| [ |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) $12,288B\nB) $11,302B\nC) $11,549B\nD) $11,795B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $12,288B", |
| "B) $11,302B", |
| "C) $11,549B", |
| "D) $11,795B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$11,795B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 11.26%\nB) -8.91%\nC) 4.54%\nD) -2.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.26%", |
| "B) -8.91%", |
| "C) 4.54%", |
| "D) -2.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "11.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) $103.69/bbl\nB) $83.13/bbl\nC) $113.97/bbl\nD) $62.57/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $103.69/bbl", |
| "B) $83.13/bbl", |
| "C) $113.97/bbl", |
| "D) $62.57/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$83.13/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 10.44\nB) 34.15\nC) 16.37\nD) 22.30", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.44", |
| "B) 34.15", |
| "C) 16.37", |
| "D) 22.30" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "16.37", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 11.94%\nB) 7.35%\nC) 8.49%\nD) 9.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.94%", |
| "B) 7.35%", |
| "C) 8.49%", |
| "D) 9.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "9.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) $-47,460M\nB) $-64,442M\nC) $-53,121M\nD) $-41,799M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-47,460M", |
| "B) $-64,442M", |
| "C) $-53,121M", |
| "D) $-41,799M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$-47,460M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.60%\nB) 10.44%\nC) 18.14%\nD) 21.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.60%", |
| "B) 10.44%", |
| "C) 18.14%", |
| "D) 21.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "10.44%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.71%\nB) 12.43%\nC) 9.00%\nD) 10.14%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.71%", |
| "B) 12.43%", |
| "C) 9.00%", |
| "D) 10.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "9.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) 4.62%\nC) -1.40%\nD) 7.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.61%", |
| "B) 4.62%", |
| "C) -1.40%", |
| "D) 7.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "7.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.80%\nB) -3.96%\nC) -7.34%\nD) 9.56%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.80%", |
| "B) -3.96%", |
| "C) -7.34%", |
| "D) 9.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) -28.08%\nB) 8.76%\nC) 33.32%\nD) 21.04%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -28.08%", |
| "B) 8.76%", |
| "C) 33.32%", |
| "D) 21.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "8.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-06.)\n\nA) 311,396\nB) 506,604\nC) 409,000\nD) 360,198", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 311,396", |
| "B) 506,604", |
| "C) 409,000", |
| "D) 360,198" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "409,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) -1.36pp\nB) +0.91pp\nC) -2.87pp\nD) -0.60pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.36pp", |
| "B) +0.91pp", |
| "C) -2.87pp", |
| "D) -0.60pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 2,782.31\nB) 2,431.63\nC) 3,132.99\nD) 3,308.33", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,782.31", |
| "B) 2,431.63", |
| "C) 3,132.99", |
| "D) 3,308.33" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,782.31", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.97%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 1.73%\nD) 0.50%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.97%", |
| "B) 2.35%", |
| "C) 1.73%", |
| "D) 0.50%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) -1.26pp\nB) +1.02pp\nC) -0.50pp\nD) +0.26pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.26pp", |
| "B) +1.02pp", |
| "C) -0.50pp", |
| "D) +0.26pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 8.07%\nB) 6.94%\nC) 5.81%\nD) 4.68%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.07%", |
| "B) 6.94%", |
| "C) 5.81%", |
| "D) 4.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.68%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 0.13%\nB) 1.19%\nC) 3.31%\nD) 2.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.13%", |
| "B) 1.19%", |
| "C) 3.31%", |
| "D) 2.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.13%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) $334,181M\nB) $367,475M\nC) $347,499M\nD) $380,793M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $334,181M", |
| "B) $367,475M", |
| "C) $347,499M", |
| "D) $380,793M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$367,475M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) $18.47/hr\nB) $19.73/hr\nC) $19.31/hr\nD) $18.04/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $18.47/hr", |
| "B) $19.73/hr", |
| "C) $19.31/hr", |
| "D) $18.04/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$19.31/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) -2.82%\nB) -10.55%\nC) 12.63%\nD) 1.04%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.82%", |
| "B) -10.55%", |
| "C) 12.63%", |
| "D) 1.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 31.87\nB) 49.24\nC) 26.08\nD) 43.45", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 31.87", |
| "B) 49.24", |
| "C) 26.08", |
| "D) 43.45" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "31.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) -15.24pp\nB) +3.90pp\nC) -2.48pp\nD) +16.66pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -15.24pp", |
| "B) +3.90pp", |
| "C) -2.48pp", |
| "D) +16.66pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+3.90pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) 31.44%\nC) 11.55%\nD) -8.33%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.61%", |
| "B) 31.44%", |
| "C) 11.55%", |
| "D) -8.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "11.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 88.74%\nB) -22.13%\nC) -3.65%\nD) 33.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 88.74%", |
| "B) -22.13%", |
| "C) -3.65%", |
| "D) 33.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "33.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-06.)\n\nA) 4.15%\nB) 3.02%\nC) 5.28%\nD) 4.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.15%", |
| "B) 3.02%", |
| "C) 5.28%", |
| "D) 4.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 212.39\nB) 221.90\nC) 237.74\nD) 231.40", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 212.39", |
| "B) 221.90", |
| "C) 237.74", |
| "D) 231.40" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "221.90", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 74.2608\nB) 93.9384\nC) 80.8200\nD) 100.4975", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 74.2608", |
| "B) 93.9384", |
| "C) 80.8200", |
| "D) 100.4975" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "80.8200", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 16.03%\nB) -4.78%\nC) -25.59%\nD) 36.84%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 16.03%", |
| "B) -4.78%", |
| "C) -25.59%", |
| "D) 36.84%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "36.84%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 75.09%\nB) 77.60%\nC) 72.59%\nD) 67.57%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 75.09%", |
| "B) 77.60%", |
| "C) 72.59%", |
| "D) 67.57%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "75.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 220.23\nB) 204.10\nC) 193.35\nD) 198.72", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 220.23", |
| "B) 204.10", |
| "C) 193.35", |
| "D) 198.72" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "204.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 241.58\nB) 216.82\nC) 226.11\nD) 235.39", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 241.58", |
| "B) 216.82", |
| "C) 226.11", |
| "D) 235.39" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "226.11", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 103.73\nB) 92.46\nC) 86.82\nD) 95.27", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 103.73", |
| "B) 92.46", |
| "C) 86.82", |
| "D) 95.27" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "95.27", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 195.80\nB) 179.97\nC) 211.63\nD) 206.35", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 195.80", |
| "B) 179.97", |
| "C) 211.63", |
| "D) 206.35" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "195.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) $66,912M\nB) $63,711M\nC) $60,510M\nD) $57,310M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $66,912M", |
| "B) $63,711M", |
| "C) $60,510M", |
| "D) $57,310M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$63,711M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.10%\nB) 7.36%\nC) 4.52%\nD) 8.77%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.10%", |
| "B) 7.36%", |
| "C) 4.52%", |
| "D) 8.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.35%\nB) 2.64%\nC) 3.00%\nD) 2.29%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.35%", |
| "B) 2.64%", |
| "C) 3.00%", |
| "D) 2.29%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.29%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 64.10%\nB) 59.61%\nC) 62.18%\nD) 66.02%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 64.10%", |
| "B) 59.61%", |
| "C) 62.18%", |
| "D) 66.02%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "64.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) $88.46/bbl\nB) $111.90/bbl\nC) $123.62/bbl\nD) $147.06/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $88.46/bbl", |
| "B) $111.90/bbl", |
| "C) $123.62/bbl", |
| "D) $147.06/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$111.90/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 53.37\nB) 74.03\nC) 63.70\nD) 58.53", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 53.37", |
| "B) 74.03", |
| "C) 63.70", |
| "D) 58.53" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "63.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) $11,433B\nB) $12,176B\nC) $11,185B\nD) $11,929B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $11,433B", |
| "B) $12,176B", |
| "C) $11,185B", |
| "D) $11,929B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$11,929B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 8.84%\nB) -9.91%\nC) 27.58%\nD) -0.54%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.84%", |
| "B) -9.91%", |
| "C) 27.58%", |
| "D) -0.54%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "8.84%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 218.61\nB) 224.81\nC) 212.40\nD) 234.11", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 218.61", |
| "B) 224.81", |
| "C) 212.40", |
| "D) 234.11" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "224.81", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 68.59%\nB) 66.02%\nC) 64.10%\nD) 62.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 68.59%", |
| "B) 66.02%", |
| "C) 64.10%", |
| "D) 62.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "64.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 784K\nB) 1,006K\nC) 1,229K\nD) 561K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 784K", |
| "B) 1,006K", |
| "C) 1,229K", |
| "D) 561K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "561K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) $19.41/hr\nB) $18.58/hr\nC) $20.24/hr\nD) $19.82/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $19.41/hr", |
| "B) $18.58/hr", |
| "C) $20.24/hr", |
| "D) $19.82/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$19.41/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 97.83\nB) 91.11\nC) 84.38\nD) 95.59", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 97.83", |
| "B) 91.11", |
| "C) 84.38", |
| "D) 95.59" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "91.11", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.86pp\nB) +0.82pp\nC) -0.30pp\nD) -1.42pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.86pp", |
| "B) +0.82pp", |
| "C) -0.30pp", |
| "D) -1.42pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 132.37\nB) 149.00\nC) 157.32\nD) 140.69", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 132.37", |
| "B) 149.00", |
| "C) 157.32", |
| "D) 140.69" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "140.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 647K\nB) 1,240K\nC) 1,042K\nD) 449K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 647K", |
| "B) 1,240K", |
| "C) 1,042K", |
| "D) 449K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "647K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 10.78%\nB) 9.70%\nC) 7.55%\nD) 12.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.78%", |
| "B) 9.70%", |
| "C) 7.55%", |
| "D) 12.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "9.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 10.34%\nB) 4.45%\nC) 7.39%\nD) -1.45%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.34%", |
| "B) 4.45%", |
| "C) 7.39%", |
| "D) -1.45%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "7.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-06.)\n\nA) 5,809,289\nB) 1,868,711\nC) 4,495,763\nD) 3,839,000", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5,809,289", |
| "B) 1,868,711", |
| "C) 4,495,763", |
| "D) 3,839,000" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3,839,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) $99.37/bbl\nB) $88.76/bbl\nC) $109.98/bbl\nD) $120.60/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $99.37/bbl", |
| "B) $88.76/bbl", |
| "C) $109.98/bbl", |
| "D) $120.60/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$99.37/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 89.14\nB) 93.52\nC) 91.33\nD) 96.81", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 89.14", |
| "B) 93.52", |
| "C) 91.33", |
| "D) 96.81" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "93.52", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-06.)\n\nA) 477,232\nB) 430,116\nC) 383,000\nD) 288,768", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 477,232", |
| "B) 430,116", |
| "C) 383,000", |
| "D) 288,768" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "383,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) 2.70%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.56%", |
| "B) 2.70%", |
| "C) 0.42%", |
| "D) 0.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.99%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 1.02%\nD) 2.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.97%", |
| "B) 2.91%", |
| "C) 1.02%", |
| "D) 2.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 139,447K\nB) 131,057K\nC) 127,701K\nD) 136,091K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 139,447K", |
| "B) 131,057K", |
| "C) 127,701K", |
| "D) 136,091K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "131,057K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) $-41,529M\nB) $-29,136M\nC) $-47,725M\nD) $-66,314M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-41,529M", |
| "B) $-29,136M", |
| "C) $-47,725M", |
| "D) $-66,314M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$-47,725M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 7.06%\nB) 0.15%\nC) 8.45%\nD) 4.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.06%", |
| "B) 0.15%", |
| "C) 8.45%", |
| "D) 4.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.46%\nB) 6.19%\nC) 1.64%\nD) 4.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.46%", |
| "B) 6.19%", |
| "C) 1.64%", |
| "D) 4.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.46%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 27.71%\nB) 9.08%\nC) 18.39%\nD) -9.55%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.71%", |
| "B) 9.08%", |
| "C) 18.39%", |
| "D) -9.55%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "9.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) $171,696M\nB) $200,919M\nC) $215,531M\nD) $186,307M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $171,696M", |
| "B) $200,919M", |
| "C) $215,531M", |
| "D) $186,307M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$215,531M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) -6.13%\nB) -18.28%\nC) 42.49%\nD) 18.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.13%", |
| "B) -18.28%", |
| "C) 42.49%", |
| "D) 18.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "18.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) +2.61pp\nB) +4.22pp\nC) +3.15pp\nD) +2.07pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +2.61pp", |
| "B) +4.22pp", |
| "C) +3.15pp", |
| "D) +2.07pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+2.61pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-06.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 5.38%\nD) 4.24%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.14%", |
| "B) 5.00%", |
| "C) 5.38%", |
| "D) 4.24%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 219.66\nB) 189.23\nC) 201.40\nD) 195.31", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 219.66", |
| "B) 189.23", |
| "C) 201.40", |
| "D) 195.31" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "201.40", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 6.1081\nB) 5.8679\nC) 7.0687\nD) 6.5884", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.1081", |
| "B) 5.8679", |
| "C) 7.0687", |
| "D) 6.5884" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.5884", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-06.)\n\nA) $8,906B\nB) $8,141B\nC) $9,671B\nD) $8,396B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $8,906B", |
| "B) $8,141B", |
| "C) $9,671B", |
| "D) $8,396B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$8,906B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 93.40\nB) 91.51\nC) 95.30\nD) 89.61", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 93.40", |
| "B) 91.51", |
| "C) 95.30", |
| "D) 89.61" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "91.51", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 96.45\nB) 83.32\nC) 89.89\nD) 87.70", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 96.45", |
| "B) 83.32", |
| "C) 89.89", |
| "D) 87.70" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "89.89", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 41.15%\nB) 62.53%\nC) -1.62%\nD) 30.46%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 41.15%", |
| "B) 62.53%", |
| "C) -1.62%", |
| "D) 30.46%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "30.46%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 3.10%\nB) 3.35%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 2.34%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.10%", |
| "B) 3.35%", |
| "C) 2.59%", |
| "D) 2.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 45.37\nB) 55.80\nC) 71.44\nD) 50.59", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 45.37", |
| "B) 55.80", |
| "C) 71.44", |
| "D) 50.59" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "55.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.93%\nB) 1.31%\nC) 2.06%\nD) 3.19%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.93%", |
| "B) 1.31%", |
| "C) 2.06%", |
| "D) 3.19%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.06%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.48%\nB) 7.18%\nC) -6.23%\nD) 3.83%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.48%", |
| "B) 7.18%", |
| "C) -6.23%", |
| "D) 3.83%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.83%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 87.33\nB) 82.93\nC) 93.93\nD) 80.73", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 87.33", |
| "B) 82.93", |
| "C) 93.93", |
| "D) 80.73" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "87.33", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.02%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 2.43%\nD) 1.55%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.02%", |
| "B) 2.14%", |
| "C) 2.43%", |
| "D) 1.55%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.14%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.35%\nB) 11.15%\nC) 8.21%\nD) 5.28%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.35%", |
| "B) 11.15%", |
| "C) 8.21%", |
