pre_test / *.parquet /mcq_2020.json
lfqian's picture
Fix per-year parquet schema (unify 17 cols, string types) for by_year splits
de9f149 verified
[
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.40pp\nB) -2.38pp\nC) -3.39pp\nD) -6.42pp",
"options": [
"A) -4.40pp",
"B) -2.38pp",
"C) -3.39pp",
"D) -6.42pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-4.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 101.75\nB) 105.41\nC) 111.51\nD) 107.85",
"options": [
"A) 101.75",
"B) 105.41",
"C) 111.51",
"D) 107.85"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "105.41",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -8.81%\nB) -1.82%\nC) -5.32%\nD) -2.99%",
"options": [
"A) -8.81%",
"B) -1.82%",
"C) -5.32%",
"D) -2.99%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-5.32%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.91pp\nB) -6.19pp\nC) -1.04pp\nD) -4.48pp",
"options": [
"A) -7.91pp",
"B) -6.19pp",
"C) -1.04pp",
"D) -4.48pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-4.48pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 118.00\nB) 111.25\nC) 114.62\nD) 123.06",
"options": [
"A) 118.00",
"B) 111.25",
"C) 114.62",
"D) 123.06"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "118.00",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) $32.73/bbl\nB) $39.44/bbl\nC) $19.31/bbl\nD) $52.86/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $32.73/bbl",
"B) $39.44/bbl",
"C) $19.31/bbl",
"D) $52.86/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$39.44/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 100.33\nB) 94.49\nC) 97.41\nD) 103.25",
"options": [
"A) 100.33",
"B) 94.49",
"C) 97.41",
"D) 103.25"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "97.41",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 248.11\nB) 255.68\nC) 278.42\nD) 267.05",
"options": [
"A) 248.11",
"B) 255.68",
"C) 278.42",
"D) 267.05"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "267.05",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 25,763.16\nB) 24,217.74\nC) 22,672.33\nD) 21,126.91",
"options": [
"A) 25,763.16",
"B) 24,217.74",
"C) 22,672.33",
"D) 21,126.91"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "25,763.16",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.05%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 2.47%\nD) -0.37%",
"options": [
"A) 1.05%",
"B) 0.34%",
"C) 2.47%",
"D) -0.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.34%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.31%\nB) 12.68%\nC) 1.63%\nD) -2.06%",
"options": [
"A) 5.31%",
"B) 12.68%",
"C) 1.63%",
"D) -2.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.63%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $15,623B\nB) $18,704B\nC) $18,088B\nD) $17,472B",
"options": [
"A) $15,623B",
"B) $18,704B",
"C) $18,088B",
"D) $17,472B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$17,472B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.19%\nB) 1.30%\nC) 0.93%\nD) 0.56%",
"options": [
"A) 0.19%",
"B) 1.30%",
"C) 0.93%",
"D) 0.56%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.19%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.20%\nB) 11.37%\nC) 3.70%\nD) -0.13%",
"options": [
"A) 15.20%",
"B) 11.37%",
"C) 3.70%",
"D) -0.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "11.37%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 12.82%\nB) 11.98%\nC) 12.40%\nD) 13.67%",
"options": [
"A) 12.82%",
"B) 11.98%",
"C) 12.40%",
"D) 13.67%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "12.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0020\nB) 1.0520\nC) 1.2020\nD) 1.1270",
"options": [
"A) 1.0020",
"B) 1.0520",
"C) 1.2020",
"D) 1.1270"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.1270",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 107.3300\nB) 99.7383\nC) 112.3911\nD) 114.9217",
"options": [
"A) 107.3300",
"B) 99.7383",
"C) 112.3911",
"D) 114.9217"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "107.3300",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.25%\nB) -3.06%\nC) -3.86%\nD) -2.26%",
"options": [
"A) -4.25%",
"B) -3.06%",
"C) -3.86%",
"D) -2.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-3.06%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 1.48%\nD) 1.73%",
"options": [
"A) 1.61%",
"B) 1.86%",
"C) 1.48%",
"D) 1.73%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.48%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $223,410M\nB) $209,267M\nC) $216,338M\nD) $230,481M",
"options": [
"A) $223,410M",
"B) $209,267M",
"C) $216,338M",
"D) $230,481M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$230,481M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -9.30pp\nB) -17.38pp\nC) -6.61pp\nD) -3.91pp",
"options": [
"A) -9.30pp",
"B) -17.38pp",
"C) -6.61pp",
"D) -3.91pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-9.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) $19.72/bbl\nB) $37.07/bbl\nC) $42.85/bbl\nD) $54.42/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $19.72/bbl",
"B) $37.07/bbl",
"C) $42.85/bbl",
"D) $54.42/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$37.07/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 3.14%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 5.06%",
"options": [
"A) 4.10%",
"B) 3.14%",
"C) 4.58%",
"D) 5.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.58%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $14,217B\nB) $13,409B\nC) $12,601B\nD) $13,813B",
"options": [
"A) $14,217B",
"B) $13,409B",
"C) $12,601B",
"D) $13,813B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$13,813B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 15.07%\nC) -2.62%\nD) 19.49%",
"options": [
"A) 6.22%",
"B) 15.07%",
"C) -2.62%",
"D) 19.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.22%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 68.71%\nB) 73.15%\nC) 76.10%\nD) 74.62%",
"options": [
"A) 68.71%",
"B) 73.15%",
"C) 76.10%",
"D) 74.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "73.15%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,530K\nB) 1,689K\nC) 1,636K\nD) 1,742K",
"options": [
"A) 1,530K",
"B) 1,689K",
"C) 1,636K",
"D) 1,742K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,636K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 247.91\nB) 240.86\nC) 219.71\nD) 226.76",
"options": [
"A) 247.91",
"B) 240.86",
"C) 219.71",
"D) 226.76"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "226.76",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) $14,865B\nB) $14,393B\nC) $13,922B\nD) $13,450B",
"options": [
"A) $14,865B",
"B) $14,393B",
"C) $13,922B",
"D) $13,450B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$14,865B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.85%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 4.13%\nD) 4.41%",
"options": [
"A) 3.85%",
"B) 3.56%",
"C) 4.13%",
"D) 4.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.56%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 12.17%\nB) 9.42%\nC) 3.91%\nD) -1.59%",
"options": [
"A) 12.17%",
"B) 9.42%",
"C) 3.91%",
"D) -1.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.91%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 36.28%\nB) 76.53%\nC) 44.33%\nD) 52.38%",
"options": [
"A) 36.28%",
"B) 76.53%",
"C) 44.33%",
"D) 52.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "52.38%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.74pp\nB) -3.71pp\nC) -6.82pp\nD) -7.86pp",
"options": [
"A) -4.74pp",
"B) -3.71pp",
"C) -6.82pp",
"D) -7.86pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-4.74pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 272.37\nB) 258.08\nC) 265.22\nD) 247.36",
"options": [
"A) 272.37",
"B) 258.08",
"C) 265.22",
"D) 247.36"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "258.08",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.62\nB) 90.49\nC) 95.97\nD) 103.27",
"options": [
"A) 99.62",
"B) 90.49",
"C) 95.97",
"D) 103.27"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "95.97",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $61,914M\nB) $65,214M\nC) $60,265M\nD) $63,564M",
"options": [
"A) $61,914M",
"B) $65,214M",
"C) $60,265M",
"D) $63,564M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$63,564M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 268.93\nB) 253.99\nC) 261.46\nD) 280.14",
