pre_test / mcq_2021.json
lfqian's picture
Add per-year unpredictable-event floor (FOMC/NFP/CPI/GDP/VIX/NASDAQ): 10,014 -> 12,838 q; every year 25-51% unpredictable
a63e93b verified
[
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $588,442M\nB) $554,762M\nC) $622,122M\nD) $605,282M",
"options": [
"A) $588,442M",
"B) $554,762M",
"C) $622,122M",
"D) $605,282M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$605,282M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-06.)\n\nA) 2.81%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 3.36%\nD) 3.64%",
"options": [
"A) 2.81%",
"B) 2.26%",
"C) 3.36%",
"D) 3.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.81%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 29,837.10\nB) 31,522.75\nC) 36,579.69\nD) 28,151.45",
"options": [
"A) 29,837.10",
"B) 31,522.75",
"C) 36,579.69",
"D) 28,151.45"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "31,522.75",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 12.28%\nB) 33.09%\nC) 22.69%\nD) 26.15%",
"options": [
"A) 12.28%",
"B) 33.09%",
"C) 22.69%",
"D) 26.15%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "22.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 134.33%\nB) 187.13%\nC) 55.13%\nD) 107.93%",
"options": [
"A) 134.33%",
"B) 187.13%",
"C) 55.13%",
"D) 107.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "107.93%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-06.)\n\nA) 250,000\nB) 1,380,722\nC) 1,003,814\nD) 626,907",
"options": [
"A) 250,000",
"B) 1,380,722",
"C) 1,003,814",
"D) 626,907"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "250,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.0171\nB) 1.1421\nC) 1.2171\nD) 1.0671",
"options": [
"A) 1.0171",
"B) 1.1421",
"C) 1.2171",
"D) 1.0671"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.1421",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 100.7742\nB) 109.2839\nC) 105.8800\nD) 112.6878",
"options": [
"A) 100.7742",
"B) 109.2839",
"C) 105.8800",
"D) 112.6878"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "105.8800",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 113.66\nB) 103.53\nC) 106.43\nD) 110.77",
"options": [
"A) 113.66",
"B) 103.53",
"C) 106.43",
"D) 110.77"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "110.77",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.84%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 2.30%",
"options": [
"A) 1.84%",
"B) 2.07%",
"C) 1.38%",
"D) 2.30%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.84%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 81.90%\nB) 54.54%\nC) -0.18%\nD) -27.54%",
"options": [
"A) 81.90%",
"B) 54.54%",
"C) -0.18%",
"D) -27.54%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "54.54%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $17,755B\nB) $16,963B\nC) $18,548B\nD) $19,340B",
"options": [
"A) $17,755B",
"B) $16,963B",
"C) $18,548B",
"D) $19,340B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$18,548B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 19.85%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 12.31%",
"options": [
"A) 19.85%",
"B) 4.78%",
"C) 1.01%",
"D) 12.31%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "12.31%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,703K\nB) 1,622K\nC) 1,461K\nD) 1,864K",
"options": [
"A) 1,703K",
"B) 1,622K",
"C) 1,461K",
"D) 1,864K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,703K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 3.96%\nC) 4.24%\nD) 3.12%",
"options": [
"A) 3.40%",
"B) 3.96%",
"C) 4.24%",
"D) 3.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3.96%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $64,236M\nB) $65,887M\nC) $67,538M\nD) $72,491M",
"options": [
"A) $64,236M",
"B) $65,887M",
"C) $67,538M",
"D) $72,491M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$67,538M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.2607\nB) 1.3357\nC) 1.1607\nD) 1.2107",
"options": [
"A) 1.2607",
"B) 1.3357",
"C) 1.1607",
"D) 1.2107"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.2107",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-06.)\n\nA) 802,000\nB) 1,558,577\nC) 1,180,288\nD) 423,712",
"options": [
"A) 802,000",
"B) 1,558,577",
"C) 1,180,288",
"D) 423,712"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "802,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-06.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 2.24%\nD) 3.34%",
"options": [
"A) 1.15%",
"B) 4.44%",
"C) 2.24%",
"D) 3.34%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.44%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 112.4613\nB) 117.2632\nC) 109.2600\nD) 104.4581",
"options": [
"A) 112.4613",
"B) 117.2632",
"C) 109.2600",
"D) 104.4581"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "109.2600",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 112.08\nB) 116.08\nC) 105.41\nD) 109.41",
"options": [
"A) 112.08",
"B) 116.08",
"C) 105.41",
"D) 109.41"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "109.41",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 233.41\nB) 228.72\nC) 242.81\nD) 238.11",
"options": [
"A) 233.41",
"B) 228.72",
"C) 242.81",
"D) 238.11"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "233.41",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 0.55%\nB) 0.13%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 0.97%",
"options": [
"A) 0.55%",
"B) 0.13%",
"C) 1.40%",
"D) 0.97%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.24%\nB) 3.96%\nC) 5.10%\nD) 7.39%",
"options": [
"A) 6.24%",
"B) 3.96%",
"C) 5.10%",
"D) 7.39%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 153,820K\nB) 138,498K\nC) 149,443K\nD) 145,065K",
"options": [
"A) 153,820K",
"B) 138,498K",
"C) 149,443K",
"D) 145,065K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "145,065K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) $70.07/bbl\nB) $50.61/bbl\nC) $83.04/bbl\nD) $76.56/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $70.07/bbl",
"B) $50.61/bbl",
"C) $83.04/bbl",
"D) $76.56/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$70.07/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $24.18/hr\nB) $26.12/hr\nC) $25.47/hr\nD) $28.06/hr",
"options": [
"A) $24.18/hr",
"B) $26.12/hr",
"C) $25.47/hr",
"D) $28.06/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$26.12/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 18.48%\nB) 16.70%\nC) 20.27%\nD) 14.91%",
"options": [
"A) 18.48%",
"B) 16.70%",
"C) 20.27%",
"D) 14.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "20.27%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 286.64\nB) 264.29\nC) 294.10\nD) 275.46",
"options": [
"A) 286.64",
"B) 264.29",
"C) 294.10",
"D) 275.46"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "275.46",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $605,533M\nB) $648,053M\nC) $563,013M\nD) $584,273M",
"options": [
"A) $605,533M",
"B) $648,053M",
"C) $563,013M",
"D) $584,273M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$605,533M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 89.99\nB) 99.43\nC) 93.77\nD) 103.21",
"options": [
"A) 89.99",
"B) 99.43",
"C) 93.77",
"D) 103.21"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "99.43",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 0.49%\nB) 1.36%\nC) 0.06%\nD) 0.93%",
"options": [
"A) 0.49%",
"B) 1.36%",
"C) 0.06%",
"D) 0.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.06%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 6.8167\nB) 6.0176\nC) 6.2459\nD) 6.4742",
"options": [
"A) 6.8167",
"B) 6.0176",
"C) 6.2459",
"D) 6.4742"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.4742",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $26.56/hr\nB) $28.63/hr\nC) $25.87/hr\nD) $24.49/hr",
"options": [
"A) $26.56/hr",
"B) $28.63/hr",
"C) $25.87/hr",
"D) $24.49/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$26.56/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 17.26%\nB) 20.13%\nC) 14.39%\nD) 11.52%",
"options": [
"A) 17.26%",
"B) 20.13%",
"C) 14.39%",
"D) 11.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "20.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.59%\nB) 14.10%\nC) 8.70%\nD) 16.81%",
"options": [
"A) 0.59%",
"B) 14.10%",
"C) 8.70%",
"D) 16.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "8.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 55.53%\nB) 62.69%\nC) 60.64%\nD) 58.60%",
"options": [
"A) 55.53%",
"B) 62.69%",
"C) 60.64%",
"D) 58.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "58.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-06.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 3.52%\nD) 3.81%",
"options": [
"A) 2.94%",
"B) 2.07%",
"C) 3.52%",
"D) 3.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 58.58%\nB) 44.36%\nC) 51.47%\nD) 37.24%",
"options": [
"A) 58.58%",
"B) 44.36%",
"C) 51.47%",
"D) 37.24%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "44.36%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $15,986B\nB) $20,613B\nC) $18,300B\nD) $19,842B",
"options": [
"A) $15,986B",
"B) $20,613B",
"C) $18,300B",
"D) $19,842B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$18,300B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -4.62pp\nB) -5.73pp\nC) -1.27pp\nD) -3.50pp",
"options": [
"A) -4.62pp",
"B) -5.73pp",
"C) -1.27pp",
"D) -3.50pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-3.50pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,736K\nB) 1,478K\nC) 1,822K\nD) 1,994K",
"options": [
"A) 1,736K",
"B) 1,478K",
"C) 1,822K",
"D) 1,994K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1,736K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -11.38%\nB) -5.85%\nC) -4.01%\nD) -7.70%",
"options": [
"A) -11.38%",
"B) -5.85%",
"C) -4.01%",
"D) -7.70%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-5.85%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) -7.20%\nB) -15.62%\nC) -9.31%\nD) -11.41%",
"options": [
"A) -7.20%",
"B) -15.62%",
"C) -9.31%",
"D) -11.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-9.31%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.42pp\nB) -0.84pp\nC) +1.26pp\nD) +0.00pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.42pp",
"B) -0.84pp",
"C) +1.26pp",
"D) +0.00pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.00pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 19.25%\nB) 25.01%\nC) 17.33%\nD) 21.17%",
"options": [
"A) 19.25%",
"B) 25.01%",
"C) 17.33%",
"D) 21.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "19.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-06.)\n\nA) $13,625B\nB) $15,224B\nC) $15,758B\nD) $14,691B",
"options": [
"A) $13,625B",
"B) $15,224B",
"C) $15,758B",
"D) $14,691B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$15,224B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $672,156M\nB) $577,592M\nC) $624,874M\nD) $695,797M",
"options": [
"A) $672,156M",
"B) $577,592M",
"C) $624,874M",
"D) $695,797M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$624,874M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 115.26\nB) 106.57\nC) 103.10\nD) 111.79",
"options": [
"A) 115.26",
"B) 106.57",
"C) 103.10",
"D) 111.79"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "111.79",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) $15,753B\nB) $17,507B\nC) $16,338B\nD) $14,584B",
"options": [
"A) $15,753B",
"B) $17,507B",
"C) $16,338B",
"D) $14,584B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$15,753B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-06.)\n\nA) $14,357B\nB) $16,206B\nC) $15,589B\nD) $18,055B",
"options": [
"A) $14,357B",
"B) $16,206B",
"C) $15,589B",
"D) $18,055B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$16,206B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) +2.24pp\nB) +0.63pp\nC) -2.60pp\nD) -5.83pp",
"options": [
"A) +2.24pp",
"B) +0.63pp",
"C) -2.60pp",
"D) -5.83pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-2.60pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 26.41%\nB) 20.00%\nC) 45.64%\nD) 32.82%",
"options": [
"A) 26.41%",
"B) 20.00%",
"C) 45.64%",
"D) 32.82%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "32.82%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.90%\nB) 10.19%\nC) 3.31%\nD) 5.60%",
"options": [
"A) 7.90%",
"B) 10.19%",
"C) 3.31%",
"D) 5.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 0.98%",
"options": [
"A) 1.79%",
"B) 0.57%",
"C) 1.38%",
"D) 0.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.57%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $-72,445M\nB) $-69,037M\nC) $-65,630M\nD) $-58,815M",
"options": [
"A) $-72,445M",
"B) $-69,037M",
"C) $-65,630M",
"D) $-58,815M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$-65,630M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 149.63%\nB) 178.13%\nC) 7.11%\nD) 92.62%",
"options": [
"A) 149.63%",
"B) 178.13%",
"C) 7.11%",
"D) 92.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "92.62%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $21,336B\nB) $18,767B\nC) $20,052B\nD) $23,905B",
"options": [
"A) $21,336B",
"B) $18,767B",
"C) $20,052B",
"D) $23,905B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$21,336B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) -8.01%\nB) -4.10%\nC) 1.76%\nD) -0.20%",
"options": [
"A) -8.01%",
"B) -4.10%",
"C) 1.76%",
"D) -0.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-4.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 70.56%\nB) 75.08%\nC) 73.57%\nD) 69.05%",
"options": [
"A) 70.56%",
"B) 75.08%",
"C) 73.57%",
"D) 69.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "73.57%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.1641\nB) 1.3141\nC) 1.2641\nD) 1.2141",
"options": [
"A) 1.1641",
"B) 1.3141",
"C) 1.2641",
"D) 1.2141"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.2141",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 108.10\nB) 110.56\nC) 105.64\nD) 113.01",
"options": [
"A) 108.10",
"B) 110.56",
"C) 105.64",
"D) 113.01"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "108.10",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 28.78%\nB) 16.34%\nC) 8.05%\nD) 24.64%",
"options": [
"A) 28.78%",
"B) 16.34%",
"C) 8.05%",
"D) 24.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "16.34%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 1.25%",
"options": [
"A) 0.88%",
"B) 2.01%",
"C) 1.63%",
"D) 1.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.63%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 8.95%\nB) 0.15%\nC) 6.75%\nD) 4.55%",
"options": [
"A) 8.95%",
"B) 0.15%",
"C) 6.75%",
"D) 4.55%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.55%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) $69.24/bbl\nB) $82.00/bbl\nC) $50.10/bbl\nD) $62.86/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $69.24/bbl",
"B) $82.00/bbl",
"C) $50.10/bbl",
"D) $62.86/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$69.24/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 106.10\nB) 114.59\nC) 111.19\nD) 117.98",
"options": [
"A) 106.10",
"B) 114.59",
"C) 111.19",
"D) 117.98"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "114.59",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 50.37%\nB) 25.85%\nC) 34.02%\nD) 17.67%",
"options": [
"A) 50.37%",
"B) 25.85%",
"C) 34.02%",
"D) 17.67%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "34.02%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) +1.66pp\nB) +1.25pp\nC) +0.44pp\nD) +1.05pp",
"options": [
"A) +1.66pp",
"B) +1.25pp",
"C) +0.44pp",
"D) +1.05pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+1.05pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.91%\nB) 7.50%\nC) 8.09%\nD) 8.68%",
"options": [
"A) 6.91%",
"B) 7.50%",
"C) 8.09%",
"D) 8.68%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.91%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.94%\nB) 5.80%\nC) 4.66%\nD) 9.22%",
"options": [
"A) 6.94%",
"B) 5.80%",
"C) 4.66%",
"D) 9.22%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.66%\nB) 3.30%\nC) 3.54%\nD) 3.42%",
"options": [
"A) 3.66%",
"B) 3.30%",
"C) 3.54%",
"D) 3.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.54%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $268,205M\nB) $260,607M\nC) $245,411M\nD) $253,009M",
"options": [
"A) $268,205M",
"B) $260,607M",
"C) $245,411M",
"D) $253,009M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$253,009M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 58.00%\nB) 60.02%\nC) 54.98%\nD) 52.96%",
"options": [
"A) 58.00%",
"B) 60.02%",
"C) 54.98%",
"D) 52.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "58.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,395M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M",
"options": [
"A) $4,300,000M",
"B) $6,395M",
"C) $6,200,000M",
"D) $2,400,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$6,395M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.50%\nB) 11.57%\nC) 14.61%\nD) 17.65%",
"options": [
"A) 5.50%",
"B) 11.57%",
"C) 14.61%",
"D) 17.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "14.61%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.93%\nB) 9.27%\nC) 14.61%\nD) 6.60%",
"options": [
"A) 3.93%",
"B) 9.27%",
"C) 14.61%",
"D) 6.60%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 16.49\nB) 7.69\nC) 25.29\nD) 20.89",
"options": [
"A) 16.49",
"B) 7.69",
"C) 25.29",
"D) 20.89"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "16.49",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 87.02%\nB) 59.58%\nC) 32.15%\nD) 4.71%",
"options": [
"A) 87.02%",
"B) 59.58%",
"C) 32.15%",
"D) 4.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "59.58%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 7.39%\nB) 19.10%\nC) 13.24%\nD) 24.96%",
"options": [
"A) 7.39%",
"B) 19.10%",
"C) 13.24%",
"D) 24.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "13.24%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 1.04%\nC) 0.60%\nD) 0.16%",
"options": [
"A) 1.48%",
"B) 1.04%",
"C) 0.60%",
"D) 0.16%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.16%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 2.96%\nC) 6.39%\nD) 5.24%",
"options": [
"A) 4.10%",
"B) 2.96%",
"C) 6.39%",
"D) 5.24%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 17,098.89\nB) 14,047.50\nC) 15,064.63\nD) 16,081.76",