| "D) 5.28%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "8.21%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 35.88%\nB) -11.46%\nC) -20.93%\nD) 7.48%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 35.88%", |
| "B) -11.46%", |
| "C) -20.93%", |
| "D) 7.48%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "7.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.12%\nB) 1.44%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.81%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.12%", |
| "B) 1.44%", |
| "C) 0.49%", |
| "D) 0.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) -7.02%\nB) -4.31%\nC) 3.82%\nD) 1.11%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.02%", |
| "B) -4.31%", |
| "C) 3.82%", |
| "D) 1.11%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.31%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 85.12%\nB) 22.25%\nC) 43.21%\nD) 106.08%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 85.12%", |
| "B) 22.25%", |
| "C) 43.21%", |
| "D) 106.08%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "43.21%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 5.54%\nC) 6.43%\nD) 3.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.97%", |
| "B) 5.54%", |
| "C) 6.43%", |
| "D) 3.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 6.3464\nB) 5.9403\nC) 5.7373\nD) 6.9555", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.3464", |
| "B) 5.9403", |
| "C) 5.7373", |
| "D) 6.9555" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.3464", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.2248\nB) 1.4452\nC) 1.3130\nD) 1.5774", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.2248", |
| "B) 1.4452", |
| "C) 1.3130", |
| "D) 1.5774" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4452", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,304K\nB) 389K\nC) 618K\nD) 1,076K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,304K", |
| "B) 389K", |
| "C) 618K", |
| "D) 1,076K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "618K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) -15.70%\nB) 69.78%\nC) 91.15%\nD) 27.04%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -15.70%", |
| "B) 69.78%", |
| "C) 91.15%", |
| "D) 27.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "27.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 0.02%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 3.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.02%", |
| "B) 2.01%", |
| "C) 1.01%", |
| "D) 3.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.02%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 141,148K\nB) 132,690K\nC) 137,765K\nD) 129,307K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 141,148K", |
| "B) 132,690K", |
| "C) 137,765K", |
| "D) 129,307K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "132,690K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.56%\nB) 2.94%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 4.83%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.56%", |
| "B) 2.94%", |
| "C) 3.70%", |
| "D) 4.83%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 18.25%\nB) -12.63%\nC) 28.55%\nD) -2.34%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.25%", |
| "B) -12.63%", |
| "C) 28.55%", |
| "D) -2.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 93.20\nB) 96.49\nC) 91.00\nD) 88.81", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 93.20", |
| "B) 96.49", |
| "C) 91.00", |
| "D) 88.81" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "93.20", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 4.04%\nB) 4.28%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 4.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.04%", |
| "B) 4.28%", |
| "C) 5.00%", |
| "D) 4.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) -3.31%\nB) 4.35%\nC) 8.18%\nD) 19.66%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.31%", |
| "B) 4.35%", |
| "C) 8.18%", |
| "D) 19.66%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "8.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.17%\nB) -1.00%\nC) -9.69%\nD) -3.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.17%", |
| "B) -1.00%", |
| "C) -9.69%", |
| "D) -3.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.17%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 3.19%\nC) 2.15%\nD) 1.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.08%", |
| "B) 3.19%", |
| "C) 2.15%", |
| "D) 1.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 12.43%\nB) 9.00%\nC) 11.29%\nD) 5.57%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.43%", |
| "B) 9.00%", |
| "C) 11.29%", |
| "D) 5.57%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "9.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) -1.96%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 1.31%\nD) 4.58%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.96%", |
| "B) 2.40%", |
| "C) 1.31%", |
| "D) 4.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.31%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) $8,236B\nB) $9,252B\nC) $9,591B\nD) $8,913B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $8,236B", |
| "B) $9,252B", |
| "C) $9,591B", |
| "D) $8,913B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$8,913B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-06.)\n\nA) -0.81%\nB) 3.86%\nC) 1.52%\nD) -3.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.81%", |
| "B) 3.86%", |
| "C) 1.52%", |
| "D) -3.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.81%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $2,605M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $2,400,000M", |
| "B) $2,605M", |
| "C) $4,300,000M", |
| "D) $6,200,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$2,605M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 83.08%\nB) 78.14%\nC) 75.67%\nD) 68.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 83.08%", |
| "B) 78.14%", |
| "C) 75.67%", |
| "D) 68.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "75.67%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-06.)\n\nA) 2,500,696\nB) 1,860,543\nC) 4,421,152\nD) 3,781,000", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,500,696", |
| "B) 1,860,543", |
| "C) 4,421,152", |
| "D) 3,781,000" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3,781,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) -7.60%\nB) -15.49%\nC) -19.44%\nD) 0.29%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.60%", |
| "B) -15.49%", |
| "C) -19.44%", |
| "D) 0.29%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 3.58%\nC) 6.30%\nD) 0.85%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.21%", |
| "B) 3.58%", |
| "C) 6.30%", |
| "D) 0.85%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.43%\nB) 1.23%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 3.62%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.43%", |
| "B) 1.23%", |
| "C) 1.83%", |
| "D) 3.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.83%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) -9.79%\nB) 23.95%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 10.45%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -9.79%", |
| "B) 23.95%", |
| "C) 3.70%", |
| "D) 10.45%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "10.45%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) $9,108B\nB) $9,445B\nC) $8,097B\nD) $10,118B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $9,108B", |
| "B) $9,445B", |
| "C) $8,097B", |
| "D) $10,118B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$9,108B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 120.99\nB) 136.65\nC) 144.48\nD) 160.15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 120.99", |
| "B) 136.65", |
| "C) 144.48", |
| "D) 160.15" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "136.65", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.57%\nB) -0.32%\nC) 1.85%\nD) 0.40%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.57%", |
| "B) -0.32%", |
| "C) 1.85%", |
| "D) 0.40%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.85%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 2.59%\nC) 1.04%\nD) 0.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.81%", |
| "B) 2.59%", |
| "C) 1.04%", |
| "D) 0.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.30%\nB) 19.15%\nC) -0.60%\nD) 11.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.30%", |
| "B) 19.15%", |
| "C) -0.60%", |
| "D) 11.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.04%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 3.16%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.08%", |
| "B) 0.04%", |
| "C) 2.12%", |
| "D) 3.16%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.24%\nB) 5.56%\nC) 6.40%\nD) 3.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.24%", |
| "B) 5.56%", |
| "C) 6.40%", |
| "D) 3.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) $118.08/bbl\nB) $75.74/bbl\nC) $107.50/bbl\nD) $96.91/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $118.08/bbl", |
| "B) $75.74/bbl", |
| "C) $107.50/bbl", |
| "D) $96.91/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$96.91/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.86%\nB) 3.41%\nC) 7.08%\nD) 8.31%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.86%", |
| "B) 3.41%", |
| "C) 7.08%", |
| "D) 8.31%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.86%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 7.88%\nB) 9.00%\nC) 6.75%\nD) 12.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.88%", |
| "B) 9.00%", |
| "C) 6.75%", |
| "D) 12.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "9.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 86.51\nB) 88.52\nC) 90.53\nD) 92.54", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 86.51", |
| "B) 88.52", |
| "C) 90.53", |
| "D) 92.54" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "90.53", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) $20.26/hr\nB) $18.68/hr\nC) $19.87/hr\nD) $19.47/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $20.26/hr", |
| "B) $18.68/hr", |
| "C) $19.87/hr", |
| "D) $19.47/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$19.47/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) $87.88/bbl\nB) $55.62/bbl\nC) $77.13/bbl\nD) $109.39/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $87.88/bbl", |
| "B) $55.62/bbl", |
| "C) $77.13/bbl", |
| "D) $109.39/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$87.88/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 21.69%\nB) 9.90%\nC) 13.83%\nD) 2.04%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 21.69%", |
| "B) 9.90%", |
| "C) 13.83%", |
| "D) 2.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "9.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-06.)\n\nA) 5.17%\nB) 2.83%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 3.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.17%", |
| "B) 2.83%", |
| "C) 4.00%", |
| "D) 3.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) $9,662B\nB) $10,014B\nC) $11,068B\nD) $10,541B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $9,662B", |
| "B) $10,014B", |
| "C) $11,068B", |
| "D) $10,541B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$10,541B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 224.18\nB) 237.97\nC) 232.45\nD) 215.90", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 224.18", |
| "B) 237.97", |
| "C) 232.45", |
| "D) 215.90" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "224.18", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-06.)\n\nA) 5.45%\nB) 0.82%\nC) -1.50%\nD) -6.14%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.45%", |
| "B) 0.82%", |
| "C) -1.50%", |
| "D) -6.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.82%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.85pp\nB) -2.02pp\nC) -0.30pp\nD) -1.45pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.85pp", |
| "B) -2.02pp", |
| "C) -0.30pp", |
| "D) -1.45pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.39%\nB) 7.73%\nC) 6.66%\nD) 4.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.39%", |
| "B) 7.73%", |
| "C) 6.66%", |
| "D) 4.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.53%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) +1.80pp\nB) +0.85pp\nC) +1.32pp\nD) +3.23pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.80pp", |
| "B) +0.85pp", |
| "C) +1.32pp", |
| "D) +3.23pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.80pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) $12,468B\nB) $11,728B\nC) $12,221B\nD) $10,989B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $12,468B", |
| "B) $11,728B", |
| "C) $12,221B", |
| "D) $10,989B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$11,728B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 18.64%\nB) -9.40%\nC) 9.29%\nD) -0.05%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.64%", |
| "B) -9.40%", |
| "C) 9.29%", |
| "D) -0.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "9.29%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 66.02%\nB) 62.18%\nC) 60.25%\nD) 64.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 66.02%", |
| "B) 62.18%", |
| "C) 60.25%", |
| "D) 64.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "64.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.82%\nB) 2.61%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 1.43%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.82%", |
| "B) 2.61%", |
| "C) 3.01%", |
| "D) 1.43%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.82%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 95.00\nB) 91.09\nC) 93.04\nD) 89.14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 95.00", |
| "B) 91.09", |
| "C) 93.04", |
| "D) 89.14" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "91.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) $61,265M\nB) $70,862M\nC) $64,464M\nD) $58,066M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $61,265M", |
| "B) $70,862M", |
| "C) $64,464M", |
| "D) $58,066M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$64,464M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.69pp\nB) +1.07pp\nC) -1.27pp\nD) -0.10pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.69pp", |
| "B) +1.07pp", |
| "C) -1.27pp", |
| "D) -0.10pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 132,125K\nB) 135,545K\nC) 138,965K\nD) 128,705K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 132,125K", |
| "B) 135,545K", |
| "C) 138,965K", |
| "D) 128,705K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "132,125K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) $10,206B\nB) $9,531B\nC) $10,544B\nD) $9,193B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $10,206B", |
| "B) $9,531B", |
| "C) $10,544B", |
| "D) $9,193B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$9,531B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-06.)\n\nA) $9,282B\nB) $8,714B\nC) $9,093B\nD) $8,524B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $9,282B", |
| "B) $8,714B", |
| "C) $9,093B", |
| "D) $8,524B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$9,093B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) -1.09pp\nB) -0.89pp\nC) +0.09pp\nD) -0.50pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.09pp", |
| "B) -0.89pp", |
| "C) +0.09pp", |
| "D) -0.50pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 227.17\nB) 211.68\nC) 236.46\nD) 220.97", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 227.17", |
| "B) 211.68", |
| "C) 236.46", |
| "D) 220.97" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "227.17", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 60.64%\nB) 58.60%\nC) 53.49%\nD) 55.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 60.64%", |
| "B) 58.60%", |
| "C) 53.49%", |
| "D) 55.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "58.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 107.43\nB) 101.17\nC) 104.30\nD) 97.00", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 107.43", |
| "B) 101.17", |
| "C) 104.30", |
| "D) 97.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "104.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.39pp\nB) -5.89pp\nC) +5.10pp\nD) +2.35pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.39pp", |
| "B) -5.89pp", |
| "C) +5.10pp", |
| "D) +2.35pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+2.35pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) $102.48/bbl\nB) $112.50/bbl\nC) $72.41/bbl\nD) $122.52/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $102.48/bbl", |
| "B) $112.50/bbl", |
| "C) $72.41/bbl", |
| "D) $122.52/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$102.48/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) -9.71%\nB) 10.72%\nC) 24.34%\nD) -2.90%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -9.71%", |
| "B) 10.72%", |
| "C) 24.34%", |
| "D) -2.90%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "10.72%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 125.53\nB) 133.66\nC) 141.78\nD) 149.91", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 125.53", |
| "B) 133.66", |
| "C) 141.78", |
| "D) 149.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "141.78", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.36%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 7.46%\nD) 4.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.36%", |
| "B) 5.25%", |
| "C) 7.46%", |
| "D) 4.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 74.30\nB) 90.36\nC) 85.01\nD) 68.95", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 74.30", |
| "B) 90.36", |
| "C) 85.01", |
| "D) 68.95" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "74.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.78%\nB) 1.45%\nC) 2.42%\nD) 0.81%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.78%", |
| "B) 1.45%", |
| "C) 2.42%", |
| "D) 0.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.45%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 61.08\nB) 72.03\nC) 77.50\nD) 82.97", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 61.08", |
| "B) 72.03", |
| "C) 77.50", |
| "D) 82.97" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "77.50", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 4.27%\nB) 3.90%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 3.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.27%", |
| "B) 3.90%", |
| "C) 2.40%", |
| "D) 3.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 25.97%\nB) 50.23%\nC) 62.36%\nD) 38.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.97%", |
| "B) 50.23%", |
| "C) 62.36%", |
| "D) 38.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "25.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) $201,922M\nB) $216,705M\nC) $261,054M\nD) $172,356M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $201,922M", |
| "B) $216,705M", |
| "C) $261,054M", |
| "D) $172,356M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$216,705M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 4.77%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 2.84%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.77%", |
| "B) 4.00%", |
| "C) 3.61%", |
| "D) 2.84%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.61%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) -1.70%\nB) 2.19%\nC) 0.25%\nD) -3.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.70%", |
| "B) 2.19%", |
| "C) 0.25%", |
| "D) -3.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-06.)\n\nA) 3,717,000\nB) 4,335,458\nC) 1,861,626\nD) 2,480,084", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,717,000", |
| "B) 4,335,458", |
| "C) 1,861,626", |
| "D) 2,480,084" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3,717,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.2857\nB) 1.4219\nC) 1.6489\nD) 1.5581", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.2857", |
| "B) 1.4219", |
| "C) 1.6489", |
| "D) 1.5581" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4219", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 19.72\nB) 42.72\nC) 31.22\nD) 13.97", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.72", |
| "B) 42.72", |
| "C) 31.22", |
| "D) 13.97" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "31.22", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 4.80%\nC) 3.40%\nD) 2.70%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.10%", |
| "B) 4.80%", |
| "C) 3.40%", |