"options": [
"A) 268.93",
"B) 253.99",
"C) 261.46",
"D) 280.14"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "268.93",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.95pp\nB) -0.80pp\nC) -1.03pp\nD) -0.88pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.95pp",
"B) -0.80pp",
"C) -1.03pp",
"D) -0.88pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.80pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 94.44\nB) 83.76\nC) 89.10\nD) 98.01",
"options": [
"A) 94.44",
"B) 83.76",
"C) 89.10",
"D) 98.01"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "89.10",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,913B\nB) $14,291B\nC) $13,536B\nD) $14,668B",
"options": [
"A) $13,913B",
"B) $14,291B",
"C) $13,536B",
"D) $14,668B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$14,668B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 73.79%\nB) 70.10%\nC) 76.00%\nD) 71.58%",
"options": [
"A) 73.79%",
"B) 70.10%",
"C) 76.00%",
"D) 71.58%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "73.79%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.33\nB) 80.40\nC) 69.80\nD) 91.00",
"options": [
"A) 73.33",
"B) 80.40",
"C) 69.80",
"D) 91.00"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "80.40",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.48%\nB) 12.20%\nC) 10.34%\nD) 13.13%",
"options": [
"A) 8.48%",
"B) 12.20%",
"C) 10.34%",
"D) 13.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "10.34%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.7142\nB) 7.4632\nC) 6.4646\nD) 7.0887",
"options": [
"A) 6.7142",
"B) 7.4632",
"C) 6.4646",
"D) 7.0887"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "7.0887",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.30pp\nB) +3.09pp\nC) +7.92pp\nD) +0.68pp",
"options": [
"A) +4.30pp",
"B) +3.09pp",
"C) +7.92pp",
"D) +0.68pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+4.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.75pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.63pp\nD) -0.52pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.75pp",
"B) -0.40pp",
"C) -0.63pp",
"D) -0.52pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 252.88\nB) 267.11\nC) 260.00\nD) 245.76",
"options": [
"A) 252.88",
"B) 267.11",
"C) 260.00",
"D) 245.76"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "260.00",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $17,871B\nB) $14,870B\nC) $15,370B\nD) $16,370B",
"options": [
"A) $17,871B",
"B) $14,870B",
"C) $15,370B",
"D) $16,370B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$16,370B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 3.79%\nC) 5.01%\nD) 3.49%",
"options": [
"A) 4.40%",
"B) 3.79%",
"C) 5.01%",
"D) 3.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 1.29%",
"options": [
"A) 0.89%",
"B) 0.09%",
"C) 0.49%",
"D) 1.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -6.14%\nB) -8.44%\nC) -3.83%\nD) 3.08%",
"options": [
"A) -6.14%",
"B) -8.44%",
"C) -3.83%",
"D) 3.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-3.83%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.35%\nB) 31.42%\nC) 18.71%\nD) 12.36%",
"options": [
"A) -0.35%",
"B) 31.42%",
"C) 18.71%",
"D) 12.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "12.36%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -12.80pp\nB) -4.73pp\nC) -16.83pp\nD) -20.87pp",
"options": [
"A) -12.80pp",
"B) -4.73pp",
"C) -16.83pp",
"D) -20.87pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-12.80pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -3.35%\nB) -9.27%\nC) -15.19%\nD) -12.23%",
"options": [
"A) -3.35%",
"B) -9.27%",
"C) -15.19%",
"D) -12.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-9.27%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 1.44%\nC) 0.18%\nD) 0.60%",
"options": [
"A) 1.02%",
"B) 1.44%",
"C) 0.18%",
"D) 0.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.18%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 23.28%\nB) 6.38%\nC) 9.20%\nD) 14.83%",
"options": [
"A) 23.28%",
"B) 6.38%",
"C) 9.20%",
"D) 14.83%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "14.83%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.04%\nB) 0.36%\nC) 0.92%\nD) 2.60%",
"options": [
"A) 2.04%",
"B) 0.36%",
"C) 0.92%",
"D) 2.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.04%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 62.79%\nB) 59.80%\nC) 58.01%\nD) 61.59%",
"options": [
"A) 62.79%",
"B) 59.80%",
"C) 58.01%",
"D) 61.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "59.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 0.01%\nC) 0.33%\nD) 0.96%",
"options": [
"A) 0.65%",
"B) 0.01%",
"C) 0.33%",
"D) 0.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.33%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 194.10\nB) 201.12\nC) 236.21\nD) 215.16",
"options": [
"A) 194.10",
"B) 201.12",
"C) 236.21",
"D) 215.16"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "215.16",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 195.50\nB) 185.50\nC) 178.83\nD) 202.17",
"options": [
"A) 195.50",
"B) 185.50",
"C) 178.83",
"D) 202.17"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "195.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $57,781M\nB) $62,287M\nC) $65,291M\nD) $63,789M",
"options": [
"A) $57,781M",
"B) $62,287M",
"C) $65,291M",
"D) $63,789M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$62,287M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.11%\nB) 9.93%\nC) 6.29%\nD) 2.65%",
"options": [
"A) 8.11%",
"B) 9.93%",
"C) 6.29%",
"D) 2.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.29%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $24.28/hr\nB) $25.90/hr\nC) $23.20/hr\nD) $24.82/hr",
"options": [
"A) $24.28/hr",
"B) $25.90/hr",
"C) $23.20/hr",
"D) $24.82/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$24.82/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) -27.50%\nB) -60.80%\nC) -10.85%\nD) 22.45%",
"options": [
"A) -27.50%",
"B) -60.80%",
"C) -10.85%",
"D) 22.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-27.50%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 12.98%\nB) 24.75%\nC) 36.51%\nD) 18.86%",
"options": [
"A) 12.98%",
"B) 24.75%",
"C) 36.51%",
"D) 18.86%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "24.75%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 202.93\nB) 209.48\nC) 193.10\nD) 183.27",
"options": [
"A) 202.93",
"B) 209.48",
"C) 193.10",
"D) 183.27"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "193.10",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.67%\nB) 1.75%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 1.39%",
"options": [
"A) 0.67%",
"B) 1.75%",
"C) 2.11%",
"D) 1.39%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.39%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $204,710M\nB) $218,650M\nC) $209,357M\nD) $214,003M",
"options": [
"A) $204,710M",
"B) $218,650M",
"C) $209,357M",
"D) $214,003M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$204,710M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.07%\nB) 0.53%\nC) -4.27%\nD) 3.73%",
"options": [
"A) -1.07%",
"B) 0.53%",
"C) -4.27%",
"D) 3.73%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.53%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 8.38%\nB) 10.72%\nC) 10.14%\nD) 8.97%",
"options": [
"A) 8.38%",
"B) 10.72%",
"C) 10.14%",
"D) 8.97%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "10.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -6.85%\nB) -8.15%\nC) -7.50%\nD) -6.20%",
"options": [
"A) -6.85%",
"B) -8.15%",
"C) -7.50%",
"D) -6.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-6.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.17%\nB) 0.50%\nC) 0.17%\nD) 1.83%",
"options": [
"A) 1.17%",
"B) 0.50%",
"C) 0.17%",
"D) 1.83%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.17%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.72%\nB) 7.30%\nC) 10.88%\nD) 6.11%",
"options": [
"A) 3.72%",
"B) 7.30%",
"C) 10.88%",
"D) 6.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "7.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.52%\nB) 5.61%\nC) 7.80%\nD) 9.99%",
"options": [
"A) 4.52%",
"B) 5.61%",
"C) 7.80%",
"D) 9.99%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "7.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 4.90%\nC) 0.66%\nD) -1.46%",
