pre_test / *.parquet /mcq_2019.json
lfqian's picture
Fix per-year parquet schema (unify 17 cols, string types) for by_year splits
de9f149 verified
[
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 123.83\nB) 121.34\nC) 117.60\nD) 113.86",
"options": [
"A) 123.83",
"B) 121.34",
"C) 117.60",
"D) 113.86"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "117.60",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.79pp\nB) -0.29pp\nC) +0.52pp\nD) +0.25pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.79pp",
"B) -0.29pp",
"C) +0.52pp",
"D) +0.25pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.25pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 256.43\nB) 243.14\nC) 263.08\nD) 249.78",
"options": [
"A) 256.43",
"B) 243.14",
"C) 263.08",
"D) 249.78"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "256.43",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1907\nB) 1.1217\nC) 1.0527\nD) 1.2598",
"options": [
"A) 1.1907",
"B) 1.1217",
"C) 1.0527",
"D) 1.2598"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.1217",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) 1,247,196\nB) 2,020,804\nC) 1,634,000\nD) 1,376,131",
"options": [
"A) 1,247,196",
"B) 2,020,804",
"C) 1,634,000",
"D) 1,376,131"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,634,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.83%\nB) 2.21%\nC) 2.56%\nD) 1.52%",
"options": [
"A) 0.83%",
"B) 2.21%",
"C) 2.56%",
"D) 1.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.52%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 63.20%\nB) 65.10%\nC) 60.04%\nD) 61.94%",
"options": [
"A) 63.20%",
"B) 65.10%",
"C) 60.04%",
"D) 61.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "63.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.3175\nB) 6.9247\nC) 6.5319\nD) 7.5793",
"options": [
"A) 7.3175",
"B) 6.9247",
"C) 6.5319",
"D) 7.5793"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.9247",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 0.60%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 0.25%",
"options": [
"A) 1.97%",
"B) 0.60%",
"C) 1.28%",
"D) 0.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.28%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 3.20%\nC) 2.32%\nD) 1.88%",
"options": [
"A) 1.00%",
"B) 3.20%",
"C) 2.32%",
"D) 1.88%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.88%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.29\nB) 99.22\nC) 108.43\nD) 105.36",
"options": [
"A) 102.29",
"B) 99.22",
"C) 108.43",
"D) 105.36"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "102.29",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.24%\nB) 7.00%\nC) 7.83%\nD) 7.41%",
"options": [
"A) 8.24%",
"B) 7.00%",
"C) 7.83%",
"D) 7.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "7.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.95%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 1.08%",
"options": [
"A) 0.95%",
"B) 1.21%",
"C) 1.34%",
"D) 1.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.34%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 3.50%",
"options": [
"A) 3.83%",
"B) 2.84%",
"C) 4.16%",
"D) 3.50%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.50%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-level-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,886.98\nB) 2,632.98\nC) 3,013.98\nD) 3,267.98",
"options": [
"A) 2,886.98",
"B) 2,632.98",
"C) 3,013.98",
"D) 3,267.98"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,886.98",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.17%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 4.14%\nD) 2.97%",
"options": [
"A) 3.17%",
"B) 3.56%",
"C) 4.14%",
"D) 2.97%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.56%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.70\nB) 99.79\nC) 102.88\nD) 105.96",
"options": [
"A) 96.70",
"B) 99.79",
"C) 102.88",
"D) 105.96"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "102.88",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.45pp\nB) +0.12pp\nC) +0.03pp\nD) +0.20pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.45pp",
"B) +0.12pp",
"C) +0.03pp",
"D) +0.20pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.16%\nC) 4.06%\nD) 3.68%",
"options": [
"A) 3.30%",
"B) 2.16%",
"C) 4.06%",
"D) 3.68%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 24,687.83\nB) 26,089.61\nC) 27,491.39\nD) 30,294.96",
"options": [
"A) 24,687.83",
"B) 26,089.61",
"C) 27,491.39",
"D) 30,294.96"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "26,089.61",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.83%\nB) 57.34%\nC) 61.00%\nD) 59.17%",
"options": [
"A) 62.83%",
"B) 57.34%",
"C) 61.00%",
"D) 59.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "61.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.93%\nB) -0.55%\nC) -5.31%\nD) -1.74%",
"options": [
"A) -2.93%",
"B) -0.55%",
"C) -5.31%",
"D) -1.74%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-1.74%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.84%\nB) 1.45%\nC) 0.66%\nD) 2.63%",
