"options": [
"A) 97.92",
"B) 94.44",
"C) 108.36",
"D) 101.40"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "101.40",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 100.10\nB) 89.99\nC) 106.84\nD) 110.21",
"options": [
"A) 100.10",
"B) 89.99",
"C) 106.84",
"D) 110.21"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "100.10",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.87%\nB) 6.71%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 9.57%",
"options": [
"A) -1.87%",
"B) 6.71%",
"C) 3.85%",
"D) 9.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.71%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.19%\nB) 72.68%\nC) 56.80%\nD) 25.06%",
"options": [
"A) 9.19%",
"B) 72.68%",
"C) 56.80%",
"D) 25.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "56.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 117.40\nB) 125.53\nC) 109.27\nD) 113.34",
"options": [
"A) 117.40",
"B) 125.53",
"C) 109.27",
"D) 113.34"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "113.34",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 1.67%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 1.13%",
"options": [
"A) 1.94%",
"B) 1.67%",
"C) 2.48%",
"D) 1.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.01%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 2.68%",
"options": [
"A) 3.01%",
"B) 2.01%",
"C) 1.01%",
"D) 2.68%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.01%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $-48,453M\nB) $-53,830M\nC) $-50,245M\nD) $-46,660M",
"options": [
"A) $-48,453M",
"B) $-53,830M",
"C) $-50,245M",
"D) $-46,660M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$-50,245M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $21.10/hr\nB) $23.53/hr\nC) $21.79/hr\nD) $22.49/hr",
"options": [
"A) $21.10/hr",
"B) $23.53/hr",
"C) $21.79/hr",
"D) $22.49/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$22.49/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $14,013B\nB) $12,964B\nC) $13,489B\nD) $15,585B",
"options": [
"A) $14,013B",
"B) $12,964B",
"C) $13,489B",
"D) $15,585B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$14,013B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.33%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 6.55%\nD) 6.12%",
"options": [
"A) 6.33%",
"B) 5.90%",
"C) 6.55%",
"D) 6.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.03%\nB) 4.62%\nC) 4.97%\nD) 5.32%",
"options": [
"A) 6.03%",
"B) 4.62%",
"C) 4.97%",
"D) 5.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.97%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 265.23\nB) 260.01\nC) 244.35\nD) 252.18",
"options": [
"A) 265.23",
"B) 260.01",
"C) 244.35",
"D) 252.18"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "252.18",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 62.90%\nB) 64.16%\nC) 66.05%\nD) 61.01%",
"options": [
"A) 62.90%",
"B) 64.16%",
"C) 66.05%",
"D) 61.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "62.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 7,234.53\nB) 7,746.38\nC) 8,770.07\nD) 6,722.69",
"options": [
"A) 7,234.53",
"B) 7,746.38",
"C) 8,770.07",
"D) 6,722.69"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "7,746.38",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $14,139B\nB) $13,103B\nC) $13,793B\nD) $14,484B",
"options": [
"A) $14,139B",
"B) $13,103B",
"C) $13,793B",
"D) $14,484B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$13,793B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.07%\nB) 2.24%\nC) -2.32%\nD) 4.52%",
"options": [
"A) 9.07%",
"B) 2.24%",
"C) -2.32%",
"D) 4.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.52%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 5.60%\nC) 2.93%\nD) 4.53%",
"options": [
"A) 4.00%",
"B) 5.60%",
"C) 2.93%",
"D) 4.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.57pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.75pp\nD) -0.92pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.57pp",
"B) -0.40pp",
"C) -0.75pp",
"D) -0.92pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $494,920M\nB) $451,681M\nC) $484,110M\nD) $473,300M",
"options": [
"A) $494,920M",
"B) $451,681M",
"C) $484,110M",
"D) $473,300M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$484,110M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.82%\nB) 1.27%\nC) 1.93%\nD) 1.60%",
"options": [
"A) 1.82%",
"B) 1.27%",
"C) 1.93%",
"D) 1.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 256.27\nB) 273.27\nC) 246.07\nD) 266.47",
"options": [
"A) 256.27",
"B) 273.27",
"C) 246.07",
"D) 266.47"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "256.27",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $21.76/hr\nB) $22.86/hr\nC) $24.69/hr\nD) $23.96/hr",
"options": [
"A) $21.76/hr",
"B) $22.86/hr",
"C) $24.69/hr",
"D) $23.96/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$22.86/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.07\nB) 6.11\nC) 11.98\nD) 13.94",
"options": [
"A) 8.07",
"B) 6.11",
"C) 11.98",
"D) 13.94"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "11.98",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.11pp\nB) +0.21pp\nC) +0.11pp\nD) +0.00pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.11pp",
"B) +0.21pp",
"C) +0.11pp",
"D) +0.00pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.06%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.40%",
"options": [
"A) 4.08%",
"B) 3.06%",
"C) 3.74%",
