pre_test / mcq_2018.json
lfqian's picture
Add per-year unpredictable-event floor (FOMC/NFP/CPI/GDP/VIX/NASDAQ): 10,014 -> 12,838 q; every year 25-51% unpredictable
a63e93b verified
[
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 62.90%\nB) 61.64%\nC) 66.05%\nD) 64.79%",
"options": [
"A) 62.90%",
"B) 61.64%",
"C) 66.05%",
"D) 64.79%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "62.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.93%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 1.50%\nD) 1.39%",
"options": [
"A) 1.93%",
"B) 1.60%",
"C) 1.50%",
"D) 1.39%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 84.61%\nB) 20.85%\nC) 36.79%\nD) 52.73%",
"options": [
"A) 84.61%",
"B) 20.85%",
"C) 36.79%",
"D) 52.73%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "36.79%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.38%\nC) 1.78%\nD) 1.58%",
"options": [
"A) 2.19%",
"B) 1.38%",
"C) 1.78%",
"D) 1.58%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.58%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 6.96%\nB) 24.36%\nC) -10.43%\nD) 59.15%",
"options": [
"A) 6.96%",
"B) 24.36%",
"C) -10.43%",
"D) 59.15%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.96%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 96.99\nB) 102.56\nC) 100.33\nD) 104.78",
"options": [
"A) 96.99",
"B) 102.56",
"C) 100.33",
"D) 104.78"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "102.56",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.53%\nB) 6.15%\nC) 5.41%\nD) 5.04%",
"options": [
"A) 6.53%",
"B) 6.15%",
"C) 5.41%",
"D) 5.04%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.41%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.37%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 2.42%\nD) 3.72%",
"options": [
"A) 4.37%",
"B) 1.77%",
"C) 2.42%",
"D) 3.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.72%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.37%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 3.42%\nD) 1.32%",
"options": [
"A) 2.37%",
"B) 2.02%",
"C) 3.42%",
"D) 1.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.37%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 8.73%\nB) -7.23%\nC) -1.91%\nD) -23.18%",
"options": [
"A) 8.73%",
"B) -7.23%",
"C) -1.91%",
"D) -23.18%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-7.23%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) $71,932M\nB) $65,741M\nC) $67,289M\nD) $62,646M",
"options": [
"A) $71,932M",
"B) $65,741M",
"C) $67,289M",
"D) $62,646M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$67,289M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.07%\nB) 3.36%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 3.51%",
"options": [
"A) 3.07%",
"B) 3.36%",
"C) 3.22%",
"D) 3.51%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.51%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 60.30%\nB) 57.28%\nC) 58.49%\nD) 61.51%",
"options": [
"A) 60.30%",
"B) 57.28%",
"C) 58.49%",
"D) 61.51%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "60.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.38%\nB) 6.00%\nC) 6.62%\nD) 5.59%",
"options": [
"A) 5.38%",
"B) 6.00%",
"C) 6.62%",
"D) 5.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.88%\nB) 1.50%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.64%",
"options": [
"A) 1.88%",
"B) 1.50%",
"C) 2.26%",
"D) 2.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 244.01\nB) 238.91\nC) 259.32\nD) 251.66",
"options": [
"A) 244.01",
"B) 238.91",
"C) 259.32",
"D) 251.66"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "251.66",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 2.29%\nD) 3.56%",
"options": [
"A) 2.61%",
"B) 2.93%",
"C) 2.29%",
"D) 3.56%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.61%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-06.)\n\nA) 1,619,803\nB) 1,985,000\nC) 1,437,205\nD) 2,167,598",
"options": [
"A) 1,619,803",
"B) 1,985,000",
"C) 1,437,205",
"D) 2,167,598"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1,985,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 79.00%\nB) 34.23%\nC) 49.15%\nD) 64.08%",
"options": [
"A) 79.00%",
"B) 34.23%",
"C) 49.15%",
"D) 64.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "49.15%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.0811\nB) 0.9770\nC) 1.2894\nD) 1.1332",
"options": [
"A) 1.0811",
"B) 0.9770",
"C) 1.2894",
"D) 1.1332"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.1332",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 24,706.41\nB) 28,382.73\nC) 27,157.29\nD) 23,480.97",
"options": [
"A) 24,706.41",
"B) 28,382.73",
"C) 27,157.29",
"D) 23,480.97"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "24,706.41",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-06.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 4.53%\nC) 4.68%\nD) 4.38%",
"options": [
"A) 4.22%",
"B) 4.53%",
"C) 4.68%",
"D) 4.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.53%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 1.68%\nC) 3.17%\nD) 2.18%",
"options": [
"A) 4.17%",
"B) 1.68%",
"C) 3.17%",
"D) 2.18%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.17%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) $224,487M\nB) $218,255M\nC) $255,645M\nD) $236,950M",
"options": [
"A) $224,487M",
"B) $218,255M",
"C) $255,645M",
"D) $236,950M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$236,950M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 5.65%\nB) 8.44%\nC) 4.72%\nD) 6.58%",
"options": [
"A) 5.65%",
"B) 8.44%",
"C) 4.72%",
"D) 6.58%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.65%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.27%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 1.71%\nD) 0.84%",
"options": [
"A) 1.27%",
"B) 2.15%",
"C) 1.71%",
"D) 0.84%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.15%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) $21.71/hr\nB) $20.67/hr\nC) $22.41/hr\nD) $23.45/hr",
"options": [
"A) $21.71/hr",
"B) $20.67/hr",
"C) $22.41/hr",
"D) $23.45/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$22.41/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 105.71\nB) 109.81\nC) 99.55\nD) 102.63",
"options": [
"A) 105.71",
"B) 109.81",
"C) 99.55",
"D) 102.63"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "102.63",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 24.69%\nB) 41.57%\nC) 7.82%\nD) 13.44%",
"options": [
"A) 24.69%",
"B) 41.57%",
"C) 7.82%",
"D) 13.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "24.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.90%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 2.72%\nD) 2.53%",
"options": [
"A) 2.90%",
"B) 3.08%",
"C) 2.72%",
"D) 2.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-06.)\n\nA) $12,327B\nB) $13,794B\nC) $12,816B\nD) $13,305B",
"options": [
"A) $12,327B",
"B) $13,794B",
"C) $12,816B",
"D) $13,305B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$12,816B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 6,299.90\nB) 7,734.70\nC) 6,778.16\nD) 7,256.43",
"options": [
"A) 6,299.90",
"B) 7,734.70",
"C) 6,778.16",
"D) 7,256.43"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "7,256.43",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) $484,031M\nB) $462,412M\nC) $505,650M\nD) $473,221M",
"options": [
"A) $484,031M",
"B) $462,412M",
"C) $505,650M",
"D) $473,221M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$484,031M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-level-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 2,926.23\nB) 2,731.20\nC) 2,536.17\nD) 2,828.71",
"options": [
"A) 2,926.23",
"B) 2,731.20",
"C) 2,536.17",
"D) 2,828.71"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,731.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.41pp\nB) +0.25pp\nC) +0.10pp\nD) -0.05pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.41pp",
"B) +0.25pp",
"C) +0.10pp",
"D) -0.05pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+0.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 120.92\nB) 109.18\nC) 113.88\nD) 117.40",
"options": [
"A) 120.92",
"B) 109.18",
"C) 113.88",
"D) 117.40"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "117.40",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.57%\nB) 5.21%\nC) 4.86%\nD) 6.63%",
"options": [
"A) 5.57%",
"B) 5.21%",
"C) 4.86%",
"D) 6.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.57%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.42%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 2.47%\nD) 8.33%",
"options": [
"A) 4.42%",
"B) 5.40%",
"C) 2.47%",
"D) 8.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 81.12%\nB) 76.39%\nC) 78.75%\nD) 74.03%",
"options": [
"A) 81.12%",
"B) 76.39%",
"C) 78.75%",
"D) 74.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "78.75%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 141,257K\nB) 145,000K\nC) 152,484K\nD) 148,742K",
"options": [
"A) 141,257K",
"B) 145,000K",
"C) 152,484K",
"D) 148,742K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "148,742K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 149,277K\nB) 140,023K\nC) 143,725K\nD) 154,829K",
"options": [
"A) 149,277K",
"B) 140,023K",
"C) 143,725K",
"D) 154,829K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "149,277K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 1.79%",
"options": [
"A) 1.58%",
"B) 1.90%",
"C) 2.11%",
"D) 1.79%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 16.04%\nB) 17.73%\nC) 14.35%\nD) 12.66%",
"options": [
"A) 16.04%",
"B) 17.73%",
"C) 14.35%",
"D) 12.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "14.35%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.27%\nB) 1.16%\nC) 1.78%\nD) 3.02%",
"options": [
"A) 4.27%",
"B) 1.16%",
"C) 1.78%",
"D) 3.02%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.02%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) $15,718B\nB) $17,018B\nC) $14,851B\nD) $16,585B",
"options": [
"A) $15,718B",
"B) $17,018B",
"C) $14,851B",
"D) $16,585B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$15,718B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) -9.76pp\nB) -1.00pp\nC) +7.76pp\nD) -6.84pp",
"options": [
"A) -9.76pp",
"B) -1.00pp",
"C) +7.76pp",
"D) -6.84pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-1.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.17%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 2.78%\nD) 1.62%",
"options": [
"A) 3.17%",
"B) 3.56%",
"C) 2.78%",
"D) 1.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.78%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 21.90%\nB) 27.29%\nC) 0.36%\nD) 11.13%",
"options": [
"A) 21.90%",
"B) 27.29%",
"C) 0.36%",
"D) 11.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "11.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) +2.14pp\nB) +3.11pp\nC) +4.09pp\nD) +1.16pp",
"options": [
"A) +2.14pp",
"B) +3.11pp",
"C) +4.09pp",
"D) +1.16pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+2.14pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 262.01\nB) 249.53\nC) 242.04\nD) 257.01",
"options": [
"A) 262.01",
"B) 249.53",
"C) 242.04",
"D) 257.01"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "249.53",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 102.96\nB) 107.10\nC) 111.23\nD) 98.83",
"options": [
"A) 102.96",
"B) 107.10",
"C) 111.23",
"D) 98.83"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "111.23",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 142,309K\nB) 145,963K\nC) 153,271K\nD) 149,617K",
"options": [
"A) 142,309K",
"B) 145,963K",
"C) 153,271K",
"D) 149,617K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "149,617K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) $493,445M\nB) $481,832M\nC) $470,219M\nD) $505,058M",
"options": [
"A) $493,445M",
"B) $481,832M",
"C) $470,219M",
"D) $505,058M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$493,445M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) $510,706M\nB) $498,854M\nC) $522,558M\nD) $534,411M",
"options": [
"A) $510,706M",
"B) $498,854M",
"C) $522,558M",
"D) $534,411M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$498,854M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 6,851.65\nB) 7,851.61\nC) 7,351.63\nD) 8,351.60",
"options": [
"A) 6,851.65",
"B) 7,851.61",
"C) 7,351.63",
"D) 8,351.60"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "7,351.63",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 103.28\nB) 105.36\nC) 99.12\nD) 101.20",
"options": [
"A) 103.28",
"B) 105.36",
"C) 99.12",
"D) 101.20"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "101.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.63%\nC) 1.26%\nD) 1.60%",
"options": [
"A) 1.94%",
"B) 2.63%",
"C) 1.26%",
"D) 1.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 24,069.77\nB) 25,200.37\nC) 27,461.58\nD) 28,592.18",
"options": [
"A) 24,069.77",
"B) 25,200.37",
"C) 27,461.58",
"D) 28,592.18"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "25,200.37",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-06.)\n\nA) 1,588,528\nB) 2,069,944\nC) 1,749,000\nD) 2,230,416",
"options": [
"A) 1,588,528",
"B) 2,069,944",
"C) 1,749,000",
"D) 2,230,416"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,749,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.14pp\nB) -0.04pp\nC) -0.94pp\nD) -0.40pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.14pp",
"B) -0.04pp",
"C) -0.94pp",
"D) -0.40pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 106.3600\nB) 118.7942\nC) 110.5047\nD) 102.2153",
"options": [
"A) 106.3600",
"B) 118.7942",
"C) 110.5047",
"D) 102.2153"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "106.3600",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.12pp\nB) +0.20pp\nC) +0.52pp\nD) +0.31pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.12pp",
"B) +0.20pp",
"C) +0.52pp",
"D) +0.31pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+0.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 17.28%\nB) -2.45%\nC) 9.39%\nD) 13.34%",
"options": [
"A) 17.28%",
"B) -2.45%",
"C) 9.39%",
"D) 13.34%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "9.39%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) $56.00/bbl\nB) $93.13/bbl\nC) $80.76/bbl\nD) $68.38/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $56.00/bbl",
"B) $93.13/bbl",
"C) $80.76/bbl",
"D) $68.38/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$68.38/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) -6.66pp\nC) -3.63pp\nD) -9.69pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.60pp",
"B) -6.66pp",
"C) -3.63pp",
"D) -9.69pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.60pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) +0.41pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) -0.05pp\nD) +0.56pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.41pp",
"B) +0.10pp",
"C) -0.05pp",
"D) +0.56pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+0.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-06.)\n\nA) 189,290\nB) 242,419\nC) 207,000\nD) 260,129",
"options": [
"A) 189,290",
"B) 242,419",
"C) 207,000",
"D) 260,129"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "207,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.71%\nB) 7.51%\nC) 6.91%\nD) 6.31%",
"options": [
"A) 5.71%",
"B) 7.51%",
"C) 6.91%",
"D) 6.31%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.31%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 0.28%\nC) -0.97%\nD) 6.50%",
"options": [
"A) 2.77%",
"B) 0.28%",
"C) -0.97%",
"D) 6.50%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.77%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.41%\nB) 1.52%\nC) 1.85%\nD) 1.19%",
"options": [
"A) 1.41%",
"B) 1.52%",
"C) 1.85%",
"D) 1.19%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.52%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $3,476M\nD) $6,200,000M",
"options": [
"A) $4,300,000M",
"B) $2,400,000M",
"C) $3,476M",
"D) $6,200,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$3,476M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 107.15\nB) 111.31\nC) 100.91\nD) 104.03",
"options": [
"A) 107.15",
"B) 111.31",
"C) 100.91",
"D) 104.03"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "104.03",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.22%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 1.87%\nD) 1.99%",
"options": [
"A) 2.22%",
"B) 2.10%",
"C) 1.87%",
"D) 1.99%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.22%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 115.73\nB) 106.99\nC) 120.10\nD) 111.36",
"options": [
"A) 115.73",
"B) 106.99",
"C) 120.10",
"D) 111.36"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "106.99",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 123.78\nB) 120.08\nC) 116.39\nD) 108.99",
"options": [
"A) 123.78",
"B) 120.08",
"C) 116.39",
"D) 108.99"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "116.39",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) $14,731B\nB) $15,997B\nC) $16,840B\nD) $15,575B",
"options": [
"A) $14,731B",
"B) $15,997B",
"C) $16,840B",
"D) $15,575B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$15,575B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-06.)\n\nA) 225,000\nB) 207,732\nC) 242,268\nD) 190,464",
"options": [
"A) 225,000",
"B) 207,732",
"C) 242,268",
"D) 190,464"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "225,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 238.95\nB) 252.59\nC) 244.41\nD) 260.78",
"options": [
"A) 238.95",
"B) 252.59",
"C) 244.41",
"D) 260.78"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "252.59",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.02%\nB) 6.23%\nC) 5.80%\nD) 5.58%",
"options": [
"A) 6.02%",
"B) 6.23%",
"C) 5.80%",
"D) 5.58%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 3.35%\nB) 2.54%\nC) 3.76%\nD) 3.15%",
"options": [
"A) 3.35%",
"B) 2.54%",
"C) 3.76%",
"D) 3.15%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.15%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-06.)\n\nA) 4.06%\nB) 1.08%\nC) 5.05%\nD) 3.07%",
"options": [
"A) 4.06%",
"B) 1.08%",
"C) 5.05%",
"D) 3.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.06%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 3.52%\nB) 3.11%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 2.91%",
"options": [
"A) 3.52%",
"B) 3.11%",
"C) 3.72%",
"D) 2.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.11%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) $76.34/bbl\nB) $98.88/bbl\nC) $65.07/bbl\nD) $42.53/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $76.34/bbl",