| "D) 2.70%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) $372,505M\nB) $393,078M\nC) $351,932M\nD) $406,793M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $372,505M", |
| "B) $393,078M", |
| "C) $351,932M", |
| "D) $406,793M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$372,505M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) $11,443B\nB) $10,750B\nC) $11,097B\nD) $10,404B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $11,443B", |
| "B) $10,750B", |
| "C) $11,097B", |
| "D) $10,404B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$10,750B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 103.11\nB) 108.43\nC) 106.30\nD) 111.61", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 103.11", |
| "B) 108.43", |
| "C) 106.30", |
| "D) 111.61" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "106.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,236K\nB) 886K\nC) 361K\nD) 711K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,236K", |
| "B) 886K", |
| "C) 361K", |
| "D) 711K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "711K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) $2,658M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $2,658M", |
| "B) $4,300,000M", |
| "C) $2,400,000M", |
| "D) $6,200,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$2,658M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) -1.20pp\nB) -0.80pp\nC) -1.00pp\nD) -0.40pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.20pp", |
| "B) -0.80pp", |
| "C) -1.00pp", |
| "D) -0.40pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) $20.32/hr\nB) $21.08/hr\nC) $19.56/hr\nD) $18.42/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $20.32/hr", |
| "B) $21.08/hr", |
| "C) $19.56/hr", |
| "D) $18.42/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$19.56/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 211.81\nB) 231.77\nC) 217.51\nD) 223.21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 211.81", |
| "B) 231.77", |
| "C) 217.51", |
| "D) 223.21" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "223.21", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 8.60%\nB) 11.87%\nC) 6.42%\nD) 9.69%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.60%", |
| "B) 11.87%", |
| "C) 6.42%", |
| "D) 9.69%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "8.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.67%\nB) 13.02%\nC) 22.36%\nD) -5.67%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.67%", |
| "B) 13.02%", |
| "C) 22.36%", |
| "D) -5.67%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "13.02%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 0.91%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 1.52%\nD) 2.13%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.91%", |
| "B) 2.44%", |
| "C) 1.52%", |
| "D) 2.13%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) -3.63%\nB) -11.55%\nC) 0.33%\nD) -7.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.63%", |
| "B) -11.55%", |
| "C) 0.33%", |
| "D) -7.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.59%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) $-44,753M\nB) $-32,232M\nC) $-38,493M\nD) $-51,013M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-44,753M", |
| "B) $-32,232M", |
| "C) $-38,493M", |
| "D) $-51,013M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$-44,753M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.47%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 1.22%\nD) 2.34%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.47%", |
| "B) 0.09%", |
| "C) 1.22%", |
| "D) 2.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) $375,452M\nB) $399,361M\nC) $383,422M\nD) $407,331M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $375,452M", |
| "B) $399,361M", |
| "C) $383,422M", |
| "D) $407,331M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$383,422M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) +10.53pp\nB) -6.17pp\nC) -0.61pp\nD) +2.18pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +10.53pp", |
| "B) -6.17pp", |
| "C) -0.61pp", |
| "D) +2.18pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+2.18pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.56%\nB) 23.28%\nC) 42.01%\nD) 60.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.56%", |
| "B) 23.28%", |
| "C) 42.01%", |
| "D) 60.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 5.60%\nB) 4.42%\nC) 4.81%\nD) 5.21%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.60%", |
| "B) 4.42%", |
| "C) 4.81%", |
| "D) 5.21%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 0.62%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 2.05%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.48%", |
| "B) 0.62%", |
| "C) 2.77%", |
| "D) 2.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) $338,746M\nB) $390,706M\nC) $353,591M\nD) $375,860M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $338,746M", |
| "B) $390,706M", |
| "C) $353,591M", |
| "D) $375,860M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$375,860M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 7.58%\nB) 52.03%\nC) -59.08%\nD) 74.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.58%", |
| "B) 52.03%", |
| "C) -59.08%", |
| "D) 74.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 0.84%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 2.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.48%", |
| "B) 0.84%", |
| "C) 1.72%", |
| "D) 2.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.84%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 62.18%\nB) 66.02%\nC) 64.10%\nD) 68.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 62.18%", |
| "B) 66.02%", |
| "C) 64.10%", |
| "D) 68.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "64.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-06.)\n\nA) 372,988\nB) 581,035\nC) 477,012\nD) 425,000", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 372,988", |
| "B) 581,035", |
| "C) 477,012", |
| "D) 425,000" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "425,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.67%\nB) 9.74%\nC) 12.81%\nD) -2.55%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.67%", |
| "B) 9.74%", |
| "C) 12.81%", |
| "D) -2.55%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.67%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.07%\nB) 6.90%\nC) 9.38%\nD) 4.42%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.07%", |
| "B) 6.90%", |
| "C) 9.38%", |
| "D) 4.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) -4.49%\nB) 5.62%\nC) 2.25%\nD) 8.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.49%", |
| "B) 5.62%", |
| "C) 2.25%", |
| "D) 8.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 109.88\nB) 101.13\nC) 103.32\nD) 106.60", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 109.88", |
| "B) 101.13", |
| "C) 103.32", |
| "D) 106.60" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "106.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 0.40%\nD) -0.68%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.48%", |
| "B) 3.65%", |
| "C) 0.40%", |
| "D) -0.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.48%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.54%\nB) 0.16%\nC) 1.29%\nD) 2.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.54%", |
| "B) 0.16%", |
| "C) 1.29%", |
| "D) 2.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.16%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,919.66\nB) 2,737.43\nC) 2,555.20\nD) 2,008.50", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,919.66", |
| "B) 2,737.43", |
| "C) 2,555.20", |
| "D) 2,008.50" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,555.20", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) $52,652M\nB) $65,504M\nC) $55,865M\nD) $59,078M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $52,652M", |
| "B) $65,504M", |
| "C) $55,865M", |
| "D) $59,078M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$59,078M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) $108.89/bbl\nB) $85.96/bbl\nC) $74.50/bbl\nD) $131.82/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $108.89/bbl", |
| "B) $85.96/bbl", |
| "C) $74.50/bbl", |
| "D) $131.82/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$108.89/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 61.30%\nB) 16.91%\nC) -27.48%\nD) -49.67%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 61.30%", |
| "B) 16.91%", |
| "C) -27.48%", |
| "D) -49.67%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "16.91%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 126,600K\nB) 123,198K\nC) 131,703K\nD) 135,105K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 126,600K", |
| "B) 123,198K", |
| "C) 131,703K", |
| "D) 135,105K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "131,703K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,236K\nB) 997K\nC) 757K\nD) 517K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,236K", |
| "B) 997K", |
| "C) 757K", |
| "D) 517K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "517K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 6.3902\nB) 6.1733\nC) 5.9563\nD) 6.6071", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.3902", |
| "B) 6.1733", |
| "C) 5.9563", |
| "D) 6.6071" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.3902", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.76%\nB) 6.30%\nC) 7.15%\nD) 8.84%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.76%", |
| "B) 6.30%", |
| "C) 7.15%", |
| "D) 8.84%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 12.45%\nB) 2.76%\nC) -16.62%\nD) -26.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.45%", |
| "B) 2.76%", |
| "C) -16.62%", |
| "D) -26.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-16.62%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) $81.35/bbl\nB) $146.09/bbl\nC) $135.30/bbl\nD) $113.72/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $81.35/bbl", |
| "B) $146.09/bbl", |
| "C) $135.30/bbl", |
| "D) $113.72/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$113.72/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 105.80\nB) 108.97\nC) 102.63\nD) 98.39", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 105.80", |
| "B) 108.97", |
| "C) 102.63", |
| "D) 98.39" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "105.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 5.15%\nB) 4.66%\nC) 3.93%\nD) 4.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.15%", |
| "B) 4.66%", |
| "C) 3.93%", |
| "D) 4.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.66%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 104.90%\nB) 60.49%\nC) 38.28%\nD) -6.13%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 104.90%", |
| "B) 60.49%", |
| "C) 38.28%", |
| "D) -6.13%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "38.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 294K\nB) 790K\nC) 1,037K\nD) 542K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 294K", |
| "B) 790K", |
| "C) 1,037K", |
| "D) 542K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "542K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 137.72\nB) 121.35\nC) 154.10\nD) 145.91", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 137.72", |
| "B) 121.35", |
| "C) 154.10", |
| "D) 145.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "137.72", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 86.20\nB) 91.80\nC) 88.44\nD) 95.15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 86.20", |
| "B) 91.80", |
| "C) 88.44", |
| "D) 95.15" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "91.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 215.36\nB) 220.61\nC) 225.86\nD) 233.74", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 215.36", |
| "B) 220.61", |
| "C) 225.86", |
| "D) 233.74" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "225.86", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-06.)\n\nA) $9,778B\nB) $8,619B\nC) $9,488B\nD) $8,909B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $9,778B", |
| "B) $8,619B", |
| "C) $9,488B", |
| "D) $8,909B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$8,909B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.80pp\nB) -1.20pp\nC) -1.40pp\nD) -0.60pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.80pp", |
| "B) -1.20pp", |
| "C) -1.40pp", |
| "D) -0.60pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 83.5131\nB) 76.7300\nC) 90.2962\nD) 97.0793", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 83.5131", |
| "B) 76.7300", |
| "C) 90.2962", |
| "D) 97.0793" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "76.7300", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.83pp\nB) -6.43pp\nC) +1.97pp\nD) +7.56pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.83pp", |
| "B) -6.43pp", |
| "C) +1.97pp", |
| "D) +7.56pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.97pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 54.16%\nB) 60.37%\nC) 56.23%\nD) 58.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 54.16%", |
| "B) 60.37%", |
| "C) 56.23%", |
| "D) 58.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "58.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 93.11\nB) 90.24\nC) 98.85\nD) 84.51", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 93.11", |
| "B) 90.24", |
| "C) 98.85", |
| "D) 84.51" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "93.11", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 53.36%\nB) 58.40%\nC) 56.38%\nD) 60.42%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 53.36%", |
| "B) 58.40%", |
| "C) 56.38%", |
| "D) 60.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "58.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) $12,202B\nB) $12,449B\nC) $11,954B\nD) $11,707B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $12,202B", |
| "B) $12,449B", |
| "C) $11,954B", |
| "D) $11,707B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$11,954B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) $222,076M\nB) $251,888M\nC) $177,358M\nD) $207,170M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $222,076M", |
| "B) $251,888M", |
| "C) $177,358M", |
| "D) $207,170M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$207,170M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.83%\nB) 1.29%\nC) 1.02%\nD) 2.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.83%", |
| "B) 1.29%", |
| "C) 1.02%", |
| "D) 2.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.83%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) $11,334B\nB) $10,807B\nC) $11,686B\nD) $10,279B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $11,334B", |
| "B) $10,807B", |
| "C) $11,686B", |
| "D) $10,279B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$10,807B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) +1.09pp\nB) -0.44pp\nC) -1.20pp\nD) -3.49pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.09pp", |
| "B) -0.44pp", |
| "C) -1.20pp", |
| "D) -3.49pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.20pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.73%\nB) 3.66%\nC) 9.00%\nD) 5.79%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.73%", |
| "B) 3.66%", |
| "C) 9.00%", |
| "D) 5.79%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.79%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 2,686.20\nB) 3,054.49\nC) 2,133.77\nD) 2,317.91", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,686.20", |
| "B) 3,054.49", |
| "C) 2,133.77", |
| "D) 2,317.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,686.20", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 96.75\nB) 93.89\nC) 85.31\nD) 99.60", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 96.75", |
| "B) 93.89", |
| "C) 85.31", |
| "D) 99.60" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "93.89", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 74.18%\nB) 69.41%\nC) 76.57%\nD) 71.80%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 74.18%", |
| "B) 69.41%", |
| "C) 76.57%", |
| "D) 71.80%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "76.57%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) +9.35pp\nB) -1.48pp\nC) +12.05pp\nD) +3.93pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +9.35pp", |
| "B) -1.48pp", |
| "C) +12.05pp", |
| "D) +3.93pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+3.93pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-06.)\n\nA) 3,676,000\nB) 4,272,379\nC) 2,483,242\nD) 3,079,621", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,676,000", |
| "B) 4,272,379", |
| "C) 2,483,242", |
| "D) 3,079,621" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3,676,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.12%\nB) 1.88%\nC) 3.03%\nD) 2.27%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.12%", |
| "B) 1.88%", |
| "C) 3.03%", |
| "D) 2.27%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.88%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) 4.37%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 3.67%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.58%", |
| "B) 4.37%", |
| "C) 2.98%", |
| "D) 3.67%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.98%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.98%\nB) 3.52%\nC) 3.07%\nD) 3.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.98%", |
| "B) 3.52%", |
| "C) 3.07%", |
| "D) 3.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.3524\nB) 1.1412\nC) 1.4369\nD) 1.2257", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.3524", |
| "B) 1.1412", |
| "C) 1.4369", |
| "D) 1.2257" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.3524", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 77.4057\nB) 83.7900\nC) 90.1743\nD) 102.9429", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 77.4057", |
| "B) 83.7900", |
| "C) 90.1743", |
| "D) 102.9429" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "83.7900", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.15%\nB) -0.30%\nC) 0.81%\nD) -2.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.15%", |
| "B) -0.30%", |
| "C) 0.81%", |
| "D) -2.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.81%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 221.76\nB) 234.61\nC) 216.61\nD) 226.90", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 221.76", |
| "B) 234.61", |
| "C) 216.61", |
| "D) 226.90" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "226.90", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 92.84\nB) 96.12\nC) 90.65\nD) 98.31", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 92.84", |
| "B) 96.12", |
| "C) 90.65", |
| "D) 98.31" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "92.84", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) $55,070M\nB) $64,660M\nC) $67,857M\nD) $74,250M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $55,070M", |
| "B) $64,660M", |
| "C) $67,857M", |
| "D) $74,250M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$64,660M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-06.)\n\nA) -6.92%\nB) -2.24%\nC) 0.10%\nD) 4.79%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.92%", |
| "B) -2.24%", |
| "C) 0.10%", |
| "D) 4.79%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 1.02%\nC) 3.19%\nD) 2.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.46%", |
| "B) 1.02%", |
| "C) 3.19%", |
| "D) 2.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.70pp\nB) +7.09pp\nC) -18.48pp\nD) -5.69pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.70pp", |
| "B) +7.09pp", |
| "C) -18.48pp", |
| "D) -5.69pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.70pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 7.1976\nB) 6.5073\nC) 6.2772\nD) 6.0471", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.1976", |
| "B) 6.5073", |
| "C) 6.2772", |
| "D) 6.0471" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.5073", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) $-50,970M\nB) $-56,889M\nC) $-45,052M\nD) $-39,134M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-50,970M", |
| "B) $-56,889M", |
| "C) $-45,052M", |
| "D) $-39,134M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$-45,052M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $2,567M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,200,000M", |
| "B) $4,300,000M", |
| "C) $2,400,000M", |
| "D) $2,567M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$2,567M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 3.04%\nD) 4.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.12%", |