"D) 3.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 16.02%\nB) 14.27%\nC) 17.77%\nD) 10.78%",
"options": [
"A) 16.02%",
"B) 14.27%",
"C) 17.77%",
"D) 10.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "14.27%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20180301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $14,409B\nB) $14,806B\nC) $15,203B\nD) $15,996B",
"options": [
"A) $14,409B",
"B) $14,806B",
"C) $15,203B",
"D) $15,996B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$15,203B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20180615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.53pp\nB) -0.23pp\nC) +0.08pp\nD) +0.38pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.53pp",
"B) -0.23pp",
"C) +0.08pp",
"D) +0.38pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.38pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.42\nB) 100.37\nC) 98.32\nD) 105.49",
"options": [
"A) 102.42",
"B) 100.37",
"C) 98.32",
"D) 105.49"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "102.42",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20180901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.63%\nB) 4.31%\nC) 7.99%\nD) 5.54%",
"options": [
"A) 0.63%",
"B) 4.31%",
"C) 7.99%",
"D) 5.54%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.31%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,734.55\nB) 8,127.21\nC) 6,949.23\nD) 6,163.91",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 7,734.55",
"B) 8,127.21",
"C) 6,949.23",
"D) 6,163.91"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6,949.23",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,734.55\nB) 8,127.21\nC) 6,949.23\nD) 6,163.91",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 7,734.55",
"B) 8,127.21",
"C) 6,949.23",
"D) 6,163.91"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6,949.23",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,262.78\nB) 8,048.10\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 7,262.78",
"B) 8,048.10",
"C) 6,084.80",
"D) 6,870.12"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6,870.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,262.78\nB) 8,048.10\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 7,262.78",
"B) 8,048.10",
"C) 6,084.80",
"D) 6,870.12"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6,870.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,870.12\nB) 6,477.46\nC) 7,262.78\nD) 6,084.80",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,870.12",
"B) 6,477.46",
"C) 7,262.78",
"D) 6,084.80"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6,870.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,870.12\nB) 6,477.46\nC) 7,262.78\nD) 6,084.80",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,870.12",
"B) 6,477.46",
"C) 7,262.78",
"D) 6,084.80"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6,870.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5,692.14\nB) 6,870.12\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 7,655.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 5,692.14",
"B) 6,870.12",
"C) 6,084.80",
"D) 7,655.44"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6,870.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5,692.14\nB) 6,870.12\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 7,655.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 5,692.14",
"B) 6,870.12",
"C) 6,084.80",
"D) 7,655.44"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6,870.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 6,084.80\nC) 6,870.12\nD) 5,692.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,477.46",
"B) 6,084.80",
"C) 6,870.12",
"D) 5,692.14"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6,870.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 6,084.80\nC) 6,870.12\nD) 5,692.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,477.46",
"B) 6,084.80",
"C) 6,870.12",
"D) 5,692.14"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6,870.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 7,655.44\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,477.46",
"B) 7,655.44",
"C) 6,084.80",
"D) 6,870.12"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6,870.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 7,655.44\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,477.46",
"B) 7,655.44",
"C) 6,084.80",
"D) 6,870.12"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6,870.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,588.26\nB) 2,484.44\nC) 2,276.81\nD) 2,692.08",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,588.26",
"B) 2,484.44",
"C) 2,276.81",
"D) 2,692.08"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,588.26",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-5d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,588.26\nB) 2,484.44\nC) 2,276.81\nD) 2,692.08",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,588.26",
"B) 2,484.44",
"C) 2,276.81",
"D) 2,692.08"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,588.26",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-5d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,374.25\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,270.43\nD) 2,893.33",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,374.25",
"B) 2,581.88",
"C) 2,270.43",
