| [ |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $588,442M\nB) $554,762M\nC) $622,122M\nD) $605,282M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $588,442M", |
| "B) $554,762M", |
| "C) $622,122M", |
| "D) $605,282M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$605,282M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-06.)\n\nA) 2.81%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 3.36%\nD) 3.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.81%", |
| "B) 2.26%", |
| "C) 3.36%", |
| "D) 3.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.81%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 29,837.10\nB) 31,522.75\nC) 36,579.69\nD) 28,151.45", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 29,837.10", |
| "B) 31,522.75", |
| "C) 36,579.69", |
| "D) 28,151.45" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "31,522.75", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 12.28%\nB) 33.09%\nC) 22.69%\nD) 26.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.28%", |
| "B) 33.09%", |
| "C) 22.69%", |
| "D) 26.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "22.69%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 134.33%\nB) 187.13%\nC) 55.13%\nD) 107.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 134.33%", |
| "B) 187.13%", |
| "C) 55.13%", |
| "D) 107.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "107.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-06.)\n\nA) 250,000\nB) 1,380,722\nC) 1,003,814\nD) 626,907", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 250,000", |
| "B) 1,380,722", |
| "C) 1,003,814", |
| "D) 626,907" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "250,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 1.0171\nB) 1.1421\nC) 1.2171\nD) 1.0671", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.0171", |
| "B) 1.1421", |
| "C) 1.2171", |
| "D) 1.0671" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1421", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 100.7742\nB) 109.2839\nC) 105.8800\nD) 112.6878", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 100.7742", |
| "B) 109.2839", |
| "C) 105.8800", |
| "D) 112.6878" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "105.8800", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 113.66\nB) 103.53\nC) 106.43\nD) 110.77", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 113.66", |
| "B) 103.53", |
| "C) 106.43", |
| "D) 110.77" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "110.77", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.84%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 2.30%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.84%", |
| "B) 2.07%", |
| "C) 1.38%", |
| "D) 2.30%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.84%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 81.90%\nB) 54.54%\nC) -0.18%\nD) -27.54%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 81.90%", |
| "B) 54.54%", |
| "C) -0.18%", |
| "D) -27.54%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "54.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $17,755B\nB) $16,963B\nC) $18,548B\nD) $19,340B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $17,755B", |
| "B) $16,963B", |
| "C) $18,548B", |
| "D) $19,340B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$18,548B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 19.85%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 12.31%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.85%", |
| "B) 4.78%", |
| "C) 1.01%", |
| "D) 12.31%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "12.31%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,703K\nB) 1,622K\nC) 1,461K\nD) 1,864K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,703K", |
| "B) 1,622K", |
| "C) 1,461K", |
| "D) 1,864K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,703K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 3.96%\nC) 4.24%\nD) 3.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.40%", |
| "B) 3.96%", |
| "C) 4.24%", |
| "D) 3.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3.96%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $64,236M\nB) $65,887M\nC) $67,538M\nD) $72,491M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $64,236M", |
| "B) $65,887M", |
| "C) $67,538M", |
| "D) $72,491M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$67,538M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.2607\nB) 1.3357\nC) 1.1607\nD) 1.2107", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.2607", |
| "B) 1.3357", |
| "C) 1.1607", |
| "D) 1.2107" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.2107", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-06.)\n\nA) 802,000\nB) 1,558,577\nC) 1,180,288\nD) 423,712", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 802,000", |
| "B) 1,558,577", |
| "C) 1,180,288", |
| "D) 423,712" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "802,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-06.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 2.24%\nD) 3.34%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.15%", |
| "B) 4.44%", |
| "C) 2.24%", |
| "D) 3.34%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.44%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 112.4613\nB) 117.2632\nC) 109.2600\nD) 104.4581", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 112.4613", |
| "B) 117.2632", |
| "C) 109.2600", |
| "D) 104.4581" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "109.2600", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 112.08\nB) 116.08\nC) 105.41\nD) 109.41", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 112.08", |
| "B) 116.08", |
| "C) 105.41", |
| "D) 109.41" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "109.41", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 233.41\nB) 228.72\nC) 242.81\nD) 238.11", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 233.41", |
| "B) 228.72", |
| "C) 242.81", |
| "D) 238.11" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "233.41", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 0.55%\nB) 0.13%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 0.97%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.55%", |
| "B) 0.13%", |
| "C) 1.40%", |
| "D) 0.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.13%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.24%\nB) 3.96%\nC) 5.10%\nD) 7.39%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.24%", |
| "B) 3.96%", |
| "C) 5.10%", |
| "D) 7.39%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 153,820K\nB) 138,498K\nC) 149,443K\nD) 145,065K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 153,820K", |
| "B) 138,498K", |
| "C) 149,443K", |
| "D) 145,065K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "145,065K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) $70.07/bbl\nB) $50.61/bbl\nC) $83.04/bbl\nD) $76.56/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $70.07/bbl", |
| "B) $50.61/bbl", |
| "C) $83.04/bbl", |
| "D) $76.56/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$70.07/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $24.18/hr\nB) $26.12/hr\nC) $25.47/hr\nD) $28.06/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $24.18/hr", |
| "B) $26.12/hr", |
| "C) $25.47/hr", |
| "D) $28.06/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$26.12/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 18.48%\nB) 16.70%\nC) 20.27%\nD) 14.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.48%", |
| "B) 16.70%", |
| "C) 20.27%", |
| "D) 14.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "20.27%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 286.64\nB) 264.29\nC) 294.10\nD) 275.46", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 286.64", |
| "B) 264.29", |
| "C) 294.10", |
| "D) 275.46" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "275.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $605,533M\nB) $648,053M\nC) $563,013M\nD) $584,273M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $605,533M", |
| "B) $648,053M", |
| "C) $563,013M", |
| "D) $584,273M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$605,533M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 89.99\nB) 99.43\nC) 93.77\nD) 103.21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 89.99", |
| "B) 99.43", |
| "C) 93.77", |
| "D) 103.21" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "99.43", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 0.49%\nB) 1.36%\nC) 0.06%\nD) 0.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.49%", |
| "B) 1.36%", |
| "C) 0.06%", |
| "D) 0.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.06%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 6.8167\nB) 6.0176\nC) 6.2459\nD) 6.4742", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.8167", |
| "B) 6.0176", |
| "C) 6.2459", |
| "D) 6.4742" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.4742", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $26.56/hr\nB) $28.63/hr\nC) $25.87/hr\nD) $24.49/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $26.56/hr", |
| "B) $28.63/hr", |
| "C) $25.87/hr", |
| "D) $24.49/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$26.56/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 17.26%\nB) 20.13%\nC) 14.39%\nD) 11.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.26%", |
| "B) 20.13%", |
| "C) 14.39%", |
| "D) 11.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "20.13%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.59%\nB) 14.10%\nC) 8.70%\nD) 16.81%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.59%", |
| "B) 14.10%", |
| "C) 8.70%", |
| "D) 16.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "8.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 55.53%\nB) 62.69%\nC) 60.64%\nD) 58.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 55.53%", |
| "B) 62.69%", |
| "C) 60.64%", |
| "D) 58.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "58.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-06.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 3.52%\nD) 3.81%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.94%", |
| "B) 2.07%", |
| "C) 3.52%", |
| "D) 3.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 58.58%\nB) 44.36%\nC) 51.47%\nD) 37.24%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 58.58%", |
| "B) 44.36%", |
| "C) 51.47%", |
| "D) 37.24%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "44.36%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $15,986B\nB) $20,613B\nC) $18,300B\nD) $19,842B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15,986B", |
| "B) $20,613B", |
| "C) $18,300B", |
| "D) $19,842B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$18,300B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -4.62pp\nB) -5.73pp\nC) -1.27pp\nD) -3.50pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -4.62pp", |
| "B) -5.73pp", |
| "C) -1.27pp", |
| "D) -3.50pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,736K\nB) 1,478K\nC) 1,822K\nD) 1,994K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,736K", |
| "B) 1,478K", |
| "C) 1,822K", |
| "D) 1,994K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1,736K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -11.38%\nB) -5.85%\nC) -4.01%\nD) -7.70%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -11.38%", |
| "B) -5.85%", |
| "C) -4.01%", |
| "D) -7.70%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-5.85%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) -7.20%\nB) -15.62%\nC) -9.31%\nD) -11.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.20%", |
| "B) -15.62%", |
| "C) -9.31%", |
| "D) -11.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-9.31%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) +0.42pp\nB) -0.84pp\nC) +1.26pp\nD) +0.00pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.42pp", |
| "B) -0.84pp", |
| "C) +1.26pp", |
| "D) +0.00pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 19.25%\nB) 25.01%\nC) 17.33%\nD) 21.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.25%", |
| "B) 25.01%", |
| "C) 17.33%", |
| "D) 21.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "19.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-06.)\n\nA) $13,625B\nB) $15,224B\nC) $15,758B\nD) $14,691B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $13,625B", |
| "B) $15,224B", |
| "C) $15,758B", |
| "D) $14,691B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$15,224B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $672,156M\nB) $577,592M\nC) $624,874M\nD) $695,797M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $672,156M", |
| "B) $577,592M", |
| "C) $624,874M", |
| "D) $695,797M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$624,874M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 115.26\nB) 106.57\nC) 103.10\nD) 111.79", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 115.26", |
| "B) 106.57", |
| "C) 103.10", |
| "D) 111.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "111.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) $15,753B\nB) $17,507B\nC) $16,338B\nD) $14,584B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15,753B", |
| "B) $17,507B", |
| "C) $16,338B", |
| "D) $14,584B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$15,753B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-06.)\n\nA) $14,357B\nB) $16,206B\nC) $15,589B\nD) $18,055B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14,357B", |
| "B) $16,206B", |
| "C) $15,589B", |
| "D) $18,055B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$16,206B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) +2.24pp\nB) +0.63pp\nC) -2.60pp\nD) -5.83pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +2.24pp", |
| "B) +0.63pp", |
| "C) -2.60pp", |
| "D) -5.83pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.60pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 26.41%\nB) 20.00%\nC) 45.64%\nD) 32.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.41%", |
| "B) 20.00%", |
| "C) 45.64%", |
| "D) 32.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "32.82%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.90%\nB) 10.19%\nC) 3.31%\nD) 5.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.90%", |
| "B) 10.19%", |
| "C) 3.31%", |
| "D) 5.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 0.98%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.79%", |
| "B) 0.57%", |
| "C) 1.38%", |
| "D) 0.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.57%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $-72,445M\nB) $-69,037M\nC) $-65,630M\nD) $-58,815M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-72,445M", |
| "B) $-69,037M", |
| "C) $-65,630M", |
| "D) $-58,815M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$-65,630M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 149.63%\nB) 178.13%\nC) 7.11%\nD) 92.62%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 149.63%", |
| "B) 178.13%", |
| "C) 7.11%", |
| "D) 92.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "92.62%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $21,336B\nB) $18,767B\nC) $20,052B\nD) $23,905B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $21,336B", |
| "B) $18,767B", |
| "C) $20,052B", |
| "D) $23,905B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$21,336B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) -8.01%\nB) -4.10%\nC) 1.76%\nD) -0.20%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -8.01%", |
| "B) -4.10%", |
| "C) 1.76%", |
| "D) -0.20%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 70.56%\nB) 75.08%\nC) 73.57%\nD) 69.05%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 70.56%", |
| "B) 75.08%", |
| "C) 73.57%", |
| "D) 69.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "73.57%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.1641\nB) 1.3141\nC) 1.2641\nD) 1.2141", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.1641", |
| "B) 1.3141", |
| "C) 1.2641", |
| "D) 1.2141" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.2141", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 108.10\nB) 110.56\nC) 105.64\nD) 113.01", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 108.10", |
| "B) 110.56", |
| "C) 105.64", |
| "D) 113.01" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "108.10", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 28.78%\nB) 16.34%\nC) 8.05%\nD) 24.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28.78%", |
| "B) 16.34%", |
| "C) 8.05%", |
| "D) 24.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "16.34%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 1.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.88%", |
| "B) 2.01%", |
| "C) 1.63%", |
| "D) 1.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.63%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 8.95%\nB) 0.15%\nC) 6.75%\nD) 4.55%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.95%", |
| "B) 0.15%", |
| "C) 6.75%", |
| "D) 4.55%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) $69.24/bbl\nB) $82.00/bbl\nC) $50.10/bbl\nD) $62.86/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $69.24/bbl", |
| "B) $82.00/bbl", |
| "C) $50.10/bbl", |
| "D) $62.86/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$69.24/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 106.10\nB) 114.59\nC) 111.19\nD) 117.98", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 106.10", |
| "B) 114.59", |
| "C) 111.19", |
| "D) 117.98" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "114.59", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 50.37%\nB) 25.85%\nC) 34.02%\nD) 17.67%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 50.37%", |
| "B) 25.85%", |
| "C) 34.02%", |
| "D) 17.67%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "34.02%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) +1.66pp\nB) +1.25pp\nC) +0.44pp\nD) +1.05pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.66pp", |
| "B) +1.25pp", |
| "C) +0.44pp", |
| "D) +1.05pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.05pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.91%\nB) 7.50%\nC) 8.09%\nD) 8.68%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.91%", |
| "B) 7.50%", |
| "C) 8.09%", |
| "D) 8.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.91%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 6.94%\nB) 5.80%\nC) 4.66%\nD) 9.22%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.94%", |
| "B) 5.80%", |
| "C) 4.66%", |
| "D) 9.22%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.66%\nB) 3.30%\nC) 3.54%\nD) 3.42%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.66%", |
| "B) 3.30%", |
| "C) 3.54%", |
| "D) 3.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.54%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $268,205M\nB) $260,607M\nC) $245,411M\nD) $253,009M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $268,205M", |
| "B) $260,607M", |
| "C) $245,411M", |
| "D) $253,009M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$253,009M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 58.00%\nB) 60.02%\nC) 54.98%\nD) 52.96%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 58.00%", |
| "B) 60.02%", |
| "C) 54.98%", |
| "D) 52.96%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "58.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,395M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $4,300,000M", |
| "B) $6,395M", |
| "C) $6,200,000M", |
| "D) $2,400,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$6,395M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.50%\nB) 11.57%\nC) 14.61%\nD) 17.65%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.50%", |
| "B) 11.57%", |
| "C) 14.61%", |
| "D) 17.65%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "14.61%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 3.93%\nB) 9.27%\nC) 14.61%\nD) 6.60%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.93%", |
| "B) 9.27%", |
| "C) 14.61%", |
| "D) 6.60%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 16.49\nB) 7.69\nC) 25.29\nD) 20.89", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 16.49", |
| "B) 7.69", |
| "C) 25.29", |
| "D) 20.89" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "16.49", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 87.02%\nB) 59.58%\nC) 32.15%\nD) 4.71%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 87.02%", |
| "B) 59.58%", |