"B) $98.88/bbl",
"C) $65.07/bbl",
"D) $42.53/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$65.07/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 52.51%\nB) -14.50%\nC) 69.26%\nD) 35.76%",
"options": [
"A) 52.51%",
"B) -14.50%",
"C) 69.26%",
"D) 35.76%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "35.76%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) +2.38pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) +1.54pp\nD) +4.08pp",
"options": [
"A) +2.38pp",
"B) -0.16pp",
"C) +1.54pp",
"D) +4.08pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+2.38pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 8.50%\nB) 6.42%\nC) 5.38%\nD) 4.34%",
"options": [
"A) 8.50%",
"B) 6.42%",
"C) 5.38%",
"D) 4.34%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.42%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 9.33%\nB) 7.56%\nC) 12.87%\nD) 16.40%",
"options": [
"A) 9.33%",
"B) 7.56%",
"C) 12.87%",
"D) 16.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "12.87%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.65%\nB) 2.53%\nC) 2.76%\nD) 2.87%",
"options": [
"A) 2.65%",
"B) 2.53%",
"C) 2.76%",
"D) 2.87%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.87%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.95%\nB) 7.21%\nC) -1.80%\nD) 9.46%",
"options": [
"A) 4.95%",
"B) 7.21%",
"C) -1.80%",
"D) 9.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.95%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-06.)\n\nA) 5.70%\nB) 3.80%\nC) 6.65%\nD) 2.85%",
"options": [
"A) 5.70%",
"B) 3.80%",
"C) 6.65%",
"D) 2.85%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.09%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 1.88%\nD) 1.77%",
"options": [
"A) 2.09%",
"B) 1.66%",
"C) 1.88%",
"D) 1.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.88%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) $61,116M\nB) $68,886M\nC) $70,440M\nD) $65,778M",
"options": [
"A) $61,116M",
"B) $68,886M",
"C) $70,440M",
"D) $65,778M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$65,778M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 14.50%\nB) -29.68%\nC) -14.95%\nD) 29.23%",
"options": [
"A) 14.50%",
"B) -29.68%",
"C) -14.95%",
"D) 29.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "14.50%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.73%\nB) 1.64%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 1.81%",
"options": [
"A) 1.73%",
"B) 1.64%",
"C) 1.56%",
"D) 1.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.64%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) +1.62pp\nB) +4.81pp\nC) +3.22pp\nD) +5.60pp",
"options": [
"A) +1.62pp",
"B) +4.81pp",
"C) +3.22pp",
"D) +5.60pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+3.22pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 264.91\nB) 240.34\nC) 247.36\nD) 257.89",
"options": [
"A) 264.91",
"B) 240.34",
"C) 247.36",
"D) 257.89"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "257.89",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 10.76%\nB) 2.32%\nC) 6.54%\nD) 14.98%",
"options": [
"A) 10.76%",
"B) 2.32%",
"C) 6.54%",
"D) 14.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "10.76%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) $15,141B\nB) $14,092B\nC) $14,617B\nD) $13,044B",
"options": [
"A) $15,141B",
"B) $14,092B",
"C) $14,617B",
"D) $13,044B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$14,092B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.55%\nB) 2.72%\nC) 2.90%\nD) 3.08%",
"options": [
"A) 2.55%",
"B) 2.72%",
"C) 2.90%",
"D) 3.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 16.28%\nB) 5.16%\nC) 19.06%\nD) 10.72%",
"options": [
"A) 16.28%",
"B) 5.16%",
"C) 19.06%",
"D) 10.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "10.72%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 9.90%\nB) 2.87%\nC) 14.58%\nD) 16.92%",
"options": [
"A) 9.90%",
"B) 2.87%",
"C) 14.58%",
"D) 16.92%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "9.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 2.82%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 2.31%\nD) 2.14%",
"options": [
"A) 2.82%",
"B) 2.65%",
"C) 2.31%",
"D) 2.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.65%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 12.68\nB) 20.51\nC) 14.64\nD) 16.60",
"options": [
"A) 12.68",
"B) 20.51",
"C) 14.64",
"D) 16.60"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "14.64",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) +0.56pp\nB) -0.06pp\nC) -0.68pp\nD) +0.25pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.56pp",
"B) -0.06pp",
"C) -0.68pp",
"D) +0.25pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.25pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 10.18%\nC) 1.42%\nD) 7.26%",
"options": [
"A) 4.34%",
"B) 10.18%",
"C) 1.42%",
"D) 7.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.34%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) $71,428M\nB) $66,704M\nC) $61,980M\nD) $68,279M",
"options": [
"A) $71,428M",
"B) $66,704M",
"C) $61,980M",
"D) $68,279M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$66,704M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 7.3449\nB) 6.5311\nC) 6.9380\nD) 6.2599",
"options": [
"A) 7.3449",
"B) 6.5311",
"C) 6.9380",
"D) 6.2599"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.9380",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-06.)\n\nA) 6.51%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 2.54%\nD) 3.53%",
"options": [
"A) 6.51%",
"B) 1.55%",
"C) 2.54%",
"D) 3.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.53%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) -12.03%\nC) 12.98%\nD) -18.29%",
"options": [
"A) 0.47%",
"B) -12.03%",
"C) 12.98%",
"D) -18.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.47%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) -47.48%\nB) 2.12%\nC) -30.95%\nD) -14.42%",
"options": [
"A) -47.48%",
"B) 2.12%",
"C) -30.95%",
"D) -14.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.12%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 10.86%\nB) 14.76%\nC) 6.97%\nD) -0.82%",
"options": [
"A) 10.86%",
"B) 14.76%",
"C) 6.97%",
"D) -0.82%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.97%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 3.44%\nB) 3.19%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 2.94%",
"options": [
"A) 3.44%",
"B) 3.19%",
"C) 2.19%",
"D) 2.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) $3,584M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $2,400,000M",
"options": [
"A) $3,584M",
"B) $6,200,000M",
"C) $4,300,000M",
"D) $2,400,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$3,584M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) +0.20pp\nB) +0.50pp\nC) +1.09pp\nD) -0.09pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.20pp",
"B) +0.50pp",
"C) +1.09pp",
"D) -0.09pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+0.50pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) $12,901B\nB) $14,998B\nC) $13,949B\nD) $14,473B",
"options": [
"A) $12,901B",
"B) $14,998B",
"C) $13,949B",
"D) $14,473B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$13,949B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 64.16%\nB) 61.64%\nC) 66.05%\nD) 62.90%",
"options": [
"A) 64.16%",
"B) 61.64%",
"C) 66.05%",
"D) 62.90%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "62.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 101.78\nB) 96.50\nC) 99.67\nD) 104.95",
"options": [
"A) 101.78",
"B) 96.50",
"C) 99.67",
"D) 104.95"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "101.78",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 123.03\nB) 115.15\nC) 111.21\nD) 119.09",
"options": [
"A) 123.03",
"B) 115.15",
"C) 111.21",
"D) 119.09"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "115.15",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.42%\nB) 8.46%\nC) 5.40%\nD) 7.44%",
"options": [
"A) 6.42%",
"B) 8.46%",
"C) 5.40%",
"D) 7.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.09%\nB) -1.27%\nC) 4.61%\nD) 2.26%",
"options": [
"A) -0.09%",
"B) -1.27%",
"C) 4.61%",
"D) 2.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-06.)\n\nA) $12,948B\nB) $13,424B\nC) $11,518B\nD) $14,377B",
"options": [
"A) $12,948B",
"B) $13,424B",
"C) $11,518B",
"D) $14,377B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$12,948B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 15.20%\nB) 8.47%\nC) 6.23%\nD) 12.96%",
"options": [
"A) 15.20%",
"B) 8.47%",
"C) 6.23%",
"D) 12.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "8.47%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-level-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 2,394.72\nB) 2,605.87\nC) 2,711.45\nD) 2,817.03",
"options": [
"A) 2,394.72",
"B) 2,605.87",
"C) 2,711.45",
"D) 2,817.03"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,711.45",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 28.34%\nB) 0.70%\nC) 33.87%\nD) 17.29%",
"options": [
"A) 28.34%",
"B) 0.70%",
"C) 33.87%",
"D) 17.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "17.29%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 60.60%\nB) 57.57%\nC) 58.78%\nD) 62.42%",
"options": [
"A) 60.60%",
"B) 57.57%",
"C) 58.78%",
"D) 62.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "60.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 6.0739\nB) 6.3438\nC) 6.6137\nD) 6.7487",
"options": [
"A) 6.0739",
"B) 6.3438",
"C) 6.6137",
"D) 6.7487"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.3438",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) $12,703B\nB) $14,429B\nC) $13,739B\nD) $13,393B",
"options": [
"A) $12,703B",
"B) $14,429B",
"C) $13,739B",
"D) $13,393B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$13,739B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 109.57\nB) 99.33\nC) 105.47\nD) 102.40",
"options": [
"A) 109.57",
"B) 99.33",
"C) 105.47",
"D) 102.40"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "102.40",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 115.10\nB) 118.55\nC) 111.65\nD) 123.16",
"options": [
"A) 115.10",
"B) 118.55",
"C) 111.65",
"D) 123.16"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "115.10",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 2.27%\nC) 3.17%\nD) 2.87%",
"options": [
"A) 1.66%",
"B) 2.27%",
"C) 3.17%",
"D) 2.87%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.27%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 119.38\nB) 112.42\nC) 115.90\nD) 122.85",
"options": [
"A) 119.38",
"B) 112.42",
"C) 115.90",
"D) 122.85"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "115.90",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,159K\nB) 1,555K\nC) 1,291K\nD) 1,357K",
"options": [
"A) 1,159K",
"B) 1,555K",
"C) 1,291K",
"D) 1,357K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,357K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 79.93%\nB) 77.53%\nC) 82.33%\nD) 75.94%",
"options": [
"A) 79.93%",
"B) 77.53%",
"C) 82.33%",
"D) 75.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "79.93%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 5.25%\nB) 5.88%\nC) 7.79%\nD) 7.15%",
"options": [
"A) 5.25%",
"B) 5.88%",
"C) 7.79%",
"D) 7.15%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.88%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 107.19\nB) 100.95\nC) 104.07\nD) 110.31",
"options": [
"A) 107.19",
"B) 100.95",
"C) 104.07",
"D) 110.31"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "104.07",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 11.57%\nB) -2.00%\nC) 2.53%\nD) 7.05%",
"options": [
"A) 11.57%",
"B) -2.00%",
"C) 2.53%",
"D) 7.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "7.05%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-06.)\n\nA) 222,000\nB) 277,010\nC) 258,673\nD) 240,337",
"options": [
"A) 222,000",
"B) 277,010",
"C) 258,673",
"D) 240,337"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "222,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.32pp\nB) +0.50pp\nC) +0.77pp\nD) +0.23pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.32pp",
"B) +0.50pp",
"C) +0.77pp",
"D) +0.23pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+0.50pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 103.18\nB) 96.22\nC) 99.70\nD) 106.66",
"options": [
"A) 103.18",
"B) 96.22",
"C) 99.70",
"D) 106.66"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "99.70",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.0789\nB) 1.2939\nC) 1.3477\nD) 1.1864",
"options": [
"A) 1.0789",
"B) 1.2939",
"C) 1.3477",
"D) 1.1864"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.1864",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) $68,087M\nB) $72,626M\nC) $71,113M\nD) $66,574M",
"options": [
"A) $68,087M",
"B) $72,626M",
"C) $71,113M",
"D) $66,574M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$68,087M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.81%\nB) 2.71%\nC) 4.11%\nD) 3.41%",
"options": [
"A) 4.81%",
"B) 2.71%",
"C) 4.11%",
"D) 3.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.71%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 114.2529\nB) 99.7212\nC) 110.6200\nD) 121.5188",
"options": [
"A) 114.2529",
"B) 99.7212",
"C) 110.6200",
"D) 121.5188"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "110.6200",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 1.27%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 1.70%",
"options": [
"A) 1.48%",
"B) 1.27%",
"C) 1.92%",
"D) 1.70%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) $56.45/bbl\nB) $87.31/bbl\nC) $25.59/bbl\nD) $35.88/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $56.45/bbl",
"B) $87.31/bbl",
"C) $25.59/bbl",
"D) $35.88/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$56.45/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.1381\nB) 1.2482\nC) 1.1932\nD) 1.4133",
"options": [
"A) 1.1381",
"B) 1.2482",
"C) 1.1932",
"D) 1.4133"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.2482",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 58.08%\nB) 61.71%\nC) 60.50%\nD) 59.29%",
"options": [
"A) 58.08%",
"B) 61.71%",
"C) 60.50%",
"D) 59.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "60.50%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 1.89%\nD) 1.98%",
"options": [
"A) 2.07%",
"B) 1.80%",
"C) 1.89%",
"D) 1.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.98%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 255.71\nB) 272.71\nC) 265.91\nD) 248.91",
"options": [
"A) 255.71",
"B) 272.71",
"C) 265.91",
"D) 248.91"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "255.71",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.66%\nB) 3.80%\nC) 4.23%\nD) 3.37%",
"options": [
"A) 4.66%",
"B) 3.80%",
"C) 4.23%",
"D) 3.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) $-45,214M\nB) $-55,037M\nC) $-49,143M\nD) $-43,249M",
"options": [
"A) $-45,214M",
"B) $-55,037M",
"C) $-49,143M",
"D) $-43,249M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$-49,143M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.44%\nB) 2.96%\nC) 2.71%\nD) 3.08%",
"options": [
"A) 3.44%",
"B) 2.96%",
"C) 2.71%",
"D) 3.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 257.14\nB) 250.25\nC) 239.91\nD) 267.49",
"options": [
"A) 257.14",
"B) 250.25",
"C) 239.91",
"D) 267.49"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "257.14",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 7.26%\nD) 6.49%",
"options": [
"A) 4.17%",
"B) 4.94%",
"C) 7.26%",
"D) 6.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-06.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 5.05%\nC) 4.61%\nD) 4.76%",
"options": [
"A) 4.90%",
"B) 5.05%",
"C) 4.61%",
"D) 4.76%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.61%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 3.11%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 2.92%",
"options": [
"A) 3.11%",
"B) 2.36%",
"C) 2.55%",
"D) 2.92%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.92%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) -0.07pp\nC) -0.78pp\nD) -1.13pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.60pp",
"B) -0.07pp",
"C) -0.78pp",
"D) -1.13pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.60pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) -23.97%\nB) -11.04%\nC) 1.89%\nD) 8.36%",
"options": [
"A) -23.97%",
"B) -11.04%",
"C) 1.89%",
"D) 8.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-11.04%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) +0.28pp\nB) -5.97pp\nC) +3.40pp\nD) -2.85pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.28pp",
"B) -5.97pp",
"C) +3.40pp",
"D) -2.85pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+3.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 2.25%\nC) 4.32%\nD) 3.80%",
"options": [
"A) 5.35%",
"B) 2.25%",
"C) 4.32%",
"D) 3.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 250.79\nB) 235.74\nC) 258.32\nD) 243.27",
"options": [
"A) 250.79",
"B) 235.74",
"C) 258.32",
"D) 243.27"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "250.79",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 4.97%\nC) 3.91%\nD) 6.03%",
"options": [
"A) 4.62%",
"B) 4.97%",
"C) 3.91%",
"D) 6.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.97%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.98%\nB) 1.16%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 1.77%",
"options": [
"A) 2.98%",
"B) 1.16%",
"C) 2.07%",
"D) 1.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.07%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.2787\nB) 0.9861\nC) 0.8885\nD) 1.1324",
"options": [
"A) 1.2787",
"B) 0.9861",
"C) 0.8885",
"D) 1.1324"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.1324",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.25%\nB) 7.26%\nC) 9.30%\nD) 4.21%",
"options": [
"A) 6.25%",
"B) 7.26%",
"C) 9.30%",
"D) 4.21%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 18.87%\nB) 11.00%\nC) -0.80%\nD) 22.81%",
"options": [
"A) 18.87%",
"B) 11.00%",
"C) -0.80%",
"D) 22.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "11.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,518K\nB) 1,278K\nC) 1,338K\nD) 1,158K",
"options": [
"A) 1,518K",
"B) 1,278K",
"C) 1,338K",
"D) 1,158K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,338K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.38%\nB) 7.04%\nC) 6.16%\nD) 6.60%",
"options": [
"A) 6.38%",
"B) 7.04%",
"C) 6.16%",
"D) 6.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.86%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 3.59%",
