pre_test / mcq_2004.json
lfqian's picture
Add per-year unpredictable-event floor (FOMC/NFP/CPI/GDP/VIX/NASDAQ): 10,014 -> 12,838 q; every year 25-51% unpredictable
a63e93b verified
[
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) -3.19%\nB) 2.96%\nC) -0.11%\nD) 6.04%",
"options": [
"A) -3.19%",
"B) 2.96%",
"C) -0.11%",
"D) 6.04%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.04%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20040815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-06.)\n\nA) $6,169B\nB) $6,654B\nC) $6,412B\nD) $5,443B",
"options": [
"A) $6,169B",
"B) $6,654B",
"C) $6,412B",
"D) $5,443B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$6,169B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20040515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 5.66%\nB) 4.79%\nC) 5.22%\nD) 6.09%",
"options": [
"A) 5.66%",
"B) 4.79%",
"C) 5.22%",
"D) 6.09%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.79%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,946K\nB) 2,218K\nC) 2,150K\nD) 2,354K",
"options": [
"A) 1,946K",
"B) 2,218K",
"C) 2,150K",
"D) 2,354K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,150K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 129,063K\nB) 136,965K\nC) 134,331K\nD) 131,697K",
"options": [
"A) 129,063K",
"B) 136,965K",
"C) 134,331K",
"D) 131,697K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "131,697K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 12.51%\nB) 11.50%\nC) 12.00%\nD) 13.02%",
"options": [
"A) 12.51%",
"B) 11.50%",
"C) 12.00%",
"D) 13.02%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "12.51%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 76.53\nB) 80.76\nC) 83.93\nD) 78.64",
"options": [
"A) 76.53",
"B) 80.76",
"C) 83.93",
"D) 78.64"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "80.76",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20041115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 8.1110\nB) 8.5248\nC) 8.2765\nD) 7.8627",
"options": [
"A) 8.1110",
"B) 8.5248",
"C) 8.2765",
"D) 7.8627"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "8.2765",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20041115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) +0.31pp\nB) +2.80pp\nC) +1.81pp\nD) +1.31pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.31pp",
"B) +2.80pp",
"C) +1.81pp",
"D) +1.31pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+1.31pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 151.40\nB) 157.12\nC) 162.84\nD) 142.82",
"options": [
"A) 151.40",
"B) 157.12",
"C) 162.84",
"D) 142.82"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "151.40",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,780K\nB) 1,966K\nC) 2,152K\nD) 2,028K",
"options": [
"A) 1,780K",
"B) 1,966K",
"C) 2,152K",
"D) 2,028K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1,966K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 83.44\nB) 76.59\nC) 80.50\nD) 78.55",
"options": [
"A) 83.44",
"B) 76.59",
"C) 80.50",
"D) 78.55"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "80.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,947K\nB) 1,792K\nC) 1,869K\nD) 2,024K",
"options": [
"A) 1,947K",
"B) 1,792K",
"C) 1,869K",
"D) 2,024K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,024K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20040515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 114.3000\nB) 106.2411\nC) 118.3294\nD) 102.2117",
"options": [
"A) 114.3000",
"B) 106.2411",
"C) 118.3294",
"D) 102.2117"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "114.3000",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20040815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 8.6906\nB) 8.2768\nC) 8.5251\nD) 8.0285",
"options": [
"A) 8.6906",
"B) 8.2768",
"C) 8.5251",
"D) 8.0285"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "8.2768",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 5.79%\nC) 3.45%\nD) 5.01%",
"options": [
"A) 4.23%",
"B) 5.79%",
"C) 3.45%",
"D) 5.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.45%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) $-62,872M\nB) $-66,777M\nC) $-55,062M\nD) $-58,967M",
"options": [
"A) $-62,872M",
"B) $-66,777M",
"C) $-55,062M",
"D) $-58,967M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$-58,967M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.98%\nB) 13.58%\nC) -5.43%\nD) 9.78%",
"options": [
"A) 5.98%",
"B) 13.58%",
"C) -5.43%",
"D) 9.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.98%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 9.77%\nB) 10.68%\nC) 12.04%\nD) 11.13%",
"options": [
"A) 9.77%",
"B) 10.68%",
"C) 12.04%",
"D) 11.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "10.68%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) $326,376M\nB) $333,968M\nC) $311,192M\nD) $288,416M",
"options": [
"A) $326,376M",
"B) $333,968M",
"C) $311,192M",
"D) $288,416M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$311,192M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20041115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-06.)\n\nA) 1,821,613\nB) 3,297,258\nC) 3,592,387\nD) 2,707,000",
"options": [
"A) 1,821,613",
"B) 3,297,258",
"C) 3,592,387",
"D) 2,707,000"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,707,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20040515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2004-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 43.85%\nB) 86.40%\nC) 1.29%\nD) 22.57%",
"options": [
"A) 43.85%",
"B) 86.40%",
"C) 1.29%",
"D) 22.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "43.85%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20040815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) $51.14/bbl\nB) $44.35/bbl\nC) $39.82/bbl\nD) $42.09/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $51.14/bbl",
"B) $44.35/bbl",
"C) $39.82/bbl",
"D) $42.09/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$44.35/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) +1.35pp\nB) +5.56pp\nC) +2.75pp\nD) -0.05pp",
"options": [
"A) +1.35pp",
"B) +5.56pp",
"C) +2.75pp",
"D) -0.05pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+2.75pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) $15.19/hr\nB) $14.51/hr\nC) $14.85/hr\nD) $15.53/hr",
"options": [
"A) $15.19/hr",
"B) $14.51/hr",
"C) $14.85/hr",
"D) $15.53/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$15.53/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) -1.11%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 6.08%",
"options": [
"A) 1.77%",
"B) -1.11%",
"C) 3.20%",
"D) 6.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.77%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) $197,997M\nB) $192,545M\nC) $203,449M\nD) $181,641M",
"options": [
"A) $197,997M",
"B) $192,545M",
"C) $203,449M",
"D) $181,641M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$192,545M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20040515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 4.01%\nB) 2.00%\nC) 0.99%\nD) 3.00%",
"options": [
"A) 4.01%",
"B) 2.00%",
"C) 0.99%",
"D) 3.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.99%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) $8,641B\nB) $8,359B\nC) $8,078B\nD) $8,922B",
"options": [
"A) $8,641B",
"B) $8,359B",
"C) $8,078B",
"D) $8,922B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$8,922B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 2.59%\nC) 2.30%\nD) 1.11%",
"options": [
"A) 2.00%",
"B) 2.59%",
"C) 2.30%",
"D) 1.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 195.17\nB) 189.20\nC) 180.24\nD) 201.14",
"options": [
"A) 195.17",
"B) 189.20",
"C) 180.24",
"D) 201.14"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "189.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.30pp\nB) -0.71pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -0.20pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.30pp",
"B) -0.71pp",
"C) -0.40pp",
"D) -0.20pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) -2.02%\nB) 17.98%\nC) -12.02%\nD) 2.98%",
"options": [
"A) -2.02%",
"B) 17.98%",
"C) -12.02%",
"D) 2.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.98%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 148.00\nB) 135.06\nC) 140.24\nD) 155.76",
"options": [
"A) 148.00",
"B) 135.06",
"C) 140.24",
"D) 155.76"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "148.00",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20040215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 3.63%\nB) 4.05%\nC) 4.47%\nD) 2.79%",
"options": [
"A) 3.63%",
"B) 4.05%",
"C) 4.47%",
"D) 2.79%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.05%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 5.76%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 0.20%",
"options": [
"A) 1.59%",
"B) 5.76%",
"C) 2.98%",
"D) 0.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.98%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $770M",
"options": [
"A) $6,200,000M",
"B) $2,400,000M",
"C) $4,300,000M",
"D) $770M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$770M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.06%\nB) 18.14%\nC) -12.02%\nD) -1.97%",
"options": [
"A) 3.06%",
"B) 18.14%",
"C) -12.02%",
"D) -1.97%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.06%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 2.39%",
"options": [
"A) 1.74%",
"B) 2.06%",
"C) 1.95%",
"D) 2.39%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.06%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 15.28%\nB) 13.85%\nC) 13.13%\nD) 11.69%",
"options": [
"A) 15.28%",
"B) 13.85%",
"C) 13.13%",
"D) 11.69%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "13.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 1.00%",
"options": [
"A) 4.18%",
"B) 2.06%",
"C) 3.12%",
"D) 1.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) 3.00%\nC) 2.30%\nD) 1.61%",
"options": [
"A) 1.96%",
"B) 3.00%",
"C) 2.30%",
"D) 1.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.96%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20040215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2004-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 20.07%\nB) 62.45%\nC) -1.12%\nD) 41.26%",
"options": [
"A) 20.07%",
"B) 62.45%",
"C) -1.12%",
"D) 41.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "62.45%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20040215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 2,506.79\nB) 1,135.71\nC) 2,049.76\nD) 3,420.84",
"options": [
"A) 2,506.79",
"B) 1,135.71",
"C) 2,049.76",
"D) 3,420.84"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,049.76",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.81%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 4.63%\nD) 5.44%",
"options": [
"A) 3.81%",
"B) 2.99%",
"C) 4.63%",
"D) 5.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.44%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20040815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2004-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 47.93%\nB) 68.69%\nC) 6.42%\nD) 89.44%",
"options": [
"A) 47.93%",
"B) 68.69%",
"C) 6.42%",
"D) 89.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "47.93%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 104.11\nB) 94.40\nC) 79.84\nD) 99.25",
"options": [
"A) 104.11",
"B) 94.40",
"C) 79.84",
"D) 99.25"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "94.40",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.85%\nB) 4.80%\nC) 3.38%\nD) 1.97%",
"options": [
"A) -0.85%",
"B) 4.80%",
"C) 3.38%",
"D) 1.97%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.38%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 192.67\nB) 209.57\nC) 203.93\nD) 198.30",
"options": [
"A) 192.67",
"B) 209.57",
"C) 203.93",
"D) 198.30"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "198.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20040515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 5.59%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 5.37%\nD) 5.16%",
"options": [
"A) 5.59%",
"B) 4.94%",
"C) 5.37%",
"D) 5.16%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.59%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20041115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2004-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 109.17%\nB) 51.40%\nC) 70.66%\nD) -6.36%",
"options": [
"A) 109.17%",
"B) 51.40%",
"C) 70.66%",
"D) -6.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "51.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 64.02%\nB) 67.98%\nC) 66.00%\nD) 61.38%",
"options": [
"A) 64.02%",
"B) 67.98%",
"C) 66.00%",
"D) 61.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "66.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 134.98\nB) 146.84\nC) 153.96\nD) 142.10",
"options": [
"A) 134.98",
"B) 146.84",
"C) 153.96",
"D) 142.10"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "142.10",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 9.00%\nB) 4.74%\nC) 6.87%\nD) 13.26%",
"options": [
"A) 9.00%",
"B) 4.74%",
"C) 6.87%",
"D) 13.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "9.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20041115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 5.18%\nD) 5.59%",
"options": [
"A) 4.57%",
"B) 4.98%",
"C) 5.18%",
"D) 5.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.98%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 18.46%\nB) 3.11%\nC) 6.95%\nD) 10.79%",
"options": [
"A) 18.46%",
"B) 3.11%",
"C) 6.95%",
"D) 10.79%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.95%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20040515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-06.)\n\nA) 2,010,123\nB) 3,619,918\nC) 2,654,041\nD) 2,976,000",
"options": [
"A) 2,010,123",
"B) 3,619,918",
"C) 2,654,041",
"D) 2,976,000"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,976,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.76%\nB) 6.88%\nC) -1.35%\nD) 1.39%",
"options": [
"A) 2.76%",
"B) 6.88%",
"C) -1.35%",
"D) 1.39%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.76%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 62.04%\nB) 66.00%\nC) 64.02%\nD) 67.98%",
"options": [
"A) 62.04%",
"B) 66.00%",
"C) 64.02%",
"D) 67.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "66.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 8.73%\nC) 4.39%\nD) 1.49%",
