pre_test / mcq_2016.json
lfqian's picture
Add per-year unpredictable-event floor (FOMC/NFP/CPI/GDP/VIX/NASDAQ): 10,014 -> 12,838 q; every year 25-51% unpredictable
a63e93b verified
[
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 91.70\nB) 82.05\nC) 106.17\nD) 86.88",
"options": [
"A) 91.70",
"B) 82.05",
"C) 106.17",
"D) 86.88"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "91.70",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) $231,535M\nB) $216,792M\nC) $238,907M\nD) $209,420M",
"options": [
"A) $231,535M",
"B) $216,792M",
"C) $238,907M",
"D) $209,420M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$216,792M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.04%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 2.21%",
"options": [
"A) 2.04%",
"B) 1.86%",
"C) 2.38%",
"D) 2.21%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.38%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.95%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 1.72%",
"options": [
"A) 1.95%",
"B) 1.60%",
"C) 1.83%",
"D) 1.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.72%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 59.70%\nB) 56.72%\nC) 60.89%\nD) 57.91%",
"options": [
"A) 59.70%",
"B) 56.72%",
"C) 60.89%",
"D) 57.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "59.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 108.21\nB) 116.77\nC) 103.94\nD) 112.49",
"options": [
"A) 108.21",
"B) 116.77",
"C) 103.94",
"D) 112.49"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "116.77",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.11%\nB) 7.56%\nC) 6.84%\nD) 4.67%",
"options": [
"A) 6.11%",
"B) 7.56%",
"C) 6.84%",
"D) 4.67%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.84%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 115.06\nB) 106.78\nC) 123.34\nD) 110.92",
"options": [
"A) 115.06",
"B) 106.78",
"C) 123.34",
"D) 110.92"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "110.92",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 62.70%\nB) 64.58%\nC) 65.84%\nD) 60.82%",
"options": [
"A) 62.70%",
"B) 64.58%",
"C) 65.84%",
"D) 60.82%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "62.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) $13,092B\nB) $12,788B\nC) $13,395B\nD) $13,699B",
"options": [
"A) $13,092B",
"B) $12,788B",
"C) $13,395B",
"D) $13,699B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$12,788B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 11.61%\nB) 2.47%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 14.66%",
"options": [
"A) 11.61%",
"B) 2.47%",
"C) 5.52%",
"D) 14.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.52%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 17.41\nB) 15.39\nC) 19.42\nD) 13.37",
"options": [
"A) 17.41",
"B) 15.39",
"C) 19.42",
"D) 13.37"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "13.37",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.46%\nD) 1.86%",
"options": [
"A) 1.66%",
"B) 1.37%",
"C) 1.46%",
"D) 1.86%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.66%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 93.35\nB) 98.85\nC) 101.05\nD) 96.65",
"options": [
"A) 93.35",
"B) 98.85",
"C) 101.05",
"D) 96.65"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "98.85",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.34%\nB) -5.16%\nC) 5.84%\nD) 16.84%",
"options": [
"A) 0.34%",
"B) -5.16%",
"C) 5.84%",
"D) 16.84%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.84%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) -7.79%\nB) 2.86%\nC) -13.12%\nD) -5.13%",
"options": [
"A) -7.79%",
"B) 2.86%",
"C) -13.12%",
"D) -5.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-5.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.71%\nB) 7.94%\nC) 6.45%\nD) 7.20%",
"options": [
"A) 5.71%",
"B) 7.94%",
"C) 6.45%",
"D) 7.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.71%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 73.45%\nB) 74.95%\nC) 77.20%\nD) 71.20%",
"options": [
"A) 73.45%",
"B) 74.95%",
"C) 77.20%",
"D) 71.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "74.95%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) $13,291B\nB) $13,780B\nC) $12,802B\nD) $12,313B",
"options": [
"A) $13,291B",
"B) $13,780B",
"C) $12,802B",
"D) $12,313B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$12,802B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.54pp\nB) -3.37pp\nC) -1.03pp\nD) -1.81pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.54pp",
"B) -3.37pp",
"C) -1.03pp",
"D) -1.81pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-1.81pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,230K\nB) 1,151K\nC) 1,468K\nD) 1,071K",
"options": [
"A) 1,230K",
"B) 1,151K",
"C) 1,468K",
"D) 1,071K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,230K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 242.14\nB) 248.42\nC) 264.14\nD) 257.85",
"options": [
"A) 242.14",
"B) 248.42",
"C) 264.14",
"D) 257.85"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "248.42",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 107.00\nB) 125.73\nC) 114.49\nD) 118.24",
"options": [
"A) 107.00",
"B) 125.73",
"C) 114.49",
"D) 118.24"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "114.49",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.53%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.18%\nD) 0.40%",
"options": [
"A) 0.53%",
"B) 0.27%",
"C) 0.18%",
"D) 0.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 75.43%\nB) 77.69%\nC) 73.17%\nD) 70.15%",
"options": [
"A) 75.43%",
"B) 77.69%",
"C) 73.17%",
"D) 70.15%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "75.43%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 0.41%\nC) 0.36%\nD) 0.46%",
"options": [
"A) 0.57%",
"B) 0.41%",
"C) 0.36%",
"D) 0.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.41%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 65.84%\nB) 64.58%\nC) 62.70%\nD) 60.82%",
"options": [
"A) 65.84%",
"B) 64.58%",
"C) 62.70%",
"D) 60.82%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "62.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 61.01%\nB) 64.16%\nC) 66.05%\nD) 62.90%",
"options": [
"A) 61.01%",
"B) 64.16%",
"C) 66.05%",
"D) 62.90%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "62.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 7.25%\nB) 5.83%\nC) 7.96%\nD) 6.54%",
"options": [
"A) 7.25%",
"B) 5.83%",
"C) 7.96%",
"D) 6.54%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.53%\nB) 1.67%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 2.08%",
"options": [
"A) 1.53%",
"B) 1.67%",
"C) 1.81%",
"D) 2.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.67%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 106.80\nB) 113.40\nC) 110.10\nD) 103.49",
"options": [
"A) 106.80",
"B) 113.40",
"C) 110.10",
"D) 103.49"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "110.10",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $3,836M",
"options": [
"A) $6,200,000M",
"B) $4,300,000M",
"C) $2,400,000M",
"D) $3,836M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$3,836M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) $-40,146M\nB) $-42,126M\nC) $-46,086M\nD) $-34,206M",
"options": [
"A) $-40,146M",
"B) $-42,126M",
"C) $-46,086M",
"D) $-34,206M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$-40,146M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 5.19%\nC) 7.61%\nD) 12.44%",
"options": [
"A) 2.77%",
"B) 5.19%",
"C) 7.61%",
"D) 12.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.19%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) -9.94%\nB) -17.16%\nC) -2.73%\nD) -24.37%",
"options": [
"A) -9.94%",
"B) -17.16%",
"C) -2.73%",
"D) -24.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-2.73%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 95.69\nB) 93.65\nC) 100.80\nD) 97.74",
"options": [
"A) 95.69",
"B) 93.65",
"C) 100.80",
"D) 97.74"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "97.74",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) $45.72/bbl\nB) $82.66/bbl\nC) $33.41/bbl\nD) $8.78/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $45.72/bbl",
"B) $82.66/bbl",
"C) $33.41/bbl",
"D) $8.78/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$45.72/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-06.)\n\nA) 286,995\nB) 264,000\nC) 195,014\nD) 332,986",
"options": [
"A) 286,995",
"B) 264,000",
"C) 195,014",
"D) 332,986"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "264,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) -7.75pp\nB) -11.80pp\nC) -3.70pp\nD) +4.40pp",
"options": [
"A) -7.75pp",
"B) -11.80pp",
"C) -3.70pp",
"D) +4.40pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-3.70pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) $481,543M\nB) $439,414M\nC) $418,349M\nD) $449,946M",
"options": [
"A) $481,543M",
"B) $439,414M",
"C) $418,349M",
"D) $449,946M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$449,946M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.23%\nB) 2.62%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 2.42%",
"options": [
"A) 2.23%",
"B) 2.62%",
"C) 2.04%",
"D) 2.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.23%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-06.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 3.43%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 3.75%",
"options": [
"A) 2.96%",
"B) 3.43%",
"C) 3.90%",
"D) 3.75%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.43%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.84%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 2.01%",
"options": [
"A) 1.84%",
"B) 2.18%",
"C) 2.35%",
"D) 2.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.35%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.68%\nB) 2.41%\nC) -1.46%\nD) 0.09%",
"options": [
"A) -0.68%",
"B) 2.41%",
"C) -1.46%",
"D) 0.09%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 0.80%\nC) 1.24%\nD) 1.13%",
"options": [
"A) 1.02%",
"B) 0.80%",
"C) 1.24%",
"D) 1.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.02%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 6.8464\nB) 6.5154\nC) 6.3168\nD) 6.6478",
"options": [
"A) 6.8464",
"B) 6.5154",
"C) 6.3168",
"D) 6.6478"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.5154",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.39%\nB) 2.47%\nC) 0.85%\nD) -0.78%",
"options": [
"A) 1.39%",
"B) 2.47%",
"C) 0.85%",
"D) -0.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.85%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 105.02\nB) 101.10\nC) 95.21\nD) 98.15",
"options": [
"A) 105.02",
"B) 101.10",
"C) 95.21",
"D) 98.15"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "98.15",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.19%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 8.82%\nD) 7.01%",
"options": [
"A) 5.19%",
"B) 3.37%",
"C) 8.82%",
"D) 7.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.19%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 1.06%\nC) 1.54%\nD) 0.57%",
"options": [
"A) 0.08%",
"B) 1.06%",
"C) 1.54%",
"D) 0.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.06%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 96.92\nB) 100.88\nC) 98.90\nD) 102.86",
"options": [
"A) 96.92",
"B) 100.88",
"C) 98.90",
"D) 102.86"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "98.90",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 103.40\nB) 95.52\nC) 101.43\nD) 98.48",
"options": [
"A) 103.40",
"B) 95.52",
"C) 101.43",
"D) 98.48"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "98.48",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) -4.19%\nB) -9.27%\nC) -11.81%\nD) 3.44%",
"options": [
"A) -4.19%",
"B) -9.27%",
"C) -11.81%",
"D) 3.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-4.19%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.82%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 3.65%\nD) 5.98%",
"options": [
"A) 4.82%",
"B) 5.40%",
"C) 3.65%",
"D) 5.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 18,263.33\nB) 19,195.13\nC) 18,636.05\nD) 17,704.25",
"options": [
"A) 18,263.33",
"B) 19,195.13",
"C) 18,636.05",
"D) 17,704.25"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "18,636.05",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 0.21%\nB) 0.31%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 0.37%",
"options": [
"A) 0.21%",
"B) 0.31%",
"C) 0.47%",
"D) 0.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.37%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) +0.60pp\nB) +1.00pp\nC) +0.20pp\nD) +0.87pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.60pp",
"B) +1.00pp",
"C) +0.20pp",
"D) +0.87pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.60pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) -6.22%\nB) 2.20%\nC) -2.01%\nD) 6.41%",
"options": [
"A) -6.22%",
"B) 2.20%",
"C) -2.01%",
"D) 6.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.17pp\nB) -0.08pp\nC) +0.30pp\nD) +0.04pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.17pp",
"B) -0.08pp",
"C) +0.30pp",
"D) +0.04pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+0.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 244.46\nB) 225.47\nC) 230.22\nD) 237.34",
"options": [
"A) 244.46",
"B) 225.47",
"C) 230.22",
"D) 237.34"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "237.34",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.63%\nB) 5.78%\nC) 4.73%\nD) 0.53%",
"options": [
"A) 2.63%",
"B) 5.78%",
"C) 4.73%",
"D) 0.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.63%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) $21.93/hr\nB) $21.33/hr\nC) $22.52/hr\nD) $20.43/hr",
"options": [
"A) $21.93/hr",
"B) $21.33/hr",
"C) $22.52/hr",
"D) $20.43/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$21.33/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) +0.61pp\nB) +0.18pp\nC) +0.83pp\nD) +0.40pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.61pp",
"B) +0.18pp",
"C) +0.83pp",
"D) +0.40pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+0.83pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 6.15%\nC) 4.13%\nD) 4.80%",
"options": [
"A) 2.78%",
"B) 6.15%",
"C) 4.13%",
"D) 4.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-06.)\n\nA) 262,000\nB) 310,607\nC) 286,303\nD) 213,393",
"options": [
"A) 262,000",
"B) 310,607",
"C) 286,303",
"D) 213,393"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "262,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.20%\nB) 0.32%\nC) -1.55%\nD) -3.43%",
"options": [
"A) 2.20%",
"B) 0.32%",
"C) -1.55%",
"D) -3.43%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.32%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 6.7140\nB) 6.3228\nC) 6.5184\nD) 6.9747",
"options": [
"A) 6.7140",
"B) 6.3228",
"C) 6.5184",
"D) 6.9747"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.5184",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.17%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 0.99%\nD) 1.55%",
"options": [
"A) 1.17%",
"B) 2.11%",
"C) 0.99%",
"D) 1.55%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.55%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) $21.71/hr\nB) $22.68/hr\nC) $20.74/hr\nD) $20.09/hr",
"options": [
"A) $21.71/hr",
"B) $22.68/hr",
"C) $20.74/hr",
"D) $20.09/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$21.71/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 93.1804\nB) 101.0200\nC) 85.3407\nD) 108.8596",
"options": [
"A) 93.1804",
"B) 101.0200",
"C) 85.3407",
"D) 108.8596"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "101.0200",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 111.89\nB) 107.51\nC) 109.70\nD) 114.09",
"options": [
"A) 111.89",
"B) 107.51",
"C) 109.70",
"D) 114.09"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "109.70",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 6.6872\nB) 7.2765\nC) 7.0240\nD) 6.8556",
"options": [
"A) 6.6872",
"B) 7.2765",
"C) 7.0240",
"D) 6.8556"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.8556",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) $14,116B\nB) $14,430B\nC) $13,488B\nD) $13,802B",
"options": [
"A) $14,116B",
"B) $14,430B",
"C) $13,488B",
"D) $13,802B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$14,116B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) $74.36/bbl\nB) $44.15/bbl\nC) $59.26/bbl\nD) $89.47/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $74.36/bbl",
"B) $44.15/bbl",
"C) $59.26/bbl",
"D) $89.47/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$44.15/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.65%\nB) 1.03%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 1.94%",
"options": [
"A) 4.65%",
"B) 1.03%",
"C) 3.75%",
"D) 1.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.75%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 56.81%\nB) 61.59%\nC) 58.01%\nD) 59.80%",
"options": [
"A) 56.81%",
"B) 61.59%",
"C) 58.01%",
"D) 59.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "59.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) +0.52pp\nC) +0.64pp\nD) +0.76pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.40pp",
"B) +0.52pp",
"C) +0.64pp",
"D) +0.76pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-06.)\n\nA) $11,647B\nB) $12,080B\nC) $10,783B\nD) $12,944B",
"options": [
"A) $11,647B",
"B) $12,080B",
"C) $10,783B",
"D) $12,944B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$12,080B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) -8.85%\nB) 27.94%\nC) 3.41%\nD) -33.38%",
"options": [
"A) -8.85%",
"B) 27.94%",
"C) 3.41%",
"D) -33.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.41%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.69%\nB) 2.50%\nC) 2.14%\nD) 2.32%",
"options": [
"A) 2.69%",
"B) 2.50%",
"C) 2.14%",
"D) 2.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.32%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.97%\nB) 3.18%\nC) 2.76%\nD) 3.39%",
"options": [
"A) 2.97%",
"B) 3.18%",
"C) 2.76%",
"D) 3.39%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.97%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.63pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) -0.06pp\nD) +0.09pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.63pp",
"B) -0.20pp",
"C) -0.06pp",
"D) +0.09pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) $13,486B\nB) $11,997B\nC) $12,990B\nD) $11,500B",
"options": [
"A) $13,486B",
"B) $11,997B",
"C) $12,990B",
"D) $11,500B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$12,990B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) $244,105M\nB) $237,109M\nC) $209,125M\nD) $223,117M",
"options": [
"A) $244,105M",
"B) $237,109M",
"C) $209,125M",
"D) $223,117M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$223,117M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 247.14\nB) 234.92\nC) 241.03\nD) 253.24",
"options": [
"A) 247.14",
"B) 234.92",
"C) 241.03",
"D) 253.24"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "247.14",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 152,860K\nB) 143,900K\nC) 147,484K\nD) 140,316K",
"options": [
"A) 152,860K",
"B) 143,900K",
"C) 147,484K",