"options": [
"A) 2.86%",
"B) 1.77%",
"C) 3.95%",
"D) 3.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.86%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.84%\nB) 1.42%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.03%",
"options": [
"A) 0.84%",
"B) 1.42%",
"C) 1.61%",
"D) 1.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.42%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.08%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 2.73%\nD) 2.95%",
"options": [
"A) 2.08%",
"B) 3.38%",
"C) 2.73%",
"D) 2.95%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.73%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.27%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 3.80%",
"options": [
"A) 4.27%",
"B) 3.33%",
"C) 2.40%",
"D) 3.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,273K\nB) 1,154K\nC) 1,214K\nD) 1,095K",
"options": [
"A) 1,273K",
"B) 1,154K",
"C) 1,214K",
"D) 1,095K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,273K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 17.01%\nB) 2.90%\nC) -18.26%\nD) 24.06%",
"options": [
"A) 17.01%",
"B) 2.90%",
"C) -18.26%",
"D) 24.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 17.98\nB) 21.98\nC) 19.98\nD) 23.99",
"options": [
"A) 17.98",
"B) 21.98",
"C) 19.98",
"D) 23.99"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "19.98",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) $-39,952M\nB) $-38,269M\nC) $-45,001M\nD) $-41,635M",
"options": [
"A) $-39,952M",
"B) $-38,269M",
"C) $-45,001M",
"D) $-41,635M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$-41,635M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 6.46%\nB) 10.28%\nC) 12.19%\nD) 2.63%",
"options": [
"A) 6.46%",
"B) 10.28%",
"C) 12.19%",
"D) 2.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.46%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-level-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 3,048.76\nB) 2,818.37\nC) 2,703.17\nD) 2,587.98",
"options": [
"A) 3,048.76",
"B) 2,818.37",
"C) 2,703.17",
"D) 2,587.98"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,818.37",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) -0.42pp\nB) -0.96pp\nC) -0.60pp\nD) -0.06pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.42pp",
"B) -0.96pp",
"C) -0.60pp",
"D) -0.06pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.60pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.42%\nB) 1.67%\nC) 2.17%\nD) 1.92%",
"options": [
"A) 1.42%",
"B) 1.67%",
"C) 2.17%",
"D) 1.92%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.92%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) +3.73pp\nB) +6.48pp\nC) +4.64pp\nD) +5.56pp",
"options": [
"A) +3.73pp",
"B) +6.48pp",
"C) +4.64pp",
"D) +5.56pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+3.73pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) -3.70%\nB) 3.27%\nC) 7.91%\nD) -1.38%",
"options": [
"A) -3.70%",
"B) 3.27%",
"C) 7.91%",
"D) -1.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.27%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) $14,743B\nB) $13,704B\nC) $14,223B\nD) $15,782B",
"options": [
"A) $14,743B",
"B) $13,704B",
"C) $14,223B",
"D) $15,782B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$14,223B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 88.24\nB) 103.67\nC) 106.76\nD) 97.50",
"options": [
"A) 88.24",
"B) 103.67",
"C) 106.76",
"D) 97.50"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "97.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.01%\nB) 2.12%\nC) 2.24%\nD) 1.90%",
"options": [
"A) 2.01%",
"B) 2.12%",
"C) 2.24%",
"D) 1.90%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.01%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 7.42%\nB) 14.38%\nC) 16.70%\nD) 9.74%",
"options": [
"A) 7.42%",
"B) 14.38%",
"C) 16.70%",
"D) 9.74%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "14.38%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) $54.20/bbl\nB) $88.43/bbl\nC) $65.61/bbl\nD) $42.79/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $54.20/bbl",
"B) $88.43/bbl",
"C) $65.61/bbl",
"D) $42.79/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$65.61/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 1.26%\nC) 1.89%\nD) 2.20%",
"options": [
"A) 2.51%",
"B) 1.26%",
"C) 1.89%",
"D) 2.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 113.4600\nB) 116.8021\nC) 110.1179\nD) 120.1443",
"options": [
"A) 113.4600",
"B) 116.8021",
"C) 110.1179",
"D) 120.1443"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "113.4600",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.06%\nB) 4.25%\nC) 4.85%\nD) 6.04%",
"options": [
"A) 3.06%",
"B) 4.25%",
"C) 4.85%",
"D) 6.04%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-06.)\n\nA) 181,618\nB) 162,928\nC) 219,000\nD) 237,691",
"options": [
"A) 181,618",
"B) 162,928",
"C) 219,000",
"D) 237,691"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "219,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) $83.29/bbl\nB) $47.43/bbl\nC) $95.25/bbl\nD) $71.34/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $83.29/bbl",
"B) $47.43/bbl",
"C) $95.25/bbl",
"D) $71.34/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$71.34/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.50%\nB) 6.74%\nC) 5.78%\nD) 6.02%",
"options": [
"A) 6.50%",
"B) 6.74%",
"C) 5.78%",
"D) 6.02%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.50%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.38%\nB) 2.47%\nC) 14.19%\nD) 10.29%",
"options": [
"A) 6.38%",
"B) 2.47%",
"C) 14.19%",
"D) 10.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.47%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 198.11\nB) 212.04\nC) 205.08\nD) 219.01",
"options": [
"A) 198.11",
"B) 212.04",
"C) 205.08",
"D) 219.01"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "205.08",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 1.89%\nC) 1.78%\nD) 2.12%",
"options": [
"A) 2.46%",
"B) 1.89%",
"C) 1.78%",
"D) 2.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.12%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-level-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 2,730.20\nB) 2,605.12\nC) 2,480.04\nD) 2,855.28",
"options": [
"A) 2,730.20",
"B) 2,605.12",
"C) 2,480.04",
"D) 2,855.28"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,730.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) -4.73%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 10.36%\nD) 13.37%",
"options": [
"A) -4.73%",
"B) 4.32%",
"C) 10.36%",
"D) 13.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.32%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $3,855M\nD) $6,200,000M",
"options": [
"A) $4,300,000M",
"B) $2,400,000M",
"C) $3,855M",
"D) $6,200,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$3,855M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.53%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 1.75%\nD) 2.19%",
"options": [
"A) 1.53%",
"B) 2.85%",
"C) 1.75%",
"D) 2.19%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.19%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 7,259.03\nB) 8,401.15\nC) 7,830.09\nD) 6,116.91",
"options": [
"A) 7,259.03",
"B) 8,401.15",
"C) 7,830.09",
"D) 6,116.91"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7,259.03",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) $20.97/hr\nB) $22.78/hr\nC) $23.87/hr\nD) $22.05/hr",
"options": [
"A) $20.97/hr",
"B) $22.78/hr",
"C) $23.87/hr",
"D) $22.05/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$22.78/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 103.01\nB) 85.98\nC) 96.20\nD) 89.39",
"options": [
"A) 103.01",
"B) 85.98",
"C) 96.20",
"D) 89.39"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "96.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) $15,754B\nB) $14,541B\nC) $14,945B\nD) $15,350B",
"options": [
"A) $15,754B",
"B) $14,541B",
"C) $14,945B",
"D) $15,350B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$15,350B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 203.40\nB) 195.55\nC) 187.70\nD) 215.18",
"options": [
"A) 203.40",
"B) 195.55",
"C) 187.70",
"D) 215.18"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "203.40",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) $458,599M\nB) $491,960M\nC) $469,719M\nD) $480,840M",
"options": [
"A) $458,599M",
"B) $491,960M",
"C) $469,719M",
"D) $480,840M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$491,960M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 7.54%\nB) -1.05%\nC) 5.39%\nD) 3.25%",
"options": [
"A) 7.54%",
"B) -1.05%",
"C) 5.39%",
"D) 3.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.39%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 3.68%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 3.01%",
"options": [
"A) 1.00%",
"B) 3.68%",
"C) 2.34%",
"D) 3.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.01%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 16.26%\nB) 12.90%\nC) 11.22%\nD) 17.94%",
"options": [
"A) 16.26%",
"B) 12.90%",
"C) 11.22%",
"D) 17.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "16.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 4.48%\nD) 5.15%",
"options": [
"A) 3.13%",
"B) 4.14%",
"C) 4.48%",
"D) 5.15%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-06.)\n\nA) $11,603B\nB) $14,048B\nC) $12,581B\nD) $12,092B",
"options": [
"A) $11,603B",
"B) $14,048B",
"C) $12,581B",
"D) $12,092B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$12,581B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) +0.56pp\nB) -0.06pp\nC) +0.86pp\nD) +0.25pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.56pp",
"B) -0.06pp",
"C) +0.86pp",
"D) +0.25pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.25pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) +0.62pp\nC) +0.73pp\nD) +0.07pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.40pp",
"B) +0.62pp",
"C) +0.73pp",
"D) +0.07pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) $249,457M\nB) $243,168M\nC) $224,300M\nD) $236,879M",
"options": [
"A) $249,457M",
"B) $243,168M",
"C) $224,300M",
"D) $236,879M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$243,168M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 198.57\nB) 191.84\nC) 205.29\nD) 225.48",
"options": [
"A) 198.57",
"B) 191.84",
"C) 205.29",
"D) 225.48"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "205.29",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.85pp\nB) -1.02pp\nC) -0.15pp\nD) -0.50pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.85pp",
"B) -1.02pp",
"C) -0.15pp",
"D) -0.50pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.50pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) $61.48/bbl\nB) $24.48/bbl\nC) $98.48/bbl\nD) $49.15/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $61.48/bbl",
"B) $24.48/bbl",
"C) $98.48/bbl",
"D) $49.15/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$61.48/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 6.2426\nB) 6.3760\nC) 6.1091\nD) 6.5094",
"options": [
"A) 6.2426",
"B) 6.3760",
"C) 6.1091",
"D) 6.5094"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.3760",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 6.2731\nB) 6.5370\nC) 6.9330\nD) 7.1970",
"options": [
"A) 6.2731",
"B) 6.5370",
"C) 6.9330",
"D) 7.1970"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.9330",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 21.86%\nB) 37.26%\nC) 98.86%\nD) 52.66%",
"options": [
"A) 21.86%",
"B) 37.26%",
"C) 98.86%",
"D) 52.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "52.66%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) $62.86/bbl\nB) $76.54/bbl\nC) $90.23/bbl\nD) $35.49/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $62.86/bbl",
"B) $76.54/bbl",
"C) $90.23/bbl",
"D) $35.49/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$62.86/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 138,661K\nB) 148,054K\nC) 144,297K\nD) 153,690K",
"options": [
"A) 138,661K",
"B) 148,054K",
"C) 144,297K",
"D) 153,690K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "148,054K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 5.15%\nB) 2.96%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 4.27%",
"options": [
"A) 5.15%",
"B) 2.96%",
"C) 3.84%",
"D) 4.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.84%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 29,037.19\nB) 23,870.82\nC) 21,287.63\nD) 25,162.41",
"options": [
"A) 29,037.19",
"B) 23,870.82",
"C) 21,287.63",
"D) 25,162.41"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "25,162.41",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-06.)\n\nA) 1,769,000\nB) 1,597,713\nC) 2,282,862\nD) 1,940,287",
"options": [
"A) 1,769,000",
"B) 1,597,713",
"C) 2,282,862",
"D) 1,940,287"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,769,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 109.51\nB) 116.50\nC) 120.00\nD) 113.00",
"options": [
"A) 109.51",
"B) 116.50",
"C) 120.00",
"D) 113.00"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "116.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 17.25\nB) 24.77\nC) 19.13\nD) 22.89",
"options": [
"A) 17.25",
"B) 24.77",
"C) 19.13",
"D) 22.89"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "19.13",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 17.19%\nB) 11.63%\nC) 28.32%\nD) 22.76%",
"options": [
"A) 17.19%",
"B) 11.63%",
"C) 28.32%",
"D) 22.76%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "22.76%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.86%\nB) 4.06%\nC) 3.46%\nD) 1.06%",
"options": [
"A) 2.86%",
"B) 4.06%",
"C) 3.46%",
"D) 1.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.86%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-06.)\n\nA) 4.82%\nB) 4.38%\nC) 4.53%\nD) 3.94%",
"options": [
"A) 4.82%",
"B) 4.38%",
"C) 4.53%",
"D) 3.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.38%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-06.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 4.48%\nC) 3.48%\nD) 0.47%",
"options": [
"A) 2.47%",
"B) 4.48%",
"C) 3.48%",
"D) 0.47%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.48%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 8.75%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 6.08%",
"options": [
"A) 8.75%",
"B) 5.20%",
"C) 4.31%",
"D) 6.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) $245,657M\nB) $264,771M\nC) $252,028M\nD) $226,543M",
"options": [
"A) $245,657M",
"B) $264,771M",
"C) $252,028M",
"D) $226,543M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$245,657M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 96.84\nB) 101.94\nC) 105.00\nD) 99.90",
"options": [
"A) 96.84",
"B) 101.94",
"C) 105.00",
"D) 99.90"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "101.94",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.91%\nB) -2.31%\nC) 4.02%\nD) -0.20%",
"options": [
"A) 1.91%",
"B) -2.31%",
"C) 4.02%",
"D) -0.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.02%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 8,311.81\nB) 8,849.50\nC) 7,236.43\nD) 7,774.12",
"options": [
"A) 8,311.81",
"B) 8,849.50",
"C) 7,236.43",
"D) 7,774.12"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "7,774.12",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 79.77%\nB) 77.38%\nC) 75.78%\nD) 82.17%",
"options": [
"A) 79.77%",
"B) 77.38%",
"C) 75.78%",
"D) 82.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "79.77%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 2.89%\nB) 2.56%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 2.24%",
"options": [
"A) 2.89%",
"B) 2.56%",
"C) 2.35%",
"D) 2.24%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.56%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 21,152.65\nB) 23,910.40\nC) 25,289.27\nD) 29,425.89",
"options": [
"A) 21,152.65",
"B) 23,910.40",
"C) 25,289.27",
"D) 29,425.89"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "25,289.27",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 24.49%\nB) 28.96%\nC) 20.03%\nD) 22.26%",
"options": [
"A) 24.49%",
"B) 28.96%",
"C) 20.03%",
"D) 22.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "22.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 102.21\nB) 107.32\nC) 99.14\nD) 104.25",
"options": [
"A) 102.21",
"B) 107.32",
"C) 99.14",
"D) 104.25"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "102.21",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) $242,495M\nB) $235,930M\nC) $216,234M\nD) $229,365M",
"options": [
"A) $242,495M",
"B) $235,930M",
"C) $216,234M",
"D) $229,365M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$235,930M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.17%\nB) 2.50%\nC) 4.10%\nD) 5.70%",
"options": [
"A) 5.17%",
"B) 2.50%",
"C) 4.10%",
"D) 5.70%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.01pp\nB) -0.61pp\nC) -0.15pp\nD) -0.30pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.01pp",
"B) -0.61pp",
"C) -0.15pp",
"D) -0.30pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-06.)\n\nA) 1,605,000\nB) 2,099,162\nC) 1,440,279\nD) 1,934,441",
"options": [
"A) 1,605,000",
"B) 2,099,162",
"C) 1,440,279",
"D) 1,934,441"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,605,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 103.74\nB) 101.71\nC) 96.62\nD) 99.67",
"options": [
"A) 103.74",
"B) 101.71",
"C) 96.62",
"D) 99.67"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "101.71",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 211.12\nB) 191.33\nC) 203.20\nD) 222.99",
"options": [
"A) 211.12",
"B) 191.33",
"C) 203.20",
"D) 222.99"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "203.20",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 183.61\nB) 216.78\nC) 190.24\nD) 196.87",
"options": [
"A) 183.61",
"B) 216.78",
"C) 190.24",
"D) 196.87"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "196.87",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.64%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 3.49%\nD) 3.07%",
"options": [
"A) 2.64%",
"B) 2.22%",
"C) 3.49%",
"D) 3.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.64%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 1.52%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 3.17%\nD) 1.85%",
"options": [
"A) 1.52%",
"B) 2.18%",
"C) 3.17%",
"D) 1.85%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.18%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 58.59%\nB) 57.38%\nC) 60.40%\nD) 62.21%",
"options": [
"A) 58.59%",
"B) 57.38%",
"C) 60.40%",
"D) 62.21%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "60.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 10.55%\nC) -1.54%\nD) 4.51%",