"options": [
"A) 5.84%",
"B) 8.73%",
"C) 4.39%",
"D) 1.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.39%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,839K\nB) 2,194K\nC) 1,768K\nD) 1,981K",
"options": [
"A) 1,839K",
"B) 2,194K",
"C) 1,768K",
"D) 1,981K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,981K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.87%\nB) 6.24%\nC) 1.50%\nD) 2.69%",
"options": [
"A) 3.87%",
"B) 6.24%",
"C) 1.50%",
"D) 2.69%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.87%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.26%\nB) 2.97%\nC) 3.54%\nD) 3.83%",
"options": [
"A) 3.26%",
"B) 2.97%",
"C) 3.54%",
"D) 3.83%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.97%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20040815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 98.5101\nB) 118.7266\nC) 110.6400\nD) 114.6833",
"options": [
"A) 98.5101",
"B) 118.7266",
"C) 110.6400",
"D) 114.6833"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "110.6400",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20040815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-06.)\n\nA) 6.30%\nB) 7.19%\nC) 4.95%\nD) 5.85%",
"options": [
"A) 6.30%",
"B) 7.19%",
"C) 4.95%",
"D) 5.85%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.85%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 13.14%\nB) 17.14%\nC) 25.16%\nD) 21.15%",
"options": [
"A) 13.14%",
"B) 17.14%",
"C) 25.16%",
"D) 21.15%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "13.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) 1.64%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 1.00%",
"options": [
"A) 1.96%",
"B) 1.64%",
"C) 2.28%",
"D) 1.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.64%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.93%\nB) 6.95%\nC) 5.34%\nD) 7.75%",
"options": [
"A) 2.93%",
"B) 6.95%",
"C) 5.34%",
"D) 7.75%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.34%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20040815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2004-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 25.13%\nB) 63.31%\nC) 6.04%\nD) 44.22%",
"options": [
"A) 25.13%",
"B) 63.31%",
"C) 6.04%",
"D) 44.22%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "44.22%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 79.60\nB) 82.67\nC) 76.54\nD) 74.50",
"options": [
"A) 79.60",
"B) 82.67",
"C) 76.54",
"D) 74.50"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "79.60",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.00pp\nB) -0.10pp\nC) +0.21pp\nD) -0.30pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.00pp",
"B) -0.10pp",
"C) +0.21pp",
"D) -0.30pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20040815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2004-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) -57.81%\nB) 25.74%\nC) 4.85%\nD) 46.62%",
"options": [
"A) -57.81%",
"B) 25.74%",
"C) 4.85%",
"D) 46.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.85%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20040215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-06.)\n\nA) 4.38%\nB) 6.09%\nC) 6.94%\nD) 5.66%",
"options": [
"A) 4.38%",
"B) 6.09%",
"C) 6.94%",
"D) 5.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.66%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.90%\nB) 2.09%\nC) 3.30%\nD) 4.10%",
"options": [
"A) 2.90%",
"B) 2.09%",
"C) 3.30%",
"D) 4.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.98pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) +0.32pp\nD) +0.06pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.98pp",
"B) -0.20pp",
"C) +0.32pp",
"D) +0.06pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.85%\nB) 4.01%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 2.47%",
"options": [
"A) 2.85%",
"B) 4.01%",
"C) 3.62%",
"D) 2.47%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.62%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.20pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.20pp\nD) -0.10pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.20pp",
"B) -0.40pp",
"C) -0.20pp",
"D) -0.10pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20040215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 3.01%\nB) 3.64%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 2.38%",
"options": [
"A) 3.01%",
"B) 3.64%",
"C) 1.74%",
"D) 2.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.01%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) $15.30/hr\nB) $15.63/hr\nC) $14.65/hr\nD) $15.96/hr",
"options": [
"A) $15.30/hr",
"B) $15.63/hr",
"C) $14.65/hr",
"D) $15.96/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$15.63/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20041115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-06.)\n\nA) 414,669\nB) 285,221\nC) 337,000\nD) 259,331",
"options": [
"A) 414,669",
"B) 285,221",
"C) 337,000",
"D) 259,331"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "337,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20040815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) $41.07/bbl\nB) $48.50/bbl\nC) $43.54/bbl\nD) $46.02/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $41.07/bbl",
"B) $48.50/bbl",
"C) $43.54/bbl",
"D) $46.02/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$46.02/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) $51,210M\nB) $57,392M\nC) $45,028M\nD) $48,119M",
"options": [
"A) $51,210M",
"B) $57,392M",
"C) $45,028M",
"D) $48,119M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$51,210M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.85%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.53%",
"options": [
"A) 1.74%",
"B) 1.85%",
"C) 1.96%",
"D) 1.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.85%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) -11.46pp\nB) +14.94pp\nC) -0.90pp\nD) +9.66pp",
"options": [
"A) -11.46pp",
"B) +14.94pp",
"C) -0.90pp",
"D) +9.66pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.90pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20041115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.13%\nB) 4.10%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 2.12%",
"options": [
"A) 1.13%",
"B) 4.10%",
"C) 0.14%",
"D) 2.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.12%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 5.11%\nC) 2.73%\nD) 3.52%",
"options": [
"A) 4.31%",
"B) 5.11%",
"C) 2.73%",
"D) 3.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.31%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 2.01%\nD) 1.79%",
"options": [
"A) 2.12%",
"B) 1.90%",
"C) 2.01%",
"D) 1.79%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 11.81%\nB) 15.19%\nC) 13.50%\nD) 10.97%",
"options": [
"A) 11.81%",
"B) 15.19%",
"C) 13.50%",
"D) 10.97%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "13.50%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20040515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-06.)\n\nA) 377,103\nB) 433,308\nC) 405,205\nD) 349,000",
"options": [
"A) 377,103",
"B) 433,308",
"C) 405,205",
"D) 349,000"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "349,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) +14.50pp\nB) +4.20pp\nC) +29.95pp\nD) +9.35pp",
"options": [
"A) +14.50pp",
"B) +4.20pp",
"C) +29.95pp",
"D) +9.35pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+14.50pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) $8,728B\nB) $9,013B\nC) $9,298B\nD) $9,869B",
"options": [
"A) $8,728B",
"B) $9,013B",
"C) $9,298B",
"D) $9,869B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$9,013B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 184.52\nB) 204.96\nC) 196.20\nD) 190.36",
"options": [
"A) 184.52",
"B) 204.96",
"C) 196.20",
"D) 190.36"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "196.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) $49,299M\nB) $55,511M\nC) $61,724M\nD) $52,405M",
"options": [
"A) $49,299M",
"B) $55,511M",
"C) $61,724M",
"D) $52,405M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$52,405M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) $15.73/hr\nB) $16.37/hr\nC) $15.41/hr\nD) $15.09/hr",
"options": [
"A) $15.73/hr",
"B) $16.37/hr",
"C) $15.41/hr",
"D) $15.09/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$15.73/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 76.10\nB) 81.00\nC) 78.06\nD) 82.97",
"options": [
"A) 76.10",
"B) 81.00",
"C) 78.06",
"D) 82.97"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "81.00",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 9.02%\nB) 5.68%\nC) 6.52%\nD) 7.35%",
"options": [
"A) 9.02%",
"B) 5.68%",
"C) 6.52%",
"D) 7.35%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.52%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) $8,965B\nB) $7,664B\nC) $8,184B\nD) $8,444B",
"options": [
"A) $8,965B",
"B) $7,664B",
"C) $8,184B",
"D) $8,444B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$8,444B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.59%\nB) 5.01%\nC) 8.16%\nD) 5.80%",
"options": [
"A) 6.59%",
"B) 5.01%",
"C) 8.16%",
"D) 5.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.59%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 1.93%\nC) 0.87%\nD) 5.11%",
"options": [
"A) 2.99%",
"B) 1.93%",
"C) 0.87%",
"D) 5.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.93%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 181.57\nB) 165.52\nC) 157.50\nD) 149.47",
"options": [
"A) 181.57",
"B) 165.52",
"C) 157.50",
"D) 149.47"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "157.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) -1.00%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 0.29%",
"options": [
"A) 1.59%",
"B) -1.00%",
"C) 2.23%",
"D) 0.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.29%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) -0.75%\nC) 1.79%\nD) 2.42%",
"options": [
"A) 1.15%",
"B) -0.75%",
"C) 1.79%",
"D) 2.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.15%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 0.31%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 2.79%\nD) 0.93%",
"options": [
"A) 0.31%",
"B) 1.55%",
"C) 2.79%",
"D) 0.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.55%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) $6,043B\nB) $5,493B\nC) $6,318B\nD) $6,867B",
"options": [
"A) $6,043B",
"B) $5,493B",
"C) $6,318B",
"D) $6,867B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$6,318B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) +8.96pp\nB) +14.39pp\nC) -18.19pp\nD) -1.90pp",
"options": [
"A) +8.96pp",
"B) +14.39pp",
"C) -18.19pp",
"D) -1.90pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-1.90pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 2,079K\nB) 1,906K\nC) 2,252K\nD) 1,992K",
"options": [
"A) 2,079K",
"B) 1,906K",
"C) 2,252K",
"D) 1,992K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,079K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 2,300K\nB) 2,056K\nC) 1,975K\nD) 2,137K",
"options": [
"A) 2,300K",
"B) 2,056K",
"C) 1,975K",
"D) 2,137K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,056K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20040515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) $34.25/bbl\nB) $43.81/bbl\nC) $41.42/bbl\nD) $39.03/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $34.25/bbl",
"B) $43.81/bbl",
"C) $41.42/bbl",
"D) $39.03/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$41.42/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) $189,073M\nB) $200,300M\nC) $194,686M\nD) $183,459M",
"options": [
"A) $189,073M",
"B) $200,300M",
"C) $194,686M",
"D) $183,459M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$183,459M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 62.40%\nB) 65.52%\nC) 64.27%\nD) 60.53%",
"options": [
"A) 62.40%",
"B) 65.52%",
"C) 64.27%",
"D) 60.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "62.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.50%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 2.00%",
"options": [
"A) -0.50%",
"B) 1.37%",
"C) 2.62%",
"D) 2.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.78%\nB) 5.39%\nC) 4.60%\nD) 3.42%",
"options": [
"A) 5.78%",
"B) 5.39%",
"C) 4.60%",
"D) 3.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20040815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-06.)\n\nA) 3,199,293\nB) 3,819,879\nC) 2,578,707\nD) 2,889,000",
"options": [
"A) 3,199,293",
"B) 3,819,879",
"C) 2,578,707",
"D) 2,889,000"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,889,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20040215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2004-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-06.)\n\nA) 7.83%\nB) 10.52%\nC) 11.86%\nD) 5.14%",
"options": [
"A) 7.83%",
"B) 10.52%",
"C) 11.86%",
"D) 5.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7.83%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20040515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 3.92%\nC) 1.97%\nD) 4.57%",
"options": [
"A) 2.62%",
"B) 3.92%",
"C) 1.97%",
"D) 4.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.92%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20040815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 0.70%\nB) 5.23%\nC) 2.51%\nD) 4.32%",
"options": [
"A) 0.70%",
"B) 5.23%",
"C) 2.51%",
"D) 4.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.51%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 67.98%\nB) 64.02%\nC) 61.38%\nD) 66.00%",
"options": [
"A) 67.98%",
"B) 64.02%",
"C) 61.38%",
"D) 66.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "66.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.20%\nB) 3.73%\nC) 6.67%\nD) 4.47%",
"options": [
"A) 5.20%",
"B) 3.73%",
"C) 6.67%",
"D) 4.47%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.78%\nB) 5.04%\nC) 9.29%\nD) 3.62%",
"options": [
"A) 0.78%",
"B) 5.04%",
"C) 9.29%",
"D) 3.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.04%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20040515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) $34.60/bbl\nB) $45.69/bbl\nC) $39.04/bbl\nD) $43.48/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $34.60/bbl",
"B) $45.69/bbl",
"C) $39.04/bbl",