"D) 2,893.33"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,581.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-10d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,374.25\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,270.43\nD) 2,893.33",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,374.25",
"B) 2,581.88",
"C) 2,270.43",
"D) 2,893.33"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,581.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-10d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,893.33\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,581.88\nD) 2,789.51",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,893.33",
"B) 2,478.06",
"C) 2,581.88",
"D) 2,789.51"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,581.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-20d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,893.33\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,581.88\nD) 2,789.51",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,893.33",
"B) 2,478.06",
"C) 2,581.88",
"D) 2,789.51"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,581.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-20d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,581.88",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,270.43",
"B) 2,478.06",
"C) 2,789.51",
"D) 2,581.88"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,581.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-40d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,581.88",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,270.43",
"B) 2,478.06",
"C) 2,789.51",
"D) 2,581.88"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,581.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-40d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,581.88\nB) 2,685.70\nC) 2,478.06\nD) 2,893.33",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,581.88",
"B) 2,685.70",
"C) 2,478.06",
"D) 2,893.33"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,581.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-60d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,581.88\nB) 2,685.70\nC) 2,478.06\nD) 2,893.33",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,581.88",
"B) 2,685.70",
"C) 2,478.06",
"D) 2,893.33"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,581.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-60d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,374.25",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,270.43",
"B) 2,581.88",
"C) 2,789.51",
"D) 2,374.25"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,581.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-120d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,374.25",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,270.43",
"B) 2,581.88",
"C) 2,789.51",
"D) 2,374.25"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,581.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-120d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5.8744\nB) 6.0491\nC) 6.3110\nD) 6.5729",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 5.8744",
"B) 6.0491",
"C) 6.3110",
"D) 6.5729"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.3110",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5.8744\nB) 6.0491\nC) 6.3110\nD) 6.5729",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 5.8744",
"B) 6.0491",
"C) 6.3110",
"D) 6.5729"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.3110",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.4856\nB) 5.8744\nC) 6.1364\nD) 6.3110",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6.4856",
"B) 5.8744",
"C) 6.1364",
"D) 6.3110"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.3110",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.4856\nB) 5.8744\nC) 6.1364\nD) 6.3110",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6.4856",
"B) 5.8744",
"C) 6.1364",
"D) 6.3110"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.3110",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.3110\nB) 6.5729\nC) 6.1364\nD) 5.8744",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6.3110",
"B) 6.5729",
"C) 6.1364",
"D) 5.8744"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.3110",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.3110\nB) 6.5729\nC) 6.1364\nD) 5.8744",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6.3110",
"B) 6.5729",
"C) 6.1364",
"D) 5.8744"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.3110",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.1141\nB) 6.3760\nC) 6.5506\nD) 5.9394",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6.1141",
"B) 6.3760",
"C) 6.5506",
"D) 5.9394"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.3760",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.1141\nB) 6.3760\nC) 6.5506\nD) 5.9394",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6.1141",
"B) 6.3760",
"C) 6.5506",
"D) 5.9394"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.3760",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.0013\nB) 6.6998\nC) 6.4379\nD) 6.1760",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6.0013",
"B) 6.6998",
"C) 6.4379",
"D) 6.1760"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.4379",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.0013\nB) 6.6998\nC) 6.4379\nD) 6.1760",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6.0013",
"B) 6.6998",
"C) 6.4379",