"D) 140,316K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "143,900K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-06.)\n\nA) 5.75%\nB) 8.22%\nC) 6.98%\nD) 3.28%",
"options": [
"A) 5.75%",
"B) 8.22%",
"C) 6.98%",
"D) 3.28%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.98%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) $13,438B\nB) $12,849B\nC) $12,260B\nD) $12,554B",
"options": [
"A) $13,438B",
"B) $12,849B",
"C) $12,260B",
"D) $12,554B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$12,554B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.0726\nB) 1.1777\nC) 0.9150\nD) 1.1251",
"options": [
"A) 1.0726",
"B) 1.1777",
"C) 0.9150",
"D) 1.1251"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.0726",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) -26.12%\nB) -4.20%\nC) 17.72%\nD) -18.81%",
"options": [
"A) -26.12%",
"B) -4.20%",
"C) 17.72%",
"D) -18.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-4.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.39%\nB) 2.13%\nC) 2.64%\nD) 3.40%",
"options": [
"A) 2.39%",
"B) 2.13%",
"C) 2.64%",
"D) 3.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.64%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 233.06\nB) 239.29\nC) 254.85\nD) 245.51",
"options": [
"A) 233.06",
"B) 239.29",
"C) 254.85",
"D) 245.51"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "245.51",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) $48.49/bbl\nB) $76.86/bbl\nC) $91.05/bbl\nD) $34.30/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $48.49/bbl",
"B) $76.86/bbl",
"C) $91.05/bbl",
"D) $34.30/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$48.49/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-06.)\n\nA) 276,064\nB) 232,000\nC) 254,032\nD) 187,936",
"options": [
"A) 276,064",
"B) 232,000",
"C) 254,032",
"D) 187,936"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "232,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 138,014K\nB) 147,000K\nC) 143,406K\nD) 152,392K",
"options": [
"A) 138,014K",
"B) 147,000K",
"C) 143,406K",
"D) 152,392K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "143,406K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 61.59%\nB) 58.01%\nC) 56.81%\nD) 59.80%",
"options": [
"A) 61.59%",
"B) 58.01%",
"C) 56.81%",
"D) 59.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "59.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 5,275.62\nB) 6,115.39\nC) 6,535.28\nD) 5,695.51",
"options": [
"A) 5,275.62",
"B) 6,115.39",
"C) 6,535.28",
"D) 5,695.51"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5,275.62",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 101.25\nB) 98.28\nC) 96.31\nD) 94.33",
"options": [
"A) 101.25",
"B) 98.28",
"C) 96.31",
"D) 94.33"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "98.28",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 0.84%\nC) 0.74%\nD) 1.04%",
"options": [
"A) 0.54%",
"B) 0.84%",
"C) 0.74%",
"D) 1.04%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.74%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 19.04%\nB) -17.45%\nC) -24.75%\nD) -2.86%",
"options": [
"A) 19.04%",
"B) -17.45%",
"C) -24.75%",
"D) -2.86%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-2.86%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) -2.76%\nB) -7.19%\nC) -9.40%\nD) 3.88%",
"options": [
"A) -2.76%",
"B) -7.19%",
"C) -9.40%",
"D) 3.88%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-2.76%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 115.13\nB) 111.12\nC) 107.12\nD) 123.14",
"options": [
"A) 115.13",
"B) 111.12",
"C) 107.12",
"D) 123.14"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "111.12",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 72.95%\nB) 76.71%\nC) 75.20%\nD) 78.96%",
"options": [
"A) 72.95%",
"B) 76.71%",
"C) 75.20%",
"D) 78.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "75.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 5,306.50\nB) 4,000.69\nC) 4,871.23\nD) 4,435.96",
"options": [
"A) 5,306.50",
"B) 4,000.69",
"C) 4,871.23",
"D) 4,435.96"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,435.96",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.15%\nB) 2.03%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 2.37%",
"options": [
"A) 2.15%",
"B) 2.03%",
"C) 1.81%",
"D) 2.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.15%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.73%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 1.80%\nD) 1.98%",
"options": [
"A) 2.73%",
"B) 2.36%",
"C) 1.80%",
"D) 1.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.36%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) $12,067B\nB) $13,239B\nC) $12,653B\nD) $12,946B",
"options": [
"A) $12,067B",
"B) $13,239B",
"C) $12,653B",
"D) $12,946B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$12,653B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) -51.90%\nB) -9.54%\nC) 4.58%\nD) -23.66%",
"options": [
"A) -51.90%",
"B) -9.54%",
"C) 4.58%",
"D) -23.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-23.66%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-06.)\n\nA) 2,177,000\nB) 2,690,056\nC) 1,920,472\nD) 2,946,584",
"options": [
"A) 2,177,000",
"B) 2,690,056",
"C) 1,920,472",
"D) 2,946,584"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,177,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) $61.94/bbl\nB) $29.05/bbl\nC) $-3.84/bbl\nD) $50.98/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $61.94/bbl",
"B) $29.05/bbl",
"C) $-3.84/bbl",
"D) $50.98/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$29.05/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.14%\nB) 1.03%\nC) 3.09%\nD) 3.77%",
"options": [
"A) 5.14%",
"B) 1.03%",
"C) 3.09%",
"D) 3.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 94.01\nB) 101.00\nC) 97.01\nD) 99.00",
"options": [
"A) 94.01",
"B) 101.00",
"C) 97.01",
"D) 99.00"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "99.00",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 242.03\nB) 249.29\nC) 256.55\nD) 234.77",
"options": [
"A) 242.03",
"B) 249.29",
"C) 256.55",
"D) 234.77"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "242.03",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 0.89%\nC) 0.50%\nD) 1.27%",
"options": [
"A) 1.66%",
"B) 0.89%",
"C) 0.50%",
"D) 1.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.89%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 4,401.75\nB) 3,971.62\nC) 5,262.02\nD) 5,692.15",
"options": [
"A) 4,401.75",
"B) 3,971.62",
"C) 5,262.02",
"D) 5,692.15"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5,262.02",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.53%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 0.07%\nD) 1.28%",
"options": [
"A) -0.53%",
"B) 2.48%",
"C) 0.07%",
"D) 1.28%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.28%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 9.57%\nB) -0.08%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 19.22%",
"options": [
"A) 9.57%",
"B) -0.08%",
"C) 3.14%",
"D) 19.22%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "9.57%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) $33.10/bbl\nB) $45.86/bbl\nC) $20.34/bbl\nD) $7.58/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $33.10/bbl",
"B) $45.86/bbl",
"C) $20.34/bbl",
"D) $7.58/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$45.86/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.81%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 3.24%",
"options": [
"A) 2.81%",
"B) 1.94%",
"C) 2.59%",
"D) 3.24%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.59%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-06.)\n\nA) 2,993,285\nB) 1,681,144\nC) 2,730,856\nD) 2,206,000",
"options": [
"A) 2,993,285",
"B) 1,681,144",
"C) 2,730,856",
"D) 2,206,000"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,206,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 0.30%\nB) 0.35%\nC) 0.25%\nD) 0.40%",
"options": [
"A) 0.30%",
"B) 0.35%",
"C) 0.25%",
"D) 0.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 57.91%\nB) 59.70%\nC) 61.49%\nD) 62.69%",
"options": [
"A) 57.91%",
"B) 59.70%",
"C) 61.49%",
"D) 62.69%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "59.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-06.)\n\nA) 4.07%\nB) 3.90%\nC) 3.57%\nD) 3.24%",
"options": [
"A) 4.07%",
"B) 3.90%",
"C) 3.57%",
"D) 3.24%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.57%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) $63,549M\nB) $59,703M\nC) $64,831M\nD) $60,985M",
"options": [
"A) $63,549M",
"B) $59,703M",
"C) $64,831M",
"D) $60,985M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$60,985M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 7.70%\nB) 30.56%\nC) -15.16%\nD) -26.59%",
"options": [
"A) 7.70%",
"B) 30.56%",
"C) -15.16%",
"D) -26.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.94%\nB) 2.73%\nC) 3.80%\nD) 0.59%",
"options": [
"A) 5.94%",
"B) 2.73%",
"C) 3.80%",
"D) 0.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.73%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) -3.30pp\nB) -4.09pp\nC) -1.74pp\nD) -0.96pp",
"options": [
"A) -3.30pp",
"B) -4.09pp",
"C) -1.74pp",
"D) -0.96pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-1.74pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) $12,584B\nB) $13,511B\nC) $12,275B\nD) $12,893B",
"options": [
"A) $12,584B",
"B) $13,511B",
"C) $12,275B",
"D) $12,893B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$12,893B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.80pp\nB) -1.23pp\nC) -1.08pp\nD) -0.66pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.80pp",
"B) -1.23pp",
"C) -1.08pp",
"D) -0.66pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.80pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.75%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 1.35%",
"options": [
"A) 1.15%",
"B) 1.75%",
"C) 2.35%",
"D) 1.35%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.75%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 1.81%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 1.93%",
"options": [
"A) 1.34%",
"B) 1.81%",
"C) 1.70%",
"D) 1.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.50%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 1.86%\nD) 1.68%",
"options": [
"A) 1.50%",
"B) 2.05%",
"C) 1.86%",
"D) 1.68%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.68%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-06.)\n\nA) $11,703B\nB) $12,479B\nC) $12,091B\nD) $10,541B",
"options": [
"A) $11,703B",
"B) $12,479B",
"C) $12,091B",
"D) $10,541B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$11,703B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) +8.06pp\nB) +4.00pp\nC) +16.17pp\nD) -8.17pp",
"options": [
"A) +8.06pp",
"B) +4.00pp",
"C) +16.17pp",
"D) -8.17pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+4.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 96.70\nB) 101.70\nC) 98.70\nD) 103.71",
"options": [
"A) 96.70",
"B) 101.70",
"C) 98.70",
"D) 103.71"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "98.70",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-06.)\n\nA) 2,513,347\nB) 2,747,520\nC) 2,279,173\nD) 2,045,000",
"options": [
"A) 2,513,347",
"B) 2,747,520",
"C) 2,279,173",
"D) 2,045,000"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,045,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.24%\nB) 4.02%\nC) 12.53%\nD) -13.02%",
"options": [
"A) -0.24%",
"B) 4.02%",
"C) 12.53%",
"D) -13.02%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.24%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.64%\nB) 2.52%\nC) 5.70%\nD) -0.66%",
"options": [
"A) 4.64%",
"B) 2.52%",
"C) 5.70%",
"D) -0.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.52%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 22.64%\nB) -3.43%\nC) 3.09%\nD) 16.13%",
"options": [
"A) 22.64%",
"B) -3.43%",
"C) 3.09%",
"D) 16.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) +0.82pp\nB) +1.70pp\nC) +0.60pp\nD) +1.04pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.82pp",
"B) +1.70pp",
"C) +0.60pp",
"D) +1.04pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+1.04pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) $21.48/hr\nB) $20.28/hr\nC) $22.38/hr\nD) $20.88/hr",
"options": [
"A) $21.48/hr",
"B) $20.28/hr",
"C) $22.38/hr",
"D) $20.88/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$21.48/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 190.51\nB) 186.60\nC) 182.69\nD) 174.86",
"options": [
"A) 190.51",
"B) 186.60",
"C) 182.69",
"D) 174.86"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "186.60",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-06.)\n\nA) 3.45%\nB) 4.10%\nC) 3.94%\nD) 3.62%",
"options": [
"A) 3.45%",
"B) 4.10%",
"C) 3.94%",
"D) 3.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $3,630M",
"options": [
"A) $2,400,000M",
"B) $6,200,000M",
"C) $4,300,000M",
"D) $3,630M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$3,630M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.63%\nB) 24.69%\nC) -3.39%\nD) -10.41%",
"options": [
"A) 3.63%",
"B) 24.69%",
"C) -3.39%",
"D) -10.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.63%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-06.)\n\nA) 2,384,504\nB) 2,137,000\nC) 2,632,007\nD) 1,394,489",
"options": [
"A) 2,384,504",
"B) 2,137,000",
"C) 2,632,007",
"D) 1,394,489"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,137,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) -13.04%\nB) -10.13%\nC) -4.31%\nD) 4.42%",
"options": [
"A) -13.04%",
"B) -10.13%",
"C) -4.31%",
"D) 4.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-4.31%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 0.10%\nB) 0.18%\nC) 0.39%\nD) 0.31%",
"options": [
"A) 0.10%",
"B) 0.18%",
"C) 0.39%",
"D) 0.31%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.31%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 2.90%\nC) 4.23%\nD) 6.23%",
"options": [
"A) 4.90%",
"B) 2.90%",
"C) 4.23%",
"D) 6.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 105.61\nB) 93.80\nC) 101.67\nD) 97.74",
"options": [
"A) 105.61",
"B) 93.80",
"C) 101.67",
"D) 97.74"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "93.80",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 930K\nB) 1,113K\nC) 1,205K\nD) 1,480K",
"options": [
"A) 930K",
"B) 1,113K",
"C) 1,205K",
"D) 1,480K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,205K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) $409,446M\nB) $465,564M\nC) $431,893M\nD) $443,117M",
"options": [
"A) $409,446M",
"B) $465,564M",
"C) $431,893M",
"D) $443,117M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$443,117M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,140K\nB) 1,058K\nC) 1,304K\nD) 1,386K",
"options": [
"A) 1,140K",
"B) 1,058K",
"C) 1,304K",
"D) 1,386K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,140K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.25%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 2.57%",
"options": [
"A) 2.47%",
"B) 2.25%",
"C) 2.04%",
"D) 2.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.27%\nB) 2.58%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 3.96%",
"options": [
"A) 3.27%",
"B) 2.58%",
"C) 3.61%",
"D) 3.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.61%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 247.76\nB) 233.33\nC) 228.52\nD) 240.54",
"options": [
"A) 247.76",
"B) 233.33",
"C) 228.52",
"D) 240.54"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "240.54",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) +0.17pp\nC) +0.04pp\nD) +0.56pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.30pp",
"B) +0.17pp",
"C) +0.04pp",
"D) +0.56pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.02%\nB) -5.04%\nC) -15.11%\nD) -11.76%",
"options": [
"A) 5.02%",
"B) -5.04%",
"C) -15.11%",
"D) -11.76%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-5.04%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.54%\nB) 1.04%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 0.25%",
"options": [
"A) -0.54%",
"B) 1.04%",
"C) 1.83%",
"D) 0.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.83%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) -16.43%\nB) 17.61%\nC) -2.82%\nD) 3.99%",
"options": [
"A) -16.43%",
"B) 17.61%",
"C) -2.82%",
"D) 3.99%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.99%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.09%\nB) -0.71%\nC) -1.51%\nD) -2.31%",
"options": [
"A) 0.09%",
"B) -0.71%",
"C) -1.51%",
"D) -2.31%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,373K\nB) 1,201K\nC) 1,029K\nD) 1,287K",
"options": [
"A) 1,373K",
"B) 1,201K",
"C) 1,029K",
"D) 1,287K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1,201K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 4.71%",
"options": [
"A) 4.40%",
"B) 2.86%",
"C) 3.78%",
"D) 4.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.78%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.63%\nB) 2.41%\nC) 1.99%\nD) 2.31%",
"options": [
"A) 2.63%",
"B) 2.41%",
"C) 1.99%",
"D) 2.31%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.31%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.1199\nB) 1.2260\nC) 1.1729\nD) 1.0669",
"options": [
"A) 1.1199",
"B) 1.2260",
"C) 1.1729",
"D) 1.0669"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.1199",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 25.43%\nB) 3.91%\nC) -17.62%\nD) 36.19%",
"options": [
"A) 25.43%",
"B) 3.91%",
"C) -17.62%",
"D) 36.19%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.91%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) $32.58/bbl\nB) $62.04/bbl\nC) $47.31/bbl\nD) $3.11/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $32.58/bbl",
"B) $62.04/bbl",
"C) $47.31/bbl",
"D) $3.11/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$47.31/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 0.42%\nB) -1.84%\nC) 7.20%\nD) 4.94%",
"options": [
"A) 0.42%",
"B) -1.84%",
"C) 7.20%",
"D) 4.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.99%\nB) 0.92%\nC) 2.95%\nD) -1.11%",
"options": [
"A) 4.99%",
"B) 0.92%",
"C) 2.95%",
"D) -1.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.99%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) -14.24%\nB) -1.13%\nC) -20.80%\nD) 5.43%",
"options": [
"A) -14.24%",
"B) -1.13%",
"C) -20.80%",
"D) 5.43%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-1.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 187.59\nB) 168.71\nC) 181.30\nD) 175.01",
"options": [
"A) 187.59",
"B) 168.71",
"C) 181.30",
"D) 175.01"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "181.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 173.47\nB) 200.90\nC) 194.04\nD) 180.32",
"options": [
"A) 173.47",
"B) 200.90",
"C) 194.04",
"D) 180.32"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "180.32",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) -5.40%\nB) 5.09%\nC) -21.15%\nD) -10.65%",
"options": [
"A) -5.40%",
"B) 5.09%",
"C) -21.15%",
"D) -10.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-5.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 77.24%\nB) 75.73%\nC) 79.52%\nD) 74.21%",