"D) $43.48/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$39.04/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20040215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 8.1115\nB) 8.4425\nC) 7.9459\nD) 8.2770",
"options": [
"A) 8.1115",
"B) 8.4425",
"C) 7.9459",
"D) 8.2770"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "8.2770",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 95.90\nB) 104.97\nC) 91.37\nD) 100.43",
"options": [
"A) 95.90",
"B) 104.97",
"C) 91.37",
"D) 100.43"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "95.90",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20041115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 3,007.04\nB) 2,094.09\nC) 2,550.56\nD) 1,181.14",
"options": [
"A) 3,007.04",
"B) 2,094.09",
"C) 2,550.56",
"D) 1,181.14"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,094.09",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 89.24\nB) 91.10\nC) 92.96\nD) 95.75",
"options": [
"A) 89.24",
"B) 91.10",
"C) 92.96",
"D) 95.75"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "92.96",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.77pp\nB) -0.26pp\nC) -0.51pp\nD) +0.00pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.77pp",
"B) -0.26pp",
"C) -0.51pp",
"D) +0.00pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) $181,662M\nB) $165,032M\nC) $192,749M\nD) $176,119M",
"options": [
"A) $181,662M",
"B) $165,032M",
"C) $192,749M",
"D) $176,119M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$181,662M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20040515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2004-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 44.89%\nB) 23.54%\nC) 66.24%\nD) 2.18%",
"options": [
"A) 44.89%",
"B) 23.54%",
"C) 66.24%",
"D) 2.18%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "23.54%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20040515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 8.1117\nB) 8.4427\nC) 8.2772\nD) 8.6911",
"options": [
"A) 8.1117",
"B) 8.4427",
"C) 8.2772",
"D) 8.6911"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "8.2772",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) -10.40%\nB) -26.60%\nC) -2.30%\nD) -14.45%",
"options": [
"A) -10.40%",
"B) -26.60%",
"C) -2.30%",
"D) -14.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-14.45%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) $311,088M\nB) $318,407M\nC) $303,769M\nD) $333,044M",
"options": [
"A) $311,088M",
"B) $318,407M",
"C) $303,769M",
"D) $333,044M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$311,088M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 5.08%\nB) 4.70%\nC) 5.85%\nD) 4.32%",
"options": [
"A) 5.08%",
"B) 4.70%",
"C) 5.85%",
"D) 4.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20040815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 5.55%\nB) 4.50%\nC) 5.13%\nD) 4.92%",
"options": [
"A) 5.55%",
"B) 4.50%",
"C) 5.13%",
"D) 4.92%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 3.02%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 3.40%",
"options": [
"A) 2.27%",
"B) 3.02%",
"C) 3.78%",
"D) 3.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20040515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2004-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 51.50%\nB) 12.46%\nC) 71.02%\nD) 110.06%",
"options": [
"A) 51.50%",
"B) 12.46%",
"C) 71.02%",
"D) 110.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "51.50%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 81.17\nB) 79.08\nC) 73.85\nD) 76.99",
"options": [
"A) 81.17",
"B) 79.08",
"C) 73.85",
"D) 76.99"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "79.08",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20040815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.1710\nB) 1.2956\nC) 1.2333\nD) 1.3580",
"options": [
"A) 1.1710",
"B) 1.2956",
"C) 1.2333",
"D) 1.3580"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.2333",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 104.44\nB) 85.45\nC) 80.70\nD) 90.20",
"options": [
"A) 104.44",
"B) 85.45",
"C) 80.70",
"D) 90.20"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "90.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 188.20\nB) 176.27\nC) 197.15\nD) 182.23",
"options": [
"A) 188.20",
"B) 176.27",
"C) 197.15",
"D) 182.23"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "188.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.08%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 4.12%\nD) 2.05%",
"options": [
"A) 3.08%",
"B) 1.01%",
"C) 4.12%",
"D) 2.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.01%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20041115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-06.)\n\nA) 4.41%\nB) 6.63%\nC) 5.74%\nD) 6.18%",
"options": [
"A) 4.41%",
"B) 6.63%",
"C) 5.74%",
"D) 6.18%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.74%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) $-51,539M\nB) $-55,033M\nC) $-34,071M\nD) $-44,552M",
"options": [
"A) $-51,539M",
"B) $-55,033M",
"C) $-34,071M",
"D) $-44,552M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$-44,552M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20040515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) +2.20pp\nB) +3.76pp\nC) +1.68pp\nD) +3.24pp",
"options": [
"A) +2.20pp",
"B) +3.76pp",
"C) +1.68pp",
"D) +3.24pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+2.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20040515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2004-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-06.)\n\nA) 6.05%\nB) 7.36%\nC) 4.74%\nD) 3.43%",
"options": [
"A) 6.05%",
"B) 7.36%",
"C) 4.74%",
"D) 3.43%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "7.36%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20041115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 117.5216\nB) 97.5356\nC) 105.5300\nD) 93.5384",
"options": [
"A) 117.5216",
"B) 97.5356",
"C) 105.5300",
"D) 93.5384"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "105.5300",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) $52,382M\nB) $49,446M\nC) $46,510M\nD) $55,318M",
"options": [
"A) $52,382M",
"B) $49,446M",
"C) $46,510M",
"D) $55,318M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$55,318M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20041115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.2944\nB) 1.2273\nC) 1.4956\nD) 1.4285",
"options": [
"A) 1.2944",
"B) 1.2273",
"C) 1.4956",
"D) 1.4285"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.2944",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.98%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 1.45%\nD) 2.73%",
"options": [
"A) 2.98%",
"B) 2.22%",
"C) 1.45%",
"D) 2.73%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.22%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20041115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.91%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 3.53%\nD) 2.28%",
"options": [
"A) 2.91%",
"B) 4.78%",
"C) 3.53%",
"D) 2.28%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.53%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 139.99\nB) 153.61\nC) 135.44\nD) 146.80",
"options": [
"A) 139.99",
"B) 153.61",
"C) 135.44",
"D) 146.80"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "146.80",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) $51,950M\nB) $42,826M\nC) $45,867M\nD) $54,991M",
"options": [
"A) $51,950M",
"B) $42,826M",
"C) $45,867M",
"D) $54,991M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$51,950M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 73.14%\nB) 77.76%\nC) 82.39%\nD) 85.48%",
"options": [
"A) 73.14%",
"B) 77.76%",
"C) 82.39%",
"D) 85.48%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "77.76%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20040815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2004-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-06.)\n\nA) 6.30%\nB) 8.85%\nC) 7.57%\nD) 3.75%",
"options": [
"A) 6.30%",
"B) 8.85%",
"C) 7.57%",
"D) 3.75%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "7.57%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20041115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.14%\nB) 4.64%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 2.89%",
"options": [
"A) 1.14%",
"B) 4.64%",
"C) 5.52%",
"D) 2.89%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.89%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 13.32%\nB) 25.11%\nC) 17.25%\nD) 9.39%",
"options": [
"A) 13.32%",
"B) 25.11%",
"C) 17.25%",
"D) 9.39%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "13.32%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 211.34\nB) 196.90\nC) 205.56\nD) 188.24",
"options": [
"A) 211.34",
"B) 196.90",
"C) 205.56",
"D) 188.24"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "196.90",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $745M\nD) $4,300,000M",
"options": [
"A) $6,200,000M",
"B) $2,400,000M",
"C) $745M",
"D) $4,300,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$745M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.97%\nB) 3.26%\nC) 6.10%\nD) 4.68%",
"options": [
"A) 3.97%",
"B) 3.26%",
"C) 6.10%",
"D) 4.68%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.68%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 93.60\nB) 90.79\nC) 98.28\nD) 96.41",
"options": [
"A) 93.60",
"B) 90.79",
"C) 98.28",
"D) 96.41"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "93.60",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.36%\nB) 1.43%\nC) 4.65%\nD) 3.58%",
"options": [
"A) 0.36%",
"B) 1.43%",
"C) 4.65%",
"D) 3.58%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.43%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 20.34%\nB) 7.64%\nC) 17.17%\nD) 13.99%",
"options": [
"A) 20.34%",
"B) 7.64%",
"C) 17.17%",
"D) 13.99%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "17.17%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20040515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 4.43%\nC) 3.51%\nD) 2.59%",
"options": [
"A) 5.35%",
"B) 4.43%",
"C) 3.51%",
"D) 2.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.59%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) $15.84/hr\nB) $16.78/hr\nC) $14.59/hr\nD) $15.21/hr",
"options": [
"A) $15.84/hr",
"B) $16.78/hr",
"C) $14.59/hr",
"D) $15.21/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$15.84/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20040215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.2221\nB) 1.2751\nC) 1.3281\nD) 1.1162",
"options": [
"A) 1.2221",
"B) 1.2751",
"C) 1.3281",
"D) 1.1162"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.2751",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 7.91%\nB) 4.65%\nC) 6.28%\nD) 8.73%",
"options": [
"A) 7.91%",
"B) 4.65%",
"C) 6.28%",
"D) 8.73%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.28%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 6.46%\nC) 6.89%\nD) 5.60%",
"options": [
"A) 4.31%",
"B) 6.46%",
"C) 6.89%",
"D) 5.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 7.41%\nB) 6.22%\nC) 5.02%\nD) 11.00%",
"options": [
"A) 7.41%",
"B) 6.22%",
"C) 5.02%",
"D) 11.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7.41%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.99%\nB) 1.25%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 1.50%",
"options": [
"A) 0.99%",
"B) 1.25%",
"C) 0.47%",
"D) 1.50%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) $5,858B\nB) $5,584B\nC) $6,406B\nD) $6,955B",
"options": [
"A) $5,858B",
"B) $5,584B",
"C) $6,406B",
"D) $6,955B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$6,406B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.78pp\nB) -0.66pp\nC) +3.66pp\nD) +2.22pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.78pp",
"B) -0.66pp",
"C) +3.66pp",
"D) +2.22pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+2.22pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 93.63\nB) 98.31\nC) 96.44\nD) 90.82",
"options": [
"A) 93.63",
"B) 98.31",
"C) 96.44",
"D) 90.82"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "93.63",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) -2.06%\nB) 4.58%\nC) 14.53%\nD) -5.37%",
"options": [
"A) -2.06%",
"B) 4.58%",
"C) 14.53%",
"D) -5.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.58%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20040215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 5.71%\nB) 5.50%\nC) 5.08%\nD) 4.87%",
"options": [
"A) 5.71%",
"B) 5.50%",
"C) 5.08%",
"D) 4.87%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) +1.25pp\nB) -4.09pp\nC) +22.64pp\nD) +6.60pp",
"options": [
"A) +1.25pp",
"B) -4.09pp",
"C) +22.64pp",
"D) +6.60pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+6.60pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) -0.48pp\nC) +0.04pp\nD) +0.56pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.30pp",
"B) -0.48pp",
"C) +0.04pp",
"D) +0.56pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20040215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) +3.39pp\nB) +2.35pp\nC) +3.91pp\nD) +1.31pp",
"options": [
"A) +3.39pp",
"B) +2.35pp",
"C) +3.91pp",
"D) +1.31pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+2.35pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) $8,677B\nB) $8,427B\nC) $8,176B\nD) $8,928B",
"options": [
"A) $8,677B",
"B) $8,427B",
"C) $8,176B",
"D) $8,928B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$8,176B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20041115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 5.44%\nB) 5.03%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 4.20%",
"options": [
"A) 5.44%",
"B) 5.03%",
"C) 3.37%",
"D) 4.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20040815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.26%\nB) 5.53%\nC) 4.68%\nD) 2.99%",
"options": [
"A) 4.26%",
"B) 5.53%",
"C) 4.68%",
"D) 2.99%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 75.61%\nB) 78.42%\nC) 71.40%\nD) 82.63%",
"options": [
"A) 75.61%",
"B) 78.42%",
"C) 71.40%",
"D) 82.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "78.42%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20040215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 23.50\nB) 7.66\nC) 15.58\nD) 10.30",
"options": [
"A) 23.50",
"B) 7.66",
"C) 15.58",