"options": [
"A) 17,098.89",
"B) 14,047.50",
"C) 15,064.63",
"D) 16,081.76"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "14,047.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 101.22\nB) 91.88\nC) 95.61\nD) 86.27",
"options": [
"A) 101.22",
"B) 91.88",
"C) 95.61",
"D) 86.27"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "95.61",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-06.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 2.47%\nC) 2.15%\nD) 3.10%",
"options": [
"A) 2.78%",
"B) 2.47%",
"C) 2.15%",
"D) 3.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 59.30%\nB) 61.35%\nC) 63.39%\nD) 56.23%",
"options": [
"A) 59.30%",
"B) 61.35%",
"C) 63.39%",
"D) 56.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "59.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) $70.87/bbl\nB) $65.32/bbl\nC) $76.42/bbl\nD) $48.66/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $70.87/bbl",
"B) $65.32/bbl",
"C) $76.42/bbl",
"D) $48.66/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$65.32/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 95.42\nB) 87.07\nC) 82.90\nD) 78.73",
"options": [
"A) 95.42",
"B) 87.07",
"C) 82.90",
"D) 78.73"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "82.90",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $26.88/hr\nB) $25.08/hr\nC) $23.88/hr\nD) $25.68/hr",
"options": [
"A) $26.88/hr",
"B) $25.08/hr",
"C) $23.88/hr",
"D) $25.68/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$25.68/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 61.90%\nB) 65.00%\nC) 63.76%\nD) 60.04%",
"options": [
"A) 61.90%",
"B) 65.00%",
"C) 63.76%",
"D) 60.04%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "61.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 25.23%\nB) 12.87%\nC) 0.51%\nD) 8.75%",
"options": [
"A) 25.23%",
"B) 12.87%",
"C) 0.51%",
"D) 8.75%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "12.87%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 183.58%\nB) 126.31%\nC) 97.68%\nD) 11.78%",
"options": [
"A) 183.58%",
"B) 126.31%",
"C) 97.68%",
"D) 11.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "97.68%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.61%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 5.22%\nD) 4.92%",
"options": [
"A) 4.61%",
"B) 4.00%",
"C) 5.22%",
"D) 4.92%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.92%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $264,287M\nB) $239,866M\nC) $248,006M\nD) $280,568M",
"options": [
"A) $264,287M",
"B) $239,866M",
"C) $248,006M",
"D) $280,568M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$264,287M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.11%\nB) 1.26%\nC) 1.69%\nD) 0.41%",
"options": [
"A) 2.11%",
"B) 1.26%",
"C) 1.69%",
"D) 0.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) +1.42pp\nB) -1.73pp\nC) -3.30pp\nD) -8.02pp",
"options": [
"A) +1.42pp",
"B) -1.73pp",
"C) -3.30pp",
"D) -8.02pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-3.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -33.40pp\nB) -19.60pp\nC) -37.99pp\nD) -24.20pp",
"options": [
"A) -33.40pp",
"B) -19.60pp",
"C) -37.99pp",
"D) -24.20pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-24.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $25.25/hr\nB) $23.50/hr\nC) $25.83/hr\nD) $26.42/hr",
"options": [
"A) $25.25/hr",
"B) $23.50/hr",
"C) $25.83/hr",
"D) $26.42/hr"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$25.25/hr",
"unit": "usd_per_hour",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $70,833M\nB) $72,662M\nC) $67,175M\nD) $78,149M",
"options": [
"A) $70,833M",
"B) $72,662M",
"C) $67,175M",
"D) $78,149M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$72,662M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 263.33\nB) 278.25\nC) 270.79\nD) 255.87",
"options": [
"A) 263.33",
"B) 278.25",
"C) 270.79",
"D) 255.87"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "270.79",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,258K\nB) 1,623K\nC) 1,550K\nD) 1,404K",
"options": [
"A) 1,258K",
"B) 1,623K",
"C) 1,550K",
"D) 1,404K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,404K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) -1.71%\nC) -6.16%\nD) 4.98%",
"options": [
"A) 0.52%",
"B) -1.71%",
"C) -6.16%",
"D) 4.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.52%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.06%\nB) 7.68%\nC) 14.30%\nD) -2.25%",
"options": [
"A) 1.06%",
"B) 7.68%",
"C) 14.30%",
"D) -2.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "7.68%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 263.45\nB) 279.54\nC) 255.40\nD) 271.49",
"options": [
"A) 263.45",
"B) 279.54",
"C) 255.40",
"D) 271.49"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "255.40",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) +1.59pp\nB) +1.20pp\nC) +0.01pp\nD) +0.80pp",
"options": [
"A) +1.59pp",
"B) +1.20pp",
"C) +0.01pp",
"D) +0.80pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+0.80pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 106.50\nB) 101.63\nC) 110.15\nD) 104.07",
"options": [
"A) 106.50",
"B) 101.63",
"C) 110.15",
"D) 104.07"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "106.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.78%\nB) 2.08%\nC) 2.97%\nD) 2.38%",
"options": [
"A) 1.78%",
"B) 2.08%",
"C) 2.97%",
"D) 2.38%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) $79.08/bbl\nB) $61.62/bbl\nC) $67.44/bbl\nD) $73.26/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $79.08/bbl",
"B) $61.62/bbl",
"C) $67.44/bbl",
"D) $73.26/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$67.44/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 29.23%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 36.05%\nD) 22.41%",
"options": [
"A) 29.23%",
"B) 1.96%",
"C) 36.05%",
"D) 22.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "22.41%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) 367,000\nB) 1,501,109\nC) 745,036\nD) 1,123,073",
"options": [
"A) 367,000",
"B) 1,501,109",
"C) 745,036",
"D) 1,123,073"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "367,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-06",
"question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-06.)\n\nA) $17,208B\nB) $15,537B\nC) $13,867B\nD) $14,424B",
"options": [
"A) $17,208B",
"B) $15,537B",
"C) $13,867B",
"D) $14,424B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$15,537B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.17%\nB) 1.59%\nC) 0.75%\nD) 2.02%",
"options": [
"A) 1.17%",
"B) 1.59%",
"C) 0.75%",
"D) 2.02%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.75%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 60.47%\nB) 62.93%\nC) 64.17%\nD) 61.70%",
"options": [
"A) 60.47%",
"B) 62.93%",
"C) 64.17%",
"D) 61.70%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "61.70%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 52.94%\nB) 65.42%\nC) 59.18%\nD) 71.66%",
"options": [
"A) 52.94%",
"B) 65.42%",
"C) 59.18%",
"D) 71.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "52.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 0.51%\nD) 0.94%",
"options": [
"A) 1.37%",
"B) 0.08%",
"C) 0.51%",
"D) 0.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $16,447B\nB) $15,783B\nC) $17,776B\nD) $19,770B",
"options": [
"A) $16,447B",
"B) $15,783B",
"C) $17,776B",
"D) $19,770B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$17,776B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.24%\nB) 1.57%\nC) 10.73%\nD) 7.07%",
"options": [
"A) 5.24%",
"B) 1.57%",
"C) 10.73%",
"D) 7.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "7.07%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $20,459B\nB) $18,434B\nC) $22,484B\nD) $21,471B",
"options": [
"A) $20,459B",
"B) $18,434B",
"C) $22,484B",
"D) $21,471B"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$20,459B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.12%\nB) 5.74%\nC) 1.99%\nD) 11.35%",
"options": [
"A) 0.12%",
"B) 5.74%",
"C) 1.99%",
"D) 11.35%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.74%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $6,042M\nD) $4,300,000M",
"options": [
"A) $6,200,000M",
"B) $2,400,000M",
"C) $6,042M",
"D) $4,300,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$6,042M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -21.96%\nB) -3.06%\nC) -28.26%\nD) -9.36%",
"options": [
"A) -21.96%",
"B) -3.06%",
"C) -28.26%",
"D) -9.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-9.36%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $251,426M\nB) $266,049M\nC) $258,738M\nD) $236,803M",
"options": [
"A) $251,426M",
"B) $266,049M",
"C) $258,738M",
"D) $236,803M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$251,426M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) +1.85pp\nB) +1.47pp\nC) +1.66pp\nD) +2.05pp",
"options": [
"A) +1.85pp",
"B) +1.47pp",
"C) +1.66pp",
"D) +2.05pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+1.47pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.44%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 5.93%\nD) 4.40%",
"options": [
"A) 6.44%",
"B) 4.91%",
"C) 5.93%",
"D) 4.40%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.93%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 270.64\nB) 304.68\nC) 296.17\nD) 283.41",
"options": [
"A) 270.64",
"B) 304.68",
"C) 296.17",
"D) 283.41"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "283.41",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 243.29\nB) 261.40\nC) 249.33\nD) 231.21",
"options": [
"A) 243.29",
"B) 261.40",
"C) 249.33",
"D) 231.21"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "243.29",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 7.74%\nB) 13.49%\nC) 10.61%\nD) 16.36%",
"options": [
"A) 7.74%",
"B) 13.49%",
"C) 10.61%",
"D) 16.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "13.49%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 15,748.23\nB) 14,589.10\nC) 13,429.98\nD) 16,907.35",
"options": [
"A) 15,748.23",
"B) 14,589.10",
"C) 13,429.98",
"D) 16,907.35"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "13,429.98",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 18,657.15\nB) 10,930.37\nC) 13,505.96\nD) 14,793.76",
"options": [
"A) 18,657.15",
"B) 10,930.37",
"C) 13,505.96",
"D) 14,793.76"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "14,793.76",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.26%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 0.51%\nD) 0.14%",
"options": [
"A) 1.26%",
"B) 2.38%",
"C) 0.51%",
"D) 0.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $18,319B\nB) $16,850B\nC) $16,360B\nD) $15,870B",
"options": [
"A) $18,319B",
"B) $16,850B",
"C) $16,360B",
"D) $15,870B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$16,850B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $-77,005M\nB) $-58,295M\nC) $-65,779M\nD) $-62,037M",
"options": [
"A) $-77,005M",
"B) $-58,295M",
"C) $-65,779M",
"D) $-62,037M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$-65,779M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) $50.37/bbl\nB) $83.39/bbl\nC) $70.18/bbl\nD) $63.58/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $50.37/bbl",
"B) $83.39/bbl",
"C) $70.18/bbl",
"D) $63.58/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$63.58/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 70.30\nB) 78.88\nC) 83.17\nD) 61.72",
"options": [
"A) 70.30",
"B) 78.88",
"C) 83.17",
"D) 61.72"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "70.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.27%\nB) 4.89%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 6.03%",
"options": [
"A) 5.27%",
"B) 4.89%",
"C) 3.75%",
"D) 6.03%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4.89%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) +25.02pp\nB) +20.21pp\nC) +10.60pp\nD) +15.41pp",
"options": [
"A) +25.02pp",
"B) +20.21pp",
"C) +10.60pp",
"D) +15.41pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+10.60pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -3.04pp\nB) -2.66pp\nC) -0.76pp\nD) -1.90pp",
"options": [
"A) -3.04pp",
"B) -2.66pp",
"C) -0.76pp",
"D) -1.90pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-1.90pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) +2.10pp\nB) +0.78pp\nC) +3.42pp\nD) -1.87pp",
"options": [
"A) +2.10pp",
"B) +0.78pp",
"C) +3.42pp",
"D) -1.87pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+2.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.02pp\nB) +0.40pp\nC) -0.85pp\nD) +1.23pp",
"options": [
"A) -0.02pp",
"B) +0.40pp",
"C) -0.85pp",
"D) +1.23pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+0.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 31.78%\nB) 27.32%\nC) 36.24%\nD) 22.86%",
"options": [
"A) 31.78%",
"B) 27.32%",
"C) 36.24%",
"D) 22.86%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "36.24%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $14,242B\nB) $14,613B\nC) $16,095B\nD) $14,984B",
"options": [
"A) $14,242B",
"B) $14,613B",
"C) $16,095B",
"D) $14,984B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$14,984B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 27.55%\nB) 7.03%\nC) 13.87%\nD) 20.71%",
"options": [
"A) 27.55%",
"B) 7.03%",
"C) 13.87%",
"D) 20.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "27.55%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 16.64%\nB) 26.78%\nC) 23.40%\nD) 20.02%",
"options": [
"A) 16.64%",
"B) 26.78%",
"C) 23.40%",
"D) 20.02%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "26.78%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 1.29%\nC) 0.01%\nD) 0.44%",
"options": [
"A) 0.86%",
"B) 1.29%",
"C) 0.01%",
"D) 0.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.01%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.32%\nB) 1.70%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 2.01%",
"options": [
"A) 2.32%",
"B) 1.70%",
"C) 1.39%",
"D) 2.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.01%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 268.38\nB) 261.30\nC) 286.10\nD) 275.47",
"options": [
"A) 268.38",
"B) 261.30",
"C) 286.10",
"D) 275.47"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "268.38",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 6.1445\nB) 6.3824\nC) 6.7393\nD) 5.9065",
"options": [
"A) 6.1445",
"B) 6.3824",
"C) 6.7393",
"D) 5.9065"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.3824",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 112.7202\nB) 116.0703\nC) 109.3700\nD) 106.0198",
"options": [
"A) 112.7202",
"B) 116.0703",
"C) 109.3700",
"D) 106.0198"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "109.3700",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,495K\nB) 1,945K\nC) 1,675K\nD) 1,765K",
"options": [
"A) 1,495K",
"B) 1,945K",
"C) 1,675K",
"D) 1,765K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,765K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 279.00\nB) 294.92\nC) 271.04\nD) 286.96",
"options": [
"A) 279.00",
"B) 294.92",
"C) 271.04",
"D) 286.96"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "279.00",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.99%\nB) 0.53%\nC) 0.07%\nD) 1.46%",
"options": [
"A) 0.99%",
"B) 0.53%",
"C) 0.07%",
"D) 1.46%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.53%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $63,598M\nB) $65,277M\nC) $68,635M\nD) $71,993M",
"options": [
"A) $63,598M",
"B) $65,277M",
"C) $68,635M",
"D) $71,993M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$68,635M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 19.03%\nB) 15.86%\nC) 14.81%\nD) 16.92%",
"options": [
"A) 19.03%",
"B) 15.86%",
"C) 14.81%",
"D) 16.92%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "16.92%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 143,380K\nB) 147,763K\nC) 136,805K\nD) 132,422K",
"options": [
"A) 143,380K",
"B) 147,763K",
"C) 136,805K",
"D) 132,422K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "143,380K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.98%\nB) 14.09%\nC) 21.49%\nD) 6.68%",
"options": [
"A) 2.98%",
"B) 14.09%",
"C) 21.49%",
"D) 6.68%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "14.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) +0.89pp\nB) +1.31pp\nC) +1.10pp\nD) +0.47pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.89pp",
"B) +1.31pp",
"C) +1.10pp",
"D) +0.47pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+1.10pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-06.)\n\nA) 8,677,428\nB) 4,204,476\nC) 6,440,952\nD) 1,968,000",
"options": [
"A) 8,677,428",
"B) 4,204,476",
"C) 6,440,952",
"D) 1,968,000"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,968,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.61%\nB) 8.39%\nC) 12.18%\nD) 0.82%",
"options": [
"A) 4.61%",
"B) 8.39%",
"C) 12.18%",
"D) 0.82%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.61%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $74,891M\nB) $71,394M\nC) $66,149M\nD) $67,897M",
"options": [
"A) $74,891M",
"B) $71,394M",
"C) $66,149M",
"D) $67,897M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$71,394M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 22.10%\nB) 37.93%\nC) 14.18%\nD) 30.01%",
"options": [
"A) 22.10%",
"B) 37.93%",
"C) 14.18%",
"D) 30.01%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "14.18%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) $74.63/bbl\nB) $87.07/bbl\nC) $93.30/bbl\nD) $80.85/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $74.63/bbl",
"B) $87.07/bbl",
"C) $93.30/bbl",
"D) $80.85/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$80.85/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.79%\nB) 3.63%\nC) 4.11%\nD) 3.47%",
"options": [
"A) 3.79%",
"B) 3.63%",
"C) 4.11%",
"D) 3.47%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.79%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) 9,534,129\nB) 2,802,000\nC) 5,046,043\nD) 7,290,086",
"options": [
"A) 9,534,129",
"B) 2,802,000",
"C) 5,046,043",
"D) 7,290,086"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2,802,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 6.77%\nC) 4.61%\nD) -1.86%",
"options": [
"A) 2.45%",
"B) 6.77%",
"C) 4.61%",