"options": [
"A) 1.84%",
"B) 1.45%",
"C) 0.66%",
"D) 2.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.84%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 117.3186\nB) 108.4400\nC) 111.3995\nD) 99.5614",
"options": [
"A) 117.3186",
"B) 108.4400",
"C) 111.3995",
"D) 99.5614"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "108.4400",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.29%\nB) 1.89%\nC) 2.09%\nD) 1.49%",
"options": [
"A) 2.29%",
"B) 1.89%",
"C) 2.09%",
"D) 1.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,189K\nB) 1,136K\nC) 1,454K\nD) 1,295K",
"options": [
"A) 1,189K",
"B) 1,136K",
"C) 1,454K",
"D) 1,295K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,295K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $226,791M\nB) $212,932M\nC) $217,552M\nD) $231,411M",
"options": [
"A) $226,791M",
"B) $212,932M",
"C) $217,552M",
"D) $231,411M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$226,791M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.47%\nB) 3.82%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.35%",
"options": [
"A) 3.47%",
"B) 3.82%",
"C) 4.17%",
"D) 4.35%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.82%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.06%\nB) 3.32%\nC) 3.59%\nD) 3.85%",
"options": [
"A) 3.06%",
"B) 3.32%",
"C) 3.59%",
"D) 3.85%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.59%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.75%\nB) 1.39%\nC) 1.27%\nD) 1.63%",
"options": [
"A) 1.75%",
"B) 1.39%",
"C) 1.27%",
"D) 1.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.63%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -6.50%\nB) -2.87%\nC) -13.75%\nD) -10.12%",
"options": [
"A) -6.50%",
"B) -2.87%",
"C) -13.75%",
"D) -10.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-6.50%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 100.38\nB) 103.73\nC) 107.09\nD) 98.14",
"options": [
"A) 100.38",
"B) 103.73",
"C) 107.09",
"D) 98.14"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "103.73",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,846B\nB) $16,762B\nC) $16,283B\nD) $17,719B",
"options": [
"A) $14,846B",
"B) $16,762B",
"C) $16,283B",
"D) $17,719B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$16,283B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.01%\nB) -2.82%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 6.05%",
"options": [
"A) 9.01%",
"B) -2.82%",
"C) 0.14%",
"D) 6.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.05%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.09%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 3.31%\nD) 4.47%",
"options": [
"A) 4.09%",
"B) 5.25%",
"C) 3.31%",
"D) 4.47%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.41%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 1.84%\nD) 1.72%",
"options": [
"A) 2.41%",
"B) 2.07%",
"C) 1.84%",
"D) 1.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.07%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 268.77\nB) 254.37\nC) 261.57\nD) 243.57",
"options": [
"A) 268.77",
"B) 254.37",
"C) 261.57",
"D) 243.57"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "261.57",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $15,571B\nB) $13,037B\nC) $15,064B\nD) $14,558B",
"options": [
"A) $15,571B",
"B) $13,037B",
"C) $15,064B",
"D) $14,558B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$14,558B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 78.53%\nB) 76.16%\nC) 74.58%\nD) 80.12%",
"options": [
"A) 78.53%",
"B) 76.16%",
"C) 74.58%",
"D) 80.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "78.53%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.25%\nB) 7.90%\nC) 8.22%\nD) 6.93%",
"options": [
"A) 7.25%",
"B) 7.90%",
"C) 8.22%",
"D) 6.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "7.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.15%\nB) -3.09%\nC) 0.65%\nD) 1.90%",
"options": [
"A) 3.15%",
"B) -3.09%",
"C) 0.65%",
"D) 1.90%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.65%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 198.77\nB) 219.68\nC) 226.65\nD) 205.74",
"options": [
"A) 198.77",
"B) 219.68",
"C) 226.65",
"D) 205.74"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "205.74",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $-48,154M\nB) $-41,991M\nC) $-44,045M\nD) $-54,317M",
"options": [
"A) $-48,154M",
"B) $-41,991M",
"C) $-44,045M",
"D) $-54,317M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$-48,154M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.29pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.49pp\nD) -0.16pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.29pp",
"B) +0.10pp",
"C) +0.49pp",
"D) -0.16pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+0.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 106.16\nB) 96.88\nC) 103.07\nD) 99.98",
"options": [
"A) 106.16",
"B) 96.88",
"C) 103.07",