| "B) 1.21%", |
| "C) 3.04%", |
| "D) 4.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.83%\nB) 0.19%\nC) 2.65%\nD) 1.01%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.83%", |
| "B) 0.19%", |
| "C) 2.65%", |
| "D) 1.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) -5.66%\nB) 57.81%\nC) 26.07%\nD) 47.23%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -5.66%", |
| "B) 57.81%", |
| "C) 26.07%", |
| "D) 47.23%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "26.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) -12.45%\nB) -16.49%\nC) 7.74%\nD) -4.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -12.45%", |
| "B) -16.49%", |
| "C) 7.74%", |
| "D) -4.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.37%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 76.9900\nB) 97.6763\nC) 83.8854\nD) 70.0946", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 76.9900", |
| "B) 97.6763", |
| "C) 83.8854", |
| "D) 70.0946" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "76.9900", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,212M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,200,000M", |
| "B) $2,212M", |
| "C) $4,300,000M", |
| "D) $2,400,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$2,212M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) +0.55pp\nB) +3.65pp\nC) +2.10pp\nD) +1.58pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.55pp", |
| "B) +3.65pp", |
| "C) +2.10pp", |
| "D) +1.58pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+2.10pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) -32.12pp\nB) -25.78pp\nC) +5.92pp\nD) -13.10pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -32.12pp", |
| "B) -25.78pp", |
| "C) +5.92pp", |
| "D) -13.10pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-13.10pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-06.)\n\nA) $8,994B\nB) $9,660B\nC) $8,772B\nD) $9,438B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $8,994B", |
| "B) $9,660B", |
| "C) $8,772B", |
| "D) $9,438B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$8,994B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.91%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 0.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.91%", |
| "B) 1.21%", |
| "C) 1.82%", |
| "D) 0.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.21%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 0.97%\nC) 1.84%\nD) 2.71%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.55%", |
| "B) 0.97%", |
| "C) 1.84%", |
| "D) 2.71%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.84%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 7.31%\nB) 5.87%\nC) 0.11%\nD) 4.43%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.31%", |
| "B) 5.87%", |
| "C) 0.11%", |
| "D) 4.43%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.43%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 17.11%\nB) 4.83%\nC) -7.46%\nD) -19.74%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.11%", |
| "B) 4.83%", |
| "C) -7.46%", |
| "D) -19.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "17.11%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 209.15\nB) 203.20\nC) 197.25\nD) 185.36", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 209.15", |
| "B) 203.20", |
| "C) 197.25", |
| "D) 185.36" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "203.20", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 93.55\nB) 82.22\nC) 86.75\nD) 84.49", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 93.55", |
| "B) 82.22", |
| "C) 86.75", |
| "D) 84.49" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "86.75", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) $9,985B\nB) $10,682B\nC) $9,288B\nD) $9,636B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $9,985B", |
| "B) $10,682B", |
| "C) $9,288B", |
| "D) $9,636B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$9,636B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.45%\nB) 4.35%\nC) 0.75%\nD) 5.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.45%", |
| "B) 4.35%", |
| "C) 0.75%", |
| "D) 5.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.45%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 24.06\nB) 18.24\nC) 6.60\nD) 29.88", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.06", |
| "B) 18.24", |
| "C) 6.60", |
| "D) 29.88" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "18.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 348K\nB) 1,243K\nC) 706K\nD) 885K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 348K", |
| "B) 1,243K", |
| "C) 706K", |
| "D) 885K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "706K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 93.67\nB) 88.08\nC) 89.94\nD) 91.81", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 93.67", |
| "B) 88.08", |
| "C) 89.94", |
| "D) 91.81" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "91.81", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 585K\nB) 1,166K\nC) 972K\nD) 391K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 585K", |
| "B) 1,166K", |
| "C) 972K", |
| "D) 391K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "585K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 87.05%\nB) 20.70%\nC) -1.42%\nD) 42.81%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 87.05%", |
| "B) 20.70%", |
| "C) -1.42%", |
| "D) 42.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "20.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 7.70%\nB) 6.51%\nC) 4.12%\nD) 2.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.70%", |
| "B) 6.51%", |
| "C) 4.12%", |
| "D) 2.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) $11,189B\nB) $9,810B\nC) $10,327B\nD) $10,672B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $11,189B", |
| "B) $9,810B", |
| "C) $10,327B", |
| "D) $10,672B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$10,672B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.32%\nB) 6.69%\nC) -3.43%\nD) 13.44%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.32%", |
| "B) 6.69%", |
| "C) -3.43%", |
| "D) 13.44%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.32%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20110815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2011-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-08.)\n\nA) 105.98%\nB) 42.10%\nC) -0.49%\nD) 84.69%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 105.98%", |
| "B) 42.10%", |
| "C) -0.49%", |
| "D) 84.69%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "42.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.40%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 3.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.40%", |
| "B) 2.26%", |
| "C) 0.54%", |
| "D) 3.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 0.36%\nC) 2.63%\nD) 0.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.06%", |
| "B) 0.36%", |
| "C) 2.63%", |
| "D) 0.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.10%\nB) 2.28%\nC) 1.19%\nD) 3.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.10%", |
| "B) 2.28%", |
| "C) 1.19%", |
| "D) 3.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 1.04%\nC) -1.22%\nD) 4.43%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.30%", |
| "B) 1.04%", |
| "C) -1.22%", |
| "D) 4.43%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.15pp\nB) +2.04pp\nC) +0.40pp\nD) +0.95pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.15pp", |
| "B) +2.04pp", |
| "C) +0.40pp", |
| "D) +0.95pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 13.88%\nB) 27.57%\nC) 20.73%\nD) 7.04%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13.88%", |
| "B) 27.57%", |
| "C) 20.73%", |
| "D) 7.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "7.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) +0.01pp\nC) -1.00pp\nD) -1.21pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.60pp", |
| "B) +0.01pp", |
| "C) -1.00pp", |
| "D) -1.21pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) $241,476M\nB) $196,393M\nC) $211,421M\nD) $166,338M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $241,476M", |
| "B) $196,393M", |
| "C) $211,421M", |
| "D) $166,338M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$196,393M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) -13.62%\nB) 15.91%\nC) -3.77%\nD) -33.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -13.62%", |
| "B) 15.91%", |
| "C) -3.77%", |
| "D) -33.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) -4.42%\nB) -34.38%\nC) -44.37%\nD) -14.40%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.42%", |
| "B) -34.38%", |
| "C) -44.37%", |
| "D) -14.40%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-14.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 32.05%\nB) -4.51%\nC) 13.77%\nD) 86.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 32.05%", |
| "B) -4.51%", |
| "C) 13.77%", |
| "D) 86.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "32.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 3,136.50\nB) 2,804.35\nC) 2,472.20\nD) 3,302.57", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,136.50", |
| "B) 2,804.35", |
| "C) 2,472.20", |
| "D) 3,302.57" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,804.35", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 69.71%\nB) 79.00%\nC) 76.68%\nD) 72.03%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 69.71%", |
| "B) 79.00%", |
| "C) 76.68%", |
| "D) 72.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "76.68%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.67%\nB) -12.89%\nC) -6.78%\nD) -3.73%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.67%", |
| "B) -12.89%", |
| "C) -6.78%", |
| "D) -3.73%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-06.)\n\nA) 3.01%\nB) 9.98%\nC) -3.97%\nD) -1.65%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.01%", |
| "B) 9.98%", |
| "C) -3.97%", |
| "D) -1.65%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.01%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.2528\nB) 1.3494\nC) 1.4460\nD) 1.5910", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.2528", |
| "B) 1.3494", |
| "C) 1.4460", |
| "D) 1.5910" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.3494", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20110215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2011-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-08.)\n\nA) +3.85pp\nB) +2.23pp\nC) +2.77pp\nD) +4.39pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +3.85pp", |
| "B) +2.23pp", |
| "C) +2.77pp", |
| "D) +4.39pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+2.77pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) 98.62\nB) 93.08\nC) 101.39\nD) 95.85", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 98.62", |
| "B) 93.08", |
| "C) 101.39", |
| "D) 95.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "95.85", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20110801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for August 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.70%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 4.99%\nD) 9.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.70%", |
| "B) 4.14%", |
| "C) 4.99%", |
| "D) 9.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) +1.46pp\nB) -0.80pp\nC) -3.06pp\nD) +0.70pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.46pp", |
| "B) -0.80pp", |
| "C) -3.06pp", |
| "D) +0.70pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-06.)\n\nA) 514,859\nB) 464,430\nC) 414,000\nD) 262,711", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 514,859", |
| "B) 464,430", |
| "C) 414,000", |
| "D) 262,711" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "414,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) 61.37%\nB) 53.19%\nC) 55.23%\nD) 58.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 61.37%", |
| "B) 53.19%", |
| "C) 55.23%", |
| "D) 58.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "58.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20110201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 2.80%\nC) 2.46%\nD) 3.13%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.12%", |
| "B) 2.80%", |
| "C) 2.46%", |
| "D) 3.13%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20111101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for November 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-01.)\n\nA) -20.23pp\nB) -7.90pp\nC) +4.43pp\nD) -26.39pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -20.23pp", |
| "B) -7.90pp", |
| "C) +4.43pp", |
| "D) -26.39pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.90pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20110501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-31.)\n\nA) -28.49%\nB) -9.80%\nC) 27.58%\nD) 83.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -28.49%", |
| "B) -9.80%", |
| "C) 27.58%", |
| "D) 83.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "27.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20111115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2011-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.86%\nB) 0.94%\nC) 2.79%\nD) 0.01%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.86%", |
| "B) 0.94%", |
| "C) 2.79%", |
| "D) 0.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.01%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20110515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2011-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2011-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-06.)\n\nA) 4.63%\nB) 5.77%\nC) 4.25%\nD) 3.87%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.63%", |
| "B) 5.77%", |
| "C) 4.25%", |
| "D) 3.87%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.63%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,114.63\nB) 2,507.98\nC) 2,639.10\nD) 2,376.86", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,114.63", |
| "B) 2,507.98", |
| "C) 2,639.10", |
| "D) 2,376.86" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,507.98", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,114.63\nB) 2,507.98\nC) 2,639.10\nD) 2,376.86", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,114.63", |
| "B) 2,507.98", |
| "C) 2,639.10", |
| "D) 2,376.86" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,507.98", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,686.32\nB) 2,948.55\nC) 2,555.20\nD) 2,424.08", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,686.32", |
| "B) 2,948.55", |
| "C) 2,555.20", |
| "D) 2,424.08" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,555.20", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,686.32\nB) 2,948.55\nC) 2,555.20\nD) 2,424.08", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,686.32", |
| "B) 2,948.55", |
| "C) 2,555.20", |
| "D) 2,424.08" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,555.20", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,710.58\nB) 2,186.11\nC) 2,448.34\nD) 2,579.46", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,710.58", |
| "B) 2,186.11", |
| "C) 2,448.34", |
| "D) 2,579.46" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,579.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,710.58\nB) 2,186.11\nC) 2,448.34\nD) 2,579.46", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,710.58", |
| "B) 2,186.11", |
| "C) 2,448.34", |
| "D) 2,579.46" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,579.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,622.31\nB) 2,491.19\nC) 3,015.66\nD) 2,753.43", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,622.31", |
| "B) 2,491.19", |
| "C) 3,015.66", |
| "D) 2,753.43" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,622.31", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,622.31\nB) 2,491.19\nC) 3,015.66\nD) 2,753.43", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,622.31", |
| "B) 2,491.19", |
| "C) 3,015.66", |
| "D) 2,753.43" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,622.31", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,869.75\nB) 2,738.63\nC) 2,345.28\nD) 2,607.51", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,869.75", |
| "B) 2,738.63", |
| "C) 2,345.28", |
| "D) 2,607.51" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,738.63", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,869.75\nB) 2,738.63\nC) 2,345.28\nD) 2,607.51", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,869.75", |
| "B) 2,738.63", |
| "C) 2,345.28", |
| "D) 2,607.51" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,738.63", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,949.43\nB) 2,687.19\nC) 2,818.31\nD) 3,080.54", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,949.43", |
| "B) 2,687.19", |
| "C) 2,818.31", |
| "D) 3,080.54" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,818.31", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,949.43\nB) 2,687.19\nC) 2,818.31\nD) 3,080.54", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,949.43", |
| "B) 2,687.19", |
| "C) 2,818.31", |
| "D) 3,080.54" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,818.31", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) 2.21%\nC) 2.02%\nD) 2.40%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.59%", |
| "B) 2.21%", |
| "C) 2.02%", |
| "D) 2.40%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-5d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) 2.21%\nC) 2.02%\nD) 2.40%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.59%", |
| "B) 2.21%", |
| "C) 2.02%", |
| "D) 2.40%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-5d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 2.97%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.40%", |
| "B) 1.83%", |
| "C) 2.59%", |
| "D) 2.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-10d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 2.97%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.40%", |
| "B) 1.83%", |
| "C) 2.59%", |
| "D) 2.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-10d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 2.97%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.21%", |
| "B) 2.40%", |
| "C) 1.83%", |
| "D) 2.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-20d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 2.97%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.21%", |
| "B) 2.40%", |
| "C) 1.83%", |
| "D) 2.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-20d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.97%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.02%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.21%", |
| "B) 2.97%", |
| "C) 2.40%", |
| "D) 2.02%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-40d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.97%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.02%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.21%", |
| "B) 2.97%", |
| "C) 2.40%", |
| "D) 2.02%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-40d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 1.85%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 2.42%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.99%", |
| "B) 1.85%", |
| "C) 2.04%", |
| "D) 2.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-60d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 1.85%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 2.42%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.99%", |
| "B) 1.85%", |
| "C) 2.04%", |
| "D) 2.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-60d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.42%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 1.85%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.42%", |
| "B) 2.99%", |
| "C) 2.04%", |
| "D) 1.85%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-120d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.42%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 1.85%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.42%", |
| "B) 2.99%", |
| "C) 2.04%", |
| "D) 1.85%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-120d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 28.06\nB) 35.06\nC) 39.72\nD) 42.06", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28.06", |
| "B) 35.06", |
| "C) 39.72", |
