| [ |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.40pp\nB) -2.38pp\nC) -3.39pp\nD) -6.42pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.40pp", |
| "B) -2.38pp", |
| "C) -3.39pp", |
| "D) -6.42pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.40pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 101.75\nB) 105.41\nC) 111.51\nD) 107.85", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 101.75", |
| "B) 105.41", |
| "C) 111.51", |
| "D) 107.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "105.41", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -8.81%\nB) -1.82%\nC) -5.32%\nD) -2.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -8.81%", |
| "B) -1.82%", |
| "C) -5.32%", |
| "D) -2.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-5.32%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.91pp\nB) -6.19pp\nC) -1.04pp\nD) -4.48pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.91pp", |
| "B) -6.19pp", |
| "C) -1.04pp", |
| "D) -4.48pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.48pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 118.00\nB) 111.25\nC) 114.62\nD) 123.06", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 118.00", |
| "B) 111.25", |
| "C) 114.62", |
| "D) 123.06" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "118.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) $32.73/bbl\nB) $39.44/bbl\nC) $19.31/bbl\nD) $52.86/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $32.73/bbl", |
| "B) $39.44/bbl", |
| "C) $19.31/bbl", |
| "D) $52.86/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$39.44/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 100.33\nB) 94.49\nC) 97.41\nD) 103.25", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 100.33", |
| "B) 94.49", |
| "C) 97.41", |
| "D) 103.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "97.41", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 248.11\nB) 255.68\nC) 278.42\nD) 267.05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 248.11", |
| "B) 255.68", |
| "C) 278.42", |
| "D) 267.05" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "267.05", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 25,763.16\nB) 24,217.74\nC) 22,672.33\nD) 21,126.91", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25,763.16", |
| "B) 24,217.74", |
| "C) 22,672.33", |
| "D) 21,126.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "25,763.16", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.05%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 2.47%\nD) -0.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.05%", |
| "B) 0.34%", |
| "C) 2.47%", |
| "D) -0.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.31%\nB) 12.68%\nC) 1.63%\nD) -2.06%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.31%", |
| "B) 12.68%", |
| "C) 1.63%", |
| "D) -2.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.63%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $15,623B\nB) $18,704B\nC) $18,088B\nD) $17,472B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15,623B", |
| "B) $18,704B", |
| "C) $18,088B", |
| "D) $17,472B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$17,472B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.19%\nB) 1.30%\nC) 0.93%\nD) 0.56%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.19%", |
| "B) 1.30%", |
| "C) 0.93%", |
| "D) 0.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.20%\nB) 11.37%\nC) 3.70%\nD) -0.13%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 15.20%", |
| "B) 11.37%", |
| "C) 3.70%", |
| "D) -0.13%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "11.37%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 12.82%\nB) 11.98%\nC) 12.40%\nD) 13.67%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.82%", |
| "B) 11.98%", |
| "C) 12.40%", |
| "D) 13.67%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "12.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0020\nB) 1.0520\nC) 1.2020\nD) 1.1270", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.0020", |
| "B) 1.0520", |
| "C) 1.2020", |
| "D) 1.1270" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1270", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 107.3300\nB) 99.7383\nC) 112.3911\nD) 114.9217", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 107.3300", |
| "B) 99.7383", |
| "C) 112.3911", |
| "D) 114.9217" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "107.3300", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.25%\nB) -3.06%\nC) -3.86%\nD) -2.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.25%", |
| "B) -3.06%", |
| "C) -3.86%", |
| "D) -2.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.06%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 1.48%\nD) 1.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.61%", |
| "B) 1.86%", |
| "C) 1.48%", |
| "D) 1.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $223,410M\nB) $209,267M\nC) $216,338M\nD) $230,481M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $223,410M", |
| "B) $209,267M", |
| "C) $216,338M", |
| "D) $230,481M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$230,481M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -9.30pp\nB) -17.38pp\nC) -6.61pp\nD) -3.91pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -9.30pp", |
| "B) -17.38pp", |
| "C) -6.61pp", |
| "D) -3.91pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-9.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) $19.72/bbl\nB) $37.07/bbl\nC) $42.85/bbl\nD) $54.42/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $19.72/bbl", |
| "B) $37.07/bbl", |
| "C) $42.85/bbl", |
| "D) $54.42/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$37.07/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 3.14%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 5.06%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.10%", |
| "B) 3.14%", |
| "C) 4.58%", |
| "D) 5.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $14,217B\nB) $13,409B\nC) $12,601B\nD) $13,813B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14,217B", |
| "B) $13,409B", |
| "C) $12,601B", |
| "D) $13,813B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$13,813B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 15.07%\nC) -2.62%\nD) 19.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.22%", |
| "B) 15.07%", |
| "C) -2.62%", |
| "D) 19.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 68.71%\nB) 73.15%\nC) 76.10%\nD) 74.62%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 68.71%", |
| "B) 73.15%", |
| "C) 76.10%", |
| "D) 74.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "73.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,530K\nB) 1,689K\nC) 1,636K\nD) 1,742K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,530K", |
| "B) 1,689K", |
| "C) 1,636K", |
| "D) 1,742K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,636K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 247.91\nB) 240.86\nC) 219.71\nD) 226.76", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 247.91", |
| "B) 240.86", |
| "C) 219.71", |
| "D) 226.76" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "226.76", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) $14,865B\nB) $14,393B\nC) $13,922B\nD) $13,450B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14,865B", |
| "B) $14,393B", |
| "C) $13,922B", |
| "D) $13,450B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$14,865B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.85%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 4.13%\nD) 4.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.85%", |
| "B) 3.56%", |
| "C) 4.13%", |
| "D) 4.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 12.17%\nB) 9.42%\nC) 3.91%\nD) -1.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.17%", |
| "B) 9.42%", |
| "C) 3.91%", |
| "D) -1.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.91%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 36.28%\nB) 76.53%\nC) 44.33%\nD) 52.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 36.28%", |
| "B) 76.53%", |
| "C) 44.33%", |
| "D) 52.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "52.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.74pp\nB) -3.71pp\nC) -6.82pp\nD) -7.86pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.74pp", |
| "B) -3.71pp", |
| "C) -6.82pp", |