"D) -1.86%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4.61%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPILFE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 1.59%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 1.71%",
"options": [
"A) 1.48%",
"B) 1.59%",
"C) 1.94%",
"D) 1.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.71%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 76.80\nB) 72.78\nC) 88.85\nD) 80.82",
"options": [
"A) 76.80",
"B) 72.78",
"C) 88.85",
"D) 80.82"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "76.80",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.26%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 0.52%\nD) 2.74%",
"options": [
"A) 1.26%",
"B) 1.63%",
"C) 0.52%",
"D) 2.74%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.63%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-06.)\n\nA) 5,864,568\nB) 10,357,704\nC) 3,618,000\nD) 1,371,432",
"options": [
"A) 5,864,568",
"B) 10,357,704",
"C) 3,618,000",
"D) 1,371,432"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3,618,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 115.88\nB) 104.21\nC) 107.12\nD) 111.50",
"options": [
"A) 115.88",
"B) 104.21",
"C) 107.12",
"D) 111.50"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "111.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 19.22%\nB) 9.10%\nC) 12.48%\nD) 22.59%",
"options": [
"A) 19.22%",
"B) 9.10%",
"C) 12.48%",
"D) 22.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "19.22%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-06.)\n\nA) 10.18%\nB) 9.11%\nC) 8.03%\nD) 5.89%",
"options": [
"A) 10.18%",
"B) 9.11%",
"C) 8.03%",
"D) 5.89%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "9.11%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.69%\nB) 32.00%\nC) 16.84%\nD) -28.63%",
"options": [
"A) 1.69%",
"B) 32.00%",
"C) 16.84%",
"D) -28.63%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "16.84%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 136.22\nB) 132.41\nC) 124.79\nD) 128.60",
"options": [
"A) 136.22",
"B) 132.41",
"C) 124.79",
"D) 128.60"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "128.60",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) +4.71pp\nB) +6.89pp\nC) +0.36pp\nD) +11.24pp",
"options": [
"A) +4.71pp",
"B) +6.89pp",
"C) +0.36pp",
"D) +11.24pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "+4.71pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $19,665B\nB) $20,841B\nC) $18,490B\nD) $23,192B",
"options": [
"A) $19,665B",
"B) $20,841B",
"C) $18,490B",
"D) $23,192B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$20,841B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXUSEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.2526\nB) 1.1276\nC) 1.1776\nD) 1.0526",
"options": [
"A) 1.2526",
"B) 1.1276",
"C) 1.1776",
"D) 1.0526"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.1776",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 38,200.42\nB) 40,313.39\nC) 42,426.35\nD) 36,087.45",
"options": [
"A) 38,200.42",
"B) 40,313.39",
"C) 42,426.35",
"D) 36,087.45"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "36,087.45",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.28%\nB) 1.13%\nC) 0.83%\nD) 1.58%",
"options": [
"A) 1.28%",
"B) 1.13%",
"C) 0.83%",
"D) 1.58%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.28%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 117.11\nB) 122.00\nC) 126.89\nD) 130.15",
"options": [
"A) 117.11",
"B) 122.00",
"C) 126.89",
"D) 130.15"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "122.00",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) $65.76/bbl\nB) $71.46/bbl\nC) $60.07/bbl\nD) $48.68/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $65.76/bbl",
"B) $71.46/bbl",
"C) $60.07/bbl",
"D) $48.68/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$60.07/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.81%\nB) 5.84%\nC) 7.15%\nD) 6.50%",
"options": [
"A) 7.81%",
"B) 5.84%",
"C) 7.15%",
"D) 6.50%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.50%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 37.19%\nB) 24.93%\nC) 49.46%\nD) 45.37%",
"options": [
"A) 37.19%",
"B) 24.93%",
"C) 49.46%",
"D) 45.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "37.19%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.05%\nB) 1.67%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 1.98%",
"options": [
"A) 1.05%",
"B) 1.67%",
"C) 1.36%",
"D) 1.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.67%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) +6.43pp\nB) +1.91pp\nC) +5.30pp\nD) +3.04pp",
"options": [
"A) +6.43pp",
"B) +1.91pp",
"C) +5.30pp",
"D) +3.04pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+5.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 7.28\nB) 29.37\nC) 24.96\nD) 16.12",
"options": [
"A) 7.28",
"B) 29.37",
"C) 24.96",
"D) 16.12"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "16.12",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 18.81\nB) 5.51\nC) 9.94\nD) 23.24",
"options": [
"A) 18.81",
"B) 5.51",
"C) 9.94",
"D) 23.24"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "18.81",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 270.67\nB) 263.58\nC) 281.30\nD) 256.49",
"options": [
"A) 270.67",
"B) 263.58",
"C) 281.30",
"D) 256.49"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "263.58",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 299.98\nB) 266.28\nC) 278.92\nD) 287.34",
"options": [
"A) 299.98",
"B) 266.28",
"C) 278.92",
"D) 287.34"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "278.92",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 160,056K\nB) 144,900K\nC) 153,560K\nD) 149,230K",
"options": [
"A) 160,056K",
"B) 144,900K",
"C) 153,560K",
"D) 149,230K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "149,230K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-06.)\n\nA) 7.85%\nB) 11.07%\nC) 6.77%\nD) 5.70%",
"options": [
"A) 7.85%",
"B) 11.07%",
"C) 6.77%",
"D) 5.70%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7.85%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) -10.42%\nB) -3.75%\nC) -1.53%\nD) -5.97%",
"options": [
"A) -10.42%",
"B) -3.75%",
"C) -1.53%",
"D) -5.97%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-3.75%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 63.45%\nB) 64.68%\nC) 61.60%\nD) 59.75%",
"options": [
"A) 63.45%",
"B) 64.68%",
"C) 61.60%",
"D) 59.75%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "61.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 29.01%\nB) 24.01%\nC) 19.00%\nD) 26.51%",
"options": [
"A) 29.01%",
"B) 24.01%",
"C) 19.00%",
"D) 26.51%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "26.51%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 224.90\nB) 231.41\nC) 215.13\nD) 237.92",
"options": [
"A) 224.90",
"B) 231.41",
"C) 215.13",
"D) 237.92"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "224.90",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) +2.08pp\nB) +4.30pp\nC) +6.52pp\nD) -2.36pp",
"options": [
"A) +2.08pp",
"B) +4.30pp",
"C) +6.52pp",
"D) -2.36pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+4.30pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) -13.97%\nB) -2.23%\nC) 3.64%\nD) -8.10%",
"options": [
"A) -13.97%",
"B) -2.23%",
"C) 3.64%",
"D) -8.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.64%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.22%\nB) 9.83%\nC) -4.00%\nD) 2.92%",
"options": [
"A) 5.22%",
"B) 9.83%",
"C) -4.00%",
"D) 2.92%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.92%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIACO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 210.60\nB) 204.32\nC) 220.01\nD) 226.29",
"options": [
"A) 210.60",
"B) 204.32",
"C) 220.01",
"D) 226.29"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "210.60",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-level-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 4,417.61\nB) 4,173.85\nC) 3,442.56\nD) 3,686.32",
"options": [
"A) 4,417.61",
"B) 4,173.85",
"C) 3,442.56",
"D) 3,686.32"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4,173.85",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.59%\nB) -2.23%\nC) 1.05%\nD) 4.33%",
"options": [
"A) -0.59%",
"B) -2.23%",
"C) 1.05%",
"D) 4.33%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.05%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.69%\nB) 6.29%\nC) 8.73%\nD) 6.90%",
"options": [
"A) 5.69%",
"B) 6.29%",
"C) 8.73%",
"D) 6.90%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) -9.50pp\nB) -4.38pp\nC) -24.87pp\nD) -19.75pp",
"options": [
"A) -9.50pp",
"B) -4.38pp",
"C) -24.87pp",
"D) -19.75pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-9.50pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.32%\nB) 1.92%\nC) 1.62%\nD) 2.83%",
"options": [
"A) 1.32%",
"B) 1.92%",
"C) 1.62%",
"D) 2.83%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.92%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) -8.67pp\nB) -6.13pp\nC) -7.40pp\nD) -3.59pp",
"options": [
"A) -8.67pp",
"B) -6.13pp",
"C) -7.40pp",
"D) -3.59pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-7.40pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TOTBKCR",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-06",
"question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) 6.66%\nB) 7.75%\nC) 8.84%\nD) 5.57%",
"options": [
"A) 6.66%",
"B) 7.75%",
"C) 8.84%",
"D) 5.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.57%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 113.17\nB) 118.30\nC) 106.32\nD) 109.75",
"options": [
"A) 113.17",
"B) 118.30",
"C) 106.32",
"D) 109.75"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "113.17",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 2.87%\nC) 4.61%\nD) 1.12%",
"options": [
"A) 4.03%",
"B) 2.87%",
"C) 4.61%",
"D) 1.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.87%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "T10Y2Y",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) +0.64pp\nB) +1.52pp\nC) +1.17pp\nD) +0.82pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.64pp",
"B) +1.52pp",
"C) +1.17pp",
"D) +0.82pp"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "+1.17pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 11.78%\nB) 16.46%\nC) 25.83%\nD) 18.80%",
"options": [
"A) 11.78%",
"B) 16.46%",
"C) 25.83%",
"D) 18.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "18.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 35,625.40\nB) 39,686.80\nC) 37,656.10\nD) 31,564.00",
"options": [
"A) 35,625.40",
"B) 39,686.80",
"C) 37,656.10",
"D) 31,564.00"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "35,625.40",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.15%\nB) 25.56%\nC) 13.86%\nD) 60.67%",
"options": [
"A) 2.15%",
"B) 25.56%",
"C) 13.86%",
"D) 60.67%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "25.56%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 81.60%\nB) 75.53%\nC) 78.56%\nD) 70.97%",
"options": [
"A) 81.60%",
"B) 75.53%",
"C) 78.56%",
"D) 70.97%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "78.56%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 136,460K\nB) 151,656K\nC) 140,801K\nD) 147,314K",
"options": [
"A) 136,460K",
"B) 151,656K",
"C) 140,801K",
"D) 147,314K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "147,314K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.80%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 4.59%\nD) 1.02%",
"options": [
"A) 2.80%",
"B) 1.61%",
"C) 4.59%",
"D) 1.02%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "2.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.55pp\nB) +1.90pp\nC) +3.25pp\nD) +5.94pp",
"options": [
"A) +0.55pp",
"B) +1.90pp",
"C) +3.25pp",
"D) +5.94pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "+1.90pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 216.21\nB) 254.48\nC) 239.17\nD) 231.52",
"options": [
"A) 216.21",
"B) 254.48",
"C) 239.17",
"D) 231.52"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "239.17",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 10.53%\nB) 17.94%\nC) 15.47%\nD) 13.00%",
"options": [
"A) 10.53%",
"B) 17.94%",
"C) 15.47%",
"D) 13.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "13.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.92%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 5.53%\nD) 8.31%",
"options": [
"A) 6.92%",
"B) 4.14%",
"C) 5.53%",
"D) 8.31%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.92%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.30%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.49%",
"options": [
"A) 1.30%",
"B) 0.08%",
"C) 0.89%",
"D) 0.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 40,055.03\nB) 28,709.23\nC) 34,382.13\nD) 30,600.20",
"options": [
"A) 40,055.03",
"B) 28,709.23",
"C) 34,382.13",
"D) 30,600.20"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "34,382.13",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 0.46%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 0.04%",
"options": [
"A) 0.88%",
"B) 0.46%",
"C) 1.30%",
"D) 0.04%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.04%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 275.94\nB) 310.51\nC) 252.89\nD) 264.42",
"options": [
"A) 275.94",
"B) 310.51",
"C) 252.89",
"D) 264.42"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "275.94",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 21.67%\nB) 17.59%\nC) 5.37%\nD) 13.52%",
"options": [
"A) 21.67%",
"B) 17.59%",
"C) 5.37%",
"D) 13.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "17.59%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXJPUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 116.7928\nB) 119.6256\nC) 113.9600\nD) 111.1272",
"options": [
"A) 116.7928",
"B) 119.6256",
"C) 113.9600",
"D) 111.1272"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "113.9600",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -7.80%\nB) -12.03%\nC) 0.67%\nD) -5.68%",
"options": [
"A) -7.80%",
"B) -12.03%",
"C) 0.67%",
"D) -5.68%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-5.68%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 31.64%\nB) 43.30%\nC) 66.61%\nD) 54.96%",
"options": [
"A) 31.64%",
"B) 43.30%",
"C) 66.61%",
"D) 54.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "31.64%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS5",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 0.82%\nC) 0.40%\nD) 1.65%",
"options": [
"A) 2.07%",
"B) 0.82%",
"C) 0.40%",
"D) 1.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.82%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 9.78%\nB) 10.59%\nC) 12.19%\nD) 13.00%",
"options": [
"A) 9.78%",
"B) 10.59%",
"C) 12.19%",
"D) 13.00%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "12.19%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $-84,224M\nB) $-93,822M\nC) $-74,626M\nD) $-79,425M",
"options": [
"A) $-84,224M",
"B) $-93,822M",
"C) $-74,626M",
"D) $-79,425M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$-79,425M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-level-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 4,682.80\nB) 4,994.22\nC) 3,748.54\nD) 4,371.38",
"options": [
"A) 4,682.80",
"B) 4,994.22",
"C) 3,748.54",
"D) 4,371.38"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4,682.80",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 112.47\nB) 106.50\nC) 104.11\nD) 108.89",
"options": [
"A) 112.47",
"B) 106.50",
"C) 104.11",
"D) 108.89"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "106.50",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 138.09\nB) 124.86\nC) 131.47\nD) 120.45",
"options": [
"A) 138.09",
"B) 124.86",
"C) 131.47",
"D) 120.45"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "131.47",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 10.95%\nB) 24.06%\nC) 43.72%\nD) 30.62%",
"options": [
"A) 10.95%",
"B) 24.06%",
"C) 43.72%",
"D) 30.62%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "30.62%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.20%\nB) 8.47%\nC) 5.07%\nD) 3.93%",
"options": [
"A) 6.20%",
"B) 8.47%",
"C) 5.07%",
"D) 3.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 32.53%\nB) 45.53%\nC) 52.03%\nD) 58.53%",
"options": [
"A) 32.53%",
"B) 45.53%",
"C) 52.03%",
"D) 58.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "45.53%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.71%\nB) 6.54%\nC) 5.32%\nD) 4.10%",
"options": [
"A) 4.71%",
"B) 6.54%",
"C) 5.32%",
"D) 4.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.32%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 9.75%\nB) 1.06%\nC) 5.40%\nD) 14.09%",
"options": [
"A) 9.75%",
"B) 1.06%",
"C) 5.40%",
"D) 14.09%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "14.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS2",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 0.21%\nB) 1.12%\nC) 1.57%\nD) 0.66%",
"options": [
"A) 0.21%",
"B) 1.12%",
"C) 1.57%",
"D) 0.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.21%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 121.99\nB) 125.30\nC) 128.61\nD) 118.68",
"options": [
"A) 121.99",
"B) 125.30",
"C) 128.61",
"D) 118.68"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "125.30",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 52.21%\nB) 40.44%\nC) 46.32%\nD) 63.98%",
"options": [
"A) 52.21%",
"B) 40.44%",
"C) 46.32%",
"D) 63.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "46.32%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NEWORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 11.10%\nB) 3.05%\nC) 27.20%\nD) 15.12%",
"options": [
"A) 11.10%",
"B) 3.05%",
"C) 27.20%",
"D) 15.12%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "15.12%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DJIA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 7.23%\nB) 23.04%\nC) -3.31%\nD) -8.59%",
"options": [
"A) 7.23%",
"B) 23.04%",
"C) -3.31%",
"D) -8.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7.23%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CIVPART",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 62.63%\nB) 61.40%\nC) 64.47%\nD) 60.17%",
"options": [
"A) 62.63%",
"B) 61.40%",
"C) 64.47%",