| "D) 42.06" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "35.06", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 28.06\nB) 35.06\nC) 39.72\nD) 42.06", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28.06", |
| "B) 35.06", |
| "C) 39.72", |
| "D) 42.06" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "35.06", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 26.92\nB) 33.91\nC) 31.58\nD) 38.58", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.92", |
| "B) 33.91", |
| "C) 31.58", |
| "D) 38.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "31.58", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 26.92\nB) 33.91\nC) 31.58\nD) 38.58", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.92", |
| "B) 33.91", |
| "C) 31.58", |
| "D) 38.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "31.58", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 38.58\nB) 29.25\nC) 26.92\nD) 31.58", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 38.58", |
| "B) 29.25", |
| "C) 26.92", |
| "D) 31.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "31.58", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 38.58\nB) 29.25\nC) 26.92\nD) 31.58", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 38.58", |
| "B) 29.25", |
| "C) 26.92", |
| "D) 31.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "31.58", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 30.98\nB) 35.64\nC) 23.98\nD) 33.31", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 30.98", |
| "B) 35.64", |
| "C) 23.98", |
| "D) 33.31" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "30.98", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 30.98\nB) 35.64\nC) 23.98\nD) 33.31", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 30.98", |
| "B) 35.64", |
| "C) 23.98", |
| "D) 33.31" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "30.98", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 19.87\nB) 24.53\nC) 17.53\nD) 22.20", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.87", |
| "B) 24.53", |
| "C) 17.53", |
| "D) 22.20" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "24.53", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 19.87\nB) 24.53\nC) 17.53\nD) 22.20", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.87", |
| "B) 24.53", |
| "C) 17.53", |
| "D) 22.20" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "24.53", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 25.28\nB) 13.62\nC) 18.28\nD) 22.94", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.28", |
| "B) 13.62", |
| "C) 18.28", |
| "D) 22.94" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "18.28", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 25.28\nB) 13.62\nC) 18.28\nD) 22.94", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.28", |
| "B) 13.62", |
| "C) 18.28", |
| "D) 22.94" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "18.28", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.6049\nB) 1.3451\nC) 1.4935\nD) 1.4193", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.6049", |
| "B) 1.3451", |
| "C) 1.4935", |
| "D) 1.4193" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4193", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.6049\nB) 1.3451\nC) 1.4935\nD) 1.4193", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.6049", |
| "B) 1.3451", |
| "C) 1.4935", |
| "D) 1.4193" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4193", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4193\nB) 1.4935\nC) 1.3080\nD) 1.2337", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.4193", |
| "B) 1.4935", |
| "C) 1.3080", |
| "D) 1.2337" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4193", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4193\nB) 1.4935\nC) 1.3080\nD) 1.2337", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.4193", |
| "B) 1.4935", |
| "C) 1.3080", |
| "D) 1.2337" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4193", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.5678\nB) 1.4193\nC) 1.4935\nD) 1.3080", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.5678", |
| "B) 1.4193", |
| "C) 1.4935", |
| "D) 1.3080" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4193", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.5678\nB) 1.4193\nC) 1.4935\nD) 1.3080", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.5678", |
| "B) 1.4193", |
| "C) 1.4935", |
| "D) 1.3080" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.4193", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.5137\nB) 1.2539\nC) 1.3281\nD) 1.4394", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.5137", |
| "B) 1.2539", |
| "C) 1.3281", |
| "D) 1.4394" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.3281", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.5137\nB) 1.2539\nC) 1.3281\nD) 1.4394", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.5137", |
| "B) 1.2539", |
| "C) 1.3281", |
| "D) 1.4394" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.3281", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4394\nB) 1.1425\nC) 1.2168\nD) 1.3281", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.4394", |
| "B) 1.1425", |
| "C) 1.2168", |
| "D) 1.3281" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.3281", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4394\nB) 1.1425\nC) 1.2168\nD) 1.3281", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.4394", |
| "B) 1.1425", |
| "C) 1.2168", |
| "D) 1.3281" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.3281", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2682\nB) 1.0826\nC) 1.3795\nD) 1.1569", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.2682", |
| "B) 1.0826", |
| "C) 1.3795", |
| "D) 1.1569" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.2682", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2682\nB) 1.0826\nC) 1.3795\nD) 1.1569", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.2682", |
| "B) 1.0826", |
| "C) 1.3795", |
| "D) 1.1569" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.2682", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", |
| "event_date": "2011-08-05", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 73.5087\nB) 78.7400\nC) 70.8931\nD) 83.9713", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 73.5087", |
| "B) 78.7400", |
| "C) 70.8931", |
| "D) 83.9713" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "78.7400", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 73.5087\nB) 78.7400\nC) 70.8931\nD) 83.9713", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 73.5087", |
| "B) 78.7400", |
| "C) 70.8931", |
| "D) 83.9713" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "78.7400", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 70.8931\nB) 76.1244\nC) 78.7400\nD) 86.5869", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 70.8931", |
| "B) 76.1244", |
| "C) 78.7400", |
| "D) 86.5869" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "78.7400", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 70.8931\nB) 76.1244\nC) 78.7400\nD) 86.5869", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 70.8931", |
| "B) 76.1244", |
| "C) 78.7400", |
| "D) 86.5869" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "78.7400", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 70.8931\nB) 76.1244\nC) 86.5869\nD) 78.7400", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 70.8931", |
| "B) 76.1244", |
| "C) 86.5869", |
| "D) 78.7400" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "78.7400", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 70.8931\nB) 76.1244\nC) 86.5869\nD) 78.7400", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 70.8931", |
| "B) 76.1244", |
| "C) 86.5869", |
| "D) 78.7400" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "78.7400", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 78.7400\nB) 76.1244\nC) 83.9713\nD) 73.5087", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 78.7400", |
| "B) 76.1244", |
| "C) 83.9713", |
| "D) 73.5087" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "78.7400", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 78.7400\nB) 76.1244\nC) 83.9713\nD) 73.5087", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 78.7400", |
| "B) 76.1244", |
| "C) 83.9713", |
| "D) 73.5087" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "78.7400", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 81.3556\nB) 78.7400\nC) 76.1244\nD) 83.9713", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 81.3556", |
| "B) 78.7400", |
| "C) 76.1244", |
| "D) 83.9713" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "78.7400", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 81.3556\nB) 78.7400\nC) 76.1244\nD) 83.9713", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 81.3556", |
| "B) 78.7400", |
| "C) 76.1244", |
| "D) 83.9713" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "78.7400", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 73.7944\nB) 84.2569\nC) 76.4100\nD) 79.0256", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 73.7944", |
| "B) 84.2569", |
| "C) 76.4100", |
| "D) 79.0256" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "76.4100", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 73.7944\nB) 84.2569\nC) 76.4100\nD) 79.0256", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 73.7944", |
| "B) 84.2569", |
| "C) 76.4100", |
| "D) 79.0256" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "76.4100", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 27.69\nB) 14.57\nC) 11.29\nD) 21.13", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.69", |
| "B) 14.57", |
| "C) 11.29", |
| "D) 21.13" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "21.13", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 27.69\nB) 14.57\nC) 11.29\nD) 21.13", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.69", |
| "B) 14.57", |
| "C) 11.29", |
| "D) 21.13" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "21.13", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.91\nB) 14.63\nC) 27.75\nD) 21.19", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.91", |
| "B) 14.63", |
| "C) 27.75", |
| "D) 21.19" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "17.91", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.91\nB) 14.63\nC) 27.75\nD) 21.19", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.91", |
| "B) 14.63", |
| "C) 27.75", |
| "D) 21.19" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "17.91", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 10.34\nB) 16.90\nC) 13.62\nD) 20.18", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.34", |
| "B) 16.90", |
| "C) 13.62", |
| "D) 20.18" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "16.90", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 10.34\nB) 16.90\nC) 13.62\nD) 20.18", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.34", |
| "B) 16.90", |
| "C) 13.62", |
| "D) 20.18" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "16.90", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 8.06\nC) 14.62\nD) 11.34", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.46", |
| "B) 8.06", |
| "C) 14.62", |
| "D) 11.34" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "14.62", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 8.06\nC) 14.62\nD) 11.34", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.46", |
| "B) 8.06", |
| "C) 14.62", |
| "D) 11.34" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "14.62", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 24.46\nC) 17.90\nD) 14.62", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.34", |
| "B) 24.46", |
| "C) 17.90", |
| "D) 14.62" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "14.62", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 24.46\nC) 17.90\nD) 14.62", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.34", |
| "B) 24.46", |
| "C) 17.90", |
| "D) 14.62" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "14.62", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 14.62\nB) 21.18\nC) 8.06\nD) 24.46", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 14.62", |
| "B) 21.18", |
| "C) 8.06", |
| "D) 24.46" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "14.62", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 14.62\nB) 21.18\nC) 8.06\nD) 24.46", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 14.62", |
| "B) 21.18", |
| "C) 8.06", |
| "D) 24.46" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "14.62", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,019.97\nB) 2,700.97\nC) 3,179.48\nD) 2,860.47", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,019.97", |
| "B) 2,700.97", |
| "C) 3,179.48", |
| "D) 2,860.47" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,700.97", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,019.97\nB) 2,700.97\nC) 3,179.48\nD) 2,860.47", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,019.97", |
| "B) 2,700.97", |
| "C) 3,179.48", |
| "D) 2,860.47" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,700.97", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,062.06\nB) 3,221.57\nC) 2,743.06\nD) 2,424.06", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,062.06", |
| "B) 3,221.57", |
| "C) 2,743.06", |
| "D) 2,424.06" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,743.06", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,062.06\nB) 3,221.57\nC) 2,743.06\nD) 2,424.06", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,062.06", |
| "B) 3,221.57", |
| "C) 2,743.06", |
| "D) 2,424.06" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,743.06", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,480.82\nB) 3,118.82\nC) 2,321.31\nD) 2,799.82", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,480.82", |
| "B) 3,118.82", |
| "C) 2,321.31", |
| "D) 2,799.82" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,799.82", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,480.82\nB) 3,118.82\nC) 2,321.31\nD) 2,799.82", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,480.82", |
| "B) 3,118.82", |
| "C) 2,321.31", |
| "D) 2,799.82" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,799.82", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,873.54\nB) 2,714.04\nC) 2,554.54\nD) 2,395.03", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,873.54", |
| "B) 2,714.04", |
| "C) 2,554.54", |
| "D) 2,395.03" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,873.54", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,873.54\nB) 2,714.04\nC) 2,554.54\nD) 2,395.03", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,873.54", |
| "B) 2,714.04", |
| "C) 2,554.54", |
| "D) 2,395.03" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,873.54", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,395.03\nB) 2,873.54\nC) 2,714.04\nD) 3,352.05", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,395.03", |
| "B) 2,873.54", |
| "C) 2,714.04", |
| "D) 3,352.05" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,873.54", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,395.03\nB) 2,873.54\nC) 2,714.04\nD) 3,352.05", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,395.03", |
| "B) 2,873.54", |
| "C) 2,714.04", |
| "D) 3,352.05" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,873.54", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,192.54\nB) 3,033.04\nC) 2,873.54\nD) 2,714.04", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,192.54", |
| "B) 3,033.04", |
| "C) 2,873.54", |
| "D) 2,714.04" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,873.54", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,192.54\nB) 3,033.04\nC) 2,873.54\nD) 2,714.04", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,192.54", |
| "B) 3,033.04", |
| "C) 2,873.54", |
| "D) 2,714.04" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,873.54", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $96.00/bbl\nB) $112.42/bbl\nC) $117.89/bbl\nD) $101.47/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $96.00/bbl", |
| "B) $112.42/bbl", |
| "C) $117.89/bbl", |
| "D) $101.47/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$101.47/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $96.00/bbl\nB) $112.42/bbl\nC) $117.89/bbl\nD) $101.47/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $96.00/bbl", |
| "B) $112.42/bbl", |
| "C) $117.89/bbl", |
| "D) $101.47/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$101.47/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $105.21/bbl\nB) $99.74/bbl\nC) $110.68/bbl\nD) $88.79/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $105.21/bbl", |
| "B) $99.74/bbl", |
| "C) $110.68/bbl", |
| "D) $88.79/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$105.21/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $105.21/bbl\nB) $99.74/bbl\nC) $110.68/bbl\nD) $88.79/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $105.21/bbl", |
| "B) $99.74/bbl", |
| "C) $110.68/bbl", |
| "D) $88.79/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$105.21/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $123.22/bbl\nB) $112.27/bbl\nC) $95.85/bbl\nD) $117.74/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $123.22/bbl", |
| "B) $112.27/bbl", |
| "C) $95.85/bbl", |
| "D) $117.74/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$112.27/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $123.22/bbl\nB) $112.27/bbl\nC) $95.85/bbl\nD) $117.74/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $123.22/bbl", |
| "B) $112.27/bbl", |
| "C) $95.85/bbl", |
| "D) $117.74/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$112.27/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $107.92/bbl\nB) $124.34/bbl\nC) $113.39/bbl\nD) $96.97/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $107.92/bbl", |
| "B) $124.34/bbl", |
| "C) $113.39/bbl", |
| "D) $96.97/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$113.39/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $107.92/bbl\nB) $124.34/bbl\nC) $113.39/bbl\nD) $96.97/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $107.92/bbl", |
| "B) $124.34/bbl", |
| "C) $113.39/bbl", |
| "D) $96.97/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$113.39/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $107.92/bbl\nB) $124.34/bbl\nC) $102.44/bbl\nD) $113.39/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $107.92/bbl", |
| "B) $124.34/bbl", |
| "C) $102.44/bbl", |
| "D) $113.39/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$113.39/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $107.92/bbl\nB) $124.34/bbl\nC) $102.44/bbl\nD) $113.39/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $107.92/bbl", |
| "B) $124.34/bbl", |
| "C) $102.44/bbl", |
| "D) $113.39/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$113.39/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $113.39/bbl\nB) $129.81/bbl\nC) $107.92/bbl\nD) $96.97/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $113.39/bbl", |
| "B) $129.81/bbl", |
| "C) $107.92/bbl", |
| "D) $96.97/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$113.39/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $113.39/bbl\nB) $129.81/bbl\nC) $107.92/bbl\nD) $96.97/bbl", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $113.39/bbl", |
| "B) $129.81/bbl", |
| "C) $107.92/bbl", |
| "D) $96.97/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$113.39/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", |
| "event_date": "2011-03-11", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3,008.89\nB) 2,744.61\nC) 2,348.19\nD) 2,480.33", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,008.89", |
| "B) 2,744.61", |
| "C) 2,348.19", |
| "D) 2,480.33" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,744.61", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3,008.89\nB) 2,744.61\nC) 2,348.19\nD) 2,480.33", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,008.89", |
| "B) 2,744.61", |
| "C) 2,348.19", |
| "D) 2,480.33" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,744.61", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3,141.03\nB) 3,008.89\nC) 2,744.61\nD) 2,348.19", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,141.03", |
| "B) 3,008.89", |
| "C) 2,744.61", |
| "D) 2,348.19" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,744.61", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3,141.03\nB) 3,008.89\nC) 2,744.61\nD) 2,348.19", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,141.03", |