"D) 6.1760"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.4379",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.7584\nB) 6.5838\nC) 7.1949\nD) 6.9330",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6.7584",
"B) 6.5838",
"C) 7.1949",
"D) 6.9330"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.9330",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.7584\nB) 6.5838\nC) 7.1949\nD) 6.9330",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6.7584",
"B) 6.5838",
"C) 7.1949",
"D) 6.9330"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.9330",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 29.98\nC) 26.57\nD) 19.76",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 24.87",
"B) 29.98",
"C) 26.57",
"D) 19.76"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 29.98\nC) 26.57\nD) 19.76",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 24.87",
"B) 29.98",
"C) 26.57",
"D) 19.76"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 19.76\nB) 24.87\nC) 26.57\nD) 28.28",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 19.76",
"B) 24.87",
"C) 26.57",
"D) 28.28"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 19.76\nB) 24.87\nC) 26.57\nD) 28.28",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 19.76",
"B) 24.87",
"C) 26.57",
"D) 28.28"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 29.98\nB) 28.28\nC) 24.87\nD) 21.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 29.98",
"B) 28.28",
"C) 24.87",
"D) 21.46"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 29.98\nB) 28.28\nC) 24.87\nD) 21.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 29.98",
"B) 28.28",
"C) 24.87",
"D) 21.46"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 28.28\nB) 21.46\nC) 23.17\nD) 24.87",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 28.28",
"B) 21.46",
"C) 23.17",
"D) 24.87"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 28.28\nB) 21.46\nC) 23.17\nD) 24.87",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 28.28",
"B) 21.46",
"C) 23.17",
"D) 24.87"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 19.76\nC) 29.98\nD) 21.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 24.87",
"B) 19.76",
"C) 29.98",
"D) 21.46"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 19.76\nC) 29.98\nD) 21.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 24.87",
"B) 19.76",
"C) 29.98",
"D) 21.46"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 26.57\nB) 24.87\nC) 19.76\nD) 23.17",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 26.57",
"B) 24.87",
"C) 19.76",
"D) 23.17"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 26.57\nB) 24.87\nC) 19.76\nD) 23.17",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 26.57",
"B) 24.87",
"C) 19.76",
"D) 23.17"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,713.32\nB) 5,557.24\nC) 6,635.28\nD) 6,275.93",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 7,713.32",
"B) 5,557.24",
"C) 6,635.28",
"D) 6,275.93"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6,635.28",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,713.32\nB) 5,557.24\nC) 6,635.28\nD) 6,275.93",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 7,713.32",
"B) 5,557.24",
"C) 6,635.28",
"D) 6,275.93"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6,635.28",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,597.73\nB) 5,879.04\nC) 7,675.77\nD) 6,957.08",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,597.73",
"B) 5,879.04",
"C) 7,675.77",
"D) 6,957.08"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6,957.08",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,597.73\nB) 5,879.04\nC) 7,675.77\nD) 6,957.08",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,597.73",
"B) 5,879.04",
"C) 7,675.77",
"D) 6,957.08"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6,957.08",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,157.23\nB) 8,235.27\nC) 6,438.54\nD) 7,875.92",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 7,157.23",
"B) 8,235.27",
"C) 6,438.54",
"D) 7,875.92"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7,157.23",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,157.23\nB) 8,235.27\nC) 6,438.54\nD) 7,875.92",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 7,157.23",
"B) 8,235.27",
"C) 6,438.54",
"D) 7,875.92"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7,157.23",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,886.89\nB) 7,527.54\nC) 6,808.85\nD) 6,449.50",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 7,886.89",
"B) 7,527.54",
"C) 6,808.85",
"D) 6,449.50"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "7,527.54",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,886.89\nB) 7,527.54\nC) 6,808.85\nD) 6,449.50",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 7,886.89",
"B) 7,527.54",
"C) 6,808.85",
"D) 6,449.50"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "7,527.54",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 8,557.65\nB) 7,120.27\nC) 7,838.96\nD) 6,760.92",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 8,557.65",
"B) 7,120.27",
"C) 7,838.96",
"D) 6,760.92"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "7,838.96",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 8,557.65\nB) 7,120.27\nC) 7,838.96\nD) 6,760.92",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 8,557.65",
"B) 7,120.27",
"C) 7,838.96",