| "C) 32.15%", |
| "D) 4.71%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "59.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 7.39%\nB) 19.10%\nC) 13.24%\nD) 24.96%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.39%", |
| "B) 19.10%", |
| "C) 13.24%", |
| "D) 24.96%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "13.24%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 1.04%\nC) 0.60%\nD) 0.16%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.48%", |
| "B) 1.04%", |
| "C) 0.60%", |
| "D) 0.16%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.16%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 2.96%\nC) 6.39%\nD) 5.24%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.10%", |
| "B) 2.96%", |
| "C) 6.39%", |
| "D) 5.24%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 17,098.89\nB) 14,047.50\nC) 15,064.63\nD) 16,081.76", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17,098.89", |
| "B) 14,047.50", |
| "C) 15,064.63", |
| "D) 16,081.76" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "14,047.50", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 101.22\nB) 91.88\nC) 95.61\nD) 86.27", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 101.22", |
| "B) 91.88", |
| "C) 95.61", |
| "D) 86.27" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "95.61", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-06.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 2.47%\nC) 2.15%\nD) 3.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.78%", |
| "B) 2.47%", |
| "C) 2.15%", |
| "D) 3.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 59.30%\nB) 61.35%\nC) 63.39%\nD) 56.23%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 59.30%", |
| "B) 61.35%", |
| "C) 63.39%", |
| "D) 56.23%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "59.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) $70.87/bbl\nB) $65.32/bbl\nC) $76.42/bbl\nD) $48.66/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $70.87/bbl", |
| "B) $65.32/bbl", |
| "C) $76.42/bbl", |
| "D) $48.66/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$65.32/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 95.42\nB) 87.07\nC) 82.90\nD) 78.73", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 95.42", |
| "B) 87.07", |
| "C) 82.90", |
| "D) 78.73" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "82.90", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $26.88/hr\nB) $25.08/hr\nC) $23.88/hr\nD) $25.68/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $26.88/hr", |
| "B) $25.08/hr", |
| "C) $23.88/hr", |
| "D) $25.68/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$25.68/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 61.90%\nB) 65.00%\nC) 63.76%\nD) 60.04%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 61.90%", |
| "B) 65.00%", |
| "C) 63.76%", |
| "D) 60.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "61.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 25.23%\nB) 12.87%\nC) 0.51%\nD) 8.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.23%", |
| "B) 12.87%", |
| "C) 0.51%", |
| "D) 8.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "12.87%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 183.58%\nB) 126.31%\nC) 97.68%\nD) 11.78%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 183.58%", |
| "B) 126.31%", |
| "C) 97.68%", |
| "D) 11.78%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "97.68%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.61%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 5.22%\nD) 4.92%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.61%", |
| "B) 4.00%", |
| "C) 5.22%", |
| "D) 4.92%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.92%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $264,287M\nB) $239,866M\nC) $248,006M\nD) $280,568M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $264,287M", |
| "B) $239,866M", |
| "C) $248,006M", |
| "D) $280,568M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$264,287M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.11%\nB) 1.26%\nC) 1.69%\nD) 0.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.11%", |
| "B) 1.26%", |
| "C) 1.69%", |
| "D) 0.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) +1.42pp\nB) -1.73pp\nC) -3.30pp\nD) -8.02pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.42pp", |
| "B) -1.73pp", |
| "C) -3.30pp", |
| "D) -8.02pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -33.40pp\nB) -19.60pp\nC) -37.99pp\nD) -24.20pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -33.40pp", |
| "B) -19.60pp", |
| "C) -37.99pp", |
| "D) -24.20pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-24.20pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $25.25/hr\nB) $23.50/hr\nC) $25.83/hr\nD) $26.42/hr", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $25.25/hr", |
| "B) $23.50/hr", |
| "C) $25.83/hr", |
| "D) $26.42/hr" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$25.25/hr", |
| "unit": "usd_per_hour", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $70,833M\nB) $72,662M\nC) $67,175M\nD) $78,149M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $70,833M", |
| "B) $72,662M", |
| "C) $67,175M", |
| "D) $78,149M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$72,662M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 263.33\nB) 278.25\nC) 270.79\nD) 255.87", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 263.33", |
| "B) 278.25", |
| "C) 270.79", |
| "D) 255.87" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "270.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,258K\nB) 1,623K\nC) 1,550K\nD) 1,404K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,258K", |
| "B) 1,623K", |
| "C) 1,550K", |
| "D) 1,404K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,404K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) -1.71%\nC) -6.16%\nD) 4.98%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.52%", |
| "B) -1.71%", |
| "C) -6.16%", |
| "D) 4.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.52%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.06%\nB) 7.68%\nC) 14.30%\nD) -2.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.06%", |
| "B) 7.68%", |
| "C) 14.30%", |
| "D) -2.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "7.68%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 263.45\nB) 279.54\nC) 255.40\nD) 271.49", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 263.45", |
| "B) 279.54", |
| "C) 255.40", |
| "D) 271.49" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "255.40", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) +1.59pp\nB) +1.20pp\nC) +0.01pp\nD) +0.80pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.59pp", |
| "B) +1.20pp", |
| "C) +0.01pp", |
| "D) +0.80pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.80pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 106.50\nB) 101.63\nC) 110.15\nD) 104.07", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 106.50", |
| "B) 101.63", |
| "C) 110.15", |
| "D) 104.07" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "106.50", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.78%\nB) 2.08%\nC) 2.97%\nD) 2.38%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.78%", |
| "B) 2.08%", |
| "C) 2.97%", |
| "D) 2.38%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) $79.08/bbl\nB) $61.62/bbl\nC) $67.44/bbl\nD) $73.26/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $79.08/bbl", |
| "B) $61.62/bbl", |
| "C) $67.44/bbl", |
| "D) $73.26/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$67.44/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 29.23%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 36.05%\nD) 22.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 29.23%", |
| "B) 1.96%", |
| "C) 36.05%", |
| "D) 22.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "22.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) 367,000\nB) 1,501,109\nC) 745,036\nD) 1,123,073", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 367,000", |
| "B) 1,501,109", |
| "C) 745,036", |
| "D) 1,123,073" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "367,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-06.)\n\nA) $17,208B\nB) $15,537B\nC) $13,867B\nD) $14,424B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $17,208B", |
| "B) $15,537B", |
| "C) $13,867B", |
| "D) $14,424B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$15,537B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.17%\nB) 1.59%\nC) 0.75%\nD) 2.02%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.17%", |
| "B) 1.59%", |
| "C) 0.75%", |
| "D) 2.02%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 60.47%\nB) 62.93%\nC) 64.17%\nD) 61.70%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 60.47%", |
| "B) 62.93%", |
| "C) 64.17%", |
| "D) 61.70%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "61.70%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 52.94%\nB) 65.42%\nC) 59.18%\nD) 71.66%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 52.94%", |
| "B) 65.42%", |
| "C) 59.18%", |
| "D) 71.66%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "52.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 0.51%\nD) 0.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.37%", |
| "B) 0.08%", |
| "C) 0.51%", |
| "D) 0.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $16,447B\nB) $15,783B\nC) $17,776B\nD) $19,770B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $16,447B", |
| "B) $15,783B", |
| "C) $17,776B", |
| "D) $19,770B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$17,776B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.24%\nB) 1.57%\nC) 10.73%\nD) 7.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.24%", |
| "B) 1.57%", |
| "C) 10.73%", |
| "D) 7.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "7.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $20,459B\nB) $18,434B\nC) $22,484B\nD) $21,471B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $20,459B", |
| "B) $18,434B", |
| "C) $22,484B", |
| "D) $21,471B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$20,459B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 0.12%\nB) 5.74%\nC) 1.99%\nD) 11.35%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.12%", |
| "B) 5.74%", |
| "C) 1.99%", |
| "D) 11.35%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.74%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $6,042M\nD) $4,300,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $6,200,000M", |
| "B) $2,400,000M", |
| "C) $6,042M", |
| "D) $4,300,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$6,042M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -21.96%\nB) -3.06%\nC) -28.26%\nD) -9.36%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -21.96%", |
| "B) -3.06%", |
| "C) -28.26%", |
| "D) -9.36%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-9.36%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $251,426M\nB) $266,049M\nC) $258,738M\nD) $236,803M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $251,426M", |
| "B) $266,049M", |
| "C) $258,738M", |
| "D) $236,803M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$251,426M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) +1.85pp\nB) +1.47pp\nC) +1.66pp\nD) +2.05pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +1.85pp", |
| "B) +1.47pp", |
| "C) +1.66pp", |
| "D) +2.05pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.47pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.44%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 5.93%\nD) 4.40%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.44%", |
| "B) 4.91%", |
| "C) 5.93%", |
| "D) 4.40%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 270.64\nB) 304.68\nC) 296.17\nD) 283.41", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 270.64", |
| "B) 304.68", |
| "C) 296.17", |
| "D) 283.41" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "283.41", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 243.29\nB) 261.40\nC) 249.33\nD) 231.21", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 243.29", |
| "B) 261.40", |
| "C) 249.33", |
| "D) 231.21" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "243.29", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 7.74%\nB) 13.49%\nC) 10.61%\nD) 16.36%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.74%", |
| "B) 13.49%", |
| "C) 10.61%", |
| "D) 16.36%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "13.49%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 15,748.23\nB) 14,589.10\nC) 13,429.98\nD) 16,907.35", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 15,748.23", |
| "B) 14,589.10", |
| "C) 13,429.98", |
| "D) 16,907.35" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "13,429.98", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 18,657.15\nB) 10,930.37\nC) 13,505.96\nD) 14,793.76", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18,657.15", |
| "B) 10,930.37", |
| "C) 13,505.96", |
| "D) 14,793.76" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "14,793.76", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.26%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 0.51%\nD) 0.14%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.26%", |
| "B) 2.38%", |
| "C) 0.51%", |
| "D) 0.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $18,319B\nB) $16,850B\nC) $16,360B\nD) $15,870B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $18,319B", |
| "B) $16,850B", |
| "C) $16,360B", |
| "D) $15,870B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$16,850B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $-77,005M\nB) $-58,295M\nC) $-65,779M\nD) $-62,037M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-77,005M", |
| "B) $-58,295M", |
| "C) $-65,779M", |
| "D) $-62,037M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$-65,779M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) $50.37/bbl\nB) $83.39/bbl\nC) $70.18/bbl\nD) $63.58/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $50.37/bbl", |
| "B) $83.39/bbl", |
| "C) $70.18/bbl", |
| "D) $63.58/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$63.58/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 70.30\nB) 78.88\nC) 83.17\nD) 61.72", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 70.30", |
| "B) 78.88", |
| "C) 83.17", |
| "D) 61.72" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "70.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.27%\nB) 4.89%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 6.03%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.27%", |
| "B) 4.89%", |
| "C) 3.75%", |
| "D) 6.03%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4.89%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) +25.02pp\nB) +20.21pp\nC) +10.60pp\nD) +15.41pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +25.02pp", |
| "B) +20.21pp", |
| "C) +10.60pp", |
| "D) +15.41pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+10.60pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -3.04pp\nB) -2.66pp\nC) -0.76pp\nD) -1.90pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.04pp", |
| "B) -2.66pp", |
| "C) -0.76pp", |
| "D) -1.90pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.90pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) +2.10pp\nB) +0.78pp\nC) +3.42pp\nD) -1.87pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +2.10pp", |
| "B) +0.78pp", |
| "C) +3.42pp", |
| "D) -1.87pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+2.10pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) -0.02pp\nB) +0.40pp\nC) -0.85pp\nD) +1.23pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.02pp", |
| "B) +0.40pp", |
| "C) -0.85pp", |
| "D) +1.23pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 31.78%\nB) 27.32%\nC) 36.24%\nD) 22.86%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 31.78%", |
| "B) 27.32%", |
| "C) 36.24%", |
| "D) 22.86%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "36.24%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $14,242B\nB) $14,613B\nC) $16,095B\nD) $14,984B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $14,242B", |
| "B) $14,613B", |
| "C) $16,095B", |
| "D) $14,984B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$14,984B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 27.55%\nB) 7.03%\nC) 13.87%\nD) 20.71%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.55%", |
| "B) 7.03%", |
| "C) 13.87%", |
| "D) 20.71%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "27.55%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 16.64%\nB) 26.78%\nC) 23.40%\nD) 20.02%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 16.64%", |
| "B) 26.78%", |
| "C) 23.40%", |
| "D) 20.02%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "26.78%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 1.29%\nC) 0.01%\nD) 0.44%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.86%", |
| "B) 1.29%", |
| "C) 0.01%", |
| "D) 0.44%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.01%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 2.32%\nB) 1.70%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 2.01%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.32%", |
| "B) 1.70%", |
| "C) 1.39%", |
| "D) 2.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.01%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 268.38\nB) 261.30\nC) 286.10\nD) 275.47", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 268.38", |
| "B) 261.30", |
| "C) 286.10", |
| "D) 275.47" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "268.38", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 6.1445\nB) 6.3824\nC) 6.7393\nD) 5.9065", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.1445", |
| "B) 6.3824", |
| "C) 6.7393", |
| "D) 5.9065" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.3824", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 112.7202\nB) 116.0703\nC) 109.3700\nD) 106.0198", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 112.7202", |
| "B) 116.0703", |
| "C) 109.3700", |
| "D) 106.0198" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "109.3700", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,495K\nB) 1,945K\nC) 1,675K\nD) 1,765K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,495K", |
| "B) 1,945K", |
| "C) 1,675K", |
| "D) 1,765K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,765K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 279.00\nB) 294.92\nC) 271.04\nD) 286.96", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 279.00", |
| "B) 294.92", |
| "C) 271.04", |
| "D) 286.96" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "279.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.99%\nB) 0.53%\nC) 0.07%\nD) 1.46%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.99%", |
| "B) 0.53%", |
| "C) 0.07%", |
| "D) 1.46%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.53%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $63,598M\nB) $65,277M\nC) $68,635M\nD) $71,993M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $63,598M", |
| "B) $65,277M", |
| "C) $68,635M", |
| "D) $71,993M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$68,635M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 19.03%\nB) 15.86%\nC) 14.81%\nD) 16.92%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.03%", |
| "B) 15.86%", |
| "C) 14.81%", |
| "D) 16.92%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "16.92%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 143,380K\nB) 147,763K\nC) 136,805K\nD) 132,422K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 143,380K", |
| "B) 147,763K", |
| "C) 136,805K", |
| "D) 132,422K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "143,380K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.98%\nB) 14.09%\nC) 21.49%\nD) 6.68%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.98%", |
| "B) 14.09%", |
| "C) 21.49%", |
| "D) 6.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "14.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) +0.89pp\nB) +1.31pp\nC) +1.10pp\nD) +0.47pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.89pp", |
| "B) +1.31pp", |
| "C) +1.10pp", |
| "D) +0.47pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.10pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-06.)\n\nA) 8,677,428\nB) 4,204,476\nC) 6,440,952\nD) 1,968,000", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8,677,428", |
| "B) 4,204,476", |
| "C) 6,440,952", |