| "B) 3,008.89", |
| "C) 2,744.61", |
| "D) 2,348.19" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,744.61", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3,141.03\nB) 3,008.89\nC) 2,480.33\nD) 2,744.61", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,141.03", |
| "B) 3,008.89", |
| "C) 2,480.33", |
| "D) 2,744.61" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,744.61", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3,141.03\nB) 3,008.89\nC) 2,480.33\nD) 2,744.61", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,141.03", |
| "B) 3,008.89", |
| "C) 2,480.33", |
| "D) 2,744.61" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2,744.61", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,744.61\nB) 3,141.03\nC) 3,008.89\nD) 2,480.33", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,744.61", |
| "B) 3,141.03", |
| "C) 3,008.89", |
| "D) 2,480.33" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,744.61", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,744.61\nB) 3,141.03\nC) 3,008.89\nD) 2,480.33", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,744.61", |
| "B) 3,141.03", |
| "C) 3,008.89", |
| "D) 2,480.33" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2,744.61", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,612.47\nB) 2,744.61\nC) 3,008.89\nD) 2,480.33", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,612.47", |
| "B) 2,744.61", |
| "C) 3,008.89", |
| "D) 2,480.33" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,744.61", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,612.47\nB) 2,744.61\nC) 3,008.89\nD) 2,480.33", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,612.47", |
| "B) 2,744.61", |
| "C) 3,008.89", |
| "D) 2,480.33" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,744.61", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,391.91\nB) 2,656.19\nC) 2,788.33\nD) 3,184.75", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,391.91", |
| "B) 2,656.19", |
| "C) 2,788.33", |
| "D) 3,184.75" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,788.33", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,391.91\nB) 2,656.19\nC) 2,788.33\nD) 3,184.75", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,391.91", |
| "B) 2,656.19", |
| "C) 2,788.33", |
| "D) 3,184.75" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2,788.33", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.77%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.40%", |
| "B) 3.33%", |
| "C) 2.58%", |
| "D) 2.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.77%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.40%", |
| "B) 3.33%", |
| "C) 2.58%", |
| "D) 2.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.14%\nC) 3.33%\nD) 2.21%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.77%", |
| "B) 3.14%", |
| "C) 3.33%", |
| "D) 2.21%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.14%\nC) 3.33%\nD) 2.21%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.77%", |
| "B) 3.14%", |
| "C) 3.33%", |
| "D) 2.21%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 2.77%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 3.33%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.14%", |
| "B) 2.77%", |
| "C) 2.58%", |
| "D) 3.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 2.77%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 3.33%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.14%", |
| "B) 2.77%", |
| "C) 2.58%", |
| "D) 3.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.58%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 2.21%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.58%", |
| "B) 2.40%", |
| "C) 2.77%", |
| "D) 2.21%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.58%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 2.21%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.58%", |
| "B) 2.40%", |
| "C) 2.77%", |
| "D) 2.21%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.77%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.40%", |
| "B) 3.33%", |
| "C) 2.58%", |
| "D) 2.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.77%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.40%", |
| "B) 3.33%", |
| "C) 2.58%", |
| "D) 2.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 2.58%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.77%", |
| "B) 3.33%", |
| "C) 2.96%", |
| "D) 2.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 2.58%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.77%", |
| "B) 3.33%", |
| "C) 2.96%", |
| "D) 2.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 38.98\nB) 32.00\nC) 34.33\nD) 27.35", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 38.98", |
| "B) 32.00", |
| "C) 34.33", |
| "D) 27.35" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "32.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 38.98\nB) 32.00\nC) 34.33\nD) 27.35", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 38.98", |
| "B) 32.00", |
| "C) 34.33", |
| "D) 27.35" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "32.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 50.33\nB) 54.98\nC) 48.00\nD) 41.02", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 50.33", |
| "B) 54.98", |
| "C) 48.00", |
| "D) 41.02" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "48.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 50.33\nB) 54.98\nC) 48.00\nD) 41.02", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 50.33", |
| "B) 54.98", |
| "C) 48.00", |
| "D) 41.02" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "48.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 52.65\nB) 50.33\nC) 45.67\nD) 48.00", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 52.65", |
| "B) 50.33", |
| "C) 45.67", |
| "D) 48.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "48.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 52.65\nB) 50.33\nC) 45.67\nD) 48.00", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 52.65", |
| "B) 50.33", |
| "C) 45.67", |
| "D) 48.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "48.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 48.00\nB) 43.35\nC) 41.02\nD) 54.98", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 48.00", |
| "B) 43.35", |
| "C) 41.02", |
| "D) 54.98" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "48.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 48.00\nB) 43.35\nC) 41.02\nD) 54.98", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 48.00", |
| "B) 43.35", |
| "C) 41.02", |
| "D) 54.98" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "48.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 50.33\nB) 48.00\nC) 43.35\nD) 41.02", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 50.33", |
| "B) 48.00", |
| "C) 43.35", |
| "D) 41.02" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "48.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 50.33\nB) 48.00\nC) 43.35\nD) 41.02", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 50.33", |
| "B) 48.00", |
| "C) 43.35", |
| "D) 41.02" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "48.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 50.33\nB) 45.67\nC) 48.00\nD) 54.98", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 50.33", |
| "B) 45.67", |
| "C) 48.00", |
| "D) 54.98" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "48.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 50.33\nB) 45.67\nC) 48.00\nD) 54.98", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 50.33", |
| "B) 45.67", |
| "C) 48.00", |
| "D) 54.98" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "48.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.60%\nB) 0.04%\nC) 0.27%\nD) 0.38%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.60%", |
| "B) 0.04%", |
| "C) 0.27%", |
| "D) 0.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-5d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.60%\nB) 0.04%\nC) 0.27%\nD) 0.38%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.60%", |
| "B) 0.04%", |
| "C) 0.27%", |
| "D) 0.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-5d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 0.72%\nC) 0.27%\nD) 0.49%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.38%", |
| "B) 0.72%", |
| "C) 0.27%", |
| "D) 0.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-10d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 0.72%\nC) 0.27%\nD) 0.49%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.38%", |
| "B) 0.72%", |
| "C) 0.27%", |
| "D) 0.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-10d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.38%\nC) 0.27%\nD) 0.04%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.16%", |
| "B) 0.38%", |
| "C) 0.27%", |
| "D) 0.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-20d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.38%\nC) 0.27%\nD) 0.04%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.16%", |
| "B) 0.38%", |
| "C) 0.27%", |
| "D) 0.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-20d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.60%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.04%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.16%", |
| "B) 0.60%", |
| "C) 0.38%", |
| "D) 0.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-40d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.60%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.04%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.16%", |
| "B) 0.60%", |
| "C) 0.38%", |
| "D) 0.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-40d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.04%\nC) 0.27%\nD) 0.38%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.16%", |
| "B) 0.04%", |
| "C) 0.27%", |
| "D) 0.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-60d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.04%\nC) 0.27%\nD) 0.38%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.16%", |
| "B) 0.04%", |
| "C) 0.27%", |
| "D) 0.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-60d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.16%\nD) 0.60%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.38%", |
| "B) 0.27%", |
| "C) 0.16%", |
| "D) 0.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-120d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.16%\nD) 0.60%", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.38%", |
| "B) 0.27%", |
| "C) 0.16%", |
| "D) 0.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", |
| "event_date": "2011-07-29", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-120d-max", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2011-01-26", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-23", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2011-01-26, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for February 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-23.)\n\nA) 3.54%\nB) 0.16%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 1.29%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.54%", |
| "B) 0.16%", |
| "C) 2.41%", |
| "D) 1.29%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.16%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2011-03-15", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "April 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-12", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2011-03-15, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-12.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 1.23%\nC) 0.10%\nD) 2.35%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.48%", |
| "B) 1.23%", |
| "C) 0.10%", |
| "D) 2.35%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2011-04-27", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-04-24", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2011-04-27, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for May 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-04-24.)\n\nA) 3.45%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.21%\nD) 0.09%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.45%", |
| "B) 2.33%", |
| "C) 1.21%", |
| "D) 0.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2011-06-22", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "July 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-06-19", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2011-06-22, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for July 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-19.)\n\nA) 0.07%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 1.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.07%", |
| "B) 3.38%", |
| "C) 2.28%", |
| "D) 1.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2011-08-09", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "September 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-06", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2011-08-09, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-06.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 1.15%\nD) 2.23%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.30%", |
| "B) 0.08%", |
| "C) 1.15%", |
| "D) 2.23%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2011-09-21", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "October 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-09-18", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2011-09-21, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for October 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-09-18.)\n\nA) 1.13%\nB) 3.24%\nC) 0.07%\nD) 2.18%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.13%", |
| "B) 3.24%", |
| "C) 0.07%", |
| "D) 2.18%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2011-11-02", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "December 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-30", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2011-11-02, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for December 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-30.)\n\nA) 1.11%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 3.18%\nD) 0.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.11%", |
| "B) 2.14%", |
| "C) 3.18%", |
| "D) 0.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2011-12-13", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "January 2012", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-12-10", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2011-12-13, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for January 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2011-12-10.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 1.07%\nC) 3.04%\nD) 2.06%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.08%", |
| "B) 1.07%", |
| "C) 3.04%", |
| "D) 2.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201101", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "January 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-28", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for January 2011 (released around 2011-02-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-28.)\n\nA) -295K\nB) 7K\nC) 309K\nD) 459K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -295K", |
| "B) 7K", |
| "C) 309K", |
| "D) 459K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "7K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201102", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "February 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-25", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for February 2011 (released around 2011-03-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-25.)\n\nA) -230K\nB) 70K\nC) 220K\nD) 370K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -230K", |
| "B) 70K", |
| "C) 220K", |
| "D) 370K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "220K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201103", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "March 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-25", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for March 2011 (released around 2011-04-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-25.)\n\nA) -222K\nB) 674K\nC) 375K\nD) 226K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -222K", |
| "B) 674K", |
| "C) 375K", |
| "D) 226K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "226K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201104", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "April 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-04-29", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for April 2011 (released around 2011-05-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-04-29.)\n\nA) 314K\nB) 615K\nC) 13K\nD) 164K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 314K", |
| "B) 615K", |
| "C) 13K", |
| "D) 164K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "314K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201105", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "May 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-27", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for May 2011 (released around 2011-06-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-27.)\n\nA) -196K\nB) 106K\nC) 408K\nD) -346K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -196K", |
| "B) 106K", |
| "C) 408K", |
| "D) -346K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "106K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201106", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "June 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-06-24", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for June 2011 (released around 2011-07-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-24.)\n\nA) -75K\nB) -227K\nC) 228K\nD) 683K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -75K", |
| "B) -227K", |
| "C) 228K", |
| "D) 683K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "228K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201107", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "July 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-29", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for July 2011 (released around 2011-08-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-29.)\n\nA) 514K\nB) -90K\nC) -241K\nD) 61K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 514K", |
| "B) -90K", |
| "C) -241K", |
| "D) 61K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "61K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201108", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "August 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-26", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for August 2011 (released around 2011-09-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-26.)\n\nA) 133K\nB) -169K\nC) -18K\nD) -319K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 133K", |
| "B) -169K", |
| "C) -18K", |
| "D) -319K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "133K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201109", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "September 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-09-30", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for September 2011 (released around 2011-10-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-09-30.)\n\nA) 68K\nB) 219K\nC) 370K\nD) 522K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 68K", |
| "B) 219K", |
| "C) 370K", |
| "D) 522K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "219K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201110", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "October 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-28", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for October 2011 (released around 2011-11-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-28.)\n\nA) -96K\nB) 666K\nC) 209K\nD) -248K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -96K", |
| "B) 666K", |
| "C) 209K", |
| "D) -248K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "209K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201111", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "November 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-25", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for November 2011 (released around 2011-12-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-25.)\n\nA) -15K\nB) 592K\nC) -318K\nD) 137K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -15K", |