| "D) -7.86pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.74pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 272.37\nB) 258.08\nC) 265.22\nD) 247.36", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 272.37", |
| "B) 258.08", |
| "C) 265.22", |
| "D) 247.36" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "258.08", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.62\nB) 90.49\nC) 95.97\nD) 103.27", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 99.62", |
| "B) 90.49", |
| "C) 95.97", |
| "D) 103.27" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "95.97", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $61,914M\nB) $65,214M\nC) $60,265M\nD) $63,564M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $61,914M", |
| "B) $65,214M", |
| "C) $60,265M", |
| "D) $63,564M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$63,564M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 268.93\nB) 253.99\nC) 261.46\nD) 280.14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 268.93", |
| "B) 253.99", |
| "C) 261.46", |
| "D) 280.14" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "268.93", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.95pp\nB) -0.80pp\nC) -1.03pp\nD) -0.88pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.95pp", |
| "B) -0.80pp", |
| "C) -1.03pp", |
| "D) -0.88pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 94.44\nB) 83.76\nC) 89.10\nD) 98.01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 94.44", |
| "B) 83.76", |
| "C) 89.10", |
| "D) 98.01" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "89.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,913B\nB) $14,291B\nC) $13,536B\nD) $14,668B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $13,913B", |
| "B) $14,291B", |
| "C) $13,536B", |
| "D) $14,668B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$14,668B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 73.79%\nB) 70.10%\nC) 76.00%\nD) 71.58%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 73.79%", |
| "B) 70.10%", |
| "C) 76.00%", |
| "D) 71.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "73.79%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.33\nB) 80.40\nC) 69.80\nD) 91.00", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 73.33", |
| "B) 80.40", |
| "C) 69.80", |
| "D) 91.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "80.40", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.48%\nB) 12.20%\nC) 10.34%\nD) 13.13%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.48%", |
| "B) 12.20%", |
| "C) 10.34%", |
| "D) 13.13%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "10.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.7142\nB) 7.4632\nC) 6.4646\nD) 7.0887", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.7142", |
| "B) 7.4632", |
| "C) 6.4646", |
| "D) 7.0887" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "7.0887", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.30pp\nB) +3.09pp\nC) +7.92pp\nD) +0.68pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +4.30pp", |
| "B) +3.09pp", |
| "C) +7.92pp", |
| "D) +0.68pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+4.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.75pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.63pp\nD) -0.52pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.75pp", |
| "B) -0.40pp", |
| "C) -0.63pp", |
| "D) -0.52pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 252.88\nB) 267.11\nC) 260.00\nD) 245.76", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 252.88", |
| "B) 267.11", |
| "C) 260.00", |
| "D) 245.76" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "260.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $17,871B\nB) $14,870B\nC) $15,370B\nD) $16,370B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $17,871B", |
| "B) $14,870B", |
| "C) $15,370B", |
| "D) $16,370B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$16,370B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 3.79%\nC) 5.01%\nD) 3.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.40%", |
| "B) 3.79%", |
| "C) 5.01%", |
| "D) 3.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 1.29%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.89%", |
| "B) 0.09%", |
| "C) 0.49%", |
| "D) 1.29%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -6.14%\nB) -8.44%\nC) -3.83%\nD) 3.08%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.14%", |
| "B) -8.44%", |
| "C) -3.83%", |
| "D) 3.08%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.83%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.35%\nB) 31.42%\nC) 18.71%\nD) 12.36%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.35%", |
| "B) 31.42%", |
| "C) 18.71%", |
| "D) 12.36%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "12.36%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -12.80pp\nB) -4.73pp\nC) -16.83pp\nD) -20.87pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -12.80pp", |
| "B) -4.73pp", |
| "C) -16.83pp", |
| "D) -20.87pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-12.80pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -3.35%\nB) -9.27%\nC) -15.19%\nD) -12.23%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.35%", |
| "B) -9.27%", |
| "C) -15.19%", |
| "D) -12.23%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-9.27%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 1.44%\nC) 0.18%\nD) 0.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.02%", |
| "B) 1.44%", |
| "C) 0.18%", |
| "D) 0.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 23.28%\nB) 6.38%\nC) 9.20%\nD) 14.83%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 23.28%", |
| "B) 6.38%", |
| "C) 9.20%", |
| "D) 14.83%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "14.83%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.04%\nB) 0.36%\nC) 0.92%\nD) 2.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.04%", |
| "B) 0.36%", |
| "C) 0.92%", |
| "D) 2.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 62.79%\nB) 59.80%\nC) 58.01%\nD) 61.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 62.79%", |
| "B) 59.80%", |
| "C) 58.01%", |
| "D) 61.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "59.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 0.01%\nC) 0.33%\nD) 0.96%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.65%", |
| "B) 0.01%", |
| "C) 0.33%", |
| "D) 0.96%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 194.10\nB) 201.12\nC) 236.21\nD) 215.16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 194.10", |
| "B) 201.12", |
| "C) 236.21", |
| "D) 215.16" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "215.16", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 195.50\nB) 185.50\nC) 178.83\nD) 202.17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 195.50", |
| "B) 185.50", |
| "C) 178.83", |
| "D) 202.17" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "195.50", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $57,781M\nB) $62,287M\nC) $65,291M\nD) $63,789M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $57,781M", |
| "B) $62,287M", |
| "C) $65,291M", |
| "D) $63,789M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$62,287M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.11%\nB) 9.93%\nC) 6.29%\nD) 2.65%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.11%", |
| "B) 9.93%", |
| "C) 6.29%", |
| "D) 2.65%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.29%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $24.28/hr\nB) $25.90/hr\nC) $23.20/hr\nD) $24.82/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $24.28/hr", |
| "B) $25.90/hr", |
| "C) $23.20/hr", |
| "D) $24.82/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$24.82/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) -27.50%\nB) -60.80%\nC) -10.85%\nD) 22.45%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -27.50%", |
| "B) -60.80%", |
| "C) -10.85%", |
| "D) 22.45%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-27.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 12.98%\nB) 24.75%\nC) 36.51%\nD) 18.86%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.98%", |
| "B) 24.75%", |
| "C) 36.51%", |
| "D) 18.86%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "24.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 202.93\nB) 209.48\nC) 193.10\nD) 183.27", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 202.93", |