| "D) 1,968,000" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,968,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.61%\nB) 8.39%\nC) 12.18%\nD) 0.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.61%", |
| "B) 8.39%", |
| "C) 12.18%", |
| "D) 0.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.61%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $74,891M\nB) $71,394M\nC) $66,149M\nD) $67,897M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $74,891M", |
| "B) $71,394M", |
| "C) $66,149M", |
| "D) $67,897M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$71,394M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 22.10%\nB) 37.93%\nC) 14.18%\nD) 30.01%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.10%", |
| "B) 37.93%", |
| "C) 14.18%", |
| "D) 30.01%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "14.18%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) $74.63/bbl\nB) $87.07/bbl\nC) $93.30/bbl\nD) $80.85/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $74.63/bbl", |
| "B) $87.07/bbl", |
| "C) $93.30/bbl", |
| "D) $80.85/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$80.85/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.79%\nB) 3.63%\nC) 4.11%\nD) 3.47%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.79%", |
| "B) 3.63%", |
| "C) 4.11%", |
| "D) 3.47%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.79%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) 9,534,129\nB) 2,802,000\nC) 5,046,043\nD) 7,290,086", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9,534,129", |
| "B) 2,802,000", |
| "C) 5,046,043", |
| "D) 7,290,086" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2,802,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 6.77%\nC) 4.61%\nD) -1.86%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.45%", |
| "B) 6.77%", |
| "C) 4.61%", |
| "D) -1.86%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4.61%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPILFE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 1.59%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 1.71%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.48%", |
| "B) 1.59%", |
| "C) 1.94%", |
| "D) 1.71%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.71%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 76.80\nB) 72.78\nC) 88.85\nD) 80.82", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 76.80", |
| "B) 72.78", |
| "C) 88.85", |
| "D) 80.82" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "76.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 1.26%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 0.52%\nD) 2.74%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.26%", |
| "B) 1.63%", |
| "C) 0.52%", |
| "D) 2.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.63%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-06.)\n\nA) 5,864,568\nB) 10,357,704\nC) 3,618,000\nD) 1,371,432", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5,864,568", |
| "B) 10,357,704", |
| "C) 3,618,000", |
| "D) 1,371,432" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3,618,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 115.88\nB) 104.21\nC) 107.12\nD) 111.50", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 115.88", |
| "B) 104.21", |
| "C) 107.12", |
| "D) 111.50" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "111.50", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 19.22%\nB) 9.10%\nC) 12.48%\nD) 22.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.22%", |
| "B) 9.10%", |
| "C) 12.48%", |
| "D) 22.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "19.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-06.)\n\nA) 10.18%\nB) 9.11%\nC) 8.03%\nD) 5.89%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.18%", |
| "B) 9.11%", |
| "C) 8.03%", |
| "D) 5.89%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "9.11%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.69%\nB) 32.00%\nC) 16.84%\nD) -28.63%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.69%", |
| "B) 32.00%", |
| "C) 16.84%", |
| "D) -28.63%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "16.84%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 136.22\nB) 132.41\nC) 124.79\nD) 128.60", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 136.22", |
| "B) 132.41", |
| "C) 124.79", |
| "D) 128.60" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "128.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) +4.71pp\nB) +6.89pp\nC) +0.36pp\nD) +11.24pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +4.71pp", |
| "B) +6.89pp", |
| "C) +0.36pp", |
| "D) +11.24pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "+4.71pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $19,665B\nB) $20,841B\nC) $18,490B\nD) $23,192B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $19,665B", |
| "B) $20,841B", |
| "C) $18,490B", |
| "D) $23,192B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$20,841B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXUSEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.2526\nB) 1.1276\nC) 1.1776\nD) 1.0526", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.2526", |
| "B) 1.1276", |
| "C) 1.1776", |
| "D) 1.0526" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.1776", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 38,200.42\nB) 40,313.39\nC) 42,426.35\nD) 36,087.45", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 38,200.42", |
| "B) 40,313.39", |
| "C) 42,426.35", |
| "D) 36,087.45" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "36,087.45", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.28%\nB) 1.13%\nC) 0.83%\nD) 1.58%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.28%", |
| "B) 1.13%", |
| "C) 0.83%", |
| "D) 1.58%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 117.11\nB) 122.00\nC) 126.89\nD) 130.15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 117.11", |
| "B) 122.00", |
| "C) 126.89", |
| "D) 130.15" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "122.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) $65.76/bbl\nB) $71.46/bbl\nC) $60.07/bbl\nD) $48.68/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $65.76/bbl", |
| "B) $71.46/bbl", |
| "C) $60.07/bbl", |
| "D) $48.68/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$60.07/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.81%\nB) 5.84%\nC) 7.15%\nD) 6.50%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.81%", |
| "B) 5.84%", |
| "C) 7.15%", |
| "D) 6.50%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 37.19%\nB) 24.93%\nC) 49.46%\nD) 45.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 37.19%", |
| "B) 24.93%", |
| "C) 49.46%", |
| "D) 45.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "37.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.05%\nB) 1.67%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 1.98%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.05%", |
| "B) 1.67%", |
| "C) 1.36%", |
| "D) 1.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.67%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) +6.43pp\nB) +1.91pp\nC) +5.30pp\nD) +3.04pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +6.43pp", |
| "B) +1.91pp", |
| "C) +5.30pp", |
| "D) +3.04pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+5.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 7.28\nB) 29.37\nC) 24.96\nD) 16.12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.28", |
| "B) 29.37", |
| "C) 24.96", |
| "D) 16.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "16.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 18.81\nB) 5.51\nC) 9.94\nD) 23.24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.81", |
| "B) 5.51", |
| "C) 9.94", |
| "D) 23.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "18.81", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 270.67\nB) 263.58\nC) 281.30\nD) 256.49", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 270.67", |
| "B) 263.58", |
| "C) 281.30", |
| "D) 256.49" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "263.58", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 299.98\nB) 266.28\nC) 278.92\nD) 287.34", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 299.98", |
| "B) 266.28", |
| "C) 278.92", |
| "D) 287.34" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "278.92", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 160,056K\nB) 144,900K\nC) 153,560K\nD) 149,230K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 160,056K", |
| "B) 144,900K", |
| "C) 153,560K", |
| "D) 149,230K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "149,230K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-06.)\n\nA) 7.85%\nB) 11.07%\nC) 6.77%\nD) 5.70%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.85%", |
| "B) 11.07%", |
| "C) 6.77%", |
| "D) 5.70%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7.85%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) -10.42%\nB) -3.75%\nC) -1.53%\nD) -5.97%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -10.42%", |
| "B) -3.75%", |
| "C) -1.53%", |
| "D) -5.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.75%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 63.45%\nB) 64.68%\nC) 61.60%\nD) 59.75%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 63.45%", |
| "B) 64.68%", |
| "C) 61.60%", |
| "D) 59.75%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "61.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 29.01%\nB) 24.01%\nC) 19.00%\nD) 26.51%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 29.01%", |
| "B) 24.01%", |
| "C) 19.00%", |
| "D) 26.51%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "26.51%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 224.90\nB) 231.41\nC) 215.13\nD) 237.92", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 224.90", |
| "B) 231.41", |
| "C) 215.13", |
| "D) 237.92" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "224.90", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) +2.08pp\nB) +4.30pp\nC) +6.52pp\nD) -2.36pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +2.08pp", |
| "B) +4.30pp", |
| "C) +6.52pp", |
| "D) -2.36pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+4.30pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) -13.97%\nB) -2.23%\nC) 3.64%\nD) -8.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -13.97%", |
| "B) -2.23%", |
| "C) 3.64%", |
| "D) -8.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 5.22%\nB) 9.83%\nC) -4.00%\nD) 2.92%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.22%", |
| "B) 9.83%", |
| "C) -4.00%", |
| "D) 2.92%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.92%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIACO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 210.60\nB) 204.32\nC) 220.01\nD) 226.29", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 210.60", |
| "B) 204.32", |
| "C) 220.01", |
| "D) 226.29" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "210.60", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 4,417.61\nB) 4,173.85\nC) 3,442.56\nD) 3,686.32", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,417.61", |
| "B) 4,173.85", |
| "C) 3,442.56", |
| "D) 3,686.32" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4,173.85", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.59%\nB) -2.23%\nC) 1.05%\nD) 4.33%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.59%", |
| "B) -2.23%", |
| "C) 1.05%", |
| "D) 4.33%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 5.69%\nB) 6.29%\nC) 8.73%\nD) 6.90%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.69%", |
| "B) 6.29%", |
| "C) 8.73%", |
| "D) 6.90%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) -9.50pp\nB) -4.38pp\nC) -24.87pp\nD) -19.75pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -9.50pp", |
| "B) -4.38pp", |
| "C) -24.87pp", |
| "D) -19.75pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-9.50pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 1.32%\nB) 1.92%\nC) 1.62%\nD) 2.83%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.32%", |
| "B) 1.92%", |
| "C) 1.62%", |
| "D) 2.83%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.92%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) -8.67pp\nB) -6.13pp\nC) -7.40pp\nD) -3.59pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -8.67pp", |
| "B) -6.13pp", |
| "C) -7.40pp", |
| "D) -3.59pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-7.40pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TOTBKCR", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) 6.66%\nB) 7.75%\nC) 8.84%\nD) 5.57%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.66%", |
| "B) 7.75%", |
| "C) 8.84%", |
| "D) 5.57%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.57%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 113.17\nB) 118.30\nC) 106.32\nD) 109.75", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 113.17", |
| "B) 118.30", |
| "C) 106.32", |
| "D) 109.75" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "113.17", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 2.87%\nC) 4.61%\nD) 1.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.03%", |
| "B) 2.87%", |
| "C) 4.61%", |
| "D) 1.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.87%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "T10Y2Y", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) +0.64pp\nB) +1.52pp\nC) +1.17pp\nD) +0.82pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.64pp", |
| "B) +1.52pp", |
| "C) +1.17pp", |
| "D) +0.82pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.17pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 11.78%\nB) 16.46%\nC) 25.83%\nD) 18.80%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.78%", |
| "B) 16.46%", |
| "C) 25.83%", |
| "D) 18.80%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "18.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 35,625.40\nB) 39,686.80\nC) 37,656.10\nD) 31,564.00", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 35,625.40", |
| "B) 39,686.80", |
| "C) 37,656.10", |
| "D) 31,564.00" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "35,625.40", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 2.15%\nB) 25.56%\nC) 13.86%\nD) 60.67%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.15%", |
| "B) 25.56%", |
| "C) 13.86%", |
| "D) 60.67%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "25.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 81.60%\nB) 75.53%\nC) 78.56%\nD) 70.97%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 81.60%", |
| "B) 75.53%", |
| "C) 78.56%", |
| "D) 70.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "78.56%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 136,460K\nB) 151,656K\nC) 140,801K\nD) 147,314K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 136,460K", |
| "B) 151,656K", |
| "C) 140,801K", |
| "D) 147,314K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "147,314K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 2.80%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 4.59%\nD) 1.02%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.80%", |
| "B) 1.61%", |
| "C) 4.59%", |
| "D) 1.02%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "2.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) +0.55pp\nB) +1.90pp\nC) +3.25pp\nD) +5.94pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +0.55pp", |
| "B) +1.90pp", |
| "C) +3.25pp", |
| "D) +5.94pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "+1.90pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 216.21\nB) 254.48\nC) 239.17\nD) 231.52", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 216.21", |
| "B) 254.48", |
| "C) 239.17", |
| "D) 231.52" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "239.17", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 10.53%\nB) 17.94%\nC) 15.47%\nD) 13.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.53%", |
| "B) 17.94%", |
| "C) 15.47%", |
| "D) 13.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "13.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.92%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 5.53%\nD) 8.31%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.92%", |
| "B) 4.14%", |
| "C) 5.53%", |
| "D) 8.31%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.92%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1.30%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.30%", |
| "B) 0.08%", |
| "C) 0.89%", |
| "D) 0.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 40,055.03\nB) 28,709.23\nC) 34,382.13\nD) 30,600.20", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 40,055.03", |
| "B) 28,709.23", |
| "C) 34,382.13", |
| "D) 30,600.20" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "34,382.13", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 0.46%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 0.04%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.88%", |
| "B) 0.46%", |
| "C) 1.30%", |
| "D) 0.04%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 275.94\nB) 310.51\nC) 252.89\nD) 264.42", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 275.94", |
| "B) 310.51", |
| "C) 252.89", |
| "D) 264.42" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "275.94", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 21.67%\nB) 17.59%\nC) 5.37%\nD) 13.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 21.67%", |
| "B) 17.59%", |
| "C) 5.37%", |
| "D) 13.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "17.59%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXJPUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 116.7928\nB) 119.6256\nC) 113.9600\nD) 111.1272", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 116.7928", |
| "B) 119.6256", |
| "C) 113.9600", |
| "D) 111.1272" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "113.9600", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -7.80%\nB) -12.03%\nC) 0.67%\nD) -5.68%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -7.80%", |
| "B) -12.03%", |
| "C) 0.67%", |
| "D) -5.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-5.68%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 31.64%\nB) 43.30%\nC) 66.61%\nD) 54.96%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 31.64%", |
| "B) 43.30%", |
| "C) 66.61%", |
| "D) 54.96%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "31.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS5", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 0.82%\nC) 0.40%\nD) 1.65%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.07%", |
| "B) 0.82%", |
| "C) 0.40%", |
| "D) 1.65%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.82%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 9.78%\nB) 10.59%\nC) 12.19%\nD) 13.00%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.78%", |
| "B) 10.59%", |
| "C) 12.19%", |
| "D) 13.00%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "12.19%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $-84,224M\nB) $-93,822M\nC) $-74,626M\nD) $-79,425M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-84,224M", |
| "B) $-93,822M", |
| "C) $-74,626M", |
| "D) $-79,425M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$-79,425M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 4,682.80\nB) 4,994.22\nC) 3,748.54\nD) 4,371.38", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,682.80", |
| "B) 4,994.22", |
| "C) 3,748.54", |
| "D) 4,371.38" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4,682.80", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 112.47\nB) 106.50\nC) 104.11\nD) 108.89", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 112.47", |
| "B) 106.50", |
| "C) 104.11", |
| "D) 108.89" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "106.50", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 138.09\nB) 124.86\nC) 131.47\nD) 120.45", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 138.09", |
| "B) 124.86", |
| "C) 131.47", |
| "D) 120.45" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "131.47", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 10.95%\nB) 24.06%\nC) 43.72%\nD) 30.62%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.95%", |
| "B) 24.06%", |
| "C) 43.72%", |
| "D) 30.62%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "30.62%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 6.20%\nB) 8.47%\nC) 5.07%\nD) 3.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.20%", |
| "B) 8.47%", |
| "C) 5.07%", |