"options": [
"A) 77.24%",
"B) 75.73%",
"C) 79.52%",
"D) 74.21%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "75.73%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) -32.36%\nB) -7.85%\nC) -20.11%\nD) -44.62%",
"options": [
"A) -32.36%",
"B) -7.85%",
"C) -20.11%",
"D) -44.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-20.11%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-06.)\n\nA) 4.21%\nB) 5.24%\nC) 6.26%\nD) 7.29%",
"options": [
"A) 4.21%",
"B) 5.24%",
"C) 6.26%",
"D) 7.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "7.29%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 2.47%",
"options": [
"A) 2.27%",
"B) 2.86%",
"C) 2.07%",
"D) 2.47%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.27%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) $20.02/hr\nB) $21.60/hr\nC) $20.65/hr\nD) $22.23/hr",
"options": [
"A) $20.02/hr",
"B) $21.60/hr",
"C) $20.65/hr",
"D) $22.23/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$21.60/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-06.)\n\nA) $11,476B\nB) $13,118B\nC) $11,887B\nD) $10,656B",
"options": [
"A) $11,476B",
"B) $13,118B",
"C) $11,887B",
"D) $10,656B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$11,887B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.30%\nB) 0.46%\nC) 0.56%\nD) 0.38%",
"options": [
"A) 0.30%",
"B) 0.46%",
"C) 0.56%",
"D) 0.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.38%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 6.6370\nB) 6.9925\nC) 6.4948\nD) 6.7792",
"options": [
"A) 6.6370",
"B) 6.9925",
"C) 6.4948",
"D) 6.7792"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.6370",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 130.2480\nB) 113.9000\nC) 89.3780\nD) 138.4220",
"options": [
"A) 130.2480",
"B) 113.9000",
"C) 89.3780",
"D) 138.4220"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "113.9000",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 100.93\nB) 92.14\nC) 98.42\nD) 95.91",
"options": [
"A) 100.93",
"B) 92.14",
"C) 98.42",
"D) 95.91"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "98.42",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) $-41,200M\nB) $-45,412M\nC) $-47,518M\nD) $-43,306M",
"options": [
"A) $-41,200M",
"B) $-45,412M",
"C) $-47,518M",
"D) $-43,306M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$-43,306M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 108.9400\nB) 131.0082\nC) 116.2961\nD) 101.5839",
"options": [
"A) 108.9400",
"B) 131.0082",
"C) 116.2961",
"D) 101.5839"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "108.9400",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 19,490.75\nB) 18,923.06\nC) 17,598.45\nD) 18,355.37",
"options": [
"A) 19,490.75",
"B) 18,923.06",
"C) 17,598.45",
"D) 18,355.37"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "18,923.06",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $3,872M\nD) $2,400,000M",
"options": [
"A) $4,300,000M",
"B) $6,200,000M",
"C) $3,872M",
"D) $2,400,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$3,872M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) $474,449M\nB) $484,727M\nC) $433,335M\nD) $453,892M",
"options": [
"A) $474,449M",
"B) $484,727M",
"C) $433,335M",
"D) $453,892M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$453,892M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) $13,774B\nB) $12,866B\nC) $13,169B\nD) $14,681B",
"options": [
"A) $13,774B",
"B) $12,866B",
"C) $13,169B",
"D) $14,681B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$13,774B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 104.36\nB) 94.70\nC) 80.21\nD) 109.19",
"options": [
"A) 104.36",
"B) 94.70",
"C) 80.21",
"D) 109.19"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "94.70",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) -16.62%\nB) 12.22%\nC) -9.41%\nD) -23.83%",
"options": [
"A) -16.62%",
"B) 12.22%",
"C) -9.41%",
"D) -23.83%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-9.41%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.94%\nB) 3.54%\nC) 4.22%\nD) 4.90%",
"options": [
"A) 6.94%",
"B) 3.54%",
"C) 4.22%",
"D) 4.90%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 62.80%\nB) 64.06%\nC) 61.54%\nD) 59.66%",
"options": [
"A) 62.80%",
"B) 64.06%",
"C) 61.54%",
"D) 59.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "62.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 135,837K\nB) 145,183K\nC) 139,575K\nD) 150,791K",
"options": [
"A) 135,837K",
"B) 145,183K",
"C) 139,575K",
"D) 150,791K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "145,183K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,432K\nB) 1,084K\nC) 1,171K\nD) 1,345K",
"options": [
"A) 1,432K",
"B) 1,084K",
"C) 1,171K",
"D) 1,345K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,171K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 0.01%\nB) 1.69%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 0.85%",
"options": [
"A) 0.01%",
"B) 1.69%",
"C) 0.43%",
"D) 0.85%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.85%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) $3,817M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $2,400,000M",
"options": [
"A) $3,817M",
"B) $6,200,000M",
"C) $4,300,000M",
"D) $2,400,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$3,817M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) -5.78%\nB) -2.56%\nC) 3.86%\nD) -8.99%",
"options": [
"A) -5.78%",
"B) -2.56%",
"C) 3.86%",
"D) -8.99%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-2.56%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) $-41,161M\nB) $-43,290M\nC) $-39,032M\nD) $-36,903M",
"options": [
"A) $-41,161M",
"B) $-43,290M",
"C) $-39,032M",
"D) $-36,903M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$-39,032M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.52%\nB) -4.62%\nC) 0.29%\nD) -2.16%",
"options": [
"A) 1.52%",
"B) -4.62%",
"C) 0.29%",
"D) -2.16%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-2.16%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 1.85%\nC) -3.13%\nD) 11.82%",
"options": [
"A) 4.34%",
"B) 1.85%",
"C) -3.13%",
"D) 11.82%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.34%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 236.71\nB) 249.48\nC) 259.06\nD) 243.10",
"options": [
"A) 236.71",
"B) 249.48",
"C) 259.06",
"D) 243.10"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "249.48",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 1.78%\nD) 1.07%",
"options": [
"A) 2.25%",
"B) 2.02%",
"C) 1.78%",
"D) 1.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.78%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) $55,661M\nB) $61,911M\nC) $63,161M\nD) $59,411M",
"options": [
"A) $55,661M",
"B) $61,911M",
"C) $63,161M",
"D) $59,411M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$59,411M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.1328\nB) 0.9710\nC) 1.1867\nD) 1.0249",
"options": [
"A) 1.1328",
"B) 0.9710",
"C) 1.1867",
"D) 1.0249"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.1328",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) $-39,995M\nB) $-43,896M\nC) $-49,747M\nD) $-45,846M",
"options": [
"A) $-39,995M",
"B) $-43,896M",
"C) $-49,747M",
"D) $-45,846M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$-43,896M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 22.23%\nB) -6.30%\nC) 0.83%\nD) -13.43%",
"options": [
"A) 22.23%",
"B) -6.30%",
"C) 0.83%",
"D) -13.43%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.83%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-06.)\n\nA) 3.27%\nB) 3.84%\nC) 3.46%\nD) 3.65%",
"options": [
"A) 3.27%",
"B) 3.84%",
"C) 3.46%",
"D) 3.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.65%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) +0.19pp\nC) +0.52pp\nD) +0.41pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.30pp",
"B) +0.19pp",
"C) +0.52pp",
"D) +0.41pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.04%\nB) 0.72%\nC) 0.51%\nD) 0.61%",
"options": [
"A) 1.04%",
"B) 0.72%",
"C) 0.51%",
"D) 0.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.72%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 0.69%\nB) 0.88%\nC) 1.26%\nD) 1.83%",
"options": [
"A) 0.69%",
"B) 0.88%",
"C) 1.26%",
"D) 1.83%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) +10.07pp\nB) -14.27pp\nC) +1.96pp\nD) -2.10pp",
"options": [
"A) +10.07pp",
"B) -14.27pp",
"C) +1.96pp",
"D) -2.10pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-2.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-06.)\n\nA) $11,462B\nB) $10,370B\nC) $11,098B\nD) $10,734B",
"options": [
"A) $11,462B",
"B) $10,370B",
"C) $11,098B",
"D) $10,734B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$11,462B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 100.34\nB) 98.35\nC) 96.36\nD) 102.33",
"options": [
"A) 100.34",
"B) 98.35",
"C) 96.36",
"D) 102.33"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "98.35",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) -8.85pp\nB) -5.07pp\nC) +2.50pp\nD) -1.28pp",
"options": [
"A) -8.85pp",
"B) -5.07pp",
"C) +2.50pp",
"D) -1.28pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+2.50pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) -2.44%\nB) 2.59%\nC) 1.33%\nD) -1.19%",
"options": [
"A) -2.44%",
"B) 2.59%",
"C) 1.33%",
"D) -1.19%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-1.19%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) $47.72/bbl\nB) $83.30/bbl\nC) $12.14/bbl\nD) $71.44/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $47.72/bbl",
"B) $83.30/bbl",
"C) $12.14/bbl",
"D) $71.44/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$47.72/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.55%\nB) 3.43%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 5.51%",
"options": [
"A) 6.55%",
"B) 3.43%",
"C) 1.34%",
"D) 5.51%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.43%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.58%\nB) 27.31%\nC) 6.39%\nD) 13.37%",
"options": [
"A) -0.58%",
"B) 27.31%",
"C) 6.39%",
"D) 13.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.39%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 0.14%\nB) 0.38%\nC) 0.21%\nD) 0.28%",
"options": [
"A) 0.14%",
"B) 0.38%",
"C) 0.21%",
"D) 0.28%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.28%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) -9.36%\nB) 5.04%\nC) -18.95%\nD) 0.24%",
"options": [
"A) -9.36%",
"B) 5.04%",
"C) -18.95%",
"D) 0.24%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-9.36%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) -82.64%\nB) -44.83%\nC) -57.44%\nD) -19.63%",
"options": [
"A) -82.64%",
"B) -44.83%",
"C) -57.44%",
"D) -19.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-44.83%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) $57.26/bbl\nB) $70.34/bbl\nC) $31.09/bbl\nD) $44.17/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $57.26/bbl",
"B) $70.34/bbl",
"C) $31.09/bbl",
"D) $44.17/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$31.09/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) -3.59%\nB) -0.16%\nC) 0.99%\nD) -2.45%",
"options": [
"A) -3.59%",
"B) -0.16%",
"C) 0.99%",
"D) -2.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-2.45%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.78%\nB) 1.68%\nC) 1.57%\nD) 1.89%",
"options": [
"A) 1.78%",
"B) 1.68%",
"C) 1.57%",
"D) 1.89%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.78%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 1.47%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 1.83%",
"options": [
"A) 1.59%",
"B) 1.47%",
"C) 1.34%",
"D) 1.83%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.47%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) $13,712B\nB) $14,717B\nC) $13,209B\nD) $14,214B",
"options": [
"A) $13,712B",
"B) $14,717B",
"C) $13,209B",
"D) $14,214B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$13,209B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) -17.47%\nB) -32.29%\nC) -61.93%\nD) -47.11%",
"options": [
"A) -17.47%",
"B) -32.29%",
"C) -61.93%",
"D) -47.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-47.11%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 89.80\nB) 99.32\nC) 85.04\nD) 75.52",
"options": [
"A) 89.80",
"B) 99.32",
"C) 85.04",
"D) 75.52"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "89.80",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.71%\nB) -4.34%\nC) -0.82%\nD) -11.39%",
"options": [
"A) 2.71%",
"B) -4.34%",
"C) -0.82%",
"D) -11.39%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-4.34%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.33pp\nB) -1.01pp\nC) -0.60pp\nD) -0.74pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.33pp",
"B) -1.01pp",
"C) -0.60pp",
"D) -0.74pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.60pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.35%\nB) -0.86%\nC) 2.61%\nD) 1.74%",
"options": [
"A) 4.35%",
"B) -0.86%",
"C) 2.61%",
"D) 1.74%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.74%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) -2.33pp\nB) +0.12pp\nC) -1.51pp\nD) -0.70pp",
"options": [
"A) -2.33pp",
"B) +0.12pp",
"C) -1.51pp",
"D) -0.70pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-2.33pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) $12,930B\nB) $13,835B\nC) $13,533B\nD) $13,231B",
"options": [
"A) $12,930B",
"B) $13,835B",
"C) $13,533B",
"D) $13,231B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$13,835B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 8.53%\nB) 5.30%\nC) 7.24%\nD) 6.59%",
"options": [
"A) 8.53%",
"B) 5.30%",
"C) 7.24%",
"D) 6.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "7.24%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 8.87%\nB) -11.83%\nC) -15.97%\nD) -3.55%",
"options": [
"A) 8.87%",
"B) -11.83%",
"C) -15.97%",
"D) -3.55%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-3.55%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 186.30\nB) 198.56\nC) 178.12\nD) 174.04",
"options": [
"A) 186.30",
"B) 198.56",
"C) 178.12",
"D) 174.04"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "186.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.97%\nB) 4.70%\nC) 6.61%\nD) 5.34%",
"options": [
"A) 5.97%",
"B) 4.70%",
"C) 6.61%",
"D) 5.34%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) $14,890B\nB) $13,031B\nC) $13,960B\nD) $14,580B",
"options": [
"A) $14,890B",
"B) $13,031B",
"C) $13,960B",
"D) $14,580B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$13,960B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 244.35\nB) 232.37\nC) 251.53\nD) 239.56",
"options": [
"A) 244.35",
"B) 232.37",
"C) 251.53",
"D) 239.56"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "239.56",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 144,661K\nB) 139,114K\nC) 148,359K\nD) 135,416K",
"options": [
"A) 144,661K",
"B) 139,114K",
"C) 148,359K",
"D) 135,416K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "144,661K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) +0.98pp\nB) +1.21pp\nC) +1.90pp\nD) +1.67pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.98pp",
"B) +1.21pp",
"C) +1.90pp",
"D) +1.67pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+1.21pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.06%\nB) 2.08%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 2.41%",
"options": [
"A) 1.06%",
"B) 2.08%",
"C) 1.40%",
"D) 2.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 973K\nB) 1,470K\nC) 874K\nD) 1,172K",
"options": [
"A) 973K",
"B) 1,470K",
"C) 874K",
"D) 1,172K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,172K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,148K\nB) 1,328K\nC) 1,058K\nD) 968K",
"options": [
"A) 1,148K",
"B) 1,328K",
"C) 1,058K",
"D) 968K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,148K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.09%\nB) 0.00%\nC) -2.09%\nD) -1.39%",
"options": [
"A) 2.09%",
"B) 0.00%",
"C) -2.09%",
"D) -1.39%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-06.)\n\nA) 9.52%\nB) 6.12%\nC) 7.26%\nD) 10.65%",
"options": [
"A) 9.52%",
"B) 6.12%",
"C) 7.26%",
"D) 10.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "7.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 94.52\nB) 100.37\nC) 103.29\nD) 97.44",
"options": [
"A) 94.52",
"B) 100.37",
"C) 103.29",
"D) 97.44"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "97.44",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) $12,604B\nB) $11,093B\nC) $14,115B\nD) $11,597B",
"options": [
"A) $12,604B",
"B) $11,093B",
"C) $14,115B",
"D) $11,597B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$12,604B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.83%\nB) 5.10%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 4.52%",
"options": [
"A) 6.83%",
"B) 5.10%",
"C) 3.37%",
"D) 4.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.70%\nB) 1.33%\nC) 1.14%\nD) 0.95%",
"options": [
"A) 1.70%",
"B) 1.33%",
"C) 1.14%",
"D) 0.95%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) $65,875M\nB) $58,663M\nC) $64,433M\nD) $61,548M",
"options": [
"A) $65,875M",
"B) $58,663M",
"C) $64,433M",
"D) $61,548M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$61,548M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 1.62%\nD) -0.54%",
"options": [
"A) 1.08%",
"B) 2.15%",
"C) 1.62%",
"D) -0.54%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) -3.44pp\nB) -1.13pp\nC) -2.67pp\nD) +1.18pp",
"options": [
"A) -3.44pp",
"B) -1.13pp",
"C) -2.67pp",
"D) +1.18pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-1.13pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 114.43\nB) 116.66\nC) 111.10\nD) 107.77",
"options": [
"A) 114.43",
"B) 116.66",
"C) 111.10",
"D) 107.77"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "111.10",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.05pp\nB) -0.45pp\nC) -0.57pp\nD) -0.20pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.05pp",
"B) -0.45pp",
"C) -0.57pp",
"D) -0.20pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 110.30\nB) 113.61\nC) 115.81\nD) 108.09",
"options": [
"A) 110.30",
"B) 113.61",
"C) 115.81",
"D) 108.09"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "110.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 169.19\nB) 183.64\nC) 176.41\nD) 198.09",
"options": [
"A) 169.19",
"B) 183.64",
"C) 176.41",
"D) 198.09"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "183.64",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 1.57%\nD) 1.93%",
"options": [
"A) 1.45%",
"B) 1.21%",
"C) 1.57%",
"D) 1.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.57%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) -6.36%\nB) -3.71%\nC) 4.23%\nD) 1.58%",
"options": [
"A) -6.36%",
"B) -3.71%",
"C) 4.23%",
"D) 1.58%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.58%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-06.)\n\nA) 279,000\nB) 350,705\nC) 231,196\nD) 302,902",
"options": [
"A) 279,000",
"B) 350,705",
"C) 231,196",
"D) 302,902"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "279,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 1.68%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 1.27%",