"options": [
"A) 1.48%",
"B) 10.55%",
"C) -1.54%",
"D) 4.51%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.51%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.35%\nB) 3.15%\nC) 7.98%\nD) 1.94%",
"options": [
"A) 4.35%",
"B) 3.15%",
"C) 7.98%",
"D) 1.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.35%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 59.47%\nB) 62.60%\nC) 61.35%\nD) 63.85%",
"options": [
"A) 59.47%",
"B) 62.60%",
"C) 61.35%",
"D) 63.85%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "62.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,011K\nB) 1,238K\nC) 1,181K\nD) 1,295K",
"options": [
"A) 1,011K",
"B) 1,238K",
"C) 1,181K",
"D) 1,295K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,181K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 208.90\nB) 215.38\nC) 195.93\nD) 202.41",
"options": [
"A) 208.90",
"B) 215.38",
"C) 195.93",
"D) 202.41"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "202.41",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 8.67%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 13.81%\nD) 0.96%",
"options": [
"A) 8.67%",
"B) 3.53%",
"C) 13.81%",
"D) 0.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "8.67%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 3.20%\nC) 3.40%\nD) 3.61%",
"options": [
"A) 2.79%",
"B) 3.20%",
"C) 3.40%",
"D) 3.61%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) $-45,440M\nB) $-43,803M\nC) $-48,714M\nD) $-50,351M",
"options": [
"A) $-45,440M",
"B) $-43,803M",
"C) $-48,714M",
"D) $-50,351M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$-48,714M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.19%\nB) 1.41%\nC) 1.62%\nD) 1.51%",
"options": [
"A) 1.19%",
"B) 1.41%",
"C) 1.62%",
"D) 1.51%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.51%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) -3.49%\nB) -10.44%\nC) -6.96%\nD) -13.92%",
"options": [
"A) -3.49%",
"B) -10.44%",
"C) -6.96%",
"D) -13.92%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-3.49%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 12.67\nB) 14.63\nC) 8.76\nD) 18.54",
"options": [
"A) 12.67",
"B) 14.63",
"C) 8.76",
"D) 18.54"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "14.63",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 20.02%\nB) 24.55%\nC) 17.75%\nD) 10.95%",
"options": [
"A) 20.02%",
"B) 24.55%",
"C) 17.75%",
"D) 10.95%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "17.75%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 2.27%",
"options": [
"A) 2.06%",
"B) 2.38%",
"C) 1.95%",
"D) 2.27%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.27%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.03%\nB) 3.42%\nC) 2.64%\nD) 3.62%",
"options": [
"A) 3.03%",
"B) 3.42%",
"C) 2.64%",
"D) 3.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.03%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 61.11%\nB) 63.00%\nC) 64.89%\nD) 66.15%",
"options": [
"A) 61.11%",
"B) 63.00%",
"C) 64.89%",
"D) 66.15%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "63.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 98.37\nB) 106.49\nC) 101.42\nD) 104.46",
"options": [
"A) 98.37",
"B) 106.49",
"C) 101.42",
"D) 104.46"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "101.42",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $3,675M",
"options": [
"A) $6,200,000M",
"B) $2,400,000M",
"C) $4,300,000M",
"D) $3,675M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$3,675M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 78.15%\nB) 82.06%\nC) 76.59%\nD) 79.71%",
"options": [
"A) 78.15%",
"B) 82.06%",
"C) 76.59%",
"D) 79.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "78.15%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 24.92%\nB) 8.24%\nC) -2.88%\nD) -8.44%",
"options": [
"A) 24.92%",
"B) 8.24%",
"C) -2.88%",
"D) -8.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "8.24%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) $15,529B\nB) $16,322B\nC) $15,132B\nD) $14,735B",
"options": [
"A) $15,529B",
"B) $16,322B",
"C) $15,132B",
"D) $14,735B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$15,132B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) -5.34pp\nB) +4.02pp\nC) -2.22pp\nD) +0.90pp",
"options": [
"A) -5.34pp",
"B) +4.02pp",
"C) -2.22pp",
"D) +0.90pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.90pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.70%\nB) 3.24%\nC) 4.88%\nD) 4.06%",
"options": [
"A) 5.70%",
"B) 3.24%",
"C) 4.88%",
"D) 4.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-06.)\n\nA) $13,650B\nB) $12,667B\nC) $11,192B\nD) $14,142B",
"options": [
"A) $13,650B",
"B) $12,667B",
"C) $11,192B",
"D) $14,142B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$12,667B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) $118.08/bbl\nB) $39.80/bbl\nC) $78.94/bbl\nD) $65.89/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $118.08/bbl",
"B) $39.80/bbl",
"C) $78.94/bbl",
"D) $65.89/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$78.94/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-06.)\n\nA) 5.27%\nB) 4.77%\nC) 4.61%\nD) 4.94%",
"options": [
"A) 5.27%",
"B) 4.77%",
"C) 4.61%",
"D) 4.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,277K\nB) 1,470K\nC) 1,213K\nD) 1,341K",
"options": [
"A) 1,277K",
"B) 1,470K",
"C) 1,213K",
"D) 1,341K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,277K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 3.86%\nC) 2.75%\nD) 3.49%",
"options": [
"A) 3.12%",
"B) 3.86%",
"C) 2.75%",
"D) 3.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.86%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 277.18\nB) 248.80\nC) 259.44\nD) 270.08",
"options": [
"A) 277.18",
"B) 248.80",
"C) 259.44",
"D) 270.08"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "259.44",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.49pp\nB) +0.63pp\nC) +0.34pp\nD) +0.20pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.49pp",
"B) +0.63pp",
"C) +0.34pp",
"D) +0.20pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) $14,014B\nB) $13,284B\nC) $15,109B\nD) $14,744B",
"options": [
"A) $14,014B",
"B) $13,284B",
"C) $15,109B",
"D) $14,744B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$14,014B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 214.10\nB) 202.30\nC) 221.97\nD) 190.50",
"options": [
"A) 214.10",
"B) 202.30",
"C) 221.97",
"D) 190.50"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "202.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 98.7065\nB) 102.5543\nC) 110.2500\nD) 117.9457",
"options": [
"A) 98.7065",
"B) 102.5543",
"C) 110.2500",
"D) 117.9457"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "110.2500",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) -13.69%\nB) -10.88%\nC) 0.32%\nD) -8.08%",
"options": [
"A) -13.69%",
"B) -10.88%",
"C) 0.32%",
"D) -8.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-8.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) $23.00/hr\nB) $23.75/hr\nC) $24.49/hr\nD) $21.88/hr",
"options": [
"A) $23.00/hr",
"B) $23.75/hr",
"C) $24.49/hr",
"D) $21.88/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$23.00/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 1.91%\nC) 1.09%\nD) 2.73%",
"options": [
"A) 2.45%",
"B) 1.91%",
"C) 1.09%",
"D) 2.73%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.91%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 203.32\nB) 187.23\nC) 199.30\nD) 195.28",
"options": [
"A) 203.32",
"B) 187.23",
"C) 199.30",
"D) 195.28"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "199.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) +0.43pp\nB) +0.15pp\nC) +0.99pp\nD) +0.71pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.43pp",
"B) +0.15pp",
"C) +0.99pp",
"D) +0.71pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.71pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.84%\nB) 2.13%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.54%",
"options": [
"A) 1.84%",
"B) 2.13%",
"C) 1.25%",
"D) 1.54%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.84%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 98.74\nB) 102.02\nC) 104.20\nD) 107.48",
"options": [
"A) 98.74",
"B) 102.02",
"C) 104.20",
"D) 107.48"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "102.02",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) -16.82%\nB) 11.54%\nC) -2.64%\nD) 4.45%",
"options": [
"A) -16.82%",
"B) 11.54%",
"C) -2.64%",
"D) 4.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-2.64%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20180815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.44%\nB) 2.67%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 2.86%",
"options": [
"A) 3.44%",
"B) 2.67%",
"C) 2.48%",
"D) 2.86%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.86%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 6.87%\nC) 1.09%\nD) -0.07%",
"options": [
"A) 3.40%",
"B) 6.87%",
"C) 1.09%",
"D) -0.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) +0.18pp\nB) +0.40pp\nC) +0.29pp\nD) +0.07pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.18pp",
"B) +0.40pp",
"C) +0.29pp",
"D) +0.07pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20180215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-08.)\n\nA) 29.99%\nB) -13.36%\nC) 15.54%\nD) -27.81%",
"options": [
"A) 29.99%",
"B) -13.36%",
"C) 15.54%",
"D) -27.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "15.54%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) $14,905B\nB) $15,276B\nC) $14,534B\nD) $14,163B",
"options": [
"A) $14,905B",
"B) $15,276B",
"C) $14,534B",
"D) $14,163B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$14,163B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20180201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,321K\nB) 1,141K\nC) 1,441K\nD) 1,261K",
"options": [
"A) 1,321K",
"B) 1,141K",
"C) 1,441K",
"D) 1,261K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,321K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.39%\nB) 3.16%\nC) 10.25%\nD) 6.71%",
"options": [
"A) -0.39%",
"B) 3.16%",
"C) 10.25%",
"D) 6.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.16%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20181115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-08.)\n\nA) 3.00%\nB) 2.82%\nC) 3.36%\nD) 3.72%",
"options": [
"A) 3.00%",
"B) 2.82%",
"C) 3.36%",
"D) 3.72%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.36%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) $-51,044M\nB) $-47,558M\nC) $-52,787M\nD) $-49,301M",
"options": [
"A) $-51,044M",
"B) $-47,558M",
"C) $-52,787M",
"D) $-49,301M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$-49,301M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) -3.38%\nB) 2.66%\nC) 5.68%\nD) -12.43%",
"options": [
"A) -3.38%",
"B) 2.66%",
"C) 5.68%",
"D) -12.43%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-3.38%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) $15,310B\nB) $14,283B\nC) $13,256B\nD) $13,769B",
"options": [
"A) $15,310B",
"B) $14,283B",
"C) $13,256B",
"D) $13,769B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$14,283B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) $13,552B\nB) $14,258B\nC) $13,905B\nD) $13,199B",
"options": [
"A) $13,552B",
"B) $14,258B",
"C) $13,905B",
"D) $13,199B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$13,905B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 101.46\nB) 87.63\nC) 94.54\nD) 98.00",
"options": [
"A) 101.46",
"B) 87.63",
"C) 94.54",
"D) 98.00"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "98.00",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) 1.93%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 1.29%",
"options": [
"A) 1.61%",
"B) 1.93%",
"C) 1.72%",
"D) 1.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.61%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.87%\nB) 19.55%\nC) 36.22%\nD) 30.66%",
"options": [
"A) 2.87%",
"B) 19.55%",
"C) 36.22%",
"D) 30.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "19.55%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) -29.39%\nB) 12.74%\nC) -8.32%\nD) -1.30%",
"options": [
"A) -29.39%",
"B) 12.74%",
"C) -8.32%",
"D) -1.30%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-8.32%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20180515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2018-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.05%\nB) 3.11%\nC) 3.38%\nD) 2.58%",
"options": [
"A) 2.05%",
"B) 3.11%",
"C) 3.38%",
"D) 2.58%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.58%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,340K\nB) 1,396K\nC) 1,171K\nD) 1,509K",
"options": [
"A) 1,340K",
"B) 1,396K",
"C) 1,171K",
"D) 1,509K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,340K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20180501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for May 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-31.)\n\nA) $23.31/hr\nB) $22.60/hr\nC) $24.01/hr\nD) $21.54/hr",
"options": [
"A) $23.31/hr",
"B) $22.60/hr",
"C) $24.01/hr",
"D) $21.54/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$22.60/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20180801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for August 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,104K\nB) 1,411K\nC) 1,288K\nD) 1,165K",
"options": [
"A) 1,104K",
"B) 1,411K",
"C) 1,288K",
"D) 1,165K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,288K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20181101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for November 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.97%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 4.60%",
"options": [
"A) 4.97%",
"B) 3.48%",
"C) 3.85%",
"D) 4.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,949.23\nB) 7,734.55\nC) 6,556.57\nD) 7,341.89",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,949.23",
"B) 7,734.55",
"C) 6,556.57",
"D) 7,341.89"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6,949.23",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,949.23\nB) 7,734.55\nC) 6,556.57\nD) 7,341.89",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,949.23",
"B) 7,734.55",
"C) 6,556.57",
"D) 7,341.89"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6,949.23",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5,692.14\nB) 6,870.12\nC) 7,655.44\nD) 6,084.80",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 5,692.14",
"B) 6,870.12",
"C) 7,655.44",
"D) 6,084.80"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6,870.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5,692.14\nB) 6,870.12\nC) 7,655.44\nD) 6,084.80",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 5,692.14",
"B) 6,870.12",
"C) 7,655.44",
"D) 6,084.80"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6,870.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 6,084.80\nC) 6,870.12\nD) 5,692.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,477.46",
"B) 6,084.80",
"C) 6,870.12",
"D) 5,692.14"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6,870.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 6,084.80\nC) 6,870.12\nD) 5,692.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,477.46",
"B) 6,084.80",
"C) 6,870.12",
"D) 5,692.14"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6,870.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 8,048.10\nB) 7,655.44\nC) 5,692.14\nD) 6,870.12",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 8,048.10",
"B) 7,655.44",
"C) 5,692.14",
"D) 6,870.12"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6,870.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 8,048.10\nB) 7,655.44\nC) 5,692.14\nD) 6,870.12",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 8,048.10",
"B) 7,655.44",
"C) 5,692.14",
"D) 6,870.12"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6,870.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,870.12\nB) 6,084.80\nC) 7,655.44\nD) 8,048.10",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,870.12",
"B) 6,084.80",
"C) 7,655.44",
"D) 8,048.10"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6,870.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,870.12\nB) 6,084.80\nC) 7,655.44\nD) 8,048.10",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,870.12",
"B) 6,084.80",
"C) 7,655.44",
"D) 8,048.10"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6,870.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,655.44\nB) 6,870.12\nC) 8,048.10\nD) 5,692.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 7,655.44",
"B) 6,870.12",
"C) 8,048.10",
"D) 5,692.14"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6,870.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,655.44\nB) 6,870.12\nC) 8,048.10\nD) 5,692.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 7,655.44",
"B) 6,870.12",
"C) 8,048.10",
"D) 5,692.14"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6,870.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,762.37\nB) 2,554.73\nC) 2,658.55\nD) 2,866.18",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,762.37",
"B) 2,554.73",
"C) 2,658.55",
"D) 2,866.18"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,658.55",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,762.37\nB) 2,554.73\nC) 2,658.55\nD) 2,866.18",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,762.37",
"B) 2,554.73",
"C) 2,658.55",
"D) 2,866.18"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,658.55",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,974.29\nB) 2,870.47\nC) 2,351.39\nD) 2,662.84",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,974.29",
"B) 2,870.47",
"C) 2,351.39",
"D) 2,662.84"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,662.84",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,974.29\nB) 2,870.47\nC) 2,351.39\nD) 2,662.84",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,974.29",
"B) 2,870.47",
"C) 2,351.39",
"D) 2,662.84"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,662.84",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,708.64\nB) 2,916.27\nC) 2,812.46\nD) 2,397.19",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,708.64",
"B) 2,916.27",
"C) 2,812.46",
"D) 2,397.19"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,708.64",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,708.64\nB) 2,916.27\nC) 2,812.46\nD) 2,397.19",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,708.64",