| "B) 209.48", |
| "C) 193.10", |
| "D) 183.27" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "193.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.67%\nB) 1.75%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 1.39%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.67%", |
| "B) 1.75%", |
| "C) 2.11%", |
| "D) 1.39%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $204,710M\nB) $218,650M\nC) $209,357M\nD) $214,003M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $204,710M", |
| "B) $218,650M", |
| "C) $209,357M", |
| "D) $214,003M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$204,710M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.07%\nB) 0.53%\nC) -4.27%\nD) 3.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.07%", |
| "B) 0.53%", |
| "C) -4.27%", |
| "D) 3.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.53%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 8.38%\nB) 10.72%\nC) 10.14%\nD) 8.97%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.38%", |
| "B) 10.72%", |
| "C) 10.14%", |
| "D) 8.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "10.14%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -6.85%\nB) -8.15%\nC) -7.50%\nD) -6.20%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.85%", |
| "B) -8.15%", |
| "C) -7.50%", |
| "D) -6.20%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-6.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.17%\nB) 0.50%\nC) 0.17%\nD) 1.83%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.17%", |
| "B) 0.50%", |
| "C) 0.17%", |
| "D) 1.83%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.17%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.72%\nB) 7.30%\nC) 10.88%\nD) 6.11%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.72%", |
| "B) 7.30%", |
| "C) 10.88%", |
| "D) 6.11%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "7.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.52%\nB) 5.61%\nC) 7.80%\nD) 9.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.52%", |
| "B) 5.61%", |
| "C) 7.80%", |
| "D) 9.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 4.90%\nC) 0.66%\nD) -1.46%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.78%", |
| "B) 4.90%", |
| "C) 0.66%", |
| "D) -1.46%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.46%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 150,895K\nB) 155,845K\nC) 144,295K\nD) 147,595K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 150,895K", |
| "B) 155,845K", |
| "C) 144,295K", |
| "D) 147,595K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "150,895K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 1.45%\nC) 1.91%\nD) 2.14%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.68%", |
| "B) 1.45%", |
| "C) 1.91%", |
| "D) 2.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.45%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 6.43%\nC) 4.81%\nD) 3.20%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.35%", |
| "B) 6.43%", |
| "C) 4.81%", |
| "D) 3.20%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.81%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $15,030B\nB) $17,537B\nC) $14,529B\nD) $16,033B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15,030B", |
| "B) $17,537B", |
| "C) $14,529B", |
| "D) $16,033B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$16,033B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $18,602B\nB) $20,066B\nC) $20,798B\nD) $19,334B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $18,602B", |
| "B) $20,066B", |
| "C) $20,798B", |
| "D) $19,334B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$18,602B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 99.51\nB) 104.27\nC) 106.65\nD) 101.89", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 99.51", |
| "B) 104.27", |
| "C) 106.65", |
| "D) 101.89" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "104.27", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 380,038\nB) 2,565,962\nC) 1,473,000\nD) 2,201,641", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 380,038", |
| "B) 2,565,962", |
| "C) 1,473,000", |
| "D) 2,201,641" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,473,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 1.78%\nC) 1.10%\nD) 0.42%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.46%", |
| "B) 1.78%", |
| "C) 1.10%", |
| "D) 0.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $-42,374M\nB) $-35,852M\nC) $-40,200M\nD) $-48,896M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-42,374M", |
| "B) $-35,852M", |
| "C) $-40,200M", |
| "D) $-48,896M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$-42,374M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -14.39%\nB) -4.24%\nC) -0.86%\nD) -7.62%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -14.39%", |
| "B) -4.24%", |
| "C) -0.86%", |
| "D) -7.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.24%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $-62,242M\nB) $-51,762M\nC) $-57,002M\nD) $-49,142M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-62,242M", |
| "B) $-51,762M", |
| "C) $-57,002M", |
| "D) $-49,142M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$-57,002M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 25.99%\nB) 16.55%\nC) 28.35%\nD) 23.63%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.99%", |
| "B) 16.55%", |
| "C) 28.35%", |
| "D) 23.63%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "23.63%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $541,302M\nB) $555,123M\nC) $582,764M\nD) $513,661M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $541,302M", |
| "B) $555,123M", |
| "C) $582,764M", |
| "D) $513,661M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$541,302M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.95%\nB) -6.34%\nC) -1.50%\nD) -11.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.95%", |
| "B) -6.34%", |
| "C) -1.50%", |
| "D) -11.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-6.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.20%\nB) -8.47%\nC) 3.94%\nD) 8.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.20%", |
| "B) -8.47%", |
| "C) 3.94%", |
| "D) 8.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 12,868,729\nB) 16,196,243\nC) 21,187,514\nD) 17,860,000", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12,868,729", |
| "B) 16,196,243", |
| "C) 21,187,514", |
| "D) 17,860,000" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "17,860,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.30%\nB) 23.24%\nC) -5.00%\nD) -10.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.30%", |
| "B) 23.24%", |
| "C) -5.00%", |
| "D) -10.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 100.95\nB) 104.63\nC) 110.78\nD) 107.09", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 100.95", |
| "B) 104.63", |
| "C) 110.78", |
| "D) 107.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "104.63", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.17%\nB) 64.47%\nC) 61.40%\nD) 62.63%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 60.17%", |
| "B) 64.47%", |
| "C) 61.40%", |
| "D) 62.63%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "61.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $21.85/hr\nB) $22.76/hr\nC) $25.48/hr\nD) $24.12/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $21.85/hr", |
| "B) $22.76/hr", |
| "C) $25.48/hr", |
| "D) $24.12/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$24.12/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 1.06%\nD) 1.87%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.65%", |
| "B) 1.46%", |
| "C) 1.06%", |
| "D) 1.87%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.65%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -18.10%\nB) -14.87%\nC) -24.56%\nD) -21.33%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -18.10%", |
| "B) -14.87%", |
| "C) -24.56%", |
| "D) -21.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-14.87%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 123.77\nB) 115.49\nC) 118.80\nD) 127.08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 123.77", |
| "B) 115.49", |
| "C) 118.80", |
| "D) 127.08" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "118.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.29%\nB) 1.65%\nC) 1.76%\nD) 1.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.29%", |