"D) 10.30"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "15.58",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20040215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.89%\nB) 3.87%\nC) 1.90%\nD) 0.92%",
"options": [
"A) 2.89%",
"B) 3.87%",
"C) 1.90%",
"D) 0.92%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.92%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20040215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) $31.08/bbl\nB) $23.62/bbl\nC) $26.11/bbl\nD) $33.57/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $31.08/bbl",
"B) $23.62/bbl",
"C) $26.11/bbl",
"D) $33.57/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$31.08/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20040515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.0715\nB) 1.1874\nC) 1.3613\nD) 1.3033",
"options": [
"A) 1.0715",
"B) 1.1874",
"C) 1.3613",
"D) 1.3033"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.1874",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20040215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 4.41%\nB) 0.80%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 2.60%",
"options": [
"A) 4.41%",
"B) 0.80%",
"C) 1.70%",
"D) 2.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.57%\nB) 4.03%\nC) 4.41%\nD) 4.80%",
"options": [
"A) 5.57%",
"B) 4.03%",
"C) 4.41%",
"D) 4.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 94.78\nB) 92.89\nC) 90.04\nD) 96.68",
"options": [
"A) 94.78",
"B) 92.89",
"C) 90.04",
"D) 96.68"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "94.78",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20040215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-06.)\n\nA) 298,446\nB) 356,000\nC) 327,223\nD) 442,332",
"options": [
"A) 298,446",
"B) 356,000",
"C) 327,223",
"D) 442,332"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "356,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.71pp\nB) -0.09pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -0.30pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.71pp",
"B) -0.09pp",
"C) -0.40pp",
"D) -0.30pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20040815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.09%\nB) 2.81%\nC) 5.37%\nD) 3.45%",
"options": [
"A) 4.09%",
"B) 2.81%",
"C) 5.37%",
"D) 3.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.45%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) $8,040B\nB) $7,527B\nC) $7,784B\nD) $7,270B",
"options": [
"A) $8,040B",
"B) $7,527B",
"C) $7,784B",
"D) $7,270B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$8,040B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 4.81%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.26%",
"options": [
"A) 2.49%",
"B) 4.81%",
"C) 4.03%",
"D) 3.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.81%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) $167,046M\nB) $200,410M\nC) $183,728M\nD) $178,167M",
"options": [
"A) $167,046M",
"B) $200,410M",
"C) $183,728M",
"D) $178,167M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$183,728M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.24%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 2.51%\nD) 1.71%",
"options": [
"A) 2.24%",
"B) 1.98%",
"C) 2.51%",
"D) 1.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.71%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 191.70\nB) 200.58\nC) 206.50\nD) 185.78",
"options": [
"A) 191.70",
"B) 200.58",
"C) 206.50",
"D) 185.78"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "191.70",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20040215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 109.5315\nB) 105.6000\nC) 93.8054\nD) 117.3946",
"options": [
"A) 109.5315",
"B) 105.6000",
"C) 93.8054",
"D) 117.3946"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "105.6000",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 3.13%\nC) 2.01%\nD) 1.64%",
"options": [
"A) 2.38%",
"B) 3.13%",
"C) 2.01%",
"D) 1.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.01%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 195.99\nB) 177.41\nC) 171.21\nD) 186.70",
"options": [
"A) 195.99",
"B) 177.41",
"C) 171.21",
"D) 186.70"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "186.70",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.75%\nB) 10.30%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 7.94%",
"options": [
"A) 6.75%",
"B) 10.30%",
"C) 3.20%",
"D) 7.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.75%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20041115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) $40.56/bbl\nB) $46.95/bbl\nC) $50.15/bbl\nD) $37.36/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $40.56/bbl",
"B) $46.95/bbl",
"C) $50.15/bbl",
"D) $37.36/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$46.95/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20040515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-06.)\n\nA) $6,530B\nB) $5,589B\nC) $6,059B\nD) $5,824B",
"options": [
"A) $6,530B",
"B) $5,589B",
"C) $6,059B",
"D) $5,824B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$6,059B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.08%\nB) 1.33%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 2.46%",
"options": [
"A) 2.08%",
"B) 1.33%",
"C) 3.21%",
"D) 2.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.46%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.89%\nB) 6.36%\nC) 7.82%\nD) 3.43%",
"options": [
"A) 4.89%",
"B) 6.36%",
"C) 7.82%",
"D) 3.43%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.89%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20040815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-06.)\n\nA) 386,314\nB) 332,000\nC) 250,530\nD) 304,843",
"options": [
"A) 386,314",
"B) 332,000",
"C) 250,530",
"D) 304,843"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "332,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 85.02\nB) 82.16\nC) 80.25\nD) 77.39",
"options": [
"A) 85.02",
"B) 82.16",
"C) 80.25",
"D) 77.39"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "80.25",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 84.04\nB) 97.18\nC) 79.66\nD) 92.80",
"options": [
"A) 84.04",
"B) 97.18",
"C) 79.66",
"D) 92.80"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "92.80",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 78.36%\nB) 82.83%\nC) 75.38%\nD) 72.41%",
"options": [
"A) 78.36%",
"B) 82.83%",
"C) 75.38%",
"D) 72.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "78.36%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 13.64%\nB) 7.25%\nC) 11.51%\nD) 2.98%",
"options": [
"A) 13.64%",
"B) 7.25%",
"C) 11.51%",
"D) 2.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "7.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 82.70\nB) 84.63\nC) 79.80\nD) 76.90",
"options": [
"A) 82.70",
"B) 84.63",
"C) 79.80",
"D) 76.90"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "79.80",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) -5.86%\nB) 14.34%\nC) 19.39%\nD) 4.24%",
"options": [
"A) -5.86%",
"B) 14.34%",
"C) 19.39%",
"D) 4.24%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.24%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 8.14%\nC) -3.27%\nD) -7.07%",
"options": [
"A) 4.34%",
"B) 8.14%",
"C) -3.27%",
"D) -7.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.34%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $757M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $4,300,000M",
"options": [
"A) $6,200,000M",
"B) $757M",
"C) $2,400,000M",
"D) $4,300,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$757M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) $9,040B\nB) $7,503B\nC) $8,272B\nD) $8,015B",
"options": [
"A) $9,040B",
"B) $7,503B",
"C) $8,272B",
"D) $8,015B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$8,272B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 60.00%\nB) 61.25%\nC) 63.75%\nD) 62.50%",
"options": [
"A) 60.00%",
"B) 61.25%",
"C) 63.75%",
"D) 62.50%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "62.50%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20041115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) $39.32/bbl\nB) $30.46/bbl\nC) $42.27/bbl\nD) $33.41/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $39.32/bbl",
"B) $30.46/bbl",
"C) $42.27/bbl",
"D) $33.41/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$39.32/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 169.07\nB) 148.34\nC) 127.60\nD) 155.25",
"options": [
"A) 169.07",
"B) 148.34",
"C) 127.60",
"D) 155.25"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "148.34",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.25%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 5.40%\nD) 4.13%",
"options": [
"A) 6.25%",
"B) 4.98%",
"C) 5.40%",
"D) 4.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.45%\nB) 7.63%\nC) -3.27%\nD) 3.27%",
"options": [
"A) 5.45%",
"B) 7.63%",
"C) -3.27%",
"D) 3.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.27%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20041115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) 13.38\nB) 10.36\nC) 19.41\nD) 16.40",
"options": [
"A) 13.38",
"B) 10.36",
"C) 19.41",
"D) 16.40"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "13.38",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $735M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M",
"options": [
"A) $4,300,000M",
"B) $735M",
"C) $2,400,000M",
"D) $6,200,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$735M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 61.05%\nB) 59.18%\nC) 62.30%\nD) 64.17%",
"options": [
"A) 61.05%",
"B) 59.18%",
"C) 62.30%",
"D) 64.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "62.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20040815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) +2.78pp\nB) +1.24pp\nC) +0.72pp\nD) +1.75pp",
"options": [
"A) +2.78pp",
"B) +1.24pp",
"C) +0.72pp",
"D) +1.75pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+1.75pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20040515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 18.47\nB) 26.76\nC) 12.95\nD) 15.71",
"options": [
"A) 18.47",
"B) 26.76",
"C) 12.95",
"D) 15.71"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "18.47",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) $319,009M\nB) $303,915M\nC) $288,821M\nD) $296,368M",
"options": [
"A) $319,009M",
"B) $303,915M",
"C) $288,821M",
"D) $296,368M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$303,915M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 64.02%\nB) 67.98%\nC) 66.00%\nD) 61.38%",
"options": [
"A) 64.02%",
"B) 67.98%",
"C) 66.00%",
"D) 61.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "66.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.03%\nB) 4.74%\nC) 4.30%\nD) 5.60%",
"options": [
"A) 6.03%",
"B) 4.74%",
"C) 4.30%",
"D) 5.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) $320,520M\nB) $296,895M\nC) $328,395M\nD) $344,145M",
"options": [
"A) $320,520M",
"B) $296,895M",
"C) $328,395M",
"D) $344,145M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$320,520M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) $8,178B\nB) $8,754B\nC) $9,329B\nD) $7,891B",
"options": [
"A) $8,178B",
"B) $8,754B",
"C) $9,329B",
"D) $7,891B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$8,754B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) $-49,988M\nB) $-57,306M\nC) $-53,647M\nD) $-42,670M",
"options": [
"A) $-49,988M",
"B) $-57,306M",
"C) $-53,647M",
"D) $-42,670M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$-53,647M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) $5,849B\nB) $5,576B\nC) $6,940B\nD) $6,122B",
"options": [
"A) $5,849B",
"B) $5,576B",
"C) $6,940B",
"D) $6,122B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$6,122B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.17%\nB) 17.76%\nC) 10.04%\nD) -5.42%",
"options": [
"A) 6.17%",
"B) 17.76%",
"C) 10.04%",
"D) -5.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.17%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20040515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-06.)\n\nA) 5.44%\nB) 6.34%\nC) 7.68%\nD) 5.00%",
"options": [
"A) 5.44%",
"B) 6.34%",
"C) 7.68%",
"D) 5.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.34%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) -1.42pp\nB) -0.74pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) +0.28pp",
"options": [
"A) -1.42pp",
"B) -0.74pp",
"C) -0.40pp",
"D) +0.28pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20040215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) $31.95/bbl\nB) $29.38/bbl\nC) $42.20/bbl\nD) $34.51/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $31.95/bbl",
"B) $29.38/bbl",
"C) $42.20/bbl",
"D) $34.51/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$34.51/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.04%\nB) 10.55%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 9.38%",
"options": [
"A) 7.04%",
"B) 10.55%",
"C) 4.70%",
"D) 9.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7.04%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) $5,736B\nB) $6,276B\nC) $6,546B\nD) $6,006B",
"options": [
"A) $5,736B",
"B) $6,276B",
"C) $6,546B",
"D) $6,006B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$6,276B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.27%\nB) 1.81%\nC) 2.39%\nD) 1.51%",
"options": [
"A) 3.27%",
"B) 1.81%",
"C) 2.39%",
"D) 1.51%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.39%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20041115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2004-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) -0.91%\nB) 81.87%\nC) -21.60%\nD) 40.48%",
"options": [
"A) -0.91%",
"B) 81.87%",
"C) -21.60%",
"D) 40.48%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "40.48%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.88%\nB) 8.53%\nC) 4.40%\nD) 7.70%",
"options": [
"A) 6.88%",
"B) 8.53%",
"C) 4.40%",
"D) 7.70%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.88%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 122,972K\nB) 130,821K\nC) 126,896K\nD) 134,746K",
"options": [
"A) 122,972K",
"B) 130,821K",
"C) 126,896K",
"D) 134,746K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "130,821K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 155.73\nB) 148.88\nC) 142.03\nD) 128.32",
"options": [
"A) 155.73",
"B) 148.88",
"C) 142.03",