"options": [
"A) 2.10%",
"B) 1.68%",
"C) 0.85%",
"D) 1.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.68%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.2746\nB) 1.2210\nC) 1.1140\nD) 1.0605",
"options": [
"A) 1.2746",
"B) 1.2210",
"C) 1.1140",
"D) 1.0605"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.1140",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.45%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 3.58%\nD) 5.30%",
"options": [
"A) 6.45%",
"B) 4.73%",
"C) 3.58%",
"D) 5.30%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) 11.81\nB) 17.63\nC) 14.72\nD) 20.53",
"options": [
"A) 11.81",
"B) 17.63",
"C) 14.72",
"D) 20.53"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "11.81",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) $203,398M\nB) $216,353M\nC) $229,308M\nD) $235,785M",
"options": [
"A) $203,398M",
"B) $216,353M",
"C) $229,308M",
"D) $235,785M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$216,353M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20160815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2016-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-08.)\n\nA) -12.24%\nB) 20.70%\nC) 4.23%\nD) 9.72%",
"options": [
"A) -12.24%",
"B) 20.70%",
"C) 4.23%",
"D) 9.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.23%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 8.78\nB) 17.63\nC) 5.83\nD) 14.68",
"options": [
"A) 8.78",
"B) 17.63",
"C) 5.83",
"D) 14.68"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "14.68",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) 184.20\nB) 162.06\nC) 176.82\nD) 198.96",
"options": [
"A) 184.20",
"B) 162.06",
"C) 176.82",
"D) 198.96"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "184.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 15.74%\nB) 38.26%\nC) 30.76%\nD) 60.78%",
"options": [
"A) 15.74%",
"B) 38.26%",
"C) 30.76%",
"D) 60.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "38.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) -14.78%\nB) 2.08%\nC) -2.14%\nD) -10.56%",
"options": [
"A) -14.78%",
"B) 2.08%",
"C) -2.14%",
"D) -10.56%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-2.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 3,908.01\nB) 4,341.74\nC) 5,209.18\nD) 4,775.46",
"options": [
"A) 3,908.01",
"B) 4,341.74",
"C) 5,209.18",
"D) 4,775.46"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,775.46",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 99.04\nB) 92.07\nC) 103.23\nD) 94.86",
"options": [
"A) 99.04",
"B) 92.07",
"C) 103.23",
"D) 94.86"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "99.04",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.52%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.99%",
"options": [
"A) 1.52%",
"B) 1.83%",
"C) 1.37%",
"D) 1.99%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.83%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.22%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 0.64%\nD) 1.48%",
"options": [
"A) 0.22%",
"B) 1.90%",
"C) 0.64%",
"D) 1.48%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.64%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 154.77\nB) 188.92\nC) 168.43\nD) 175.26",
"options": [
"A) 154.77",
"B) 188.92",
"C) 168.43",
"D) 175.26"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "175.26",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.20pp\nB) +0.64pp\nC) -0.09pp\nD) +0.35pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.20pp",
"B) +0.64pp",
"C) -0.09pp",
"D) +0.35pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) $434,757M\nB) $445,490M\nC) $413,290M\nD) $424,023M",
"options": [
"A) $434,757M",
"B) $445,490M",
"C) $413,290M",
"D) $424,023M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$445,490M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) $224,257M\nB) $197,564M\nC) $217,584M\nD) $204,237M",
"options": [
"A) $224,257M",
"B) $197,564M",
"C) $217,584M",
"D) $204,237M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$217,584M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) -6.32%\nB) -2.05%\nC) -4.19%\nD) -3.12%",
"options": [
"A) -6.32%",
"B) -2.05%",
"C) -4.19%",
"D) -3.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-3.12%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.51%\nB) 0.76%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 0.61%",
"options": [
"A) 0.51%",
"B) 0.76%",
"C) 0.41%",
"D) 0.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.51%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.09pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.56pp\nD) -0.07pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.09pp",
"B) -0.40pp",
"C) -0.56pp",
"D) -0.07pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.14pp\nB) +0.34pp\nC) +0.10pp\nD) -0.26pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.14pp",
"B) +0.34pp",
"C) +0.10pp",
"D) -0.26pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+0.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.17%\nB) 3.89%\nC) 5.03%\nD) 5.60%",
"options": [
"A) 6.17%",
"B) 3.89%",
"C) 5.03%",
"D) 5.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,225K\nB) 941K\nC) 1,509K\nD) 1,036K",
"options": [
"A) 1,225K",
"B) 941K",
"C) 1,509K",
"D) 1,036K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,225K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.74%\nB) 3.07%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 4.08%",
"options": [
"A) 2.74%",
"B) 3.07%",
"C) 2.07%",
"D) 4.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.07%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 1.44%\nC) 1.23%\nD) 0.80%",
"options": [
"A) 1.02%",
"B) 1.44%",
"C) 1.23%",
"D) 0.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.23%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 92.6610\nB) 100.7755\nC) 84.5466\nD) 108.8900",
"options": [
"A) 92.6610",
"B) 100.7755",
"C) 84.5466",
"D) 108.8900"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "108.8900",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-08.)\n\nA) 24.11\nB) 32.93\nC) 29.99\nD) 18.23",
"options": [
"A) 24.11",
"B) 32.93",
"C) 29.99",
"D) 18.23"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "24.11",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) 0.99%\nB) 0.79%\nC) 0.59%\nD) 0.89%",
"options": [
"A) 0.99%",
"B) 0.79%",
"C) 0.59%",
"D) 0.89%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.79%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20160801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.53%\nB) 3.80%\nC) 3.16%\nD) 2.84%",
"options": [
"A) 2.53%",
"B) 3.80%",
"C) 3.16%",
"D) 2.84%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.16%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.89%\nB) -23.50%\nC) -17.42%\nD) -5.27%",
"options": [
"A) 6.89%",
"B) -23.50%",
"C) -17.42%",
"D) -5.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-5.27%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20161101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-01.)\n\nA) $59,397M\nB) $64,064M\nC) $56,286M\nD) $57,841M",
"options": [
"A) $59,397M",
"B) $64,064M",
"C) $56,286M",
"D) $57,841M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$59,397M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20160501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-31.)\n\nA) 203.22\nB) 185.30\nC) 192.47\nD) 174.55",
"options": [
"A) 203.22",
"B) 185.30",
"C) 192.47",
"D) 174.55"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "185.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20160201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.60%\nB) 1.85%\nC) 2.22%\nD) 2.35%",
"options": [
"A) 2.60%",
"B) 1.85%",
"C) 2.22%",
"D) 2.35%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.22%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20161115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-08.)\n\nA) -23.87%\nB) 21.33%\nC) -12.57%\nD) 10.03%",
"options": [
"A) -23.87%",
"B) 21.33%",
"C) -12.57%",
"D) 10.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "10.03%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20160215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2016-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2016-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-06.)\n\nA) 7.11%\nB) 5.83%\nC) 9.66%\nD) 8.38%",
"options": [
"A) 7.11%",
"B) 5.83%",
"C) 9.66%",
"D) 8.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7.11%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20160515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2016-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2016-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-08.)\n\nA) +1.61pp\nB) +0.96pp\nC) +0.31pp\nD) +1.39pp",
"options": [
"A) +1.61pp",
"B) +0.96pp",
"C) +0.31pp",
"D) +1.39pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+0.96pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2827\nB) 0.9850\nC) 1.1126\nD) 1.1977",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.2827",
"B) 0.9850",
"C) 1.1126",
"D) 1.1977"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.1126",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2827\nB) 0.9850\nC) 1.1126\nD) 1.1977",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.2827",
"B) 0.9850",
"C) 1.1126",
"D) 1.1977"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.1126",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 0.9869\nB) 1.2421\nC) 1.3272\nD) 1.1145",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 0.9869",
"B) 1.2421",
"C) 1.3272",
"D) 1.1145"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.1145",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 0.9869\nB) 1.2421\nC) 1.3272\nD) 1.1145",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 0.9869",
"B) 1.2421",
"C) 1.3272",
"D) 1.1145"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.1145",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.1145\nB) 1.2421\nC) 0.9018\nD) 1.0294",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.1145",
"B) 1.2421",
"C) 0.9018",
"D) 1.0294"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.1145",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.1145\nB) 1.2421\nC) 0.9018\nD) 1.0294",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.1145",
"B) 1.2421",
"C) 0.9018",
"D) 1.0294"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.1145",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0058\nB) 1.1334\nC) 0.9207\nD) 1.2185",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.0058",
"B) 1.1334",
"C) 0.9207",
"D) 1.2185"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.1334",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0058\nB) 1.1334\nC) 0.9207\nD) 1.2185",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.0058",
"B) 1.1334",
"C) 0.9207",
"D) 1.2185"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.1334",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 0.9207\nB) 1.0483\nC) 1.1334\nD) 1.2610",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 0.9207",
"B) 1.0483",
"C) 1.1334",
"D) 1.2610"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.1334",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 0.9207\nB) 1.0483\nC) 1.1334\nD) 1.2610",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 0.9207",
"B) 1.0483",
"C) 1.1334",
"D) 1.2610"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.1334",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0058\nB) 0.9207\nC) 1.2610\nD) 1.1334",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.0058",
"B) 0.9207",
"C) 1.2610",
"D) 1.1334"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.1334",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0058\nB) 0.9207\nC) 1.2610\nD) 1.1334",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.0058",
"B) 0.9207",
"C) 1.2610",
"D) 1.1334"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.1334",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 25.76\nB) 23.66\nC) 29.97\nD) 27.86",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 25.76",
"B) 23.66",
"C) 29.97",
"D) 27.86"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "25.76",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 25.76\nB) 23.66\nC) 29.97\nD) 27.86",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 25.76",
"B) 23.66",
"C) 29.97",
"D) 27.86"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "25.76",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 23.66\nB) 25.76\nC) 21.55\nD) 27.86",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 23.66",
"B) 25.76",
"C) 21.55",
"D) 27.86"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "25.76",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 23.66\nB) 25.76\nC) 21.55\nD) 27.86",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 23.66",
"B) 25.76",
"C) 21.55",
"D) 27.86"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "25.76",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 21.55\nB) 29.97\nC) 25.76\nD) 23.66",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 21.55",
"B) 29.97",
"C) 25.76",
"D) 23.66"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "25.76",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 21.55\nB) 29.97\nC) 25.76\nD) 23.66",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 21.55",
"B) 29.97",
"C) 25.76",
"D) 23.66"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "25.76",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 19.45\nB) 27.86\nC) 23.66\nD) 25.76",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 19.45",
"B) 27.86",
"C) 23.66",
"D) 25.76"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "25.76",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 19.45\nB) 27.86\nC) 23.66\nD) 25.76",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 19.45",
"B) 27.86",
"C) 23.66",
"D) 25.76"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "25.76",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 25.76\nB) 32.07\nC) 19.45\nD) 23.66",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 25.76",
"B) 32.07",
"C) 19.45",
"D) 23.66"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "25.76",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 25.76\nB) 32.07\nC) 19.45\nD) 23.66",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 25.76",
"B) 32.07",
"C) 19.45",
"D) 23.66"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "25.76",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 19.45\nB) 25.76\nC) 23.66\nD) 21.55",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 19.45",
"B) 25.76",
"C) 23.66",
"D) 21.55"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "25.76",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 19.45\nB) 25.76\nC) 23.66\nD) 21.55",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 19.45",
"B) 25.76",
"C) 23.66",
"D) 21.55"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "25.76",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,241.53\nB) 4,712.08\nC) 4,594.44\nD) 4,359.17",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 4,241.53",
"B) 4,712.08",
"C) 4,594.44",
"D) 4,359.17"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4,594.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,241.53\nB) 4,712.08\nC) 4,594.44\nD) 4,359.17",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 4,241.53",
"B) 4,712.08",
"C) 4,594.44",
"D) 4,359.17"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4,594.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,947.35\nB) 4,476.80\nC) 4,712.08\nD) 4,594.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 4,947.35",
"B) 4,476.80",
"C) 4,712.08",
"D) 4,594.44"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,594.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,947.35\nB) 4,476.80\nC) 4,712.08\nD) 4,594.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 4,947.35",
"B) 4,476.80",
"C) 4,712.08",
"D) 4,594.44"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,594.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,594.44\nB) 4,359.17\nC) 4,476.80\nD) 4,947.35",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 4,594.44",
"B) 4,359.17",
"C) 4,476.80",
"D) 4,947.35"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4,594.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,594.44\nB) 4,359.17\nC) 4,476.80\nD) 4,947.35",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 4,594.44",
"B) 4,359.17",
"C) 4,476.80",
"D) 4,947.35"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4,594.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,947.35\nB) 4,594.44\nC) 4,712.08\nD) 4,476.80",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 4,947.35",
"B) 4,594.44",
"C) 4,712.08",
"D) 4,476.80"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4,594.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,947.35\nB) 4,594.44\nC) 4,712.08\nD) 4,476.80",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 4,947.35",
"B) 4,594.44",
"C) 4,712.08",
"D) 4,476.80"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4,594.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,359.17\nB) 4,712.08\nC) 4,594.44\nD) 4,241.53",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 4,359.17",
"B) 4,712.08",
"C) 4,594.44",
"D) 4,241.53"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4,594.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,359.17\nB) 4,712.08\nC) 4,594.44\nD) 4,241.53",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 4,359.17",
"B) 4,712.08",
"C) 4,594.44",
"D) 4,241.53"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4,594.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,476.80\nB) 4,829.71\nC) 4,947.35\nD) 4,594.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 4,476.80",
"B) 4,829.71",
"C) 4,947.35",
"D) 4,594.44"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,594.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,476.80\nB) 4,829.71\nC) 4,947.35\nD) 4,594.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 4,476.80",
"B) 4,829.71",
"C) 4,947.35",
"D) 4,594.44"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,594.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 1.58%\nD) 1.83%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.46%",
"B) 1.34%",
"C) 1.58%",
"D) 1.83%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.46%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 1.58%\nD) 1.83%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.46%",
"B) 1.34%",
"C) 1.58%",
"D) 1.83%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.46%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.00%\nD) 1.74%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.49%",
"B) 1.37%",
"C) 1.00%",
"D) 1.74%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.00%\nD) 1.74%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.49%",
"B) 1.37%",
"C) 1.00%",
"D) 1.74%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.25%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.49%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.74%",
"B) 1.25%",
"C) 1.37%",