| "D) 3.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 32.53%\nB) 45.53%\nC) 52.03%\nD) 58.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 32.53%", |
| "B) 45.53%", |
| "C) 52.03%", |
| "D) 58.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "45.53%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.71%\nB) 6.54%\nC) 5.32%\nD) 4.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.71%", |
| "B) 6.54%", |
| "C) 5.32%", |
| "D) 4.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.32%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 9.75%\nB) 1.06%\nC) 5.40%\nD) 14.09%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 9.75%", |
| "B) 1.06%", |
| "C) 5.40%", |
| "D) 14.09%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "14.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS2", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 0.21%\nB) 1.12%\nC) 1.57%\nD) 0.66%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.21%", |
| "B) 1.12%", |
| "C) 1.57%", |
| "D) 0.66%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.21%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 121.99\nB) 125.30\nC) 128.61\nD) 118.68", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 121.99", |
| "B) 125.30", |
| "C) 128.61", |
| "D) 118.68" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "125.30", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 52.21%\nB) 40.44%\nC) 46.32%\nD) 63.98%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 52.21%", |
| "B) 40.44%", |
| "C) 46.32%", |
| "D) 63.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "46.32%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NEWORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 11.10%\nB) 3.05%\nC) 27.20%\nD) 15.12%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11.10%", |
| "B) 3.05%", |
| "C) 27.20%", |
| "D) 15.12%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "15.12%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DJIA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 7.23%\nB) 23.04%\nC) -3.31%\nD) -8.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.23%", |
| "B) 23.04%", |
| "C) -3.31%", |
| "D) -8.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7.23%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CIVPART", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 62.63%\nB) 61.40%\nC) 64.47%\nD) 60.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 62.63%", |
| "B) 61.40%", |
| "C) 64.47%", |
| "D) 60.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "61.40%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "ICSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-06.)\n\nA) 1,223,173\nB) 845,087\nC) 467,000\nD) 1,601,260", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,223,173", |
| "B) 845,087", |
| "C) 467,000", |
| "D) 1,601,260" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "467,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 1,339K\nB) 1,509K\nC) 1,424K\nD) 1,594K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,339K", |
| "B) 1,509K", |
| "C) 1,424K", |
| "D) 1,594K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1,594K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $268,650M\nB) $242,447M\nC) $277,384M\nD) $294,853M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $268,650M", |
| "B) $242,447M", |
| "C) $277,384M", |
| "D) $294,853M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$268,650M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 25.52%\nB) 19.96%\nC) 21.81%\nD) 16.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.52%", |
| "B) 19.96%", |
| "C) 21.81%", |
| "D) 16.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "19.96%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 25.99%\nB) -4.99%\nC) 10.50%\nD) 18.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.99%", |
| "B) -4.99%", |
| "C) 10.50%", |
| "D) 18.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "10.50%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 52.91\nB) 72.23\nC) 57.74\nD) 67.40", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 52.91", |
| "B) 72.23", |
| "C) 57.74", |
| "D) 67.40" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "67.40", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "EMRATIO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 57.60%\nB) 62.57%\nC) 55.61%\nD) 59.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 57.60%", |
| "B) 62.57%", |
| "C) 55.61%", |
| "D) 59.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "57.60%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UMCSENT", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) -19.11pp\nB) -3.80pp\nC) +11.51pp\nD) -14.00pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -19.11pp", |
| "B) -3.80pp", |
| "C) +11.51pp", |
| "D) -14.00pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.80pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 80.76%\nB) 73.18%\nC) 77.73%\nD) 83.80%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 80.76%", |
| "B) 73.18%", |
| "C) 77.73%", |
| "D) 83.80%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "77.73%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 3.85%\nC) 5.72%\nD) 4.97%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.23%", |
| "B) 3.85%", |
| "C) 5.72%", |
| "D) 4.97%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -3.20pp\nB) -4.93pp\nC) +1.97pp\nD) -8.38pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -3.20pp", |
| "B) -4.93pp", |
| "C) +1.97pp", |
| "D) -8.38pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-3.20pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 17.81%\nB) 15.67%\nC) 11.41%\nD) 19.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.81%", |
| "B) 15.67%", |
| "C) 11.41%", |
| "D) 19.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "15.67%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) $15,593B\nB) $15,213B\nC) $15,974B\nD) $14,832B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $15,593B", |
| "B) $15,213B", |
| "C) $15,974B", |
| "D) $14,832B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$15,974B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 7.78%\nB) 12.26%\nC) 6.66%\nD) 10.02%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.78%", |
| "B) 12.26%", |
| "C) 6.66%", |
| "D) 10.02%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "10.02%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 57.67%\nB) 68.41%\nC) 36.21%\nD) 46.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 57.67%", |
| "B) 68.41%", |
| "C) 36.21%", |
| "D) 46.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "57.67%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $17,781B\nB) $19,642B\nC) $22,432B\nD) $20,572B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $17,781B", |
| "B) $19,642B", |
| "C) $22,432B", |
| "D) $20,572B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$19,642B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 12.60%\nB) 25.89%\nC) 17.03%\nD) 3.74%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12.60%", |
| "B) 25.89%", |
| "C) 17.03%", |
| "D) 3.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "17.03%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 104.63\nB) 108.39\nC) 95.22\nD) 100.87", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 104.63", |
| "B) 108.39", |
| "C) 95.22", |
| "D) 100.87" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "100.87", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 6.94%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 9.25%\nD) 11.57%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.94%", |
| "B) 2.30%", |
| "C) 9.25%", |
| "D) 11.57%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DSPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) $20,189B\nB) $18,600B\nC) $17,806B\nD) $20,984B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $20,189B", |
| "B) $18,600B", |
| "C) $17,806B", |
| "D) $20,984B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$18,600B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $5,447M\nD) $6,200,000M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $2,400,000M", |
| "B) $4,300,000M", |
| "C) $5,447M", |
| "D) $6,200,000M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "$5,447M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) +13.48pp\nB) +10.01pp\nC) +6.54pp\nD) +11.74pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +13.48pp", |
| "B) +10.01pp", |
| "C) +6.54pp", |
| "D) +11.74pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+11.74pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS10", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 1.30%\nB) 0.20%\nC) 0.56%\nD) 0.93%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.30%", |
| "B) 0.20%", |
| "C) 0.56%", |
| "D) 0.93%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.06%\nB) 13.30%\nC) -5.05%\nD) 25.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.06%", |
| "B) 13.30%", |
| "C) -5.05%", |
| "D) 25.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "13.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 8.16\nB) 30.32\nC) 21.46\nD) 25.89", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.16", |
| "B) 30.32", |
| "C) 21.46", |
| "D) 25.89" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "21.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 4,201.61\nB) 4,757.81\nC) 5,035.91\nD) 4,479.71", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,201.61", |
| "B) 4,757.81", |
| "C) 5,035.91", |
| "D) 4,479.71" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4,479.71", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 6.4367\nB) 5.8867\nC) 6.7667\nD) 6.1067", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.4367", |
| "B) 5.8867", |
| "C) 6.7667", |
| "D) 6.1067" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.4367", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "AHETPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 5.66%\nB) 5.08%\nC) 6.82%\nD) 3.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.66%", |
| "B) 5.08%", |
| "C) 6.82%", |
| "D) 3.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 79.52%\nB) 131.49%\nC) 157.47%\nD) 209.43%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 79.52%", |
| "B) 131.49%", |
| "C) 157.47%", |
| "D) 209.43%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "157.47%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 18,698.49\nB) 13,009.21\nC) 20,120.81\nD) 15,853.85", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18,698.49", |
| "B) 13,009.21", |
| "C) 20,120.81", |
| "D) 15,853.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "15,853.85", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 3,932.59\nB) 3,517.46\nC) 4,347.72\nD) 3,725.02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,932.59", |
| "B) 3,517.46", |
| "C) 4,347.72", |
| "D) 3,725.02" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3,932.59", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 52.06%\nB) 17.33%\nC) -5.82%\nD) 40.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 52.06%", |
| "B) 17.33%", |
| "C) -5.82%", |
| "D) 40.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "17.33%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 278.60\nB) 288.48\nC) 268.71\nD) 298.37", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 278.60", |
| "B) 288.48", |
| "C) 268.71", |
| "D) 298.37" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "268.71", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS30", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 2.65%\nB) 3.25%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 2.35%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.65%", |
| "B) 3.25%", |
| "C) 2.05%", |
| "D) 2.35%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "RSAFS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) $544,891M\nB) $560,128M\nC) $514,417M\nD) $575,365M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $544,891M", |
| "B) $560,128M", |
| "C) $514,417M", |
| "D) $575,365M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "$544,891M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOPGSTB", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $-85,695M\nB) $-72,588M\nC) $-68,219M\nD) $-81,326M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $-85,695M", |
| "B) $-72,588M", |
| "C) $-68,219M", |
| "D) $-81,326M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$-72,588M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 94.39\nB) 109.46\nC) 100.04\nD) 103.81", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 94.39", |
| "B) 109.46", |
| "C) 100.04", |
| "D) 103.81" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "100.04", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 106.00\nB) 119.69\nC) 116.27\nD) 111.14", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 106.00", |
| "B) 119.69", |
| "C) 116.27", |
| "D) 111.14" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "111.14", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 4.07%\nB) 4.54%\nC) 3.38%\nD) 4.77%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.07%", |
| "B) 4.54%", |
| "C) 3.38%", |
| "D) 4.77%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGORDER", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 34.53%\nB) 16.49%\nC) 10.48%\nD) -1.55%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 34.53%", |
| "B) 16.49%", |
| "C) 10.48%", |
| "D) -1.55%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "16.49%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 284.20\nB) 264.99\nC) 272.68\nD) 291.88", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 284.20", |
| "B) 264.99", |
| "C) 272.68", |
| "D) 291.88" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "272.68", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 3.72%\nB) 4.19%\nC) 6.59%\nD) 5.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.72%", |
| "B) 4.19%", |
| "C) 6.59%", |
| "D) 5.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.26%\nB) 6.99%\nC) 1.54%\nD) 9.71%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.26%", |
| "B) 6.99%", |
| "C) 1.54%", |
| "D) 9.71%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 1,617K\nB) 1,705K\nC) 1,529K\nD) 1,793K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,617K", |
| "B) 1,705K", |
| "C) 1,529K", |
| "D) 1,793K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1,705K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "HOUST", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 1,434K\nB) 1,666K\nC) 1,589K\nD) 1,821K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,434K", |
| "B) 1,666K", |
| "C) 1,589K", |
| "D) 1,821K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,589K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "BOGMBASE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,329M", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $2,400,000M", |
| "B) $6,200,000M", |
| "C) $4,300,000M", |
| "D) $6,329M" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$6,329M", |
| "unit": "usd_million", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PPIFIS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 8.62%\nB) 7.74%\nC) 10.37%\nD) 6.86%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8.62%", |
| "B) 7.74%", |
| "C) 10.37%", |
| "D) 6.86%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "8.62%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20210515", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-05-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2021-05-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-08.)\n\nA) 66.99%\nB) 50.16%\nC) 75.41%\nD) 24.91%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 66.99%", |
| "B) 50.16%", |
| "C) 75.41%", |
| "D) 24.91%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "50.16%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20211101", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "INDPRO", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for November 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 6.64%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 12.14%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.15%", |
| "B) 6.64%", |
| "C) 3.90%", |
| "D) 12.14%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.90%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-08", |
| "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-08.)\n\nA) 50.82%\nB) 9.40%\nC) 59.11%\nD) 34.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 50.82%", |
| "B) 9.40%", |
| "C) 59.11%", |
| "D) 34.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "34.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 10.86%\nB) 59.54%\nC) -5.36%\nD) -37.81%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.86%", |
| "B) 59.54%", |
| "C) -5.36%", |
| "D) -37.81%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "10.86%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20210815", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-08-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2021-08-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) 2.57%\nB) 2.87%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 3.78%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.57%", |
| "B) 2.87%", |
| "C) 1.96%", |
| "D) 3.78%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.87%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DGS3MO", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) 0.93%\nB) 0.49%\nC) 0.05%\nD) 1.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.93%", |
| "B) 0.49%", |
| "C) 0.05%", |
| "D) 1.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "UNRATE", |
| "transform": "yoy_pp", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) +5.23pp\nB) -1.10pp\nC) +0.17pp\nD) +2.70pp", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) +5.23pp", |
| "B) -1.10pp", |
| "C) +0.17pp", |
| "D) +2.70pp" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "+2.70pp", |
| "unit": "pp", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 4.20%\nC) 5.35%\nD) 5.74%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.58%", |
| "B) 4.20%", |
| "C) 5.35%", |
| "D) 5.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CCSA", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-06.)\n\nA) 8,999,023\nB) 4,495,000\nC) 11,251,035\nD) 2,242,988", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 8,999,023", |
| "B) 4,495,000", |
| "C) 11,251,035", |
| "D) 2,242,988" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4,495,000", |
| "unit": "count", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PSAVERT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 1.80%\nB) 12.73%\nC) 10.00%\nD) 4.54%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.80%", |
| "B) 12.73%", |
| "C) 10.00%", |
| "D) 4.54%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "10.00%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCE", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) $17,728B\nB) $15,975B\nC) $17,290B\nD) $16,413B", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $17,728B", |
| "B) $15,975B", |
| "C) $17,290B", |
| "D) $16,413B" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "$16,413B", |
| "unit": "usd_billion", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "M2SL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 13.20%\nB) 1.92%\nC) 24.48%\nD) 5.68%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13.20%", |
| "B) 1.92%", |
| "C) 24.48%", |
| "D) 5.68%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "13.20%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 0.51%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 0.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.51%", |
| "B) 0.09%", |
| "C) 1.36%", |
| "D) 0.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20210201", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PERMIT", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 1,786K\nB) 1,636K\nC) 1,711K\nD) 1,485K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,786K", |
| "B) 1,636K", |
| "C) 1,711K", |
| "D) 1,485K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1,711K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "CPILFESL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 4.53%\nB) 3.35%\nC) 3.65%\nD) 3.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.53%", |
| "B) 3.35%", |
| "C) 3.65%", |