"D) 128.32"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "142.03",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20040215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2004-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) -28.78%\nB) -50.58%\nC) 36.63%\nD) -6.97%",
"options": [
"A) -28.78%",
"B) -50.58%",
"C) 36.63%",
"D) -6.97%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-6.97%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 79.95\nB) 76.80\nC) 74.70\nD) 82.04",
"options": [
"A) 79.95",
"B) 76.80",
"C) 74.70",
"D) 82.04"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "79.95",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.92%\nB) 1.70%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.18%",
"options": [
"A) 0.92%",
"B) 1.70%",
"C) 1.96%",
"D) 1.18%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.04pp\nB) -0.37pp\nC) -0.70pp\nD) -1.36pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.04pp",
"B) -0.37pp",
"C) -0.70pp",
"D) -1.36pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.70pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.62pp\nB) -0.93pp\nC) +0.33pp\nD) -0.30pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.62pp",
"B) -0.93pp",
"C) +0.33pp",
"D) -0.30pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20041115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2004-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-06.)\n\nA) 9.95%\nB) 13.74%\nC) 7.42%\nD) 6.16%",
"options": [
"A) 9.95%",
"B) 13.74%",
"C) 7.42%",
"D) 6.16%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "9.95%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.16%\nB) 2.55%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 3.33%",
"options": [
"A) 2.16%",
"B) 2.55%",
"C) 2.94%",
"D) 3.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.55%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.58%\nB) 3.29%\nC) 2.71%\nD) 3.00%",
"options": [
"A) 3.58%",
"B) 3.29%",
"C) 2.71%",
"D) 3.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.71%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20041115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-06.)\n\nA) $7,042B\nB) $6,043B\nC) $5,544B\nD) $6,293B",
"options": [
"A) $7,042B",
"B) $6,043B",
"C) $5,544B",
"D) $6,293B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$6,293B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.69%\nB) 1.29%\nC) 2.49%\nD) 2.90%",
"options": [
"A) 1.69%",
"B) 1.29%",
"C) 2.49%",
"D) 2.90%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20040215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-06.)\n\nA) 4,122,604\nB) 3,131,000\nC) 3,461,535\nD) 2,469,931",
"options": [
"A) 4,122,604",
"B) 3,131,000",
"C) 3,461,535",
"D) 2,469,931"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3,131,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.73pp\nB) -0.33pp\nC) +0.20pp\nD) +0.99pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.73pp",
"B) -0.33pp",
"C) +0.20pp",
"D) +0.99pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+0.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20040815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.51%\nB) 4.52%\nC) 0.48%\nD) 1.49%",
"options": [
"A) 3.51%",
"B) 4.52%",
"C) 0.48%",
"D) 1.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.49%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.73%\nB) 10.69%\nC) -9.14%\nD) 0.78%",
"options": [
"A) 5.73%",
"B) 10.69%",
"C) -9.14%",
"D) 0.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.73%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 128,528K\nB) 132,503K\nC) 136,478K\nD) 140,453K",
"options": [
"A) 128,528K",
"B) 132,503K",
"C) 136,478K",
"D) 140,453K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "132,503K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 8.29%\nB) 7.45%\nC) 5.79%\nD) 4.96%",
"options": [
"A) 8.29%",
"B) 7.45%",
"C) 5.79%",
"D) 4.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.79%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) $-57,524M\nB) $-54,201M\nC) $-50,877M\nD) $-47,553M",
"options": [
"A) $-57,524M",
"B) $-54,201M",
"C) $-50,877M",
"D) $-47,553M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$-47,553M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 62.30%\nB) 61.05%\nC) 64.17%\nD) 59.18%",
"options": [
"A) 62.30%",
"B) 61.05%",
"C) 64.17%",
"D) 59.18%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "62.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20040815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 8.94\nB) 17.57\nC) 11.82\nD) 20.45",
"options": [
"A) 8.94",
"B) 17.57",
"C) 11.82",
"D) 20.45"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "17.57",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20041115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2004-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2004-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-08.)\n\nA) -34.37%\nB) 26.60%\nC) 6.28%\nD) -14.05%",
"options": [
"A) -34.37%",
"B) 26.60%",
"C) 6.28%",
"D) -14.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.28%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20040515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2004-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-08.)\n\nA) 1,439.52\nB) 2,813.66\nC) 2,355.62\nD) 1,897.57",
"options": [
"A) 1,439.52",
"B) 2,813.66",
"C) 2,355.62",
"D) 1,897.57"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,897.57",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,782K\nB) 1,615K\nC) 1,532K\nD) 1,949K",
"options": [
"A) 1,782K",
"B) 1,615K",
"C) 1,532K",
"D) 1,949K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,782K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) -1.13pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -0.18pp\nD) -0.82pp",
"options": [
"A) -1.13pp",
"B) -0.50pp",
"C) -0.18pp",
"D) -0.82pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.50pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.25%\nB) 0.97%\nC) 7.39%\nD) 11.67%",
"options": [
"A) 5.25%",
"B) 0.97%",
"C) 7.39%",
"D) 11.67%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "7.39%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20040215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-06.)\n\nA) $6,405B\nB) $5,264B\nC) $5,721B\nD) $5,949B",
"options": [
"A) $6,405B",
"B) $5,264B",
"C) $5,721B",
"D) $5,949B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$5,949B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 194.90\nB) 203.95\nC) 188.86\nD) 182.83",
"options": [
"A) 194.90",
"B) 203.95",
"C) 188.86",
"D) 182.83"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "194.90",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 75.34%\nB) 79.33%\nC) 83.32%\nD) 85.98%",
"options": [
"A) 75.34%",
"B) 79.33%",
"C) 83.32%",
"D) 85.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "79.33%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20040815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2004-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2004-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,700.52\nB) 2,241.68\nC) 1,782.84\nD) 1,324.00",
"options": [
"A) 2,700.52",
"B) 2,241.68",
"C) 1,782.84",
"D) 1,324.00"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,782.84",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) -1.29%\nB) 5.17%\nC) 11.62%\nD) 8.39%",
"options": [
"A) -1.29%",
"B) 5.17%",
"C) 11.62%",
"D) 8.39%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "8.39%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) $9,081B\nB) $8,516B\nC) $9,646B\nD) $8,799B",
"options": [
"A) $9,081B",
"B) $8,516B",
"C) $9,646B",
"D) $8,799B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$9,081B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20040501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.90%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 2.22%",
"options": [
"A) 1.90%",
"B) 2.01%",
"C) 2.33%",
"D) 2.22%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.01%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 9.62%\nC) 5.46%\nD) 1.30%",
"options": [
"A) 4.08%",
"B) 9.62%",
"C) 5.46%",
"D) 1.30%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.46%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) -1.85pp\nB) +3.86pp\nC) +1.01pp\nD) +2.43pp",
"options": [
"A) -1.85pp",
"B) +3.86pp",
"C) +1.01pp",
"D) +2.43pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+2.43pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20041101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.40%\nB) 4.16%\nC) 4.99%\nD) 6.64%",
"options": [
"A) 5.40%",
"B) 4.16%",
"C) 4.99%",
"D) 6.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 131.19\nB) 153.81\nC) 161.36\nD) 146.27",
"options": [
"A) 131.19",
"B) 153.81",
"C) 161.36",
"D) 146.27"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "153.81",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) 135,897K\nB) 127,981K\nC) 131,939K\nD) 141,175K",
"options": [
"A) 135,897K",
"B) 127,981K",
"C) 131,939K",
"D) 141,175K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "131,939K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20040801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for August 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-01.)\n\nA) -1.93%\nB) 6.30%\nC) 18.66%\nD) 10.42%",
"options": [
"A) -1.93%",
"B) 6.30%",
"C) 18.66%",
"D) 10.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "10.42%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,846K\nB) 1,913K\nC) 1,779K\nD) 1,980K",
"options": [
"A) 1,846K",
"B) 1,913K",
"C) 1,779K",
"D) 1,980K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,846K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20040201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-01.)\n\nA) +2.96pp\nB) +1.56pp\nC) +0.16pp\nD) -2.64pp",
"options": [
"A) +2.96pp",
"B) +1.56pp",
"C) +0.16pp",
"D) -2.64pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+1.56pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20040215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2004-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-08.)\n\nA) 40.12%\nB) -19.84%\nC) 0.15%\nD) 60.10%",
"options": [
"A) 40.12%",
"B) -19.84%",
"C) 0.15%",
"D) 60.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.15%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2004-01-28",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-25",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2004-01-28, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for February 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-25.)\n\nA) 4.12%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 1.01%",
"options": [
"A) 4.12%",
"B) 3.08%",
"C) 2.05%",
"D) 1.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.01%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2004-03-16",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "April 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-13",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2004-03-16, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 3.11%",
"options": [
"A) 1.00%",
"B) 2.05%",
"C) 4.16%",
"D) 3.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2004-05-04",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "June 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-01",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2004-05-04, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for June 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-01.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 1.03%\nC) 2.10%\nD) 3.16%",
"options": [
"A) 4.23%",
"B) 1.03%",
"C) 2.10%",
"D) 3.16%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.03%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2004-06-30",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "July 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-27",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2004-06-30, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for July 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-27.)\n\nA) 0.19%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.26%\nD) 3.40%",
"options": [
"A) 0.19%",
"B) 2.33%",
"C) 1.26%",
"D) 3.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2004-08-10",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-07",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2004-08-10, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-07.)\n\nA) 3.75%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 4.82%\nD) 1.61%",
"options": [
"A) 3.75%",
"B) 0.54%",
"C) 4.82%",
"D) 1.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.61%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2004-09-21",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "October 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-09-18",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2004-09-21, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for October 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-09-18.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 0.69%\nC) 2.83%\nD) 4.96%",
"options": [
"A) 1.76%",
"B) 0.69%",
"C) 2.83%",
"D) 4.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.76%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2004-11-10",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "December 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-07",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2004-11-10, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for December 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-07.)\n\nA) 5.31%\nB) 2.16%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 0.06%",
"options": [
"A) 5.31%",
"B) 2.16%",
"C) 3.21%",
"D) 0.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.16%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2004-12-14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "January 2005",
"info_cutoff": "2004-12-11",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2004-12-14, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for January 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2004-12-11.)\n\nA) 5.39%\nB) 3.32%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 4.36%",
"options": [
"A) 5.39%",
"B) 3.32%",
"C) 2.28%",