"D) 1.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.25%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.49%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.74%",
"B) 1.25%",
"C) 1.37%",
"D) 1.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.37%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.00%",
"B) 1.62%",
"C) 1.12%",
"D) 1.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.37%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.00%",
"B) 1.62%",
"C) 1.12%",
"D) 1.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.25%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.37%",
"B) 1.62%",
"C) 1.12%",
"D) 1.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.25%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.37%",
"B) 1.62%",
"C) 1.12%",
"D) 1.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.25%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.74%",
"B) 1.37%",
"C) 1.12%",
"D) 1.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.25%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-22",
"options": [
"A) 1.74%",
"B) 1.37%",
"C) 1.12%",
"D) 1.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Brexit referendum",
"event_date": "2016-06-23",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,100.58\nB) 4,884.15\nC) 5,208.80\nD) 4,992.36",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 5,100.58",
"B) 4,884.15",
"C) 5,208.80",
"D) 4,992.36"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5,208.80",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,100.58\nB) 4,884.15\nC) 5,208.80\nD) 4,992.36",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 5,100.58",
"B) 4,884.15",
"C) 5,208.80",
"D) 4,992.36"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5,208.80",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 4,992.36\nB) 4,884.15\nC) 5,533.45\nD) 5,208.80",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 4,992.36",
"B) 4,884.15",
"C) 5,533.45",
"D) 5,208.80"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5,208.80",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 4,992.36\nB) 4,884.15\nC) 5,533.45\nD) 5,208.80",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 4,992.36",
"B) 4,884.15",
"C) 5,533.45",
"D) 5,208.80"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5,208.80",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,208.80\nB) 5,317.02\nC) 4,992.36\nD) 5,100.58",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 5,208.80",
"B) 5,317.02",
"C) 4,992.36",
"D) 5,100.58"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5,208.80",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,208.80\nB) 5,317.02\nC) 4,992.36\nD) 5,100.58",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 5,208.80",
"B) 5,317.02",
"C) 4,992.36",
"D) 5,100.58"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5,208.80",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,100.58\nB) 5,208.80\nC) 4,884.15\nD) 5,533.45",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 5,100.58",
"B) 5,208.80",
"C) 4,884.15",
"D) 5,533.45"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5,208.80",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,100.58\nB) 5,208.80\nC) 4,884.15\nD) 5,533.45",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 5,100.58",
"B) 5,208.80",
"C) 4,884.15",
"D) 5,533.45"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5,208.80",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 4,992.36\nB) 4,884.15\nC) 5,208.80\nD) 5,100.58",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 4,992.36",
"B) 4,884.15",
"C) 5,208.80",
"D) 5,100.58"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5,208.80",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 4,992.36\nB) 4,884.15\nC) 5,208.80\nD) 5,100.58",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 4,992.36",
"B) 4,884.15",
"C) 5,208.80",
"D) 5,100.58"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5,208.80",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,317.02\nB) 5,533.45\nC) 5,100.58\nD) 5,208.80",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 5,317.02",
"B) 5,533.45",
"C) 5,100.58",
"D) 5,208.80"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5,208.80",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,317.02\nB) 5,533.45\nC) 5,100.58\nD) 5,208.80",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 5,317.02",
"B) 5,533.45",
"C) 5,100.58",
"D) 5,208.80"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5,208.80",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,180.39\nB) 2,114.98\nC) 2,049.57\nD) 2,245.80",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,180.39",
"B) 2,114.98",
"C) 2,049.57",
"D) 2,245.80"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,180.39",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,180.39\nB) 2,114.98\nC) 2,049.57\nD) 2,245.80",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,180.39",
"B) 2,114.98",
"C) 2,049.57",
"D) 2,245.80"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,180.39",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,136.85\nB) 2,202.94\nC) 2,048.73\nD) 2,269.03",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,136.85",
"B) 2,202.94",
"C) 2,048.73",
"D) 2,269.03"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,202.94",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,136.85\nB) 2,202.94\nC) 2,048.73\nD) 2,269.03",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,136.85",
"B) 2,202.94",
"C) 2,048.73",
"D) 2,269.03"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,202.94",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,353.42\nB) 2,308.59\nC) 2,241.35\nD) 2,174.11",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,353.42",
"B) 2,308.59",
"C) 2,241.35",
"D) 2,174.11"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,241.35",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,353.42\nB) 2,308.59\nC) 2,241.35\nD) 2,174.11",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,353.42",
"B) 2,308.59",
"C) 2,241.35",
"D) 2,174.11"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,241.35",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,390.83\nB) 2,345.29\nC) 2,208.67\nD) 2,276.98",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,390.83",
"B) 2,345.29",
"C) 2,208.67",
"D) 2,276.98"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,276.98",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,390.83\nB) 2,345.29\nC) 2,208.67\nD) 2,276.98",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,390.83",
"B) 2,345.29",
"C) 2,208.67",
"D) 2,276.98"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,276.98",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,298.37\nB) 2,229.42\nC) 2,436.27\nD) 2,367.32",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,298.37",
"B) 2,229.42",
"C) 2,436.27",
"D) 2,367.32"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,298.37",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,298.37\nB) 2,229.42\nC) 2,436.27\nD) 2,367.32",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,298.37",
"B) 2,229.42",
"C) 2,436.27",
"D) 2,367.32"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,298.37",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,467.84\nB) 2,395.96\nC) 2,252.20\nD) 2,324.08",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,467.84",
"B) 2,395.96",
"C) 2,252.20",
"D) 2,324.08"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,395.96",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,467.84\nB) 2,395.96\nC) 2,252.20\nD) 2,324.08",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2,467.84",
"B) 2,395.96",
"C) 2,252.20",
"D) 2,324.08"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,395.96",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 2.20%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 2.33%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2.46%",
"B) 2.20%",
"C) 2.07%",
"D) 2.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.07%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 2.20%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 2.33%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2.46%",
"B) 2.20%",
"C) 2.07%",
"D) 2.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.07%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 2.20%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 2.07%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.68%",
"B) 2.20%",
"C) 1.81%",
"D) 2.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.07%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 2.20%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 2.07%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.68%",
"B) 2.20%",
"C) 1.81%",
"D) 2.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.07%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 1.81%\nC) 2.46%\nD) 1.94%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2.07%",
"B) 1.81%",
"C) 2.46%",
"D) 1.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.07%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 1.81%\nC) 2.46%\nD) 1.94%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2.07%",
"B) 1.81%",
"C) 2.46%",
"D) 1.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.07%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 2.20%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2.46%",
"B) 2.07%",
"C) 1.94%",
"D) 2.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.07%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 2.20%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2.46%",
"B) 2.07%",
"C) 1.94%",
"D) 2.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.07%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 1.68%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 1.81%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2.46%",
"B) 1.68%",
"C) 2.07%",
"D) 1.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.07%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 1.68%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 1.81%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 2.46%",
"B) 1.68%",
"C) 2.07%",
"D) 1.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.07%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 2.07%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.68%",
"B) 2.33%",
"C) 2.20%",
"D) 2.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.07%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 2.07%",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.68%",
"B) 2.33%",
"C) 2.20%",
"D) 2.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.07%",
"unit": "%",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.1452\nC) 1.0452\nD) 1.1952",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.0952",
"B) 1.1452",
"C) 1.0452",
"D) 1.1952"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.0952",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.1452\nC) 1.0452\nD) 1.1952",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.0952",
"B) 1.1452",
"C) 1.0452",
"D) 1.1952"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.0952",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.2202\nB) 1.0952\nC) 1.0452\nD) 1.1702",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.2202",
"B) 1.0952",
"C) 1.0452",
"D) 1.1702"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.0952",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.2202\nB) 1.0952\nC) 1.0452\nD) 1.1702",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.2202",
"B) 1.0952",
"C) 1.0452",
"D) 1.1702"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.0952",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1702\nB) 1.0452\nC) 1.0952\nD) 0.9702",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.1702",
"B) 1.0452",
"C) 1.0952",
"D) 0.9702"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.0952",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1702\nB) 1.0452\nC) 1.0952\nD) 0.9702",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.1702",
"B) 1.0452",
"C) 1.0952",
"D) 0.9702"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.0952",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1452\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.1952\nD) 1.0952",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.1452",
"B) 1.0202",
"C) 1.1952",
"D) 1.0952"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.0952",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1452\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.1952\nD) 1.0952",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.1452",
"B) 1.0202",
"C) 1.1952",
"D) 1.0952"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.0952",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.1702\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0202",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.0952",
"B) 1.1702",
"C) 0.9702",
"D) 1.0202"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.0952",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.1702\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0202",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.0952",
"B) 1.1702",
"C) 0.9702",
"D) 1.0202"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.0952",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1717\nB) 1.0967\nC) 1.0217\nD) 0.9717",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.1717",
"B) 1.0967",
"C) 1.0217",
"D) 0.9717"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.0967",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1717\nB) 1.0967\nC) 1.0217\nD) 0.9717",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 1.1717",
"B) 1.0967",
"C) 1.0217",
"D) 0.9717"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.0967",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 12.66\nB) 10.59\nC) 14.74\nD) 8.51",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 12.66",
"B) 10.59",
"C) 14.74",
"D) 8.51"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "14.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 12.66\nB) 10.59\nC) 14.74\nD) 8.51",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 12.66",
"B) 10.59",
"C) 14.74",
"D) 8.51"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "14.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.97\nB) 12.66\nC) 16.82\nD) 14.74",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 20.97",
"B) 12.66",
"C) 16.82",
"D) 14.74"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "14.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.97\nB) 12.66\nC) 16.82\nD) 14.74",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 20.97",
"B) 12.66",
"C) 16.82",
"D) 14.74"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "14.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 14.74\nB) 20.97\nC) 18.89\nD) 16.82",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 14.74",
"B) 20.97",
"C) 18.89",
"D) 16.82"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "14.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 14.74\nB) 20.97\nC) 18.89\nD) 16.82",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 14.74",
"B) 20.97",
"C) 18.89",
"D) 16.82"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "14.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 14.74\nC) 8.51\nD) 10.59",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 16.82",
"B) 14.74",
"C) 8.51",
"D) 10.59"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "14.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 14.74\nC) 8.51\nD) 10.59",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 16.82",
"B) 14.74",
"C) 8.51",
"D) 10.59"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "14.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.97\nB) 10.59\nC) 14.74\nD) 12.66",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 20.97",
"B) 10.59",
"C) 14.74",
"D) 12.66"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "14.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.97\nB) 10.59\nC) 14.74\nD) 12.66",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 20.97",
"B) 10.59",
"C) 14.74",
"D) 12.66"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "14.74",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 13.88\nB) 22.19\nC) 9.73\nD) 15.96",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 13.88",
"B) 22.19",
"C) 9.73",
"D) 15.96"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "15.96",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 13.88\nB) 22.19\nC) 9.73\nD) 15.96",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-07",
"options": [
"A) 13.88",
"B) 22.19",
"C) 9.73",
"D) 15.96"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "15.96",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Trump election victory",
"event_date": "2016-11-08",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,891.43\nB) 4,551.29\nC) 5,231.57\nD) 4,381.23",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 4,891.43",
"B) 4,551.29",
"C) 5,231.57",
"D) 4,381.23"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4,891.43",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,891.43\nB) 4,551.29\nC) 5,231.57\nD) 4,381.23",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 4,891.43",
"B) 4,551.29",
"C) 5,231.57",
"D) 4,381.23"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4,891.43",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,381.23\nB) 4,891.43\nC) 5,401.63\nD) 5,061.50",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 4,381.23",
"B) 4,891.43",
"C) 5,401.63",
"D) 5,061.50"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4,891.43",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,381.23\nB) 4,891.43\nC) 5,401.63\nD) 5,061.50",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 4,381.23",
"B) 4,891.43",
"C) 5,401.63",
"D) 5,061.50"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4,891.43",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 5,401.63\nB) 5,231.57\nC) 4,891.43\nD) 5,061.50",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 5,401.63",
"B) 5,231.57",
"C) 4,891.43",
"D) 5,061.50"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4,891.43",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 5,401.63\nB) 5,231.57\nC) 4,891.43\nD) 5,061.50",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 5,401.63",
"B) 5,231.57",
"C) 4,891.43",
"D) 5,061.50"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4,891.43",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,551.29\nB) 5,231.57\nC) 5,061.50\nD) 4,891.43",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 4,551.29",
"B) 5,231.57",
"C) 5,061.50",
"D) 4,891.43"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,891.43",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,551.29\nB) 5,231.57\nC) 5,061.50\nD) 4,891.43",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 4,551.29",
"B) 5,231.57",
"C) 5,061.50",
"D) 4,891.43"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,891.43",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,891.43\nB) 5,401.63\nC) 5,061.50\nD) 4,381.23",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 4,891.43",
"B) 5,401.63",
"C) 5,061.50",