"D) 99.98"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "103.07",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.59%\nB) 3.09%\nC) -3.92%\nD) 0.75%",
"options": [
"A) -1.59%",
"B) 3.09%",
"C) -3.92%",
"D) 0.75%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.75%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.31pp\nB) -3.31pp\nC) -0.31pp\nD) +0.68pp",
"options": [
"A) -2.31pp",
"B) -3.31pp",
"C) -0.31pp",
"D) +0.68pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-2.31pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $64,006M\nB) $68,651M\nC) $73,296M\nD) $65,555M",
"options": [
"A) $64,006M",
"B) $68,651M",
"C) $73,296M",
"D) $65,555M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$68,651M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,565K\nB) 1,326K\nC) 1,469K\nD) 1,421K",
"options": [
"A) 1,565K",
"B) 1,326K",
"C) 1,469K",
"D) 1,421K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,469K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $3,382M",
"options": [
"A) $2,400,000M",
"B) $4,300,000M",
"C) $6,200,000M",
"D) $3,382M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$3,382M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.90pp\nB) -0.99pp\nC) -9.86pp\nD) -15.77pp",
"options": [
"A) -6.90pp",
"B) -0.99pp",
"C) -9.86pp",
"D) -15.77pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-6.90pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.04%\nC) 1.62%\nD) 2.88%",
"options": [
"A) 3.30%",
"B) 2.04%",
"C) 1.62%",
"D) 2.88%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.04%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.92%\nB) 5.57%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 2.32%",
"options": [
"A) 4.92%",
"B) 5.57%",
"C) 3.62%",
"D) 2.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.62%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.99%\nB) 4.20%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 3.80%",
"options": [
"A) 4.99%",
"B) 4.20%",
"C) 3.01%",
"D) 3.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $240,465M\nB) $247,018M\nC) $260,123M\nD) $220,807M",
"options": [
"A) $240,465M",
"B) $247,018M",
"C) $260,123M",
"D) $220,807M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$240,465M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.43%\nB) -2.55%\nC) -7.21%\nD) 2.10%",
"options": [
"A) 4.43%",
"B) -2.55%",
"C) -7.21%",
"D) 2.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-2.55%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $22.40/hr\nB) $24.53/hr\nC) $23.68/hr\nD) $25.81/hr",
"options": [
"A) $22.40/hr",
"B) $24.53/hr",
"C) $23.68/hr",
"D) $25.81/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$23.68/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) -10.45%\nB) 8.18%\nC) 17.50%\nD) 3.53%",
"options": [
"A) -10.45%",
"B) 8.18%",
"C) 17.50%",
"D) 3.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.53%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 63.00%\nB) 61.11%\nC) 66.15%\nD) 64.89%",
"options": [
"A) 63.00%",
"B) 61.11%",
"C) 66.15%",
"D) 64.89%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "63.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $13,500B\nB) $14,249B\nC) $13,874B\nD) $14,623B",
"options": [
"A) $13,500B",
"B) $14,249B",
"C) $13,874B",
"D) $14,623B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$14,249B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 92.92\nB) 103.88\nC) 98.40\nD) 106.62",
"options": [
"A) 92.92",
"B) 103.88",
"C) 98.40",
"D) 106.62"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "98.40",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 153,881K\nB) 159,261K\nC) 146,709K\nD) 150,295K",
"options": [
"A) 153,881K",
"B) 159,261K",
"C) 146,709K",
"D) 150,295K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "150,295K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 103.87\nB) 106.27\nC) 108.68\nD) 101.47",
"options": [
"A) 103.87",
"B) 106.27",
"C) 108.68",
"D) 101.47"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "103.87",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.80%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 3.52%\nD) 0.66%",
"options": [
"A) 2.80%",
"B) 1.37%",
"C) 3.52%",
"D) 0.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.87%\nB) -4.95%\nC) 0.46%\nD) 16.70%",
"options": [
"A) 5.87%",
"B) -4.95%",
"C) 0.46%",
"D) 16.70%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.46%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $521,891M\nB) $471,455M\nC) $534,500M\nD) $509,282M",
"options": [
"A) $521,891M",
"B) $471,455M",
"C) $534,500M",
"D) $509,282M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$509,282M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,591B\nB) $14,978B\nC) $15,366B\nD) $13,427B",
"options": [
"A) $14,591B",
"B) $14,978B",
"C) $15,366B",
"D) $13,427B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$14,591B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -4.37%\nB) -9.64%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 6.15%",