"D) 60.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "61.40%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "ICSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-06",
"question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-06.)\n\nA) 1,223,173\nB) 845,087\nC) 467,000\nD) 1,601,260",
"options": [
"A) 1,223,173",
"B) 845,087",
"C) 467,000",
"D) 1,601,260"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "467,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,339K\nB) 1,509K\nC) 1,424K\nD) 1,594K",
"options": [
"A) 1,339K",
"B) 1,509K",
"C) 1,424K",
"D) 1,594K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1,594K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $268,650M\nB) $242,447M\nC) $277,384M\nD) $294,853M",
"options": [
"A) $268,650M",
"B) $242,447M",
"C) $277,384M",
"D) $294,853M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$268,650M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 25.52%\nB) 19.96%\nC) 21.81%\nD) 16.25%",
"options": [
"A) 25.52%",
"B) 19.96%",
"C) 21.81%",
"D) 16.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "19.96%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 25.99%\nB) -4.99%\nC) 10.50%\nD) 18.25%",
"options": [
"A) 25.99%",
"B) -4.99%",
"C) 10.50%",
"D) 18.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "10.50%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 52.91\nB) 72.23\nC) 57.74\nD) 67.40",
"options": [
"A) 52.91",
"B) 72.23",
"C) 57.74",
"D) 67.40"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "67.40",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "EMRATIO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 57.60%\nB) 62.57%\nC) 55.61%\nD) 59.59%",
"options": [
"A) 57.60%",
"B) 62.57%",
"C) 55.61%",
"D) 59.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "57.60%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UMCSENT",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) -19.11pp\nB) -3.80pp\nC) +11.51pp\nD) -14.00pp",
"options": [
"A) -19.11pp",
"B) -3.80pp",
"C) +11.51pp",
"D) -14.00pp"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-3.80pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 80.76%\nB) 73.18%\nC) 77.73%\nD) 83.80%",
"options": [
"A) 80.76%",
"B) 73.18%",
"C) 77.73%",
"D) 83.80%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "77.73%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 3.85%\nC) 5.72%\nD) 4.97%",
"options": [
"A) 4.23%",
"B) 3.85%",
"C) 5.72%",
"D) 4.97%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.97%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -3.20pp\nB) -4.93pp\nC) +1.97pp\nD) -8.38pp",
"options": [
"A) -3.20pp",
"B) -4.93pp",
"C) +1.97pp",
"D) -8.38pp"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-3.20pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 17.81%\nB) 15.67%\nC) 11.41%\nD) 19.94%",
"options": [
"A) 17.81%",
"B) 15.67%",
"C) 11.41%",
"D) 19.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "15.67%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $15,593B\nB) $15,213B\nC) $15,974B\nD) $14,832B",
"options": [
"A) $15,593B",
"B) $15,213B",
"C) $15,974B",
"D) $14,832B"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$15,974B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.78%\nB) 12.26%\nC) 6.66%\nD) 10.02%",
"options": [
"A) 7.78%",
"B) 12.26%",
"C) 6.66%",
"D) 10.02%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "10.02%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 57.67%\nB) 68.41%\nC) 36.21%\nD) 46.94%",
"options": [
"A) 57.67%",
"B) 68.41%",
"C) 36.21%",
"D) 46.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "57.67%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $17,781B\nB) $19,642B\nC) $22,432B\nD) $20,572B",
"options": [
"A) $17,781B",
"B) $19,642B",
"C) $22,432B",
"D) $20,572B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$19,642B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 12.60%\nB) 25.89%\nC) 17.03%\nD) 3.74%",
"options": [
"A) 12.60%",
"B) 25.89%",
"C) 17.03%",
"D) 3.74%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "17.03%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 104.63\nB) 108.39\nC) 95.22\nD) 100.87",
"options": [
"A) 104.63",
"B) 108.39",
"C) 95.22",
"D) 100.87"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "100.87",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.94%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 9.25%\nD) 11.57%",
"options": [
"A) 6.94%",
"B) 2.30%",
"C) 9.25%",
"D) 11.57%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DSPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $20,189B\nB) $18,600B\nC) $17,806B\nD) $20,984B",
"options": [
"A) $20,189B",
"B) $18,600B",
"C) $17,806B",
"D) $20,984B"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$18,600B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $5,447M\nD) $6,200,000M",
"options": [
"A) $2,400,000M",
"B) $4,300,000M",
"C) $5,447M",
"D) $6,200,000M"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "$5,447M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) +13.48pp\nB) +10.01pp\nC) +6.54pp\nD) +11.74pp",
"options": [
"A) +13.48pp",
"B) +10.01pp",
"C) +6.54pp",
"D) +11.74pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+11.74pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS10",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.30%\nB) 0.20%\nC) 0.56%\nD) 0.93%",
"options": [
"A) 1.30%",
"B) 0.20%",
"C) 0.56%",
"D) 0.93%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.06%\nB) 13.30%\nC) -5.05%\nD) 25.53%",
"options": [
"A) 1.06%",
"B) 13.30%",
"C) -5.05%",
"D) 25.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "13.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 8.16\nB) 30.32\nC) 21.46\nD) 25.89",
"options": [
"A) 8.16",
"B) 30.32",
"C) 21.46",
"D) 25.89"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "21.46",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-level-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 4,201.61\nB) 4,757.81\nC) 5,035.91\nD) 4,479.71",
"options": [
"A) 4,201.61",
"B) 4,757.81",
"C) 5,035.91",
"D) 4,479.71"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,479.71",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 6.4367\nB) 5.8867\nC) 6.7667\nD) 6.1067",
"options": [
"A) 6.4367",
"B) 5.8867",
"C) 6.7667",
"D) 6.1067"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.4367",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "AHETPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.66%\nB) 5.08%\nC) 6.82%\nD) 3.91%",
"options": [
"A) 5.66%",
"B) 5.08%",
"C) 6.82%",
"D) 3.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILWTICO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 79.52%\nB) 131.49%\nC) 157.47%\nD) 209.43%",
"options": [
"A) 79.52%",
"B) 131.49%",
"C) 157.47%",
"D) 209.43%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "157.47%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 18,698.49\nB) 13,009.21\nC) 20,120.81\nD) 15,853.85",
"options": [
"A) 18,698.49",
"B) 13,009.21",
"C) 20,120.81",
"D) 15,853.85"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "15,853.85",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-SP500-level-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 3,932.59\nB) 3,517.46\nC) 4,347.72\nD) 3,725.02",
"options": [
"A) 3,932.59",
"B) 3,517.46",
"C) 4,347.72",
"D) 3,725.02"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3,932.59",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 52.06%\nB) 17.33%\nC) -5.82%\nD) 40.49%",
"options": [
"A) 52.06%",
"B) 17.33%",
"C) -5.82%",
"D) 40.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "17.33%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CSUSHPINSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 278.60\nB) 288.48\nC) 268.71\nD) 298.37",
"options": [
"A) 278.60",
"B) 288.48",
"C) 268.71",
"D) 298.37"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "268.71",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS30",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.65%\nB) 3.25%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 2.35%",
"options": [
"A) 2.65%",
"B) 3.25%",
"C) 2.05%",
"D) 2.35%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.35%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "RSAFS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $544,891M\nB) $560,128M\nC) $514,417M\nD) $575,365M",
"options": [
"A) $544,891M",
"B) $560,128M",
"C) $514,417M",
"D) $575,365M"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "$544,891M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOPGSTB",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $-85,695M\nB) $-72,588M\nC) $-68,219M\nD) $-81,326M",
"options": [
"A) $-85,695M",
"B) $-72,588M",
"C) $-68,219M",
"D) $-81,326M"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$-72,588M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 94.39\nB) 109.46\nC) 100.04\nD) 103.81",
"options": [
"A) 94.39",
"B) 109.46",
"C) 100.04",
"D) 103.81"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "100.04",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DTWEXBGS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 106.00\nB) 119.69\nC) 116.27\nD) 111.14",
"options": [
"A) 106.00",
"B) 119.69",
"C) 116.27",
"D) 111.14"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "111.14",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.07%\nB) 4.54%\nC) 3.38%\nD) 4.77%",
"options": [
"A) 4.07%",
"B) 4.54%",
"C) 3.38%",
"D) 4.77%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.07%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGORDER",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 34.53%\nB) 16.49%\nC) 10.48%\nD) -1.55%",
"options": [
"A) 34.53%",
"B) 16.49%",
"C) 10.48%",
"D) -1.55%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "16.49%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 284.20\nB) 264.99\nC) 272.68\nD) 291.88",
"options": [
"A) 284.20",
"B) 264.99",
"C) 272.68",
"D) 291.88"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "272.68",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.72%\nB) 4.19%\nC) 6.59%\nD) 5.15%",
"options": [
"A) 3.72%",
"B) 4.19%",
"C) 6.59%",
"D) 5.15%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.15%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.26%\nB) 6.99%\nC) 1.54%\nD) 9.71%",
"options": [
"A) 4.26%",
"B) 6.99%",
"C) 1.54%",
"D) 9.71%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,617K\nB) 1,705K\nC) 1,529K\nD) 1,793K",
"options": [
"A) 1,617K",
"B) 1,705K",
"C) 1,529K",
"D) 1,793K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1,705K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "HOUST",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,434K\nB) 1,666K\nC) 1,589K\nD) 1,821K",
"options": [
"A) 1,434K",
"B) 1,666K",
"C) 1,589K",
"D) 1,821K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,589K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "BOGMBASE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,329M",
"options": [
"A) $2,400,000M",
"B) $6,200,000M",
"C) $4,300,000M",
"D) $6,329M"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$6,329M",
"unit": "usd_million",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PPIFIS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 8.62%\nB) 7.74%\nC) 10.37%\nD) 6.86%",
"options": [
"A) 8.62%",
"B) 7.74%",
"C) 10.37%",
"D) 6.86%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "8.62%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20210515",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-05-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 66.99%\nB) 50.16%\nC) 75.41%\nD) 24.91%",
"options": [
"A) 66.99%",
"B) 50.16%",
"C) 75.41%",
"D) 24.91%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "50.16%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20211101",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "INDPRO",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 6.64%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 12.14%",
"options": [
"A) 1.15%",
"B) 6.64%",
"C) 3.90%",
"D) 12.14%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.90%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-08",
"question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 50.82%\nB) 9.40%\nC) 59.11%\nD) 34.25%",
"options": [
"A) 50.82%",
"B) 9.40%",
"C) 59.11%",
"D) 34.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "34.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 10.86%\nB) 59.54%\nC) -5.36%\nD) -37.81%",
"options": [
"A) 10.86%",
"B) 59.54%",
"C) -5.36%",
"D) -37.81%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "10.86%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20210815",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "MORTGAGE30US",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-08-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-06",
"question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) 2.57%\nB) 2.87%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 3.78%",
"options": [
"A) 2.57%",
"B) 2.87%",
"C) 1.96%",
"D) 3.78%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.87%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DGS3MO",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.93%\nB) 0.49%\nC) 0.05%\nD) 1.37%",
"options": [
"A) 0.93%",
"B) 0.49%",
"C) 0.05%",
"D) 1.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.05%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "UNRATE",
"transform": "yoy_pp",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) +5.23pp\nB) -1.10pp\nC) +0.17pp\nD) +2.70pp",
"options": [
"A) +5.23pp",
"B) -1.10pp",
"C) +0.17pp",
"D) +2.70pp"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "+2.70pp",
"unit": "pp",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 4.20%\nC) 5.35%\nD) 5.74%",
"options": [
"A) 4.58%",
"B) 4.20%",
"C) 5.35%",
"D) 5.74%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4.58%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CCSA",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-06",
"question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-06.)\n\nA) 8,999,023\nB) 4,495,000\nC) 11,251,035\nD) 2,242,988",
"options": [
"A) 8,999,023",
"B) 4,495,000",
"C) 11,251,035",
"D) 2,242,988"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4,495,000",
"unit": "count",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PSAVERT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.80%\nB) 12.73%\nC) 10.00%\nD) 4.54%",
"options": [
"A) 1.80%",
"B) 12.73%",
"C) 10.00%",
"D) 4.54%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "10.00%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCE",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $17,728B\nB) $15,975B\nC) $17,290B\nD) $16,413B",
"options": [
"A) $17,728B",
"B) $15,975B",
"C) $17,290B",
"D) $16,413B"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "$16,413B",
"unit": "usd_billion",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "M2SL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 13.20%\nB) 1.92%\nC) 24.48%\nD) 5.68%",
"options": [
"A) 13.20%",
"B) 1.92%",
"C) 24.48%",
"D) 5.68%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "13.20%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.51%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 0.94%",
"options": [
"A) 0.51%",
"B) 0.09%",
"C) 1.36%",
"D) 0.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20210201",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PERMIT",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,786K\nB) 1,636K\nC) 1,711K\nD) 1,485K",
"options": [
"A) 1,786K",
"B) 1,636K",
"C) 1,711K",
"D) 1,485K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1,711K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "CPILFESL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.53%\nB) 3.35%\nC) 3.65%\nD) 3.94%",
"options": [
"A) 4.53%",
"B) 3.35%",
"C) 3.65%",
"D) 3.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3.94%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "TCU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 76.93%\nB) 72.39%\nC) 69.36%\nD) 79.96%",
"options": [
"A) 76.93%",
"B) 72.39%",
"C) 69.36%",
"D) 79.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "76.93%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20211115",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-11-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-08",
"question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) $88.65/bbl\nB) $81.94/bbl\nC) $68.52/bbl\nD) $75.23/bbl",
"options": [
"A) $88.65/bbl",
"B) $81.94/bbl",
"C) $68.52/bbl",
"D) $75.23/bbl"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "$81.94/bbl",
"unit": "usd_per_barrel",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 111.79\nB) 105.76\nC) 108.17\nD) 114.20",
"options": [
"A) 111.79",
"B) 105.76",
"C) 108.17",
"D) 114.20"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "108.17",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20210801",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PCEPI",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-01",
"question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 103.06\nB) 107.03\nC) 113.64\nD) 109.67",
"options": [
"A) 103.06",
"B) 107.03",
"C) 113.64",
"D) 109.67"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "109.67",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 0.06%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 0.88%",
"options": [
"A) 0.06%",
"B) 0.47%",
"C) 1.30%",
"D) 0.88%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.06%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20210501",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-31",
"question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.36%\nB) 9.04%\nC) 7.15%\nD) 5.26%",
"options": [
"A) 3.36%",
"B) 9.04%",
"C) 7.15%",
"D) 5.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "9.04%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20210215",
"forecastType": "Recurrent",
"subtype": "recurrent",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "2021-02-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-08",
"question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 6.6766\nB) 6.2368\nC) 6.4567\nD) 6.8964",
"options": [
"A) 6.6766",
"B) 6.2368",
"C) 6.4567",