"D) 4,381.23"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4,891.43",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,891.43\nB) 5,401.63\nC) 5,061.50\nD) 4,381.23",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 4,891.43",
"B) 5,401.63",
"C) 5,061.50",
"D) 4,381.23"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4,891.43",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 5,484.84\nB) 4,974.64\nC) 5,144.71\nD) 5,314.78",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 5,484.84",
"B) 4,974.64",
"C) 5,144.71",
"D) 5,314.78"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4,974.64",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 5,484.84\nB) 4,974.64\nC) 5,144.71\nD) 5,314.78",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 5,484.84",
"B) 4,974.64",
"C) 5,144.71",
"D) 5,314.78"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4,974.64",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.8569\nB) 6.7251\nC) 6.5932\nD) 6.3954",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.8569",
"B) 6.7251",
"C) 6.5932",
"D) 6.3954"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.5932",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.8569\nB) 6.7251\nC) 6.5932\nD) 6.3954",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.8569",
"B) 6.7251",
"C) 6.5932",
"D) 6.3954"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.5932",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3295\nB) 6.7910\nC) 6.4613\nD) 6.5932",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.3295",
"B) 6.7910",
"C) 6.4613",
"D) 6.5932"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.5932",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3295\nB) 6.7910\nC) 6.4613\nD) 6.5932",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.3295",
"B) 6.7910",
"C) 6.4613",
"D) 6.5932"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.5932",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.5932\nB) 6.7251\nC) 6.8569\nD) 6.4613",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.5932",
"B) 6.7251",
"C) 6.8569",
"D) 6.4613"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.5932",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.5932\nB) 6.7251\nC) 6.8569\nD) 6.4613",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.5932",
"B) 6.7251",
"C) 6.8569",
"D) 6.4613"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.5932",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.4613\nB) 6.5932\nC) 6.7251\nD) 6.3295",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.4613",
"B) 6.5932",
"C) 6.7251",
"D) 6.3295"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.5932",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.4613\nB) 6.5932\nC) 6.7251\nD) 6.3295",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.4613",
"B) 6.5932",
"C) 6.7251",
"D) 6.3295"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.5932",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.9229\nB) 6.4613\nC) 6.5932\nD) 6.7251",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.9229",
"B) 6.4613",
"C) 6.5932",
"D) 6.7251"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.5932",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.9229\nB) 6.4613\nC) 6.5932\nD) 6.7251",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.9229",
"B) 6.4613",
"C) 6.5932",
"D) 6.7251"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.5932",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.7910\nB) 6.2635\nC) 6.4613\nD) 6.5932",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.7910",
"B) 6.2635",
"C) 6.4613",
"D) 6.5932"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.5932",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.7910\nB) 6.2635\nC) 6.4613\nD) 6.5932",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 6.7910",
"B) 6.2635",
"C) 6.4613",
"D) 6.5932"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.5932",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-max",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 19.34\nB) 17.44\nC) 25.04\nD) 21.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 19.34",
"B) 17.44",
"C) 25.04",
"D) 21.24"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "19.34",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 19.34\nB) 17.44\nC) 25.04\nD) 21.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 19.34",
"B) 17.44",
"C) 25.04",
"D) 21.24"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "19.34",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 23.14\nB) 19.34\nC) 15.54\nD) 17.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 23.14",
"B) 19.34",
"C) 15.54",
"D) 17.44"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "19.34",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 23.14\nB) 19.34\nC) 15.54\nD) 17.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 23.14",
"B) 19.34",
"C) 15.54",
"D) 17.44"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "19.34",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 13.64\nB) 15.54\nC) 19.34\nD) 17.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 13.64",
"B) 15.54",
"C) 19.34",
"D) 17.44"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "19.34",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 13.64\nB) 15.54\nC) 19.34\nD) 17.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 13.64",
"B) 15.54",
"C) 19.34",
"D) 17.44"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "19.34",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 22.79\nB) 20.89\nC) 18.99\nD) 17.09",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 22.79",
"B) 20.89",
"C) 18.99",
"D) 17.09"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "17.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 22.79\nB) 20.89\nC) 18.99\nD) 17.09",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 22.79",
"B) 20.89",
"C) 18.99",
"D) 17.09"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "17.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 13.56\nB) 15.46\nC) 9.76\nD) 19.26",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 13.56",
"B) 15.46",
"C) 9.76",
"D) 19.26"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "13.56",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 13.56\nB) 15.46\nC) 9.76\nD) 19.26",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 13.56",
"B) 15.46",
"C) 9.76",
"D) 19.26"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "13.56",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 15.00\nB) 13.10\nC) 7.40\nD) 11.20",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 15.00",
"B) 13.10",
"C) 7.40",
"D) 11.20"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "13.10",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 15.00\nB) 13.10\nC) 7.40\nD) 11.20",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) 15.00",
"B) 13.10",
"C) 7.40",
"D) 11.20"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "13.10",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $68.51/bbl\nB) $56.15/bbl\nC) $31.42/bbl\nD) $-5.67/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $68.51/bbl",
"B) $56.15/bbl",
"C) $31.42/bbl",
"D) $-5.67/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$31.42/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $68.51/bbl\nB) $56.15/bbl\nC) $31.42/bbl\nD) $-5.67/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $68.51/bbl",
"B) $56.15/bbl",
"C) $31.42/bbl",
"D) $-5.67/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$31.42/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $16.11/bbl\nB) $40.83/bbl\nC) $65.56/bbl\nD) $28.47/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $16.11/bbl",
"B) $40.83/bbl",
"C) $65.56/bbl",
"D) $28.47/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$28.47/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $16.11/bbl\nB) $40.83/bbl\nC) $65.56/bbl\nD) $28.47/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $16.11/bbl",
"B) $40.83/bbl",
"C) $65.56/bbl",
"D) $28.47/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$28.47/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $63.77/bbl\nC) $1.95/bbl\nD) $14.32/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $26.68/bbl",
"B) $63.77/bbl",
"C) $1.95/bbl",
"D) $14.32/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $63.77/bbl\nC) $1.95/bbl\nD) $14.32/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $26.68/bbl",
"B) $63.77/bbl",
"C) $1.95/bbl",
"D) $14.32/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $63.28/bbl\nB) $26.19/bbl\nC) $-10.90/bbl\nD) $38.55/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $63.28/bbl",
"B) $26.19/bbl",
"C) $-10.90/bbl",
"D) $38.55/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $63.28/bbl\nB) $26.19/bbl\nC) $-10.90/bbl\nD) $38.55/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $63.28/bbl",
"B) $26.19/bbl",
"C) $-10.90/bbl",
"D) $38.55/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $38.55/bbl\nB) $1.46/bbl\nC) $26.19/bbl\nD) $50.92/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $38.55/bbl",
"B) $1.46/bbl",
"C) $26.19/bbl",
"D) $50.92/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $38.55/bbl\nB) $1.46/bbl\nC) $26.19/bbl\nD) $50.92/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $38.55/bbl",
"B) $1.46/bbl",
"C) $26.19/bbl",
"D) $50.92/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $1.46/bbl\nB) $50.92/bbl\nC) $13.83/bbl\nD) $26.19/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $1.46/bbl",
"B) $50.92/bbl",
"C) $13.83/bbl",
"D) $26.19/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $1.46/bbl\nB) $50.92/bbl\nC) $13.83/bbl\nD) $26.19/bbl",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-31",
"options": [
"A) $1.46/bbl",
"B) $50.92/bbl",
"C) $13.83/bbl",
"D) $26.19/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers",
"event_date": "2016-01-04",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2016-01-27",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-24",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2016-01-27, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for February 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-24.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 0.46%\nC) 0.23%\nD) 0.30%",
"options": [
"A) 0.38%",
"B) 0.46%",
"C) 0.23%",
"D) 0.30%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.38%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2016-03-16",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "April 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-13",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2016-03-16, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.43%\nB) 0.37%\nC) 0.31%\nD) 0.24%",
"options": [
"A) 0.43%",
"B) 0.37%",
"C) 0.31%",
"D) 0.24%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.37%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2016-04-27",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-04-24",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2016-04-27, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for May 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-04-24.)\n\nA) 0.55%\nB) 0.26%\nC) 0.37%\nD) 0.48%",
"options": [
"A) 0.55%",
"B) 0.26%",
"C) 0.37%",
"D) 0.48%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.37%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2016-06-15",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "July 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-12",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2016-06-15, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for July 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-12.)\n\nA) 0.60%\nB) 0.52%\nC) 0.31%\nD) 0.39%",
"options": [
"A) 0.60%",
"B) 0.52%",
"C) 0.31%",
"D) 0.39%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.39%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2016-07-27",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-24",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2016-07-27, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for August 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-24.)\n\nA) 0.40%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 0.31%\nD) 0.49%",
"options": [
"A) 0.40%",
"B) 0.58%",
"C) 0.31%",
"D) 0.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2016-09-21",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "October 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-09-18",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2016-09-21, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for October 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-09-18.)\n\nA) 0.30%\nB) 0.40%\nC) 0.15%\nD) 0.50%",
"options": [
"A) 0.30%",
"B) 0.40%",
"C) 0.15%",
"D) 0.50%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2016-11-02",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "December 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-30",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2016-11-02, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for December 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-30.)\n\nA) 0.44%\nB) 0.59%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 0.49%",
"options": [
"A) 0.44%",
"B) 0.59%",
"C) 0.54%",
"D) 0.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.54%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2016-12-14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "January 2017",
"info_cutoff": "2016-12-11",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2016-12-14, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for January 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2016-12-11.)\n\nA) 0.71%\nB) 0.59%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 0.65%",
"options": [
"A) 0.71%",
"B) 0.59%",
"C) 0.47%",
"D) 0.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.65%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201601",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "January 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-29",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for January 2016 (released around 2016-02-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-29.)\n\nA) 133K\nB) 23K\nC) 243K\nD) 170K",
"options": [
"A) 133K",
"B) 23K",
"C) 243K",
"D) 170K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "133K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201602",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "February 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-26",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for February 2016 (released around 2016-03-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-26.)\n\nA) 123K\nB) 196K\nC) 159K\nD) 233K",
"options": [
"A) 123K",
"B) 196K",
"C) 159K",
"D) 233K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "196K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201603",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-25",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for March 2016 (released around 2016-04-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-25.)\n\nA) 219K\nB) 182K\nC) 256K\nD) 293K",
"options": [
"A) 219K",
"B) 182K",
"C) 256K",
"D) 293K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "256K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201604",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "April 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-04-29",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for April 2016 (released around 2016-05-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-04-29.)\n\nA) 83K\nB) 228K\nC) 120K\nD) 192K",
"options": [
"A) 83K",
"B) 228K",
"C) 120K",
"D) 192K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "192K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201605",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "May 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-27",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for May 2016 (released around 2016-06-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-27.)\n\nA) 46K\nB) -65K\nC) 157K\nD) 83K",
"options": [
"A) 46K",
"B) -65K",
"C) 157K",
"D) 83K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "46K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201606",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "June 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-24",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for June 2016 (released around 2016-07-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-24.)\n\nA) 173K\nB) 247K\nC) 136K\nD) 284K",
"options": [
"A) 173K",
"B) 247K",
"C) 136K",
"D) 284K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "247K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201607",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "July 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-29",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for July 2016 (released around 2016-08-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-29.)\n\nA) 448K\nB) 298K\nC) 373K\nD) 486K",
"options": [
"A) 448K",
"B) 298K",
"C) 373K",
"D) 486K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "373K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201608",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "August 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-26",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for August 2016 (released around 2016-09-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-26.)\n\nA) 104K\nB) 29K\nC) 216K\nD) 141K",
"options": [
"A) 104K",
"B) 29K",
"C) 216K",
"D) 141K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "141K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201609",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-09-30",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for September 2016 (released around 2016-10-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-09-30.)\n\nA) 306K\nB) 268K\nC) 383K\nD) 191K",
"options": [
"A) 306K",
"B) 268K",
"C) 383K",
"D) 191K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "306K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201610",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "October 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-28",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for October 2016 (released around 2016-11-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-28.)\n\nA) 175K\nB) 98K\nC) -18K\nD) 214K",
"options": [
"A) 175K",
"B) 98K",
"C) -18K",
"D) 214K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "98K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201611",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "November 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-25",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for November 2016 (released around 2016-12-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-25.)\n\nA) 157K\nB) 79K\nC) 118K\nD) 235K",
"options": [
"A) 157K",
"B) 79K",
"C) 118K",
"D) 235K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "118K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201612",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "December 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-12-30",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for December 2016 (released around 2017-01-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-12-30.)\n\nA) 108K\nB) 342K\nC) 303K\nD) 225K",