| "D) 3.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3.94%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "TCU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 76.93%\nB) 72.39%\nC) 69.36%\nD) 79.96%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 76.93%", |
| "B) 72.39%", |
| "C) 69.36%", |
| "D) 79.96%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "76.93%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20211115", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-11-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-08", |
| "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-11-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-08.)\n\nA) $88.65/bbl\nB) $81.94/bbl\nC) $68.52/bbl\nD) $75.23/bbl", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) $88.65/bbl", |
| "B) $81.94/bbl", |
| "C) $68.52/bbl", |
| "D) $75.23/bbl" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "$81.94/bbl", |
| "unit": "usd_per_barrel", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 111.79\nB) 105.76\nC) 108.17\nD) 114.20", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 111.79", |
| "B) 105.76", |
| "C) 108.17", |
| "D) 114.20" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "108.17", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20210801", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PCEPI", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-01", |
| "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-01.)\n\nA) 103.06\nB) 107.03\nC) 113.64\nD) 109.67", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 103.06", |
| "B) 107.03", |
| "C) 113.64", |
| "D) 109.67" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "109.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 0.06%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 0.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.06%", |
| "B) 0.47%", |
| "C) 1.30%", |
| "D) 0.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.06%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20210501", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-31", |
| "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-31.)\n\nA) 3.36%\nB) 9.04%\nC) 7.15%\nD) 5.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.36%", |
| "B) 9.04%", |
| "C) 7.15%", |
| "D) 5.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "9.04%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20210215", |
| "forecastType": "Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "recurrent", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "2021-02-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-08", |
| "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2021-02-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-08.)\n\nA) 6.6766\nB) 6.2368\nC) 6.4567\nD) 6.8964", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.6766", |
| "B) 6.2368", |
| "C) 6.4567", |
| "D) 6.8964" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.4567", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "condition": "forecast", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 27.44\nB) 16.14\nC) 21.79\nD) 33.09", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.44", |
| "B) 16.14", |
| "C) 21.79", |
| "D) 33.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "33.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 27.44\nB) 16.14\nC) 21.79\nD) 33.09", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.44", |
| "B) 16.14", |
| "C) 21.79", |
| "D) 33.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "33.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 33.09\nB) 21.79\nC) 16.14\nD) 27.44", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 33.09", |
| "B) 21.79", |
| "C) 16.14", |
| "D) 27.44" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "33.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 33.09\nB) 21.79\nC) 16.14\nD) 27.44", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 33.09", |
| "B) 21.79", |
| "C) 16.14", |
| "D) 27.44" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "33.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 38.74\nB) 33.09\nC) 27.44\nD) 21.79", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 38.74", |
| "B) 33.09", |
| "C) 27.44", |
| "D) 21.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "33.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 38.74\nB) 33.09\nC) 27.44\nD) 21.79", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 38.74", |
| "B) 33.09", |
| "C) 27.44", |
| "D) 21.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "33.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 44.39\nB) 16.14\nC) 33.09\nD) 38.74", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 44.39", |
| "B) 16.14", |
| "C) 33.09", |
| "D) 38.74" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "33.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 44.39\nB) 16.14\nC) 33.09\nD) 38.74", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 44.39", |
| "B) 16.14", |
| "C) 33.09", |
| "D) 38.74" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "33.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 50.04\nB) 44.39\nC) 38.74\nD) 33.09", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 50.04", |
| "B) 44.39", |
| "C) 38.74", |
| "D) 33.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "33.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 50.04\nB) 44.39\nC) 38.74\nD) 33.09", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 50.04", |
| "B) 44.39", |
| "C) 38.74", |
| "D) 33.09" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "33.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 33.09\nB) 38.74\nC) 21.79\nD) 50.04", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 33.09", |
| "B) 38.74", |
| "C) 21.79", |
| "D) 50.04" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "33.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 33.09\nB) 38.74\nC) 21.79\nD) 50.04", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 33.09", |
| "B) 38.74", |
| "C) 21.79", |
| "D) 50.04" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "33.09", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,231.13\nB) 13,070.69\nC) 13,910.25\nD) 10,552.02", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12,231.13", |
| "B) 13,070.69", |
| "C) 13,910.25", |
| "D) 10,552.02" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "13,070.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,231.13\nB) 13,070.69\nC) 13,910.25\nD) 10,552.02", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12,231.13", |
| "B) 13,070.69", |
| "C) 13,910.25", |
| "D) 10,552.02" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "13,070.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,231.13\nB) 15,589.36\nC) 13,070.69\nD) 14,749.81", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12,231.13", |
| "B) 15,589.36", |
| "C) 13,070.69", |
| "D) 14,749.81" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "13,070.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,231.13\nB) 15,589.36\nC) 13,070.69\nD) 14,749.81", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12,231.13", |
| "B) 15,589.36", |
| "C) 13,070.69", |
| "D) 14,749.81" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "13,070.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,589.36\nB) 11,391.57\nC) 10,552.02\nD) 13,070.69", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 15,589.36", |
| "B) 11,391.57", |
| "C) 10,552.02", |
| "D) 13,070.69" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "13,070.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,589.36\nB) 11,391.57\nC) 10,552.02\nD) 13,070.69", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 15,589.36", |
| "B) 11,391.57", |
| "C) 10,552.02", |
| "D) 13,070.69" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "13,070.69", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,609.16\nB) 15,127.83\nC) 10,090.49\nD) 14,288.28", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12,609.16", |
| "B) 15,127.83", |
| "C) 10,090.49", |
| "D) 14,288.28" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "12,609.16", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,609.16\nB) 15,127.83\nC) 10,090.49\nD) 14,288.28", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12,609.16", |
| "B) 15,127.83", |
| "C) 10,090.49", |
| "D) 14,288.28" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "12,609.16", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,127.83\nB) 12,609.16\nC) 10,090.49\nD) 14,288.28", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 15,127.83", |
| "B) 12,609.16", |
| "C) 10,090.49", |
| "D) 14,288.28" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "12,609.16", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,127.83\nB) 12,609.16\nC) 10,090.49\nD) 14,288.28", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 15,127.83", |
| "B) 12,609.16", |
| "C) 10,090.49", |
| "D) 14,288.28" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "12,609.16", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 11,769.60\nB) 10,090.49\nC) 12,609.16\nD) 14,288.28", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11,769.60", |
| "B) 10,090.49", |
| "C) 12,609.16", |
| "D) 14,288.28" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "12,609.16", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 11,769.60\nB) 10,090.49\nC) 12,609.16\nD) 14,288.28", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11,769.60", |
| "B) 10,090.49", |
| "C) 12,609.16", |
| "D) 14,288.28" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "12,609.16", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 4,173.49\nB) 3,254.99\nC) 3,867.32\nD) 3,714.24", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,173.49", |
| "B) 3,254.99", |
| "C) 3,867.32", |
| "D) 3,714.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3,714.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-5d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 4,173.49\nB) 3,254.99\nC) 3,867.32\nD) 3,714.24", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,173.49", |
| "B) 3,254.99", |
| "C) 3,867.32", |
| "D) 3,714.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3,714.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-5d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 4,173.49\nC) 4,020.41\nD) 3,867.32", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,714.24", |
| "B) 4,173.49", |
| "C) 4,020.41", |
| "D) 3,867.32" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3,714.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-10d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 4,173.49\nC) 4,020.41\nD) 3,867.32", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,714.24", |
| "B) 4,173.49", |
| "C) 4,020.41", |
| "D) 3,867.32" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3,714.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-10d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 4,173.49\nB) 3,714.24\nC) 3,561.16\nD) 3,254.99", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,173.49", |
| "B) 3,714.24", |
| "C) 3,561.16", |
| "D) 3,254.99" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3,714.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-20d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 4,173.49\nB) 3,714.24\nC) 3,561.16\nD) 3,254.99", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,173.49", |
| "B) 3,714.24", |
| "C) 3,561.16", |
| "D) 3,254.99" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "3,714.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-20d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,408.07\nB) 3,561.16\nC) 3,714.24\nD) 3,254.99", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,408.07", |
| "B) 3,561.16", |
| "C) 3,714.24", |
| "D) 3,254.99" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3,714.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-40d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,408.07\nB) 3,561.16\nC) 3,714.24\nD) 3,254.99", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,408.07", |
| "B) 3,561.16", |
| "C) 3,714.24", |
| "D) 3,254.99" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3,714.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-40d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,254.99\nB) 3,867.32\nC) 3,561.16\nD) 3,714.24", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,254.99", |
| "B) 3,867.32", |
| "C) 3,561.16", |
| "D) 3,714.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3,714.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-60d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,254.99\nB) 3,867.32\nC) 3,561.16\nD) 3,714.24", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,254.99", |
| "B) 3,867.32", |
| "C) 3,561.16", |
| "D) 3,714.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "3,714.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-60d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 4,020.41\nC) 4,173.49\nD) 3,561.16", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,714.24", |
| "B) 4,020.41", |
| "C) 4,173.49", |
| "D) 3,561.16" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3,714.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-120d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 4,020.41\nC) 4,173.49\nD) 3,561.16", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,714.24", |
| "B) 4,020.41", |
| "C) 4,173.49", |
| "D) 3,561.16" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3,714.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", |
| "event_date": "2021-01-27", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-120d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 11,492.44\nB) 15,052.24\nC) 13,865.64\nD) 17,425.44", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11,492.44", |
| "B) 15,052.24", |
| "C) 13,865.64", |
| "D) 17,425.44" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "15,052.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 11,492.44\nB) 15,052.24\nC) 13,865.64\nD) 17,425.44", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 11,492.44", |
| "B) 15,052.24", |
| "C) 13,865.64", |
| "D) 17,425.44" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "15,052.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 12,679.04\nB) 16,238.84\nC) 15,052.24\nD) 18,612.04", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12,679.04", |
| "B) 16,238.84", |
| "C) 15,052.24", |
| "D) 18,612.04" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "15,052.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 12,679.04\nB) 16,238.84\nC) 15,052.24\nD) 18,612.04", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12,679.04", |
| "B) 16,238.84", |
| "C) 15,052.24", |
| "D) 18,612.04" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "15,052.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 13,865.64\nB) 16,238.84\nC) 12,679.04\nD) 15,052.24", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13,865.64", |
| "B) 16,238.84", |
| "C) 12,679.04", |
| "D) 15,052.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "15,052.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 13,865.64\nB) 16,238.84\nC) 12,679.04\nD) 15,052.24", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13,865.64", |
| "B) 16,238.84", |
| "C) 12,679.04", |
| "D) 15,052.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "15,052.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 15,982.36\nB) 19,542.16\nC) 18,355.56\nD) 14,795.76", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 15,982.36", |
| "B) 19,542.16", |
| "C) 18,355.56", |
| "D) 14,795.76" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "15,982.36", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 15,982.36\nB) 19,542.16\nC) 18,355.56\nD) 14,795.76", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 15,982.36", |
| "B) 19,542.16", |
| "C) 18,355.56", |
| "D) 14,795.76" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "15,982.36", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 12,497.64\nB) 16,057.44\nC) 13,684.24\nD) 19,617.24", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12,497.64", |
| "B) 16,057.44", |
| "C) 13,684.24", |
| "D) 19,617.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "16,057.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 12,497.64\nB) 16,057.44\nC) 13,684.24\nD) 19,617.24", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 12,497.64", |
| "B) 16,057.44", |
| "C) 13,684.24", |
| "D) 19,617.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "16,057.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 18,430.64\nB) 17,244.04\nC) 16,057.44\nD) 19,617.24", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18,430.64", |
| "B) 17,244.04", |
| "C) 16,057.44", |
| "D) 19,617.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "16,057.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 18,430.64\nB) 17,244.04\nC) 16,057.44\nD) 19,617.24", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18,430.64", |
| "B) 17,244.04", |
| "C) 16,057.44", |
| "D) 19,617.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "16,057.44", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-5d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,085.79\nB) 3,549.00\nC) 4,622.59\nD) 4,354.19", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,085.79", |
| "B) 3,549.00", |
| "C) 4,622.59", |
| "D) 4,354.19" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4,354.19", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-5d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-5d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,085.79\nB) 3,549.00\nC) 4,622.59\nD) 4,354.19", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,085.79", |
| "B) 3,549.00", |
| "C) 4,622.59", |
| "D) 4,354.19" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4,354.19", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-5d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-10d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,300.46\nB) 4,568.86\nC) 3,763.67\nD) 4,837.25", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,300.46", |
| "B) 4,568.86", |
| "C) 3,763.67", |
| "D) 4,837.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4,300.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-10d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-10d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,300.46\nB) 4,568.86\nC) 3,763.67\nD) 4,837.25", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,300.46", |
| "B) 4,568.86", |
| "C) 3,763.67", |
| "D) 4,837.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4,300.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-10d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-20d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 3,763.67\nB) 4,300.46\nC) 4,837.25\nD) 3,495.27", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,763.67", |
| "B) 4,300.46", |
| "C) 4,837.25", |
| "D) 3,495.27" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4,300.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-20d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-20d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 3,763.67\nB) 4,300.46\nC) 4,837.25\nD) 3,495.27", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,763.67", |
| "B) 4,300.46", |
| "C) 4,837.25", |
| "D) 3,495.27" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "4,300.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-20d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-40d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 3,495.27\nB) 5,105.65\nC) 4,300.46\nD) 4,837.25", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,495.27", |
| "B) 5,105.65", |
| "C) 4,300.46", |
| "D) 4,837.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4,300.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-40d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-40d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 3,495.27\nB) 5,105.65\nC) 4,300.46\nD) 4,837.25", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,495.27", |
| "B) 5,105.65", |
| "C) 4,300.46", |
| "D) 4,837.25" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "4,300.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-40d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-60d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5,105.65\nB) 3,495.27\nC) 4,032.06\nD) 4,300.46", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5,105.65", |
| "B) 3,495.27", |
| "C) 4,032.06", |