"D) 6,760.92"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "7,838.96",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,445.31\nB) 8,882.69\nC) 7,085.96\nD) 8,164.00",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 7,445.31",
"B) 8,882.69",
"C) 7,085.96",
"D) 8,164.00"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "8,164.00",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,445.31\nB) 8,882.69\nC) 7,085.96\nD) 8,164.00",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 7,445.31",
"B) 8,882.69",
"C) 7,085.96",
"D) 8,164.00"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "8,164.00",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,467.70\nB) 2,375.61\nC) 2,191.42\nD) 2,559.79",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,467.70",
"B) 2,375.61",
"C) 2,191.42",
"D) 2,559.79"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,467.70",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-5d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,467.70\nB) 2,375.61\nC) 2,191.42\nD) 2,559.79",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,467.70",
"B) 2,375.61",
"C) 2,191.42",
"D) 2,559.79"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,467.70",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-5d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,724.17\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,724.17",
"B) 2,447.89",
"C) 2,632.07",
"D) 2,355.80"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,447.89",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-10d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,724.17\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,724.17",
"B) 2,447.89",
"C) 2,632.07",
"D) 2,355.80"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,447.89",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-10d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,539.98\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,447.89\nD) 2,632.07",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,539.98",
"B) 2,724.17",
"C) 2,447.89",
"D) 2,632.07"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,447.89",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-20d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,539.98\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,447.89\nD) 2,632.07",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,539.98",
"B) 2,724.17",
"C) 2,447.89",
"D) 2,632.07"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,447.89",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-20d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,632.07\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,263.71\nD) 2,447.89",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,632.07",
"B) 2,724.17",
"C) 2,263.71",
"D) 2,447.89"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,447.89",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-40d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,632.07\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,263.71\nD) 2,447.89",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,632.07",
"B) 2,724.17",
"C) 2,263.71",
"D) 2,447.89"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,447.89",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-40d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,447.89\nB) 2,171.61\nC) 2,355.80\nD) 2,632.07",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,447.89",
"B) 2,171.61",
"C) 2,355.80",
"D) 2,632.07"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,447.89",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-60d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,447.89\nB) 2,171.61\nC) 2,355.80\nD) 2,632.07",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,447.89",
"B) 2,171.61",
"C) 2,355.80",
"D) 2,632.07"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,447.89",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-60d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,171.61\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,171.61",
"B) 2,447.89",
"C) 2,632.07",
"D) 2,355.80"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,447.89",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-120d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,171.61\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,171.61",
"B) 2,447.89",
"C) 2,632.07",
"D) 2,355.80"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,447.89",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-120d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 23.25\nB) 29.76\nC) 25.42\nD) 18.91",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 23.25",
"B) 29.76",
"C) 25.42",
"D) 18.91"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "25.42",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 23.25\nB) 29.76\nC) 25.42\nD) 18.91",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 23.25",
"B) 29.76",
"C) 25.42",
"D) 18.91"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "25.42",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 24.32\nB) 17.81\nC) 26.49\nD) 19.98",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 24.32",
"B) 17.81",
"C) 26.49",
"D) 19.98"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "19.98",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 24.32\nB) 17.81\nC) 26.49\nD) 19.98",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 24.32",
"B) 17.81",
"C) 26.49",