"B) 2,916.27",
"C) 2,812.46",
"D) 2,397.19"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,708.64",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,522.50\nB) 2,730.13\nC) 2,833.95\nD) 2,626.31",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,522.50",
"B) 2,730.13",
"C) 2,833.95",
"D) 2,626.31"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,730.13",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,522.50\nB) 2,730.13\nC) 2,833.95\nD) 2,626.31",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,522.50",
"B) 2,730.13",
"C) 2,833.95",
"D) 2,626.31"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,730.13",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 3,098.30\nB) 2,994.48\nC) 2,786.85\nD) 2,579.22",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 3,098.30",
"B) 2,994.48",
"C) 2,786.85",
"D) 2,579.22"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,786.85",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 3,098.30\nB) 2,994.48\nC) 2,786.85\nD) 2,579.22",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 3,098.30",
"B) 2,994.48",
"C) 2,786.85",
"D) 2,579.22"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,786.85",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,602.59\nB) 2,706.41\nC) 3,225.49\nD) 2,914.04",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,602.59",
"B) 2,706.41",
"C) 3,225.49",
"D) 2,914.04"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,914.04",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-120d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,602.59\nB) 2,706.41\nC) 3,225.49\nD) 2,914.04",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,602.59",
"B) 2,706.41",
"C) 3,225.49",
"D) 2,914.04"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,914.04",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-120d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.2685\nB) 6.4431\nC) 6.6177\nD) 6.0066",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6.2685",
"B) 6.4431",
"C) 6.6177",
"D) 6.0066"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.2685",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.2685\nB) 6.4431\nC) 6.6177\nD) 6.0066",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6.2685",
"B) 6.4431",
"C) 6.6177",
"D) 6.0066"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.2685",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.4431\nB) 6.2685\nC) 6.7051\nD) 6.0066",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6.4431",
"B) 6.2685",
"C) 6.7051",
"D) 6.0066"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.2685",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.4431\nB) 6.2685\nC) 6.7051\nD) 6.0066",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6.4431",
"B) 6.2685",
"C) 6.7051",
"D) 6.0066"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.2685",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.0036\nB) 6.4401\nC) 6.2655\nD) 6.6147",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6.0036",
"B) 6.4401",
"C) 6.2655",
"D) 6.6147"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.2655",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.0036\nB) 6.4401\nC) 6.2655\nD) 6.6147",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6.0036",
"B) 6.4401",
"C) 6.2655",
"D) 6.6147"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.2655",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5.8289\nB) 6.0909\nC) 6.4401\nD) 6.2655",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 5.8289",
"B) 6.0909",
"C) 6.4401",
"D) 6.2655"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.2655",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5.8289\nB) 6.0909\nC) 6.4401\nD) 6.2655",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 5.8289",
"B) 6.0909",
"C) 6.4401",
"D) 6.2655"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.2655",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.2655\nB) 6.4401\nC) 6.7021\nD) 6.0909",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6.2655",
"B) 6.4401",
"C) 6.7021",
"D) 6.0909"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.2655",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.2655\nB) 6.4401\nC) 6.7021\nD) 6.0909",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6.2655",
"B) 6.4401",
"C) 6.7021",
"D) 6.0909"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.2655",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.7021\nB) 6.2655\nC) 6.4401\nD) 6.0036",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6.7021",
"B) 6.2655",
"C) 6.4401",
"D) 6.0036"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.2655",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.7021\nB) 6.2655\nC) 6.4401\nD) 6.0036",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 6.7021",
"B) 6.2655",
"C) 6.4401",
"D) 6.0036"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.2655",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 21.46\nB) 26.57\nC) 24.87\nD) 19.76",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 21.46",
"B) 26.57",
"C) 24.87",
"D) 19.76"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 21.46\nB) 26.57\nC) 24.87\nD) 19.76",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 21.46",
"B) 26.57",
"C) 24.87",
"D) 19.76"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 23.17\nB) 28.28\nC) 29.98\nD) 24.87",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 23.17",
"B) 28.28",
"C) 29.98",
"D) 24.87"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 23.17\nB) 28.28\nC) 29.98\nD) 24.87",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 23.17",
"B) 28.28",
"C) 29.98",
"D) 24.87"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 26.57\nC) 23.17\nD) 28.28",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 24.87",
"B) 26.57",
"C) 23.17",
"D) 28.28"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 26.57\nC) 23.17\nD) 28.28",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 24.87",
"B) 26.57",
"C) 23.17",
"D) 28.28"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 26.57\nB) 24.87\nC) 28.28\nD) 21.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 26.57",
"B) 24.87",
"C) 28.28",
"D) 21.46"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 26.57\nB) 24.87\nC) 28.28\nD) 21.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 26.57",
"B) 24.87",
"C) 28.28",
"D) 21.46"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 26.57\nB) 19.76\nC) 24.87\nD) 28.28",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 26.57",
"B) 19.76",
"C) 24.87",
"D) 28.28"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 26.57\nB) 19.76\nC) 24.87\nD) 28.28",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 26.57",
"B) 19.76",
"C) 24.87",
"D) 28.28"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 28.28\nB) 26.57\nC) 23.17\nD) 24.87",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 28.28",
"B) 26.57",
"C) 23.17",
"D) 24.87"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 28.28\nB) 26.57\nC) 23.17\nD) 24.87",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-21",
"options": [
"A) 28.28",
"B) 26.57",
"C) 23.17",
"D) 24.87"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "24.87",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "US-China trade war escalation",
"event_date": "2018-03-22",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,554.36\nB) 7,273.05\nC) 5,476.32\nD) 6,195.01",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,554.36",
"B) 7,273.05",
"C) 5,476.32",
"D) 6,195.01"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6,554.36",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,554.36\nB) 7,273.05\nC) 5,476.32\nD) 6,195.01",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,554.36",
"B) 7,273.05",
"C) 5,476.32",
"D) 6,195.01"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6,554.36",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,822.85\nB) 6,463.50\nC) 7,541.54\nD) 5,744.81",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,822.85",
"B) 6,463.50",
"C) 7,541.54",
"D) 5,744.81"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6,463.50",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,822.85\nB) 6,463.50\nC) 7,541.54\nD) 5,744.81",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,822.85",
"B) 6,463.50",
"C) 7,541.54",
"D) 5,744.81"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6,463.50",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,104.15\nB) 5,744.81\nC) 6,463.50\nD) 6,822.85",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,104.15",
"B) 5,744.81",
"C) 6,463.50",
"D) 6,822.85"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6,463.50",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,104.15\nB) 5,744.81\nC) 6,463.50\nD) 6,822.85",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,104.15",
"B) 5,744.81",
"C) 6,463.50",
"D) 6,822.85"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6,463.50",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,104.15\nB) 7,541.54\nC) 7,182.19\nD) 6,463.50",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,104.15",
"B) 7,541.54",
"C) 7,182.19",
"D) 6,463.50"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6,463.50",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,104.15\nB) 7,541.54\nC) 7,182.19\nD) 6,463.50",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,104.15",
"B) 7,541.54",
"C) 7,182.19",
"D) 6,463.50"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6,463.50",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,463.50\nB) 6,822.85\nC) 5,385.46\nD) 6,104.15",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,463.50",
"B) 6,822.85",
"C) 5,385.46",
"D) 6,104.15"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6,463.50",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,463.50\nB) 6,822.85\nC) 5,385.46\nD) 6,104.15",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 6,463.50",
"B) 6,822.85",
"C) 5,385.46",
"D) 6,104.15"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6,463.50",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 5,385.46\nB) 6,463.50\nC) 6,822.85\nD) 7,541.54",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 5,385.46",
"B) 6,463.50",
"C) 6,822.85",
"D) 7,541.54"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6,463.50",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 5,385.46\nB) 6,463.50\nC) 6,822.85\nD) 7,541.54",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 5,385.46",
"B) 6,463.50",
"C) 6,822.85",
"D) 7,541.54"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6,463.50",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,230.57\nB) 2,598.94\nC) 2,506.85\nD) 2,691.03",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,230.57",
"B) 2,598.94",
"C) 2,506.85",
"D) 2,691.03"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,506.85",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,230.57\nB) 2,598.94\nC) 2,506.85\nD) 2,691.03",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,230.57",
"B) 2,598.94",
"C) 2,506.85",
"D) 2,691.03"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,506.85",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,769.14\nB) 2,308.68\nC) 2,861.24\nD) 2,584.96",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,769.14",
"B) 2,308.68",
"C) 2,861.24",
"D) 2,584.96"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,584.96",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,769.14\nB) 2,308.68\nC) 2,861.24\nD) 2,584.96",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,769.14",
"B) 2,308.68",
"C) 2,861.24",
"D) 2,584.96"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,584.96",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,670.71\nB) 2,394.43\nC) 2,854.89\nD) 2,578.62",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,670.71",
"B) 2,394.43",
"C) 2,854.89",
"D) 2,578.62"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,670.71",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,670.71\nB) 2,394.43\nC) 2,854.89\nD) 2,578.62",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,670.71",
"B) 2,394.43",
"C) 2,854.89",
"D) 2,578.62"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,670.71",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,700.58\nB) 2,792.67\nC) 3,068.95\nD) 2,608.49",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,700.58",
"B) 2,792.67",
"C) 3,068.95",
"D) 2,608.49"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,792.67",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,700.58\nB) 2,792.67\nC) 3,068.95\nD) 2,608.49",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,700.58",
"B) 2,792.67",
"C) 3,068.95",
"D) 2,608.49"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,792.67",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 3,131.16\nB) 2,946.97\nC) 2,854.88\nD) 2,578.60",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 3,131.16",
"B) 2,946.97",
"C) 2,854.88",
"D) 2,578.60"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,854.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 3,131.16\nB) 2,946.97\nC) 2,854.88\nD) 2,578.60",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 3,131.16",
"B) 2,946.97",
"C) 2,854.88",
"D) 2,578.60"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,854.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,761.65\nB) 3,037.92\nC) 3,222.11\nD) 2,945.83",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,761.65",
"B) 3,037.92",
"C) 3,222.11",
"D) 2,945.83"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,945.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-120d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,761.65\nB) 3,037.92\nC) 3,222.11\nD) 2,945.83",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 2,761.65",
"B) 3,037.92",
"C) 3,222.11",
"D) 2,945.83"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,945.83",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-120d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 25.42\nB) 27.59\nC) 31.93\nD) 18.91",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 25.42",
"B) 27.59",
"C) 31.93",
"D) 18.91"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "25.42",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 25.42\nB) 27.59\nC) 31.93\nD) 18.91",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 25.42",
"B) 27.59",
"C) 31.93",
"D) 18.91"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "25.42",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 26.49\nB) 19.98\nC) 15.64\nD) 13.47",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 26.49",
"B) 19.98",
"C) 15.64",
"D) 13.47"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "19.98",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 26.49\nB) 19.98\nC) 15.64\nD) 13.47",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 26.49",
"B) 19.98",
"C) 15.64",
"D) 13.47"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "19.98",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 22.14\nB) 15.63\nC) 17.80\nD) 11.29",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 22.14",
"B) 15.63",
"C) 17.80",
"D) 11.29"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "17.80",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 22.14\nB) 15.63\nC) 17.80\nD) 11.29",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 22.14",
"B) 15.63",
"C) 17.80",
"D) 11.29"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "17.80",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 15.68\nB) 17.85\nC) 9.17\nD) 13.51",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 15.68",
"B) 17.85",
"C) 9.17",
"D) 13.51"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "13.51",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 15.68\nB) 17.85\nC) 9.17\nD) 13.51",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 15.68",
"B) 17.85",
"C) 9.17",
"D) 13.51"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "13.51",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 12.88\nB) 19.39\nC) 8.54\nD) 10.71",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 12.88",
"B) 19.39",
"C) 8.54",
"D) 10.71"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "12.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 12.88\nB) 19.39\nC) 8.54\nD) 10.71",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 12.88",
"B) 19.39",
"C) 8.54",
"D) 10.71"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "12.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 5.50\nB) 12.01\nC) 16.35\nD) 18.52",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 5.50",
"B) 12.01",
"C) 16.35",
"D) 18.52"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "12.01",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 5.50\nB) 12.01\nC) 16.35\nD) 18.52",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-21",
"options": [
"A) 5.50",
"B) 12.01",
"C) 16.35",
"D) 18.52"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "12.01",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off",
"event_date": "2018-12-24",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 36.56\nB) 38.10\nC) 33.46\nD) 35.01",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 36.56",
"B) 38.10",
"C) 33.46",
"D) 35.01"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 36.56\nB) 38.10\nC) 33.46\nD) 35.01",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 36.56",
"B) 38.10",
"C) 33.46",
"D) 35.01"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 35.01\nB) 30.36\nC) 31.91\nD) 33.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 35.01",
"B) 30.36",
"C) 31.91",
"D) 33.46"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 35.01\nB) 30.36\nC) 31.91\nD) 33.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 35.01",
"B) 30.36",
"C) 31.91",
"D) 33.46"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 31.91\nC) 35.01\nD) 38.10",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 33.46",
"B) 31.91",
"C) 35.01",
"D) 38.10"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 31.91\nC) 35.01\nD) 38.10",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 33.46",
"B) 31.91",
"C) 35.01",
"D) 38.10"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 31.91\nB) 33.46\nC) 35.01\nD) 28.82",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 31.91",
"B) 33.46",
"C) 35.01",
"D) 28.82"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 31.91\nB) 33.46\nC) 35.01\nD) 28.82",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 31.91",
"B) 33.46",
"C) 35.01",