"options": [
"A) 2.78%",
"B) 4.90%",
"C) 0.66%",
"D) -1.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-1.46%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 150,895K\nB) 155,845K\nC) 144,295K\nD) 147,595K",
"options": [
"A) 150,895K",
"B) 155,845K",
"C) 144,295K",
"D) 147,595K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "150,895K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 1.45%\nC) 1.91%\nD) 2.14%",
"options": [
"A) 1.68%",
"B) 1.45%",
"C) 1.91%",
"D) 2.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.45%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 6.43%\nC) 4.81%\nD) 3.20%",
"options": [
"A) 5.35%",
"B) 6.43%",
"C) 4.81%",
"D) 3.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.81%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $15,030B\nB) $17,537B\nC) $14,529B\nD) $16,033B",
"options": [
"A) $15,030B",
"B) $17,537B",
"C) $14,529B",
"D) $16,033B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$16,033B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $18,602B\nB) $20,066B\nC) $20,798B\nD) $19,334B",
"options": [
"A) $18,602B",
"B) $20,066B",
"C) $20,798B",
"D) $19,334B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$18,602B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 99.51\nB) 104.27\nC) 106.65\nD) 101.89",
"options": [
"A) 99.51",
"B) 104.27",
"C) 106.65",
"D) 101.89"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "104.27",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 380,038\nB) 2,565,962\nC) 1,473,000\nD) 2,201,641",
"options": [
"A) 380,038",
"B) 2,565,962",
"C) 1,473,000",
"D) 2,201,641"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,473,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 1.78%\nC) 1.10%\nD) 0.42%",
"options": [
"A) 2.46%",
"B) 1.78%",
"C) 1.10%",
"D) 0.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.42%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $-42,374M\nB) $-35,852M\nC) $-40,200M\nD) $-48,896M",
"options": [
"A) $-42,374M",
"B) $-35,852M",
"C) $-40,200M",
"D) $-48,896M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$-42,374M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -14.39%\nB) -4.24%\nC) -0.86%\nD) -7.62%",
"options": [
"A) -14.39%",
"B) -4.24%",
"C) -0.86%",
"D) -7.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-4.24%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $-62,242M\nB) $-51,762M\nC) $-57,002M\nD) $-49,142M",
"options": [
"A) $-62,242M",
"B) $-51,762M",
"C) $-57,002M",
"D) $-49,142M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$-57,002M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 25.99%\nB) 16.55%\nC) 28.35%\nD) 23.63%",
"options": [
"A) 25.99%",
"B) 16.55%",
"C) 28.35%",
"D) 23.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "23.63%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $541,302M\nB) $555,123M\nC) $582,764M\nD) $513,661M",
"options": [
"A) $541,302M",
"B) $555,123M",
"C) $582,764M",
"D) $513,661M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$541,302M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.95%\nB) -6.34%\nC) -1.50%\nD) -11.18%",
"options": [
"A) -7.95%",
"B) -6.34%",
"C) -1.50%",
"D) -11.18%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-6.34%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.20%\nB) -8.47%\nC) 3.94%\nD) 8.07%",
"options": [
"A) -0.20%",
"B) -8.47%",
"C) 3.94%",
"D) 8.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 12,868,729\nB) 16,196,243\nC) 21,187,514\nD) 17,860,000",
"options": [
"A) 12,868,729",
"B) 16,196,243",
"C) 21,187,514",
"D) 17,860,000"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "17,860,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.30%\nB) 23.24%\nC) -5.00%\nD) -10.64%",
"options": [
"A) 6.30%",
"B) 23.24%",
"C) -5.00%",
"D) -10.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 100.95\nB) 104.63\nC) 110.78\nD) 107.09",
"options": [
"A) 100.95",
"B) 104.63",
"C) 110.78",
"D) 107.09"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "104.63",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.17%\nB) 64.47%\nC) 61.40%\nD) 62.63%",
"options": [
"A) 60.17%",
"B) 64.47%",
"C) 61.40%",
"D) 62.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "61.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $21.85/hr\nB) $22.76/hr\nC) $25.48/hr\nD) $24.12/hr",
"options": [
"A) $21.85/hr",
"B) $22.76/hr",
"C) $25.48/hr",
"D) $24.12/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$24.12/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 1.06%\nD) 1.87%",
"options": [
"A) 0.65%",
"B) 1.46%",
"C) 1.06%",
"D) 1.87%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.65%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -18.10%\nB) -14.87%\nC) -24.56%\nD) -21.33%",
"options": [
"A) -18.10%",
"B) -14.87%",
"C) -24.56%",
"D) -21.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-14.87%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 123.77\nB) 115.49\nC) 118.80\nD) 127.08",
"options": [
"A) 123.77",
"B) 115.49",
"C) 118.80",
"D) 127.08"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "118.80",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.29%\nB) 1.65%\nC) 1.76%\nD) 1.53%",
"options": [
"A) 1.29%",
"B) 1.65%",
"C) 1.76%",
"D) 1.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.53%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.52pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) +0.75pp\nD) +0.97pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.52pp",
"B) -0.16pp",
"C) +0.75pp",
"D) +0.97pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.52pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.20pp\nB) -1.80pp\nC) -2.10pp\nD) -1.50pp",
"options": [
"A) -1.20pp",
"B) -1.80pp",
"C) -2.10pp",
"D) -1.50pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-1.80pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.57%\nB) 8.00%\nC) 7.04%\nD) 6.09%",
"options": [
"A) 6.57%",
"B) 8.00%",
"C) 7.04%",
"D) 6.09%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "7.04%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.33%\nB) 58.46%\nC) 53.80%\nD) 56.60%",
"options": [
"A) 60.33%",
"B) 58.46%",
"C) 53.80%",
"D) 56.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "56.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 2.53%\nC) 3.53%\nD) 3.33%",
"options": [
"A) 3.13%",
"B) 2.53%",
"C) 3.53%",
"D) 3.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $3,883M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M",
"options": [
"A) $2,400,000M",
"B) $3,883M",
"C) $6,200,000M",
"D) $4,300,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$3,883M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-level-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,752.39\nB) 2,909.49\nC) 3,066.59\nD) 2,595.29",
"options": [
"A) 2,752.39",
"B) 2,909.49",
"C) 3,066.59",
"D) 2,595.29"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3,066.59",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,099K\nB) 1,433K\nC) 1,322K\nD) 1,266K",
"options": [
"A) 1,099K",
"B) 1,433K",
"C) 1,322K",
"D) 1,266K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,266K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.28%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 0.71%\nD) 1.84%",
"options": [
"A) 1.28%",
"B) 1.56%",
"C) 0.71%",
"D) 1.84%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.28%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 7,639.85\nB) 9,726.02\nC) 9,030.63\nD) 8,335.24",
"options": [
"A) 7,639.85",
"B) 9,726.02",
"C) 9,030.63",
"D) 8,335.24"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "9,726.02",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 46.84\nB) 21.96\nC) 34.40\nD) 26.10",
"options": [
"A) 46.84",
"B) 21.96",
"C) 34.40",
"D) 26.10"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "34.40",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) -10.36%\nC) -12.45%\nD) -6.18%",
"options": [
"A) 0.08%",
"B) -10.36%",
"C) -12.45%",
"D) -6.18%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-6.18%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,880M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $2,400,000M",
"options": [
"A) $4,880M",
"B) $6,200,000M",
"C) $4,300,000M",
"D) $2,400,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$4,880M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.99%\nB) 0.71%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 1.27%",