"options": [
"A) -4.37%",
"B) -9.64%",
"C) 0.89%",
"D) 6.15%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-9.64%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) -7.05%\nB) -3.36%\nC) 4.01%\nD) 15.08%",
"options": [
"A) -7.05%",
"B) -3.36%",
"C) 4.01%",
"D) 15.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.01%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 2.54%\nC) 5.25%\nD) 3.63%",
"options": [
"A) 4.17%",
"B) 2.54%",
"C) 5.25%",
"D) 3.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.63%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $23.29/hr\nB) $24.45/hr\nC) $22.52/hr\nD) $21.36/hr",
"options": [
"A) $23.29/hr",
"B) $24.45/hr",
"C) $22.52/hr",
"D) $21.36/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$23.29/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) -0.03pp\nD) +0.13pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.30pp",
"B) -0.20pp",
"C) -0.03pp",
"D) +0.13pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 6,616.22\nB) 8,977.10\nC) 7,796.66\nD) 7,206.44",
"options": [
"A) 6,616.22",
"B) 8,977.10",
"C) 7,796.66",
"D) 7,206.44"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "7,796.66",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.31%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 1.85%",
"options": [
"A) 1.31%",
"B) 1.58%",
"C) 2.12%",
"D) 1.85%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.85%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.04pp\nB) -3.00pp\nC) +1.94pp\nD) -1.02pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.04pp",
"B) -3.00pp",
"C) +1.94pp",
"D) -1.02pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.04pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 63.63%\nB) 60.60%\nC) 58.78%\nD) 62.42%",
"options": [
"A) 63.63%",
"B) 60.60%",
"C) 58.78%",
"D) 62.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "60.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) $44.69/bbl\nB) $60.25/bbl\nC) $52.47/bbl\nD) $29.13/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $44.69/bbl",
"B) $60.25/bbl",
"C) $52.47/bbl",
"D) $29.13/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$52.47/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $15,544B\nB) $16,041B\nC) $14,550B\nD) $15,047B",
"options": [
"A) $15,544B",
"B) $16,041B",
"C) $14,550B",
"D) $15,047B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$15,047B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.03%\nB) -13.31%\nC) -6.75%\nD) -3.47%",
"options": [
"A) -10.03%",
"B) -13.31%",
"C) -6.75%",
"D) -3.47%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-10.03%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) -67.96%\nB) -15.68%\nC) 36.60%\nD) -33.11%",
"options": [
"A) -67.96%",
"B) -15.68%",
"C) 36.60%",
"D) -33.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-15.68%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.83\nB) 21.73\nC) 15.28\nD) 10.98",
"options": [
"A) 8.83",
"B) 21.73",
"C) 15.28",
"D) 10.98"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "15.28",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.99%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 5.53%\nD) 3.89%",
"options": [
"A) 4.99%",
"B) 4.44%",
"C) 5.53%",
"D) 3.89%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.89%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) -0.38pp\nC) +0.16pp\nD) -0.02pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.20pp",
"B) -0.38pp",
"C) +0.16pp",
"D) -0.02pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.07%\nB) 2.20%\nC) 1.33%\nD) 3.51%",
"options": [
"A) 3.07%",
"B) 2.20%",
"C) 1.33%",
"D) 3.51%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) 1.70%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 1.47%",
"options": [
"A) 1.58%",
"B) 1.70%",
"C) 1.36%",
"D) 1.47%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.36%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 2.32%\nC) 2.86%\nD) 2.59%",
"options": [
"A) 2.19%",
"B) 2.32%",
"C) 2.86%",
"D) 2.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.59%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.39%\nB) 6.40%\nC) -5.64%\nD) 12.42%",
"options": [
"A) 3.39%",
"B) 6.40%",
"C) -5.64%",
"D) 12.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.39%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.91%\nB) 4.34%\nC) 6.06%\nD) 3.77%",
"options": [
"A) 4.91%",
"B) 4.34%",
"C) 6.06%",
"D) 3.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.34%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $15,597B\nB) $16,937B\nC) $16,044B\nD) $16,490B",
"options": [
"A) $15,597B",
"B) $16,937B",
"C) $16,044B",
"D) $16,490B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$16,044B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 1.74%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 1.62%",
"options": [
"A) 1.49%",
"B) 1.74%",
"C) 1.98%",