| "D) 4,300.46" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4,300.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-60d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-60d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5,105.65\nB) 3,495.27\nC) 4,032.06\nD) 4,300.46", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5,105.65", |
| "B) 3,495.27", |
| "C) 4,032.06", |
| "D) 4,300.46" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4,300.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-60d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-120d-min", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,170.70\nB) 4,707.49\nC) 4,975.89\nD) 3,633.91", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,170.70", |
| "B) 4,707.49", |
| "C) 4,975.89", |
| "D) 3,633.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4,170.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-120d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-120d-min", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,170.70\nB) 4,707.49\nC) 4,975.89\nD) 3,633.91", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "SP500", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4,170.70", |
| "B) 4,707.49", |
| "C) 4,975.89", |
| "D) 3,633.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "4,170.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-120d-min", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.5983\nB) 6.4660\nC) 6.8629\nD) 6.3337", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.5983", |
| "B) 6.4660", |
| "C) 6.8629", |
| "D) 6.3337" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.4660", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.5983\nB) 6.4660\nC) 6.8629\nD) 6.3337", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.5983", |
| "B) 6.4660", |
| "C) 6.8629", |
| "D) 6.3337" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.4660", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.0733\nB) 6.3379\nC) 6.4702\nD) 6.8671", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.0733", |
| "B) 6.3379", |
| "C) 6.4702", |
| "D) 6.8671" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.4702", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.0733\nB) 6.3379\nC) 6.4702\nD) 6.8671", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.0733", |
| "B) 6.3379", |
| "C) 6.4702", |
| "D) 6.8671" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.4702", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.0733\nB) 6.7348\nC) 6.2056\nD) 6.4702", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.0733", |
| "B) 6.7348", |
| "C) 6.2056", |
| "D) 6.4702" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.4702", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.0733\nB) 6.7348\nC) 6.2056\nD) 6.4702", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.0733", |
| "B) 6.7348", |
| "C) 6.2056", |
| "D) 6.4702" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.4702", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.4702\nB) 6.2056\nC) 6.8671\nD) 6.3379", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.4702", |
| "B) 6.2056", |
| "C) 6.8671", |
| "D) 6.3379" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.4702", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.4702\nB) 6.2056\nC) 6.8671\nD) 6.3379", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.4702", |
| "B) 6.2056", |
| "C) 6.8671", |
| "D) 6.3379" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "6.4702", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.2056\nB) 6.4702\nC) 6.6025\nD) 6.3379", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.2056", |
| "B) 6.4702", |
| "C) 6.6025", |
| "D) 6.3379" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.4702", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.2056\nB) 6.4702\nC) 6.6025\nD) 6.3379", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.2056", |
| "B) 6.4702", |
| "C) 6.6025", |
| "D) 6.3379" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "6.4702", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.8671\nB) 6.3379\nC) 6.4702\nD) 6.2056", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.8671", |
| "B) 6.3379", |
| "C) 6.4702", |
| "D) 6.2056" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.4702", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.8671\nB) 6.3379\nC) 6.4702\nD) 6.2056", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "DEXCHUS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.8671", |
| "B) 6.3379", |
| "C) 6.4702", |
| "D) 6.2056" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "6.4702", |
| "unit": "fx_rate", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 29.74\nB) 35.12\nC) 13.60\nD) 24.36", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 29.74", |
| "B) 35.12", |
| "C) 13.60", |
| "D) 24.36" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "24.36", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 29.74\nB) 35.12\nC) 13.60\nD) 24.36", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 29.74", |
| "B) 35.12", |
| "C) 13.60", |
| "D) 24.36" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "24.36", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 24.36\nB) 35.12\nC) 18.98\nD) 29.74", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.36", |
| "B) 35.12", |
| "C) 18.98", |
| "D) 29.74" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "24.36", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 24.36\nB) 35.12\nC) 18.98\nD) 29.74", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.36", |
| "B) 35.12", |
| "C) 18.98", |
| "D) 29.74" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "24.36", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 35.12\nB) 24.36\nC) 18.98\nD) 29.74", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 35.12", |
| "B) 24.36", |
| "C) 18.98", |
| "D) 29.74" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "24.36", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 35.12\nB) 24.36\nC) 18.98\nD) 29.74", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 35.12", |
| "B) 24.36", |
| "C) 18.98", |
| "D) 29.74" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "24.36", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 29.74\nB) 18.98\nC) 24.36\nD) 35.12", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 29.74", |
| "B) 18.98", |
| "C) 24.36", |
| "D) 35.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "24.36", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 29.74\nB) 18.98\nC) 24.36\nD) 35.12", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 29.74", |
| "B) 18.98", |
| "C) 24.36", |
| "D) 35.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "24.36", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 36.50\nB) 14.99\nC) 41.88\nD) 31.12", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 36.50", |
| "B) 14.99", |
| "C) 41.88", |
| "D) 31.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "31.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 36.50\nB) 14.99\nC) 41.88\nD) 31.12", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 36.50", |
| "B) 14.99", |
| "C) 41.88", |
| "D) 31.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "31.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-max", |
| "condition": "blind", |
| "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 36.45\nB) 25.69\nC) 47.21\nD) 20.32", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 36.45", |
| "B) 25.69", |
| "C) 47.21", |
| "D) 20.32" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "36.45", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-max", |
| "condition": "revealed", |
| "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 36.45\nB) 25.69\nC) 47.21\nD) 20.32", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "shock_aftermath", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 36.45", |
| "B) 25.69", |
| "C) 47.21", |
| "D) 20.32" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "36.45", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", |
| "event_date": "2021-09-20", |
| "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-max", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-01-27", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-24", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-01-27, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for February 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-24.)\n\nA) 1.30%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.49%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.30%", |
| "B) 0.08%", |
| "C) 0.89%", |
| "D) 0.49%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-03-17", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "April 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-14", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-03-17, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for April 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-14.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 0.48%\nC) 0.07%\nD) 1.31%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.89%", |
| "B) 0.48%", |
| "C) 0.07%", |
| "D) 1.31%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.07%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-04-28", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-04-25", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-04-28, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for May 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-25.)\n\nA) 0.48%\nB) 0.89%\nC) 1.31%\nD) 0.06%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.48%", |
| "B) 0.89%", |
| "C) 1.31%", |
| "D) 0.06%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.06%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-06-16", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "July 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-06-13", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-06-16, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for July 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-13.)\n\nA) 0.10%\nB) 0.94%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 0.52%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.10%", |
| "B) 0.94%", |
| "C) 1.36%", |
| "D) 0.52%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.10%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-07-28", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-25", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-07-28, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for August 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.51%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 0.94%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.51%", |
| "B) 0.09%", |
| "C) 1.36%", |
| "D) 0.94%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-09-22", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "October 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-19", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-09-22, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for October 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-19.)\n\nA) 0.51%\nB) 0.94%\nC) 0.08%\nD) 1.37%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.51%", |
| "B) 0.94%", |
| "C) 0.08%", |
| "D) 1.37%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-11-03", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "December 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-31", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-11-03, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for December 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-31.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 0.94%\nC) 0.51%\nD) 0.08%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.37%", |
| "B) 0.94%", |
| "C) 0.51%", |
| "D) 0.08%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-fomc-2021-12-15", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "fomc_rate", |
| "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "January 2022", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-12-12", |
| "question": "Following the FOMC meeting on 2021-12-15, what will the US effective federal funds rate be for January 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-12.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 0.52%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 0.96%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.08%", |
| "B) 0.52%", |
| "C) 1.39%", |
| "D) 0.96%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202101", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "January 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for January 2021 (released around 2021-02-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) -2,470K\nB) 315K\nC) 3,100K\nD) -1,078K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2,470K", |
| "B) 315K", |
| "C) 3,100K", |
| "D) -1,078K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "315K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202102", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "February 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-26", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for February 2021 (released around 2021-03-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-26.)\n\nA) 1,910K\nB) 3,303K\nC) 517K\nD) -876K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1,910K", |
| "B) 3,303K", |
| "C) 517K", |
| "D) -876K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "517K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202103", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "March 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-26", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for March 2021 (released around 2021-04-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-26.)\n\nA) 5,034K\nB) -3,330K\nC) -1,936K\nD) 852K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5,034K", |
| "B) -3,330K", |
| "C) -1,936K", |
| "D) 852K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "852K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202104", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "April 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-04-30", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for April 2021 (released around 2021-05-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-30.)\n\nA) 355K\nB) -1,039K\nC) 4,538K\nD) 1,749K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 355K", |
| "B) -1,039K", |
| "C) 4,538K", |
| "D) 1,749K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "355K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202105", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "May 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-28", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for May 2021 (released around 2021-06-04)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-28.)\n\nA) 3,267K\nB) 478K\nC) 1,873K\nD) -917K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,267K", |
| "B) 478K", |
| "C) 1,873K", |
| "D) -917K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "478K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202106", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "June 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-06-25", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for June 2021 (released around 2021-07-02)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-25.)\n\nA) 2,150K\nB) -640K\nC) 755K\nD) -3,431K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,150K", |
| "B) -640K", |
| "C) 755K", |
| "D) -3,431K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "755K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202107", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "July 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-30", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for July 2021 (released around 2021-08-06)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-30.)\n\nA) 5,131K\nB) -3,247K\nC) 2,338K\nD) 942K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5,131K", |
| "B) -3,247K", |
| "C) 2,338K", |
| "D) 942K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "942K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202108", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "August 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-27", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for August 2021 (released around 2021-09-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-27.)\n\nA) 552K\nB) -845K\nC) 1,949K\nD) -3,638K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 552K", |
| "B) -845K", |
| "C) 1,949K", |
| "D) -3,638K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "552K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202109", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "September 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-24", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for September 2021 (released around 2021-10-01)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-24.)\n\nA) -2,337K\nB) 457K\nC) 1,854K\nD) -940K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2,337K", |
| "B) 457K", |
| "C) 1,854K", |
| "D) -940K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "457K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202110", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "October 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-29", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for October 2021 (released around 2021-11-05)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-29.)\n\nA) 3,596K\nB) 2,199K\nC) 801K\nD) 4,994K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3,596K", |
| "B) 2,199K", |
| "C) 801K", |
| "D) 4,994K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "801K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202111", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "November 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-26", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for November 2021 (released around 2021-12-03)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-26.)\n\nA) 2,056K\nB) -3,537K\nC) -2,139K\nD) 658K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2,056K", |
| "B) -3,537K", |
| "C) -2,139K", |
| "D) 658K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "658K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-nfp-202112", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nfp_change", |
| "indicator": "PAYEMS", |
| "transform": "mom_change", |
| "target_period": "December 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-12-31", |
| "question": "What will the month-over-month change in US Nonfarm Payrolls be for December 2021 (released around 2022-01-07)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-31.)\n\nA) 586K\nB) 1,985K\nC) -813K\nD) 3,383K", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 586K", |
| "B) 1,985K", |
| "C) -813K", |
| "D) 3,383K" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "586K", |
| "unit": "thousand_units", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202101", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "January 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for January 2021 (released around 2021-02-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-06.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 0.76%\nD) 2.29%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.68%", |
| "B) 1.37%", |
| "C) 0.76%", |
| "D) 2.29%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.37%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202103", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "March 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-04-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for March 2021 (released around 2021-04-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-06.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 3.00%\nC) 2.67%\nD) 1.66%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.00%", |
| "B) 3.00%", |
| "C) 2.67%", |
| "D) 1.66%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.67%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202104", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "April 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for April 2021 (released around 2021-05-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-06.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 4.13%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.90%", |