| "B) 592K", |
| "C) -318K", |
| "D) 137K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "137K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-201112", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "December 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-12-30", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for December 2011 (released around 2012-01-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-12-30.)\n\nA) 198K\nB) 654K\nC) 502K\nD) 46K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 198K", |
| "B) 654K", |
| "C) 502K", |
| "D) 46K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "198K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-201101", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "January 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for January 2011 (released around 2011-02-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-06.)\n\nA) -0.12%\nB) 1.70%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 0.79%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.12%", |
| "B) 1.70%", |
| "C) 4.44%", |
| "D) 0.79%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-201103", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-04-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for March 2011 (released around 2011-04-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-04-06.)\n\nA) 3.53%\nB) 5.34%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 1.71%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.53%", |
| "B) 5.34%", |
| "C) 2.62%", |
| "D) 1.71%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.62%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-201104", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "April 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for April 2011 (released around 2011-05-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-06.)\n\nA) 0.37%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 1.27%\nD) 3.08%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.37%", |
| "B) 3.98%", |
| "C) 1.27%", |
| "D) 3.08%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-201106", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "June 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for June 2011 (released around 2011-07-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-06.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 5.29%\nC) 0.82%\nD) 1.72%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.50%", |
| "B) 5.29%", |
| "C) 0.82%", |
| "D) 1.72%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-201107", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "July 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for July 2011 (released around 2011-08-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-06.)\n\nA) 4.47%\nB) 3.58%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 5.36%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.47%", |
| "B) 3.58%", |
| "C) 2.69%", |
| "D) 5.36%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-201109", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for September 2011 (released around 2011-10-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-06.)\n\nA) 5.61%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 3.81%\nD) 6.51%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.61%", |
| "B) 2.91%", |
| "C) 3.81%", |
| "D) 6.51%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.81%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-201110", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "October 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for October 2011 (released around 2011-11-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-06.)\n\nA) 5.33%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.71%\nD) 3.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.33%", |
| "B) 0.81%", |
| "C) 1.71%", |
| "D) 3.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-201112", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "December 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2012-01-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for December 2011 (released around 2012-01-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-06.)\n\nA) 3.06%\nB) 5.78%\nC) 4.88%\nD) 3.97%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.06%", |
| "B) 5.78%", |
| "C) 4.88%", |
| "D) 3.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.06%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2011q1", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q1 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q1 2011 (advance estimate released around 2011-05-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-14.)\n\nA) -1.35%\nB) 2.04%\nC) 5.43%\nD) 0.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.35%", |
| "B) 2.04%", |
| "C) 5.43%", |
| "D) 0.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2011q2", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q2 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q2 2011 (advance estimate released around 2011-08-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-14.)\n\nA) 0.63%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 1.74%\nD) -1.61%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.63%", |
| "B) 3.98%", |
| "C) 1.74%", |
| "D) -1.61%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.74%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2011q3", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q3 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q3 2011 (advance estimate released around 2011-11-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-14.)\n\nA) 2.04%\nB) -2.36%\nC) -0.16%\nD) 0.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.04%", |
| "B) -2.36%", |
| "C) -0.16%", |
| "D) 0.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2011q4", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q4 2011", |
| "info_cutoff": "2012-02-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q4 2011 (advance estimate released around 2012-02-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2012-02-14.)\n\nA) 1.54%\nB) 4.89%\nC) -0.69%\nD) 2.66%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.54%", |
| "B) 4.89%", |
| "C) -0.69%", |
| "D) 2.66%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110107", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-01-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-12-31", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-01-07? (Use only information available on or before 2010-12-31.)\n\nA) 30.61\nB) 17.61\nC) 21.94\nD) 13.28", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 30.61", |
| "B) 17.61", |
| "C) 21.94", |
| "D) 13.28" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "17.61", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110114", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-01-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-07", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-01-14? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-07.)\n\nA) 21.86\nB) 8.90\nC) 17.54\nD) 30.51", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 21.86", |
| "B) 8.90", |
| "C) 17.54", |
| "D) 30.51" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "17.54", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110121", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-01-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-14", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-01-21? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-14.)\n\nA) 27.01\nB) 9.93\nC) 5.66\nD) 18.47", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.01", |
| "B) 9.93", |
| "C) 5.66", |
| "D) 18.47" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "18.47", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110204", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-02-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-28", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-02-04? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-28.)\n\nA) 19.53\nB) 27.64\nC) 7.37\nD) 23.58", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.53", |
| "B) 27.64", |
| "C) 7.37", |
| "D) 23.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "19.53", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110211", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-02-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-04", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-02-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-04.)\n\nA) 12.30\nB) 16.28\nC) 28.23\nD) 20.26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.30", |
| "B) 16.28", |
| "C) 28.23", |
| "D) 20.26" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "16.28", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110218", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-02-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-11", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-02-18? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-11.)\n\nA) 8.91\nB) 28.43\nC) 16.72\nD) 20.62", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.91", |
| "B) 28.43", |
| "C) 16.72", |
| "D) 20.62" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "16.72", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110304", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-03-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-25", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-03-04? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-25.)\n\nA) 10.04\nB) 13.70\nC) 28.32\nD) 21.01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.04", |
| "B) 13.70", |
| "C) 28.32", |
| "D) 21.01" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "21.01", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110311", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-04", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-04.)\n\nA) 21.88\nB) 32.32\nC) 28.84\nD) 25.36", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 21.88", |
| "B) 32.32", |
| "C) 28.84", |
| "D) 25.36" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "21.88", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110318", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-03-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-11", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-03-18? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-11.)\n\nA) 22.84\nB) 29.40\nC) 39.24\nD) 32.68", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.84", |
| "B) 29.40", |
| "C) 39.24", |
| "D) 32.68" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "29.40", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110401", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-04-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-25", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-04-01? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-25.)\n\nA) 22.46\nB) 10.37\nC) 19.44\nD) 28.51", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.46", |
| "B) 10.37", |
| "C) 19.44", |
| "D) 28.51" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "19.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110408", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-04-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-04-01", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-04-08? (Use only information available on or before 2011-04-01.)\n\nA) 9.21\nB) 26.53\nC) 20.76\nD) 17.87", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.21", |
| "B) 26.53", |
| "C) 20.76", |
| "D) 17.87" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "17.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110415", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-04-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-04-08", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-04-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-04-08.)\n\nA) 17.09\nB) 8.77\nC) 25.41\nD) 22.64", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.09", |
| "B) 8.77", |
| "C) 25.41", |
| "D) 22.64" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "17.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110506", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-04-29", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2011-04-29.)\n\nA) 23.58\nB) 18.40\nC) 13.22\nD) 15.81", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 23.58", |
| "B) 18.40", |
| "C) 13.22", |
| "D) 15.81" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "18.40", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110513", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-05-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-06", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-05-13? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-06.)\n\nA) 12.09\nB) 9.56\nC) 17.16\nD) 19.69", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.09", |
| "B) 9.56", |
| "C) 17.16", |
| "D) 19.69" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "17.16", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110520", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-05-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-13", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-05-20? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-13.)\n\nA) 13.23\nB) 15.73\nC) 20.75\nD) 18.24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13.23", |
| "B) 15.73", |
| "C) 20.75", |
| "D) 18.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "18.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110603", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-06-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-27", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-06-03? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-27.)\n\nA) 18.30\nB) 25.69\nC) 20.76\nD) 23.23", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.30", |
| "B) 25.69", |
| "C) 20.76", |
| "D) 23.23" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "18.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110610", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-06-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-06-03", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-06-10? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-03.)\n\nA) 26.18\nB) 18.86\nC) 23.74\nD) 16.42", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.18", |
| "B) 18.86", |
| "C) 23.74", |
| "D) 16.42" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "18.86", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110617", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-06-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-06-10", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-06-17? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-10.)\n\nA) 27.57\nB) 15.47\nC) 22.73\nD) 20.31", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.57", |
| "B) 15.47", |
| "C) 22.73", |
| "D) 20.31" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "22.73", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110701", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-07-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-06-24", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-07-01? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-24.)\n\nA) 25.28\nB) 22.92\nC) 13.49\nD) 20.56", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.28", |
| "B) 22.92", |
| "C) 13.49", |
| "D) 20.56" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "20.56", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110708", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-07-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-07-08? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 16.34\nB) 11.63\nC) 21.05\nD) 23.41", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 16.34", |
| "B) 11.63", |
| "C) 21.05", |
| "D) 23.41" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "16.34", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110715", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-07-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-08", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-07-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-08.)\n\nA) 13.75\nB) 20.80\nC) 18.45\nD) 16.10", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13.75", |
| "B) 20.80", |
| "C) 18.45", |
| "D) 16.10" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "20.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110805", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-29", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-29.)\n\nA) 25.02\nB) 36.65\nC) 32.00\nD) 29.67", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.02", |
| "B) 36.65", |
| "C) 32.00", |
| "D) 29.67" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "32.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110812", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-08-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-05", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-08-12? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-05.)\n\nA) 52.68\nB) 45.66\nC) 43.32\nD) 48.00", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 52.68", |
| "B) 45.66", |
| "C) 43.32", |
| "D) 48.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "48.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110819", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-08-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-12", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-08-19? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-12.)\n\nA) 43.05\nB) 38.01\nC) 50.62\nD) 45.57", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 43.05", |
| "B) 38.01", |
| "C) 50.62", |
| "D) 45.57" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "43.05", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110902", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-09-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-26", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-09-02? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-26.)\n\nA) 31.17\nB) 33.92\nC) 25.68\nD) 28.43", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 31.17", |
| "B) 33.92", |
| "C) 25.68", |
| "D) 28.43" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "33.92", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110909", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-09-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-09-02", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-09-09? (Use only information available on or before 2011-09-02.)\n\nA) 46.88\nB) 44.10\nC) 38.52\nD) 35.73", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 46.88", |
| "B) 44.10", |
| "C) 38.52", |
| "D) 35.73" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "38.52", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20110916", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-09-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-09-09", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-09-16? (Use only information available on or before 2011-09-09.)\n\nA) 35.74\nB) 30.05\nC) 44.28\nD) 38.59", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 35.74", |
| "B) 30.05", |
| "C) 44.28", |
| "D) 38.59" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "38.59", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20111007", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-10-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-09-30", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2011-09-30.)\n\nA) 45.45\nB) 36.05\nC) 51.72\nD) 39.18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 45.45", |
| "B) 36.05", |
| "C) 51.72", |
| "D) 39.18" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "45.45", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20111014", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-10-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-07", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-10-14? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-07.)\n\nA) 29.78\nB) 33.02\nC) 23.30\nD) 39.50", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 29.78", |