"options": [
"A) 0.99%",
"B) 0.71%",
"C) 1.56%",
"D) 1.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.71%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,292K\nB) 1,593K\nC) 1,473K\nD) 1,353K",
"options": [
"A) 1,292K",
"B) 1,593K",
"C) 1,473K",
"D) 1,353K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,473K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) -12.28%\nB) -6.76%\nC) 4.26%\nD) -1.25%",
"options": [
"A) -12.28%",
"B) -6.76%",
"C) 4.26%",
"D) -1.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-1.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.60pp\nB) +0.46pp\nC) +0.18pp\nD) +0.88pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.60pp",
"B) +0.46pp",
"C) +0.18pp",
"D) +0.88pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.60pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 130,873K\nB) 141,770K\nC) 146,129K\nD) 135,232K",
"options": [
"A) 130,873K",
"B) 141,770K",
"C) 146,129K",
"D) 135,232K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "141,770K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.01%\nB) 17.88%\nC) 13.30%\nD) 8.72%",
"options": [
"A) 11.01%",
"B) 17.88%",
"C) 13.30%",
"D) 8.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "13.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 112.77\nB) 116.36\nC) 123.55\nD) 119.95",
"options": [
"A) 112.77",
"B) 116.36",
"C) 123.55",
"D) 119.95"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "119.95",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 2.21%\nD) 2.42%",
"options": [
"A) 2.10%",
"B) 2.31%",
"C) 2.21%",
"D) 2.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.40%\nC) 0.66%\nD) 0.01%",
"options": [
"A) 0.27%",
"B) 0.40%",
"C) 0.66%",
"D) 0.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 60.72%\nB) 64.48%\nC) 62.60%\nD) 59.47%",
"options": [
"A) 60.72%",
"B) 64.48%",
"C) 62.60%",
"D) 59.47%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "62.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.07\nB) 101.46\nC) 108.65\nD) 105.06",
"options": [
"A) 99.07",
"B) 101.46",
"C) 108.65",
"D) 105.06"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "105.06",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $468,324M\nB) $494,581M\nC) $428,938M\nD) $442,067M",
"options": [
"A) $468,324M",
"B) $494,581M",
"C) $428,938M",
"D) $442,067M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$468,324M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20200615",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2020-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-06-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) -72.05%\nB) -37.25%\nC) -19.85%\nD) -2.45%",
"options": [
"A) -72.05%",
"B) -37.25%",
"C) -19.85%",
"D) -2.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-37.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20200901",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-08-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.13%\nB) 1.44%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 1.86%",
"options": [
"A) 2.13%",
"B) 1.44%",
"C) 1.72%",
"D) 1.86%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.72%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,447K\nB) 1,245K\nC) 1,397K\nD) 1,346K",
"options": [
"A) 1,447K",
"B) 1,245K",
"C) 1,397K",
"D) 1,346K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,346K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20200301",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2020",
"info_cutoff": "2020-01-30",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.77%\nC) 0.64%\nD) 2.34%",
"options": [
"A) 1.49%",
"B) 2.77%",
"C) 0.64%",
"D) 2.34%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.49%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,020.22\nB) 8,980.77\nC) 9,941.32\nD) 9,621.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 8,020.22",
"B) 8,980.77",
"C) 9,941.32",
"D) 9,621.14"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "8,980.77",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,020.22\nB) 8,980.77\nC) 9,941.32\nD) 9,621.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 8,020.22",
"B) 8,980.77",
"C) 9,941.32",
"D) 9,621.14"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "8,980.77",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,377.72\nB) 9,338.27\nC) 9,018.09\nD) 9,658.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 8,377.72",
"B) 9,338.27",
"C) 9,018.09",
"D) 9,658.46"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "9,018.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,377.72\nB) 9,338.27\nC) 9,018.09\nD) 9,658.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 8,377.72",
"B) 9,338.27",
"C) 9,018.09",
"D) 9,658.46"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "9,018.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,978.64\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,697.91\nD) 9,018.09",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 9,978.64",
"B) 8,377.72",
"C) 8,697.91",
"D) 9,018.09"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "9,018.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,978.64\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,697.91\nD) 9,018.09",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 9,978.64",
"B) 8,377.72",
"C) 8,697.91",
"D) 9,018.09"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "9,018.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,018.09\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,057.54\nD) 9,338.27",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 9,018.09",
"B) 8,377.72",
"C) 8,057.54",
"D) 9,338.27"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "9,018.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,018.09\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,057.54\nD) 9,338.27",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 9,018.09",
"B) 8,377.72",
"C) 8,057.54",
"D) 9,338.27"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "9,018.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,594.46\nB) 9,234.83\nC) 10,195.38\nD) 8,914.65",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 8,594.46",
"B) 9,234.83",
"C) 10,195.38",
"D) 8,914.65"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "9,234.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,594.46\nB) 9,234.83\nC) 10,195.38\nD) 8,914.65",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 8,594.46",
"B) 9,234.83",
"C) 10,195.38",
"D) 8,914.65"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "9,234.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 10,787.89\nB) 10,147.52\nC) 11,108.07\nD) 10,467.70",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 10,787.89",
"B) 10,147.52",
"C) 11,108.07",
"D) 10,467.70"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "11,108.07",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 10,787.89\nB) 10,147.52\nC) 11,108.07\nD) 10,467.70",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 10,787.89",
"B) 10,147.52",
"C) 11,108.07",
"D) 10,467.70"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "11,108.07",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,417.19\nB) 3,224.54\nC) 3,320.86\nD) 3,128.21",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 3,417.19",
"B) 3,224.54",
"C) 3,320.86",
"D) 3,128.21"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3,128.21",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-5d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,417.19\nB) 3,224.54\nC) 3,320.86\nD) 3,128.21",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 3,417.19",
"B) 3,224.54",
"C) 3,320.86",
"D) 3,128.21"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3,128.21",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-5d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,130.12\nB) 3,226.45\nC) 3,419.10\nD) 2,841.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 3,130.12",
"B) 3,226.45",
"C) 3,419.10",
"D) 2,841.14"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3,130.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-10d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,130.12\nB) 3,226.45\nC) 3,419.10\nD) 2,841.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 3,130.12",