"D) 4.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.28%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200401",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "January 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for January 2004 (released around 2004-02-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 74K\nB) 260K\nC) 445K\nD) 167K",
"options": [
"A) 74K",
"B) 260K",
"C) 445K",
"D) 167K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "167K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200402",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "February 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-27",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for February 2004 (released around 2004-03-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-27.)\n\nA) 65K\nB) 334K\nC) -25K\nD) -204K",
"options": [
"A) 65K",
"B) 334K",
"C) -25K",
"D) -204K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "65K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200403",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "March 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-26",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for March 2004 (released around 2004-04-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-26.)\n\nA) 593K\nB) 319K\nC) 501K\nD) 228K",
"options": [
"A) 593K",
"B) 319K",
"C) 501K",
"D) 228K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "319K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200404",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "April 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-04-30",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for April 2004 (released around 2004-05-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-04-30.)\n\nA) 92K\nB) 543K\nC) 272K\nD) 1K",
"options": [
"A) 92K",
"B) 543K",
"C) 272K",
"D) 1K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "272K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200405",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "May 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-28",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for May 2004 (released around 2004-06-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-28.)\n\nA) 104K\nB) 376K\nC) 557K\nD) 285K",
"options": [
"A) 104K",
"B) 376K",
"C) 557K",
"D) 285K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "285K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200406",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "June 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-25",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for June 2004 (released around 2004-07-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-25.)\n\nA) 97K\nB) -82K\nC) 187K\nD) 7K",
"options": [
"A) 97K",
"B) -82K",
"C) 187K",
"D) 7K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "97K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200407",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "July 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-30",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for July 2004 (released around 2004-08-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-30.)\n\nA) 235K\nB) 60K\nC) -115K\nD) -203K",
"options": [
"A) 235K",
"B) 60K",
"C) -115K",
"D) -203K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "60K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200408",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "August 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-27",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for August 2004 (released around 2004-09-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-27.)\n\nA) 260K\nB) -177K\nC) 85K\nD) -2K",
"options": [
"A) 260K",
"B) -177K",
"C) 85K",
"D) -2K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "85K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200409",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "September 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-09-24",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for September 2004 (released around 2004-10-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-09-24.)\n\nA) -111K\nB) 324K\nC) -24K\nD) 150K",
"options": [
"A) -111K",
"B) 324K",
"C) -24K",
"D) 150K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "150K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200410",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "October 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-29",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for October 2004 (released around 2004-11-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-29.)\n\nA) 340K\nB) 426K\nC) 598K\nD) 512K",
"options": [
"A) 340K",
"B) 426K",
"C) 598K",
"D) 512K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "340K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200411",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "November 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-26",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for November 2004 (released around 2004-12-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-26.)\n\nA) 158K\nB) 74K\nC) -10K\nD) -179K",
"options": [
"A) 158K",
"B) 74K",
"C) -10K",
"D) -179K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "74K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-200412",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "December 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-12-31",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for December 2004 (released around 2005-01-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-12-31.)\n\nA) 374K\nB) -120K\nC) 127K\nD) 45K",
"options": [
"A) 374K",
"B) -120K",
"C) 127K",
"D) 45K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "127K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-200401",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "January 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for January 2004 (released around 2004-02-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-06.)\n\nA) 2.43%\nB) 0.82%\nC) 3.23%\nD) 2.03%",
"options": [
"A) 2.43%",
"B) 0.82%",
"C) 3.23%",
"D) 2.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.03%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-200403",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-04-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for March 2004 (released around 2004-04-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-04-06.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 2.94%\nC) 0.94%\nD) 2.54%",
"options": [
"A) 1.74%",
"B) 2.94%",
"C) 0.94%",
"D) 2.54%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.74%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-200404",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "April 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for April 2004 (released around 2004-05-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-06.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 3.08%",
"options": [
"A) 3.48%",
"B) 2.29%",
"C) 2.69%",
"D) 3.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.29%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-200406",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "June 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for June 2004 (released around 2004-07-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-06.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 3.17%\nD) 3.95%",
"options": [
"A) 4.34%",
"B) 2.38%",
"C) 3.17%",
"D) 3.95%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.17%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-200407",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "July 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for July 2004 (released around 2004-08-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-06.)\n\nA) 2.16%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 2.94%",
"options": [
"A) 2.16%",
"B) 3.33%",
"C) 3.72%",
"D) 2.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-200409",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for September 2004 (released around 2004-10-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-06.)\n\nA) 2.54%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 3.31%\nD) 3.69%",
"options": [
"A) 2.54%",
"B) 2.15%",
"C) 3.31%",
"D) 3.69%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.54%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-200410",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "October 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for October 2004 (released around 2004-11-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-06.)\n\nA) 4.35%\nB) 3.19%\nC) 2.03%\nD) 2.80%",
"options": [
"A) 4.35%",
"B) 3.19%",
"C) 2.03%",
"D) 2.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.19%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-200412",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "December 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2005-01-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for December 2004 (released around 2005-01-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-06.)\n\nA) 2.95%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 3.34%\nD) 2.57%",
"options": [
"A) 2.95%",
"B) 2.18%",
"C) 3.34%",
"D) 2.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.34%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-gdp-2004q1",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "gdp_yoy",
"indicator": "GDPC1",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "Q1 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-14",
"question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q1 2004 (advance estimate released around 2004-05-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-14.)\n\nA) 6.61%\nB) 2.83%\nC) 3.59%\nD) 4.34%",
"options": [
"A) 6.61%",
"B) 2.83%",
"C) 3.59%",
"D) 4.34%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.34%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-gdp-2004q2",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "gdp_yoy",
"indicator": "GDPC1",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "Q2 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-14",
"question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q2 2004 (advance estimate released around 2004-08-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-14.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 4.97%\nD) 6.45%",
"options": [
"A) 4.23%",
"B) 3.49%",
"C) 4.97%",
"D) 6.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.23%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-gdp-2004q3",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "gdp_yoy",
"indicator": "GDPC1",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "Q3 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-14",
"question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q3 2004 (advance estimate released around 2004-11-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-14.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 1.32%\nD) 2.04%",
"options": [
"A) 4.22%",
"B) 3.49%",
"C) 1.32%",
"D) 2.04%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.49%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-gdp-2004q4",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "gdp_yoy",
"indicator": "GDPC1",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "Q4 2004",
"info_cutoff": "2005-02-14",
"question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q4 2004 (advance estimate released around 2005-02-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2005-02-14.)\n\nA) 4.79%\nB) 4.07%\nC) 3.35%\nD) 2.63%",
"options": [
"A) 4.79%",
"B) 4.07%",
"C) 3.35%",
"D) 2.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.35%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040102",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-01-02",
"info_cutoff": "2003-12-26",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-01-02? (Use only information available on or before 2003-12-26.)\n\nA) 21.64\nB) 28.29\nC) 11.66\nD) 18.31",
"options": [
"A) 21.64",
"B) 28.29",
"C) 11.66",
"D) 18.31"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "18.31",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040109",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-01-09",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-02",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-01-09? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-02.)\n\nA) 17.49\nB) 27.51\nC) 7.47\nD) 10.81",
"options": [
"A) 17.49",
"B) 27.51",
"C) 7.47",
"D) 10.81"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "17.49",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040116",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-01-16",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-09",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-01-16? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-09.)\n\nA) 14.68\nB) 18.04\nC) 21.40\nD) 7.96",
"options": [
"A) 14.68",
"B) 18.04",
"C) 21.40",
"D) 7.96"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "18.04",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040206",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-02-06",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-02-06? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 7.57\nB) 21.30\nC) 17.87\nD) 24.74",
"options": [
"A) 7.57",
"B) 21.30",
"C) 17.87",
"D) 24.74"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "17.87",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040213",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-02-13",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-06",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-02-13? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-06.)\n\nA) 26.74\nB) 12.94\nC) 23.29\nD) 16.39",
"options": [
"A) 26.74",
"B) 12.94",
"C) 23.29",
"D) 16.39"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "16.39",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040220",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-02-20",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-13",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-02-20? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-13.)\n\nA) 16.04\nB) 5.61\nC) 19.52\nD) 12.56",
"options": [
"A) 16.04",
"B) 5.61",
"C) 19.52",