"D) 28.82"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 30.36\nB) 36.56\nC) 33.46\nD) 31.91",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 30.36",
"B) 36.56",
"C) 33.46",
"D) 31.91"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 30.36\nB) 36.56\nC) 33.46\nD) 31.91",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 30.36",
"B) 36.56",
"C) 33.46",
"D) 31.91"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 30.36\nB) 38.10\nC) 31.91\nD) 33.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 30.36",
"B) 38.10",
"C) 31.91",
"D) 33.46"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 30.36\nB) 38.10\nC) 31.91\nD) 33.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 30.36",
"B) 38.10",
"C) 31.91",
"D) 33.46"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "33.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,115.88\nB) 7,494.98\nC) 6,357.68\nD) 8,253.18",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 7,115.88",
"B) 7,494.98",
"C) 6,357.68",
"D) 8,253.18"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7,115.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,115.88\nB) 7,494.98\nC) 6,357.68\nD) 8,253.18",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 7,115.88",
"B) 7,494.98",
"C) 6,357.68",
"D) 8,253.18"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7,115.88",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 8,014.63\nB) 7,256.43\nC) 7,635.53\nD) 6,119.13",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 8,014.63",
"B) 7,256.43",
"C) 7,635.53",
"D) 6,119.13"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "7,256.43",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 8,014.63\nB) 7,256.43\nC) 7,635.53\nD) 6,119.13",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 8,014.63",
"B) 7,256.43",
"C) 7,635.53",
"D) 6,119.13"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "7,256.43",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 6,663.26\nB) 6,284.16\nC) 7,421.46\nD) 7,800.56",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 6,663.26",
"B) 6,284.16",
"C) 7,421.46",
"D) 7,800.56"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "7,421.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 6,663.26\nB) 6,284.16\nC) 7,421.46\nD) 7,800.56",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 6,663.26",
"B) 6,284.16",
"C) 7,421.46",
"D) 7,800.56"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "7,421.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,967.42\nB) 6,830.12\nC) 8,725.62\nD) 7,588.32",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 7,967.42",
"B) 6,830.12",
"C) 8,725.62",
"D) 7,588.32"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "7,588.32",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,967.42\nB) 6,830.12\nC) 8,725.62\nD) 7,588.32",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 7,967.42",
"B) 6,830.12",
"C) 8,725.62",
"D) 7,588.32"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "7,588.32",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,588.32\nB) 7,967.42\nC) 6,451.02\nD) 6,830.12",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 7,588.32",
"B) 7,967.42",
"C) 6,451.02",
"D) 6,830.12"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7,588.32",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,588.32\nB) 7,967.42\nC) 6,451.02\nD) 6,830.12",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 7,588.32",
"B) 7,967.42",
"C) 6,451.02",
"D) 6,830.12"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7,588.32",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 6,794.94\nB) 7,932.24\nC) 8,690.44\nD) 7,553.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 6,794.94",
"B) 7,932.24",
"C) 8,690.44",
"D) 7,553.14"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "7,932.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 6,794.94\nB) 7,932.24\nC) 8,690.44\nD) 7,553.14",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 6,794.94",
"B) 7,932.24",
"C) 8,690.44",
"D) 7,553.14"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "7,932.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,290.16\nB) 2,774.90\nC) 2,581.00\nD) 2,484.05",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,290.16",
"B) 2,774.90",
"C) 2,581.00",
"D) 2,484.05"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,581.00",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-5d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,290.16\nB) 2,774.90\nC) 2,581.00\nD) 2,484.05",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,290.16",
"B) 2,774.90",
"C) 2,581.00",
"D) 2,484.05"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,581.00",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-5d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,290.16\nB) 2,871.84\nC) 2,387.10\nD) 2,581.00",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,290.16",
"B) 2,871.84",
"C) 2,387.10",
"D) 2,581.00"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,581.00",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-10d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,290.16\nB) 2,871.84\nC) 2,387.10\nD) 2,581.00",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,290.16",
"B) 2,871.84",
"C) 2,387.10",
"D) 2,581.00"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,581.00",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-10d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,581.00\nB) 2,484.05\nC) 2,387.10\nD) 2,677.95",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,581.00",
"B) 2,484.05",
"C) 2,387.10",
"D) 2,677.95"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,581.00",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-20d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,581.00\nB) 2,484.05\nC) 2,387.10\nD) 2,677.95",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,581.00",
"B) 2,484.05",
"C) 2,387.10",
"D) 2,677.95"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2,581.00",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-20d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,677.95\nB) 2,581.00\nC) 2,387.10\nD) 2,871.84",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,677.95",
"B) 2,581.00",
"C) 2,387.10",
"D) 2,871.84"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,581.00",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-40d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,677.95\nB) 2,581.00\nC) 2,387.10\nD) 2,871.84",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,677.95",
"B) 2,581.00",
"C) 2,387.10",
"D) 2,871.84"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,581.00",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-40d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,677.95\nB) 2,484.05\nC) 2,581.00\nD) 2,871.84",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,677.95",
"B) 2,484.05",
"C) 2,581.00",
"D) 2,871.84"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,581.00",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-60d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,677.95\nB) 2,484.05\nC) 2,581.00\nD) 2,871.84",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,677.95",
"B) 2,484.05",
"C) 2,581.00",
"D) 2,871.84"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2,581.00",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-60d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,677.95\nB) 2,774.90\nC) 2,290.16\nD) 2,581.00",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,677.95",
"B) 2,774.90",
"C) 2,290.16",
"D) 2,581.00"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,581.00",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-120d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,677.95\nB) 2,774.90\nC) 2,290.16\nD) 2,581.00",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"options": [
"A) 2,677.95",
"B) 2,774.90",
"C) 2,290.16",
"D) 2,581.00"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2,581.00",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)",
"event_date": "2018-02-05",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-120d-min",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2018-01-31",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-28",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2018-01-31, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for February 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-28.)\n\nA) 1.42%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 1.23%\nD) 0.84%",
"options": [
"A) 1.42%",
"B) 1.61%",
"C) 1.23%",
"D) 0.84%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.42%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2018-03-21",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "April 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-18",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2018-03-21, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-18.)\n\nA) 1.91%\nB) 1.69%\nC) 1.26%\nD) 2.34%",
"options": [
"A) 1.91%",
"B) 1.69%",
"C) 1.26%",
"D) 2.34%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2018-05-02",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "June 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-04-29",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2018-05-02, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for June 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-04-29.)\n\nA) 1.13%\nB) 2.51%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 1.59%",
"options": [
"A) 1.13%",
"B) 2.51%",
"C) 1.82%",
"D) 1.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.82%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2018-06-13",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "July 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-10",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2018-06-13, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for July 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-10.)\n\nA) 2.17%\nB) 2.43%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 1.91%",
"options": [
"A) 2.17%",
"B) 2.43%",
"C) 1.39%",
"D) 1.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.91%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2018-08-01",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-29",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2018-08-01, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-29.)\n\nA) 1.95%\nB) 1.41%\nC) 2.49%\nD) 1.68%",
"options": [
"A) 1.95%",
"B) 1.41%",
"C) 2.49%",
"D) 1.68%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.95%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2018-09-26",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "October 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-09-23",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2018-09-26, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for October 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-09-23.)\n\nA) 1.89%\nB) 2.19%\nC) 1.60%\nD) 2.49%",
"options": [
"A) 1.89%",
"B) 2.19%",
"C) 1.60%",
"D) 2.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.19%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2018-11-08",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "December 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-05",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2018-11-08, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for December 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-05.)\n\nA) 2.92%\nB) 1.29%\nC) 2.27%\nD) 1.62%",
"options": [
"A) 2.92%",
"B) 1.29%",
"C) 2.27%",
"D) 1.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.27%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2018-12-19",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "January 2019",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-16",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2018-12-19, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for January 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-16.)\n\nA) 3.42%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 2.40%",
"options": [
"A) 3.42%",
"B) 3.08%",
"C) 1.38%",
"D) 2.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201801",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "January 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-26",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for January 2018 (released around 2018-02-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-26.)\n\nA) 137K\nB) 210K\nC) 28K\nD) 64K",
"options": [
"A) 137K",
"B) 210K",
"C) 28K",
"D) 64K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "137K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201802",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "February 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-23",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for February 2018 (released around 2018-03-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-23.)\n\nA) 432K\nB) 394K\nC) 508K\nD) 356K",
"options": [
"A) 432K",
"B) 394K",
"C) 508K",
"D) 356K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "394K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201803",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-30",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for March 2018 (released around 2018-04-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-30.)\n\nA) 188K\nB) 113K\nC) 226K\nD) 264K",
"options": [
"A) 188K",
"B) 113K",
"C) 226K",
"D) 264K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "226K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201804",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "April 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-04-27",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for April 2018 (released around 2018-05-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-04-27.)\n\nA) 102K\nB) 178K\nC) 64K\nD) 140K",
"options": [
"A) 102K",
"B) 178K",
"C) 64K",
"D) 140K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "140K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201805",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "May 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-25",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for May 2018 (released around 2018-06-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-25.)\n\nA) 322K\nB) 399K\nC) 361K\nD) 283K",
"options": [
"A) 322K",
"B) 399K",
"C) 361K",
"D) 283K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "322K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201806",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "June 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-29",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for June 2018 (released around 2018-07-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-29.)\n\nA) 179K\nB) 218K\nC) 334K\nD) 141K",
"options": [
"A) 179K",
"B) 218K",
"C) 334K",
"D) 141K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "218K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201807",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "July 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-27",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for July 2018 (released around 2018-08-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-27.)\n\nA) 178K\nB) -19K\nC) 60K\nD) 21K",
"options": [
"A) 178K",
"B) -19K",
"C) 60K",
"D) 21K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "60K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201808",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "August 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-31",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for August 2018 (released around 2018-09-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-31.)\n\nA) 296K\nB) 375K\nC) 336K\nD) 257K",
"options": [
"A) 296K",
"B) 375K",
"C) 336K",
"D) 257K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "257K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201809",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-09-28",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for September 2018 (released around 2018-10-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-09-28.)\n\nA) 81K\nB) 1K\nC) 121K\nD) -39K",
"options": [
"A) 81K",
"B) 1K",
"C) 121K",
"D) -39K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "81K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201810",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "October 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-26",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for October 2018 (released around 2018-11-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-26.)\n\nA) 289K\nB) 169K\nC) 49K\nD) 89K",
"options": [
"A) 289K",
"B) 169K",
"C) 49K",
"D) 89K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "169K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201811",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "November 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-30",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for November 2018 (released around 2018-12-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-30.)\n\nA) 131K\nB) 49K\nC) 90K\nD) 9K",
"options": [
"A) 131K",
"B) 49K",
"C) 90K",
"D) 9K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "90K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-201812",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "December 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-28",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for December 2018 (released around 2019-01-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-28.)\n\nA) 271K\nB) 153K\nC) 310K\nD) 192K",
"options": [
"A) 271K",
"B) 153K",
"C) 310K",
"D) 192K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "192K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-201801",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "January 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for January 2018 (released around 2018-02-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-06.)\n\nA) 2.15%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 1.39%",
"options": [
"A) 2.15%",
"B) 1.77%",
"C) 1.01%",
"D) 1.39%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.15%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-201803",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-04-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for March 2018 (released around 2018-04-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-04-06.)\n\nA) 1.54%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 2.72%\nD) 1.94%",