"D) 19.98"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "19.98",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 17.80\nB) 15.63\nC) 24.31\nD) 11.29",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 17.80",
"B) 15.63",
"C) 24.31",
"D) 11.29"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "17.80",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 17.80\nB) 15.63\nC) 24.31\nD) 11.29",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 17.80",
"B) 15.63",
"C) 24.31",
"D) 11.29"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "17.80",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 13.51\nC) 17.85\nD) 20.02",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 11.34",
"B) 13.51",
"C) 17.85",
"D) 20.02"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "13.51",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 13.51\nC) 17.85\nD) 20.02",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 11.34",
"B) 13.51",
"C) 17.85",
"D) 20.02"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "13.51",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 19.39\nB) 15.05\nC) 12.88\nD) 6.37",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 19.39",
"B) 15.05",
"C) 12.88",
"D) 6.37"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "12.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 19.39\nB) 15.05\nC) 12.88\nD) 6.37",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 19.39",
"B) 15.05",
"C) 12.88",
"D) 6.37"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "12.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 18.52\nB) 9.84\nC) 7.67\nD) 12.01",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 18.52",
"B) 9.84",
"C) 7.67",
"D) 12.01"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "12.01",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 18.52\nB) 9.84\nC) 7.67\nD) 12.01",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 18.52",
"B) 9.84",
"C) 7.67",
"D) 12.01"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "12.01",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 35.01\nC) 38.10\nD) 36.56",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 33.46",
"B) 35.01",
"C) 38.10",
"D) 36.56"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 35.01\nC) 38.10\nD) 36.56",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 33.46",
"B) 35.01",
"C) 38.10",
"D) 36.56"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 30.36\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 30.36",
"B) 33.46",
"C) 28.82",
"D) 31.91"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 30.36\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 30.36",
"B) 33.46",
"C) 28.82",
"D) 31.91"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 31.91\nB) 28.82\nC) 33.46\nD) 38.10",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 31.91",
"B) 28.82",
"C) 33.46",
"D) 38.10"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 31.91\nB) 28.82\nC) 33.46\nD) 38.10",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 31.91",
"B) 28.82",
"C) 33.46",
"D) 38.10"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 28.82\nB) 35.01\nC) 36.56\nD) 33.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 28.82",
"B) 35.01",
"C) 36.56",
"D) 33.46"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 28.82\nB) 35.01\nC) 36.56\nD) 33.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 28.82",
"B) 35.01",
"C) 36.56",
"D) 33.46"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 28.82\nC) 30.36\nD) 36.56",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 33.46",
"B) 28.82",
"C) 30.36",
"D) 36.56"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 28.82\nC) 30.36\nD) 36.56",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 33.46",
"B) 28.82",
"C) 30.36",
"D) 36.56"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 36.56\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 36.56",
"B) 33.46",
"C) 28.82",
"D) 31.91"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 36.56\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 36.56",
"B) 33.46",
"C) 28.82",
"D) 31.91"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,874.08\nB) 7,494.98\nC) 7,115.88\nD) 8,253.18",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 7,874.08",
"B) 7,494.98",
"C) 7,115.88",
"D) 8,253.18"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "7,115.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,874.08\nB) 7,494.98\nC) 7,115.88\nD) 8,253.18",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 7,874.08",
"B) 7,494.98",
"C) 7,115.88",
"D) 8,253.18"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "7,115.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,635.53\nB) 6,119.13\nC) 8,014.63\nD) 7,256.43",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 7,635.53",
"B) 6,119.13",
"C) 8,014.63",
"D) 7,256.43"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "7,256.43",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,635.53\nB) 6,119.13\nC) 8,014.63\nD) 7,256.43",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 7,635.53",
"B) 6,119.13",
"C) 8,014.63",
"D) 7,256.43"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "7,256.43",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,421.46\nB) 6,284.16\nC) 8,179.66\nD) 6,663.26",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 7,421.46",
"B) 6,284.16",
"C) 8,179.66",