"B) 3,226.45",
"C) 3,419.10",
"D) 2,841.14"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3,130.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-10d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,130.12\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 2,937.47",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 3,419.10",
"B) 3,130.12",
"C) 3,033.79",
"D) 2,937.47"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3,130.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-20d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,130.12\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 2,937.47",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 3,419.10",
"B) 3,130.12",
"C) 3,033.79",
"D) 2,937.47"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3,130.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-20d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,130.12\nD) 2,841.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 3,419.10",
"B) 3,322.77",
"C) 3,130.12",
"D) 2,841.14"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3,130.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-40d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,130.12\nD) 2,841.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 3,419.10",
"B) 3,322.77",
"C) 3,130.12",
"D) 2,841.14"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3,130.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-40d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,226.45\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 3,130.12",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 3,226.45",
"B) 3,322.77",
"C) 3,033.79",
"D) 3,130.12"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3,130.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-60d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,226.45\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 3,130.12",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 3,226.45",
"B) 3,322.77",
"C) 3,033.79",
"D) 3,130.12"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3,130.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-60d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,380.35\nB) 3,091.37\nC) 3,573.00\nD) 3,669.33",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 3,380.35",
"B) 3,091.37",
"C) 3,573.00",
"D) 3,669.33"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3,380.35",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-120d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,380.35\nB) 3,091.37\nC) 3,573.00\nD) 3,669.33",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 3,380.35",
"B) 3,091.37",
"C) 3,573.00",
"D) 3,669.33"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3,380.35",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-120d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.11\nC) 45.51\nD) 43.71",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 38.31",
"B) 40.11",
"C) 45.51",
"D) 43.71"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "40.11",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.11\nC) 45.51\nD) 43.71",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 38.31",
"B) 40.11",
"C) 45.51",
"D) 43.71"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "40.11",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 49.06\nB) 56.26\nC) 54.46\nD) 52.66",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 49.06",
"B) 56.26",
"C) 54.46",
"D) 52.66"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "54.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 49.06\nB) 56.26\nC) 54.46\nD) 52.66",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 49.06",
"B) 56.26",
"C) 54.46",
"D) 52.66"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "54.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 86.29\nB) 79.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 82.69",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 86.29",
"B) 79.09",
"C) 80.89",
"D) 82.69"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "82.69",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 86.29\nB) 79.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 82.69",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 86.29",
"B) 79.09",
"C) 80.89",
"D) 82.69"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "82.69",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 82.69\nB) 88.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 86.29",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 82.69",
"B) 88.09",
"C) 80.89",
"D) 86.29"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "82.69",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 82.69\nB) 88.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 86.29",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 82.69",
"B) 88.09",
"C) 80.89",
"D) 86.29"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "82.69",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 80.89\nB) 82.69\nC) 88.09\nD) 77.29",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 80.89",
"B) 82.69",
"C) 88.09",
"D) 77.29"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "82.69",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 80.89\nB) 82.69\nC) 88.09\nD) 77.29",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 80.89",
"B) 82.69",
"C) 88.09",
"D) 77.29"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "82.69",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 79.09\nB) 88.09\nC) 82.69\nD) 80.89",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 79.09",
"B) 88.09",
"C) 82.69",
"D) 80.89"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "82.69",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 79.09\nB) 88.09\nC) 82.69\nD) 80.89",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 79.09",
"B) 88.09",
"C) 82.69",
"D) 80.89"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "82.69",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.90%\nD) 1.10%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 1.63%",
"B) 0.57%",
"C) 1.90%",
"D) 1.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.10%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-5d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.90%\nD) 1.10%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 1.63%",
"B) 0.57%",
"C) 1.90%",
"D) 1.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.10%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-5d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.07%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 0.54%",
"B) 1.34%",
"C) 0.81%",
"D) 1.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.54%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-10d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.07%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 0.54%",
"B) 1.34%",
"C) 0.81%",
"D) 1.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.54%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-10d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.01%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 1.07%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 0.01%",
"B) 0.54%",
"C) 1.34%",
"D) 1.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.54%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-20d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.01%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 1.07%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 0.01%",
"B) 0.54%",
"C) 1.34%",
"D) 1.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.54%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-20d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 1.07%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 1.34%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 0.27%",
"B) 1.07%",
"C) 0.54%",
"D) 1.34%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.54%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-40d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 1.07%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 1.34%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 0.27%",
"B) 1.07%",
"C) 0.54%",
"D) 1.34%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.54%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-40d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 0.54%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 1.34%",