| "B) 1.65%", |
| "C) 1.76%", |
| "D) 1.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.53%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.52pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) +0.75pp\nD) +0.97pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.52pp", |
| "B) -0.16pp", |
| "C) +0.75pp", |
| "D) +0.97pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.52pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.20pp\nB) -1.80pp\nC) -2.10pp\nD) -1.50pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.20pp", |
| "B) -1.80pp", |
| "C) -2.10pp", |
| "D) -1.50pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.80pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.57%\nB) 8.00%\nC) 7.04%\nD) 6.09%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.57%", |
| "B) 8.00%", |
| "C) 7.04%", |
| "D) 6.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.33%\nB) 58.46%\nC) 53.80%\nD) 56.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 60.33%", |
| "B) 58.46%", |
| "C) 53.80%", |
| "D) 56.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "56.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 2.53%\nC) 3.53%\nD) 3.33%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.13%", |
| "B) 2.53%", |
| "C) 3.53%", |
| "D) 3.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.13%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $3,883M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $2,400,000M", |
| "B) $3,883M", |
| "C) $6,200,000M", |
| "D) $4,300,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$3,883M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,752.39\nB) 2,909.49\nC) 3,066.59\nD) 2,595.29", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,752.39", |
| "B) 2,909.49", |
| "C) 3,066.59", |
| "D) 2,595.29" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3,066.59", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,099K\nB) 1,433K\nC) 1,322K\nD) 1,266K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,099K", |
| "B) 1,433K", |
| "C) 1,322K", |
| "D) 1,266K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,266K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.28%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 0.71%\nD) 1.84%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.28%", |
| "B) 1.56%", |
| "C) 0.71%", |
| "D) 1.84%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 7,639.85\nB) 9,726.02\nC) 9,030.63\nD) 8,335.24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,639.85", |
| "B) 9,726.02", |
| "C) 9,030.63", |
| "D) 8,335.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "9,726.02", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 46.84\nB) 21.96\nC) 34.40\nD) 26.10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 46.84", |
| "B) 21.96", |
| "C) 34.40", |
| "D) 26.10" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "34.40", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) -10.36%\nC) -12.45%\nD) -6.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.08%", |
| "B) -10.36%", |
| "C) -12.45%", |
| "D) -6.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-6.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,880M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $4,880M", |
| "B) $6,200,000M", |
| "C) $4,300,000M", |
| "D) $2,400,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$4,880M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.99%\nB) 0.71%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 1.27%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.99%", |
| "B) 0.71%", |
| "C) 1.56%", |
| "D) 1.27%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.71%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,292K\nB) 1,593K\nC) 1,473K\nD) 1,353K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,292K", |
| "B) 1,593K", |
| "C) 1,473K", |
| "D) 1,353K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,473K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) -12.28%\nB) -6.76%\nC) 4.26%\nD) -1.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -12.28%", |
| "B) -6.76%", |
| "C) 4.26%", |
| "D) -1.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.60pp\nB) +0.46pp\nC) +0.18pp\nD) +0.88pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.60pp", |
| "B) +0.46pp", |
| "C) +0.18pp", |
| "D) +0.88pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.60pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 130,873K\nB) 141,770K\nC) 146,129K\nD) 135,232K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 130,873K", |
| "B) 141,770K", |
| "C) 146,129K", |
| "D) 135,232K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "141,770K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.01%\nB) 17.88%\nC) 13.30%\nD) 8.72%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.01%", |
| "B) 17.88%", |
| "C) 13.30%", |
| "D) 8.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "13.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 112.77\nB) 116.36\nC) 123.55\nD) 119.95", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 112.77", |
| "B) 116.36", |
| "C) 123.55", |
| "D) 119.95" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "119.95", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 2.21%\nD) 2.42%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.10%", |
| "B) 2.31%", |
| "C) 2.21%", |
| "D) 2.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.40%\nC) 0.66%\nD) 0.01%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.27%", |
| "B) 0.40%", |
| "C) 0.66%", |
| "D) 0.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 60.72%\nB) 64.48%\nC) 62.60%\nD) 59.47%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 60.72%", |
| "B) 64.48%", |
| "C) 62.60%", |
| "D) 59.47%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "62.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.07\nB) 101.46\nC) 108.65\nD) 105.06", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 99.07", |
| "B) 101.46", |
| "C) 108.65", |
| "D) 105.06" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "105.06", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $468,324M\nB) $494,581M\nC) $428,938M\nD) $442,067M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $468,324M", |
| "B) $494,581M", |
| "C) $428,938M", |
| "D) $442,067M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$468,324M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20200615", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2020-06-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) -72.05%\nB) -37.25%\nC) -19.85%\nD) -2.45%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -72.05%", |
| "B) -37.25%", |
| "C) -19.85%", |
| "D) -2.45%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-37.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20200901", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.13%\nB) 1.44%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 1.86%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.13%", |
| "B) 1.44%", |
| "C) 1.72%", |
| "D) 1.86%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,447K\nB) 1,245K\nC) 1,397K\nD) 1,346K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,447K", |
| "B) 1,245K", |
| "C) 1,397K", |
| "D) 1,346K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,346K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20200301", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2020", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.77%\nC) 0.64%\nD) 2.34%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.49%", |
| "B) 2.77%", |
| "C) 0.64%", |
| "D) 2.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.49%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,020.22\nB) 8,980.77\nC) 9,941.32\nD) 9,621.14", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8,020.22", |
| "B) 8,980.77", |
| "C) 9,941.32", |
| "D) 9,621.14" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "8,980.77", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,020.22\nB) 8,980.77\nC) 9,941.32\nD) 9,621.14", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8,020.22", |
| "B) 8,980.77", |
| "C) 9,941.32", |
| "D) 9,621.14" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "8,980.77", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,377.72\nB) 9,338.27\nC) 9,018.09\nD) 9,658.46", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8,377.72", |