"D) 12.56"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "16.04",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040305",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-03-05",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-27",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-03-05? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-27.)\n\nA) 18.38\nB) 14.86\nC) 11.34\nD) 25.42",
"options": [
"A) 18.38",
"B) 14.86",
"C) 11.34",
"D) 25.42"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "14.86",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040312",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-03-12",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-05",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-03-12? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-05.)\n\nA) 10.02\nB) 31.32\nC) 20.67\nD) 27.77",
"options": [
"A) 10.02",
"B) 31.32",
"C) 20.67",
"D) 27.77"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "20.67",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040319",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-12",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-12.)\n\nA) 31.80\nB) 28.24\nC) 17.57\nD) 21.13",
"options": [
"A) 31.80",
"B) 28.24",
"C) 17.57",
"D) 21.13"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "21.13",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040402",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-04-02",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-26",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-26.)\n\nA) 16.74\nB) 20.29\nC) 27.39\nD) 23.84",
"options": [
"A) 16.74",
"B) 20.29",
"C) 27.39",
"D) 23.84"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "16.74",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040409",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-04-09",
"info_cutoff": "2004-04-02",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2004-04-02.)\n\nA) 26.94\nB) 16.26\nC) 5.58\nD) 23.38",
"options": [
"A) 26.94",
"B) 16.26",
"C) 5.58",
"D) 23.38"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "16.26",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040416",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-04-16",
"info_cutoff": "2004-04-09",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-04-16? (Use only information available on or before 2004-04-09.)\n\nA) 6.53\nB) 13.68\nC) 17.26\nD) 10.11",
"options": [
"A) 6.53",
"B) 13.68",
"C) 17.26",
"D) 10.11"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "17.26",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040507",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-05-07",
"info_cutoff": "2004-04-30",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-05-07? (Use only information available on or before 2004-04-30.)\n\nA) 21.76\nB) 29.02\nC) 25.39\nD) 18.13",
"options": [
"A) 21.76",
"B) 29.02",
"C) 25.39",
"D) 18.13"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "18.13",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040514",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-05-14",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-07",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-05-14? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-07.)\n\nA) 19.77\nB) 27.06\nC) 23.41\nD) 30.70",
"options": [
"A) 19.77",
"B) 27.06",
"C) 23.41",
"D) 30.70"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "19.77",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040521",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-05-21",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-14",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-05-21? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-14.)\n\nA) 30.90\nB) 19.96\nC) 9.02\nD) 16.31",
"options": [
"A) 30.90",
"B) 19.96",
"C) 9.02",
"D) 16.31"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "19.96",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040604",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-06-04",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-28",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-06-04? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-28.)\n\nA) 6.05\nB) 28.01\nC) 17.03\nD) 9.71",
"options": [
"A) 6.05",
"B) 28.01",
"C) 17.03",
"D) 9.71"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "17.03",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040611",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-06-11",
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-04",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-06-11? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-04.)\n\nA) 8.04\nB) 19.06\nC) 26.41\nD) 15.39",
"options": [
"A) 8.04",
"B) 19.06",
"C) 26.41",
"D) 15.39"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "15.39",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040618",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-06-18",
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-11",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-06-18? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-11.)\n\nA) 16.07\nB) 19.77\nC) 8.67\nD) 23.47",
"options": [
"A) 16.07",
"B) 19.77",
"C) 8.67",
"D) 23.47"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "16.07",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040702",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-07-02",
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-25",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-07-02? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-25.)\n\nA) 12.33\nB) 16.07\nC) 23.55\nD) 8.59",
"options": [
"A) 12.33",
"B) 16.07",
"C) 23.55",
"D) 8.59"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "16.07",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040709",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-02",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-02.)\n\nA) 12.49\nB) 27.53\nC) 16.25\nD) 23.77",
"options": [
"A) 12.49",
"B) 27.53",
"C) 16.25",
"D) 23.77"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "16.25",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040716",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-07-16",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-09",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-07-16? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-09.)\n\nA) 7.43\nB) 26.25\nC) 18.72\nD) 14.96",
"options": [
"A) 7.43",
"B) 26.25",
"C) 18.72",
"D) 14.96"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "14.96",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040806",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-08-06",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-30",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-08-06? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-30.)\n\nA) 19.34\nB) 30.22\nC) 15.71\nD) 22.97",
"options": [
"A) 19.34",
"B) 30.22",
"C) 15.71",
"D) 22.97"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "19.34",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040813",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-08-13",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-06",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-08-13? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-06.)\n\nA) 22.61\nB) 19.08\nC) 15.55\nD) 8.49",
"options": [
"A) 22.61",
"B) 19.08",
"C) 15.55",
"D) 8.49"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "19.08",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040820",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-08-20",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-13",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-08-20? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-13.)\n\nA) 21.03\nB) 14.11\nC) 17.57\nD) 27.96",
"options": [
"A) 21.03",
"B) 14.11",
"C) 17.57",
"D) 27.96"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "17.57",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040903",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-09-03",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-27",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-09-03? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-27.)\n\nA) 25.79\nB) 11.99\nC) 8.54\nD) 15.44",
"options": [
"A) 25.79",
"B) 11.99",
"C) 8.54",
"D) 15.44"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "15.44",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040910",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-09-10",
"info_cutoff": "2004-09-03",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-09-10? (Use only information available on or before 2004-09-03.)\n\nA) 14.07\nB) 10.66\nC) 24.31\nD) 7.25",
"options": [
"A) 14.07",
"B) 10.66",
"C) 24.31",
"D) 7.25"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "14.07",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20040917",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2004-09-10",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2004-09-10.)\n\nA) 17.99\nB) 14.64\nC) 21.34\nD) 24.68",
"options": [
"A) 17.99",
"B) 14.64",
"C) 21.34",
"D) 24.68"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "14.64",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20041001",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-10-01",
"info_cutoff": "2004-09-24",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-10-01? (Use only information available on or before 2004-09-24.)\n\nA) 20.96\nB) 24.14\nC) 14.62\nD) 5.10",
"options": [
"A) 20.96",
"B) 24.14",
"C) 14.62",
"D) 5.10"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "14.62",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20041008",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-10-08",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-10-08? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) 24.34\nB) 18.15\nC) 8.86\nD) 15.05",
"options": [
"A) 24.34",
"B) 18.15",
"C) 8.86",
"D) 15.05"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "15.05",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20041015",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-10-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-08",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-10-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-08.)\n\nA) 16.43\nB) 7.52\nC) 10.49\nD) 22.37",
"options": [
"A) 16.43",
"B) 7.52",
"C) 10.49",
"D) 22.37"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "16.43",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20041105",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-11-05",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-29",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-29.)\n\nA) 19.00\nB) 16.27\nC) 24.46\nD) 10.81",
"options": [
"A) 19.00",
"B) 16.27",
"C) 24.46",
"D) 10.81"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "16.27",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20041112",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-11-12",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-05",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-11-12? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-05.)\n\nA) 21.86\nB) 19.18\nC) 13.80\nD) 11.11",
"options": [
"A) 21.86",
"B) 19.18",
"C) 13.80",
"D) 11.11"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "13.80",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20041119",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-11-19",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-12",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-11-19? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-12.)\n\nA) 5.54\nB) 16.15\nC) 21.46\nD) 13.50",
"options": [
"A) 5.54",
"B) 16.15",
"C) 21.46",
"D) 13.50"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "13.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20041203",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-12-03",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-26",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-12-03? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-26.)\n\nA) 13.30\nB) 21.23\nC) 8.02\nD) 15.94",
"options": [
"A) 13.30",
"B) 21.23",
"C) 8.02",
"D) 15.94"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "13.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20041210",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-12-10",
"info_cutoff": "2004-12-03",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-12-10? (Use only information available on or before 2004-12-03.)\n\nA) 8.41\nB) 13.67\nC) 11.04\nD) 21.57",
"options": [
"A) 8.41",
"B) 13.67",
"C) 11.04",
"D) 21.57"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "13.67",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20041217",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-12-17",
"info_cutoff": "2004-12-10",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2004-12-17? (Use only information available on or before 2004-12-10.)\n\nA) 17.93\nB) 10.13\nC) 12.73\nD) 7.53",
"options": [
"A) 17.93",
"B) 10.13",
"C) 12.73",
"D) 7.53"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "12.73",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040102",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-01-02",
"info_cutoff": "2003-12-26",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-01-02? (Use only information available on or before 2003-12-26.)\n\nA) -5.63%\nB) 3.20%\nC) 4.96%\nD) -0.33%",
"options": [
"A) -5.63%",
"B) 3.20%",
"C) 4.96%",
"D) -0.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.33%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040109",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-01-09",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-02",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-01-09? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-02.)\n\nA) 3.22%\nB) -0.31%\nC) 6.75%\nD) 1.46%",
"options": [
"A) 3.22%",
"B) -0.31%",
"C) 6.75%",
"D) 1.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.22%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040116",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-01-16",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-09",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-01-16? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-09.)\n\nA) -2.16%\nB) 1.32%\nC) -0.42%\nD) 3.07%",