"D) 1.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.62%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 115.91\nB) 107.09\nC) 112.97\nD) 118.84",
"options": [
"A) 115.91",
"B) 107.09",
"C) 112.97",
"D) 118.84"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "115.91",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $475,681M\nB) $499,292M\nC) $511,098M\nD) $522,903M",
"options": [
"A) $475,681M",
"B) $499,292M",
"C) $511,098M",
"D) $522,903M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$499,292M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -21.88%\nB) -0.17%\nC) -11.03%\nD) 5.25%",
"options": [
"A) -21.88%",
"B) -0.17%",
"C) -11.03%",
"D) 5.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-11.03%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 146,261K\nB) 142,859K\nC) 154,768K\nD) 151,365K",
"options": [
"A) 146,261K",
"B) 142,859K",
"C) 154,768K",
"D) 151,365K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "151,365K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.88%\nB) -5.55%\nC) 20.53%\nD) 10.10%",
"options": [
"A) 4.88%",
"B) -5.55%",
"C) 20.53%",
"D) 10.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.88%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) 202,426\nB) 217,000\nC) 231,574\nD) 246,148",
"options": [
"A) 202,426",
"B) 217,000",
"C) 231,574",
"D) 246,148"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "217,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $-37,818M\nB) $-40,012M\nC) $-44,400M\nD) $-48,788M",
"options": [
"A) $-37,818M",
"B) $-40,012M",
"C) $-44,400M",
"D) $-48,788M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$-44,400M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 275.52\nB) 282.94\nC) 253.26\nD) 264.39",
"options": [
"A) 275.52",
"B) 282.94",
"C) 253.26",
"D) 264.39"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "264.39",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.42%\nB) 6.48%\nC) 3.51%\nD) -5.39%",
"options": [
"A) -2.42%",
"B) 6.48%",
"C) 3.51%",
"D) -5.39%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-2.42%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.47%\nB) 3.14%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 1.13%",
"options": [
"A) 4.47%",
"B) 3.14%",
"C) 5.14%",
"D) 1.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $3,203M\nD) $6,200,000M",
"options": [
"A) $4,300,000M",
"B) $2,400,000M",
"C) $3,203M",
"D) $6,200,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$3,203M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) -53.69%\nB) -4.09%\nC) -37.15%\nD) -20.62%",
"options": [
"A) -53.69%",
"B) -4.09%",
"C) -37.15%",
"D) -20.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-20.62%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 118.30\nB) 110.62\nC) 121.37\nD) 115.23",
"options": [
"A) 118.30",
"B) 110.62",
"C) 121.37",
"D) 115.23"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "118.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 215.35\nB) 198.40\nC) 188.23\nD) 208.57",
"options": [
"A) 215.35",
"B) 198.40",
"C) 188.23",
"D) 208.57"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "198.40",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) $12,084B\nB) $14,808B\nC) $13,446B\nD) $13,900B",
"options": [
"A) $12,084B",
"B) $14,808B",
"C) $13,446B",
"D) $13,900B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$13,446B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.96%\nB) 6.67%\nC) 3.83%\nD) 5.53%",
"options": [
"A) 4.96%",
"B) 6.67%",
"C) 3.83%",
"D) 5.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.53%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 2.71%\nC) 3.42%\nD) 0.57%",
"options": [
"A) 1.99%",
"B) 2.71%",
"C) 3.42%",
"D) 0.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.99%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 105.34\nB) 103.06\nC) 107.63\nD) 99.63",
"options": [
"A) 105.34",
"B) 103.06",
"C) 107.63",
"D) 99.63"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "103.06",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,298K\nB) 1,245K\nC) 1,191K\nD) 1,352K",
"options": [
"A) 1,298K",
"B) 1,245K",
"C) 1,191K",
"D) 1,352K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,191K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 4.02%\nC) 4.46%\nD) 3.16%",
"options": [
"A) 1.87%",
"B) 4.02%",
"C) 4.46%",
"D) 3.16%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.16%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 254.28\nB) 260.03\nC) 265.79\nD) 245.64",
"options": [
"A) 254.28",
"B) 260.03",
"C) 265.79",
"D) 245.64"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "254.28",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) $79.99/bbl\nB) $63.13/bbl\nC) $46.27/bbl\nD) $37.84/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $79.99/bbl",
"B) $63.13/bbl",
"C) $46.27/bbl",
"D) $37.84/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$63.13/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 192.99\nB) 212.51\nC) 200.80\nD) 185.18",
"options": [
"A) 192.99",