"D) 6.8964"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.4567",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"condition": "forecast",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 27.44\nB) 16.14\nC) 21.79\nD) 33.09",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 27.44",
"B) 16.14",
"C) 21.79",
"D) 33.09"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "33.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 27.44\nB) 16.14\nC) 21.79\nD) 33.09",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 27.44",
"B) 16.14",
"C) 21.79",
"D) 33.09"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "33.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 33.09\nB) 21.79\nC) 16.14\nD) 27.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 33.09",
"B) 21.79",
"C) 16.14",
"D) 27.44"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "33.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 33.09\nB) 21.79\nC) 16.14\nD) 27.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 33.09",
"B) 21.79",
"C) 16.14",
"D) 27.44"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "33.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 38.74\nB) 33.09\nC) 27.44\nD) 21.79",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 38.74",
"B) 33.09",
"C) 27.44",
"D) 21.79"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "33.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 38.74\nB) 33.09\nC) 27.44\nD) 21.79",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 38.74",
"B) 33.09",
"C) 27.44",
"D) 21.79"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "33.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 44.39\nB) 16.14\nC) 33.09\nD) 38.74",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 44.39",
"B) 16.14",
"C) 33.09",
"D) 38.74"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "33.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 44.39\nB) 16.14\nC) 33.09\nD) 38.74",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 44.39",
"B) 16.14",
"C) 33.09",
"D) 38.74"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "33.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 50.04\nB) 44.39\nC) 38.74\nD) 33.09",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 50.04",
"B) 44.39",
"C) 38.74",
"D) 33.09"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "33.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 50.04\nB) 44.39\nC) 38.74\nD) 33.09",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 50.04",
"B) 44.39",
"C) 38.74",
"D) 33.09"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "33.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 33.09\nB) 38.74\nC) 21.79\nD) 50.04",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 33.09",
"B) 38.74",
"C) 21.79",
"D) 50.04"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "33.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 33.09\nB) 38.74\nC) 21.79\nD) 50.04",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 33.09",
"B) 38.74",
"C) 21.79",
"D) 50.04"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "33.09",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,231.13\nB) 13,070.69\nC) 13,910.25\nD) 10,552.02",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 12,231.13",
"B) 13,070.69",
"C) 13,910.25",
"D) 10,552.02"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "13,070.69",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,231.13\nB) 13,070.69\nC) 13,910.25\nD) 10,552.02",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 12,231.13",
"B) 13,070.69",
"C) 13,910.25",
"D) 10,552.02"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "13,070.69",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,231.13\nB) 15,589.36\nC) 13,070.69\nD) 14,749.81",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 12,231.13",
"B) 15,589.36",
"C) 13,070.69",
"D) 14,749.81"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "13,070.69",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,231.13\nB) 15,589.36\nC) 13,070.69\nD) 14,749.81",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 12,231.13",
"B) 15,589.36",
"C) 13,070.69",
"D) 14,749.81"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "13,070.69",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,589.36\nB) 11,391.57\nC) 10,552.02\nD) 13,070.69",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 15,589.36",
"B) 11,391.57",
"C) 10,552.02",
"D) 13,070.69"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "13,070.69",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,589.36\nB) 11,391.57\nC) 10,552.02\nD) 13,070.69",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 15,589.36",
"B) 11,391.57",
"C) 10,552.02",
"D) 13,070.69"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "13,070.69",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,609.16\nB) 15,127.83\nC) 10,090.49\nD) 14,288.28",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 12,609.16",
"B) 15,127.83",
"C) 10,090.49",
"D) 14,288.28"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "12,609.16",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,609.16\nB) 15,127.83\nC) 10,090.49\nD) 14,288.28",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 12,609.16",
"B) 15,127.83",
"C) 10,090.49",
"D) 14,288.28"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "12,609.16",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,127.83\nB) 12,609.16\nC) 10,090.49\nD) 14,288.28",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 15,127.83",
"B) 12,609.16",
"C) 10,090.49",
"D) 14,288.28"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "12,609.16",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,127.83\nB) 12,609.16\nC) 10,090.49\nD) 14,288.28",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 15,127.83",
"B) 12,609.16",
"C) 10,090.49",
"D) 14,288.28"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "12,609.16",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 11,769.60\nB) 10,090.49\nC) 12,609.16\nD) 14,288.28",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 11,769.60",
"B) 10,090.49",
"C) 12,609.16",
"D) 14,288.28"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "12,609.16",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 11,769.60\nB) 10,090.49\nC) 12,609.16\nD) 14,288.28",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 11,769.60",
"B) 10,090.49",
"C) 12,609.16",
"D) 14,288.28"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "12,609.16",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 4,173.49\nB) 3,254.99\nC) 3,867.32\nD) 3,714.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 4,173.49",
"B) 3,254.99",
"C) 3,867.32",
"D) 3,714.24"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3,714.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-5d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 4,173.49\nB) 3,254.99\nC) 3,867.32\nD) 3,714.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 4,173.49",
"B) 3,254.99",
"C) 3,867.32",
"D) 3,714.24"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3,714.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-5d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 4,173.49\nC) 4,020.41\nD) 3,867.32",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 3,714.24",
"B) 4,173.49",
"C) 4,020.41",
"D) 3,867.32"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3,714.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-10d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 4,173.49\nC) 4,020.41\nD) 3,867.32",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 3,714.24",
"B) 4,173.49",
"C) 4,020.41",
"D) 3,867.32"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3,714.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-10d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 4,173.49\nB) 3,714.24\nC) 3,561.16\nD) 3,254.99",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 4,173.49",
"B) 3,714.24",
"C) 3,561.16",
"D) 3,254.99"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3,714.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-20d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 4,173.49\nB) 3,714.24\nC) 3,561.16\nD) 3,254.99",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 4,173.49",
"B) 3,714.24",
"C) 3,561.16",
"D) 3,254.99"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "3,714.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-20d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,408.07\nB) 3,561.16\nC) 3,714.24\nD) 3,254.99",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 3,408.07",
"B) 3,561.16",
"C) 3,714.24",
"D) 3,254.99"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3,714.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-40d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,408.07\nB) 3,561.16\nC) 3,714.24\nD) 3,254.99",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 3,408.07",
"B) 3,561.16",
"C) 3,714.24",
"D) 3,254.99"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3,714.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-40d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,254.99\nB) 3,867.32\nC) 3,561.16\nD) 3,714.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 3,254.99",
"B) 3,867.32",
"C) 3,561.16",
"D) 3,714.24"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3,714.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-60d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,254.99\nB) 3,867.32\nC) 3,561.16\nD) 3,714.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 3,254.99",
"B) 3,867.32",
"C) 3,561.16",
"D) 3,714.24"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "3,714.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-60d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 4,020.41\nC) 4,173.49\nD) 3,561.16",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 3,714.24",
"B) 4,020.41",
"C) 4,173.49",
"D) 3,561.16"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3,714.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-120d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 4,020.41\nC) 4,173.49\nD) 3,561.16",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-26",
"options": [
"A) 3,714.24",
"B) 4,020.41",
"C) 4,173.49",
"D) 3,561.16"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3,714.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "GameStop short squeeze",
"event_date": "2021-01-27",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-120d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 11,492.44\nB) 15,052.24\nC) 13,865.64\nD) 17,425.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 11,492.44",
"B) 15,052.24",
"C) 13,865.64",
"D) 17,425.44"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "15,052.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 11,492.44\nB) 15,052.24\nC) 13,865.64\nD) 17,425.44",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 11,492.44",
"B) 15,052.24",
"C) 13,865.64",
"D) 17,425.44"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "15,052.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 12,679.04\nB) 16,238.84\nC) 15,052.24\nD) 18,612.04",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 12,679.04",
"B) 16,238.84",
"C) 15,052.24",
"D) 18,612.04"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "15,052.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 12,679.04\nB) 16,238.84\nC) 15,052.24\nD) 18,612.04",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 12,679.04",
"B) 16,238.84",
"C) 15,052.24",
"D) 18,612.04"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "15,052.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 13,865.64\nB) 16,238.84\nC) 12,679.04\nD) 15,052.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 13,865.64",
"B) 16,238.84",
"C) 12,679.04",
"D) 15,052.24"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "15,052.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 13,865.64\nB) 16,238.84\nC) 12,679.04\nD) 15,052.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 13,865.64",
"B) 16,238.84",
"C) 12,679.04",
"D) 15,052.24"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "15,052.24",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 15,982.36\nB) 19,542.16\nC) 18,355.56\nD) 14,795.76",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 15,982.36",
"B) 19,542.16",
"C) 18,355.56",
"D) 14,795.76"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "15,982.36",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 15,982.36\nB) 19,542.16\nC) 18,355.56\nD) 14,795.76",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 15,982.36",
"B) 19,542.16",
"C) 18,355.56",
"D) 14,795.76"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "15,982.36",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 12,497.64\nB) 16,057.44\nC) 13,684.24\nD) 19,617.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 12,497.64",
"B) 16,057.44",
"C) 13,684.24",
"D) 19,617.24"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "16,057.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 12,497.64\nB) 16,057.44\nC) 13,684.24\nD) 19,617.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 12,497.64",
"B) 16,057.44",
"C) 13,684.24",
"D) 19,617.24"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "16,057.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 18,430.64\nB) 17,244.04\nC) 16,057.44\nD) 19,617.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 18,430.64",
"B) 17,244.04",
"C) 16,057.44",
"D) 19,617.24"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "16,057.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 18,430.64\nB) 17,244.04\nC) 16,057.44\nD) 19,617.24",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 18,430.64",
"B) 17,244.04",
"C) 16,057.44",
"D) 19,617.24"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "16,057.44",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-5d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,085.79\nB) 3,549.00\nC) 4,622.59\nD) 4,354.19",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 4,085.79",
"B) 3,549.00",
"C) 4,622.59",
"D) 4,354.19"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,354.19",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-5d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-5d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,085.79\nB) 3,549.00\nC) 4,622.59\nD) 4,354.19",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 4,085.79",
"B) 3,549.00",
"C) 4,622.59",
"D) 4,354.19"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,354.19",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-5d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-10d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,300.46\nB) 4,568.86\nC) 3,763.67\nD) 4,837.25",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 4,300.46",
"B) 4,568.86",
"C) 3,763.67",
"D) 4,837.25"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4,300.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-10d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-10d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,300.46\nB) 4,568.86\nC) 3,763.67\nD) 4,837.25",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 4,300.46",
"B) 4,568.86",
"C) 3,763.67",
"D) 4,837.25"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4,300.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-10d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-20d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 3,763.67\nB) 4,300.46\nC) 4,837.25\nD) 3,495.27",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 3,763.67",
"B) 4,300.46",
"C) 4,837.25",
"D) 3,495.27"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4,300.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-20d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-20d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 3,763.67\nB) 4,300.46\nC) 4,837.25\nD) 3,495.27",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 3,763.67",
"B) 4,300.46",
"C) 4,837.25",
"D) 3,495.27"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "4,300.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-20d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-40d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 3,495.27\nB) 5,105.65\nC) 4,300.46\nD) 4,837.25",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 3,495.27",
"B) 5,105.65",
"C) 4,300.46",
"D) 4,837.25"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4,300.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-40d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-40d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 3,495.27\nB) 5,105.65\nC) 4,300.46\nD) 4,837.25",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 3,495.27",
"B) 5,105.65",
"C) 4,300.46",
"D) 4,837.25"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "4,300.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-40d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-60d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5,105.65\nB) 3,495.27\nC) 4,032.06\nD) 4,300.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 5,105.65",
"B) 3,495.27",
"C) 4,032.06",
"D) 4,300.46"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,300.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-60d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-60d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5,105.65\nB) 3,495.27\nC) 4,032.06\nD) 4,300.46",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 5,105.65",
"B) 3,495.27",
"C) 4,032.06",
"D) 4,300.46"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4,300.46",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-60d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-120d-min",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,170.70\nB) 4,707.49\nC) 4,975.89\nD) 3,633.91",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 4,170.70",
"B) 4,707.49",
"C) 4,975.89",
"D) 3,633.91"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4,170.70",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-120d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-120d-min",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,170.70\nB) 4,707.49\nC) 4,975.89\nD) 3,633.91",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "SP500",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 4,170.70",