| "B) 3.75%", |
| "C) 2.98%", |
| "D) 4.13%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "4.13%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202106", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "June 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for June 2021 (released around 2021-07-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-06.)\n\nA) 5.30%\nB) 3.86%\nC) 6.25%\nD) 4.82%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.30%", |
| "B) 3.86%", |
| "C) 6.25%", |
| "D) 4.82%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.30%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202107", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "July 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for July 2021 (released around 2021-08-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) 6.78%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 3.71%\nD) 5.76%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.78%", |
| "B) 5.25%", |
| "C) 3.71%", |
| "D) 5.76%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "5.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202109", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "September 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for September 2021 (released around 2021-10-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-06.)\n\nA) 4.13%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 5.35%\nD) 5.96%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.13%", |
| "B) 3.53%", |
| "C) 5.35%", |
| "D) 5.96%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "5.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202110", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "October 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for October 2021 (released around 2021-11-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-06.)\n\nA) 4.21%\nB) 7.59%\nC) 5.56%\nD) 6.24%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.21%", |
| "B) 7.59%", |
| "C) 5.56%", |
| "D) 6.24%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "6.24%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-cpi-202112", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "cpi_yoy", |
| "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "December 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-01-06", |
| "question": "What will the US CPI year-over-year inflation rate be for December 2021 (released around 2022-01-13)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-06.)\n\nA) 7.17%\nB) 6.36%\nC) 4.74%\nD) 7.99%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 7.17%", |
| "B) 6.36%", |
| "C) 4.74%", |
| "D) 7.99%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "7.17%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2021q1", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q1 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q1 2021 (advance estimate released around 2021-05-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-14.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 3.52%\nD) -1.64%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.08%", |
| "B) 1.80%", |
| "C) 3.52%", |
| "D) -1.64%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.80%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2021q2", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q2 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q2 2021 (advance estimate released around 2021-08-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-14.)\n\nA) 10.63%\nB) 8.88%\nC) 12.39%\nD) 7.13%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.63%", |
| "B) 8.88%", |
| "C) 12.39%", |
| "D) 7.13%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "12.39%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2021q3", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q3 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q3 2021 (advance estimate released around 2021-11-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-14.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) 8.74%\nC) -0.24%\nD) 5.15%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.56%", |
| "B) 8.74%", |
| "C) -0.24%", |
| "D) 5.15%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "5.15%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-gdp-2021q4", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "gdp_yoy", |
| "indicator": "GDPC1", |
| "transform": "yoy_pct", |
| "target_period": "Q4 2021", |
| "info_cutoff": "2022-02-14", |
| "question": "What will the US real GDP year-over-year growth rate be for Q4 2021 (advance estimate released around 2022-02-28)? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-14.)\n\nA) 5.76%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 9.37%\nD) 11.17%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.76%", |
| "B) 0.34%", |
| "C) 9.37%", |
| "D) 11.17%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210101", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-01-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-12-25", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-01-01? (Use only information available on or before 2020-12-25.)\n\nA) 34.39\nB) 23.08\nC) 6.11\nD) 40.05", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 34.39", |
| "B) 23.08", |
| "C) 6.11", |
| "D) 40.05" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "23.08", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210108", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-01-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-01-08? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) 43.92\nB) 21.32\nC) 26.97\nD) 10.02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 43.92", |
| "B) 21.32", |
| "C) 26.97", |
| "D) 10.02" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "26.97", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210115", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-01-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-08", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-01-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-08.)\n\nA) 13.04\nB) 35.64\nC) 7.39\nD) 24.34", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 13.04", |
| "B) 35.64", |
| "C) 7.39", |
| "D) 24.34" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "24.34", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210205", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 30.24\nB) 18.92\nC) 24.58\nD) 41.56", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 30.24", |
| "B) 18.92", |
| "C) 24.58", |
| "D) 41.56" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "30.24", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210212", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-02-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-05", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-02-12? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-05.)\n\nA) 10.68\nB) 21.99\nC) 5.03\nD) 16.34", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.68", |
| "B) 21.99", |
| "C) 5.03", |
| "D) 16.34" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "21.99", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210219", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-02-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-12", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-02-19? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-12.)\n\nA) 28.13\nB) 11.20\nC) 22.49\nD) 16.85", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28.13", |
| "B) 11.20", |
| "C) 22.49", |
| "D) 16.85" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "22.49", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210305", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-03-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-26", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-03-05? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-26.)\n\nA) 22.95\nB) 39.81\nC) 17.33\nD) 28.57", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 22.95", |
| "B) 39.81", |
| "C) 17.33", |
| "D) 28.57" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "28.57", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210312", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-03-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-05", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-03-12? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-05.)\n\nA) 25.47\nB) 8.64\nC) 14.25\nD) 31.08", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 25.47", |
| "B) 8.64", |
| "C) 14.25", |
| "D) 31.08" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "25.47", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210319", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-12", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-12.)\n\nA) 38.37\nB) 21.58\nC) 15.98\nD) 10.39", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 38.37", |
| "B) 21.58", |
| "C) 15.98", |
| "D) 10.39" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "21.58", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210402", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-04-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-26", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-26.)\n\nA) 15.18\nB) 37.43\nC) 20.74\nD) 31.87", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 15.18", |
| "B) 37.43", |
| "C) 20.74", |
| "D) 31.87" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "20.74", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210409", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-04-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-04-02", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-02.)\n\nA) 34.78\nB) 7.01\nC) 23.67\nD) 18.12", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 34.78", |
| "B) 7.01", |
| "C) 23.67", |
| "D) 18.12" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "18.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210416", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-04-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-04-09", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-04-16? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-09.)\n\nA) 16.99\nB) 33.61\nC) 28.07\nD) 11.45", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 16.99", |
| "B) 33.61", |
| "C) 28.07", |
| "D) 11.45" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "16.99", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210507", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-05-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-04-30", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-05-07? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-30.)\n\nA) 24.97\nB) 19.48\nC) 30.46\nD) 8.50", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 24.97", |
| "B) 19.48", |
| "C) 30.46", |
| "D) 8.50" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "19.48", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210514", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-05-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-07", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-05-14? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-07.)\n\nA) 38.55\nB) 33.07\nC) 27.59\nD) 11.15", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 38.55", |
| "B) 33.07", |
| "C) 27.59", |
| "D) 11.15" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "27.59", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210521", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-05-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-14", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-05-21? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-14.)\n\nA) 5.75\nB) 33.13\nC) 27.66\nD) 22.18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.75", |
| "B) 33.13", |
| "C) 27.66", |
| "D) 22.18" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "22.18", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210604", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-06-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-28", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-06-04? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-28.)\n\nA) 18.04\nB) 34.41\nC) 28.95\nD) 12.58", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.04", |
| "B) 34.41", |
| "C) 28.95", |
| "D) 12.58" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "18.04", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210611", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-06-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-06-04", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-06-11? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-04.)\n\nA) 28.81\nB) 17.89\nC) 23.35\nD) 6.97", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28.81", |
| "B) 17.89", |
| "C) 23.35", |
| "D) 6.97" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "17.89", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210618", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-06-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-06-11", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-06-18? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-11.)\n\nA) 31.62\nB) 9.78\nC) 20.70\nD) 15.24", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 31.62", |
| "B) 9.78", |
| "C) 20.70", |
| "D) 15.24" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "20.70", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210702", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-07-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-06-25", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-07-02? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-25.)\n\nA) 26.92\nB) 10.57\nC) 32.36\nD) 16.02", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.92", |
| "B) 10.57", |
| "C) 32.36", |
| "D) 16.02" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "16.02", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210709", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-02", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-02.)\n\nA) 19.00\nB) 8.11\nC) 13.56\nD) 24.44", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 19.00", |
| "B) 8.11", |
| "C) 13.56", |
| "D) 24.44" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "19.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210716", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-07-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-09", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-07-16? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-09.)\n\nA) 23.88\nB) 18.45\nC) 34.75\nD) 29.32", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 23.88", |
| "B) 18.45", |
| "C) 34.75", |
| "D) 29.32" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "18.45", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210806", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-08-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-30", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-08-06? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-30.)\n\nA) 30.22\nB) 14.08\nC) 19.46\nD) 24.84", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 30.22", |
| "B) 14.08", |
| "C) 19.46", |
| "D) 24.84" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "19.46", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210813", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-08-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-06", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-08-13? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) 27.55\nB) 11.41\nC) 22.17\nD) 16.79", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 27.55", |
| "B) 11.41", |
| "C) 22.17", |
| "D) 16.79" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "16.79", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210820", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-08-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-13", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-08-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-13.)\n\nA) 21.67\nB) 37.84\nC) 16.28\nD) 32.45", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 21.67", |
| "B) 37.84", |
| "C) 16.28", |
| "D) 32.45" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "21.67", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210903", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-09-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-27", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-09-03? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-27.)\n\nA) 5.70\nB) 16.48\nC) 21.87\nD) 27.26", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.70", |
| "B) 16.48", |
| "C) 21.87", |
| "D) 27.26" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "16.48", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210910", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-09-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-03", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-09-10? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-03.)\n\nA) 26.34\nB) 37.13\nC) 20.95\nD) 10.16", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 26.34", |
| "B) 37.13", |
| "C) 20.95", |
| "D) 10.16" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "20.95", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20210917", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-10", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-10.)\n\nA) 10.03\nB) 31.59\nC) 36.98\nD) 20.81", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 10.03", |
| "B) 31.59", |
| "C) 36.98", |
| "D) 20.81" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "20.81", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20211001", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-10-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-24", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-10-01? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-24.)\n\nA) 23.25\nB) 17.89\nC) 7.17\nD) 12.53", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 23.25", |
| "B) 17.89", |
| "C) 7.17", |
| "D) 12.53" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "23.25", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20211008", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-10-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-10-08? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 17.61\nB) 22.96\nC) 28.31\nD) 6.91", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 17.61", |
| "B) 22.96", |
| "C) 28.31", |
| "D) 6.91" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "22.96", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20211015", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-10-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-08", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-10-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-08.)\n\nA) 36.04\nB) 30.69\nC) 20.00\nD) 25.35", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 36.04", |
| "B) 30.69", |
| "C) 20.00", |
| "D) 25.35" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "20.00", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20211105", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-11-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-29", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-29.)\n\nA) 32.44\nB) 21.80\nC) 5.84\nD) 16.48", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 32.44", |
| "B) 21.80", |
| "C) 5.84", |
| "D) 16.48" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "16.48", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20211112", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-11-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-05", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-11-12? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-05.)\n\nA) 18.73\nB) 24.04\nC) 8.12\nD) 34.65", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 18.73", |
| "B) 24.04", |
| "C) 8.12", |
| "D) 34.65" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "18.73", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20211119", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-11-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-12", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-11-19? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-12.)\n\nA) 28.48\nB) 17.91\nC) 33.77\nD) 7.34", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 28.48", |