| "B) 9,338.27", |
| "C) 9,018.09", |
| "D) 9,658.46" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "9,018.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,377.72\nB) 9,338.27\nC) 9,018.09\nD) 9,658.46", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8,377.72", |
| "B) 9,338.27", |
| "C) 9,018.09", |
| "D) 9,658.46" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "9,018.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,978.64\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,697.91\nD) 9,018.09", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9,978.64", |
| "B) 8,377.72", |
| "C) 8,697.91", |
| "D) 9,018.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "9,018.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,978.64\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,697.91\nD) 9,018.09", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9,978.64", |
| "B) 8,377.72", |
| "C) 8,697.91", |
| "D) 9,018.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "9,018.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,018.09\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,057.54\nD) 9,338.27", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9,018.09", |
| "B) 8,377.72", |
| "C) 8,057.54", |
| "D) 9,338.27" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "9,018.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,018.09\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,057.54\nD) 9,338.27", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9,018.09", |
| "B) 8,377.72", |
| "C) 8,057.54", |
| "D) 9,338.27" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "9,018.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,594.46\nB) 9,234.83\nC) 10,195.38\nD) 8,914.65", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8,594.46", |
| "B) 9,234.83", |
| "C) 10,195.38", |
| "D) 8,914.65" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "9,234.83", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,594.46\nB) 9,234.83\nC) 10,195.38\nD) 8,914.65", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8,594.46", |
| "B) 9,234.83", |
| "C) 10,195.38", |
| "D) 8,914.65" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "9,234.83", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 10,787.89\nB) 10,147.52\nC) 11,108.07\nD) 10,467.70", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10,787.89", |
| "B) 10,147.52", |
| "C) 11,108.07", |
| "D) 10,467.70" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "11,108.07", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 10,787.89\nB) 10,147.52\nC) 11,108.07\nD) 10,467.70", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10,787.89", |
| "B) 10,147.52", |
| "C) 11,108.07", |
| "D) 10,467.70" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "11,108.07", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,417.19\nB) 3,224.54\nC) 3,320.86\nD) 3,128.21", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,417.19", |
| "B) 3,224.54", |
| "C) 3,320.86", |
| "D) 3,128.21" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3,128.21", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,417.19\nB) 3,224.54\nC) 3,320.86\nD) 3,128.21", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,417.19", |
| "B) 3,224.54", |
| "C) 3,320.86", |
| "D) 3,128.21" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3,128.21", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,130.12\nB) 3,226.45\nC) 3,419.10\nD) 2,841.14", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,130.12", |
| "B) 3,226.45", |
| "C) 3,419.10", |
| "D) 2,841.14" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3,130.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,130.12\nB) 3,226.45\nC) 3,419.10\nD) 2,841.14", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,130.12", |
| "B) 3,226.45", |
| "C) 3,419.10", |
| "D) 2,841.14" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3,130.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,130.12\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 2,937.47", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,419.10", |
| "B) 3,130.12", |
| "C) 3,033.79", |
| "D) 2,937.47" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3,130.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,130.12\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 2,937.47", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,419.10", |
| "B) 3,130.12", |
| "C) 3,033.79", |
| "D) 2,937.47" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3,130.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,130.12\nD) 2,841.14", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,419.10", |
| "B) 3,322.77", |
| "C) 3,130.12", |
| "D) 2,841.14" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3,130.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,130.12\nD) 2,841.14", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,419.10", |
| "B) 3,322.77", |
| "C) 3,130.12", |
| "D) 2,841.14" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3,130.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,226.45\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 3,130.12", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,226.45", |
| "B) 3,322.77", |
| "C) 3,033.79", |
| "D) 3,130.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3,130.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,226.45\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 3,130.12", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,226.45", |
| "B) 3,322.77", |
| "C) 3,033.79", |
| "D) 3,130.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3,130.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,380.35\nB) 3,091.37\nC) 3,573.00\nD) 3,669.33", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,380.35", |
| "B) 3,091.37", |
| "C) 3,573.00", |
| "D) 3,669.33" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3,380.35", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,380.35\nB) 3,091.37\nC) 3,573.00\nD) 3,669.33", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,380.35", |
| "B) 3,091.37", |
| "C) 3,573.00", |
| "D) 3,669.33" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3,380.35", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.11\nC) 45.51\nD) 43.71", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 38.31", |
| "B) 40.11", |
| "C) 45.51", |
| "D) 43.71" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "40.11", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.11\nC) 45.51\nD) 43.71", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 38.31", |
| "B) 40.11", |
| "C) 45.51", |
| "D) 43.71" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "40.11", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 49.06\nB) 56.26\nC) 54.46\nD) 52.66", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 49.06", |
| "B) 56.26", |
| "C) 54.46", |
| "D) 52.66" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "54.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 49.06\nB) 56.26\nC) 54.46\nD) 52.66", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 49.06", |
| "B) 56.26", |
| "C) 54.46", |
| "D) 52.66" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "54.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 86.29\nB) 79.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 82.69", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 86.29", |
| "B) 79.09", |
| "C) 80.89", |
| "D) 82.69" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 86.29\nB) 79.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 82.69", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 86.29", |
| "B) 79.09", |
| "C) 80.89", |
| "D) 82.69" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 82.69\nB) 88.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 86.29", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 82.69", |
| "B) 88.09", |
| "C) 80.89", |
| "D) 86.29" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 82.69\nB) 88.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 86.29", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 82.69", |
| "B) 88.09", |
| "C) 80.89", |
| "D) 86.29" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 80.89\nB) 82.69\nC) 88.09\nD) 77.29", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 80.89", |