"B) 4,707.49",
"C) 4,975.89",
"D) 3,633.91"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "4,170.70",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-120d-min",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.5983\nB) 6.4660\nC) 6.8629\nD) 6.3337",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 6.5983",
"B) 6.4660",
"C) 6.8629",
"D) 6.3337"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.4660",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.5983\nB) 6.4660\nC) 6.8629\nD) 6.3337",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 6.5983",
"B) 6.4660",
"C) 6.8629",
"D) 6.3337"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.4660",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.0733\nB) 6.3379\nC) 6.4702\nD) 6.8671",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 6.0733",
"B) 6.3379",
"C) 6.4702",
"D) 6.8671"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.4702",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.0733\nB) 6.3379\nC) 6.4702\nD) 6.8671",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 6.0733",
"B) 6.3379",
"C) 6.4702",
"D) 6.8671"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.4702",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.0733\nB) 6.7348\nC) 6.2056\nD) 6.4702",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 6.0733",
"B) 6.7348",
"C) 6.2056",
"D) 6.4702"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.4702",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.0733\nB) 6.7348\nC) 6.2056\nD) 6.4702",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 6.0733",
"B) 6.7348",
"C) 6.2056",
"D) 6.4702"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.4702",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.4702\nB) 6.2056\nC) 6.8671\nD) 6.3379",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 6.4702",
"B) 6.2056",
"C) 6.8671",
"D) 6.3379"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.4702",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.4702\nB) 6.2056\nC) 6.8671\nD) 6.3379",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 6.4702",
"B) 6.2056",
"C) 6.8671",
"D) 6.3379"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "6.4702",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.2056\nB) 6.4702\nC) 6.6025\nD) 6.3379",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 6.2056",
"B) 6.4702",
"C) 6.6025",
"D) 6.3379"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.4702",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.2056\nB) 6.4702\nC) 6.6025\nD) 6.3379",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 6.2056",
"B) 6.4702",
"C) 6.6025",
"D) 6.3379"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "6.4702",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.8671\nB) 6.3379\nC) 6.4702\nD) 6.2056",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 6.8671",
"B) 6.3379",
"C) 6.4702",
"D) 6.2056"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.4702",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.8671\nB) 6.3379\nC) 6.4702\nD) 6.2056",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "DEXCHUS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 6.8671",
"B) 6.3379",
"C) 6.4702",
"D) 6.2056"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "6.4702",
"unit": "fx_rate",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 29.74\nB) 35.12\nC) 13.60\nD) 24.36",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 29.74",
"B) 35.12",
"C) 13.60",
"D) 24.36"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "24.36",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 29.74\nB) 35.12\nC) 13.60\nD) 24.36",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 29.74",
"B) 35.12",
"C) 13.60",
"D) 24.36"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "24.36",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 24.36\nB) 35.12\nC) 18.98\nD) 29.74",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 24.36",
"B) 35.12",
"C) 18.98",
"D) 29.74"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "24.36",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 24.36\nB) 35.12\nC) 18.98\nD) 29.74",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 24.36",
"B) 35.12",
"C) 18.98",
"D) 29.74"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "24.36",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 35.12\nB) 24.36\nC) 18.98\nD) 29.74",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 35.12",
"B) 24.36",
"C) 18.98",
"D) 29.74"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "24.36",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 35.12\nB) 24.36\nC) 18.98\nD) 29.74",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 35.12",
"B) 24.36",
"C) 18.98",
"D) 29.74"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "24.36",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 29.74\nB) 18.98\nC) 24.36\nD) 35.12",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 29.74",
"B) 18.98",
"C) 24.36",
"D) 35.12"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "24.36",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 29.74\nB) 18.98\nC) 24.36\nD) 35.12",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 29.74",
"B) 18.98",
"C) 24.36",
"D) 35.12"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "24.36",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 36.50\nB) 14.99\nC) 41.88\nD) 31.12",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 36.50",
"B) 14.99",
"C) 41.88",
"D) 31.12"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "31.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 36.50\nB) 14.99\nC) 41.88\nD) 31.12",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 36.50",
"B) 14.99",
"C) 41.88",
"D) 31.12"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "31.12",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-max",
"condition": "blind",
"question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 36.45\nB) 25.69\nC) 47.21\nD) 20.32",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 36.45",
"B) 25.69",
"C) 47.21",
"D) 20.32"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "36.45",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-max",
"condition": "revealed",
"question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 36.45\nB) 25.69\nC) 47.21\nD) 20.32",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "shock_aftermath",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-17",
"options": [
"A) 36.45",
"B) 25.69",
"C) 47.21",
"D) 20.32"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "36.45",
"unit": "index",
"event_label": "Evergrande default fears",
"event_date": "2021-09-20",
"pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-max",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-01-27",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-24",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-01-27, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-24.)\n\nA) 1.30%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.49%",
"options": [
"A) 1.30%",
"B) 0.08%",
"C) 0.89%",
"D) 0.49%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-03-17",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "April 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-14",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-03-17, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-14.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 0.48%\nC) 0.07%\nD) 1.31%",
"options": [
"A) 0.89%",
"B) 0.48%",
"C) 0.07%",
"D) 1.31%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.07%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-04-28",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-04-25",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-04-28, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-25.)\n\nA) 0.48%\nB) 0.89%\nC) 1.31%\nD) 0.06%",
"options": [
"A) 0.48%",
"B) 0.89%",
"C) 1.31%",
"D) 0.06%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.06%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-06-16",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "July 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-06-13",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-06-16, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for July 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-13.)\n\nA) 0.10%\nB) 0.94%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 0.52%",
"options": [
"A) 0.10%",
"B) 0.94%",
"C) 1.36%",
"D) 0.52%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.10%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-07-28",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-25",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-07-28, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.51%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 0.94%",
"options": [
"A) 0.51%",
"B) 0.09%",
"C) 1.36%",
"D) 0.94%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-09-22",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "October 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-19",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-09-22, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for October 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-19.)\n\nA) 0.51%\nB) 0.94%\nC) 0.08%\nD) 1.37%",
"options": [
"A) 0.51%",
"B) 0.94%",
"C) 0.08%",
"D) 1.37%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-11-03",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "December 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-31",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-11-03, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for December 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-31.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 0.94%\nC) 0.51%\nD) 0.08%",
"options": [
"A) 1.37%",
"B) 0.94%",
"C) 0.51%",
"D) 0.08%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-12-15",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "fomc_rate",
"indicator": "FEDFUNDS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "January 2022",
"info_cutoff": "2021-12-12",
"question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-12-15, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for January 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-12.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 0.52%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 0.96%",
"options": [
"A) 0.08%",
"B) 0.52%",
"C) 1.39%",
"D) 0.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-202101",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "January 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-29",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for January 2021 (released around 2021-02-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) -2,470K\nB) 315K\nC) 3,100K\nD) -1,078K",
"options": [
"A) -2,470K",
"B) 315K",
"C) 3,100K",
"D) -1,078K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "315K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-202102",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "February 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-26",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for February 2021 (released around 2021-03-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-26.)\n\nA) 1,910K\nB) 3,303K\nC) 517K\nD) -876K",
"options": [
"A) 1,910K",
"B) 3,303K",
"C) 517K",
"D) -876K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "517K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-202103",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "March 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-26",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for March 2021 (released around 2021-04-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-26.)\n\nA) 5,034K\nB) -3,330K\nC) -1,936K\nD) 852K",
"options": [
"A) 5,034K",
"B) -3,330K",
"C) -1,936K",
"D) 852K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "852K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-202104",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "April 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-04-30",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for April 2021 (released around 2021-05-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-30.)\n\nA) 355K\nB) -1,039K\nC) 4,538K\nD) 1,749K",
"options": [
"A) 355K",
"B) -1,039K",
"C) 4,538K",
"D) 1,749K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "355K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-202105",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "May 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-28",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for May 2021 (released around 2021-06-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-28.)\n\nA) 3,267K\nB) 478K\nC) 1,873K\nD) -917K",
"options": [
"A) 3,267K",
"B) 478K",
"C) 1,873K",
"D) -917K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "478K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-202106",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "June 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-06-25",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for June 2021 (released around 2021-07-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-25.)\n\nA) 2,150K\nB) -640K\nC) 755K\nD) -3,431K",
"options": [
"A) 2,150K",
"B) -640K",
"C) 755K",
"D) -3,431K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "755K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-202107",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "July 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-30",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for July 2021 (released around 2021-08-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-30.)\n\nA) 5,131K\nB) -3,247K\nC) 2,338K\nD) 942K",
"options": [
"A) 5,131K",
"B) -3,247K",
"C) 2,338K",
"D) 942K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "942K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-202108",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "August 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-27",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for August 2021 (released around 2021-09-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-27.)\n\nA) 552K\nB) -845K\nC) 1,949K\nD) -3,638K",
"options": [
"A) 552K",
"B) -845K",
"C) 1,949K",
"D) -3,638K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "552K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-202109",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "September 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-24",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for September 2021 (released around 2021-10-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-24.)\n\nA) -2,337K\nB) 457K\nC) 1,854K\nD) -940K",
"options": [
"A) -2,337K",
"B) 457K",
"C) 1,854K",
"D) -940K"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "457K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-202110",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "October 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-29",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for October 2021 (released around 2021-11-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-29.)\n\nA) 3,596K\nB) 2,199K\nC) 801K\nD) 4,994K",
"options": [
"A) 3,596K",
"B) 2,199K",
"C) 801K",
"D) 4,994K"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "801K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-202111",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "November 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-26",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for November 2021 (released around 2021-12-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-26.)\n\nA) 2,056K\nB) -3,537K\nC) -2,139K\nD) 658K",
"options": [
"A) 2,056K",
"B) -3,537K",
"C) -2,139K",
"D) 658K"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "658K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-nfp-202112",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nfp_change",
"indicator": "PAYEMS",
"transform": "mom_change",
"target_period": "December 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-12-31",
"question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for December 2021 (released around 2022-01-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-31.)\n\nA) 586K\nB) 1,985K\nC) -813K\nD) 3,383K",
"options": [
"A) 586K",
"B) 1,985K",
"C) -813K",
"D) 3,383K"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "586K",
"unit": "thousand_units",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-202101",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "January 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for January 2021 (released around 2021-02-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-06.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 0.76%\nD) 2.29%",
"options": [
"A) 1.68%",
"B) 1.37%",
"C) 0.76%",
"D) 2.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.37%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-202103",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "March 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-04-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for March 2021 (released around 2021-04-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-06.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 3.00%\nC) 2.67%\nD) 1.66%",
"options": [
"A) 2.00%",
"B) 3.00%",
"C) 2.67%",
"D) 1.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.67%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-202104",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "April 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for April 2021 (released around 2021-05-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-06.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 4.13%",
"options": [
"A) 4.90%",
"B) 3.75%",
"C) 2.98%",
"D) 4.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "4.13%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-202106",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "June 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for June 2021 (released around 2021-07-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-06.)\n\nA) 5.30%\nB) 3.86%\nC) 6.25%\nD) 4.82%",