"B) 0.27%",
"C) 1.07%",
"D) 0.54%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.54%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-60d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 0.54%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 1.34%",
"B) 0.27%",
"C) 1.07%",
"D) 0.54%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.54%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-60d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 1.05%\nC) 1.32%\nD) 0.25%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 0.52%",
"B) 1.05%",
"C) 1.32%",
"D) 0.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.52%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-120d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 1.05%\nC) 1.32%\nD) 0.25%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) 0.52%",
"B) 1.05%",
"C) 1.32%",
"D) 0.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.52%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-120d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $60.20/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) $53.25/bbl",
"B) $49.78/bbl",
"C) $42.83/bbl",
"D) $60.20/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $60.20/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) $53.25/bbl",
"B) $49.78/bbl",
"C) $42.83/bbl",
"D) $60.20/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $56.73/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) $56.73/bbl",
"B) $39.36/bbl",
"C) $49.78/bbl",
"D) $46.31/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $56.73/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) $56.73/bbl",
"B) $39.36/bbl",
"C) $49.78/bbl",
"D) $46.31/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $46.31/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $56.73/bbl\nD) $49.78/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) $46.31/bbl",
"B) $39.36/bbl",
"C) $56.73/bbl",
"D) $49.78/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $46.31/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $56.73/bbl\nD) $49.78/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) $46.31/bbl",
"B) $39.36/bbl",
"C) $56.73/bbl",
"D) $49.78/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $49.78/bbl\nB) $46.31/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $39.36/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) $49.78/bbl",
"B) $46.31/bbl",
"C) $42.83/bbl",
"D) $39.36/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $49.78/bbl\nB) $46.31/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $39.36/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) $49.78/bbl",
"B) $46.31/bbl",
"C) $42.83/bbl",
"D) $39.36/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $39.36/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) $53.25/bbl",
"B) $49.78/bbl",
"C) $39.36/bbl",
"D) $46.31/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $39.36/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) $53.25/bbl",
"B) $49.78/bbl",
"C) $39.36/bbl",
"D) $46.31/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $42.83/bbl\nB) $56.73/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) $42.83/bbl",
"B) $56.73/bbl",
"C) $49.78/bbl",
"D) $46.31/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $42.83/bbl\nB) $56.73/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24",
"info_cutoff": "2020-02-21",
"options": [
"A) $42.83/bbl",
"B) $56.73/bbl",
"C) $49.78/bbl",
"D) $46.31/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins",
"event_date": "2020-02-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 0.69%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 0.05%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-01",
"options": [
"A) 0.26%",
"B) 0.69%",
"C) 0.47%",
"D) 0.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.05%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 0.69%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 0.05%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-01",
"options": [
"A) 0.26%",
"B) 0.69%",
"C) 0.47%",
"D) 0.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.05%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 0.26%\nD) 0.69%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-01",
"options": [
"A) 0.05%",
"B) 0.47%",
"C) 0.26%",
"D) 0.69%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.05%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 0.26%\nD) 0.69%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-01",
"options": [
"A) 0.05%",
"B) 0.47%",
"C) 0.26%",
"D) 0.69%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.05%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 0.26%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-01",
"options": [
"A) 0.47%",
"B) 0.05%",
"C) 0.69%",
"D) 0.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.05%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 0.26%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-01",
"options": [
"A) 0.47%",
"B) 0.05%",
"C) 0.69%",
"D) 0.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.05%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 0.73%\nD) 0.44%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 1.02%",
"B) 1.60%",
"C) 0.73%",
"D) 0.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.73%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-5d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 0.73%\nD) 0.44%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 1.02%",
"B) 1.60%",
"C) 0.73%",
"D) 0.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.73%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-5d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 0.72%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 1.59%",
"B) 1.01%",
"C) 1.30%",
"D) 0.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.72%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-10d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 0.72%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 1.59%",
"B) 1.01%",
"C) 1.30%",
"D) 0.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.72%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-10d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.62%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.91%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 0.62%",
"B) 1.20%",
"C) 1.49%",
"D) 0.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.62%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-20d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.62%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.91%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 0.62%",
"B) 1.20%",
"C) 1.49%",
"D) 0.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.62%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-20d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 0.87%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 1.45%",
"B) 0.58%",
"C) 1.16%",
"D) 0.87%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.58%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-40d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 0.87%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 1.45%",
"B) 0.58%",
"C) 1.16%",
"D) 0.87%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.58%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-40d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.29%\nB) 0.87%\nC) 0.58%\nD) 1.45%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 0.29%",
"B) 0.87%",
"C) 0.58%",
"D) 1.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.58%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-60d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.29%\nB) 0.87%\nC) 0.58%\nD) 1.45%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 0.29%",
"B) 0.87%",
"C) 0.58%",
"D) 1.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.58%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-60d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.23%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 0.52%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 0.23%",
"B) 1.10%",
"C) 1.39%",