| "B) 82.69", |
| "C) 88.09", |
| "D) 77.29" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 80.89\nB) 82.69\nC) 88.09\nD) 77.29", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 80.89", |
| "B) 82.69", |
| "C) 88.09", |
| "D) 77.29" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 79.09\nB) 88.09\nC) 82.69\nD) 80.89", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 79.09", |
| "B) 88.09", |
| "C) 82.69", |
| "D) 80.89" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 79.09\nB) 88.09\nC) 82.69\nD) 80.89", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 79.09", |
| "B) 88.09", |
| "C) 82.69", |
| "D) 80.89" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "82.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.90%\nD) 1.10%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.63%", |
| "B) 0.57%", |
| "C) 1.90%", |
| "D) 1.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.90%\nD) 1.10%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.63%", |
| "B) 0.57%", |
| "C) 1.90%", |
| "D) 1.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.07%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.54%", |
| "B) 1.34%", |
| "C) 0.81%", |
| "D) 1.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.07%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.54%", |
| "B) 1.34%", |
| "C) 0.81%", |
| "D) 1.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.01%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 1.07%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.01%", |
| "B) 0.54%", |
| "C) 1.34%", |
| "D) 1.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.01%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 1.07%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.01%", |
| "B) 0.54%", |
| "C) 1.34%", |
| "D) 1.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 1.07%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 1.34%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.27%", |
| "B) 1.07%", |
| "C) 0.54%", |
| "D) 1.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 1.07%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 1.34%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.27%", |
| "B) 1.07%", |
| "C) 0.54%", |
| "D) 1.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 0.54%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.34%", |
| "B) 0.27%", |
| "C) 1.07%", |
| "D) 0.54%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 0.54%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.34%", |
| "B) 0.27%", |
| "C) 1.07%", |
| "D) 0.54%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 1.05%\nC) 1.32%\nD) 0.25%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.52%", |
| "B) 1.05%", |
| "C) 1.32%", |
| "D) 0.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 1.05%\nC) 1.32%\nD) 0.25%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.52%", |
| "B) 1.05%", |
| "C) 1.32%", |
| "D) 0.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $60.20/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $53.25/bbl", |
| "B) $49.78/bbl", |
| "C) $42.83/bbl", |
| "D) $60.20/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $60.20/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $53.25/bbl", |
| "B) $49.78/bbl", |
| "C) $42.83/bbl", |
| "D) $60.20/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $56.73/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $56.73/bbl", |
| "B) $39.36/bbl", |
| "C) $49.78/bbl", |
| "D) $46.31/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $56.73/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $56.73/bbl", |
| "B) $39.36/bbl", |
| "C) $49.78/bbl", |
| "D) $46.31/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $46.31/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $56.73/bbl\nD) $49.78/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $46.31/bbl", |
| "B) $39.36/bbl", |
| "C) $56.73/bbl", |
| "D) $49.78/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $46.31/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $56.73/bbl\nD) $49.78/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $46.31/bbl", |
| "B) $39.36/bbl", |
| "C) $56.73/bbl", |
| "D) $49.78/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $49.78/bbl\nB) $46.31/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $39.36/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $49.78/bbl", |
| "B) $46.31/bbl", |
| "C) $42.83/bbl", |
| "D) $39.36/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $49.78/bbl\nB) $46.31/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $39.36/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $49.78/bbl", |
| "B) $46.31/bbl", |
| "C) $42.83/bbl", |
| "D) $39.36/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $39.36/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $53.25/bbl", |
| "B) $49.78/bbl", |
| "C) $39.36/bbl", |
| "D) $46.31/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $39.36/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $53.25/bbl", |
| "B) $49.78/bbl", |
| "C) $39.36/bbl", |
| "D) $46.31/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $42.83/bbl\nB) $56.73/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $42.83/bbl", |
| "B) $56.73/bbl", |
| "C) $49.78/bbl", |
| "D) $46.31/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $42.83/bbl\nB) $56.73/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $42.83/bbl", |
| "B) $56.73/bbl", |
| "C) $49.78/bbl", |
| "D) $46.31/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", |
| "event_date": "2020-02-24", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 0.69%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 0.05%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.26%", |
| "B) 0.69%", |
| "C) 0.47%", |
| "D) 0.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 0.69%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 0.05%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.26%", |
| "B) 0.69%", |
| "C) 0.47%", |
| "D) 0.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 0.26%\nD) 0.69%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.05%", |
| "B) 0.47%", |
| "C) 0.26%", |
| "D) 0.69%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 0.26%\nD) 0.69%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.05%", |
| "B) 0.47%", |
| "C) 0.26%", |
| "D) 0.69%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 0.26%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.47%", |
| "B) 0.05%", |
| "C) 0.69%", |
| "D) 0.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 0.26%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.47%", |
| "B) 0.05%", |
| "C) 0.69%", |
| "D) 0.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 0.73%\nD) 0.44%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.02%", |
| "B) 1.60%", |
| "C) 0.73%", |
| "D) 0.44%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-5d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 0.73%\nD) 0.44%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.02%", |
| "B) 1.60%", |
| "C) 0.73%", |
| "D) 0.44%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-5d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 0.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.59%", |
| "B) 1.01%", |
| "C) 1.30%", |
| "D) 0.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-10d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 0.72%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.59%", |
| "B) 1.01%", |
| "C) 1.30%", |
| "D) 0.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-10d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.62%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.91%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.62%", |
| "B) 1.20%", |
| "C) 1.49%", |
| "D) 0.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.62%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-20d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.62%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.91%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.62%", |
| "B) 1.20%", |
| "C) 1.49%", |
| "D) 0.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.62%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-20d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 0.87%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.45%", |