"options": [
"A) 108K",
"B) 342K",
"C) 303K",
"D) 225K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "225K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-201601",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "January 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for January 2016 (released around 2016-02-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-06.)\n\nA) 1.24%\nB) 0.69%\nC) 0.15%\nD) 1.78%",
"options": [
"A) 1.24%",
"B) 0.69%",
"C) 0.15%",
"D) 1.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.24%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-201603",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-04-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for March 2016 (released around 2016-04-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-04-06.)\n\nA) -0.71%\nB) 0.89%\nC) -0.18%\nD) 1.43%",
"options": [
"A) -0.71%",
"B) 0.89%",
"C) -0.18%",
"D) 1.43%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.89%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-201604",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "April 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for April 2016 (released around 2016-05-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-06.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 0.13%\nC) 1.17%\nD) 2.21%",
"options": [
"A) 0.65%",
"B) 0.13%",
"C) 1.17%",
"D) 2.21%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.17%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-201606",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "June 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for June 2016 (released around 2016-07-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-06.)\n\nA) 2.55%\nB) 0.59%\nC) 1.57%\nD) 1.08%",
"options": [
"A) 2.55%",
"B) 0.59%",
"C) 1.57%",
"D) 1.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-201607",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "July 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for July 2016 (released around 2016-08-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-06.)\n\nA) 0.87%\nB) 1.33%\nC) -0.53%\nD) 0.40%",
"options": [
"A) 0.87%",
"B) 1.33%",
"C) -0.53%",
"D) 0.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.87%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-201609",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for September 2016 (released around 2016-10-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-06.)\n\nA) 1.13%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 0.72%\nD) 1.96%",
"options": [
"A) 1.13%",
"B) 1.55%",
"C) 0.72%",
"D) 1.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.55%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-201610",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "October 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for October 2016 (released around 2016-11-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-06.)\n\nA) 1.29%\nB) 2.47%\nC) 1.69%\nD) 0.90%",
"options": [
"A) 1.29%",
"B) 2.47%",
"C) 1.69%",
"D) 0.90%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-201612",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "December 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2017-01-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for December 2016 (released around 2017-01-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-06.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 1.31%\nC) 1.68%\nD) 2.05%",
"options": [
"A) 2.79%",
"B) 1.31%",
"C) 1.68%",
"D) 2.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.05%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-gdp-2016q1",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "gdp_yoy",
"indicator": "GDPC1",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "Q1 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-14",
"question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q1 2016 (advance estimate released around 2016-05-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-14.)\n\nA) 1.80%\nB) 2.54%\nC) 1.42%\nD) 2.17%",
"options": [
"A) 1.80%",
"B) 2.54%",
"C) 1.42%",
"D) 2.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-gdp-2016q2",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "gdp_yoy",
"indicator": "GDPC1",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "Q2 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-14",
"question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q2 2016 (advance estimate released around 2016-08-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-14.)\n\nA) 2.18%\nB) 1.49%\nC) 1.15%\nD) 2.53%",
"options": [
"A) 2.18%",
"B) 1.49%",
"C) 1.15%",
"D) 2.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.49%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-gdp-2016q3",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "gdp_yoy",
"indicator": "GDPC1",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "Q3 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-14",
"question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q3 2016 (advance estimate released around 2016-11-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-14.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 2.47%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 0.80%",
"options": [
"A) 2.14%",
"B) 2.47%",
"C) 1.81%",
"D) 0.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.81%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-gdp-2016q4",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "gdp_yoy",
"indicator": "GDPC1",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "Q4 2016",
"info_cutoff": "2017-02-14",
"question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q4 2016 (advance estimate released around 2017-02-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2017-02-14.)\n\nA) 2.85%\nB) 3.18%\nC) 1.52%\nD) 2.18%",
"options": [
"A) 2.85%",
"B) 3.18%",
"C) 1.52%",
"D) 2.18%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.18%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160101",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-01-01",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-25",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-01-01? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-25.)\n\nA) 18.21\nB) 20.11\nC) 16.31\nD) 22.01",
"options": [
"A) 18.21",
"B) 20.11",
"C) 16.31",
"D) 22.01"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "18.21",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160108",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-01-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-01-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) 30.81\nB) 27.01\nC) 23.21\nD) 21.32",
"options": [
"A) 30.81",
"B) 27.01",
"C) 23.21",
"D) 21.32"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "27.01",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160115",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-01-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-08",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-01-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-08.)\n\nA) 21.22\nB) 32.82\nC) 27.02\nD) 28.95",
"options": [
"A) 21.22",
"B) 32.82",
"C) 27.02",
"D) 28.95"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "27.02",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160205",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-29",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-29.)\n\nA) 21.33\nB) 25.43\nC) 29.54\nD) 23.38",
"options": [
"A) 21.33",
"B) 25.43",
"C) 29.54",
"D) 23.38"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "23.38",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160212",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-02-12",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-05",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-02-12? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-05.)\n\nA) 28.14\nB) 30.21\nC) 26.07\nD) 34.34",
"options": [
"A) 28.14",
"B) 30.21",
"C) 26.07",
"D) 34.34"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "28.14",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160219",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-02-19",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-12",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-02-19? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-12.)\n\nA) 30.51\nB) 24.11\nC) 17.71\nD) 26.24",
"options": [
"A) 30.51",
"B) 24.11",
"C) 17.71",
"D) 26.24"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "24.11",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160304",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-03-04",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-26",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-03-04? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-26.)\n\nA) 18.39\nB) 22.71\nC) 20.55\nD) 24.86",
"options": [
"A) 18.39",
"B) 22.71",
"C) 20.55",
"D) 24.86"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "20.55",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160311",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-04",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-04.)\n\nA) 22.99\nB) 25.14\nC) 20.83\nD) 18.67",
"options": [
"A) 22.99",
"B) 25.14",
"C) 20.83",
"D) 18.67"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "18.67",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160318",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-03-18",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-11",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-03-18? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-11.)\n\nA) 16.92\nB) 10.45\nC) 14.76\nD) 12.60",
"options": [
"A) 16.92",
"B) 10.45",
"C) 14.76",
"D) 12.60"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "16.92",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160401",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-04-01",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-25",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-04-01? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-25.)\n\nA) 17.40\nB) 15.24\nC) 19.56\nD) 8.76",
"options": [
"A) 17.40",
"B) 15.24",
"C) 19.56",
"D) 8.76"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "15.24",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160408",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-04-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-04-01",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-04-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-04-01.)\n\nA) 18.32\nB) 9.68\nC) 16.16\nD) 14.00",
"options": [
"A) 18.32",
"B) 9.68",
"C) 16.16",
"D) 14.00"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "16.16",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160415",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-04-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-04-08",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-04-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-04-08.)\n\nA) 20.58\nB) 11.94\nC) 14.10\nD) 16.26",
"options": [
"A) 20.58",
"B) 11.94",
"C) 14.10",
"D) 16.26"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "16.26",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160506",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-05-06",
"info_cutoff": "2016-04-29",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2016-04-29.)\n\nA) 16.05\nB) 11.73\nC) 20.37\nD) 18.21",
"options": [
"A) 16.05",
"B) 11.73",
"C) 20.37",
"D) 18.21"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "16.05",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160513",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-05-13",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-06",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-05-13? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-06.)\n\nA) 21.50\nB) 15.04\nC) 8.58\nD) 17.19",
"options": [
"A) 21.50",
"B) 15.04",
"C) 8.58",
"D) 17.19"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "15.04",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160520",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-05-20",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-13",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-05-20? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-13.)\n\nA) 9.88\nB) 14.18\nC) 16.33\nD) 18.48",
"options": [
"A) 9.88",
"B) 14.18",
"C) 16.33",
"D) 18.48"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "16.33",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160603",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-06-03",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-27",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-06-03? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-27.)\n\nA) 18.47\nB) 7.80\nC) 9.93\nD) 14.20",
"options": [
"A) 18.47",
"B) 7.80",
"C) 9.93",
"D) 14.20"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "14.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160610",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-06-10",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-03",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-06-10? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-03.)\n\nA) 17.03\nB) 12.78\nC) 14.90\nD) 19.16",
"options": [
"A) 17.03",
"B) 12.78",
"C) 14.90",
"D) 19.16"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "17.03",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160617",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-06-17",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-10",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-06-17? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-10.)\n\nA) 18.86\nB) 20.97\nC) 14.63\nD) 27.31",
"options": [
"A) 18.86",
"B) 20.97",
"C) 14.63",
"D) 27.31"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "20.97",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160701",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-07-01",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-24",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-07-01? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-24.)\n\nA) 21.74\nB) 28.07\nC) 23.85\nD) 17.52",
"options": [
"A) 21.74",
"B) 28.07",
"C) 23.85",
"D) 17.52"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "23.85",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160708",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-07-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-07-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 11.37\nB) 9.27\nC) 13.48\nD) 15.58",
"options": [
"A) 11.37",
"B) 9.27",
"C) 13.48",
"D) 15.58"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "15.58",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160715",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-07-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-08",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-07-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-08.)\n\nA) 13.55\nB) 15.64\nC) 17.73\nD) 19.82",
"options": [
"A) 13.55",
"B) 15.64",
"C) 17.73",
"D) 19.82"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "13.55",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160805",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-29",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-29.)\n\nA) 11.28\nB) 13.37\nC) 7.11\nD) 17.54",
"options": [
"A) 11.28",
"B) 13.37",
"C) 7.11",
"D) 17.54"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "13.37",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160812",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-08-12",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-05",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-08-12? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-05.)\n\nA) 9.96\nB) 14.14\nC) 12.05\nD) 16.24",
"options": [
"A) 9.96",
"B) 14.14",
"C) 12.05",
"D) 16.24"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "12.05",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160819",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-08-19",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-12",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-08-19? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-12.)\n\nA) 16.85\nB) 18.96\nC) 6.32\nD) 12.64",
"options": [
"A) 16.85",
"B) 18.96",
"C) 6.32",
"D) 12.64"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "12.64",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160902",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-09-02",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-26",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-09-02? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-26.)\n\nA) 13.48\nB) 19.79\nC) 7.17\nD) 11.38",
"options": [
"A) 13.48",
"B) 19.79",
"C) 7.17",
"D) 11.38"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "13.48",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160909",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-09-09",
"info_cutoff": "2016-09-02",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-09-09? (Use only information available on or before 2016-09-02.)\n\nA) 19.60\nB) 17.50\nC) 23.80\nD) 21.70",
"options": [
"A) 19.60",
"B) 17.50",
"C) 23.80",
"D) 21.70"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "17.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20160916",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-09-16",
"info_cutoff": "2016-09-09",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-09-16? (Use only information available on or before 2016-09-09.)\n\nA) 13.94\nB) 11.84\nC) 18.14\nD) 24.44",
"options": [
"A) 13.94",
"B) 11.84",
"C) 18.14",
"D) 24.44"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "18.14",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20161007",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-10-07",
"info_cutoff": "2016-09-30",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2016-09-30.)\n\nA) 15.73\nB) 11.53\nC) 7.34\nD) 13.63",
"options": [
"A) 15.73",
"B) 11.53",
"C) 7.34",
"D) 13.63"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "13.63",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20161014",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-10-14",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-07",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-10-14? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-07.)\n\nA) 16.69\nB) 22.99\nC) 14.59\nD) 12.49",
"options": [
"A) 16.69",
"B) 22.99",
"C) 14.59",
"D) 12.49"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "16.69",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20161021",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-10-21",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-14",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-10-21? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-14.)\n\nA) 12.04\nB) 16.21\nC) 18.30\nD) 20.38",