"D) 0.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.52%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-120d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.23%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 0.52%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 0.23%",
"B) 1.10%",
"C) 1.39%",
"D) 0.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.52%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-120d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 0.00%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 0.54%",
"B) 1.35%",
"C) 0.81%",
"D) 0.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.54%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-5d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 0.00%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 0.54%",
"B) 1.35%",
"C) 0.81%",
"D) 0.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.54%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-5d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.35%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 0.27%",
"B) 0.54%",
"C) 0.81%",
"D) 1.35%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.54%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-10d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.35%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 0.27%",
"B) 0.54%",
"C) 0.81%",
"D) 1.35%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.54%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-10d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 0.81%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 1.08%",
"B) 0.00%",
"C) 0.54%",
"D) 0.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.54%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-20d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 0.81%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 1.08%",
"B) 0.00%",
"C) 0.54%",
"D) 0.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.54%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-20d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.00%\nD) 0.54%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 1.08%",
"B) 0.81%",
"C) 0.00%",
"D) 0.54%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.54%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-40d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.00%\nD) 0.54%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 1.08%",
"B) 0.81%",
"C) 0.00%",
"D) 0.54%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.54%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-40d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.08%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 0.54%",
"B) 0.81%",
"C) 1.35%",
"D) 1.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.54%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-60d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.08%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 0.54%",
"B) 0.81%",
"C) 1.35%",
"D) 1.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.54%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-60d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 0.81%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 0.27%",
"B) 0.54%",
"C) 1.08%",
"D) 0.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.54%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-120d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 0.81%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 0.27%",
"B) 0.54%",
"C) 1.08%",
"D) 0.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.54%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-120d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 75.30\nB) 59.87\nC) 66.04\nD) 69.13",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 75.30",
"B) 59.87",
"C) 66.04",
"D) 69.13"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "66.04",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 75.30\nB) 59.87\nC) 66.04\nD) 69.13",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 75.30",
"B) 59.87",
"C) 66.04",
"D) 69.13"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "66.04",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 70.26\nB) 67.17\nC) 51.74\nD) 61.00",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 70.26",
"B) 67.17",
"C) 51.74",
"D) 61.00"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "61.00",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 70.26\nB) 67.17\nC) 51.74\nD) 61.00",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 70.26",
"B) 67.17",
"C) 51.74",
"D) 61.00"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "61.00",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 41.17\nB) 35.00\nC) 38.08\nD) 44.26",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 41.17",
"B) 35.00",
"C) 38.08",
"D) 44.26"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "41.17",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 41.17\nB) 35.00\nC) 38.08\nD) 44.26",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 41.17",
"B) 35.00",
"C) 38.08",
"D) 44.26"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "41.17",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 30.66\nB) 27.57\nC) 18.31\nD) 21.40",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 30.66",
"B) 27.57",
"C) 18.31",
"D) 21.40"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "27.57",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 30.66\nB) 27.57\nC) 18.31\nD) 21.40",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 30.66",
"B) 27.57",
"C) 18.31",
"D) 21.40"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "27.57",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 33.78\nB) 30.69\nC) 24.52\nD) 15.26",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 33.78",
"B) 30.69",
"C) 24.52",
"D) 15.26"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "24.52",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 33.78\nB) 30.69\nC) 24.52\nD) 15.26",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 33.78",
"B) 30.69",
"C) 24.52",
"D) 15.26"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "24.52",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 12.09\nB) 30.61\nC) 15.18\nD) 21.35",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 12.09",
"B) 30.61",
"C) 15.18",
"D) 21.35"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "21.35",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 12.09\nB) 30.61\nC) 15.18\nD) 21.35",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 12.09",
"B) 30.61",
"C) 15.18",
"D) 21.35"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "21.35",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,879.52\nB) 6,553.79\nC) 7,205.25\nD) 6,228.06",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 6,879.52",
"B) 6,553.79",
"C) 7,205.25",
"D) 6,228.06"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6,879.52",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,879.52\nB) 6,553.79\nC) 7,205.25\nD) 6,228.06",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 6,879.52",
"B) 6,553.79",
"C) 7,205.25",
"D) 6,228.06"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6,879.52",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,837.85\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 7,186.40\nD) 6,534.94",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 7,837.85",
"B) 6,860.67",
"C) 7,186.40",
"D) 6,534.94"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6,860.67",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,837.85\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 7,186.40\nD) 6,534.94",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 7,837.85",
"B) 6,860.67",
"C) 7,186.40",
"D) 6,534.94"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6,860.67",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,209.21\nB) 5,883.49\nC) 6,860.67\nD) 6,534.94",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 6,209.21",
"B) 5,883.49",
"C) 6,860.67",
"D) 6,534.94"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6,860.67",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,209.21\nB) 5,883.49\nC) 6,860.67\nD) 6,534.94",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 6,209.21",
"B) 5,883.49",
"C) 6,860.67",
"D) 6,534.94"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6,860.67",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,209.21\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 6,860.67",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 7,186.40",