| "B) 0.58%", |
| "C) 1.16%", |
| "D) 0.87%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-40d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 0.87%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.45%", |
| "B) 0.58%", |
| "C) 1.16%", |
| "D) 0.87%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-40d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.29%\nB) 0.87%\nC) 0.58%\nD) 1.45%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.29%", |
| "B) 0.87%", |
| "C) 0.58%", |
| "D) 1.45%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-60d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.29%\nB) 0.87%\nC) 0.58%\nD) 1.45%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.29%", |
| "B) 0.87%", |
| "C) 0.58%", |
| "D) 1.45%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-60d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.23%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 0.52%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.23%", |
| "B) 1.10%", |
| "C) 1.39%", |
| "D) 0.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-120d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.23%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 0.52%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.23%", |
| "B) 1.10%", |
| "C) 1.39%", |
| "D) 0.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-120d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 0.00%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.54%", |
| "B) 1.35%", |
| "C) 0.81%", |
| "D) 0.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 0.00%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.54%", |
| "B) 1.35%", |
| "C) 0.81%", |
| "D) 0.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.35%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.27%", |
| "B) 0.54%", |
| "C) 0.81%", |
| "D) 1.35%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.35%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.27%", |
| "B) 0.54%", |
| "C) 0.81%", |
| "D) 1.35%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 0.81%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.08%", |
| "B) 0.00%", |
| "C) 0.54%", |
| "D) 0.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 0.81%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.08%", |
| "B) 0.00%", |
| "C) 0.54%", |
| "D) 0.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.00%\nD) 0.54%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.08%", |
| "B) 0.81%", |
| "C) 0.00%", |
| "D) 0.54%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.00%\nD) 0.54%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.08%", |
| "B) 0.81%", |
| "C) 0.00%", |
| "D) 0.54%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.08%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.54%", |
| "B) 0.81%", |
| "C) 1.35%", |
| "D) 1.08%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.08%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.54%", |
| "B) 0.81%", |
| "C) 1.35%", |
| "D) 1.08%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 0.81%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.27%", |
| "B) 0.54%", |
| "C) 1.08%", |
| "D) 0.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 0.81%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.27%", |
| "B) 0.54%", |
| "C) 1.08%", |
| "D) 0.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 75.30\nB) 59.87\nC) 66.04\nD) 69.13", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 75.30", |
| "B) 59.87", |
| "C) 66.04", |
| "D) 69.13" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "66.04", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 75.30\nB) 59.87\nC) 66.04\nD) 69.13", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 75.30", |
| "B) 59.87", |
| "C) 66.04", |
| "D) 69.13" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "66.04", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 70.26\nB) 67.17\nC) 51.74\nD) 61.00", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 70.26", |
| "B) 67.17", |
| "C) 51.74", |
| "D) 61.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "61.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 70.26\nB) 67.17\nC) 51.74\nD) 61.00", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 70.26", |
| "B) 67.17", |
| "C) 51.74", |
| "D) 61.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "61.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 41.17\nB) 35.00\nC) 38.08\nD) 44.26", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 41.17", |
| "B) 35.00", |
| "C) 38.08", |
| "D) 44.26" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "41.17", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 41.17\nB) 35.00\nC) 38.08\nD) 44.26", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 41.17", |
| "B) 35.00", |
| "C) 38.08", |
| "D) 44.26" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "41.17", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 30.66\nB) 27.57\nC) 18.31\nD) 21.40", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 30.66", |
| "B) 27.57", |
| "C) 18.31", |
| "D) 21.40" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "27.57", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 30.66\nB) 27.57\nC) 18.31\nD) 21.40", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 30.66", |
| "B) 27.57", |
| "C) 18.31", |
| "D) 21.40" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "27.57", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 33.78\nB) 30.69\nC) 24.52\nD) 15.26", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 33.78", |
| "B) 30.69", |
| "C) 24.52", |
| "D) 15.26" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "24.52", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 33.78\nB) 30.69\nC) 24.52\nD) 15.26", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 33.78", |
| "B) 30.69", |
| "C) 24.52", |
| "D) 15.26" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "24.52", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 12.09\nB) 30.61\nC) 15.18\nD) 21.35", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.09", |
| "B) 30.61", |
| "C) 15.18", |
| "D) 21.35" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "21.35", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 12.09\nB) 30.61\nC) 15.18\nD) 21.35", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.09", |
| "B) 30.61", |
| "C) 15.18", |
| "D) 21.35" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "21.35", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,879.52\nB) 6,553.79\nC) 7,205.25\nD) 6,228.06", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,879.52", |
| "B) 6,553.79", |
| "C) 7,205.25", |
| "D) 6,228.06" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6,879.52", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,879.52\nB) 6,553.79\nC) 7,205.25\nD) 6,228.06", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,879.52", |
| "B) 6,553.79", |
| "C) 7,205.25", |
| "D) 6,228.06" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6,879.52", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,837.85\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 7,186.40\nD) 6,534.94", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,837.85", |
| "B) 6,860.67", |
| "C) 7,186.40", |
| "D) 6,534.94" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6,860.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,837.85\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 7,186.40\nD) 6,534.94", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,837.85", |
| "B) 6,860.67", |
| "C) 7,186.40", |
| "D) 6,534.94" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6,860.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,209.21\nB) 5,883.49\nC) 6,860.67\nD) 6,534.94", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,209.21", |
| "B) 5,883.49", |
| "C) 6,860.67", |
| "D) 6,534.94" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6,860.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,209.21\nB) 5,883.49\nC) 6,860.67\nD) 6,534.94", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,209.21", |
| "B) 5,883.49", |
| "C) 6,860.67", |
| "D) 6,534.94" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6,860.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,209.21\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 6,860.67", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,186.40", |