"options": [
"A) 1.54%",
"B) 2.33%",
"C) 2.72%",
"D) 1.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.33%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-201804",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "April 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for April 2018 (released around 2018-05-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-06.)\n\nA) 1.26%\nB) 2.87%\nC) 2.47%\nD) 2.07%",
"options": [
"A) 1.26%",
"B) 2.87%",
"C) 2.47%",
"D) 2.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.47%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-201806",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "June 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for June 2018 (released around 2018-07-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-06.)\n\nA) 1.54%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 3.65%\nD) 2.81%",
"options": [
"A) 1.54%",
"B) 2.38%",
"C) 3.65%",
"D) 2.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.81%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-201807",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "July 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for July 2018 (released around 2018-08-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-06.)\n\nA) 2.85%\nB) 1.99%\nC) 3.28%\nD) 3.71%",
"options": [
"A) 2.85%",
"B) 1.99%",
"C) 3.28%",
"D) 3.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.85%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-201809",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for September 2018 (released around 2018-10-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-06.)\n\nA) 3.64%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.46%\nD) 1.90%",
"options": [
"A) 3.64%",
"B) 2.33%",
"C) 1.46%",
"D) 1.90%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.33%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-201810",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "October 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for October 2018 (released around 2018-11-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-06.)\n\nA) 1.18%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 2.49%\nD) 1.62%",
"options": [
"A) 1.18%",
"B) 2.93%",
"C) 2.49%",
"D) 1.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.49%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-201812",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "December 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2019-01-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for December 2018 (released around 2019-01-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-06.)\n\nA) 0.68%\nB) 3.32%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 2.00%",
"options": [
"A) 0.68%",
"B) 3.32%",
"C) 2.88%",
"D) 2.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-gdp-2018q1",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "gdp_yoy",
"indicator": "GDPC1",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "Q1 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-14",
"question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q1 2018 (advance estimate released around 2018-05-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-14.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 2.67%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 2.34%",
"options": [
"A) 3.33%",
"B) 2.67%",
"C) 4.31%",
"D) 2.34%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.33%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-gdp-2018q2",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "gdp_yoy",
"indicator": "GDPC1",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "Q2 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-14",
"question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q2 2018 (advance estimate released around 2018-08-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-14.)\n\nA) 3.96%\nB) 3.30%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 4.30%",
"options": [
"A) 3.96%",
"B) 3.30%",
"C) 3.63%",
"D) 4.30%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-gdp-2018q3",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "gdp_yoy",
"indicator": "GDPC1",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "Q3 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-14",
"question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q3 2018 (advance estimate released around 2018-11-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-14.)\n\nA) 2.80%\nB) 3.46%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 3.79%",
"options": [
"A) 2.80%",
"B) 3.46%",
"C) 3.13%",
"D) 3.79%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-gdp-2018q4",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "gdp_yoy",
"indicator": "GDPC1",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "Q4 2018",
"info_cutoff": "2019-02-14",
"question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q4 2018 (advance estimate released around 2019-02-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2019-02-14.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 2.45%\nD) 2.13%",
"options": [
"A) 2.77%",
"B) 1.80%",
"C) 2.45%",
"D) 2.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180105",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-01-05",
"info_cutoff": "2017-12-29",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-01-05? (Use only information available on or before 2017-12-29.)\n\nA) 9.77\nB) 13.57\nC) 11.67\nD) 7.87",
"options": [
"A) 9.77",
"B) 13.57",
"C) 11.67",
"D) 7.87"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "9.77",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180112",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-01-12",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-05",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-01-12? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-05.)\n\nA) 8.27\nB) 10.16\nC) 12.05\nD) 13.94",
"options": [
"A) 8.27",
"B) 10.16",
"C) 12.05",
"D) 13.94"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "10.16",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180119",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-01-19",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-12",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-01-19? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-12.)\n\nA) 10.40\nB) 15.87\nC) 12.22\nD) 14.04",
"options": [
"A) 10.40",
"B) 15.87",
"C) 12.22",
"D) 14.04"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "12.22",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180202",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-02-02",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-26",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-02-02? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-26.)\n\nA) 15.67\nB) 20.59\nC) 18.95\nD) 17.31",
"options": [
"A) 15.67",
"B) 20.59",
"C) 18.95",
"D) 17.31"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "17.31",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180209",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-02-09",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-02-09? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 37.32\nB) 40.49\nC) 38.91\nD) 32.56",
"options": [
"A) 37.32",
"B) 40.49",
"C) 38.91",
"D) 32.56"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "37.32",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180216",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-02-16",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-09",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-02-16? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-09.)\n\nA) 22.09\nB) 25.61\nC) 30.88\nD) 29.13",
"options": [
"A) 22.09",
"B) 25.61",
"C) 30.88",
"D) 29.13"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "25.61",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180302",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-03-02",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-23",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-03-02? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-23.)\n\nA) 17.38\nB) 27.56\nC) 22.47\nD) 19.08",
"options": [
"A) 17.38",
"B) 27.56",
"C) 22.47",
"D) 19.08"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "22.47",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180309",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-03-09",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-02",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-03-09? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-02.)\n\nA) 15.34\nB) 22.12\nC) 23.82\nD) 18.73",
"options": [
"A) 15.34",
"B) 22.12",
"C) 23.82",
"D) 18.73"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "18.73",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180316",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-09",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-09.)\n\nA) 17.23\nB) 20.62\nC) 12.14\nD) 13.84",
"options": [
"A) 17.23",
"B) 20.62",
"C) 12.14",
"D) 13.84"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "17.23",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180406",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-04-06",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-30",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-04-06? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-30.)\n\nA) 27.17\nB) 23.62\nC) 20.07\nD) 25.40",
"options": [
"A) 27.17",
"B) 23.62",
"C) 20.07",
"D) 25.40"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "23.62",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180413",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-04-13",
"info_cutoff": "2018-04-06",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-04-13? (Use only information available on or before 2018-04-06.)\n\nA) 27.23\nB) 25.41\nC) 21.77\nD) 16.31",
"options": [
"A) 27.23",
"B) 25.41",
"C) 21.77",
"D) 16.31"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "21.77",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180420",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2018-04-13",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2018-04-13.)\n\nA) 15.03\nB) 13.18\nC) 20.58\nD) 16.88",
"options": [
"A) 15.03",
"B) 13.18",
"C) 20.58",
"D) 16.88"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "16.88",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180504",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-05-04",
"info_cutoff": "2018-04-27",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-05-04? (Use only information available on or before 2018-04-27.)\n\nA) 15.97\nB) 17.83\nC) 10.38\nD) 14.11",
"options": [
"A) 15.97",
"B) 17.83",
"C) 10.38",
"D) 14.11"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "15.97",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180511",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-05-11",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-04",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-05-11? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-04.)\n\nA) 20.34\nB) 14.75\nC) 11.02\nD) 9.16",
"options": [
"A) 20.34",
"B) 14.75",
"C) 11.02",
"D) 9.16"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "14.75",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180518",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-05-18",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-11",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-05-18? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-11.)\n\nA) 18.35\nB) 9.04\nC) 14.63\nD) 16.49",
"options": [
"A) 18.35",
"B) 9.04",
"C) 14.63",
"D) 16.49"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "14.63",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180601",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-06-01",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-25",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-06-01? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-25.)\n\nA) 11.45\nB) 22.59\nC) 13.31\nD) 17.02",
"options": [
"A) 11.45",
"B) 22.59",
"C) 13.31",
"D) 17.02"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "17.02",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180608",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-06-08",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-01",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-06-08? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-01.)\n\nA) 12.74\nB) 14.60\nC) 16.46\nD) 10.88",
"options": [
"A) 12.74",
"B) 14.60",
"C) 16.46",
"D) 10.88"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "12.74",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180615",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 16.66\nB) 12.94\nC) 14.80\nD) 9.22",
"options": [
"A) 16.66",
"B) 12.94",
"C) 14.80",
"D) 9.22"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "12.94",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180706",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-07-06",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-29",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-07-06? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-29.)\n\nA) 21.46\nB) 12.59\nC) 16.14\nD) 14.37",
"options": [
"A) 21.46",
"B) 12.59",
"C) 16.14",
"D) 14.37"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "16.14",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180713",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-07-13",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-06",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-07-13? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-06.)\n\nA) 8.31\nB) 10.08\nC) 18.95\nD) 13.63",
"options": [
"A) 8.31",
"B) 10.08",
"C) 18.95",
"D) 13.63"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "13.63",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180720",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-07-20",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-13",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-07-20? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-13.)\n\nA) 12.87\nB) 9.33\nC) 11.10\nD) 16.41",
"options": [
"A) 12.87",
"B) 9.33",
"C) 11.10",
"D) 16.41"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "12.87",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180803",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-08-03",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-27",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-08-03? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-27.)\n\nA) 17.80\nB) 14.26\nC) 8.94\nD) 12.49",
"options": [
"A) 17.80",
"B) 14.26",
"C) 8.94",
"D) 12.49"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "14.26",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180810",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-08-10",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-03",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-08-10? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-03.)\n\nA) 18.48\nB) 16.70\nC) 13.16\nD) 14.93",
"options": [
"A) 18.48",
"B) 16.70",
"C) 13.16",
"D) 14.93"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "13.16",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180817",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-08-17",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-10",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-08-17? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-10.)\n\nA) 16.55\nB) 11.23\nC) 18.33\nD) 14.78",
"options": [
"A) 16.55",
"B) 11.23",
"C) 18.33",
"D) 14.78"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "14.78",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180907",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-09-07",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-31",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-09-07? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-31.)\n\nA) 14.88\nB) 9.56\nC) 20.20\nD) 16.65",
"options": [
"A) 14.88",
"B) 9.56",
"C) 20.20",
"D) 16.65"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "14.88",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180914",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-09-14",
"info_cutoff": "2018-09-07",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-09-14? (Use only information available on or before 2018-09-07.)\n\nA) 17.71\nB) 14.16\nC) 15.93\nD) 19.48",
"options": [
"A) 17.71",
"B) 14.16",
"C) 15.93",
"D) 19.48"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "14.16",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20180921",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-09-21",
"info_cutoff": "2018-09-14",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-09-21? (Use only information available on or before 2018-09-14.)\n\nA) 10.15\nB) 8.38\nC) 13.68\nD) 11.91",
"options": [
"A) 10.15",
"B) 8.38",
"C) 13.68",
"D) 11.91"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "13.68",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20181005",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-10-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-09-28",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-10-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-09-28.)\n\nA) 13.06\nB) 16.58\nC) 9.54\nD) 14.82",
"options": [
"A) 13.06",
"B) 16.58",
"C) 9.54",
"D) 14.82"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "14.82",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20181012",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-10-12",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-05",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-10-12? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-05.)\n\nA) 24.98\nB) 21.46\nC) 23.22\nD) 28.50",
"options": [
"A) 24.98",
"B) 21.46",
"C) 23.22",
"D) 28.50"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "24.98",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20181019",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-10-19",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-12",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-10-19? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-12.)\n\nA) 26.71\nB) 21.30\nC) 17.69\nD) 24.91",
"options": [
"A) 26.71",
"B) 21.30",
"C) 17.69",