"B) 212.51",
"C) 200.80",
"D) 185.18"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "200.80",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20190615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2019-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2019-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 6.41%\nC) 8.08%\nD) 5.58%",
"options": [
"A) 4.74%",
"B) 6.41%",
"C) 8.08%",
"D) 5.58%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.58%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 2.66%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 2.44%",
"options": [
"A) 2.33%",
"B) 2.66%",
"C) 2.11%",
"D) 2.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.33%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 79.95%\nB) 77.62%\nC) 82.28%\nD) 75.29%",
"options": [
"A) 79.95%",
"B) 77.62%",
"C) 82.28%",
"D) 75.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "77.62%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.07pp\nB) +0.73pp\nC) +0.40pp\nD) +0.29pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.07pp",
"B) +0.73pp",
"C) +0.40pp",
"D) +0.29pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 218.96\nB) 204.72\nC) 197.60\nD) 211.84",
"options": [
"A) 218.96",
"B) 204.72",
"C) 197.60",
"D) 211.84"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "211.84",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.41%\nB) 1.70%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 2.77%",
"options": [
"A) 2.41%",
"B) 1.70%",
"C) 2.05%",
"D) 2.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.41%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $67,918M\nB) $66,378M\nC) $70,997M\nD) $61,759M",
"options": [
"A) $67,918M",
"B) $66,378M",
"C) $70,997M",
"D) $61,759M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$66,378M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.86pp\nB) +0.51pp\nC) +0.60pp\nD) +0.77pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.86pp",
"B) +0.51pp",
"C) +0.60pp",
"D) +0.77pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+0.60pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 1.25%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.68%",
"options": [
"A) 0.38%",
"B) 1.25%",
"C) 0.81%",
"D) 1.68%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.68%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,311K\nB) 1,169K\nC) 1,264K\nD) 1,358K",
"options": [
"A) 1,311K",
"B) 1,169K",
"C) 1,264K",
"D) 1,358K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,311K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) -1.59%\nC) -13.11%\nD) -5.43%",
"options": [
"A) 2.25%",
"B) -1.59%",
"C) -13.11%",
"D) -5.43%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-1.59%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20190301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-29",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.72pp\nB) +5.58pp\nC) -3.00pp\nD) -11.58pp",
"options": [
"A) -8.72pp",
"B) +5.58pp",
"C) -3.00pp",
"D) -11.58pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-3.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.92%\nB) 23.42%\nC) 15.67%\nD) 11.80%",
"options": [
"A) 7.92%",
"B) 23.42%",
"C) 15.67%",
"D) 11.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "11.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.54%\nB) 0.87%\nC) -14.80%\nD) -11.67%",
"options": [
"A) -8.54%",
"B) 0.87%",
"C) -14.80%",
"D) -11.67%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-8.54%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 95.17\nB) 93.20\nC) 89.25\nD) 97.15",
"options": [
"A) 95.17",
"B) 93.20",
"C) 89.25",
"D) 97.15"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "93.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20190901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2019-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.06%\nB) 7.31%\nC) 5.63%\nD) 4.50%",
"options": [
"A) 5.06%",
"B) 7.31%",
"C) 5.63%",
"D) 4.50%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.63%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 1.91%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 1.49%",
"B) 2.33%",
"C) 1.28%",
"D) 1.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.91%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 1.91%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 1.49%",
"B) 2.33%",
"C) 1.28%",
"D) 1.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.91%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.80%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 2.01%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 1.80%",
"B) 2.22%",
"C) 1.38%",
"D) 2.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.80%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.80%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 2.01%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 1.80%",
"B) 2.22%",
"C) 1.38%",