"options": [
"A) 5.30%",
"B) 3.86%",
"C) 6.25%",
"D) 4.82%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.30%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-202107",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "July 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for July 2021 (released around 2021-08-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) 6.78%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 3.71%\nD) 5.76%",
"options": [
"A) 6.78%",
"B) 5.25%",
"C) 3.71%",
"D) 5.76%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "5.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-202109",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "September 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for September 2021 (released around 2021-10-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-06.)\n\nA) 4.13%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 5.35%\nD) 5.96%",
"options": [
"A) 4.13%",
"B) 3.53%",
"C) 5.35%",
"D) 5.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "5.35%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-202110",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "October 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for October 2021 (released around 2021-11-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-06.)\n\nA) 4.21%\nB) 7.59%\nC) 5.56%\nD) 6.24%",
"options": [
"A) 4.21%",
"B) 7.59%",
"C) 5.56%",
"D) 6.24%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "6.24%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-cpi-202112",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "cpi_yoy",
"indicator": "CPIAUCSL",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "December 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2022-01-06",
"question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for December 2021 (released around 2022-01-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-06.)\n\nA) 7.17%\nB) 6.36%\nC) 4.74%\nD) 7.99%",
"options": [
"A) 7.17%",
"B) 6.36%",
"C) 4.74%",
"D) 7.99%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "7.17%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-gdp-2021q1",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "gdp_yoy",
"indicator": "GDPC1",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "Q1 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-14",
"question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q1 2021 (advance estimate released around 2021-05-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-14.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 3.52%\nD) -1.64%",
"options": [
"A) 0.08%",
"B) 1.80%",
"C) 3.52%",
"D) -1.64%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.80%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-gdp-2021q2",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "gdp_yoy",
"indicator": "GDPC1",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "Q2 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-14",
"question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q2 2021 (advance estimate released around 2021-08-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-14.)\n\nA) 10.63%\nB) 8.88%\nC) 12.39%\nD) 7.13%",
"options": [
"A) 10.63%",
"B) 8.88%",
"C) 12.39%",
"D) 7.13%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "12.39%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-gdp-2021q3",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "gdp_yoy",
"indicator": "GDPC1",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "Q3 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-14",
"question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q3 2021 (advance estimate released around 2021-11-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-14.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) 8.74%\nC) -0.24%\nD) 5.15%",
"options": [
"A) 1.56%",
"B) 8.74%",
"C) -0.24%",
"D) 5.15%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "5.15%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-gdp-2021q4",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "gdp_yoy",
"indicator": "GDPC1",
"transform": "yoy_pct",
"target_period": "Q4 2021",
"info_cutoff": "2022-02-14",
"question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q4 2021 (advance estimate released around 2022-02-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-14.)\n\nA) 5.76%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 9.37%\nD) 11.17%",
"options": [
"A) 5.76%",
"B) 0.34%",
"C) 9.37%",
"D) 11.17%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.76%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210101",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-01-01",
"info_cutoff": "2020-12-25",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-01-01? (Use only information available on or before 2020-12-25.)\n\nA) 34.39\nB) 23.08\nC) 6.11\nD) 40.05",
"options": [
"A) 34.39",
"B) 23.08",
"C) 6.11",
"D) 40.05"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "23.08",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210108",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-01-08",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-01-08? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 43.92\nB) 21.32\nC) 26.97\nD) 10.02",
"options": [
"A) 43.92",
"B) 21.32",
"C) 26.97",
"D) 10.02"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "26.97",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210115",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-01-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-08",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-01-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-08.)\n\nA) 13.04\nB) 35.64\nC) 7.39\nD) 24.34",
"options": [
"A) 13.04",
"B) 35.64",
"C) 7.39",
"D) 24.34"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "24.34",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210205",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-29",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 30.24\nB) 18.92\nC) 24.58\nD) 41.56",
"options": [
"A) 30.24",
"B) 18.92",
"C) 24.58",
"D) 41.56"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "30.24",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210212",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-02-12",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-05",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-02-12? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-05.)\n\nA) 10.68\nB) 21.99\nC) 5.03\nD) 16.34",
"options": [
"A) 10.68",
"B) 21.99",
"C) 5.03",
"D) 16.34"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "21.99",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210219",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-02-19",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-12",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-02-19? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-12.)\n\nA) 28.13\nB) 11.20\nC) 22.49\nD) 16.85",
"options": [
"A) 28.13",
"B) 11.20",
"C) 22.49",
"D) 16.85"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "22.49",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210305",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-03-05",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-26",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-03-05? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-26.)\n\nA) 22.95\nB) 39.81\nC) 17.33\nD) 28.57",
"options": [
"A) 22.95",
"B) 39.81",
"C) 17.33",
"D) 28.57"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "28.57",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210312",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-03-12",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-05",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-03-12? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-05.)\n\nA) 25.47\nB) 8.64\nC) 14.25\nD) 31.08",
"options": [
"A) 25.47",
"B) 8.64",
"C) 14.25",
"D) 31.08"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "25.47",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210319",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-12",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-12.)\n\nA) 38.37\nB) 21.58\nC) 15.98\nD) 10.39",
"options": [
"A) 38.37",
"B) 21.58",
"C) 15.98",
"D) 10.39"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "21.58",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210402",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-04-02",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-26",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-26.)\n\nA) 15.18\nB) 37.43\nC) 20.74\nD) 31.87",
"options": [
"A) 15.18",
"B) 37.43",
"C) 20.74",
"D) 31.87"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "20.74",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210409",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-04-09",
"info_cutoff": "2021-04-02",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-02.)\n\nA) 34.78\nB) 7.01\nC) 23.67\nD) 18.12",
"options": [
"A) 34.78",
"B) 7.01",
"C) 23.67",
"D) 18.12"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "18.12",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210416",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-04-16",
"info_cutoff": "2021-04-09",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-04-16? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-09.)\n\nA) 16.99\nB) 33.61\nC) 28.07\nD) 11.45",
"options": [
"A) 16.99",
"B) 33.61",
"C) 28.07",
"D) 11.45"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "16.99",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210507",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-05-07",
"info_cutoff": "2021-04-30",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-05-07? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-30.)\n\nA) 24.97\nB) 19.48\nC) 30.46\nD) 8.50",
"options": [
"A) 24.97",
"B) 19.48",
"C) 30.46",
"D) 8.50"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "19.48",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210514",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-05-14",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-07",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-05-14? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-07.)\n\nA) 38.55\nB) 33.07\nC) 27.59\nD) 11.15",
"options": [
"A) 38.55",
"B) 33.07",
"C) 27.59",
"D) 11.15"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "27.59",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210521",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-05-21",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-14",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-05-21? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-14.)\n\nA) 5.75\nB) 33.13\nC) 27.66\nD) 22.18",
"options": [
"A) 5.75",
"B) 33.13",
"C) 27.66",
"D) 22.18"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "22.18",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210604",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-06-04",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-28",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-06-04? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-28.)\n\nA) 18.04\nB) 34.41\nC) 28.95\nD) 12.58",
"options": [
"A) 18.04",
"B) 34.41",
"C) 28.95",
"D) 12.58"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "18.04",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210611",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-06-11",
"info_cutoff": "2021-06-04",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-06-11? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-04.)\n\nA) 28.81\nB) 17.89\nC) 23.35\nD) 6.97",
"options": [
"A) 28.81",
"B) 17.89",
"C) 23.35",
"D) 6.97"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "17.89",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210618",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-06-18",
"info_cutoff": "2021-06-11",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-06-18? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-11.)\n\nA) 31.62\nB) 9.78\nC) 20.70\nD) 15.24",
"options": [
"A) 31.62",
"B) 9.78",
"C) 20.70",
"D) 15.24"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "20.70",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210702",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-07-02",
"info_cutoff": "2021-06-25",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-07-02? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-25.)\n\nA) 26.92\nB) 10.57\nC) 32.36\nD) 16.02",
"options": [
"A) 26.92",
"B) 10.57",
"C) 32.36",
"D) 16.02"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "16.02",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210709",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-02",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-02.)\n\nA) 19.00\nB) 8.11\nC) 13.56\nD) 24.44",
"options": [
"A) 19.00",
"B) 8.11",
"C) 13.56",
"D) 24.44"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "19.00",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210716",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-07-16",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-09",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-07-16? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-09.)\n\nA) 23.88\nB) 18.45\nC) 34.75\nD) 29.32",
"options": [
"A) 23.88",
"B) 18.45",
"C) 34.75",
"D) 29.32"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "18.45",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210806",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-08-06",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-30",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-08-06? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-30.)\n\nA) 30.22\nB) 14.08\nC) 19.46\nD) 24.84",
"options": [
"A) 30.22",
"B) 14.08",
"C) 19.46",
"D) 24.84"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "19.46",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210813",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-08-13",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-06",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-08-13? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) 27.55\nB) 11.41\nC) 22.17\nD) 16.79",
"options": [
"A) 27.55",
"B) 11.41",
"C) 22.17",
"D) 16.79"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "16.79",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210820",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-08-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-13",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-08-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-13.)\n\nA) 21.67\nB) 37.84\nC) 16.28\nD) 32.45",
"options": [
"A) 21.67",
"B) 37.84",
"C) 16.28",
"D) 32.45"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "21.67",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210903",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-09-03",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-27",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-09-03? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-27.)\n\nA) 5.70\nB) 16.48\nC) 21.87\nD) 27.26",
"options": [
"A) 5.70",
"B) 16.48",
"C) 21.87",
"D) 27.26"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "16.48",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210910",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-09-10",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-03",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-09-10? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-03.)\n\nA) 26.34\nB) 37.13\nC) 20.95\nD) 10.16",
"options": [
"A) 26.34",
"B) 37.13",
"C) 20.95",
"D) 10.16"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "20.95",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20210917",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-10",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-10.)\n\nA) 10.03\nB) 31.59\nC) 36.98\nD) 20.81",
"options": [
"A) 10.03",
"B) 31.59",
"C) 36.98",
"D) 20.81"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "20.81",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20211001",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-10-01",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-24",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-10-01? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-24.)\n\nA) 23.25\nB) 17.89\nC) 7.17\nD) 12.53",
"options": [
"A) 23.25",
"B) 17.89",
"C) 7.17",
"D) 12.53"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "23.25",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20211008",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-10-08",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-10-08? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 17.61\nB) 22.96\nC) 28.31\nD) 6.91",
"options": [
"A) 17.61",
"B) 22.96",
"C) 28.31",
"D) 6.91"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "22.96",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20211015",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-10-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-08",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-10-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-08.)\n\nA) 36.04\nB) 30.69\nC) 20.00\nD) 25.35",
"options": [
"A) 36.04",
"B) 30.69",
"C) 20.00",
"D) 25.35"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "20.00",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20211105",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-11-05",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-29",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-29.)\n\nA) 32.44\nB) 21.80\nC) 5.84\nD) 16.48",
"options": [
"A) 32.44",
"B) 21.80",
"C) 5.84",
"D) 16.48"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "16.48",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20211112",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-11-12",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-05",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-11-12? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-05.)\n\nA) 18.73\nB) 24.04\nC) 8.12\nD) 34.65",