"options": [
"A) -2.16%",
"B) 1.32%",
"C) -0.42%",
"D) 3.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.32%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040206",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-02-06",
"info_cutoff": "2004-01-30",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-02-06? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.67%\nB) -2.73%\nC) -1.03%\nD) 4.06%",
"options": [
"A) 0.67%",
"B) -2.73%",
"C) -1.03%",
"D) 4.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-1.03%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040213",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-02-13",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-06",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-02-13? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-06.)\n\nA) -2.21%\nB) -5.61%\nC) -3.91%\nD) -0.52%",
"options": [
"A) -2.21%",
"B) -5.61%",
"C) -3.91%",
"D) -0.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.52%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040220",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-02-20",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-13",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-02-20? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-13.)\n\nA) -2.97%\nB) -8.05%\nC) -4.66%\nD) 2.10%",
"options": [
"A) -2.97%",
"B) -8.05%",
"C) -4.66%",
"D) 2.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-2.97%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040305",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-03-05",
"info_cutoff": "2004-02-27",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-03-05? (Use only information available on or before 2004-02-27.)\n\nA) 5.49%\nB) 0.55%\nC) -2.75%\nD) -4.40%",
"options": [
"A) 5.49%",
"B) 0.55%",
"C) -2.75%",
"D) -4.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.55%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040312",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-03-12",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-05",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-03-12? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-05.)\n\nA) 0.44%\nB) 2.08%\nC) -1.20%\nD) -4.48%",
"options": [
"A) 0.44%",
"B) 2.08%",
"C) -1.20%",
"D) -4.48%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-1.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040319",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-12",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-12.)\n\nA) -3.24%\nB) 5.02%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 0.07%",
"options": [
"A) -3.24%",
"B) 5.02%",
"C) 3.37%",
"D) 0.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.07%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040402",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-04-02",
"info_cutoff": "2004-03-26",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2004-03-26.)\n\nA) 3.05%\nB) 6.24%\nC) 7.83%\nD) 4.65%",
"options": [
"A) 3.05%",
"B) 6.24%",
"C) 7.83%",
"D) 4.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.05%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040409",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-04-09",
"info_cutoff": "2004-04-02",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2004-04-02.)\n\nA) 1.57%\nB) -1.59%\nC) -4.75%\nD) -3.17%",
"options": [
"A) 1.57%",
"B) -1.59%",
"C) -4.75%",
"D) -3.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-1.59%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040416",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-04-16",
"info_cutoff": "2004-04-09",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-04-16? (Use only information available on or before 2004-04-09.)\n\nA) -4.58%\nB) -1.44%\nC) -3.01%\nD) 1.69%",
"options": [
"A) -4.58%",
"B) -1.44%",
"C) -3.01%",
"D) 1.69%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-3.01%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040507",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-05-07",
"info_cutoff": "2004-04-30",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-05-07? (Use only information available on or before 2004-04-30.)\n\nA) -1.98%\nB) 1.14%\nC) -5.10%\nD) -0.42%",
"options": [
"A) -1.98%",
"B) 1.14%",
"C) -5.10%",
"D) -0.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.42%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040514",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-05-14",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-07",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-05-14? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-07.)\n\nA) -0.55%\nB) -5.23%\nC) -3.67%\nD) 4.13%",
"options": [
"A) -0.55%",
"B) -5.23%",
"C) -3.67%",
"D) 4.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.55%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040521",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-05-21",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-14",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-05-21? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-14.)\n\nA) -0.92%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 5.33%",
"options": [
"A) -0.92%",
"B) 0.64%",
"C) 2.20%",
"D) 5.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.64%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040604",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-06-04",
"info_cutoff": "2004-05-28",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-06-04? (Use only information available on or before 2004-05-28.)\n\nA) 2.69%\nB) -1.92%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 5.77%",
"options": [
"A) 2.69%",
"B) -1.92%",
"C) 1.16%",
"D) 5.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.16%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040611",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-06-11",
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-04",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-06-11? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-04.)\n\nA) -6.20%\nB) -0.03%\nC) 3.06%\nD) -1.57%",
"options": [
"A) -6.20%",
"B) -0.03%",
"C) 3.06%",
"D) -1.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-1.57%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040618",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-06-18",
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-11",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-06-18? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-11.)\n\nA) 1.88%\nB) -2.74%\nC) -1.20%\nD) 3.42%",
"options": [
"A) 1.88%",
"B) -2.74%",
"C) -1.20%",
"D) 3.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.88%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040702",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-07-02",
"info_cutoff": "2004-06-25",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-07-02? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-25.)\n\nA) -3.91%\nB) -0.85%\nC) 3.74%\nD) -2.38%",
"options": [
"A) -3.91%",
"B) -0.85%",
"C) 3.74%",
"D) -2.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.85%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040709",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-02",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-02.)\n\nA) -5.53%\nB) -2.47%\nC) -0.94%\nD) 2.11%",
"options": [
"A) -5.53%",
"B) -2.47%",
"C) -0.94%",
"D) 2.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040716",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-07-16",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-09",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-07-16? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-09.)\n\nA) -6.04%\nB) 0.03%\nC) 1.55%\nD) -3.00%",
"options": [
"A) -6.04%",
"B) 0.03%",
"C) 1.55%",
"D) -3.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-3.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040806",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-08-06",
"info_cutoff": "2004-07-30",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-08-06? (Use only information available on or before 2004-07-30.)\n\nA) -6.21%\nB) -3.19%\nC) -4.70%\nD) -1.68%",
"options": [
"A) -6.21%",
"B) -3.19%",
"C) -4.70%",
"D) -1.68%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-6.21%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040813",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-08-13",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-06",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-08-13? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-06.)\n\nA) -5.49%\nB) -0.98%\nC) -2.48%\nD) 0.52%",
"options": [
"A) -5.49%",
"B) -0.98%",
"C) -2.48%",
"D) 0.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.98%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040820",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-08-20",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-13",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-08-20? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-13.)\n\nA) 7.61%\nB) 4.60%\nC) 3.09%\nD) -1.42%",
"options": [
"A) 7.61%",
"B) 4.60%",
"C) 3.09%",
"D) -1.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040903",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-09-03",
"info_cutoff": "2004-08-27",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-09-03? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-27.)\n\nA) -2.58%\nB) 3.45%\nC) -4.09%\nD) 0.44%",
"options": [
"A) -2.58%",
"B) 3.45%",
"C) -4.09%",
"D) 0.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.44%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040910",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-09-10",
"info_cutoff": "2004-09-03",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-09-10? (Use only information available on or before 2004-09-03.)\n\nA) 1.92%\nB) 3.43%\nC) 4.94%\nD) 6.45%",
"options": [
"A) 1.92%",
"B) 3.43%",
"C) 4.94%",
"D) 6.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.92%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20040917",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2004-09-10",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2004-09-10.)\n\nA) -1.51%\nB) -0.02%\nC) 1.48%\nD) 2.98%",
"options": [
"A) -1.51%",
"B) -0.02%",
"C) 1.48%",
"D) 2.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.02%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20041001",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-10-01",
"info_cutoff": "2004-09-24",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-10-01? (Use only information available on or before 2004-09-24.)\n\nA) 1.50%\nB) 2.96%\nC) 4.43%\nD) 5.89%",
"options": [
"A) 1.50%",
"B) 2.96%",
"C) 4.43%",
"D) 5.89%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.43%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20041008",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-10-08",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-01",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-10-08? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-01.)\n\nA) -3.12%\nB) -6.03%\nC) -0.20%\nD) -1.66%",
"options": [
"A) -3.12%",
"B) -6.03%",
"C) -0.20%",
"D) -1.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-1.66%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20041015",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-10-15",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-08",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-10-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-08.)\n\nA) -0.89%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 3.42%\nD) -3.77%",
"options": [
"A) -0.89%",
"B) 1.98%",
"C) 3.42%",
"D) -3.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.89%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20041105",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-11-05",
"info_cutoff": "2004-10-29",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2004-10-29.)\n\nA) 5.78%\nB) 2.98%\nC) -1.21%\nD) 7.17%",
"options": [
"A) 5.78%",
"B) 2.98%",
"C) -1.21%",
"D) 7.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.98%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20041112",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-11-12",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-05",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-11-12? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-05.)\n\nA) 0.87%\nB) -1.92%\nC) 2.26%\nD) -0.53%",
"options": [
"A) 0.87%",
"B) -1.92%",
"C) 2.26%",
"D) -0.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20041119",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-11-19",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-12",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-11-19? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-12.)\n\nA) 3.03%\nB) -2.50%\nC) 1.64%\nD) -1.12%",
"options": [
"A) 3.03%",
"B) -2.50%",
"C) 1.64%",
"D) -1.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-1.12%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20041203",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-12-03",
"info_cutoff": "2004-11-26",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-12-03? (Use only information available on or before 2004-11-26.)\n\nA) 1.95%\nB) -0.76%\nC) 0.59%\nD) 3.31%",
"options": [
"A) 1.95%",
"B) -0.76%",
"C) 0.59%",
"D) 3.31%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.95%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20041210",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-12-10",
"info_cutoff": "2004-12-03",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-12-10? (Use only information available on or before 2004-12-03.)\n\nA) -2.43%\nB) -1.08%\nC) 2.97%\nD) 0.27%",
"options": [
"A) -2.43%",
"B) -1.08%",
"C) 2.97%",
"D) 0.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-1.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20041217",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2004-12-17",
"info_cutoff": "2004-12-10",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2004-12-17? (Use only information available on or before 2004-12-10.)\n\nA) -3.30%\nB) 2.07%\nC) -0.62%\nD) -4.65%",
"options": [
"A) -3.30%",
"B) 2.07%",
"C) -0.62%",
"D) -4.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.62%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2004
}
]