"D) 2.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.80%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 1.03%\nD) 1.24%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 1.45%",
"B) 1.66%",
"C) 1.03%",
"D) 1.24%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.66%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 1.03%\nD) 1.24%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 1.45%",
"B) 1.66%",
"C) 1.03%",
"D) 1.24%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.66%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.52%\nD) 1.73%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 0.89%",
"B) 1.10%",
"C) 1.52%",
"D) 1.73%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.52%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.52%\nD) 1.73%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 0.89%",
"B) 1.10%",
"C) 1.52%",
"D) 1.73%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.52%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.15%\nB) 1.31%\nC) 1.10%\nD) 1.52%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 2.15%",
"B) 1.31%",
"C) 1.10%",
"D) 1.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.52%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.15%\nB) 1.31%\nC) 1.10%\nD) 1.52%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 2.15%",
"B) 1.31%",
"C) 1.10%",
"D) 1.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.52%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.33%\nB) 0.75%\nC) 0.96%\nD) 0.54%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 0.33%",
"B) 0.75%",
"C) 0.96%",
"D) 0.54%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.33%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.33%\nB) 0.75%\nC) 0.96%\nD) 0.54%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 0.33%",
"B) 0.75%",
"C) 0.96%",
"D) 0.54%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.33%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.19%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 1.35%",
"B) 1.77%",
"C) 2.40%",
"D) 2.19%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-5d-max",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.19%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 1.35%",
"B) 1.77%",
"C) 2.40%",
"D) 2.19%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-5d-max",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 1.56%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 2.40%",
"B) 1.98%",
"C) 1.77%",
"D) 1.56%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-10d-max",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 1.56%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 2.40%",
"B) 1.98%",
"C) 1.77%",
"D) 1.56%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-10d-max",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 1.14%\nD) 1.77%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 2.40%",
"B) 1.56%",
"C) 1.14%",
"D) 1.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-20d-max",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 1.14%\nD) 1.77%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 2.40%",
"B) 1.56%",
"C) 1.14%",
"D) 1.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-20d-max",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 1.56%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 1.77%",
"B) 2.40%",
"C) 1.98%",
"D) 1.56%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-40d-max",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 1.56%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 1.77%",
"B) 2.40%",
"C) 1.98%",
"D) 1.56%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-40d-max",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 1.14%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 2.40%",
"B) 1.77%",
"C) 1.56%",
"D) 1.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-60d-max",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 1.14%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 2.40%",
"B) 1.77%",
"C) 1.56%",
"D) 1.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-60d-max",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.14%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 2.19%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 1.14%",
"B) 1.98%",
"C) 1.77%",
"D) 2.19%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-120d-max",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.14%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 2.19%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 1.14%",
"B) 1.98%",
"C) 1.77%",
"D) 2.19%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.77%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-120d-max",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 2.05%\nB) 1.18%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.83%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-01",
"options": [
"A) 2.05%",
"B) 1.18%",
"C) 1.61%",