"options": [
"A) 18.73",
"B) 24.04",
"C) 8.12",
"D) 34.65"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "18.73",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20211119",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-11-19",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-12",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-11-19? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-12.)\n\nA) 28.48\nB) 17.91\nC) 33.77\nD) 7.34",
"options": [
"A) 28.48",
"B) 17.91",
"C) 33.77",
"D) 7.34"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "17.91",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20211203",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-12-03",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-26",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-12-03? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-26.)\n\nA) 46.85\nB) 15.39\nC) 31.12\nD) 41.61",
"options": [
"A) 46.85",
"B) 15.39",
"C) 31.12",
"D) 41.61"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "31.12",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20211210",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-12-10",
"info_cutoff": "2021-12-03",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-12-10? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-03.)\n\nA) 21.96\nB) 42.85\nC) 32.40\nD) 27.18",
"options": [
"A) 21.96",
"B) 42.85",
"C) 32.40",
"D) 27.18"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "27.18",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-vix-20211217",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "vix_weekly",
"indicator": "VIXCLS",
"transform": "level",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-12-17",
"info_cutoff": "2021-12-10",
"question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-12-17? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-10.)\n\nA) 21.89\nB) 27.10\nC) 16.68\nD) 32.30",
"options": [
"A) 21.89",
"B) 27.10",
"C) 16.68",
"D) 32.30"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "21.89",
"unit": "index",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210101",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-01-01",
"info_cutoff": "2020-12-25",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-01-01? (Use only information available on or before 2020-12-25.)\n\nA) 4.83%\nB) -0.09%\nC) -7.47%\nD) 7.29%",
"options": [
"A) 4.83%",
"B) -0.09%",
"C) -7.47%",
"D) 7.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-0.09%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210108",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-01-08",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-01",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-01-08? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.95%\nB) 8.88%\nC) 3.97%\nD) -3.41%",
"options": [
"A) -0.95%",
"B) 8.88%",
"C) 3.97%",
"D) -3.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.97%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210115",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-01-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-08",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-01-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-08.)\n\nA) 2.18%\nB) -2.76%\nC) 7.11%\nD) -0.29%",
"options": [
"A) 2.18%",
"B) -2.76%",
"C) 7.11%",
"D) -0.29%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.29%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210205",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-02-05",
"info_cutoff": "2021-01-29",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.38%\nB) 0.90%\nC) 10.82%\nD) 5.86%",
"options": [
"A) 3.38%",
"B) 0.90%",
"C) 10.82%",
"D) 5.86%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "3.38%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210212",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-02-12",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-05",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-02-12? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-05.)\n\nA) -1.71%\nB) 0.77%\nC) 8.21%\nD) -4.19%",
"options": [
"A) -1.71%",
"B) 0.77%",
"C) 8.21%",
"D) -4.19%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.77%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210219",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-02-19",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-12",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-02-19? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-12.)\n\nA) -8.67%\nB) 1.25%\nC) -1.23%\nD) 6.20%",
"options": [
"A) -8.67%",
"B) 1.25%",
"C) -1.23%",
"D) 6.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-1.23%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210305",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-03-05",
"info_cutoff": "2021-02-26",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-03-05? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-26.)\n\nA) -9.87%\nB) -2.45%\nC) 0.02%\nD) -4.92%",
"options": [
"A) -9.87%",
"B) -2.45%",
"C) 0.02%",
"D) -4.92%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-4.92%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210312",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-03-12",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-05",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-03-12? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-05.)\n\nA) 5.64%\nB) 0.77%\nC) 10.51%\nD) 8.07%",
"options": [
"A) 5.64%",
"B) 0.77%",
"C) 10.51%",
"D) 8.07%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "5.64%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210319",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-03-19",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-12",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-12.)\n\nA) -8.84%\nB) -1.82%\nC) 5.21%\nD) 0.53%",
"options": [
"A) -8.84%",
"B) -1.82%",
"C) 5.21%",
"D) 0.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-1.82%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210402",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-04-02",
"info_cutoff": "2021-03-26",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-26.)\n\nA) -0.41%\nB) 5.03%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 6.85%",
"options": [
"A) -0.41%",
"B) 5.03%",
"C) 3.22%",
"D) 6.85%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "3.22%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210409",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-04-09",
"info_cutoff": "2021-04-02",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-02.)\n\nA) 6.57%\nB) 3.14%\nC) -0.30%\nD) 1.42%",
"options": [
"A) 6.57%",
"B) 3.14%",
"C) -0.30%",
"D) 1.42%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "1.42%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210416",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-04-16",
"info_cutoff": "2021-04-09",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-04-16? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-09.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) -3.43%\nC) 3.09%\nD) 6.36%",
"options": [
"A) 1.46%",
"B) -3.43%",
"C) 3.09%",
"D) 6.36%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "1.46%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210507",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-05-07",
"info_cutoff": "2021-04-30",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-05-07? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-30.)\n\nA) 2.09%\nB) -1.03%\nC) 3.64%\nD) -2.59%",
"options": [
"A) 2.09%",
"B) -1.03%",
"C) 3.64%",
"D) -2.59%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-1.03%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210514",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-05-14",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-07",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-05-14? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 4.84%\nC) 0.21%\nD) -2.88%",
"options": [
"A) 3.30%",
"B) 4.84%",
"C) 0.21%",
"D) -2.88%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "0.21%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210521",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-05-21",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-14",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-05-21? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-14.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) 3.80%\nC) -3.99%\nD) 0.69%",
"options": [
"A) 2.25%",
"B) 3.80%",
"C) -3.99%",
"D) 0.69%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210604",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-06-04",
"info_cutoff": "2021-05-28",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-06-04? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-28.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 3.66%\nC) -4.07%\nD) 5.20%",
"options": [
"A) 0.57%",
"B) 3.66%",
"C) -4.07%",
"D) 5.20%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.57%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210611",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-06-11",
"info_cutoff": "2021-06-04",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-06-11? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-04.)\n\nA) -1.75%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 6.00%\nD) 4.45%",
"options": [
"A) -1.75%",
"B) 1.35%",
"C) 6.00%",
"D) 4.45%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.35%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210618",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-06-18",
"info_cutoff": "2021-06-11",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-06-18? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-11.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) -5.64%\nC) -1.01%\nD) 0.53%",
"options": [
"A) 2.07%",
"B) -5.64%",
"C) -1.01%",
"D) 0.53%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-1.01%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210702",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-07-02",
"info_cutoff": "2021-06-25",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-07-02? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-25.)\n\nA) -0.53%\nB) -3.49%\nC) 5.41%\nD) 0.96%",
"options": [
"A) -0.53%",
"B) -3.49%",
"C) 5.41%",
"D) 0.96%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "0.96%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210709",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-07-09",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-02",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-02.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 3.19%\nC) -2.67%\nD) 4.65%",
"options": [
"A) 0.26%",
"B) 3.19%",
"C) -2.67%",
"D) 4.65%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "0.26%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210716",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-07-16",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-09",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-07-16? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-09.)\n\nA) 0.83%\nB) -2.08%\nC) -0.62%\nD) -6.44%",
"options": [
"A) 0.83%",
"B) -2.08%",
"C) -0.62%",
"D) -6.44%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "-2.08%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210806",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-08-06",
"info_cutoff": "2021-07-30",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-08-06? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-30.)\n\nA) -1.80%\nB) -0.37%\nC) 1.05%\nD) -3.23%",
"options": [
"A) -1.80%",
"B) -0.37%",
"C) 1.05%",
"D) -3.23%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "1.05%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210813",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-08-13",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-06",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-08-13? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) -4.51%\nC) 4.01%\nD) -0.25%",
"options": [
"A) 2.59%",
"B) -4.51%",
"C) 4.01%",
"D) -0.25%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.25%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210820",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-08-20",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-13",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-08-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-13.)\n\nA) -0.53%\nB) 3.68%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 0.87%",
"options": [
"A) -0.53%",
"B) 3.68%",
"C) 2.28%",
"D) 0.87%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.53%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210903",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-09-03",
"info_cutoff": "2021-08-27",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-09-03? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-27.)\n\nA) -2.18%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 4.87%\nD) 2.05%",
"options": [
"A) -2.18%",
"B) 0.64%",
"C) 4.87%",
"D) 2.05%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "0.64%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210910",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-09-10",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-03",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-09-10? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-03.)\n\nA) -5.90%\nB) 2.53%\nC) -1.68%\nD) -0.28%",
"options": [
"A) -5.90%",
"B) 2.53%",
"C) -1.68%",
"D) -0.28%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-1.68%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20210917",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-09-17",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-10",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-10.)\n\nA) 0.91%\nB) -3.04%\nC) -1.72%\nD) -0.41%",
"options": [
"A) 0.91%",
"B) -3.04%",
"C) -1.72%",
"D) -0.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "-0.41%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20211001",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-10-01",
"info_cutoff": "2021-09-24",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-10-01? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-24.)\n\nA) -2.69%\nB) -1.41%\nC) -3.98%\nD) -5.26%",
"options": [
"A) -2.69%",
"B) -1.41%",
"C) -3.98%",
"D) -5.26%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-2.69%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20211008",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-10-08",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-01",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-10-08? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.13%\nB) 2.27%\nC) -1.58%\nD) 3.56%",
"options": [
"A) 6.13%",
"B) 2.27%",
"C) -1.58%",
"D) 3.56%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "2.27%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20211015",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-10-15",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-08",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-10-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-08.)\n\nA) 1.57%\nB) 6.63%\nC) 2.84%\nD) 4.10%",
"options": [
"A) 1.57%",
"B) 6.63%",
"C) 2.84%",
"D) 4.10%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "2.84%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20211105",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-11-05",
"info_cutoff": "2021-10-29",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-29.)\n\nA) 1.19%\nB) -1.26%\nC) -0.03%\nD) 2.41%",
"options": [
"A) 1.19%",
"B) -1.26%",
"C) -0.03%",
"D) 2.41%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.41%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20211112",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-11-12",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-05",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-11-12? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-05.)\n\nA) -0.76%\nB) 2.76%\nC) 0.41%\nD) -3.11%",
"options": [
"A) -0.76%",
"B) 2.76%",
"C) 0.41%",
"D) -3.11%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-0.76%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20211119",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-11-19",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-12",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-11-19? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-12.)\n\nA) -1.02%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 0.13%\nD) 4.74%",
"options": [
"A) -1.02%",
"B) 1.28%",
"C) 0.13%",
"D) 4.74%"
],
"answer_letter": "B",
"answer_raw": "1.28%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20211203",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-12-03",
"info_cutoff": "2021-11-26",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-12-03? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-26.)\n\nA) -2.09%\nB) -6.74%\nC) -4.42%\nD) -7.90%",
"options": [
"A) -2.09%",
"B) -6.74%",
"C) -4.42%",
"D) -7.90%"
],
"answer_letter": "C",
"answer_raw": "-4.42%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20211210",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-12-10",
"info_cutoff": "2021-12-03",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-12-10? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-03.)\n\nA) -0.89%\nB) 5.03%\nC) 6.22%\nD) 2.66%",
"options": [
"A) -0.89%",
"B) 5.03%",
"C) 6.22%",
"D) 2.66%"
],
"answer_letter": "D",
"answer_raw": "2.66%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
},
{
"qid": "EVT-ndx-20211217",
"forecastType": "Non-Recurrent",
"subtype": "nasdaq_weekly",
"indicator": "NASDAQCOM",
"transform": "weekly_pct",
"target_period": "week ending 2021-12-17",
"info_cutoff": "2021-12-10",
"question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-12-17? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-10.)\n\nA) -1.58%\nB) -5.18%\nC) -0.38%\nD) -3.98%",
"options": [
"A) -1.58%",
"B) -5.18%",
"C) -0.38%",
"D) -3.98%"
],
"answer_letter": "A",
"answer_raw": "-1.58%",
"unit": "%",
"condition": "event",
"year": 2021
}
]