"D) 24.91"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "21.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20181102",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-11-02",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-26",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-11-02? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-26.)\n\nA) 22.81\nB) 28.48\nC) 24.70\nD) 20.92",
"options": [
"A) 22.81",
"B) 28.48",
"C) 24.70",
"D) 20.92"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "24.70",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20181109",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-11-09",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-02",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-11-09? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-02.)\n\nA) 16.09\nB) 14.16\nC) 23.83\nD) 19.96",
"options": [
"A) 16.09",
"B) 14.16",
"C) 23.83",
"D) 19.96"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "19.96",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20181116",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-11-16",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-09",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-11-16? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-09.)\n\nA) 21.25\nB) 27.00\nC) 15.50\nD) 25.08",
"options": [
"A) 21.25",
"B) 27.00",
"C) 15.50",
"D) 25.08"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "21.25",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20181207",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-12-07",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-30",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-12-07? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-30.)\n\nA) 25.22\nB) 23.23\nC) 19.24\nD) 29.21",
"options": [
"A) 25.22",
"B) 23.23",
"C) 19.24",
"D) 29.21"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "23.23",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20181214",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-12-14",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-07",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-12-14? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-07.)\n\nA) 20.62\nB) 18.60\nC) 22.64\nD) 16.57",
"options": [
"A) 20.62",
"B) 18.60",
"C) 22.64",
"D) 16.57"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "22.64",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20181221",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-12-21",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-14",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2018-12-21? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-14.)\n\nA) 28.05\nB) 23.92\nC) 36.30\nD) 30.11",
"options": [
"A) 28.05",
"B) 23.92",
"C) 36.30",
"D) 30.11"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "30.11",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180105",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-01-05",
"info_cutoff": "2017-12-29",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-01-05? (Use only information available on or before 2017-12-29.)\n\nA) 1.85%\nB) 0.52%\nC) 1.18%\nD) 3.18%",
"options": [
"A) 1.85%",
"B) 0.52%",
"C) 1.18%",
"D) 3.18%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.85%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180112",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-01-12",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-05",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-01-12? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-05.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 1.45%\nC) 0.78%\nD) -0.56%",
"options": [
"A) 2.79%",
"B) 1.45%",
"C) 0.78%",
"D) -0.56%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.45%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180119",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-01-19",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-12",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-01-19? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-12.)\n\nA) 3.57%\nB) -0.45%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 0.22%",
"options": [
"A) 3.57%",
"B) -0.45%",
"C) 1.56%",
"D) 0.22%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.56%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180202",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-02-02",
"info_cutoff": "2018-01-26",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-02-02? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-26.)\n\nA) -3.70%\nB) -4.38%\nC) -0.99%\nD) -3.02%",
"options": [
"A) -3.70%",
"B) -4.38%",
"C) -0.99%",
"D) -3.02%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-3.02%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180209",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-02-09",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-02",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-02-09? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) -1.34%\nB) -3.42%\nC) 0.75%\nD) -2.03%",
"options": [
"A) -1.34%",
"B) -3.42%",
"C) 0.75%",
"D) -2.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-1.34%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180216",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-02-16",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-09",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-02-16? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-09.)\n\nA) 1.25%\nB) 3.69%\nC) 2.06%\nD) 2.87%",
"options": [
"A) 1.25%",
"B) 3.69%",
"C) 2.06%",
"D) 2.87%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180302",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-03-02",
"info_cutoff": "2018-02-23",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-03-02? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-23.)\n\nA) -4.73%\nB) -0.52%\nC) -2.20%\nD) -3.05%",
"options": [
"A) -4.73%",
"B) -0.52%",
"C) -2.20%",
"D) -3.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-2.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180309",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-03-09",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-02",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-03-09? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-02.)\n\nA) 1.43%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 5.70%\nD) 3.14%",
"options": [
"A) 1.43%",
"B) 2.29%",
"C) 5.70%",
"D) 3.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180316",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-03-16",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-09",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-09.)\n\nA) -1.40%\nB) -3.13%\nC) 1.18%\nD) 0.32%",
"options": [
"A) -1.40%",
"B) -3.13%",
"C) 1.18%",
"D) 0.32%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-1.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180406",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-04-06",
"info_cutoff": "2018-03-30",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-04-06? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-30.)\n\nA) -1.26%\nB) 0.65%\nC) 3.53%\nD) -2.22%",
"options": [
"A) -1.26%",
"B) 0.65%",
"C) 3.53%",
"D) -2.22%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.65%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180413",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-04-13",
"info_cutoff": "2018-04-06",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-04-13? (Use only information available on or before 2018-04-06.)\n\nA) 3.25%\nB) -0.74%\nC) 2.25%\nD) 0.26%",
"options": [
"A) 3.25%",
"B) -0.74%",
"C) 2.25%",
"D) 0.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180420",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-04-20",
"info_cutoff": "2018-04-13",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2018-04-13.)\n\nA) 2.89%\nB) -2.16%\nC) 1.88%\nD) -0.14%",
"options": [
"A) 2.89%",
"B) -2.16%",
"C) 1.88%",
"D) -0.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.14%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180504",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-05-04",
"info_cutoff": "2018-04-27",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-05-04? (Use only information available on or before 2018-04-27.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) 3.05%\nC) 4.08%\nD) -1.05%",
"options": [
"A) 2.03%",
"B) 3.05%",
"C) 4.08%",
"D) -1.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.03%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180511",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-05-11",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-04",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-05-11? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-04.)\n\nA) 3.96%\nB) 1.89%\nC) 2.93%\nD) -0.17%",
"options": [
"A) 3.96%",
"B) 1.89%",
"C) 2.93%",
"D) -0.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.89%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180518",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-05-18",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-11",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-05-18? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-11.)\n\nA) 2.35%\nB) 0.27%\nC) -0.77%\nD) -2.85%",
"options": [
"A) 2.35%",
"B) 0.27%",
"C) -0.77%",
"D) -2.85%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.77%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180601",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-06-01",
"info_cutoff": "2018-05-25",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-06-01? (Use only information available on or before 2018-05-25.)\n\nA) 1.11%\nB) 4.18%\nC) 5.20%\nD) 2.13%",
"options": [
"A) 1.11%",
"B) 4.18%",
"C) 5.20%",
"D) 2.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180608",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-06-08",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-01",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-06-08? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-01.)\n\nA) 0.51%\nB) 2.57%\nC) 3.60%\nD) -2.58%",
"options": [
"A) 0.51%",
"B) 2.57%",
"C) 3.60%",
"D) -2.58%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.51%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180615",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-06-15",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-08",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) -1.96%\nB) 1.13%\nC) -0.93%\nD) 2.16%",
"options": [
"A) -1.96%",
"B) 1.13%",
"C) -0.93%",
"D) 2.16%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180706",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-07-06",
"info_cutoff": "2018-06-29",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-07-06? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-29.)\n\nA) -1.48%\nB) 3.64%\nC) 1.59%\nD) 0.57%",
"options": [
"A) -1.48%",
"B) 3.64%",
"C) 1.59%",
"D) 0.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.59%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180713",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-07-13",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-06",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-07-13? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-06.)\n\nA) -2.18%\nB) -0.13%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 0.90%",
"options": [
"A) -2.18%",
"B) -0.13%",
"C) 3.98%",
"D) 0.90%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180720",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-07-20",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-13",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-07-20? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-13.)\n\nA) 0.19%\nB) -1.86%\nC) 1.21%\nD) -2.89%",
"options": [
"A) 0.19%",
"B) -1.86%",
"C) 1.21%",
"D) -2.89%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.19%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180803",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-08-03",
"info_cutoff": "2018-07-27",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-08-03? (Use only information available on or before 2018-07-27.)\n\nA) 0.32%\nB) 2.39%\nC) -0.72%\nD) 3.42%",
"options": [
"A) 0.32%",
"B) 2.39%",
"C) -0.72%",
"D) 3.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.39%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180810",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-08-10",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-03",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-08-10? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-03.)\n\nA) 0.78%\nB) 1.82%\nC) -0.26%\nD) -3.39%",
"options": [
"A) 0.78%",
"B) 1.82%",
"C) -0.26%",
"D) -3.39%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-0.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180817",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-08-17",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-10",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-08-17? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-10.)\n\nA) -1.09%\nB) -2.13%\nC) 1.00%\nD) -0.04%",
"options": [
"A) -1.09%",
"B) -2.13%",
"C) 1.00%",
"D) -0.04%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.04%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180907",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-09-07",
"info_cutoff": "2018-08-31",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-09-07? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-31.)\n\nA) -2.33%\nB) -3.35%\nC) -1.31%\nD) 0.73%",
"options": [
"A) -2.33%",
"B) -3.35%",
"C) -1.31%",
"D) 0.73%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-2.33%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180914",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-09-14",
"info_cutoff": "2018-09-07",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-09-14? (Use only information available on or before 2018-09-07.)\n\nA) 4.16%\nB) 1.08%\nC) 0.06%\nD) -0.96%",
"options": [
"A) 4.16%",
"B) 1.08%",
"C) 0.06%",
"D) -0.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20180921",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-09-21",
"info_cutoff": "2018-09-14",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-09-21? (Use only information available on or before 2018-09-14.)\n\nA) -0.89%\nB) -1.91%\nC) 1.15%\nD) 0.13%",
"options": [
"A) -0.89%",
"B) -1.91%",
"C) 1.15%",
"D) 0.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.15%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20181005",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-10-05",
"info_cutoff": "2018-09-28",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-10-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-09-28.)\n\nA) -6.17%\nB) -1.04%\nC) -5.15%\nD) -3.10%",
"options": [
"A) -6.17%",
"B) -1.04%",
"C) -5.15%",
"D) -3.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-3.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20181012",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-10-12",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-05",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-10-12? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-05.)\n\nA) -3.09%\nB) -4.13%\nC) 0.02%\nD) -2.05%",
"options": [
"A) -3.09%",
"B) -4.13%",
"C) 0.02%",
"D) -2.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-3.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20181019",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-10-19",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-12",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-10-19? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-12.)\n\nA) 3.52%\nB) 0.25%\nC) -3.03%\nD) -1.94%",
"options": [
"A) 3.52%",
"B) 0.25%",
"C) -3.03%",
"D) -1.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20181102",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-11-02",
"info_cutoff": "2018-10-26",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-11-02? (Use only information available on or before 2018-10-26.)\n\nA) 5.54%\nB) 7.91%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 0.79%",
"options": [
"A) 5.54%",
"B) 7.91%",
"C) 4.35%",
"D) 0.79%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.35%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20181109",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-11-09",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-02",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-11-09? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-02.)\n\nA) -2.55%\nB) -0.14%\nC) 2.27%\nD) 1.06%",
"options": [
"A) -2.55%",
"B) -0.14%",
"C) 2.27%",
"D) 1.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.06%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20181116",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-11-16",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-09",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-11-16? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-09.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 1.88%\nD) -3.02%",
"options": [
"A) 0.65%",
"B) 4.32%",
"C) 1.88%",
"D) -3.02%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.65%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20181207",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-12-07",
"info_cutoff": "2018-11-30",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-12-07? (Use only information available on or before 2018-11-30.)\n\nA) -7.63%\nB) -6.35%\nC) -8.92%\nD) -5.06%",
"options": [
"A) -7.63%",
"B) -6.35%",
"C) -8.92%",
"D) -5.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-6.35%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20181214",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-12-14",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-07",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-12-14? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-07.)\n\nA) -5.57%\nB) 1.10%\nC) -1.56%\nD) -0.23%",
"options": [
"A) -5.57%",
"B) 1.10%",
"C) -1.56%",
"D) -0.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-1.56%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20181221",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2018-12-21",
"info_cutoff": "2018-12-14",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2018-12-21? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-14.)\n\nA) -4.88%\nB) -2.19%\nC) -7.57%\nD) -6.23%",
"options": [
"A) -4.88%",
"B) -2.19%",
"C) -7.57%",
"D) -6.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-6.23%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2018
}
]