"D) 1.83%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.83%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-max",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 2.05%\nB) 1.18%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.83%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-01",
"options": [
"A) 2.05%",
"B) 1.18%",
"C) 1.61%",
"D) 1.83%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.83%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-max",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.83%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.18%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-01",
"options": [
"A) 1.83%",
"B) 1.40%",
"C) 1.61%",
"D) 1.18%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.83%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-max",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.83%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.18%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-01",
"options": [
"A) 1.83%",
"B) 1.40%",
"C) 1.61%",
"D) 1.18%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.83%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-max",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.40%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 2.48%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-01",
"options": [
"A) 1.40%",
"B) 1.83%",
"C) 1.61%",
"D) 2.48%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.83%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-max",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.40%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 2.48%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-01",
"options": [
"A) 1.40%",
"B) 1.83%",
"C) 1.61%",
"D) 2.48%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.83%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-max",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 9.45\nB) 18.45\nC) 13.95\nD) 16.20",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 9.45",
"B) 18.45",
"C) 13.95",
"D) 16.20"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "13.95",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 9.45\nB) 18.45\nC) 13.95\nD) 16.20",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 9.45",
"B) 18.45",
"C) 13.95",
"D) 16.20"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "13.95",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 20.69\nB) 11.70\nC) 18.45\nD) 13.95",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 20.69",
"B) 11.70",
"C) 18.45",
"D) 13.95"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "13.95",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 20.69\nB) 11.70\nC) 18.45\nD) 13.95",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 20.69",
"B) 11.70",
"C) 18.45",
"D) 13.95"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "13.95",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 13.54\nB) 20.28\nC) 9.04\nD) 15.79",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 13.54",
"B) 20.28",
"C) 9.04",
"D) 15.79"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "13.54",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 13.54\nB) 20.28\nC) 9.04\nD) 15.79",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 13.54",
"B) 20.28",
"C) 9.04",
"D) 15.79"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "13.54",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 5.33\nB) 12.07\nC) 16.57\nD) 7.57",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 5.33",
"B) 12.07",
"C) 16.57",
"D) 7.57"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "12.07",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 5.33\nB) 12.07\nC) 16.57\nD) 7.57",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 5.33",
"B) 12.07",
"C) 16.57",
"D) 7.57"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "12.07",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 16.04\nB) 9.29\nC) 11.54\nD) 7.04",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 16.04",
"B) 9.29",
"C) 11.54",
"D) 7.04"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "11.54",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 16.04\nB) 9.29\nC) 11.54\nD) 7.04",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 16.04",
"B) 9.29",
"C) 11.54",
"D) 7.04"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "11.54",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 7.04\nB) 13.79\nC) 18.28\nD) 11.54",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 7.04",
"B) 13.79",
"C) 18.28",
"D) 11.54"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "11.54",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-min",
"year": 2019
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 7.04\nB) 13.79\nC) 18.28\nD) 11.54",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2019-09-16",
"options": [
"A) 7.04",
"B) 13.79",
"C) 18.28",
"D) 11.54"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "11.54",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Repo-market spike",
"event_date": "2019-09-17",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-min",
"year": 2019
}
]