"B) 6,209.21",
"C) 6,534.94",
"D) 6,860.67"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6,860.67",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,209.21\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 6,860.67",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 7,186.40",
"B) 6,209.21",
"C) 6,534.94",
"D) 6,860.67"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6,860.67",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,860.67\nB) 7,512.13\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 6,860.67",
"B) 7,512.13",
"C) 6,534.94",
"D) 7,837.85"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6,860.67",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,860.67\nB) 7,512.13\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 6,860.67",
"B) 7,512.13",
"C) 6,534.94",
"D) 7,837.85"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6,860.67",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 7,186.40",
"B) 6,860.67",
"C) 6,534.94",
"D) 7,837.85"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6,860.67",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15",
"info_cutoff": "2020-03-13",
"options": [
"A) 7,186.40",
"B) 6,860.67",
"C) 6,534.94",
"D) 7,837.85"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6,860.67",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero",
"event_date": "2020-03-15",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $-0.76/bbl\nB) $32.74/bbl\nC) $15.99/bbl\nD) $4.82/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $-0.76/bbl",
"B) $32.74/bbl",
"C) $15.99/bbl",
"D) $4.82/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$15.99/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $-0.76/bbl\nB) $32.74/bbl\nC) $15.99/bbl\nD) $4.82/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $-0.76/bbl",
"B) $32.74/bbl",
"C) $15.99/bbl",
"D) $4.82/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$15.99/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.89/bbl\nB) $31.64/bbl\nC) $9.30/bbl\nD) $20.47/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $14.89/bbl",
"B) $31.64/bbl",
"C) $9.30/bbl",
"D) $20.47/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$20.47/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.89/bbl\nB) $31.64/bbl\nC) $9.30/bbl\nD) $20.47/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $14.89/bbl",
"B) $31.64/bbl",
"C) $9.30/bbl",
"D) $20.47/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$20.47/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $31.83/bbl\nB) $37.41/bbl\nC) $43.00/bbl\nD) $20.66/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $31.83/bbl",
"B) $37.41/bbl",
"C) $43.00/bbl",
"D) $20.66/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$31.83/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $31.83/bbl\nB) $37.41/bbl\nC) $43.00/bbl\nD) $20.66/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $31.83/bbl",
"B) $37.41/bbl",
"C) $43.00/bbl",
"D) $20.66/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$31.83/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $50.71/bbl\nB) $39.54/bbl\nC) $45.12/bbl\nD) $22.79/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $50.71/bbl",
"B) $39.54/bbl",
"C) $45.12/bbl",
"D) $22.79/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$39.54/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $50.71/bbl\nB) $39.54/bbl\nC) $45.12/bbl\nD) $22.79/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $50.71/bbl",
"B) $39.54/bbl",
"C) $45.12/bbl",
"D) $22.79/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$39.54/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $30.03/bbl\nB) $46.78/bbl\nC) $41.20/bbl\nD) $35.62/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $30.03/bbl",
"B) $46.78/bbl",
"C) $41.20/bbl",
"D) $35.62/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$41.20/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $30.03/bbl\nB) $46.78/bbl\nC) $41.20/bbl\nD) $35.62/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $30.03/bbl",
"B) $46.78/bbl",
"C) $41.20/bbl",
"D) $35.62/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$41.20/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $48.79/bbl\nB) $32.04/bbl\nC) $59.96/bbl\nD) $43.21/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $48.79/bbl",
"B) $32.04/bbl",
"C) $59.96/bbl",
"D) $43.21/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$43.21/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $48.79/bbl\nB) $32.04/bbl\nC) $59.96/bbl\nD) $43.21/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $48.79/bbl",
"B) $32.04/bbl",
"C) $59.96/bbl",
"D) $43.21/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$43.21/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $9.73/bbl\nC) $3.59/bbl\nD) $28.15/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $15.87/bbl",
"B) $9.73/bbl",
"C) $3.59/bbl",
"D) $28.15/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$15.87/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $9.73/bbl\nC) $3.59/bbl\nD) $28.15/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $15.87/bbl",
"B) $9.73/bbl",
"C) $3.59/bbl",
"D) $28.15/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$15.87/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.26/bbl\nB) $20.40/bbl\nC) $26.54/bbl\nD) $32.68/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $14.26/bbl",
"B) $20.40/bbl",
"C) $26.54/bbl",
"D) $32.68/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$20.40/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.26/bbl\nB) $20.40/bbl\nC) $26.54/bbl\nD) $32.68/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $14.26/bbl",
"B) $20.40/bbl",
"C) $26.54/bbl",
"D) $32.68/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$20.40/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.88/bbl\nB) $39.44/bbl\nC) $33.30/bbl\nD) $21.02/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $14.88/bbl",
"B) $39.44/bbl",
"C) $33.30/bbl",
"D) $21.02/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$33.30/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.88/bbl\nB) $39.44/bbl\nC) $33.30/bbl\nD) $21.02/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $14.88/bbl",
"B) $39.44/bbl",
"C) $33.30/bbl",
"D) $21.02/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$33.30/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $59.60/bbl\nB) $35.04/bbl\nC) $28.90/bbl\nD) $41.18/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $59.60/bbl",
"B) $35.04/bbl",
"C) $28.90/bbl",
"D) $41.18/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$41.18/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $59.60/bbl\nB) $35.04/bbl\nC) $28.90/bbl\nD) $41.18/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $59.60/bbl",
"B) $35.04/bbl",
"C) $28.90/bbl",
"D) $41.18/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$41.18/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $43.96/bbl\nB) $25.54/bbl\nC) $56.24/bbl\nD) $62.38/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $43.96/bbl",
"B) $25.54/bbl",
"C) $56.24/bbl",
"D) $62.38/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$43.96/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $43.96/bbl\nB) $25.54/bbl\nC) $56.24/bbl\nD) $62.38/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $43.96/bbl",
"B) $25.54/bbl",
"C) $56.24/bbl",
"D) $62.38/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$43.96/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $39.87/bbl\nB) $46.01/bbl\nC) $64.43/bbl\nD) $58.29/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $39.87/bbl",
"B) $46.01/bbl",
"C) $64.43/bbl",
"D) $58.29/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$46.01/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max",
"year": 2020
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $39.87/bbl\nB) $46.01/bbl\nC) $64.43/bbl\nD) $58.29/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2020-04-17",
"options": [
"A) $39.87/bbl",
"B) $46.01/bbl",
"C) $64.43/bbl",
"D) $58.29/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$46.01/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative",
"event_date": "2020-04-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max",
"year": 2020
}
]