"D) 6,663.26"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7,421.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,421.46\nB) 6,284.16\nC) 8,179.66\nD) 6,663.26",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 7,421.46",
"B) 6,284.16",
"C) 8,179.66",
"D) 6,663.26"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7,421.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 6,830.12\nB) 7,588.32\nC) 8,346.52\nD) 7,209.22",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 6,830.12",
"B) 7,588.32",
"C) 8,346.52",
"D) 7,209.22"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "7,588.32",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 6,830.12\nB) 7,588.32\nC) 8,346.52\nD) 7,209.22",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 6,830.12",
"B) 7,588.32",
"C) 8,346.52",
"D) 7,209.22"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "7,588.32",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,209.22\nB) 6,451.02\nC) 7,588.32\nD) 8,725.62",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 7,209.22",
"B) 6,451.02",
"C) 7,588.32",
"D) 8,725.62"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "7,588.32",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,209.22\nB) 6,451.02\nC) 7,588.32\nD) 8,725.62",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 7,209.22",
"B) 6,451.02",
"C) 7,588.32",
"D) 8,725.62"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "7,588.32",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,553.14\nB) 6,794.94\nC) 8,690.44\nD) 7,932.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 7,553.14",
"B) 6,794.94",
"C) 8,690.44",
"D) 7,932.24"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "7,932.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,553.14\nB) 6,794.94\nC) 8,690.44\nD) 7,932.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 7,553.14",
"B) 6,794.94",
"C) 8,690.44",
"D) 7,932.24"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "7,932.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,695.14\nB) 2,598.19\nC) 2,404.30\nD) 2,501.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,695.14",
"B) 2,598.19",
"C) 2,404.30",
"D) 2,501.24"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,695.14",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,695.14\nB) 2,598.19\nC) 2,404.30\nD) 2,501.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,695.14",
"B) 2,598.19",
"C) 2,404.30",
"D) 2,501.24"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,695.14",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,926.12\nB) 2,732.22\nC) 2,829.17\nD) 2,635.27",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,926.12",
"B) 2,732.22",
"C) 2,829.17",
"D) 2,635.27"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,732.22",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,926.12\nB) 2,732.22\nC) 2,829.17\nD) 2,635.27",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,926.12",
"B) 2,732.22",
"C) 2,829.17",
"D) 2,635.27"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,732.22",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,488.76\nB) 3,070.44\nC) 2,779.60\nD) 2,876.55",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,488.76",
"B) 3,070.44",
"C) 2,779.60",
"D) 2,876.55"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,779.60",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,488.76\nB) 3,070.44\nC) 2,779.60\nD) 2,876.55",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,488.76",
"B) 3,070.44",
"C) 2,779.60",
"D) 2,876.55"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,779.60",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,980.47\nB) 2,883.52\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,786.57",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,980.47",
"B) 2,883.52",
"C) 2,592.67",
"D) 2,786.57"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,786.57",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,980.47\nB) 2,883.52\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,786.57",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,980.47",
"B) 2,883.52",
"C) 2,592.67",
"D) 2,786.57"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,786.57",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,786.57\nB) 2,980.47\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,883.52",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,786.57",
"B) 2,980.47",
"C) 2,592.67",
"D) 2,883.52"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,786.57",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,786.57\nB) 2,980.47\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,883.52",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,786.57",
"B) 2,980.47",
"C) 2,592.67",
"D) 2,883.52"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,786.57",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,943.02\nB) 2,846.07\nC) 2,749.12\nD) 2,652.17",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,943.02",
"B) 2,846.07",
"C) 2,749.12",
"D) 2,652.17"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,846.07",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-120d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,943.02\nB) 2,846.07\nC) 2,749.12\nD) 2,652.17",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,943.02",
"B) 2,846.07",
"C) 2,749.12",
"D) 2,652.17"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,846.07",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-120d-max",
"year": 2018
}
]