| "B) 17.91", |
| "C) 33.77", |
| "D) 7.34" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "17.91", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20211203", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-12-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-26", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-12-03? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-26.)\n\nA) 46.85\nB) 15.39\nC) 31.12\nD) 41.61", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 46.85", |
| "B) 15.39", |
| "C) 31.12", |
| "D) 41.61" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "31.12", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20211210", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-12-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-12-03", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-12-10? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-03.)\n\nA) 21.96\nB) 42.85\nC) 32.40\nD) 27.18", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 21.96", |
| "B) 42.85", |
| "C) 32.40", |
| "D) 27.18" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "27.18", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-vix-20211217", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "vix_weekly", |
| "indicator": "VIXCLS", |
| "transform": "level", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-12-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-12-10", |
| "question": "What will be the highest daily closing value of the CBOE VIX index during the trading week ending 2021-12-17? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-10.)\n\nA) 21.89\nB) 27.10\nC) 16.68\nD) 32.30", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 21.89", |
| "B) 27.10", |
| "C) 16.68", |
| "D) 32.30" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "21.89", |
| "unit": "index", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210101", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-01-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2020-12-25", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-01-01? (Use only information available on or before 2020-12-25.)\n\nA) 4.83%\nB) -0.09%\nC) -7.47%\nD) 7.29%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 4.83%", |
| "B) -0.09%", |
| "C) -7.47%", |
| "D) 7.29%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.09%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210108", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-01-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-01", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-01-08? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-01.)\n\nA) -0.95%\nB) 8.88%\nC) 3.97%\nD) -3.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.95%", |
| "B) 8.88%", |
| "C) 3.97%", |
| "D) -3.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.97%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210115", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-01-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-08", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-01-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-08.)\n\nA) 2.18%\nB) -2.76%\nC) 7.11%\nD) -0.29%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.18%", |
| "B) -2.76%", |
| "C) 7.11%", |
| "D) -0.29%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.29%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210205", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-02-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.38%\nB) 0.90%\nC) 10.82%\nD) 5.86%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.38%", |
| "B) 0.90%", |
| "C) 10.82%", |
| "D) 5.86%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "3.38%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210212", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-02-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-05", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-02-12? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-05.)\n\nA) -1.71%\nB) 0.77%\nC) 8.21%\nD) -4.19%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.71%", |
| "B) 0.77%", |
| "C) 8.21%", |
| "D) -4.19%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.77%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210219", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-02-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-12", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-02-19? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-12.)\n\nA) -8.67%\nB) 1.25%\nC) -1.23%\nD) 6.20%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -8.67%", |
| "B) 1.25%", |
| "C) -1.23%", |
| "D) 6.20%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.23%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210305", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-03-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-02-26", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-03-05? (Use only information available on or before 2021-02-26.)\n\nA) -9.87%\nB) -2.45%\nC) 0.02%\nD) -4.92%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -9.87%", |
| "B) -2.45%", |
| "C) 0.02%", |
| "D) -4.92%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.92%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210312", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-03-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-05", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-03-12? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-05.)\n\nA) 5.64%\nB) 0.77%\nC) 10.51%\nD) 8.07%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 5.64%", |
| "B) 0.77%", |
| "C) 10.51%", |
| "D) 8.07%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "5.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210319", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-03-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-12", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-12.)\n\nA) -8.84%\nB) -1.82%\nC) 5.21%\nD) 0.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -8.84%", |
| "B) -1.82%", |
| "C) 5.21%", |
| "D) 0.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.82%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210402", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-04-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-03-26", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2021-03-26.)\n\nA) -0.41%\nB) 5.03%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 6.85%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.41%", |
| "B) 5.03%", |
| "C) 3.22%", |
| "D) 6.85%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "3.22%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210409", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-04-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-04-02", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-02.)\n\nA) 6.57%\nB) 3.14%\nC) -0.30%\nD) 1.42%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.57%", |
| "B) 3.14%", |
| "C) -0.30%", |
| "D) 1.42%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "1.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210416", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-04-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-04-09", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-04-16? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-09.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) -3.43%\nC) 3.09%\nD) 6.36%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.46%", |
| "B) -3.43%", |
| "C) 3.09%", |
| "D) 6.36%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "1.46%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210507", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-05-07", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-04-30", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-05-07? (Use only information available on or before 2021-04-30.)\n\nA) 2.09%\nB) -1.03%\nC) 3.64%\nD) -2.59%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.09%", |
| "B) -1.03%", |
| "C) 3.64%", |
| "D) -2.59%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.03%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210514", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-05-14", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-07", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-05-14? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 4.84%\nC) 0.21%\nD) -2.88%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 3.30%", |
| "B) 4.84%", |
| "C) 0.21%", |
| "D) -2.88%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "0.21%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210521", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-05-21", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-14", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-05-21? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-14.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) 3.80%\nC) -3.99%\nD) 0.69%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.25%", |
| "B) 3.80%", |
| "C) -3.99%", |
| "D) 0.69%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.69%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210604", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-06-04", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-05-28", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-06-04? (Use only information available on or before 2021-05-28.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 3.66%\nC) -4.07%\nD) 5.20%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.57%", |
| "B) 3.66%", |
| "C) -4.07%", |
| "D) 5.20%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.57%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210611", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-06-11", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-06-04", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-06-11? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-04.)\n\nA) -1.75%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 6.00%\nD) 4.45%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.75%", |
| "B) 1.35%", |
| "C) 6.00%", |
| "D) 4.45%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.35%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210618", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-06-18", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-06-11", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-06-18? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-11.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) -5.64%\nC) -1.01%\nD) 0.53%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.07%", |
| "B) -5.64%", |
| "C) -1.01%", |
| "D) 0.53%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.01%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210702", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-07-02", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-06-25", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-07-02? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-25.)\n\nA) -0.53%\nB) -3.49%\nC) 5.41%\nD) 0.96%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.53%", |
| "B) -3.49%", |
| "C) 5.41%", |
| "D) 0.96%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "0.96%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210709", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-07-09", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-02", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-02.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 3.19%\nC) -2.67%\nD) 4.65%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.26%", |
| "B) 3.19%", |
| "C) -2.67%", |
| "D) 4.65%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "0.26%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210716", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-07-16", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-09", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-07-16? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-09.)\n\nA) 0.83%\nB) -2.08%\nC) -0.62%\nD) -6.44%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.83%", |
| "B) -2.08%", |
| "C) -0.62%", |
| "D) -6.44%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.08%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210806", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-08-06", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-07-30", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-08-06? (Use only information available on or before 2021-07-30.)\n\nA) -1.80%\nB) -0.37%\nC) 1.05%\nD) -3.23%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.80%", |
| "B) -0.37%", |
| "C) 1.05%", |
| "D) -3.23%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "1.05%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210813", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-08-13", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-06", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-08-13? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-06.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) -4.51%\nC) 4.01%\nD) -0.25%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 2.59%", |
| "B) -4.51%", |
| "C) 4.01%", |
| "D) -0.25%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.25%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210820", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-08-20", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-13", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-08-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-13.)\n\nA) -0.53%\nB) 3.68%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 0.87%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.53%", |
| "B) 3.68%", |
| "C) 2.28%", |
| "D) 0.87%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.53%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210903", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-09-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-08-27", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-09-03? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-27.)\n\nA) -2.18%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 4.87%\nD) 2.05%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.18%", |
| "B) 0.64%", |
| "C) 4.87%", |
| "D) 2.05%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "0.64%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210910", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-09-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-03", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-09-10? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-03.)\n\nA) -5.90%\nB) 2.53%\nC) -1.68%\nD) -0.28%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -5.90%", |
| "B) 2.53%", |
| "C) -1.68%", |
| "D) -0.28%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.68%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20210917", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-09-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-10", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-10.)\n\nA) 0.91%\nB) -3.04%\nC) -1.72%\nD) -0.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 0.91%", |
| "B) -3.04%", |
| "C) -1.72%", |
| "D) -0.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20211001", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-10-01", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-09-24", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-10-01? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-24.)\n\nA) -2.69%\nB) -1.41%\nC) -3.98%\nD) -5.26%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.69%", |
| "B) -1.41%", |
| "C) -3.98%", |
| "D) -5.26%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-2.69%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20211008", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-10-08", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-01", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-10-08? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-01.)\n\nA) 6.13%\nB) 2.27%\nC) -1.58%\nD) 3.56%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 6.13%", |
| "B) 2.27%", |
| "C) -1.58%", |
| "D) 3.56%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "2.27%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20211015", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-10-15", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-08", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-10-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-08.)\n\nA) 1.57%\nB) 6.63%\nC) 2.84%\nD) 4.10%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.57%", |
| "B) 6.63%", |
| "C) 2.84%", |
| "D) 4.10%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "2.84%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20211105", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-11-05", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-10-29", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2021-10-29.)\n\nA) 1.19%\nB) -1.26%\nC) -0.03%\nD) 2.41%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) 1.19%", |
| "B) -1.26%", |
| "C) -0.03%", |
| "D) 2.41%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.41%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20211112", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-11-12", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-05", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-11-12? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-05.)\n\nA) -0.76%\nB) 2.76%\nC) 0.41%\nD) -3.11%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.76%", |
| "B) 2.76%", |
| "C) 0.41%", |
| "D) -3.11%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-0.76%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20211119", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-11-19", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-12", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-11-19? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-12.)\n\nA) -1.02%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 0.13%\nD) 4.74%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.02%", |
| "B) 1.28%", |
| "C) 0.13%", |
| "D) 4.74%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "B", |
| "answer_raw": "1.28%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20211203", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-12-03", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-11-26", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-12-03? (Use only information available on or before 2021-11-26.)\n\nA) -2.09%\nB) -6.74%\nC) -4.42%\nD) -7.90%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -2.09%", |
| "B) -6.74%", |
| "C) -4.42%", |
| "D) -7.90%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "C", |
| "answer_raw": "-4.42%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20211210", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-12-10", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-12-03", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-12-10? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-03.)\n\nA) -0.89%\nB) 5.03%\nC) 6.22%\nD) 2.66%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -0.89%", |
| "B) 5.03%", |
| "C) 6.22%", |
| "D) 2.66%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "D", |
| "answer_raw": "2.66%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| }, |
| { |
| "qid": "EVT-ndx-20211217", |
| "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", |
| "subtype": "nasdaq_weekly", |
| "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", |
| "transform": "weekly_pct", |
| "target_period": "week ending 2021-12-17", |
| "info_cutoff": "2021-12-10", |
| "question": "What will be the percentage change of the NASDAQ Composite over the trading week ending 2021-12-17? (Use only information available on or before 2021-12-10.)\n\nA) -1.58%\nB) -5.18%\nC) -0.38%\nD) -3.98%", |
| "options": [ |
| "A) -1.58%", |
| "B) -5.18%", |
| "C) -0.38%", |
| "D) -3.98%" |
| ], |
| "answer_letter": "A", |
| "answer_raw": "-1.58%", |
| "unit": "%", |
| "condition": "event", |
| "year": 2021 |
| } |
| ] |