| "B) 33.02", |
| "C) 23.30", |
| "D) 39.50" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "33.02", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20111021", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-10-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-14", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-10-21? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-14.)\n\nA) 24.98\nB) 44.58\nC) 34.78\nD) 28.25", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.98", |
| "B) 44.58", |
| "C) 34.78", |
| "D) 28.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "34.78", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20111104", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-11-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-28", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-11-04? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-28.)\n\nA) 24.81\nB) 44.73\nC) 28.13\nD) 34.77", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.81", |
| "B) 44.73", |
| "C) 28.13", |
| "D) 34.77" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "34.77", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20111111", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-11-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-04", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-11-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-04.)\n\nA) 36.16\nB) 39.50\nC) 46.17\nD) 29.48", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 36.16", |
| "B) 39.50", |
| "C) 46.17", |
| "D) 29.48" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "36.16", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20111118", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-11-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-11", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-11-18? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-11.)\n\nA) 37.87\nB) 34.51\nC) 24.42\nD) 41.24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 37.87", |
| "B) 34.51", |
| "C) 24.42", |
| "D) 41.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "34.51", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20111202", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-12-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-25", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-12-02? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-25.)\n\nA) 38.99\nB) 35.56\nC) 32.13\nD) 21.84", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 38.99", |
| "B) 35.56", |
| "C) 32.13", |
| "D) 21.84" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "32.13", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20111209", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-12-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-12-02", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-12-09? (Use only information available on or before 2011-12-02.)\n\nA) 20.27\nB) 27.15\nC) 34.03\nD) 30.59", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 20.27", |
| "B) 27.15", |
| "C) 34.03", |
| "D) 30.59" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "30.59", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20111216", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-12-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-12-09", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2011-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2011-12-09.)\n\nA) 26.04\nB) 15.69\nC) 22.59\nD) 29.49", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.04", |
| "B) 15.69", |
| "C) 22.59", |
| "D) 29.49" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "26.04", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110107", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-01-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2010-12-31", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-01-07? (Use only information available on or before 2010-12-31.)\n\nA) 4.53%\nB) 0.43%\nC) -3.66%\nD) 3.16%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.53%", |
| "B) 0.43%", |
| "C) -3.66%", |
| "D) 3.16%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.43%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110114", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-01-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-07", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-01-14? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-07.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) -0.97%\nC) 1.75%\nD) 0.39%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.12%", |
| "B) -0.97%", |
| "C) 1.75%", |
| "D) 0.39%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110121", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-01-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-14", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-01-21? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-14.)\n\nA) -4.12%\nB) 1.31%\nC) -6.83%\nD) -2.76%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.12%", |
| "B) 1.31%", |
| "C) -6.83%", |
| "D) -2.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110204", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-02-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-01-28", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-02-04? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-28.)\n\nA) 2.56%\nB) -1.49%\nC) 3.91%\nD) 6.62%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.56%", |
| "B) -1.49%", |
| "C) 3.91%", |
| "D) 6.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110211", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-02-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-04", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-02-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-04.)\n\nA) -3.11%\nB) 0.91%\nC) 2.26%\nD) -1.77%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.11%", |
| "B) 0.91%", |
| "C) 2.26%", |
| "D) -1.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.91%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110218", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-02-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-11", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-02-18? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-11.)\n\nA) 1.92%\nB) -3.37%\nC) 0.60%\nD) -2.05%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.92%", |
| "B) -3.37%", |
| "C) 0.60%", |
| "D) -2.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110304", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-03-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-02-25", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-03-04? (Use only information available on or before 2011-02-25.)\n\nA) 1.42%\nB) 2.76%\nC) -1.25%\nD) 0.09%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.42%", |
| "B) 2.76%", |
| "C) -1.25%", |
| "D) 0.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110311", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-03-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-04", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-04.)\n\nA) -1.09%\nB) 1.59%\nC) -3.78%\nD) -5.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.09%", |
| "B) 1.59%", |
| "C) -3.78%", |
| "D) -5.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110318", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-03-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-11", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-03-18? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-11.)\n\nA) -6.17%\nB) -2.12%\nC) -4.82%\nD) -0.77%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.17%", |
| "B) -2.12%", |
| "C) -4.82%", |
| "D) -0.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110401", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-04-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-03-25", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-04-01? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-25.)\n\nA) 6.25%\nB) -1.93%\nC) 2.16%\nD) -0.57%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.25%", |
| "B) -1.93%", |
| "C) 2.16%", |
| "D) -0.57%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.16%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110408", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-04-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-04-01", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-04-08? (Use only information available on or before 2011-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.05%\nB) -3.05%\nC) -1.68%\nD) -0.31%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.05%", |
| "B) -3.05%", |
| "C) -1.68%", |
| "D) -0.31%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.31%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110415", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-04-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-04-08", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-04-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-04-08.)\n\nA) -0.25%\nB) 3.84%\nC) -4.33%\nD) -2.97%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.25%", |
| "B) 3.84%", |
| "C) -4.33%", |
| "D) -2.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110506", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-05-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-04-29", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2011-04-29.)\n\nA) 0.09%\nB) -1.28%\nC) 2.81%\nD) 1.45%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.09%", |
| "B) -1.28%", |
| "C) 2.81%", |
| "D) 1.45%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110513", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-05-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-06", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-05-13? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-06.)\n\nA) 3.47%\nB) 0.81%\nC) -0.52%\nD) -4.51%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.47%", |
| "B) 0.81%", |
| "C) -0.52%", |
| "D) -4.51%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110520", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-05-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-13", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-05-20? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-13.)\n\nA) -1.75%\nB) 3.26%\nC) 2.01%\nD) 0.76%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.75%", |
| "B) 3.26%", |
| "C) 2.01%", |
| "D) 0.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110603", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-06-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-05-27", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-06-03? (Use only information available on or before 2011-05-27.)\n\nA) -3.62%\nB) -6.04%\nC) -4.83%\nD) -7.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.62%", |
| "B) -6.04%", |
| "C) -4.83%", |
| "D) -7.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.62%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110610", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-06-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-06-03", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-06-10? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-03.)\n\nA) 0.20%\nB) -2.18%\nC) -0.99%\nD) 1.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.20%", |
| "B) -2.18%", |
| "C) -0.99%", |
| "D) 1.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110617", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-06-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-06-10", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-06-17? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-10.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) 1.44%\nC) -0.88%\nD) -4.35%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.59%", |
| "B) 1.44%", |
| "C) -0.88%", |
| "D) -4.35%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.88%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110701", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-07-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-06-24", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-07-01? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-24.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 7.05%\nC) 5.90%\nD) 4.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.46%", |
| "B) 7.05%", |
| "C) 5.90%", |
| "D) 4.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110708", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-07-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-01", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-07-08? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) -1.03%\nC) -2.15%\nD) 3.44%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.20%", |
| "B) -1.03%", |
| "C) -2.15%", |
| "D) 3.44%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110715", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-07-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-08", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-07-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-08.)\n\nA) 0.64%\nB) -0.46%\nC) 2.85%\nD) -1.56%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.64%", |
| "B) -0.46%", |
| "C) 2.85%", |
| "D) -1.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.46%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110805", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-08-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-07-29", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-29.)\n\nA) -5.56%\nB) -4.47%\nC) -7.73%\nD) -9.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -5.56%", |
| "B) -4.47%", |
| "C) -7.73%", |
| "D) -9.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110812", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-08-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-05", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-08-12? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-05.)\n\nA) 8.68%\nB) 5.22%\nC) 4.07%\nD) 6.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.68%", |
| "B) 5.22%", |
| "C) 4.07%", |
| "D) 6.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.37%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110819", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-08-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-12", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-08-19? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-12.)\n\nA) -8.35%\nB) -5.65%\nC) -11.05%\nD) -4.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -8.35%", |
| "B) -5.65%", |
| "C) -11.05%", |
| "D) -4.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-8.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110902", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-09-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-08-26", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-09-02? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-26.)\n\nA) -7.52%\nB) -3.19%\nC) -1.75%\nD) 1.14%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.52%", |
| "B) -3.19%", |
| "C) -1.75%", |
| "D) 1.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110909", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-09-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-09-02", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-09-09? (Use only information available on or before 2011-09-02.)\n\nA) -1.69%\nB) 1.22%\nC) -0.24%\nD) 4.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.69%", |
| "B) 1.22%", |
| "C) -0.24%", |
| "D) 4.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.24%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20110916", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-09-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-09-09", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-09-16? (Use only information available on or before 2011-09-09.)\n\nA) 9.50%\nB) 3.63%\nC) 8.04%\nD) 5.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.50%", |
| "B) 3.63%", |
| "C) 8.04%", |
| "D) 5.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20111007", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-10-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-09-30", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2011-09-30.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 9.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.14%", |
| "B) 1.61%", |
| "C) 3.12%", |
| "D) 9.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.14%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20111014", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-10-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-07", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-10-14? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-07.)\n\nA) 7.06%\nB) 3.97%\nC) 0.88%\nD) 8.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.06%", |
| "B) 3.97%", |
| "C) 0.88%", |
| "D) 8.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20111021", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-10-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-14", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-10-21? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-14.)\n\nA) 5.57%\nB) 2.43%\nC) 0.86%\nD) 4.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.57%", |
| "B) 2.43%", |
| "C) 0.86%", |
| "D) 4.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.86%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20111104", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-11-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-10-28", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-11-04? (Use only information available on or before 2011-10-28.)\n\nA) 1.67%\nB) 3.28%\nC) -1.55%\nD) 0.06%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.67%", |
| "B) 3.28%", |
| "C) -1.55%", |
| "D) 0.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.06%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20111111", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-11-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-04", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-11-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-04.)\n\nA) -0.61%\nB) -5.52%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 1.02%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.61%", |
| "B) -5.52%", |
| "C) 4.29%", |
| "D) 1.02%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.61%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20111118", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-11-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-11", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-11-18? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-11.)\n\nA) -6.51%\nB) -3.19%\nC) 0.14%\nD) -8.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -6.51%", |
| "B) -3.19%", |
| "C) 0.14%", |
| "D) -8.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20111202", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-12-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-11-25", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-12-02? (Use only information available on or before 2011-11-25.)\n\nA) -1.07%\nB) 2.27%\nC) 3.94%\nD) 7.28%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.07%", |
| "B) 2.27%", |
| "C) 3.94%", |
| "D) 7.28%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20111209", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-12-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-12-02", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-12-09? (Use only information available on or before 2011-12-02.)\n\nA) -3.74%\nB) 3.07%\nC) 4.77%\nD) -0.34%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.74%", |
| "B) 3.07%", |
| "C) 4.77%", |
| "D) -0.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20111216", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2011-12-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2011-12-09", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2011-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2011-12-09.)\n\nA) -2.18%\nB) 1.25%\nC) -5.61%\nD) -3.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.18%", |
| "B) 1.25%", |
| "C) -5.61%", |
| "D) -3.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2011 |
| } |
| ] |