| "B) 6,209.21", |
| "C) 6,534.94", |
| "D) 6,860.67" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6,860.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,209.21\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 6,860.67", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,186.40", |
| "B) 6,209.21", |
| "C) 6,534.94", |
| "D) 6,860.67" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6,860.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,860.67\nB) 7,512.13\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,860.67", |
| "B) 7,512.13", |
| "C) 6,534.94", |
| "D) 7,837.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6,860.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,860.67\nB) 7,512.13\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6,860.67", |
| "B) 7,512.13", |
| "C) 6,534.94", |
| "D) 7,837.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6,860.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,186.40", |
| "B) 6,860.67", |
| "C) 6,534.94", |
| "D) 7,837.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6,860.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7,186.40", |
| "B) 6,860.67", |
| "C) 6,534.94", |
| "D) 7,837.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6,860.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", |
| "event_date": "2020-03-15", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $-0.76/bbl\nB) $32.74/bbl\nC) $15.99/bbl\nD) $4.82/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-0.76/bbl", |
| "B) $32.74/bbl", |
| "C) $15.99/bbl", |
| "D) $4.82/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$15.99/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $-0.76/bbl\nB) $32.74/bbl\nC) $15.99/bbl\nD) $4.82/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-0.76/bbl", |
| "B) $32.74/bbl", |
| "C) $15.99/bbl", |
| "D) $4.82/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$15.99/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.89/bbl\nB) $31.64/bbl\nC) $9.30/bbl\nD) $20.47/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14.89/bbl", |
| "B) $31.64/bbl", |
| "C) $9.30/bbl", |
| "D) $20.47/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$20.47/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.89/bbl\nB) $31.64/bbl\nC) $9.30/bbl\nD) $20.47/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14.89/bbl", |
| "B) $31.64/bbl", |
| "C) $9.30/bbl", |
| "D) $20.47/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$20.47/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $31.83/bbl\nB) $37.41/bbl\nC) $43.00/bbl\nD) $20.66/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $31.83/bbl", |
| "B) $37.41/bbl", |
| "C) $43.00/bbl", |
| "D) $20.66/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$31.83/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $31.83/bbl\nB) $37.41/bbl\nC) $43.00/bbl\nD) $20.66/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $31.83/bbl", |
| "B) $37.41/bbl", |
| "C) $43.00/bbl", |
| "D) $20.66/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$31.83/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $50.71/bbl\nB) $39.54/bbl\nC) $45.12/bbl\nD) $22.79/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $50.71/bbl", |
| "B) $39.54/bbl", |
| "C) $45.12/bbl", |
| "D) $22.79/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$39.54/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $50.71/bbl\nB) $39.54/bbl\nC) $45.12/bbl\nD) $22.79/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $50.71/bbl", |
| "B) $39.54/bbl", |
| "C) $45.12/bbl", |
| "D) $22.79/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$39.54/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $30.03/bbl\nB) $46.78/bbl\nC) $41.20/bbl\nD) $35.62/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $30.03/bbl", |
| "B) $46.78/bbl", |
| "C) $41.20/bbl", |
| "D) $35.62/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$41.20/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $30.03/bbl\nB) $46.78/bbl\nC) $41.20/bbl\nD) $35.62/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $30.03/bbl", |
| "B) $46.78/bbl", |
| "C) $41.20/bbl", |
| "D) $35.62/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$41.20/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $48.79/bbl\nB) $32.04/bbl\nC) $59.96/bbl\nD) $43.21/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $48.79/bbl", |
| "B) $32.04/bbl", |
| "C) $59.96/bbl", |
| "D) $43.21/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$43.21/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $48.79/bbl\nB) $32.04/bbl\nC) $59.96/bbl\nD) $43.21/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $48.79/bbl", |
| "B) $32.04/bbl", |
| "C) $59.96/bbl", |
| "D) $43.21/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$43.21/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $9.73/bbl\nC) $3.59/bbl\nD) $28.15/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15.87/bbl", |
| "B) $9.73/bbl", |
| "C) $3.59/bbl", |
| "D) $28.15/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$15.87/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $9.73/bbl\nC) $3.59/bbl\nD) $28.15/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15.87/bbl", |
| "B) $9.73/bbl", |
| "C) $3.59/bbl", |
| "D) $28.15/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$15.87/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.26/bbl\nB) $20.40/bbl\nC) $26.54/bbl\nD) $32.68/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14.26/bbl", |
| "B) $20.40/bbl", |
| "C) $26.54/bbl", |
| "D) $32.68/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$20.40/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.26/bbl\nB) $20.40/bbl\nC) $26.54/bbl\nD) $32.68/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14.26/bbl", |
| "B) $20.40/bbl", |
| "C) $26.54/bbl", |
| "D) $32.68/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$20.40/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.88/bbl\nB) $39.44/bbl\nC) $33.30/bbl\nD) $21.02/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14.88/bbl", |
| "B) $39.44/bbl", |
| "C) $33.30/bbl", |
| "D) $21.02/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$33.30/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.88/bbl\nB) $39.44/bbl\nC) $33.30/bbl\nD) $21.02/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14.88/bbl", |
| "B) $39.44/bbl", |
| "C) $33.30/bbl", |
| "D) $21.02/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$33.30/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $59.60/bbl\nB) $35.04/bbl\nC) $28.90/bbl\nD) $41.18/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $59.60/bbl", |
| "B) $35.04/bbl", |
| "C) $28.90/bbl", |
| "D) $41.18/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$41.18/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $59.60/bbl\nB) $35.04/bbl\nC) $28.90/bbl\nD) $41.18/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $59.60/bbl", |
| "B) $35.04/bbl", |
| "C) $28.90/bbl", |
| "D) $41.18/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$41.18/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $43.96/bbl\nB) $25.54/bbl\nC) $56.24/bbl\nD) $62.38/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $43.96/bbl", |
| "B) $25.54/bbl", |
| "C) $56.24/bbl", |
| "D) $62.38/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$43.96/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $43.96/bbl\nB) $25.54/bbl\nC) $56.24/bbl\nD) $62.38/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $43.96/bbl", |
| "B) $25.54/bbl", |
| "C) $56.24/bbl", |
| "D) $62.38/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$43.96/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $39.87/bbl\nB) $46.01/bbl\nC) $64.43/bbl\nD) $58.29/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $39.87/bbl", |
| "B) $46.01/bbl", |
| "C) $64.43/bbl", |
| "D) $58.29/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$46.01/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $39.87/bbl\nB) $46.01/bbl\nC) $64.43/bbl\nD) $58.29/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $39.87/bbl", |
| "B) $46.01/bbl", |
| "C) $64.43/bbl", |
| "D) $58.29/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$46.01/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", |
| "event_date": "2020-04-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max", |
| "year": 2020 |
| } |
| ] |