"options": [
"A) 12.04",
"B) 16.21",
"C) 18.30",
"D) 20.38"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "16.21",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20161104",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-11-04",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-28",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-11-04? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-28.)\n\nA) 16.31\nB) 18.38\nC) 22.51\nD) 20.44",
"options": [
"A) 16.31",
"B) 18.38",
"C) 22.51",
"D) 20.44"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "22.51",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20161111",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-11-11",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-04",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-11-11? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-04.)\n\nA) 22.89\nB) 12.52\nC) 14.59\nD) 18.74",
"options": [
"A) 22.89",
"B) 12.52",
"C) 14.59",
"D) 18.74"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "18.74",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20161118",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-11-18",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-11",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-11-18? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-11.)\n\nA) 14.48\nB) 20.69\nC) 10.34\nD) 12.41",
"options": [
"A) 14.48",
"B) 20.69",
"C) 10.34",
"D) 12.41"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "14.48",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20161202",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-12-02",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-25",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-12-02? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-25.)\n\nA) 7.90\nB) 14.12\nC) 9.97\nD) 18.27",
"options": [
"A) 7.90",
"B) 14.12",
"C) 9.97",
"D) 18.27"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "14.12",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20161209",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-12-09",
"info_cutoff": "2016-12-02",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-12-09? (Use only information available on or before 2016-12-02.)\n\nA) 8.50\nB) 6.43\nC) 12.64\nD) 10.57",
"options": [
"A) 8.50",
"B) 6.43",
"C) 12.64",
"D) 10.57"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "12.64",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20161216",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2016-12-09",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2016-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2016-12-09.)\n\nA) 11.11\nB) 15.27\nC) 19.42\nD) 13.19",
"options": [
"A) 11.11",
"B) 15.27",
"C) 19.42",
"D) 13.19"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "13.19",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160101",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-01-01",
"info_cutoff": "2015-12-25",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-01-01? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-25.)\n\nA) -0.67%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 2.82%\nD) -4.16%",
"options": [
"A) -0.67%",
"B) 1.66%",
"C) 2.82%",
"D) -4.16%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.67%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160108",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-01-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-01",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-01-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-01.)\n\nA) -6.46%\nB) -5.29%\nC) -7.63%\nD) -1.79%",
"options": [
"A) -6.46%",
"B) -5.29%",
"C) -7.63%",
"D) -1.79%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-5.29%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160115",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-01-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-08",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-01-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-08.)\n\nA) -2.04%\nB) -6.78%\nC) -3.22%\nD) -0.85%",
"options": [
"A) -2.04%",
"B) -6.78%",
"C) -3.22%",
"D) -0.85%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-3.22%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160205",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2016-01-29",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.06%\nB) -6.81%\nC) -1.83%\nD) -5.57%",
"options": [
"A) -8.06%",
"B) -6.81%",
"C) -1.83%",
"D) -5.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-5.57%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160212",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-02-12",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-05",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-02-12? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-05.)\n\nA) 1.25%\nB) -1.28%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 2.52%",
"options": [
"A) 1.25%",
"B) -1.28%",
"C) 3.79%",
"D) 2.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160219",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-02-19",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-12",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-02-19? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-12.)\n\nA) 4.09%\nB) 1.54%\nC) -2.27%\nD) 2.82%",
"options": [
"A) 4.09%",
"B) 1.54%",
"C) -2.27%",
"D) 2.82%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.54%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160304",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-03-04",
"info_cutoff": "2016-02-26",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-03-04? (Use only information available on or before 2016-02-26.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 2.19%\nC) 3.49%\nD) -0.41%",
"options": [
"A) 0.89%",
"B) 2.19%",
"C) 3.49%",
"D) -0.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.49%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160311",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-03-11",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-04",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-04.)\n\nA) -1.77%\nB) 4.79%\nC) 2.17%\nD) 0.85%",
"options": [
"A) -1.77%",
"B) 4.79%",
"C) 2.17%",
"D) 0.85%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.85%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160318",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-03-18",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-11",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-03-18? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-11.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) 2.27%\nC) -2.99%\nD) 4.90%",
"options": [
"A) 0.96%",
"B) 2.27%",
"C) -2.99%",
"D) 4.90%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.96%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160401",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-04-01",
"info_cutoff": "2016-03-25",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-04-01? (Use only information available on or before 2016-03-25.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 3.10%\nC) -0.82%\nD) 7.01%",
"options": [
"A) 1.79%",
"B) 3.10%",
"C) -0.82%",
"D) 7.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160408",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-04-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-04-01",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-04-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-04-01.)\n\nA) 3.08%\nB) 1.77%\nC) -0.84%\nD) -4.76%",
"options": [
"A) 3.08%",
"B) 1.77%",
"C) -0.84%",
"D) -4.76%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.84%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160415",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-04-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-04-08",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-04-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-04-08.)\n\nA) -1.77%\nB) 6.11%\nC) 3.48%\nD) 2.17%",
"options": [
"A) -1.77%",
"B) 6.11%",
"C) 3.48%",
"D) 2.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.17%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160506",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-05-06",
"info_cutoff": "2016-04-29",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2016-04-29.)\n\nA) -1.69%\nB) 0.93%\nC) -3.00%\nD) -5.63%",
"options": [
"A) -1.69%",
"B) 0.93%",
"C) -3.00%",
"D) -5.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-1.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160513",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-05-13",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-06",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-05-13? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-06.)\n\nA) -4.60%\nB) -0.68%\nC) -3.29%\nD) 0.62%",
"options": [
"A) -4.60%",
"B) -0.68%",
"C) -3.29%",
"D) 0.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.68%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160520",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-05-20",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-13",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-05-20? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-13.)\n\nA) -4.05%\nB) 1.18%\nC) -0.12%\nD) 2.49%",
"options": [
"A) -4.05%",
"B) 1.18%",
"C) -0.12%",
"D) 2.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.12%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160603",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-06-03",
"info_cutoff": "2016-05-27",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-06-03? (Use only information available on or before 2016-05-27.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) -1.42%\nC) -2.74%\nD) -0.11%",
"options": [
"A) 1.20%",
"B) -1.42%",
"C) -2.74%",
"D) -0.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.11%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160610",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-06-10",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-03",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-06-10? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-03.)\n\nA) -1.49%\nB) -4.12%\nC) -0.18%\nD) 2.45%",
"options": [
"A) -1.49%",
"B) -4.12%",
"C) -0.18%",
"D) 2.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-1.49%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160617",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-06-17",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-10",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-06-17? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-10.)\n\nA) -2.31%\nB) -0.99%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 0.32%",
"options": [
"A) -2.31%",
"B) -0.99%",
"C) 2.95%",
"D) 0.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.99%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160701",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-07-01",
"info_cutoff": "2016-06-24",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-07-01? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-24.)\n\nA) 9.87%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 5.84%\nD) 8.53%",
"options": [
"A) 9.87%",
"B) 1.80%",
"C) 5.84%",
"D) 8.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.84%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160708",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-07-08",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-01",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-07-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.86%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 5.50%\nD) 2.78%",
"options": [
"A) 6.86%",
"B) 4.14%",
"C) 5.50%",
"D) 2.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.78%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160715",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-07-15",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-08",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-07-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-08.)\n\nA) 0.82%\nB) 3.55%\nC) -3.27%\nD) -1.91%",
"options": [
"A) 0.82%",
"B) 3.55%",
"C) -3.27%",
"D) -1.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.82%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160805",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-08-05",
"info_cutoff": "2016-07-29",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2016-07-29.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 0.71%\nC) -0.64%\nD) -3.34%",
"options": [
"A) 2.06%",
"B) 0.71%",
"C) -0.64%",
"D) -3.34%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.71%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160812",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-08-12",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-05",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-08-12? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-05.)\n\nA) -0.97%\nB) -3.68%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 1.73%",
"options": [
"A) -0.97%",
"B) -3.68%",
"C) 0.38%",
"D) 1.73%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.38%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160819",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-08-19",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-12",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-08-19? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-12.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) -4.48%\nC) -3.13%\nD) -0.45%",
"options": [
"A) 0.89%",
"B) -4.48%",
"C) -3.13%",
"D) -0.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.45%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160902",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-09-02",
"info_cutoff": "2016-08-26",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-09-02? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-26.)\n\nA) 0.34%\nB) -0.91%\nC) 2.82%\nD) -3.39%",
"options": [
"A) 0.34%",
"B) -0.91%",
"C) 2.82%",
"D) -3.39%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.34%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160909",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-09-09",
"info_cutoff": "2016-09-02",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-09-09? (Use only information available on or before 2016-09-02.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) -2.84%\nC) -5.24%\nD) -1.64%",
"options": [
"A) 0.76%",
"B) -2.84%",
"C) -5.24%",
"D) -1.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-2.84%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20160916",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-09-16",
"info_cutoff": "2016-09-09",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-09-16? (Use only information available on or before 2016-09-09.)\n\nA) -1.76%\nB) -0.57%\nC) 0.63%\nD) 4.21%",
"options": [
"A) -1.76%",
"B) -0.57%",
"C) 0.63%",
"D) 4.21%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.63%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20161007",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-10-07",
"info_cutoff": "2016-09-30",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2016-09-30.)\n\nA) 1.01%\nB) -1.33%\nC) -3.67%\nD) -0.16%",
"options": [
"A) 1.01%",
"B) -1.33%",
"C) -3.67%",
"D) -0.16%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.16%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20161014",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-10-14",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-07",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-10-14? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-07.)\n\nA) -2.15%\nB) -0.99%\nC) -3.31%\nD) -5.62%",
"options": [
"A) -2.15%",
"B) -0.99%",
"C) -3.31%",
"D) -5.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-2.15%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20161021",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-10-21",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-14",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-10-21? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-14.)\n\nA) -1.22%\nB) 1.11%\nC) -0.06%\nD) -2.38%",
"options": [
"A) -1.22%",
"B) 1.11%",
"C) -0.06%",
"D) -2.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.11%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20161104",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-11-04",
"info_cutoff": "2016-10-28",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-11-04? (Use only information available on or before 2016-10-28.)\n\nA) -3.89%\nB) -5.03%\nC) -2.75%\nD) -0.47%",
"options": [
"A) -3.89%",
"B) -5.03%",
"C) -2.75%",
"D) -0.47%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-2.75%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20161111",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-11-11",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-04",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-11-11? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-04.)\n\nA) 3.65%\nB) -2.05%\nC) 0.23%\nD) 1.37%",
"options": [
"A) 3.65%",
"B) -2.05%",
"C) 0.23%",
"D) 1.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20161118",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-11-18",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-11",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-11-18? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-11.)\n\nA) 1.98%\nB) 5.44%\nC) -0.33%\nD) -1.49%",
"options": [
"A) 1.98%",
"B) 5.44%",
"C) -0.33%",
"D) -1.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.98%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20161202",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-12-02",
"info_cutoff": "2016-11-25",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-12-02? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-25.)\n\nA) 1.32%\nB) -2.11%\nC) -4.40%\nD) -5.54%",
"options": [
"A) 1.32%",
"B) -2.11%",
"C) -4.40%",
"D) -5.54%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-2.11%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20161209",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-12-09",
"info_cutoff": "2016-12-02",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-12-09? (Use only information available on or before 2016-12-02.)\n\nA) 5.99%\nB) 0.26%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 4.85%",
"options": [
"A) 5.99%",
"B) 0.26%",
"C) 2.55%",
"D) 4.85%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.55%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20161216",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2016-12-16",
"info_cutoff": "2016-12-09",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2016-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2016-12-09.)\n\nA) 3.85%\nB) -1.81%\nC) -0.68%\nD) 0.45%",
"options": [
"A) 3.85%",
"B) -1.81%",
"C) -0.68%",
"D) 0.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.45%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2016
}
]